[HN Gopher] A Lot of Damage in Grindavik
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       A Lot of Damage in Grindavik
        
       Author : perihelions
       Score  : 290 points
       Date   : 2023-11-14 13:54 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (icelandmonitor.mbl.is)
 (TXT) w3m dump (icelandmonitor.mbl.is)
        
       | pierat wrote:
       | They've also mostly rescued all animals as well from the area,
       | including animals in homes, along with sheep and horses in
       | pastures.
       | 
       | When the volcano blows, it should only be property, building, and
       | road damage.
        
         | repelsteeltje wrote:
         | > When the volcano blows, it should only be property, building,
         | and _road_ damage.
         | 
         | Mind you, those roads in Iceland might be expensive, with
         | luxurious built-in heating. ;-)
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snowmelt_system
        
           | bbarn wrote:
           | I can tell you for sure there are no such heated roads in
           | Grindavik. The one in Reykjavik is on a street that cars can
           | drive down, but in practice don't very often. Large plows
           | would struggle there and the pushed off snow would clog the
           | walking areas in a very popular tourism location.
        
         | icepat wrote:
         | There's a non-zero risk of it going off in the ocean, which
         | could cause ash fallout, depending on the magnitude of the
         | blast.
         | 
         | Property and infrastructure damage is not the only outcome
         | here. We could end up with ash fallout and flight disruptions.
         | There's also a major power station in the immediate risk zone,
         | which is a major loss if it gets destroyed.
         | 
         | If and when this blows up, it's going to be big. The question
         | is just if it's big and causes fallout, or just big. And when
         | we're talking about property damage, it's less damage and more
         | "will the town be obliterated or not". The magma is most
         | shallow under the town, and there's a 15 kilometer magma pipe
         | extending to the ocean. So the possibility of the eruption
         | happening in Grindavik itself is also very real.
        
           | 4ggr0 wrote:
           | 2010 showed what kinds of impacts can occur when a volcano
           | erupts in Iceland. [1]
           | 
           | > In response to concerns that volcanic ash ejected during
           | the 2010 eruptions of Eyjafjallajokull in Iceland would
           | damage aircraft engines, the controlled airspace of many
           | European countries was closed to instrument flight rules
           | traffic, resulting in what at the time was the largest air-
           | traffic shut-down since World War II.
           | 
           | > On 16 April 2010, 16,000 of Europe's usual 28,000 daily
           | scheduled passenger flights were cancelled and on the
           | following day 16,000 of the usual 22,000 flights were
           | cancelled. By 21 April 95,000 flights had been cancelled.
           | 
           | > IATA stated that the total loss for the airline industry
           | was around US$1.7 billion (PS1.1 billion, EUR1.3 billion).
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_travel_disruption_after
           | _th...
        
             | icepat wrote:
             | Eyjafjallajokull was a special case, it was not an oceanic
             | blast, but a blast under a glacier. Fjallajokull means
             | "glacier mountain". The blast flash-melted several tones of
             | ice, which caused the lava to cool rapidly forming the ash
             | cloud. If my memory serves, the glacier was in the caldera
             | itself.
             | 
             | But the effect would be very similar. The water would
             | vaporize and create an aerosol of ash.
        
         | avar wrote:
         | > When the volcano blows, it should only be property, building,
         | and road damage.
         | 
         | People had the option to get their animals, but not everyone
         | did so. If the eruption destroys the town some animals will be
         | among the casualties, if they haven't starved etc. already.
        
       | DavidPeiffer wrote:
       | I have found geology professor Shawn Willsey's YouTube channel to
       | have high value, no drama interpretations of the situation in
       | Grindavik. He has been posting 1-2 videos per day for the past
       | few days as new information arises.
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/xvlZOpZE2KE?si=c2_Ew7LDKHrEpoN9
        
         | coryfklein wrote:
         | This is a much better introduction to what has happened this
         | week; the original article gives absolutely no context about
         | the related volcanic activity.
         | 
         | TLDR; Grindavik is located in Iceland, a country known for its
         | volcanic activity. Earthquakes and land deformation have
         | exploded in frequency in the area under and around the small
         | town of 4,000 people and geologists expect a volcanic eruption
         | is imminent. The town has been evacuated.
        
           | ptero wrote:
           | To add a note that while 4000 people is a small town almost
           | anywhere, it is over 1% of Iceland's population. So the
           | impact on the country is non negligible. My 2c.
        
             | brewdad wrote:
             | It also sits about 5 miles from Iceland's only
             | international airport, so could prove especially disruptive
             | to the entire nation.
        
