[HN Gopher] Vast new stores of water reported on the moon
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Vast new stores of water reported on the moon
        
       Author : mfiguiere
       Score  : 181 points
       Date   : 2023-04-14 04:33 UTC (18 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | ath3nd wrote:
       | Oh, goody, can't wait for Nestle to buy up the land and sell it
       | for 100x profit.
        
         | pvaldes wrote:
         | That's a really interesting twist.
         | 
         | Could <$big company> legally pour a lot of money to assure
         | control over a parcel or a mine in Mars?
        
           | kspacewalk2 wrote:
           | Legality will not be a very easily enforced facade if those
           | who don't have "legal rights" have the means of getting to
           | that parcel, taking it and keeping it. Not gonna be _that_
           | much different than the Age of Discovery. Except, you know,
           | no Natives to enslave /kill/influence/exploit/befriend/ally
           | with.
        
       | bassrattle wrote:
       | >NASA'sArtemis program is looking for ice in shadowed craters
       | near the moon's south pole
       | 
       | I thought shadowed moon craters stay at roughly 63 degrees?
        
       | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
       | It's only a matter of time now before we get the first craft
       | brewery and tap room on the Moon.
        
         | drtgh wrote:
         | The radiation level exposure on the Moon is estimated to be
         | around 60 microsieverts every hour [1], while the limit of
         | amount of radiation received by the general public in a year is
         | set to 1'000 microsieverts (1 millisievert) [2].
         | 
         | It would then be necessary to be achieved the regenerative
         | medicine in the first place, with a major revolution in
         | radiation shielding technology.
         | 
         | Unfortunately does not appear to be on the verge of being a
         | reality (in short term?), if one look with cold eyes the
         | current state of medicine is amputation.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.supercluster.com/editorial/the-threat-of-
         | space-r...
         | 
         | [2] https://www.jaea.go.jp/english/jishin/kaisetsu01.pdf
        
           | ericd wrote:
           | Couldn't that taproom be subterranean? I assume that 10m of
           | regolith is a fine radiation shield?
        
           | stametseater wrote:
           | 60 microseverts an hour works out to about 525 millisieverts
           | (mSv) per year. The general public limit is set very low, so
           | for additional reference, the annual limit for emergency
           | worker was raised to 250 mSv per year after Fukushima, half
           | of what you'd get on the Moon. An _effective dose_ (whole
           | body, sum of all equivalent doses for the organs) of 200 mSv
           | is enough to increase your risk of fatal cancer from 25% to
           | 26%, so 525 mSv obviously represents a substantial stochastic
           | risk.
           | 
           | The ICRP occupational _equivalent dose_ limit for hands, feet
           | and skin are 500 mSv per year, so for these you 're under the
           | limit (the 525 mSv effective dose above is spread across you,
           | not on one organ). However the equivalent dose limit for eyes
           | is 20 mSv average with no more than 50 mSv per year. I
           | haven't done the math but I think 525 mSv effective dose over
           | a year would put you at substantial risk of deterministic
           | damage to the lenses of your eyes.
           | 
           | In other words, Moon men probably get cataracts and are more
           | likely to die of cancer.
        
           | Brendinooo wrote:
           | If water is plentiful and accessible, that could be used as
           | shielding, no?
        
             | drtgh wrote:
             | It is not my field, but if plentiful and accessible, we are
             | talking about several thousand tonnes of water around a
             | small habitat that could _theoretically_ be used.
             | Nevertheless, if I understood right, that immense amount of
             | water would have a limited shelf life until acidification
             | corrodes the containment structures, so it would need to be
             | continuously treated and refrigerated,
             | 
             | " Ionizing cosmic radiation is mostly gamma rays and
             | protons, which are overall very similar to the radiation
             | from nuclear waste. Protons are slightly lighter and so
             | would have less energy at a given velocity (more easily
             | stopped); but, because they're protons, if captured by the
             | water they'd basically become H+ ions which could acidify
             | the shielding water in time (not seen as much with nuclear
             | waste). " [1]
             | 
             | [1] https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/1336/what-
             | thicknes...
        
               | burnished wrote:
               | Any notion of the rate of that acidification? I can't
               | imagine its happening quickly, still very fun to think
               | about
        
               | stametseater wrote:
               | Chemically neutralizing the shielding water should be
               | trivial. But why would the water need to be refrigerated?
               | Energy absorbed from radiation would be emitted as
               | thermal radiation, and lose a ton of thermal energy
               | during the long lunar nights. If well insulated, the
               | water tanks could serve as thermal batteries to keep the
               | rest of the base warm.
        
               | Chris2048 wrote:
               | I did a few rounds with an AI on this topic, so excuse me
               | if there are inaccuracies, _but_ :
               | 
               | - According to a study conducted NASA, a 1 mm layer of
               | polyethylene reduces solar and cosmic radiation by
               | approximately 50%
               | 
               | - A 1mm, 1m^2 layer of polyethylene weighs approximately
               | 0.92kg
               | 
               | Maybe the polyethylene would decay, but maybe it can also
               | be remanufactured, harvesting the contaminates in the
               | meanwhile?
               | 
               | That said, this all implies that working under a
               | polyethylene sheet of 5mm would reduce exposure to about
               | 33 mSv a year (assume 8hrs a day working on surface, 260
               | days/yr).
               | 
               | That said, Maybe robots can work on the surface instead?
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | I wonder how tall the foam would go in 1/6th g.
        
           | brookst wrote:
           | Look, we've told you a thousand times, we are _not_ sending a
           | keg of beer on your Artemis mission. Now get back to
           | studying, it's a long day today.
        
         | ainiriand wrote:
         | Or, real moonshine.
        
           | taylorius wrote:
           | That sounds like something Elon would add on the side of a
           | future moon-based fuel making plant. :-)
        
         | codebje wrote:
         | That place has nice beer, but no atmosphere.
        
           | fauxpause_ wrote:
           | This is a good joke. Although the moon does actually have a
           | tiny atmosphere.
        
