[HN Gopher] I'm in Wyoming to celebrate the next nuclear breakth...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       I'm in Wyoming to celebrate the next nuclear breakthrough
        
       Author : erentz
       Score  : 274 points
       Date   : 2023-05-06 05:43 UTC (17 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.gatesnotes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.gatesnotes.com)
        
       | barathr wrote:
       | The lifecycle cost of nuclear is still higher than solar PV _even
       | with storage_ and we have low-risk, low-tech solar-with-storage
       | options such as molten-salt concentrated solar, which, while not
       | as efficient as solar PV, is very simple technology.
       | 
       | Solar PV and wind are cheap enough that overbuilding is easy. One
       | might wonder what we can do with surplus power during times of
       | day when we have too much solar (middle of the day) or too much
       | wind (middle of the night) -- we can do desalination with the
       | surplus solar (matches the demand curve of water use across the
       | day and across the year) and convert wind to nitrogen:
       | 
       | https://wcroc.cfans.umn.edu/research/renewable-energy/wind-f...
        
         | albertopv wrote:
         | For solar and wind you need TWh of storage capacity, in Europe
         | many days without solar or wind (just bad weather) is
         | relatively common.
        
           | tuukkah wrote:
           | Existing hydro is able to fill in for some of the storage
           | needs, and pumping water up the dam will be one type of
           | large-scale storage that can be built. See pumped-storage
           | hydroelectricity: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-
           | storage_hydroelectricit...
        
             | tuukkah wrote:
             | To get an idea of the scale of hydro storage:
             | 
             | > _European hydropower reservoirs provide a storage
             | capacity of 220 TWh (85 TWh are located in Norway)._
             | 
             | https://setis.ec.europa.eu/hydropower-and-pumped-
             | hydropower-...
        
         | ren_engineer wrote:
         | >solar
         | 
         | I love the idea of being completely reliant on something where
         | China controls 80% of the supply chain -
         | https://www.iea.org/reports/solar-pv-global-supply-chains/ex...
         | 
         | Surely nothing could go wrong there, it's not like Russia
         | pulled the same strategy and funded anti-nuclear activists in
         | Germany to get them dependent on Russian natural gas.
         | 
         | >wind
         | 
         | I've talked to executives at energy companies who said they
         | only built wind due to the massive subsidies. There's also
         | major issues with what to do with the windmill husks once they
         | are decommissioned and the fact they are a massive eye sore.
         | 
         | If the US was serious they'd spin out some of the US Navy's
         | reactor tech and turn all that technology into a profit center.
         | They could even do a "bases for reactors" program where nations
         | get electricity in return for allowing the US to operate the
         | reactors on their land
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Destroyers-for-bases_deal
        
           | tuukkah wrote:
           | Buying solar panels from China is not the same kind of
           | dependency as buying fossil fuels from Russia: the first is
           | an investment, the latter is consumption. Also, solar panels
           | can be built anywhere, while fossil fuels are a limited
           | natural resource with no deposits in e.g. Germany.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | What solar storage technologies work in the winter? For
         | instance, it has been rainy in California this year, and
         | between Jan and March, we were at a production deficit of 1MWh
         | for our house. So far, in May (so the last 5 days) we're at a
         | 275KWh deficit, and every day has seen a deficit so far.
         | 
         | I'd love to have a 1MWh battery, but current raw battery cost
         | is $151/KWh, and actual residential systems are closer to $333
         | to $666 / KWh installed. At the raw battery cost (ignoring
         | space requirements!), we'd have already burned through $41,000
         | of battery capacity this month, and the weather forecast
         | suggests we'd need double of that to get through till
         | wednesday. That's $82K for raw batteries, or $275K at the
         | midrange for residential installs (ignoring solar costs). Grid-
         | scale storage is somewhere between those two numbers, and this
         | is May. Winter this year was even more unworkable.
        
           | tuukkah wrote:
           | Small-scale solar installations are not supposed to get you
           | off-grid and like you observe, a small-scale/battery storage
           | isn't going to change that.
           | 
           | Instead, the idea is the grid-scale combination of solar,
           | wind and hydro with various storage and adaptive consumption
           | solutions. For example: when water levels are down, pump
           | water up the dam during sunny/windy hours to store energy for
           | the bad months.
        
         | JumpinJack_Cash wrote:
         | > > is very simple technology
         | 
         | AKA it won't bring about the next industrial revolution. It
         | will maybe secure a world where the Earth is 0.01 C cooler vis-
         | a-vis fossil fuels.
         | 
         | Nuclear is exciting because humans can play God, that's where
         | innovation lies, containing the power of the cosmos in a human
         | friendly manner. With all due respect people who love
         | renewables are un-imaginative and they resigned themselves to
         | technological stasis in exchange for a reduction in CO2
         | emissions. That's a very underwhelming proposition, because in
         | short, it means that there is nothing for us, but only benefits
         | for maybe those who'd be alive in 200 years. That's
         | unacceptable and un-American.
         | 
         | This initiative is to be encouraged and Mr. Gates has a history
         | of being the person who had the privilege of signing off huge
         | quality of life improvements for Americans . Which is mostly
         | luck among those who had the right vision, in Windows case the
         | GUI. But still it's something, I believe that other GUI
         | pioneers would be financing the same projects had they been the
         | ones ending up with a 200bn net worth.
        
         | StillBored wrote:
         | Its very tiring that there is always someone here telling us
         | how inexpensive PV and wind are compared to other generation.
         | Which is true per watt, until you try to assure that watt is
         | actually available when its needed.
         | 
         | So its comparing the costs of two entirely different things,
         | power which can be predicted and produced at a given level, and
         | power which may or may not produce anything over a given time-
         | frame. And so, i might say its a lie...
         | 
         | Particularly because the costs associated with making a watt of
         | wind/PV reliable easily adds an order of magnitude in costs,
         | making wind/PV a much worst cost proposition than just about
         | anything else. And its particularly bad in places that don't
         | have existing hydro and nukes because the only realistic way to
         | back it up with today's technology/economy is fossil fuel
         | sources. (aka grid scale batteries capable of multi day power
         | storage simply don't exist, and you can't "overbuild" your way
         | out of the problem.). So its not even carbon free.
        
           | ZeroGravitas wrote:
           | The comment you replied to explicitly addressed how to make
           | cheap renewables more available.
           | 
           | You might disagree, but acting like they never even mentioned
           | it makes it seem more likely that you're just going on
           | outdated info.
        
             | belorn wrote:
             | The storage in "PV with storage" is most commonly measured
             | in single digit hours of capacity, and is primarily used in
             | locations where the sun is predictable up during the day
             | and has a predictable discharge/charging cycle of 24 hours.
             | One of the biggest upside is that the economics of it is
             | fairly simplistic with 365 cycles each year that produce
             | predictable revenue.
             | 
             | There is a second form of storage that is also fairly
             | common, which is storage that exist to balance the grid
             | when different units goes up and down. Those generally have
             | even less capacity and are not intended to operate under
             | long periods.
             | 
             | For locations where the first form of PV with storage
             | works, they should really replace everything (with imports
             | handling any exceptional weather events). Storage of this
             | form does however become significant more expensive the
             | further away we get from this optimal weather pattern, and
             | there is a multiple reasons why wind heavy nations can not
             | survive on a few hours of storage. Latitude and seasons can
             | also have a very large impact if a nation where to use this
             | as their only strategy.
        
           | pydry wrote:
           | >Its very tiring that there is always someone here telling us
           | how inexpensive PV and wind are compared to other generation.
           | Which is true per watt, until you try to assure that watt is
           | actually available when its needed.
           | 
           | It's 5x cheaper per watt. That goes up to 1.5-3x cheaper once
           | you add "when needed".
           | 
           | OP already mentioned that it is cheaper with storage. You
           | ignored them.
           | 
           | >Particularly because the costs associated with making a watt
           | of wind/PV reliable easily adds an order of magnitude in
           | costs
           | 
           | An order of magnitude is absurd.
        
           | coyotespike wrote:
           | Let's champion both.
           | 
           | Living in Austin, I plan to add solar to my house someday,
           | and I would also love to see us build nuclear power plants.
           | 
           | I really cannot understand why people set these things at
           | odds with each other. They are both better than fossil fuels
           | or degrowth.
        
             | derefr wrote:
             | > I really cannot understand why people set these things at
             | odds with each other. They are both better than fossil
             | fuels or degrowth.
             | 
             | Mostly because in many places nuclear power is currently
             | politically blocked from any further build-out, if not
             | outright banned. One of the main rhetorical moves that
             | various "green" (i.e. anti-nuclear) lobbies say to justify
             | not building out nuclear power -- which regulators seem to
             | have absorbed and now believe -- is "for everything we'd
             | use nuclear for, we can just use PV."
             | 
             | This statement has a clear refutation: nuclear is base-load
             | + grid-scale, while PV elastic-load + individual-site-
             | scale; so if you need to e.g. double the electrical
             | capacity of _a large city_ in response to population
             | growth, then PV isn 't going to work--you want nuclear (or
             | another base-load grid-scale power technology, like
             | hydropower.)
             | 
             | But these arguments don't get heard; rather, the regulators
             | say "but we have PV, what's the point in building nuclear
             | rather than just supporting the build-out of more PV?" as a
             | conversation-ending rhetorical statement.
             | 
             | In order to convince regulators to allow the build-out of
             | nuclear, there has to be some equally-powerful rhetorical
             | statement that can be used to "reopen the conversation."
             | Which would, intuitively, come in the form of a clear and
             | effective condemnation of PV as a base-load / grid-scale
             | power technology. But if regulators don't _understand_
             | terms like  "base-load" or "grid-scale", then what you end
             | up having to do to get them to stop packing up and shooing
             | you out of the room, is to condemn PV full-stop.
        
             | whitemary wrote:
             | Because financialized/late-stage capitalism makes long-term
             | investments like nuclear power generation financially
             | infeasible, while funneling subsidies to "green energy"
             | solar/wind industries is extremely profitable in the short-
             | term.
             | 
             | In other words, the thing that actually works is
             | significantly less likely to happen, and therefore requires
             | far more support.
        
             | loeg wrote:
             | They don't have especially complementary profiles for a
             | generation mix, unfortunately. So at scale it seems like
             | you have to pick one or the other.
        
