[HN Gopher] Substack Notes Launched
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Substack Notes Launched
        
       Author : theolivenbaum
       Score  : 711 points
       Date   : 2023-04-11 15:43 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (on.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (on.substack.com)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ticviking wrote:
       | If this isn't in app I don't see how it has any way to get
       | traction.
        
       | guywithahat wrote:
       | While cool, this has coincided with Substack not paying the
       | twitter API fee and you can no longer embed tweets on new
       | articles (at least for now)
        
       | abhayhegde wrote:
       | Is that basically like Twitter then? A micro-blogging feature?
       | 
       | Maybe that's why Twitter had blocked retweeting links containing
       | to Substack.
        
         | ARandomerDude wrote:
         | > Maybe that's why Twitter had blocked retweeting links
         | containing to Substack.
         | 
         | That seems to have accelerated the shift for some to Substack
         | [1] (imagine if Google blocked searches for Bing or Brave!).
         | Suppressing Substack makes the Twitter brand look weak and
         | nervous.
         | 
         | 1. https://reason.com/2023/04/10/elon-musk-matt-taibbi-
         | twitter-...
        
           | LegitShady wrote:
           | prediction - substack goes nowhere, like they currently are.
           | 
           | Suppressing substack when substack is trying to advertise for
           | a twitter competitor is just common sense. There's no need
           | for twitter to advertise for a competitor. That isn't
           | censorship, thats just normal business. If substack was
           | depending on twitter for free data and free advertising they
           | were the ones who were weak and nervous.
        
             | marcinzm wrote:
             | As I see it if you have a significantly superior product
             | then a competitor advertising on your platform is a
             | positive since it just make you look even better in
             | comparison. And a social media platform with 200 million
             | daily users should be significantly superior to an
             | identical clone with probably 1 million on a good day. Of
             | course if you think you don't have a better product or that
             | people hate your product that much then it's time to build
             | moats and prevent people from jumping ship.
        
               | LegitShady wrote:
               | none of this has anything to do with substack making a
               | business plan off of sucking down twitter data and
               | advertising on twitter. There's no reason twitter has to
               | put up with that.
        
               | marcinzm wrote:
               | Twitter's freedom to do something doesn't prevent other
               | people's freedom to react to those actions.
               | 
               | They can block whomever they want and I can say it
               | highlights how fragile they view their own business
               | position as.
        
               | LegitShady wrote:
               | if you want to believe not directly contributing to
               | competition that tried to take your data and advertise on
               | your platform is fragile, thats of course your choice. To
               | everyone else its just common sense. the fragility is the
               | business plan that needs to steal its competitors data
               | and space for advertising to have a hope in succeeding.
        
             | r053bud wrote:
             | Twitter was supposed to be the "public square", even Elon
             | said as much. Restricting which goods and services are sold
             | or marketed in said square is a shift away from that
             | mentality.
        
               | mjmsmith wrote:
               | When you're even losing the other billionaires: https://m
               | astodon.social/@malwaretech@infosec.exchange/110172...
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | Twitter's another monopolist media company with a bunch
               | of debt that needs to drown a potential competitor. I
               | don't see Substack being able to become a direct
               | competitor because the newsletter business is too good,
               | and having _closed_ twitter-like spaces that don 't allow
               | organized harassment is a good way for newsletters to
               | build community and conversations. Twitter will remain
               | the public version, where constant harassment from the
               | ill and the covert has to be filtered out like spam.
               | 
               | That being said, maybe the important things will start
               | being said in private spaces and only end up in "public
               | squares" via screenshot ten or fifteen minutes later.
        
               | Shekelphile wrote:
               | Of course. It's never been about free speech, but
               | promoting Musk's personal interests and brand of
               | politics.
        
             | rvz wrote:
             | Many had already forgotten that before the so-called
             | villain of the year called Elon Musk took over the blue
             | bird site, there was a social network called Meerkat that
             | Twitter actively suppressed and introduced their own
             | alternative called periscope.
             | 
             | Twitter is within their right to cut off access to their
             | competitors, future or present.
        
             | jabradoodle wrote:
             | They blocked any retweet or like of a tweet containing a
             | substack link.
             | 
             | E.g. an author writes content, people who are not
             | affiliated with substack try to like/share.
             | 
             | That is not advertising, and this from the apparent free
             | speech absolutist Elon.
        
           | gwen-shapira wrote:
           | Substack also removed the "Also publish to Twitter" checkbox
           | from the settings screen before publishing each post.
        
             | reaperducer wrote:
             | Is that Substack being evil, or the result of Twitter
             | locking almost everyone out of its API recently?
        
               | gwen-shapira wrote:
               | I just shared an interesting fact that I learned while
               | posting on Substack this morning. I don't know the
               | reason, and generally I don't think of product changes in
               | terms of good and evil.
        
             | basisword wrote:
             | I think that was because Twitter revoked their API access
             | including breaking their Sign in with Twitter feature (at
             | least that's what I read a few days back).
        
         | rchaud wrote:
         | It's admitting that managing infrastructure for email
         | newsletters is not a viable business. After all, you can't
         | serve people targeted third party ads with just email.
        
           | jabradoodle wrote:
           | It depends what you mean by viable. Substack newsletters have
           | a paid option, substack can take a cut of that and the infra
           | costs of sending emails is tiny.
           | 
           | If you want to bethe next massive aquistion/IPO, then maybe
           | not.
        
           | runnerup wrote:
           | Why not? Could insert an ad into the email. Personalized for
           | each recipient even.
        
         | dilap wrote:
         | I think it was a bad move by Elon to ban (and good move to
         | reverse, though some damage already done), but I see why he was
         | pissed: it's a straight-up Twitter clone.
        
       | barbazoo wrote:
       | Big Twitter alternative announced on ... Twitter
        
         | capital_guy wrote:
         | Yeah, I think @dang should change this link to the official
         | announcement at https://on.substack.com/p/notes
        
       | seydor wrote:
       | But the name ... couldnt they name it "Stacks" or something
        
       | therealmarv wrote:
       | Dead on arrival. You cannot transfer a crowd to another platform.
        
       | that_guy_iain wrote:
       | Whoever approved that name must be crazy. Googling that is coming
       | up with everything else. Looking on the AppStore is the same.
        
         | joegahona wrote:
         | That occurred to me too. You want something that has meaning
         | but isn't insanely generic. So something between "Notes" and
         | "Nostr."
        
       | abledon wrote:
       | People may berate twitter as being a 'simple' app, but everyone
       | uses it because everyone is already there. Substack can't clone
       | that 'first mover' advantage.
        
         | willio58 wrote:
         | As someone who consumes twitter posts without even having an
         | account, I don't really care if a 'tweet' comes from twitter or
         | substack.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | keiferski wrote:
       | Substack has been adding a lot of random features lately and it
       | makes me worry that they will lose focus on the email newsletter
       | aspect of their platform, which is what I like about it.
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | There's a few reasons I'm skeptical. For one they have an
         | equally spotty reputation for arbitrary editorial policy while
         | claiming to be completely agnostic. And secondly there have
         | been a few stories about their distressed fiscal situation.
         | They spent a load of VC money from the zero interest era on
         | prominent writers. Far more than they'd bring in as revenue in
         | the hopes they'd juice the brand. Classic strategy of selling
         | dollars for 75 cents to get traction. Only they'd paid
         | disproportionate amounts to some controversial writers which
         | is, in essence, an editorial policy that speaks in dollars.
         | They've also punished critics.
         | 
         | My general belief is that we won't get a better Twitter from VC
         | world. I also have zero confidence in the Fediverse because it
         | has no business strategy.
         | 
         | https://www.theverge.com/2022/8/17/23309877/substack-forever...
        
           | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
           | > I also have zero confidence in the Fediverse because it has
           | no business strategy.
           | 
           | HTTP also has no business strategy. Any number of sites that
           | use the protocol can have different strategies, profit-
           | oriented or otherwise.
        
           | noirscape wrote:
           | Honestly, my confidence in the Fediverse is in part because
           | it has no business strategy. The tooling behind it is at the
           | moment pretty much universally AGPL (a license which I don't
           | think is very good but it seems to keep away big businesses).
           | It probably won't reach mass-appeal outside of gradually
           | amassing tech nerds, but at the same time... maybe that's for
           | the better?
           | 
           | I dunno, I think a lot of the enshittification[0] of social
           | media companies comes in part _because_ of their business
           | strategies. VCs demand eternal growth or an eventual buyout.
           | Fedi doesn 't have that incentive. The worst that can happen
           | to it is what happened to e-mail, where you get a few
           | nebulously large providers but it's still more than possible
           | (although with e-mail, rather aggravating due to an outdated
           | tech stack that we've bolted a bunch of asterisks onto to try
           | and make it more suited for general use) to live outside that
           | bubble and interact with that big provider bubble anyway.
           | 
           | [0]: https://www.wired.com/story/tiktok-platforms-cory-
           | doctorow/
        
             | tootie wrote:
             | The tech stack of any platform is secondary or even
             | tertiary to success. Especially for something relatively
             | trivial like microblogging.
        
       | exizt88 wrote:
       | Looks very good. I wonder how the product team is thinking about
       | user retention. I caught myself thinking "Huh, there's a lot of
       | interesting content here -- I hope I don't forget to look at it
       | tomorrow". Not sure how to solve that without being annoying,
       | TBH.
        
       | xd1936 wrote:
       | This would be much more interesting to me if it was a member of
       | the Fediverse and supported ActivityPub.
        
         | arrakeen wrote:
         | please no. Substack Notes is a self-quarantine zone for the
         | kind of self-promoting Twitter users who viewed the site as a
         | place for them to engage an audience. despite its many, many
         | faults, at least the Fediverse has real people hanging out and
         | chatting with each other.
        
         | internetter wrote:
         | Agreed. I commented this on the announcement thread, but
         | there's so much... Bluesky, T2, Hive, Post, now this. I'm not
         | gonna jump to a new microblogging platform when 10% of my
         | friends are on one, 10% on another.
         | 
         | If you are making a twitter clone, AP is the only way to go
        
           | Andrex wrote:
           | I don't understand why providing and consuming RSS/Atom is so
           | problematic the technical headaches couldn't be overcome...
        
         | einpoklum wrote:
         | How would this be better than Mastodon? (Really asking, I only
         | ever tried Mastodon for a bit.)
        
           | xuancanh wrote:
           | Mastodon lacks personalized sorting in its news feed as well
           | as account-to-follow recommendations. A news feed that is
           | strictly organized in chronological order becomes unusable
           | when users follow more than 100 accounts. This can only be
           | solved by having a centralized services like Substack.
        
       | s1k3s wrote:
       | Does anyone know what software they use to make these short demo
       | videos? I see them in lots of app landing pages and I'm curious
       | how to make them.
        
         | rasengan wrote:
         | On macOS, you can use Quicktime which lets you also select a
         | geometric region within the screen. Then, you can edit, crop
         | and so forth in iMovie. Finally, you can use ffmpeg to convert
         | to gif.
         | 
         | The following command works well:
         | 
         | ffmpeg -i in.mp4 -vf "fps=10" -loop 0 out.gif
         | 
         | To be clear, the loop 0 will make the gif infinitely loop. By
         | setting a number n, it will set the gif to loop n times.
        
           | s1k3s wrote:
           | Thanks, it seems like Quicktime + iMovie is what I was
           | looking for.
        
             | rasengan wrote:
             | No problem!
        
             | hbn wrote:
             | Worth noting, if all you need to do is trim the video,
             | Quicktime can do this quickly out of the box without iMovie
             | (Cmd+T to trim)
             | 
             | A lot of the time I find this preferable because iMovie is
             | not very flexible with video aspect ratios/resolutions
        
           | zikduruqe wrote:
           | > On macOS, you can use Quicktime which lets you also select
           | a geometric region within the screen.
           | 
           | Or Command + Shift + 5
        
           | hbn wrote:
           | I've done this but I've still never figured out the magic
           | sauce to get a gif with a good balance of file size and
           | quality. And gifs seem to have some kind of trick I don't
           | understand with framerate cause sometimes a 30fps gif I made
           | will play in slow motion, and at first I think it's that it's
           | just slowly loading, but even after it's fully loaded it
           | still plays slowed down.
           | 
           | gifs just constantly remind me that they're not made for what
           | we used them for these days
        
             | taylorjadin wrote:
             | gifski does a great job at being relatively simple, while
             | handling quality stuff for you.
             | 
             | https://gif.ski/
             | 
             | gifski --fps 10 --width 320 -o anim.gif video.mp4
        
         | toddmorey wrote:
         | Gif makes sense as an output format but your question may be
         | what software to use to capture & edit the screen activity.
         | 
         | Even with all the other options, my favorite is still
         | ScreenFlow. It has a lot of editing features... basically
         | uMovie for screen recordings.
        
         | DoubleDerper wrote:
         | animated gifs. lots of free tools available. substack probably
         | has staff designers to make it extra pretty.
        
           | mstade wrote:
           | I use gifski, it's perfect: https://gif.ski/
        
             | livinglist wrote:
             | this seems really nice.
        
             | drusepth wrote:
             | Can gifski handle the initial recording (e.g. selecting an
             | area of your monitor and recording)? Or is it just for
             | converting other recordings into gif?
        
