[HN Gopher] How to Subvert a Democracy, Stage 2: Condition the M...
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       How to Subvert a Democracy, Stage 2: Condition the Masses
        
       Author : yamrzou
       Score  : 68 points
       Date   : 2023-04-28 20:31 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (narratively.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (narratively.com)
        
       | sufehmi wrote:
       | The easiest way to subvert democracy is by
       | 
       | (1) creating political parties, then
       | 
       | (2) claim that its party members represent the people, while
       | 
       | (3) they actually represent its political party, and therefore,
       | of course, prioritize its interests.
       | 
       | In my country, every major oligarchs have its own / is a member
       | of a political party.
       | 
       | So our "Council of People's Representatives" actually works as
       | "Council of Party's Representative" - and therefore work very
       | diligently to fight for the interests of our oligarchs.
       | 
       | And yet no one is upset, not even our "democracy activists" -
       | because they're already conditioned / believe that, political
       | parties are a requirement for a proper democracy.
       | 
       | Nope, they're not - and they're actually the way to subvert
       | democracy, and enabled the oligarchs to create massive profits
       | AND control the people at the same time.
        
         | int_19h wrote:
         | Parties are an inevitable feature of any representative
         | democracy for the simple reason that MPs who pool their votes
         | will consistently beat those who do not. Even council democracy
         | - where the delegates vote according to instructions of their
         | electorate and can be instantly recalled - is not immune to
         | this.
        
           | digging wrote:
           | It's a pretty simple equation if you abstract voting into a
           | competition. One can think of political parties as miniature
           | states themselves. In a world of individuals trying to
           | survive - the ones who survive will not remain individuals.
           | They will form alliances and have power over those who are
           | alone. A small state has little power, but a stateless
           | individual has orders of magnitude less, roundable to zero.
           | Likewise an independent member of a voting body will control
           | the discussion among large parties.
           | 
           | Parties could only be avoided by explicitly outlawing them -
           | and not just by name, but by proscribing specific behaviors
           | which could create de facto parties. Sounds incredibly
           | difficult and would be amazing to watch attempted.
        
       | Etrnl_President wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | imiric wrote:
       | It's patently evident that the current social and political
       | instability in the West is caused by ideological subversion
       | carried out by their political enemies. The internet and social
       | media have provided the perfect weapon to deliver disinformation
       | and propaganda to manipulate the masses, and create a state of
       | internal conflict and confusion. Modern warfare is no longer
       | carried out by soldiers and artillery, but by words, videos and
       | troll farms. Why waste resources investing in physical offense,
       | when you can undermine your enemy via ideological means, using
       | the same tools they built for you, and watch their political and
       | social systems crumble from within? If nothing else, it makes the
       | eventual physical offensive much cheaper and more effective.
       | 
       | This has been known for decades[1], yet the West has done little
       | to stop it from happening. They engage in the same psyops, but
       | information in the countries of their enemies is much more
       | strictly controlled, so it has much less of an impact.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1EA2ohrt5Q
        
         | UberFly wrote:
         | I was going to post this exact interview. What's crazy is that
         | the tools to do this are now so much more powerful and far-
         | reaching. Worth a watch.
        
         | 8note wrote:
         | I think without the adversarial subversion, the states would be
         | in just as bad of a place. It would be less clear in policies
         | implemented, but the root cause is a lack of engagement in
         | politics and use of the tools from modernity and the
         | enlightenment.
         | 
         | People aren't sold on debate and discussion, and aren't aligned
         | on goals, and don't have a way to align on goals
        
           | tcbawo wrote:
           | The middle of both parties are getting older and older. Newly
           | elected politicians tend to be populistic culture warriors.
           | Consequently, we're not able to elect anyone that gets
           | anything done. Gone are the days of electing the most serious
           | and responsible public servants. We're not able to replace
           | aging incumbent politicians with grownups. Or so it seems.
        
         | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
         | > The internet and social media have provided the perfect
         | weapon to deliver disinformation and propaganda to manipulate
         | the masses, and create a state of internal conflict and
         | confusion.
         | 
         | Yes, unlike the good old day when legacy media
         | (tv/newspapers/radio) served the people and told them the
         | truth, without trying to manipulate the masses.
        
           | zmgsabst wrote:
           | Ideological subversion has been happening since the Frankfurt
           | school fled to the US: "critical theories" festered in
           | academia for generations until they could permeate and rot
           | society.
           | 
           | Social media, however, accelerated that by allowing
           | individual manipulation of vulnerable young people with that
           | messaging by both foreign adversaries and subverted citizens.
           | Boosted by things like economic warfare, where China funds
           | these radical groups and promotes their agendas.
        
             | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
             | That wouldn't have happened if the legacy media and local
             | state actors didn't discredit themselves with blatant lies,
             | open bias and non-stop propaganda. Foreign adversaries have
             | gained some meaningful ground only because local sources of
             | information stopped even pretending to be an objective
             | source of information.
        
           | imiric wrote:
           | Big difference: legacy media was far less accessible to
           | foreign enemies. Not that disinformation didn't happen from
           | within, but certainly not with the force we've seen in the
           | last two decades, and without the intent to destabilize their
           | own democracies.
        
       | dukeofdoom wrote:
       | Does criminally charging your leading opposition candidate count?
        
         | youngNed wrote:
         | It's a well written path in those trying: "Lock her up"
         | certainly was attempting it
        
           | Alupis wrote:
           | There's quite a difference between saying something, and
           | doing something, no?
        
             | add-sub-mul-div wrote:
             | Definitely. The difference is extant vs. invented evidence
             | of criminal activity.
        
         | krapp wrote:
         | Not when they actually commit crimes, no.
        
           | dukeofdoom wrote:
           | as determined by the ruling party?
        
             | krapp wrote:
             | If you refuse to see the system investigating your chosen
             | candidate as legitimate, then I suppose you could describe
             | the process of the rule of law in hostile and bad faith
             | terms, yes.
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | > Does criminally charging your leading opposition candidate
         | count?
         | 
         | If it is on the same standards (or a higher bar) than that
         | under which someone who was a political ally or uninvolved
         | would be charged, no.
         | 
         | If it is on a basis on which someone differently politically
         | situated with the same degree of evidence of the same kind of
         | crime would otherwise not be charged, than yes.
        
           | zmgsabst wrote:
           | So if one party doesn't face charges despite documented
           | foreign influence pedaling, selling classified documents, and
           | subverting national constitution, but the other is charged on
           | a campaign finance violation similar to those regularly
           | committed by the first party -- that would be a problem?
        
           | dukeofdoom wrote:
           | No one has been charged under such circumstances before. Non
           | disclosure agreements are legal. Billing to pay fees for them
           | is legal too. Trump was financing his own campaign. A
           | candidate can contribute to their own campaign as much as
           | they want.
        
       | hedora wrote:
       | Ironically, I just got downvoted in another thread for saying
       | science advisors should have relevant education or practical
       | experience.
        
         | hdiwhxisjshs wrote:
         | for that we all must drop the pretense that a centralized
         | government is not for the preservation of status quo, i.e.
         | maintaining existing privilege.
         | 
         | all ministerial positions are about positioning, not
         | effectiveness.
         | 
         | china has this spelled out in some laws and govt practices.
         | e.g. they assume rural resources will be abused by a central
         | group until they can get a stronger state law presence. but
         | accept it and keep dumping resource till then and then work
         | with those corrupt entities to ease the region absorption into
         | proper state mechanics instead of "fighting corruption" or some
         | other grand but disconnected goal
         | 
         | for and older but more comprehensive view on the article
         | points, there's: Coup d'Etat: A Practical Handbook
        
