[HN Gopher] Students' insight proves that the local-global conje...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Students' insight proves that the local-global conjecture doesn't
       hold
        
       Author : Tomte
       Score  : 216 points
       Date   : 2023-08-10 14:54 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.quantamagazine.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.quantamagazine.org)
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | > "Once you see it, you just say 'Aha! Of course!'"
       | 
       | These are my favorite kinds of things to learn. Once seen, they
       | can't be unseen and can upend how I think of the world in some
       | domain D.
        
       | bonoetmalo wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Depends, what they shot down. Certain aeroplanes might be good
         | or bad...
        
       | phoe-krk wrote:
       | Assume that something is true, write code to generate cases, run
       | it, plot the generated data, expect that the plots show that
       | everything matches the assertion, notice it doesn't, disprove the
       | thing previously considered true.
       | 
       | Nice and elegant.
        
         | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote:
         | I'm reminded of a famous experiment in physics history: https:/
         | /en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelson%E2%80%93Morley_exper....
         | 
         | Similarly, the experiment was done with the intention of
         | proving something that is widely believed to be true (I mean,
         | _obviously_ light travels through _something_ ) only to
         | undeniably disprove it.
        
           | zmgsabst wrote:
           | We call it LIGO these days.
           | 
           | Which is to say, many of these ideas turn out to work after
           | some modifications.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Now try that on this problem:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riemann_hypothesis
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | Mathematicians have been working on that for over 160 years.
           | See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riemann_hypothesis#Numerica
           | l_c....
           | 
           | Fun quote (at least for me) from that page (https://en.wikipe
           | dia.org/wiki/Riemann_hypothesis#Littlewood'...:
           | 
           |  _"It has been computed that p(x) < li(x) for all x <= 1025
           | (see this table)"_
        
           | ducttapecrown wrote:
           | This one is true though.
        
             | klyrs wrote:
             | Prove it
        
             | quchen wrote:
             | Unless it's not.
             | 
             | I'm sure lots of mathematicians have open bets about that.
             | I still remember my supervisor hoping for no Higgs "because
             | then physics will be boring for the foreseeable future".
        
               | Spivak wrote:
               | I think anyone that's betting on it being false is nuts
               | at this point. It would be astounding if it held for the
               | first three trillion then broke down.
               | 
               | Generally patterns like this get more regular as the
               | numbers get bigger not less.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | kongolongo wrote:
               | Here's a hypothesis: no positive number is evenly
               | divisible by 3 trillion one. True up to 3 trillion then
               | false at 3 trillion 1.
        
               | Extigy wrote:
               | It can happen, the Polya conjecture is the usual example
               | which holds until n = 906150257.
               | 
               | Another fun one I just found is the statement "n^17 + 9
               | and (n + 1)^17 + 9 are relatively prime". The first
               | counterexample is at
               | n=8424432925592889329288197322308900672459420460792433.
        
               | dilippkumar wrote:
               | How does one even find something like this? Let alone
               | prove that this is the _first_ counterexample. That
               | number looks to be in the order of the age of the
               | universe in millionths of a quectosecond!!
        
               | NeoTar wrote:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skewes%27s_number
               | 
               | In number theory, Skewes's number is any of several large
               | numbers used by the South African mathematician Stanley
               | Skewes as upper bounds for the smallest natural number x
               | for which the prime-counting function is greater than the
               | logarithmic integral function.
               | 
               | The current best estimate we have for when this happens
               | is: 1.397162x10^316
               | 
               | To put that in context... it's such a big number it's
               | hard to put in context - I've been trying to make a
               | physical analogy, but I think its bigger than the number
               | of Planck-length cubes that could fit in the visible
               | universe.
        
             | Analemma_ wrote:
             | I also think the RH is true but it's unwise to be glib
             | about about it. A whole lot of theorems about prime numbers
             | involve growth rates like O(log log log log n / log log n),
             | and one of those could derail the RH at some extreme value.
        
       | jvanderbot wrote:
       | It's so nice to hear these stories. But it makes the return to
       | reality all the more bitter. Back to having zero effect on
       | anything at my day job!
        
       | Jeff_Brown wrote:
       | Does mathematics contain a lot of theorems that rely on unproven
       | assumptions?
        