               | lastofthemojito wrote:
               | > Iceland's only international airport
               | 
               | That's not strictly the case. For example, Akureyri has
               | some international flights:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akureyri_Airport
               | 
               | Keflavik is obviously the only major international
               | airport in Iceland though.
               | 
               | A while back I remember hearing a proposal about
               | expanding the airport in Egilsstadir to be capable of
               | replacing Keflavik if (when?) it is disrupted by lava
               | flow. I think it proved too expensive for much action to
               | be taken though. It would be interesting logistically to
               | see what would happen if Keflavik was knocked out of
               | service.
        
               | brucethemoose2 wrote:
               | I wonder how many airports in the world are at such
               | significant risk of "lava flow" and other catastrophic
               | natural disasters.
               | 
               | I actually see Tampa International this way. Its
               | literally on the coast, and just barely missed near two
               | near Cat-5 hurricanes in two years. And that risk is not
               | shrinking.
        
               | don_esteban wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Mount_Nyiragongo_erupt
               | ion
               | 
               | Lava flows came very close to Goma airport
        
               | chanandler_bong wrote:
               | REK can also handle most jets if necessary.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reykjav%C3%ADk_Airport
        
               | gardarh wrote:
               | Closer to 9 miles (15km). That's plenty (even though it
               | doesn't sound like much), considering what kind of
               | eruption this would be and how the fault lines lie.
        
         | latchkey wrote:
         | He starts off with saying that "there is a line of magma that
         | is 15km long and 9 miles in length."
         | 
         | Do you know why he would mix metrics like that?
         | 
         | Edit: he's talking about a rectangle and his wording, to me,
         | implied that he was using X/Y coordinates to talk about how big
         | the rectangle is. Except that it sounded like he was mixing
         | metrics. Other commenters suggest that he's just trying to help
         | us dumb Americans. That could make sense too, but wasn't
         | obvious in his wording to me. 15km ~= 9 miles, I should have
         | done that math. =)
        
           | earthnail wrote:
           | Isn't he just trying to explain it for a wide audience? He's
           | just translating units here.
        
           | fhars wrote:
           | For the benefit of the American viewers, who might not
           | immediately know what 15km are.
        
           | bitcharmer wrote:
           | > 15km long and 9 miles in length
           | 
           | This is not mixing. He's just presenting the length in two
           | different measurement systems.
        
           | jrace wrote:
           | That does read weird
           | 
           | "15km long, or 9miles"
           | 
           | Would be much better
           | 
           | The mixing of 'length' and 'long' was odd.
        
           | anonu wrote:
           | If he had said 15km long and 9 miles wide my head would've
           | exploded
        
           | schiffern wrote:
           | > He starts off with saying that "there is a line of magma
           | that is 15km long and 9 miles in length."
           | 
           | The real explanation is rather prosaic: bad transcription. He
           | doesn't use the word " _and_. "
           | 
           | An accurate transcription would be:                 > there
           | is a line of magma that is 15 km long--about 9 miles in
           | length.
           | 
           | He's just (parenthetically) converting the units.
        
         | sbuttgereit wrote:
         | I actually watch Shawn Willsey's content for everything but
         | this topic. I find his Grindavik coverage isn't that great.
         | It's overlong, over-speculative, and sometimes missed more
         | current or extended information available elsewhere. Some of
         | this I think is due to his being a relatively newer YouTuber
         | (in terms of gaining traction) and his personal interest in
         | Iceland: to be clear, its not that he's disingenuous or
         | unqualified... its more that he's not yet crafted a public
         | presentation style which fits the medium better. However his
         | roadcut geology series is interesting even if you're only
         | getting his on the spot opinions of what he's observing.
         | 
         | By far, the best source about what's going on in Grindavik I've
         | found is just the Icelandic Meteorological Office website:
         | https://en.vedur.is/ (English version, which is quite good).
         | That in combination with some residents of Iceland that post
         | shorter updates the keeps close to the reported local news
         | seems to be the best.
        
       | Scarblac wrote:
       | Looking for Grindavik news on X etc right now, there is already
       | an annoying amount of video and images of erupting volcanoes,
       | from previous years, or from somewhere else completely. Even
       | though there is no eruption at all yet. Annoying.
        
         | cryptoegorophy wrote:
         | Community notes need to speed up
        
         | haunter wrote:
         | Am I using a different Twitter? I only see local videos no
         | "annoying amount of video and images of erupting volcanoes,
         | from previous years, or from somewhere else completely"
        
           | seizethegdgap wrote:
           | I was seeing a lot of what Scarblac said they were seeing,
           | but looking right now at
           | 
           | https://twitter.com/search?q=grindavik&f=live
           | 
           | and it's pretty clean. You'll occasionally see the famous
           | drone video from the 2021 eruption being touted as what's
           | happening in Gridavik right now.
        