               | karaterobot wrote:
               | Negative. Just a converter.
        
         | tedmiston wrote:
         | Minus the background color, the drop shadow is the same as how
         | it looks when you do this in QuickTime > New Screen Recording >
         | Capture Selected Window.
        
       | Thorentis wrote:
       | They should add a paid add-on where writers can have an LLM
       | generate snippets from their articles and then post them as notes
       | automatically in order to generate a bite sized feed from
       | existing content. Gives Substack a foot in the AI door and paves
       | the way for timelines and algorithmic feeds, etc.
        
       | papito wrote:
       | I can see why Elon is hysterical. An actual long-form publisher,
       | with content creators, with proper "blue checks" and a customer
       | base paying for more than vanity badges. I spent a few minutes on
       | it, and yeah, it IS a Twitter clone, and it's a real threat.
        
       | lpolovets wrote:
       | I'm a little unclear on what subscribing means in the context of
       | Notes + Newsletters. Does subscribing to someone in the Notes
       | product mean I'm also subscribed to emails from the person? If
       | so, that's not a great dynamic -- I'd like to follow 100s of
       | people in Notes, but that doesn't mean I want to subscribe to
       | 100s of newsletters.
        
         | clessg wrote:
         | This _appears_ to be correct based on my extremely limited
         | experience thus far. It 's pretty confusing. However,
         | apparently the emails can be disabled:
         | https://substack.com/profile/364398-judd-legum/note/c-144726...
         | 
         | > 1. Go to Settings on the web version of substack.com
         | 
         | > 2. Scroll down to you publications
         | 
         | > 3. Click into any publication you don't want to get emails.
         | 
         | > 4. Deselect "Receive emails for new posts"
         | 
         | Hoping they improve the experience.
        
       | ghiculescu wrote:
       | I love Substack. But apart from to mess with Twitter I really
       | don't understand the point of this.
       | 
       | https://substack.com/profile/241262-casey-newton/note/c-1446...
       | I'd a good summary. I don't want to subscribe to hundreds of
       | newsletters to see tweet (sorry, notes). But if you change that
       | setup, it really is a Twitter clone with no upside to writers.
        
         | kritiko wrote:
         | The upside to writers would be traffic to their articles. Once
         | you get to the article, you can have the usual subscribe
         | overlay.
         | 
         | I think it does add some confusion to the product if notes
         | become more popular than articles / comment sections on
         | articles.
        
         | m_ke wrote:
         | They raised a ton of money on a high valuation, spent 25mil to
         | make 1 mil last year and are now scrambling to raise a new
         | crowd sourced round because they don't want to get wiped out in
         | a down round.
         | 
         | This notes thing looks like an attempt to pivot to an
         | advertising based business model and I'm guessing they think
         | they have "influencers" on their platform to bring in a decent
         | audience.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | Next on the product roadmap:
           | 
           | - Infinite scrolling feed w/ ads
           | 
           | - Video Substacks
           | 
           | - Infinite scrolling video Substacks w/ ads
        
             | kubectl_h wrote:
             | Don't forget the chumboxes.
        
             | sourcecodeplz wrote:
             | But teh videoz need be shoorts
        
           | te_chris wrote:
           | ZIRP picking off its victims one by one
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | blitzar wrote:
             | You are not a victim in any real sense if they cut you a
             | fat cheque first then take away the toys.
        
               | spaceman_2020 wrote:
               | Only victims are the pension funds and sovereign funds
               | and HNIs who fund VCs. Everyone else made money. Founders
               | made money at every raise, employees made money with fat
               | salaries, users "made" money with fat discounts.
        
           | LordDragonfang wrote:
           | >This notes thing looks like an attempt to pivot to an
           | advertising based business model
           | 
           | The announcement for the feature on twitter[1] literally
           | emphasizes the lack of ads, pointing out subs are their
           | revenue source, so that would be some 4D enshittification
           | chess.
           | 
           | [1] https://twitter.com/hamishmckenzie/status/164362995302659
           | 686...
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _announcement for the feature on twitter literally
             | emphasizes the lack of ads_
             | 
             | Guessing that's now how they'll pitch it to an acquirer
             | once it takes off.
        
           | lapcat wrote:
           | > This notes thing looks like an attempt to pivot to an
           | advertising based business model
           | 
           | It's not. Substack is very clear about that.
           | https://on.substack.com/p/notes-faq
           | 
           | "The ultimate goal on Substack is to convert casual readers
           | into paying subscribers. Because the Substack network runs on
           | paid subscriptions, writers are rewarded for respecting the
           | trust and attention of their audiences, not exploiting it
           | like with ad-based social media."
           | 
           | "While Notes may look similar to social media feeds, the key
           | difference is in what you don't see. The Substack network
           | runs on paid subscriptions, not ads. It's social media with a
           | heart transplant."
        
             | Incipient wrote:
             | Because no company would ever lie about their intentions,
             | or at the very least pivot to the exact opposite of their
             | original point without a second thought.
             | 
             | Would they?
        
               | k_pres wrote:
               | Clearly not. No company would ever betray their original
               | principles for the opportunity to make more money in the
               | short term
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | shanebellone wrote:
               | "Because no company would ever lie about their
               | intentions, or at the very least pivot to the exact
               | opposite of their original point without a second
               | thought."
               | 
               | No business would pivot to a dying monetization model
               | unless it was their last option.
               | 
               | Advertising is not a solution for Substack; but rather a
               | Trojan Horse.
        
               | rchaud wrote:
               | Dying monetization model? Is that why Microsoft, Amazon
               | and Apple App Store are splattering their properties with
               | them like a Jackson Pollock painting?
        
               | v0idzer0 wrote:
               | As much as I wish this were to true, it's objectively
               | false. Digital advertising is a healthy industry that
               | powers many profitable companies. Substack is not
               | profitable and torching money even with a 10% claim on
               | wroters' subscription revenue
        
           | gimme_treefiddy wrote:
           | > They raised a ton of money on a high valuation, spent 25mil
           | to make 1 mil last year and are now scrambling to raise a new
           | crowd sourced round because they don't want to get wiped out
           | in a down round.
           | 
           | Sorry to get off-topic, but is there a read/book to
           | understand funding, VCs, etc., from a holistic POV. I totally
           | didn't expect that consequence of having to raise a crowd
           | sourced round due to initial high valuation.
        
             | ymolodtsov wrote:
             | Venture Deals by Bred Feld is the best book on the matter
        
             | mikpanko wrote:
             | "Venture Deals: Be Smarter Than Your Lawyer And VC" is
             | pretty good. Used it when raising a round of funding.
             | 
             | "The Power Law: Venture Capital And The Making Of The New
             | Future" is also good. It tells the story of the evolution
             | of VC over the last 70 years. It is interesting that
             | funding terms seem to be becoming more and more founder-
             | friendly over decades.
        
             | hackitup7 wrote:
             | - Their valuation is high because they raised during the
             | recent bubble
             | 
             | - If you raise more money at a lower valuation than your
             | last fundraise, it's highly dilutive. Investors paid $10
             | for 10% of a $100 valued company last round during the
             | bubble. Vs. given current market conditions, new investors
             | would only pay $10 for 20% of a $50 valued company this
             | round. This second round would dilute existing investors,
             | except...
             | 
             | - If you crowd source the funding, now you can raise at a
             | $100 valuation again (less dilution), because these
             | crowdsourcing investors don't know what they're doing
        
             | drusepth wrote:
             | I don't have a resource for you (and will probably read
             | whatever you get linked), but one intuitive way to think
             | about it is that VCs/investors (and most of the startup
             | ecosystem) are generally focused on "growth", not
             | "performance".
             | 
             | You can be a stable, profitable, money-making machine with
             | 90+% margins and amazing reviews, but unless you're
             | doubling something (users, engagement, profits, etc) every
             | single year, you go to the back of the potential-investment
             | line.
             | 
             | A high initial valuation might be great for performance
             | relative to other companies (or whatever reasonable metric
             | you want to insert here), but it also makes it way more
             | difficult to show "growth" YOY compared to a lower initial
             | valuation.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | Why would a company like that want VC money? They can go
               | to a bank if their numbers are that good and keep their
               | equity for themselves.
        
             | q7xvh97o2pDhNrh wrote:
             | Having been in/around the game for a good few years, I can
             | assure you it's not nearly as complicated as they try to
             | make it sound.
             | 
             | The game works like this: the VCs want 100% of your
             | company, and you want to give away 0% of your company. (Of
             | course, 90%+ of companies will fail, so it doesn't really
             | matter. But let's pretend we're all in that special 10%.)
             | 
             | If you do end up choosing to play that particular game,
             | then you'll find some common numerical rules of thumb. They
             | usually go like this: Each round should raise 12-18 months
             | of runway, and each round's investors usually get about
             | 20-30% of your company.
             | 
             | On one side of the game, you have the VCs, who basically
             | play this negotiation full-time -- and whose comp structure
             | depends on extracting as much equity from you as possible.
             | This is why we get the constant stream of "thought
             | leadership" from VC bloggers, because they're trying to
             | distinguish themselves as offering something more than
             | capital. (And, having distinguished themselves, they can
             | extract more % from you for less $.)
             | 
             | After decades of practice, VCs have plenty of hustles they
             | can run. Some of the classics are the old "participating
             | preferred" play, as well as the usual sound bite about how
             | "it doesn't matter what the exact numbers are."
             | 
             | On the other side of the game, you have the founders, who
             | basically want the maximum amount of money in exchange for
             | the least amount of equity -- but also for the least amount
             | of _time._ Fundraising is a massive distraction, and VCs
             | know it -- which is why time always gets used against the
             | founder, with long and drawn-out  "fundraising processes"
             | that (by total coincidence, of course) also happen to
             | exhaust the founder and push them towards signing.
             | 
             | The twist is that this game isn't only for 1 round. Once
             | you take your company into this game, you're stuck in it --
             | you'll have to keep fundraising to keep fueling the growth
             | that you've kickstarted using external capital. With the
             | average IPO timeline being 7-10 years, combined with
             | fundraising every 12-18 months, you can expect to play this
             | game 5+ times on the way to IPO.
             | 
             | Sometimes, for a variety of reasons, the founder raises
             | _too much_ $ for _too little_ %. You 'd think this is a
             | good move -- but, since this is an iterated game, it's not
             | all upside. Decisions in this round set the stage for the
             | next round. If you can't live up to the growth expectations
             | implied by the high valuation, then you're in for a "down
             | round."
             | 
             | VCs have a standard "down round" playbook, too. They'll
             | have their way with the cap table, of course -- and it's
             | also not uncommon to see some/all of the founding team
             | shown the door. The press piles on as soon as they hear of
             | it, which drags on employee morale as well as the talent
             | pipeline, both of which then destroy product velocity and
             | market positioning... it's _very_ easy to have a single
             | "down round" be the kiss of death for a company.
             | 
             | So that brings us all the way back around to your question.
             | For this particular company -- as well as for many others
             | that raised during the "cheap money" era of the pandemic
             | and pre-pandemic years -- it sounds like they're facing
             | this conundrum. Crowdsourcing the next round is a somewhat
             | new way to tackle this situation -- new regulations came
             | out a few years ago, and founders sometimes go this route
             | instead of risking the "down round" game with VCs.
             | 
             | You usually only see B2C companies making the crowd-funding
             | play in the first place, since you need the name
             | recognition and customer base to even _try_ to raise money
             | in this way. Because founders can essentially  "divide and
             | conquer" their investor base in a scenario where everyone's
             | investing only four or five figures, the common scenario
             | here is that the founder sets the terms to avoid the down
             | round -- and _then_ they begin the fundraising. Since they
             | 're fundraising from hundreds/thousands of people instead
             | of 5-10 people, it ends up being more of a marketing
             | campaign rather than high-touch sales, which can also play
             | to some founders' strengths.
             | 
             | Anyway, I could keep riffing for a while (and I'm sure
             | others here could do even better). I'll let the other
             | commenters chime in with book recommendations -- I'm sure
             | someone's written about these market dynamics in much more
             | detail.
        
               | reducesuffering wrote:
               | > The twist is that this game isn't only for 1 round.
               | Once you take your company into this game, you're stuck
               | in it -- you'll have to keep fundraising to keep fueling
               | the growth that you've kickstarted using external
               | capital.
               | 
               | Why? What stops you from raising a $15m series A and only
               | burning it conservatively until you hit neutral
               | profitability. Investors only have 15-25% of your cap
               | table and can't strong-arm you.
        
               | quickthrower2 wrote:
               | You would have had to mislead them right? Why would they
               | give $15m to use slowly when they can give $15m to a
               | company that will use it quick, assuming both companies
               | are using it in a +EV way?
        
