[HN Gopher] Three Arrows Capital co-founder Zhu arrested in Sing...
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       Three Arrows Capital co-founder Zhu arrested in Singapore airport
        
       Author : ipnon
       Score  : 128 points
       Date   : 2023-09-29 15:21 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (techcrunch.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (techcrunch.com)
        
       | pizzalife wrote:
       | This is very satisfying.
        
       | rwmj wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/B98v5
        
       | danbruc wrote:
       | This just reminded me that cryptocurrencies is a thing, this has
       | not been a prominent topic here for some time, I would say. Is
       | the entire cryptocurrencies stuff eventually on the way out or
       | would that be a misperception? Just checked Google trends, that
       | also indicates a downward trend for terms like Bitcoin,
       | cryptocurrency, NFT or Ethereum for the last year or two.
        
         | nikanj wrote:
         | Grifters moved on to AI, leaving only the actually viable parts
         | of crypto around. So yeah cryptos are 100% dead.
        
         | everfree wrote:
         | So far, crypto has gone through multiple market cycles lasting
         | about four years each. At the peak people get euphoric and
         | think it will solve all the world's problems, then in the
         | trough people think it's all on its way out - that it will
         | slowly fade out of public consciousness until it's forgotten. I
         | believe the reality is somewhere in between.
         | 
         | But one thing is for sure: during the trough of every cycle,
         | there's always someone posting that they wonder if crypto is
         | dead and never coming back.
        
           | treyd wrote:
           | It's conjectured that this is due to Bitcoin's subsidy
           | halving schedule, which is every 210000 blocks or ~4 years.
           | The reasoning is that the supply shock trends prices upwards
           | and the rest of the market tracks Bitcoin due to many trading
           | pairs between it and other cryptos. But the shock gets weaker
           | over time and hopefully the nonsense will as well.
        
             | anonporridge wrote:
             | It is interesting, because while the shock does get weaker
             | in relative terms it's getting stronger in absolute terms.
             | i.e. a billion dollar shock to a billion dollar asset is
             | relatively bigger than a 100 billion dollar shock to a 500
             | billion dollar asset (bitcoin's current "market cap"), but
             | the latter requires 100x the size of wealth flow.
             | 
             | The next supply shock will also be interesting in its own
             | right, specifically because it will plunge bitcoin's
             | inflation rate to below that of gold, from 1.7% now to
             | 0.84% in 7 months. If nothing else, that will re-highlight
             | bitcoin's digital gold narrative and potentially pull in
             | more wealth flow that otherwise might have flowed into
             | store of value assets like gold.
             | 
             | Bitcoin at current price and inflation rate requires $9
             | billion per year net inflows to absorb newly mined coins.
             | In 7 months after the halving, it will only require $4.5
             | billion per year to maintain it's current price of $27,000.
             | So, either it's net inflow will suddenly cut in half and
             | the price will stay the same, or the current net inflow of
             | $9 billion will force the price up until it reaches
             | equilibrium, which usually triggers a market frenzy as
             | outsiders see the gains and pile in.
             | 
             | For some context with gold, there theoretically exists
             | about $200 billion of wealth flowing into it each year just
             | to absorb newly mined gold and keep the price stable.
        
               | georgeecollins wrote:
               | This is great analysis. The only caveat I would add is
               | that while bitcoin is commonly priced in $ (fiat USD) it
               | is much more commonly bought and sold in USDT. In fact,
               | if a bunch of actors decided to sell bitcoin there might
               | be plenty of USDT for that but not US$.
               | 
               | Some of that is due to the fact that exchanges don't due
               | proper KYC and have trouble maintaining US banking
               | arrangements. Some of it may be that the market is
               | propped up by less fiat then it would need to be liquid
               | in fiat.
               | 
               | I am not saying that as a problem-- maybe-- I don't know.
               | I am just saying that as if you say bitcoin currently
               | requires $9b usd a year to maintain its price that is not
               | actually true.
        
           | grotorea wrote:
           | Well, there's always the possibility that _this_ time it will
           | be the last. Maybe the last peak is when it reaches global
           | awareness and there 's no new people to bring into the
           | system. And I suspect it already reached that in the last
           | cycle with Superbowl ads and Filipinos working in Axle
           | Infinity.
           | 
           | Although, I feel cryptocurrency is already too big to ever
           | end completely.
        