           | Scarblac wrote:
           | Yesterday it was way worse. Then the cracks in the middle of
           | town opened and it seems that's sensational enough to use
           | instead.
        
         | hef19898 wrote:
         | Not just Twitter, I saw a "symbol" picture of a volcanic
         | eruption on a major German news site about Grindavik...
        
         | rjmunro wrote:
         | This is why you can't use X (or facebook or any other social
         | media) for news.
        
           | styren wrote:
           | All depends on the accounts that you follow but I agree that
           | the search function of X is horrible.
        
             | stainablesteel wrote:
             | The TL;DR of how you can search on X:
             | 
             | * from:twittername
             | 
             | * keyword1 OR keyword2
             | 
             | * min_faves:2000
             | 
             | * min_retweets:2000
             | 
             | * filter:links
             | 
             | * filter:images
             | 
             | * until:YYYY-MM-DD
             | 
             | * since:YYYY-MM-DD
             | 
             | * near:location within:15mi
             | 
             | its actually a pretty nice search ngl
        
           | LesZedCB wrote:
           | makes you wonder about this very thread then
        
             | Arubis wrote:
             | HN has plenty of flaws and cultural issues, but the stated
             | intention here is to promote discussion, not "user
             | engagement". Where Twitter/X promotes outright lies, here I
             | typically take more issue with folks' lenses and biases.
             | tl;dr: I trust HN orders of magnitude more than Twitter and
             | crew.
        
             | _jal wrote:
             | Is Ycombinator paying out to their "content generators"
             | here?
             | 
             | Also, while I can imagine one's HN reputation helping
             | someone a job or find a venture partner in this little
             | bubble, there is no comparison with Xitter's reach.
        
         | gosub100 wrote:
         | Reminds me of nearly every time there is an aircraft incident
         | with, say a 737 but the media show a stock photo of a
         | completely different plane that has 4 engines.
        
         | namuol wrote:
         | You may want to consider waiting a few more minutes to get news
         | from reliable sources.
        
         | sebazzz wrote:
         | Instead of becoming a more reliable source of news, thanks to
         | ad payouts and the resulting engagement farming by blue
         | checkmarks Twitter/X is becoming increasingly less reliable.
        
           | mock-possum wrote:
           | Since the effect is so obvious, it's hard to imagine that
           | hasn't been the objective.
        
       | WXLCKNO wrote:
       | Iceland is the only place I've been to twice in two years when
       | traveling.
       | 
       | I usually go a new place everytime but I simply couldn't get
       | enough of it just once and had to go again ASAP.
       | 
       | Hopefully this situation turns out better than the worse
       | predictions.
        
         | bmelton wrote:
         | Same. Wife and I went for New Years this year and it was by far
         | one of the most satisfying vacations I've ever taken.
         | Absolutely nothing about the place is overrated, and we lament
         | how little of it we've experienced.
         | 
         | It is as close to magic as anywhere I've been, and their New
         | Year celebration is insanity.
        
           | cdelsolar wrote:
           | I went up to the hill in the center of Reykjavik for New
           | Years and was astonished, completely astonished by the amount
           | of fireworks that could be seen.
        
           | ctennis1 wrote:
           | We have plans to visit for this coming New Years, (unless
           | things get dramatically worse I suppose). Excited in reading
           | your comment.
        
             | bmelton wrote:
             | If you can, see if you can get to a bonfire a few hours
             | beforehand. Travel / tourism agencies can arrange this.
             | 
             | Also, if you'd enjoy seeing the Aurora Borealis, know that
             | due to weather, clouds, etc., it isn't very reliable, and
             | it may be best to plan on multiple attempts at it. The
             | experiences we had ranged from disappointing to
             | terrifically amazing, but if we'd only gone the one time,
             | we'd have left without having experienced it.
        
               | hef19898 wrote:
               | Been there three times in winter, never saw an aurora
               | brealis once... Still great trips so!
        
           | baz00 wrote:
           | The hotdogs are very overrated! Hospital in Selfoss is
           | amazing though, especially after eating one :)
        
             | WXLCKNO wrote:
             | I thought how can a hotdog be better.. its a hotdog.
             | 
             | They blew my mind, best hot dog i've ever had. Even ordered
             | some directly from Iceland after coming back with all the
             | toppings.
        
               | baz00 wrote:
               | I think I ate three over two weeks and they were all
               | awful. The only thing that was really nice there was
               | pepper cheese.
        
         | xenospn wrote:
         | Honestly. It's a beautiful country full of wonderful people and
         | I can't wait to go back again. Wish them nothing but the best!
        
         | alistairSH wrote:
         | We visited in January 2017 and I'd love to go back when there's
         | more than 5 hours of daylight. The trip was spectacular. And
         | it's an easy flight from DC and 5 nights was plenty to hit most
         | of the easy tourist spots.
        