             | burnished wrote:
             | What is it composed of? My uneducated guess was that it was
             | full vacuum on the lunar surface
        
           | TheMerovingian wrote:
           | But the moonshine is fantastic!
        
           | SEJeff wrote:
           | And their outdoor seating is terrible. One might call it
           | suffocating.
        
             | doublerabbit wrote:
             | The staff are a bit a let down, there's this one human
             | spieces person who keeps mumbling on about how he ruled
             | something called Twitter back in 2023 AD.
        
         | Svip wrote:
         | I am still waiting on them to put casks on a space ship, put it
         | in orbit, and ship it back to Earth, like Linie Aquavit
         | crossing the equator twice.[0] Space Aquavit (or Rumakvavit, if
         | you will) will surely be a thing.
         | 
         | [0] https://linie.com/products/linie-aquavit-original/
        
           | jasrys wrote:
           | Already a thing: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-
           | europe-56992086
        
       | komain7 wrote:
       | Not for long. Wait until this greedy virus called humans comes
       | along. Takes everything without having the slightest clue of the
       | long-term implications. All the intellect makes them think they
       | are god-like yet all of the creations look like Frankenstein.
        
       | komain7 wrote:
       | Not for long. Wait until this greedy virus called humans comes
       | along. Takes everything without having the slightest clue of the
       | long-term implications. All the intellect makes them think they
       | are god-like yet all of the creations look like Frankenstein. Lol
        
       | credit_guy wrote:
       | Just to be clear, the "vast stores" of water are only
       | theoretical. There are no implications for Moon colonies. You are
       | not going to try to extract water from glass beads. You would
       | need to go through thousands of tons of regolith before
       | extracting a single liter of water, and that's only if you have
       | 100% efficiency, which you will not have.
       | 
       | If we ever decide to have Moon colonies we'll have 3 big
       | problems: we won't be able to source easily carbon, hydrogen and
       | nitrogen. I predict that when we'll have such colonies, the
       | phrase "you're worth your weight in gold" will mean you are
       | useless, since your weight in carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen will
       | exceed many times your weight in gold (which can be sourced
       | locally). Similarly, "you're full of shit" will be a high form of
       | praise, since shit will be thoroughly recycled and highly
       | valuable.
        
         | stainablesteel wrote:
         | a recent megaprojects video claimed harvesting water from
         | asteroids was more worth the time and money than to do the same
         | for rare earth metals.
         | 
         | apparently bringing tons of rare earth metals back to earth
         | would only lower their price and therefore not make the trip
         | worth the money, but i guess this isn't a problem for the water
         | that those asteroid might hold as that would still be not only
         | valuable but worth the expense of harvesting it from asteroids.
         | 
         | if the moon is closer, and not only less complicated to harvest
         | from but has the advantage that you can keep a permanent
         | drilling rig set up without needing to re-land on a complicated
         | surface every single time, that would seem better than
         | harvesting water from asteroids to me
        
           | NickM wrote:
           | That seems like a bizarre take. Even with efficient fully
           | reusable rockets, surely desalination will still be much
           | cheaper than mining water from asteroids and bringing it back
           | to Earth?
           | 
           | And sure, maybe bringing huge amounts of rare earth metals
           | back might reduce the price a bit, but to the point where
           | rare earth elements are cheaper per mass unit than _water_?
        
             | nathan_compton wrote:
             | If we ever have a space elevator bringing water down from
             | space could actually be a net negative expense, since you
             | could be using the weight to carry stuff up out of the
             | gravity well.
        
               | Tagbert wrote:
               | "If we ever have a space elevator" such a simple phrase
               | doing a lot of rhetorical lifting. The logistics and
               | problems of space elevators make them extremely unlikely
               | in any timeframe that is less than fantasy.
        
         | throwawaymoon wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | alex_young wrote:
         | Seems like the 28 day, uh, day will be a bigger problem.
         | Everything from keeping power on for 14 days without solar to
         | keeping the temperature up to human habitability levels will be
         | challenging won't it?
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | It's a different kind of problem. The Moon is a big ball of
           | stuff outside of the Earth's gravity.
           | 
           | If that's stuff is valuable, then the Moon is a very valuable
           | target, and there is a reason to solve problems like the 28
           | days long day. If that's stuff isn't valuable, then the size
           | of the day is an insurmountable issue.
        
         | Firadeoclus wrote:
         | Certainly, getting those elements in larger quantities will be
         | important, but by the time we have the cargo capacity to build
         | colonies on the moon it seems likely that someone would be very
         | happy to trade, say, 100t of Earth-sourced C/N/H for 100t of
         | Moon-mined Au, shipping included.
        
           | slashdev wrote:
           | I don't expect there to be much in the way of heavy elements
           | on the moon. It's mostly made of lighter stuff that got
           | blasted off in the collision with earth when the moon was
           | formed.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | The surface has been slowly bombarded long after the moons
             | creation. So surface mining could have a very different
             | elemental mix than subsurface mining.
             | 
             | ~48.5 tons of material hits the earth's atmosphere per day.
             | The moons smaller, but suck impacts where likely more
             | common in the past * 4 billion years and you're talking a
             | few feet of such material across the entire surface.
             | https://solarsystem.nasa.gov/asteroids-comets-and-
             | meteors/me...
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | Impact sites of larger asteroids are also great targets
               | for mining operations. For example there's some
               | speculation about the gigantic impact crater on the far
               | side of the moon containing a gigantic metal lump below
               | the surface
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Pole%E2%80%93Aitken_b
               | asi...
               | 
               | https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/nasa-moon-mass-crater-
               | met...
        
               | whatshisface wrote:
               | It's not entirely clear to me why you'd want to find
               | asteroids on the moon rather than finding them in space,
               | where the mass wouldn't hardly have to be lifted.
        