         | alanbernstein wrote:
         | Probably, but we call them conjectures to indicate that we know
         | that, and only call them theorems when we have tricked
         | ourselves into believing otherwise
        
         | chongli wrote:
         | A theorem is just a statement which has been proved. Proofs are
         | logical deductions that begin with a set of assumptions (called
         | the hypothesis of the theorem) and follow a sequence of valid
         | steps to reach a result (called the conclusion of the theorem).
         | 
         | Without any assumptions at all, you have nowhere to go. There's
         | nothing you can conclude if you begin by assuming nothing.
        
         | LanceH wrote:
         | Absolutely.
        
         | roywiggins wrote:
         | Technically, all of them do, that's what axioms are.
        
         | agensaequivocum wrote:
         | All knowledge ultimately relies on some self-evident first
         | principals which are not demonstrable.
        
           | alasdair_ wrote:
           | ALL knowledge does? Can you prove that? :)
        
             | kdmccormick wrote:
             | Sure, I'll take a swing!
             | 
             | If we define "knowing" some fact F as "we have proven that
             | F follows from prerequisite facts A1..AN", then we can
             | imagine all knowledge forms a graph where prerequsities
             | point to the facts that they prove. Either this graph is
             | cyclic, or there are nodes with no inbound edges.
             | Therefore, there are facts which are either non-
             | demonstrable, or only demonstrable via cyclic logic.
             | 
             | I think this works, unless of course you have another
             | definiton of "knowing" :)
        
               | alasdair_ wrote:
               | I see no reason why knowledge needs to come from
               | prerequisite facts.
               | 
               | Showing my ignorance here, but isn't this the whole point
               | of "cogito ergo sum"? The "fact" that we are thinking is
               | a first principle that comes from nothing else without a
               | prerequisite axiom.
        
               | prox wrote:
               | That is still a presupposition you are taking, you are
               | making a statement "that thinking is the first principle
               | that comes from nothing."
               | 
               | There are host of ways to debate that philosophically.
        
             | T-A wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del%27s_incompleteness
             | _...
        
             | ducttapecrown wrote:
             | Well, all knowledge capable of modeling the natural numbers
             | is incapable of proving every true statement, so in a sense
             | there can be no universal axiom set.
        
           | zmgsabst wrote:
           | > Dubito ergo cogito ergo sum.
           | 
           | Technically, we can derive one fact -- there is something
           | rather than nothing:
           | 
           | Asking the question is itself proof.
        
         | TheRealPomax wrote:
         | Not just unproven, there are a decent number that are known to
         | be unprovable.
        
         | anon291 wrote:
         | Godel's incompleteness theorems say that all mathematics that
         | is complicated enough to encode basic arithmetic must rely on
         | unproven assumptions. Unproven assumptions are the basis of all
         | mathematics. For example, even numbers rely on very unproven
         | assumptions. We assume, for example, that there is always a
         | number following another number, but it is not at all obvious
         | what that means.
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | > We assume, for example, that there is always a number
           | following another number
           | 
           | Assuming you're referring to natural numbers or integers,
           | that's not an assumption:
           | 
           | https://proofwiki.org/wiki/Natural_Numbers_are_Infinite
        
             | ducttapecrown wrote:
             | The existence of a set with infinite cardinality is one of
             | the axioms of ZFC.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zermelo%E2%80%93Fraenkel_set_
             | t...
        
           | rthnbgrredf wrote:
           | Any statement which is not logically valid (read: always
           | true) is unprovable. The statement [?]x[?]y(x>y) is not
           | provable from the theory of linear orders, since it is false
           | in the singleton order. On the other hand, it is not
           | disprovable since any other order type would satisfy it.
           | 
           | The statement [?]x(x2-2=0) is not provable from the axioms of
           | the field, since Q thinks this is false, and C thinks it is
           | true.
        
       | Aardwolf wrote:
       | A lot of recent math discoveries seem to be geometrical: circle
       | packing, infinitely tiling patterns, neighbor coloring theorem,
       | ...
       | 
       | I don't seem to see as much discoveries in other areas like
       | number theory, calculus, algebra etc...
       | 
       | Is this a bias of what gets covered on HN, or are this type of
       | geometrical problems the currently most active field of
       | mathematics?
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | Aren't all those things the same ultimately?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | travisjungroth wrote:
         | All of those new discoveries involve running code. More people
         | are learning to code, more libraries are being written, compute
         | costs are going down. It's hard to break ground on a "sit and
         | think" problem, especially one that is approachable enough that
         | it's also understandable news when you solve it.
        
