[HN Gopher] FAA grounds 171 Boeing planes after mid-air blowout
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       FAA grounds 171 Boeing planes after mid-air blowout
        
       Author : intunderflow
       Score  : 167 points
       Date   : 2024-01-06 18:26 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.com)
        
       | intunderflow wrote:
       | At least Airbus seems to be competent in building safe aircraft.
       | 
       | I would not be surprised though if Boeing's sales drop if the US
       | government brings in tariffs or etc to try and force companies to
       | buy their flying coffins.
        
         | asylteltine wrote:
         | The A380 is the best plane ever made in the entirety of human
         | history. It's a damn shame it's not used more. I'm hoping new
         | fuel efficient engines make it viable again because there
         | simply is NOTHING like first class on an A380.
        
           | thecosmicfrog wrote:
           | It's interesting how so many people sounded the death knell
           | on the A380 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Production of new
           | A380s even ceased around this time. Now it seems demand for
           | that size of aircraft is only increasing (at least for
           | specific hub and spoke models).
        
             | icegreentea2 wrote:
             | A380s were scheduled to end production in 2021 even before
             | COVID.
             | 
             | Airbus may have mistimed the A380 versus industry trends -
             | though this is certainly up to debate and is still up in
             | the air.
             | 
             | The first A380 deliveries were back in 2007, so the also
             | had to eat the impact of the 09 financial crisis.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | What makes it the best? I've flown on it, and it seems nice
           | enough, though it isn't the most comfortable airliner I've
           | flown on. It's certainly the biggest! But there are only
           | what, 250 or so that were put into service? It's hard to have
           | a strong opinion about a plane in such a small niche.
        
             | CaptainZapp wrote:
             | If the engineering of this plane wouldn't have been that
             | great disaster would have loomed.[0]
             | 
             | No question about that.
             | 
             | [0] https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/a-matter-of-
             | millimeters-...
        
             | algesten wrote:
             | For me the A380 is the most comfortable. I'm slightly
             | scared of flying, and turbulence making the entire plane
             | jump around makes it that much worse. I'm only speculating,
             | but I think it might be the sheer bulk of the A380 making
             | it the smoothest rides I've ever been on.
        
               | VBprogrammer wrote:
               | Flying the A380 doesn't even feel like flying. Even the
               | takeoff roll is sedate.
        
           | cm2187 wrote:
           | It will inevitably come back in some form in the long term as
           | air traffic keeps increasing. It's much harder to build a new
           | runway and a new terminal in busy airports (ask Heathrow)
           | than to add a floor to a plane.
        
         | makestuff wrote:
         | Turns out when you care about R&D and not just profits you can
         | build safe/reliable aircraft.
         | 
         | With how thin the airline industry is right now post covid
         | though we knew stuff was going to start happening. FAA is short
         | staffed, airline maintenance had a ton of people retire during
         | covid, etc. Here is to hoping things will change before more
         | people lose their lives.
        
         | mrandish wrote:
         | > At least Airbus seems to be competent in building safe
         | aircraft.
         | 
         | Prior to new models released in the last ~10yrs-ish, Boeing
         | made the safest planes in the sky (as measured by passenger
         | miles). Many of those planes are still flying and still doing
         | great.
         | 
         | For me the interesting question is what changed in Boeing's
         | design, testing and/or manufacturing processes which is
         | apparently resulting in worse safety performance.
        
           | sp332 wrote:
           | Some corporate history
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21304277
        
           | intunderflow wrote:
           | I've heard that when they merged with McDonnell Douglas their
           | new (McDonnell) management pushed out the good engineering
           | culture and dropped their quality standards in a chase for
           | more profit, leading to engineering experiencing the dead sea
           | effect.
        
             | jdksmdbtbdnmsm wrote:
             | in other words: capitalism, the system we've designed our
             | whole society around
        
               | crisdux wrote:
               | No, this isn't a well-functioning capitalist system.
               | Competition is a core principle of capitalism. What
               | occurred in the aerospace industry represents a
               | government-sanctioned monopoly.
        
               | windowsrookie wrote:
               | In the last 20 years nearly every industry has seen major
               | consolidation between just a few large companies.
               | 
               | Is any part of the capitalist system "well functioning"
               | anymore?
        
