[HN Gopher] The immediate victims of a con would rather act as i...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The immediate victims of a con would rather act as if the con never
       happened
        
       Author : Tomte
       Score  : 140 points
       Date   : 2024-01-07 17:32 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
        
       | 082349872349872 wrote:
       | see also "cooling the mark out"
        
         | senkora wrote:
         | I was not familiar with this term and found this blog post that
         | explains it:
         | https://kieranhealy.org/blog/archives/2002/10/31/cooling-the...
        
       | neilv wrote:
       | > _What really annoys me in these situations is how the
       | institutions show loyalty to the people who did research
       | misconduct._
       | 
       | "Loyalty" means different things to different people, and not
       | necessarily "doing what that party wants".
       | 
       | So, if you don't call this "loyalty", it might be easier to
       | imagine more of the possible/likely reasons for doing something
       | that coincides with what that party wants, in an instance.
        
         | SiempreViernes wrote:
         | I'm wondering if the loyalty really is with the cheater, or if
         | they are instead trying to protect weaker parties like the
         | students and post-docs that can be largely or event entirely
         | innocent. The latter option is possible and hard to discern
         | from the outside.
        
           | neilv wrote:
           | Yes, and some academics have altruistic hearts of gold. (I
           | used to assume they were all like that, and that was half the
           | reason I wanted to be a professor, thinking of the university
           | as a testbed or incubator for a better world.)
           | 
           | As an exercise to flesh out the space of possible reasons for
           | behavior that seems misaligned with academic ideals, you can
           | also imagine different characteristics and profiles of some
           | hypothetical academics: selfish self-interest and a touch of
           | ethical flexibility (that might've given them an edge to get
           | to the position of influence), arrogance (from the position
           | or other reasons), personal relationships (these are
           | colleagues, often friends, sometimes more), group solidarity,
           | normal human biases, funding politics, being beholden to
           | organizations that are cynical or misaligned with what a good
           | academic would do.
        
       | rgrieselhuber wrote:
       | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00332747.1952.11...
        
       | mmazing wrote:
       | Seems like this relates to many other areas of human interaction,
       | politics comes to mind for one ...
        
       | KittenInABox wrote:
       | Has anyone explored being the victim of a con and being a victim
       | of other forms of abuse? For example, people who were beaten as
       | children by their guardians also get angry when informed their
       | guardians were abusive for doing so. People who get really upset
       | when told their significant other is being controlling,
       | manipulative, neglectful, etc.
        
       | scrubs wrote:
       | Throughout the 1960s to the mid-1980s it used to fashionable
       | because it was so helpful to reconstitute manufacturing corporate
       | culture around a three axis orientation of quality through SPC,
       | of customers, and profit. This was done to avoid the distortions
       | that ruin companies in the medium and long term including
       | bankruptcy, layoffs, junk products, and all the related human BS
       | that comes with it: corporate politics, in-fighting, lying, and
       | so on. Think Ishikawa's tunnel analogy in his "What Is Total
       | Quality Control?: The Japanese Way." Some organizations included
       | additional emphasis on responsibilities to society.
       | 
       | I miss those days.
       | 
       | I've run into too many individuals in corporate American that:
       | 
       | * manage up/down
       | 
       | * think that if you're not hustling all the time actively
       | managing your rep -- because everybody is doing it -- you're a
       | chump
       | 
       | * A particularly ripe scenario to see this play out in tech
       | sectors is cloud migration in companies that previously had large
       | private data centers. The amount of BS and mid to upper level
       | management cowardice that enables the in-fighting over capex,
       | headcount, and control is truely disheartening.
       | 
       | Here in my backyard --- the US --- I sometimes seriously wonder
       | if "American Management" is euphemism for political players in
       | soap operas.
        
         | edmundsauto wrote:
         | Can you elaborate why you think managing up/down is bad? Maybe
         | we differ in definition, but I take it to mean customize how
         | you communicate (zoom in / zoom out) based on the intended
         | audiences typical scope and responsibilities.
         | 
         | I don't want to tell my skip super in depth technical details
         | they don't need to know. It's my job to process it for them.
        
