[HN Gopher] Deep-sea mining may soon ease the world's battery-me...
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       Deep-sea mining may soon ease the world's battery-metal shortage
        
       Author : scythe
       Score  : 45 points
       Date   : 2023-07-03 19:39 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | We have all seen the hot vents, the large worms/crabs etc that
       | subsist on the large sulfur bearing hot springs. Large colonies
       | of bacteria live on these sulfur based nutrients. There is a
       | large ecology from bacteria all the way to large worms/crabs/etc
       | - an amazing diversity. These sulfur streams also carry
       | cobalt/copper/zinc - all crustal minerals. Most of these sulfides
       | are soluble at very high temperatures. They start to precipitate
       | as soon as they exit the vent = black clouds of diverse sulfides
       | = bacteria food = supports the whole food chain. These vents
       | migrate and once they move away from the vent they cool, There is
       | a zone of up to a kilometer or more within which the ecology
       | lives. Once the live zone moves away = dead zone. The dead zone
       | is full of the nodules and these zone are huge and dead. They can
       | be mined for minerals = no need to mine the life zone. The
       | nodules are hard and dense, They get covered by silt and deep
       | ocean detritus that is easy to break and mine with zero harm to
       | life-forms, tube worms etc. What is needed is a deep sea sieve
       | with a separator/flusher connected to a conveyor to the surface.
       | This what they do now. There are enough modules for mankind for
       | 1000 years or more.
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=deep+sea+nodule...
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _no need to mine the life zone_
         | 
         | We need to set up independent monitoring and enforcement before
         | the Pulitzer-winning expose of mining trawlers blisfully
         | wrecking through vents.
        
         | littlestymaar wrote:
         | > There are enough modules for mankind for 1000 years or more
         | 
         | At the current rate I suppose? But if we keep the current
         | "growth" rate, we would consume 60 times more ressources by the
         | end of the century... (I used 5% increase a year as an
         | approximation, and we aren't that far off currently).
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | _> They get covered by silt and deep ocean detritus that is
         | easy to break and mine with zero harm to life-forms, tube worms
         | etc. What is needed is a deep sea sieve with a separator
         | /flusher connected to a conveyor to the surface._
         | 
         | What effect does it have to disturb/stir up all that silt?
         | Isn't that going to create huge plumes that might take ages to
         | settle? Could that be using up the little oxygen left at these
         | depths?
        
           | meepmorp wrote:
           | We have no idea, and it really doesn't matter because it's
           | going to happen anyway; even if we do know, nobody's going to
           | not do it because it might wipe out some ecosystems.
           | 
           | We'll wreck everything, carelessly, like we've always done.
        
             | samtho wrote:
             | Defeatist thinking is not what we need to actually solve
             | problems.
        
               | littlestymaar wrote:
               | The only viable alternative is _violence_ , and most of
               | us aren't especially thrilled by this perspective either,
               | so cynicism is all we've left...
        
               | galangalalgol wrote:
               | It isn't necessarily defeatist. We could expect human
               | nature to prevail despite our best efforts to curb it,
               | and use that expectation to be prepared with mitigations
               | and backup plans.
        
               | meepmorp wrote:
               | We don't even take particularly good care of the parts of
               | the earth we live in and directly need to survive, why
               | are we going to get it right in a remote and hostile
               | environment like that?
               | 
               | Sure, I'm all for trying, but I don't hold out a ton of
               | hope. I'd love to be wrong.
        
         | zerodensity wrote:
         | You make a valid point but if the last century has shown us
         | anything it's that our global civilisation hates the ocean (all
         | large bodies of water really, above or below ground) and we
         | want them gone or poisoned and dead. So if this cost even 5%
         | more I don't see it happening.
        
       | canadiantim wrote:
       | If I had a nickel for every time someone said something may soon
       | ease x shortage, I'd have atleast a couple nickels
        
         | lovemenot wrote:
         | Sure. But where did the nickel come from?
        
       | jtrip wrote:
       | This and other recent similar articles honestly sounds like
       | someone paid a big bag of money to a very high profile PR agency,
       | the one used by the Middle east dictators and BP, to rehabilitate
       | ocean mining's image and lobby the public zeitgeist.
       | 
       | I wonder what else comes with the Platinum knife through our
       | morality's heart package other than nudging multiple article
       | mills and ai wranglers to massage out their press kits.
        