               | jdksmdbtbdnmsm wrote:
               | > _Competition is a core principle of capitalism_
               | 
               | Capitalism is literally defined by the ability to invest
               | capital to accumulate more of it by way of profit. The
               | logical end of this process is straightforwardly
               | monopoly.
        
               | onpointed wrote:
               | And if the world/environment/context of the business
               | didn't change then the monopolies might last, but because
               | there is change there is room to innovate and outcompete
               | the monopolies.
        
               | malfist wrote:
               | Monopolies are the end goal of capitalism
        
               | halJordan wrote:
               | Monopolies are broken by capitalism just as much as
               | they're created by capitalism. The whole "end-stage
               | capitalism" schtick is wrong because a free market will
               | lead to the ossification and then breakdown of a
               | monopolist. You just have to finish spring semester of
               | Econ101 to find out how.
        
               | camillomiller wrote:
               | It's always so funny to read this kind of answer when
               | someone points out the evident flaws of capitalism! "Hey,
               | wait a minute, this is not how capitalism is supposed to
               | work, so you can't say it's capitalism". Too bad that
               | capitalism isn't one monolithic thing and this is
               | ABSOLUTELY how loosely regulated American capitalism
               | works. It's a form of capitalism where human life is an
               | optimization problem that sits on the way to profits.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | And Soviet built airliners are known for their safety?
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | Is there any kind of alternative that could be found, or
               | have we reached the end of history, with our only two
               | options being 2023 capitalism versus 1960s Soviet state
               | capitalism?
        
               | tpm wrote:
               | Any system where management incentives are not aligned
               | with end-user incentives. So all of them really.
        
               | halJordan wrote:
               | Ah yes, the same capitalism that was around for the
               | building of this industry that was incredibly safe up
               | until it wasnt? Or was it safe because it was heavily
               | regulated back then but the heavy regulations today we
               | ignore because "capitalism"? You cant just throw these
               | single word thought-terminators out there. When an actual
               | cartoon is doing better than you it's time to
               | recalibrate. "Think Mark! Think!"
        
             | neilv wrote:
             | Is there an opposite of the Dead Sea Effect?
             | 
             | (I'm not talking about self-congratulatory conceits, like
             | "raising the bar" and "fire fast", since the companies that
             | first come to mind as saying those things tend to produce a
             | large quantity of often poor quality, in very visible ways.
             | Do we have concepts or terms lately for a place where most
             | everyone does great work, and people who don't rise to that
             | don't remain there?)
        
           | cf1241290841 wrote:
           | There is a book recommendation in the other thread
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38894227
           | 
           | The McDonnell Douglas merger is also worth mentioning in this
           | context.
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | I've heard it argued that the US government coerced that
             | merger.
        
           | ls612 wrote:
           | After the unfortunate incident in Japan this week, the Boeing
           | 787, a plane designed in the 2000s and flying since 2013, is
           | now the only passenger airliner without a hull loss. So they
           | are clearly capable of producing modern safe airliners post
           | merger.
        
             | rad_gruchalski wrote:
             | Producing, what about "designing safe aircraft post-
             | merger"?
        
             | ryanwaggoner wrote:
             | Do you have a source for that? This lists a number of
             | others: https://simpleflying.com/aircraft-types-zero-hull-
             | losses/
        
               | ls612 wrote:
               | Huh I never realized the 717 had no crashes either that's
               | even more impressive considering the era it was designed
               | in tbh. The others on that list look like subtypes (ie
               | the 747-8; there have been numerous 747 crashes).
        
             | oceanplexian wrote:
             | I don't feel like hull loss without context is a meaningful
             | metric of anything. At the end of the day they are
             | airplanes flown by pilots. You could have a less safe
             | design flown by highly competent pilots and never lose a
             | plane, or an incredibly sophisticated, technically advanced
             | aircraft where the pilot makes a decision resulting the
             | destruction of the aircraft.
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | There was an engineer who got fired for worrying publicly
             | about the fire safety of the carbon fiber hulls during the
             | 787 leadup.
             | 
             | It turned out I worked in the same building he had, and I
             | found his old office. Word is after he left they locked it
             | up, like a crime scene. I think they were worried his
             | whistleblowing would turn to leaks and I guess they thought
             | his office would have some sort of evidence? It was an
             | interior office so no big loss real estate wise, but that
             | was a super weird chapter.
             | 
             | He was painted as an aluminum bigot but I always wondered.
             | 
             | I used to talk to a coworker about how Mitsubishi - which
             | built the 787 wings (something Boeing has never done
             | before) - had introduced a regional jet and would be coming
             | after a Boeing's lunch. He was not worried. I'm a little
             | shocked he's been right so far. In fact that particular
             | division of MHI seems to be defunct as of last February,
             | which is news to me, so I suppose he was right. Maybe the
             | 787 experience was as unpleasant for them as it was for
             | Boeing.
        