       | eschulz wrote:
       | This reminds me of the legal marketing field, which is one in
       | which I have some experience. Just look at the billboards along
       | the highways in major US cities and you'll be reminded how
       | horrendously competitive law is in the US (and it's becoming more
       | and more competitive by the year - lawyers are everywhere and
       | covid encouraged a bunch of college students to consider law
       | school).
       | 
       | I believe the vast majority of marketing businesses for lawyers
       | are legit, but if there are scams then the bad actors could be
       | encouraged by the idea that lawyers are the last people in the
       | world who want to be outed as having fallen for a scam. Lawyers
       | must put forth an image of being intelligent, informed, and
       | aggressive; being the victim of a shady business doesn't fit this
       | model.
        
         | cowthulhu wrote:
         | My (very naive) thinking would be that lawyers are the worst
         | demographic to con, since they have the skills and resources to
         | try and make themselves whole again (at the expense of the
         | conman), maybe with a few NDAs throw in for good measure. Is
         | this not the case?
        
           | eschulz wrote:
           | My take is that lawyers will have to compare the damages they
           | suffered to the potential harm their reputation will sustain
           | if they become well known for being victims. Did they pay
           | $1,000 for a subpar product? If so, they might not act beyond
           | issuing some threats. However, if they lost $100,000 to a
           | thief then they probably will act.
           | 
           | I have spoken with many lawyers who have threatened marketers
           | with lawsuits, and in many cases the threat will help the
           | lawyer. I have had a few lawyers tell me they WILL NOT file a
           | lawsuit (why sue for $500 considering the time and court
           | fees), but that it only costs about 60 cents to send a
           | verbose letter using their firm's letterhead. They understand
           | the old warning "if you sue for a cow, you may end up losing
           | a cow".
           | 
           | Just as with a successful con against esteemed scientists,
           | any skilled conman will know his target well and understand
           | how he can fly just below the radar and probably avoid
           | getting called out and destroyed.
        
           | kstrauser wrote:
           | My naive thinking would be that a given lawyer would be
           | either impossible to con, or ripe for the taking because they
           | believe they're impossible to con. I'd also guess that if you
           | could manage to con a lawyer, they'd rather fall on a sword
           | than admit they were swindled.
        
       | renewiltord wrote:
       | In the foreword for _Animal Farm_ (in the del Rey edition, I
       | think), Orwell writes that he was asked by tankie friends to keep
       | quiet about the USSR 's crimes because they were the best chance
       | for Communism.
       | 
       | Bullshit from scientists is normal. They're just people after
       | all. But people who join the Culture War on one side must
       | necessarily choose Science as a side despite it being just a
       | technique for knowledge, not a team. And then they're forced to
       | defend it in some way.
       | 
       | I've posted years ago about how biotech science is sometimes
       | faked https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25926188
       | 
       | I wonder whether this reaction to a con is necessarily Western,
       | though. I've noticed it in Americans as well. They'll get conned
       | by corrupt politicians and rather than admit the con, they'll
       | defend them and pretend they weren't conned.
       | 
       | In the East, the attitude is different. It's more like "damn,
       | well what can you do". Both failure-oriented but different. I
       | wonder if it comes from different structures of pride.
        
         | scrubs wrote:
         | Stupidity in large human organizations does not favor or
         | exclude the east or west. It's endemic to humans. Wasn't that
         | the essential criticism of "The Lord of the Flies" and, in
         | terms of putative solutions, Volaire's satire in "Candide"?
         | 
         | Leaving the conversation at I saw this or that ... is too
         | incomplete. The question is what are we going to do about it.
         | Management at scientific institutions should have more backbone
         | not less on BS data reporting.
        
         | deanCommie wrote:
         | > he was asked by tankie friends to keep quiet about the USSR's
         | crimes because they were the best chance for Communism.
         | 
         | I have a lot of empathy for the tankies of that era. It was
         | clear that people like Stalin were truly evil, but it was also
         | clear from centuries of evidence that capitalism was
         | exploitative and needed upheaval.
         | 
         | On PAPER, Communism sounds great. I do think people genuinely
         | believed there were simply growing pains and once through them
         | something what today's generation thinks of as the "Star Trek
         | The Next Generation Utopia" could be achievable.
         | 
         | There are still people that think it might have succeeded if
         | given a genuine chance, and not undermined by the rich in the
         | west.
         | 
         | In retrospect we now know they were wrong, and probably Russia
         | was the worst place for communism to succeed. A society like
         | China is probably the one in which it has the best chance, and
         | even there we see that successful communism requires some free
         | market economics and some pretty heinous repression.
        