               | ZeroGravitas wrote:
               | I don't think it makes financial sense to build new
               | nuclear, but solar and nuclear pair reasonably well if
               | you have existing nuclear, at least in areas where air-
               | con is used (demand peaks in summer afternoons).
               | 
               | The problem only arises when you don't charge coal and
               | gas plants sufficient carbon/pollution fees, then they
               | can underbid nuclear and drive it out of the market and
               | stop it earning enough overnight.
               | 
               | to quote the nuclear industry:
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/australia-
               | news/2019/jun/04/nucle...
               | 
               | > Nuclear could provide cheap energy but would only be
               | competitive with gas and coal if carbon pollution is
               | priced, nuclear association says
        
             | pydry wrote:
             | >I really cannot understand why people set these things at
             | odds with each other.
             | 
             | Because they compete for investment dollars from the
             | government.
             | 
             | Why doesnt the government just fund the cheapest one?
             | 
             | Because the nuclear military industrial complex needs a
             | civilian nuclear industry to operate cost effectively.
        
           | skybrian wrote:
           | I'm wondering what kinds of reliability we actually need.
           | 
           | Residential: it seems like we often accept less reliability?
           | It's common for bad weather like thunderstorms to cause power
           | outages, particularly in rural areas. Lots of places in
           | California will get cut off during high winds.
           | 
           | If you need reliability, a battery backup protects you from
           | more outages, including those that take out the grid. In some
           | cases a generator makes sense (such as for a data center),
           | but it's higher maintenance.
        
         | tuukkah wrote:
         | Yes, all the cheap surplus wind and solar power will be used
         | for many things, also e.g. low-emission production of steel and
         | hydrogen, running heat pumps and even boiling water for hot
         | water reservoirs etc.
         | 
         | Also, this "nuclear breakthrough" concept is likewise
         | complicated by storage:
         | 
         | > _It also includes an energy storage system that will allow it
         | to control how much electricity it produces at any given time._
         | 
         | Why do they have to complicate it? Otherwise, they wouldn't
         | have a chance competing with the cheap price of renewables:
         | 
         | > _it's essential for integrating with power grids that use
         | variable sources like solar and wind._
         | 
         | Basically, nuclear plants generate losses when it's sunny or
         | windy, and profits from the dark and calm times won't make up
         | for the losses. (The flexible power consumption will switch off
         | rather than pay the higher nuclear power prices.)
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | TradingPlaces wrote:
       | It's much more expensive than solar or wind + storage, so why
       | exactly?
        
         | danmaz74 wrote:
         | More expensive than "solar or wind +" which amount of storage?
         | The amount of storage which would put wind/solar on par with
         | nuclear in terms of reliable baseload is huge.
        
         | crims0n wrote:
         | More reliable, less of an eyesore.
        
           | hermitcrab wrote:
           | I think windmills are rather beautiful. Subjective,
           | obviously.
        
             | ren_engineer wrote:
             | Have you ever been around a sizable wind farm at night when
             | you have to look at bright red flashing lights for miles in
             | every direction?
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | Can't say I have. Is it any worse than looking out at a
               | big city at night?
        
         | Zigurd wrote:
         | Exactly. Electricity is fungible and so is capital. Spend the
         | capital on the technology that arrives soonest with the least
         | capital.
         | 
         | Cost comparisons for nuclear are also dubious. The French are
         | discovering their decommissioning costs are a multiple of what
         | they predicted. Who, using what cash-generating capability, is
         | going to pay for that?
         | 
         | And where to reprocess or stash the waste?
         | 
         | What we are seeing with uranium fission plants being touted as
         | new tech is an attempt to forget the PWR uranium fission
         | problems. TBF it is not for the sodium-cooled uranium reactor
         | people to solve _all_ the problems. But those problems still
         | need solving.
        
           | FredPret wrote:
           | No it isn't. Electricity has to be delivered the instant it
           | is consumed. You can pile up capital.
        
             | Zigurd wrote:
             | Storage in the form of batteries, pumped storage, hydrogen,
             | or ammonia works. It is needed more for renewables than for
             | nuclear, but nuclear is hard to throttle to a fine
             | granularity like fossil fuel plants.
             | 
             | Anyway, I should have said power generating capacity is
             | _mostly_ fungible. You can _mostly_ replace any capacity
             | with a different kind, within some limits, the same way
             | money isn 't perfectly fungible if you need currency
             | conversion, have FDI limits, repatriation limits, etc.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | So a reasonable engineer would then conclude the
               | practical route to a green grid is nuclear baseload +
               | natural gas peaking + solar and windmills.
               | 
               | Storage is nowhere near practical today. A house can
               | barely run off batteries. How about mines, factories,
               | aluminum smelters.
               | 
               | In future it would be great if this changed.
        
         | acidburnNSA wrote:
         | That statement is being challenged.
         | 
         | https://www.ctvc.co/firming-costs-renewables/
        
       | wolverine876 wrote:
       | How hard would it be to use all the heat to generate usable
       | energy, rather than discarding a bunch of it via coolant? I don't
       | know much about nuclear reactors and I'm sure I'm not the first
       | to think of it, and I'd guess it's quite a bit of heat - but then
       | it's quite a bit of usable energy.
        
         | RhodesianHunter wrote:
         | That's exactly what it's doing.
         | 
         | The problem is not getting rid of excess heat, it's that the
         | heat causes wear and maintenance issues due to pressure, needed
         | pumping, etc.
        
       | ZeroGravitas wrote:
       | He's still talking down renewables, which is unfortunate, but we
       | got to the tipping point despite him so it's less annoying than
       | it used to be.
       | 
       | > fact, in terms of lives lost, nuclear power is by far the
       | safest way to produce energy.
       | 
       | I don't think this is true anymore even if you skip the "by far"
       | and if you include the "by far" it's not been true for maybe as
       | long as this plant has been in planning.
        
         | Drblessing wrote:
         | > I don't think this is true anymore even if you skip the "by
         | far" and if you include the "by far" it's not been true for
         | maybe as long as this plant has been in planning.
         | 
         | Source?
         | 
         | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S22113...
        
           | ZeroGravitas wrote:
           | https://ourworldindata.org/safest-sources-of-energy
           | 
           | This is a pro-nuclear site. The original version of the
           | article had nuclear coming out but had no info on renewables:
           | 
           | https://web.archive.org/web/20200210102743/https://ourworldi.
           | ..
           | 
           | They updated it with newer information, and now it is no
           | longer winning.
           | 
           | That "new" information, is from 2014, from this paper:
           | 
           | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S09596.
           | ..
           | 
           | > Our study shows how these energy systems collectively
           | involved 686 accidents resulting in 182,794 human fatalities
           | and $265.1 billion in property damages. Across the entire
           | sample, the mean amount of property damage was $388.8 million
           | and 267.2 fatalities per accident, though when reflected as a
           | median the numbers substantially improve to $820,000 in
           | damages per accident and zero fatalities. Wind energy is the
           | most frequent to incur an accident within our sample (48.8
           | percent of accidents), hydroelectric accidents tend to be the
           | most fatal (97.2 percent of all deaths), and nuclear energy
           | accidents tend to be the most expensive (accounting for 90.8
           | percent of damages). The article uses this data to present a
           | set of unique risk profiles: nuclear, hydro, and wind energy
           | are categorized as having a "high" risk of accidents;
           | hydrogen, biofuels, and biomass "moderate" a accident risk;
           | solar and geothermal a "low" risk.
           | 
           | Think about how much renewables have been deployed since
           | 2014.
           | 
           | https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/modern-renewable-
           | prod?tim...
        
       | barney54 wrote:
       | So when will Terra Power actually begin construction? What really
       | matters is that these small modular reactors actually get built.
        
         | ddgflorida wrote:
         | Right - quite surprising how long it takes to get one of these
         | up and running.
        
       | Jabbles wrote:
       | _" liquid sodium, whose boiling point is more than 8 times higher
       | than water's"_
       | 
       | Ew, multiplicative temperature comparisons in unspecified units.
       | 
       | Sodium's boiling point is 882'C.
       | 
       |  _" so it can absorb all the extra heat"_
       | 
       | Confusion of temperature and heat? Sodium's specific heat
       | capacity is ~1/3 of water, so sodium's higher boiling point
       | doesn't by itself mean that it can absorb more heat, though ofc
       | the combination is still in sodium's favour.
        
         | pyrale wrote:
         | The text also kind of blanks the part where 2/3rd of world's
         | nuclear reactors are PWRs, with typical water boiling
         | temperature around 275degc.
         | 
         | Overall, the piece is a very flattering take on the technology,
         | where all drawbacks are forgotten, and the comparison with
         | competitors is not really honest.
        
         | anonuser123456 wrote:
         | I don't think the specific heat matters so much. The key is the
         | boiling point is so high, the thermal flux will cool the system
         | before pressurizing it. IIRC, thermal flux is proportional to
         | the temperature differential.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | But sodium's reactive, fire-starting, go-boom, good pair of
         | running shoes temperature is considerable lower than water's.
        
         | sbaiddn wrote:
         | His understanding appears worse than that. Heat capacity is
         | important, but as a second order. Absolute temperatures is the
         | real deal since it sets the Carnot efficiency.
         | 
         | Another way to look at it, if I were doing a back of the
         | envelop calculation (the most important calculations), I
         | wouldn't look up the Cp of Na. Id only look up its boiling T
         | 
         | High Cp, low Cp... that can be remedied to some extent by
         | running the pump faster or slower.
        
         | jebarker wrote:
         | > Ew, multiplicative temperature comparisons in unspecified
         | units
         | 
         | In the previous paragraph he's said that water boils at 100 C
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | tempodox wrote:
           | I'd expect a multiplicative temperature comparison to refer
           | to Kelvin, not Celsius.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | jebarker wrote:
             | Ah, TIL that Celsius is "non-multiplicative". From ChatGPT:
             | 
             | "When using Celsius as the unit for temperature, it is not
             | meaningful to say that one temperature is a certain number
             | of times higher than another. The Celsius scale is based on
             | the freezing point (0degC) and boiling point (100degC) of
             | water, which are not absolute values. Thus, the Celsius
             | scale has negative values, and simply multiplying
             | temperatures does not provide an accurate representation of
             | relative differences.
             | 
             | If you want to compare temperatures in a more meaningful
             | way, you should use the Kelvin scale. The Kelvin scale is
             | an absolute temperature scale, with its zero point (0 K)
             | representing absolute zero. In this scale, it is
             | appropriate to say that one temperature is a certain number
             | of times higher than another because the scale starts at an
             | absolute zero point. To convert Celsius temperatures to
             | Kelvin, add 273.15 to the Celsius value. Once the
             | temperatures are in Kelvin, you can then make meaningful
             | comparisons using multiplication or division."
        
