[HN Gopher] Ocean-surface temperatures are breaking records
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Ocean-surface temperatures are breaking records
        
       Author : mfiguiere
       Score  : 194 points
       Date   : 2023-05-06 14:32 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | Starting to feel like the end, oceans would always go first.
        
         | foverzar wrote:
         | "always"
        
       | mysterydip wrote:
       | Are there calcs for how much energy these consistent rises take?
       | I know it's basic chemistry so I assume those numbers have been
       | run. Is warming from greenhouse gasses alone enough to cause, or
       | are there other unknown contributors?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | steve_adams_86 wrote:
         | Albedo of the ocean changing over time can mean significantly
         | more heat is absorbed. An example of this would be a loss of
         | ice reflecting light rather than absorbing it. This won't
         | account for all of this energy, but it's an example of one non-
         | gas origin of warming.
         | 
         | Evidence of albedo changes impacting arctic ice:
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-08467-z (I believe
         | there are more studies like this; I've read one before, but it
         | wasn't this one).
        
           | mysterydip wrote:
           | I hadn't considered side effects like that, very interesting.
           | Makes you wonder what else has consequences we haven't
           | realized yet.
        
             | steve_adams_86 wrote:
             | The answer so far has been "a lot", and I think it'll
             | continue to be the answer.
        
           | flangola7 wrote:
           | Why would the albedo of water change?
        
             | steve_adams_86 wrote:
             | The change in albedo is due to ice receding and revealing
             | darker water, which absorbs more energy than ice does. The
             | net effect is more solar energy being held in the ocean and
             | atmosphere.
             | 
             | The same thing happens anywhere there is ice. Think of
             | mountain tops revealing dark gray rock which heats to 30
             | degrees Celsius in summer in a location where there was
             | previously ice. The ice would melt, yet reflect energy and
             | still be cooler than the air, but the rock just radiates
             | heat into the atmosphere (and remaining ice surrounding
             | it).
        
             | olddustytrail wrote:
             | Because ice is shinier than dark water.
        
         | _ph_ wrote:
         | Warming from greenhouse gases is the driver of the warming, but
         | there are multiplies. Most obvious one is water vapour which is
         | a very powerful greenhouse gas. So the warming caused by the
         | raised CO2 enables more water vapour in the air (warmer air can
         | take up more water) which amplifies the greenhouse effect. Then
         | come all the secondary effects like melting of highly
         | reflective ice and others.
        
       | Etrnl_President wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | tastyfreeze wrote:
       | I wonder if this is how the pendulum swings from interglacial to
       | glacial periods. More water vapor in the atmosphere means heavier
       | rains overall and heavier snowfall in polar regions. More snow
       | takes longer to melt in the summer making it more likely that
       | snow remains to be buried by more snow the next winter. Increased
       | albedo of polar regions reduces global temperature making winter
       | colder allowing the ice caps to creep towards the equator.
       | 
       | I think it is good to remember that Earth has cyclic glacial
       | periods. We just happen to live during a warm period.
        
         | Timon3 wrote:
         | This feels a lot like someone saying "Volcanoes have periods
         | with high pressure and low pressure. We just happen to live
         | during a high pressure period." in Pompei, as it ignores the
         | problem in-between: the current change in glacial period is
         | unprecedented for natural cycles.
        
       | mvdl wrote:
       | We are all going to die.
        
         | ulnarkressty wrote:
         | Well, eventually, yes. Personally it's hard to see parents
         | around me trying to do their best for their children (gadgets,
         | comfort, road trips, holidays) and inadvertently make their
         | life difficult in the future. I try to gently point them to
         | articles like this, however denial is strong, even among
         | cultured people.
        
           | tormeh wrote:
           | Individual actions make so little difference it's negligible.
           | By preaching change in individual actions you're trivializing
           | the challenges we face.
        
       | aliasxneo wrote:
       | I'm not trying to discount the article, but why do these things
       | show up on HN? Seems completely unrelated to the primary theme.
        
         | citizenkeen wrote:
         | What do you think the primary theme of HN is? Because the
         | stated theme is:
         | 
         | > Anything that good hackers would find interesting. That
         | includes more than hacking and startups. If you had to reduce
         | it to a sentence, the answer might be: *anything that gratifies
         | one's intellectual curiosity.*
         | 
         | (Emphasis mine.)
        
