[HN Gopher] Direct air capture: our technology to capture CO2
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       Direct air capture: our technology to capture CO2
        
       Author : fagnerbrack
       Score  : 94 points
       Date   : 2023-05-27 11:17 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (climeworks.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (climeworks.com)
        
       | kmeisthax wrote:
       | Lots of information about land usage, not so much about power
       | usage beyond "it'll run on renewables". I imagine their cost
       | benefit analysis boils down to "governments will pay for it to
       | not die", which sounds rather optimistic.
        
         | michaelt wrote:
         | They can also get cash from big oil and car companies, who will
         | offer this to regulators as an argument to let them keep
         | polluting.
         | 
         | For this application it doesn't matter if it works or not.
        
         | somedude895 wrote:
         | And then wouldn't all that renewable energy production better
         | be used to replace fossil fuel production? Maybe once we've
         | replaced all possible CO2 emitting power generation it would
         | make sense to start building out more to power these things?
        
           | carlhjerpe wrote:
           | This is the scheduling problem, you can't schedule all
           | renewables, so using them inefficiently is better than not at
           | all.
        
         | doikor wrote:
         | I think a part of it is waiting for the point of time when
         | overproduction from renewables is to the point that we
         | regularly hit 0 (or negative) prices for some parts of the day.
         | Then you basically only run it during those times when
         | electricity is almost free.
         | 
         | This is already happening on windy days in the summer in
         | northern Europe (Finland and northern parts of Sweden/Norway).
        
       | tourgen wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | unwind wrote:
       | So there are filters that simply collect CO2 by trapping the
       | molecules directly? Wow, TIL.
        
       | flakeoil wrote:
       | I'm curious what happens with all the bugs that get stuck in the
       | filters. I imagine a huge amount of air has to pass through
       | everyday and bugs have no chance to escape these giant fans and
       | they will get stuck and die in the different levels of filters.
       | 
       | It's great if this technology works, but side effects have to be
       | studied as well before they are put in use at scale.
        
       | i2cmaster wrote:
       | I don't see how these are improvements over algae bioreactors.
       | Capturing the CO2 without reducing it will lead to less oxygen in
       | the atmosphere as well. Also at least with bioreactors you get
       | useful products/energy. This just generates more waste products
       | and _consumes_ energy.
        
         | mchannon wrote:
         | Removing _ALL_ the CO2 in the atmosphere would be 1-2% the
         | partial pressure of O2 in the atmosphere (barometric pressure
         | where you live swings more than that). Of all the concerns,
         | this one's low on the list.
        
           | i2cmaster wrote:
           | The justification for these things is that the oxygen is
           | being converted to CO2 faster than CO2 is being reduced back
           | to oxygen. So if you capture CO2 at a high rate eventually
           | this would lead to you capturing all of the oxygen.
        
             | mchannon wrote:
             | We'll run out of CO2 through the natural version of this
             | process (weathering) long before the O2 encounters this
             | problem. At that point all the plants die, still with
             | plenty of O2 in the air.
             | 
             | In other words, it's the carbon content that's more
             | endangered over the next billion years than the oxygen.
             | 
             | The problem with this technology isn't side effects like
             | this, it's prohibitive power requirements.
        
       | Etrnl_President wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | fwlr wrote:
       | Their subscription page is currently offering a rate of about
       | $1.35 USD per kg of CO2 removed, and they promise to complete
       | your order within 6 years. It's nice to have some hard numbers on
       | end-stage or "gold standard" CO2 offset (no doubt there are
       | cheaper carbon credit options but this directly solves the
       | hardest problem, CO2 that's diffused into the atmosphere.
        
         | thinkcontext wrote:
         | That's an order of magnitude more expensive than capturing from
         | a point source.
        
         | clnq wrote:
         | It would take around PS12k a year to offset my carbon footprint
         | in the UK, where it is below average. That's a significant part
         | of my take-home salary.
         | 
         | I could spend maybe PS1-2k a year, especially given the
         | futility of this (I would be one of the 0.00...01% of people
         | doing this, large industries will continue to increase
         | pollution, there is no political will for meaningful measures
         | to reduce emissions). There really isn't a lot of value in
         | this. I'd rather invest in a green energy company, or even just
         | pay the bills of a large energy producer decarbonising
         | (replacing a pollution-heavy power plant with something near
         | carbon zero).
         | 
         | Can some company do this carbon filtering at the source more
         | cost-effectively (potentially at no cost to the
         | source/industry/plant producing CO2 now)? I'd rather buy carbon
         | offset from them and pay for that operation. I think they could
         | sequester 10T a year for far below PS10k.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | > Can some company do this carbon filtering at the source
           | more cost-effectively?
           | 
           | If you have some centralized source like that, you should
           | invest on replacing it with something that doesn't emit CO2.
           | It's always a better deal.
           | 
           | Carbon capture is for sources where you just can't plug
           | something like this.
        
             | clnq wrote:
             | The source might have other incentives.
             | 
             | But I agree with the sentiment. I think CO2 offsets could
             | be more effective if done through a fund that funds
             | specific de-carbonisation projects for our industries. For
             | example, they could fund a transition from coal power
             | plants to renewable power plants for power companies, so
             | long as the power companies agree to not increase their
             | carbon emissions and decommission their coal power plants
             | in the process.
             | 
             | Or even a fund that simply subsidizes carbon filters for
             | sources of pollution. Or a lobbying fund that's actually
             | for the good of humanity, not for greed.
             | 
             | There are many creative solutions that could offset a ton
             | of CO2 emissions cheaper. But not the carbon-offset grift
             | we have now. Instead, actual programs with actual reports,
             | auditing, and accountability. If such a fund claims they've
             | recaptured one tonne of CO2, I would expect that there is
             | at least 273kg-heavy pile of carbon or, more realistically,
             | some kilograms of some carbonated substance somewhere.
        
         | masklinn wrote:
         | For reference we're producing about 60Gte/year globally.
         | 
         | For pure CO2, developed countries produce about 5t/year/person
         | on the low end (Switzerland, Sweden, Italy) and >15 on the high
         | end (Luxembourg, Australia).
         | 
         | To the surprise of no one, the US is on the high end (15.5), so
         | are petrostates (Saudi Arabia 16, Brunei 18, UAE 23, and Qatar
         | takes the top at 37).
        
         | marvin wrote:
         | For reference, Charm Industrial offers $0.6/kg.
         | 
         | https://charmindustrial.com/plans?planName=consumer&budget=6...
         | 
         | Charm's pricing is actually approaching _reasonable_ to offset
         | a single person 's net CO2 emissions if you're comfortably
         | middle class; in the low 4 digits per month. Add a tax benefit
         | and get the costs a bit lower, and it starts to look doable.
        
         | gus_massa wrote:
         | For comparison, 1 gallon of gasoline release 9kg of CO2, so
         | it's $0.15 USD more per gallon to be carbon neutral. I think
         | that number is too low to be real.
        
           | jlund-molfese wrote:
           | Wouldn't you multiply rather than divide, to get
           | +$12.15/gallon?
        
             | gus_massa wrote:
             | Yes, obviously! My bad. I must don't make math in the
             | morning. Thanks for the correction.
        
       | lom wrote:
       | The article says that the plant can remove 4000 tons of co2 per
       | year. If you look up what's the equivalent of that, just under
       | 900 average vehicles less on the road per year.
       | 
       | Or the equivalent co2 savings of building one wind turbine to
       | replace polluting forms of energy production.
       | 
       | What a joke.
        
         | mabbo wrote:
         | Both techs are important. We need to reduce our production of
         | greenhouse gasses, but that only gets us to break even. We then
         | need to quickly undo the damage we caused, which needs tech
         | like this.
         | 
         | But you're right: first we need to prioritize reducing our
         | carbon output.
        