       | xg15 wrote:
       | > _...and that potentially meant that the government might force
       | United Fruit to make costly changes, like raising wages.
       | 
       | [...] Ideally, Guatemala would back down and start praising
       | United Fruit for being a job creator instead of a foreign
       | plunderer._
       | 
       | Somewhat OT, but one of the feats of propaganda that impresses me
       | the most is how "jobs" were successfully established as an end in
       | itself instead of a means.
       | 
       | As a politician, you can easily run on the platform of "creating
       | jobs" without ever discussing wages.
       | 
       | As an employee, it doesn't matter if the job is wrecking your
       | health, making you neglect your family and pays less than living
       | wage, just _having a job_ on its own is something to be grateful
       | of.
       | 
       | An employer is not needing services that employees provide, no,
       | an employer is _creating jobs_ and then in infinite grace
       | _giving_ them to the employees.
       | 
       | It's crazy, but it works.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | Once you get down to it, everything in the US seems to be
         | designed to benefit big business / oligarchs. Culture wars
         | topics are intended to distract from things like healthcare,
         | raising the minimum wage, solving the housing crisis in cities,
         | taxing the rich, and so on. They create our pain, then dangle
         | "jobs" as a salve.
        
           | mrangle wrote:
           | Everything in the US is designed to feed you the exact frame
           | of mind that you are reflecting.
           | 
           | Which aside from entertainment messaging and your educational
           | curriculum, should be obvious by the fact that its largely
           | the marginal social tier that thinks as you do.
           | 
           | To see the edge of the actual discussion: think about the
           | dissonance of a worldview that simultaneously sees the
           | nation's problems to be inherent in enforced hierarchy as
           | mediated by the government, as you state, and the solution to
           | that problem being the same government's enforcement of
           | taxation.
           | 
           | There's only room for one of those views in anyone's mind.
           | They cannot logically exist simultaneously. The government
           | will never be simultaneously a marauder and a beneficent tax
           | collector. And nothing changes its stripes.
           | 
           | Culture war topics aren't intended to distract from any of
           | the things that you mention. Your list is a litany of topics
           | barely adjacent to the culture war.
           | 
           | The culture war is about legal control of people whose
           | natural habits and views would otherwise preclude it. When
           | control has reached its limit working through the channel of
           | temptation, then the only avenue left is the one that legally
           | forces norms that are so distasteful to the natural senses
           | that they oppress most normal people.
        
             | cawest11 wrote:
             | Instead of relying on a caricature mixing and matching
             | every theory/ ideology left of liberalism to advance a non
             | argument against a non-entity, maybe do something useful,
             | like read a book. You sound like an idiot.
        
           | ss108 wrote:
           | I think this line of thinking is unrealistic and rather
           | unempathetic.
           | 
           | People on both sides of culture war issues really do care
           | about them. I agree that there are a number of more important
           | issues, but the ordering of political priorities is basically
           | subjective and nobody needs share anyone else's.
        
             | coldtea wrote:
             | > _People on both sides of culture war issues really do
             | care about them._
             | 
             | That's the goal of every diversion. Sports fans really care
             | about their teams too (in some cases to the point of mass
             | hysteria, or beating other people other them).
             | 
             | > _but the ordering of political priorities is basically
             | subjective and nobody needs share anyone else 's._
             | 
             | Not so subjective, since conveniently almost everybody ends
             | up sharing the ordering of one of the two sides they are
             | conditioned to pick among.
             | 
             | That's like saying "fashion is subjective" and then 90% of
             | the people wearing the same shit for the season, the very
             | thing advertised to death 24/7.
        
           | rco8786 wrote:
           | Yea more or less. Things that benefit the standard of living
           | for the population but cut into corporate profits are
           | basically DOA.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | RobotToaster wrote:
           | It isn't a coincidence that most of these culture war topics
           | gained prominence after the occupy movement.
        
