[HN Gopher] I wouldn't be productive enough for today's academic...
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       I wouldn't be productive enough for today's academic system (2013)
        
       Author : NOTHAWKING
       Score  : 168 points
       Date   : 2023-09-16 15:46 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | nanna wrote:
       | Publish quality or academia perishes
        
       | bowsamic wrote:
       | This quote was a direct cause of me to decide to abandon my
       | physics research job
        
       | oefrha wrote:
       | To be perfectly fair, Peter Higgs is quite an outlier, who
       | published a grand total of one paper in the 20 years between his
       | 1966 paper (continuation of the seminal 1964 papers) and
       | retirement in 1986.
       | 
       | https://inspirehep.net/authors/1019617
        
         | mysterypie wrote:
         | > retirement in 1986
         | 
         | He retired in 1996.
        
       | mhardcastle wrote:
       | Nobel laureate Sydney Brenner had similar sentiments. A very
       | interesting interview along these lines:
       | 
       | https://jameswphillips.substack.com/p/s-and-t-a-conversation...
        
         | 3abiton wrote:
         | The science crisis keeps on giving.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Related:
       | 
       |  _Peter Higgs: I wouldn 't be productive enough for today's
       | academic system (2013)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35303887 - March 2023 (1
       | comment)
       | 
       |  _Peter Higgs: I wouldn 't be productive enough for today's
       | academic system (2013)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12717553 - Oct 2016 (141
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _Peter Higgs: I wouldn 't be productive enough for today's
       | academic system_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6864539 -
       | Dec 2013 (194 comments)
        
       | j7ake wrote:
       | Metrics rarely increase the amount of rate top quality work, but
       | history has shown how bad metrics can decimate the top quality
       | work produced, eg Expulsion of jewish scientists in Germany
       | during the 1930s.
       | 
       | I suspect todays short-term, glamor-based metrics improve the
       | median quality of work, but decrease the amount of top quality
       | work being produced.
        
         | nanna wrote:
         | German Jewish academics were expelled en masse because of
         | antisemitic Nazi racial laws... not metrics regarding their
         | academic credentials.
        
       | chmaynard wrote:
       | This Guardian article appears to be about 10 years old, but still
       | relevant of course. A more recent article about Peter Higgs in SA
       | also looks interesting:
       | 
       | https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-higgs-bos...
        
       | jll29 wrote:
       | An average person (whether in academia or industry or in society)
       | is one that understands how to survive in the system.
       | 
       | A smart person (whether in academia or industry or in society) is
       | one that makes the system work for oneself (= hack it).
       | 
       | However silly academic systems will be designed in the future,
       | thankfully there will always people like Wiles or Feynman that go
       | for the hard problems no matter what, whilst managing to be at
       | least tolerated by "the system".
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | To put it bluntly, the system works actively against working on
         | hard problems. And very intensely so.
         | 
         | So, you are taking the set of a dozen or half of people good
         | and enough on their research line and privileged enough to
         | possibly make an important impact, and filtering it by
         | requiring that they have that completely unrelated competency
         | of hacking a social system so it turns from forbidding their
         | work into allowing it.
         | 
         | How selective is that new filter? Because if it's anything like
         | 10%, you'll probably end-up with no one at all.
        
       | slavetologic wrote:
       | This is also why undergrad education has lost signal, diligent
       | but unremarkable people are being selected for. It's a major
       | problem in society. Luckily, capitalism punishes misallocation of
       | capital fo incompetent people.
       | 
       | The absent minded professor stereotype is dying, but those are
       | the exact types that revolutionize fields.
        
         | rscho wrote:
         | > Luckily, capitalism punishes misallocation of capital fo
         | incompetent people.
         | 
         | This is absolutely not what is happening, but perhaps this was
         | irony? We are granting money to very competent people. They are
         | true experts in their fields and have studied for years. And
         | all this knowledge allows them to expertly optimize their
         | trajectory in today's academic system much better than if they
         | were simply innovative scientists. People who revolutionize
         | science are not only 'competent' or the 'best experts'. First
         | and foremost, they're inventive and quite often very lucky.
         | Qualities we don't know how to select for.
        