               | mikpanko wrote:
               | In my experience the reality is much more nuanced:
               | 
               | - VCs don't want founders to own 0% of their company
               | because founders need to be motivated to work hard to
               | make it a success
               | 
               | - % of dilution usually goes down very significantly over
               | funding rounds
               | 
               | - there is significant competition between VCs to fund
               | good startups these days, which can translate to founder
               | leverage
               | 
               | - there are early-stage VCs these days, which don't
               | pressure founders for quick growth
               | 
               | - founders talk to each other and a large portion of
               | founders are serial entrepreneurs. Reputation among
               | founders matters to VCs
               | 
               | - looking over the longer term of decades, typical
               | funding terms are getting much more founder-friendly
        
               | q7xvh97o2pDhNrh wrote:
               | > there are early-stage VCs these days, which don't
               | pressure founders for quick growth
               | 
               | That's really interesting. Do you know how they make that
               | work, exactly?
               | 
               | I feel like that's naturally opposed to the standard
               | incentive structures that VCs have with their LPs. They
               | need to show results in O(years) so they can raise their
               | next fund and keep the overall VC firm going over
               | O(decades). That maps down straightforwardly to the day-
               | to-day pressure VCs put on all their portfolio companies
               | to grow as fast as possible.
               | 
               | Unless early-stage VCs are doing something new with the
               | terms they give their LPs, how _could_ they prioritize
               | anything other than growth?
        
               | alephnerd wrote:
               | Down the grapevine at least, a couple Micro VCs ik
               | provide a pipeline for CorpDev teams at larger companies
               | and early stage VCs (Series A-C check signers like
               | Unusual Ventures) to choose pre-vetted companies. Mind
               | you this seems to be more Enterprise/B2B Micro VC
               | oriented.
               | 
               | If the startup is showing good growth metrics, they'd
               | point them to friends at later stage funds. If they
               | aren't, they'd give intros and help get the startup
               | aquihired.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | "Secrets of Sand Hill Road" by Scott Kupor (Managing
             | Partner @ A16Z).
             | 
             | Was recommended to read this by VC friends to prep for
             | Investment Associate interviews a couple years ago
        
           | quaintdev wrote:
           | I remember there was a time when people were excited about
           | medium. Then medium needed some money so they started
           | blocking readers behind login dialog boxes. Then come
           | substack and everyone got excited about it. Sooner or later
           | it will be on same path that medium took.
           | 
           | When will we realise that blogging websites (not personal
           | blogs) are not sustainable in long run.
        
             | lapcat wrote:
             | > Then come substack and everyone got excited about it.
             | Sooner or later it will be on same path that medium took.
             | 
             | Substack is already far, far more paywalled than Medium
             | ever was. Subscriptions are the business model.
        
               | nkozyra wrote:
               | Yeah, it appears their growth strategy is the inverse of
               | Medium's.
        
             | spaceman_2020 wrote:
             | Imo, a blogging software company really does not need to be
             | valued in the billions or make a ton of money. The tech can
             | be maintained by a relatively small team of people - see
             | all the independent blogging platforms and open source
             | tools.
             | 
             | This is a classic case of VCs corrupting an industry with
             | money that's really not needed at valuations that really
             | can't be supported.
        
             | nkozyra wrote:
             | One could argue that social media is technically all
             | "blogging websites"
             | 
             | Advertising works there because of the numbers. People will
             | quickly consume enough bite sized content to drive
             | traditional numbers.
             | 
             | Medium broke the things that made them appealing in an
             | attempt to sweeten the advertising sell, but this made the
             | platform unappealing. It was a self inflicted wound.
        
               | amadeuspagel wrote:
               | Medium broke things (by making people login) precisely
               | because they wanted to charge money, because they did not
               | want to use advertising (and AFAIK they still don't).
        
               | cratermoon wrote:
               | > Advertising works there because of the numbers. People
               | will quickly consume enough bite sized content to drive
               | traditional numbers.
               | 
               | To be more specific, advertising works there because of
               | the feed algorithms. The platforms gather data about user
               | interests and use that to tune what they choose to show
               | the users, favoring things the algorithms suggest will
               | get more "engagement". In turn, they sell ads on those
               | favored items. On top of that, they charge both users and
               | advertisers a premium to be featured on the favored
               | topics.
               | 
               | Take away the algorithms that determine what content and
               | ads to feature, and you get back to the basics of
               | blogging websites. You get happier users, but no
               | advertising money.
        
             | amadeuspagel wrote:
             | People will realize that once there's some easy-to-self-
             | host blogging software with support for comments and
             | newsletters.
        
               | rchaud wrote:
               | Easy to self host? We live in a world where Mastodon had
               | to change their signup screen to de-emphasize "pick a
               | server" because people had no idea what that meant.
        
           | neural_thing wrote:
           | Their 2021 revenue is $12M. We don't know their 2022 revenue.
           | Your numbers are just wrong.
           | 
           | Source:
           | 
           | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1783191/000167025423.
           | ..
        
             | chrisbolt wrote:
             | From your source, their 2021 net profit was -$6.5M and
             | their 2020 net profit was $1M. They seem to be mixing the
             | $24.6M in negative cash flow for 2021 with the $1M in net
             | profit in 2020? Doesn't make any sense.
        
               | Gareth321 wrote:
               | Valuations in tech haven't been based on profit for 25
               | years now. It's all revenue and user growth.
        
             | m_ke wrote:
             | Yeah sorry about that, I was just repeating something I
             | heard on a podcast and it looks like they assumed that was
             | top line revenue and took 10% of it.
             | 
             | I'd edit the post but it's too late to do so.
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35534035
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | ghiculescu wrote:
           | Where is the 1M number from? They take 10% of subscriptions
           | and https://sellcoursesonline.com/substack-statistics says
           | that just the top writers made 20M in 2021. I bet there's a
           | long tail.
           | 
           | (I don't think you're wrong by a factor of 10, just curious
           | where you got your number from.)
        
             | bolanyo wrote:
             | A lot of the top writers have large guaranteed incomes and
             | related incentive structures. The 20M is not all revenue,
             | some of it is a cost for Substack.
        
             | m_ke wrote:
             | I couldn't reply sooner because I have noprocast on but my
             | numbers were a bit off, I was repeating what I heard on a
             | tech podcast. According to the numbers they had to release
             | it was a bit higher
             | https://www.axios.com/2023/04/07/substack-gets-writers-to-
             | in...
        
           | pornel wrote:
           | Losing only 24 million sounds like a bargain. Imagine
           | spending 40 billion to pay 1 billion more in interest each
           | year.
        
             | ymolodtsov wrote:
             | They haven't lost it. They paid advanced to writers but
             | they will gather their share in a few years.
        
               | HillRat wrote:
               | The economics on those deals look worse over time --
               | they're spending over $3 in guaranteed payments per $1
               | collected on those partner subscriptions, which meant
               | partner subs went from being mildly profitable (gross) in
               | 2020 to a $10mm cash sink in 2021. The good news is that
               | overall the subsidized writers should be making enough
               | for Substack to shut down the incentive payments (~$40mm
               | in subscription revenue to writers vs $16mm in subsidies
               | in 2021), so there's a good chance they can stop the
               | bleeding. Still overvalued by at least 25x, though, and
               | their OPEX is concerning; even if you ignore the $16mm in
               | partner payments, they're still $6mm underwater on $10mm
               | in revenue.
        
             | m3kw9 wrote:
             | Not when he had 200 billion to begin with
        
             | yifanl wrote:
             | I mean consider also: Imagine being in a position where you
             | can spend 40 billion and it doesn't wipe you out.
        
               | BulgarianIdiot wrote:
               | It's wiping him out in slow motion.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | Imagine spending only 30% of your net worth and getting
               | to experiment with buying and growing one of the most
               | used and talked about sites on the internet.
               | 
               | If I spent 30% of my net worth I could buy a condo in the
               | bay, possibly. Although odds are it would be worth close
               | to that if I needed to sell it.
               | 
               | But many people spend 30% of their net worth trying to
               | start businesses with almost no traction. Musk spent 30%
               | to buy something known internationally.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | nacs wrote:
               | The condo you buy with 30% of your net is going to be
               | worth 30% or more later. That's a good investment.
               | 
               | Musk spent 30% of his net worth on it then immediatly
               | burned 90% of the already questionable value it had.
               | 
               | What Musk did was just bad business.
        
               | wfme wrote:
               | > then immediatly burned 90% of the already questionable
               | value it had
               | 
               | citation needed
        
               | onion2k wrote:
               | _Imagine spending only 30% of your net worth and getting
               | to experiment with buying and growing one of the most
               | used and talked about sites on the internet._
               | 
               | That sounds like one of the least interesting things I
               | could do with $44bn.
               | 
               | With that sort of money I could fund 1000 Twitter rivals,
               | and after a couple of years combine the successful and
               | interesting ones into a single rival that would actually
               | do something better than Twitter.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | I think most of us would do that, but I don't think musk
               | has the desire or time to start a VC studio.
        
               | jodrellblank wrote:
               | > " _That sounds like one of the least interesting things
               | I could do with $44bn._ "
               | 
               | You could fund _The Manhattan Project_ ($21Bn).
               | 
               | And the Panama Canal ($13Bn).
               | 
               | And the Concorde project ($2.5Bn).
               | 
               | And the Hoover Dam ($0.8Bn).
               | 
               | And an Eiffel Tower, a Statue of Liberty, and a statue of
               | Christ the Redeemer. ($100s of M)
               | 
               | Buy yourself a B52 Stealth Bomber (~$2Bn).
               | 
               | And a Hindenburg ($100M), and a Titanic ($400M).
               | 
               | And still have a couple of _billion_ left over.
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | I mean I could buy a very expensive Mercedes and drive it
               | straight into the Bay at high speed.
               | 
               | That doesn't make it a good idea.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | Definitely doesn't make it a good idea. But it's still
               | interesting that he's playing with one of the most talked
               | about sites on the internet without really affecting his
               | finances at all. Of all the random things to do with your
               | money, it's not even that bad of an experiment.
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | He's just a rich kid pulling the legs off an ant.
               | 
               | I actually find it perverse.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | He's not a kid using his parents money. He's using his
               | own and his personal name/reputation to secure money.
               | He's not hurting an ant. He fired people and let them go
               | find other jobs which seems pretty fair instead of for
               | example reducing their pay drastically and forcing them
               | to quit, or paying them minimum wage and profit sharing.
               | Which still would have been pretty fair IMO. Not every
               | ceo or company owners needs to be operating a charity
               | like the previous Twitter CEO was.
        
               | yangikan wrote:
               | It can be done without being an asshole (for example
               | without insulting a handicapped person)
               | https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/elon-musk-gets-
               | involved-...
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | Note: he did not insult a handicapped person. At no point
               | did he attack his disability. That was a cruel twisting
               | of facts by the media.
               | 
               | Further he was misled by someone feeding him incorrect
               | information and promptly apologized for the confusion.
               | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1633253950198624257
        
               | cactusplant7374 wrote:
               | He found out Twitter would need to pay him 100M. That is
               | a big incentive to backpedal.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | There's no evidence to support that statement.
               | 
               | Given he continues to talk with the man at times (he
               | replied to one of his tweets the a few days ago) and
               | there's no evidence to support the idea that he did it
               | for monetary reasons, other explanations are much more
               | reasonable. Namely that it was a simple mistake.
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | Honest question: why do you see it as your job to defend
               | Elon Musk online? I see a lot of people doing it and I
               | find it strange. Why do you care?
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | Some of us like sticking up for people of similar
               | temperament to us. I'd stick up for the average person
               | that gutted a company he bought and kept it running just
               | like I would Musk.
               | 
               | I like Musk because he doesn't appear to be a woke tool.
               | Is he a tool of a different kind? Probably. But I don't
               | like woke, so I stick up for the non-woke. Is he perfect?
               | No. None of us are.
        
           | rosywoozlechan wrote:
           | What did they spend their $25 million on? What's the tech
           | they have that costs this much to build? Their hard problems
           | are a building a CMS or are otherwise solved by using fastly
           | and sendgrid?
        
             | yoran wrote:
             | For most startups that raise money, tech is hardly a big
             | cost. Most of the money goes towards fueling growth through
             | paid marketing and so on.
        
               | j45 wrote:
               | People and office space are traditionally two major
               | contributors
        
             | Fomite wrote:
             | They threw money at some big name early adopters.
        
             | dnissley wrote:
             | Just to mention one thing that isn't user facing (and
             | therefore not so obvious): Social media companies dealing
             | with user-generated content have to build their own
             | enforcement mechanisms (abuse, copyright infringement,
             | etc.), which is at least an order of magnitude harder than
             | the user facing content engine itself.
        
           | v0idzer0 wrote:
           | It still blows my mind they can't run this tiny operation
           | profitably taking 10% of many multimillion dollar writers'
           | revenue. Is it a requirement that YC companies raise way too
           | much money and then proceed to torch it any way possible?
        
         | jononomo wrote:
         | What if Substack just eats Twitter's lunch? Would you see the
         | point then?
        
           | ghiculescu wrote:
           | Sure. But it won't happen.
        
         | notatoad wrote:
         | >I really don't understand the point of this.
         | 
         | it certainly seemed to me like there was a good portion of
         | twitter that was just people promoting their substack
         | newsletters, and most of the people they interact with are
         | doing the same. it makes perfect sense for substack to try to
         | bring that under their roof.
        
         | BaculumMeumEst wrote:
         | The point for me is that, at this moment, it has people that
         | interest me without rage-baiting emotionally manipulative
         | engagement farming bullshit.
         | 
         | That's all I want out of these platforms. I don't care about
         | decentralization or who owns it. I just want to read
         | interesting stuff and not get pissed off in the process.
        
