[HN Gopher] Does quantum theory imply the universe is preordained?
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       Does quantum theory imply the universe is preordained?
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 56 points
       Date   : 2023-12-19 16:06 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | gavinray wrote:
       | When I was a teenager I had an idea:
       | 
       | If you rolled marbles down a hill, assuming that identical
       | starting conditions were applied each time, then the marbles'
       | paths and final position would be the same each time.
       | 
       | This also implies that if you know the starting conditions, you
       | could calculate the state of any point in time from there.
       | 
       | It made me curious whether you could apply this same logic to our
       | universe -- though I get the feeling it's not quite as simple a
       | system as marbles on a hill.
        
         | EA-3167 wrote:
         | The fundamental question here is whether or not you can get
         | identical conditions in the first place. If for example
         | spacetime is quantized, then it might be that the basic unit of
         | our reality displays the sort of quantum behavior that makes it
         | so hard to predict outcomes. It wouldn't just be a complex
         | system, it would be an essentially random and ever-changing
         | system. By the same token it could be the opposite, maybe it's
         | just a _really_ complex system as you were speculating about,
         | and while nothing is random, it 's essentially impossible to
         | predict.
         | 
         | In essence, is this a universe where a version of Maxwell's
         | Daemon could conceivably exist, or is it a universe that even a
         | god-like being would find random?
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxwell%27s_demon
        
         | sim7c00 wrote:
         | i think for physical systems this might hold true in some way,
         | though, i am not a physics person at all. it just 'feels' that
         | way to me. however, life is also there, and life doesnt
         | nessesarily follow such rules, as actually most of
         | (intelligent?) life is not physical. (emotions, thought etc.)
         | but does have impact / effect on the physical. i dont think non
         | physical things are so determenistic. (maybe they are, but it
         | doesnt 'feel' that way to me)
        
           | sheepdestroyer wrote:
           | What makes you say that life is not physical?
           | 
           | There seems to be no reason to believe that it's not.
           | 
           | On the contrary it seems most plausible that everything,
           | including emotions, thoughts, decisions, are just chemical
           | and electrophysical reactions. Thus deterministic.
        
             | tedivm wrote:
             | If those physical reactions occur at or are influenced by
             | the quantum level then they stop being deterministic. Hence
             | the article.
        
           | digging wrote:
           | For classical physics it's basically true[1]; see Laplace's
           | demon. I recall also independently inventing determinism as a
           | kid after I realized how easily I'd been swayed by external
           | factors into buying one toy over another.
           | 
           | For non-physical things, such as emotions and thought...
           | well, we have no actual proof they're anything but physical.
           | We just don't have proof that they're _entirely_ physical,
           | either. But the simplest explanation is actually that they
           | are completely physical processes and just as deterministic
           | as everything else (which is to say, possibly not at all,
           | depending on how QM is resolved).
           | 
           | [1] "Basically true" here means it's not strictly true (by
           | that I mean it's not true in all possible cases) - but
           | classical physics itself is not _strictly_ true, thus
           | relativity and QM... which are themselves not _strictly_
           | true. We 're still trying to find the theory that accurately
           | describes _all_ of physics.
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | When you imagine a red ball, where is that red ball
             | physically?
             | 
             | Not the atoms of the neuron configuration etc., but the
             | plane of existence where you place the red ball.
        
               | digging wrote:
               | I don't understand the question or how it relates to my
               | comment, can you elaborate what you mean by "plane of
               | existence"?
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | When you imagine from your minds eye, that is a plane of
               | some sort.
               | 
               | If we understood exactly where or how this plane exists
               | and for whom, we could arbitrarily place objects and
               | ideas in this plane. Eg force someone to think of a red
               | ball bouncing, or pull imagined objects forcefully out of
               | the plane.
        
               | mannykannot wrote:
               | Eg force someone to think of a red ball bouncing...
               | 
               | Indeed: put them in a sensory-deprivation tank and show
               | them a video of a (possibly simulated) ball bouncing.
               | Their existing network of neurons will do the rest.
        
               | digging wrote:
               | You're asking me to define the physical nature of
               | thought? Of subjective experience? I can't. No one can.
               | 
               | As I already said, though, that doesn't mean we should
               | assume there's something metaphysical going on. When I
               | think of a red ball neurons fire. We have no reason to
               | believe there is anything else going on because we have
               | no evidence one way or the other. The experience of
               | thinking of a red ball is _not_ evidence that there 's
               | anything supernatural going on.
        
               | mannykannot wrote:
               | When my computer simulates a red ball bouncing on the
               | floor, where is that red ball physically?
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | that's just binary rgb code that is reminding the mind of
               | a red ball :)
        
               | mannykannot wrote:
               | Precisely.
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | Luckily reality is nothing like this.
               | 
               | Probably.
        