       | Upvoter33 wrote:
       | Old academics lamenting the good old days - that never gets old.
        
       | ghaff wrote:
       | You could probably add to that quite a few long-term influential
       | professors at prestigious institutions who were more
       | experimentalists and tinkerers than theoreticians that may well
       | not have gotten tenure today.
        
         | asdff wrote:
         | A big seminal work from 60 years ago:
         | 
         | Not even a hundred dollars in reagents. Four pages. A hand
         | drawn plot and a linear regression. Six references.
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | Coming up with quality, original contributions in STEM,
       | especially theoretical pr pure math/physics is hard. In
       | psychology you can always run new experiments, find new case
       | studies to look at, etc. It's hard to find new particles or come
       | up with a 'new string theory' or a 'new general relativity'.
        
       | osigurdson wrote:
       | I have a kind of meta point on this whole discussion.
       | 
       | We like metrics because they are not subjective. We don't like
       | metrics because they tend to be insufficiently specified
       | optimization problems (I.e. we are looking at 3 variables when we
       | really need to look at 1000+). We dance around this with
       | "Goodhart's law" type statements, but this is blatantly
       | insufficient.
       | 
       | My hypothesis is the brain is obviously working with raw data -
       | photons and sound pressure changes fundamentally and is actually
       | solving the broader optimization problem- albeit subconsciously
       | in the immensely powerful associative cortex. If we were to
       | present the same problem to AI, it would end up being similarly
       | subjective - influenced by its training and structure.
       | 
       | In summary, human intuition is currently the most powerful
       | computational device. It should be objectively trusted over and
       | above any gameable metric. Thus only non-gameable metrics should
       | be accepted and intense scrutiny should be place on all metrics
       | used.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | kurthr wrote:
         | I find it weird that many businesses/organizations/people try
         | to come up with one metric to keep things simple (and to be
         | easy to optimize), but are then surprised by Goodhart's law.
         | It's important to have multiple metrics that measure different
         | things (and are orthogonal enough to make it hard to optimize
         | them all) and then use judgement to decide when something has
         | gone too far on one path. I look at ASICs which might have
         | Ops/sec, Power, Cost, TTM (even those could be broken down to
         | MACs/FLOPs, maxTemp, Design vs Unit cost, TikTok-cycle vs
         | manhours). Perhaps the organization even wants to change
         | direction, but the "one" sclerotic metric makes it hard to do
         | that.
        
       | anonporridge wrote:
       | Two ways I interpret this.
       | 
       | 1. Academia has fallen into a self consuming game where fierce
       | individual competition to _appear_ productive means that
       | researchers don 't have the space to actually think creatively
       | and come up with incredible new insights.
       | 
       | 2. Scientists like Higgs had the privilege of lower hanging fruit
       | to harvest in their day, so a career of lesser intensity was
       | sufficient for people in his cohort to produce incredible
       | contributions. Modern scientists legitimately have to work harder
       | to produce less profound results.
       | 
       | Maybe there's something to both lines of thinking.
       | 
       | I'm also reminded of the classic story of the pottery teacher who
       | graded one class by final project quality and another by total
       | weight produced over the class period, and found that the latter
       | group ended up producing higher quality work. Higgs in this
       | article seems to be of the persuasion that in his profession, the
       | former style produces better results. I think many of us here
       | would find that intuitively wrong in general.
        
         | hibikir wrote:
         | Doing science and publishing papers is extremely different than
         | pottery, and that has nothing to do with a difference in status
         | between the two.
         | 
         | When doing any form of art, the most important thing is to
         | practice. If you make 20 vases, the 20th is most likely far
         | better than the 1st. Same with painting, drawing, other forms
         | of sculpture... nothing teaches like practice. There's such
         | thing as more complicated pieces that require more work, but
         | the majority of actual skill at pottery is practiced the same
         | way whether you are aiming for a relatively complex piece, or
         | one that is just hard enough it doesn't bore you.
         | 
         | On the other hand, in science, there's no such thing as random
         | practice making you better. The more papers you publish, the
         | higher percentage of the time is dedicated to the writing bits,
         | and getting through the approvals, and doing a million
         | submissions, instead of coming up with good hypothesis, and
         | finding something to do. Aiming at a hard problem is going to
         | lead you to publishing less, not more, so the things you'll
         | work on are going to be minor improvements, nothing difficult.
         | Therefore, the chances that you'll discover anything major
         | definitely decrease the more often you publish.
         | 
         | So if in your intuition you'd be better off focusing on making
         | a lot of unimportant papers... why would anyone aim for any
         | fundamental problem, which has a higher chance of failure? You
         | think the efforts to actually publish and submit, all away from
         | the lab aren't mostly wasteful? Because it's really hard for me
         | to imagine how publishing more doesn't mean far less time doing
         | research.
        