         | PradeetPatel wrote:
         | Hence it is extremely important to lay down regulations and
         | compliance requirements for ocean mining from the get-go.
         | 
         | It has been established that this has the potential to be
         | destructive towards the biosphere, but it can be reduced
         | through due diligence and NGO oversight.
        
           | jtrip wrote:
           | I wonder if the Regulatory bodies and the NGOs can
           | sufficiently express the necessity and severity of these new
           | regulations to the high levels of radioactivity in the metal
           | nodules. There is also the concern that mining companies may
           | not be able to relay their concerns about the proper handling
           | of such metals to the Governmental and Regulatory bodies in a
           | timely and above the board manner. Over dinner at the local
           | Social Club. This might create some consternation.
        
       | Prcmaker wrote:
       | Sounds like a prime reason to build a new Glomar Explorer.
        
         | gpderetta wrote:
         | Yes, was going to comment that some three lettered agency needs
         | to lift another Russian sub and needs plausible cover.
        
           | PradeetPatel wrote:
           | It's a shame that they didn't get the whole thing (according
           | to official sources of), but that's easily an overlooked
           | snippet from the Cold War era.
        
       | scythe wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/7RpfK
        
       | woodpanel wrote:
       | and this is supposed to be a good thing, obviously
        
       | tacotacotaco wrote:
       | Wired did an article on this earlier this year. It talks about
       | the ecological concerns and the international politics
       | surrounding these deep sea mining efforts.
       | 
       | https://www.wired.com/story/deep-sea-mining-electric-vehicle...
        
       | PaulKeeble wrote:
       | For country level power usage where space and weight are less of
       | a premium lithium ion and lithium phosphate batteries aren't
       | really the right fit. Pumped hydro, molten salt,redox or even
       | just the new sodium ion all make more sense as they are much
       | cheaper per KW/h. Also a lot of second hand car batteries are now
       | appearing and getting racked for grid storage uses now. I am
       | hopefully in the next few years we won't have nearly the
       | explosion in demand for lithium, nickel and cobalt expected as
       | alternates are released.
        
       | mcpackieh wrote:
       | Oh, have they lost another military submarine?
        
       | ulrashida wrote:
       | In the Economist's own words: "a very rough comparison is
       | possible" which they then turn into a speculative headline
       | ("may") and a bold statement that the comparison is correct
       | "taking nickel from rainforests destroys 30 times more..." after
       | the article specifically states it is incomplete.
       | 
       | What a bunch of tools. We shouldn't be listening to management
       | consultant speak when it comes to underwater ecosystems. Not a
       | single scientist quoted in the article. Disclosures from the
       | company taken as truth and "very transparent". To think I used to
       | look to this magazine for journalism.
       | 
       | Again: the whole article is premised on "deforestation bad,
       | destroying marine ecosystems okay or less bad" based on... what?
       | The mining company's assessment? Absolute rubbish. How much was
       | this writer paid by the company?
        
       | max_ wrote:
       | Its our growing hunger for resources that will eventually lead to
       | our destruction.
       | 
       | I recommend you read Geoffrey West's book "Scale". Or at least
       | watch his talk [0]
       | 
       | [0]: https://youtu.be/nxgHyPCCqaw
        
         | flownoon wrote:
         | I used to think this way. I guess it is possible, in the long-
         | term, that we might see some kind of social collapse due to a
         | tragedy-of-the-commons driven depletion of some critical
         | resource.
         | 
         | But I see no evidence this is close. Humans are flourishing
         | more than ever before. And in the places that humans aren't
         | flourishing, this is more due to social issues (inequality,
         | deaths of despair) than to resource depletion. Moreover,
         | stalling birthrates obviate any kind of Malthusian concerns for
         | at least a generation or so.
         | 
         | People have been predicting resource-driven collapses for a
         | long time now, since the Club of Rome and Donella Meadow's
         | Limits to Growth in the 70s. I haven't read Geoffrey West but
         | it looks like he is in the same camp. A lot of very smart
         | modelers and game theoreticians have come up with models
         | predicting collapse. But they've been wrong so far when pressed
         | to make falsifiable predictions (see the Simon-Erlich wager).
         | And beyond falsifiable predictions, more empirical and less
         | theoretical work also seems to show that models of resource-
         | depletion and collapse are too simple to map on to what
         | actually happens. See for example, Elinor Ostrom's Governing
         | the Commons, about how societies around the world and through
         | history have successfully managed common-pool resources.
         | 
         | So Im not worried about resource-depletion-driven collapse.
        