         | aeonik wrote:
         | There's a good documentary called "The Secret Life of Chaos"
         | that has a fairly cool overview of this concept.
         | 
         | Though it's just the beginning of a very deep rabbit hole,
         | possibly unending.
         | 
         | Here is a link: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/xv1j0n
        
           | ewhanley wrote:
           | There's also a decent (not documentary) limited series that
           | explores the idea of determinism. It's pretty good and may be
           | of interest. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devs_(TV_series)
        
         | gpderetta wrote:
         | If the path of the marbles were to be determined by some sort
         | of gate in the path that would open or close depending, via a
         | Geiger detector, on whether some uranium atom had decayed,
         | then, as far as we know, the path would be truly unpredictable.
        
           | taeric wrote:
           | My mental model for this is to consider boiling water in a
           | pot. You can make easy statements over how long it will take
           | for all of the water to evaporate. It is, to my
           | understanding, impossible to discuss any particular molecule
           | or atom.
           | 
           | That is to say, the closer you get to the atomic behavior of
           | atoms, the harder it is to make "deterministic" descriptions
           | of what is going to happen.
           | 
           | We often describe this in terms of "coin flips" as you can
           | make a decent discussion over what you will see on 1000 coin
           | flips, but you cannot make such a statement over what you
           | will see over 1.
        
         | pants2 wrote:
         | You can create a marble run and have marbles more or less
         | follow the exact same path every time. However, on some scale
         | there is an unpredictable nature to things like Brownian motion
         | which affect the run in subtle ways. Perhaps you could get
         | closer if you could account for the physical properties of
         | every particle in the system beforehand, but a some scale these
         | interactions are driven by quantum mechanical processes that
         | aren't predictable even with perfect information (as far as we
         | know).
         | 
         | To look at it another way, the entropy of a system is always
         | increasing, so you don't have enough information when the
         | marble is at the top of the hill to know the exact outcome when
         | it's at the bottom (on a quantum scale, or over a long enough
         | period of time).
        
         | mensetmanusman wrote:
         | They would be the same until some number of zeros, past which,
         | Heisenberg uncertainty takes over and you cannot predict.
        
       | elromulous wrote:
       | This does make me wonder: how do we know that random quantum
       | processes are truly random?
       | 
       | This gets philosophical very quickly. But for our purposes:
       | independent, uniform, etc. But how do we know there isn't another
       | (earlier) way to observe the result in some fashion.
        
         | variadix wrote:
         | I think Bell's inequality implies the state can't be
         | deterministic but hidden. I'm not sure how you could evaluate
         | the "quality" of the randomness, or if there are existing
         | results analyzing this.
        
         | nyssos wrote:
         | We don't. What we know is that we can't have all of
         | 1. locality (no backwards causation / FTL information transfer)
         | 2. determinism              3. counterfactual definiteness
         | (unperformed measurements still have single definite results:
         | we can talk meaningfully about what we would have seen had we
         | done a different experiment)              4. QM gives correct
         | predictions.
         | 
         | Objective-collapse interpretations (like the version of
         | Copenhagen described in introductory textbooks) reject 2:
         | collapse is fundamentally indeterministic.
         | 
         | Everett (the badly misnamed "many-worlds" interpretation)
         | rejects 3: "measurement" is just what unitary evolution looks
         | like from the inside, and from that perspective always has
         | multiple outcomes.
         | 
         | Superdeterminism rejects 4: QM is wrong, but the initial
         | conditions of the universe were for some reason set up in such
         | a way as to prevent us from carrying out any experiments that
         | would demonstrate that.
        
           | cb321 wrote:
           | Bricmont does a good job of discussing entropy, arrow-of-
           | time, and irreversibility, information and probability in a
           | purely classical statistical mechanics setting in
           | https://arxiv.org/abs/chao-dyn/9603009 .
           | 
           | Bricmont has continued to write/expound upon these ideas ever
           | since and more recently "come out" as a non-local hidden
           | variables proponent of the de Broglie/Bohm variety which
           | rejects your (1. locality) for which you left out an example.
           | :-)
           | 
           | Sometimes people refer to giving up "locality" in this
           | context with the mouthful "a preferred _fundamental_
           | foliation of spacetime ". { "fundamental" here does the work
           | to block the Cosmic Microwave Background / "average rest
           | frame" which people have no trouble treating as a preferred
           | inertial reference frame that is "merely contingent" not
           | "fundamental", although Ernst Mach might have begged to
           | differ, but that is further afield. :-) }
        
           | throwawaymaths wrote:
           | Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think we even know what
           | "collapse" is. Maybe a better way to say it is that arguments
           | about what is collapse are at the root of distinguishing
           | interpretations
        
             | nyssos wrote:
             | Collapse is when you go from a generic quantum state to an
             | eigenstate of a given measurement operator. The
             | disagreement is about whether this is an objective feature
             | of reality, an artifact of semiclassical approximation, or
             | not a real physical process at all.
        
