[HN Gopher] Skunk Works is all about getting to the prototype st...
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       Skunk Works is all about getting to the prototype stage (2018)
        
       Author : CHB0403085482
       Score  : 51 points
       Date   : 2023-11-21 09:17 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.thedrive.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.thedrive.com)
        
       | userinanother wrote:
       | It's easy to build an airplane. It's hard to build one that lasts
       | 30-50 years and to prove that it has an acceptably low failure
       | rate.
        
         | fargle wrote:
         | It's absolutely _not_ easy to build an airplane.
         | 
         | It's incredibly difficult to build an airplane, especially a
         | completely new design.
         | 
         | It's _absolutely impossible_ to do that at the same time as
         | making one that will last 30-50 years and have a low failure
         | rate.
         | 
         | What is difficult, incredibly expensive, and very time-
         | consuming, but possible - barely - is starting with the first
         | airplane and eventually getting to the second.
         | 
         | The first is the job of a Skunk Works. The second is the job of
         | more traditional aerospace organizations.
        
           | wiz21c wrote:
           | I'm not in airplane engineering, so:
           | 
           | > It's incredibly difficult to build an airplane, especially
           | a completely new design.
           | 
           | why ?
        
             | snovv_crash wrote:
             | Aerodynamics.
             | 
             | Structural design.
             | 
             | Design for manufacturing and assembly.
             | 
             | Power and drivetrain.
             | 
             | Control systems and actuators.
             | 
             | Avionics.
             | 
             | And then get all of these to a reliability level where you
             | feel comfortable with a single failure causing high
             | likelihood of multiple human deaths.
        
             | intotheabyss wrote:
             | As someone who is in airplane engineering, the biggest
             | barrier today to building a new aircraft is regulations.
             | But if we completely ignored regulations, and you were
             | building a mostly aluminum aircraft with analog avionics
             | and the goal was just to get it to fly (nevermind things
             | like designing for fatigue), then no it wouldn't be that
             | difficult conceptually on paper. However, manufacturing
             | would still be the bottleneck, and that is still
             | challenging today (tolerances, QA, technical expertise).
             | 
             | However, if you were designing and building a new aircraft
             | to meet the latest Part 25 regulations for passenger
             | transport, it's almost insurmountable. There's a reason why
             | there are so few aircraft OEMs.
        
               | tonyarkles wrote:
               | And to go along with it for Part 25, you're pretty much
               | guaranteed to be doing something "thinking outside the
               | box" if you're doing a clean-sheet design, because the
               | current models (737 Max8, A320, etc) are all pretty
               | darned close to their local optima. No one's going to do
               | a clean-sheet design for 5% more pax and 5% less fuel
               | burn, they're just going to riff on something that
               | already has type approval so that a good chunk of the
               | regulatory burden is already mostly taken care of.
        
           | KeplerBoy wrote:
           | It's not that hard.
           | 
           | Slap a motor and a few servos on a piece of cardboard and
           | you've got yourself a model airplane. Sometimes I'm surprised
           | how easy it is to get something flying.
        
             | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
             | print('Hello world!')
             | 
             | Man, I don't know why anyone says that software development
             | is hard.
        
               | intelVISA wrote:
               | excuse me where's the semi-colon? Unshippable!!
        
               | opan wrote:
               | It's valid python3.
        
             | tonyarkles wrote:
             | You're unfortunately getting downvoted but you're totally
             | right.
             | 
             | https://store.flitetest.com/park-flyers-swappables/
             | 
             | I work in the UAS industry and we absolutely do use things
             | like these cardboard airframes for prototyping. They're
             | awesome out of the box and really easy to repair with some
             | tape and hot-melt glue if necessary.
        
         | vikramkr wrote:
         | I have no idea what point you're trying to make - and also it
         | definitely isn't easy to build an airplane. R&D, prototyping,
         | and manufacturing are all hard
        
           | whalesalad wrote:
           | When you look at what the skunk works were doing back in the
           | day with drafting tables and plywood you would also think
           | it's easy. These days less so due to electronic/computer
           | driven flight surfaces and all the crazy sensing
        
         | shakow wrote:
         | > It's hard to build one that lasts 30-50 years
         | 
         | Like the U-2, the SR-71, or the F-117?
        
           | dotancohen wrote:
           | The U-2 is still flying, even though it was expected to be
           | obsolete quickly. The SR-71 and F-117 are no longer
           | operational, I think they both were retired before 30 years
           | of service.
           | 
           | Military aircraft lifespans rarely fit their projected
           | timeframes.
        
             | _djo_ wrote:
             | The F-117s are technically still operational, even after
             | their official retirement. https://www.thedrive.com/the-
             | war-zone/retired-f-117-nighthaw...
        
               | hef19898 wrote:
               | Flying is dofferent from being operational in the
               | military sense.
               | 
               | Still impressive that those bird are still airworzhy so.
        
               | _djo_ wrote:
               | They're still operational systems in the military sense,
               | just no longer front line combat assets. They've been
               | relegated to R&D & training.
        
               | hef19898 wrote:
               | So they no longer have operational capabilitied for their
               | initially intended role.
        
               | _djo_ wrote:
               | Yes, but this is splitting hairs a bit.
               | 
               | Are training systems considered operational? It depends.
               | In a systems readiness point of view, yes, they're
               | operational even if they've been re-roled, as opposed to
               | being withdrawn-from-use or having another status.
               | 
               | But if you consider only front-line combat systems
               | operational and exclude all other aircraft including
               | training aircraft like the USAF's Texan IIs, then these
               | wouldn't be included in that category.
        
