[HN Gopher] WeWork Plans to File for Bankruptcy as Early as Next...
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       WeWork Plans to File for Bankruptcy as Early as Next Week
        
       Author : tempsy
       Score  : 85 points
       Date   : 2023-10-31 20:52 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | croes wrote:
       | At least they owned their assets and didn't just exploit the ones
       | of their users, looking at you Uber and Airbnb.
        
         | woleium wrote:
         | I don't think that's true, didn't they sign a bunch of hard-to-
         | get-out-of leases for properties that Adam Neumann purchased
         | personally? How he got that past the board is beyond me.
        
           | drjasonharrison wrote:
           | Before he was the majority voting shareholder he couldn't.
           | After he gained control of 65% of the votes....
           | 
           | Wall Street Journal article from 2019:
           | https://www.wsj.com/articles/weworks-ceo-makes-millions-
           | as-l...
           | 
           | Accessed via: https://archive.ph/jzsxI
        
         | userinanother wrote:
         | Well actually... didn't they lease buildings with shell
         | companies and almost no recourse by building owners? I think a
         | bunch of commercial real estate holders are gonna be holding a
         | bag of pants.
        
           | 60secs wrote:
           | Seems he internalized the lessons from Ray Kroc, only he used
           | real estate to extract wealth from investors/shareholders
           | instead of franchisees. "owning the land on which the burger
           | is cooked"
           | 
           | https://techcrunch.com/2019/01/16/we-company-ceo-in-hot-
           | wate...
           | 
           | Scene from "The Founder" "You have a miniscule revenue
           | stream, no cash reserves, and an albatross of a contract....
           | 
           | What you ought to be doing is buying up plots of land, then
           | turning around and leasing said plots to franchisees, who as
           | a condition of their deal should be permitted to lease from
           | you and you alone. This will provide you with two things:
           | One, a steady, upfront revenue stream. Money flows in before
           | the first stake is in the ground. Two, greater capital for
           | expansion. Which in turn fuels further land acquisition,
           | which in turn fuels further expansion. And so on and so on.
           | Land... That's where the money is. (BEAT) And control."
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uxCL2RqCuiY
        
             | illwrks wrote:
             | In the modern take, replace land with users/eyeballs.
        
               | rchaud wrote:
               | Not anymore. See Reddit. Eyeballs aren't worth anything
               | without a solid advertiser inventory.
        
         | lxgr wrote:
         | Do they own a lot of buildings? I thought most of them were
         | long-term leases. Their balance sheet only lists $3 Billion of
         | property assets and equipment [1]; that's not that much office
         | space in the tech capitals of the world.
         | 
         | [1] https://investors.wework.com/news-and-events/press-
         | releases/...
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | What assets? Almost all of WeWork's office space is leased. The
         | company owns nothing.
         | 
         | The "exploiters" Uber and Airbnb were at least able to build a
         | sustainable business. WeWork was a scam from day one.
        
           | potatolicious wrote:
           | Ehh, I disagree. OP is incorrect in that WeWork owns little
           | of their own real estate, but from what we can tell they were
           | leased at fair market rates from their actual owners (some of
           | whom are Adam Neumann himself, which is... bad).
           | 
           | The only parties that really got fleeced here were Softbank
           | and their totally unclothed VC siblings who bought Neumann's
           | messianic complex like rubes. Building owners by and large
           | seem to have been treated fairly?
           | 
           | I would argue the gig economy has been worse, since those who
           | got fleeced were largely working people being squeezed and
           | having massive externalities and liabilities dumped onto
           | them.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | Hah, not so much. Many times, WeWork loaned Neumann the money
         | (at spectacularly good interest rates), he personally purchased
         | the property, and then leased it to WeWork.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | Reminds me of Enron, where the clowns in charge happily
           | handed their corrupt CFO Andrew Fastow hundreds of millions
           | to run a private equity fund that purported to purchase loss-
           | making assets at a profit to Enron.
           | 
           | Then, after Enron reported good quarterly numbers, this fake
           | fund would simply sell the stake back to Enron, with the CFO
           | taking a gigantic management fee for orchestrating the
           | charade.
           | 
           | Public companies have been banned from doing this, but I
           | guess anything goes when you're private.
        