           | aliasxneo wrote:
           | Thanks for taking the time to respond (seems I got mostly
           | downvoted). I guess my understanding of hacking meant most
           | technology related.
        
             | jounker wrote:
             | Global warming is a direct result of technological change.
        
       | metadat wrote:
       | https://archive.today/ulnga
        
       | stanwesley wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
       | joebiden2 wrote:
       | Energy doesn't come from nowhere. It comes either from the sun,
       | from nuclear fuel, or from fossil fuels being burned. If it's not
       | one of those three, we have a nobel prize winner.
       | 
       | So, it probably comes from the sun1. The sun didn't change its
       | output much according to relevant science in the last few years,
       | solar cycles notwithstanding. So, it must be related to the
       | amount of energy not being reflected into space.
       | 
       | Which is where greenhouse gases come into play. The earth
       | reflects a certain amount of energy it receives back into the
       | vastness of space. The ratio of how much it reflects is affected
       | by greenhouse gases.
       | 
       | Now, there are a lot of greenhouse gases. CO2 is one of the least
       | potent of all, but its sheer volume in the atmosphere - being
       | increased by human emissions - makes it the most relevant actor
       | here: https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases
       | 
       | So, we're keeping more solar energy within earth's atmosphere. We
       | can use that energy as solar energy, or as wind energy, or
       | whatever we like, but as long as it is solar energy, the energy
       | budget within earth's atmosphere won't change. We either have to
       | reflect it back to space, or we'll suffer the same consequences
       | as not using it as renewable energy2.
       | 
       | That's it. This is just a collection of facts which are really
       | obvious, but from my experience few people really consider in
       | their threat model. I think not one fact I just posted is false,
       | but I would really welcome to be educated where I am wrong.
       | 
       | 1 Energy generated on earth compared to energy received from the
       | sun is almost negligible: the energy generated on Earth is
       | roughly 0.0000000000054% of the energy received from the Sun (3.8
       | x 10^26 watts, compared to a ballpark around 10^15 watts of
       | fossil + nuclear fuels combined).
       | 
       | 2 This is probably obvious, but by reducing greenhouse gases in
       | absolute terms, we reduce the albedo of earth, which in turn
       | means reflecting more energy into space. Right now, we're just
       | focusing on reducing the 2nd derivative of greenhouse gas
       | emissions. In 2023, we do nothing at all in terms of actively
       | increasing the albedo, that is, reflecting energy back into
       | space.
        
         | tuatoru wrote:
         | Re footnote 2: Good effort, but it's not reflection (albedo).
         | Greenhouse gases are all about the part of solar radiation that
         | isn't immediately reflected.
         | 
         | Most incident sunlight is absorbed (either in the lower
         | atmosphere or on the surface). At the same time long wave
         | infrared radiation (heat) is emitted, proportional to the
         | temperature of the surfaces. Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere
         | slow down the rate at which that heat escapes to space.
        
           | joebiden2 wrote:
           | This is one definition of albedo1, a more sophisticated one
           | is here2
           | 
           | 1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albedo
           | 
           | 2 https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1918770116
           | 
           | Please think about the effects to understand albedo. It can
           | be perceived as a complex topic, but in reality, it isn't.
           | 
           | Good night
        
       | effnorwood wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | Yeah, and they're going to keep breaking records for the next 100
       | years at least, and as a consequence atmospheric water vapor will
       | continue to increase, with the various knock on effects of
       | drought in some places, floods in other places, and increasing
       | random extreme weather events all around the planet. Get used to
       | it, and plan to adapt, because it isn't going away. Ask the
       | chatbot, it seems to understand the current state of science
       | (this is after querying it about Fourier, Manabe, planetary
       | science etc. for a bit)
       | 
       | > "Let's say we take an Earth-like planet with a similarly sized
       | ocean, increase the concentration of infrared absorbing gases in
       | the atmosphere about two-fold, then stabilize the atmosphere. How
       | long will it take for the ocean to stop warming, from the
       | perspective of both transient and equilibrium climate sensitivity
       | estimates?"
       | 
       | Transient: > "Using this model, we can estimate that it would
       | take roughly 100-200 years for the ocean to stop warming,
       | depending on the specific assumptions used."
       | 
       | Equilibrium: > "Depending on the specific assumptions used in the
       | model, it could take several centuries or even millennia for the
       | ocean to reach a new equilibrium state."
        
