[HN Gopher] The US government is taking a step toward space-base...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The US government is taking a step toward space-based nuclear
       propulsion
        
       Author : vinnyglennon
       Score  : 93 points
       Date   : 2023-08-12 17:56 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arstechnica.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arstechnica.com)
        
       | dtagames wrote:
       | This might be a good time to review the number of failed rocket
       | launches we've seen in the last few years.
       | 
       | Now, imagine them with nuclear materials aboard.
        
         | valine wrote:
         | Reusability helps with long term reliability. You would
         | probably want to avoid launching nuclear material on a new
         | rocket, but a human rated rocket like Falcon 9 would be totally
         | fine.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | Depending on the design, failure during launch can be anywhere
         | from "meh" to "basically high-altitude Chernobyl" -- random
         | actinide decay products (and plutonium fuel) are bad, unreacted
         | uranium fuel is mostly a heavy metal hazard rather than a
         | radiation hazard.
         | 
         | (Could be worse, but the Orion drive is currently illegal by
         | treaty and hopefully nobody is dumb enough to use that in
         | Earth's ionosphere anyway).
        
           | aio2 wrote:
           | I remember learning that when they started testing atomic
           | bombs (I think?) the nuclear debris in the air spread
           | basically throughout the whole united states and the
           | government tried to keep quiet about it. Something similar
           | will probably happen here if they mess up with the launch.
           | 
           | Btw, the video I saw was on Veritasium.
        
             | PartiallyTyped wrote:
             | I remember that video; the long story short was that a
             | manufacturer of films for photography noticed that their
             | films had spots on them, they initially thought it was
             | defects, but because they had samples prior to testing,
             | they saw an uptick.
             | 
             | But maybe I remember wrong.
             | 
             | Edit: the video in question is [1] and the conpany was
             | Kodak.
             | 
             | [1] https://youtu.be/7pSqk-XV2QM
        
               | 23B1 wrote:
               | Not sure about camera film, but there's certainly a need
               | for 'low-background steel' for several applications:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low-background_steel
        
               | PartiallyTyped wrote:
               | Speaking of, one way we verify old wine is through
               | background radiation!
        
             | db48x wrote:
             | The thing to remember about that is that we can measure
             | tiny amounts of radiation very cheaply, and tiny amounts
             | are harmless. In fact we are bathed in a constant, but
             | tiny, background level of radiation all the time. Thousands
             | of nuclear weapons were tested all across the world, in the
             | United States, in the Soviet Union, on Pacific Islands,
             | etc, etc. The radiation from that certainly caused a small
             | uptick in the background level of radiation, but it hasn't
             | actually harmed people.
             | 
             | The main reason that the US was secretive about it was that
             | nuclear weapons were a secret, not because there was a
             | shameful health problem to hide.
             | 
             | Incidentally, the best way to reduce your exposure to
             | radiation is to move away from the mountains and go live at
             | the beach. Mountains are mostly made of granite, and
             | granite always contains small amounts of uranium and
             | thorium which decay to radon gas. Also, live as far away
             | from coal power plants as possible, those things are
             | horrifying.
        
               | Loquebantur wrote:
               | Background radiation is categorically different than
               | ingesting/inhaling radioactive substances with the latter
               | many orders of magnitude more dangerous.
               | 
               | The claim, nuclear testing related increases in radiation
               | exposure not being relevant for public health is probably
               | false. There are only very few studies with dubious
               | reliability. The lifetime increase due to that nuclear
               | testing is estimated to be 4.4 Millisieverts. It would
               | have risen continuously with more surface tests, which
               | got abolished accordingly.
               | 
               | The idea, beaches were a sanctum against radiation is
               | wrong again. Sand is ground down mountains in case you
               | wondered. Some are highly radioactive. But of course, UV
               | light is harmful radiation as well.
        
               | 7952 wrote:
               | Background radiation may be unlikely to give an
               | individual cancer whilst still causing cancer across a
               | population. It just isn't possible to attribute the
               | cause. Surely the same is true of fallout from testing
               | and estimates would back that up. It may not be something
               | we worry about as individuals. But it is something that
               | nasa should worry about.
        
