[HN Gopher] Texas produces twice as much methane as better regul...
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       Texas produces twice as much methane as better regulated neighbor,
       study finds
        
       Author : webmaven
       Score  : 168 points
       Date   : 2023-11-08 18:04 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | Problem with title: "produces" refers to leakage (into the
       | atmosphere) from oil & gas wells and associated equipment.
        
         | plussed_reader wrote:
         | Aren't those byproducts of 'production'?
         | 
         | Same as cow farts, muchacho.
        
       | xienze wrote:
       | Article doesn't really clarify if this is "twice as much per
       | capita" or just "twice as much." If the latter, I'd say no duh,
       | Texas has a much bigger oil and natural gas industry than New
       | Mexico does.
        
         | asfasfo wrote:
         | It clarifies this in the 2nd paragraph: "sites in Texas have
         | emitted double the amount of the gas than in New Mexico, per
         | unit of production, since 2019"
        
           | xienze wrote:
           | Ah missed that, thanks.
        
       | auspiv wrote:
       | Natural gas (which is of course composed primarily of methane)
       | free takeaway capacity from West Texas is super low. Pipelines
       | are booked solid and and 1-2 new ones are being commissioned
       | yearly (google search for 'Permian natural gas pipeline
       | projects').
       | 
       | Oil/gas companies generally never want to straight up vent (i.e.
       | release directly into the atmosphere) natural gas. It gives no
       | economic value. However, natural gas production is an inevitable
       | byproduct of oil production, especially in the Permian basin
       | shale plays, which can lead to either having to shut-in your oil
       | well, or flare, or vent.
       | 
       | I work for an oil/gas company that operates in the Permian. Our
       | wells range from ~3000 standard cubic feet per barrel of oil to
       | 10000. Some of our bigger wells produce >1000 barrels of oil per
       | day, which corresponds to 3-10 million cubic feet of natural gas
       | per day. We do not vent unless an emergency situation arises.
       | Even for pigging and other procedures (blow downs, etc.), we
       | capture the natural gas. We do flare if needed, but that is
       | limited. Small amounts of gas gather at the top of oil tanks and
       | rather than risk an explosion (due to lightning and other
       | unpredictable things like that), the small amount of gas is
       | flared. The state of TX has flare limits per day and per month on
       | both a pad and well level.
       | 
       | We have also electrified a very large portion of our operations,
       | reducing the amount of natural gas burned to generate electricity
       | (this happens all over the basin). All of our large gathering
       | facilities but one are electric powered. This can be a challenge
       | with gas compressors, which have traditionally been gas powered.
       | Gas compressors are commonly in the 1500-3000 horsepower range
       | each, and there are 4-12 per facility. That's a lot of
       | electricity. One facility does have a gas generator powered
       | component, which can be used to kick-start other facilities to
       | get things going again in case of a major, multi-facility
       | shutdown.
       | 
       | Long story short - gas doesn't have a ton of value in the Permian
       | basin. In decreasing order of preference, operators will want to
       | 1) sell gas, 2) use it to run gas compressors or generators, 3)
       | flare it, or 4) vent it.
       | 
       | Some enterprising people have constructed trailers with natural
       | gas generators powering bitcoin miners. This option can be
       | appealing to operators who would otherwise be flaring/venting the
       | natural gas. Not sure of the contract commercial terms but
       | presumably it benefits both parties. Straight up burning methane
       | is the same whether it is via flare or generator. Both are better
       | than venting due to the increased greenhouse gas potential of
       | methane vs CO2.
        
         | galangalalgol wrote:
         | Direct methane fuel cells are in the lab, when they hot
         | production you'll get >90% efficiency in electricity
         | generation.
         | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03787...
        
           | londons_explore wrote:
           | Unfortunately, they will require very pure methane. Methane
           | purification probably won't be easy to do at well sites.
        
             | auspiv wrote:
             | It's not easy to in general. Gas plants typically operate
             | via cryogenic processes. The boiling point of ethane at
             | standard pressure is -128.2F, so you need to get below that
             | to get everything but the methane to liquefy. -128.2F by
             | itself isn't terribly difficult but doing so on a highly
             | variable flow, at a well site with questionable power, with
             | 100% reliability will be difficult.
             | 
             | Gas plants typically also operate above atmospheric
             | pressure because the boiling points are higher (meaning
             | less cooling required). That, also by itself, isn't
             | difficult, but does add complexity and cost.
        