             | lurker919 wrote:
             | The new people in the next cycle are the freshly graduated
             | high schoolers and new grads who weren't following the news
             | previously and have their joining bonuses and RSUs waiting
             | in the bank.
        
               | phatfish wrote:
               | Can they pump Crypto as high as a good proportion of the
               | "western" population widdling their thumbs for 6 months
               | or more during COVID?
               | 
               | I say western because they were the people with the
               | disposable income and living under governments that could
               | support furlough/stimulus payments.
        
             | ogogmad wrote:
             | It needs energy to be expended continuously in mining it,
             | if it uses PoW. So it might end one day.
        
               | Kiro wrote:
               | The difficulty is adjusted automatically depending on how
               | many miners there are, so it can go down.
        
               | ogogmad wrote:
               | That might be one of those things that works well in the
               | short term but may also have severe tail risks.
               | 
               | I heard a similar story about an algorithmic stablecoin
               | called Luna (I think). The analogue of difficulty
               | adjustments there worked fine until one day it didn't.
        
               | sebzim4500 wrote:
               | Luna was a very different situation, it was nothing to do
               | with difficulty adjustments.
        
               | grotorea wrote:
               | They can ultimately change the code if needed. Luna also
               | tried that IIRC.
        
               | kibwen wrote:
               | Indeed, one can "change the code" to do anything...
               | including things like increasing the bitcoin supply
               | arbitrarily. Bitcoin's scarcity is a social construct
               | that will be changed when the people who control the
               | nodes want to change it.
        
               | cesarb wrote:
               | > So it might end one day.
               | 
               | Only if the mining stops abruptly. Otherwise, the
               | automatic difficulty adjustment allows it to keep working
               | even with a reduced energy expenditure. In the extreme, a
               | single computer running in a museum could be enough to
               | keep the blockchain working forever.
        
               | ogogmad wrote:
               | A single computer in a museum would be vulnerable to 51%
               | attacks. It would also be too illiquid to recoup costs.
        
               | grotorea wrote:
               | But the 51% attack would cost more than the value of the
               | Bitcoin you could get by doing it, which is presumably ~0
               | since the only node is a museum computer.
        
           | iskander wrote:
           | It would be a shame if this keeps happening, like: (2013)
           | Bitcoin and its clones failed at all their stated purposes,
           | (2017) the ICO craze left nothing of value, (2021) the
           | DeFi/NFT bubble also left nothing but rubble. This stuff is
           | zero sum, shuffling money without creating new things of
           | enduring value.
        
             | sneak wrote:
             | Every claim in your comment is factually false.
        
               | kibwen wrote:
               | Bitcoin did factually fail at its stated goal, as laid
               | out in the original whitepaper. Bitcoin has not succeeded
               | at being a peer-to-peer currency, because the "peer-to-
               | peer" part went out the window when users stopped hosting
               | their own nodes, and the currency part was abandoned when
               | people realized that transaction throughput is fatally
               | low.
        
             | ogogmad wrote:
             | At the moment, you can buy drugs with it online. Don't know
             | if that will last, though.
        
               | iskander wrote:
               | Can you still!?
               | 
               | It's so incredibly traceable these days and every
               | iteration of Silk Road gets busted, no?
        
               | ogogmad wrote:
               | Dark web markets absolutely still exist. The traceability
               | problem is at least partially solved using mixers. I
               | don't know everything there is to know here, like how
               | easy it is to get back fiat.
        
         | anon84873628 wrote:
         | All the grifters and dilettantes moved on to AI :)
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | nerf0 wrote:
         | I work in this area and to me, the tech is still super
         | interesting. In particular, things like zero knowledge proof
         | and related scaling/privacy solutions are at the forefront of
         | cryptography in my opinion.
        
           | Zetobal wrote:
           | It's a decade now and there is still no real use case for
           | it..
        
             | danbruc wrote:
             | One and a half decades actually.
        
           | Demotomo wrote:
           | Your zero knowledge proof is not true.
           | 
           | We see the issues with it: 1. It moves the trust issue or 2.
           | The trust is only on the Blockchain.
           | 
           | World exists in a physical world which doesn't allow you at
           | all to use a Blockchain there.
           | 
           | And zero trust for your money also means zero recovery
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | We just need to find some non-speculative and non-scammy uses
           | for that tech.
        