               | _a_a_a_ wrote:
               | Yeah, kelvin strictly speaking, but for reactors on earth
               | (not in 3 kelvin outer space) with a baseline earth-
               | ambient temperature, perhaps multiplicative C is valid,
               | very approximately? I don't know, I guess I'm asking.
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | Specifying "times" in Celsius is fine... as long as you
               | stay either positive or negative.
               | 
               | Implying that you can only specify multiples in Kelvin is
               | being pedantic.
        
               | petesergeant wrote:
               | > Specifying "times" in Celsius is fine... as long as you
               | stay either positive or negative
               | 
               | 127C is twice as hot as -73C though
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | <pedant>C is a measure of temperature, not heat.</pedant>
        
               | jenadine wrote:
               | It's a bit the same as with time, multiplication of the
               | time of the day don't make much sense.
               | 
               | I started the work at 1:20 pm, but my colleague started
               | three times later, at 4pm.
        
               | _Microft wrote:
               | The Celsius scale is an "interval scale" while the Kelvin
               | scale is a "ratio scale". One cannot take ratios of
               | Celsius values as ratios are not even defined for that.
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Level_of_measurement
        
               | sgjohnson wrote:
               | But not really.
               | 
               | 100degC times two is not 200degC.
               | 
               | 100degC times two is 473degC
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | Howso? If the conversion to Kelvin is additive (as
               | opposed to something more complicated), and multiplying
               | in Kelvin is fine, then how is multiplying effectively-
               | unsigned in Celsius not fine?
        
               | sgjohnson wrote:
               | Ok, another example.
               | 
               | Is 10degC 10 times as hot as 1degC?
               | 
               | No.
               | 
               | Multiplying kelvin is fine because kelvin is an absolute
               | scale.
        
               | _a_a_a_ wrote:
               | > No.
               | 
               | For a given baseline, perhaps yes?. Kelvin has its
               | baseline inherent, for C you can pick what you like _if
               | you 're clear about it_. Perhaps. (Edit: and using only
               | positive or negative temps as pointed out above)
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | Yes.
               | 
               | Parent's spaghetti examples weren't the most
               | illustrative.
               | 
               | What I believe they're griping about is that "10degC does
               | not have _10x as much heat_ as 1degC. "
               | 
               | In actuality, "10degC has 10x the _difference in heat_
               | that 1degC has _relative to the freezing point of water_.
               | "
               | 
               | So it's a comparison definition quirk, not a numerical
               | one.
        
               | yarg wrote:
               | c = k + 273         x * c = x * k + x * 273
               | 
               | This leaves multiplied celsius off by a delta of (x - 1)
               | * 273.
        
               | bo1024 wrote:
               | Temperature, especially in this context, relates to
               | energy. The relative energy isn't 8x.
               | 
               | > boiling point is more than 8 times higher than water's,
               | so it can absorb all the extra heat
               | 
               | This is a bit like saying that a skyscraper is 8 times as
               | tall as an apartment building, so the gravity is much
               | weaker up there. Obviously not as extreme a mistake, but
               | that's why people are jumping on it.
        
             | hermitcrab wrote:
             | Or Rankine for a US reactor, surely? ;0)
        
         | DarkNova6 wrote:
         | Sodium is such a nightmarish coolant. Yes, there are advantages
         | in building and engineering a sodium cooled reactor, but from
         | an operating point of view... oh boy.
         | 
         | Sodium catches fire when exposed to air.
         | 
         | Sodium reacts violently with water (used in some designs as
         | secondary cooling cycle).
         | 
         | Sodium absorbing a neutron creates a strong gamma emitter with
         | a low half time.
         | 
         | Sodium reactors have always had low availability times, caused
         | by constant technical problems.
         | 
         | However unlike lead as coolant, no advances in material
         | sciences are required to get an operational Gen 4 reactor. On
         | the upside, you can pretty much use Sodium (fast) reactors
         | right now... but maybe you shouldn't?
        
           | pookha wrote:
           | "Sodium reacts violently with water (used in some designs as
           | secondary cooling cycle)."
           | 
           | Wow. This statement is ludicrous. It's like me saying this
           | wind-turbine is dangerous because of solar-panel hazardous
           | waste...Seemed pretty obvious (guy in the article goes on for
           | a while talking about why water was a bad choice) that the
           | design for this reactor is using some variation of molten-
           | salt as a coolant (not pressurized water).
        
             | jakewins wrote:
             | This seems overly harsh - is there not water involved at
             | the plant to drive the steam turbines?
             | 
             | That the design of the plant does not directly heat water
             | from sodium is great, but it still is useful to know the
             | plant becomes sensitive to water issues like flooding.
        
           | Iwan-Zotow wrote:
           | > Sodium reactors have always had low availability times,
           | caused by constant technical problems
           | 
           | BN-800 has between 70 and 80%, looks good to me
        
           | tremon wrote:
           | Are you saying they use raw sodium as the coolant? I thought
           | they used a sodium-based salt liquid? In which case, most of
           | the sodium in the mixture is too tied up to react with air or
           | water.
           | 
           | (edit: yes they do, see
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35841237)
        
           | juliennakache wrote:
           | From a link shared in a thread below:
           | 
           | "High-temperature properties such as the volumetric storage
           | density, viscosity and transparency are similar to water at
           | room temperature. The major advantages of molten salts are
           | low costs, non-toxicity, non-flammability, high thermal
           | stabilities and low vapor pressures. The low vapor pressure
           | results in storage designs without pressurized tanks (Fig.
           | 1). Molten salts are suitable both as heat storage medium and
           | heat transfer fluid (HTF). In general, there is experience
           | with molten salts in a number of industrial applications
           | related to heat treatment, electrochemical treatment and heat
           | transfer for decades."
           | 
           | I don't know anything about this but it does seem that things
           | are not as clear cut as your comment made it seem.
           | 
           | ref:
           | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cite.202000137
           | 
           | EDIT: From ChatGPT 3.5:
           | 
           | " One of the most commonly used molten salts in nuclear
           | reactors is a mixture of lithium fluoride (LiF) and beryllium
           | fluoride (BeF2), commonly referred to as FLiBe. FLiBe is used
           | as both a coolant and a neutron moderator in some types of
           | nuclear reactors, such as molten salt reactors (MSRs) and
           | some advanced small modular reactors (SMRs).
           | 
           | FLiBe has several advantages as a coolant in nuclear
           | reactors, including its good heat transfer properties and its
           | ability to operate at high temperatures without evaporating.
           | Additionally, FLiBe is not highly corrosive to many materials
           | commonly used in reactor components, which can help reduce
           | maintenance and replacement costs.
           | 
           | However, FLiBe does have some potential disadvantages, such
           | as its relatively high viscosity, which can make it more
           | difficult to pump and circulate, and its high melting point,
           | which can increase startup times for reactor systems.
           | Additionally, FLiBe can be corrosive to some materials, such
           | as aluminum and some types of steels, so care must be taken
           | in selecting materials that are compatible with FLiBe."
        
             | credit_guy wrote:
             | The reactor that Gates talks about (Natrium) uses sodium as
             | moderator and coolant. In other words, the uranium fuel is
             | submerged in a pool (literally, a pool) of liquid sodium.
             | There are some pipes that circulate the liquid (and very
             | hot) sodium to a separate place, where it heats up a
             | secondary circuit of molten salt. That molten salt then
             | goes on to heat some water and make it steam, which then
             | drives some turbines and generate electricity. Or that
             | molten salt can be left molten for a number of hours, as
             | some form of energy storage solution.
             | 
             | So, the molten salt does not get in contact with the
             | nuclear fuel in any way in this design.
             | 
             | There are other designs where this happens, and especially,
             | there are designs where the uranium (or thorium) is itself
             | part of the molten salt. Even Gates's company, Terrapower,
             | has such a design in the works. But the Natrium reactor is
             | not that.
        
           | gus_massa wrote:
           | > _Sodium absorbing a neutron creates a strong gamma emitter
           | with a low half time._
           | 
           | Isn't that a feature? Is it 24Na that decays to 24Mg in 14
           | hours? In case of an accident, you can run away for a week
           | and it will magically disappear. You don't need a long term
           | storage of the waste.
        
             | hermitcrab wrote:
             | A half-life of a few seconds and it will probably decay
             | before it gets near a human.
             | 
             | A half-life of thousands years and it will give out it's
             | energy so slowly you will probably be more worried about
             | it's toxicity (e.g. plutonium).
             | 
             | The most dangerous ones are generally those that have half-
             | lives of days or weeks. That is long enough to get into a
             | human body and give out a lot of it's energy. The is
             | particularly the case for elements that are readily
             | absorbed by the human body (such as strontium which replace
             | calcium IIRC).
             | 
             | On that basis radioctivity from sodium probably isn't too
             | much of a threat. I would be more worried about it's
             | reactivity.
             | 
             | (not an expert on this, but did consultancy for the nuclear
             | industry some time ago)
        
               | George83728 wrote:
               | > _The most dangerous ones are generally those that have
               | half-lives of days or weeks. That is long enough to get
               | into a human body and give out a lot of it 's energy. The
               | is particularly the case for elements that are readily
               | absorbed by the human body (such as strontium which
               | replace calcium IIRC)._
               | 
               | You're mistaken, the most dangerous waste is that with
               | half lives measured in decades, like cesium-137 or
               | strontium-90 which both have half lives of about 30
               | years. That 30 year half life means that it can take
               | centuries for the waste to decay away to safe levels.
               | More than hot enough to kill, and with the longevity to
               | do so for several generations. Strontium-85 and
               | strontium-89 half half lives measured in tens of days,
               | but after a few years you don't have to worry about those
               | anymore. It's the isotopes like strontium-90 that are the
               | major concern.
        
             | wolfram74 wrote:
             | for that specific waste, the coolant in a water cooled
             | reactor isn't a huge problem either. The things that are
             | "complicated" are the fuel rods that some people refuse to
             | be convinced we can bury in storage until reprocessing
             | becomes necessary.
        
