[HN Gopher] U.S. Navy wants to sell off its troubled littoral co...
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       U.S. Navy wants to sell off its troubled littoral combat ships to
       allies
        
       Author : ilamont
       Score  : 21 points
       Date   : 2023-04-26 20:06 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (taskandpurpose.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (taskandpurpose.com)
        
       | somethoughts wrote:
       | Reading this
       | 
       | "We weren't sure LCS was executing the missions it was designed
       | for," Commander of Naval Surface Forces Vice Adm. Roy Kitchener
       | said in January 2022. "And so we ... went out to the number of
       | fleet commanders and said, 'Alright, what do you want it to do?
       | And what missions do you want it to execute based on the
       | environment we're in now?'"
       | 
       | reminds me of this excerpt from a movie:
       | 
       | Pentagon Wars - Bradley Fighting Vehicle Evolution
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXQ2lO3ieBA
       | 
       | From the movie "Pentagon Wars". Bradley Fighting Vehicle design
       | and development. Any design engineer will love this scene.
        
         | aidenn0 wrote:
         | That gets some key details wrong; even though designed to
         | supersede the M113, the MICV was _always_ about a combat
         | vehicle, not a personnel carrier.
         | 
         | The original concept was that fighting in a post-NBC world
         | meant infantry would have to fight from inside a sealed area.
         | This means the firing ports were part of the earliest designs,
         | not added as a suggestion during the Nixon administration.
         | 
         | I should also note that several the very early prototypes were
         | amphibious; I think this was mostly scratched (timeline wise)
         | by the point where it is joked about being added in the film.
         | 
         | The added scout role is true, and coincides with cancellation
         | of the ARSV, and did follow somewhat along the logic of the
         | movie (roughly we need a fast, armored vehicle, this is a fast,
         | armored vehicle).
         | 
         | Though it predates the unveiling of it, the MICV only got
         | serious funding because of the Soviet BMP-1. The BMP-1 was used
         | in combat before the Bradley was out of prototype stage, and
         | had enough deficiencies that the BMP-2 was made, and the
         | designers of the Bradley prototypes also reacted to it.
         | 
         | A lot of the changes were made because the development of it
         | was slow enough (partly due to it often not being a priority)
         | that the vision of what battlefield it would appear on changed.
        
         | riku_iki wrote:
         | what would be better approach?
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | Find out what the commanders actually need it to do _before_
           | you spend years and billions of dollars building it.
        
             | riku_iki wrote:
             | Warfare changes very fast lately, and it was one of the
             | main pitches of those littoral ships: make them modular, so
             | they can be easily modified for current and future
             | missions.
        
               | ImPostingOnHN wrote:
               | not sure that precludes figuring out what customers want
               | before building the whole thing
               | 
               | TFA says the motivator is lack of capabilities against
               | China. If the LCSs can be easily retrofitted to add
               | capabilities, why not do so?
        
               | riku_iki wrote:
               | > TFA says the motivator is lack of capabilities against
               | China. If the LCSs can be easily retrofitted to add
               | capabilities, why not do so?
               | 
               | I don't think that's the issue. LCSs are small ships
               | which goal to do small missions which would be much more
               | expensive to do on large ships, cruisers for example. I
               | don't think confronting China was their goal ever.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | Conceptual design started around 2001. Well, in 2001,
               | China didn't have the navy it did today. If they didn't
               | "skate to where the puck is going", they could easily
               | have built a ship for countering what China was in 1995.
        
               | iudqnolq wrote:
               | Note that modularity is one of the things they abandoned
               | to try and get something working.
        
               | riku_iki wrote:
               | where did you get this?
        
               | iudqnolq wrote:
               | When I went looking for my source I realized it was older
               | than I remembered. It's certainly possible things have
               | gotten better since 2021.
               | 
               | > Despite that positive spin, the utility of the LCS
               | remains hampered by its controversial mission modules,
               | which were originally designed to be switched in and out
               | of the hulls rapidly while in port, before the idea was
               | abandoned, leaving each ship with a single module to be
               | installed. As it stands, only the anti-surface warfare
               | version of these modules is fitted on some of the hulls,
               | with the anti-submarine warfare and mine countermeasures
               | modules not yet available.
               | 
               | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/42582/the-first-
               | littor...
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | They did; the anticipated needs in the environment when it
             | was designed were not the actual needs when it waa
             | delivered.
             | 
             | This is a perennial big-project problem (one of the core
             | things addressed, originally, by Agile in software), but
             | you can't easily quickly turn out an MVP of a warship and
             | rapidly iterate on it.
             | 
             | A lot of time it doesn't get noticed because needs move
             | further _toward_ the strengths of the project, or because
             | there is a good opportunity for adaptation. But sometimes,
             | you just get burned.
        