           | gibolt wrote:
           | The nuclear payload could be treated similar to humans, with
           | eject systems and soft landing built in.
           | 
           | The fuel will only be needed for a lighter craft in deep
           | space. Getting it up with a high reliability rocket (like
           | Falcon 9) significantly decreases risk.
        
           | asu_thomas wrote:
           | What does "meh" mean? Is that english?
        
             | sircastor wrote:
             | "Meh" is a casual response that means "this does not matter
             | much". I don't know that it's proper English by any means,
             | but it is certainly a common colloquialism. A cursory
             | search suggests that it's imported from yiddish.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meh
        
               | asu_thomas wrote:
               | I have never seen it used outside of Hacker News.
        
             | arrosenberg wrote:
             | Its Yiddish, but came into popular use because of an
             | episode of the Simpsons.
        
         | fastneutron wrote:
         | > Once it reaches a safe orbit, the reactor will be turned on.
         | 
         | Fission reactors aren't appreciably more radioactive than rocks
         | you can dig out of the ground until you turn them on. This is
         | something that wouldn't be brought online until the riskiest
         | part of the launch has past.
        
         | 23B1 wrote:
         | I'm no engineer, but it sure seems to me like you could either
         | split things up into multiple launches, or potentially
         | manufacture the fuel in orbit, no?
        
         | dzhiurgis wrote:
         | Falcon9 hadn't had a failure for nearly a decade
        
           | gibolt wrote:
           | Falcon 9 has had more than 200 consecutive successful flights
           | in a row. That is more than double the next most successful,
           | Delta II with 100 in a row.
           | 
           | It also has well over 100 successful landings in a row, while
           | the next closest rocket has 0. (Rocket, not capsule or
           | shuttle, which are all still far lower)
        
         | moffkalast wrote:
         | Well look at the number of missions with RTGs on board and you
         | don't have to imagine, nuclear powered probes and satelites are
         | not unheard of. The soviets also had an entire series of
         | fission powered spy sats way back.
        
         | dotnet00 wrote:
         | Well that's the most obvious way to put FUD out there.
         | 
         | It might be a good time to review the number of failed launches
         | on crew rated rockets (the safety requirements on which are
         | roughly equivalent to the requirements for carrying nuclear
         | material). Particularly ones which led to a loss of crew, as
         | those would correspond most closely to a possible nuclear
         | material release.
         | 
         | It's far less scary, but alas not as convenient for FUD.
        
       | whycome wrote:
       | > Wernher von Braun, the German engineer who defected to the
       | United States after World War II, recognized the potential of
       | nuclear thermal propulsion even before his Saturn V rocket landed
       | humans on the Moon with chemical propulsion
       | 
       | > German engineer
       | 
       | Why does von Braun get such a pass from his Nazi past? Because he
       | was useful?
        
         | schiffern wrote:
         | >Why does von Braun get such a pass from his Nazi past?
         | 
         | Partly it's because his Operation Paperclip dossier was
         | _conveniently misplaced_ before it could be declassified.
         | 
         | Who knows what was in there? Not historians, that's who...
         | 
         | Source: https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-
         | records/rg-330-def...
        
         | themodelplumber wrote:
         | Yeah, I think a lot of people would say that one's actions
         | post-war are worth some weight in the equation, and culturally
         | this person was positioned so as to not only make a big
         | positive contribution in that quite separate context as far as
         | values go, but a contribution which was also part of "our side"
         | of a pitched cultural battle which is still raging. So like,
         | how Nazi could you still be, in that actions-speaking sense.
         | 
         | Plus, people-controversy is a topic that's actively avoided in
         | writing for a lot of audiences, especially if it invites fault-
         | spreading, like if it's going to end up as a big whataboutism-
         | fest.
         | 
         | Difficult topic in its way. Including of course the WW2-and-
         | prior way involving terrible aspects like forced labor working
         | under him, etc. So, less of a defense of a person here and more
         | of a guess about rationale in authorship.
        