           | hef19898 wrote:
           | Winter is the ideal time to go northern lights hunting.
           | Either way, I've been propably too often, 5 times by now,
           | twice in summer including one highland crossing, and three
           | times in winter. My recomondation would be, if budget and
           | vacation time allows, to visit Iceland once in summer and
           | once in winter.
        
       | mrtksn wrote:
       | What I find eerie is that they stroke out Grindavik from the
       | signs:
       | https://twitter.com/grindaviknews/status/1724286780914962487
       | 
       | I know, they are doing it to inform people that they shouldn't go
       | there but it gives it such a post apocalyptic vibe.
        
         | 4ggr0 wrote:
         | Well, to be honest, for Grindavik we could currently be talking
         | about a Pre-Apocalyptic situation :)
        
           | Nifty3929 wrote:
           | I wonder if this is a fiction genre. Can I read a book that
           | starts with a happy town with not much going on, builds up to
           | just before a catastrophe, and then ends? Maybe like Part 1
           | of Seveneves.
        
             | rob74 wrote:
             | I read this book recently: https://www.amazon.com/Anomaly-
             | Novel-Herv%C3%A9-Tellier/dp/1... - don't want to give away
             | too much (that's why I'm not linking to the Wikipedia
             | article), but it fits the genre you are proposing - except
             | spanning the entire world, not just a town.
        
             | 4ggr0 wrote:
             | Maybe you can find something on this list,
             | https://www.goodreads.com/shelf/show/pre-apocalyptic
             | 
             | I looked at a few books on this list, but not every book
             | seems to really be about pre-apocalypse. Pre-Apocalyptic
             | fictions sounds like literary edging :D
        
             | mananaysiempre wrote:
             | "The Doomsday Book" by Connie Willis kind of has that
             | feeling for a while. I couldn't really get into it, though;
             | it's undeniably a well-written book, just not the kind of
             | book I wanted to read.
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | That was my hope for Fear the Walking Dead, a show about
             | society collapses under a zombie apocalypse. Instead we got
             | some hints in a pre-zombie LA, went straight to a cordoned
             | of quarantine zone and a time jump to "now the world,
             | except your little suburb, went to hell". Seems writing
             | convincing stories about _why_ everything would collapse is
             | a lot harder than stories set after an assumed collapse.
        
             | 317070 wrote:
             | Sounds like the movies "Don't look up" and "Melancholia"
             | 
             | Not much really happens, all everybody knows is that doom
             | is imminent. The movies are mainly about how the different
             | characters handle this situation.
             | 
             | That said, I am still waiting for a movie that just
             | suddenly ends with a car crash where the main protagonist
             | dies, fully unrelated to the story.
        
               | prewett wrote:
               | The last episode of Downton Abbey, Season 3 is reasonably
               | close to that.
        
               | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
               | A bit reminiscent of the ending of No Country for Old
               | Men, although you never find out if he actually dies.
        
             | Aerbil313 wrote:
             | On The Beach. So much doom I literally can't finish it. Ok
             | it's post-apocalyptic but reads like it's pre-apocalyptic.
        
         | tangus wrote:
         | It's the standard practice when the road is closed. It doesn't
         | give apocalyptical vibes to me, but maybe roads break too often
         | where I live :)
        
         | _ph_ wrote:
         | It is the usual way of denoting that there is no turn right
         | which leads to the designated location. Usually because of some
         | road closure. Of course here it has a strange vibe to it.
        
           | rob74 wrote:
           | Yeah, standard procedure (here in Germany too), except
           | usually it's the _road_ that 's closed, and not the entire
           | _town_...
        
             | alttab wrote:
             | This is an American interpretation. Here in the US, cones,
             | lights, or lane-blockers are used to close exits.
             | 
             | Culturally, its because American's won't read a sign and
             | follow the instructions if we can still "do" it. You have
             | to physically block us, and its too expensive to change all
             | the signs.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | My favorite is Chicago's reversible express lanes, which
               | have _thirteen_ physical gates you have to blow through
               | in order go to the wrong way. I always wonder if they add
               | another set every time someone still drives through them
               | all.
        
               | rob74 wrote:
               | Nah, it's actually the same here in Germany too - I live
               | near a railway crossing which was recently rebuilt and
               | couldn't be used for a few weeks. The "strike-through" at
               | the intersection was just the first step, then there was
               | a first barrier blocking half the street, with a sign
               | "residents only", and then a bit later a second barrier,
               | but still some people just absolutely _had to_ drive past
               | all those barriers until they were literally in the
               | middle of the construction site to find out that no, it
               | 's _really_ not possible to cross the tracks...
        