           | bcrosby95 wrote:
           | After we quickly undo the damage, I wonder what these
           | companies will lobby for so they don't go out of business.
           | 
           | Who decides when we should stop sucking CO2 out of the
           | atmosphere?
        
         | rtpg wrote:
         | If the vehicle numbers were a _bit_ better, there might be an
         | idea behind forcing car companies to build one for each couple
         | thousand vehicles it puts out into the world. But 900... yeesh.
        
         | j16sdiz wrote:
         | if the process is linear scalable (hint: it is not), I don't
         | see any problem.
        
       | throw0101b wrote:
       | Somewhat related, see Tom Scott's video "Why Australia bottles up
       | its air":
       | 
       | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bu5-VERN3XY
        
       | the_third_wave wrote:
       | If you insist on capturing CO2 then capture it somewhere it is
       | available in abundance instead of ~400 parts per _million_ : at
       | the source. Capture it at gas turbine exhausts, at coal-burning
       | power station smoke stacks, maybe on board ships if the power is
       | available to do so. Use some other process for capturing
       | atmospheric CO2, e.g. lime stone capture. Trying to actively
       | capture airborne CO2 is like creating needle-in-haystack-finding
       | factories, it is possible but a waste of resources.
        
         | culopatin wrote:
         | Would it be simpler to attempt to capture and compress the
         | total of the exhaust of turbines, co2 or not, than to attempt
         | to separate the co2?
        
           | the_third_wave wrote:
           | No, that would just postpone whatever problem existed in the
           | first place since you'd be left with a huge mass of
           | compressed exhaust gases which do not have any use. Since
           | those exhaust gases consist mostly of nitrogen (due to it
           | forming ~80% of the atmosphere) this would also entail a
           | massive waste of energy expended in compressing that
           | nitrogen.
           | 
           | Separating out the CO2 would make it possible to either use
           | it in some form where it replaces CO2 otherwise produced by
           | other means - e.g. for welding, cooling, carbonation of
           | liquids etc. - or to sequester it in some way.
        
       | idlewords wrote:
       | A similar technology (bed of amines that absorbs CO2 from ambient
       | air) is being tested on the International Space Station, so it's
       | worth reviewing how this stuff breaks:
       | 
       | 1. Pipes and bearings clog up or corrode.
       | 
       | 2. Trace contaminants irreversibly react with the sorbent
       | material.
       | 
       | 3. Stuff in the beds shifts around in unexpected ways, aided by
       | the heat cycling.
       | 
       | 4. The problem gets harder the more dilute the gas is. The older
       | zeolite beds on ISS struggle to keep CO2 levels below 5000 ppm,
       | vs. 400 ppm ambient on Earth. Submarines (which use amine
       | sorbents) have the same problem getting below 5000 ppm.
       | 
       | I have no idea how Climeworks addresses these challenges, but
       | they are kind of unavoidable when you're trying to remove a trace
       | gas with a reversible process in thermodynamically unfavorable
       | conditions. They will have to move vast quantities of air, and
       | everything that is in it, through the system, and heat and cool
       | the components thousands of times. I'm sure the problems are
       | surmountable, but are they surmountable in a way that keeps total
       | carbon used in the process (including manufacturing and repair)
       | negative?
        
         | aftbit wrote:
         | Wow I didn't realize that submarines and the ISS had such a
         | high level of CO2. I feel noticeably worse when CO2 is above
         | 2000ppm in my house. I've always wanted to have an artificial
         | CO2 scrubber for when the windows are closed, but energetically
         | I would probably be better off opening the windows and heating
         | or cooling the air to compensate. Do submariners and astronauts
         | have impacts to their cognitive abilities from this elevated
         | rate?
        
           | idlewords wrote:
           | Whether there are cognitive effects is not clear, but it
           | definitely affects their mood and their sleep. It's a touchy
           | subject since astronauts don't like to publicly complain.
           | Scott Kelly talks about it pretty openly in his book; reading
           | between the lines of tech papers on next-generation life
           | support you get the impression that crews insist levels need
           | to get below 2000 ppm for long-duration missions.
        
       | foverzar wrote:
       | Every time I see technology like this, I wonder why there so much
       | effort and publicity in capturing carbon from thin air, but no
       | one seems to be interested in capturing carbon directly out of
       | exhaust pipe?
        
         | dmbche wrote:
         | You might be interesting in reading about catalysors - that's
         | what they do. Blocking more out of exhausts would choke the
         | engine - although I'm sure there could be better set ups.
        
         | wasmitnetzen wrote:
         | There are attempts at this, Stockholm's district heating
         | operator has a pilot project[1].
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.stockholmexergi.se/en/environment-and-
         | sustainabi...
         | 
         | Disclosure: I used to work with them, though not on that
         | project, and my current employer still works with them
        
         | jackmott42 wrote:
         | If you have any practical idea for either, please let us know.
        
         | _aavaa_ wrote:
         | Because this fantasy allows fossil fuel companies to continue
         | selling their products.
         | 
         | Capturing CO2 in ppm quantities out of air is ridiculously
         | difficult. Capturing at point of emission is easier/better. But
         | it's even better if you don't produce it in the first place.
         | 
         | See: https://cleantechnica.com/2019/04/12/chevrons-fig-leaf-
         | part-...
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | Because what you should do with a large static exhaust pipe is
         | to turn it off.
         | 
         | And after you do that, you will still need capture from air.
         | 
         | But on the company's side, it's probably because the companies
         | that own large static exhaust pipes aren't interested on
         | helping cleaning anything up.
        
           | avmich wrote:
           | There are examples - and, I guess, a rather common practice
           | in some places - cleaning up the exhaust from large plants.
           | 
           | The company may not be interested until ordered by judge. Or
           | resented an air cleaning bill. Or having loss of market when
           | customers require ecology-aware approach. Sometimes companies
           | aren't interested even then. Our job is to change this.
        
       | jonplackett wrote:
       | Explain like I'm 5:
       | 
       | Why is this better than just growing trees and then cutting them
       | down and burying them so the co2 never gets back into the
       | atmosphere?
        
         | mchannon wrote:
         | One reason, and not a very compelling one, is that trees in
         | certain latitudes exacerbate global warming by absorbing more
         | heat than naturally occurring grasses (which tend to be more
         | reflective).
         | 
         | In sum, it's not better.
        
         | thinkcontext wrote:
         | Burying trees is too unwieldy to be practical. Burning the
         | trees and capturing the resulting co2 is more feasible. It's an
         | example of BECCS, bio energy carbon capture and sequestration,
         | some argue it's a practical solution.
        
         | Bellend wrote:
         | Do that but with spent nuclear fuel. A few million trees
         | compressed into a barrel.
        
         | pojzon wrote:
         | Its not, but we are slowly becoming desperate and rich ppl feel
         | like they have to have a plan B in case Earth becomes
         | unhabitable.
        
         | j16sdiz wrote:
         | Your plan don't have the ecological and geological risk of
         | pumping acid into the ground.
         | 
         | You cant get VC funding without risk.
        
       | goethes_kind wrote:
       | This is a luxury service sold to people you should not be friends
       | with. They are not price competitive with other DAC technologies.
        