         | Arkhaine_kupo wrote:
         | "If Hannibal Lecter ran a 4.3, the NFL would call it an eating
         | disorder".
         | 
         | People who are extremely succesful in certain fields get an
         | impressive amount of leeway to break every conventional rule,
         | law or protocol.
         | 
         | Allowing nazis to clean up their past and work for NASA is not
         | the only horrible things the US did during the war or
         | immidietly after either...
        
       | zgluck wrote:
       | The reason communications with the Voyager 1/2 twin probes have
       | lasted for like 45 years:
       | 
       |  _Voyager 2 is equipped with three Multihundred-Watt radioisotope
       | thermoelectric generators (MHW RTG). Each RTG includes 24 pressed
       | plutonium oxide spheres, and provided enough heat to generate
       | approximately 157 W of electrical power at launch._
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | Note that RTGs don't provide propulsion.
        
           | zgluck wrote:
           | Clarified this. Thanks.
        
       | version_five wrote:
       | The basic idea is straightforward: A nuclear reactor rapidly
       | heats up a propellant, probably liquid hydrogen, and then this
       | gas expands and is passed out a nozzle, creating thrust. But
       | engineering all of this for in-space propulsion is challenging,
       | and then there is the regulatory difficulty of building a nuclear
       | reactor and safely launching it into space.
       | 
       | Can anyone give a eli5 explanation of what makes this better than
       | a conventional rocket? There still needs to b some mass ejected
       | obviously. Is it that nuclear heat is able to make it go faster
       | and provide more reactive force than burning it? What does the
       | analysis look like?
        
         | rich_sasha wrote:
         | The propellant is important for its bulk (some mass to shoot
         | out the back) and it's energy.
         | 
         | In a chemical rocket, the propellant provides both the bulk and
         | the energy. As it happens, there isn't that much energy in
         | chemical propellants per kg, but the rest of the engine is
         | light enough that these things can fly to orbit.
         | 
         | In a nuclear rocket, the energy comes from a nuclear reaction
         | and the gaseous fuel only provides the bulk. This is way more
         | efficient. But such rockets likely cannot achieve orbit on
         | their own because the whole set up is too heavy.
        
           | morcheeba wrote:
           | Good explanation! For completeness:
           | 
           | In an Ion jet, the energy comes from (usually) solar power
           | and the gaseous fuel provides the bulk. These are even weaker
           | because of the limited instantaneous power that can be
           | generated to feed it, but they are very efficient in how much
           | thrust they can provide per propellent weight. Some versions
           | (like arcjet) are a combination chemical rocket/Ion jet.
        
           | morkalork wrote:
           | Would it be possible to skim the upper atmosphere while in
           | orbit around a planet and top-up the gas reserves?
        
             | MPSimmons wrote:
             | Almost definitely not. If there's enough material to
             | collect in a realistically short timeframe, there's enough
             | drag to bring the craft back into the atmosphere.
        
               | dgoldstein0 wrote:
               | Also you'd be fighting conservation of momentum - if the
               | material you gather isn't going your speed and direction,
               | you lose some of your speed and direction to pick it up.
               | Given how fast anything has to go to reach orbit (about
               | 17000mph for low Earth orbit) and escape velocity is
               | about 41% higher, that speed difference would be a major
               | problem.
               | 
               | For atmospheric flight the closest thing is a jet engine
               | which is "air breathing", i.e. requires air to run and
               | works in part by sucking air in, using some of the Oxygen
               | in it for combustion, and shoving the extra air out the
               | back. This gives them much higher efficiency than
               | chemical rocket engines, as they don't have to carry
               | their own oxidizer or the mass to eject for propulsion -
               | but only works because the air is dense enough where they
               | operate. Which is not true for space flight. Commercial
               | jets typically fly a bit under the speed of sound in air
               | which is 767mph. Of course supersonic air craft exist - I
               | think mach 5 is achievable by some military jets - but
               | that's still a fraction of orbital velocity. Anyhow
               | running in the atmosphere means jets don't "scoop up air"
               | in any sense but rather just use it immediately - so any
               | lost momentum can be immediately countered by the engine.
               | 
               | Another direction to think about it - a simple model for
               | air resistance says that air resistance increases with
               | the square of your velocity (and with the density of air,
               | which exponentially decays with height though also
               | depends on temperature. I think the height wins out
               | though. Not sure if the equation works at extremely high
               | altitude. But certainly this favors using air at lower
               | altitudes and probably also lower speeds
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drag_(physics)
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Density_of_air
        