               | meheleventyone wrote:
               | They aren't closing the exit though as it's needed so
               | people can get down there for quite a few reasons. There
               | are actual manned roadblocks a bit further in.
        
         | strken wrote:
         | Not that it's quite the same, but I wonder how common it is to
         | have a place struck off of official maps and signs for safety
         | purposes? I know of one, Wittenoom[0] in Australia, which was
         | removed due to being heavily contaminated with asbestos, but I
         | wonder what other examples are out there.
         | 
         | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wittenoom,_Western_Australia
        
           | Rebelgecko wrote:
           | There was a lake that was removed from the maps of a state
           | park near me, although that was to prevent it from being
           | over-visited
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | Just FYI, the past tense of "strike" is "struck", not "stroke".
         | It could be argued that it should be "stroke" to parallel words
         | like "break-broke" and "wake-woke" but it's not. English is
         | weird. (And the past tense of "hike" is "hiked", not "huck" nor
         | "hoke", which aren't words at all [UPDATE - turns out they are,
         | see child comment from u/GrinningFool], but they probably
         | should be.)
        
           | Tempest1981 wrote:
           | Or they meant this def'n of stroke:
           | 
           | > a mark made by drawing a pen, pencil, or paintbrush in one
           | direction across paper or canvas.
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | Yes, but that's a noun, not a verb.
             | 
             | The word "stroke" can be a verb, but its meaning (to rub
             | lightly) doesn't make any sense in context.
        
             | mrtksn wrote:
             | Well, IIRC I just tapped whatever autocomplete suggested :)
        
           | GrinningFool wrote:
           | huck - to throw or toss; to launch oneself in the air
           | 
           | hoke - to give a contrived, falsely impressive, or hokey
           | quality to
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | Well, whadyaknow. TIL.
        
           | ska wrote:
           | Even more confusingly, if it is past participle usage, it's
           | "stricken"
           | 
           | e.g. "Strike it off", "I struck it off", "It was stricken
           | off"
           | 
           | same with drive/drove/driven
           | 
           | One of those fun things for ESL folks I am sure.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | "Struck" is the general past participle of "strike",
             | "stricken" is a past participle available _specifically_
             | for the sense of removing from a list (but the general form
             | "struck" is also correct and often used for that sense,
             | too.)
        
               | ska wrote:
               | It's not that narrow - e.g. "was stricken by a sense of
               | foreboding"
               | 
               | You also would say panic-stricken, not panic-struck.
               | 
               | Agree it's not universal though, helpfully, and sometimes
               | is it "struck" in non adjectival past participle.
               | 
               | But not in the OP case, I think (much like striking off a
               | list, striking off a sign). I probably should have
               | mentioned that it wasn't universal for struck though.
               | 
               | I could just have confused things.
        
         | manojlds wrote:
         | Apocalyptic vibe would be signs overrun with weeds and such and
         | cars stranded on highways
        
       | bandyaboot wrote:
       | Have they evacuated the town?
       | 
       | Edit: I see that it looks like they have but residents will be
       | allowed in to retrieve belongings. Is there any chance that an
       | eruption comes in the form of a large scale collapse above the
       | magma chamber...or is that not plausible?
        
         | bbarn wrote:
         | While anything's possible, the trend of recent eruptions in the
         | Reykjanes peninsula have been more of the slow trickling small
         | kind. They have also been relatively off the beaten path, so
         | it's hard to compare ground shifting in the previous places
         | since you likely wouldn't notice it after the fact like you
         | will with pavement and buildings.
        
           | bandyaboot wrote:
           | Got it. Here's hoping that this will be a continuation of the
           | trend.
        
         | rob74 wrote:
         | It only needs a small scale collapse if your house is standing
         | over the sinkhole while you're inside, so evacuation is
         | probably still the safest bet...
        
           | bandyaboot wrote:
           | Oh yeah, I wasn't meaning to suggest that evacuation might
           | not be the correct course, it seems at this point not doing
           | so would be irresponsible. Was just curious about the
           | possibility of something very large occurring given the
           | sinking above the chamber.
        
           | m4rtink wrote:
           | Also some volcanic gases that might be released are quite
           | poisonous & can be blown by wind around the place.
        
       | KeyXiote wrote:
       | Any public data on this? I would love to collab on some
       | predictive modeling for cases like this. There are some sources
       | but couldn't find anything comprehensive enough to be accurate,
       | need more historical context comparisons etc.
        
         | gorbachev wrote:
         | Icelandic Met Office probably.
         | 
         | https://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes
         | 
         | I haven't explored the site enough to see if they have
         | downloadable datasets, however.
        
         | saevarom wrote:
         | Here is at least some interpretation of data with interesting
         | graphs, like displacement graphs etc:
         | https://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/a-seismic-swarm-started-n...
        