             | credit_guy wrote:
             | Actually this might be sodium's biggest advantage.
             | 
             | Everyone knows that Uranium (or Plutonium) can sustain a
             | chain reaction: when hit with a neutron, they split in 2 or
             | 3 lighter atoms, and 2 or 3 new (and fast) neutrons. That
             | can be used to produce a bomb, because the fission events
             | grow exponentially. But it's not all that useful for a
             | reactor, where you want the number of fission events per
             | second to stay constant in time. Which means, on average,
             | each out of the 2 or 3 neutrons produced in a fission
             | event, exactly one will trigger another fission event, and
             | the remaining 1 or 2 neutrons have to find some way to
             | disappear. Roughly speaking they can be absorbed by: 1. by
             | some heavy nucleus like uranium 2. some control rods 3.
             | some neutron poison introduced in the reactor on purpose,
             | such as boron, gadolinium or hafnium, 4. the moderator,
             | like water, or sodium in this case, 5. the walls of the
             | containment vessel.
             | 
             | If you think of it, it's such a waste. Many of these
             | options result in radioactive elements. Some result in
             | material embrittlement.
             | 
             | Given that, it may very well be that sodium could be the
             | best option out there.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | RC_ITR wrote:
               | There's an argument to be made that we should do a much
               | better job of directing those neutrons to make tritium,
               | since fission isn't even something to discuss until we
               | know how to make abundant tritium.
        
               | credit_guy wrote:
               | Yes. But fusion is not quite here yet. It's a difficult
               | business proposition to store large quantities of tritium
               | in the hope that you'll be able to sell to an operator of
               | a fusion reactor three decades down the road (after about
               | 80% of it has decayed).
               | 
               | On the other hand, when fusion is ready for prime time,
               | one could use liquid lithium in a reactor. Liquid lithium
               | has quite a number of advantages over sodium: in that
               | temperature range it has more specific heat capacity than
               | any metal, higher even than water. It has excellent
               | conductivity.
               | 
               | And if it captures a neutron, it splits in helium and
               | tritium plus energy. It could increase the energy
               | production of a fission reactor by more than 5%. And you
               | get that tritium for free, and ultra-rare helium-3 if you
               | fancy some aneutronic fusion at some point.
        
             | sbaiddn wrote:
             | Run away where? To the next river basin? Na will dissolve
             | into any moisture and be carried away by any moisture.
        
               | meepmorp wrote:
               | The advantage is 24Na's short (14.9 hour) half-life, not
               | the lack of solubility in water. Half of the original
               | radiation will be gone in 15 hours, and close to 90% in
               | two days.
        
               | sbaiddn wrote:
               | I understand half life. My point moisture currents can
               | spread water soluble things very far very quickly.
               | 
               | Think of it this way, what happens if there's a
               | catastrophic sodium leak? The winds carry it far and the
               | Na gets into everything because it will be diluted into
               | the wind's moisture. Won't you breath the radioactive Na
               | from the air's moisture?
        
               | meepmorp wrote:
               | The point is that the leaked material stops being
               | dangerous before it can get very far.
        
               | flangola7 wrote:
               | Two days of strong winds and storms and you've just
               | dumped sieverts on most of the central US and Canada.
        
               | meepmorp wrote:
               | 2 days and ~90% of the original radiation is gone. 3 days
               | and it's ~97%.
        
           | credit_guy wrote:
           | All of these are true.
           | 
           | Sodium catches fire when exposed to air. That's why you don't
           | expose it to air. Generally you fill the reactor with argon,
           | which is an inert gas, and very heavy (dense) compared to
           | air. Leaks can still happen, and the few sodium cooled plants
           | around the world have all experienced them. But the fire the
           | sodium catches when in contact with air is a very mild one.
           | It's nothing like the violent reaction sodium has with water.
           | 
           | Which brings up your next point, that sodium reacts with
           | water. For some reason you said "in some designs [water is
           | used] as secondary cooling cycle". Which makes me think you
           | are fully aware that this particular design does not actually
           | use water in its secondary cooling cycle, but rather molten
           | salt (point mentioned by Gates in the article). It's a bit
           | disingenuous of you to bring up this point (arguably the
           | greatest negative point about sodium) when it is actually
           | irrelevant in the reactor discussed here.
           | 
           | Sodium absorbs a neutron and becomes a strong gamma emitter
           | with a low half time. To be more precise, the half life of
           | Na-24 is 15 days [1]. It decays in a stable isotope of
           | Magnesium, which is not radioactive. Any leak will result in
           | radioactivity that will naturally completely disappear after
           | about one year.
           | 
           | As for the "strong gamma rays" (all gamma rays are strong, by
           | the way), they are contained in the containment vessel.
           | 
           | Edit: the half life of Na24 is 15 hours, not 15 days. Even
           | better.
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isotopes_of_sodium#Sodium-24
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | >But the fire the sodium catches when in contact with air
             | is a very mild one. It's nothing like the violent reaction
             | sodium has with water.
             | 
             | Yep, and then someone will go and build the reactor beside
             | the ocean and a tsunami will swap it, or by a river for its
             | cooling waters, and oopsie a flood.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | Not many tsunamis in Wyoming.
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Or Arizona, Texas and New Mexico with an even more dry
               | climate than Wyoming. Although, water is becoming a much
               | more serious issue in these regions given the influx of
               | migration from other states over time. I still think that
               | Nuclear + Water for Hydrogen as a general fuel storage
               | for transportation is a better option than battery
               | packs... Though would require more investment in water
               | infrastructure and transport as well as desalinization.
        
             | pyrale wrote:
             | I'd be curious to know how that radioactive coolant is
             | processed to filter out magnesium that is bound to
             | accumulate over time.
        
               | credit_guy wrote:
               | Sodium has a melting point slightly below 100 degrees
               | Celsius. Magnesium has a melting point of 650 Celsius. I
               | don't know the exact temperature that sodium will have in
               | the Natrium reactor, but in the French Phenix reactor it
               | was about 560 Celsius. But that's the highest one. The
               | temperature at the bottom of the sodium pool is most
               | likely much lower. In any case, much, much lower than the
               | "freezing" point of magnesium, which will particulate.
               | So, I imagine it can be filtered by a sieve made of
               | steel, not much different than the sieve in my kitchen to
               | filter my tea.
        
               | RF_Savage wrote:
               | Won't the magnesium just dissolve in the sodium? I'd
               | expect distilling the sodium or chemically processing it
               | being a requirement for removing accumulated magnesium
               | from the sodium coolant.
        
               | riffic wrote:
               | this process (neutron capture and decay) contributes to
               | only a small amount of magnesium in the reactor coolant,
               | as the probability of neutron capture by sodium-23 is
               | relatively low compared to other reactions involving the
               | reactor's fuel, coolant, and/or structural materials.
        
             | thuuuomas wrote:
             | It sounds like you're expecting ideal operating conditions
             | indefinitely?
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | It sounds like you don't understand that engineering is
               | compromises.
               | 
               | As soon as you involve radiation, you have some severe
               | compromises to make, and the choices of elements you can
               | use are limited.
               | 
               | Sodium is not chosen because of its dangers. Sodium was
               | chosen despite the dangers, because the engineers very
               | very carefully looked at other options and the other
               | options were _worse_ for the needs of their design.
               | https://xkcd.com/793/ and
               | http://johnsalvatier.org/blog/2017/reality-has-a-
               | surprising-... seem relevant.
               | 
               | Something as seemingly safe as water can be as dangerous
               | as molten Sodium. The following is an explanation of the
               | Chernobyl accident, which in part was due to using water
               | as a coolant:                 Efforts to increase the
               | power to the level originally planned for the test were
               | frustrated by a combination of xenon poisoning, reduced
               | coolant void and graphite cooldown. Many of the control
               | rods were withdrawn to compensate for these effects,
               | resulting in a violation of the minimum operating
               | reactivity margin (ORM, see Positive void coefficient
               | section in the information page on RBMK Reactors) by
               | 01:00 - although the operators may not have known this.
               | At 01:03, the reactor was stabilised at about 200 MWt and
               | it was decided that the test would be carried out at this
               | power level. Calculations performed after the accident
               | showed that the ORM at 01:22:30 was equal to eight manual
               | control rods. The minimum permissible ORM stipulated in
               | the operating procedures was 15 rods. The test commenced
               | at 01:23:04; the turbine stop valves were closed and the
               | four pumps powered by the slowing turbine started to run
               | down. The slower flowrate, together with the entry to the
               | core of slightly warmer feedwater, may have caused
               | boiling (void formation) at the bottom of the core. This,
               | along with xenon burnout, could have resulted in a
               | runaway increase in power. An alternative view is that
               | the power excursion was triggered by the insertion of the
               | control rods after the scram button was pressed (at
               | 01:23:40). At 01:23:43, the power excursion rate
               | emergency protection system signals came on and power
               | exceeded 530 MWt and continued to rise. Fuel elements
               | ruptured, leading to increased steam generation, which in
               | turn further increased power owing to the large positive
               | void coefficient. Damage to even three or four fuel
               | assemblies would have been enough to lead to the
               | destruction of the reactor. The rupture of several fuel
               | channels increased the pressure in the reactor to the
               | extent that the 1000t reactor support plate became
               | detached, consequently jamming the control rods, which
               | were only halfway down by that time. As the channel pipes
               | began to rupture, mass steam generation occurred as a
               | result of depressurisation of the reactor cooling
               | circuit. Two explosions were reported, the first being
               | the initial steam explosion, followed two or three
               | seconds later by a second explosion, possibly from the
               | build-up of hydrogen due to zirconium-steam reactions.
               | 
               | https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/safety-and-
               | sec...
        
               | credit_guy wrote:
               | No. But I have a hope that the US engineers can do at
               | least as well as the Russian ones. Russia has been
               | running BN-600 for more than 4 decades now, and BN-800
               | for 8 years. There were incidents but not huge. Here's
               | what wikipedia has to say [1]                 In the
               | first 15 years of operation, there have been 12 incidents
               | involving sodium/water interactions from tube breaks in
               | the steam generators, a sodium-air oxidation/"fire" from
               | a leak in an auxiliary system, and a sodium "fire" from a
               | leak in a secondary coolant loop while shut down. All
               | these incidents were classified at the lowest level on
               | the International Nuclear Event Scale, and none of the
               | events prevented restarting operation of the facility
               | after repairs. As of 1997, there had been 27 sodium
               | leaks, 14 of which resulted in sodium-air
               | oxidations/"fires". The steam generators are separated in
               | modules so they can be repaired without shutting down the
               | reactor. As of 2020, the cumulative "energy Availability
               | factor" calculated up to year 2019 and recorded by the
               | IAEA was 75.6%.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BN-600_reactor
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | RC_ITR wrote:
           | Water bombarded with neutrons create tritium, which is it's
           | own nightmare.
           | 
           | The problem is the neutrons, not what they hit.
        
