[HN Gopher] Finland Electricity Prices Flip Negative After Glut ...
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       Finland Electricity Prices Flip Negative After Glut of
       Hydroelectric Power
        
       Author : DocFeind
       Score  : 19 points
       Date   : 2023-05-27 17:54 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.businessinsider.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.businessinsider.com)
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | Finland has multiple interconnects to neighboring nations. So
       | how's them energy export revenues ?
        
         | skrause wrote:
         | Probably nowhere to export to because other countries don't
         | need the energy either. Electricity prices flipped deep into
         | the negative in Germany as well because there is just so much
         | renewable energy during these sunny days: https://www.energy-
         | charts.info/charts/price_spot_market/char...
        
         | Gwypaas wrote:
         | Sweden has been continously exporting ~1-2 GW to Finland due to
         | the hole OL3 caused in the grid due to the 14 year delay.
         | There's no need for the power anywhere Finland can export it.
        
       | kuratkull wrote:
       | Estonia (just south of Finland) just dropped to negative too a
       | week ago. When comparing December and April, the reason it
       | actually costs <0 is that all the solar panels in the country are
       | producing more than we can consume on weekends, inside the week
       | it's often 0 when there's sunshine. In December we were paying
       | through our nose for electricity and there was even a slight
       | panic about it. I appreciate nuclear power, but I'm not sure it's
       | the primary factor in Finland.
        
       | didgetmaster wrote:
       | Are the electrical grids in northern Europe not interconnected?
       | It would seem that if one country happens to be producing more
       | energy than its people currently needs, then it should be able to
       | sell the excess to other countries where that is not the case.
        
         | fifilura wrote:
         | A part of it (as my other comment) is that Sweden produce heaps
         | of wind power today. So there is not much point to export in
         | that direction.
         | 
         | But the limitation here is the power grid. The cables to
         | southern Sweden and south Norway can not handle the export.
         | 
         | And the cables to Germany is even more strained. Some say that
         | this is good for us because otherwise our electricity price
         | would have been much higher last winter.
        
         | eesmith wrote:
         | They are. Here are the grids.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synchronous_grid_of_Continenta...
         | 
         | But there's only so much power you can transmit over the
         | interconnects. If I read the list right, in 2019 Finland could
         | generate 17.3 GW but only transfer 3.9 GW out of the country.
         | Going further requires going through even more interconnects,
         | which might have even lower capacity.
         | 
         | There are long-term goals to increase capacity. There's also
         | opposition to those increases.
        
         | dragontamer wrote:
         | Even the USA grid is fragmented.
         | 
         | There seem to be limits on efficient transmission and
         | synchronization of power on the grid.
         | 
         | Connections to import or export excess power are limited in
         | practice. Finding local storage options (pumped hydro,
         | compressed air, etc. Etc.) seems key.
         | 
         | --------
         | 
         | Local grids can use the free market (ex: negative prices
         | electricity) to encourage use or savings from the public. Ex,
         | electric car owners can wait for negative electricity before
         | charging. At least, in theory they could.
         | 
         | It's all a bit handwavey and futuristic. But these things are
         | possible if we solve a few key issues over the next decade.
         | 
         | Energy storage could be partially solved by load shifting: we
         | kindly ask and encourage chargers at certain time,
         | washer/driers or even AC with $$$ incentives to reward those
         | who load shift.
         | 
         | It can also be attacked with utility scale storage. And finally
         | additional export/import power lines to other grids.
        
       | londgine wrote:
       | What does negative electricity price even mean? Is it really
       | worth while for power companies to pay people to receive
       | electricity over their electrical infrastructure? Would it not be
       | cheaper to drive a metal rod into the ground and send it there?
       | 
       | > In practice, it doesn't appear any ordinary Finns are being
       | paid to consume electricity. People pay a markup on the
       | electricity, and often pay agreed rates for power instead of the
       | raw market price.
       | 
       | Or am I completely misunderstanding negative priced electricity?
       | Is it just a clickbait term?
        
         | dragontamer wrote:
         | The USA at least has multiple markets for electricity, even on
         | the same grid.
         | 
         | The day-ahead market prices electricity based on projections.
         | This helps utility companies figure out how much to spin up
         | peaker plants or maybe the local Pumped Hydro station the hours
         | of the day they should release water to generate electricity.
         | 
         | I don't think the day-ahead market ever goes negative.
         | 
         | But the day-of market, maybe just an hour ahead of any
         | particular time, needs finer balance that these big systems
         | can't react to in time. This price of electricity the hour of
         | use is often negative.
         | 
         | It exists because yesterday's projection wasn't perfect and
         | there is too much electricity on the grid right now.
         | 
         | Some systems can react instantly, but if those instant reaction
         | systems are all used up, it's cheaper to pay negative.
         | 
         | --------
         | 
         | Ex: a hydro dam also is juggling the water needs of the
         | community downstream. They cannot send too much, or too little
         | water. They are already set on dropping 100 tons of water today
         | at 10am and cannot change their plans.
         | 
         | So someone else needs to catch all that electricity that will
         | be generated from that event. You can't just 'not drop the
         | water', because people downstream will not get their water.
        
