[HN Gopher] Ocean Temperature
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       Ocean Temperature
        
       Author : luu
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2023-05-13 09:15 UTC (13 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (en.wikipedia.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (en.wikipedia.org)
        
       | skymast wrote:
       | What is the temperature of the oceans supposed to be?
        
       | haizhung wrote:
       | Not sure if my math is correct, but seems like compared to before
       | global warming started, the oceans now hold an excess of energy
       | that is equivalent to running a nuclear power plant for 3 million
       | years. This is now excess energy in our system.
       | 
       | I just wanted to share that since I couldn't really relate to the
       | 10^22 joules number in the article.
        
         | rsaesha wrote:
         | Venus any% glitchless speedrun.
        
           | gary_0 wrote:
           | Short of launching all the nukes, it's actually really hard
           | to imagine a faster way to make Earth uninhabitable than
           | humanity's GHG emissions project. (3.68x10^13 kg of CO2 in
           | 2022 alone! Impressive!)
           | 
           | If we could terraform planets as quickly as we're de-
           | terraforming Earth, Mars would be prime real estate in no
           | time. Alas.
        
             | wcoenen wrote:
             | > _hard to imagine a faster way to make Earth
             | uninhabitable_
             | 
             | Manufacturing lots of SF6 (sulphur hexafluoride) might do
             | the trick. 22800x more greenhouse potential than CO2 per
             | unit mass.
        
               | gary_0 wrote:
               | It's way more dense[0] than air, though, so not a lot of
               | it reaches the upper atmosphere. I don't think it's
               | 22800x more effective when produced at ground level.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u19QfJWI1oQ
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | That's why we're aiming for in-orbit manufacturing, isn't
               | it?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | thret wrote:
         | Which article are you referring to? I didn't see it in the
         | parent.
        
           | dndn1 wrote:
           | Chart for Ocean Heat Content under trends.
           | 
           | Source is @ https://www.climate.gov/news-
           | features/understanding-climate/...
        
         | dndn1 wrote:
         | The number appears to me as ~20 x 10^22 J
         | 
         | I tried to replicate your maths using 1Bn W for a power plant
         | and I get ~6.3M years. Did you use a different W?
         | 
         | I chose 1Bn from reading
         | https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/infographic-how-much-powe...
         | 
         | I'm glad your comment triggered me to do this exercise!
         | 
         | Boggling numbers all the same, and this is only the top half-
         | mile of ocean
        
         | ttul wrote:
         | Great. We just need to find a way to vent that extra heat off
         | into outer space. Problem solved. /s
        
           | milesvp wrote:
           | I hear the sarcasm in your voice, but truly this is a thing.
           | There are bands of radiation that are very transparent to our
           | atmosphere and there is work being done with meta materials
           | to try to shift waste energy into these bands to bleed it
           | into space. I do conceed that the scale is impossibly large
           | for the numbers we're talking about, but I do find the
           | science fascinating.
        
           | comprambler wrote:
           | This is exactly what hurricanes do, and a lesser extent
           | cumulonimbus clouds, starting from an atmospheric imbalance
           | to eventually venting tropospheric heat to the upper
           | atmosphere.
        
         | throw_away1525 wrote:
         | Given that the excess energy did come from nuclear power plant
         | (the sun) over millions of years I think that is a really apt
         | way to look at things.
         | 
         | Interesting coincidence that you ended up with 3 million years,
         | given life appeared on earth about 3.7 million years ago.
        
           | IanCal wrote:
           | The increase in temperature is since 1990 though.
        
           | kzrdude wrote:
           | As a useful milestone, dinosaurs were wiped out 65 million
           | years ago. Long time. First hominids, 2 Mya?
        
             | akiselev wrote:
             | First evidence of hominids goes back almost six millions
             | years [1] and first tools over three millions years ago [2]
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ardipithecus
             | 
             | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oldowan
        
           | tomrod wrote:
           | > given life appeared on earth about 3.7 million years ago.
           | 
           | Add 1000X -- 3.7 _billion_ years ago!
        
             | throw_away1525 wrote:
             | oops
        
       | f6v wrote:
       | What concerns me is sloppy writing of this article. For example:
       | 
       | > In other words: the climb in ocean temperatures is the
       | inevitable outcome of Earth's energy imbalance, primarily
       | associated with increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases.[8]
       | 
       | The reference leads to
       | https://doi.org/10.1007%2Fs00376-023-2385-2 which is an article
       | that doesn't establish the causal relationship between human
       | emissions and rising temperatures. Rather, the authors use this
       | as an opening and reference other works on the topic.
       | 
       | If you put a reference to back up your claim, the reference
       | should be to a primary study and not some study that references
       | other study that might be relevant.
        
         | brianush1 wrote:
         | Primary sources are not allowed on Wikipedia. Wikipedia is a
         | tertiary source
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:No_original_research...
        
       | jackhab wrote:
       | Can someone explain me why people post links to Wikipedia
       | articles without any context?
        
         | stefncb wrote:
         | They maybe stumbled upon it and found it interesting. There's
         | often no need for context, it can simply be an interesting
         | article to read.
        
         | melenaboija wrote:
         | Because it is compliant with HN rules.
         | 
         | If you see it in the front page and it bothers you enough to
         | ask the question maybe you should try to find another
         | community.
        
         | tjr225 wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | prawn wrote:
         | I've submitted them before and often enjoy when they're posted.
         | Sometimes the zeitgeist-link is obvious or sometimes it's a bit
         | random. I'd guess that people who enjoy when they're posted
         | also take to submitting interesting pages they've read (or re-
         | encountered).
        