               | throwawaymaths wrote:
               | Yeah of course we know what the math is and it
               | corresponds to observation, I just mean we don't know
               | deeply what it is beyond what we've operationally defined
               | it as.
        
           | karmakaze wrote:
           | My bet is on 1. backwards causation. Light takes the shortest
           | path, by (virtually) taking all of them.
           | 
           | Similarly all paths to the future are taken and the present
           | _must_ agree with boundary conditions in the future.
        
             | nyssos wrote:
             | > the present must agree with boundary conditions in the
             | future.
             | 
             | This is true but it's not really what's meant by backwards
             | causation here. The specific thing you need is for what
             | happens from times (-e, e) to depend on what will happen at
             | times (1-e, 1+e) even after conditioning on the intervening
             | times (e, 1-e).
             | 
             | Action principles are still local: maximizing the integral
             | of the Lagrangian L(x(t)) over time (by, for instance,
             | taking the shortest path) is equivalent to satisfying dL/dx
             | = d/dt dL/d(dx/dt).
             | 
             | > by (virtually) taking all of them.
             | 
             | This is a superficially appealing analogy but very
             | misleading. Even if you take Feynman diagrams literally,
             | which you shouldn't, the "path" integral runs over _field
             | configurations_. The classical notion of a particle
             | following some path simply breaks down here.
        
       | DebtDeflation wrote:
       | I think, ultimately, there are only 3 possible explanations for
       | the paradoxes of the quantum world. 1) superdeterminism
       | (everything including our choices in quantum experiments today
       | were fully determined at the instant of the Big Bang), 2)
       | something "outside" our observable reality acting as a global
       | hidden variable (whether something like the bulk in brane
       | cosmology or whatever is running the simulation in simulation
       | theory) or 3) emergent spacetime (if space and time are emergent
       | phenomena then locality and causation are not fundamental).
        
         | digging wrote:
         | Actually, how are 1 and 2 different? If 2 simply refers to
         | another layer of reality, don't we still have to figure out if
         | it's deterministic or not? I suppose if it has its own
         | completely different (or slightly different[1]) physics, we'd
         | be starting over, but we'd still work our way back to the
         | question of top-level determinism eventually).
         | 
         | [1] Referring to cosmological natural selection as a theory of
         | the "fine-tuned" universe:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmological_natural_selection (a
         | fun favorite of mine but not looking likely)
        
           | hermannj314 wrote:
           | It's simulations all the way down.
        
           | DebtDeflation wrote:
           | Fair point. I'm assuming that additional layer of reality is
           | deterministic.
        
         | Filligree wrote:
         | Many-Worlds? Or does that fall under #2 for you?
        
           | coderenegade wrote:
           | Many worlds is really just another form of determinism. If
           | everything that can happen does, no one in any of the
           | individual universes has free will.
        
             | numinos1 wrote:
             | Unless awareness is independent of the universe and
             | traverses the branching worlds through observation and free
             | will.
        
         | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
         | Superdeterminism on its own doesn't explain why quantum
         | phenomena are statistical, not deterministic.
         | 
         | It seems strange that a superdeterministic universe constrains
         | certain kinds of phenomena to statistical distributions for no
         | obvious reason.
         | 
         | Free choice is a completely different issue, and I'm not even
         | sure it requires quantum theory. Clearly we have the illusion
         | of free choice, but just as obviously our choices are very
         | heavily constrained. In fact the constraints pretty much
         | determine personality. And there's plenty of evidence from
         | psychology that if you you have an accurate model of
         | personality you can manipulate someone's choices without them
         | being aware of it.
         | 
         | So I'm not seeing what quantum theory adds to this. It seems to
         | assume consciousness is quantum and works back from there.
         | Which is a weak argument (IMO).
        
       | __turbobrew__ wrote:
       | I have yet to see a subscriber of superdeterminism not look both
       | ways before crossing the road.
        
         | digging wrote:
         | A good quip, lol. But of course they would, because they must,
         | because the feeling of control (that is: the unconscious
         | _belief_ in control) is just as intrinsic as the actual absence
         | of control.
        
           | voxl wrote:
           | which in other words makes superdeterminism unfalsifiable,
           | because any attempt to do so can be met with "it must have
           | been that way"
        
             | digging wrote:
             | Absolutely. I find it an interesting thought experiment and
             | nothing more unless and until we determine some way to
             | actually see through the veil and identify these extra-
             | universal hidden variables. (At which point our conception
             | of the universe may expand to include these variables and
             | whatever else exists in that outer layer.)
        