         | parineum wrote:
         | Jobs are better than no jobs, across the board.
         | 
         | More jobs increase the wealth of the employed.
         | 
         | More jobs improves the job market for the employees (more
         | demand for their services).
         | 
         | More jobs helps (small and large) business owners (more wealth
         | in the hands of customers).
         | 
         | If there are 10,000 coal mining jobs and 9,000 coal miners,
         | coal mining conditions will improve.
        
           | hayst4ck wrote:
           | > Jobs are better than no jobs, across the board.
           | 
           | What about slavery? What if there is a spectrum between
           | chattel slavery and owning the means of production? How would
           | you determine where "job" exists on that spectrum?
           | 
           | Slaves still get fed and housed. If _the only_ thing that a
           | job offers is food and housing, how different is that from
           | slavery? How free is a person who can _only_ afford to house
           | and feed themselves?
        
             | PicassoCTs wrote:
             | That was the precondition for the two worldwars in germany.
             | Lots of "farmhands" with food and shelter, nothing to be
             | proud of, no future, no family, so they got there whole
             | pride from nationalism and race, and the farm owners talked
             | themselves into believing they were basically nobility.
             | 
             | Then the whole situation spiraled out of hand, because
             | everything was better then socialism. Turns out in the end,
             | it was not.
             | 
             | Blockades used against "rival" empires made drastic
             | measures rationalizable, like for example mass murdering
             | populations to provide for your own population, that could
             | not be fed without oil imports aka fertilizers. This whole
             | madness we today remember, started out rational.
             | 
             | I thought we already went down this road and remembered
             | were it leads.
        
             | Claudus wrote:
             | More free than a person who can not afford to house
             | themselves, and less free than a person who cannot feed
             | themselves (because they are dead).
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | What does it _mean_ to not be able to afford to house
               | yourself?
        
               | pastacacioepepe wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affordable_housing
        
             | Alupis wrote:
             | Few, if any slaves felt purpose, belonging, responsibility,
             | and personal discipline - all generally positive feelings
             | that are associated with working on something for a reason.
        
               | digging wrote:
               | But jobs don't offer any of those things.
               | 
               |  _Good_ jobs might. Ideally, at no cost to your health or
               | relationships, but no guarantee.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | pastacacioepepe wrote:
               | > purpose, belonging, responsibility, and personal
               | discipline - all generally positive feelings that are
               | associated with working on something for a reason
               | 
               | If you think this statement reflects in any way the
               | reality of the majority of the global workforce then you
               | have no idea what work is like for most people.
        
             | gameman144 wrote:
             | I think one big difference is that a job is something you
             | have a choice in. A person who can only afford to house and
             | feed themselves isn't free to have _no_ job, but they are
             | free to choose _which_ job they do. In such cases, the
             | parent 's point of "more jobs are better" definitely
             | applies, as it gives workers a lot more choice (even
             | disregarding the bargaining power).
        
         | elecush wrote:
         | Germane: there can be no green new deal without a robust
         | manufacturing sector in America. Some sort of higher-tech
         | revolution could be possible, though.
        
       | johnea wrote:
       | This whole 7 part series is really an eye opener.
       | 
       | Most people have heard about Allende/Pinochet, and Regan's
       | illegal war in Nicaragua, but I don't think that many people in
       | the US have heard about this. I certainly hadn't.
       | 
       | This series is excellent, especially in the many references to
       | decassified documents. Agencies denying operations for decades,
       | only to have those operations confirmed after declassification is
       | a repeating pattern.
       | 
       | Seeing how powerful this media based campaign was in the 1950s
       | also sheds some perspective on how overwhelmingly powerful modern
       | fake-video can be in persuading a population.
       | 
       | All rolled up, this really spells a very hard road ahead for
       | democratic government. How are ordinary people supposed to pull
       | back the deception and understandd the truth, in the face of
       | highly-funded media campaigns to deceive them? It becomes less
       | and less possible with every new technical development.
        
         | GreedClarifies wrote:
         | "Regan's illegal war in Nicaragua"
         | 
         | Ok, huffingtonpost.
        