             | grotorea wrote:
             | Haven't we be trying since the beginning?
        
             | iskander wrote:
             | I think you'll see people picking those techniques and
             | using them in a hidden-from-the-user way (like how git and
             | BlueSky use Merkle trees)
        
               | danbruc wrote:
               | Cryptocurrencies have not actually invented much new
               | technology, they mostly combined existing ideas in new
               | ways. Merkel trees, for example, are an almost 50 year
               | old idea, zero-knowledge proofs are almost 40 years old,
               | proof of work predates Bitcoin by 15 years which makes it
               | 30 years old.
        
               | wmf wrote:
               | Recent advances in SNARKs/STARKs/VDFs were funded by
               | crypto. SNARKs have gone from unusably slow to reasonably
               | efficient.
        
               | iskander wrote:
               | I think the initial impractical prototypes for the core
               | techniques were in the literature for a while but there's
               | really no comparison between eg interactive ZK protocols
               | and the succinct non-interactive proofs used by the
               | cryptocurrency folks. The latter are computationally
               | general (you don't have to roll a new one for each
               | program) and many orders of magnitude more efficient.
               | 
               | I think it's important to give the cryptocurrency
               | industry credit for the few corners in which it makes
               | real (theory/tooling) contributions even if they're
               | motivated by nonsense
        
               | danbruc wrote:
               | I did not want to say that they invented or improved
               | nothing, just that a lot of the building blocks already
               | existed. I just looked this up, non-interactive zero-
               | knowledge proof also seem to have a history back to the
               | late 80s, but if cryptocurrencies gave us some
               | improvements and new ideas that made them more practical,
               | fine, I am not going to complain about that.
        
               | iskander wrote:
               | Like, huge tangible improvements.
               | 
               | You can do general purpose programming in all kinds of
               | DSLs and Rust libraries that compiles down to big-but-
               | practical arithmetic circuits and then generate proofs
               | that y=f(x) without revealing x for arbitrary f. That
               | really wasn't possible until a few years ago and emerged
               | almost exclusively within the sphere of cryptocurrency-
               | adjacent research. You can also use the succinctness of
               | SNARKs to batch these proofs and shrink the verifier
               | costs to almost nothing
               | 
               | It's a cool model for asymmetric computing, with low
               | capacity verifiers collecting results from high capacity
               | provers. It'll probably find uses outside deranged
               | gambling...
        
               | Terr_ wrote:
               | > I think you'll see people picking those techniques
               | 
               | Those techniques were already invented and in-use _long_
               | beforehand though.
               | 
               | I think that needs emphasizing, because sometimes it
               | feels like... Imagine that fans of the Segway claimed it
               | will replace all other forms of transportation, and a
               | worrying number of them are still out there crediting the
               | (failing) product for _inventing the wheel_.
        
               | iskander wrote:
               | Merkle trees, yes! That was just an example of a
               | technique that can be well hidden vs in the user's face.
               | 
               | Newer techniques like Verkle trees, SNARKs, STARKs, &c
               | are.... well, new.
        
               | Terr_ wrote:
               | The way I see it, "blockchain" (NFTs, etc) are less
               | technologies and more _business-plans_ to make money--
               | perhaps in a slightly more-literal sense than usual--from
               | available tools.
               | 
               | It's kind of like ride-share services: They didn't invent
               | cars or databases or dispatching systems or phone-apps,
               | and while their investment might have spurred some new
               | tools/libraries/algorithms they use, the broader
               | usefulness of those inventions doesn't flow backward to
               | mean they have a good/sustainable business.
               | 
               | There are even cases like "private blockchain" where the
               | fad-marketing is getting used to mislabel what is
               | actually just a regular old distributed database of
               | yesteryear.
        
             | sneak wrote:
             | Cheap and safe payments are of tremendous utility.
             | 
             | The problem is that anonymous payments are essentially
             | illegal under current regulations designed to protect the
             | large incumbent businesses.
             | 
             | Cryptocurrencies could render paywalls and signupwalls a
             | thing of the past, allowing you to pay a fraction of a
             | penny for a page view automatically in browser without an
             | account.
             | 
             | Such systems are illegal.
        