         | shrimp_emoji wrote:
         | > _Equilibrium_
         | 
         | The closest thing to this is lifeless planets. Mercury is in
         | pretty good equilibrium.
         | 
         | Life is chemical reaction, and chemical reactions are
         | inequilibria.
         | 
         | Life and equilibrium are opposites -- life _is_ inequilibrium.
         | It 's possible because Earth has been in constant change,
         | facilitating energy transfer between organisms, which
         | themselves have been causing changes, like what we're doing or
         | like that one time that cyanobacteria killed everything by
         | creating oxygen[0] or like that other time that methanogens
         | killed everything by creating methane[1].
         | 
         | 0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Oxidation_Event
         | 
         | 1:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methanosarcina#Role_in_the_Per...
        
           | BobbyJo wrote:
           | That's not really a relevant comment. We aren't talking about
           | Earth being in equilibrium, we are talking about ocean
           | temperatures ending their rise. Parent used equilibrium to
           | describe the end of warming, not to suggest that we'd reach
           | some kind of desirable global homeostasis. I think we'd all
           | be happy with a disequilibrium that made things cool down
           | from where they are presently, or from where they'll be in
           | 200 years.
        
         | tjr225 wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | omilu wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
       | JoshTko wrote:
       | Given that the energy needed to change ocean temp is massive and
       | the current momentum, no tech solution will be able to prevent
       | ocean ecosystem collapse of 90% ocean lifeform death. We're
       | probably past the point of no return already.
        
         | thriftwy wrote:
         | In the last few million years there were massive swings in
         | Earth (and sea) temperature.
         | 
         | A couple hundred million years ago there was a warm era, there
         | were no ice anywhere on Earth.
         | 
         | I can see how climate change might be highly destructive to
         | human habitat, but "90% ocean lifeform death" is the best
         | excuse for not taking climate activists seriously.
        
           | marcyb5st wrote:
           | It all depends on the rate at which things change. Greenhouse
           | gasses we emitted already changed temperatures faster than
           | ever before (1ish degC in less than 2 centuries). Nature
           | doesn't have time to adapt to such a repentine change and so
           | another "great dying" is a concrete possibility.
        
           | kaba0 wrote:
           | https://xkcd.com/1732/
           | 
           | Also, oxygen and CO2 solubility changes heavily with
           | temperature.
        
           | trallnag wrote:
           | Did it also fluctuate as quickly in the past?
        
         | civilized wrote:
         | Why do so many people believe this notion that current trends
         | of warming imply looming mass extinction? What is the argument
         | or evidence for this?
        
           | pvaldes wrote:
           | > Why do so many people believe this notion that current
           | trends of warming imply looming mass extinction? What is the
           | argument or evidence for this?
           | 
           | A truck filled with ecological research
        
           | kaba0 wrote:
           | Warm water can't solve as much oxygen, plus there are plenty
           | of self-reinforcing effects that might have already started
           | happening.
           | 
           | Life won't die, we had plenty of mass extinction, but most of
           | current species do like their oxygen. Also, their shells.
        
             | zosima wrote:
             | But there's also plenty of negative feedback processes. Why
             | assume there'll be extreme runaway apocalypse from the
             | warming.
        
               | graeme wrote:
               | There's negative and positive feedback processes. On
               | balance the positive feedback processes outweigh the
               | negative ones. e.g.
               | 
               | * Melting ice caps mean more heat absorption
               | 
               | * melting permafrost releases methane
               | 
               | * Warming oceans freeze frozen methane
               | 
               | I'm forgetting a bunch, doing this from memory. What
               | negative feedbacks do you believe outweigh these?
        
               | BobbyJo wrote:
               | Why assume there won't be? Seems like the risk there is
               | greater.
        