       | shafyy wrote:
       | Climate scientist David Ho has a good thread on CDR:
       | https://mastodon.world/@davidho/109511745525784891
       | 
       |  _It 's hard for people to visualize removing tons or billions of
       | tons of #carbon #dioxide (CO2). I propose we talked about CO2
       | #removal (CDR) like a #time #machine (e.g., this machine will
       | take us back 5 minutes). For example:
       | 
       | Q: How far back in time does planting 100 million #trees take us?
       | 
       | A: If one mature tree takes up an average of 25 kg of CO2 per
       | year, then 100 million trees will take up 2.5 MtCO2. That's a
       | time machine that takes us back 33 minutes and 6 seconds in a
       | year. It's not a lot._
       | 
       | The bottom line being: 99.999% of today's efforts need to focus
       | on cutting emissions. This is like if you want to lose weight: It
       | won't help you if you keep eating 5k kcalories a day and work out
       | for 2 hours a day. Cut the intake, and then do some workout for
       | the rest.
        
         | cameldrv wrote:
         | This is an excellent unit of CO2 to communicate with. I've read
         | Vacslav Simil's books and I still have to look up numbers when
         | hearing about a million tons of CO2.
        
         | MichaelZuo wrote:
         | The numbers don't look right, they would imply human CO2
         | generation of over 100 million tons per day.
        
           | dvh wrote:
           | That's 14kg per human per day. Seems about right.
        
             | onos wrote:
             | And one tree does 25kg per year. So each person should
             | plant 14 * 365 / 25= 204 trees. Seems very reasonable.
        
               | johndunne wrote:
               | Consider UK; 204 trees * 65 million people = 13.2 billion
               | trees. Woodland estimates there's approx 3 billion trees
               | in the UK now. That's over 4 fold increase in trees every
               | year. I doubt the terrain/nature could support such a
               | significant increase in just one year, let alone a number
               | of years. But I like the idea of more trees.
               | 
               | https://woodlands.co.uk/blog/woodland-economics/how-many-
               | tre...
        
               | kitd wrote:
               | The UK is one of the least forested countries in Europe.
               | It is very doable.
        
               | uoaei wrote:
               | It used to be covered in trees! Surely it can support
               | forests again.
        
               | pydry wrote:
               | UK population density is 715 / sq mi. World average
               | excluding Antarctica is 154.
               | 
               | There are less densely populated places where more trees
               | could be planted.
        
               | 3m wrote:
               | Yes but that is skewed by the South of England. There's a
               | TON of hardly populated land in Scotland/Wales.
        
               | onos wrote:
               | You don't need a new tree each year cause they can live
               | decades. UK 4xing it's tree coverage sounds doable and
               | nice!
        
               | johndunne wrote:
               | :facepalm: you're right! Just 4xing alone is enough to
               | cover the population's emission. I'm totally up for
               | upping the tree population in the UK.
        
               | tda wrote:
               | This planting should happen one time, not yearly. Of
               | course every dead tree should be replaced though. If
               | there are 204 trees capturing CO2 for every human (and
               | these numbers are correct) we should effectively be
               | carbon neutral. No idea if that is even remotely
               | realistic though
        
           | vlovich123 wrote:
           | Humans emit about 35 billion tons a year according to the
           | reports which comes out to emit 100 million tons per day.
        
             | 14 wrote:
             | Then we will need to see these machines scale up over time
             | like we see solar doing now.
             | 
             | I hope one day industry will be required to match their
             | carbon capture with devices like this to their carbon
             | output.
             | 
             | Perhaps someone will make a solar farm in tandem with these
             | co2 capture devices with the fans from these devices
             | cooling the solar panels as solar panels work more
             | efficiently at cooler times (1).
             | 
             | 1: https://www.solar.com/learn/do-solar-panels-work-less-
             | effici...
        
               | vlovich123 wrote:
               | It's not enough to get to zero emissions. We're well past
               | the point where we need to get to negative. And afaik
               | these machines can't scale to even a fraction of the way
               | to net 0 unless we start building out fission/break
               | through with fusion.
               | 
               | Think of it this way. It's more energy intensive to
               | capture carbon than it was to generate the electricity
               | from that carbon. The amount of energy required to make
               | this work requires you to generate roughly the same order
               | of magnitude of energy as has been emitted through the
               | burning of fossil fuels since the beginning.
               | 
               | I'm a big fission supporter but I doubt even fission
               | could get to the cost scaling needed to generate all this
               | energy effectively. Even fusion might struggle since we
               | don't actually yet know what the unit economics of it
               | will be.
               | 
               | We might get lucky and figure out a way where recapturing
               | carbon is net cheaper energy than it generated but I
               | doubt it as that feels like it would be very close to a
               | perpetual motion machine scenario.
        
         | photochemsyn wrote:
         | Even a complete cessation of fossil fuel use won't change the
         | current trajectory much, it'll just mean the slope (rate of
         | warming) doesn't get much steeper. This is due to the long lag
         | (much of it related to slow ocean equilibration to atmospheric
         | forcing), as well as the permafrost emissions:
         | 
         | > "Given current rates of warming, an estimated 130-160 billion
         | tons of permafrost carbon, could be released in the form of
         | greenhouse gases--primarily carbon dioxide but with an
         | important warming contribution from methane--during this
         | century. Thus, emissions from thawing permafrost, in total
         | equivalent to 61-75 ppm atmospheric carbon dioxide, could be
         | similar to other Jluxes from other environmental changes, such
         | as deforestation, but far less than fossil fuel emissions. New
         | plant growth is expected to offset only ~20% of this carbon
         | release, but this offset could help to delay impacts on
         | climate."
         | 
         | - "Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback", Schur et
         | al. (2015) Nature
         | 
         | Humans will have to adapt to a new climate regime, by
         | necessity. It's not going to be very pretty.
        
           | briantakita wrote:
           | > Humans will have to adapt to a new climate regime, by
           | necessity. It's not going to be very pretty.
           | 
           | Somehow, I get a sense that the governing bodies are going to
           | cause far more harm to people than the climate change.
           | Similar to how Mao ordered the mass killing of Sparrows in a
           | misguided belief that since sparrows eat crops, killing
           | sparrows will increase yields. Unfortunately, killing the
           | sparrows meant a predator of bugs (which eat crops in a more
           | destructive manner) was drastically reduced. The crop yields
           | plummeted largely from the policy to kill sparrows, resulting
           | in millions people dying of starvation.
           | 
           | Human institutions with their "brilliant" ideas of
           | intervening with nature often make matters worse, especially
           | when chasing a single metric & ignoring other aspects of a
           | system.
        
             | garbagecoder wrote:
             | >Somehow, I get a sense that the governing bodies are going
             | to cause far more harm to people than the climate change.
             | 
             | That sense is called "your priors." This is a very simple,
             | mostly linear switch on top of very very very complex
             | systems, ie CO2 concentration. Your argument is basically
             | "we broke it, but if we fix it it will be more broken" and
             | there's just no evidence for that, just speculation.
             | 
             | As long as other bad policy decisions aren't made because
             | of the existence of CO2 sequestration there is absolutely
             | no reason not to use it, but it's one out of perhaps 100
             | major initiatives that will be required to get us back to a
             | good level.
             | 
             | And by the way, if you're living in a man-made climate
             | crisis and governments start doing bad shit (like Syria?)
             | it's still the fault of the man-made climate crisis, at
             | least in part.
        
         | specialist wrote:
         | Time machine is neat metaphor. Thanks for sharing.
         | 
         | --
         | 
         | Net Zero is not enough. We must do Net Negative, a much bigger
         | project than Net Zero.
         | 
         | The goal is CO2 350ppm, or lower.
         | 
         | Today is 417ppm. It will be >600ppm in 2050, our current global
         | Net Zero deadline.
         | 
         | There is no either-or. We need all the solutions. To stop and
         | then reverse emissions: solar, wind, geothermal, nukes (old and
         | much more new), storage, transmission, carbon direct capture,
         | solar reflection, etc, etc.
         | 
         | Renewables and electrification buy us a little bit of time.
         | 
         | Meanwhile, we need to over invest in CDR. Birth of Flight type
         | thinking. Moonshot type efforts. Dump money onto every semi-
         | plausible idea.
         | 
         | Any viable CDR solutions will take decades to scale up. So we
         | must start today.
         | 
         | --
         | 
         | PS- Ditto methane and other GHGs. Ditto fusion and solar
         | reflection (mirrors). And maybe even, god forbid,
         | geoengineering.
        