         | rodgerd wrote:
         | If you follow any artists or writers or similar on Twitter
         | you'll note that the biggest reason most of them cite for being
         | there is because they have a conversational community that
         | feeds into support for their art.
         | 
         | Substack has a perfectly good mechanism for publishing (paid
         | and unpaid) to support people, but that conversation is
         | missing. It's a pretty obvious move if you are engaged with the
         | overlapping users of Twitter and Substack, and has potential to
         | peel a lot of people out of Twitter if they're primarily there
         | to follow their favorite authors, showrunners, etc.
        
         | msabalau wrote:
         | Being a place for people to land as they leave Twitter seems a
         | reasonable thing to pursue.
         | 
         | One can post a note without having a newletter, and you can
         | "see notes" from a user without subscribing.
        
         | shanebellone wrote:
         | "a Twitter clone with no upside to writers"
         | 
         | Notes linking to Substack Newsletters should _convert better_.
         | Notes are networked  "post summaries" that represent an
         | improvement over the traditional blog homepage format. I see a
         | play that could improve what they're cloning while also
         | benefiting their core offering.
         | 
         | It has potential but the likeness of the clone is a bit off-
         | putting for me.
        
           | sf_rob wrote:
           | Your post clarified my thinking on this. If I think of Notes
           | as a Twitter clone then I'm upset because, like the parent
           | poster, I want a much narrower subscription-base for long
           | form content than I do short form content. However, if I
           | think of this as merely a short form update from accounts I
           | follow then it's fine.
           | 
           | That said, Substack showing writers adjacent to your
           | subscriptions in Notes makes if feel more Twitter-like in a
           | way that I'm not sure I like.
        
             | shanebellone wrote:
             | "However, if I think of this as merely a short form update
             | from accounts I follow then it's fine."
             | 
             | Substack will need to decide if they view Notes as a search
             | engine with an RSS feed or a standalone social network.
             | 
             | Edit: I don't think their positioning is obvious yet.
        
         | ALittleLight wrote:
         | I kind of see this as the whole "Substack is trying to become
         | Twitter before Twitter becomes Substack" kind of race. Twitter
         | added long tweets and subscriptions, if you could do markdown
         | formatting and inline images in your long tweets - why would
         | Substack authors stay on Substack when they could post
         | basically the same thing to Twitter and have more audience (or
         | potential audience) exposure.
         | 
         | If Substack sees the above as an existential risk - which it
         | might be if Twitter executes well, then Substack is replying by
         | trying to do the reverse to Twitter.
        
           | soneca wrote:
           | > _"why would Substack authors stay on Substack when they
           | could post basically the same thing to Twitter and have more
           | audience (or potential audience) exposure."_
           | 
           | Because they wouldn't have the followers' email addresses,
           | which is a big advantage to Substack.
        
         | rcarr wrote:
         | They really needed this to exist about 6 months ago or whenever
         | it was that Musk bought Twitter. There was a mass exodus then
         | to Mastodon, and if they'd have brought this out then I reckon
         | they would have done a good job of immediately dethroning
         | Twitter as I reckon lots of journalists and writers would have
         | jumped on board. Now they're going to have to do it the long
         | hard way and try and build the audience organically. I reckon
         | they might be able to do it, but it'll take them at least a few
         | years because they missed the golden goose.
        
           | nashashmi wrote:
           | This kind of feeling almost always turns out wrong. No one
           | can predict when the big moment happens or if it already
           | happened. Substack has benefited from the the Streisand
           | effect. Also known as what ticked off Elon musk.
           | 
           | And there will be many moments in the future, when Elon musk
           | will have upset more of its users. And substock will be there
           | to benefit just like Mastodon is benefiting every day.
        
           | epups wrote:
           | This project was probably started at that time, if I had to
           | guess.
        
           | papito wrote:
           | While it would have helped jumpstart Notes, I disagree. A lot
           | of content creators have their feet in both puddles, waiting
           | it out - and with this and the non-stop Musk antics and
           | tantrums, we are looking at an actual stampede away from that
           | hellhole.
        
           | NikolaNovak wrote:
           | _was_ there a  "mass exodus"? What percentage of people
           | actually left twitter forever to another system and stayed
           | there? What percentage of audience or "influencers"?
           | 
           | Disclaimer - I'm not on Twitter, but my impression is that a
           | few folks made a large amount of noise for leaving but most
           | people shrugged. Other networks mat have seen a temporary
           | large percentage Increase, but a) how much of that stuck and
           | b) a large percentage increase of tiny absolute. Umber can be
           | misleading.
           | 
           | Basically, every 4 years, half of America threatens to move
           | to Canada, but here I am in Toronto and I ain't seeing it :->
        
             | nemo44x wrote:
             | [flagged]
        
               | riffraff wrote:
               | Why would mastodon growth be pedo related?
               | 
               | Why would anyone in any illegal content space want to
               | have their content _federated outside of it_?
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | https://www.secjuice.com/mastodon-child-porn-pedophiles/
        
               | NikolaNovak wrote:
               | That's the first I heard about this, but I don't really
               | follow the space (neither Mastodon nor CSAM). Is
               | "SecJuice" a reputable source / how legit is the report?
               | 
               | The one instance I have any prior awareness of, the
               | mastodon creator saying search is not desired due to
               | negative social dynamics, everywhere else it was
               | presented as a privacy and anonymity behaviour -
               | crucially, both from those who agreed and disagreed
               | (which makes intuitive sense; on one hand I dislike e.g.
               | Facebook not being publicly searchable some of the time,
               | at the same time I don't want my content crawled by
               | randos all the time either). This is the first place I've
               | seen that frames it as explicitly CSAM related.
        
               | commoner wrote:
               | Here's the HN discussion for that article that puts it
               | into context:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33651693
               | 
               | The author is only speculating about Mastodon's search
               | feature, and I see no actual evidence that the search
               | feature is intentionally limited due to child sexual
               | abuse material.
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | He's right you know. Don't forget the noncery and loli
               | culture that is going on some of the largest Mastodon
               | instances such as pawoo.net, baraag.net, mstdn.jp.
               | 
               | Totally illegal explicit content in the majority of
               | countries, only found on Mastodon.
        
               | commoner wrote:
               | Twitter is the only mainstream social network that is
               | absolutely inundated with hardcore pornography. Also,
               | Twitter has no shortage of child sexual abuse material:
               | 
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/06/technology/twitter-
               | child-...
               | 
               | On Mastodon, each instance is able to restrict other
               | instances based on their own policies. Unless you
               | specifically choose to join a Mastodon instance that does
               | not restrict pornography, your instance will not
               | synchronize content from the porn-focused instances.
        
             | drusepth wrote:
             | With so many sites designed to track activity (and per-user
             | activity) on Twitter, I'd lean towards "no mass exodus"
             | simply from the fact that I haven't seen any gotcha
             | graphs/charts/data literally showing it.
             | 
             | However, anecdotally, my relatively static "following"
             | count dropped from ~1k to ~600 over the course of the back-
             | to-back Elon/Mastodon/Trump/etc events that were supposed
             | to prompt mass exoduses. That could be 40% of the accounts
             | I follow blocking me or getting banned, but deleting their
             | accounts seems more likely in this instance.
        
               | sleepybrett wrote:
               | I mean I kept my twitter account, I just don't use it
               | nearly as much. When he killed the API it killed the only
               | way I could use twitter and stay sane (tweetbot). Now I
               | can go days without opening twitter dot com. Mostly only
               | visiting it through links referencing specific tweets. So
               | follower/following count might not mean much. I'm still
               | following everyone I followed it's just that if they post
               | I'm not actually seeing it.
        
             | rcarr wrote:
             | Fairly high profile people like Neil Gaiman created
             | mastodon accounts so I think there definitely was the
             | potential for something else to take over if that something
             | else was user friendly enough. Mastodon was never going to
             | be it but there were no other real options.
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | > Fairly high profile people like Neil Gaiman
               | 
               | Who?
               | 
               | I have to say, that doesn't sound remotely convincing to
               | the 220M+ daily users of Twitter who continue to use the
               | platform since there was no 'mass exodus'.
               | 
               | It was more like a leaf falling out of a tree.
        
               | riffraff wrote:
               | Neil Gaiman had 3M+ followers on Twitter, it is a pretty
               | high profile account.
               | 
               | Anyway, I think it's more relevant that many accounts are
               | now also syndicating to Mastodon, which makes it a viable
               | alternative for consuming users.
               | 
               | It's far from being an exodus, but they are averaging
               | 200k new users per week, which seems pretty good.
        
               | NikolaNovak wrote:
               | Right, but that's where absolute and relative come into
               | play.
               | 
               | 200k new users per week is... what, 0.05% - 0.1% of
               | Twitter active user base?
               | 
               | Not saying one day it might not snowball, but it's been 6
               | months and I wouldn't call Mastodon an existential threat
               | to Twitter just yet. I am tremendously enjoying and
               | schadenfreuding the twitter melodrama, but even most
               | people making fun of twitter/musk/socialnetworks, seem to
               | be doing it on twitter.
        
               | sleepybrett wrote:
               | My mastodon timeline has been growing pretty rapidly over
               | the last year. With obvious ratcheting up happening
               | whenever elon steps on yet another rake. 'Let that sink
               | in' nearly doubled the amount of posts per day, 'hardcore
               | mode' another, 'api shutdown' another...
        
               | lenkite wrote:
               | Still seems to be tweeting on Twitter:
               | https://twitter.com/neilhimself
        
               | sleepybrett wrote:
               | Many people double-post right now. Though since twitter
               | effectively killed it's API that basically gutted a bunch
               | of tools that would automate that for you. Though maybe
               | you could post to twitter and have a tool that is just
               | plain webscraping your home timeline and reposting....
               | 
               | It looks like neil does quite a bit of boosting
               | (retweeting) on masto:
               | https://mastodon.social/@neilhimself
        
           | linuxftw wrote:
           | There was no mass exodus. The sports and celebrity people are
           | still on twitter. Nobody cares about rando journalists and
           | techies, who are a vanishingly small part of the platform.
        
             | observd wrote:
             | On the other hand, it shows they still have some level of
             | influence that people think there was as mass exodus.
        
             | naravara wrote:
             | I don't follow that much of the sports world, but the
             | celebrities are definitely shifting more towards Instagram.
             | I feel like Twitter is rapidly distilling down to LinkedIn
             | type hustle-culture influencers.
        
             | rcarr wrote:
             | Hard disagree with this. The majority don't care about
             | twitter, the only people who absolutely adore it are
             | journalists and techies which is why it was such a big deal
             | in the news and on forums and everyone in the real world
             | just went about their business. The celebrities are only
             | there for marketing and connecting with the journalists.
        
               | linuxftw wrote:
               | Which Mastodon does LeBron James use again?
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | I wouldn't know. I haven't watched an NBA game in over a
               | decade.
        
               | LightBug1 wrote:
               | >>xThe majority don't care about twitter
               | 
               | Exactly. Exactly.
               | 
               | Good luck to Substack, though. I'm rooting for them in
               | this scenario.
        
               | sleepybrett wrote:
               | Substack has attracted so many shrill rightwing kooks
               | (Greenwald being the canary in that particular coalmine)
               | that when I see someone has a substack I roll my eyes.
               | 
               | So here's to them being a more pretentious
               | rumble/truth/parler/etc...
        
               | BiteCode_dev wrote:
               | I follow mostly techies, very few went to mastodon, and
               | among them were none of the ones I cared about.
               | 
               | Seems like the people doing the most things in my field
               | have no time for drama and are busy doing stuff, while
               | the ones that actually accomplish little have the time
               | and energy for this.
        
               | emptysongglass wrote:
               | Counterpoint: most of the Cloud Native crowd I follow
               | moved to Hachyderm.
               | 
               | > Seems like the people doing the most things in my field
               | have no time for drama and are busy doing stuff,
               | 
               | Standing up for ethics isn't performative drama. I made
               | my exit very quietly because I didn't have time for the
               | drama of a petulant tyrant. I care that the tech I
               | consume is open source or at the very least is guided by
               | _some principal_ of any good kind.
        
               | mjmsmith wrote:
               | Same thing with iOS devs, everyone I followed on Twitter
               | is now on Mastodon.
        
               | BiteCode_dev wrote:
               | Sure.
               | 
               | People spent months and a tremendous amount of energy
               | discussing the state of a site that is a glorified
               | animated wall of text, but it's not drama.
               | 
               | Sometimes I wish I could teleport this community to were
               | I lived in Mali and force you to stay there for 6 months
               | to re-calibrate your sense of what's important.
        
               | Ygor wrote:
               | Most people didn't. Some small group of people spent
               | tremendous amount of energy. I think both of you agree on
               | that point.
        
               | danjac wrote:
               | Most of the Python developers I followed are on Mastodon.
               | "Techies" has lots of sub-cultures, so it could be C# or
               | React developers are stuck on Twitter, for example, so if
               | you are in those groups it might seem nobody has left.
        
         | bmarquez wrote:
         | I don't like it either. I use Substack (and previously Medium)
         | when I want to read long-form content instead of tweets. If I
         | wanted tweets, I'd use Twitter.
         | 
         | But Substack Notes allows for greater potential monetization
         | (ick): TikTok style content, algorithmic recommendations, and
         | ads. Especially ads.
        