           | ansgri wrote:
           | Interesting analogy with pottery. I see that an important
           | academic practice that does scale like vases is structuring
           | your research in easily publishable way. As a beginner
           | (typically a young highly motivated idealistic student -- who
           | else would want to go to academia in the first place?), you
           | can start with good research idea and important results and
           | no understanding of academic world, but struggle to get
           | accepted anywhere decent because you didn't follow all
           | unwritten rules, and as you get experience, you learn the
           | rules of the game and plan your work to contain many low-risk
           | "least publishable units" to build your reputation. So yes,
           | "a lot of unimportant papers".
           | 
           | Many interesting papers nowadays come from commercial R&D
           | departments, like MS Research, because unimportant papers
           | probably don't move your main KPIs (which would be "a lot of
           | patents" AFAIU), and only interesting results improve the
           | image of the company and serve as good marketing material.
        
         | imbnwa wrote:
         | >I'm also reminded of the classic story of the pottery teacher
         | who graded one class by final project quality and another by
         | total weight produced over the class period, and found that the
         | latter group ended up producing higher quality work. Higgs in
         | this article seems to be of the persuasion that in his
         | profession, the former style produces better results. I think
         | many of us here would find that intuitively wrong in general.
         | 
         | Wait, how is pottery equivalent to significant expansion of the
         | bounds of scientific knowledge? Humans mastered the contours of
         | pottery thousands of years before farming was a thing, we have
         | no such bearing wrt scientific knowledge.
        
         | theonemind wrote:
         | I feel like he's kind of invoking Goodhart's law that when a
         | measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
         | Academia can only produce what's possible to produce under the
         | constraints of meeting certain metrics. If you can't structure
         | the work in such a way as to make the right metrics look good
         | while doing it, you can't do the work _at all_ , because you
         | will be fired, and it doesn't matter how important the work is
         | or why you need to do something that doesn't produce the
         | desired metric to get it done.
        
           | atrettel wrote:
           | Another way to put this is that the incentives in academia
           | right now encourage "careerism", for lack of a better term.
           | People have to put so much effort into maintaining their
           | position that the actually big picture goals like research
           | become difficult to do, especially when you have to show
           | progress every quarter and funding is only given out in one
           | to two year increments. Researchers end up playing it safe,
           | because big risky ideas may pay off in five to ten years, but
           | that kind of research is hard to fund on a yearly or even
           | quarterly basis.
        
           | theptip wrote:
           | Yes, definitely a case of Goodhearting. One way of further
           | breaking this down is the idea of "slicing the bologna" where
           | if you have an idea, you slice it as thin as you can into as
           | many papers as possible. This you can cite your own previous
           | papers, get more totoal citations & papers, and generally
           | game the impact factor.
           | 
           | Additionally the "publish or perish" regime encourages small
           | incremental research projects, rather than large expensive
           | risky ones that might not produce a paper for many years.
           | 
           | All this against the backdrop that it is getting increasingly
           | harder to find new discoveries since the low-hanging fruit is
           | mostly harvested.
        
           | osigurdson wrote:
           | I completely reject Goodhart's "law". Good metrics are
           | proxies for real things that cannot be gamed. If your metric
           | does not have this quality, delete it.
        
             | tetris11 wrote:
             | I like the sentiment, but I'm legitimately scratching my
             | head trying to think of any game-proof metric
        
               | osigurdson wrote:
               | Salespeople have fairly ungameable metrics - cash. That
               | is the model we should be shooting for.
               | 
               | Consumer facing web products value depends clearly on
               | number of users.
               | 
               | If a metric cannot be tied to something material, don't
               | start.
        