               | AlanSE wrote:
               | The problem with asteroids is the population dynamics and
               | time required with these heliocentric orbits. Yes, there
               | are asteroids at a lower Delta-V than the surface of the
               | moon. There might be only a handful that are even worth
               | capturing and mining. If this scaled up, however, you
               | would quickly deplete this population of NEOs.
               | 
               | While the Delta-V might be less, it's not less by MUCH
               | because you spend most of your fuel getting to Earth's
               | escape velocity in the first place. The Delta-V benefit
               | is also balanced against a massive time lag involved in
               | sending a robotic spacecraft to capture and boost it to
               | an orbit where we can better access and refine it. Or you
               | send the refinery to the asteroid for larger asteroids.
               | Problem there - you'll basically have to build a new
               | refinery for each asteroid. Even for larger NEOs at
               | higher Delta-Vs, the mass is not all that much. It's also
               | not clear that microgravity will be any better than 1/6th
               | gravity.
               | 
               | There are very strong arguments for Lunar mining. We're
               | talking about ~1 week for transit time from Earth to
               | there. The moon can build vast Earth-like industry. You
               | get to cherry-pick a wide variety of asteroid material
               | types (except for volatiles) without building a new
               | factory for each. Surface transportation isn't
               | particularly hard. Materials to build solar panels are
               | widely available.
               | 
               | Asteroids will be useful at some point, but only after we
               | can reach the frost line. Otherwise, the asteroids we get
               | will be parched and not offer much beyond what's on the
               | moon, or what we can lift from Earth. After we get to the
               | frost line, we will get vast troves of organic material,
               | but this is at tremendous Delta-V cost and outrageously
               | remote and time consuming to access.
        
               | sandworm101 wrote:
               | On paper, it would be easier to lift them from the moon
               | than it would be to intercept and slow them down enough
               | to land them on earth. When the asteroid hits the moon it
               | expends huge amounts of energy in the impact, slowing it
               | to the a near-stop as compared to its speed while free in
               | space.
               | 
               | It may be possible to aerobrake asteroids at orbital
               | velocities in earth's atmosphere, but that is a VERY
               | dangerous proposition. It might work for small rocks, but
               | a commercially-relevant chunk of iron would be a very
               | dangerous object to point at earth.
        
             | csomar wrote:
             | But shipping from the moon to the earth should be much
             | cheaper? I don't have the math (so someone please do?) but
             | based on the size of the Apollo 11, it seems to be trivial
             | to send stuff to earth.
        
               | Symmetry wrote:
               | Looking at our handy solar system delta-v map[1] it takes
               | 2.5 km/s of delta-v to get from the Moon's surface to an
               | Earth intercept course (you can aerobrake to a landing)
               | and 14.6 to get up from the Earth surface to the Moon's
               | (no aerobraking, you have to use rockets to land). Also
               | without an atmosphere you can use railguns and such to
               | take off on the Moon, if you get more than a few km/s of
               | boost on the Earth that way you'll burn up.
               | 
               | [1]https://i.imgur.com/WGOy3qT.png
        
               | fastball wrote:
               | Escaping the moon's gravity well is basically all you
               | need to get stuff back to Earth.
        
               | robotresearcher wrote:
               | The machine that does this first has to leave Earth and
               | land softly on the moon before it can start boosting
               | stuff back. You can't skip the first two steps.
        
               | sandworm101 wrote:
               | >> ... based on the size of the Apollo 11, it seems to be
               | trivial to send stuff to earth.
               | 
               | You mean the worlds largest rocket? That machine that
               | launched _from_ the moon first had to be brought _to_ the
               | moon, a task requiring an enormous rocket and untold
               | support structures on earth. Of course one might say
               | "build the rocket on the moon from moon rocks" but that
               | requires significant handwaving. Try smelting aerospace-
               | quality metal in your garage before suggesting that
               | anyone simply park an aluminum smelting facility in a
               | lunar crater.
        
           | kspacewalk2 wrote:
           | Which will of course tank the price of Au into the oblivion,
           | since it is mostly speculative.
        
         | andsoitis wrote:
         | > "you're full of shit" will be a high form of praise, since
         | shit will be thoroughly recycled and highly valuable.
         | 
         | Extra special relativity.
        
         | flavius29663 wrote:
         | > since your weight in carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen will
         | exceed many times your weight in gold
         | 
         | Your weight is the same in any element, maybe you meant your
         | worth?
        
           | credit_guy wrote:
           | Yes, good point.
        
       | noobcoder wrote:
       | It's incredible to think about the implications of these new
       | findings on the moon's water content. Not only could it
       | potentially aid in future space missions and colonization
       | efforts, but it also raises questions about the moon's formation
       | and history. The fact that the water in the glass beads is of
       | solar wind origin adds another layer of complexity to the moon's
       | story.
        
       | deafpolygon wrote:
       | One one hand, that's really cool. ON the other, leave the moon
       | alone?
        
         | DesiLurker wrote:
         | by that logic our sun burns off a moon worth of mass in about a
         | million years. thats the ultimate waste. I say convert it all
         | into space habitats & dyson swarms.
        
         | danparsonson wrote:
         | Worried about disturbing the ecosystem?
        
           | deafpolygon wrote:
           | No.
           | 
           | It's because there's clearly alien spaceships hiding behind
           | the moon.
        
           | yellowapple wrote:
           | The lunar quesolith is a vital natural resource which must be
           | preserved at all costs.
        
             | Intermernet wrote:
             | That damn Wallace, and his despicable hound are apparently
             | trying to raid the quesolith. They Must Be Stopped!
        
           | mongol wrote:
           | It will become so ugly once exploitation starts. You know the
           | pristine look of a field with new snow? To compare with once
           | there are footsteps and tire tracks everywhere? The moon's
           | beautiful undisturbed dust will become an ugly mess and look
           | like garbage.
        
             | rini17 wrote:
             | It's not like pristine snow at all, but like dusty
             | asphalt(it really does have such color) constantly churned
             | by meteoric impacts. It's possible however, that we avoid
             | using such a hostile environment to a bare minimum and stay
             | and mine underground instead.
             | 
             | I can see Mars landscape as beautiful and worth preserving,
             | but drawing the line there.
        
               | fnordpiglet wrote:
               | The regolith is replete with embedded elements from the
               | solar wind and micrometeorites etc. Most in situ resource
               | extraction would be surface strip mining. But the
               | percentage of the surface needed would be small. Both the
               | moon and mars having no oceans have vast surface areas. A
               | totally exploitive approach would only touch such an
               | infinitesimal tiny portion of the area it's hard to
               | imagine conservation is a top priority.
        