               | iudqnolq wrote:
               | Funnily enough they did try to do agile design with these
               | warships. They started building the first one before they
               | figured out the whole design, with the idea they could
               | update as they went. It was an absolute disaster. They
               | had to redo a bunch of work to fit in changes they didn't
               | anticipate. Now all the early ships are unique, making
               | maintenance worse.
               | 
               | Turns out Agile depends on a low cost to refactor. It's
               | easy to make a function body bigger. It's very painful to
               | make an engine room bigger.
        
           | somethoughts wrote:
           | The jaded cynic in me says - you have achieved true
           | enlightenment when you realize that what the clip is
           | describing just is - it can not be changed or improved upon.
           | 
           | There is no better approach when it comes to large human
           | organization behavior that can be implemented.
           | 
           | You just come to peace with that is how the world works when
           | the population reaches a certain size.
           | 
           | Some over-expensive, over-engineered, over-xyz
           | projects/trials are needed for humans to progress. Even if
           | the specific project is eventually deemed a colossal failure,
           | it can be pointed to as a future reference point of what not
           | to do/waste time on.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | MichaelZuo wrote:
             | The Manhattan project was completed in a bit over 3 years.
             | 
             | The big barriers are getting a truly blank cheque and
             | sufficient authority to bypass, or bulldoze, through all
             | possible obstacles.
             | 
             | Which is more a question of priorities.
        
               | dmreedy wrote:
               | I'm not sure I understand the comparison.
               | 
               | The Manhattan project was an exploration into a
               | fundamental (and, without trying to sound ungenerous, a
               | relatively simple) property of physics, put towards a
               | relatively simple task. The laws of nature defined the
               | constraints, and requirement was singular.
               | 
               | It was not an attempt to solve the constraint
               | satisfaction problem of X stakeholders and Y requirements
               | and Z logistical boundaries, where X, Y and Z are all in
               | constant flux thanks to being attached to human beings
               | who bullshit, lie, and change their minds frequently.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | > The Manhattan project was an exploration into a
               | fundamental (and, without trying to sound ungenerous, a
               | relatively simple) property of physics, put towards a
               | relatively simple task. The laws of nature defined the
               | constraints, and requirement was singular.
               | 
               | Your points here don't square with what I know. Have you
               | read the Wiki page on it and found something incorrect?
        
               | CyberDildonics wrote:
               | Can you link exactly what you think contradicts what they
               | are saying?
        
         | Armisael16 wrote:
         | For what it's worth the Bradley has performed quite well, and
         | the flaws that have shown up weren't noted in the movie (some
         | discussion here: https://www.reddit.com/r/WarCollege/comments/e
         | rpmjm/having_j...)
         | 
         | The scene is very funny, and it's an excellent story - it just
         | happens to not be particularly accurate.
        
       | jschveibinz wrote:
       | It was probably pork right from the start: built in Wisconsin and
       | Alabama.
       | 
       | https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/07/littoral-com...
       | 
       | I guess the Coast Guard didn't even want them?
       | 
       | https://maritime-executive.com/editorials/op-ed-a-derated-li...
        
       | rgmerk wrote:
       | My 2c: if there is ever a shooting war between two modern navies
       | (eg US and China) surface combatants are all going to end up
       | under water very very quickly, or too far from the action to
       | offer anything useful.
       | 
       | We haven't had a real naval battle in 40 years, arguably 80.
       | Since that time, sensors of all types have become vastly more
       | numerous and capable, as have missiles. I don't see how a surface
       | ship survives in that environment.
        
         | WastingMyTime89 wrote:
         | No one knows but I'm mostly on your side on this. Ships defence
         | systems have been lagging behind offensive capabilities for a
         | long time and that's not even talking about the threat posed by
         | submarines.
        
         | cwillu wrote:
         | It carries a hundred or so missiles to shoot down other
         | missiles.
        
         | Stevvo wrote:
         | Missiles can shoot down other missiles. So, if you have enough
         | radar coverage, then I guess you're good as long as you can
         | keep resupplied.
        
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       (page generated 2023-04-26 23:02 UTC)