[HN Gopher] Wendelstein 7-X: Gigajoule energy turnover generated...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Wendelstein 7-X: Gigajoule energy turnover generated for eight
       minutes
        
       Author : greesil
       Score  : 490 points
       Date   : 2023-08-11 18:36 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ipp.mpg.de)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ipp.mpg.de)
        
       | YossarianFrPrez wrote:
       | If I understand things correctly, the problem with magnetic
       | confinement (e.g. Tokomaks, Stellarators) is that once you have
       | heated a plasma such that it is "fusing," how do you get the
       | power out with out cooling the very plasma you've just spent a
       | lot of energy heating up?
       | 
       | Helion, a fusion startup, claims to have solved this problem via
       | capturing an induced current from colliding two hot plasmas
       | together. I'd be curious if there is any way the Wendelstein can
       | produce electricity.
        
         | Tuna-Fish wrote:
         | Most fusion power systems assume they are doing that as
         | neutrons. D-T fusion conveniently has the proportion of energy
         | that gets lost from the plasma as KE of neutrons be pretty
         | close to the amount of energy that a conveniently sized fusion
         | reactor can afford to remove from the plasma.
         | 
         | Then you trap the neutrons with, for example, a lithium
         | blanket, use them to breed more tritium, and produce energy
         | with a turbine from the heating of the blanket.
        
           | YossarianFrPrez wrote:
           | Ah, got ya. Thanks for the information.
        
       | marsven_422 wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | Roark66 wrote:
       | >new record for discharge time on Wendelstein 7-X: the hot plasma
       | could be maintained for eight minutes.
       | 
       | This is of course a milestone, but note they're currently testing
       | the heating system. It doesn't mean there was any fusion
       | happening.
        
       | karmajunkie wrote:
       | This is perhaps an obvious question to some, but I'll ask it
       | anyway: How is the power generated here converted into usable
       | electricity?
       | 
       | I know for conventional fission reactors the heat of fission is
       | basically used to run a steam turbine. Given the extreme heat of
       | the plasma, and that it must be magnetically suspended so that it
       | doesn't even touch the sides of the containment, how is that heat
       | transferred to some other medium to generate electricity?
        
         | mdprock wrote:
         | here there is no power generated as it's not working with
         | deuterium-tritium. most of the heating will heat the plasma and
         | a fraction of this will reach the cooling system. To make a
         | comparison ITER is expected to have 50 MW heating for 400
         | seconds approx. = 20 GJoule. Using a DT mix will result though
         | in 500 MW Fusion Power
        
         | peteradio wrote:
         | You still get heat transfer from uncharged elements I guess.
        
         | Etheryte wrote:
         | I'm not sure if it's the case for this specific reactor, but
         | the common answer to this question is that you need cooling in
         | the surrounding walls and the coolant that runs through the
         | walls transfers the heat out where it can be used to do useful
         | work.
        
         | WJW wrote:
         | Given that the plasma is several million degrees, it will
         | radiate a lot of energy and heat up the walls even if it does
         | not directly touch them. Just cooling the walls can heat up the
         | cooling fluid enough to later produce steam with. AFAIK the
         | Wendelstein machine is not configured for electricity
         | production though, so the cooling is just cooling atm.
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | > Given that the plasma is several million degrees, it will
           | radiate a lot of energy
           | 
           | That doesn't entirely follow. 2 particles whizzing past each
           | other at relativistic speeds have extreme temperatures but
           | don't offer much energy. Mass is in this equation.
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | What if you have 10^20 particles? Each charged particle
             | emits photons with energy/frequency proportional to their
             | speed (Bremsstrahlung). This is mostly from electrons
             | because they are much lighter and so are much
             | hotter/faster. Plasmas are quasineutral though so you'll
             | have those electrons present. There is a long line of
             | research trying to get away from that constraint with
             | little luck so far (but it should continue to be worked
             | on!).
             | 
             | Jumpjng back up the stack: photon radiation is mostly
             | considered a loss since it transfers energy out of
             | confinement and does not impart it on other fuel. You
             | nominally extract your heat via neutrons: same as fission
             | reactors. Some designs (Helion) aim for reactions with
             | charged byproducts. The reaction produces a current that
             | can be coupled by a surrounding coil, much like a
             | transformer but powered by current induced by plasma rather
             | than another copper wire.
        
         | fizigura wrote:
         | They currently run a bad-ass heatsink (which is one of the main
         | challenges of this project, i.e., how to cool it), but
         | eventually you will use that heat to convert it into
         | electricity, yes.
         | 
         | For the German-speaking crowd here, the Alternativlos podcast
         | guys were there twice and had lengtly conversations with the
         | researchers there. Like, between nerds. Really cool, if you
         | understand the language.
         | 
         | https://alternativlos.org/36/ (from 2016)
         | 
         | https://alternativlos.org/51/ (most recent, from may 2023)
        
           | drannex wrote:
           | Omega Tau also visited and talked with some of the
           | researchers and has a great podcast episode on it (and truth
           | be told, all of their episodes are great).
           | 
           | https://omegataupodcast.net/312-the-
           | wendelstein-7-x-fusion-e... (from 2019, 3Hrs, English)
        
         | tsimionescu wrote:
         | Most of the answers are missing the actual (proposed)
         | mechanism.
         | 
         | The energy of the reaction is mostly carried away as high-
         | energy neutrons. So, the way to get energy back is to "capture"
         | those neutrons. Since neutrons are not electrically charged,
         | you can't use them to directly create electricity, so all
         | you're left with is using them for heat.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, since they are electrically neutral, they're
         | also relatively hard to catch. You need a dense material where
         | they will have a good chance to hit some nucleus. The proposed
         | designs are typically some kind of liquid metal blanket being
         | circulated around the reactor and onto a place where it can
         | boil water to produce steam to spin a turbine. Lithium is the
         | metal most proposed for this, since it also has the advantage
         | that it can produce tritium when bombarded with neutrons
         | (tritium being the super rare half of the fuel that goes into
         | the reaction).
        
           | lambdatronics wrote:
           | Just to amplify on your point about lithium: the tritium
           | production function is critical. Every fusion neutron needs
           | to produce more than one tritium atom on average, so that the
           | reactor is sustainable (there are inevitable losses & tritium
           | also decays radioactively) or even making excess tritium (to
           | bootstrap other reactors). This is challenging b/c even in
           | the best case each neutron can produce maybe 2 tritium atoms,
           | so there's not much margin. The lithium needs to comprise
           | most of the material surrounding the plasma, limiting the
           | fraction that's available for other functions (structural
           | supports, heat shielding, cooling, plasma control & heating
           | systems, sensors, etc).
        
           | stouset wrote:
           | What eventually happens to the excess neutron "waste"? Surely
           | there's some negative consequence to producing an enormous
           | number of neutrons, no?
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | All the neutrons that don't get caught by the blanket will
             | usually be caught by the support structure of the reactor,
             | damaging it and making it radioactive. This puts a cap on
             | the maximum lifetime of this type of fusion reactor until
             | significant parts of the structure need to be dismantled
             | and replaced, and stored as highly radioactive waste. As
             | far as I know, current estimates suggest something like a
             | decade - one of the biggest problems with the economics of
             | fusion power plants.
        
           | quickthrower2 wrote:
           | What is happening in a star to emit useful radiation? I feel
           | I should know that, I probably did but forgot.
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | Stars rely on gravitation to confine the plasma instead of
             | magnetic fields, and they can reach the energy densities
             | needed for other fusion reactions, typically D+D, which
             | produces less neutrons. Also, there are hundreds of
             | thousands of kilometers between the center of the sun and
             | its outermost layers - neutrons produced in the core will
             | have plenty of time to be absorbed by something else on
             | their way out.
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | It's always fascinating to me that, no matter how many
           | interesting new ways to release lots of energy we develop, we
           | are still stuck with the same method for converting it to
           | electricity: release the energy as heat, use heat to make
           | steam, use steam to drive generator.
        
             | rocqua wrote:
             | Steam turbines are actually quite a bad method, because
             | pure heat is a difficult energy source. It's just also a
             | very available energy source.
             | 
             | The 90% efficiency quoted in the comments is 90% of
             | theoretical maximum efficiency. This theoretical maximum is
             | about 50% for the best systems.
        
             | jessriedel wrote:
             | The reason just that this is a simple process for which a
             | steam turbine can achieves 90% of the thermodynamic
             | optimum. To my knowledge, the only reason people consider
             | alternatives is to reduce capital costs. You're still
             | capped by thermodynamics though.
        
               | nerdponx wrote:
               | That's what I was wondering: if heat -> steam -> turbine
               | is close enough to the theoretical upper limit and you
               | get diminishing returns by other means.
               | 
               | Still, it seems very indirect. Like generating solar
               | power by using a parabolic mirror to heat water instead
               | of photovoltaic panels... but of course I just found an
               | example of doing that too:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parabolic_trough
        
               | Iulioh wrote:
               | There are multiple solutions of that sort but all failed
               | due to high maintenance costs
               | 
               | Usually the liquid is some sort of oil that csn reach
               | higher temperature and then the oil is used to heat water
               | 
               | Another design uses hundreds of mirror centered around a
               | high tower with molten salts as the heat medium
               | 
               | The really good part of this design is that the molted
               | salts can produce energy for 3-4h after the sun is set.
        
             | sambapa wrote:
             | It's because we're in local maximum - steam turbines are
             | just so developed
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | Well, we do have some other strategies. Hydro and wind just
             | turn the turbine mechanically, they don't heat up water to
             | make steam. And photovoltaics create electricity directly
             | using an effect that won Einstein the Nobel prize and began
             | the age of quantum mechanics, so that's about as advanced
             | as they come.
        
             | NateEag wrote:
             | Helion is planning to use induction to generate electricity
             | from the fusion reaction's generated magnetic field, IIUC:
             | 
             | https://www.helionenergy.com/faq/
             | 
             | (See "How does Helion generate electricity from fusion?"
             | question)
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | Which doesn't make sense for power generation since there
               | will always be some percentage of neutrons produced by
               | any type of fusion reaction that can only be useful for
               | generating steam.
               | 
               | To entirely skip the steam cycle portion is to
               | intentionally make a much less efficient design.
               | 
               | For space-constrained, high-value, applications where
               | economics don't matter that much, such as a submarine,
               | that would make sense, but otherwise...
        
               | jessriedel wrote:
               | You could always add the liquid metal blanket if you want
               | to eke out the extra 10% (or if you want to generate
               | tritium). But it's not worth the complication in an early
               | prototype.
        
               | DennisP wrote:
               | Helion's fuel mix produces just 6% of its energy as
               | neutron radiation, and if you harvest it you'll lose a
               | third of that. As long as you have enough net energy,
               | collecting that 4% might not make financial sense.
               | 
               | With fuel costs insignificant, your cost per kWh is
               | mainly capital cost. Let's say it's all capital just to
               | keep it simple. I don't know how much the input energy
               | will be but if your choice is between, say, generating
               | net energy of 50MW without a turbine or 54MW with a
               | turbine, then you would skip the turbine if it adds more
               | than 8% to the capital cost. I suspect Helion has done
               | this calculation in detail.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | It does seem to hinge on the cost of fuel, I have some
               | doubts about whether they can secure a fuel supply so
               | cheap as to skip out on that extra 4 MW, even after
               | factoring in the cost of a small steam turbine
               | installation.
        
               | DennisP wrote:
               | Deuterium costs several thousand dollars/kilogram. But
               | even though it is just one part in several thousand of
               | the hydrogen in water, there's enough deuterium in your
               | morning shower to provide all your energy needs for a
               | year.[1] Cost of deuterium is definitely insignificant.
               | 
               | Helion's other fuel is helium-3 which they'll make
               | themselves by fusing deuterium. So the helium-3 cost will
               | directly depend on the capital cost of the reactor
               | producing it.
               | 
               | (This may be the same reactor, both generating
               | electricity and breeding He3. Or they may use dedicated
               | He3 breeders, and minimize the D-D reactions in the
               | generators.)
               | 
               | [1] https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2012/01/nuclear-fusion/
        
               | gus_massa wrote:
               | They plan to use 2D + 3He -> 4He + 1H, so no neutrons htt
               | ps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aneutronic_fusion#Candidate_re
               | ...
               | 
               | (I'm still not convinced of their explanations, but a
               | fast proton may be easy to catch by the magnetic field
               | and create the effect they want.)
        