       | dragontamer wrote:
       | I've put myself into classical con situations out of curiosity.
       | 
       | Even when I purposefully seek to be conned, it's embarrassing to
       | have it happen.
       | 
       | In my case, simple subway con artist performing the classic magic
       | trick where you bet money to determine where the queen is under
       | three cards. As a hobbyist magician I'm able to follow him as the
       | subway scammer performs the drop, switching the queen for another
       | card.
       | 
       | I'm not ready for the smooth talking however that the con artist
       | employees afterwards. It's a humbling experience but one that I'm
       | happy to have lost real $$$ so that I can remember the lesson for
       | the rest of my life.
       | 
       | -----------
       | 
       | Coming to terms with smooth talkers and how they're able to
       | easily manipulate you, even if you are familiar with the tricks
       | (both slight of hand tricks as well as 'Magicians Force' smooth
       | talking / distractions).
       | 
       | It does make me want to practice classical street magic again, as
       | it's so obviously associated with thievery and con-jobs. But
       | street magic is perhaps the 'safe' way of doing it all so that no
       | one gets upset afterwards.
       | 
       | But in any case, just imagine a street magician who makes your
       | money disappear. That's what it feels like. Even at the amateur
       | level, you'll fall prey to the 2nd level or 3rd levels of
       | trickery, cause the street con-man has probably tricked
       | overconfident amateurs before.
       | 
       | ------
       | 
       | I've heard stories of people who talk with street vendors selling
       | lotions or other items as well and falling for those sales
       | pitches. In my experience, it's similar to the street magician-
       | thief and uses many similar techniques.
       | 
       | No one likes the fact that our actions, reactions and behaviors
       | are so predictable that literal con-artists can make a living
       | predicting and planning around our reactions to mislead us. (Or
       | in safer circles, a street magician doing the same thing but for
       | wonder/amazement rather than stealing your money)
       | 
       | --------
       | 
       | EDIT: For those not in the know, a drop and/or steal are magician
       | slight of hand tricks that switch cards or other objects in a way
       | that most people can't follow.
       | 
       | Magicians Force is a question that gives the illusion of choice,
       | often a choice that doesn't matter for the trick. But the
       | illusion of choice is sufficient to keep the audience's attention
       | and let the audience think that they're still in control of the
       | situation. Or in other words: smooth talking.
       | 
       | There are many ways to drop, steal or use Magicians Force. But
       | using them all together in one smooth action is how magicians (or
       | con-artists on the street) do their tricks.
        
         | wincy wrote:
         | I was listening to Joe Rogan interview David Blaine and he said
         | there are plenty of card players where it's literally
         | undetectable the tricks they use, even with cameras everywhere.
         | Makes me have no interest in playing card games with anyone but
         | a few friends.
        