           | Retric wrote:
           | The earth naturally sequesters carbon on its own, we are
           | simply vastly outpacing that process. So no we don't need
           | artificial carbon sequestration to hit even preindustrial
           | levels again.
           | 
           | Carbon sequestration is unfortunately more of a scam than a
           | practical process. Without actual discouraging the burning of
           | fossil fuels people aren't going to simply stop on their own
           | and if we can't even get that far nobody is willing to pay
           | for any kind of meaningful rather than token carbon
           | sequestration.
        
             | masklinn wrote:
             | > The earth naturally sequesters carbon on its own, we are
             | simply vastly outpacing that process.So no we don't need
             | artificial carbon sequestration to hit even preindustrial
             | levels again.
             | 
             | Debatable: not only have human activities taken over huge
             | swathes of land which previously sequestered carbon (aka
             | forests), we have been releasing huge amounts of carbon
             | which had been sequestered through processes which
             | basically can not work anymore, at least not naturally.
             | 
             | There is no millions of years of trees being buried
             | wholesale because fungi haven't evolved peroxisade yet,
             | because they did, a while ago, and so dead trees rot and
             | release their carbon.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Carbon sequestration down to a tiny fraction of
               | atmospheric carbon has happened all the way back when
               | phytoplankton first showed up causing the Oxygen
               | Holocaust and has been steady since then. Volcanic
               | activity releases an enormous quantity of net carbon over
               | time, but that carbon doesn't accumulate in the
               | atmosphere.
               | 
               | The misconception around the lack of fungi resulting in
               | massive sequestration is that carbon would have been
               | sequestered either way. It was similarly limited by the
               | amount of carbon available per year from volcanic
               | activity, what changed was the location of carbon storage
               | not the net rate it was stored.
        
               | masklinn wrote:
               | > Volcanic activity releases an enormous quantity of net
               | carbon over time, but that carbon doesn't accumulate in
               | the atmosphere.
               | 
               | Volcanic activity releases nearly 2 orders of magnitude
               | less carbon than humanity does. That's a much easier
               | amount to cycle.
               | 
               | > The misconception around the lack of fungi resulting in
               | massive sequestration is that carbon would have been
               | sequestered either way.
               | 
               | By the process of magic? Because if that's your
               | hypothesis you need to explain why that magic was
               | overwhelmingly more active during the Carboniferous than
               | at any other epoch.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | > By the process of magic.
               | 
               | No, by other carbon sinks like dead ocean algae.
               | 
               | > Volcanic activity releases nearly 2 orders of magnitude
               | less carbon than humanity does
               | 
               | But they have been around far more than just 2 orders of
               | magnitude as long.
               | 
               | Between the great oxygen event and the emergence of woody
               | plants volcanic processes releasing ~100,000x as much all
               | of humanity across all of human history yet levels didn't
               | hit 90% CO2. Further woody plants didn't increase the
               | rate of carbon release by volcanoes so across such long
               | timescales they had zero net effect on total carbon
               | sequestration.
               | 
               | So, across long timescales it was on average 100% of all
               | new carbon before they showed up and it remained 100% of
               | all new carbon afterwards. What changed was where the
               | carbon ended up, the ocean floor sees subduction into the
               | mantle, woody plants stuck around on the surface.
               | 
               | Now, yes on human timescales these things seem slow but
               | net zero + 1,000 years really will have a noticeable
               | impact.
        
               | 411111111111111 wrote:
               | Humans are responsible for about 1% of annual co2
               | emissions.
               | 
               | What they said is spot on: the problem would go away in
               | short order if we ceased all emissions today.
               | 
               | That's obviously not going to happen though, and the
               | original argument is spot on too: the technology is just
               | socialised greenwashing. It's basically only there to
               | postpone legislature and offload the cost to tax payers
               | while keeping private profits high.
        
               | fuzzfactor wrote:
               | >It's basically only there to postpone legislature and
               | offload the cost to tax payers while keeping private
               | profits high.
               | 
               | Not just taxpayers, every living thing has to endure the
               | increasing effect of failed climate preservation. As we
               | have seen there's not really enough taxpayers to make a
               | difference, what's more effective would be voters but
               | there's even far less of them since voting is prohibited
               | most places and proven ineffective for this purpose
               | almost everywhere else.
               | 
               | The after-effect is spread so far & wide that's one more
               | reason why it's been so lucrative not to do the most
               | effective emission reduction immediately, since the
               | outset of gassifying as much carbon as industrialists
               | could possibly do, far in excess of what the earth has
               | been able to naturally capture for eons.
               | 
               | In natural science, renewable energy is still far more
               | effectively employed for reducing the need for emissions,
               | secondarily for near-complete source capture.
               | 
               | The only viable energy that can be sensibly devoted to
               | air capture appears to be pure waste energy for the
               | forseeable future. Most probably still better recovered
               | and used for conservation instead.
               | 
               | You realistically can't fool mother nature.
               | 
               | Where are all the CO2-trapping chemicals going to come
               | from without prohibitive amounts of additional emissions
               | unless that chemical process is driven by only pure waste
               | energy as well? Using even renewable energy for any part
               | of direct air capture simply reduces the benefit of that
               | valuable low-cost energy to that of pure waste energy
               | instead.
               | 
               | Thermodynamics is supposed to be top-of-mind here, not
               | mumbo-jumbo. When you read the article one of the first
               | things you see is:
               | 
               | >1. Air is drawn in through a fan located inside the
               | collector. Once sucked in, it passes through a filter
               | located inside the collector which traps the carbon
               | dioxide particles.
               | 
               | Umm, no. Atmospheric CO2 does not exist in particle form
               | at temperatures much above minus 78 degrees C. Who writes
               | this stuff?
               | 
               | >2. When the filter is completely full of CO2, the
               | collector closes, and the temperature rises to about
               | 100degC -- about the same temperature it takes to boil
               | water for a cup of tea!
               | 
               | That's supposed to be exciting? One can safely assume the
               | temperature of significant sized filters will not rise
               | all by itself, boiling water for a cup of tea that big
               | may very likely take enough energy to more than offset
               | what could be accomplished if the energy could be
               | diverted to conservation or emission reduction instead.
               | Not exactly my cup of tea as a chemist experienced with
               | material balance on a large scale.
               | 
               | >3. This causes the filter to release the CO2 so we can
               | finally collect it.
               | 
               | Now once the "captured" CO2 is _released_ (re-gassified)
               | again in more concentrated form like this, you can expect
               | an _additional_ collection /capture mechanism to be
               | orders of magnitude more physically effective. All signs
               | point to increased effectiveness of capture in proportion
               | to the ppm content of the CO2 present. More or less the
               | same technology needed for direct source capture, so why
               | not just capture at the source instead? Duh.
               | 
               | In the research lab you can purchase trapping chemicals
               | easily within the reach of most budgets whether grants or
               | "investments", and as you scale up you will definitely
               | reach more attractive but false economies of scale until
               | eventually the diminishing returns fall far short of what
               | is needed to make a significant difference to the planet
               | as a whole.
               | 
               | Who's willing to settle for putting research dollars, or
               | worse large amounts of renewable energy into not making
               | much of a difference anyway?
               | 
               | Ha, I think I've found it. That was easy.
               | 
               | Elsewhere on the website, preceded by their partnership
               | with JPMorgan announced a week ago:
               | 
               | >Climeworks published a statement calling for a clear
               | distinction between emissions reductions and carbon
               | dioxide removal
               | 
               | >Reductions and removals have different roles to play
               | 
               | Correct, one conserves resources and the other wastes
               | resources better put to use in further conservation until
               | after massive conservation efforts have fully halted
               | rising atmospheric concentrations.
               | 
               | >1. Limiting the moral hazard It presents a simple way to
               | mitigate the moral hazard coming with carbon dioxide
               | removals, as it makes for greater clarity over the role,
               | foreseen share, and timing of removals alongside
               | accelerated emissions reduction.
               | 
               | Obviously the most pressing hazard they will be
               | addressing together is the moral threat to JPMorgan more
               | so than the climate threat to the rest of the planet.
               | They might not have even invested enough for that limited
               | an approach yet. Looks like there's more to come, maybe
               | whatever it takes, this could be a bigger threat than
               | people realize and might need to be overcome at all
               | costs.
               | 
               | >2. Adding integrity to carbon markets It adds further
               | integrity to carbon markets and climate policy, as it
               | allows for clarity and aligns with best practice
               | concerning "net-zero", where carbon removal credits need
               | to be singled out to counterbalance residual emissions.
               | 
               | The highest integrity will not be achieved as long as
               | there remains a market for carbon in excess of that which
               | can be captured naturally and through waste energy
               | combined. This means reduction in market size for high-
               | energy carbon forms much more so than CO2 whose energy
               | has been fully depleted.
               | 
               | As long as JPMorgan continues to earn more from fossil
               | fuels than they invest in reduction or capture, they can
               | afford for the capture investment to be largely
               | ineffective, maybe even some financial writeoffs could be
               | possible allowing for indefinite maintenance of status-
               | quo. $200 Million sounds like a lot of money because it
               | is, lots of people will prosper financially as the funds
               | are dispersed, but the continued CO2 dispersal will
               | always be much wider than having the same money focused
               | on conservation instead. Also to some large firms,
               | especially in aggregate, $200 Million is just a drop in
               | the bucket.
               | 
               | >3. Responsible deployment It provides a framework
               | wherein carbon removals can be deployed in a responsible
               | and just manner, in addition and complementary to vast
               | and rapid emission reductions and avoidances.
               | 
               | How much have they put into the these rapid emission
               | reductions and avoidances that are the only thing within
               | anyone's reach to make much of a difference in the short
               | term?
               | 
               | >4. A question of scale CDR urgently needs a dedicated
               | framework with opportunities to scale the entire sector,
               | as well as guardrails against a deployment that is
               | incompatible with global sustainability objectives. A
               | dedicated CDR framework allows to tackle these aspects in
               | the most effective way.
               | 
               | Effective for who, the climate itself needs much more
               | scale on emission reduction before capture makes sense.
               | 
               | >In summary, it presents a scientifically sound framework
               | to deliver on the temperature targets set within the
               | Paris Climate Accord.
               | 
               | Not as scientifically sound as it could be.
               | 
               | Just because you can actually capture kilos of CO2
               | doesn't mean that is the best use of your time,
               | resources, and energy when it comes to climate action
               | overall.
               | 
               | Regulatory capture just may not be enough, how about
               | hedging your bets with a bit of scientist capture too?
               | Who's any good at large-scale hedging around here anyway?
        