       | pcrh wrote:
       | Iceland has had active volcanoes all the time it has been
       | inhabited.
       | 
       | Does anyone know what the "traditional" response to these sorts
       | of ground movements was?
        
         | CaptArmchair wrote:
         | Historically?
         | 
         | The 1783 Laki eruption comes to my mind. Back then, a 25km long
         | fissure with 130 vents opened. About 14km3 of lava and 1km3 of
         | tephra was emitted. Lava fountains were estimated to have
         | reached between 800m and 1400m.
         | 
         | Some 20-25% of the population died, 50% of cattle and 50% of
         | the horse population perished.
         | 
         | It is argued that this eruption was the catalyst for the French
         | Revolution, as the amount of emitted gasses caused extreme
         | weather patterns across Europe (and the world) throughout the
         | 1780s leading to famine, diseases and social unrest.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laki
         | 
         | In contemporary times, there's the 1973 eruption of Eldfell on
         | the island of Heimaey. It destroyed some 400 homes and led to a
         | temporary evacuation of some 5.300 inhabitants. By 1975, some
         | 80% of the population had returned. Moreover, today it's the
         | foremost fishing center of Island with over 1/3rd of the total
         | fish catch originating from its harbor.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eldfell
        
           | avgcorrection wrote:
           | > By 1975, some 80% of the population had returned.
           | 
           | Of course they had to come back to "home island".
        
           | pcrh wrote:
           | >The parish minister and provost of Vestur-Skaftafellssysla,
           | Jon Steingrimsson (1728-1791), grew famous for the eldmessa
           | ['elt,mes:a] ("fire mass") that he delivered on 20 July 1783.
           | 
           | I looked this up, and found this: "In his introduction to the
           | translation Gudmundur E. Sigvaldson classifies Jon's Eldritid
           | as a "scientific classic as well is a literary jewel." [0]
           | 
           | It chronicles the aftermath of the eruption in some detail
           | (i.e. people did not flee the region, for some reason....),
           | e.g.:
           | 
           | >The poisonous compounds leaked out of the Laki craters
           | caused, as Jon depicts so graphically, the skin to rot off
           | the spines of horses, swelling in their heads, jaws, and
           | joints, rotting insides, and shrinking bones. The sheep and
           | cattle suffered similarly. The meat from these animals was
           | "both foul-smelling and bitter and full of poison, so that
           | many a person died as a result of eating it" (Fires of the
           | Earth, 76).
           | 
           | [0] https://www.medievalist.com/articles/strongjn-versus-the-
           | vol...
        
         | hutzlibu wrote:
         | "Does anyone know what the "traditional" response to these
         | sorts of ground movements was?"
         | 
         | The very old tradition was to increase the amounts of
         | sacrifices to the gods, because clearly they were angry.
        
           | pcrh wrote:
           | Is there documentation for this? Icelanders are Christian
           | (since when, I'm not sure), and would more likely pray. Also
           | I don't think there isn't a history of human sacrifice in
           | Norway/Denmark/Scandinavia.
        
         | troyvit wrote:
         | This article talks about the Eldfell eruption in 1973. It's one
         | of the few cases where people were able to divert a lava flow.
         | 
         | https://www.usgs.gov/observatories/hvo/news/volcano-watch-wh...
        
           | m4rtink wrote:
           | IIRC, they also used the remaining solid lava flow for
           | district heating for a while so that it cooled down faster
           | and could be trucked out of the way where necessary.
        
       | omegant wrote:
       | For anyone guessing how it could go to the town, just check the
       | recent case of the La Palma volcano lava that runned over a town.
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/kjg-1BemSOo?si=H_We-hOXtCHT3Wgc
       | 
       | The eruption in Hawai some years ago also destroyed a town and a
       | harbor.
        
       | kseistrup wrote:
       | RUV has a liveblog with the latest news about the situation in
       | English, Icelandic and Polish:
       | https://www.ruv.is/english/2023-11-10-liveblog-reykjanes-pen...
        
         | kd5bjo wrote:
         | Note that the Icelandic edition [1] understandably gets more
         | frequent and timely updates than the others. If you're ready to
         | put up with the quirks of machine translation, there's a lot
         | more information there to see.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.ruv.is/frettir/innlent/2023-11-14-ryma-
         | grindavik...
        
         | jahnu wrote:
         | Your comment prompted me to look up how many Poles live in
         | Iceland. Turns out they are the largest minority which is
         | mildly surprising but shouldn't be I guess.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poles_in_Iceland
        
           | kseistrup wrote:
           | When I started reading RUV I wondered what the red and white
           | flag was. My mind tried with "Greenland", but Greenland
           | because of the Nordic affiliation, but Greenland itself has a
           | population of less than 60k, so how many greenlanders could
           | there be in Iceland?
           | 
           | When the flag turned out to be Polish I had to turn to the
           | Woodchuck Book and was surprised, just like you. I should
           | have mentioned it. Thanks for the link.
        