               | baq wrote:
               | What's runaway is our rate of change in releasing co2,
               | compounding annually at something like 1-2%
        
           | Daishiman wrote:
           | The velocity of change is historically unprecedented and we
           | have a good amount of empirical evidence of what it takes to
           | collapse ocean ecosystems.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | We've been collapsing ocean ecosystems simply through
             | fishing.
             | 
             | 200 million tonnes of seafood per year is an unprecedented
             | and unsustainable change. Global warming will of course
             | make things worse but it's not like the oceans are
             | currently healthy.
        
             | WillPostForFood wrote:
             | _historically unprecedented_
             | 
             | Unprecedented in the last 100 years, million years, or 500
             | million years? That's a lot of precedent with some major
             | and rapid climate changes.
        
               | jbay808 wrote:
               | Pre-history usually refers to a time period approximately
               | up to the invention of writing, so some several thousand
               | years. If your time scale is the past 500 million years,
               | there have been some real big mass extinctions to go
               | along with those rapid climate changes. Not sure that's
               | an encouraging precedent.
        
               | briantakita wrote:
               | The climate has rapidly changed throughout Earth's
               | history. Our current period of warming over the past
               | couple of centuries began at the end of a mini ice age,
               | so its not surprising temperatures rise when exiting the
               | ice age. Just like its not surprising that temperatures
               | rise after winter into spring & summer. CO2 is more
               | likely a side effect of warming, coming from the warming
               | ocean, than it is the driver of the warming.
        
               | olddustytrail wrote:
               | This is just badly wrong and ignorant. Ask anyone who's
               | actually studied the interglatial periods - in other
               | words, the scientists who've provided the temperature
               | information you're referring to - and they'll tell you
               | why you're wrong.
        
               | NineStarPoint wrote:
               | Unprecedented in the era of human farming is sufficient
               | enough for my worry. Yes, life as a whole probably
               | survives whatever happens in one form or another. But
               | those rapid climate changes tend towards seriously
               | limiting the resources available to species living
               | through them. Modern civilization relies on keeping
               | things in a situation where it's possible to grow enough
               | food to feed 7+ billion people, and I'd rather we not
               | create our own mass environmental change that has a
               | serious possibility to disrupt said food making process.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Are you aware of the climate and antmosphere ever
               | changing so abruptly according to ice core records?
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Ice core records don't go back that far. But some past
               | mass extinction events were believed to be caused by more
               | rapid climate swings resulting from asteroid impacts etc.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | The thing about our situation is that no asteroid strikes
               | or major geological events have occurred. So we know it's
               | possible to have major swings, but it's less clear that
               | they should occur without some obvious trigger.
        
               | zosima wrote:
               | What resolution does ice core records have? Do they
               | really show year-over-year change or are the core records
               | being smoothed through natural processes?
        
               | joshuahedlund wrote:
               | I read a book about this once, forget the title.
               | Greenland's cores have clear annual layers for several
               | thousands of years (validated by extra ash layers from
               | known volcanic eruptions), and they can measure carbon
               | and temperature from the isotopes trapped inside (temp is
               | measured due to some effect of oxygen isotopes following
               | a reliable temperature gradient or something like that,
               | they had a couple independent measurement methods that
               | matched up). At some point the compacted layers start to
               | merge but they can still reliably estimate because the
               | overall cyclic trends (on multi thousand year scales, due
               | to mathematically regular wobbling of earth's rotation
               | and other factors) follow the same trends from the
               | clearly annual layers. This goes back several hundred
               | thousand years, with temp increases always following
               | carbon increases.
               | 
               | Edit: the book was The White Planet by Jean Jouzel,
               | Claude Lorius, and Dominique Raynard
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Great questions, and I don't have the answers. I'll
               | definitely look into it though.
        
           | mjhay wrote:
           | The mass extinction isn't looming. We're in the middle of it
           | right now.
        
             | NineStarPoint wrote:
             | The current mass extinction doesn't have much to do with
             | the climate crisis though, it's caused by good old
             | fashioned massive exploration of the environment for human
             | gain. (This is, of course, not a good thing. It's an
             | already massively fucked with ecosystem that climate change
             | is causing increasing strain in)
        
           | jackmott wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | steve_adams_86 wrote:
           | As others have explained, there is the unprecedented loss of
           | diversity of species and change in climate. I'd add that
           | there's also no evidence this will slow or stop (at least
           | that I'm aware of), but there is mounting evidence that it
           | will continue and even accelerate (which we are possibly even
           | witnessing today).
        