             | adrianN wrote:
             | Natural sequestration is a very slow process. If we want to
             | avoid tipping points we shouldn't rely on it alone.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Slow is debatable, it's something like 3 orders of
               | magnitude faster than all the current artificial carbon
               | sequestration systems in operation right now _combined_.
        
             | specialist wrote:
             | > _more of a scam than a practical process_
             | 
             | Elites and grifters always co-opt and subvert any and all
             | reform, revolution, rebellion. That hardly absolves us of
             | our collective moral obligation. We must protect and
             | provide for (present and) future humans. Despite the
             | obstacles.
             | 
             | > _people aren't going to simply stop on their own_
             | 
             | On the other hand, CDR determines the floor price of
             | removing that pollution. Less arm-wavy than current
             | proposals for determining carbon taxes amounts.
             | 
             | Anywho, I'd rather try than not try. YMMV.
        
           | slashdev wrote:
           | I think we have to get used to the idea that we're not going
           | to be less than 600 ppm, even with CO2 capture. I would be
           | surprised if we manage to scale that enough to make a larger
           | difference. But that's still much better than we'd get at
           | without attempting to remove CO2, so it's an important goal.
           | 
           | The one thing that might change that is very ambitious geo
           | engineering. Which actually is the solution that makes most
           | sense to me. But the very people who are most concerned about
           | climate change don't seem to support that.
        
             | specialist wrote:
             | Yup. We'll need additional cooling strategies.
             | 
             | Dr Tao's MEER project is so audacious and crazy, it just
             | might work.
             | 
             | https://www.meer.org
             | 
             | "Volts podcast: Dr. Ye Tao on a grand scheme to cool the
             | Earth" [2022/06/08] https://www.volts.wtf/p/volts-podcast-
             | dr-ye-tao-on-a-grand
             | 
             | "MEER | Mirrors For earth's Energy Rebalancing with Dr Ye
             | Tao at Harvard University"
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZAIIe4X2MU
             | 
             | TLDR: We need to shade a lot of agriculture. So make those
             | shades mirrors too. Practical and scalable with today's
             | tech and supply chain. Adding mirror shades to 15% of
             | arable land cools enough to stay under 1.5C warming.
             | 
             | > _...very people who are most concerned about climate
             | change don't seem to support [geoengineering]._
             | 
             | Ya. Boomers. Whaddya gonna do? Fortunately, or hopefully,
             | the cohort of anti-development environmentalists are
             | finally being displaced.
             | 
             | Meanwhile, at least someone is finally doing the
             | prerequisite basic science on the problem:
             | 
             | "How to think about solar radiation management"
             | [2023/02/24] https://www.volts.wtf/p/how-to-think-about-
             | solar-radiation
             | 
             | --
             | 
             | Please share any other climate crisis mitigation ideas you
             | may stumble upon. My inner geek appreciates these kinds of
             | hacks.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | I'm always amazed at how little attention and resources
               | are given to these types of strategies. Solar radiation
               | management and geoengineering. Clearly we have a problem
               | of too much CO2, and are having massive trouble even
               | reducing the rate of increase.
               | 
               | We need to think of actual countermeasures and
               | mitigations.
               | 
               | It's like if a patient has dangerously high blood
               | pressure. It's all well and good to tell them about diet
               | and exercise but if the situation is really bad you need
               | to give them medicine too.
        
               | slashdev wrote:
               | I don't know where the link is at the moment, but I've
               | heard it said that it would take about one mountain worth
               | of lime, ground up and spread in the ocean to completely
               | balance out the climate change up to now. I don't know
               | how much I trust that.
               | 
               | The other one that seemed quite viable is using
               | reflective aerosols like sulfur dioxide over the
               | Antarctic. It would circle around in the polar vortex and
               | not have massive effects outside of the South Pole. But
               | cooling Antarctica would add more ice, slow sea level
               | rise, and the ice itself would reflect heat away from the
               | planet.
               | 
               | Could be problematic for Argentina/Chile, but probably
               | not so much anywhere else. The potential benefits seem
               | huge.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Yup. First treat the problem then treat its symptoms.
        