         | rvnx wrote:
         | A higher boiling point means that the coolant can absorb more
         | heat without turning into a gas, which is crucial for efficient
         | heat transfer in the reactor.
         | 
         | The statement about the boiling point being "8 times higher"
         | refers to the boiling point comparison, not the specific heat
         | capacity (which is +/- 3.4 times higher).
        
         | Gwypaas wrote:
         | Here is a read on the horror of building a sodium cooled
         | reactor. Makes Vogtle look like a walk in the park.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monju_Nuclear_Power_Plant
        
           | natmaka wrote:
           | After bout 60 years and many heavily-financed large projects
           | there isn't a single one industrial breeder reactor ready for
           | deployment.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breeder_reactor#Development_an.
           | ..
        
           | Mistletoe wrote:
           | >As of June 2011, the reactor had only generated electricity
           | for one hour since its first testing two decades prior.
           | 
           | It would be hilarious if not for the wasting of a trillion
           | Yen on this.
        
       | can16358p wrote:
       | Continuosly talking about providing workers and patriotically
       | pumping US's independence on power, while only slightly touching
       | the actual plant design and safety with questionable points.
       | 
       | Bill Gates keeps getting fishier every day.
        
         | DarkNova6 wrote:
         | looking at how cutthroat he acted as CEO of Microsoft, should
         | we have expected anything different?
        
         | ethbr0 wrote:
         | I'd hazard that, given its content and writing, can16358p and
         | technical reactor geeks are not the primary audience this was
         | intended for.
        
           | can16358p wrote:
           | We're definitely not the intended audience, though I believe
           | what I'd said still applies the same way.
        
             | ethbr0 wrote:
             | I'd say he realizes that a bit part of change is
             | calibrating a message to a wide audience, to recruit them
             | to your cause.
        
       | Jabbles wrote:
       | The article implies that sodium cooling is novel, but it's been
       | used in (experimental) reactors since the 1950s.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experimental_Breeder_Reactor_I...
        
         | pxmpxm wrote:
         | Didn't the soviets use it on their fast attack submarines?
        
           | Iwan-Zotow wrote:
           | Lead not sodium
        
             | ethbr0 wrote:
             | Yes. Lead-bismuth in the 7 boat Alfa class
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfa-class_submarine
             | 
             | Presumably you wouldn't want to use something that
             | violently catches fire (sodium) in a vehicle designed to
             | tolerate nearby explosions.
        
               | hliyan wrote:
               | Also a vehicle that is immersed in a liquid that
               | violently reacts with it.
        
               | acidburnNSA wrote:
               | Presumably. The USA did build a sodium-cooled submarine
               | at one point, the Seawolf. Having high thermal efficiency
               | increases range, and liquid metals can be pumped
               | electromagnetically and completely silently, with no
               | moving parts.
               | 
               | It was converted to water coolant later due to technical
               | challenges though.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Seawolf_(SSN-575)
        
       | Aleksdev wrote:
       | " I'll start with improved safety. Keep in mind that America's
       | current fleet of nuclear plants has been operating safely for
       | decades--in fact, in terms of lives lost, nuclear power is by far
       | the safest way to produce energy."
       | 
       | Exactly, everyone has panic attacks when you mention any accident
       | at a nuclear plant. When the majority of these plants are
       | extremely safe.
        
       | mbgerring wrote:
       | It's a good thing we have solar, wind and batteries to do most of
       | the work of decarbonization before 2050, because it seems like if
       | these supposed breakthroughs in nuclear are going to deliver on
       | their clean energy promises, we're going to have to buy them lots
       | of time to actually get working.
        
         | todd8 wrote:
         | Today I posted this
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35840591 to HN. It is a
         | YouTube video with some straightforward statistics that, in my
         | opinion, imply a very rough road ahead for Solar and Wind.
         | 
         | The basic problem confronting us is the need for so many mined
         | materials to build future solar, wind, and storage facilities.
         | It's really quite daunting.
        
           | Gwypaas wrote:
           | Capitalism fixes that if the product is something consumers
           | demand.
           | 
           | Is the material too expensive then more production are
           | brought online and alternatives are found, like cobalt being
           | replaced in batteries.
           | 
           | The mineral reserves figures usually touted can be seen as
           | the working inventory given the economic conditions today.
           | USGS have a good explanation
           | 
           | > Reserves data are dynamic. They may be reduced as ore is
           | mined and (or) the feasibility of extraction diminishes, or
           | more commonly, they may continue to increase as additional
           | deposits (known or recently discovered) are developed, or
           | currently exploited deposits are more thoroughly explored and
           | (or) new technology or economic variables improve their
           | economic feasibility. _Reserves may be considered a working
           | inventory of mining companies' supplies of an economically
           | extractable mineral commodity. As such, the magnitude of that
           | inventory is necessarily limited by many considerations,
           | including cost of drilling, taxes, price of the mineral
           | commodity being mined, and the demand for it. Reserves will
           | be developed to the point of business needs and geologic
           | limitations of economic ore grade and tonnage._
           | 
           | > For example, in 1970, identified and undiscovered world
           | copper resources were estimated to contain 1.6 billion metric
           | tons of copper, with reserves of about 280 million tons of
           | copper. Since then, about 600 million tons of copper have
           | been produced worldwide, but world copper reserves in 2021
           | were estimated to be 880 million tons of copper, more than
           | triple those in 1970, despite the depletion by mining of much
           | more than the 1970 estimated reserves.
           | 
           | https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2022/mcs2022-appendixes.
           | ..
           | 
           | Appendix C to 2022 Lithium Statistics and Information.
           | 
           | https://www.usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-
           | information-c...
        
           | pydry wrote:
           | The road ahead was always going to be daunting. It's just far
           | longer, harder _and_ more expensive if with nuclear power.
           | 
           | It's _great_ if you want to share costs with the nuclear
           | military industrial complex or you might need to build a nuke
           | in a hurry one day. Not so much if you just want to
           | decarbonize as cheaply and quickly as possible.
        
         | jackmott42 wrote:
         | If you get some time, try doing some napkin math on how many
         | batteries you will need to actually do most of the work with
         | wind and solar.
         | 
         | It is something you can work out a ballpark number for a given
         | % of wind/solar and while not impossible it is _really_ a big
         | number. Way beyond what we will get out of actual chemical
         | batteries by 2050, we need gigantic scale pump back hydro
         | projects on top of that. Trillion dollar range. So Nuclear may
         | be less daunting, expensive as it is.
        
           | derriz wrote:
           | Why calculate when we have lots of empirical data? There are
           | plenty of grids around the world are deriving 40% of their
           | energy from wind and/or solar. Up to 65% is relatively easily
           | accommodated according to grid engineering orthodoxy with
           | current typical infrastructure/tech.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | Doesn't this mostly happen in counties like Denmark where
             | it's relatively easy to buy / sell energy to the grids of
             | neighboring countries?
             | 
             | This would work well in denser-populated parts of the US,
             | like northeast, and would be harder in Midwest.
        
               | mayama wrote:
               | HVDC will handle moving energy on continental scales.
               | China makes power in northwest inner parts and moves it
               | thousands of kms to the coast for consumption.
        
             | edwiecron wrote:
             | Intermittent energy. Doesn't work well for manufacturing at
             | all. Your argument, without nuclear, is an argument for
             | natural gas and coal.
             | 
             | Industrials need steady power to function. Without nuclear,
             | the world is going to just use natural gas. Coal for poorer
             | countries. Solar and wind peppered in but not trusted for
             | any base load and regionally limited.
        
           | locallost wrote:
           | Let me try some napkin math with nuclear. France is usually
           | taken as a positive example for nuclear. They have 56
           | reactors on a population of 67 million. For the whole world
           | to get to that level we are talking about 6k-7k in reactors.
           | There are a couple hundred in the world already so let's make
           | it 6k. The costs depend on a lot of things, but 10 billion a
           | pop is a nice round number and for the majority of the world
           | a low estimate. So roughly 60 trillion in construction costs
           | only. Then we need to run them and eventually decommission
           | and store the waste, which even with much smaller scale
           | nuclear programs today will cost hundreds of billions.
           | 
           | Not a realistic solution. We can do more, faster and cheaper
           | with renewables. If you can't get to 100% with renewables,
           | nuclear should anyway be the last option.
        
           | Zigurd wrote:
           | If you want to see some big numbers, look at fossil fuel
           | capex. Those big numbers have been spent year after year for
           | decades on getting us into this problem. Don't expect to get
           | out of it for much less, even though individual renewables
           | projects look cheap by comparison. It has to add up to the
           | same power output.
        
           | chemmail wrote:
           | Analysis put covering the whole US with solar to cost about
           | $5 trillion and the world about $65 trillion dollars. A lot,
           | but it would pay for itself in about 5 years. The only
           | blockade is all the people making all these trillions from
           | the oil and all the power sources that make them all this
           | money.
        
             | progrus wrote:
             | We're never giving you 5 trillion.
        
               | thinkcontext wrote:
               | $5T sounds like a lot but it's spread over the lifetime
               | of the panels, 20 years. What do utilities spend on capex
               | and opex over 20 years.
        
               | ZeroGravitas wrote:
               | People will loan it and be paid back, with interest.
        
               | mbgerring wrote:
               | Who's "we", you and the mouse in your pocket? The solar
               | industry is getting that money, one homeowner, building
               | owner, or lot owner at a time. And then, over time, they
               | earn a profit in the generated energy! Sorry you hate
               | making money doing nothing!
        
           | tpm wrote:
           | We'll sooner build green hydrogen generators and peaker
           | plants than those modular nuclear plants by the looks of it.
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | Given that the world spends trillions annually on fossil
           | fuels, spending trillions on batteries could still save
           | money.
           | 
           | That's the thesis of the Tesla "master plan 3.0". It claims
           | it will cost $10T to decarbonize the world, but that it would
           | save $13T by doing so.
           | 
           | Tesla is obviously biased, but so is everybody else so might
           | as well use a source where the biases are clear.
        