               | fastneutron wrote:
               | Nitpick: You're always going to get some parasitic D+D
               | reactions because it's reaction cross section is
               | appreciably higher than D + 3He below 50 keV, and non-
               | negligible even after the crossover point.
        
               | skykooler wrote:
               | Doesn't D+D just yield 4He (and no neutrons) though?
        
               | philipkglass wrote:
               | It yields 3He plus a 2.45 MeV neutron at least part of
               | the time.
               | 
               | See the diagram here: https://undsci.berkeley.edu/teach-
               | resources/products-of-deut...
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | Helion is planning to use a different fusion reaction,
               | one where the bulk of the energy will be coming out as
               | charged particles, not neutrons.
               | 
               | However, D+T fusion is the only type of fusion that we
               | have been able to sustain for any significant amount of
               | time with reasonable energy inputs. What Helion is
               | planning to do is completely unexplored and requires some
               | major scientific advances.
        
         | 2-718-281-828 wrote:
         | probably boiling water and the steam drives turbines whose
         | coils and rotating magnets produce electricity.
        
         | idiotsecant wrote:
         | Yes, the boring and actually feasible answer is steam.
         | 
         | But it sure is fun to dream!
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_energy_conversion
        
           | midasuni wrote:
           | Isn't one of the problems with nuclear that it increases
           | water temperature in rivers
        
             | calfuris wrote:
             | That's a problem associated with a particular cooling
             | system design, so it's more of a thermal power problem than
             | a nuclear power problem.
        
               | midasuni wrote:
               | Ok so wouldn't it be a problem with a fusion/thermal
               | system too?
        
         | jtriangle wrote:
         | Same way most electricity is made, you use the energy created
         | to heat up water into high pressure steam, high pressure steam
         | turns a turbine(s) which turn gensets that produce 3 phase AC
         | current.
         | 
         | This one in particular isn't setup to do that, and as far as I
         | know, none are yet. It's a pretty simple engineering problem,
         | and, until we can maintain fusion for months at a time, it's
         | not really something that needs to be built.
         | 
         | There is, however, one fusion concept that shows some promise
         | that doesn't require all that that helion energy is developing
         | (helionenergy.com) they're yet to create net-power, but, their
         | idea has some promise, and avoids the common problems with
         | other forms of fusion power. I don't really see it as the be-
         | all to end-all in the space, but from what I can tell they very
         | well might be the stopgap that is needed between large scale
         | stellerators and fission.
        
       | gregfjohnson wrote:
       | Question for this knowledgeable group of people: Which fusion
       | start-ups look promising? How does inertial confinement look? Any
       | thoughts on the newly funded start-up Blue Laser Fusion? Any
       | thoughts on one of the older players, TAE? How about
       | Commonwealth? Helion? Others?
        
         | audunw wrote:
         | I think Helion is most promising for two reasons. 1. Even if
         | the more traditional fusion power plants manage to generate the
         | plasma itself in a device that's not too expensive (big if) it
         | seems that just the heat exchange mechanism itself would be
         | extremely complicated and expensive. And since they're thermal
         | power plants you're limited in where you can put them and how
         | big they must be to be economical.
         | 
         | 2. As CO2 emissions come down, I think there will be some focus
         | on thermal power plants contribution to global warming. Helion
         | will still be adding heat to the planet that wasn't there
         | before, but there will be less heat for a given amount of
         | electric energy. It's also not going to rely on dumping all
         | that heat in a river. I don't know if Helion is feasible. But
         | it feels like it's the only technology that could be feasible.
        
         | greesil wrote:
         | Zap Energy. They're at least thinking about co-opting existing
         | infrastructure.
         | 
         | https://www.neimagazine.com/news/newszap-energy-considers-re...
         | 
         | Also their concept is just so weird, I love it. Worst case it
         | works in space as a nuclear fusion drive :)
         | 
         | My guess is that they're all going to tank without government
         | money, unless by some miracle they have truly found some
         | special low-cost of operation on the first try that beats the
         | current heavily optimized solutions for power generation.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | Sorry, but this is bullshit. A steam turbine and a generator
           | will be a _minor_ detail in the overall list of expenses
           | building a fusion generator.
           | 
           | It's like saying: "We should build an airport here in the
           | desert, because we'll be able to save on cutting the grass!"
        
             | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
             | I feel like it's more like saying, we should build an
             | airport here, because it's near a city and in a good
             | location, and the land is cheap because no one else wants
             | it for a number of reasons and this is the only thing that
             | practically makes sense to go there.
             | 
             | It's not going to save a meaningful amount of money. But
             | that doesn't mean it's a bad idea.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Sure. But even in your example the site selection won't
               | help you much to build the airport, you still need to do
               | that, and it's still going to be massively expensive.
               | 
               | I'm also in general skeptical about conversions of coal
               | power plants into nuclear even for fission. Typical
               | nuclear plants produce much milder steam temperatures and
               | pressures than coal power plants, so their steam turbines
               | are optimized for different conditions.
        
             | greesil wrote:
             | How would you know?
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | I worked in the nuclear energy area. I also invested
               | personal money into several fusion startups.
        
               | greesil wrote:
               | Well that'll teach me
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | I invested a non-trivial amount of my personal money into TAE
         | (Tri-Alpha Energy). They periodically raise more funds, so it's
         | not hard to get in.
         | 
         | From the overall perspective, Tokamak Energy also looks
         | promising and I'm planning to invest.
        
       | mjfl wrote:
       | The Stellarator is theoretically a superior design over the
       | Tokamak, designed to neutralize the JxB force, where J is the
       | current through the plasma and B is the magnetic field guiding
       | the plasma around the device. By twisting the plasma into a shape
       | where the curl of B (proportional to J) is parallel to B, i.e. a
       | helix, the cross product is 0, and thus there are no net
       | magnetohydrodynamic forces on the plasma.
        
         | juujian wrote:
         | 'Theoretically' is the right word for sure. iirc, the
         | predecessor of the Wendelstein led to the bankruptcy of the
         | engineering firms building the parts, because tolerances were
         | so tight and they failed multiple times to land within the
         | constraints.
        
           | mjfl wrote:
           | true. but on the other hand, the 'theoretical' is being
           | turned into practice as evidenced by this 8 minute
           | containment. the best a tokamak can do is half a second.
        
             | krasin wrote:
             | Tokamak record time for plasma confinement is 403 seconds
             | as of April 2023, see https://english.cas.cn/newsroom/mutim
             | edia_news/202304/t20230...
             | 
             | 403s is about 7 minutes, so less than Wendelstein 7-X.
        
               | posterboy wrote:
               | They could go longer. 7-8 mins is an arbitrary cut off
               | out of fear that something might break ( _quench_ ),
               | knowing that enough data has been gathered for the time
               | being.
        
           | posterboy wrote:
           | The first Alternativlos Podcast of two conducted with the
           | leader of the Wendelstein X project relates how certain
           | magnetic coils were purpose made by a kind of emeritus
           | engineer in Swiss. Which seems corollary to the common wisdom
           | about EMI, it's magic, so the manufacturer must be a wizard.
           | 
           | On the other hand it is reminiscent of a Georgian I met who
           | used to be occupied with winding regular tire sized coils by
           | hand, for over land transmission lines. This is _chirurgical
           | precision_ , literally hand-craft.
           | 
           | We do a lot of thinking with our hands. It stands to reason,
           | metaphorically speaking, that Wendelstein is an experiment to
           | gain hands on experience. Therein lies the difference to
           | megalomanic projects that exceed initial estimates, eg. BER
           | airport, which are a running gag by now.
           | 
           | Insolvency means the investment returned no profits so
           | investors on those projects stopped paying. It likely doesn't
           | mean that the cheques bounced on liabilities. And it
           | obviously doesn't mean that investment in this space had to
           | stop.
        
             | codethief wrote:
             | > It likely doesn't mean that the cheques bounced on
             | liabilities.
             | 
             | But that's exactly what it means:
             | 
             | https://dejure.org/gesetze/InsO/17.html
        
           | nielsbot wrote:
           | W7-X is a new stellarator design. It's magnet arrangement was
           | optimized using a lot of compute time and is designed to
           | overcome the faults of previous more naive designs.
        
             | nielsbot wrote:
             | *its. ugh.
        
         | moffkalast wrote:
         | The last time it was in the news I think naysayers listed the
         | main caveat with stellerators as something along the lines of
         | very low plasma density compared to tokamaks, which makes them
         | unable to get anywhere close to the energy break even point.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | The main problem with stellerators is their murderous
           | complexity. You need to manufacture several thousand
           | different parts with complicated 3D geometry, micron-level
           | precision, and from unobtanium-class materials.
           | 
           | All while not being able to properly simulate the outcome on
           | a computer.
           | 
           | Stellarators are superior to tokamaks, so an energy-positive
           | stellerator will be about 2 times smaller than a tokamak. But
           | we're still talking about a building-sized vacuum chamber.
           | 
           | That's why for ITER it makes sense to go with a simpler
           | design to de-risk the main objective: building a burning
           | plasma laboratory.
        
           | willis936 wrote:
           | Doesn't really track. Stellarators can operate above the
           | Greenwald density limit. They just have shorter confinement
           | times for a given field strength and major radius.
           | 
           | http://fusionwiki.ciemat.es/wiki/Greenwald_limit
        
       | expertentipp wrote:
       | With gas cut off from pipeline terminated in Greifswald, how will
       | they power now this bottomless energy pit? They still have some
       | money, but a finite amount.
        
       | TaylorAlexander wrote:
       | Speaking of fusion does anyone know what is going on with SPARC
       | at Commonwealth Fusion Systems? I have been very excited about
       | their system but they are understandably in a deep development
       | and construction cycle after a $2B investment, so all their news
       | page has for the last year are updated business deals and awards.
       | I would love to hear how reactor construction is going.
        
         | cmplxconjugate wrote:
         | My best friend works for them in diagnostic sub-systems
         | development. The product is still a long way off delivery with
         | many systems being actively designed and refined. Basically
         | it's busy but will still be quite a while (3-5+ years at
         | least).
        
           | TaylorAlexander wrote:
           | Makes sense. I would love to see a blog post with some
           | progress pics, but I understand that building a fusion
           | reactor is simply a slow process!
        
             | howenterprisey wrote:
             | Their progress pics are on Instagram and TikTok
             | (unfortunately): https://www.instagram.com/cfs.energy/
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | Gotcha that is helpful thank you!
        
             | QuantumG wrote:
             | I expect they'd happily give access to anyone who wanted to
             | cover it. Say, if someone wanted to do quarterly update
             | videos, and had the appropriate skills, they'd only have to
             | find the right person to ask, on the academic side. Hint.
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | Thanks. I do have the appropriate skills but I live in
               | California and I'm busy with my own world changing
               | projects that need videos produced about them! I just
               | want to read blog posts about what's happening.
        
           | QuantumG wrote:
           | Thanks for the update. I was taking no news as good news and
           | didn't expect to hear anything until 2025 anyway.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | aidenn0 wrote:
       | What is "energy turnover" in this usage?
       | 
       | [edit]
       | 
       | Found it: "Energy turnover is defined as the amount of heat
       | multiplied by the duration of the discharge[1]." By "amount of
       | heat" I assume they mean "heating power delivered to the plasma"
       | b/c the the only way to multiply by time and get Joules is to
       | start with power.
       | 
       | 1:
       | https://gigazine.net/gsc_news/en/20230227-wendelstein-7-x-en...
        
