[HN Gopher] Reel Inequality: Charting the Vanishing Middle Class...
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       Reel Inequality: Charting the Vanishing Middle Class of Movies
        
       Author : tennisprince
       Score  : 25 points
       Date   : 2023-12-04 21:13 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reelinequality.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reelinequality.com)
        
       | snoopsnopp wrote:
       | I feel like consumer choice has kinda gone too far with movies,
       | people never cross genres because they never have to go along
       | with something they don't like.
        
       | aethros wrote:
       | I wonder how valuable this is as a metric, since much of what
       | gets viewed is a function of art as much as it is marketing,
       | production, or other elements. Some years studios make movies
       | that are just bad--I wouldn't necessarily expect the income
       | distribution to remain balanced across years.
       | 
       | Furthermore, these graphs don't appear to take into account the
       | production cost of movies. If a low-budget film garners critical
       | acclaim, it means more than a studio movie that just broke even,
       | although their gross incomes could be pretty similar.
        
       | rob74 wrote:
       | I'm not sure 2023 is a good year to compare against, what with
       | the actors' and writers' unions striking for several months? If
       | you look at the list of "2023 movies", you see titles such as
       | _Coraline (Remastered)_ , _Star Wars Episode VI_ , _Titanic (25
       | yr Anniversary)_ and probably some others that I missed which are
       | not really 2023 movies...
        
       | mjr00 wrote:
       | 2023 had a _lot_ of big-budget bombs. Ant-Man, Indiana Jones,
       | Mission Impossible, Transformers, The Flash, Fast X, Blue Beetle,
       | Elemental, Shazam!, and the Marvels all underperformed somewhere
       | on the scale from  "disappointment" to "disaster".
       | 
       | On the other hand, aside from the massive big-budget hits of
       | Barbie and Mario, there were also a number of mid-budget films
       | that did very well: John Wick 4, Sound of Freedom, Five Nights at
       | Freddy's, Cocaine Bear and M3GAN all exceeded expectations.
       | 
       | So it's hard to interpret this as the "middle class" of movies
       | disappearing. I'd say it's the opposite, in fact. People have
       | gotten sick of the big-budget crap that follows the same formula
       | (note how most of those bombs are superhero movies). It's really
       | the big-budget films that are falling apart.
        
         | justrealist wrote:
         | To be more precise, those mid-budget films all did well
         | _relative_ to their budgets. Marvels still made far more money,
         | but the budget was so bloated that Marvel took a loss.
        
         | g9yuayon wrote:
         | > 2023 had a lot of big-budget bombs. Ant-Man, Indiana Jones,
         | Mission Impossible, Transformers, The Flash, Fast X, Blue
         | Beetle, Elemental, Shazam!, and the Marvels all underperformed
         | somewhere on the scale from "disappointment" to "disaster".
         | 
         | And rightly so. The so-called special effects in those
         | superhero movies are really getting exhausting. What's the
         | point of having superpower yet battling like a peasant in
         | medieval times? What's the point of having super intelligence
         | yet making so many illogical decisions? What's the point of
         | having the best technologies on earth yet having your tribe
         | living in dirt and fighting with rhinos and using duet to elect
         | your leaders? I can even tolerate such plot holes if the movies
         | have good stories or interesting characters, but do they?
        
           | FirmwareBurner wrote:
           | _> What's the point of having the best technologies on earth
           | yet having your tribe living in dirt and fighting with rhinos
           | and using duet to elect your leaders_
           | 
           | Yes, Marvel is shit now, but escapism and fantasy
           | entertainment doesn't work on real world logic. If I want to
           | see realistic battles going on I just turn on the news. I go
           | to the cinema because I want a dose of escapism while I turn
           | off my brain for 2 hours.
        
             | g9yuayon wrote:
             | Me too. It's just that I don't want to escape into the
             | world of the villagers in Wakanda, where owners of stealth
             | jet and energy shield fought on rhinos and spears, and a
             | handful of people live like royalties but I live like a
             | peasant.
        
           | EA-3167 wrote:
           | If you haven't already read Mother of Learning you really
           | should, you would absolutely adore it.
        
             | EarthLaunch wrote:
             | And Torth series. No punches pulled on the logical outcomes
             | of superintelligence and powers.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | If you have superpowers, _you_ are more powerful than almost
           | all weapons. So you fight with _you_ as the weapon, because
           | it 's the most powerful you have.
           | 
           | Also: I presume you meant duel. Using a duet to elect your
           | leaders has a certain charm to it...
        
         | tunesmith wrote:
         | But that's not really what the graph plots; it doesn't try to
         | estimate revenue expectations or even production costs.
         | (Although, that would be interesting to factor in production
         | costs.)
         | 
         | Comparing 2006 to 2023, I see more sequels early in the list,
         | and fewer originals.
        
           | mjr00 wrote:
           | Right, which is why concluding that there's a "vanishing
           | middle class" from those charts doesn't make sense. (assuming
           | that's what the author intended the conclusion to be. Aside
           | from the title, there doesn't seem to be much of one.)
        
         | PreachSoup wrote:
         | I agree. The opposite seems to be happening. This trend has
         | been a while and this article is REALLY late
        
       | intalentive wrote:
       | I miss "smart" mid-budget movies of the kind Miramax used to put
       | out in the 90s. With a few exceptions they don't seem to be as
       | prevalent. The market has changed.
        
         | FirmwareBurner wrote:
         | I miss the cheesy but wholesome comedies and parodies of the
         | 1990s and 2000s: Anger Management, Rush Hour, The Cable Guy,
         | American Pie, Scary Movie, Bruce Almighty, Eurotrip, Tropic
         | Thunder, Hot Shots, Borat, Idiocracy, How High, White Chicks,
         | etc.
         | 
         | We can't have any like those in this age because someone on
         | Twitter will claim to be offended. Good thing to back-up those
         | old gems as well before they get cancelled/edited to comply
         | with modern sensibilities.
        
           | metabagel wrote:
           | > We can't have any like those in this age because someone on
           | Twitter will claim to be offended.
           | 
           | I think this is mostly an exaggeration. I think there will
           | always be an audience for tasteless and raunchy movies. It
           | might be a good long while before we see another white actor
           | in blackface though, I'll grant you that.
        
       | whartung wrote:
       | Isn't this because the mid range is going straight into the
       | streaming services, rather than through (an I assume expensive)
       | distribution process into theaters?
       | 
       | Theater going is expensive (I think it's expensive), the
       | alternatives are "pretty good", so that impacts overall theater
       | presence.
       | 
       | Having a "block buster" that can justify the expense of marketing
       | and distributing to the now weaker theater market seems like a
       | prudent thing for the studios and it's just part of the current
       | reality of entertainment.
       | 
       | I know I don't see many movies in the theater. I don't know if
       | I've seen anything since Top Gun. I was hoping to see Dune 2, but
       | it's delayed. I will be seeing the Ferrari bio-pic, simply
       | because I'm a Mann nut. Otherwise, we rented Barbie. We rented
       | GoG3, we'll be renting Oppenheimer.
       | 
       | And whatever other random stuff I sleep through from Netflix.
        
       | lapcat wrote:
       | I think that the data is missing something crucial, because it
       | only talks about percentages. It's also important to know the
       | total absolute (inflation-adjusted) revenue for each year. I'd
       | like to know if the non-top movies are doing worse than before,
       | in absolute terms, which we can't tell from the charts.
        
       | BeetleB wrote:
       | Please, please, do not override my mouse scroll wheel behavior!
        
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       (page generated 2023-12-04 23:00 UTC)