               | rini17 wrote:
               | Parent was concerned about spoiling pristine regolith by
               | footprints and tracks.
               | 
               | Anyway, multiply the mine areas several times, it's
               | unlikely the raw regolith will be exported. Processing
               | will need solar power plants and radiators to dump waste
               | heat (can't dump it into atmosphere as we're used to).
        
               | fnordpiglet wrote:
               | You could conduct the heat via heat pipes into the crust.
               | The lunar basalt has decent thermal conductivity. Using
               | something like mercury or alcohols (which have a low
               | freezing point, and have ok phase change temperatures),
               | or something more exotic you should be pretty ok.
               | Radiators are mostly useful off a surface that can act
               | like a heat sink, especially one as cold as the moon.
        
               | fnordpiglet wrote:
               | Oh I'd say you wouldn't process regolith for export at
               | all, but for use on the moon. I think you wouldn't
               | process and export raw materials on the moon I think you
               | would do heavy industry you wouldn't do on earth in the
               | cave systems of the moon and export manufacture goods. I
               | don't think you would even export them to the earth but
               | into orbit or interplanetary. Exported materials from the
               | moon to mars would be a lot more economical than the
               | earth.
        
               | mongol wrote:
               | It is like pristine snow in that it does not have traces
               | of human activity all over it. But in contrast to snow,
               | it changes very slowly, and no weather to smoothen out
               | traces either.
        
             | boc wrote:
             | There's always Mars
        
             | boc wrote:
             | There's always Mars.
             | 
             | Or Montana.
        
             | gambiting wrote:
             | I think you might be underestimating how large the moon is.
             | Also moon is receiving thousands of meteorite impacts every
             | day, it's hardly undisturbed. It's not some unchanging
             | museum exhibit - it's an always changing planetary body.
        
               | ChatGTP wrote:
               | "I think you might be underestimating how large the Earth
               | is. Also Earth is receiving thousands of meteorite
               | impacts every day, it's hardly undisturbed. It's not some
               | unchanging museum exhibit - it's an always changing
               | planetary body."
        
           | zhte415 wrote:
           | The solifugus were getting out of hand last year, but the
           | packs of tardigrades we released seem to have them under
           | control.
        
           | CSSer wrote:
           | The moon is about 1/4th the size of the Earth, or about as
           | wide as the United States. The moon also significantly
           | impacts our tides here on Earth. Now, the optimist in me
           | would say there's no way little old humanity could manage to
           | find a way to screw that up. The pessimist in me notes that
           | in roughly a hundred years we've managed to push our planet
           | to the brink of ecological disaster, so to answer your
           | question: yes, a little bit (but not the ecosystem you're
           | referencing).
        
             | danparsonson wrote:
             | Ah well then pardon my snark - of course we humans are very
             | determined when it comes to exploiting our environment but
             | a crude look at the figures might set your mind at rest:
             | 
             | Moon's mass - about 0.7x10^23 kgs
             | 
             | Global annual iron ore output - about 2.5x10^12 kgs (per
             | [1])
             | 
             | One over the other - 2.8x10^10 years
             | 
             | So on the order of a billion years to remove one percent of
             | it. And that's assuming we develop the same kind of demand
             | for moon iron as we have here on Earth - so we have some
             | time to think about it at least.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_ir
             | on_or...
        
               | DesiLurker wrote:
               | meh.. automated mining to solar panel construction &
               | using the metal+energy to make a mass driver in a fully
               | closed loop system. Now you'll have a exponentially
               | increasing mining and space habitat and/or dyson swarm
               | construction platform. I'll bet we can shred the moon
               | clean off in under a few 100k years.
        
               | danparsonson wrote:
               | By which time everyone here will be long dead, so I don't
               | think there's any need to lose sleep over it...
        
               | quickthrower2 wrote:
               | How long to do Earth?
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | Even a second-rate H.G. Wells adaptation could imagine
               | humanity finding a way-
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=odrgDzciG6s
        
               | quickthrower2 wrote:
               | Humans have a way of supply creating demand. And tech
               | will evolve. Tell the chatbot you want a USS Enterprise
               | kind of thing and use your free startup credits to fund
               | it. Might be possible within next say 10k years? Much
               | less than a hundred billion.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | unsupp0rted wrote:
         | What's the benefit to anyone, humans or non-humans, of leaving
         | the moon alone?
        
       | darthrupert wrote:
       | Nestle Moon Water. Only $5.99 per millilitre.
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | What nobody talks about is that the average temperature of lunar
       | soil is below the freezing point of water and never gets above
       | the freezing point over day-night cycles.
       | 
       | https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/19906/constant-lun...
       | 
       | If you buried a chunk of ice under a few meters of soil it might
       | sublimate but if there were appropriate geological trapping
       | structures for the vapor, underground ice could be stable on the
       | moon and could be produced by drilling into it.
       | 
       | Such ice could not be detected by remote sensing the way people
       | have detected signs of water on the moon so far.
       | 
       | Now it's just speculation, you'd need some mechanism for the ice
       | to get there, I'm not so sure if any ice would remain if a comet
       | hit the moon and some of it got buried by a landslide. I think
       | how the
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meteor_Crater
       | 
       | was made by an iron meteorite but very little of the material was
       | left at the site.
        
       | starbase wrote:
       | The more we learn, the more hospitable the universe turns out to
       | be.
        
         | once_inc wrote:
         | Hard disagree. Finding 'water' trapped in glass beads isn't
         | something useful to us. Converting that to potable or even just
         | liquid water will take far more energy than taking that water
         | out of Earth's gravity well using conventional rockets.
         | 
         | The universe is still a harsh, bleak, unforgiving,
         | inhospitable, irradiated wasteland of empty nothingness. Humans
         | need very specific temperatures, air pressures, atmospheric
         | compositions to survive. Humans need food that also needs those
         | things to survive. We can alter extra terrestrial objects to
         | suit our needs, but that costs us energy, materials, and
         | money/time. Right now, we are far too busy chasing fads and
         | trinkets, and bashing in the skulls of our own fellows to be
         | able to manage this.
        