         | snarkconjecture wrote:
         | Yes, it's a little buried but the article says
         | 
         | > The energy turnover results from the coupled heating power
         | multiplied by the duration of the discharge
         | 
         | The numbers:
         | 
         | > The energy turnover of 1.3 gigajoule was achieved with an
         | average heating power of 2.7 megawatts, whereby the discharge
         | lasted 480 seconds
         | 
         | Also:
         | 
         | > Within a few years, the plan is to increase the energy
         | turnover at Wendelstein 7-X to 18 gigajoules, with the plasma
         | then being kept stable for half an hour
         | 
         | i.e. 10 megawatts for 30 minutes
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | magicalhippo wrote:
           | How long does it take to restart after losing stability?
           | 
           | Ie, would it be feasible in a power plant scenario to settle
           | for 30-60 minutes of stability, and just restart?
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Isn't this similar to the monetary meaning of the word
         | turnover? Like turnover : profit <==> energy turnover : net
         | energy output?
        
           | runako wrote:
           | Possibly the poster is from a country like America where
           | "turnover" is not a preferred term to refer to gross receipts
           | of a business. (Americans typically use "revenue" instead.)
        
             | aidenn0 wrote:
             | I am indeed from the US and had never heard "turnover" to
             | mean gross receipts.
        
               | segfaltnh wrote:
               | I'm also from the US and recently had an apple turnover.
               | It was delicious.
               | 
               | I lost money on the endeavor, though.
        
           | alkonaut wrote:
           | So when this had a turnover of 1.3 GJ (361 kWh), was that
           | with a net loss in the end? How much electricity did they put
           | in?
        
             | aidenn0 wrote:
             | My layman's understanding:
             | 
             | There has never been a net-positive-energy magnetic
             | confinement fusion experiment. Inertial confinement fusion
             | has had 2 events that were "more energy out of the fuel
             | than delivered to the fuel." But is still about a factor of
             | 100 away from what is needed for "more electricity in than
             | out"
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | vilhelm_s wrote:
             | The 1.3 GJ is how much electricity they put in. There is no
             | fusion reaction or energy production, it's just an
             | experimental device to study plasma containment.
        
       | fefe23 wrote:
       | FYI: This milestone was in February.
        
       | ChuckMcM wrote:
       | I love these guys, they are just knocking down the engineering
       | challenges in their plan to completely characterize and control a
       | fusion stream. Sometimes they feel like the Tortoise in the race
       | to a working fusion power plant but they are answering questions
       | (managing wall temps and hold fusion in streams[1]) that the
       | Tokamak folks have yet to solve. My bias though is I'm way more
       | on the "D" side of the R&D spectrum and following ITER often
       | feels like pure "R."
       | 
       | [1] https://www.iter.org/of-interest/1188
        
       | aquafox wrote:
       | Interesting fact: Nuclear fusion, even if we'll make it work,
       | won't stop global warming, because the heat it creates heats up
       | the earth enough to bring us outside the Paris agreement:
       | https://twitter.com/rahmstorf/status/1605967891928596481
        
         | RivieraKid wrote:
         | One immediately apparent flaw of this argument is the
         | assumption of energy use growing by 10x over a century. But in
         | developed countries, energy use per capita has been roughly
         | stable for decades. The 2 main drivers of energy growth will
         | weaken over time (population growth + countries becoming
         | developed).
         | 
         | Also, if energy use does increase by 10x, the solution is
         | simple, build giant refrigerators powered by fusion energy to
         | cool the atmosphere. (joke)
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | I could see a plausible 10x growth if literally the entire
           | world achieved within the ballpark of 2023 US levels of per
           | capita wealth.
        
         | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
         | I don't understand the conclusion.
         | 
         | According to the article, we currently emit 2.1w/sqm in
         | greenhouse gasses.
         | 
         | If we had 10x energy and it was all fusion - it would be
         | 0.4w/sqm.
         | 
         | This sounds like a massive improvement.
         | 
         | Additionally, I'm highly skeptical we'll be using 10x the
         | energy in 100 years - when there's likely to be significantly
         | less people, and everything is getting more efficient.
         | 
         | Sounds like the same argument that China is going to continue
         | growing 10% per year for the next hundred years, because it did
         | for the last 30 years. No. China's workforce is going to
         | decline massively. It will be so much harder for them to grow
         | at the same rate, it would take a real miracle to keep growing
         | at that rate.
        
         | andbberger wrote:
         | this is a basic consequence of thermodynamics and true for all
         | power generation. the only thing to be done to minimize waste
         | heat is to to increase temperature of the hot side of the heat
         | engine, with ie advanced fission reactors.
         | 
         | and fusion never had any advantage over fission anyways, other
         | than that people aren't scared of it yet.
        
         | aquafox wrote:
         | Why the down votes? What is factually wrong with that
         | statement?
        
           | constantcrying wrote:
           | The threat of the earth heating up by 0.3 degrees due to
           | energy production is irrelevant or at least absolutely worth
           | it as a tradeoff for working fusion.
           | 
           | The dangers of climate change is not that the earth heats up
           | by some small amount, the earth can easily cope with that. It
           | is that continued greenhouse gas emissons are causing a ever
           | increasing heatup due to trapped solar energy.
           | 
           | (It is also extremely strage that he argues for geothermal in
           | his comments. Does he not realize what that is? Literally
           | heating up the surface of the earth with energy from below.)
        
           | coolspot wrote:
           | Didn't downvote you, but having unlimited energy source is
           | worth it and can allow us to remove heat from earth. Human-
           | caused CO2 alone contributes 2.1W/sqm while all current human
           | energy production is 0.04W/sqm . Removing extra CO2 alone
           | would offset 50x energy production growth. Then you can do
           | things like placing reflective satellites between earth and
           | sun.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Because the argument involves unlimited future growth in
           | energy use. Compared to the current energy use, fusion
           | (assuming it could be made to work practically) would indeed
           | solve global warming.
        
           | EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK wrote:
           | The burning of 1 kg of coal heats the earth in two ways:
           | 
           | A) the energy that is produced immediately (about 24MJ)
           | 
           | B) the excess energy absorbed from the Sun over many
           | subsequent years, caused by CO2 emitted burning that coal.
           | 
           | The B is much larger than A. The fusion only produces A, but
           | not B.
        
         | slashdev wrote:
         | Assuming I trust the math, that's plotting exponential growth
         | in energy usage out for 80 years, and assuming a fully nuclear
         | grid. Neither of those is likely. Lastly the Paris accord is a
         | pipe dream that will never happen. A target to aim for, and
         | miss. Nothing more.
        
       | lhoff wrote:
       | Related recommendation for the german-speaking crowd here:
       | 
       | The Podcast Alternativlos by Felix Von Leitner and Frank Rieger
       | were twice in Greifswald to interview some of the people behind
       | the Wendelstein. In the first episode
       | (http://alternativlos.org/36 from 2016) they mainly focused on
       | the development and build process and the history. The second one
       | is from this year and they talk about the achievements and the
       | future of Fusion (http://alternativlos.org/51/)
        
       | dumdumchan wrote:
       | > The energy turnover of 1.3 gigajoule was achieved with an
       | average heating power of 2.7 megawatts, whereby the discharge
       | lasted 480 seconds.
       | 
       | Can a physicist/thermal engineer explain what this means?
        
         | danbruc wrote:
         | They heated the plasma with a power of 2.7 MW for 480 s which
         | in total deposited 2.7 MW x 480 s = 1296 MJ, i.e. 1.3 GJ, of
         | energy into the plasma heating it up. That is the energy of 310
         | kg of TNT (4.184 MJ/kg) or burning 38 l of gasoline (34.2
         | MJ/l). Keep in mind that this energy was deposited into the
         | plasma which has a mass of only about 10 mg.
        
       | anonuser123456 wrote:
       | I don't get it; who cares? We know the equations to burn plasma;
       | that's the easy part.
       | 
       | The hard part is building a machine that can burn plasma and
       | breed tritium at appreciable rates.
       | 
       | Why even bother with these machines that can never be built
       | economically?
        
         | constantcrying wrote:
         | >Why even bother with these machines that can never be built
         | economically?
         | 
         | If you can not build a research reactor which functions well,
         | then "building a machine that can burn plasma and breed tritium
         | at appreciable rates." is more than impossible.
        
         | afterburner wrote:
         | Progress is built by iteration. Did you think the world sprung
         | into its current form in one step?
        
         | fizigura wrote:
         | We know the equations for flight. Why didn't they just build a
         | 787 in the 40s already?
         | 
         | Oh, is it because the technology didn't exist and first had to
         | be developed, in incremental refinements? Initial airplanes
         | didn't even fly and half the people trying them died? Oh...
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | The basic equations of aerodynamics led people (like von
           | Karman) to conclude that lighter than air craft would not be
           | competitive. And so it proved.
           | 
           | The basic physics of DT fusion reactors led Lidsky to
           | conclude that any DT reactor would have poor power density.
           | And so it has proved.
           | 
           | Sometimes knowledge lets one rule out whole branches of the
           | technology search tree.
        
         | munchler wrote:
         | Maintaining a controlled fusion reaction for eight freaking
         | minutes seems like a pretty worthwhile accomplishment in and of
         | itself. The only other place this is known to occur is in the
         | center of a star. Doing it here on Earth is pretty mind-blowing
         | IMHO.
        
       | rurban wrote:
       | Major unit errors, I assume:
       | 
       | > In individual areas, temperatures of up to 600 degrees Celsius
       | are reached (red areas). The divertor tiles can withstand
       | temperatures of up to 1200 degrees Celsius.
       | 
       | How many 0's are missing there?
        
         | danbruc wrote:
         | None.
         | 
         |  _The picture does NOT show the plasma itself, but the
         | temperature distribution at the water-cooled divertor baffles._
         | 
         | It's about the temperature of parts of the vessel that get
         | heated by leakage from the contained plasma.
        
       | foolfoolz wrote:
       | i've been following this project for 10 years. it's been
       | successful. but how do projects like these move faster? the
       | wendelstein 7x is never going to generate usable electricity.
       | it's supposed to be the pre cursor to the producing reactor
        
         | barbazoo wrote:
         | > the wendelstein 7x is never going to generate usable
         | electricity
         | 
         | What's the reason for that?
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | It's a research reactor, not a production reactor. Generating
           | useful electricity was never the design goal. The goal was to
           | learn _how_ to build a reactor that could generate useful
           | electricity.
        
           | ethbr0 wrote:
           | tl;dr - Output nuclear fusion power, plasma volume, and
           | magnetic field strength scale differently with reactor size
           | increases
           | 
           | In detail, I'll let someone smarter than me in nuclear
           | physics explain: https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/
           | 175830/nuclear-f...
        
           | KyleBerezin wrote:
           | We are researching fusion technology. It would take a reactor
           | many times larger to get more energy out of the facility than
           | you put in. The technology still needs to mature before a
           | reactor that size would be financially responsible.
        
             | aeyes wrote:
             | In the German Alternativlos podcast the Wendelstein team
             | (Prof. Dr. Thomas Klinger, Dr. Adrian von Stechow) recently
             | stated that it is already feasible, they estimate a cost of
             | ~EUR20B and a 5 year construction time for a commercial
             | fusion power plant if we started now.
             | 
             | https://alternativlos.org/51/
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | Yea, but compare the financial burden of that compared to
               | a solar farm of the same output. Not to mention the
               | technical risk.
        
               | fizigura wrote:
               | Solar farms on farmland? That won't scale to the energy
               | needs of 8bn+ people if we still want to keep feeding
               | them. Especially a non-vegetarian diet.
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | I'm just saying the money doesn't back the idea yet. I'm
               | not anti-fusion.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Where did he say on farmland?
        
               | bmicraft wrote:
               | No, solar farms in the desert with a HVDC lines
               | obviously.
        