           | hannob wrote:
           | The problem with that is that nobody who is seriously doing
           | energy modelling would propose to do all storage with
           | batteries. That's more a popular misunderstanding than an
           | actual energy concept.
           | 
           | If you plan for a 100% renewable grid what you do is that you
           | use different types of storage for what they're good at.
           | Batteries can play a role in short-term storage, but for
           | seasonal storage they're clearly not a good choice.
           | Electrolyzers and H2 gas peaker plants (or maybe ammonia
           | instead of H2) look like the most promising option.
           | 
           | I wish more people knew this, because all this "I calculated
           | how many batteries you'd need for your renewables, we need
           | nuclear!" clearly is neither an informed take nor helpful.
        
         | marsven_422 wrote:
         | [dead]
        
       | m348e912 wrote:
       | I am curious what HN thinks of RFK Jr's position on nuclear
       | power. He was a guest on the latest all-in podcast and went into
       | his positions in-depth.
       | 
       | Something to the affect that nuclear is more expensive than other
       | traditional and renewable sources. No traditional insurance
       | company will insure nuclear plants. No traditional bank will
       | finance nuclear builds. Nuclear power is still too risky to be
       | considered as a viable power source.
       | 
       | He adds, instead continue focus on wind and solar and improve
       | transmission (using DC) to make it a viable power system for the
       | US. Is he uninformed? Direct current (DC) is the worst kind of
       | power type for long distance transmission. (Unless something has
       | changed).
       | 
       | My understanding is that solar and wind generated power has shown
       | not to be consistent enough and too localized to currently meet
       | US power demands.
        
         | p1mrx wrote:
         | Powering the US without emitting CO2 generally requires either
         | (1) lots of new transmission lines to share wind/solar between
         | regions, or (2) lots of nuclear so we don't have to.
         | 
         | > Direct current (DC) is the worst kind of power type for long
         | distance transmission.
         | 
         | AC was traditionally used for long range transmission because a
         | transformer can easily increase or decrease the voltage.
         | Transmitting DC is actually more efficient, but it requires
         | modern semiconductor technology to generate the voltages
         | necessary.
         | 
         | > My understanding is that solar and wind generated power has
         | shown not to be consistent enough and too localized
         | 
         | That's why we would need transmission to make it non-local.
        
       | danielodievich wrote:
       | Excited to see the progress on this, as I have local connections.
       | 
       | One of my nearby neighbors is the engineering manager of this
       | facility. He's an ex nuclear sub XO who before that was running
       | launch operations for Blue Origin. He knows what he's doing in
       | building things.
       | 
       | And another neighbor - although I only met him few times via our
       | mutual kids being in same class - is the brain guy with two PhDs
       | in nuclear engineering. I think he knows what they are designing.
       | Plus we both drive same model car with custom license plates, his
       | is nuclear-themed. Points!
        
         | Drblessing wrote:
         | That's awesome. What's the reception in the town of the new
         | plant?
        
       | ChatGTP wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
       | Drblessing wrote:
       | Cool now hook it up to Bitcoin miners
        
       | selcuka wrote:
       | I still believe it is safer than water cooled plants, but Mr.
       | Gates doesn't seem to have touched the downsides of using sodium
       | [1]:
       | 
       | > A disadvantage of sodium is its chemical reactivity, which
       | requires special precautions to prevent and suppress fires. If
       | sodium comes into contact with water it reacts to produce sodium
       | hydroxide and hydrogen, and the hydrogen burns in contact with
       | air. This was the case at the Monju Nuclear Power Plant in a 1995
       | accident. In addition, neutron capture causes it to become
       | radioactive; albeit with a half-life of only 15 hours.
       | 
       | > Another problem is leaks. Sodium at high temperatures ignites
       | in contact with oxygen. Such sodium fires can be extinguished by
       | powder, or by replacing the air with nitrogen. A Russian breeder
       | reactor, the BN-600, reported 27 sodium leaks in a 17-year
       | period, 14 of which led to sodium fires.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sodium-
       | cooled_fast_reactor#Dis...
        
         | belorn wrote:
         | How does molten salt solar plants solve those problems?
        
           | _a_a_a_ wrote:
           | Because a salt is an already-reacted substance. Molten sodium
           | and molten sodium chloride are utterly different, for
           | example.
           | 
           | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cite.202000137
           | 
           | "In commercial CSP plants, almost exclusively a non-eutectic
           | salt mixture of 60 wt % sodium nitrate and 40 wt % potassium
           | nitrate is utilized. This mixture is commonly referred to as
           | Solar Salt"
        
           | tuatoru wrote:
           | I believe they use salts of other metals, not sodium. But in
           | any case, in a salt the metal has already reacted with
           | something and is unlikely to react further with commonly
           | encountered substances.
        
           | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
           | I've heard that salt has corrosion issues. These may also
           | apply to sodium, though.
        
             | selcuka wrote:
             | The Wikipedia article says that sodium actually protects
             | metals from corroding, but I am unable to see how that
             | works by reading the citation.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | Some very reactive substances react with their container
               | vessel to form a non-reactive 'skin' on the inside of the
               | vessel. I don't know if they applies in this case.
        
         | eig wrote:
         | Is the heat transfer fluid for these nuclear plants considered
         | radioactive? I honestly don't know.
         | 
         | If so, then if a leak happens I'm guessing you have bigger
         | problems than its chemical reactivity. Any leak is a major
         | nuclear cleanup whether it's water or sodium. Maybe the
         | chemical hazard is just a drop in the bucket compared to the
         | nuclear hazard, in which case why wouldn't they use sodium?
        
           | sandworm101 wrote:
           | With a 15-hour halflife, no matter the initial disaster, any
           | radioactivity problems associated with the sodium coolant
           | would disappear in a few days.
        
             | tzs wrote:
             | And even in those few days it probably won't affect things
             | that aren't close to the accident.
             | 
             | A sodium 24 atom decays to an excited magnesium 24 atom by
             | emitting a 1.39 MeV electron. That has a penetrating power
             | of about 5 m in air.
             | 
             | The excited magnesium 24 quickly drops to the ground state
             | by emitting two gamma rays, one at 2.76 MeV and one at 1.38
             | MeV. Those won't get past maybe 150 m of air.
        
             | brindy wrote:
             | What happens if that contaminates something else? I presume
             | that would have a different half life? Not a physicist, so
             | genuine question.
        
               | amluto wrote:
               | In general, radiation emitted from a radioactive
               | substance is not itself radioactive, nor is it
               | particularly dangerous once it stops moving. The usual
               | radiation consists of:
               | 
               | Alpha particles: literally just Helium minus the
               | electrons. Only harmful because it moves _fast_ at first.
               | Even then, it's only really harmful if it gets emitted
               | inside your body. It barely penetrates skin.
               | 
               | Beta: electrons and positron. Electrons will chemically
               | react with something very quickly (except in a vacuum,
               | they don't stick around as free electrons). Positrons
               | will find a nearby electron and be annihilated.
               | 
               | Gamma: very high frequency light. Can be quite dangerous,
               | but doesn't persist.
               | 
               | None of these transmute other things into radioactive
               | isotopes. The kind of radiation that makes other things
               | radioactive is neutrons, but those are very unusual
               | outside of a nuclear reactor. Fission and some fusion
               | reactions make neutrons, and a couple of radioactive
               | elements make small amounts, and that's about it.
               | Neutrons also don't persist in the environment (and,
               | interestingly, they don't persist very long in space
               | either).
               | 
               | So a spill of hot radioactive sodium is nasty. It's hot,
               | and it's highly reactive. But it's so reactive that it
               | will all react! Sodium can't meaningfully contaminate
               | groundwater, because it will just turn into salts. It can
               | mess up soil pH, because the reaction product is lye, but
               | that can be remedied by an acid. (Other than its pH, lye
               | is pretty harmless. You use flush it down your drain to
               | clean your drain, and you can even use it to make
               | pretzels!) The radioactive sodium-23 emits radioactive
               | sodium, but much less than 1 trillionth will remain after
               | a day -- what's left is non-radioactive magnesium, which
               | is harmless.
               | 
               | So I wouldn't want it be around a sodium leak, but
               | visiting it a day or two later while wearing a good pair
               | of boots (for protection against any remaining lye) seems
               | quite safe.
        
               | tzs wrote:
               | Could an electron emitted by beta decay of a neutron on
               | the sodium hit the nucleus of something else and combine
               | with a proton their to form a neutron, producing an
               | unstable isotope of that something else?
        
               | amluto wrote:
               | Electron capture by a nucleus is a thing, but as far as I
               | know, this only happens to any significant extent to
               | unstable nuclei that naturally decay that way. It's
               | probably _possible_ for a high enough energy electron to
               | hit a stable nucleus and convert a proton to a neutron,
               | but I've never heard of it (although I'm not an expert).
               | So I don't think anyone needs to worry about this.
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | Someone smarter may correct me but my understanding is
               | that radioactivity doesn't transfer like that.
               | Contamination means for the isotope to find its way into
               | a system (like a human body) and then stay there,
               | radiating harmful particles from the inside.
               | 
               | If you were to be contaminated by ingesting some
               | radioactive sodium, it would still decay and be gone
               | within days.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | The fact that it decays quickly also means that it would
               | be very damaging if it got inside you somehow before it
               | had decayed.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | No, the half-life is a property of a nucleus, which does
               | not take part in chemical reactions.
               | 
               | The normal way of dealing with cases of taking in
               | radioactive abd bio-active elements, like iodine, sodium,
               | (and even strontium which tends to take place if
               | calcium), is taking excessive amounts of the same
               | element, but a normal, stable isotope. Taking in some
               | excessive table salt (cheese and chips anyone?) should be
               | pretty easy.
        