               | eigenket wrote:
               | There are some pretty big, obvious reason why true
               | anonymous payments are illegal under a lot of regulations
               | in different countries. Supporting current big businesses
               | is pretty damn far down the list.
        
               | sneak wrote:
               | Yes, the reasons are big, but they aren't valid or useful
               | unless you are a large incumbent (or the state itself).
        
               | callalex wrote:
               | Any payment that can't be reversed after a dispute is
               | inherently unsafe.
        
             | rubatuga wrote:
             | Drugs usually aren't a scam.
        
             | theironhammer wrote:
             | A solution in search of a problem? Maybe they could apply
             | it to something like protecting a person's online identity
             | rather than a digital coin/currency. Or something along the
             | lines of Distributed Apps instead of DeFi.
        
           | iskander wrote:
           | I gave the "industry" a pretty thorough deep dive; I learned
           | Solidity, wrote a bunch of smart contracts, tried a lot of
           | DeFi, and listened to ~100 episodes of the Zero Knowledge
           | podcast.
           | 
           | My impression on the other end of it is that the "tech" is
           | interesting in a purely academic sense but most of the
           | participants are building things they know have no use and
           | engaging in a lot of motivated reasoning about the future to
           | justify drawing money in from the outside.
           | 
           | Like, it can all be a lot of fun! And some techniques, like
           | all ZK folding schemes, are mathematical magic. But, no one
           | wants code to be law and pretty much no one should be
           | managing private keys tied to money.
           | 
           | It's a very cool but failed idea.
        
         | SagatPetchy wrote:
         | Crypto has always had extreme bull and bear markets. During
         | bear markets the speculators leave, crypto's detractors once
         | again proclaim its demise, and its believers anxiously wait for
         | the next bull market.
        
         | nebula8804 wrote:
         | My thinking has always been that Bitcoin can solve the issue of
         | continued printing of fiat money. Bitcoin and other crypto
         | clearly introduces other problems but this fundamental weakness
         | of fiat currency is still there and unsolved. Will
         | bitcoin/crypto really go away if this issue with fiat currency
         | is still unresolved?
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | It's not going to just vanish because crypto has become the
         | tool of choice for online scams and crime.
         | 
         | Here's just one recent example, a small Kansas bank that
         | collapsed entirely because its CEO got involved in a crypto
         | scam:
         | 
         | "The chief executive officer of Heartland Tri-State Bank asked
         | if the client would lend him $12 million so he could get his
         | money out of a cryptocurrency investment. He promised he'd pay
         | him back 10 days later, offering $1 million in interest to make
         | it worth his while."
         | 
         | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-27/crypto-sc...
         | 
         | Billions are being stolen annually using crypto. It's the only
         | use case with any traction.
         | 
         | For the same reason, governments are increasingly cracking down
         | on crypto.
         | 
         | The conditions that created the 2011-2021 crypto booms were a
         | combination of lack of regulation and zero interest rates,
         | which made investors look for increasingly speculative
         | investments. Those days aren't coming back.
        
           | eftychis wrote:
           | History of economics disagrees with the last -- hopeful I
           | will assume -- statement. The world was and is full of
           | scammers and fraudsters.
           | 
           | Also respectfully I am not sure I get the zero interest rates
           | arguments. There seems to be a subgroup of HN community that
           | believes low interest rates (below some arbitrary threshold?)
           | to be immoral. Maybe there is a Crime, scams and ponzi
           | schemes correlation study over hundreds of years I am unaware
           | of? Japan is keeping negative rates and they are not known
           | for that, to give the country everyone knows counterexample.
           | 
           | Besides that the main borrowers are countries themselves. And
           | with US, Europe and China paths right now, amidst a global
           | war tension, something will have to give long term to make
           | ends meet. Usually it is currency devaluation and a
           | fundamental systemic change.
        
             | pavlov wrote:
             | Zero interest rates will most likely return one day, but
             | crypto will be heavily regulated by then. That's what I
             | meant -- the combo isn't coming back where crypto is an
             | unregulated sink for ZIRP speculation money.
        
             | ethanbond wrote:
             | The zero interest rate comment has nothing to do with
             | morality, it means that people were doing incredibly goofy,
             | risky shit to get a return, which creates ripe ground for
             | conmen and fraud.
        