             | justin66 wrote:
             | The SR-71 officially served for about 32 years, although
             | the last few years weren't very active - there was a
             | retirement followed by a brief comeback IIRC. NASA had one
             | that might have flown a few times after that, I'm not sure.
             | 
             | What led you to believe the U-2 "was expected to be
             | obsolete quickly?" It would be interesting to know who
             | amongst Lockheed and Air Force personnel were right, and
             | wrong, about something like that.
        
               | dotancohen wrote:
               | The U-2, being subsonic, was not expected to last long
               | according to one of the books I read, don't ask me which.
               | In addition to being vulnerable to high altitude
               | interceptors, it was difficult to fly as the stall speed
               | was just knots away from Vne. And landing it was an
               | adventure all its own. That said, the airplane found its
               | niche and outlived expectations.
        
               | justin66 wrote:
               | You can see how certain people would think the SR-71
               | would naturally be a permanent replacement for the U-2.
               | It'll fly at the same extreme height a lot faster, etc.
               | etc. If you're not aware of the enormous operational
               | cost, which is what really killed the blackbird, it seems
               | obvious which one should succeed. (or if it's not your
               | money...)
               | 
               | Every time one of these threads comes up I think I should
               | reread Ben Rich's book, which I read over twenty years
               | ago and gave to a friend about five years ago. It would
               | be interesting to recall his perspective on this. I think
               | he had something in there about how proud they were about
               | keeping the costs of the reactivation and final flights
               | of the SR-71, which were sort of mandated by congress, as
               | low as possible. They were still a lot more expensive
               | than, for example, recent programs to equip the U-2 fleet
               | with more modern avionics.
        
               | LaffertyDev wrote:
               | > The U-2, being subsonic, was not expected to last long
               | according to one of the books I read, don't ask me which
               | 
               | Probably either Skunkworks or Kelly: More than my share
               | of it all. I recall that very soon after shipping the U2,
               | they saw the writing on the wall for its operational
               | limits and started working on the SR71 very soon after.
               | Looking at the timelines, U2 first flight was 1955 and
               | the first discussions for the SR71 were done in 1957 with
               | work beginning in 1958. Powers was shot down in 1960 in
               | his U2.
        
             | whalesalad wrote:
             | What? KC-135, C-130, B-1 and notably the B-52
             | Stratofortress would like a word with you.
        
               | dotancohen wrote:
               | The B-52 is the real star here. It is the primary reason
               | that I included the word "rarely". For each of these
               | aircraft, though, I could name two dozen types that did
               | not last 30 years in service.
        
         | spacecadet wrote:
         | How many planes you ship built by you? lol
         | 
         | To this commenters point, my uncle has built several Cessna
         | 170's from nothing in his garage... but he also worked in
         | aviation.
        
       | janejeon wrote:
       | For those interested in this topic, Ben Rich has a book of
       | firsthand account called "Skunk Works" (this is mostly _after_
       | the Kelly era). I personally found it to be a good read - a mix
       | between government politics, the fight for funding, the culture
       | of shipping, and what worked and what didn 't.
        
         | brightball wrote:
         | It was a great book. Lots of really interesting history in
         | there and I highly recommend it to anyone.
        
         | LaffertyDev wrote:
         | Likewise, `Kelly: More than my share of it all` is written by
         | Kelly Johnson & Maggie Smith. Between the two, Skunk Works is
         | better written but I thoroughly enjoyed both.
        
       | analog31 wrote:
       | The thing that most people overlook about "skunk works" is that
       | they were a manufacturing operation. Their planes were very much
       | designed to be used and maintained.
       | 
       | I've worked in teams that were described as "skunk works," though
       | I'm not sure the ones using that term had actually read the book.
       | But a feature of the teams that were successful, was that the
       | people doing the innovative stuff also had a solid understanding
       | of manufacturing and service. The engineers may have been more
       | conservative than their employers were aware.
        
       | jebarker wrote:
       | What teams do people think do great rapid prototyping work in
       | computer hardware and software?
        
       | markx2 wrote:
       | I wondered was at skunkworks.com
       | 
       | Firefox and Edge showed warnings:
       | 
       | "This server couldn't prove that it's skunkworks.com; its
       | security certificate is from www.lockheedmartin.com. This may be
       | caused by a misconfiguration or an attacker intercepting your
       | connection."
       | 
       | It does indeed go to lockheedmartin.com but they should fix that?
        
         | globalise83 wrote:
         | Technically, yes, but if they are just parking skunkworks.com
         | to prevent others from using it, from a business value
         | perspective it would be hard to justify.
        
       | LargeTomato wrote:
       | SpaceX, fast moving startups, Skunk Works, they all rush to a
       | prototype.
       | 
       | Rushing to a PT isn't the key, the key is having a group of
       | people who know how to rush to a prototype and then empowering
       | them to do so.
        
       | hn8305823 wrote:
       | The opposite of the "design by committee" method that resulted in
       | the F-35 disaster. A plane so bad in every imaginable way it was
       | put (and kept) in production purely and reluctantly as a jobs
       | program.
        
         | jmnicolas wrote:
         | And to maintain control over European air forces.
        
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       (page generated 2023-11-22 23:02 UTC)