         | FourHand451 wrote:
         | The practices you're describing largely seem sensible, but I
         | think they are also beside the point made by the article,
         | namely that Texas seems to emit more gas per unit of production
         | than a neighbor.
         | 
         | > gas doesn't have a ton of value in the Permian basin.
         | 
         | You note this, but the assertion that selling or using the gas
         | to run generators are top preferences for producers seems
         | contradictory, or perhaps a bit oversimplified.
         | 
         | If gas is abundant and has little value, I would expect there
         | would also be little incentive to sell it when it isn't
         | trivially easy to do so, or to store it for later use running
         | compressors or generators. Cheap gas would mean venting or
         | flaring are the least expensive option in more situations.
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | The fact that the economics of not-venting gas aren't great
           | for operators is precisely an example of externalities and
           | why they can't be handled effectively without financial
           | incentives or equivalent regulation.
           | 
           | Either you buy gas from Permian basin operators at inflated
           | prices to make it worth capturing, or you make the cost of
           | not capturing it high enough that it becomes worthwhile to
           | capture. The latter is a classic Pigouvian tax. The former
           | would be unpalatable to most voters (but a delicious
           | opportunity for the oil and gas companies).
        
           | auspiv wrote:
           | There are a lot of nuances to assign the gas a value. Our
           | electricity is apparently in the 5-6 cents per kWh range. I
           | did the math recently and running a generator on site can cut
           | that in half. But then you're in the business of running a
           | fleet of hundreds of generators. Is it cheaper per kWh? Yes.
           | But then factor in the cost of mechanics, techs, maintenance,
           | etc. and that bring it close to even. You've also locked
           | yourself into a bad spot if the price of natural gas spikes
           | 3x like it did in summer 2022 with the Russia/Ukraine war and
           | all of a sudden your self-generated electricity is far more
           | expensive than utility and you can't sell any of your gas
           | because you never build the gathering lines to get it to a
           | pipeline.
        
           | Ographer wrote:
           | You're exactly right. I used to be a production engineer for
           | an O&G company and new wells were usually ready to begin
           | producing oil before the gas pipeline company had finished
           | construction of the pipeline or the compressor station to
           | operate it.
           | 
           | Because of the time-value of money, they want to produce the
           | oil ASAP so that they can reinvest the proceeds to drill new
           | wells. This meant that we had to flare gas the maximum legal
           | amount every day for months until the pipelines were
           | completed. I had to keep track of how much we flared and tell
           | them to shut the well in if we were getting close to the
           | legal limit.
           | 
           | Oil companies will ALWAYS pollute the maximum amount they are
           | allowed by regulations when that is the most profitable
           | solution.
        
         | anonporridge wrote:
         | > Straight up burning methane is the same whether it is via
         | flare or generator.
         | 
         | This isn't correct. Flaring can be fairly inefficient.
         | https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/09/oil-industry-flaring...
         | 
         | Even if you can make flaring more efficient, you're going to
         | need a fairly hard stick to keep oil producers in line because
         | flaring efficiently is a pure cost. On the other hand, running
         | it through a generator presumably earns money, so is a carrot
         | that businesses can pursue.
         | 
         | The big stick approach might work fine in the US with a strong
         | handed state, but methane emissions are a global problem, and
         | most poor oil producers in regions with no big stick may not
         | even bother flaring at all and just vent, whereas they might
         | pursue more money.
        
           | auspiv wrote:
           | Interesting, I was not aware of the 91% vs 98% flaring vs
           | combustion efficiency. Seems like a relatively recent finding
           | based on the Ars article date.
           | 
           | You are correct in that many countries DGAF and just
           | flare/vent the combined equivalent of multiple Texas's. Iraq,
           | for example, flared 16.8 bcm (= 593 billion cubic feet) in
           | 2018.
           | 
           | https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/natural-
           | gas-p...
        
             | anonporridge wrote:
             | Another example from Turkmenistan.
             | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/09/mind-
             | boggling-...
             | 
             | > Together, the two fields released emissions equivalent to
             | 366m tonnes of CO2, more than the UK's annual emissions,
             | which are the 17th-biggest in the world.
             | 
             | Turkmenistan has 1/10th the population of the UK and 1/6th
             | the GDP per capita.
        
         | hindsightbias wrote:
         | > We do not vent unless an emergency situation arises.
         | 
         | I've flown over west TX at night three times since spring and
         | there were hundreds of flares blazing. It looks like Kuwait in
         | 91.
        