       | ______ wrote:
       | That's pretty close to Blue Lagoon, one of the most popular
       | tourist destinations in the area, which is now closed as a
       | precaution: https://www.bluelagoon.com/seismic-activity
        
         | orlp wrote:
         | It's also a waste of time tourist trap. The normal Icelandic
         | baths are much cheaper and just as good.
        
           | baz00 wrote:
           | Maybe. Avoided it. Went to Myvatn instead. Turned out that it
           | means midge-lake. Spent 2 days eating flies. They didn't bite
           | but weren't tasty. I've never driven the fuck out of
           | somewhere so quickly.
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | Well, Myvatn is basically on the other side of the
             | island... Cam only recommend the non-Blue Lagoon hot baths
             | and tubs, easily as good and a lot cheaper.
        
           | esfandia wrote:
           | Maybe, but the surreal atmosphere when the sun rises, you are
           | surrounded by blue everywhere, you are jetlagged from just
           | having landed half hour ago, and you have a drink in hand is
           | indescribable. I went to other Icelandic baths during my stay
           | but nothing matched that experience.
        
           | YeBanKo wrote:
           | Not just as good, but better. There are no morons around you
           | who are constantly live streaming.
        
       | RobertVDB wrote:
       | Aren't earthquakes super common in Iceland? Or am I wrong on
       | that?
        
         | ajmurmann wrote:
         | Earthquakes aren't uncommon, but what's happening in Grindavik
         | is more than a earthquake. They were having hundreds of quakes
         | an hour, a fissure opened and magma might come up soon. All in
         | a little town and near a geothermal power plant which also
         | fuels the Blue Lagoon. This also isn't super far from the main
         | airport and the road that leads to it.
        
         | jwozn wrote:
         | You aren't wrong, but the topic of interest here is the
         | volcanic eruption. They are also relatively common compared to
         | elsewhere in the world, but most are small and not in populated
         | areas. See: https://www.visiticeland.com/eruption/
        
         | bandyaboot wrote:
         | They are and they tend to be small because of the type of plate
         | boundary they're associated with. But when they're coming in
         | large swarms near a volcano which is the case here, it's a
         | pretty strong signal of an impending eruption.
        
         | Scarblac wrote:
         | During Covid a new volcano erupted quite near Grindavik, that
         | was very tourist friendly: close to Reykjavik, not too large or
         | dangerous, nothing it could damage nearby, a few km hiking from
         | a road. Many web cams were setup and lots of beautiful drone
         | footage was uploaded to YouTube as well. It erupted again 2021
         | and 2022. So it's a well known volcano now to the Internet
         | public.
         | 
         | Now it seems there will be an eruption on the same fissure
         | again, but a) there are many more earthquakes than before, b)
         | the detected movement of magma is far larger, and c) it could
         | erupt anywhere on a 15km fissure line, but right now it seems
         | to do so right in the middle of the nearby town. So it looks
         | like this time it will be a disaster.
         | 
         | There is also a geothermal power plant that heats the whole
         | peninsula nearby, as well as tourist attraction the Blue
         | Lagoon, that are both at risk.
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | yes, and earthquakes are also super common precursors to
         | volcanic eruptions
        
       | rob74 wrote:
       | What's interesting to see in the pictures is that they already
       | built a detour around the fissure: it starts in the area of fresh
       | asphalt to the right of the guy in this photo
       | https://cdn.mbl.is/frimg/1/45/18/1451863.jpg, then goes through
       | an also freshly paved-over parking lot/former green space and
       | rejoins the road in the background (behind the construction
       | fences).
        
         | saevarom wrote:
         | I think you are misinterpreting this photo. Nobody has been
         | paving over the fissures in the town. I think it's a
         | combination of moisture, different coloured asphalt sections,
         | and light/shadows that tricks the eye. As you can see in this
         | drone footage [1] the car park asphalt is darker, and the hot
         | water pipes ruptured in the ground create steam that spreads
         | moisture over the asphalt, making it darker. Also, you have a
         | building next to the car park which makes it even darker than
         | the street.
         | 
         | [1] https://ruv-vod-
         | clips.akamaized.net/76a26e8d-1190-492c-9163-...
        
