[HN Gopher] New York Is Full. And it's the housing market's fault
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       New York Is Full. And it's the housing market's fault
        
       Author : fortran77
       Score  : 18 points
       Date   : 2023-08-26 21:01 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theatlantic.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theatlantic.com)
        
       | lordfrito wrote:
       | NYC has a population of 8.8 million people and only 300 sq miles
       | of land [1], which works out to about 30,000 people per square
       | mile, or 46 people per acre. That's about 90 sq ft per person.
       | Sounds tight to me.
       | 
       | Seems like the problem is that the land is pretty much full. How
       | is that the housing markets fault? How many people _should_ NYC
       | be capable of handling, and who gets to decide that?
       | 
       | Can't NYC be free to decide it's big enough? What's preventing
       | people from moving elsewhere? Plenty of land in this country.
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_New_York_Cit...
        
         | ahazred8ta wrote:
         | About 950 sqft of land per person, but only a small part of
         | that would be residential.
        
           | hgsgm wrote:
           | Still, pretty much every city in the country has more room to
           | fill in density.
        
       | alexlesuper wrote:
       | I think zoning is a big part of the problem. Before WW2, it was
       | much easier to build the housing that new immigrants needed when
       | they arrived. Toda, there is miles of red tape and zoning
       | regulations that keep new neighborhoods from forming and
       | maturing. It's a real shame.
        
         | ungruntled wrote:
         | I'm sure there is a lot more available space than the city lets
         | on. You can see residential luxury high-rises where most of
         | lights on every floor are off at night. Nobody is living in
         | them. 10s of empty rent controlled units in each of many
         | buildings where those units stay empty for years.
         | 
         | The city may be struggling to house these migrants, but I'm
         | sure there is a strong incentive to keep normal housing units
         | unavailable so friends of politicians can fill their low demand
         | hotel rooms and supply catering at very favorable rates.
        
         | madengr wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | PM_me_your_math wrote:
         | Where are you going to build housing in the boroughs?
        
           | ok_dad wrote:
           | Upwards
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | The bigger problem is there is only one New York City, and
           | zoning is one issue that prevents another New York City from
           | coming into existence.
        
             | seanmcdirmid wrote:
             | Everyone wants to live in NYC and they can't. So I guess
             | your ideas are to build more desirable cites to live in to
             | take the pressure off of NYC?
        
         | ChumpGPT wrote:
         | >I think zoning is a big part of the problem.
         | 
         | I don't think so. The problem is simply to many refugees for
         | the infrastructure/system to absorb. Do we build 10's of 1000's
         | of housing units for future refugee's and immigrants every
         | year, where are the funds for these units procured?
         | 
         | My grandfather slept in a park on a bench when he arrived after
         | WW2 as a DP. No one provided him with anything, he had to look
         | for work, find a way to feed himself and finally he managed to
         | split a room in a rooming house with 2 other people. He said
         | the bed they slept in was always warm because someone was
         | getting up to go to work and someone came home from work and
         | was going to sleep. Many families lived the same way. What's
         | interesting is they had no social assistance or help of any
         | kind. Today there is a belief these types of people should be
         | provided with everything. It just isn't plausible.
        
           | morelisp wrote:
           | Benches are now designed to be impossible to sleep on, plus
           | park cops will kick you out if you try.
        
             | FirmwareBurner wrote:
             | so the system says "f*ck poor people, gotta kick them while
             | their down"?
        
           | FirmwareBurner wrote:
           | _> Today there is a belief these types of people should be
           | provided with everything. It just isn't plausible._
           | 
           | Living standards were lower back then and WW2 USA was far
           | less wealthy than it is today. Now it can afford to provide
           | humane present-day conditions to people until they can find
           | work and housing themselves. Just count the money the US
           | spent on the war on terror and the war on drugs, it's more
           | than the GDP of some countries.
           | 
           | Refugees don't want hand-outs, they want opportunities to
           | work and provide for themselves. If you deny them decent
           | opportunities and humane living conditions from the start,
           | they're guaranteed to turn to crime to survive, then everyone
           | looses.
        
             | SenAnder wrote:
             | I don't know about WW2 USA, but 1970s USA was wealthier -
             | wages have not kept up with house prices [1], car prices,
             | education, gas [2], or rent [2,3]. But GDP is up...
             | 
             | [1] https://old.reddit.com/r/lostgeneration/comments/fgkb83
             | /its_...
             | 
             | [2] https://old.reddit.com/r/explainlikeimfive/comments/439
             | mr8/e...
             | 
             | [3] https://www.apartmentlist.com/rentonomics/rent-growth-
             | since-...
        