       | johnchristopher wrote:
       | So. Can someone Eli5 to me ? There's a large consensus on climate
       | change (it's caused by humans, it's getting worse, it will
       | increase catastrophes). Only people on the fringe regularly and
       | vocally claim otherwise (there's no climate change, it's natural,
       | it won't have any impact, impacts are good, it's all activist's
       | fault because they scared use and we didn't act).
       | 
       | Reading HN and its heated debates around this topic, I don't see
       | any consensus on nuclear vs renewables. Not even a consensus like
       | "it's the mix, stupid".
       | 
       | Do our scientists have a consensus on how to power our societies
       | in regards to climate change ?
       | 
       | If not, is it because it's too soon to settle on something ? Or
       | there's too much bad science fabricated ? Or do we have have the
       | choice, all things being equal: go full nuclear, or go full
       | renewables or go mix but... as a specie we (or our leaders)
       | collectively choose not to ?
        
         | skippyboxedhero wrote:
         | You can tell how well someone understands a topic by their
         | ability to explain the argument of those who they disagree
         | with.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | This is an economics and politics question, not a science
         | question. Science has delivered the tools, it's a question of
         | how we pay for it and who pays for it.
         | 
         | Scientists don't have a good track record providing answers to
         | economics and political questions. OTOH, neither do economists
         | nor political scientists.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | There is broad consensus amongs experts.
         | 
         | With recent improvements in renewables, renewable positive
         | people have said "we now think 100% wind, solar, battery is
         | feasible" after a few years of saying 80% renewables is doable
         | and the last 20% is tricky and people less enthusiastic about
         | renewables are saying "we're still thinking that having 10-20%
         | nuclear might work out slightly cheaper".
         | 
         | Even countries like France and Japan which are very nuclear
         | positive, are not talking about 100% nuclear and have
         | aggressive renewable rollouts planned:
         | 
         | https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/frances-renewables-g...
         | 
         | The extreme anti-renewable, pro-nuclear opinions you find on HN
         | are bizarre and nonsensical. They're basically remnants of
         | climate change denial.
         | 
         | edit: for example this is a summary from 2017 where they're
         | nervously optimistic about getting to 100% but are fairly
         | confident about getting to 60%
         | 
         | https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/4/7/15159034...
         | 
         | > Again, it's all about balancing out VRE. The easiest way to
         | do that is with fast, flexible natural gas plants, but you
         | can't get past around 60 percent decarbonization with a large
         | fleet of gas plants running. Getting to 80 percent or beyond
         | means closing or idling lots of those plants. So you need other
         | balancing options.
        
         | juujian wrote:
         | The academic debate is generally dominated by two concerns
         | around nuclear energy. The first one is that nuclear energy is
         | by far the most expensive form by unit of energy produced. New
         | project like to claim the opposite, but that is always before
         | cost overruns and years of delay. In general the final price
         | tag may be 2-3x as much than the estimate. Plant Vogtle in
         | Georgial for instance went for $14B to $34B. Nuclear power
         | plants also need water for cooling, so they are sensitive to
         | both drought and extreme heat. Which is generally when you most
         | desperately need electricity. Meanwhile, the same crowd claims
         | to have economics on its side when railing against renewables,
         | which are the cheapest unit by unit, and a great contingency
         | plan for extreme weather events, like the disasters in Haiti.
         | 
         | But the bigger concern raised is that some calls for nuclear
         | are a "cop-out". Nuclear happens to be great for damming up
         | demands for renewable energy, while buying time for existing
         | production capacity. It is not unusual for projects to run for
         | years before any tangible construction is done, and even then
         | it is not unusual for advanced projects to be cancelled for
         | cost overruns. Meanwhile, you can have a solar panel on your
         | roof in a couple of months. So it has some of the qualities of
         | ExxonMobil calling for a carbon tax because they know it is
         | unlikely to happen.[^1]
         | 
         | So overall, the academic debate over nuclear does not have much
         | to do with its technical characteristics, it mostly has to do
         | with the political dimensions of who the advocates are and what
         | their goals or interests are. And if you are in favor of
         | nuclear, it is still a good idea to look at who is on your side
         | and consider what their motivation for fighting that fight is.
         | 
         | [^1]: https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/2021/06/30/exxon-
         | climate-ch...
        
           | yellowapple wrote:
           | If you're opposed to nuclear, it's also a good idea to look
           | at who is on your side and consider what their motivation for
           | fighting that fight is: https://www.forbes.com/sites/kensilve
           | rstein/2016/07/13/are-f...
        
             | juujian wrote:
             | Touche! I would argue though that the anti (existing)
             | nuclear energy movement is separate from advocacy for
             | investing into renewables over nuclear for new capacity.
        
           | pas wrote:
           | Nuclear energy debate suffers from the classic problem of
           | impedance mismatch between the supporters and detractors
           | regarding the unit economics at scale.
           | 
           | Current data we have is based on bespoke plants. Utterly
           | maddening overhead. This is the cost disease plaguing any
           | kind of infrastructure/construction/high-unit-cost projects
           | in the "developed world".
           | 
           | If you build one plant per decade, then there's no incentive
           | to streamline, no economies of scale, no overlapping s-curves
           | of improvement, no real industrialization and
           | standardization.
           | 
           | Lack of scale leads to discontinuities, change aversion, lack
           | of innovation, pork and barrel politics, and so on.
           | 
           | See the Boeing 737 MAX fuckup. The regulatory environment
           | created a cost jump so huge, that Boeing risked too much.
        
             | HDThoreaun wrote:
             | Korea build nuclear at scale and it's barely cheaper, still
             | the most expensive form of electricity.
        
               | trothamel wrote:
               | They've started construction on 2 plants in the past
               | decade. That's not really "at scale".
        
               | juujian wrote:
               | That sounds very Chaebol-y
        
               | pas wrote:
               | No one is building nuclear at scale currently. Maybe with
               | SMR it will be possible.
        
             | juujian wrote:
             | I think it's even worse, because so many plants were built
             | in the 70s and 80s, and then there is a large gap. So we
             | don't even have the routine and economies of scale
             | associated with an s-curve anymore. And new plants promise
             | better safety and new features, so we would really start
             | all over again on the s-curve.
        
           | acidburnNSA wrote:
           | > The first one is that nuclear energy is by far the most
           | expensive form by unit of energy produced.
           | 
           | Now that the world is waking up to understanding the LCOE is
           | a wholly inappropriate metric for systems cost comparisons,
           | this statement is more clearly no longer true.
           | 
           | With the firming included, nuclear is right there in the mix,
           | cheaper than most 100% ___ with storage options.
           | 
           | https://www.ctvc.co/firming-costs-renewables/
        
             | juujian wrote:
             | You might have included the wrong link there. And with
             | nuclear, always consider total cost, not operating cost.
             | Not impossible to determine, but less reliable data
             | floating around. You would have to take the cost of all
             | failed projects as well as the cost of decommission and
             | storage. For nuclear, the cost is a little bit funny. You
             | have huge upfront cost, then lower running cost, and then a
             | very long tail obviously.
        
         | Ericson2314 wrote:
         | The anti-nuclear camp is one of the greatest illiteraces
         | acceptable to mainstream and high society.
         | 
         | That's the unfortunate reason why you don't see more consensus
         | on this issue.
        
         | JumpinJack_Cash wrote:
         | > > I don't see any consensus on nuclear vs renewables. Not
         | even a consensus like "it's the mix, stupid".
         | 
         | What I got is that nuclear (fission v.3/4 and fusion) are the
         | "swing for the fences" technologies, while renewables are the
         | "stuff largely remains what is today but without CO2 so people
         | 80 years from now won't be living in a +3C world"
         | 
         | Personally I am rooting for fission and fusion because
         | technological stasis is a recipe for disaster. Nukes will be
         | flying way before the 3C treshold becomes a concern, people
         | need constant improvement in their quality of life, if that
         | doesn't happen they'll seek satisfaction into subjugating
         | others.
        
         | gessha wrote:
         | A mix would always be nice because of diversification. I don't
         | think anyone wants full nuclear.
         | 
         | Building water, geo and hydro is (as of now) cheaper to build
         | compared to nuclear [citation needed]. And it's also "free"
         | energy. Why not use it to reduce the usage of nuclear fuel?
        
       | djha-skin wrote:
       | > When it opens (potentially in 2030),
       | 
       | So this is an announcement of an announcement. Nuclear power
       | plants have a very long history of being shut down right before
       | they open, so now I'm more skeptical that this will ever work.
       | 
       | This happened a lot at Hanford in Washington. They built
       | something like four power plants up there but when they were 90%
       | complete Congress only approved one of them. It sounds really
       | cool Congress approves its building but once it's about to open
       | congress gets scared because of how people feel about nuclear
       | power plants close to their house.
       | 
       | Regardless of how cool they say their technology is I will be
       | more interested when it actually opens.
        
       | Mistletoe wrote:
       | https://www.wyomingpublicmedia.org/natural-resources-energy/...
       | 
       | > The start date will likely be pushed back two years to 2030,
       | according to a press release from the nuclear plant developer
       | TerraPower. The main reason is Russia's war in Ukraine, as Russia
       | is the only commercial supplier of the highly enriched uranium
       | (HALEU) the plant needs to run.
       | 
       | Great...
        
         | neffo wrote:
         | Importing enriched uranium from an adversary leads to
         | 
         | > America's energy independence
         | 
         | Sure.
         | 
         | > First, water isn't very good at absorbing heat--it turns to
         | steam and stops absorbing heat at just 100 degrees C.
         | 
         | Umm, this is completely wrong and backwards.
        
           | throwaway50606 wrote:
           | America's energy independence [from fossil fuels] - yeah
           | indeed it does. Also, what stops America from producing its
           | own?
        
             | crote wrote:
             | Uranium mining has significant health risks, and it is
             | pretty much guaranteed to result in significant pollution
             | of the surrounding area. The enrichment phase isn't much
             | better either.
             | 
             | Turns out the US has things like worker protection laws and
             | environmental protection laws. Producing it locally is
             | expensive, it is much cheaper to outsource the problem to a
             | country with a more _relaxed_ view on the issue.
        
               | ClumsyPilot wrote:
               | There is plenty of uranium mining in developed nations
               | and the price of nuclear fuel is not particularly
               | relevant - 90 of the cost is pther stuff
        
               | Zigurd wrote:
               | A bit of googling shows there are about 1,000 abandoned
               | uranium mining/prospecting sites in New Mexico. Probably
               | many with uncontained tailings. Yikes. But we can count
               | on extraction projects to clean up after themselves now.
               | Right?
        
               | literalAardvark wrote:
               | Of course! And they'll also maintain the tailings dam for
               | the thousands of years required.
               | 
               | Why would we even doubt that?
        