               | ls612 wrote:
               | From the looks of it the composite fuselage of the A350
               | did its job splendidly, it held out against the fire long
               | enough for everyone to evacuate, only flashing over after
               | >20 minutes.
        
               | majormajor wrote:
               | > It turned out I worked in the same building he had, and
               | I found his old office. Word is after he left they locked
               | it up, like a crime scene. I think they were worried his
               | whistleblowing would turn to leaks and I guess they
               | thought his office would have some sort of evidence? It
               | was an interior office so no big loss real estate wise,
               | but that was a super weird chapter.
               | 
               | If they were worried about a lawsuit from him they might
               | want to preserve everything in case it was subpoenaed
               | regardless of guilt or innocent - possibly _especially_
               | if they thought his claims were wrong.
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | I believe I was the only one who found it weird or
               | noteworthy. But it was locked for years.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | > Word is after he left they locked it up, like a crime
               | scene. I think they were worried his whistleblowing would
               | turn to leaks and I guess they thought his office would
               | have some sort of evidence?
               | 
               | If Boeing did clear it out, they'd be open to charges of
               | doing a coverup. The smart thing to do is lock it up as
               | is.
        
           | BoardsOfCanada wrote:
           | Probably some upper-middle manager that needed to push
           | something through to get a bonus.
        
           | jnsaff2 wrote:
           | 787 program:
           | 
           | - designed to outsource most manufacturing to the lowest
           | bidder, many program management problems, overruns and delays
           | 
           | - to bust unions new factory was created in South Carolina
           | and this has very poor QC, there are rumors that a certain
           | large middle eastern airline refuses to accept any planes
           | assembled there
           | 
           | 737 program:
           | 
           | - they decided that they are not going to do a clean sheet
           | 737NG and use the existing platform to put on new engines and
           | do other modernization. They did it the cheap way and tried
           | to paper over problems in software to make sure that their
           | biggest customers would not need to send their pilots through
           | extra training. Killed hundreds already.
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | It's safer to have a new airplane design behave like the
             | old one. There have been many crashes due a pilot being
             | stressed and automatically doing something that would have
             | been right on a previous airplane he was familiar with, but
             | which was wrong for the current airplane he is flying.
             | 
             | All jet airliners are aerodynamically unstable and use
             | active controls to "paper over" that. There is nothing
             | inherently wrong with doing that.
             | 
             | The MCAS problem was not due to its purpose. The problem
             | was the software for it had too much authority, and did not
             | shut off when the pilot countermanded it. A worse problem
             | was the pilots did not follow emergency procedures for
             | runaway trim.
             | 
             | For reference, the emergency procedures are:
             | 
             | 1. restore normal trim with the electric trim switches
             | (which overrides MCAS)
             | 
             | 2. turn off the trim via a switch on the console
        
               | VBprogrammer wrote:
               | I don't think it's worth relitigating MCAS here but your
               | analysis here is very generous to Boeing and harsh to the
               | pilots who where unwitting test pilots in Boeing's
               | mistake.
        
             | pityJuke wrote:
             | > there are rumors that a certain large middle eastern
             | airline
             | 
             | Thank god there are airlines with standards. I'm certainly
             | glad my Middle Eastern long haul option for a particular
             | cross-continent journey does not have any faulty Boeing
             | models.
        
             | mhalle wrote:
             | I believe that the 737NG is not the problem aircraft. The
             | new engines and the problematic MCAS are on the 737 MAX, a
             | different model.
        
           | ShadowBanThis01 wrote:
           | Read this: https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/the-coming-
           | boeing-bailout
           | 
           | One of the tenets of the article is that the breakdown of the
           | once-impermeable wall between civilian and military divisions
           | has resulted in disaster.
        