               | FirmwareBurner wrote:
               | _> I don't know about WW2 USA, but 1970s USA was
               | wealthier _
               | 
               | You mean the average american was wealthier in 1977. The
               | USA of today is wealthier than the USA of 1977, just that
               | the wealth in more unevenly spread. Maybe fixing wealth
               | inequality is something to look into, but who am I
               | kidding, we both know that aint gonna happen.
        
           | chrismcb wrote:
           | "... In a rooming house..." Personally I think this is part
           | of the problem today. We no longer have rooming houses. We no
           | longer have really cheap housing due to zoning and other
           | regulations.
        
         | SAI_Peregrinus wrote:
         | Houston, Tx is a good counterexample to the generic "zoning is
         | the problem" idea.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Houston has zoning by other names (mainly land covenants).
        
       | 1over137 wrote:
       | https://archive.is/kjhyN
        
       | soderfoo wrote:
       | The inept Federal government is at fault and has been for
       | decades.
       | 
       | The incompetence and inaction demonstrated by the legislative
       | branch on issues clearly within their purview (e.g.immigration)
       | is stupefying. This behavior would surely result in termination
       | in the private sector, why is it continuously tolerated in by
       | voters?
        
         | chrisco255 wrote:
         | - gerrymandering districts to ensure perma majorities for
         | established candidates for either party
         | 
         | - easy to blame the other 400 or so Congress members for all
         | the problems
         | 
         | - a relative malaise and sleepy cynicism in the population in
         | general when it comes to politics
         | 
         | - the executive branch is equally inept, inconsistent, and
         | corrupt
        
       | moneycantbuy wrote:
       | "I don't know if you guys understand what's going on right now,"
       | Adams said at a press conference this month. "There's no housing,
       | folks. There's no housing."
       | 
       | well there ever be enough affordable housing again?
        
         | readthenotes1 wrote:
         | Not with Texas shipping immigrants north
        
           | thedrbrian wrote:
           | New York is a sanctuary city. They want to help
        
       | Simulacra wrote:
       | Is it possible to say that a city is "full" and how would a
       | government enforce that? What I see in the news is that there is
       | a large influx of immigrants to New York City at the moment. The
       | City is required to house them. Besides taxes and zoning, which
       | could reduce the number, how else can the government reduce the
       | number of people in the city?
        
       | tayo42 wrote:
       | Where is new wave of migrants coming from? It feels like it's
       | always on the US to accept them all. Where's the rest of the
       | first world in this?
        
         | SonOfKyuss wrote:
         | Take a look at Europe if you really think this is exclusive to
         | the US
        
         | morelisp wrote:
         | > It feels like it's always on the US to accept them all.
         | 
         | Your feeling is not backed by actual data.
        
           | tayo42 wrote:
           | There are European countries accepting more people then the
           | US is?
        
             | morelisp wrote:
             | Germany had 1.2e6 show up last year (~1e6 from Ukraine,
             | ~200k from places the US fucked up).
             | https://www.dw.com/en/migration-to-germany-to-
             | hit-12-million...
             | 
             | The US admitted 22465.
             | https://www.statista.com/statistics/200061/number-of-
             | refugee... They are considering 125k in 2023.
             | https://www.state.gov/refugee-admissions/
             | 
             | Turkey is absolutely overwhelmed, hosting 10% of all global
             | refugees. (Also mostly from US fuckups.)
             | https://www.unrefugees.org/refugee-facts/statistics/
        
               | ProjectArcturis wrote:
               | "Admitted" refugees is not the right number. The US had
               | net migration of about 1M people last year. https://apnew
               | s.com/article/18497b8743335f6196bb9f884f31ef9b
        
               | morelisp wrote:
               | Sure, then we can also say Germany had another 250k. It
               | doesn't change anything about what I said.
               | https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Society-
               | Environment/Popula...
        
               | happytoexplain wrote:
               | >1.2e6
               | 
               | >22465
               | 
               | >125k
               | 
               | Standardized representation, please!
               | 
               | Edit: The parent has chosen partisanship (in a reply that
               | may or may not still exist), so I've copy-pasted the
               | parent and done the editing myself for convenience (I am
               | not endorsing this research):
               | 
               | Germany had 1200k show up last year (~1000k from Ukraine,
               | ~200k from places the US fucked up).
               | https://www.dw.com/en/migration-to-germany-to-
               | hit-12-million... The US admitted ~22k.
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/200061/number-of-
               | refugee... They are considering 125k in 2023.
               | https://www.state.gov/refugee-admissions/
               | 
               | Turkey is absolutely overwhelmed, hosting 10% of all
               | global refugees. (Also mostly from US fuckups.)
               | https://www.unrefugees.org/refugee-facts/statistics/
        
               | morelisp wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
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       (page generated 2023-08-26 23:01 UTC)