           | dragontamer wrote:
           | Oh, there's so many card manipulation tricks it's hilarious.
           | 
           | I can false shuffle a deck, I can seed a deck through
           | shuffles. I can false cut. Tricks with my hands to 'do
           | nothing's with a deck even though it looks like I'm shuffling
           | or cutting the deck.
           | 
           | When we get to truly skilled magicians, they can perfect
           | shuffle (IIRC, 8x rifle shuffles in a row with perfect
           | precision returns the deck to it's original state). They can
           | perfect cut (two cuts that return the deck to the original
           | state). And they can therefore look like they're shuffling,
           | when in fact they're just leaving the deck in the same state
           | the whole time (or at least they have a plan to return the
           | deck back to it's original state later on).
           | 
           | There's also hidden cuts and hidden shuffles. To change the
           | deck even though it didn't look like anything happens.
           | 
           | So if I perfect cut a deck, say a silly story to you, then
           | hidden perfect cut the deck back to it's original state, the
           | audience probably doesn't realize their chosen cards remain
           | on the top of the deck. (Even if they spot the second hidden
           | cut, they likely don't realize the importance of it)
           | 
           | ----------
           | 
           | I did this once or twice (try) to pass out like 4x Royal
           | Flushes on Poker night to prove a point lol. Seed some royal
           | flushes on the top, false shuffle the deck, etc etc. IIRC
           | only two Royal Flushes survived but the point was made.
           | 
           | It's certainly fun. But it does make me wonder how people are
           | supposed to trust the dealer when so many of these tricks
           | exist and aren't even that hard to do or practice. (Perfect
           | shuffles are really hard. But the other stuff is just
           | pretending to be a klutz and undoing the shuffle by dropping
           | the cards or other such planned clumsiness, and then
           | confidently pretending that the deck was truly shuffled).
           | These sorts of things are more believable before your friends
           | realize you are ridiculously practiced with card tricks.
           | 
           | Still though, street con artists are on another level. I
           | guess when it's your living you get much better at it.
        
             | mhb wrote:
             | I think that it is thought
             | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riffle_shuffle_permutation)
             | that seven riffle shuffles randomize a deck. So you may be
             | misremembering that eight returns it to the original state.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | Riffle shuffles have randomness because it's assumed no
               | human can:
               | 
               | 1. Pick up exactly 26 cards.
               | 
               | 2. Shuffle exactly alternating left-right-left-right
               | across all 26 cards.
               | 
               | But both of these feats are possible with practice.
               | Repeat this perfect riffle shuffle enough times and the
               | deck returns to it's exact original state. It's just
               | simple math at that point, but it does mean you need
               | perfection on every action.
               | 
               | ----------
               | 
               | When a normie riffle shuffles, of course it's random. The
               | issue is that magicians are ridiculously skilled in
               | secret ways that are incredibly difficult to detect.
               | 
               | That is: a magician can look like they're shuffling, but
               | in reality they're actually seeding and returning the
               | deck to a state they want it to be in for their tricks.
               | 
               | Or a cheater at poker for that matter.
               | 
               | -------
               | 
               | That's okay though. If you can 'only' pickup exactly 26
               | cards consistently, you are skilled enough to perfect
               | cut, which is still enough for a lot of tricks.
        
               | gjhr wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riffle_shuffle_permutation#
               | Per...
               | 
               | Shows that perfect shuffles can return the deck to the
               | original state.
        
             | lowbloodsugar wrote:
             | That's why player behind dealer always cuts after dealer
             | shuffled.
        
       | seeAls0 wrote:
       | See also: genius CEOs who react in disbelief _their_ startup
       | didn't unicorn like the VCs promised!
       | 
       | It's workers or users who misunderstood what they were trying to
       | do! This is how capitalism works; they business, you give money!
        
         | dilyevsky wrote:
         | > their startup didn't unicorn like the VCs promised!
         | 
         | I think you got that backwards
        
       | caseysoftware wrote:
       | > _What really annoys me in these situations is how the
       | institutions show loyalty to the people who did research
       | misconduct. When researcher X works at or publishes with
       | institution Y, and it turns out that X did something wrong, why
       | does Y so often try to bury the problem and attack the messenger?
       | Y should be mad at X; after all, it's X who has leveraged the
       | reputation of Y for his personal gain. I'd think that the leaders
       | of Y would be really angry at X, even angrier than people from
       | the outside. But it doesn't happen that way. The immediate
       | victims of the con would rather act as if the con never happened.
       | Instead, they're mad at the outsiders who showed them that they
       | were being fooled._
       | 
       | See: Harvard, Dec 2023 - Jan 2024
        
         | mrcartmeneses wrote:
         | It's because universities are as political an environment as it
         | is possible to get. The academics are all completely aware that
         | their position is based on fear and favour, much a like a
         | medieval court or -- to use a more modern example -- the
         | Russian Communist Party during the USSR.
         | 
         | There is no truth. Only the party line. Follow it or get
         | spiked.
         | 
         | This problem is caused primarily by the low number of places to
         | work and the extremely high number of very high quality young
         | academics hoping to replace those in positions of power
        
           | jdewerd wrote:
           | > Russian Communist Party during the USSR
           | 
           | Or during Putin.
           | 
           | Here's another: Donald Trump's inner court.
        