             | throwawaymaths wrote:
             | Of course every other QM interpretation is _also_
             | unfalsifiable, e.g. Copenhagen (we have no definition of
             | what constitutes an observation) or many-worlds (obviously
             | unfalsifiable save for actually tunneling through into
             | another universe and coming back to tell the tale)
        
             | Pet_Ant wrote:
             | Don't know why this was downvoted. Superdetermination is
             | indeed unfalsifiable, because the "super" part means that
             | there does not exist anything that has been not determined,
             | including our thoughts, this comment and someone rolling
             | their eyes reading this.
             | 
             | Being unfalsifiable doesn't mean it's not true, just that
             | it isn't a scientific theory.
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | That's why Sam Harris still uses his will to speak to
             | various crowds that he has no will.
        
           | karmakaze wrote:
           | Or rather they must, because it was determined that they do.
           | 
           | And I'm sure sometimes, some of them _don 't_ look both ways
           | for the same reason.
        
         | qarl wrote:
         | That's because superdeterminism doesn't imply you shouldn't.
         | 
         | Superdeterminism implies that you don't really have a choice as
         | to whether you look both ways.
        
         | jeswin wrote:
         | The subscriber has no free will. The question would be - why
         | exist?
        
         | sheepdestroyer wrote:
         | If true, superdeterminism would not permit them to make that
         | choice to look around or not anyway.
        
         | PheonixPharts wrote:
         | Does believing that gravity exists mean a person will not roll
         | down a hill?
         | 
         | Why would belief that we are just agents responding predictably
         | to stimuli imply that one would _not respond predictably to
         | stimuli_?
         | 
         | The fact that ones behavior does not change when one
         | acknowledges that all behavior is deterministic and
         | predetermined seems evidence in _favor_ not against that
         | hypothesis.
        
           | nyssos wrote:
           | > Why would belief that we are just agents responding
           | predictably to stimuli imply that one would not respond
           | predictably to stimuli?
           | 
           | This is determinism, not superdeterminism.
           | 
           | Superdeterminism claims that the state of any system you
           | measure is always already correlated with the measurements
           | you perform on it: photons emitted a billion years ago encode
           | information about where someone is going to choose to point a
           | telescope tomorrow. Not because of any interaction between
           | the two, but because the initial conditions of the early
           | universe just happened to be set up that way.
        
             | simiones wrote:
             | Sure, but superdeterminism implies determinism. That is, if
             | the world is superdeterministic, it is certainly
             | deterministic, so living agents definitely react to stimuli
             | in a theoretically predictable manner.
             | 
             | Interestingly, it's actually very hard to define what it
             | would mean to believe in determinism, but _not_
             | superdeterminism. Ultimately if the universe is
             | deterministic, that must mean that everything that happens
             | is predictable from the initial conditions of the universe.
        
               | nyssos wrote:
               | > Ultimately if the universe is deterministic, that must
               | mean that everything that happens is predictable from the
               | initial conditions of the universe.
               | 
               | This is still not superdeterminism. The superdeterminist
               | claim is a statistical one: your choice of measurement is
               | not even approximately conditionally independent of the
               | state of the thing you're measuring. Ever. There are
               | plenty of deterministic processes that nonetheless wipe
               | out most correlations over the long-term: thoroughly
               | mixing two fluids will do it. Preserving a strong
               | correlation between the future state of your brain and
               | the exact luminosity of a star a billion light years away
               | at one particular moment, over the whole history of the
               | universe is _incomprehensibly_ unlikely. And
               | superdeterminists claim that this happens every single
               | time.
        
       | PheonixPharts wrote:
       | "Random" is a property of your mind, not of the world.
       | 
       | If I shuffle a deck of cards in a way that you don't know about,
       | then the next card I pull is "random" _to you_ even though,
       | obviously, if one were to turn the cards face up nothing would
       | have changed about the order of the cards, but now the next card
       | would be fully deterministic.
       | 
       | I could likewise sort the deck with an algorithm completely
       | unknown to you. I could _perfectly_ predict the next card pulled
       | because I know the algorithm, and yet the next card would still
       | be random for you.
       | 
       | Heisenberg uncertainty principle is more a statement about the
       | limits of knowledge than about "God throwing dice". Randomness
       | often has a supernatural property in the popular mind, but is
       | really just a statement about how much information we have about
       | an event.
       | 
       | The famous Bayesian philosopher ET Jaynes refereed to this
       | tendency to confuse the randomness as a property of the world
       | rather than our mind as the "Mind Projection Fallacy" [0]
       | 
       | 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mind_projection_fallacy
        
         | danbruc wrote:
         | _" Random" is a property of your mind, not of the world._
         | 
         | Limited information about the initial state is one source of
         | randomness but not necessarily the only one. Whether there is
         | true randomness in the universe is at very least an open
         | question.
        
           | PheonixPharts wrote:
           | Can you clarify what "true randomness" means out side of the
           | context of human agency and perception?
           | 
           | Can you also give an example where "true randomness" would
           | differ from the randomness I describe on the actions a human
           | would take? That is to say, if a my internal model of the
           | world tells me a coin landing on heads is 50/50 how does
           | "true randomness" or not of the resulting coin toss impact
           | how I should gamble on coin tosses?
           | 
           | imho the idea of "randomness" separate from our own internal
           | state of belief is a nonsensical concept, but would
           | appreciate examples to the contrary.
        
