[HN Gopher] US Tests Explosive at Nuclear Site as Russia Revokes...
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       US Tests Explosive at Nuclear Site as Russia Revokes Ban on Atomic
       Weapons Tests
        
       Author : Jerry2
       Score  : 16 points
       Date   : 2023-10-23 06:24 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bloomberg.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bloomberg.com)
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | I saw an analysis recently that suggested a nuclear war between
       | the west and Russia would no longer end in mutually assured
       | destruction. Instead, it was likely that most of the west's
       | missiles would be able to disable most of Russia's weapons before
       | they could get to their targets, while the reverse was not true.
       | 
       | Such a war would also likely extend the west's dominance by ~50
       | years or more if the replacement government in Russia was a pro-
       | US one.
       | 
       | Could this be the start of testing that out?
        
         | Garvi wrote:
         | This is the dumbest thing that I've read this year. In multiple
         | respects. I'd be dying to know where you get your daily news
         | from. Because I have a friend thats thinks like you. He reads a
         | lot of 9gag. Called me once in the middle of the night a year
         | ago because "Putin was about to nuke us". We traced the source
         | of his fear back to a fake news article dubbing over random
         | Russian TV excerpts with vile subtitles. He's otherwise
         | considered sane and a family man.
         | 
         | Also: We're debating a lie. OP is a liar. How dumb can you be?
        
           | vsnf wrote:
           | Care to elaborate on why? It seems overly hopeful, not to
           | mention somewhat dangerous to just assume western missile
           | superiority, but it could also be true. It's not like MAD is
           | a law of physics.
           | 
           | Edit: when I replied, the parent poster consisted of one
           | sentence claiming the idea to be dumb, with zero substantive
           | refutations. They have since elaborated in their original
           | post.
        
             | Garvi wrote:
             | You are aware you're using the word "hopeful" in a sentence
             | that's exploring the killing of hundreds of millions humans
             | for a perceived personal gain.
             | 
             | Do you think such thinking is justified because of the
             | Ukraine war? I suggest you start reading UN reports of
             | actual observers on the ground and stop reading propaganda
             | intended for halfwits.
             | 
             | I also suggest you read the analysis of us military experts
             | on the subject hypersonic missiles. This whole thread is
             | vile nonsense.
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | Feels like Reddit. Getting downvoted because I'm
               | ridiculing the idea of preemptively nuking hundreds of
               | million of people because "they're our enemy". A shameful
               | display for mostly US engineers. Of course without
               | replies. People who think genocide is a good idea usually
               | aren't that good at expressing themselves.
        
               | capdiz wrote:
               | I feel your pain. On here, when it comes to anything to
               | do with the Russia or China, it's best you stay quiet.
               | You are dealing with most propagandized community when it
               | comes to world affairs.
               | 
               | PS. The downvotes don't put food on your table.
        
               | postingawayonhn wrote:
               | > exploring the killing of hundreds of millions humans
               | for a perceived personal gain.
               | 
               | Nobody here is suggesting the US conduct a preemptive
               | nuclear attack against Russia, or that it would be a good
               | thing for humanity. The argument is merely that if a
               | nuclear war was to break our (for whatever reason) the US
               | now appears to have an edge over Russia.
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | > if a nuclear war was to break our (for whatever reason)
               | the US now appears to have an edge over Russia
               | 
               | What does that mean? Are you not aware that even a
               | relatively small amount of 10 average modern strategic
               | nuclear weapons is enough to trigger a 100year nuclear
               | winter? US and Russia have a combined number of 10k+ of
               | them. I thought there were engineers on this forum.
               | Saying what the OP did would get you fired in my company
               | same as saying what you did. Not for the ideological
               | implications, but because of the complete lack of
               | critical thinking. Are you getting any of this?
        
               | vsnf wrote:
               | I am sympathetic to stance here, no one is claiming
               | nuclear war would be anything other than catastrophic.
               | But the question at hand here, and to which your charged
               | reaction is causing you to miss, is whether or not such
               | an analysis about western missile superiority could be
               | true or not.
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | > whether or not such an analysis about western missile
               | superiority could be true or not
               | 
               | I'll go with US military experts saying Russia has a
               | clear edge in missile tech and the fact that 10k nukes
               | kill the Earth 1000 times over. What you're saying is
               | simply insane.
               | 
               | The fact you're completely omitting my points made, means
               | you're one of the people one cannot reach with reason.
               | You'll cheer for your team and kill the enemy, no matter
               | what that means exactly.
        
             | sitkack wrote:
             | It would plunge the whole world into chaos and billions of
             | bystanders would die. It is an insane, repugnant idea.
        
         | bangkoksbest wrote:
         | If you write "I saw an analysis recently..." it's best to link
         | to or at least describe the source of the analysis, otherwise
         | the rest of us are just left with completely unsourced hearsay
        
           | jrflowers wrote:
           | Technically now that we've read that comment we too have read
           | an analysis to that effect.
        
             | Garvi wrote:
             | Care to pass it around?
        
         | username332211 wrote:
         | >Instead, it was likely that most of the west's missiles would
         | be able to disable most of Russia's weapons before they could
         | get to their targets, while the reverse was not true.
         | 
         | How is disabling _most_ of Russia 's nuclear missiles OK? How
         | will wiping out _a few_ of North America 's urban centers
         | ensure western dominance?
         | 
         | Who made this analysis? The "Real American Association Against
         | the Degenerate Urban Elites" or something?
        
           | waveBidder wrote:
           | "some of you may die, but that is a price I am willing to
           | pay."
        
         | elashri wrote:
         | I wouldn't put the fate of humanity as a potential price for
         | testing a hypothesis. I prefer trying to test the theory that
         | we can produce a (Micro) black hole at CERN (Because it will
         | not do what you think it will). That is an old and safe theory.
        
         | tutfbhuf wrote:
         | Disabling most is insufficient. All it takes is a few ICBMs
         | hitting NY, LA, etc., and the calculation already becomes
         | nonsensical. It would be intriguing, however, if it becomes
         | possible in the future to intercept ICBMs during the launch
         | phase using some kind of new technology. Even then, though, you
         | would need to ensure a 100% success rate.
        
           | FreakyT wrote:
           | _> if it becomes possible in the future to intercept ICBMs
           | during the launch phase using some kind of new technology_
           | 
           | This was largely the concept of the Strategic Defense
           | Initiative (aka Star Wars) in the 1980s:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_Defense_Initiative
        
         | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
         | You should definitely test this theory, anonymous experts are
         | certainly people you can trust with your life. #yolo
        
       | defrost wrote:
       | Article and related Xhitter (Oct 19)
       | 
       | https://archive.md/EoqWY                   Congratulations to the
       | integrated #NNSA team on successfully executing Shot A of their
       | Physics Experiment 1 series @NNSANevada. Our talented workforce
       | reduces global nuclear threats by continually improving detection
       | of underground nuclear explosive tests.
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/NNSAHruby/status/1714730603860390023
        
       | Garvi wrote:
       | Dear diary: Today I took part in a debate on an engineering forum
       | on whether the US could take Russia in a nuclear war.
        
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       (page generated 2023-10-23 09:01 UTC)