         | soneca wrote:
         | As a reader, I like it. It might nudge me to subscribe to a few
         | more newsletters even if I don't plan to read all emails, just
         | to see Notes from that author.
         | 
         | Sure, I won't subscribe to hundreds of newsletters, but a few
         | dozen might create a good feed.
        
         | LordDragonfang wrote:
         | >I don't want to subscribe to hundreds of newsletters to see
         | tweet (sorry, notes).
         | 
         | There's an option to just subscribe to notes and not
         | newsletters on desktop, apparently, under the three-dots menu:
         | 
         | https://substack.com/profile/34072171-katie-substack/note/c-...
         | 
         | That UX is awful, but I'm sure they'll work it out in the
         | coming weeks.
        
         | Nezteb wrote:
         | I wondered the same. This support page kind of answers the
         | question: https://support.substack.com/hc/en-
         | us/articles/1474365194203...
         | 
         | The phrasing is weird though: "You'll then start seeing more of
         | their notes in the Home tab."
         | 
         | More? Not all? Odd.
        
         | AlbertCory wrote:
         | Elon showing the number of impressions a tweet or reply
         | actually got was an eye-opener for me. Probably about 1-2% of
         | "Followers" -- not just mine but most people's.
         | 
         | Twitter has been completely worthless anyway for promoting my
         | Substack channel. In their Dashboard, it doesn't even show up
         | in the top five referers.
        
           | quickthrower2 wrote:
           | It is as if people have lives
        
           | galdor wrote:
           | I'm curious, what works better than Twitter for this kind of
           | use case? Mastodon is better than Twitter for me, but it
           | still is very slow.
        
             | AlbertCory wrote:
             | I'm not on Mastodon. So that works?
             | 
             | Actually, _this_ site is usually the best, and Facebook
             | (the latter might reflect my audience).
             | 
             | Reddit subs tend to censor any attempt at self-promotion,
             | which you can't blame them for, I guess. And StackExchange
             | is the absolute worst. The level of asshole-ness there has
             | to be seen to be believed.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Is it really asshole-ness?
               | 
               | YC/Reddit/SE being good/bad/worse for self-promotion
               | seems to be 100% in line with the intended use of these
               | sites.
        
               | AlbertCory wrote:
               | I'm hardly the first person to single out SE / SO for
               | trashing.
        
           | BiteCode_dev wrote:
           | Same.
           | 
           | Most of my readers come from HN, reddit or substack itself.
           | Now it's mostly Python so it makes sense a tech oriented
           | medias will be reading more about it.
           | 
           | Still, the ban on substack by twitter means that, while a
           | #python tweet gets some view, the same with an article to
           | substack tanks bit time.
        
             | AlbertCory wrote:
             | I'm curious how you're dealing with Reddit: some of the
             | mods don't even respond to a direct message; they just say
             | "read the guidelines." And then their auto-mod deletes your
             | post.
        
               | Firmwarrior wrote:
               | If you post the entirety of the content to Reddit itself
               | and just leave the link in your profile, you can often
               | get away with it
        
               | BiteCode_dev wrote:
               | I have a very old account that has been mostly posting
               | quality content. I also take great care of writing
               | content that I wish I would I read myself.
               | 
               | So when I post it, it's congruent.
               | 
               | Basically, either you find a way to cheat, or you climb
               | the ladder. I'm terrible at cheating.
        
           | boplicity wrote:
           | > Twitter has been completely worthless anyway for promoting
           | my Substack channel. In their Dashboard, it doesn't even show
           | up in the top five referers.
           | 
           | It's always been very difficult to get people to leave
           | Twitter. This is why their ad business is worth so little.
           | Advertisers pay for clicks, and Twitter just doesn't deliver
           | them very well.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | amadeuspagel wrote:
             | Maybe they should people purchase things within twitter.
        
           | hackitup7 wrote:
           | We've had the same experience, Twitter has led to almost no
           | incremental readers. Even our most popular posts don't get
           | much of an audience there.
        
           | Retr0id wrote:
           | Maybe I'm just "good at tweeting" but my average top-level
           | tweets have _at least_ as many views as I have followers. The
           | "bad" ones are maybe around 15-25%.
           | 
           | However, if I link to an external article or something, the
           | percentage of people who actually click on it is relatively
           | tiny.
        
             | AlbertCory wrote:
             | You _must_ be good, TBD, but when I look at other people 's
             | tweets, they also have way fewer views than followers.
        
       | praisewhitey wrote:
       | defaulting to a "Home" feed that includes posts from people I've
       | never heard of is a bad start
       | 
       | https://substack.com/notes
        
         | Laaas wrote:
         | How would you know people are using it otherwise? Better than
         | an empty feed.
        
         | rchaud wrote:
         | Just a few days back, I was downvoted for guessing that this
         | would be their "algorithmic recommendation" moment, because I
         | was seemingly assuming malice about the developers' intentions.
         | 
         | Uh, no, I was observing how every other "social media" company
         | has done this, and was guessing that Substack, having already
         | told its users to write more frequently, would jump in with
         | both feet.
        
       | Sirikon wrote:
       | > Sub stack dot com / notes
       | 
       | Elon's regexp for matching Substack links just got defeated.
        
       | japhyr wrote:
       | I'm looking forward to trying this, but the app crashed after
       | posting my first reply to someone. Busy day for Substack
       | engineers, I imagine!
        
       | wdb wrote:
       | Looks like you can't explore Notes without signing up? Bummer
        
       | bostonvaulter2 wrote:
       | I'm surprised no one seems to have commented on the lack of
       | usernames, I think the lack of usernames may hinder adoption
       | since it's much harder to follow someone just from seeing a
       | tweet, err note, displayed. With Substack Notes you'll need to
       | know the user's id, or search by their non-unique name.
        
       | capital_guy wrote:
       | I've just checked it out and it's much closer to a Twitter clone
       | than I anticipated. Now it's clear why Elon made the drastic
       | decision to mess with substack links on Twitter. The site is
       | clean and simple.
       | 
       | I'm very disappointed in Musk for essentially ruining one of the
       | world's great information platforms. Mastodon was just not the
       | thing people were looking for. I hope this takes off.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I hope it doesn't. Because it essentially sets us up for a
         | repeat. If Mastodon was 'just not the thing people were looking
         | for' then at least it solves the problems that both Twitter and
         | Substack have, which is that they are not federated. Better to
         | fix Mastodon than to waste another decade on something that
         | will ultimately blow up and with the way Substack has - in my
         | head at least - been associated negatively with crap content it
         | will probably be sooner rather than later.
        
           | sanderjd wrote:
           | Unfortunately, this perspective seems very head-in-a-bubble
           | to me. It's a tiny tiny number of people who think the
           | problem with Twitter and Substack is that they aren't
           | federated. Federation isn't a feature people broadly care
           | about. If it makes the platform work better, great! But I
           | don't think that's the case for Mastodon or any other
           | federated platform I've come across. It's the opposite, they
           | make concessions on the experience in order to support
           | federation. That would be ok if those sacrifices were for
           | functionality people really want, but federation just ...
           | isn't that.
        
             | jeroenhd wrote:
             | I disagree. Federation is a feature people want, but they
             | don't know about the concept.
             | 
             | When I show people that I can talk to Signal, WhatsApp, and
             | Signal through a single app, they're pretty impressed. I
             | wouldn't expect most people to set up a Matrix bridging
             | system like I did, same with most Mastodon servers, but
             | it's a feature people do generally want.
             | 
             | With Mastodon, most people first ask "but how do I follow
             | people on Twitter", which often leads to pointing at
             | bridges that may stop working at any point and have no
             | official status, and often get blocked on small servers
             | because of the overwhelming wave of moderation spam they
             | cause.
             | 
             | Phone manufacturers back in the day used to have quite
             | commonly used "social hub" apps that would combine various
             | social media sources into a single UI, but they were all
             | tied to their own brand that either got too difficult to
             | maintain or lost the phone wars (HTC and Blackberry had
             | quite well-received integrations if I recall).
             | 
             | The past years we've been stuck with a locked in ecosystem
             | for so long that the mere idea of two different apps
             | interoperating has become inconceivable to the mainstream.
             | 
             | I hope the DMA, which will force messenger apps to
             | interoperate, will bring back the knowledge that it's
             | possible to do so at the very least.
        
               | Gareth321 wrote:
               | > I disagree. Federation is a feature people want, but
               | they don't know about the concept.
               | 
               | I think they want it, but by an order of magnitude more,
               | they want simple UX. Everything else is a distant second.
               | UX is the foundation upon which everything else is built.
               | Without an excellent UX, the audience will forever remain
               | niche. I tried to just sign up to Mastodon, and it was a
               | clusterfuck of proportions so unbelievable that I can't
               | believe it has as many users as it does - and it only has
               | a couple million users.
        
               | Ecstatify wrote:
               | Federation is someone doing a cool card trick at a
               | cocktail party. Does it look cool? Yes. Is anyone going
               | to go out and buy a deck of cards the next morning and
               | learn how to do it? No.
        
               | jeroenhd wrote:
               | Federation is the core of the internet and that has taken
               | off, so sure they do. Email and phone numbers took off,
               | isolated ISPs all died out.
               | 
               | We're getting some form of federation of messengers and
               | other technology companies deemed "gatekeepers" by the
               | EU. Companies serving large user bases won't have a
               | choice, so there's no need to go out am buy anything.
        
               | sanderjd wrote:
               | I think this has "because" and "despite" flipped. The
               | internet took off despite federation, because it let
               | people do things they couldn't otherwise do.
               | 
               | But reinventing something that everyone can already do
               | (eg. tweeting) with federation is not a winning game.
        
               | bmikaili wrote:
               | I mean texts.com does what matrix does without the
               | overhead
        
               | jeroenhd wrote:
               | So do Beeper and Pidgin. The exact mechanism isn't
               | relevant of course.
        
           | Zetice wrote:
           | Bluesky is building AT, what mastodon should have been. That
           | will kill Twitter in a way that's at least new.
           | 
           | Not sure how to solve the HOA problem though...
        
             | hackernewds wrote:
             | Do not trust any Jack Dorsey product anymore as the next
             | alternative again
        
               | Zetice wrote:
               | It's a protocol, not a product.
        
           | davidw wrote:
           | > Better to fix Mastodon
           | 
           | Is that possible? Seems kind of difficult due to its nature,
           | but I admit I'm just a very casual user of it and don't know
           | much.
           | 
           | Signed up for the Substack thing. Seems worth a look - it's
           | very similar to Twitter.
        
             | jeroenhd wrote:
             | What do you consider difficult about it?
        
               | Gareth321 wrote:
               | Mastodon is never going to take off. I've been building
               | SaaS applications for 15 years. I don't think you
               | understand the very low level of complexity required for
               | mass adoption. Let's just look at the signup process for
               | a few minutes, using the UX convention of actions.
               | 
               | Twitter:
               | 
               | 1. Search for Twitter.
               | 
               | 2. Click on the first link.
               | 
               | 3. Click sign up.
               | 
               | Mastodon:
               | 
               | 1. Search for Mastodon.
               | 
               | 2. Click the first link: mastodon.social.
               | 
               | 3. Click create account.
               | 
               | 4. Message modal pops up alerting the user that it is
               | currently impossible to sign up to mastodon.social. But
               | don't worry, you can sign up on another server by
               | clicking "Find another server." At this point I'm
               | confused. Why are there different servers? Will my
               | friends be on the other server? Do we need to sign up on
               | the same server? No explanation. I click the link.
               | 
               | 5. Long page of options. No indication of quality or why
               | I should choose one server over another. Now I am in
               | choice paralysis. I click the first option (which has an
               | anime figure on it). Surely - surely - the first option
               | is the best option. The suggested option by whoever is
               | running this application.
               | 
               | 6. I land on a Korean language portal and I am done. I'm
               | never coming back. Mastodon is dead to me. Forever.
               | 
               | You might think this is hyperbole, but I promise you it
               | is not. I've been in charge of A/B testing and UX centric
               | development for web applications just like this for a
               | very long time. Mastodon's sign up process is easily one
               | of the worst I have ever seen. Not a single UX person has
               | been involved in the creation of this protocol.
        
               | rybar wrote:
               | Excellent illustration of the awful onboarding
               | experience.
               | 
               | No one wants to waste their time connecting a
               | constellation, they want to get to content as fast as
               | possible.
        
           | Andrex wrote:
           | The fact Mastodon sites don't even load without JS is absurd,
           | a huge not-talked-about barrier to entry (globally), and a
           | betrayal of its "protocol-first" talking points.
           | 
           | Until that changes Mastodon isn't trying to be a serious
           | player.
        
             | IshKebab wrote:
             | Does Twitter load without JavaScript? I do not think the
             | tiny number of uber-nerds who disable JavaScript have any
             | effect on Mastadon.
        
               | jeroenhd wrote:
               | I disable Javascript on occasion to save power.
               | 
               | Twitter definitely does not load without loading several
               | megabytes of Javascript. Nitter.net is a quick and easy
               | substitute that loads instantly without it, though some
               | video playback still requires Javascript (HLS video).
        