               | t0mas88 wrote:
               | For less than 15 billion euro you could buy enough solar
               | to power a country the size of the Netherlands. With 5
               | billion to spend on batteries you might even make it
               | through night time usage.
               | 
               | Or in other words: Fusion is too expensive at this point
               | to be useful.
        
               | jahnu wrote:
               | That seems amazingly cheap! Are we really down to that
               | low level of cost?
        
               | t0mas88 wrote:
               | 1 euro per kW of capacity isn't that low, residential
               | systems can get below that and it includes installation
               | cost and an inverter which would both scale better for a
               | bigger system.
        
               | sp332 wrote:
               | Grid-scale solar is $33/MWh (+)
               | https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/utility-scale-
               | solar-2022-ed... and the Netherlands uses 1,000,000,000
               | MWh/year
               | https://ourworldindata.org/energy/country/netherlands so
               | it's only off by a factor of ~2.
               | 
               | (+) These numbers are for the USA. I found a mention of a
               | cheaper project in Chile
               | https://about.bnef.com/blog/cost-of-new-renewables-
               | temporari... but I don't know what the situation is in
               | Europe. And wind might be even lower.
        
               | aeyes wrote:
               | Chile is an outlier, the plants are in remote locations
               | in the Atacama desert where you have two compelling
               | reasons to build solar plants: There is a lot of space
               | where nobody lives and the sun is always shining. There
               | are mountains but there are also lots of places which are
               | flat for as far as the eye can see, an example would be
               | the Cerro Dominador plant which probably didn't require
               | any ground preparation.
               | 
               | On http://generadoras.cl/tipos-energia/energia-solar
               | scroll down to "Capacidad por region", Antofagasta and
               | Atacama are the desert regions in the with over 90% of
               | installed capacity.
               | 
               | In Germany or the Netherlands it is a bit harder to find
               | space for large solar plants.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Chile is cheaper, and in a solar-powered world energy
               | intensive industries will move to such places. If (say)
               | Sweden wants to try to preserve industries by building
               | nuclear power plants, they'll find the expensive power
               | from nukes competing against the dirt cheap power from
               | Chilean (or Namibian, or Australian, or Saudi Arabian)
               | solar.
        
               | worik wrote:
               | > in a solar-powered world energy intensive industries
               | will move to such places.
               | 
               | And to windy places. Happening already in Europe,
               | building new industrial plant close to the huge and fast
               | growing offshore North Sea wind power plants
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | The first plant is going to be more expensive, and the
               | next gens after that will benefit from things learned.
               | 
               | The first TVs were for the very rich, and had 4" bw
               | screens. Now they're 80", thin, and insanely cheap.
        
               | peteradio wrote:
               | How exactly is that calculated?
        
               | aeyes wrote:
               | From listening to the episode I'd say that it isn't much
               | more than a gut feeling derived from their experience
               | building the experimental reactor, coming from the head
               | of W7X I'd give it at least some credibility. Without
               | sufficient political will this isn't feasible at all.
        
               | fizigura wrote:
               | The same was said 20 years ago about solar power.
               | 
               | Then some countries stepped up the subsidies game and
               | booom, prices fell dramatically since suddenly everybody
               | wanted a piece of the cake. And competition drove this
               | all down.
               | 
               | All you need is for somebody to start. Or we just keep
               | telling ourselves that it's too expensive, shrug, and
               | move on.
               | 
               | Also note how the goal posts changed. Until recently,
               | everybody made fun of fusion by basically saying it's too
               | hard, it's too far in the future. Now it's not too hard
               | anymore, it's just too expensive. What's next? Too loud?
               | Too big? Induces headaches with the esoterically minded?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | And it was pointed out 40 years ago that DT fusion will
               | be inherently expensive (specifically, more expensive
               | than fission, which itself has demonstrated it cannot
               | compete.)
               | 
               | https://orcutt.net/weblog/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/The-
               | Tro...
        
               | sercand wrote:
               | Solar has the advantage of scaling down. 1000 people can
               | give 1M US dollar which can produce approximately 1GW of
               | power on a thousand of power plant in a year. You can
               | scale down as low as 400W of energy production and
               | distribute the financial cost to many people.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | You'll freeze to death in winter, but that's a minor
               | thing. Living is overrated.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Not with a properly design energy system. The conclusion
               | of 100% RE research is that such a system will have costs
               | similar to fossil fuels.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | No. Right now there is no reasonable way to have a 100%
               | renewable and reliable grid in Northern Europe, excepting
               | classic hydro.
               | 
               | I specifically studied the German grid, and it needs
               | about a MONTH of storage to compensate for a once-in-a-
               | century Dunkelflaute (a period with little wind, no sun,
               | and cold temperatures).
        
               | cesarb wrote:
               | > Right now there is no reasonable way to have a 100%
               | renewable and reliable grid [...] and it needs about a
               | MONTH of storage to compensate for a once-in-a-century
               | Dunkelflaute
               | 
               | If you accept slightly less than 100% renewables, you
               | could use diesel or gas backup for these once-in-a-
               | century events.
        
               | the8472 wrote:
               | That drives up costs because you have to maintain many
               | gigawatts of backup capacity sitting idle most of the
               | year. It's better to have more flexible solutions that
               | provide value the whole year. That's either baseload
               | (fission, fusion) or grid-scale, seasonal storage
               | (unsolved problem).
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The backup capacity is cheap (in capital cost) compared
               | to nuclear providing the same output. Like, an order of
               | magnitude cheaper. Combustion turbines are remarkably
               | compact and inexpensive for their power output (this is
               | why they power our aircraft). It's wonderful what happens
               | to machinery when you can reduce the need to transfer
               | heat across fluid-solid boundaries. Rocket engines are an
               | even more extreme example of this.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > Like, an order of magnitude cheaper.
               | 
               | Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant cost $6 per Watt of installed
               | capacity over the projected 50 years of lifetime. Simple
               | natural gas turbines (not combined cycle) cost around $2
               | per Watt over 50 years in just capital costs. This
               | doesn't take into account the cost of the fuel, or the
               | magic infrastructure to produce, store, and deliver
               | hydrogen.
               | 
               | I'm taking Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant as the base for
               | comparison because it's an example of what you can do,
               | when you have a "mass produced" design that you can just
               | quickly build.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | That's funded by a loan from the Russian government, not
               | from private financial markets, so we can assume the rate
               | is below market. The actual cost when real risk penalties
               | are included (as they must be for an accurate cost) would
               | be higher.
               | 
               | I also doubt anyone is going to be buying Russian nuclear
               | power plants in Europe anytime soon. The strategic risk
               | and associated cost (as seen with importing natural gas
               | from Russia) would be far too high.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > That's funded by a loan from the Russian government,
               | not from private financial markets, so we can assume the
               | rate is below market. The actual cost when real risk
               | penalties are included (as they must be for an accurate
               | cost) would be higher.
               | 
               | Not much higher, though. Russia makes money on these
               | contracts. South Korea has
               | 
               | > I also doubt anyone is going to be buying Russian
               | nuclear power plants in Europe anytime soon. The
               | strategic risk and associated cost (as seen with
               | importing natural gas from Russia) would be far too high.
               | 
               | Of course. I'm not suggesting that Russia should be
               | relied upon for ANYTHING at this point. It should be as
               | isolated economically as possible.
               | 
               | I'm just using this as an example of what you can do with
               | a streamlined construction pipeline for plain old PWRs.
               | No fancy new technology, no breakthroughs, just regular
               | old good project management.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | First, backup generation is expensive. Right now Germany
               | needs about 200GW, and this value will go _up_ when
               | Germany switches from natural gas to heat pumps for
               | heating, and expands the EV fleet.
               | 
               | That's a lot. Even cheap gas turbine power plants will
               | cost around $100B to build.
               | 
               | And while the one-month Dunkelflaute is exceptional, the
               | shorter versions lasting a couple of days happen
               | basically every year. As a result, you probably need
               | about 2-3 weeks a year of various levels of backup
               | utilization every year.
               | 
               | This is how it looks in practice: https://energy-
               | charts.info/charts/power/chart.htm?l=de&c=DE&... - look
               | at the period from 18th Jan to 25th Jan. The renewable
               | generation fell to around 8% of the nameplate capacity
               | during that period.
               | 
               | I have not seen any real plans to fix this. My prediction
               | is that Germany will just continue to burn gas and coal
               | well into 2030-s.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | You're wrong about that. Back up with green hydrogen is
               | quite plausible. Europe has enormous salt formations in
               | which cavities can be solution mined for gas storage
               | (this is one of the chief ways natural gas is stored).
               | Storing hydrogen, the cost of these caverns per unit of
               | storage capacity in these would be about $1/kWh. The
               | total potential capacity there is in the petawatt hours,
               | far more than would be needed.
               | 
               | A combined cycle power plant costs about $1/W of capacity
               | (and for rare events, simple cycle would be even
               | cheaper), so one could back up the entire grid with these
               | at a small capital cost compared to powering the grid
               | with nuclear. For Europe, these would also be useful for
               | seasonal leveling, allowing solar to provide a larger
               | fraction of Europe's energy demand.
               | 
               | Hydrogen is an example of "Power to X" (PtX), where
               | excess power, when available, is used to make some very
               | storable commodity. This review article talks about how
               | important these are to reaching 100% RE.
               | 
               | https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9837910
               | 
               | "With every iteration in the research and with every
               | technological breakthrough in these areas, 100% RE
               | systems become increasingly viable. Even former critics
               | must admit that adding e-fuels through PtX makes 100% RE
               | possible at costs similar to fossil fuels."
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > You're wrong about that. Back up with green hydrogen is
               | quite plausible.
               | 
               | I have not seen any real plan to achieve this. Right now,
               | it's basically a giant asterisk with a footnote saying:
               | "Magic happens here".
               | 
               | One plan I've seen where authors went totally wild and
               | actually tried to compute what's needed, required
               | converting 80% of housing to district heating with molten
               | salt storage, all kinds of energy storage, and 2x price
               | electricity increase.
               | 
               | I've seen estimates that simply building out hydrogen
               | backup will cost on the order of $300B in power line and
               | pipeline upgrades (because hydrogen can't just be piped
               | through natural gas pipes). And it will still require
               | expanding the renewable fleet.
               | 
               | I'm not at all optimistic about that.
               | 
               | FWIW, I think power-to-natural-gas has the biggest
               | chance, because it can re-use the natural gas
               | infrastructure. But it's still going to be too expensive.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Argument-from-ignorance is not an argument. If you
               | haven't seen "any real plan" that just reflects your
               | disinterest in seeing such a plan.
               | 
               | There is nothing preventing this from being applied to
               | Europe. All the technologies are available. It's just a
               | matter of integrating existing capabilities, which is the
               | surest kind of innovation.
               | 
               | No pipeline upgrades are needed for hydrogen for grid
               | storage, since there's no need to move hydrogen away from
               | the storage caverns. It can be created and consumed
               | there. It could be useful to build pipelines, of course,
               | but it isn't necessary. I am NOT suggesting using
               | hydrogen to replace natural gas in distributed
               | applications.
               | 
               | Power-to-natural-gas has the problem of where does the
               | carbon come from. CO2 capture (either from the
               | atmosphere, or from the exhaust of the CC plants) would
               | add to cost, and then the CO2 needs to be stored also.
               | And, the round trip efficiency will be considerably below
               | that of hydrogen. Power-to-liquid fuels would make more
               | sense; it doesn't cost that much more to turn CO2 + H2
               | into such fuels instead of to methane. Liquid fuels
               | (normally for air or ship transportation, for example)
               | could also serve as a rare event backstop along with
               | hydrogen, for once-in-a-century events, as long as the CC
               | plants can burn both.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > Argument-from-ignorance is not an argument.
               | 
               | You're making it right now.
               | 
               | > If you haven't seen "any real plan" that just reflects
               | your disinterest in seeing such a plan.
               | 
               | No. I did a full literature search and I read most of the
               | articles in that area.
               | 
               | > There is nothing preventing this from being applied to
               | Europe. All the technologies are available. It's just a
               | matter of integrating existing capabilities, which is the
               | surest kind of innovation.
               | 
               | What is "this"?
               | 
               | > No pipeline upgrades are needed for hydrogen for grid
               | storage, since there's no need to move hydrogen away from
               | the storage caverns. It can be created and consumed
               | there.
               | 
               | The thing is, most of German storage is in the northern
               | part (Rehden, Etzel, Epe, etc) due to geology. That's not
               | where the consumers are, so you need to build a huge
               | amount of power lines.
               | 
               | To give you a perspective, a fairly typical natural gas
               | pipeline can transfer around 1 Bcf of gas per day, which
               | translates to about 12GW of power. This is the same as
               | the largest ultra-high-voltage direct current (UHVDC)
               | line in the world (in Brazil), built at the cost of
               | around $2.5B for 2400 km.
               | 
               | And you'll need many, many such lines to transfer power
               | from the points of generation and consumption to the
               | hydrogen hubs. This is in addition to already expensive
               | hydrogen production and gas turbines.
               | 
               | I don't see this ever becoming cost-competitive with
               | plain old PWRs.
        