           | azernik wrote:
           | I think you're underestimating how much energy is involved in
           | pulling water out of the Earth well
        
           | starbase wrote:
           | Are you safer and more comfortable in the universe than your
           | ancestors were 1000 years ago?
           | 
           | How about 1,000,000 years ago?
           | 
           | How about 1,000,000,000?
           | 
           | Thought so.
        
             | gadflyinyoureye wrote:
             | We have a little pocket of the universe. For a good chunk
             | of it, have fun singing in the vacuum.
        
       | gchaincl wrote:
       | water does not always mean life then?
        
         | pengaru wrote:
         | frozen and bathed in UV is a problem for life AIUI
        
         | c3534l wrote:
         | If it did, then every comet would be full of life.
        
       | DoreenMichele wrote:
       | Recent discussion of at least part of this:
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35391984
        
       | whiteboardr wrote:
       | So "infinity pools" up there would be in a completely different
       | league?
        
         | once_inc wrote:
         | Considering the lack of an atmosphere, an infinity pool on the
         | moon would be frozen during sundown, and sublimate away as soon
         | as the sun reached it. Unless your 'completely different
         | league' meant 'completely useless', then no.
        
           | sgt wrote:
           | #domelife
        
       | whitehexagon wrote:
       | I wonder if there are locations along the dark side / light side
       | border, where some of this water boils off during the 'daytime'
       | heat, and then freezes again during darkness, and is just sitting
       | on the surface as a fine layer of frozen crystals? I know there
       | in very little atmosphere, but maybe just enough to hold a little
       | water vapor? Maybe over time this would allow more accumulation
       | in permanently shaded parts of the lunar landscape, including of
       | course the dark side.
        
         | johnwalkr wrote:
         | The current consensus is that any water deposited by a
         | meteorite will be vaporized and lost unless it happens to end
         | up in a "cold trap" permanently shadowed area. What you
         | described is close to what happens when a meteorite with water
         | hits the surface -water is dispersed and whatever water
         | molecules randomly end up in a cold trap stay there.
         | 
         | Evidence of water in sunlit areas as in the article is new and
         | it's thought that it is trapped in glass, so I think it's a
         | separate mechanism and water escaping from inside of glass,
         | being evaporated and then also ending up in a cold trap must be
         | very unlikely.
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | Reminder that the moon does not have a "dark side". This is a
         | misnomer. The back of the moon gets the same amount of sunlight
         | as the front. Unless you mean the side which is not presently
         | illuminated. Water could freeze there but it would boil off
         | again when the sun lights it up again.
         | 
         | However there are craters at the poles that never experience
         | sunlight, and water does accumulate in them. You don't need any
         | atmosphere to hold water vapor - the water vapor itself is held
         | in the moon's gravity well and floats around until it cools
         | somewhere, such as these craters.
        
           | whitehexagon wrote:
           | >The back of the moon gets the same amount of sunlight as the
           | front.
           | 
           | silly me, yes even better then, since in theory there should
           | always be some amount of water vapor floating around? I just
           | recall a weather phenomenon in Finland when the atmospheric
           | temperature drops sufficiently that even the water vapor
           | freezes and falls like 'stardust'. So would a big sun shield
           | on the moon create a similar temperature drop allowing
           | capture the ice crystals? maybe the moons gravity is
           | insufficient.
        
           | bqmjjx0kac wrote:
           | > The back of the moon gets the same amount of sunlight as
           | the front.
           | 
           | Actually, doesn't the back get more sunlight? The front of
           | the moon is occasionally eclipsed by earth.
        
           | chiefalchemist wrote:
           | Why does the water vapor gravitate to the poles?
           | 
           | Also, if there is X amount of water, and ever thaw / freeze
           | cycle loses some amount Y, can't we estimate what X was Z
           | years ago?
        
             | johnwalkr wrote:
             | It doesn't really gravitate to the poles, it's just that
             | once water reaches a permanently shadowed bit of a crater,
             | it stays there forever.
        
           | thaumasiotes wrote:
           | > Reminder that the moon does not have a "dark side". This is
           | a misnomer.
           | 
           | It isn't. The side of the moon that cannot be seen from Earth
           | is called the dark side of the moon. It's called that for the
           | same reason that the Dark Ages are called dark: because we
           | can't see them.
           | 
           | It is true that the dark side of the moon gets just as much
           | sunlight as the light side does.
        
             | duggan wrote:
             | Sounds like something a person living on the dark side of
             | the Earth would say.
        
             | gattilorenz wrote:
             | AFAIK the "Dark Ages" are named like that because the
             | Renaissance people thought they were enlightened, compared
             | to the "barbaric people" who lived before them, not because
             | we have less documents (although we do)
        
               | housecarpenter wrote:
               | Perhaps originally, but the reason it persists as a term
               | even when used by people who don't think medieval people
               | were relatively unenlightened is that it can also be
               | construed as referring to the lack of documents. (And for
               | those who do regard medieval people as relatively
               | unelightened, they might regard the lack of documents as
               | something intrinsically associated with that.)
        
             | stametseater wrote:
             | The context was thermal energy received from the sun, not
             | attention received from man.
             | 
             | Your clap-back might make sense when somebody is
             | criticizing Pink Floyd, but it doesn't make sense here.
        
             | johnwalkr wrote:
             | I work in aerospace (lunar exploration actually), and
             | everyone involved goes out of their way to always use the
             | term far side and explain to laypeople about it. Regardless
             | of its origin, I've commented on it in conversation at
             | least a dozen times and I don't think I've yet had the
             | other person use the phrase and not also think there is a
             | permanently dark side of the moon.
             | 
             | Online there is often also some pedant who explains "well
             | actually there is a dark side but it changes". Because your
             | last sentence is about sunlight I actually interpreted
             | "dark side of the moon" as the unlit/ lunar nighttime side
             | on the first several reads.
             | 
             | Anyway it can be interpreted at least three ways:
             | 
             | - Referring incorrectly to the far side
             | 
             | - Referring correctly to the far side because actually dark
             | means something else (but it will be interpreted
             | incorrectly anyway)
             | 
             | - Referring to the side currently in lunar nighttime
             | 
             | The terms "near side", "far side", "lunar night" and "lunar
             | day" are much better.
        