             | flybrand wrote:
             | How is that different then their oppositions 'inner' court?
        
           | shuntress wrote:
           | You are being overly dramatic.
           | 
           | _Everywhere_ has politics. It's not special in universities.
        
           | hnbad wrote:
           | Explain Jordan Peterson then. The only reason he ended up
           | being "expelled" (and it was more of a resignation than an
           | expulsion really) is because he stopped practicing for years
           | and continued identifying himself with the position he held
           | at the university while engaging in conduct that violated the
           | professional code of ethics for that position. That's like
           | working at McDonald's as a shift manager, going on indefinite
           | leave, then touring media appearances to talk about your
           | opinion on social issues while always making sure you're
           | introduced as a McDonald's shift manager and then saying "You
           | can't fire me, I quit!" when McDonald's politely asks you to
           | stop associating with them in public. Hardly the academic
           | behavior on par with the Russian Communist Party.
        
       | JakeAl wrote:
       | I go through this every time I have to ask for a refund and tell
       | a business I just want a refund so we can part ways instead of
       | filing complaints with the Better Business Bureau and with the
       | FTC.
        
       | MobileVet wrote:
       | Shame and pride are such strong motivators.
       | 
       | My wife was taken by a very elaborate and well-crafted scam in
       | November. In retrospect, it all sounds ridiculous... but in the
       | moment, with kids in tow, it was very convincing. It was so
       | traumatizing that when it was over and she finally realized it
       | was a scam, she was relieved! They had convinced her she was
       | going to jail and that was terrifying. Losing the money was less
       | bad than going to jail.
       | 
       | It was also EXTREMELY well scripted with a TON of psychology and
       | clever moments that were well rehearsed. They also had a
       | background track playing with 'police station like' audio and had
       | spoofed the Orange County Sheriff's phone number. One
       | psychological trick that they employed was a very 'stepped'
       | approach to the scam.
       | 
       | If you say it all out loud, it is obvious, but if you go step by
       | step, each one was somewhat plausible. Lastly, by posing as law
       | enforcement, they tugged on a natural tendency to follow orders
       | and avoid being in trouble. My stomach drops when I think I am
       | getting pulled over... being told you have an outstanding warrant
       | was quite a gut punch for her.
       | 
       | Things to remember:
       | 
       | * ALWAYS hang up and call people on a phone number you enter
       | yourself.
       | 
       | * If someone tells you to check the number by looking it up, they
       | are very likely spoofing it. Hang up and call the police.
       | 
       | * The police don't call you if they are trying to serve a
       | warrant, they show up.
       | 
       | * A judge's 'gag order' does not mean you can't talk to a family
       | member or legal counsel.
       | 
       | * NEVER pull money out of an account for someone you don't know
       | without talking to a friend or spouse.
       | 
       | * ANY change in the situation is a red flag - bring the money to
       | the courthouse. - its getting late, we use an after hours
       | processor - you are running out of time, just wire it
        
         | dudinax wrote:
         | From one of my family members: if the bank transaction doesn't
         | go through, and you call the bank and they tell you it's
         | probably a scam, don't overrule them.
        
           | hnbad wrote:
           | Also if you're in the EU make sure to check the actual
           | SEPA/IBAN code. The first two letters are the country code
           | and if this is supposed to be an organization/institution in
           | your country then those should match most transactions you've
           | done before. Don't be fooled just because the country code
           | letter combination happens to also be the initialism of
           | something else or a state/city/etc involved.
           | 
           | I've had an accountant fall for a company registration scam
           | and while the letterhead was plausible, the bank account was
           | in an entirely different country, which should have given
           | pause.
        
         | par wrote:
         | Is there anywhere we can read up on this scam?
        