       | sammalloy wrote:
       | > Similarly, much of the Russian disinformation campaign of 2016
       | -- especially in the beginning -- was not about convincing people
       | of falsehoods. It was about sowing seeds of discredit and doubt
       | about Hillary Clinton, and about the U.S. electoral system
       | generally. It didn't matter what was actually on Clinton's email
       | server, so long as talking about it cast doubt on her integrity.
       | 
       | This tactic of fear, uncertainty and doubt has been addressed by
       | numerous authors in recent decades. Science historian Naomi
       | Oreskes pointed to the deliberate cultivation of uncertainty
       | about climate change by Bill Nierenberg, Fred Seitz, and Fred
       | Singer to slow down and stop regulations on fossil fuel
       | companies.
       | 
       | In 2012, Jay Rosen, journalism professor at NYU, described this
       | cultivation of uncertainty on the right as a process of "reverse
       | verification", with the example of the question, "Was Obama born
       | in the United States?"
       | 
       | Rosen: "Verification is taking something that might be true, and
       | trying to nail it down with facts. In reverse verification, you
       | take something that's been nailed down and try to introduce doubt
       | about it."
       | 
       | This is the primary way that American democracy is being
       | subverted now, in 2023.
        
         | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
         | > Russian disinformation campaign of 2016
         | 
         | Are you referring to the disinformation campaign that promoted
         | the conspiracy theory that Russia somehow influenced the 2016
         | presidential elections, or the conspiracy theory itself?
        
           | sammalloy wrote:
           | I'm referring directly to a quote from the article under
           | discussion, and the topic of using doubt as propaganda, which
           | is, ironically, /exactly/ what you are doing.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_interference_in_the_20.
           | ..
           | 
           | > The Russian government interfered in the 2016 U.S.
           | presidential election with the goals of harming the campaign
           | of Hillary Clinton, boosting the candidacy of Donald Trump,
           | and increasing political and social discord in the United
           | States. According to the U.S. intelligence community, the
           | operation--code named Project Lakhta --was ordered directly
           | by Russian president Vladimir Putin. The Special Counsel's
           | report, made public in April 2019, examined numerous contacts
           | between the Trump campaign and Russian officials but
           | concluded that there was insufficient evidence to bring any
           | conspiracy or coordination charges against Trump or his
           | associates.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | davidw wrote:
         | > Jay Rosen
         | 
         | Very interesting to follow on twitter in that he picks apart
         | bad journalism and explains why it doesn't work.
        
       | justinzollars wrote:
       | Hacker News commenters are definitely 'conditioned masses'.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | no u
        
           | justinzollars wrote:
           | "distract from things like healthcare, raising the minimum
           | wage"
           | 
           | Good luck funding healthcare with 130% debt to GDP. ngmi.
        
       | elecush wrote:
       | Very interesting take. In order to keep a democracy functioning
       | properly, education is required. The lines between education and
       | propagandalf wizardry become blurry when economic incentives and
       | dearths of ethics enter the field.
        
       | avodonosov wrote:
       | TLDR anyone?
       | 
       | This style of writing is so unfriendly to readers. The text could
       | have been 3 times shorter. The first paragraph where he is
       | standing with wavy hair could just be thrown away. It does not
       | continue anyways.
       | 
       | IMHO
        
         | avodonosov wrote:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Bernays
        
       | jjtheblunt wrote:
       | I wonder if strict and short term limits would inhibit the
       | ability (for any entity) to condition the masses.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | The US used to have media ownership rules for this purpose. On
         | balance, they worked well until they were repealed (at each
         | step, the politicians responsible for repealing them had ties
         | to the companies that directly benefited).
        