         | hutzlibu wrote:
         | "Is it that nuclear heat is able to make it go faster and
         | provide more reactive force than burning it?"
         | 
         | Yes, that is mostly it. Just compare the explosion from some
         | hydrogen with a nuclear bomb. It is all about energy for mass
         | in space, because all the fuel you have, you have to bring up
         | into space, which needs more fuel, so need more fuel to bring
         | that fuel up ... nuclear could help with that mass ratio a lot.
         | And I like the concept in theory - as long as none of them
         | explodes halfway up to space.
        
         | p1mrx wrote:
         | The temperature of a gas is proportional to the average kinetic
         | energy of its particles. So if you compare (e.g.) water vapor
         | to hydrogen at the same temperature, the hydrogen molecules are
         | moving faster.
         | 
         | A hydrogen+oxygen chemical rocket propels H2O, while a nuclear
         | thermal rocket can use the lightest propellant (H2) because the
         | heat comes from elsewhere.
         | 
         | Smaller molecule, faster exhaust, better rocket.
        
           | dgoldstein0 wrote:
           | Wouldn't we care more about the momentum of the exhaust
           | rather than the mass? I'm not quite following why lighter
           | particles are better
        
         | ridgeguy wrote:
         | It's the high temperature and the lower exhaust molecular
         | weight.
         | 
         | Specific impulse (Isp) is how much force you get from each mass
         | unit of propellant you exhaust. So an engine with Isp = 300
         | gives 300lbs force for every pound of exhaust gas mass.
         | 
         | IIRC, Isp scales as the inverse square root of exhaust
         | molecular weight. So a pure (molecular) hydrogen exhaust would
         | have a molecular weight of 2. A pure H2/O2 engine would have an
         | exhaust of H2O (assume it's running at stochiometric H2/O2
         | ratio to simplify things), or an average molecular weight of
         | 18.
         | 
         | For everything else being equal (temperature, pressure, etc.),
         | the H2 Isp would be sqrt(18/2), about 3x the H2/O2 Isp. That's
         | mainly why rocketeers would like nuclear engines, more oomf
         | from a given mass of propellant. It's also (conceptually)
         | simpler because you only need to handle one propellant vs. two
         | or more for conventional liquid fuel combustion.
         | 
         | It's more complex, of course. If the reactor is really hot, it
         | can partially dissociate H2 into atomic hydrogen, lowering the
         | exhaust molecular weight still more. But dissociation is an
         | energetically expensive process, so there's bound to be a
         | tradeoff between energy consumed by dissociation vs. increased
         | Isp. I've no clue how that would work out.
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | The real limiting issue tends to be materials in the reactor
           | - at some point, every known material is a liquid or a gas
           | and the reactor stops being an ongoing concern.
           | 
           | Usually reactors run cooler by several orders of magnitude,
           | as this is referred to as a 'meltdown' and people get snippy
           | about the releases of radiation and expensive cleanup crews,
           | etc.
           | 
           | Space is more forgiving and has fewer HOA types, so they can
           | go closer to the limits - but it's still the same underlying
           | issue.
        
       | pseingatl wrote:
       | But, can we get to .99c?
        
       | yieldcrv wrote:
       | If we can build them in space I would be interested
        
       | foreverobama wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | mdorazio wrote:
       | Finally! This is one of the few fission uses I'm genuinely
       | excited about. Nuclear-thermal just makes so much sense for in-
       | space propulsion of large vessels compared to chemical rockets.
        
         | somenameforme wrote:
         | I think the obvious concern would be failure scenarios. There
         | will always be failures in space technology. As space expands
         | exponentially (as it is likely to do so in the future),
         | failures will become relatively regular. So the obvious
         | question would be what would happen if a nuclear rocket, with
         | reaction in process, crashed to Earth. Or even if it broke up
         | in the atmosphere.
        