               | nitwit005 wrote:
               | It's never that simple. Salespeople frequently want to do
               | things that damage the brand. A lot of companies force
               | them to present pitches a certain way to try to prevent
               | that.
               | 
               | And you don't want 50 different sales people all trying
               | to sell to the same client, undermining each other's
               | efforts. That means you need some scheme to assign people
               | to opportunities, such as sales territories. They will
               | learn to game that system.
        
               | rfrey wrote:
               | Sales are absolutely gameable and regularly are. Sales on
               | false promises to customers, overpromising feature
               | delivery, overstating financial benefits to the customer,
               | are so common as to be cliche.
               | 
               | The customers end up being short term relationships, the
               | sales provide negative value to the company due to
               | reputation loss (not realized for perhaps years), but the
               | salesperson collects the commission and is probably
               | working somewhere else when the smoke clears.
               | 
               | And I'm not sure if you're claiming "number of users" is
               | ungameable. If so, I'd invite you to reconsider that -
               | we've just lived through an entire era where companies
               | gamed user metrics to harvest sweet, sweet VC dollars.
               | Founders game the metrics for VCs, vice presidents game
               | the metrics for founders, product managers game the
               | metrics for VPs.
        
               | osigurdson wrote:
               | If cash is gameable, then play the game. If I hire a
               | machine to generate cash and they are consistently able
               | to do and grow that it seems that this is a good game to
               | play.
               | 
               | You could also reformulate the objective function to NPV.
        
               | rfrey wrote:
               | The point is that not all cash is the same, and some
               | immediate cash causes medium or long term harm. But if
               | cash is your metric, it will be gamed by not
               | distinguishing between healthy and unhealthy cash.
               | 
               | So you modify your metric to try to eliminate the harmful
               | kind. But now you're in the same race as other metrics.
        
               | osigurdson wrote:
               | If NPV isn't sufficient then you are essentially in the
               | realm of maximizing happiness as the objective function.
        
               | squeaky-clean wrote:
               | You've never heard of someone tanking the consumer's
               | opinion of a company in exchange for some short term
               | profit?
               | 
               | If you make the metric "cash over the past 20 years" that
               | would be less able to be gamed, but do you really want to
               | wait 2 decades between each performance review for your
               | sales team?
               | 
               | There's also the problem of one person gaming the cash
               | metric to the detriment of others. Like a used car
               | salesman who lets other salesmen "warm up" the customer
               | but then swoops in to be the one to actually make the
               | sale. Is he really 10x better then the other sales staff
               | or is he jut a leech claiming other people's sales effort
               | as his own?
        
             | nitwit005 wrote:
             | Even in the best case, where you create a flawless metric
             | that cannot be gamed, it's typically just one aspect of the
             | job.
             | 
             | If people get rated on that metric, they'll maximize it at
             | the expense of the things that can't be measured.
             | 
             | But, there are tons of subtle ways to undermine metrics.
             | Want to be the top salesperson each month? Give negative
             | feedback to candidates for open positions that seem too
             | strong.
        
         | contravariant wrote:
         | If the low hanging fruit is gone and producing profound results
         | requires more effort you'd expect the number of papers to
         | _decrease_ , or at least it wouldn't be appropriate to use
         | number of papers as a metric because producing good papers
         | requires exceedingly large amounts of efforts and possibly
         | luck.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | Part of it is also the fields are much larger. Both
           | internationally of course, but also on a national level.
           | Almost 150 R1 schools in the US now. More grant funded work
           | is being done than ever before. More agencies funding
           | research both public and private as well. More papers than
           | ever submitted to more journals than ever by more people than
           | ever, year after year.
        
           | thaw13579 wrote:
           | While that seems reasonable, it assumes the amount of impact
           | per paper has remained constant, while is practice it has
           | greatly declined. These days scientists will literally try to
           | identify the set of "least publishable units" in a research
           | project to maximize the number of papers (I've attended
           | meetings where this is discussed without irony). There is
           | also a tendency to publish work that is quite similar to
           | previous work with a minor change that is emphasized
           | disproportionately to its importance.
        