       | areoform wrote:
       | Every such discovery reaffirms that the moon is a time machine.
       | 
       | Next to (or inside) the ice from the Permanently Shadowed
       | Regions, there may be clues to how life got started on Earth.
       | https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-007-6546-7_...
       | It's estimated that this trapped ice may be from the Earth and
       | the Moon from 3.6B to 4.2B+ years ago. Along with other
       | volatiles, this may give humanity an unprecedented look at what
       | the Earth and the Moon were like _before_ life arose. And if we
       | 're truly lucky, depending on how old life is, it may even help
       | us understand how our planet changed _while_ life arose and
       | _after_ life arose.
       | 
       | If it's not there, then the glass beads that they found the water
       | in could also contain trapped gases and compounds that we've
       | become better at detecting. Gases were found in one of the beads
       | brought back by Apollo 15,
       | https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu//full/1991LPI....22..409...
       | 
       | It will likely take decades to figure out most of the information
       | those samples will contain. Helium 3 wasn't discovered in the
       | Apollo 11 and Apollo 17 samples until the 1980s. The Apollo
       | samples are still yielding new science all these decades later.
       | 
       | I'm so excited about what the future has in store for us.
       | 
       | If you'd like to learn more, this is a fairly approachable
       | article written by NASA's former Chief Scientist, Dr. Jim Green,
       | https://room.eu.com/article/evolution-of-volatiles-on-the-mo...
       | 
       | The Moon as a Recorder of Organic Evolution in the Early Solar
       | System: A Lunar Regolith Analog Study --
       | https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/full/10.1089/ast.2014.1217
       | 
       | Potential for prebiotic chemistry at the poles of the Moon --
       | https://spie.org/Publications/Proceedings/Paper/10.1117/12.4...
        
         | rikthevik wrote:
         | > I'm so excited about what the future has in store for us.
         | 
         | Me too. But sometimes I read too many snarky HN comments and I
         | forget.
         | 
         | We are very fortunate.
        
           | hutzlibu wrote:
           | Reading ordinary news, does not help either.
        
         | greggsy wrote:
         | I've always wondered if this ice could have been the remnants
         | of a comet, which after centuries of slowly spiralling closer
         | and closer, landed gently on the moon in a soft cloud of dust.
        
           | IntrepidWorm wrote:
           | There's no fluid bodies on the moon to cushion an incoming
           | asteroid or comet - even if there was an initial gentle
           | capture by the moons gravity, the object would either orbit
           | indefinitely, be cast off, or meet a violent end, scattering
           | atomized material across the surface in a wide debris field.
           | This is why theres so much lunar dust coating the entire
           | surface of the moon, and why that surface is so tremendously
           | scarred. The ice is likely the result of countless violent
           | collisions like this, and the ice crystals that manage to
           | land in shaded craters accumulate while those exposed to the
           | sun quickly sublime away.
        
         | mucle6 wrote:
         | time capsule*
        
       | 32gbsd wrote:
       | Moonbase when?
        
         | hammyhavoc wrote:
         | For what exactly?
        
           | InCityDreams wrote:
           | Set up new places to fight over.
        
             | hammyhavoc wrote:
             | "Space: the latest frontier."
        
           | gnarbarian wrote:
           | prison mining colony.
           | 
           | but seriously, it could be used as a manufacturing and
           | industrial hub for deep space operations like asteroid
           | mining.
           | 
           | think about it like this. if we can manufacture things on the
           | moon we can launch things for almost nothing into both earth
           | orbit and the outer solar system due to how the orbital
           | mechanics work.
           | 
           | this means we can build a million probes and send them all
           | over the solar system, manufacture generation ships,
           | permanent self sustaining space based habitats.
           | 
           | a new era of expansion, exploration, and discovery.
        
             | jiggawatts wrote:
             | Turtles all the way down.
             | 
             | "Why do we need a space station?"
             | 
             | "As practice for getting to the Moon!"
             | 
             | "What can we do on the Moon?"
             | 
             | "Build spaceships for getting to the asteroid belt!"
             | 
             | "Why do we need to get to the asteroid belt?"
             | 
             | "So we can make components for the Mars colonies!"
             | 
             | "Why do we need a Mars colony?"
             | 
             | ...
        
               | SanderNL wrote:
               | Why do we need to do _anything_?
               | 
               | We are the grey goo of the universe. Expansion is our
               | thing.
        
               | once_inc wrote:
               | So long as we don't come into contact with the black goo
               | of the universe, I am more than happy doing what we do.
        
               | nathancahill wrote:
               | If you look at it that way, you can use the same logic
               | here on Earth. Why do you go to work in the morning?
               | 
               | I know how these question chains go, I have a young son.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | voz_ wrote:
               | Because Terrans are the greatest species ever. A single
               | planet is literally all our eggs in one basket.
        
               | gnarbarian wrote:
               | more people is better than fewer people. it means more of
               | humanity, more discoveries, artwork, music, philosophy.
               | 
               | the more we spread out the more freedom we have to pursue
               | our individual dreams and aspirations. (I believe
               | individual freedom is inversely proportional to
               | population density)
               | 
               | the more we spread out the less likely we are to become
               | extinct in a single catastrophic event.
               | 
               | the instinct to explore discover and expand is
               | intrinsically human. Implying humans should stay on earth
               | is about as silly as thinking humans never should have
               | left a small valley in Africa that could only support 100
               | people.
               | 
               | to stay is to die and become extinct. that might be
               | preferable to some. and you are free to do so yourself,
               | but please don't prevent those of us who have that
               | unquenchable fire from pursuing that which will set our
               | entire species free.
        