         | hayst4ck wrote:
         | Term limits seem like the type of thing that would not
         | necessarily create positive or negative results, but modulate
         | the system.
         | 
         | I think it is a thing that feels right to a lot of people, but
         | if you ask "What will term limits achieve, and what are
         | possible unintended consequences of term limits?" I think most
         | proponents of it would have a very hard time coming up with a
         | satisfying answer.
         | 
         | I would prefer age limits before term limits.
         | 
         | I think the real question to ask is: "If corruption were
         | against the law, would people still want term limits?" or "Will
         | term limits reduce corruption?"
         | 
         | I think the answer is no and I think it is obviously no for the
         | latter (revolving door).
        
         | HybridCurve wrote:
         | No. Term limits have nothing to do with the overall strategies
         | being used by subversive non-government organizations. They
         | function in the background and direct the party to steer policy
         | in their favor. All of the deep research required to apply
         | stress to the weak points of an institution is done at NGOs and
         | the execution plan is essentially handed over to the party
         | members and officials.
        
         | jimbob45 wrote:
         | For which office are you suggesting shorter term limits?
        
         | Analemma_ wrote:
         | > I wonder if strict and short term limits would inhibit the
         | ability (for any entity) to condition the masses.
         | 
         | No, it would do exactly the opposite. Short term limits mean
         | you perpetually have a revolving door of inexperienced and
         | naive legislators who are much more prone to a) manipulation by
         | experienced and cut-throat lobbyists and b) grabbing everything
         | they can for their district with no regard for long-term
         | sustainability, because they'll be gone before they can see any
         | consequences.
         | 
         | I'm not picking on you in particular because I see this all
         | over the place, but it really makes me crazy when people
         | default to their gut emotions and desire to punish, and so come
         | up with non-solutions like "shorter term limits!" which
         | actually make the problem so much worse.
        
           | GreedClarifies wrote:
           | "which actually make the problem so much worse"
           | 
           | I'm sorry you haven't made that case at all. All you have
           | done is listed the costs of the "term limits" side, you
           | haven't listed any of the benefits. A couple off of the top
           | of my head:
           | 
           | 1. Seats would be up for effective election more often
           | allowing for democracy to perhaps function more effectively.
           | Perhaps there would be more of a market of ideas instead of
           | cults of personality.
           | 
           | 2. Less time for legislators to establish "ties" (corruption)
           | with regulators, business leaders, party leaders, and others
           | in power.
        
         | yamtaddle wrote:
         | 1) This assumes that long-serving politicians are a major
         | driver of this activity. Doesn't seem right to me, but hey,
         | maybe I'm wrong.
         | 
         | 2) The main downside to term limits is that it tends to put
         | more power into the hands of actors who are not subject to
         | elections--professional bureaucrats, lobbyists, interest
         | groups, and party machines, basically. My perception is that
         | those latter three groups, especially, are behind a lot of this
         | kind of thing--if true, term limits would make things worse,
         | not better.
        
           | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
           | Does this assumption still hold if the term limits are
           | somewhat generous? For instance, 18 years (3 senate terms or
           | 9 house terms)?
           | 
           | Almost all of the evidence detracting from legislative term
           | limits centers around attempts to allow only 1-2 terms. But
           | there's very little about medium to longer term restrictions.
        
         | FpUser wrote:
         | Would be taken over by big corporations. Already happening to a
         | good degree
        
         | LegitShady wrote:
         | unfortunately political parties are machines to continue
         | influence and power. It would change how influence was applied,
         | but the team sport that is politics would continue with
         | different spokepeople in office and the same people running the
         | machinery of party in the back.
        
           | macintux wrote:
           | I expect lobbyists would be winners if short term limits were
           | imposed. Inexperienced legislators would tend to rely
           | extensively on party apparatus and lobbyists.
        
             | peyton wrote:
             | Interesting, I would expect the opposite: tenured
             | legislators rely more on lobbyists and party apparatus. You
             | don't really see increasing independence over time; rather,
             | wayward legislators get primaried by the party.
        
               | LegitShady wrote:
               | the party doesn't necessarily lose any power in this
               | case, so their ability to control elections by choosing
               | who runs might be undiminished.
        
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