           | noslenwerdna wrote:
           | Not if the scientists involved are p-hacking. Or, less
           | harmfully, publishing null results.
        
             | iraqmtpizza wrote:
             | Publishing null results is the opposite of harmful
        
             | piperswe wrote:
             | Surely you mean _not_ publishing null results? From what I
             | understand, null results are just as scientifically
             | important to publish as alternative results, they just
             | aren't published as often because they aren't as exciting.
        
           | solveit wrote:
           | Yes, I would expect _amount of work_ per paper to stay
           | roughly constant in a healthy research community. The whole
           | point of writing papers should be to communicate what you did
           | and found so that others don 't have to do the same thing,
           | and I think the amount of work would be the relevant variable
           | that determines the amount of information that has to be
           | transferred.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | complex_pi wrote:
       | The current academic system produces (in small quantity of
       | course) interesting science by chance and not by design. Local
       | funding agencies only reward what's fashionable and are (mostly )
       | unable to fund anything new
       | 
       | Pursuing in academia is not smart at the individual lebel, that
       | indeed expels a lot of talented individuals.
        
         | AussieWog93 wrote:
         | That's why I got out during the first year of my PhD.
         | 
         | I had doubts that my field was actually ever going to solve the
         | problem it was supposed to, and brought up the issue with one
         | of my supervisors.
         | 
         | He took my analysis one step further and explained how the
         | (very very slow) progress we appeared to be making was
         | basically just sampling bias, but it didn't matter because the
         | point of being in the a 3 year PhD program wasn't too discover
         | anything but to go through the motions.
         | 
         | Nope!
        
           | barry-cotter wrote:
           | If you ever feel like writing up your initial analysis or the
           | longer version from your supervisor I'd love to read it and
           | I'm sure others would too. Email in profile.
        
       | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
       | >> He has never been tempted to buy a television, but was
       | persuaded to watch The Big Bang Theory last year, and said he
       | wasn't impressed.
       | 
       | I like that guy.
        
         | tspike wrote:
         | Of all the shows to be persuaded to watch..
        
         | sandspar wrote:
         | Big Bang Theory is one of those scapegoat shows that smart
         | people have a stock "it sucks" opinion about. It's a very good
         | light sitcom as far as light sitcoms go and easily holds its
         | own with shows like How I Met Your Mother.
        
         | ksd482 wrote:
         | I didn't like The Big Bang Theory from any angle whatsoever.
        
       | elashri wrote:
       | The title should have (2013). Although the article is becoming
       | more in check with reality with passing years.
        
       | asah wrote:
       | People have struggled with this for time eternal, and from Google
       | 20% time and other "skunkworks" projects, some of the greatest
       | discoveries and inventions were made off the books.
       | 
       | One of my favorite (1993):
       | 
       | Wiles, with his from-childhood fascination with Fermat's Last
       | Theorem, decided to undertake the challenge of proving the
       | conjecture, at least to the extent needed for Frey's curve.[18]:
       | 226 He dedicated all of his research time to this problem for
       | over six years in near-total secrecy, covering up his efforts by
       | releasing prior work in small segments as separate papers and
       | confiding only in his wife.[18]: 229-230
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Wiles
        
         | artursapek wrote:
         | I created and sold a software system to a company and joined
         | them. I stayed there for 6 years continuing to work on it and
         | building a big team. During this time, I quietly spun off a
         | small rogue effort to build a newer client app for the system
         | in Rust. This quickly became our most popular product.
         | 
         | The company is now winding down the project overall, but
         | decided to keep and adapt this Rust client to its own backends.
         | It is the only part which survived and it was the only thing I
         | wasn't given orders to build.
        