           | semi-extrinsic wrote:
           | I assume here you mean to denote by "space" the number of
           | human spacecraft, and not the negative pressure contribution
           | in the cosmological stress-energy tensor. In that case, why
           | should it be likely to expand exponentially in the future?
        
           | ethbr1 wrote:
           | The idea is also to use this for solar system propulsion,
           | rather than Earth to orbit.
           | 
           | Consequently, reactor payloads would be carried on a very
           | small fraction of launches, then used in space for an
           | extended amount of time.
        
           | sebzim4500 wrote:
           | >As space expands exponentially (as it is likely to do so in
           | the future), failures will become relatively regular.
           | 
           | It's possible that reliability/safety will improve as fast as
           | the launch cadence does, in which case we could see the
           | accident rate staying flat or decreasing.
        
           | avar wrote:
           | > Or even if it broke up         > in the atmosphere.
           | 
           | The atmosphere we've already detonated over 500 nuclear
           | weapons in?
        
           | pdntspa wrote:
           | Isn't there a way you can shoot the whole apparatus into the
           | sky while it is inert and then activate in space?
        
             | nukeman wrote:
             | Yes, you can have the reactor offline, with control rods
             | inserted for launch. Then when you reach the requisite
             | altitude, withdraw the control rods and start up the
             | reactor. In the event of a launch accident and potential
             | destruction of the reactor, the enriched uranium fuel would
             | be a chemical hazard (uranium is a heavy metal like lead),
             | but only a mild radiation hazard (since there are no high-
             | gamma fission products, and the uranium has undergone heavy
             | purification prior to fuel fabrication).
        
           | aziaziazi wrote:
           | It already happened with Kosmos 954 and will probably happen
           | again soon: ~20 other satellites had been sent in space with
           | the same tech. Kosmos crashed away from (human) life centers
           | but that was a huge stroke of luck. Research area was 100k+
           | km2.
           | 
           | Launches are less to be feared because they are oriented
           | toward sea and the most critical moment are the first
           | minutes. The device discussed is intended to travel away from
           | earth so as you noted it won't be dangerous after it quit
           | orbit.
           | 
           | Disclaimer: not skilled in any related field, just a consumer
           | of space science popularization videos for newbies.
        
           | SkyMarshal wrote:
           | _> As space expands exponentially (as it is likely to do so
           | in the future), failures will become relatively regular._
           | 
           | Or it could go the way of the airline industry where failures
           | become less regular as the industry develops ways of
           | systematically reducing them.
           | 
           | Also, nuclear rockets should probably be launched to earth
           | orbit in pieces, separately, so that if any one launch fails
           | it won't create a nuclear accident in the biosphere. Then
           | assemble and power up the nuclear rocket as far away from
           | earth as possible.
        
         | jamesaurichs wrote:
         | US seems to be in a hardware/science renaissance, now that
         | there is a new Cold War enemy, and manufacturing and research
         | are being brought back to US.
        
           | echelon wrote:
           | Peace time = smart phone incrementalism, social media, ad
           | tech, Bitcoin, NFTs, WeWork, low interest rate malinvestment,
           | Twitter/Tumblr pessimism
           | 
           | Cold war = rocket science, new fuels, materials science,
           | major computing advancements, supply chain changes,
           | innovation, science hype, broad optimism
           | 
           | I know most of this is happenstance and that peace time
           | doesn't itself cause lackluster development, but it is
           | interesting and palpable.
           | 
           | I was so down on 2000 - 2020, but the decade ahead is
           | exciting, and I'm filled with motivation.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | > Cold war = rocket science, new fuels, materials science,
             | major computing advancements, supply chain changes,
             | innovation, science hype, broad optimism
             | 
             | Next time the cold war cools down, we need to invent
             | something to replace it.
        
               | gpderetta wrote:
               | They tried with the war on terror, but it just wasn't the
               | same thing.
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | Broad optimism? Science hype? Are we living in the same
             | country?
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | One thing I learned from the outside, the US - like any
               | large country, BTW - is wildly diverse in pretty much
               | _every_ aspect.
        