         | GreedClarifies wrote:
         | We created this problem by using energy and energy is the way
         | back out of the problem.
         | 
         | Energy released by burning one barrel of oil: ~6 GJ. Total
         | number of barrels consumed per year: ~100M
         | 
         | Total energy per year: 6 * 10^17 J
         | 
         | Solar flux on 10^17 J/s or 3 * 10^24
         | 
         |  _if_ we had a machine that could convert CO2 - > Carbon in
         | some stable form, we would need to use 10^-7 of the earth's
         | solar flux.
         | 
         | At a very high level such a machine would have two principle
         | "knobs" (1) the efficiency and (2) percent of earth that would
         | need to be covered. The product of the 2 must equal (or be less
         | than) 10^7.
         | 
         | Some example parameters:
         | 
         | Efficiency : 10^-2 Area: 10^-5
         | 
         | This seems wildly plausible for some microbe that we design in
         | the near future that lives in the ocean. This efficiency
         | parameter is lower than current plants.
         | 
         | For those wild eyed technologists that think we can beat nature
         | by a good amount:
         | 
         | Efficiency : 10^-1 Area: 10^-6
         | 
         | That's a couple of hundred square miles. That seems paltry for
         | an "existential threat". Even a couple of orders of magnitude
         | more area seem like they would be _fine_ to sequester for this
         | purpose.
         | 
         | This type of technology seems well within our grasp (or within
         | the next 20 years). I never understand the hysteria over this
         | topic.
        
           | mrshadowgoose wrote:
           | > I never understand the hysteria over this topic.
           | 
           | It seems to be a gross mix of a few things:
           | 
           | -Most people are simply incapable of doing this type of
           | analysis. They hear that "the sky is falling, and the only
           | way out is to perpetually give up our comforts and live
           | shittier lives", and they believe it.
           | 
           | -People get really hung up on forcing their personal
           | "correct" way of doing things on everyone else. Whatever
           | their personally acceptable use of energy miraculously
           | happens to be "acceptable", and anyone else who uses more is
           | a "bad selfish person".
           | 
           | -A lot of people seem to just enjoy the "us-vs-them"
           | mentality, and shitting on others for their differing energy
           | use seems to be a way to scratch that itch.
           | 
           | Our entire civilization is fundamentally based on energy use,
           | and we have so much energy available to us in the form of
           | sunlight. We can unwind all our carbon issues, and enable
           | everyone to consume as much energy as a typical American, and
           | more. But people seem to be more interested in shaming and
           | shrieking at each other over bullshit.
        
           | stouset wrote:
           | I have read this analysis several times, and near as I can
           | tell you're basically saying "if blowing up a stick of
           | dynamite provides x energy, we can just use that same x
           | energy to find all the original bits of that stick and put it
           | back together".
        
             | GreedClarifies wrote:
             | We're not talking about some kind of very complex macro
             | object.
             | 
             | We're talking about converting hydrocarbons -> CO2 + water
             | (or whatever if you care) and reversing that reaction (or
             | similar, since we may want something more stable than
             | hydrocarbons).
             | 
             | There are already machines which do this (anything that
             | does photosynthesis). We're just going to play around the
             | edges of making the reaction more efficient and/or the
             | results more stable.
        
               | stouset wrote:
               | Oil before burning is an incredibly concentrated source
               | of carbon. After burning, it's less than 0.05% of the
               | makeup of the atmosphere.
               | 
               | If it were so simple, _we'd be doing it_. Over here in
               | reality, carbon capture remains a difficult and unsolved
               | problem in practice, requiring enormous amounts of energy
               | that is--at present--generally far better put to use
               | replacing carbon-based forms of energy than trying to put
               | the carbon genie back into the oil barrel.
        
           | fatuna wrote:
           | We might have the technology in 20 years, but only if people
           | are hysterica about it being needed. If everyone thinks
           | everything is okay and it will solve it self, nothing will
           | happen! It's a prior to the preparedness paradox.
        
             | GreedClarifies wrote:
             | I don't think so. The technology to enable this is being
             | worked on anyway since it is economically _very_ valuable.
             | Its probably the 2nd most valuable technology being worked
             | on today.
        
           | nosmokewhereiam wrote:
           | Soil converts it to carbon.
        
         | it_citizen wrote:
         | Yet I see carbon capture being a top pick in discussions about
         | effective altruism and by the clean air task force.
         | 
         | I believe their reasoning is that for the amount of money
         | invested, it remains one of the most efficient investment to
         | decarbonize.
         | 
         | I don't know what to do with that information.
        
         | newsclues wrote:
         | It's like bailing water out of a boat. Doesn't matter how fast
         | you can bail the water if you can't stop or slow the leak
         | coming in.
         | 
         | Which is why world leaders flying jets to Climate Change
         | Conferences makes no sense!
        
         | tlb wrote:
         | That must reflect a suboptimal choice of tree. Sequoias, for
         | instance, can capture 400 kg / yr for a few hundred years.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | My friend runs this amazing ASCII website which also happens to
         | be the news feed for their Carbon-capture-to-fuel devices.
         | 
         | Like top comment suggests, it doesn't make sense to just
         | capture, you have to get off carbon positive processes
         | entirely.
         | 
         | This company aims to do both, effectively.
         | 
         | https://terraformindustries.com/
        
       | nahnahg wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | tjpnz wrote:
       | How will this address the public health issues which relate to
       | the burning of fossil fuels? Isn't it just going to make it
       | easier for polluters to pollute more?
        
         | avmich wrote:
         | It's like "don't have police, the people become careless and it
         | increases temptation to steal from those careless people.
         | Instead, train everybody to always be alert, sleep with an axe,
         | then it will be hard to steal".
         | 
         | Of course we need to address the public health issues related
         | to burning fossil fuel. But in addition to that we should also
         | clean up what we already polluted - even if that seems like an
         | invitation to pollute more, it's not.
        
       | thx-2718 wrote:
       | "Our plants require less land than other techniques. E.g., on a
       | land area of 0.42 acres, our Orca plant can remove 4,000 tons of
       | CO2 from the air every year, which is almost 1,000 times more
       | effective than trees. The same land would host around 220 trees
       | with an estimated capacity of 22kg each"
       | 
       | How much land, in solar panels for example, is required to power
       | this?
       | 
       | Also what's the carbon waste that this generates? Is there a
       | synergistic use for it?
        
         | shipman05 wrote:
         | > How much land, in solar panels for example, is required to
         | power this?
         | 
         | It says "The CO2 can then be safely and permanently stored
         | underground by our storage partners -- Carbfix in Iceland."
         | 
         | So my assumption was that the collectors are located there as
         | well and using Iceland's abundant geothermal electricity.
        
           | usrusr wrote:
           | In other words: it definitely will not scale.
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | But it looks good on a pitch deck. I just wonder if it
             | cannot be combined with those particle emitting start-up
             | that wantsbto creat artifical clouds. Both ideas sound like
             | they are ment to be combined in the same company just
             | before an ICO or a SPAC.
        
           | mytailorisrich wrote:
           | I remember watching something about Carbfix on TV: they
           | inject the CO2 into underground magma and it is then
           | incorporated in the rock formation (carbonate rocks?)
           | 
           | So, yes, it would make sense to use local geothermal
           | electricity or even to produce it at the same time as the CO2
           | injection process if that's possible.
        
         | tenthirtyam wrote:
         | Ummm, seems to me that 0.42 acres of trees would sequester a
         | lot more that 22kg of CO2 per year. Let me guesstimate from my
         | typical annual hedge clipping - we have a (appx) 1.5m wide
         | hedge that is (appx) 120m long equal to (appx.) 180m^2=0.044
         | acres. The annual clipping produces 10 hefty bags (the big bags
         | used to carry e.g. 1 ton of gravel or stones), so maybe a total
         | of 300-400kg for my hedge. Multiply by ten for 0.42 acres,
         | yields about 3000-4000kg.
         | 
         | Sanity check anyone?
        