         | callamdelaney wrote:
         | The control stick on the airbus is pretty bad, the fact that
         | neither pilot knows what inputs the other is giving makes them
         | far inferior to the system in boeing aircraft, even with
         | warnings.
        
       | s5300 wrote:
       | I'd at first read the plane was without passengers and just being
       | flown somewhere... and I thought, great.
       | 
       | Today I read that it was full of passengers, and the two people
       | supposed to be in the two seats in the row the panel blew out
       | happened to miss their flight.
       | 
       | If that's true... what an interesting set of statistics coming
       | together.
       | 
       | Amount of people that sleep through flights Amount of panels that
       | blow out of passenger planes Chance to be seated next to said
       | panel
        
         | whatshisface wrote:
         | We are seeing the "inverted Swiss cheese" model of disaster
         | avoidance: you are only safe if several independent, random
         | events go your way.
        
           | krisoft wrote:
           | I mean, of course it is better that the seats were not
           | occupied, but there is no reason to treat it as if those
           | people for sure would have died if they were on the plane.
           | 
           | It sounds like if they were on board and wearing seat belts
           | they would have been fine. Possibly very shaken, but fine.
        
             | panarky wrote:
             | _> wearing seat belts_
             | 
             | After the segment of fuselage fell to the earth, after the
             | giant hole opened, after the kid's shirt was ripped away,
             | passengers were standing up at their seats and in the
             | aisle, and flight attendants had to plead with them to sit
             | down and buckle up.
        
         | efdee wrote:
         | I'm just going to leave you with this frightening quote: "They
         | said there was a kid in that row who had his shirt was sucked
         | off him and out of the plane and his mother was holding onto
         | him to make sure he didn't go with it."
         | 
         | Shirt sucked off him. Mother was holding onto him. Oh hello, a
         | thousand nightmares of my youth.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | I suppose after that you'll be either absolutely unafraid of
           | planes or never go on one with a shirt again.
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | Wear your seat belt while in the seat.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | The seat is still there, firmly attached to the plane. In all
         | likelihood a passenger in that seat, if they were wearing their
         | seat belt (as they should have, it wasn't at cruising altitude,
         | and you should wear your seat belt anyway when seated), would
         | have been severely frightened and annoyed, but probably
         | uninjured. Maybe some hearing loss.
        
           | bitcurious wrote:
           | The seat is at the very least missing some fabric and
           | cushioning. Winds that can do that to an airplane seat
           | probably wouldn't leave a human uninjured.
        
           | windowsrookie wrote:
           | Although I'm not an aerospace engineer, Airplane seats only
           | have a a simple lap-belt, are rarely adjusted to the proper
           | tightness, and are designed to accommodate all body sizes. I
           | could certainly imagine a lap-belt not being adequate to keep
           | a small child from getting sucked out of the seat.
        
       | nullorempty wrote:
       | Clearly they need more exemptions.
        
         | agilob wrote:
         | I bet they are lobbying for it right now
        
         | intunderflow wrote:
         | Already working on it as of yesterday:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38882358
        
       | gamepsys wrote:
       | Boeing is what happens when an engineering focused company gets
       | taken over by MBAs. When it happens to a webtech company we call
       | it enshitification. When it happens to a transportation company
       | lives are actually at risk. Sadly Boeing is important enough to
       | DC that they seem to be allowed to casually risk American lives.
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | And risk a multiple of those lives as long as they are foreign,
         | remember the MAX failed several times around the world before
         | getting grounded.
        
         | LargeTomato wrote:
         | Boeing is late stage MBA.
         | 
         | Intel is mid-stage MBA.
         | 
         | Google/Alphabet is early stage MBA.
        
           | IceHegel wrote:
           | This seems basically right and there is no known cure save
           | bringing back a founder (Jobs & Apple).
        
             | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
             | Put Elon on the board so he can bust some balls.
        
               | apantel wrote:
               | Xoeing.
        
               | apantel wrote:
               | First new model: the X-wing.
        
             | DanielHB wrote:
             | Microsoft seems to be "coming back" by essentially becoming
             | an umbrella company, much like how all food manufacturers
             | consolidated and are basically a couple of mega umbrella
             | companies
        
           | blueridge wrote:
           | Oh I like this framing.
        