             | danbruc wrote:
             | You can not predict the future state from the current
             | state, not even in principle.
             | 
             | Measure the spin of an electron along two different axis,
             | to the best of our knowledge - or maybe just my - the
             | result of the second measurement is not predictable by
             | anything. Of course only until it turns out that hidden
             | variables is the correct interpretation and that the hidden
             | variables can be measured, then this also becomes the other
             | kind of randomness.
        
             | digging wrote:
             | In basic interpretations of quantum events, quantum
             | properties are _not defined_ until measured. It 's not just
             | that we can't see the other side of the card; the card is
             | blank until we flip it.
        
             | EA-3167 wrote:
             | > Can you clarify what "true randomness" means out side of
             | the context of human agency and perception?
             | 
             | Depending on your Interpretation of QM, randomness is a
             | fundamental aspect of reality. How does a quantum
             | superposition of two states resolve? The canonical view is
             | wavefunction collapse, which is ultimately random, and
             | attempts to find some pattern underneath it all generally
             | fail. Look at the Bell Inequalities, which demonstrate that
             | any theory which attempts to reproduce the successful
             | predictions has to either be non-local, or non-realistic,
             | and must be incompatible with local hidden variables.
             | 
             | Now does that mean nature is random? I don't know, no one
             | does, because we're sure that QM isn't a complete theory.
             | It is a _really_ good theory though, in some domains such
             | as QED it 's been tested to more than 11 decimal places and
             | found to hold. The difficulty of making a new theory that
             | matches that precision _and_ represents a paradigm shift
             | can 't be overstated. The result is that a lot of time is
             | spent on those aforementioned Interpretations, you've
             | probably heard of some, such as "The Many Worlds
             | Interpretation" aka parallel universes. After all if
             | _everything_ happens, and we just happen to only perceive a
             | part of it, then there is no randomness... no hidden
             | variable. When a quantum state collapses, part of it doesn
             | 't just vanish, it's just out of our site.
             | 
             | The problem with that is... there's no evidence to support
             | it, probably no way to even test it. Anyway, the bottom
             | line is that maybe there is _real_ randomness, and maybe
             | there isn 't, we just don't know.
        
             | Guvante wrote:
             | Do you count wave particle duality as randomness?
             | 
             | Certainly the dual slit experiment makes hidden variables
             | very hard to preserve.
             | 
             | Additionally several tests have shown that hidden variables
             | don't work to explain quantum mechanics, there aren't
             | possible coins the allow the kind of probabilities we see.
        
             | simiones wrote:
             | > Can you also give an example where "true randomness"
             | would differ from the randomness I describe on the actions
             | a human would take? That is to say, if a my internal model
             | of the world tells me a coin landing on heads is 50/50 how
             | does "true randomness" or not of the resulting coin toss
             | impact how I should gamble on coin tosses?
             | 
             | It's pretty simple. If the world is fundamentally
             | deterministic, then you should only gamble with someone who
             | you believe doesn't possess knowledge you don't. If an
             | advanced alien or an angel offers to call a coin toss, you
             | shouldn't take their bet, since they might know how to
             | determine the result of the coin toss based on the weather
             | and the color of the coin tosser's pants.
             | 
             | On the other hand, if the universe is fundamentally random
             | at every turn, then you can safely take the bet: nothing
             | they know could give them more information than you have
             | about the result of the coin toss.
             | 
             | This is very similar to the difference between pseudo-
             | random number generators (PRNGs) and sources of true
             | randomness in a computer. There is no test you could do on
             | the outputs of an RNG to determine if it is a (good,
             | cryptographic-grade) PRNG or if it is a "true" RNG.
             | However, if you're gambling based on the results of a PRNG,
             | you should try to find out if the one you're gambling
             | against doesn't happen to know the seed (in which case they
             | can predict with 100% certainty what the next number will
             | be).
        
         | losvedir wrote:
         | I'm not an expert, but I think the "orthodox" understanding is
         | that quantum mechanics is fundamentally rooted in probabilities
         | at the lowest level. The position you're taking, that quantum
         | uncertainty isn't inherent in the system, but just related to
         | us not knowing enough about it, is considered a "hidden
         | variables" hypothesis.
         | 
         | And I think those have been ruled out by Bell's Theorem, or at
         | least implies other very counterintuitive things have to be
         | true instead.
        
           | phkahler wrote:
           | >> And I think those have been ruled out by Bell's Theorem,
           | or at least implies other very counterintuitive things have
           | to be true instead.
           | 
           | Non locality seems less weird to me than any of the other
           | interpretations of quantum mechanics. But I feel like I'm in
           | a small minority with this. Besides, what we think about it
           | isn't really relevant.
        