           | silisili wrote:
           | Unless it was edited...that sentence says 22kg per year each.
           | So it's 22*220.
        
         | candiddevmike wrote:
         | How much carbon is produced by the transportation and storage
         | of the carbon that is captured? I want to see their carbon math
         | for the whole process (including electricity) to prove this is
         | all truly carbon neutral, seems like something that should be
         | front and center on their website but they only vaguely discuss
         | the carbon footprint of the plants.
         | 
         | Having a business saying their product is carbon negative when
         | the actual end to end process isn't seems par for the course,
         | especially one with VC backing...
        
           | thinkcontext wrote:
           | There is no transportation, they site the plant where they
           | are going to store it. That's one of the advantages of
           | capturing from the atmosphere.
        
         | Mizza wrote:
         | For context, 4000 tons of CO2 is roughly the emissions of a
         | full 777 flying from San Francisco to London and back twice.
        
           | pilaf wrote:
           | That doesn't sound right, 4000 tons is more than 10 times the
           | maximum takeoff weight of a 777.
        
             | A1kmm wrote:
             | I tried calculating it two ways to see.
             | 
             | Firstly, based off two full fuel tanks for a 777.
             | Apparently a 777-200 has a 117350 L fuel tank, and the
             | density of jet fuel is approximately 800 g / L.
             | 
             | The emitted carbon dioxide combines oxygen from the air
             | with carbon from the jet fuel. Apparently the average chain
             | length is 12, so it would be C_12H_10 for a straight
             | hydrocarbon.
             | 
             | Factoring in the molecular masses, the amount of CO2 from
             | two full tanks would be: (12 * 12.011 + 2 _12.011_ 15.999)
             | / (1.0080 * 10 + 12 * 12.011) * 117350 * 800 * 2/ 1E6 = 643
             | tonnes.
             | 
             | Now, they might not use the full tank. Another estimate is
             | that long haul flights use about 0.1 g / passenger / km.
             | Apparently it is 4308 km in a straight line from SF to
             | London, and a 777 seats about 350 people depending on the
             | configuration, so multiplying by 2 for a return trip comes
             | out at 302 tonnes of CO2 (that's probably an underestimate
             | since it is a straight line).
             | 
             | So I think 4000 tonnes is an overestimate (and they said
             | tons, which is even more than a metric tonne, at 4480), but
             | the emissions of such a flight is still significant (and
             | the global warming impact is higher because combustion also
             | disperses water, which also has a warming effect at that
             | altitude).
        
             | jackweirdy wrote:
             | It looks about right to me (I used
             | https://www.atmosfair.de/en/offset/flight/)
             | 
             | It's about 850 US tons per full leg * 4 legs to make up the
             | two round trips
             | 
             | (388 pax in a -300ER)
        
             | alhw wrote:
             | Jet fuel is comprised mostly of hydrocarbons with 8 to 16 C
             | atoms, and a large fraction of these hydrocarbons are
             | straight-chain alkanes.
             | 
             | Combustion of dodecane (a C12 straight-chain alkane) makes
             | 12 CO2 molecules. A 747 jet consumes about 4 L of jet fuel
             | per second when in flight. Based on the density and
             | molecular weight of dodecane and the stoichiometry of its
             | combustion reaction, you'd arrive at something like 0.01
             | ton of CO2 emitted per second of flight time.
             | 
             | 4000 tons is a good estimate.
             | 
             | Back of the envelope...
        
               | mabbo wrote:
               | Ah, so you're saying (if I'm reading this correctly) that
               | the plane only carries the carbon portion of the CO2, and
               | the oxygen comes from the air itself. That's how it's
               | emitting more CO2 then it's fuel mass.
               | 
               | Is that right?
        
               | Tuxer wrote:
               | Correct. Fuel is around 16/36th of the CO2 mass it emit
               | when being burnt. A 777 carries around 120 tons of fuel
               | for a SF/LON flight, so that's around 300 tons of
               | emissions per flight.
        
             | coderenegade wrote:
             | You have to account for the mass of the oxygen that gets
             | bonded to the carbon in the jet fuel to form CO2. i.e. most
             | of the mass is coming from atmospheric oxygen, not what the
             | aircraft is carrying onboard.
        
               | pilaf wrote:
               | TIL, thanks for the explanation.
        
           | kuprel wrote:
           | The entire aviation industry emitted 619 million tons of CO2
           | in 2019 [1]. So about 155 thousand of these plants would be
           | needed just to offset air travel
           | 
           | [1] https://www.iea.org/reports/aviation
        
             | DannyBee wrote:
             | I mean, that's not a lot compared to trees. There are >3
             | trillion trees in the world.
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | >The energy usage: We're committed to driving down energy
         | consumption as much as possible. We only use renewable energy,
         | energy-from-waste, or other waste heat to power our plants.
         | 
         | They make it impossible to do the math. Energy consumption,
         | lifetime capital cost per ton, are what make or break this
         | scheme.
        
           | hef19898 wrote:
           | Unit economics are so unsexy, they died with e-scooter
           | rentals and fresh food deliveries.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | And the land for the solar panels that substitute the energy
         | you'd harvest from the trees while turning them into highly
         | concentrated CO2 for storage. And the land for the batteries
         | you'd have to add to achieve the same dispatchability as the
         | burn trees (or faster-growing plants!) and work on that CO2
         | alternative. DAC is a joke.
        
         | mchannon wrote:
         | 1000 kWh/ton (found it on google):
         | 
         | 166 kW/ton in a sunny place:
         | 
         | 1000 square meters/ton in a sunny place:
         | 
         | 4 million square meters = ~1000 acres of PV to power. One unit.
         | 
         | Yeah, that's going to happen. /s "We're too ashamed of our
         | energy requirements to post them on our page and are well aware
         | they're dooming this technology until cold fusion comes out" is
         | what I read between the lines on their fluff page.
        
           | mchannon wrote:
           | Too late to edit, but I should qualify this:
           | 
           | They claim 4000 tons per year, I did the math on 4000 tons
           | per day. So ~3-4 acres of PV to power, not 1000 acres.
           | 
           | To completely counteract the 37 billion tons per year
           | produced worldwide, and do it with PV only, assuming desert
           | southwest conditions, would require ~30 million acres of PV.
           | That sounds impossibly high, but is only about the size of
           | the US state of Mississippi. 20% of the land area of Texas,
           | on the El Paso side, would be sufficient to keep pace with
           | the entire world's carbon dioxide emissions.
           | 
           | I remain skeptical that this is the most cost-effective
           | approach, as well as skeptical of its ability to scale, but I
           | apologize for crapping on it at first gloss.
        
           | wolfram74 wrote:
           | two comments: they claim to sequester 1000 tons (1e6 kg) vs
           | 22kg, so the sequestration space difference is on the order
           | of 200000 difference. They may include the solar panel area
           | in their stated efficiency calculation.
           | 
           | Secondly, the solar panels are a bit more liquid than a
           | comparable area of trees, when industrial demand is high, you
           | can route it there, when it's low, it can be working on
           | sequestration. There are some advantages there. Especially
           | considering the atmosphere is fairly homogeneous, but soil in
           | proper condition for forests is less so.
        
           | stavros wrote:
           | 1000 kWh/ton to sequester, and how many tons per kWh to
           | generate?
           | 
           | EDIT: Apparently, one ton of CO2 is released by 1000 kWh of
           | electricity:
           | 
           | https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=74&t=11
           | 
           | So you have a coal plant generating energy and emitting CO2
           | just for this factory next to it to capture all that CO2
           | again. Seems more efficient to just not run the coal factory.
           | 
           | It seems like this idea will be worthwhile when the last coal
           | factory closes.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | It'll always be more efficient not to emit carbon.
             | 
             | Imagine you have a teaspoon of salt and a cup of water.
             | 
             | Adding salt into the water is dead simple and requires
             | little energy. Now how hard is it to remove that teaspoon
             | of salt?
             | 
             | That's effectively what's happening with the atmosphere.
        