           | 0xffff2 wrote:
           | Flaring != venting. Venting would be releasing unburned
           | methane/natural gas directly into the atmosphere.
        
         | ska wrote:
         | Is anyone doing LNG in that part of TX ?
        
           | auspiv wrote:
           | ~500 miles from the nearest liquification facility? no. they
           | need to compete with all the other producers to get gas on a
           | pipeline that goes to the Gulf coast to a liquification
           | plant.
        
         | specialist wrote:
         | How prevalent is flaring/venting?
         | 
         | Anecdata: Right before the apocalypse, I drove from Midlands to
         | El Paso at night. There were miles and miles long stretches lit
         | up by flaring.
        
       | quickthrower2 wrote:
       | ## Edit: thanks to the that replies spotted it is per unit of
       | production ##
       | 
       | --- Feel free to ignore:
       | 
       | Per state is not a useful measure. At least say how much oil and
       | meat is produced in each state for comparison.
       | 
       | Is it a r/peopleliveincities effect? Or is Texas worse at
       | polluting with methane?
       | 
       | Also quite interested in the tech that can measure methane from
       | satellites.
        
         | auspiv wrote:
         | I had to look through the article twice to find it - "per unit
         | of production"
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | Extracting that part here because it's really buried:
           | 
           | > Satellite imaging of methane leaks across the Permian
           | basin, a vast geological feature at the heart of the US oil
           | and gas drilling industry, show that sites in Texas have
           | emitted double the amount of the gas than in New Mexico, per
           | unit of production, since 2019.
           | 
           | > Methane is emitted from various activities, such as from
           | the raising of livestock, but oil and gas production is the
           | biggest source of the pollutant in the US ...
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | That still doesn't tell the full picture. Are the
             | quantities of methane the same in both states? I'm sure
             | there are lots of other differences.
        
           | cbb330 wrote:
           | in addition there is a scaling factor. it's easy to control
           | mistakes when you have 1 well. hard to control mistakes when
           | you have 10,000,000 wells. thus the regulation has to be
           | mapped appropriately.
           | 
           | also, I'd be interested in seeing p90, p99, etc. to see if
           | outliers affect the average that is reported -- because as
           | texas probably has larger 100x production, average is exposed
           | to more large incidents.
           | 
           | i would be MOST interested to compare against other similar
           | "sovereign entity" with comparable production scale and
           | comparable challenges e.g. geography and infra.
           | 
           | the US has a huge environmental benefit in producing oil vs
           | entity's like China, Saudi Arabia, because as a transparent
           | democracy we are able to hold our producers accountable to
           | regulation where offshore producers have no transparency and
           | accountability.
        
       | megaman821 wrote:
       | This is definitely in the EPA's purview to regulate and monitor
       | better. I don't believe the framing at all that this is industry
       | standard venting practices, the excess methane is from leaks. I
       | would bet anything that as we get higher resolution satellite
       | monitoring, most of the excess methane will come from a few
       | "super-leakers" who haven't kept up on their maintenance.
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | And before anyone gets all upset about the Commerce Clause and
         | the boundary of the authority of the EPA: air quality does not
         | respect state boundaries, and is therefore a matter of
         | interstate commerce.
        
           | specialist wrote:
           | As you know, every single progressive effort begets a much
           | larger reactionary effort to undo it.
           | 
           | The EPA in particular has been under continuous assault.
           | Apparently a liveable planet is fractionally less profitable
           | for a handful of incumbents, which is intolerable.
           | 
           | When tortured rationalizations (perverting the commerce
           | clause, equal protection, precedent, the actual unambiguous
           | language and stated intent of any given law, and simple
           | logic) prive insufficient, our reactionary SCOTUS will divine
           | nonsensical plot devices like the "major questions doctrine"
           | to get their predetermined outcome.
        
       | tigerstyle wrote:
       | My hunch would be that abandoned wells are more responsible for
       | this issue than better regulated new wells. Old wells are more
       | likely to leak, as shown in the link below, are often never
       | checked on, and were often drilled and shut-in when there was a
       | lot less regulation. They can be venting directly to atmosphere,
       | and since natural gas is naturally odorless and wells are often
       | in remote locations, the potential for them to leak a lot of gas
       | for a long time is high.
       | 
       | Texas has a lot more historical production of oil and gas, which
       | should result in a lot more old and abandoned wells. That doesn't
       | give them a pass, but if this hypothesis is true, this flaring
       | regulation would not have a major impact.
       | 
       | https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-drilling-abandoned-sp...
        