           | syndicatedjelly wrote:
           | Here's your answer as to why these kinds of discoveries make
           | it to the front page of HN.
        
         | vkazanov wrote:
         | Well, algebra and calculus have been around for a while.
         | 
         | And then, Calculus took about 3 years for me to begin to
         | scratch the surface... and realise I will never need it as
         | numeric methods took over completely with the advent of cheap
         | compute.
        
           | constantcrying wrote:
           | Nothing is more important for numerics than a veey good grasp
           | of analysis.
        
         | QuesnayJr wrote:
         | I think other fields it's gotten much harder to explain the
         | results. For example, it was a big deal in number theory a few
         | years ago when 10 authors proved a weak form of the Shimura-
         | Taniyama conjecture for number fields with complex
         | multiplication. (The simplest case of Shimura-Taniyama implies
         | Fermat's last theorem.) It would take an entire course to
         | explain just the statement of the theorem.
        
         | constantcrying wrote:
         | It is probably mostly a reporting bias. Almost all new
         | mathematical discoveries don't have simple pictures to draw and
         | are about highly abstract concepts which are difficult to write
         | about for a general audience.
         | 
         | Analysis is an extremely active field, PDEs have almost endless
         | amounts of open research questions. Usually they are not very
         | flashy and can be very non-geometrical.
         | 
         | Algebra is extremely hard to write about for a general
         | audience. Trying to communicate any result which does not have
         | a simple visual interpretation seems like a nightmare.
         | 
         | Numerics are often things where advances are hard to relay to
         | an audience, as it usually is about incremental improvements
         | instead of breakthroughs.
        
         | gowld wrote:
         | Langlands Program, one if many examples, illustrates (ha!) that
         | nearly all math is geometrical. Math doesn't care about silly
         | human distinctions like "Algebra", "Analysis", and "Geometry"
        
         | svat wrote:
         | > _other areas like number theory_ ...
         | 
         | In case you didn't notice: the article is about a discovery in
         | number theory. The primary mathematician in this story (search
         | the article for "Stange is a number theorist..."), the ones
         | referenced and quoted ("Elena Fuchs, a number theorist", James
         | Rickards, Peter Sarnak, Alex Kontorovich, Jeffrey C. Lagarias,
         | ...) are all number theorists, and the paper itself
         | (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.02749) was posted under math.NT.
         | 
         | Apollonian circles are geometry, but the conjecture is about
         | the integers that show up as the curvatures of packings, and
         | specifically about the "certain numerical buckets" they happen
         | to fall into. Of course mathematics is ultimately a connected
         | whole; e.g. Jean Bourgain mentioned in the article would not be
         | considered primarily a number theorist.
         | 
         | [And of course there's a bias in what gets covered: researchers
         | work in all areas and it's far from true that "this type of
         | geometrical problems the currently most active field of
         | mathematics", but the ones that can be turned into a good story
         | (and geometry is easier to explain / show) are more likely to
         | get picked up by media like Quanta; and some of them are more
         | likely to be posted to HN and to be upvoted. And some of them
         | are likely to be interpreted as about geometry anyway!]
        
         | klyrs wrote:
         | Algebra and Calculus are more or less "solved." Unless by
         | algebra, you mean abstract algebra... but the open questions
         | there tend to be quite esoteric. That said, we did recently see
         | a novel approach to solving quadratic equations (
         | https://www.sciencealert.com/math-genius-finally-discovers-e...
         | ).
         | 
         | I'd say that HN posts a lot of quanta articles, and quanta has
         | a "bias" towards results that can be explained to a semi-lay
         | audience. You really don't want to know enough about modular
         | elliptic curves to understand Wiles' proof of Fermat's
         | conjecture. But sometimes number theory proofs come up here
         | too.
        
           | constantcrying wrote:
           | >Algebra and Calculus are more or less "solved." Unless by
           | algebra, you mean abstract algebra
           | 
           | Or unless by calculus he means analysis, which is really
           | active. Especially things like PDEs.
        
       | sorokod wrote:
       | A bit surprising that no one seriously attempted to find a
       | counter example before.
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | I don't think it is unexpected if the counter examples are
         | really really big. It haven't been so long we have gotten lot
         | of processing power and memory. If the counter examples only
         | appear when you are in territory that is unfeasible by hand it
         | is not so surprising.
        