           | goodbyesf wrote:
           | Are all your comments propaganda talking points? Every single
           | one of your comments is anti-china propaganda talking points
           | we hear everywhere.
        
           | 0xDEF wrote:
           | From across the pond it feels like American millennials and
           | Gen-Z have already declared their country to be a failed
           | state.
           | 
           | How much can a nation progress if its youth is pessimistic
           | about everything? It doesn't matter whether the pessimism is
           | based on actual problems (healthcare, housing prices etc.) or
           | learned through terminally online reddit/twitter consumption.
        
             | bogota wrote:
             | Don't confuse what you read online or in the news with what
             | is actually happening.
        
             | jamesaurichs wrote:
             | If we're talking about the contents on TikTok, there's
             | probably a very good reason why the ultimate owner of
             | TikTok, the Chinese government, wants that kind of content
             | to be the majority sentiment on the platform.
        
             | SonicScrub wrote:
             | As the folk-wisdom goes "Twitter isn't real life". The ones
             | who have that opinion are the terminally online.
        
               | godzillabrennus wrote:
               | It's amazing reading this knowing a billionaire
               | squandered that brand name after pouring billions into
               | acquiring it. I hope when the smoldering ruins are
               | auctioned at the bankruptcy proceedings jack gets to buy
               | it back and uses it for his decentralized network.
        
         | asu_thomas wrote:
         | Personally, I'd rather prioritize our fellow citizens having a
         | dry place to sleep at night.
        
           | version_five wrote:
           | It's funny because it's this, turning inward and waging war
           | on ourselves after there wasn't an obvious enemy anymore
           | that's responsible for the decline the upstream comment was
           | talking about. Post WWII through the 90s saw massive
           | increases in global standard of living, 2020's the west has
           | gone back to religious squabbles over absurd ideological
           | things. _Watchmen_ had a similar idea.
        
           | zaptrem wrote:
           | Investment in space has historically led to a
           | disproportionate return in economic growth.
        
       | honeybadger1 wrote:
       | The more adoption of nuclear technologies with practical
       | application, the better.
        
         | bigfudge wrote:
         | That's an odd thing to say. Almost as if you're in favour of
         | nuclear for nuclear's sake? Plenty of people have reasonable
         | reservations about use of nuclear, not least the social
         | /political ones of where to store waste that are still mostly
         | unsolved. Blasting fission cores into space on rockets with
         | fairly high failure rates in absolute terms seems like a fairly
         | fine balance to strike?
        
           | 23B1 wrote:
           | Probably depends on your risk profile. Do we find new ways to
           | safely generate energy using nuclear, or slowly cook
           | ourselves alive on the planet's surface?
           | 
           | Or to put it another way, at what point should we throw a
           | Hail Mary in the energy demand game?
        
           | randallsquared wrote:
           | You don't need to store nuclear waste, since you can burn it
           | up in some fuel cycles. Essentially all the problems of
           | nuclear power on the ground are political issues --
           | entrenched interests, weapons proliferation, and so forth --
           | not technological ones like safer reactors and nuclear waste.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mvdwoord wrote:
       | So they are strapping a nuclear power plant to a huge vessel of
       | explosive liquids..
       | 
       | Will the first launch be on PPV?
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | RTGs have been going to space since the 60s [1].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioisotope_thermoelectric_...
        
           | flangola7 wrote:
           | RTGs do not use fission and do not create fission products.
           | Nuclear fuels are harmless in comparison to Strontium-90 and
           | Cesium-137.
        
             | philipkglass wrote:
             | There won't be any fission products in the fuel if the
             | chemical launcher fails to take the nuclear payload to
             | orbit. The reactor activates for the first time after the
             | initial orbital launch. The virgin fission fuel is less
             | radiotoxic than RTG fuel.
        
             | 65a wrote:
             | Then you are going to love SNAP-10A
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SNAP-10A
        
               | moffkalast wrote:
               | And the 31 RORSAT reactors
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BES-5
        
       | devanatha wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TEM_(nuclear_propulsion)
        
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