             | thrawa8387336 wrote:
             | Lookie the thing is as long as interest rates are down,
             | wages might go up nominally but in actual material terms
             | you end up poorer. Unless you already own substantial hard
             | assets or have access to the low interest rate loans. At
             | the end of the day what matters is how many barrels of
             | oil/kWh your monthly income can directly or indirectly be
             | exchanged for.
        
             | olalonde wrote:
             | > There seems to be a subgroup of HN community that
             | believes low interest rates (below some arbitrary
             | threshold?) to be immoral.
             | 
             | Ironically, this is a very popular belief in the Bitcoin
             | community and often cited as _the_ reason to adopt Bitcoin.
             | I don 't want to start a debate but essentially, the crux
             | of the belief is that low interest rates are essentially a
             | means of "printing money", which in turn dilutes the value
             | of the currency and acts as a hidden tax on its holders.
             | The idea being that Bitcoin having a fixed supply, isn't
             | vulnerable to such debasement.
        
           | olalonde wrote:
           | Drug dealers love U.S. bank notes, pedophiles hide behind
           | Tor, tax evaders hide behind Delaware LLCs, scammers use
           | prepaid SIM cards, bigots find a voice on 4Chan, and
           | insurgents communicate through E2E encrypted messengers.
           | 
           | The unfortunate reality is, any tool or platform offering a
           | high degree of privacy will inevitably draw those with
           | nefarious intentions.
        
           | tkz1312 wrote:
           | Stablecoins came close to moving as much value as visa in
           | 2022 [1].
           | 
           | The use case for crypto has always been clear. There is a lot
           | of demand for digital cash, some from people who operate
           | outside of the law, but also from people who lack access to
           | good banking and payments infrastructure (think activists,
           | sex workers, citizens of nations with unreliable monetary
           | systems).
           | 
           | Now that the speculative mania finally seems to have died
           | down, what remains is what actually provides real value: a
           | robust, modern and reliable financial infrastructure that
           | provides privacy and does not make arbitrary decisions about
           | who has access.
           | 
           | 1: https://cryptopotato.com/stablecoins-settled-as-much-
           | value-a...
        
             | kkielhofner wrote:
             | Visa has at least 343 million cardholders worldwide.
             | 
             | Of course trying to determine crypto "users" is essentially
             | impossible but even the most bloated and inflated estimates
             | (users unique per chain, address = user) put the number
             | somewhere around 300 million. Personally I think it's more
             | like 50-100 million by the time you factor in users on
             | different chains, different wallets, etc. I've spent a lot
             | of time analyzing chains to come to that number, it's not
             | difficult. Nearly every crypto user participates on more
             | than one chain and often uses at least two addresses (hot
             | and cold wallet, for example).
             | 
             | Sure enough, the quote is right there in the report:
             | 
             | "over 25 million blockchain addresses held over $1 in
             | stablecoins"
             | 
             | 25 million addresses, which absolutely don't equal users.
             | Even if they did, that's .05% of global internet users (5.2
             | billion). With the threshold for inclusion at $1...
             | 
             | Of course you say "moving as much value" which doesn't
             | necessarily correlate directly to users or their activity
             | but I would venture to guess (if the report is accurate at
             | all) that a substantial portion of that stablecoin "value"
             | volume isn't anything resembling the economic activity of
             | Visa where every swipe is in exchange for a good or
             | service. At best settlement between exchanges but also wash
             | trading and all kinds of weird hijinx that are basically
             | just swapping tokens around with no other meaningful
             | economic activity. Just look at chain analysis breakdowns
             | on the latest crypto heist and watch them tumble it through
             | stablecoins at least once (often many more). I guess that's
             | "value" but I certainly wouldn't be touting it.
             | 
             | The crypto narrative of helping the unbanked is essentially
             | PR damage control spin to try to counter all of the obvious
             | evils that crypto is directly involved in and often
             | responsible for. This volume (if even accurate) has nothing
             | to do with helping regular people, the oppressed, the
             | unbanked, whatever.
        
               | tkz1312 wrote:
               | visa very clearly much more users who transact much lower
               | amounts than stablecoins, I never claimed otherwise.
               | 
               | The fact remains that substantial amounts of people are
               | using crypto rails to move very economically significant
               | sums of money.
               | 
               | The fact that something can be used by bad people does
               | not make the thing itself bad. Very similar arguments are
               | often levelled at tools like Tor or Signal, but very few
               | of the hacker news crowd see those viewpoints as valid.
               | 
               | Uncensorable and private digital cash is important in the
               | same way that uncensorable and private digital
               | communications are.
        