           | jasonwatkinspdx wrote:
           | You can't jump from idea to production power plant in one
           | step. This is research about the fundamental science
           | involved. What they're doing is incredibly difficult and
           | complex. They have a plasma at millions of degrees mere
           | centimeters from superconductors at near absolute zero. The
           | field geometry and interactions are so complex it brings even
           | current supercomputers to their knees. The device wasn't even
           | possible to simulate until the late 90s using the biggest
           | machines in the world.
           | 
           | What they've already demonstrated is a tremendous
           | accomplishment. But apparently if it doesn't go from idea to
           | an option in door dash in 6 months flat that's not good
           | enough for people here.
        
             | demondemidi wrote:
             | > idea to an option in door dash
             | 
             | I hear ya. The attention span of a TikTok or less.
        
           | constantcrying wrote:
           | >What's the reason for that?
           | 
           | It is about research. It generating usable electricity is
           | absolutely irrelevant.
           | 
           | You need research projects to figure out what works and what
           | doesn't. The goal isn't to build a practical reactor.
        
         | Eji1700 wrote:
         | Mostly, they don't?
         | 
         | There should be more funding in this area, but at some point
         | you've got to build it, and that takes a ton of time.
         | Regulations/bureaucracy could be better but at the end of the
         | day you're not going to cut off a ton of time safely.
         | 
         | Once you have a working model iteration gets much much faster,
         | but we've simply been hitting walls for decades.
        
           | hedora wrote:
           | Is there a minimum viable size for a fusion reactor? If it
           | scaled down ennough, they could just launch prototypes into
           | space, and see if they explode.
        
             | adhesive_wombat wrote:
             | Fusion reactors are pretty non-explodey. Really all they
             | can do is spring a leak, then fill with air and extinguish
             | the plasma. Maybe if you quench the magnets hard enough you
             | might get something dramatic like leaking a gram of
             | tritium.
        
             | b3orn wrote:
             | I'm no expert on this, but a minimum viable size exists and
             | it's much larger than what you could just launch into
             | space. I watched a video on this years ago, I don't recall
             | the exact relation to size but if I'm not remembering this
             | completely wrong there's a minimum size you need for a
             | fusion reactor to "ignite", ITER is huge for a reason.
        
               | willis936 wrote:
               | ITER is huge because it uses weak magnets.
        
             | Eji1700 wrote:
             | I'm honestly not sure if you're joking but in case you're
             | not, the "minimum viable size" is hardly the largest issue
             | with what you're proposing and it sounds like you're not
             | getting what the key issues are.
             | 
             | You're talking about taking a technology that's so finicky
             | we've barely gotten it to work after almost 100 years and
             | rocketing it into space? We're no where near good enough at
             | this to get a test that would work after the extreme
             | violence of an escape velocity launch.
             | 
             | Further fusion reactors aren't like fission. "exploding"
             | really isn't a problem . Keeping the reaction going in an
             | efficient manner is.
             | 
             | IF exploding was a problem, space is probably the worst
             | place for it? Putting it way underground would be vastly
             | easier and a hell of a lot safer because you won't have
             | material possible falling back to earth/hitting satellites
             | in orbit.
        
               | sdwr wrote:
               | That was not a real question, it was a subconscious plea
               | for elon musk to take over and make it work.
               | 
               | "Shooting it into space" is a reference to how SpaceX
               | disrupted the rocket industry through a "fail fast"
               | mentality, aggressive goals, and sheer force of will.
        
               | flotwig wrote:
               | Please don't "move fast and break things" with nuclear
               | fusion :-)
        
               | worik wrote:
               | What is the worst that can happen?
               | 
               | Seriously, I think I might know (a fire) but I do not.
               | 
               | Is there any possibility these can go ban! and spread
               | nasty stuff around the neighbourhood?
               | 
               | I doubt they can go thermonuclear bang! but I am not a
               | physicist.
               | 
               | What is the worst than can happen?
        
               | the8472 wrote:
               | Well, neutron bombardment from fusion means you get some
               | radioactive isotopes. It's not as bad as spent fuel but
               | still something to avoid.
               | 
               | But that doesn't really matter. This is expensive
               | technology you don't want to blow up. Yes, more expensive
               | than rockets.
        
               | andrewflnr wrote:
               | It's true that working on fusion is high on the list of
               | better uses for $44B than buying an overpriced social
               | media platform.
        
               | Eji1700 wrote:
               | This take is even more baffling to me than the original
               | question.
        
         | ladams wrote:
         | Stellarators in particular suffer from very long development
         | cycles. It takes years and years of research to develop the
         | algorithms used to optimize the coil geometries, and then the
         | production of the coils and assembly of the vacuum vessel
         | within the coils is much more challenging than for a tokamak.
         | The coils are hard to produce because they have highly
         | irregular shapes, and tight tolerances. Assembling the vacuum
         | vessel is hard because the coils cover much more of the
         | "toroidal-ish" surface area than in a tokamak.
         | 
         | The is a lot of interesting work going on in stellarator design
         | optimization now, but it will likely be many years before that
         | research is realized in another actual reactor.
        
           | fizigura wrote:
           | For a few billion USD you could build a real power plant of
           | this type. Sounds expensive, but consider how much money
           | nuclear fission did cost initially, and how much money we
           | burn on other stuff, then it's not unthinkable to have
           | somebody rich chip in and make it happen. (Germany just gave
           | $10bn subsidies for a domestic Intel factory.)
        
             | Guvante wrote:
             | They managed to handle what a fission reactor outputs every
             | second in this experiment.
             | 
             | I don't think that points to a commercial reactor whenever
             | someone spends a few billions.
        
         | willis936 wrote:
         | HSX beat them to the punch by over a decade. Small is easy.
         | Unfortunately no machine worth making (power generator
         | relevant) is small. Practice helps.
        
       | stjohnswarts wrote:
       | Can someone tell me why this won't produce commercial level
       | fusion for 30 years so I can shut down my eternally optimistic
       | "physics kid" portion of my brain for a while?
        
         | bmicraft wrote:
         | It will cost too much
        
       | airgapstopgap wrote:
       | This is an incredible achievement but there are strong reasons to
       | suspect that stellarators are not and will never be plausible
       | candidates for energy generation. For some more experimental or
       | perhaps military tasks, it's viable.
        
         | schainks wrote:
         | Why do you think this? Also, suggesting only the military
         | should use it suggests it is stellarators are well suited for
         | energy weapons versus powering homes/industry, which is also
         | curious, as energy weapons need huge impulse amounts of power,
         | not power that is constantly available and ramps slowly by
         | comparison.
        
         | slashdev wrote:
         | Says you, without mentioning any of the strong reasons.
        
       | Dulat_Akan wrote:
       | I am thinking why companies making so huge reactors, everything
       | should be simple just for test to get energy
        
         | sp332 wrote:
         | It's a been a long time, but in a talk at Google, I think
         | Bussard said that power output scales with the 5th power of the
         | radius of the device. There's really no point making a small
         | one.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Bussard's last reactor concept, polywell, didn't work.
        
             | sp332 wrote:
             | Oh right, I had WB-7 confused with Wendelstein 7.
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | I greet W7-X with a huge yawn. A reactor based on stellarators
       | will still be very large and have very low volumetric power
       | density. The beta is not good, so these would only work with DT,
       | and suffer from the generic problems of all DT schemes.
        
         | moffkalast wrote:
         | What makes tokamaks so much better at power density? After all
         | it's the exact same setup, just shaped differently and without
         | the center coil?
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | I didn't say that. Both tokamaks and stellarators on DT will
           | have lousy volumetric power density. Indeed, any DT scheme
           | will suffer in that respect.
        
       | greesil wrote:
       | I submitted TFA, which is from February. How come you nerds
       | didn't see this yet?
        
       | nielsbot wrote:
       | W7-X seems on track to meet their goal of 30 mins sustained
       | plasma. I wish them all the best!
        
       | KyleBerezin wrote:
       | Ahh, Wendelstein is that stellerator reactor. The stellerator is
       | really cool, and an alternative to a tokamak reactor. Tokamak is
       | the doughnut shaped reactor, and it has a problem where the
       | plasma near the outer circumference has less magnetic
       | confinement. The stellerator is similar, but confines the plasma
       | to a ribbon and folds it over on itself in a mobius-like
       | arrangement.
       | 
       | I used to be really interested in this, but forgot it existed
       | over the years. Glad to see it works!
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stellarator
        
         | lostlogin wrote:
         | Are you able to say more about what you do? Judging by your
         | comments, you have some idea what you are talking about.
        
         | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
         | Just curious as to why a Mobius strip type arrangement is
         | better than a toroid? Is it anything to do with the turbulence
         | in the plasma flow being easier to control?
        
           | KyleBerezin wrote:
           | These are great questions for someone more knowledgable, but
           | as I understand it, If you follow a single point on the
           | surface all the way around the loop, it will spend as much
           | time in high confinement as it does in low confinement.
           | 
           | That explains why folding is important, as for the mobius, I
           | oversimplified a bit. The Wendelstein has 5 folds, making it
           | a mobius, but I think I read about one in Spain that had only
           | 4 folds. That would mean the mobius isn't imperitive, but I'm
           | sure there is a good reason for it.
           | 
           | Really a stellerator doesn't need 'folding' at all, they can
           | be as simple as a twisted torroid. I didn't want to go into
           | excruciating detail though, the more in detail I go the more
           | likely I am to say something that is wrong lol.
           | 
           | Edit: I looked it up, the one in spain is called "TJ-II"
        
             | NovaDudely wrote:
             | First thing that comes to mind is like twisted pairing on
             | cables. Distributes the external/internal forces more
             | equally. Is it anything like this?
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | No, twisted pair wires are really cool but different.
               | When you push current down one wire you pull current down
               | the other. The signal is passed through the differential
               | of those 2 wires. If the wire is hit with EM
               | interference, that change will be seen as a 'common mode
               | voltage', that is, both wires will be 'pushed' or
               | 'pulled' the same amount, and you won't see a
               | differential.
               | 
               | That effect works both ways too, where a single wire with
               | a digital signal will spew out radio waves, 2 wires with
               | opposing signal cancel each other out and emit no em
               | waves.
               | 
               | The effect with the stellarator is more like stirring a
               | pot.
        