         | digging wrote:
         | Not sure I agree fully in the case of Uncertainty. To the best
         | of our knowledge, an undetermined quantum property is
         | _actually_ undefined. Whether we go with the simple Many Worlds
         | or the Copenhagen wave function collapse or even Pilot Wave
         | theory, when the value becomes defined it is randomly selected
         | (or our World is a random selection of all of them) according
         | to the wave function.
         | 
         | I believe what you're saying is that there is indeed a
         | superdeterministic hidden variable that would allow us to know
         | before the value is defined what it will be. For simplicity
         | let's assume the Many Worlds interpretation... this variable
         | would tell us _which_ world we 're in.
         | 
         | The issue with this explanation is that we're not in that World
         | yet, because our current World is only the result of _past_
         | quantum events. When this next undefined value becomes defined,
         | our single world splits into Many more Worlds, each of which
         | has ours as a parent, so how could one of those be more or less
         | intrinsically ours? Each is equally our World, and if we back
         | up a single  "step", our World contains _all_ of the supposed
         | hidden variables that say which child World is which. So I find
         | that Many Worlds seems to invalidate superdeterministic hidden
         | variables.
         | 
         | With other, single-World interpretations, the hidden variables
         | make more sense. What you say would be true. But single-World
         | interpretations are already more complicated than Many Worlds,
         | with or without hidden variables and superdeterminism.
        
           | simiones wrote:
           | I don't think you're right about the many worlds
           | interpretation here.
           | 
           | In the most popular "simple" many worlds interpretation, the
           | whole universe is a QM system described by the universal
           | wavefunction. The "worlds" are just "branches" of the
           | wavefunction that are not entangled with one another.
           | 
           | The Schrodinger equation (and the more advanced QFT versions)
           | are fully deterministic differential equations: the state of
           | the universe at time T is fully determined by the state of
           | the universe at time T-x, for any x. This remains true even
           | if x is negative: there is no "arrow of time" in QM, there is
           | no distinction between the past and the future in any QM
           | equations.
           | 
           | The only "non-determinism" in Many Worlds is thus of the
           | knowledge kind: you don't know which "world" you happen to be
           | in, so you don't know which result you'll notice. But this is
           | like being spun around a coin: you don't know which face
           | you'll end up looking at, but you know both faces actually
           | exist. All the possible outcomes of any QM event are realized
           | in "some world", there is 0 uncertainty.
        
             | digging wrote:
             | Hm, that could be correct actually. Perhaps Many Worlds is
             | the most deterministic interpretation and I've got it
             | backward - this clearly is not my day job :)
        
         | Jensson wrote:
         | > Heisenberg uncertainty principle is more a statement about
         | the limits of knowledge than about "God throwing dice".
         | 
         | This isn't what physicists believe though, Heisenberg
         | uncertainty principle is about a wave not having both a well
         | defined position and velocity. They either drift apart
         | (undefined velocity) or they are spread apart (undefined
         | position). Then the wave collapse keeps the wave together over
         | time by randomly removing parts of it, we have no theory where
         | that isn't random even "many world" means you randomly select
         | one of the branches to follow.
         | 
         | We do know for sure that particles are waves that spread out
         | and exist in all of those parts, it isn't just that it
         | represent a point particle with unknown location. And we know
         | for sure that those waves under certain circumstances withdraw
         | from parts and just keep other parts, ie wave collapses. Both
         | of those are easily observed in experiments and not up for
         | debate.
        
         | simiones wrote:
         | If QM is correct and there is no "deeper" hidden variable
         | theory that explains the movement of all particles, then you're
         | wrong.
         | 
         | Heisenberg uncertainty as it exists in QM today is not a
         | statement about your knowledge, it is a statement about the
         | possible interactions between particles. It tells you that if a
         | particle collides with another at a specific point in space,
         | then their trajectories after that collision can't depend on
         | the momentum of either particle, for example, because that
         | would violate the inequality.
         | 
         | This indeed does not necessarily imply randomness per se. But
         | it is much more than a statement about precision of
         | measurements at a human scale: it is a statement about the
         | possible interactions at even the lowest scales.
        
         | Lichtso wrote:
         | The uncertainty principle is just a really misunderstood
         | concept because it was first discovered in the context of
         | quantum physics (Heisenberg 1927) and only later (Gabor 1946)
         | the underlying mathematical principle that causes it was
         | discovered.
         | 
         | It has nothing to do with measurement, knowledge, randomness or
         | even our physical reality at all. It is a much more fundamental
         | mathematical phenomenon [0] that always occurs when you switch
         | representation between time and frequency domains and it tells
         | you how you can arrange information in such mixed
         | representations.
         | 
         | [0]:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_principle#Signal_p...
        
