[HN Gopher] Adversarial competition and collusion in algorithmic...
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Adversarial competition and collusion in algorithmic markets
Author : theptip
Score : 32 points
Date : 2023-10-05 23:50 UTC (2 days ago)
(HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
(TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
| AtlasBarfed wrote:
| I can imagine that with the rise of AI, you now have the basis of
| plausible deniability for insider trading:
|
| "The AI told me to do it"
|
| I think this will be an interesting legal case when it
| (inevitably) happens. Because AI is almost impossible to
| introspect/poll from the outside. If you query it, that is a
| different "neuron path" and it can't be relied upon to know
| what/how/why it "knows what it knows".
|
| It can also be plausibly denied that the CURRENT AI response
| doesn't say what you did. Just say it was retrained / modified to
| any degree (and of course you don't keep backups), and even if
| the AI doesn't produce the same answer, you can simply say the
| training has changed or the inputs have changed (you also don't
| back up the historical input values).
| tommiegannert wrote:
| Legally, I'm guessing this is the same defence as "I just threw
| darts on the board and got lucky."
|
| You still decided to trade an instrument you had insider
| knowledge about. You'd better have a paper trail to show that
| the dart wasn't biased.
| gruez wrote:
| >I can imagine that with the rise of AI, you now have the basis
| of plausible deniability for insider trading:
|
| >"The AI told me to do it"
|
| Do you even need to use that as a defense? Doesn't the SEC have
| to provide affirmative proof that you traded on material
| nonpublic information? Have they ever convicted someone of
| insider trading on good trading records alone?
|
| Otherwise, I don't really see how using an AI to launder stuff
| makes sense. You need to acquire that material nonpublic
| information somehow. Because it's nonpublic, you're probably
| going to have to go out of your way to get a hold of it, so
| that's how the SEC is going to nail you. Feeding a bunch of
| leaked quarterly earning reports into an AI isn't going to let
| you off the hook.
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