           | tgv wrote:
           | OTOH, people have been using computer-assisted "configuration
           | generation" for more than 50 years now. The 4-color problem
           | was done on hardware that was already obsolete 30 years ago.
           | I also would have expected mathematicians to take their
           | hypotheses a bit more seriously. Especially since this does
           | toppled at a rather modest problem size.
        
       | tomaaron wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
       | itsmemattchung wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | arcbyte wrote:
         | Counterpoint: am American and I read it exactly as intentioned
         | the first time. It didn't even occur to me to read it in the
         | context you did until you mentioned it.
         | 
         | I don't watch network news though.
        
           | wyre wrote:
           | I don't watch network news either and had the same reaction
           | as OP reading "two students shoot down"
           | 
           | A better headline could be "Widely Believed Math Conjecture
           | shot down by two students."
        
             | popcalc wrote:
             | Any relation to the defunct crypto on-ramp?
             | 
             | https://web3isgoinggreat.com/?id=wyre-finally-shuts-down
        
             | mcpackieh wrote:
             | Airplanes get "shot down" but people just get shot (not
             | down.) When a person not in a plane is said to be "shot
             | down", it's always in a figurative sense.
        
             | isuckatcoding wrote:
             | Yeah the title of this article is a very poor choice of
             | words
        
         | kittensmittens wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | chrislan815 wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
       | taeric wrote:
       | Fun story. And it makes me want to play with plots showing these
       | circles, now. :D
       | 
       | Makes me think it would be neat to have a list of old conjectures
       | that have been proven/disproven in the past year or so. Surely
       | such a thing already exists?
        
         | cdelsolar wrote:
         | there's a super fun Soddy circles Project Euler problem. When I
         | had an appendectomy like 15 years ago I had nothing to do but
         | lie in bed and eventually solved that problem in a Vicodin-
         | induced haze.
        
           | taeric wrote:
           | I should bring myself to do more of those. Did the first
           | hundred ish, and I think I'm a better programmer now. So, I
           | should be able to do more. Sounds fun!
        
       | gowld wrote:
       | What would happen if the conjecture happened to be true, and they
       | did their data collection/computation, and got a bunch of data
       | (called "0%" in mathematics) consistent with the conjecture?
       | 
       | Would their summer research be an utter failure? Would they be
       | unimpressive mathematicatians?
       | 
       | How much of math success is being lucky enough to stumble upon a
       | tractable problem?
        
         | Sxubas wrote:
         | From the article:
         | 
         | > Stange added that none of this would have happened without
         | the low-stakes summer project. "Serendipity and an attitude of
         | playful exploration both have such a huge role in discovery,"
         | she said.
        
         | tedunangst wrote:
         | Like what if there was a summer camp for 20 students, and each
         | was randomly assigned a conjecture to programmatically test,
         | and only one found something surprising?
        
         | constantcrying wrote:
         | They were undergrads. Nobody expects undergrads to solve decade
         | old research problems in a few months.
         | 
         | These seminars are about deep dives into particular
         | mathematical questions. Maybe including some recent "doable"
         | unsolved problems.
        
           | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
           | She was a grad student already.
        
         | Laakeri wrote:
         | "Luck favors the prepared mind"
        
         | roywiggins wrote:
         | Well, same as anything. It sounds like they weren't seriously
         | looking for counterexamples, they were looking for a starter
         | project to "implement" the hypothesis and generate a nice chart
         | to illustrate the property. It wouldn't have been a failure if
         | that's all they'd produced, they would have moved on to the
         | next thing.
        
         | jagged-chisel wrote:
         | If their approach is reproducible and correct, they have
         | successfully disproved the conjecture. If errors are found,
         | corrections will be made.
         | 
         | They had started attempting to prove the conjecture. This
         | result could be considered a failure of that proof. Showing
         | they're capable of performing the research makes them good
         | mathematicians.
         | 
         | I believe the answer to your last question is "lots."
        
       | TheRealPomax wrote:
       | tl;dr: the conjecture is that if you start with three touching
       | circles, each of which has an integer curvature (i.e. 1/r is a
       | whole number) and you then draw a circumscribing circle around
       | those, then starting filling in the gaps between the circles with
       | ever smaller circles, every one of those smaller circle will also
       | have an integer curvature.
       | 
       | Turns out, they don't, but no one actually sat down to do the
       | grunt work necessary, because as it turns out you need a _lot_ of
       | circles before you see the pattern breaking down.
        