       | munch117 wrote:
       | Appealing to quantum theory to defend free will does not make
       | sense.
       | 
       | If the quantum randomness is fundamental, and reality is
       | stochastic at heart, that makes it non-deterministic, but it
       | doesn't make it any less mechanical. It's in the name, after all:
       | Quantum _mechanics_. If there is any guiding light to the
       | randomness, any pattern to how the random choices come out, then
       | it 's not really random, is it?
       | 
       | So, if you think that a deterministic reality is devoid of free
       | will, then you must equally think that a Copenhagen-
       | interpretation fundamentally stochastic reality is devoid of free
       | will.
        
         | nwiswell wrote:
         | > If there is any guiding light to the randomness, any pattern
         | to how the random choices come out, then it's not really
         | random, is it?
         | 
         | Well, yeah, that's the point. By definition, a deterministic
         | model of reality means there is no room for a free agent to
         | make decisions: things couldn't have worked out another way.
         | 
         | But a mechanism that _appears random_ provides at least the
         | potential for a free agent, since randomness is exactly what it
         | looks like when you cannot predict system outputs purely from
         | system inputs.
         | 
         | It's really a semantic issue. It's not that it's a source of
         | _randomness_ that we 're after in order for free will to be
         | possible, but rather _non-causality,_ and quantum mechanics
         | does provide some potential in that regard.
        
           | dotsam wrote:
           | I find the idea of computational irreducibility useful for
           | rescuing a type of free will in a fully determined world.
           | Computationally irreducible programs are perfectly
           | deterministic, yet you can't predict the output before you
           | run them, and nor are there any shortcuts to get there before
           | running them for the first time. The program running in our
           | brains for 'free will' can be computationally irreducible in
           | this way. No-one can say with perfect accuracy what we will
           | choose to do in advance, not even us.
           | 
           | For me, this kind of free will is enough, though it is rather
           | deflationary when compared to some kind of godlike non-causal
           | free will. I think that if we search for non-causal free
           | will, we lose any hope of explanation or understanding:
           | presumably if it's non-causal, then anything can happen, for
           | no reason.
        
       | tromp wrote:
       | > All the observed complexities can be regarded as partial
       | descriptions of a simple fundamental reality: the Universe's
       | wavefunction. As an analogy, a perfect sphere can be cut into
       | many chunks with complicated shapes, yet they can be put back
       | together to form a simple sphere.
       | 
       | As another analogy, the 100-bit lambda calculus term
       | 
       | (l 1 1) (l (l l l 1 (2 (l l l 3 1 (2 (l 2)))) (3 (l 4 (l 4 (2
       | 1))))) (1 1)) (l 1)
       | 
       | is a binary tree containing all (infinitely many) closed lambda
       | terms at its leaves. Thus including representations of all
       | possible data and all programs.
        
       | ericfrazier wrote:
       | Proving the world operates without free will is trivial.
        
         | mensetmanusman wrote:
         | Just die and see?
        
       | MrGinkgo wrote:
       | Not sure if this is just a moot point, but I'll say it because
       | I'm genuinely curious to hear what people have to say. Anytime I
       | hear theories like this, I feel wary of accepting it as an air-
       | tight reliable outlook because of human limitations. Like, our
       | understanding of quantum physics and all natural laws come from
       | what we can percieve and measure, but there's bound to be
       | phenomena which we can't percieve or measure (either yet, or
       | ever) which limit our understanding of the universe. I understand
       | that science is a constant process, and that we shouldn't jump to
       | conclusions of any theories being "truth" because of this
       | process, but anytime anything like this comes up, I'm always wary
       | of the consequences that occur from all the people who DO
       | dogmatically assert that it's undeniable, especially with how
       | easily theories of predeterminism tend to enable unproductive,
       | nihilistic outlooks. I don't necessarily see science as trivial
       | pursuit because of our human limitations, but I feel like not
       | enough people have learned their lesson about the consequences of
       | eagerly accepting a "work in progress" as "ultimate truth".
        
         | moritzwarhier wrote:
         | Very well put!
         | 
         | > I don't necessarily see science as trivial pursuit because of
         | our human limitations
         | 
         | Me neither, quite the opposite, but the problem you are
         | describing has always been a problem when discussing
         | metaphysics, as it is commonly called.
         | 
         | Science is aware of its limitations, that's what makes it
         | science.
         | 
         | But sometimes, people tend to conflate a materialistic world
         | view (maybe even strong determinism) with believing in the
         | scientific method.
         | 
         | The "belief" I mean here is strongly tied to assigning the
         | appropriate role in ones thinking to scientific facts.
         | 
         | Proving an all-encompassing scientific world view is a logical
         | paradox.
        
           | broscillator wrote:
           | > But sometimes, people tend to conflate a materialistic
           | world view (maybe even strong determinism) with believing in
           | the scientific method.
           | 
           | I would say more than sometimes. It seems that if you're not
           | like that, you're immediately labeled religious.
        