           | Bjartr wrote:
           | I think it's about ensuring the plasma heat/energy
           | distribution is more uniform so you get fewer outlier
           | particles with high enough energy to escape confinement and
           | damage the interior of the reactor. Or something like that.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | It's actually really easy to explain.
           | 
           | Draw a torus and then draw rectangular "bands" across it,
           | they will represent the containment magnets.
           | 
           | Due to pure geometry, the area closer to the center will have
           | a smaller distance between bars. This means that the magnetic
           | field will be stronger near the center.
           | 
           | This in turn means that particles will separate (depending on
           | charge) and drift to the sides. It seriously interferes with
           | the containment.
           | 
           | You can fix that by changing the torus into something
           | resembling "8", so that particles move to one side when they
           | fly through the upper part, but then they'll move back as
           | they fly through the lower part.
           | 
           | Of course, you can't just do that in 2D because the part in
           | the middle of "8" will have no magnetic field. You need
           | something without self-intersections. You can try to move one
           | side up and another down. But that doesn't quite work either
           | because you will get another set of preferred directions.
           | 
           | So instead you go with the gentle twisting, resulting in the
           | Mobius-looking shape.
        
             | MBCook wrote:
             | How do Tokamaks solve the issue since they're still torus
             | shaped?
        
               | RedShift1 wrote:
               | Brute force: just use stronger magnetic fields to contain
               | the plasma.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | They don't. As a result, they have to be much larger, so
               | that the difference in the field strength is low enough.
        
           | extrapickles wrote:
           | It primarily has to do with the physical construction of the
           | magnets, in a toroid the inside of the toroid effectively has
           | more windings per meter of circumference than the outside
           | causing uneven containment.
           | 
           | With mobius strip you regularly flip between inside and
           | outside, so the plasma particles get more even force applied.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | Even just reading "mobius" and I cannot not hear the line from
         | Warf "There is this theory of the mobious. It twists in the
         | fabric of space where time becomes a loop. Time becomes a loop.
         | Time becomes a loop." Of course, I'm referencing the Orbital
         | track
        
           | mastersummoner wrote:
           | I've listened to that song hundreds of times yet somehow
           | never realized it was Worf.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | I didn't either, since I spelled it Warf! I never watched
             | Star Trek (probably get my HN privileges revoked for that),
             | but I did know that much. And then the Reading Rainbow
             | guy's "whatever happened will happen again". I know the
             | character's name is Geordie or whatever, but he didn't have
             | the right accent for him to be a Geordie, so he will
             | forever be Reading Rainbow guy instead.
        
               | yoz wrote:
               | _> I know the character 's name is Geordie or whatever,
               | but he didn't have the right accent for him to be a
               | Geordie_
               | 
               | it's a fair demand to make, given that his TV predecessor
               | was called Scotty and DID have a Scottish accent
        
               | downvotetruth wrote:
               | Kunta Kinte is closer to his roots.
        
               | noduerme wrote:
               | Wow. A triple play.
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | He could have been the Jeopardy guy too.
        
               | TecoAndJix wrote:
               | Ken J was a much better choice
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | But I didn't grow up watching him on Jeopardy, so no, he
               | would never be that guy either.
        
             | fastball wrote:
             | Genuine question: why? That isn't even a song, it's just a
             | vinyl record skipping for a minute and a half.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | I think you're not considering the first album with an
               | actual track called Mobius. You're thinking of the
               | opening cut on Orbital II (the brown album). That one is
               | the one where the "where time becomes a loop" becomes
               | fun. The Mobius track is the one where "whatever happens,
               | will happen again" is also included. Sorry, but I will
               | have to deduct Orbital fanboi points, and you will lose
               | your next turn
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PG5PCd284o
               | 
               | Edit: But as to the why, it's fun. Just like the
               | "input/output translation" trickery.
        
               | egypturnash wrote:
               | It's two copies of "...where time becomes a loop." One on
               | the left, one on the right. One of them is _slightly_
               | shorter than the other, so that as they repeat again and
               | again, they slide in and out of phase. The track ends
               | after they come back into phase.
               | 
               | If you listen to this with headphones, or speakers with
               | decent separation, paying attention to this feels
               | interesting. It's similar to the way listening to
               | "binaural beats" can do interesting things to your brain.
               | 
               | Also if you are in the habit of putting an entire album
               | on repeat and this is one of your favorite albums, then
               | you've probably heard this a zillion times. If you have
               | your music player set in "randomize by album" mode, then,
               | well, it's the first track on this album, so every time
               | it comes up you'll hear most of it unless you _instantly_
               | decide you are not in the mood for Orbital 2, and even if
               | you 're _not_ in that mood it may be _pleasant_ to let
               | everything come back into phase before going to another
               | album.
               | 
               | ----
               | 
               | The next track on the album starts up _entirely_ in the
               | left ear, with a tinny, distant little loop, and the
               | words  "Even a stopped clock tells the right time twice a
               | day". Once it brings in a deep bass, this bass is also
               | doing some weird cross-ear phasing things.
               | 
               | And then the _third_ track _also_ opens with  "Even a
               | stopped clock..."; a theme has been established at this
               | point. Time is a loop, and a stopped clock is right twice
               | a day. The opening of "where time becomes a loop" is also
               | a bit of a joke; Orbital's musical craft is very much
               | about making a bunch of short loops that work together,
               | and bringing them in and out over each other for four to
               | seven minutes. Occasionally as much as thirty minutes,
               | the extended version of "The Box" is _glorious_. This is
               | something that utterly dominates most electronic dance
               | music now, but Orbital was one of the first notable acts
               | to really go hard on this, and this is their second
               | album; they are saying  "yes it's just more loops, we
               | think they're good loops, enjoy!".
               | 
               | By the time you get to the last track, you've probably
               | forgotten about Worf's repeated mantra. Especially if
               | it's your first time listening to the whole thing and
               | Halcyon + On + On just blew all the cobwebs out of your
               | head. But Orbital returns to the idea, with two
               | _different_ loops that are very close in sound and
               | length, played on both channels:  "Input
               | Translation"/"Output Rotation". They begin in phase with
               | each other, drift out, and come back together. And the
               | album is over.
               | 
               | Or, if you have the CD player on repeat (remember, this
               | album is from a time when people bought CDs and probably
               | stuck them into a one-disc player, _maybe_ a 3 or 5-disc
               | player if they were lucky, and the whole album is built
               | with an awareness of this), you 're back where you began,
               | inputs translated and outputs rotated, and ready to be
               | reminded of the Theory of the Moebius.
               | 
               | Time has become a loop. Come out of the trance Orbital
               | has put you in. Do you want to experience this loop
               | again? Does it feel rude to jump to another album before
               | Worf's come back into phase again? You may as well let
               | him get you back in sync with the moment the album began
               | before going back into normal time.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | >remember, this album is from a time when people bought
               | CDs and probably stuck them into a one-disc player
               | 
               | You just describe the first time I every danced with
               | Lucy. I went back and forth with this disc and The Orb's
               | A Huge Ever Growing Pulsating Brain That Rules from the
               | Centre of the Ultraworld.
        
               | dr_dshiv wrote:
               | Same!
        
               | yoz wrote:
               | BEST HN THREAD EVER (and WOW is that an essential
               | explanation of the first two Orbital albums)
               | 
               | is this where we talk about
               | 
               | - the 39:59 mix of The Orb's "Blue Room" (which, like
               | several other Orb singles, is better than the album
               | version thanks to Jah Wobble providing a proper bassline)
               | 
               | - the academically-verified lack of repetitiveness in
               | Autechre's "Flutter"
               | 
               | - and Orbital's "Criminal Justice Bill?" on the "Are We
               | Here" CD single, which is four minutes of silence
        
         | rolandog wrote:
         | > The stellerator is really cool, and an alternative to a
         | tokamak reactor.
         | 
         | They should've gone with a catchier name like "forbidden
         | cruller".
        
         | tw061023 wrote:
         | What's interesting is that stellarator actually is not just an
         | alternative, but a wholly parallel branch of evolution - it's
         | not like one was invented strictly after another, and the
         | authors of both designs never knew about the other's work
         | before they completed theirs.
         | 
         | What's even more interesting is that the fusor - the simplest
         | possible design for a thermonuclear reactor, so simple that
         | anyone skilled in electrical engineering and having access to
         | proper civilan equipment can build one with ease - seems to be
         | invented _after_ both stellarator and tokamak.
         | 
         | That said, I never particularly liked stellarator design. The
         | very _complexity_ of it somehow feels subtly wrong, like
         | doubling down in the wrong direction.
         | 
         | However, this is one of the cases where I would absolutely love
         | to be proven wrong. We are far past due big breakthroughs in
         | the field.
        
           | jcheng wrote:
           | > The very _complexity_ of it somehow feels subtly wrong,
           | like doubling down in the wrong direction.
           | 
           | This made me think of modern jet fighters being designed to
           | be aerodynamically unstable, making them all but impossible
           | for human pilots to operate without flight computers.
           | Apparently the maneuverability benefits make the added
           | complexity more than worth it.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Dynamics_F-16_Fighting.
           | ..
        
           | avar wrote:
           | > The very _complexity_ of it         > somehow feels subtly
           | wrong.
           | 
           | Why is in complex? Because it's not all square corners or a
           | donut shape?
           | 
           | I understand that it was hard to build, but isn't that just
           | because it's a one-off?
           | 
           | Any one part of the inside of it looks no more oddly shaped
           | than the outside of any modern car, and we've managed to
           | scale that.
        
           | waterheater wrote:
           | Compared to a tokamak, the stellarator bring engineering
           | efficiency while matching performance. Though ideas for the
           | tokamak and the stellarator may have emerged together, the
           | main reason tokamaks were built first is because they COULD
           | be built. Without computer-assisted magnet design,
           | stellarators simply couldn't be properly built; the magnetic
           | geometries are just too complex.
           | 
           | In the long run, it's not known stellarators will be the
           | eventual winner in the long race for a viable fusion reactor.
           | The attributes in a winner will be net-positive operational
           | efficiency and superior energy harvesting abilities. Perhaps
           | multiple approaches will be viable.
        
             | tw061023 wrote:
             | I understand the theory. I just hope I will live long
             | enough to see a winner in this race.
             | 
             | To be honest, I've been interested in the domain for quite
             | a time and I still want to build a fusor or a polywell at
             | some point just to see it glow. Probably won't happen
             | though.
        
               | waterheater wrote:
               | The most difficult parts to obtain will be the power
               | supply and vacuum chamber. Still, there's nothing like
               | garage fusion!
        
           | fpoling wrote:
           | The big plus of stellarator design is inherent absence of
           | plasma instabilities affecting tokamaks. Notice that future
           | upgrade of Wendelstein may allow to hold plasma for a hour
           | compared with minutes at best with tokamaks. Many physicists
           | for that reason believes stellarator is the only way to
           | archive practical fusion.
        
         | white_dragon88 wrote:
         | You know enough to say more. Say more!
        