             | rrdharan wrote:
             | > some from people who operate outside of the law... also
             | from people who lack access to good banking and payments
             | infrastructure
             | 
             | What do you suppose that ratio to be in terms of e.g.
             | transaction volume?
             | 
             | Personally I think it's >90 : <10 (scams : sympathetic).
             | Others seem to think the balance is very different, or that
             | it _could_ be different some day and that alone is a reason
             | to "leave it alone".
        
               | tkz1312 wrote:
               | I personally don't have an opinion on the ratio, but
               | there are many reports estimating that the illicit to
               | legal ratio is much lower than you suspect.
               | 
               | Either way I actually don't care that much, I think
               | access to the financial system is a human right, and not
               | one that governments or US corporates should be able to
               | arbitrarily remove. Crypto is the only thing we have that
               | is remotely close to preserving the rights that we have
               | with cash in the digital realm, and that makes it OK in
               | my book.
        
               | rrdharan wrote:
               | > preserving the rights that we have with cash in the
               | digital realm
               | 
               | I think it goes quite a bit beyond that, or rather, the
               | digital and physical realm are not mere 1:1 mirror images
               | of each other.
               | 
               | For example in the physical realm it is really difficult
               | to move millions of dollars of cash from one place to
               | another particularly across prominent geographic or
               | national boundaries (oceans, mountains, countries); the
               | difficulty scales with the amount. Do people have this
               | "right"? Sure, I guess, but in practice and as history
               | has shown us, they've never been able to exercise it.
               | 
               | It's more or less trivial to move huge sums with crypto.
        
               | tkz1312 wrote:
               | Certainly they are not 1-1 the same. Cash has better
               | privacy properties, crypto lets you move large sums more
               | easily.
               | 
               | In general, when it comes to a monetary technology, I
               | view being able to quickly and easily make transfers as a
               | feature not a bug.
        
         | thrawa8387336 wrote:
         | The genie is out of the box. How would 2008 have played out if
         | Bitcoin existed back then?
        
       | johnloeber wrote:
       | SBF down, Do Kwon down, Su Zhu down, many many more to go... I've
       | been amazed at how slow the law seems to be in apprehending the
       | most egregious scammers from that era.
        
         | mousetree wrote:
         | Waiting for Tether
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | And Binance's CZ.
        
           | creddit wrote:
           | Unfortunately, Tether now operates as one of the single
           | greatest businesses of all time and is probably (from now)
           | operating completely legitimately. No one is happy to hear
           | this except for Tether themselves.
        
             | Zanfa wrote:
             | Highly improbable.
             | 
             | While in theory they could be earning billions in interest
             | just sitting on all that cash, there's very little reason
             | to believe the billions they claim to have exist. Do they
             | seriously expect people to believe that they have more
             | assets under management than at peak crypto in 2021, with
             | billions more pouring in regularly?
        
               | peyton wrote:
               | Yeah there's tons of demand for offshore dollars. It's a
               | great product.
        
         | bbarnett wrote:
         | To be fair, "era" usually means "hundreds or thousands" of
         | years ago, or millions.
         | 
         | Not just a year or two.
         | 
         | Justice, especially for complex things, which require
         | investigation, is seldom fast. It probably wouldn't be fair
         | otherwise.
        
           | emodendroket wrote:
           | Era is commonly used to refer to much shorter periods than
           | that. The "post-War era" was a few decades, not millions of
           | years
        
         | brookst wrote:
         | "The wheels of justice turn slowly, but grind finely"
        
           | penguin_booze wrote:
           | And then, sentence all the criminals who've been long dead.
           | Justice: served.
        
           | huytersd wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | gottorf wrote:
           | Indeed. "Egregious" in the court of public opinion isn't the
           | same thing as a legal case put together rigorously by
           | prosecutors arguing against the finest defense lawyers that
           | scammers' money can buy.
        