       | purpleblue wrote:
       | How does Softbank still keep standing? They keep losing on the
       | vast majority investment they've made, and yet they haven't come
       | up against any financial issues? I feel like Softbank going
       | bankrupt is going to be the Black Swan that affects Silicon
       | Valley the most.
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | They got a couple wins recently with the ARM IPO, Coupang IPO,
         | and ByteDance (aka TikTok). WeWork (and Uber) has been a
         | massive hole, but SoftBank is diversified enough that they can
         | withstand it.
         | 
         | They have historically been one of the biggest movers in
         | Chinese and Indian Growth VC, and have a significant presence
         | in American Growth VC too.
         | 
         | They made oodles of money off Slack and DoorDash for example,
         | and their 2010s investment phase was thanks to them being flush
         | with profits from Alibaba and Tencent.
         | 
         | At the end of the day, compared to most other Growth Funds,
         | they tend to hire some solid investors who know how to find
         | capable operators.
         | 
         | Though, lapses of judgement do happen a la Neumann, but that's
         | like saying anyone who invested in Pivotal or Joyent is dumb.
         | This is VC. It's not guaranteed returns. There's a reason why
         | it's called VENTURE capital.
        
         | tpmx wrote:
         | Saudi oil money.
        
           | alephnerd wrote:
           | The Saudis pulled out. Vision Fund 2 (aka SoftBank today) is
           | primarily Softbank's own money [0]
           | 
           | [0] - https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/softbank-earnings-
           | vision...
        
             | tpmx wrote:
             | Do you also base that on something more reliable than that
             | vague article?
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Alibaba, ARM, Bytedance, Coupang, Oyo, Xiaomi, Didi, Slack,
         | Doordash...Softbank has plenty of hits to make up for its
         | losers. That's how the VC industry works.
        
       | seydor wrote:
       | it better be described as "spiritual ascension" or "weBust" or
       | something
        
         | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
         | He is a billionaire now and is raising money with Marc Anderson
         | in Saudi.
        
       | willsmith72 wrote:
       | Paywalled, what's happening with their assets? Is there a buyer?
        
         | ksherlock wrote:
         | It's Chapter 11 bankruptcy which means the company still exists
         | and becomes property of the creditors (debtor in possession).
        
         | cbron wrote:
         | Reuters has some info, no apparent buyer:
         | https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/wework-plans-file-bank...
        
         | aragonite wrote:
         | Delta, Six Flags and GM filed and successfully exited chapter
         | 11 in recent memory.
         | 
         | I hope at least my local wework (in Brooklyn) doesn't get shut
         | down! More and more people are coming in to use hot desks,
         | though the private offices are still half empty.
        
           | Mistletoe wrote:
           | I think the problem is more that the idea isn't sustainable
           | in any way.
        
             | willsmith72 wrote:
             | it's kind of interesting that it's not though, isn't it?
             | 
             | intuitively, a shared office space makes sense to me. I
             | find it really useful as a remote employee to get out of
             | the house a couple of days a week, and for my employer it's
             | pretty cheap and is a perk which helps them hire from all
             | over the world, also cheaper than hiring american
             | engineers.
             | 
             | Is it just a pricing issue? Hot desks are about 250
             | USD/month
        
       | ilamont wrote:
       | _I 've been telling entrepreneurs to "know your limits." Knowing
       | your own limitations gives rise to endless possibilities. Because
       | I understand that my abilities are limited, I've surrounded
       | myself with entrepreneurs who are more talented than me, and by
       | letting them take the lead, infinite possibilities come to light.
       | 
       | I believe that the information revolution will last 300 years --
       | from PCs to the internet and on to AI. How do I make SoftBank
       | into a corporate group that will keep growing for 300 years?
       | Understanding that an organization can't be sustained with just
       | one technology, one business model or one leader will let it
       | prosper for a long time._
       | 
       | - SoftBank Group chief Masayoshi Son, 2019
       | https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/Interview/I-had-a-cha...
        