               | rybar wrote:
               | How much power have you quantified saving by disabling
               | JavaScript over the course of a week?
        
               | jeroenhd wrote:
               | I can't do any objective measurements but there's a clear
               | impact in battery life while browsing with Javascript
               | disabled. The entire web becomes snappier and loading
               | times instantly drop.
               | 
               | Doing so also breaks all web applications (and web
               | applications posing as websites, i.e. React rendering) so
               | it's not something I turn on permanently. I usually only
               | disable JS when my phone is running low and I'm not near
               | a charger, or when I'm trying to read something and the
               | terrible website hijacks scrolls/taps/somehow makes my
               | phone run hot doing stuff in the background.
        
             | commoner wrote:
             | Brutaldon is an alternative FOSS client for Mastodon that
             | does not use JavaScript:
             | 
             | - Brutaldon: https://brutaldon.org
             | 
             | - Source: https://gitlab.com/brutaldon/brutaldon
             | 
             | Because Mastodon has an open API, you don't need to use the
             | official Mastodon web client. Twitter upset a lot of users
             | when it limited access to its API because many alternative
             | Twitter clients were rendered useless.
        
             | tiagod wrote:
             | Huge? Globally? How many poeple do you reckon have JS
             | disabled?
        
         | Eji1700 wrote:
         | >... essentially ruining one of the world's great information
         | platforms
         | 
         | I think it's a good thing in the long run.
         | 
         | Twitter was a gimmick in many ways. Here, throw a few words out
         | into the ether and see who notices.
         | 
         | That simplicity attracted tons of people. Then it became THE
         | place to reach a ton of people, even though it's format for
         | such things is AWFUL for it. It's a TERRIBLE platform for
         | meaningful information dispersal, but it's THE place to be, so
         | you see a bunch of evidence of that.
         | 
         | Twitlonger, people chaining twitter posts, just about any
         | conversation, etc. Worse it eliminated a lot of things that
         | probably shouldn't have died. My personal pet peeve is the
         | death of forums, most specifically for games. Pre twitter you
         | could find old forum posts that were pinned about just about
         | anything you wanted to get into seriously. Dustloop had
         | character guides with a level of info that would justify a
         | thesis on characters in games that were 8 years old and hardly
         | ever played.
         | 
         | That level of information is still found now, but instead it's
         | tied to a hashtag, and then vomited out...never consolidated.
         | Right now i'm looking to mess with a new character in strive,
         | and while the GGST_BE tag is nice for "oh that's neat" kind of
         | tech discoveries, it's fucking awful for actually understanding
         | how to play the character or what's useful from it.
         | 
         | To be fair, that's always the case with a brand new character,
         | but in the old days it was somewhat easier to keep a running
         | tally of what works and what doesn't in a forum discussion,
         | while twitter just doesn't promote that, so picking someone up
         | waaaay after the fact is miserable. Discord is the other spot
         | these things are now heavily discussed (with similar issues to
         | twitter, although the forum feature of discord has helped a
         | bit) and the wiki's are in theory where the data is
         | consolidated but it's just a much higher barrier to entry and
         | thus often you have half completed pages with outdated
         | information.
         | 
         | In short, i'm hoping the slow death of twitter (IF it dies. The
         | number of people saying twitter is abhorrent...on twitter...is
         | a sign to me it's not going anywhere) will finally lead to
         | people realizing that we want a way to quickly spread
         | information among those who want it, but we don't need it to be
         | in this shallow, vapid, character limited style. Sure that
         | works for "oh hey look at where I am today" but it drives me
         | nuts every time i see some essay broken into 45 twitter posts.
         | 
         | RSS feeds are an alternative tech that's honestly quite close
         | to being what most people want, but it lacks the
         | discovery/aggregation effect of things like twitter in most
         | cases (inoreader kind of has something like that), and thus
         | mostly still relies on twitter for content (at least it did
         | until they nuked the API).
        
         | m3kw9 wrote:
         | I've seen "Elon ruined twitter", but everyday I'm getting what
         | I signed up for years back it hasn't been ruined in any
         | noticeable way. Fine they added the stupid views but who cares
        
         | hereme888 wrote:
         | They were messing with Twitter by downloading massive amounts
         | of data from them. Why wouldn't Elon do what he did?
         | 
         | I returned to Twitter recently due to great features like
         | Community Notes. I don't see what people are complaining about.
        
         | figassis wrote:
         | I've been looking at Substack with the eyes of someone who has
         | lived through the enshitment of Quora, Medium et al, and
         | realized there are never guarantees with any such service.
         | Apparently I owe them money and attention, and they owe me
         | nothing. I will never get long term what I joined a service
         | for, so today I simply do not commit. I never committed to
         | Twitter, and I'm glad. I want to share content, I setup a ghost
         | site. I want to read content, I use RSS and also read what I
         | can for free. That's it.
        
         | hersko wrote:
         | How is twitter ruined? My personal experience on the site has
         | not changed much.
        
           | spaceman_2020 wrote:
           | Same. Except for the new "For You" tab, my feed is almost
           | 100% the same.
        
           | inpdx wrote:
           | Many people have left, including myself, due to imperious,
           | chaotic, and plain mean mismanagement. Thus making it vastly
           | less interesting and more trollish.
        
           | capital_guy wrote:
           | He keeps pushing the 'for you' page over the regular
           | following tab that just shows tweets of people you follow
           | 
           | The content moderation is basically nil now so tons of racist
           | content is propagated throughout the network.
           | 
           | Various technical bugs plaguing things - videos not playing,
           | images not appearing, etc
           | 
           | The verification system has been destroyed which has allowed
           | fake accounts to run rampant
           | 
           | The API has been wrecked, causing third party apps to stop
           | working and massive amounts of research being done to be
           | halted
        
             | mlindner wrote:
             | All the data shows that racist content is down
             | significantly following the purchase.
        
               | aniforprez wrote:
               | That's very much not the case
               | https://www.euronews.com/2023/03/20/antisemitism-higher-
               | than...
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | Look at the details of that report. They're measuring by
               | _number_ of tweets rather than impressions. Hate speech
               | impressions are down. i.e. if you want hate speech you
               | have to go out of your way to find it using bots. Normal
               | users are seeing them less after the purchase.
               | 
               | It's really tiring to counter so much misinformation
               | about this that flies about.
               | 
               | It's not just a one-time drop either, the impressions
               | continues to go down. https://twitter.com/TwitterSafety/s
               | tatus/1613335965996810241
        
               | Omatic810 wrote:
               | Here's the report, the claim had no misinformation.
               | https://beamdisinfo.org/wp-
               | content/uploads/2023/03/Antisemit...
               | 
               | Hate speech IS up. The claim was "hate speech is up".
               | Impressions being down matters to the impact of the
               | speech, but the claim stands - hate speech is up. You can
               | claim it doesn't matter (and I might agree with you,
               | since impressions are down, people know what to expect
               | now, and the increase is significant but not huge at this
               | point), but you can't honestly say the claim "hate speech
               | is up" is misinformation.
               | 
               | Edit: Actually, I had the claim backwards - YOU said it
               | was DOWN, and you were wrong (according to the report).
               | So to correct myself - the person refuting your claim was
               | right, and spread no misinformation.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | I'll retract my opinion that "hate speech is down" as
               | it's apparently difficult to measure but I am going to
               | continue to say that "hate speech is up" is at the very
               | least "highly misleading" as it gives the impression that
               | the platform is worse for minorities than it was pre-
               | acquisition. The reverse is the truth, given the lower
               | impressions of hate speech, it effectively means that
               | those that would verbally attack minorities are being
               | highly squelched versus the situation before the
               | acquisition. That's all around a good thing.
               | 
               | The visibility of hate speech on twitter is down.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | Fomite wrote:
           | It's gutted several communities I'm a part of.
        
           | PuppyTailWags wrote:
           | Counter anecdote: my personal experience is that the site is
           | less entertaining. I've encountered technical bugs more, such
           | as replies not loading without refreshing multiple times. The
           | "for you" page doesn't show me anything I want to see. The
           | checkmark thing remains super confusing to me. The quality of
           | the ads I've been served have noticeably decreased/gotten
           | more skuzzy.
        
             | LastTrain wrote:
             | > The quality of the ads I've been served have noticeably
             | decreased/gotten more skuzzy.
             | 
             | This is my experience as well, and is the thing the higher
             | ups at Twitter should be really concerned about. Low rent.
        
           | Jare wrote:
           | - People I follow have left. Most have moved to Mastodon so I
           | can still follow them there. It's a constant trickle but some
           | day the weight will be higher on Mastodon's side of the
           | balance.
           | 
           | - Ads range from obnoxious to downright scams. I know some
           | people used to block ad senders as a matter of routine, but I
           | didn't, most of the time they were valid and I was happy to
           | support the site via their ads. After Musk, most ads vanished
           | and for a while all I saw was Nintendo and SpaceX (!?) ads.
           | Now there's many ads, but I block 95% of them because I
           | REALLY do not want to ever again see the kind of shit they're
           | pushing.
           | 
           | - Search, and content outside of my carefully curated list of
           | follows in my chronological timeline, has become complete
           | hell. I used to be happy to search for "stuff that's
           | happening" in Twitter rather than google or news sites, but
           | now the stuff that comes out is not only irrelevant, but
           | often disgusting.
           | 
           | I still use the site but in a very specific and controlled
           | manner. In that way, the experience is still good (bugs
           | aside). I suspect at some point Musk will force some
           | algorithmic crap down my throat and that will be the end.
        
             | fintechie wrote:
             | To be fair, many people don't seem to have these issues you
             | mention. For FinTwit and CT (crypto twitter) it's business
             | as usual. Maybe it happens for other niches though.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | If that's what's left on Twitter, I'm glad I no longer
               | visit daily. If that's your thing, have at it.
        
             | sanderjd wrote:
             | Yeah to me it's less that it's dead and more that it's
             | clearly not sustainable without a new business model. Blue
             | is a total flop, and you can tell from the ads they're
             | running now that their ad revenue must be _way_ down. And
             | they needed to grow revenue significantly after the
             | acquisition because of the debt structuring, but it seems
             | like a certainty they 've done the opposite.
             | 
             | So it's not that it's dead today, but how long can they
             | make it like this?
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | patrickmay wrote:
           | Musk killed the APIs that enabled third party tools like
           | TweetBot. Twitter is close to unusable now.
        
         | prepend wrote:
         | > I'm very disappointed in Musk for essentially ruining one of
         | the world's great information platforms.
         | 
         | I'm happy with the destruction of Twitter. I think it's a net
         | negative for the world and we'll be better off without it. This
         | might be the only tech I've ever felt like this about
         | (including atomic bombs). I think it amplifies and even creates
         | hate and division.
         | 
         | It will be funny if ten years from now we find out it was a
         | gawker-style takedown with the intent to purposely destroy
         | something in a lasting and permanent way as described in Ryan
         | Holiday's book about Thiel's purposeful execution of strategy
         | to destroy gawker, https://www.grahammann.net/book-
         | notes/conspiracy-ryan-holida...
         | 
         | PS- are there any other business/tech "case study" type books
         | out there. I also liked Clifford Stoll's Cuckoo's Egg, John
         | Brooks' Business Adventures, Michael Lewis' Liar's Poker, Po
         | Bronson's Nudist on the Late Shift, and David Kaplan's Silicon
         | Boys. Looking for more of what I suspect is more common than I
         | can find.
        
           | q7xvh97o2pDhNrh wrote:
           | I really like those "case study" books about our industry,
           | too. Off the top of my head, two more:                 -
           | "Hatching Twitter" by Nick Bilton (published in 2014, about
           | the early days of Twitter)       - "Super Pumped" by Mike
           | Isaac (published in 2019, about the early days of Uber)
           | 
           | Neither of them go into great detail or nuance -- they're
           | made for popular consumption, so they simplify things and
           | gloss over details. You won't find any extensive discussion
           | of microservice architecture and organizational design. But
           | they were still interesting reads.
        
       | yawnxyz wrote:
       | wish they could have an API soon so you could create new notes /
       | posts and get a list of them
        
       | mrwnmonm wrote:
       | I can't take it anymore
        
       | posharma wrote:
       | May be I'm old, but I love long form content and twitter took
       | that away. People write long tweet threads instead of thinking
       | things through and writing it in long form. This gives rise to
       | tons of twitter thread collapsing tools/startups that push the
       | concatenation of these tweets to Notion or whatever. This seems
       | utterly silly to me. It almost looks like tech for the sake of
       | tech. It's unfortunate that substack is going in the same
       | direction. Are there no better problems to solve using tech?
        
         | throwaway5752 wrote:
         | Substack is great for subscription long form content already.
         | It is reliant on Twitter on creating a network for information
         | distribution and curation, though. I don't think Substack is
         | attempting to be more like Twitter - I think Substack needs
         | something like Twitter to sustain the long-form subscription
         | content and this is a defensive move to make sure that
         | Twitter's ongoing collapse doesn't take them out, too.
        
         | dmix wrote:
         | You still don't see many people using long tweets which is
         | good. I used to despise seeing tweet threads starting with
         | [1/20] for years but Twitter integrating their Threader
         | acquisition via "reader mode" which turns multi-tweet threads
         | into a single page like a blog post really helped solved the UI
         | issue with that (blue feature) but I still tend to avoid
         | threads.
        