       | mhandley wrote:
       | In the last hour they have detected increased levels of SO2 in
       | Grindavik, so they've evacuated residents who were being allowed
       | in to retrieve their valuables:
       | 
       | https://www.ruv.is/english/2023-11-10-liveblog-reykjanes-pen...
       | 
       | No signs of an actual eruption yet though on the cameras (the
       | steam is a geothermal power station):
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=804nPrAUAxg
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | @dang - might we change the title to "Spreading & Subsidence
       | Damage in Grindavik"?
       | 
       | With all the "Lava & Eruption!" hype around this situation, that
       | would make what is actually happening now in Grindavik much
       | clearer.
        
         | hk__2 wrote:
         | > With all the "Lava & Eruption!" hype around this situation,
         | that would make what is actually happening now in Grindavik
         | much clearer.
         | 
         | Is it really the right place for it, though? HN is not CNN; if
         | you want that sort of news there are probably better sources.
         | 
         | > If they'd cover it on TV news, it's probably off-topic.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
           | bell-cot wrote:
           | True...but this is currently the #1 story on HN, so evidently
           | "good hackers" find it interesting.
           | 
           | And if the current situation is "nothing special happening",
           | then let's not waste any good hacker's time with a pretty-
           | ambiguous headline.
        
       | h1fra wrote:
       | 1m displacement is crazy, I can't imagine how much destruction it
       | would cause inside a major city.
        
       | rwmj wrote:
       | I hear in Japan the reason they have electric wires on poles and
       | houses have individual gas cylinders is to provide resiliency
       | during earthquakes -- the earth becomes a liquid.
        
         | arbuge wrote:
         | Gases passing through dirt/sandy substances at high pressure
         | will tend to do that.
         | 
         | See for example: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/EImO4agHqOg
        
           | m4rtink wrote:
           | Very interesting! Now I have to think how this could be used
           | to make something productive! :D Maybe some sort of special
           | bearing floating on the fludized sand you can turn of and
           | stop/stabilize by turning thr gas pipe off ?
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | Electric wires on poles are also more likely to get damaged by
         | wind, ice, fire, and flood, either directly or by trees falling
         | onto them. There are tradeoffs involved.
        
           | q1w2 wrote:
           | They're also much cheaper to construct.
        
         | SoftTalker wrote:
         | Getting OT but I've noticed in Scandinavian countries they use
         | pavers a lot where in the USA we'd more likely have poured
         | concrete or asphalt/tarmac. Sidewalks, parking surfaces,
         | driveways, etc.
         | 
         | Pavers would seem to me to be both more expensive to install
         | and require higher maintenance. Is there a reason they are used
         | so much?
        
           | InCityDreams wrote:
           | For the uk readers: I'm guessing 'pavers' are 'flags', or
           | 'flagstones'.
           | 
           | Humped a few of them in my time...thank goodness for Atari,
           | and all that followed.!!
        
             | nmeofthestate wrote:
             | They're called pavers, or block paving, or monoblock in the
             | UK. Flagstones are big slabs of stone.
        
           | yread wrote:
           | There are machines that are super fast at laying them. And
           | digging them up and replacing them is a lot less disruptive
           | than asphalt. Plus it makes cars drive a bit slower. And they
           | drain naturally
        
           | runeofdoom wrote:
           | Purely a guess on my part: concrete or asphalt will be
           | destroyed by frost heave[1] and be difficult to patch well,
           | while pavers will endure it better and are easier to restore.
           | 
           | 1. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frost_heaving
        
         | danaris wrote:
         | We have electric wires on poles in the northeast US, too--
         | largely because the ground freezes solid for several months of
         | the year.
         | 
         | It's not that unusual a precaution.
         | 
         | (Though yes, as a sibling commenter notes, we _do_ have to deal
         | with them getting taken down by wind, lightning, and the
         | occasional hapless driver from time to time. There 's no
         | perfect solution.)
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | My guess is that it's more likely due to the cost of
           | digging/right of way, etc. It gets significantly cold here in
           | MN and most powerlines are underground, but we have a lot of
           | open space.
           | 
           | A statistic I remember from when I lived there is that
           | Connecticut has more trees per mile of powerline than any
           | other state. Every time there was an ice storm, thousands of
           | people lost power.
        
       | cvccvroomvroom wrote:
       | Live webcam https://youtube.com/live/Qvw5qh5K4wI
        
       | j-a-a-p wrote:
       | Somebody observed in this thread
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38233905 seeing the town
       | shake on camera
        
         | q1w2 wrote:
         | Seems more likely to be the wind blowing the camera - hard to
         | tell
        
           | runarberg wrote:
           | Most likely wind. However this thread was from Friday and the
           | ground was constantly shaking that day. I was there and there
           | were rather large earthquakes like every 10-20 minutes (and
           | smaller earthquakes every 20-30 seconds) between 16:00 and
           | 23:00 (when I evacuated). It is highly likely that the poster
           | in this thread was actually seeing earthquakes.
        
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