         | osigurdson wrote:
         | Harder questions need to be asked regarding how metrics tie to
         | actual objectives. Just because I have a chart trending in the
         | right direction is meaningless. "Number of papers published" is
         | not a good metric.
         | 
         | We need more trust and fewer metrics / games. The thing I
         | really don't want to pay for (as a tax payer) is the
         | bureaucracy in the middle of all of this.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | It's a hard problem because there are no good answers.
           | 
           | > We need more trust and fewer metrics / games.
           | 
           | Except, at scale when dealing with a lot of people, there are
           | _plenty_ of people who are willing to abuse that trust.
           | 
           | I made this mistake early on in my career as a manager. I
           | gave an important piece of work to one of the very senior
           | engineers who I managed. Over the course of a month, he
           | repeatedly said "trust me" regarding the status of his
           | project. When 6 weeks went by and he finally showed it, it
           | was in such a state that it was essentially unusable. We
           | ended up throwing the whole thing out. Furthermore, he left
           | for another job about two months after that, leaving his work
           | in a shitty state.
           | 
           | I made plenty of mistakes there, but I also learned a
           | valuable lesson, "trust but verify". Until someone shows me
           | concrete evidence of what they've done, I really have nothing
           | to go by.
           | 
           | To be clear, I'd _love_ to be able to  "have more trust and
           | fewer metrics". But at the end of the day, it's really hard
           | to give people the freedom to, say, hole up for months at a
           | time while they say "trust me".
        
             | osigurdson wrote:
             | Managers need to have the capacity to understand the work
             | being done. Get into (I assume) code, and see what is
             | happening. If you can't do this, it is impossible to be an
             | effective leader. You can be an effective people manager
             | without this capability but you cannot be trusted to ensure
             | the work will get done.
        
               | finite_depth wrote:
               | [dead]
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | Totally agree. To be clear, I am technical, and I
               | definitely was able to evaluate the work being done once
               | it was delivered. My mistake (among many) was letting the
               | work go too long without any visible progress.
               | 
               | That's why I get annoyed when people just lament about
               | the problems with things like OKRs and KPIs, while
               | totally disregarding the problems these things were
               | designed to solve and pretending that if managers just
               | had a more "trusting" mindset that a million Higgs and
               | Wiles would be free to blossom.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | I don't know what to think about a 'senior' engineer that
               | doesn't reflexively keep his manager in the loop.
        
               | osigurdson wrote:
               | I don't understand the "once it was delivered" aspect.
               | Why not ask people to commit whatever they have and then
               | you can see if it is going in the right direction (or
               | not).
               | 
               | If you can't do this yourself, at some point you need to
               | be able to trust (yes trust) someone who can. You could
               | not formulate OKRs or KPIs that would have solved this
               | problem.
        
               | rfrey wrote:
               | That's exactly the "verify" your parent was talking
               | about. Unless you happen to have a situation where your
               | project includes regular submission of work artifacts --
               | which describes a lot of modern software, sure, but is
               | far from universal -- monitoring the work regularly is at
               | odds with the "trust" you mentioned above. I've often
               | seen managers who attempt to monitor like this accused of
               | micromanaging.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | kiba wrote:
           | Might be a good idea to bring back the concept of the
           | gentleman scientist, who are generally independently wealthy.
           | Charles Darwin is one such scientist.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | linguae wrote:
             | As a researcher who is seeking alternatives to the
             | pressures of both academic and industrial research, one of
             | the things I'm thinking about for my long-term career plan
             | is to relocate to an area with a lower cost of living (bye
             | Silicon Valley) and make an arrangement where I work part
             | time for money (possibilities include being a contractor,
             | doing freelance or consulting work, or starting a business
             | that doesn't require more than 20 hours per week to
             | operate) and spend the other 20 hours a week on research.
             | I'd love to be able to do research based on my own
             | interests without having to worry about business or career
             | concerns. I've come to realize that when one is paid to do
             | research, the researcher is suddenly under pressure by the
             | person or institution paying the researcher. "He who pays
             | the piper calls the tune," after all. But if I make a
             | living through non-research tasks, then I'll have research
             | freedom.
             | 
             | The tough part is coming up with a business idea that would
             | allow this type of lifestyle; that's where I'm currently
             | at. If I could make $130,000 per year, heck, even $65,000,
             | and live in an inexpensive part of America then I'd be
             | fine, but the trick is figuring out how to make that much
             | money in only 20 hours instead of 40.
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | Great, I think it'd be so much better if a qualification
             | for scientist was "already rich".
        