           | waterheater wrote:
           | I'm not that guy, but I can speak to what you're asking. I've
           | followed Wendelstein 7-X for almost a decade.
           | 
           | Nuclear fusion occurs at extremely-high temperatures. As you
           | heat your fusion fuel to sufficiently-high temperatures to
           | allow fusion, the matter transitions into a plasma, which is
           | great: plasmas react to electromagnetic fields. As such, a
           | major challenge with achieving viable nuclear fusion is
           | making a vessel capable of holding the fusion reaction.
           | Because we can't create on-demand gravity wells, the next
           | best option for confinement is using electromagnetic fields
           | to hold the plasma in the air.
           | 
           | So, you now have an "electromagnetic bottle" capable of
           | suspending a fusion reaction above the reactor's walls. Now,
           | you have another issue: how do you ensure the fuel will
           | sufficiently mix to sustain a fusion reaction? One approach
           | is to move the plasma in a loop. The topologically-simplest
           | method to accomplish this loop is the torus. Such a plasma-
           | confinement device is called a tokamak. A tokamak uses two
           | magnetic fields, torodial and polodial, to accomplish its
           | task. The torodial field is driven through the plasma to push
           | it forward, while the polodial field pulls the plasma in
           | toward the center. Proper balance of these fields will allow
           | the plasma to circuit the vessel following a helical path,
           | achieving confinement.
           | 
           | However, driving two separate magnetic fields is energy-
           | intensive, and a successful fusion reactor will want to
           | minimize its own power consumption to maximize the amount
           | available for external usage. Enter the stellarator. The
           | stellarator also drives the plasma around in a circle, it but
           | uses a single magnetic field. How? It "tricks" the plasma
           | into "thinking" there's only one magnetic field by using
           | computer-optimized magnets with highly-complex geometries.
           | This provides stellarators with a major engineering advantage
           | over tokamaks and is a primary reason Wendelstein 7-X would
           | have chosen it.
           | 
           | With the confinement vessel topology largely identified, the
           | next main step is to figure out how to build a vessel able to
           | contain a sustained fusion reaction. For context, fusion
           | experiments traditionally only operate on timescales of
           | milliseconds to maybe a second. The reason? Fusion occurs at
           | millions of degrees, and keeping the reaction vessel cool,
           | ensuring a continuous supply of fuel, and dealing with
           | reaction "exhaust" (e.g., alpha particles) and stray high-
           | energy neutrons from the common deuterium-tritium reaction
           | (which irradiate your reactor walls because neutrons don't
           | react with electomagnetic fields) is a major, major
           | engineering challenge. Any operational, net-positive fusion
           | reactor must be able to operate for days, weeks, and months
           | on end.
           | 
           | What Wendelstein 7-X has been attempting to do for years is
           | demonstrate that building such a vessel is even possible.
           | Their overall goal is to sustain a fusion reaction for about
           | 30 minutes. Such a timescale will show a proof-of-concept
           | system which enables sustained fusion reactions to occur.
           | 
           | Currently, the preferred fuel is deuterium-tritium because
           | the fuel is generally available and has an attainable fusion
           | temperature. The stray neutron issue can be mitigated by
           | lining reactor walls with lithium to breed tritium fuel. Even
           | better is to use the helium3-helium3 reaction, which
           | completely annihilate to produce pure energy as the output
           | (welcome to e=mc^2, enjoy your stay). The main holdups are:
           | (1) the reaction occurs at much higher temperatures than
           | deuterium-tritium, and (2) he(lium)3 is quite scarce on
           | Earth. Once Wendelstein 7-X shows how to engineer a proper
           | confinement vessel at a "lower" temperature, you can then
           | work on the higher temperature levels required for he3-he3.
           | Also, he3 is plentiful on the surface of the moon, so mining
           | the surface of the moon will be performed to obtain the
           | required fuel, which is the fundamental premise of the movie
           | "Moon".
           | 
           | Someone asked for information on electromagnetic plasma
           | containment folding. I recommend reading up on
           | magnetohydrodynamics (MHD). It's the mathematical and
           | physical foundation of your interest.
        
             | pschuegr wrote:
             | great comment, thanks - this is why I read HN
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I'm going to assume the name "waterheater" is from a
               | prosaic way of naming a nuclear reactor.
        
             | KyleBerezin wrote:
             | One guy asked why the mobius aspect is needed and I
             | couldn't answer. I know a lot of stellarators aren't odd-
             | period like Wendelstein, and the old designs didn't do
             | folding at all. Do you know what improvements the mobius
             | design has over something like TJ-II?
        
               | waterheater wrote:
               | The helical path creates a twist in the plasma which
               | cancels out the drift forces. This is what I meant by
               | "tricking" the plasma. User mjfl gives an even more
               | technical explanation:
               | 
               | > By twisting the plasma into a shape where the curl of B
               | (proportional to J) is parallel to B, i.e. a helix, the
               | cross product is 0, and thus there are no net
               | magnetohydrodynamic forces on the plasma.
               | 
               | Hope all that's a good answer for you.
               | 
               | > Mobius aspect
               | 
               | You might avoid using the word "Mobius" and instead use
               | "helical." A Mobius strip is important because it has two
               | faces which form a single surface. The surface aspect
               | isn't relevant in this context, so a term which refers to
               | the shape would likely dispel confusion in a reader.
               | 
               | As far as I'm aware, each section of a stellarator is
               | periodic in its own right, which means the end and start
               | points of each section are the same. Though I'm not
               | certain, the choice of four versus five is more likely an
               | engineering factor rather than one of physics, whereas
               | the distinction between a tokamak and stellarator is of
               | physics and not just engineering.
        
               | golem14 wrote:
               | I suppose that any number of twists would be OK, but the
               | more twists, the less efficient ?
               | 
               | Is that what you are saying ? Or are there other
               | constraints on the number of twists (e.g. must be odd,
               | ...)
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | Yes I was referring to odd. But I've been reading some
               | papers and I think even 4-fold had the mobius effect.
               | I'll comment here again tomorrow when I have learned a
               | bit more on the topic.
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | If a 'particle' (I don't know a better word) finds itself
               | near one of the top divertors, at the same point in the
               | next orbit it will find itself near the bottom divertor.
               | That is a product of the "mobius-like" shape, so although
               | it isn't really a 'ribbon' and isn't really a mobius, it
               | helps explain the concept concisely. I just don't know
               | WHY that shape helps lol. Maybe it doesn't and it was
               | just a practical design change like you said.
               | 
               | edit: changed language about the divertors.
        
               | waterheater wrote:
               | Did a little research to try and understand this better.
               | 
               | The most precise term to describe the "twisted ribbon"
               | flux tube in W7-X is "toroidal helix". The toroidal
               | quality comes from the general torus shape of the
               | stellarator, and the helix quality comes from the
               | twisting of the magnetic field by magnets. (The torus
               | shape is required only topologically; look up the
               | knotatron to see what I mean.)
               | 
               | The "ribbon" we're talking about is properly called the
               | flux tube. The flux tube is the volume created by the
               | flux surface, which is where the magnetic field lines
               | lie. A given volume of plasma contained within a flux
               | tube should remain inside it, causing magnetic
               | confinement of the plasma.
               | 
               | The optimality of the confinement of the flux tube is
               | expressed with the term "omnigeneity". Conceptually, a
               | flux tube has onmigeneity if ideally all of the non-
               | colliding plasma inside the tube stays in the tube.
               | W7-X's flux tube appears to be approaching omnigenity.
               | (Another experiment which approaches omnigenity is HSX.
               | Interestingly, HSX has one set of primary magnets,
               | whereas W7-X has two. That's likely because HSX achieves
               | omnigenity via quasisymmetry, whereas W7-X uses various
               | stellarator optimization techniques.)
               | 
               | With these points, we can call the W7-X "ribbon" a near-
               | omnigenous toroidal helix flux tube, which sounds way
               | cooler. So, all that said, why is a helical property
               | desired? From what I've read, the twist in the flux
               | surface reduces plasma drift inside the flux tube.
               | 
               | I think it makes sense to analogize this stuff as a
               | circular semi-permeable pipe filled with a high-pressure
               | "magic fluid" flowing around-and-around inside. By semi-
               | permeable, it means fluid will leak from the pipe if the
               | internal pressure is too high (remember that this is
               | magic fluid). Trying to understand the helical twist
               | along this analogy, I think the effect is evening of
               | internal pressure across the pipe surface to reduce fluid
               | turbulence and permeation while maximizing laminar flow.
               | At least, that's my best analogous interpretation of
               | "why" the twist helps.
               | 
               | The divertors are useful for long-term reactor operation
               | but have no direct relevance to the magnetic field
               | geometry. I'm guessing there's two divertors for
               | engineering reasons (performance, redundancy, etc.) and
               | not for reasons of basic physics.
        
             | less_less wrote:
             | > Even better is to use the helium3-helium3 reaction, which
             | completely annihilate to produce pure energy as the output
             | (welcome to e=mc^2, enjoy your stay).
             | 
             | It doesn't completely annihilate to produce pure energy. It
             | produces helium-4 and two protons. Or you can react
             | helium-3 + deuterium to produce helium-4 and one proton.
             | The point is that helium-4 and protons are easier to shield
             | against than neutrons, don't turn your reactor radioactive,
             | and at least in theory their energy can be extracted
             | directly (eg through induction) instead of through heat.
             | 
             | Edited to add: except helium-3 + deuterium still produces
             | neutrons, because sometimes the deuterium will react with
             | itself to produce helium-3 and a neutron.
        
               | waterheater wrote:
               | You're absolutely right, thank you for the correction.
               | he3-he3 doesn't produce neutrons, which is the major
               | advantage, in addition to the massive energy output.
               | 
               | Here's an interesting link which lists various fusion
               | reactions:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helium-3#Nuclear_fuel
        
             | huribfobcf wrote:
             | The terms (not specific to tokamaks) are "toroidal" and
             | "poloidal". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toroidal_and_polo
             | idal_coordina...
        
               | waterheater wrote:
               | Oops, my bad on the typos. Thanks for the correction.
        
           | gabereiser wrote:
           | Seconded. This is fascinating stuff and reminds me of some
           | crazy rant some guy was telling me about anti-gravity and how
           | electromagnetic "ribbons" could propel you. Obviously the guy
           | _was_ nuts, right? How would one go about learning more about
           | electromagnetic plasma containment folding?
        
             | KyleBerezin wrote:
             | Haha, no I am just some random guy who reads too many
             | Wikipedia articles. "Electromagnetic plasma containment
             | folding" does sound like something a crazy person at a bus
             | station would rant about.
             | 
             | My explanation was definitely over simplified, but I'm not
             | knowledgable enough to go into detail on the topic. I can't
             | even point you towards something to read on the topic since
             | everything I read about it is like 15 years old at this
             | point.
        
               | tootie wrote:
               | If a Hollywood screenwriter were naming a crazy science
               | device, they would come up with something like
               | Wendelstien 7-X
        
               | tboughen wrote:
               | My favourite fact about it comes from
               | https://phys.org/news/2016-02-plasma-physicist-discusses-
               | wen...
               | 
               | "...the supporting structure can only withstand the
               | forces if the interfaces between the ten individual
               | segments of the central rings, which weighs several
               | tonnes, are built with a level of precision of less than
               | 100 millionths of a metre..." - and they found a small
               | family business in the north of Italy capable of doing
               | this!
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | Odd units.
               | 
               | 1 meter = 100 cm = 1000mm.
               | 
               | So 1 millionth of a meter = 1/1000th of 1mm.
               | 
               | thus, 100 millionths of a meter = 0.1mm, or ~4 thou in
               | American units. Easily achievable by hobbyists, let alone
               | by serious, professional equipment.
               | 
               | Sure, that is a pretty exacting specification for what I
               | suppose is a big machine, but I'm pretty sure very normal
               | things like say, car engines get made to far tighter
               | tolerances.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | You messed up at your last step 1 millionth = 1mm, 10
               | millionth = 0.1mm, 100 millionth = 0.01mm
               | 
               | 0.01mm is very difficult when you're talking large custom
               | objects with complex shapes.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | Oh, English fail on my part then. I had assumed that 100
               | millionths of a metre == 100 * 1/1000000.
        
               | eis wrote:
               | The german site of the source speaks of 0.1mm so you were
               | correct                  > bei Toleranzen von teilweise
               | nur 0,1 Millimeter
               | 
               | https://www.ipp.mpg.de/de/aktuelles/presse/pi/2020/01_20
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | No your correct, I just read it wrong. Really needed to
               | pay attention to the s.
        