         | svat wrote:
         | That the curvatures are integers is proved (noticed by Soddy in
         | 1936 as "a fairly straightforward consequence of Descartes'
         | equation", as the article mentions), and a lot more is also
         | proved about the integers' distribution; the conjecture
         | specifically is about whether every sufficiently large
         | "admissible (passing local obstructions) integer is the
         | curvature of some circle in the gasket" -- see the second page
         | of https://arxiv.org/abs/1205.4416, or indeed the second page
         | of the paper the article is about
         | (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.02749), which puts it even more
         | concretely:
         | 
         | > Conjecture 1.1 ([GLM+03, FS11]). Let A be a primitive
         | Apollonian circle packing containing curvatures equivalent to r
         | (mod 24). The set of positive integers x [?] r (mod 24) not
         | occurring in A is finite.
         | 
         | which they disprove with:
         | 
         | > Theorem 1.3. There exist infinitely many primitive Apollonian
         | circle packings for which the number of missing curvatures up
         | to N is ([?]N). In particular, the local-global conjecture is
         | false for these packings.
        
           | TheRealPomax wrote:
           | Cheers. Can't edit my comment anymore, but that's a good
           | tl;dr.
        
       | claar wrote:
       | ChatGPT v4 Technical Article Version of this long-form post:
       | Apollonian Circle Packings and the Local-Global Conjecture
       | 
       | Background:
       | 
       | - Apollonian circle packings is the study of how circles can fit
       | into a larger circle.
       | 
       | - Rather than using diameter to measure these circles,
       | mathematicians employ curvature -- the inverse of the radius. The
       | smaller the circle, the larger its curvature.
       | 
       | - When the first four circles have an integer curvature, all
       | subsequent circles in the packing will also have integer
       | curvatures.
       | 
       | - Mathematicians later focused on identifying which integers
       | emerge as the circles shrink and the curvatures grow.
       | 
       | Key Developments:
       | 
       | 1. Local-Global Conjecture: Elena Fuchs proved in 2010 that
       | curvatures conform to a certain relationship. This led to the
       | belief known as the local-global conjecture, which claims that
       | all possible numbers within each category must appear in the
       | circle packings.
       | 
       | 2. Testing the Conjecture: James Rickards created software to
       | examine any desired arrangement of circle packings. When
       | researchers Summer Haag and Clyde Kertzer started using the
       | software, they anticipated observing the regular patterns of the
       | local-global rule.
       | 
       | 3. A Surprise Discovery: After conducting extensive plotting,
       | Haag observed patterns that didn't align with the local-global
       | conjecture. This suggested that the conjecture may not hold
       | universally.
       | 
       | 4. Disproving the Conjecture: Upon further analysis, it was
       | determined that the observed patterns indicated that the local-
       | global conjecture was false. The team developed a rigorous proof,
       | utilizing the principle of quadratic reciprocity, which explained
       | why certain curvatures can't be tangent to each other.
       | 
       | Implications:
       | 
       | - The discovery was met with significant interest and surprise in
       | the mathematical community.
       | 
       | - The work questions the validity of other conjectures in number
       | theory that have been largely assumed to be true.
       | 
       | Conclusion:
       | 
       | The study of Apollonian circle packings led to the challenge and
       | ultimate disproval of the previously accepted local-global
       | conjecture. This outcome underscores the importance of testing
       | long-held beliefs in mathematics and the potential surprises that
       | can emerge from seemingly simple problems.
        
         | jiggawatts wrote:
         | This type of task is what LLMs are ideally suited for. It makes
         | me laugh when people try to use them for something we already
         | have optimal tools and then walk away disappointed.
         | 
         | I've ran really esoteric and dense research papers through GPT
         | 4 and the original author confirmed that the summary was spot
         | on!
        
       | squokko wrote:
       | It is so amazing that I can read articles like this for free
        
         | Sxubas wrote:
         | I feel the same gratefulness. While I was reading I was
         | thinking that whoever wrote this did a great job to make it
         | understandable. Without their input I believe I would have
         | never been told this story.
         | 
         | I can't get enough of these mathematical stories
         | proving/disproving conjectures. I think they show a more human
         | part of mathematics, which I rarely got to see in my college
         | courses.
        
           | squokko wrote:
           | I hope Quanta continues when Simons dies. There's no way the
           | mathematicians in this story could have written anything like
           | this.
        
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