               | _dain_ wrote:
               | maybe, but it's a hell of a lot easier to get rich when
               | you don't spend your 20s on a phd working for peanuts
        
         | yonaguska wrote:
         | I find myself doing this for tech debt items far too often.
        
         | fnordpiglet wrote:
         | You always have to remember to feed the KPIs, otherwise the
         | management boogie men will take away your health care.
        
           | anonporridge wrote:
           | This is why you FIRE, so management loses their control
           | authority and you can actually focus on solving problems
           | without their interference.
        
         | atrettel wrote:
         | I have heard a similar story about Richard Feynman. If I recall
         | correctly, Feynman claimed to have only applied for grants on
         | work that he already completed, that way he knows he can
         | fulfill what he set out. I am unable to find the source for
         | this but I presume it was in his autobiography.
        
           | antognini wrote:
           | This is a common trick for theorists. You need to have
           | essentially completed the work in order to write a compelling
           | grant proposal.
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | I did this when I was a researcher even though I was not a
             | theorist (I was working in mobile robots). I always worked
             | a year ahead, and write a proposal for what I had done the
             | year before. I acquired a reputation as someone who always
             | delivered. Then one year I had a proposal rejected on the
             | grounds that what I was proposing was impossible to achieve
             | within the budget and time frame I was proposing. That's
             | when I quit.
        
               | genericone wrote:
               | They wanted you to ask for more time and money? What kind
               | of grift were they actually running?
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | People evaluate the proposals expecting them to be
               | estimations. And when somebody estimate some work taking
               | too little time or money, people often don't trust that
               | estimate.
               | 
               | This is all completely normal and reasonable. Except for
               | the part where you are expected to estimate results of
               | scientific research.
        
               | mcmoor wrote:
               | Yeah too good to be true things are red flag for fraud or
               | pipe dream
        
               | ok_dad wrote:
               | I hope you quit, took 6 months off, then came back with
               | the previously finished work and told them, "You were
               | right! It only took six months and zero grant money; I
               | did this while traveling in Japan." That might have blown
               | their little bureaucrat minds.
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | The problem is that the reviews were anonymous (which was
               | supposed to make the process less political). My direct
               | managers knew what I was doing.
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | it's not uncommon for labs to ahve a grad student working on
           | a skunkworks project funded by a previous, unrelated grant.
           | They generate initial data, which is shown in the grant
           | application. But often the grad student is still working in
           | parallel with the extremely long grant cycle to get more
           | publishable results and can sometimes even get to a full
           | paper before being funded.
           | 
           | I think of it like speculative execution and pipelining.
        
           | YakBizzarro wrote:
           | That's the sad reality of most grants today
        
       | jzb wrote:
       | Should add that this was from 2013. Not that I expect his views
       | have changed about the system, but it also says he's never made a
       | mobile phone call, browsed the web, or sent an email. That was
       | unusual in 2013, but I wonder if it's still true 10 years later?
       | 
       | He also talks about "the lunatic right of the Conservative party"
       | trying to withdraw from Europe with reference to a referendum on
       | Scottish independence. Would be curious his views today...
        
       | throwaway4220 wrote:
       | Academia, you dug this hole for yourself. Way too many faculty
       | care about number of publications in Nature or Science and
       | scientific merit takes a back seat.
        
       | borroka wrote:
       | It should be noted that the scientists themselves, and
       | particularly the top scientists, since the others are not as
       | easily heard or listened to, have largely contributed to the
       | development of this particular academic system in which the
       | quality of one's work and academic decisions (recruitment,
       | tenure, salary) are evaluated primarily, but not exclusively, by:
       | 
       | total number of publications, citations, grants obtained and
       | their monetary values, number of students, impact factor of the
       | journals in which the research was published, h-index, gender,
       | sexual orientation, ethnicity, and public visibility.
       | 
       | Did I miss anything?
       | 
       | For once, neither politicians nor administrators were responsible
       | for a system of "perverse incentives," since these gray figures
       | are not involved in either hiring or tenure decisions.
       | 
       | Case in point: one of the leading scientists in a field in which
       | I dabble, and former chief scientist of The Nature Conservancy,
       | routinely had his name on dozens of articles each year. Given the
       | volume of his other academic commitments, at most he would be
       | able to take a look at those papers, certainly he was not able to
       | contribute meaningfully to (any of) them. So why does a top
       | scientist, at the end of his career, whose place in the pecking
       | order is established, still feel this need to have his name on
       | papers to which he has contributed nothing, instead of taking a
       | different path, in which he demonstrates, with facts, that
       | unattainable "productivity" is not what scientists should aspire
       | to?
       | 
       | Someone might say, "Well, maybe it's not him, but his students or
       | collaborators who want his name, so they can say they published a
       | paper with an important scientist." And why would they want to
       | say that? To impress other scientists, the ones who will give
       | them professorships, appointments, fellowships, etc.
       | 
       | A world I am lucky to have left behind.
        
