[HN Gopher] When the Chips Are Down - Interview with Chip War au...
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When the Chips Are Down - Interview with Chip War author
Author : tim_sw
Score : 34 points
Date : 2023-05-11 15:06 UTC (7 hours ago)
(HTM) web link (www.scopeofwork.net)
(TXT) w3m dump (www.scopeofwork.net)
| 11thEarlOfMar wrote:
| From the perspective of economic and defense strategy related to
| chips, keep an eye on TSMC's efforts to expand cutting edge
| process development beyond Taiwan. They are building new leading-
| edge fabs in Phoenix (@ 5nm) and Kumamoto (specialty processes).
| 2-3nm R&D will stay in Taiwan[0], but I'd expect TSMC has plans
| in place to rapidly evacuate their technical teams to the US and
| Japan if the political kitchen got too hot.
|
| [0]
| https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2022/08/31/200...
| ladberg wrote:
| I highly doubt Taiwan would let TSMC evacuate their technical
| teams in the event of a possible conflict. TSMC's IP is one of
| Taiwan's biggest assets that keeps them from being taken over
| and I don't think Taiwan would let TSMC remove it from the
| playing field.
| imadj wrote:
| They can't just hold to TSMC forever, they will eventually
| lose this "shield" anyhow.
| ftxbro wrote:
| Those fabs are already so expensive and even their foundations
| are so deep and exotic to prevent any vibration. Maybe the
| whole building is secretly constructed to be able to lift off
| at a moment's notice! Suddenly it's a fab zeppelin and it's
| floating through the air towards amnesty in Guam.
| bllguo wrote:
| The Phoenix fab is extremely likely to be a disaster. Even
| besides the cost of labor and incompatible work culture, the
| whole idea was a political concession to the US to begin with
| rather than genuine interest on TSMC's part. You can already
| easily find reports of discontent and setbacks, and that's just
| what's available in English.
|
| And I suspect you would be sorely disappointed with how many
| would be interested in packing up shop for the US, if it came
| to that. SMIC and others already have success luring engineers
| to the mainland.
| [deleted]
| kaypro wrote:
| Just finished this last week. Great read. Truly fascinating in
| understanding the complexity and sheer breadth of what's involved
| in getting these out there at scale. Recomended.
| loufe wrote:
| Agreed, read it on the suggestion of a comment here on HN and
| found it fascinating.
| d1n037 wrote:
| Miller also recently did a great interview with Ezra Klein:
| https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/04/podcasts/transcript-ezra-...
| daydream wrote:
| Chris Miller is making the rounds. He did a very long, in-depth
| interview with Stratechery a couple weeks ago that was really
| excellent. I'm not a subscriber to Scope of Work but from what I
| can see the Stratechery interview is much more in-depth.
|
| As a famous philosopher once said "when the chips go down ya
| better be ready"
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