             | thefaux wrote:
             | Religious is also a modern pejorative. It's pretty silly
             | the way it's used given that extreme atheism is just as
             | dogmatic as so called religious faith.
        
         | dotsam wrote:
         | Scientific knowledge, like all knowledge, is fallible. All we
         | can hope to do is correct errors and generate better
         | explanations.
         | 
         | There is no "ultimate truth" or airtight reliable outlook at
         | which we can stop and say we know everything there is to know
         | -- that would be a dogmatic assertion, and it is false.
        
         | broscillator wrote:
         | I think you're just describing human nature. We can look back
         | and see how incomplete theories about the world led to horrible
         | acts, or to averting our eyes from those acts because we
         | thought it was justified, or because we thought there was no
         | better way, or out of fear.
         | 
         | Yet there's the prevalent sense of "this time we're getting it
         | right".
        
           | pmontra wrote:
           | People did horrible acts because they did want to do those
           | acts to those other people. They picked a theory to justify
           | them.
        
       | at_a_remove wrote:
       | I've never seen some consensus as to the definition of free will
       | to the extent that it was testable. As in, "What experiment can
       | we perform to show this thing has free will?" or "Define free
       | will in such a fashion that a universe with free will is notably
       | and different from a universe _without_ free will, in a manner we
       | can detect. "
       | 
       | If we cannot do that, I am not even sure what the point is of
       | discussing the concept. It is like some box we are told lies
       | sealed in a distant continent, and we argue about what is in the
       | box. Why? We'll never know, and the answer doesn't seem to change
       | anything.
        
       | karaterobot wrote:
       | I have not heard a convincing explanation of how the universe
       | could produce the Monorail episode of _The Simpsons_ merely by a
       | certain configuration of energies in the first moment of the big
       | bang, and the consequences of thereof. The most obvious argument
       | is that the Monorail episode of _The Simpsons_ is not only
       | possible in at least one of the infinitude of quantum,
       | deterministic universes, but inevitable, and that the seeming
       | absurdity is merely my inability to acknowledge my anthropic
       | bias. Nonetheless, I laugh every time I think about the motion of
       | particles leading unavoidably to the invention of everything
       | required for someone to type  "I call the big one Bitey!", and
       | for me to appreciate it--or believe, as I must--that I appreciate
       | it. The mind reels!
        
         | twiceaday wrote:
         | The three body problem is impossible to solve analytically. The
         | state space is clearly all connected but in a way that cannot
         | be short-cut. You have to walk it deterministically one state
         | at a time. Once you reach some interesting state, you know that
         | you will always reach it from your initial state. It is
         | inevitable but in general impossible to predict. There is no
         | simple story to tell as to why you'd end up there, you just do
         | as a culmination of the state-path up to that state. We've
         | reached a state where that Simpsons episode was created. It's
         | very interesting and was impossible to predict from all the way
         | back during the bing bang. Maybe it was inevitable?
        
         | aap_ wrote:
         | The cosmic ballet goes on.
        
       | Xcelerate wrote:
       | I feel like "deterministic" and "predictable" are often
       | conflated. Suppose I give you the output of encoding a secret
       | message with a one-time pad. Can you predict the message contents
       | without the one-time pad? No. Does that mean the output was
       | generated non-deterministically? No.
       | 
       | More generally, there are strings with Kolmogorov complexity of
       | at least the length of the string but for which the conditional
       | Kolmogorov complexity is very small given some other string.
       | 
       | In this sense, it's quite possible that quantum mechanics is
       | fully deterministic _and_ there is a hard limit on our ability to
       | predict the future (so for all intents and purposes, quantum
       | mechanics is at some level indistinguishable from true randomness
       | _to us_ despite there being no randomness whatsoever in the laws
       | of physics). In fact, I think the former actually implies the
       | latter:
       | 
       | Consider a completely classical, deterministic universe (or at
       | least imagine a high fidelity molecular dynamics simulation of
       | our lightcone of the universe). Then all of the actions that
       | humans take in an attempt to predict future observations are
       | fully pre-ordained. Why should it be the case that these actions
       | just so happen to lead to output that describes another
       | subsystem's behavior to arbitrary precision? That would be a
       | strange coincidence to have for whatever set of laws describes
       | the time evolution of this hypothetical universe. Mathematically,
       | how many universes like that are even possible? What sort of
       | bizarre initial conditions would there have to be for this to be
       | the case?
       | 
       | My take is pretty simple: 1) the universe is fully deterministic
       | and 2) quantum mechanics appears inherently random _to us_
       | because we are inescapably part of the system we are trying to
       | study and predict.
       | 
       | So now the interesting question: is there is an experiment that
       | can distinguish between the case of a fully deterministic
       | universe and one with non-deterministic processes, given that the
       | two would seem to appear the same as far as human observation is
       | concerned?
        
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