         | teaearlgraycold wrote:
         | I've wondered how likely you'd be to face legal repercussions
         | for going rogue and fixing old leaky wells. The main non-legal
         | issue would be expertise and equipment. I'm thinking of
         | organizations like wren.co that could do this.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | I'd be more worried about safety. Cattle can be dangerous
           | when they don't know you - most are not, just enough to make
           | you forget to be careful. If you damage anything you are in
           | trouble for it.
           | 
           | That said, if you can find the land owner most will be
           | willing to give you permission and warn you about hazards to
           | worry about. Figure out how to do it right and for free -
           | with a good insurance that you won't harm their land and you
           | will have more work where you can get permission than you
           | lifetime will allow you to fix.
        
           | Johnny555 wrote:
           | I'd think that if you touched old wells without permission or
           | government support, you'd end up owning the well caps and
           | future emissions, so if your "fixed" well is discovered to be
           | leaking next year, the owner is going to say "We capped it
           | off properly, those guys must have caused the leak when they
           | "fixed" it, now it's their problem".
        
           | auspiv wrote:
           | Properly "fixing" leaking wells involves getting a workover
           | rig on site and pumping 10-1000 barrels of cement. Not to
           | mention developing a plan and submitting it to the state for
           | the well work permit, which hopefully comes before the rig
           | gets on site. Rigs will not do work without a valid permit. I
           | used to be a PM for well abandonment.
           | 
           | Minimum cost would be in the $80k-100k range. Double or
           | triple that if you run into any issues. My most expensive
           | abandonment was around $400k, which was for a simple,
           | vertical 5000ft well.
        
         | xyst wrote:
         | Without the raw data from "Kayrros" to compare whether or not
         | the methane emissions they found via satellite imagery is from
         | active sites or abandoned wells. This is just pure speculation.
         | 
         | The photos depicted in The Guardian article show some site in
         | Midland County, TX that appear active to me, but the images do
         | not bear any road markings or distinct physical landmarks to
         | logically place an address and cross reference with local and
         | state data to determine if it's an active site or not.
        
         | googl-free wrote:
         | unfortunately this isn't really the case. the industry knows
         | its throwing away massive amounts of methane from the active
         | fracking based wells. texas railroad commissioner is on the
         | record defending it as carbon neutral because if you leak it or
         | capture and burn it, it adds the same carbon footprint. methane
         | flares are permitted at huge volumes. and if you drive i-10
         | between el paso and san antonio, its starkly clear
        
           | snewman wrote:
           | And to be clear (for anyone who doesn't know, I presume
           | parent does and simply didn't think it necessary to explain),
           | this "carbon neutrality" argument is entirely bogus, because
           | one molecule of methane has far more climate impact than one
           | molecule of carbon dioxide, even though they each contain a
           | single carbon atom (CH4 vs. CO2).
           | 
           | Apparently, the underlying science is basically that
           | "wigglier" molecules have more propensity to intercept
           | photons, and that's why molecules like methane and
           | refrigerants have more impact than the relatively simple CO2.
        
             | dtgriscom wrote:
             | [delayed]
        
       | mannyv wrote:
       | "Better regulated" in this case means "less methane emissions."
       | 
       | There are other definitions of "better regulated" that don't
       | include "les emissions."
       | 
       | This is the headline bullshit that the guardian always pulls.
        
         | mattnewton wrote:
         | Huh? No it means there are more regulations that seem to strike
         | a better trade off than Texas; the article claims that New
         | Mexico's rules don't seem to cut down on business growth but do
         | result in less methane emissions.
        
           | peyton wrote:
           | The article also links to another article that states New
           | Mexico hasn't funded additional inspectors needed to enforce
           | their rule. A simple analysis would be to tally up granted
           | permits in each state and compare with satellite data to
           | quantify impact and unlawful emissions. If that was done, the
           | data isn't shared in this article. I don't think a press
           | release from before a law went into effect is strong enough
           | evidence for the conclusions presented here.
        
       | seventytwo wrote:
       | Have to associate a cost to this or it's never going to get
       | fixed. Every bit of pollution put out into the environment should
       | come with a price. You want to emit X tons of pollution? Ok. Pay
       | Y dollars to the government.
        
       | civilized wrote:
       | Weirdly I'm actually happy to hear about stuff like this. It
       | means there are ways we can slow down the pace of global warming
       | a bit without having to confront the really hard civilizational
       | change issues (which we of course also should, but it's
       | daunting).
        
