[HN Gopher] History of Antarctica revealed in octopus DNA
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       History of Antarctica revealed in octopus DNA
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 52 points
       Date   : 2023-12-22 11:42 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | throwup238 wrote:
       | Using animal genetics to study other phenomena is one of my
       | favorite techniques!
       | 
       | We've got a lower bar for when humans started wearing clothing,
       | for example, because about 120,000 (+/- 50,000) years ago body
       | lice genetically diverged from head lice to the point that they
       | could no longer mate.
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | That's so interesting! Do you have other examples?
        
           | ace2358 wrote:
           | And a reference would be great!
        
         | AndrewKemendo wrote:
         | Reference and abstract:
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3002236/
         | 
         | Clothing use is an important modern behavior that contributed
         | to the successful expansion of humans into higher latitudes and
         | cold climates. Previous research suggests that clothing use
         | originated anywhere between 40,000 and 3 Ma, though there is
         | little direct archaeological, fossil, or genetic evidence to
         | support more specific estimates. Since clothing lice evolved
         | from head louse ancestors once humans adopted clothing, dating
         | the emergence of clothing lice may provide more specific
         | estimates of the origin of clothing use. Here, we use a
         | Bayesian coalescent modeling approach to estimate that clothing
         | lice diverged from head louse ancestors at least by 83,000 and
         | possibly as early as 170,000 years ago. Our analysis suggests
         | that the use of clothing likely originated with anatomically
         | modern humans in Africa and reinforces a broad trend of modern
         | human developments in Africa during the Middle to Late
         | Pleistocene.
        
       | tedunangst wrote:
       | This is neat, but I'm not sure how it "warns" us of anything.
       | Were the octopus harmed by the interbreeding in some way? Also,
       | how does the existence of a past event predict the future? I get
       | climate models, but this genetic evidence would also exist if the
       | planet were getting colder.
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | the warning is - yes, oceans were 10 meters higher, not long
         | ago..
        
           | ratboy666 wrote:
           | To quote the article:
           | 
           | "The new octopus genome data, she adds, "is pretty convincing
           | evidence that a full collapse happened." The findings
           | reinforce the importance of understanding how modern climate
           | conditions are affecting the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, Dutton
           | says. "This is telling us that we need to take this bigger
           | picture seriously." Continued ocean warming--driven by
           | greenhouse gas emissions--could destabilize the submerged
           | portion of the ice sheet. To lower the chance of another
           | collapse, she says, "We can't just kick the can down the road
           | and wait to make emissions cuts for another 5 years, another
           | 10 years. It really demands that we do it now."
           | 
           | Emissions in the modern sense were not the cause of this.
           | But, it happened. Is Dutton making the claim that emissions
           | are the cause now? I'll accept all of Dutton's claims, except
           | that one; there is no basis for that claim. Lower the chance
           | of another collapse? By how much? Would that have actually
           | helped 100,000 years ago? I make the claim that Dutton is
           | suffering from hubris.
        
             | twoWhlsGud wrote:
             | You drive a car of type Model Z. Someone, looking at a
             | crash of a Model Z which was going 50 mph, discovers a
             | design flaw that is particularly acute when the car is
             | driven faster than 70. Do you:
             | 
             | * adjust your driving behavior in accordance with whatever
             | bayesian impact the new data has?
             | 
             | * psychoanalyze the person doing the research, or decide
             | that nothing that happens at 50 mph could tell you
             | something about the behavior at 70 to reassure yourself you
             | can ignore the new data?
             | 
             | Your call...
        
             | wredue wrote:
             | There are indeed multiple sources of emissions, many not at
             | all needing human intervention at all.
             | 
             | Luckily, we can generally measure natural emissions vs
             | human emissions and find how much of it is being caused by
             | us. Incidentally, due to where various gasses are trapped,
             | many natural looking emissions are still our fault, this is
             | frequently discussed in talks and papers about runaway
             | climate change (note that I mean talks and papers from
             | scientific authorities, not Facebook and fox)
        
         | happytiger wrote:
         | Yea the verbiage is sensationalist. But sea level rise is more
         | than an existential threat, it would reshape everything.
         | 
         | Here is what the octopus genetics tells us is possible (to
         | repeat):
         | 
         | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VbiRNT_gWUQ
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | reshape everything < existential threat.
           | 
           | Sorry, but it is a pet peeve of mine that existential threat
           | bas become a buzzword devoid of meaning.
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | If you have a house of cards and someone starts swapping
             | them out for other random things, most of which do not
             | work, then reshaping everything == existential threat. Our
             | environment is in an incredibly delicate balance in some
             | locations, and we don't know how losing some species might
             | have larger domino effects.
             | 
             | If they're rare creatures, maybe the effect won't be large.
             | But who knows?
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I think your response reinforces my point. I understand
               | existential threat to mean human extinction threat.
               | 
               | Humans can outlive the destruction and change of
               | basically every environment on earth. We can live in
               | swamps and blistering deserts.
               | 
               | What do you think existential threat means?
        
               | playingalong wrote:
               | They might either mean that the (current line of)
               | humanity will not continue
               | 
               | or
               | 
               | Millions will die.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | For the latter, I contend that millions die every week as
               | the status quo, so I don't see events that might kill 10s
               | or even a few hundred million as an real existential
               | threat.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | Remember what happened during COVID? Now imagine the
               | "essential" workers are all dead or too busy fighting for
               | the last scrap of food. The food trucks no longer turn
               | up. The hospitals aren't running. You might survive, but
               | our technological civilization of billions won't.
        
               | kulahan wrote:
               | An existential threat to us is, as the name implies, a
               | threat to our existence. Unknown domino effects which may
               | or may not have changes so large that it causes massive
               | swathes of humans to die off, forever changing the future
               | of our species, seems to fit that description.
               | 
               | How much more does it need to be existential to you?
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | A credible chance of extinction without unknown unknowns.
        
             | exe34 wrote:
             | I see it as an existential threat to our technological
             | civilization. Humans, like cockroaches, will survive. It's
             | just not going to be a place you'll want to live in.
        
       | Sparkyte wrote:
       | For curiosity of the reader and myself. How are the genetic
       | markers isolated in a way that it can without of a doubt explain
       | an iceshelf collapse?
       | 
       | I think an article like this should go more in depth. I am just
       | wondering because it doesn't explain the process.
       | 
       | I also don't disagree with the worrisome amount of greenhouse
       | emissions.
        
       | borissk wrote:
       | "The average temperature of the planet was about 0.5degC warmer
       | than it is today--and climate projections predict it will be
       | again within decades. The global sea level was also 5 meters to
       | 10 meters higher than current levels. Many scientists believe the
       | collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and consequent melting
       | could have been a primary reason."
       | 
       | So there's a good chance the inevitable 0.5degC warming will be
       | followed by a massive raise of the ocean waters. That will have
       | some interesting effects on the society. No wonder Mark Facebook
       | and probably most of the other billionaires are building bunkers.
        
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       (page generated 2023-12-22 23:01 UTC)