             | dheera wrote:
             | Here's a rebel idea: In court cases, have the scoreboard
             | weighted by the AGI of the lawyers.
             | 
             | define pro = accuser, con = accused
             | 
             | If the "pro" side has 10 points and the "con" side has 5
             | points, and the con side's lawyer makes 1/3 the salary of
             | the pro side's lawyer, the con side wins the case.
             | 
             | Another rebel idea: If either side chooses to not use
             | lawyers, the other side is also not allowed to use lawyers.
             | If either side uses ChatGPT in the courtroom, the other
             | side is also allowed to use ChatGPT.
             | 
             | Yet another rebel idea: The lawyer budgets of both sides
             | must be equal. If you have more money to spend on lawyers
             | you are required by law to give some money to the other
             | side for their lawyers to make the budgets equal.
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | Adjusted gross income?
               | 
               | Also, what are "points"? There's no scoreboard in a
               | courtroom...
        
               | dheera wrote:
               | > There's no scoreboard in a courtroom
               | 
               | There could be ... in terms of form it's not that
               | different from a glorified high school debate with some
               | silly outfits and exccessive use of SAT vocabulary.
        
               | thecyborganizer wrote:
               | Your high school debates were judged by a jury of your
               | peers?
               | 
               | We had a bored teacher on their day off. (Or sometimes a
               | parent, or an alumni.)
        
               | ohdannyboy wrote:
               | Let's say I have something like $1M to my name (total
               | assets) and I'm accused of a serious crime. I'm ready to
               | spend it all to not go to prison for decades, but the AGI
               | of the prosecutor is like 1/3 of my respectable private
               | attorney. State prosecutors make garbage so this isn't
               | far fetched. I now have to fund the government and give a
               | significant percent of my assets just to defend myself?
               | 
               | Making somebody fund their own prosecution during trial
               | is probably the least rebel thing I've ever heard.
        
               | dheera wrote:
               | > I'm ready to spend it all to not go to prison
               | 
               | You said you were ready
               | 
               | > give a significant percent of my assets just to defend
               | myself
               | 
               | So why not? Or get a cheaper lawyer yourself that's more
               | fair to the other side.
               | 
               | There's a lot of rich people out there who get away with
               | some really bad crimes just because they have really
               | clever private attorneys.
        
               | ohdannyboy wrote:
               | > So why not? Or get a cheaper lawyer yourself that's
               | more fair to the other side.
               | 
               | Because that is money I could and should be able to use
               | to defend myself. And should my defense be successful
               | that's my retirement money and financial security. I
               | don't care about fair for the government, they accused me
               | of something I didn't do. There is a 0% chance that a
               | states attorneys salary will get me a private attorney of
               | the same caliber. That's just not how it works.
               | 
               | > There's a lot of rich people out there who get away
               | with some really bad crimes just because they have really
               | clever private attorneys.
               | 
               | So what? Why should my ability to defend myself be
               | compromised because someone with more money could afford
               | a better lawyer?
               | 
               | The presumption of innocence is one of the fundamental
               | building blocks of our justice system. Prosecuting
               | someone and making them fund their prosecution is a
               | terrible idea, not a "rebel" one. The government already
               | holds most of the cards here, this idea only cripples
               | middle class and lower-end rich folks while not doing
               | anything against the billionaires.
        
               | jancsika wrote:
               | I think blank slate HN'ers who want to cleverly build
               | from first principles are in a sense like the problem C++
               | of trying to import the banana class and accidentally
               | bringing in the entire world.
               | 
               | But with the blank slaters it's more like, "let's solve
               | brown bananas by making them out of titanium." And
               | somehow you are left to import some unspecified number of
               | classes for them until they finally posit that even
               | bringing in the entire world won't fix the bug in their
               | code.
        
               | dheera wrote:
               | > There is a 0% chance that a states attorneys salary
               | will get me a private attorney of the same caliber.
               | 
               | But does the other side get the resources to have an
               | attorney of the same caliber? If not, it's not a fair
               | trial, and that's not how a justice system should work.
               | 
               | In your system, the rich will always have better lawyers,
               | and will get away with crimes, and that's precisely what
               | I'm trying to say we need to change. The rich should NOT
               | have better lawyers just because they're rich. They can
               | have better houses, better cars, better vacations, and
               | better Michelin food, but no, they should not have better
               | lawyers than everyone else.
        