               | starkrights wrote:
               | I think the original commenter is right- correct me if I
               | missed what you're getting at.
               | 
               | Keeping it all in the same units until the end here:
               | 
               | 1 millionth of 1 meter = (1 / 1,000,000)m = (1e-6m)
               | 
               | 1 millionth * 100 = 100 millionths => (1e-6m) * 100 =
               | (1e-4m) = 100 millionths
               | 
               | (1e-4m) = .0001m | 1m = 1000mm => .0001m*1000 = .1mm
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Ops, 100 ( 1 millionths of a meter) is a much more
               | reasonable tolerance here than 1 / (100 millionth) of a
               | meter.
               | 
               | I am to used to people saying 100 millionth of a meter to
               | mean 10 nm or 0.01 um which would have looked insane if I
               | had written that.
               | 
               | Aka 100 millionth vs 100 millionths
        
               | kortex wrote:
               | What usually matters more than absolute tolerances is
               | relative tolerance, aka ppm. 100 micron / 4 thou
               | tolerance can be achieved with hand tools and a bit of
               | patience on the benchtop scale, say a 4" part. That's
               | about 1000 ppm, or 0.1%. If I gave you a meter stick, you
               | could probably eyeball marking something +/- 1mm.
               | 
               | Getting the same finish on a 120"/3m coil is 33 ppm. 100
               | ppm / 0.01% for any operation or process tends to be
               | where things start to get really challenging. Deflection
               | goes up by the length _cubed_ , so increasing the size of
               | all the tooling relative to the tolerance gets really
               | challenging really fast.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | millionths of a meter are known as micron so most people
               | would call this '100 micron' (or '100 micrometers') which
               | is indeed close to 4 thou, as you calculated, and is the
               | level of accuracy of my ~$500 3d printer.
               | 
               | 1 thou was achievable in routine shops in the 1940s and a
               | tenth of a thou (2.54 micron) is a common accuracy to
               | target these days. Obviously it depends on the context
               | and the size of the object, at some point you move away
               | from cutting to using grinding and lapping to achieve
               | your results, which is ultra-timeconsuming.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | >"Electromagnetic plasma containment folding" does sound
               | like something a crazy person at a bus station would rant
               | about.
               | 
               | Or the very person that someone with a show like Art Bell
               | would have as a guest.
        
             | StackOverlord wrote:
             | > Dr. Ning Li of Huntsville, AL passed peacefully away on
             | July 27, 2021. She was 79 years old. One of the world's
             | leading scientists in super-conductivity anti-gravity. Dr.
             | Li had constructed first 12" HTSD of the world in late 90s.
             | 
             | https://www.berryhillfh.com/obituary/ning-
             | li?lud=4CF765EE88E...
        
               | gabereiser wrote:
               | I just read a bunch of stuff about her from her son.
               | About how he took care of her in her advanced years and
               | her alzheimer's disease. Sad but also peculiar about her
               | DoD work and how she "never talked about it". I wonder
               | what it was? trying to get an alien craft working again?
               | developing anti-gravity weapon? a ship? a hoverboard?
               | please say it was a hoverboard.
               | 
               | Her claim that "You can take a bowling ball and place it
               | and it will stay." is fascinating. I would love to see
               | footage/video of this. Small electro marbles and globes
               | are one thing, a bowling ball or other large non-magnetic
               | object!? man oh man!
        
         | themagician wrote:
         | I find the geometry of things like this fascinating. We
         | typically think in such simple shapes. I feel like my brain can
         | do triangle, rectangle and maybe hexagons and that's about it.
         | I remember when I finally understood radians enough to really
         | understand circles and waveforms--I felt so enlightened. Like I
         | actually remember the moment when it clicked. For years I was
         | just "doing the work" without actually understanding what I was
         | doing, but once I was able to understand it... it's like
         | something changed in my brain.
         | 
         | I want to be able to think in mobius, but my brain is currently
         | like, "No thanks."
        
           | sdwr wrote:
           | I'll argue that "thinking in mobius" is simpler than thinking
           | in circles, and more true to life than thinking in basic
           | shapes.
           | 
           | The core concepts in mobius-land are local curvature and
           | global cumulative field.
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | Sorry those just aren't the way the average joe on the
             | street thinks about things.
        
           | KyleBerezin wrote:
           | Yea they are kinda confusing, especially when you get into
           | the 3D ones like klien bottles and roman surfaces. I also
           | recently learned that if you make a mobius shaped
           | transmission line (like a ladder line) and you send a pulse
           | down it, that pulse will continue looping until it dissipates
           | (or forever if it is a superconductor).
           | 
           | https://www.microwavejournal.com/articles/21001-printed-
           | reso...
           | 
           | I have no idea if there are any advantages over a simple
           | planar circular loop though.
        
             | colordrops wrote:
             | Are real life superconductors ideal, i.e. they truly would
             | store a charge forever (at least until the material
             | disintegrated)? Or is there some sort of loss, albeit much
             | less than typical resistance?
        
               | klodolph wrote:
               | 1. Something "in a superconducting state" has zero
               | resistance, but the transition to superconducting states
               | is not sudden, and there are various things which disrupt
               | that state like magnetic fields.
               | 
               | 2. Alternating currents will dissipate even with zero
               | resistance, because the circuit will emit EM waves.
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | Ladder lines are balanced transmission lines, so they do
               | not emit EM radiation.
        
               | klodolph wrote:
               | Wouldn't that require kind of an idealized transmission
               | line, not just a superconducting one?
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | Yes. I don't think super conduncting ressonators of any
               | design are perfect.
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | So long as you do not exceed a certain current, they have
               | zero resistance. There are other forms of parasitics
               | though that can effect it.
               | 
               | Those crazy electromagnets they use on these stellarator
               | are simple superconducting loops that they 'charge' by
               | inducing a current. That current is maintained so long as
               | the superconductor stays below a certain temp. There is
               | even something called a SMES (superconducting magnetic
               | energy storage) that stores power this way, as I
               | understand it they have a 0% self discharge rate.
        
               | colordrops wrote:
               | Is the charge static or in motion? If in motion, isn't
               | this basically a perpetual motion machine? Electrons have
               | mass right?
        
               | KyleBerezin wrote:
               | In motion. Yes it is perpetual motion. The same thing can
               | be observed in superfluids.
        
               | adrianN wrote:
               | It is my understanding that electrons on a curved
               | trajectory will lose energy to electromagnetic radiation.
               | Is that not the with electrons in a superconductor?
        
               | thibauts wrote:
               | That is my understanding also. I would very much like an
               | expert answer on this one !
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | I can't really think in (visualize) 3d shapes, so I depend a
           | lot on 3D geometry programs when I design things like for my
           | microscope. A fair number of people I've talked to can
           | visualize complex shapes in their head, rotate them around,
           | do interference checking, etc.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | Aphantasia? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aphantasia
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | What about those tests where they say to fold a piece of
             | paper X number of times, and then punch holes in specific
             | places. You then have to pick the image of what the paper
             | would look like unfolded. Do these types of visualizations
             | give you the same issue? I have known several people that
             | just could not visualize these tests, and I'm curious if
             | these are related.
        
           | willis936 wrote:
           | They're actually quite simple geometries in the right
           | (unintuitive and warped) coordinate system.
        
           | hobs wrote:
           | Just play Asteroids, congrats, add a twist between certain
           | edges (which would manifest as a flip) and you now are in the
           | mobius.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | >I want to be able to think in mobius, but my brain is
           | currently like, "No thanks."
           | 
           | I spent a lot time staring at Escher images as a teen, so I
           | think my brain says "yes please". I have no idea what to do
           | with any of it, so it's not like it does me any good.
        
           | eternityforest wrote:
           | Doing CAD design is really interesting. A lot of stuff is
           | just 2.5D, extrusions of 2D sketches sitting on other 2D
           | sketches.
           | 
           | Then you accidentally make something truly 3D by intersecting
           | things and realize you have no idea what you're looking at,
           | couldn't imagine it if you closed your eyes, couldn't
           | replicate it if you had a picture of the result and didn't
           | know the 2D inputs that made it... and then you realize there
           | are probably people out there who can see that entire design
           | in their head.
           | 
           | To me it's like unicycling on a tightrope or skateboarding or
           | realistic oil painting or playing piano well. I have no real
           | concept or reference point for what that experience must be
           | like.
        
             | p1mrx wrote:
             | Just drawing a 3D slanted plane to match the front of my
             | printer made my head hurt:
             | https://www.printables.com/model/526981-ender-3-s1-quad-z-
             | br...
        
             | nomel wrote:
             | Coming from 3d sculpting to CAD was...eye opening. It
             | really makes you realize how much of design constrained by
             | the CAD tools, which are mostly constrained by
             | manufacturability.
             | 
             | If true 3d printing* ever gets cheap, it'll be interesting
             | to see how much form will be able follow function, rather
             | than manufacturing cost.
             | 
             | * true 3d, as in overhang are allowed. Something like a
             | cheap FDM is more 2.5d, since overhangs aren't allowed.
        
               | rkagerer wrote:
               | Well, there's SLS which is tolerant of overhangs and
               | other exotic features. Formlabs has a machine in the 5
               | digit price range, and I wouldn't be surprised to see
               | competitors come out with a 4-digit one in the near
               | future.
        
               | eternityforest wrote:
               | Overhangs up to 45 degrees work fine, and usually
               | steeper. Bridges also work, most of the time, although I
               | am having trouble with them at the moment.
               | 
               | They're not quite unconstrained, and the layer adhesion
               | strength makes some geometries not strong, but they're
               | much more than 2.5D.
        
               | dmm10 wrote:
               | With powder bed printers overhangs and detached captured
               | parts aren't a problem. Try making your own from an old
               | inkjet printer.
        
               | oefnak wrote:
               | You can print with supports to print any shape.
        
             | waldothedog wrote:
             | Interesting. With a very strong reference for the
             | experience of skateboarding, reading your sentence made me
             | think about how hard it is to explain! I suppose when it's
             | going well, it feels like body/mind flow, when it's going
             | poorly it feels like physics :)
        
               | eternityforest wrote:
               | That kind of thing is super amazing! I've secretly
               | suspected for a while that people who are able to
               | skateboard or do similar things must live in 4 or 5
               | dimensions.
               | 
               | I can't figure out any kind of way someone could do that
               | with anything resembling what I understand "thought" to
               | be like, so I assume you must be able to process entire
               | sequences and their alternate possibilities
               | simultaneously?
        
             | jkestner wrote:
             | CAD is hard! I think about this a lot as I'm doing a
             | makerspace at an elementary school and adults think it
             | needs a 3D printer, but what are kids going to print on it?
             | 
             | I think for me, the prerequisites for mastering CAD were 1)
             | the practice I got visualizing 3D shapes so I could
             | translate them into unambiguous mechanical drawings on
             | paper (I swear, I'm not that old but my college was behind
             | and we were the last class to actually do mechanical
             | drawings with a pencil), and 2) having a procedural thought
             | process from coding so that I could sequence the CAD
             | operations to get where I want.
        
               | eternityforest wrote:
               | For me CAD is pretty much the opposite, I rely heavily on
               | the apps, I spent about a week trying to learn to draw
               | before deciding I didn't really want to spend months or
               | years on it.
               | 
               | I'm not a mechanical engineer, I mostly only do
               | incidental CAD and hobby level work, so it's not really
               | essential to have the deep understanding of space that
               | real MEs need.
               | 
               | I often don't know what sequence of operations I'll need
               | until I actually open the app. Generally it's more of an
               | "Oh I need a mounting hole, lets look around on the
               | screen and see where one could go" thing, a lot of the
               | thinking is in the app rather than in the mind.
               | 
               | Of course you can't make nicely parametric things without
               | a lot more thought so I will often wind up having to redo
               | things that aren't one offs...
        
               | RRWagner wrote:
               | Try Blockscad3d.com
               | 
               | It's a block language where you program the object rather
               | than manipulate shapes. It works well for my brain. Ymmv
        
               | pineaux wrote:
               | Grasshopper for rhino is awesome too. It's actually
               | really relevant for this topic. It's the only syste I
               | know that integrates so well into a precise cad design
               | system and also allows you to do complex stuff easily. I
               | love it. Drawing a stellarator precisely is probably not
               | that hard on it... Will see if I can throw something out
               | quickly today.
        
         | imtringued wrote:
         | It not only works. It beats tokamak reactors by orders of
         | magnitude to the point that it and ITER are the only fusion
         | reactors that even matter, so saying that you forgot about one
         | of the most important fusion reactors in history is highly
         | condescending.
        
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