               | q7xvh97o2pDhNrh wrote:
               | You know, they used to say the same thing about big
               | mountains, right?
               | 
               | Here's a slightly older take on it from that era:
               | 
               | """
               | 
               | People ask me, 'What is the use of climbing Mount
               | Everest?' and my answer must at once be, 'It is of no
               | use.'
               | 
               | There is not the slightest prospect of any gain
               | whatsoever. Oh, we may learn a little about the behaviour
               | of the human body at high altitudes, and possibly medical
               | men may turn our observation to some account for the
               | purposes of aviation.
               | 
               | But otherwise nothing will come of it. We shall not bring
               | back a single bit of gold or silver, not a gem, nor any
               | coal or iron...
               | 
               | If you cannot understand that there is something in man
               | which responds to the challenge of this mountain and goes
               | out to meet it, that the struggle is the struggle of life
               | itself upward and forever upward, then you won't see why
               | we go.
               | 
               | What we get from this adventure is just sheer joy. And
               | joy is, after all, the end of life. We do not live to eat
               | and make money. We eat and make money to be able to live.
               | That is what life means and what life is for.
               | 
               | """
               | 
               | (That's from George Mallory, for the curious.)
        
               | gnarbarian wrote:
               | you get it.
        
               | HopenHeyHi wrote:
               | So does William Shatner:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HU2ftCitvyQ
        
               | someweirdperson wrote:
               | > """[...] What we get from this adventure is just sheer
               | joy. And joy is, after all, the end of life. [...]"""
               | (That's from George Mallory, for the curious.)
               | 
               | For many who are climbing the highest mountains that
               | sheer joy turns into literal end if life. Wikipedia is
               | trying to collect a list of them [0].
               | 
               | [0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_di
               | ed_clim...
        
               | brookst wrote:
               | For many people, loss of life is not the overriding
               | concern.
        
               | Intermernet wrote:
               | Which is fine. As much as it's a cliche to say "they died
               | doing what they loved", most people die in absolutely
               | horrible circumstances. Death is death. I've had a few
               | friends die mountaineering, BASE jumping, climbing etc.
               | and once I've grieved I actually admit that they did, in
               | reality, die doing what they loved. I may miss them, and
               | call them selfish for engaging in dangerous activities,
               | but I respect and admire the drive to push limits that
               | border on the impossible. There are many more deaths that
               | are purely senseless, easily preventable and just as
               | tragic. No one other than the friends and family of those
               | people seems to care or comment on the circumstances of
               | those deaths.
        
               | jiggawatts wrote:
               | There's adventure you fund yourself, and then there's
               | adventure that taxpayers fund to the tune of several
               | trillion dollars.
        
               | Chathamization wrote:
               | Yeah, if a huge chunk of DARPA's budget was spent sending
               | people to climb mountains "Because it's there," people
               | wouldn't be happy. The NASA budget for aeronautics is
               | 1/8th the budget devoted to sending people into space
               | "because it's there." Yet the aeronautics research is
               | much more likely to have an actual positive impact on
               | people's lives.
        
               | r3trohack3r wrote:
               | Because we are well over 75% through the window this
               | planet can support life and are headed towards a complete
               | extinction event with little chance of survival?
               | 
               | Life has been here for ~4.2bn years, has another good
               | 500-800m years left until our carbon cycles grind to a
               | halt.
               | 
               | "Why do we need a space station?"
               | 
               | "To save all life on Earth"
               | 
               | I've grown rather disenfranchised with most ecological
               | movements (outside of the Whole Earth branch). Given what
               | we've learned about our planet in the last few decades,
               | and our current understanding of where this planet is
               | heading, it's hard to interpret their arguments as
               | anything other than advocating for letting all life on
               | Earth die a slow death over the next 1Bn years.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | Carbon cycle?
        
               | anvandare wrote:
               | Earth is a spaceship, unfortunately somehow a bunch of
               | monkeys went rampant and now they're busy tearing up the
               | life support system.
               | 
               | If we can satisfy their (limitless and still growing)
               | hunger for energy and resources by exploiting the rest of
               | the solar system, the monkeys can be kept pacified. That
               | could buy us time to figure out a more permanent, and
               | balanced, solution.
               | 
               | The great thing about the Moon/Mars/asteroid belt is that
               | we can strip mine it. Can't ruin the ecosystem if there
               | isn't one.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | once_inc wrote:
               | ... to survive a giant rock falling on Earth?
        
               | mgolawala wrote:
               | "Because our population exceeds the carrying capacity of
               | the planet, and if it does not do so already, will likely
               | do so in the future, and if it does not do so in the
               | future, it is still a good idea to have a backup plan for
               | our descendants in case we manage to wreck this planet
               | some how. Having a plan B just makes sense doesn't it?
               | Bet you the dinosaurs wished they had one"
        
               | dontlaugh wrote:
               | It's doesn't, though. Per capita consumption varies. It's
               | more that a minority of our population vastly over-
               | consumes. That problem would exist on another planet too.
        
               | beebeepka wrote:
               | Problem is, many would like to live just as this tiny
               | minority.
        
               | dontlaugh wrote:
               | That can be changed far more easily than which planet we
               | live on.
               | 
               | Arguably most people are forced to under-consume, but
               | they'd be happy far below the most conspicuous of over-
               | consumption now happening.
        
               | dgroshev wrote:
               | That's a popular argument that falls apart when you look
               | at the aggregate level of material wealth on this planet.
               | Using GDP per capita as a passable proxy: current world
               | GDP per capita is around $12k afaik, which is about where
               | Mongolia and Indonesia are. Considering high level of
               | inequality there (when you go there as a tourist, you're
               | exposed to the wealthiest part of the society, and we're
               | talking about the average), do you think people would be
               | happy to freeze their consumption on that level? Or even
               | lower, because most people talking about "over-
               | consumption" also think that the current level of
               | consumption is unsustainable?
               | 
               | To make things worse, there are also embedded emissions.
               | You can see it with China, coming out of poverty requires
               | infrastructure expenditure, which means "wealth averaged
               | out" would be even worse than the average would suggest,
               | as you can't average sewers and highways, you have to
               | build them anew.
               | 
               | There is just not enough wealth on this planet as it
               | currently is. When you're saying "they'll be happy far
               | below the most conspicuous of over-consumption", it
               | actually means "worse than an average citizen of
               | Mongolia, forever", which doesn't sound as enticing, does
               | it
        
               | DesiLurker wrote:
               | you dont need to go further than asteroid mining and some
               | robotic assembly platform. planets/moons are one of the
               | worst uses of mass. I believe we'll end up making giant
               | habitats like O'Neil cylinders and expanding using them..
               | pretty soon.
               | 
               | if you combine AI with robotics and space exploration,
               | there is not much point to doing all this manually.
        