         | hotpotamus wrote:
         | My understanding was that it sometimes happens in the
         | commercial market - there's some inertia in large power systems
         | and so sometimes it can help balance things out to pay someone
         | to sink electricity. I read something about this in a paper
         | discussing the economics of grid-scale batteries - basically
         | they can potentially make lots of money by playing both ends of
         | the market and can switch on/off with incredible speed compared
         | to other generation.
        
           | londgine wrote:
           | but how can sending power through the lines, and then paying
           | someone to accept it really be cheaper for the power company
           | than simply sending it to ground?
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | You know that when you send 10MW of power to ground, all
             | the wires will just melt.... Right?
             | 
             | Maybe not even melt. The copper might skip the liquid phase
             | and just vaporize to gas at those temperatures.
             | 
             | --------
             | 
             | Power to ground doesn't just mean wasting electricity. It
             | also means perfectly turning that energy into heat.
             | 
             | We are screwed by thermodynamics. Energy is never wasted,
             | just converted to different forms. We usually call heat
             | waste but in utility scale power design (Megawatts+) it's
             | not easy to find energy sinks in practice that can absorb
             | excess energy generated.
             | 
             | -------
             | 
             | In practice, you want the generators to stop making
             | electricity (at least, the generators that __can__ stop in
             | time). But some equipment cant stop in time to respond to
             | the hourly electricity market.
        
             | caminante wrote:
             | Contractual obligations and grid security trump
             | counterparty economics.
             | 
             | You have traders taking/offloading risk.
             | 
             | I'm not familiar with this micro-market, but power prices
             | go negative in the US frequently where tax incentives make
             | it profitable to operate renewables plants at prices <
             | -$20/MWh.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | It generally means "I (as the owner of a coal or nuclear plant)
         | don't want to reduce my output on a short timescale as that has
         | costs for me, so I'd rather pay someone to take the energy".
         | 
         | They mention the hydro dams, but I'm assuming they all have
         | spillways for shedding water without generating electricity,
         | which they would use if forced to pay to generate.
         | 
         | Since we already have a grid, it doesn't make monetary sense
         | for every such onflexible producer to invest in their own
         | flexibility unless they can do it for cheaper than the market
         | rate of paying what is effectively a fine every so often.
        
         | caminante wrote:
         | The article could be more clear. BI is just recycling other
         | articles.
         | 
         | I doubt you get paid to take electricity in the simple sense
         | and presume it's more similar to pricing situations in the US
         | where it's a price signal (penalty) for congesting the grid but
         | few plants are injecting, unless they're reaping tax
         | incentives.
         | 
         | 1. Wholesale spot energy prices don't include transmission
         | charges and other non-energy costs.
         | 
         | 2. Don't forget someone might've contracted for that power so
         | regardless of the price, they have to physically or financially
         | settle.
        
       | fifilura wrote:
       | You can get an overview of the electricity situation in the
       | nordics here:
       | 
       | https://www.svk.se/om-kraftsystemet/kontrollrummet/
       | 
       | The page is in Swedish, but i am guessing the important
       | information is still comprehensible (Vatten = Hydro/Water,
       | Karnkraft = Nuclear).
       | 
       | As you can see (if you read this today), the electricity is at
       | EUR0 in both Finland, mid/north Sweden and north Norway.
       | 
       | Finland just finished their long awaited nuclear power reactor
       | OL3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olkiluoto_Nuclear_Power_Plant
       | 
       | Before the new reactor the normal situation for them would be to
       | import some electricity from Sweden/Norway.
       | 
       | What happened today is that Finland's nuclear power is on full
       | steam, while wind power in Sweden is producing a lot (more than
       | nuclear in both Finland and Sweden a the moment, Sweden has a
       | couple of reactors down for maintenance today).
       | 
       | Hydro in Sweden is producing very little today, guessing as
       | little as is practically possible.
        
         | eesmith wrote:
         | > What happened today is that Finland's nuclear power is on
         | full steam,
         | 
         | Really? https://yle.fi/a/74-20032375 from 10 days ago says "The
         | output of Finland's newest nuclear power facility, Olkiluoto 3,
         | has been significantly cut back because electricity has become
         | too cheap" (Was on HN 2 days ago at
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36069517 .)
         | 
         | It goes on to say: "Generally, the amount of electricity
         | generated in Finland is regulated by increasing or decreasing
         | the amount of hydroelectric power that is used. However, due to
         | flood conditions in northern Finland, reducing hydroelectric-
         | generated electricity is challenging at the moment."
        
           | fifilura wrote:
           | Ok, thanks for pointing out.
           | 
           | Hydro power is rather small in Finland, and it actually seems
           | they increased nuclear power from 3.9GW to 4.3GW during the
           | day today.
           | 
           | (again: https://www.svk.se/om-kraftsystemet/kontrollrummet/ )
           | 
           | This page says that 4.3 GW is very close to the nuclear
           | capacity
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Finland
        
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       (page generated 2023-05-27 23:02 UTC)