               | throwaway50606 wrote:
               | Do you really think the situation in Russia is better?
        
               | Zigurd wrote:
               | No. It is very likely worse. Same for other places with
               | less regulation than the US.
        
               | throwaway50606 wrote:
               | So, it'd be preferable to move it to the US where it can
               | have better oversight and there's a potential of
               | regulatory-driven change.
        
           | le-mark wrote:
           | Oh to never have encountered a steam table, some people never
           | do I suppose. Some are born to it..
        
       | kyrofa wrote:
       | > Safety isn't the only reason I'm excited about the Natrium
       | design. It also includes an energy storage system that will allow
       | it to control how much electricity it produces at any given time.
       | That's unique among nuclear reactors, and it's essential for
       | integrating with power grids that use variable sources like solar
       | and wind.
       | 
       | I'm surprised this is all he says on this matter. As far as I'm
       | aware, this problem is largely unsolved, and one of the reasons
       | dams can't go away: they're the only power generation technology
       | that we can spin up and down in response to fluctuation in wind
       | power and so on. That's because we don't have a good solution for
       | storing energy on this scale, and thus must use the energy we
       | generate. Have we finally come up with one? A water battery
       | (pumping water into a reservoir behind a dam) is the only one I
       | know of, which doesn't seem to scale well.
        
         | aksss wrote:
         | > which doesn't scale well
         | 
         | It also has the problem of only being applicable to geographies
         | with abundant water and the topography suited to create giant
         | reservoirs.
        
           | kyrofa wrote:
           | Right, I don't mean that individual water batteries don't
           | scale well, but that the concept in general doesn't scale
           | well as a solution to this problem. That's definitely one of
           | the reasons.
        
         | godelski wrote:
         | Interestingly there has been a lot of discussion about hydrogen
         | lately[0] because the Inflation Reduction Act provides a tax
         | credit for production of clean hydrogen (e.g. hydrogen not from
         | methane). Nuclear is one of the best possible methods to ways
         | to generate this (high electricity, high heat) given that its
         | operation does not generate carbon (just like renewables). The
         | problem? Nuclear power generates $30/MWhr and will make between
         | $60-$70MWhr producing hydrogen. Sounds like a win, but reactors
         | are already at 90% capacity and supply ~20% of the US's energy
         | and half of our zero emission energy.
         | 
         | Variability isn't that much of an advantage. Excess energy can
         | often be sold off as well, reducing other areas' reliance on
         | fossil fuels. France, Norway (almost all hydro), and Sweden
         | (also a major nuclear player) and the main energy exporters in
         | Europe (also lowest energy based carbon emitters)[1,2]. We see
         | a similar thing with Quebec (major nuclear). But it is
         | concerning given that nuclear is the main source of zero
         | emission energy in the American South East[3]. Gates probably
         | isn't concerning himself with the variability since there's no
         | shortage of regions where selling a zero emission source isn't
         | going to help reduce its neighbors energy emissions. The only
         | areas where there is a shortage is where regions already rely
         | heavily on either nuclear or hydro (or a combination).
         | 
         | There's no reason to not run at max load. You either sell the
         | energy or your produce hydrogen. This is also a big reason that
         | a carbon tax makes nuclear a viable option. Just for reference,
         | here's an annual solar radiance map[4], wind (10m)[5], and
         | hydro[6] as they might help explain the situation in the South
         | East.
         | 
         | [0] https://heatmap.news/economy/the-nuclear-hydrogen-conundrum
         | 
         | [1] https://www.enappsys.com/interconnectorreview/
         | 
         | [2] https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/FR
         | 
         | [3] 80% of TVA's zero carbon, 77% of SCS, 86% of Duke
         | Carolinas, 81% of Duke Ease, 80% of PJM(looking at 12 months)
         | 
         | [4] https://www.nrel.gov/gis/assets/images/solar-annual-
         | ghi-2018...
         | 
         | [4.5] find other maps -- look at DNI -- for different months
         | and energy sources here https://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar-
         | resource-maps.html
         | 
         | [5] https://www.nrel.gov/gis/assets/images/wtk-10m-2017-01.jpg
         | 
         | [6]
         | https://www.nrel.gov/gis/assets/images/map_hydrogen_kg_count...
        
         | p1mrx wrote:
         | Any of the high-temperature reactor designs (sodium, molten
         | salt, TRISO, etc.) can be combined with thermal energy storage.
         | 
         | Light water reactors only get up to 300degC, which is barely
         | hot enough to spin a turbine. At >600degC, you can heat an
         | intermediate fluid, lose some energy, and still spin a turbine.
        
           | kyrofa wrote:
           | So the idea is that there are chambers of molten salt (or
           | similar) that can be heated when a spinning turbine is not
           | needed, and it'll stay hot enough to spin one later? Any idea
           | how long it stays hot? What happens when they're all already
           | heated?
        
             | p1mrx wrote:
             | 12-24 hours of molten salt storage should be enough to
             | generate power all day, and sell it at times when
             | electricity is most expensive. There's not much point
             | storing for multiple days, when the reactor itself behaves
             | like long-duration storage.
             | 
             | If your reactor is producing energy with no buyers, and
             | your thermal storage is full, then you probably should've
             | built it somewhere else, but in that case you can just
             | power down the reactor.
        
       | vrglvrglvrgl wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | trallnag wrote:
       | I have zero respect for Bull Gates' opinion, ideas, and beliefs.
        
         | pcdoodle wrote:
         | Wanna grab some pie later?
        
       | Drblessing wrote:
       | The anti-nuclear sentiment on this board is perplexing....
       | 
       | Way to go! I'm excited for the future of Nuclear fission, it's
       | clearly going to be an important part of the sustainable future.
        
       | deepmauka wrote:
       | I think the real story here is that the project was successfully
       | sold to the people of Wyoming, who now appear to be shouldering
       | the responsibility of decarbonization.
        
         | FollowingTheDao wrote:
         | ...and Gates makes a profit. This makes me worry about how the
         | plant is being sold. I mean what are the unknown unknowns?
         | 
         | Does a statement like this give you confidence?
         | 
         | "TerraPower says these risks have been considered and addressed
         | as much as reasonably possible."
         | 
         | https://cowboystatedaily.com/2023/01/25/former-dea-nuclear-s...
         | 
         | "Tallen said he's not ideologically opposed to nuclear power.
         | He said he rubbed elbows with that crowd years ago, but it's
         | not where he stands today.
         | 
         | "The distrust of nuclear power is one of the major ideological
         | tenets of left-wing, anti-establishment politics," Tallen said.
         | "I had to say to them, I can't agree with you on many of your
         | basic assumptions. I'm just saying that this particular
         | [Natrium] technology pursued the way it is right now - I don't
         | think it's a good idea." "
        
           | DarkNova6 wrote:
           | For some reason "reasonably possible. Sounds a lot like
           | "economically reasonable".
           | 
           | Which should absolutely worry anybody who has the faintest
           | ideas about how insidious Sodium is as a cooling material.
        
         | LinuxBender wrote:
         | I am in Wyoming. I think it makes sense to the people here. The
         | state is going green and the mines are shutting down. A
         | suitable replacement needs to be created first before all the
         | mines are decommissioned. Some of the people will be employed
         | by the nuclear plant and some will have to move or retire. The
         | person I know at the mine is retiring soon. As this state
         | provides a lot of power to the US power grid currently with
         | coal [1] I think it makes sense to transition as much of it as
         | possible to nuclear and renewables. The state is not limiting
         | itself to one source, all options are on the table and more
         | options are being added soon. We do not show up as a big number
         | for wind and solar power because it is only augmenting some
         | power for some of the small towns and not the US grid yet [2].
         | 
         | [1] - https://www.eia.gov/state/?sid=WY#tabs-3
         | 
         | [2] - https://www.transwestexpress.net/
        
         | deepsquirrelnet wrote:
         | Kind of surprising, given that coal mining is one of their
         | largest industries. I'm actually kind of shocked.
        
       | ggm wrote:
       | _Unlike water, the sodium doesn't need to be pumped, because as
       | it gets hot, it rises, and as it rises, it cools off_
       | 
       | Mr Gates, can you hire another copy editor please?
        
         | hulitu wrote:
         | Well, the same phylosophy is used in the Windows operating
         | system with great results. /s
        
         | Kiro wrote:
         | What's the problem?
        
           | yellow_lead wrote:
           | Water also rises as it gets hot, and cools off
        
           | Pepe1vo wrote:
           | "cools down" is grammatically more correct.
        
             | ggm wrote:
             | Do you know what hot water does? Like liquid sodium, it
             | rises. The point here isn't that liquid sodium has some
             | magical lifting property water doesn't have, it's the
             | enthalpy, latent heat: water can't hold as much heat energy
             | without pressure to contain the phase change into steam. If
             | you remove hot things from the primary heat source they
             | cool. The sodium is just more tractable.
             | 
             | Einstein and (Leo) Szilard had patents in liquid metal
             | pumped refrigerator designs using electro magnetics instead
             | of mechanical pumps, Richard Rhodes talks about them, and
             | applications to cooling nuclear systems.
        
       | javajosh wrote:
       | _> It also includes an energy storage system that will allow it
       | to control how much electricity it produces at any given time._
       | 
       | Does anyone know more details about this? I'm thinking it's a
       | monster flywheel. Which would be very cool.
        
         | RandomChance wrote:
         | The Natrium data sheet[1] says that it is "Molten salt energy
         | storage", so based on the diagram[2] it appears that salt (not
         | sodium) is being pumped to to the reactor and stored in large
         | tanks, similar to thermal mass solar installations. I assume
         | the sodium is internal to the reactor only, but can't say for
         | sure.
         | 
         | [1]:https://www.terrapower.com/wp-
         | content/uploads/2023/03/TP_202...
         | [2]:https://www.terrapower.com/our-work/natriumpower/
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | Presumably just insulated storage of hot stuff to act as a
         | buffer between the heat production and use for electricity
         | generation. Very similar to what CSP plants do.
        
         | zdragnar wrote:
         | The molten sodium is a storage of energy in the form of heat.
         | Keep it well contained and insulated, and you draw off only the
         | heat that is needed to convert to kinetic energy, which then
         | generates electric current through induction.
         | 
         | Like a monster flywheel, there are all kinds of things that
         | might go wrong, but they're all far less scary than Chernobyl
         | style meltdowns.
        
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