         | thumbsup-_- wrote:
         | When times are good, everyone has wisdom and is a visionary.
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | Kudos to WeWork for surviving the first five implosions I guess.
       | The charade went on for far longer than I thought it would.
        
       | m0llusk wrote:
       | This is really good news for actual real players in the coworking
       | space. Being disruptive with venture money conceivably helps new
       | offerings along, but in this case it was never anything but a
       | massive fraud that distorted the entire market.
        
         | CPLX wrote:
         | No it's not. The only other real player is Regus and they are
         | absolutely f'cking horrible with bad poorly run spaces and
         | predatory billing. They're a scourge.
         | 
         | The WeWork product is fantastic and I've tried all
         | alternatives. I'm in a different city basically every week and
         | if they go under or stop being basically the same I'll
         | seriously mourn the loss.
        
           | Daishiman wrote:
           | Seems like Regus might be closer to the real cost of renting
           | commercial space.
        
             | CPLX wrote:
             | It's not the cost they're both sort of comparable and
             | WeWork isn't really like the discount option.
             | 
             | It's that WeWork is SO MUCH better run. The keycards work
             | the website works and has current accurate information and
             | so on.
             | 
             | Regus/Spaces makes the DMV look like an elite customer
             | service organization. The _second_ time you book on their
             | app and end up at a building under construction you'll say
             | the same.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | There are no real players in the coworking space, and any
         | interest for startups in the field was destroyed by WeWork. So
         | no, this is not good news, just a nail in the coffin for the
         | industry.
        
       | muttantt wrote:
       | Yikes. Sitting at a WeWork right now... Love it, I often have an
       | entire floor jus to myself. Many locations are ghost towns, some
       | have entire floors shut down.
        
         | artdigital wrote:
         | I have a personal WeWork subscription and love ever bit of it.
         | I travel a lot and can use any of the WeWork locations to get
         | my work done. Far better than any cafe I would ever be able to
         | find (obviously)
         | 
         | As a private, non corporate costumer, I'm sad to see them go.
         | 
         | "Ghost town" probably depends on your location and country. The
         | ones here are sometimes so full that if you don't book in
         | advance, you can't get a seat for on-demand
        
         | stevage wrote:
         | Wait, you enjoy the experience of going to a co-working space
         | with no one else around? Why is that?
        
           | dmix wrote:
           | Not everyone like's working at home. The walk to an office is
           | nice and gets you focused.
        
             | Mistletoe wrote:
             | I love the irony of this.
        
             | Rapzid wrote:
             | I lived down the road from a startup I worked for with work
             | from home Thurs/Fri. Worked from the office every day.
        
       | tomlockwood wrote:
       | To be honest, I thought this had already happened. Maybe I'm just
       | an idiot, considering I'd thought that had happened, and yet
       | worked from a WeWork a couple months ago.
        
       | jameslk wrote:
       | I'm curious how hard this is going to hit commercial real estate,
       | which already seems to be on the brink of collapse. What are the
       | cascading effects like the subprime mortgage crisis?
        
         | rottencupcakes wrote:
         | Afaict, the reason they announced that they most definitely may
         | be going into bankruptcy next week is to play hardball with
         | their commercial land lords and try to get a deal which will
         | keep them alive.
         | 
         | The idea being that the landlords (and everybody) knows that
         | the commercial real estate market is super depressed, so if
         | WeWork disappears the landlords may be stuck with an empty
         | building for years.
        
       | Rapzid wrote:
       | Has it really dried up or is it good for a few more pumps?
        
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       (page generated 2023-10-31 23:01 UTC)