             | tuatoru wrote:
             | The loss[1] of diversity is primarily due to the way we
             | abuse the ocean - bottom dredging of shellfish beds
             | destroying whole slow-growing ecosystems, dumping
             | sediments, toxins and excessive nutrients (which amount to
             | toxins) in the ocean via runoff from land, indiscriminately
             | catching whole populations of free-swimming fish, and so
             | on.
             | 
             | Climate change is just the cherry on top, really, compared
             | to our other efforts to reduce biodiversity.
             | 
             | 1. I don't know why we use the word "loss", which implies
             | an accidental outcome, when we're systematically setting
             | out to plunder and strip-mine ecosystems.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Do you know if diversity collapses in the ocean is more
               | severe than on land? I know vast deforestation and
               | destruction of the water cycle (either by reduction or
               | degrading via pollution) has a virtually incalculable
               | impact on this, but perhaps in the ocean it's even worse.
        
         | kaba0 wrote:
         | Ad absurdum, dust in the higher parts of the atmosphere can
         | cause to literally freeze over the whole planet.
         | 
         | I am no optimist, but not due to technological limitations, but
         | economic ones -- the only hope is "unknown unknowns". We might
         | invent some new technology that could wipe clear our existing
         | estimates for the better.
        
         | George83728 wrote:
         | These ocean- _surface_ temperatures concern the top few
         | millimeters of the ocean. The thermal mass in question is far
         | far lower than the ocean itself.
        
           | pvaldes wrote:
           | > only the top few millimeters
           | 
           | This is not how we measure ocean surface temperatures. The
           | researching cube is sink entirely. Two m deep is still
           | surface.
        
       | myshpa wrote:
       | I've spent some time last week reading about this ... pretty
       | scary.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermohaline_circulation
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_meridional_overturnin...
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ocean_acidification
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_zone_(ecology)
       | 
       | https://www.psu.edu/news/research/story/global-warming-led-c...
       | 
       | Peter Ward: "Oceans - What's the Worst that Can Happen?"
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8eM1aakTzMw
        
         | itissid wrote:
         | And WTF is wrong with Chinese Govt policy when they want to
         | just have these ivory doo-dads so much that if their populace
         | don't have access to ivory they eviscerate Clam population in
         | the south china sea.
        
           | sebmellen wrote:
           | Truly, driving giant clams to near extinction for ivory
           | because elephant poaching is harder now is insane. Same with
           | the Pangolin scales for used for "libido enhancement" (which
           | don't even work)! What is wrong with China?
        
             | xnx wrote:
             | > Same with the Pangolin scales for used for "libido
             | enhancement"
             | 
             | The second order impacts of Pfizer/Viagra as a savior of
             | endangered species is wild
        
             | xorbax wrote:
             | China has "traditional" medicine, the US has the prosperity
             | gospel
             | 
             | Maybe the human race is fine on average, but the stupid
             | outliers are an order of magnitude more destructive than
             | the average person in unpredictable and ignorable ways.
        
               | enraged_camel wrote:
               | >> China has "traditional" medicine, the US has the
               | prosperity gospel
               | 
               | Better analogy would be chiropractic and homeopathy. Both
               | are total junk and are held up by nothing other than
               | anecdotal evidence (and massive amounts of PR and
               | lobbying).
        
               | Jare wrote:
               | So is religion tbh yet here we are.
        
               | actionfromafar wrote:
               | Religion is on a wider scale, more like society at large.
        
           | dumpsterlid wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | Haga wrote:
           | [dead]
        
         | itissid wrote:
         | That peter ward stuff is really scary:
         | 
         | - Slowing of ocean cycles leads to a miasma of hot H2S and then
         | swampy jungle like place.
         | 
         | - Slowing Reproductive cycles is nearer than wet bulb
         | temperature related issues.
        
         | sebmellen wrote:
         | Wow, that Peter Ward podcast is the least sensationalist, yet
         | most terrifying piece I've heard on the future of climate.
         | Damn.
        
           | bertil wrote:
           | I was not ready for the sperm twist on the wet bulb
           | temperature...
        
             | actionfromafar wrote:
             | Hm, maybe there is something to the Gaia theory, after all.
        