         | cycomanic wrote:
         | I think this is a misrepresentation of reality. Generally there
         | has been strong pressure from government (and the public) on
         | "justifying" their spending through measurable outcomes.
         | Throughout the 90s there were numerous media campaigns about
         | "useless" research and we can still see the same sentiments
         | even here on HN.
         | 
         | Yes academics (well typically more the lab leaders etc), we're
         | involved in some of the system that we see now, but it was in
         | reaction to the pressure from politics and society. What do you
         | expect people to do when the places that fund them start to
         | demand measurable outcomes for something that is inherently
         | difficult to measure. You come up with some (often arbitrary)
         | metrics. That whole dynamic then just became an anweful
         | feedback process.
        
           | borroka wrote:
           | I strongly disagree.
           | 
           | The public (let's say 75% of the educational attainment
           | level, excluding PhDs, so non-academic people who are
           | educated enough) knows nothing about research, how research
           | is conducted, what a paper is, how a paper is published. Zero
           | clues. You can imagine what the bottom 75% think. Researchers
           | are considered by the public to be little to no more than
           | glorified teachers. It is like saying that bigger and better
           | weapons are invented and built to justify the Defense budget
           | to the public, where for the public a bomb is a bomb is a
           | bomb.
           | 
           | How do I know?
           | 
           | (1) I was an academic and I often had low-level conversations
           | about my research, in my home country, in the U.S., in
           | Europe, South America, everywhere. Not a single interlocutor
           | outside of academia knew what is the typical process to
           | follow to have some research results published in a
           | scientific journal, or whether a publication in a certain
           | journal can be indicative of more or less cited/quality
           | research.
           | 
           | (2) I read comments here and there on newspapers, forums,
           | social media, etc. Letters to the editor of your local
           | newspaper are considered to be equivalent to a publication in
           | Cell.
           | 
           | (3) Ask, for fun, like I used to do, your regular guy if (a)
           | an electron is bigger than an atom, (b) how many people live
           | on earth.
           | 
           | Re: research is useless. Most academic science is useless,
           | and the uselessness of 95 percent of research is somehow
           | considered inevitable by the "scientific community." But in
           | that 95 percent there is a portion of research that is
           | speculative and ultimately turns out to be useless, which is
           | a good thing to have, and a portion of research (the
           | majority) that serves only to pay the salaries of the
           | researchers involved, is clear to everyone and their cousin
           | that it will go nowhere, and is published in journals that no
           | one, and rightly so, will ever read.
        
         | majormajor wrote:
         | I think this in near-inevitable in any org or federation of
         | orgs of people with more than a few hundred people involved
         | (wild-ass-guess, substitute your own).
         | 
         | Once you have too much scale for a few people to truly know
         | what's going on, all that's left to keep people working on the
         | right incentives is trust, and inevitably you'll have some bad
         | actors at some point, and after that you put in _some_ metrics
         | and then it gets worse cause even good actors pursuing those
         | metrics may have gone off the rails.
         | 
         | The only places I've seen avoid it moderately successfully have
         | had exceptional people managers, like 1-in-100/1000 level, to
         | minimize the appeal of playing the game instead of doing the
         | work.
        
           | borroka wrote:
           | Every system that was later changed for something better was,
           | at one time, considered inevitable, natural, ineluctable.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ta988 wrote:
       | The system and its participants has optimized for mediocre
       | scientists that can game the system and publish the same slightly
       | modified work many times.
        
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