         | matrix_overload wrote:
         | MBAs can only pull this off when there is no competition and
         | they are in bed with the regulators. You can very easily get
         | Boeing back on track by splitting them into multiple competing
         | businesses, but we all know this won't happen.
        
           | db48x wrote:
           | They're already broken up. They consider themselves to be a
           | system integrator. They design the planes, hire contractors
           | to build most of the parts, and then assemble the parts. The
           | fact that this gives Boeing most of the risk and the
           | contractors most of the profit doesn't seem to bother them.
        
             | matrix_overload wrote:
             | Vertical integration is not competition. A decision maker
             | at any level within the vertical of power is facing
             | internal competition from political rivals, but no results-
             | based competition from his peers in other companies. So
             | this promotes political shenanigans, and applies negative
             | selection pressure on the actual product quality.
        
               | db48x wrote:
               | This is some kind of vertical dis-integration. They
               | literally sold their factories and tools to their
               | contractors because owning land and buildings and
               | machinery was dragging down their metrics! (Specifically
               | assets to earnings or something along those lines.)
               | 
               | But regardless of that, breaking up a large company
               | because it has some problem doesn't fix the problem. It
               | just makes all the smaller companies you created easier
               | to purchase. Just look at AT&T. NorTel bought every
               | single one of the baby bells within a decade of their
               | creation, resulting in just as much of a monopoly except
               | now in a foreign corporation.
        
         | teeray wrote:
         | There really needs to be a federally protected "no" from
         | engineering to keep the MBAs from "optimizing" away things they
         | don't understand.
        
       | nharada wrote:
       | Juan Browne's YouTube channel posts about basically every
       | aviation accident, and as usual he somehow already has a video
       | about this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9EvHpf8jZg
        
         | halJordan wrote:
         | The chick's tiktok went viral immediately. And fast followers
         | were already posting tiktoks with pictures of the actual plane,
         | breakdowns of how door plugs are made, etc.
         | 
         | You just have to go where the content is. Reuters has been
         | sending journalists across the world for over 100 years. You
         | just have to dl tiktok.
        
           | ShadowBanThis01 wrote:
           | Screw TikTok. It's a cesspool of shit, compounded by its
           | idiotic aspect ratio.
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | This reminded me of this unrelated incident:
       | 
       | https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/apr/17/philadelphi...
        
       | politelemon wrote:
       | Please merge: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38893909
        
       | glohbalrob wrote:
       | is this international, or just domestic flights?
       | 
       | im on a Mexico City to Vegas flight next week
        
         | halJordan wrote:
         | The article(!) says it is only some planes, and then its only a
         | few hours of inspection before flying them again.
        
       | alphanumeric0 wrote:
       | I've been following this story for a bit. I'm traveling to Mexico
       | soon and the last leg is on a 737 MAX 9. I'm looking into
       | contacting Aeromexico to see about changing flights to a
       | different airplane.
        
         | ShadowBanThis01 wrote:
         | I've been thinking the same thing.
         | 
         | Boeing is doubling down on its disgraceful behavior with shit
         | like this: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-
         | aerospace/boein...
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | Is that a good idea? I always feel like the _best_ time to fly
         | a plane or airliner is after they 've had some incident that
         | leads them to being under a microscope.
         | 
         | That is, all the MAX 9s have been grounded, and I'm guessing
         | they'll all be thoroughly inspected for this issue before they
         | fly again. So if your concern is that you'll hit a repeat _of
         | this same issue_ , that seems like the wrong concern.
        
           | ShadowBanThis01 wrote:
           | There's also the engine-nacelles-melting issue.
        
             | falserum wrote:
             | Boeing has bad month. There was also loose screws (not max
             | though)
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | When I searched for the engine nacelles issue, that appears
             | to only apply to an earlier version (737 NG) of the 737,
             | not the MAX.
             | 
             | Which kinda proves my point - someone saying "I don't want
             | to fly on a 737 MAX" may just get put on another plane that
             | has different issues. I guess if you've completely lost
             | faith in Boeing you can decide not to fly any of their
             | planes, but that's going to make flying at all very
             | difficult. And if you decide to drive instead you'd just be
             | taking a more dangerous mode of transportation.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-01-06 23:00 UTC)