           | dottjt wrote:
           | I think the thing that people miscalculate is that resource-
           | depletion-driven collapse happens once. Everything the
           | happens prior to the collapse is largely irrelevant,
           | irrespective of how nice life was prior to the collapse.
           | 
           | Ultimately we live in a world of physical limits. Current
           | society is predicated upon exponential growth, it is
           | literally unsustainable by definition.
        
             | jvanderbot wrote:
             | This is not true. A total collapse can happen many times,
             | and there can be innumerable reaource-driven collapses of
             | societies or even civilizations.
             | 
             | What is conjectures in this thread is that it hasn't
             | happened yet (debatable) but that doesn't mean it can only
             | happen one more time.
        
               | dottjt wrote:
               | You're conflating two separate things. Yes, society can
               | collapse multiple times. Yes, there can be innumerable
               | resource-driven collapses. These are given.
               | 
               | What I'm referring to is the literal running out of the
               | necessary resources to progress modern society in the
               | same way that we have up until now. This is also a given.
               | Take oil for example, and think of the vast amounts of
               | plastic we rely on, which we currently have no equivalent
               | alternative.
               | 
               | Of course, this is only relevant to modern society. This
               | is not to say that humans cannot exist in a pre-modern
               | society. It just won't be pleasant.
        
             | bumby wrote:
             | > _Current society is predicated upon exponential growth_
             | 
             | Is it though? There is no law in economics that I'm aware
             | of that bars steady state. Exponential growth seems to be
             | nothing more that a (possibly shortsighted) preference
        
               | dottjt wrote:
               | Can you name a modern society that doesn't aim to
               | maintain positive economic growth year on year?
        
           | climatologist wrote:
           | What is your opinion on industrial pollution?
        
           | forty wrote:
           | The issue is not resource depletion, but more how we f* the
           | planet by producing / consuming too much (heating it and
           | killing biodiversity in miscellaneous other ways).
        
       | mrcartmeneses wrote:
       | One problem is the ore deposits contain radioactive elements, so
       | it would need specialist processing otherwise the workers would
       | all have radioactive dust in their lungs
        
       | edhelas wrote:
       | > Taking nickel from rainforests destroys 30 times more life than
       | getting it from the depths
       | 
       | So why not doing both at the same time !
        
         | czbond wrote:
         | ^ This is Reddit level snark. Well done.
         | 
         | I guess the thinking is the ocean approach is "see no evil or
         | the outcomes" .... especially since large amounts of the ocean
         | are empty enough?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | Getting half from the rainforest and half from the depths would
         | cause (1+30)/2 = 15.5 times as much destruction as just getting
         | it from the depths.
         | 
         | (Assuming the numbers are correct; Gell-Mann Amnesia says that
         | sadly it's _reasonable_ cynicism to suggest we live in a world
         | of misleading newspaper reports).
        
           | scythe wrote:
           | I thought the article was reasonably upfront about the
           | limitations of the use of total biomass as a measure of
           | ecological value. But the subtitle, unfortunately, omits
           | those details.
           | 
           | There is a bit of "until next time" in all of this: nickel
           | only covers a small part of the ocean floor, and humanity is
           | not normally interested in exploitation down there, meaning
           | that the vast majority of the seabed will remain intact. But
           | we have to be aware as a society that the first time we
           | extract a resource somewhere is almost never the last.
        
       | raffraffraff wrote:
       | Great. So, all those disposable vapes with rechargeable batteries
       | that are stewn across the streets of most cities... I should stop
       | wanting to kill the assholes that make/sell/use them?
        
       | myshpa wrote:
       | Deep-Sea Mining Could Cause 25x the Biodiversity Loss of Land-
       | Based Mining, Report Warns
       | 
       | https://www.ecowatch.com/deep-sea-mining-ocean-biodiversity-...
        
       | dumpsterlid wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | freitzkriesler2 wrote:
       | Deep sea mining has its own risks that aren't readily apparent.
       | I'd like to see how long mining equipment at 12k ft under the sea
       | lasts compared to land.
        
       | baud147258 wrote:
       | isn't deep sea mining something that had been promised to solve
       | shortage of precious metals for decades already?
        
         | NicoJuicy wrote:
         | But it's not legal... Yet
        
         | NovaDudely wrote:
         | Yep, it is great in theory but reality is messy and expensive.
         | I will probably eventually happen to some degree but a lot of
         | groups that try to get into the space bite off more than they
         | can chew.
         | 
         | Its like getting uranium and gold from sea water, technically
         | fine but economically a nightmare.
        
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