       | 7h3rAm wrote:
       | Social network must be a protocol, not a platform. That's the
       | only way to gurantee free speech and cencorship resistance.
       | Nostr[1] is proving to be a good first step in this direction.
       | 
       | [1] https://nostr.how/
        
         | cmh89 wrote:
         | There isn't a huge amount of demand for 'censorship resistance'
         | and 'free speech' in social networks.
         | 
         | People want enjoyable communities far more than they want the
         | 'freedom' to spam the n-word.
        
           | lovvtide wrote:
           | On the contrary, I think there is a huge demand. I can find
           | enjoyable community offline. Speaking for myself, freedom
           | from censorship _is_ in fact the main thing I want in a
           | social network. Your values might differ.
        
             | cmh89 wrote:
             | I think you're missing the point. I understand that you
             | value that. There is no question of that.
             | 
             | The majority of people however don't value it or actively
             | desire it because no wants to live in a pigsty. There is a
             | reason apps like Truth Social don't take off, and that
             | 4chan never gained the mainstream popularity of other
             | social sites.
             | 
             | There have been multiple reddit clones, multiple twitter
             | clones, multiple social media clones all based on the false
             | pretense that there is demand for a freeze peach social
             | site, and they all fall flat. Mastodon is doing better than
             | most and its gaining users because of Twitter catering to
             | the alt-right and refusing to censor offensive or dangerous
             | speech.
        
               | lovvtide wrote:
               | Dangerous speech?
        
               | cmh89 wrote:
               | Yes, if you go back and take a gander at US history,
               | you'll learn that there is a long history of restricting
               | speech that is likely to cause another person harm.
               | 
               | Is that something you are unaware of?
        
               | lovvtide wrote:
               | You're still looking at this from a legalistic
               | perspective.
        
               | cmh89 wrote:
               | I'm not looking at it from a 'legalistic' perspective. I
               | was elaborating for you because you seemed confused or
               | uncertain about what dangerous speech was.
        
               | lovvtide wrote:
               | ok :)
        
         | lovvtide wrote:
         | Nostr is the real deal.
         | 
         | I first heard about nostr last in November when Twitter tried
         | to ban it. There's an incredible dev ecosystem developing -- so
         | much so that I decided to rebuild Satellite
         | (https://satellite.earth) the social platform I'd been working
         | on to become a client for the protocol.
         | 
         | There's a bunch of other clients too. Someone started a
         | directory here https://www.nostrapps.com/
         | 
         | I'm happy to answer technical questions about nostr if anyone
         | is curious.
        
           | fogzen wrote:
           | The big downside with Nostr is it's not built on the web.
           | With blogs and webmention the feeds are websites. And there's
           | already a huge ecosystem for blogs. I'd prefer people build
           | on that instead. Especially if the end result is more or less
           | the same: blogs with comments.
        
         | pickledish wrote:
         | On one hand I agree with you on the "protocol not platform"
         | ideal (and thanks for linking nostr, hadn't seen it before),
         | but on the other I guess I still don't understand why so many
         | are committed to the best way to go about that involving
         | "relays" / federation.
         | 
         | RSS solved the "you fully own the content, everyone else can
         | discover it via a well-known protocol" problem decades ago! Is
         | it just that stuff like comments and reactions would be harder
         | with just RSS?
        
         | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
         | No thanks. Social networks are non essential. Twitter and
         | Substack Notes can go away tomorrow and no one will bat an
         | eyelid. In these cases, people just want to go to a website or
         | a mobile app, click around and have some foolish fun for
         | sometime. Banking networks need protocols, not social media,
         | which is intrinsically about dumb fun. That is why Mastodon and
         | these things will never be as popular.
        
           | inpdx wrote:
           | You seem to have no recollection of how Twitter has played an
           | outsized role in fast reporting on breaking events, such as
           | the Arab Spring.
        
             | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
             | Twitter is not important. Breaking news were always there
             | on TV from the beginning of time.
        
             | jazzyjackson wrote:
             | I watched the arab spring unfold on aljazeera's livestream,
             | what was going on with twitter?
        
           | INeedMoreRam wrote:
           | [dead]
        
       | padraic7a wrote:
       | I can't see a single Note without logging in, or in my case
       | creating an account. That's a hard limit on exploration.
        
       | abzolv wrote:
       | If you subscribe to someone's Notes you also subscribe to their
       | email articles. No thank you, especially if aal their articles
       | are behind a paywall. Not sure why Musk is so freaked out over
       | Notes. Probably just general paranoia.
        
         | msabalau wrote:
         | You can just receive their notes without subscribing to their
         | newsletter. You'll see their notes in your stream, albeit with
         | an option to subscribe.
         | 
         | You can also post notes without even having a newsletter.
        
       | skybrian wrote:
       | It's a start. Hopefully they'll improve the reader experience.
       | Having a single general-purpose forum (a "firehose") doesn't
       | really work for me since it's so random, but with so little
       | content, it's probably necessary for now.
       | 
       | Subscribing needs improvement. Subscribing to a hashtag might
       | make sense? It seems like subscribing to someone's notes and
       | their blog should be independent, because maybe someone has a
       | good blog but you don't care for their notes, or vice-versa.
       | Having them tied together also doesn't work for people like me
       | who use RSS. I don't usually want email from blogs I read, so I
       | only subscribe to blogs where I'm interested in the paid content
       | and usually turn the email off.
       | 
       | I think this loses what makes Substack interesting, though, which
       | is keeping the community for each blog separate, so you don't
       | care what people are saying on other blogs that you don't read.
       | Putting everyone in one community, or an unclear blob of
       | overlapping communities, seems likely to be bad for the same
       | reasons Twitter can often be bad.
       | 
       | I guess blogs need discovery, though, and maybe external sites
       | aren't enough?
       | 
       | (I think I'll repost this as a note, since they need the
       | content.)
        
         | jabradoodle wrote:
         | > I think this loses what makes Substack interesting
         | 
         | I have the same concern. Substack creators are paid for highly
         | engaging content as individuals subscribe to individual content
         | creators. I don't see how that mechanism works with short form
         | content; it could easily prove to be another platform where
         | number of minutes of eyes on content is the metric that's
         | optimised, rather than engagement with high quality content.
        
       | ctvo wrote:
       | I love that it looks identical to Twitter but is orange.
       | 
       | I love that it's going to enrage Elon. He's going to realize that
       | he paid 44 billion for something that's going to lose users to
       | Substack's side project.
        
         | leobg wrote:
         | Even if that were true, what would you gain from that? If it
         | makes you feel better that Elon Musk (or anyone else) failed at
         | something, you may want to re-evaluate your life's loss
         | function.
        
           | ctvo wrote:
           | > If it makes you feel better that Elon Musk (or anyone else)
           | failed at something, you may want to re-evaluate your life's
           | loss function.
           | 
           | Unfortunately I haven't reached that level of enlightenment
           | yet.
           | 
           | I root for Elon to fail in the same ways I root for Donald
           | Trump to fail. He's destructive, self-serving, thinks he's
           | above the law, and hasn't faced real consequences for his
           | actions.
           | 
           | I'm rooting for him to fail because he constantly lies, about
           | big and small things. An example: He claimed Substack is
           | downloading Twitter user data to power their competitor.
           | There's no evidence of this. He said this before backtracking
           | because he knew he was looking bad.
           | 
           | I'm rooting for him to fail so folks, like the ones in this
           | very comment chain, can come back to reality and see that
           | he's a flawed human like the rest of us and stop the blind
           | worship.
           | 
           | In this specific case, I'm rooting for him to fail because
           | he's proven over and over he's unfit to lead Twitter and make
           | it a better product.
        
             | leobg wrote:
             | Sure. If I had never heard of Elon, and suddenly saw his
             | name everywhere, and bros who cheer and justify him and
             | feel like they're the chosen people... and Tesla this and
             | Twitter that... I'd be turned off as well, call him a
             | nuisance, and steer clear of anything that has to do with
             | him. And yeah, maybe I'd even try to level the scales, so
             | to speak, by publicly speaking against him simply because I
             | couldn't bear the hype.
        
               | therouwboat wrote:
               | Its not that. I want elon to fail, because he tried to
               | ruin that cave divers life by claiming that he had a
               | childbride in thailand. I want elon to fail, because he
               | gives voice to Russian war criminals, because he is a
               | union buster, because he fired most of the twitter
               | employees and made the rest work long days.
        
           | timmytokyo wrote:
           | Or maybe people want him to fail for the same reason they
           | want someone like Martin Shkreli or Kanye West to fail:
           | because he's bad for society.
        
             | leobg wrote:
             | I think there are better ways to make the world a better
             | place than wanting someone you don't like to fail. Besides,
             | there's often an ulterior motive - not just for wanting
             | that person to fail, but also for telling yourself that
             | they are "bad for society".
             | 
             | Where one cannot love, one should - pass by. - Nietzsche
        
             | mlindner wrote:
             | Really? It's hard to imagine him doing anything at this
             | point that would offset the good he's done for society.
             | 
             | He upset and tore down the military-industrial complex
             | launch monopoly saving the collective US tax payers
             | billions through starting SpaceX (and could soon
             | revolutionize access to space for the average person within
             | the next decade). (Also note that without SpaceX, we'd
             | still be paying money to Russia to send US astronauts to
             | space, which wouldn't be a good look during the Russian
             | invasion of Ukraine.)
             | 
             | He created an electrical vehicle revolution that's taking
             | the world by storm, changing industries and pushing us much
             | faster toward ending global warming than would have
             | happened without. It's hard to imagine a few misguided
             | political opinions could offset all of that. Let's be
             | realistic here.
             | 
             | (Yes you can't attribute all that to him solely, as Elon
             | himself says commonly, the praise should be given to the
             | workers at SpaceX and Tesla, not him. But at the same time,
             | without him, they would have never happened.)
        
               | ncallaway wrote:
               | This feels like some kind of the opposite of the sunk
               | costs fallacy. Like a "past gains" fallacy.
               | 
               | None of those good things magically disappear if Elon
               | fails in his Twitter purchase or changes. Those past
               | gains have already happened.
               | 
               | If your argument was forward looking it would make more
               | sense to me (if he fails with this Twitter program, he
               | won't be able to deliver Starship which would be bad
               | because XYZ; or it would impact his ability to continue
               | Tesla forward because ABC). I don't know that I agree
               | with the forward looking argument, but it seems more
               | sound to me than the backward looking argument.
        
               | leobg wrote:
               | You said it well.
               | 
               | I actually suspect that many people hate him not in spite
               | of what he has done, but because of it:
               | 
               | They think if they acknowledge what people like Elon Musk
               | have done in their lives, they'd have to loathe
               | themselves, their own choices, values and weaknesses.
               | 
               | Which is, of course, quite silly. Each human being has
               | their own path in life. Comparing yourself to anyone, no
               | matter who, is going to cause misery. But with people
               | like Elon, the threat to the ego is particularly great.
               | 
               | So, hate and schadenfreude are the easy way out. "He,
               | too, makes mistakes. So I'm not that worthless after
               | all".
               | 
               | (The irony being that many of these people say that Elon
               | Musk is self-centered. Though the question he is asking
               | is "What do I believe is greatest good to humanity as a
               | species", whereas they, by their very act of comparing
               | themselves to him, are asking "How can I be greater than
               | and more right than Elon Musk".)
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | Precisely put. I wouldn't attempt to ignore his work on
               | SpaceX, Tesla, etc since those companies have kickstarted
               | their own revolution(s); electric vehicles and Starlink,
               | even though I think Tesla FSD is a dangerous scam.
               | Without it, the cars are fine.
               | 
               | Before, almost all the techies here were dreaming and
               | begging to work for Elon Musk. Then the blue bird
               | happened, got bought out and gave them 'emotional
               | distress' and Elon immediately became public enemy number
               | 1.
               | 
               | > So, hate and schadenfreude are the easy way out. "He,
               | too, makes mistakes. So I'm not that worthless after
               | all".
               | 
               | Hence that, the same techies who loved him are now
               | eternally desperate for Twitter to be Elon's biggest
               | failure as much as possible, giving 24/7 over-coverage
               | about Twitter schadenfreude.
               | 
               | The manipulation of human psychology due to over-coverage
               | and creating villains every month or year is just too
               | easy to create a story out of that is guaranteed to
               | attract eyeballs and clicks. It is an symptom of
               | obsession.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | Curious question I have. What makes you think FSD is a
               | "dangerous scam"? It's quite functional even if it
               | doesn't quite meet the advertising yet. Maybe slightly
               | dangerous for now yes, but hardly a scam.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | I tend to agree. By tearing him down as much as they can,
               | and making his minor issues stick out more than his major
               | good sides they can offset his "worth" per-se.
               | Additionally there's the narrative that all people with
               | lots of money are automatically assumed to be evil, so if
               | they're not evil they need to be torn down enough that
               | they fit with the stereotype.
        