       | throwaway1777 wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | cloudripper wrote:
         | Do you have a source for that data? According to NOAA [0], that
         | doesn't appear to be true for world average sea surface temp
         | data. 2021 and 2022 data appear to be tracking fairly
         | consistently.
         | 
         | [0]: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/
        
           | throwaway1777 wrote:
           | Could be true. What I remember is the Atlantic being cooler
           | and below average hurricanes, and also some of the major
           | reefs recovering.
        
             | coldtea wrote:
             | Confirmation bias. People select what they want to
             | remember.
             | 
             | In any case, it's the trends that matter, not the year-to-
             | year variation. Some years will be cooler than the
             | previous, but both will be part of a worrying multi-decade
             | trend of upward temperature trends.
        
             | jwilber wrote:
             | Why post at all if you don't know?
        
             | jjulius wrote:
             | Temperatures can increase without going in a straight line
             | up (eg, last year _may_ have been cooler than the year
             | before, but it 's still up overall and continuing to go
             | up).
             | 
             | Saying what you said in your original comment is akin to,
             | "Look, it's January and I just made a snowman, so much for
             | global warming huh?".
        
           | throwaway1777 wrote:
           | I looked up a source since everyone loves to downvote
           | controversial statements these days.
           | https://www.rmets.org/metmatters/atlantic-hurricane-
           | season#:....
        
         | jmclnx wrote:
         | True I guess (I did not search), but records were not broken on
         | coolness. There is always an up/down variance over the years,
         | as other people posted, the trend is up, not down. So being
         | cooler than last year is not an "event". Breaking records is an
         | "event".
        
         | sdenton4 wrote:
         | 2015 was the last year with much time at all below the +2-sigma
         | line for daily mean ocean temperature since 1980. That's
         | terrifying - the mean is moving upwards /very/ quickly.
        
         | jjoonathan wrote:
         | Really? I'm surprised -- every other time I visit my parents I
         | overhear conservative media gloating over how the latest
         | downward fluctuation in something or other casts doubt on
         | global warming. They've been doing this for at least 20 years
         | but the lines keep going up.
        
       | cloudripper wrote:
       | Time-series chart of Daily Surface Sea Temps compared year-over-
       | year from early 80s to previous day:
       | 
       | https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/
       | 
       | Edit: This is the same source used by the article.
        
         | brabel wrote:
         | You can hover with the mouse over the year labels at the bottom
         | to highlight their curves... go on and do that for each column
         | of years, from top to bottom... that will let you see how the
         | curves rapidly went up for every single column, which is
         | roughly a decade for each row. And it seems to be going up
         | *faster* for the latest decades. This is really scary.
        
         | kortilla wrote:
         | How are sensors added to a system like this without it no
         | longer being a year to year comparison?
        
           | wpietri wrote:
           | The system in question has always been something that
           | combines various sensors, interpolating and adjusting to
           | produce broad numbers. There's an extensive academic
           | reference list here under the "About" tab:
           | https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/optimum-interpolation-sst
        
           | mhh__ wrote:
           | Meta Point: Ideally it'd be done very carefully.
           | 
           | Climate change research is often people's first look at how
           | professional scientists operate, so things which are merely
           | carefully working around systematic errors in other contexts
           | may be suddenly deemed evidence of a fraudulent conspiracy.
        
       | surume wrote:
       | Yes, unless the data has been doctored or outright fabricated to
       | present a dismal picture that has the effect of coercing society
       | to adopt globalist elitist agendas that rob the populations of
       | their rights and power "for the greater good". We can no longer
       | "trust the science". There are too many examples of it being
       | utterly corrupted to substantiate narrow and extremist political
       | goals.
        
         | sebmellen wrote:
         | If the data has been doctored, it's in the opposite direction.
         | You are completely misguided if you think the majority of
         | wealthy "elites" are making any serious efforts to address
         | climate crises.
         | 
         | https://www.climateofdenial.org/track-climate-change-denial/...
        
           | surume wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
             | enraged_camel wrote:
             | Project Veritas? You can't be serious.
        