               | ohdannyboy wrote:
               | > But does the other side get the resources to have an
               | attorney of the same caliber? If not, it's not a fair
               | trial, and that's not how a justice system should work.
               | 
               | I don't consider the sides equal coming in. The state is
               | the accuser, with an exclusive right to file charges and
               | they can do full investigations. They have taxpayer
               | funding so they are far richer than all but the very
               | richest people they go after. They also make the
               | extremely complex system of laws that only experienced
               | professionals can navigate. The deck is already stacked
               | extremely in their favor in almost every way. I don't get
               | your obsession with making sure the accused person has
               | their money taken to level anything that might be in
               | their favor.
               | 
               | > In your system, the rich will always have better
               | lawyers, and will get away with crimes, and that's
               | precisely what I'm trying to say we need to change. The
               | rich should NOT have better lawyers just because they're
               | rich. They can have better houses, better cars, better
               | vacations, and better Michelin food, but no, they should
               | not have better lawyers than everyone else.
               | 
               | I'm not disputing that the poor do get shafted in the
               | current system and the rich are at an advantage. The fact
               | that you want a better justice system doesn't make the
               | idea you proposed any less insane.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | We've seen in just recent years _so very clearly_ that if
               | the government wants to get you, they will spend nearly
               | unlimited resources to do so. It doesn 't matter how big
               | or small the individual prosecutor's salaries might be -
               | they can outlast you and outspend you every single time.
               | 
               | The deck is already stacked against most defendants.
        
         | jron wrote:
         | Hi, Craig.
        
         | sgt101 wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
       | jqpabc123 wrote:
       | More crypto con artistry.
       | 
       | Color me --- not surprised.
        
       | 1letterunixname wrote:
       | The stupidity of cryptobros remaining in countries where they can
       | be arrested or deported, and of their misinvesting the funds of
       | powerful people. Unfortunately, a free society must permit stupid
       | to be stupid until they break the law.
       | 
       | Another issue is the teams who put together these crypto utopias
       | make themselves easy prey by shrewd grifters who are able to
       | execute scams through creative misuse. They need far more
       | controls and foresight to avert disaster.
        
       | dist-epoch wrote:
       | It was very profitable to trade AGAINST his recommendations.
       | Because he would use his Twitter followers as exit liquidity.
       | When he was praising bitcoin he was secretly selling, and when
       | when he was saying crypto is done, time to get a McDonalds job
       | you knew he was loading up.
        
       | arbi_man wrote:
       | I think they'll get Kevin Pawlak (https://twitter.com/0xSisyphus)
       | next. See:
       | https://x.com/NFTethics/status/1707422901492650013?s=20.
       | Backstory is insane reading through.
        
       | jiveturkey wrote:
       | sorry. nothing to see here. 4 months for failure to testify. not
       | related to crypto fraud etc.
        
       | thelock85 wrote:
       | Serious question from a crypto outsider: is four months long
       | enough to deter future grifts? Will Zhu's detention increase
       | likelihood of further prosecutions?
        
         | eigenket wrote:
         | Spending 4 months anywhere in Singapore without air-
         | conditioning would deter me from pretty much anything. I
         | imagine the experience in a prison cell is worse.
        
           | mikhailfranco wrote:
           | The prison is next to the airport - both named _Changi_ after
           | the original _kampong_ village nearby.
           | 
           | So hot, humid _and_ noisy.
        
             | eigenket wrote:
             | Interesting fact, Changi was a fairly brutal prisoner of
             | war camp where allied forces were kept by the Japanese
             | during world war 2. My grandfather's brother was kept there
             | during the war.
        
           | lamida wrote:
           | Channel News Asia produced a really good documentary about
           | Singapore prison:
           | https://www.channelnewsasia.com/watch/inside-maximum-
           | securit....
        
         | lokar wrote:
         | I read this as not about running a scam, but failing to help
         | the people dealing with the cleanup with their work. A sort of
         | procedural sanction.
        
         | yieldcrv wrote:
         | > after he failed to comply with court orders to cooperate with
         | the liquidation investigation.
         | 
         | this procedural issue isn't really related to crypto
         | 
         | its someone that didnt show up
        
           | mpweiher wrote:
           | Well...usually it is the procedure of finding out what
           | exactly they did wrong, which tends to have something to do
           | with them running away from that particularly procedure.
        
             | yieldcrv wrote:
             | yeah I think we all got that
        
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