[HN Gopher] Why labor shortages could be here to stay
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       Why labor shortages could be here to stay
        
       Author : paulpauper
       Score  : 9 points
       Date   : 2023-05-26 20:20 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.axios.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.axios.com)
        
       | jleyank wrote:
       | Folks wanted boomers to get out of the way. Many of us have or
       | will soon. This opens up positions at the top end and starts
       | returning the savings to the general economy.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | renewedrebecca wrote:
       | It's not a "labor shortage." It's a "companies don't want to pay
       | people what they're worth" problem.
       | 
       | Throw wads of cash on the table. There will be no "shortage."
        
         | alexandre_m wrote:
         | Or it's really a shortage, and when you're the highest bider
         | for a talent pool on the market what really happens is that a
         | person who's employed will leave their current employer to work
         | for you, therefore just creating a shortage of employees for
         | the competitors.
         | 
         | The validation of "shortage" is really simple. If every
         | employer pays the same high-end market salary, is every open
         | position filled?
        
           | kelseyfrog wrote:
           | If their business depended on it, I'm sure we would see no
           | shortage of creative solutions like funding education or
           | training needed to do the job. If the pool is too small, then
           | the problem switches to growing the pool.
        
             | vuln wrote:
             | Then you have Congress artificially restraining the pool
             | knowing full well there is a dire shortage.
             | 
             | https://www.openhealthpolicy.com/p/medical-residency-
             | slots-c...
        
               | kelseyfrog wrote:
               | That's funny. You now have the AMA lobbying against the
               | caps they originally lobbied for.
        
             | massysett wrote:
             | Saw a great video about the Army doing this. Youth are too
             | fat to qualify for the Army. The brass stopped complaining
             | about it and started a "fat camp" to train recruits into
             | shape.
             | 
             | https://youtu.be/P-n7wXqMorU
        
         | faeriechangling wrote:
         | Could it be a "companies don't have jobs that pay people well
         | anymore" problem?
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | Immigration is the easy fix for this.
        
         | linksnapzz wrote:
         | ...sorta like putting a penny in a fuse box.
        
       | nradov wrote:
       | Analyst Peter Zeihan has been pointing out for a while that the
       | number of highly productive skilled workers in the labor pool is
       | going to decline temporarily just due to demographics. The Baby
       | Boom generation is rapidly retiring, the Millennials are still
       | too young to reach peak productivity (on average for most
       | industries), and Generation X in the middle is relatively small.
       | This means a period of high inflation.
       | 
       | https://zeihan.com/demographics-part-3-the-xer-cut/
        
       | diordiderot wrote:
       | When are they going to end the Lambo and Caviar shortages?
        
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