         | digging wrote:
         | Is that really true though, or are low-hanging fruit issues
         | like this more of a distraction from buckling down for the hard
         | work that we're afraid of?
        
       | ewgoforth wrote:
       | I'm all for reducing methane emissions, but Texas is slightly
       | more than twice the area of New Mexico.
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | > ...sites in Texas have emitted double the amount of the gas
         | than in New Mexico, per unit of production, since 2019.
         | 
         | It isn't measuring the whole state, this is comparing per unit.
        
           | cbb330 wrote:
           | > double the amount of the gas than in New Mexico, per unit
           | of production, since 2019.
           | 
           | when we look at data at scale, we use p99 metrics to get more
           | insight into the average. because this article, i'm assuming,
           | is just using average, the metric here does not have enough
           | information. There could be just one incident in texas over 4
           | year period that affects the average per unit of production.
           | 
           | > Despite increasing its own oil production in recent years,
           | New Mexico has no site with repeated methane leaks, unlike in
           | Texas,
           | 
           | Why not deep dive into root cause of a few of these abusers?
           | Blameless post mortem to assess what must be changed with
           | very specific examples of issues.
           | 
           | Are we wrong to request a higher bar for journalism /
           | research from Kayrros?
        
       | sillywalk wrote:
       | I didn't know Texas had regulations.
        
       | cbb330 wrote:
       | I know the hackernews crowd is very pro-regulation, so before
       | downvoting please consider responding so we can have a discussion
       | and share experience together.
       | 
       | "It seems the regulation in New Mexico has had an impact without
       | hurting business"
       | 
       | Assuming that oil has some net affect on humanity -- pros and
       | cons. Then we need to consider the net affect of oil produced by
       | texas on humanity, and consider how that net affect is changed
       | with more regulation.
       | 
       | Simply saying "yeah it seems like New Mexico doin real good with
       | more laws" is extremely dangerous, because most regulation DOES
       | harm and destroy market affects and competitive businesses. The
       | authors on the study here should AT LEAST report with due
       | diligence on this before requesting for increased regulation and
       | attempting to sway public opinion -- potentially having a net
       | NEGATIVE affect on humanity.
       | 
       | One possible example of not considering the net negative affect
       | of regulation, is, for example, if there are many competing
       | energy companies in texas, and there is a consumer demand for
       | more responsible operations, then those competing energy
       | companies are forcing each other to tighten their operations wrt
       | environmental impact. However, if regulation destroys small
       | producers and benefits big corporations, then we would see LESS
       | competition and LESS Priority from companies to tighten their
       | operations, negatively affecting the environment.
        
         | smolder wrote:
         | I don't think "hackernews is pro-regulation" is accurate, but
         | that might be an easy mistake if you are "anti-regulation". I'm
         | neither thing. I like regulation that works well and dislike it
         | if it doesn't, which I dare say is the rational POV. I'm going
         | to repost my comment from a thread on a recent story flagged as
         | dupe:
         | 
         | It's not the amount of regulation that matters, it's the
         | intent. Is it written to benefit a greater good, or written to
         | benefit a political party's benefactor? The same applies to
         | removing regulations. Where did the intent lie? New regulation
         | and repeal are most often shades of grey --bad mixed with good
         | in terms of overall consequences. Many changes
         | disproportionately help a few at some expense to the many.
         | That's what happens when minority interests with a lot of money
         | are overrepresented in government, lobbyists write bills, etc.
        
           | cbb330 wrote:
           | My conclusion on hackernews being "pro-regulation" is based
           | on observance that posts discussing the downside of
           | regulation are often downvoted.
           | 
           | I agree with what you said. Knowing that repealing regulation
           | is much less frequent than producing new regulation -- we
           | should assume all new regulation is high risk, since its'
           | impact is known to have tradeoffs, is to some degree created
           | from perverse incentives and minority interests, and once in
           | place is immutable. Regulation can be good and it can be bad.
           | 
           | So if we know that regulation carries high risk, we need to
           | be very apprehensive to anyone calling for more regulation
           | such as this article via "https://www.kayrros.com/". We don't
           | know who they are, what they want, and what their suggested
           | change in policy affects in net to humanity over time.
           | 
           | I guess what I want is for companies like
           | "https://www.kayrros.com/" to be held to a higher bar and be
           | more responsible for the outcome of their research and
           | conclusions.
        
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