           | moehm wrote:
           | You may enjoy this little list I built, which collects all
           | Wikipedia articles posted on HN and rank and tag them.
           | 
           | https://www.mostdiscussed.com/
        
         | kzrdude wrote:
         | Ocean temperatures have been in the news (for me), so I for one
         | can see the context.
        
         | avgcorrection wrote:
         | It's a delightful HN quirk. You can post a direct link to
         | anything you find interesting, apropos of nothing.
        
         | hyperpape wrote:
         | Ocean temperatures have been the subject of a half dozen HN
         | articles (driven by articles in the news) in the past few
         | weeks, so I assume that's the reason.
         | 
         | Speaking for myself, not Dan, but for non-technical topics that
         | appear on HN, the discussion would be a lot better if the
         | average commentator read the obvious Wikipedia article before
         | commenting. That's true even though Wikipedia has a lot of
         | problems.
        
           | hutzlibu wrote:
           | " but for non-technical topics that appear on HN, the
           | discussion would be a lot better if the average commentator
           | read the obvious Wikipedia article before commenting. That's
           | true even though Wikipedia has a lot of problems"
           | 
           | I have vague ideas of a forum, where any new poster has to
           | answer some basic questions about the topic first correctly.
           | 
           | Most online discussions would probably benefit from that.
        
             | rowanG077 wrote:
             | That's a great!!! idea. I get very frustrated reading HN
             | comments that have obviously never read the article beyond
             | the title.
        
             | sanxiyn wrote:
             | ControlProblem subreddit implements this and I was quite
             | impressed.
        
         | arc-in-space wrote:
         | For the exact same reason people post links to other things,
         | it's interesting. It's always been more "hacker" than "news"
         | here.
         | 
         | Incidentally, check out this wacky alien-looking worm that
         | exhibits bioluminescence even though it lives its entire life
         | inside of a tube, so there is no one to perceive it:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaetopterus
        
           | stevenwoo wrote:
           | That was neat, though it does mention there are some other
           | creatures that can choose to share the tube and the research
           | about it may be lacking in smaller companion life (bacteria
           | or other lifeforms).
        
           | ezconnect wrote:
           | Is this worm all over the world or there's a certain climate
           | it can live on. Wikipedia doesn't expand on it.
        
           | dmbche wrote:
           | Oh shit - cool worm!! Edit: Keep being weirded out that
           | comments like this get downvoted. What's the point?
        
             | joshuahedlund wrote:
             | HN is not Reddit. We like comments that add information and
             | dislike comments that only express brief reactions, jokes,
             | etc. Keeps the signal to noise ratio high.
        
               | dmbche wrote:
               | Thanks!
        
       | brabel wrote:
       | > These predictions suggest ocean temperatures of 55-85 degC
       | during the period of 2,000 to 3,500 million years ago, followed
       | by cooling to more mild temperatures of between 10 and 40 degC by
       | 1,000 million years ago.
       | 
       | Imagine going to the beach and finding the water temperature is
       | 85C, near boiling :D. What a different world that would be.
        
       | ricardobayes wrote:
       | What's the reason it started to skyrocket after 1980 and not
       | before? What made it stagnant or even slightly drop between 1940
       | and 1980?
        
         | sixbrx wrote:
         | That mirrors global average temperature in general for that
         | time period. Apparently it was because we were pumping sulfates
         | into the atmosphere at an amazing rate from the 1940's until
         | the EPA was born. Sulfates block sunlight and so mask the
         | overall warming, at the cost of polluting the atmosphere.
         | 
         | See for example: https://www.sciencenews.org/article/50-years-
         | ago-scientists-...
        
           | gary_0 wrote:
           | It has been proposed to intentionally resume injecting
           | sulfates into the upper atmosphere in order to mitigate
           | global warming[0]. (This is a horrible idea, but the jury's
           | still out on whether it's better than the alternative.)
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_geoengineering#Strato
           | sph...
        
         | ezconnect wrote:
         | We probably are getting better at measuring things and
         | crunching the numbers as years pass by.
        
         | notamy wrote:
         | > What made it stagnant or even slightly drop between 1940 and
         | 1980?
         | 
         | Well, there was that one really big war in the 1940s...
        
           | jonhohle wrote:
           | Doesn't that suggest sea transportation may be a bigger
           | contributor than greenhouse gasses? Industrial production was
           | at its limits during that period, but I would imagine cross
           | ocean cargo was down significantly.
           | 
           | It would be interesting to see what pandemic years looked
           | like with thousands of ships sitting for months off shore.
           | 
           | Edit: there might be something to that idea -
           | https://arctic.noaa.gov/Report-Card/Report-
           | Card-2022/ArtMID/.... maybe globalism is the issue.
           | 
           | One more edit: container ships are effectively giant heat
           | sinks with a ton (literally tons) of surface area (corrugated
           | containers), sucking heat from the air and dumping it into
           | the ocean. If that hypothesis has merit, I would expect the
           | LA ports to have an increase in temperature during that same
           | period.
        
             | f6v wrote:
             | Or there's a complex interaction between Earth's natural
             | climate change and greenhouse gas emissions.
        
               | jonhohle wrote:
               | That's definitely possible, but complexity makes errors
               | more likely.
               | 
               | According to Google^TM, it takes 20-200 years for CO2 in
               | the air to dissolve in the oceans and yet there are
               | immediate effects during WW2 and COVID.
        
         | philjohn wrote:
         | Aerosols from pollution could be a culprit?
        
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       (page generated 2023-05-13 23:01 UTC)