           | MobileVet wrote:
           | I posted details in a reply to myself above
        
         | hnbad wrote:
         | I think the common thread with all such scams is creating a
         | sense of urgency and high stakes. I'd generalize what you said
         | though: if something involves a legal process or supposed pre-
         | existing correspondence, anything crucial will happen in
         | writing or in person and they'll be able to specifically
         | provide you with the dates and details of anything they claim
         | to have on you.
         | 
         | Personally I haven't had fake police calls yet (well, except
         | for one Eastern European lady in a call center using a fake
         | mobile number while pretending in broken English to be from
         | INTERPOL, whom I immediately hung up on) but I have had calls
         | about contracts I supposedly agreed to over the phone and was
         | going to have to pay for either way but could now immediately
         | agree to a compromise so I wouldn't have to pay the full amount
         | owed but order (this time for real) something else or some
         | contrivance like that. Of course calling back was not an option
         | because this was already about to hit collections and they had
         | recorded my previous (non-existant) call but couldn't play it
         | back to me right now. It was all a bit ridiculous but I still
         | felt a bit unnerved until I called my lawyer and learned that
         | even if everything they said were true the contract as
         | described would be invalid and any claims would have to be sent
         | in writing before anything actionable even happened on my end.
        
         | MobileVet wrote:
         | This scam is pretty active right now. My brother in law was
         | called 2 days prior and they called my wife again 2 days
         | later...
         | 
         | Rough scam script:
         | 
         | - <background audio of police station> - hello, is this XYZ? -
         | this is Officer Z, do you agree to abide by Judge ABC's orders?
         | - we have been trying to reach you by mail about this case. It
         | has to do with a minor. - the judge has issued a gag order, do
         | not talk with anyone about this - look up the number from the
         | phone, see I am really calling from the courthouse
         | 
         | == keep you on the phone, my wife actually didn't pick up when
         | I called in the midst of the scam and followed with a text ==
         | 
         | - someone committed a crime using your name, we don't think it
         | was you but because you didn't respond to mail, there is a
         | warrant for your arrest - you need to post bail - go withdraw
         | money from the bank and bring it to the courthouse - where are
         | you? The courthouse is closing - it's getting late, use a 3rd
         | party processor setup during Covid - go to grocery store, use a
         | CoinStar machine - send money to phone number (using XLM
         | currency)
        
         | eurleif wrote:
         | >The police don't call you if they are trying to serve a
         | warrant, they show up.
         | 
         | But be aware that the converse isn't true: someone who shows up
         | at your door claiming to be law enforcement with a warrant
         | isn't necessarily legitimate. E.g.:
         | https://madison.com/news/local/crime-courts/jack-mcquestion-...
        
       | hnbad wrote:
       | This isn't really surprising. Cons are literally "confidence
       | tricks", i.e. betrayals of social trust, which can be
       | disorienting and distressing, even traumatizing. We know that
       | rape victims, to use an extreme example, often try to normalize
       | what happened to them - especially when the attacker was a close
       | friend or intimate partner. A common story is a victim being
       | sexually abused by a partner in the evening and making their
       | abuser breakfast the next morning because then it can't have been
       | abuse and must have been consensual because why would a victim
       | make breakfast for their abuser - that'd be absurd.
       | 
       | Nobody wants to be a victim. Some people like to play the victim,
       | sure, and some victims (usually after quite a bit of therapy) try
       | to own their victim status to come to terms with what they've
       | experienced but victims are at least as likely if not more to
       | pretend nothing happened (even when they're traumatized and their
       | denial is perpetuating that trauma) as they are to speak up.
       | 
       | With cons that are scams there's of course also the chance to
       | play hot potato: you may have been the mark but that only makes
       | you a victim if you are the end of the chain. If you can still
       | con someone else to make your money back, you didn't get fooled,
       | you just got inconvenienced at worst and you're not really at
       | fault for conning the next person because after all you wouldn't
       | have done it if you hadn't been conned to begin with. Crypto, one
       | might argue, might be one such example.
        
       | jongjong wrote:
       | I'm all too familiar with this. Also, they will pretend that the
       | con is not happening while they are in the middle of being
       | conned.
        
       | MenhirMike wrote:
       | Didn't people literally send letters to Charles Ponzi in prison -
       | after he got convicted and all - asking to invest even more money
       | into his scheme? Or is that an urban myth?
        
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