           | adammarples wrote:
           | Their plant is in Iceland and runs on geothermal
        
             | strohwueste wrote:
             | Geothermal is not good for global warming bc it is an
             | additional source of energy which would normally be
             | contained. The sun gives such amount of wattage and the
             | earth can give so much wattage back to the universe.
             | Nuclear, geothermal and fusion is stored energy like fossil
             | fuel which adds to the heat in the atmosphere. Today that
             | only amounts to 5% of global warming but if it's the only
             | source of energy it could add more. CO2 is the focus right
             | now bc it is continuous warming potential but the other
             | energy forms have it too. Wind and solar is just "saving"
             | sun energy from being instantly converted into heat and can
             | be so used for our pleasure as it doesn't add to the
             | input/output equation.
        
               | tadfisher wrote:
               | Heat waste is absolutely miniscule compared to the amount
               | of energy the Earth receives from the Sun. As in, the
               | Earth is continuously bombarded by 173 petawatts of solar
               | radiation. So you can see why it would be worth trading
               | some waste heat to reduce the retention of solar energy
               | in the atmosphere.
        
         | yodelshady wrote:
         | It's such an easy, relevant question to ask that it boggles the
         | mind that investors don't have their own engineers to ask it. I
         | know you're money people not tech, but how do you know you're
         | not being ripped off if you can't check figures that basic?
         | 
         | Anyway, apparently 3 MWh/tonne is a not-unrealistic claim, so
         | they're only demanding 1.5 MW (on average, though if solar-
         | powered it would make sense to oversize) and a km2 of solar
         | panels could reasonably generate 50-100 MW on average (this is
         | conservative for most places, though not for Iceland). A km2 of
         | tress, by their calculations, gets 1,000 tonnes, so DAC comes
         | out ahead, although you're right to observe that trees do have
         | a synergistic use for the carbon they capture.
        
           | hef19898 wrote:
           | Early investors, it seems, don't care. All they care about is
           | whether or not they can sell their shares to some greater
           | idiot down the line.
           | 
           | Heck, those money people don't even care about money
           | questions.
           | 
           | Examples of non-existing due dilligence include: WeWork,
           | Theranos, Nikola, FTX. Just from top of my head.
        
           | jackmott42 wrote:
           | Welcome to planet Earth. If you can do napkin math, and
           | bother to do it, you can be an extremely successful in
           | engineering domains, because almost everyone else is
           | completely useless.
        
             | maigret wrote:
             | Napkin math is an underestimated skill indeed.
        
         | hef19898 wrote:
         | 4000 tons of CO2 removal per year is at best a proof of
         | concept. If it was one of the industrial giants, with the
         | muscle and budget to scale it and the sales channels to sell
         | it, I would be more optimistic about that.
         | 
         | But than I became so jaded regarding start-ups, especially
         | "ddep" tech ones, lately that I tend to see even more
         | negatively than I already do in general.
        
         | z3t4 wrote:
         | Plants/trees waste product is oxygen. And plants only need
         | water and sun. Plants can also reproduce themselves. What we
         | should concentrate on is to make artificial systems that get
         | water to areas where it doesn't rain.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | A better use of CO2 is generating fuel, I suggest.
         | 
         | https://terraformindustries.com/
        
         | themanmaran wrote:
         | > Also what's the carbon waste that this generates? Is there a
         | synergistic use for it?
         | 
         | I've wondered the same about these carbon capture plants. Is
         | this literally just elemental carbon in some kind of dust/sand
         | at the end of the day? Could this be a raw material input for
         | carbon fiber production?
        
           | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
           | Elemental carbon is a valuable industrial material -- and
           | even low-quality carbon, like "carbon black" soot, ain't
           | cheap!
           | 
           | Nah, separating carbon from oxygen in CO2 and CO is too
           | expensive and energetically demanding.
           | 
           | To simplify things a little bit, what they do here is inject
           | CO2 into water at high pressure, which results in highly
           | acidic H2CO3. They then pump H2CO3 into basalt rock, which
           | chemically reacts with the acid -- in fact, it is partially
           | dissolved. Then there's a second stage reaction between the
           | partially-dissolved basalt and the remnant HCO3-, and it
           | recrystallizes as carbonate minerals, e.g. FeCO3 or CaCO3.
           | 
           | So they're turning CO2 into a liquid acid, and then injecting
           | it into rock where it reacts with basalt and crystallizes as
           | carbonates.
        
       | jvanderbot wrote:
       | My friend runs this amazing ASCII website which also happens to
       | be the news feed for their Carbon-capture-to-fuel devices.
       | 
       | Like top comment suggests, it doesn't make sense to just capture,
       | you have to get off carbon positive processes entirely.
       | 
       | This company aims to do both, effectively.
       | 
       | https://terraformindustries.com/
        
       | haizhung wrote:
       | The way I see it is that we are way beyond all reasonable bounds
       | already, concerning co2 ppm in the air. Even if we stop all
       | emissions this very moment, there's still way too much already in
       | the atmosphere. So, we are going to need co2 removal either way
       | if there shall be any hope of ever returning to a world climate
       | similar to before 1980.
       | 
       | I am no expert in the field, but this is an area that at least
       | gives me some positive outlook on the future. I could imagine,
       | for example, that we start over provisioning electricity with
       | renewables; and instead of scaling them down when there is no
       | energy demand, we will redirect the superfluous energy into
       | carbon capture.
        
         | justinzollars wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | nforgerit wrote:
         | Superfluous renewable energy already has to go to hydrolysis to
         | produce hydrogen to be saved for times whenever renewables
         | don't produce energy.
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | Actually battery storage and stored hydro work. As does long
           | duration battery storage options that are in the works now.
        
             | Sinidir wrote:
             | They don't work nearly as well enough or in the case of
             | hydro storage are available in enough quantity to cover a
             | month of weak wind.
             | 
             | For example. The US would consume its entirety of pumped
             | hydro storage in a third of a day.
        
           | oezi wrote:
           | Superfluous energy should go to the consumer which otherwise
           | would consume the most CO2. We do not need to use hydrogen
           | when renewables aren't available (if such a situation should
           | arise). We can continue to use fossils for these (rare)
           | situations.
           | 
           | The only thing which matters is to use energy in the most CO2
           | efficient way to achieve goals overall.
        
         | bradleyjg wrote:
         | It's hard for me to believe that the answer isn't biological
         | given the whole self replication thing.
        
           | samatman wrote:
           | The Industrial Revolution is a history of various industrial
           | processes outcompeting biology within a narrow boundary. Cars
           | pull more than any horse, trains as well, an airplane flies
           | faster and with much more cargo than any bird, and the
           | industrial production of nitrogen is faster than bat guano.
           | 
           | CO2 fixation might also follow this curve, in fact, as a
           | technology in isolation that's what I would bet on. Economics
           | aside, a machine that sucks CO2 directly out of the air will
           | remove much more CO2 than the equivalent parcel of land would
           | if biology were used.
        
             | bradleyjg wrote:
             | As a technology in isolation, sure. But something like iron
             | seeding, assuming it works, would be orders of magnitude
             | cheaper because most of the work is being done by algae and
             | they don't have to be paid.
             | 
             | I don't think horses are particularly similar, but nitrogen
             | fixation in the fertilize vs crop rotation case gets
             | closer.
        
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