[HN Gopher] Rivian Loses $33K on Every Truck It Sells: Report
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       Rivian Loses $33K on Every Truck It Sells: Report
        
       Author : ourmandave
       Score  : 22 points
       Date   : 2023-10-04 19:52 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (jalopnik.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (jalopnik.com)
        
       | pengaru wrote:
       | It's expensive to build out mass production capacity. This is a
       | stupid calculation to do before they're realizing the benefits of
       | mass production with lots of vehicles to amortize the costs.
        
       | esafak wrote:
       | Why are they doing this? To make money on service fees and the
       | next vehicle?
        
         | AlotOfReading wrote:
         | Automotive pricing is complicated. The cost probably _was_
         | predicted to be profitable at some point, but costs change over
         | time and changing cost targets is difficult. Here 's some
         | random speculation:
         | 
         | * The amount a vehicle costs to produce decreases dramatically
         | depending on how many you're producing because of economies of
         | scale, vendors charging less, and higher negotiating power in
         | volume. They're currently not producing at the scale they
         | expected, so their production costs are inherently higher.
         | 
         | * It's extremely difficult to know where you _can_ cut costs in
         | ways that won 't affect customers significantly at design time.
         | If you're a new startup in a competitive market, a bad
         | reputation is a death sentence. It might be worth starting out
         | conservatively and cutting those costs when you have better
         | data.
         | 
         | * They went through production/design in one of the worst
         | supplier markets in decades. Production costs might have
         | increased due to last minute part changes, now they need to
         | claw that back down again.
         | 
         | Etc.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | Cost Accounting can be a bit of a dark art. It's pretty tricky
         | to apportion part of the cost of a factory to every different
         | widget made in it.
         | 
         | But in this case, it's likely just BS. They're probably just
         | taking the yearly loss and dividing it by the number produced.
         | Which is different from each marginal car produced costing them
         | 30K.
         | 
         | edit to add: the article claims the main reason for them losing
         | so much money is lack of throughput, which demonstrates that
         | the claim is bullshit. If they made even more cars and "lost
         | 30K" on each one they'd be worse off.
        
           | Paul-Craft wrote:
           | > edit to add: the article claims the main reason for them
           | losing so much money is lack of throughput, which
           | demonstrates that the claim is bullshit. If they made even
           | more cars and "lost 30K" on each one they'd be worse off.
           | 
           | Hah! I _knew_ I wasn 't the only one who noticed that. It's
           | like the old joke:
           | 
           | > Q: How do you expect to stay in business if you lose money
           | on every sale?
           | 
           | > A: Easy. We'll make it up on volume!
           | 
           | More seriously, a production line has huge fixed costs
           | associated with it, so you really need to get the most
           | throughput out of it that you can, in order to maximize
           | profits.
        
         | KeplerBoy wrote:
         | Not selling any vehicles would cost them even more. They spent
         | a lot of money developing cars and if you only sell a few,
         | you're going to make a loss.
        
         | pfannkuchen wrote:
         | I assume the plan is to become more efficient over time to the
         | point of being profitable. This is a very common pattern even
         | in software. Basically they are dumping product using VC money.
        
       | xrd wrote:
       | Wow. And not the cheapest vehicles to start off either. That's a
       | scary proposition to consider if you buy one of those right now.
        
       | umeshunni wrote:
       | Reminder that this is obligatory clickbait from Jalopnik:
       | 
       | https://jalopnik.com/tesla-loses-a-lot-of-money-selling-cars...
       | 
       | Also, as a general rule, don't read financial information from
       | bloggers.
        
         | nebula8804 wrote:
         | If we are starting to see this junk in the news you think there
         | might be a growing short position on the company?
        
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       (page generated 2023-10-04 23:02 UTC)