               | surume wrote:
               | Verified and certified video of CNN executives discussing
               | their plans - why not be serious? CNN never even denied
               | it. Those are their employees. Do you have any proof that
               | this isn't legit?
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | The claim wasn't that the elite are making a serious effort
           | to address the climate issue. The claim was that the elite
           | are making a serious effort to use the fear of the climate
           | crisis to push everyone else to give up freedom and give the
           | elites more control.
           | 
           | Mind you, I'm not saying I agree with the claim. But before
           | you dismiss it as baloney, at least be sure you know what is
           | actually being claimed.
        
         | phaker wrote:
         | With this attitude you'll see conspiracies everywhere, and
         | that's a self reinforcing spiral.
         | 
         | If this is how much evidence you need to dismiss something
         | without checking, then you'll dismiss everything and you'll
         | never find out if/when the hunch was wrong.
        
           | surume wrote:
           | My attitude is scientifically based. When you see data that
           | is "too good to be true" for a certain political side, you
           | should assume that it likely is. If this "completely
           | vindicates" the drive and cause of the left-wing globalist
           | elites, and is then used to substantiate their argument that
           | personal freedoms need to be removes so that they have
           | "enough power" to stop the oncoming Climate Armageddon, then
           | no, the data should not be trusted. Too many studies have
           | recently been proven to have been entirely fabricated or
           | heavily doctored to back up a political cause. We should not
           | be sheep.
        
             | sveme wrote:
             | So who are these globalist left-wing elites that are using
             | fake climate change to achieve what, exactly?
        
               | surume wrote:
               | The World Economic Forum, led by Klaus Schwab. Excellent
               | question.
               | 
               | https://youtu.be/0uhiYcG0Psg
        
             | mikub wrote:
             | How many studys of this kind did you read yourself? How
             | many of those studys you read, if you read some, you were
             | able to understand? In my experience, people talking about
             | not beeing sheep are the ones who get their "information"
             | from some obscure youtube channel that tells them to not be
             | a sheep.
        
               | surume wrote:
               | No. Please read for yourself.
               | 
               | https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/05/09052820374
               | 5.h...
               | 
               | https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02035-2
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis#:~:text=
               | The....
               | 
               | We have a crisis in science where the data for too many
               | studies has been doctored. So we must trust in common
               | sense, defend personal freedoms, and reject globalist
               | elitist agendas that promise us easy solutions and
               | impossible utopias.
        
               | mikub wrote:
               | Believe me, scientists are very well aware of the
               | problems in academia, publishing papers, peer reviewing,
               | it is not perfect. But don't make the mistake to turn
               | this into a global elitist conspiracy, yes there are some
               | people who like to control the narative, but you really
               | need to learn to distinct good from bad scientists. For
               | starter, people who make money only by telling some other
               | people that everything they believe in is crap, and that
               | all other people except your little group needs to wake
               | up and dont be sheep, that shouldnt be the guys/girls to
               | trust.
        
               | surume wrote:
               | No. This study can be used to change public policy in
               | hundreds of countries. Its importance is paramount, and
               | the findings can be used to radically alter and remove
               | your freedoms, so the default position should be to not
               | trust it. Before we believe a shred of it, every input
               | needs to be thoroughly investigated and reviewed by
               | multiple independent parties. The reason I am claiming
               | this is a conspiracy is because it perfectly lines up
               | with globalist elitist talking points. That flawless
               | supporting study is their dream come true, which is
               | enough of a reason to cry foul.
        
               | olddustytrail wrote:
               | No, you're just talking bollocks. There is no replication
               | crisis in everyday, known physics. We know how the
               | greenhouse effect works, better than we know how gravity
               | works.
        
               | foverzar wrote:
               | Ironically, we know precious little about gravity. We
               | couldn't even properly scale our classic understanding of
               | gravity to orbital mechanics without significantly
               | upgrading our models. And discoveries in particle physics
               | expand our understanding of the phenomenon in completely
               | wild ways.
        
               | surume wrote:
               | What is your evidence? What is your proof besides simply
               | claiming something is a lie? I've given you my sources.
               | Why don't you give me yours.
        
               | olddustytrail wrote:
               | My sources for physics? Do you want me to link to some
               | textbooks or something? Learn some stuff is the best I
               | can do for you just now, I think.
               | 
               | Edit: oh wait, Khan Academy has some physics courses I
               | believe; you could probably do that.
        
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