           | fsloth wrote:
           | For expanding humanitys footprint to non-terrestrial areas.
           | In a sustainable way. The only way to do that is learn bit by
           | bit what works and what not. It's too complex problem to
           | completely tackle by preplanning (unless we reach singularity
           | first and we figure out it's actually possible to design
           | robust life sustaining systems without prototyping).
        
           | fnordpiglet wrote:
           | Introverts
        
         | yellowapple wrote:
         | aeiou
        
           | dafugg wrote:
           | John Madden
        
           | gnarbarian wrote:
           | just in case people don't get the joke
           | https://youtu.be/Hv6RbEOlqRo
        
             | evandale wrote:
             | I thought I've seen every 10+ year video on youtube already
             | but you've proven me wrong. Thanks for this!
        
             | yellowapple wrote:
             | The in-game chat's support for music will never cease to
             | amaze me: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNPKXfb3rws
        
           | sublinear wrote:
           | erbrbrbrbr
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | Well SpaceX is very close to launching the big rocket, which if
         | successful will totally change the economics of space
         | exploration and settlement. Current launch date is no earlier
         | than April 17th, which is quite soon!
        
           | wincy wrote:
           | I'm sure Elon really wants the big rocket to go on 4/20 if at
           | all possible.
        
         | hulitu wrote:
         | When they find oil, or cobalt, or rare earths. We have enough
         | water on earth, we don't need the one on the moon. /s
         | 
         | You might remember, Columbus did not go to America for a
         | vacation.
        
           | ornitorrincos wrote:
           | no, he went to india to wrestle the spice commerce from the
           | portuguese, finding a different continent was not on his
           | plans
        
             | sclarisse wrote:
             | With the ultimate goal of financing a new crusade, and
             | retaking Jerusalem for Christendom. No, really.
             | 
             | All the profits and the gold he was obsessed with? They
             | weren't for him, they were for the crusade; meanwhile he
             | was spending much of the time dressing like a monk.
        
           | HopenHeyHi wrote:
           | Frankly, I would rather go to the moon for a vacation than
           | America. Space tourism would easily pay for a moon base.
        
           | hn_go_brrrrr wrote:
           | No, he went to get a promotion. He should have launched a
           | chat app instead.
        
           | maxcan wrote:
           | Actually moon water can be quite valuable. Because it
           | requires so much less energy to escape lunar gravity, if you
           | have water, and if you can split it into hydrogen and oxygen,
           | you can make a very effective gas station for rockets going
           | to Mars and further and get a little respite from the tyranny
           | of the rocket equation.
        
           | eyelidlessness wrote:
           | Slavery and bloodsport, but neither will be found on the moon
           | so your point stands.
        
             | yellowapple wrote:
             | We'll just have to make our own, then.
        
         | quickthrower2 wrote:
         | You can also extract a lot of h2o from what goes down the
         | porcelain
        
         | LoveMortuus wrote:
         | As soon as there is enough of a market interest in anything
         | that can be obtained from Moon and can't really be faked on
         | Earth!
         | 
         | I have faith in capitalism, at least in this regard.
        
         | jrussino wrote:
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/artemisnasa/comments/12jox39/timeli...
         | 
         | Does the lunar gateway meet your definition of a "moonbase"?
         | Because if you mean "long-term human presence at the moon" (at
         | least, in the same sense in which we have "long-term human
         | presence in orbit" with the ISS) then the answer seems to be
         | "possibly as soon as the early 2030's.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_Gateway
        
       | cm2187 wrote:
       | Even assuming the ice is pure water, wouldn't it be radioactive
       | given that some molecule come from the sun and the moon is
       | exposed to radiations with no protective atmosphere?
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Also we could do some approximations how much radiation does
         | the atmosphere block? Even at factor of passing 1 to million or
         | billion. We would still have huge amount of radioactive water
         | in our seas and glaciers. But we don't.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | RealityVoid wrote:
         | Being exposed to radiation does not make something radioactive.
         | Radioactive particles settling on the thing is what usually
         | causes things to become radioactive.
         | 
         | We actually use radioactivity to sterilize food.
        
           | arethuza wrote:
           | Neutron activation will make things radioactive?
        
             | stametseater wrote:
             | Correct, the lunar soil is itself radioactive because it's
             | subjected to neutron radiation. What's more, the
             | radioactivity of lunar soil _increases with depth_ ; the
             | Apollo 17 Lunar Neutron Probe Experiment found that the
             | radioactivity peaks at about 1 meter under the surface. I
             | believe this is because the lunar soil moderates the
             | incoming high energy neutrons (thermal neutrons are more
             | likely to be absorbed.) This effect means that careful
             | planning would be required when shielding a Moon colony. If
             | you just haphazardly bulldoze lunar soil onto your habitat,
             | you could easily make your problem worse.
        
         | azernik wrote:
         | Hydrogen from the sun is generally not deuterium, let alone
         | tritium. Irradiation does not, as a rule, make the irradiated
         | thing radioactive; the hydrogen nuclei aka protons are
         | "radiation" because they're moving very fast and cause damage
         | when they hit things, not because they're inherently different
         | from other protons.
        
       | usgroup wrote:
       | "But there is water there. And two new studies--one Chinese, the
       | other American--suggest that lunar soil may have a good deal more
       | water in it than modern space scientists previously believed.
       | It's still very, very dry; NASA'sArtemis program is looking for
       | ice in shadowed craters near the moon's south pole, and mission
       | managers should not change those plans."
        
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