               | timmytokyo wrote:
               | I actually suspect that people who idolize Elon Musk are
               | subscribers to the Just World Fallacy, believing that he
               | represents the kind of person that they -- though in a
               | temporarily diminished and embarrassing state -- can
               | become. They can't wait for the time when they too have
               | the consequence-free power to sneer at disabled people,
               | spread lies about victims of violent attacks, and call
               | people who mildly disagree with them "pedo guy".
               | 
               | (By the way, I don't actually agree with any of what I
               | wrote above. It's just another example of a bad-faith
               | argument like the one I'm responding to.)
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | I could never accomplish what he has. He is so many
               | standard deviations away from a regular person that it's
               | ridiculous to to feel anything but admiration. He's human
               | and imperfect like everyone and that's ok. He was born
               | with certain abilities and drive and he has made the
               | world a better place by using those gifts. He is not
               | beyond criticism either and some of his fans are too
               | eager to dismiss them.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
           | i_cannot_hack wrote:
           | A good reason to want self-absorbed bullies to publicly fail
           | rather than publicly succeed is to discourage others from
           | adopting similar attitude and methods.
        
             | leobg wrote:
             | Verily, I have beheld greater self-absorbed bullies than
             | the man who speaketh thus. [1]
             | 
             | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WX_mgnAFA0
        
             | mlindner wrote:
             | If Elon was self-absorbed he'd be buying private yachts or
             | private islands or massive mansions. He wouldn't be
             | constantly talking about existential risks to humanity and
             | trying to come up with ways of fixing them. Is Bill Gates
             | self-absorbed? Much of what Elon Musk does is in a similar
             | vein as the Gates Foundation, though often through for-
             | profit companies.
        
               | leobg wrote:
               | And also wouldn't deny that he had a threesome Amber
               | Heard and Cara Delevingne. [1]
               | 
               | > I think people think these things are generally more
               | salacious than they are.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/25/style/elon-musk-
               | maureen-d...
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | I'm not sure what you're saying, but the source is
               | actually him denying it.
               | 
               | > About the contention that he had a threesome with Ms.
               | Heard and her friend Cara Delevingne, Mr. Musk said,
               | laughing, "We did not have the threesome, you know. So I
               | think people think these things are generally more
               | salacious than they are."
               | 
               | He's laughing at the reporter for even proposing the
               | idea, followed by downplaying it in a way that makes it
               | clear that this was the media being sensationalist for
               | clicks again.
        
               | dexterdog wrote:
               | Are there people who think Bill Gates is not self-
               | absorbed?
        
         | canadiantim wrote:
         | Elon paid 44 billion for twitter's existing users and wanting
         | to overthrow the censorship regime that was defacto the
         | standard before Elon bought twitter. Thank god Elon bought
         | twitter and made it possible for other social media sites to be
         | more open to free-speech.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | That 'censorship regime' (your words, not mine) was doing a
           | very good job compared to the clown running it today.
        
             | tenpies wrote:
             | Everyone likes the censors when they are on their side.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Yes, but Twitter was arguably doing a reasonably good job
               | of that part of their mission. You can debate about the
               | business side, it's not easy monetizing something like
               | that but they showed rather a lot of restraint and if
               | they messed up they fixed things.
               | 
               | The people that see this differently are typically the
               | same people who believe that 'the Twitter files' were
               | revelatory, when in fact they weren't. Strong overlap
               | there with eternal Trump supporters and various complot
               | theory proponents, I'm not sure what degree of evidence
               | would be able to convince people like that.
        
             | Kye wrote:
             | Somehow Elon's Twitter is even worse for anything remotely
             | queer. I run into the "sensitive content" click walls any
             | time I follow a link to anything on furry Twitter these
             | days, and it's _never_ a tweet that remotely warrants it.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | I wasn't expecting anything different from a company run
               | by the archtypical techbro. Musk is doing a lot of damage
               | in a very indirect way: plenty of people see in him their
               | justification for being jerks.
        
           | mikestew wrote:
           | Am I right in that it's Poe's law[0] that's getting the
           | workout today?
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poe's_law
        
           | jddj wrote:
           | Watching the increasing polarisation of the public's opinion
           | of Elon as he's inserted himself into the culture wars has
           | been such a bizarre experience.
           | 
           | I guess by now he probably appreciates people going off the
           | deep end for/against him.
        
           | dom96 wrote:
           | From my perspective Twitter has become more censorship prone
           | than ever before after Elon took it over.
        
             | rahmeero wrote:
             | Also, for whatever reason, the quality of conversation has
             | declined on Twitter since Elon.
        
           | Shekelphile wrote:
           | 'Censorship regime'? In the time since Musk took over twitter
           | I've gotten right-wing tweets forced into my feed despite not
           | following a single right winger and a ton of high profile
           | people have been banned for speaking out about him.
           | 
           | Not to mention that old Twitter never hamfistedly censored
           | people by straight up shadowbanning users for using the words
           | 'mastodon' or 'substack' in their tweets.
        
             | nemo44x wrote:
             | You literally said Twitter is less of an echo chamber and
             | that makes me upset. I enjoy seeing a wide spectrum of
             | ideas.
        
               | Shekelphile wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | Your "Following" feed only contains who you are following
               | so the smooth brained right wingers shouldn't show up
               | there. If you see a smooth brained right wing tweet in
               | the "For You" feed you can mark it as "Not Interested"
               | and the algo will stop suggesting smooth brained right
               | wing tweets.
        
               | Shekelphile wrote:
               | Your snark isn't needed. I'm obviously not a user of the
               | 'for you' timeline and still got those artificially
               | promoted tweets from people I don't follow and were not
               | retweeted by those that I do. It's why I stopped using
               | twitter and I see no reason to change that.
        
       | getcrunk wrote:
       | I was in mobile and clicked the link to try notes and it
       | redirected me to App Store. Lol
       | 
       | So much for giving a new platform a try. I will never use this
        
       | Confiks wrote:
       | Compare the two homepages without cookies [1][2]. The rounded
       | buttons in orange instead of Twitter-blue. The footer nagbar. The
       | similar navigation menu.
       | 
       | Following the whole banning-saga my impression was that Notes was
       | a genuine extension of the Substack platform, but it being a
       | frontend clone explains why such a tantrum was thrown by Musk.
       | 
       | [1] https://twitter.com/
       | 
       | [2] https://substack.com/notes
        
         | wilsonnb3 wrote:
         | This is just what 95% of websites look like these days, they
         | both could be demo pages from the react or angular doc's.
         | 
         | The fact that Musk is known to be thin-skinned and prone to
         | internet outbursts explains why he threw such a tantrum.
        
         | drusepth wrote:
         | I wasn't able to see the Substack design until I hacked away at
         | the obtrusive signup wall.
         | 
         | Here's a side-by-side comparison for anyone that doesn't want
         | to go through the same process:
         | 
         | https://i.imgur.com/On0RZG8.png
        
           | epolanski wrote:
           | Strikingly similar, but so are most websites anyway.
        
           | twobitshifter wrote:
           | If you sign in to twitter the sidebar becomes almost
           | identical
        
         | pantalaimon wrote:
         | Is there any way to access Substack Notes without an account?
        
         | alsodumb wrote:
         | I'm not saying Twitter front end is that hard to clone, but I
         | wonder how many ex-twitter employees are at Substack now
         | working on Notes.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Seems just like one of the many cookie-cutter Twitter clones
         | out there. I don't think people would even be talking about
         | Substack Notes had it not been for Musk's tantrum.
        
           | lapetitejort wrote:
           | Competitors are refining their Musk Tantrum Inducer
           | algorithms to better market their products.
        
       | j45 wrote:
       | Substack notes is an interesting reimagining of blog post
       | comments to be presented in a more familiar social media style.
        
       | user00012-ab wrote:
       | One thing I noticed right away, is when I scrolled down their
       | page it didn't pop up that horrible popup all substack pages have
       | asking you to subscribe; maybe they can ditch Notes and implement
       | that feature on the rest of substack.
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | Is there a way to follow notes via RSS? This is how I read
       | regular substack posts.
        
       | hnaouesteuho wrote:
       | I wonder if the founders really want to be launching this, or if
       | this is a move pushed by their VCs.
        
       | coldpie wrote:
       | For me, it's just an empty login form, and I'm not going to
       | register an account just to see what's there.
       | 
       | I'm sympathetic to the idea of paying for content directly (I
       | spend over $100/mo on Patreon), but I feel like Substack has
       | cultivated a nasty branding issue for themselves. To me, and I
       | know I'm not alone, Substack is where you go when you want to
       | hear some 17-year-old who got high for the first time tell you
       | what THE MANNNN doesn't want you to know, duuude. Greenwald and
       | Taibbi and the like. I guess there's probably other types of
       | content on there, but that's all I ever see from the domain.
       | 
       | Anyway I'm not going to register an account to see whatever's
       | going on with Notes. Good luck, guys.
        
         | ugh0 wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | drcongo wrote:
         | You're not alone. Substack is also where former journalists
         | publish when those pesky editors decide to fact check them and
         | find them wanting.
        
           | pandeiro wrote:
           | Especially when they're factchecking for partisan narrative
           | compliance
        
           | ugh0 wrote:
           | [dead]
        
         | samstave wrote:
         | Just wait for Reddit screenshot reposts.
        
         | praisewhitey wrote:
         | Personally I've always disliked Substack because their links
         | used to only show a newsletter sign up form and a button that
         | said "Let me read it first". I'm sure everyone who works at
         | Substack knows no one wants to sign up for a newsletter before
         | "reading it first" but they still put that form there in hopes
         | some small percentage of people type their email not realizing
         | they don't need to.
        
         | ugh0 wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | xirdstl wrote:
         | On the other hand, I have a quite positive opinion of Substack
         | given the articles I read there, and I know I'm not alone.
         | 
         | I don't like Twitter though, so I don't really care about Notes
        
         | claytonjy wrote:
         | On the hand I know exactly what you mean about Greenwald and
         | Taibbi (and so many other neoreactionary media folks), but it's
         | also where I get great content from economists (Noah Smith,
         | Claudia Sahm, Doomberg) and technologists (our own Simon
         | Willison, Gergely Orosz, Molly White).
         | 
         | The media folks are clearly escaping scrutiny and playing to
         | their base, but there are many excellent Substackers in other
         | fields!
        
           | ska wrote:
           | A branding problem doesn't mean all of the content is bad,
           | no?
        
           | seti0Cha wrote:
           | How are they escaping scrutiny? They hardly seem interested
           | in hiding what they believe seeing as how they are both very
           | active on Twitter. And whose scrutiny do you consider them
           | anxious to avoid? Their opponents know very well what they
           | are saying. This whole framing reeks of the kind of
           | censoriousness which they both spend a lot of time railing
           | against.
        
           | jacooper wrote:
           | Simon willison is on substack? Doesn't he have his own blog?
        
             | claytonjy wrote:
             | He does, his substack is a weekly collation of his blog
             | posts.
        
           | cholantesh wrote:
           | >Greenwald and Taibbi (and so many other neoreactionary media
           | folks)
           | 
           | I intensely dislike both of them, but are they really
           | considered NRx?
        
             | pandeiro wrote:
             | lol just go along with it, we need to label them something,
             | and "non-partisan" just doesn't give anyone a self-
             | righteous dopamine hit
        
           | coldpie wrote:
           | I believe you, but Substack is clearly trying to appeal to
           | that same base[1]. I'm sure there's fine content on there
           | somewhere, but Substack's brand is so unappealing to me I'm
           | just not interested in supporting the company.
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://twitter.com/lulumeservey/status/1511376638487019524
        
       | hackerlight wrote:
       | Does anyone have a method to discover good writers on Substack?
       | There's so much trash there that I'm tuning out every writer that
       | publishes on Substack, except for a small handful that I already
       | knew about.
        
       | tedmiston wrote:
       | _Coming Soon: Substack Orange_
        
       | charlierguo wrote:
       | I've been checking out Notes all morning (I write a jargon-free,
       | FOMO-free, AI newsletter). It's kind of a weird product launch?
       | My feed is primarily content that the people I subscribe to post
       | or comment on, but I don't subscribe to that many people.
       | 
       | I'm not sure what the average number of subscriptions a Substack
       | user has, but it seems like a very echo-chambery setup right now.
       | As an author there are definitely things that I want to share
       | that aren't worth of an email, but I'm pretty sure very few of my
       | audience members are going to see it. Maybe this makes more sense
       | for writers with audiences who are on the Substack app all day.
        
         | austincassidy wrote:
         | Completely agree with this. This is basically the perfect
         | formula for creating mini echo-chambers. If Substack wants to
         | make this a real competitor to Twitter, it needs to have the
         | "two feed" set up that both TikTok and Twitter have: a feed for
         | algorithm-based recommendations and a feed solely for people
         | that the user follows. They also need to make it so that you
         | can follow someone's notes without also following their
         | newsletter.
        
           | jazzyjackson wrote:
           | Since when did "ignoring-shit-I-didn't-subscribe-to" become a
           | "formula for creating mini echo-chambers"
           | 
           | Is my email inbox an echo chamber because I don't get random
           | newsletters from political activists?
        
             | austincassidy wrote:
             | Your email inbox isn't an echo chamber because it's not a
             | social platform.
             | 
             | According to this research study, these are the two main
             | ingredients: 1) Homophily in the interaction networks 2)
             | Bias in the information diffusion toward like-minded peers
             | https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2023301118
             | 
             | Substack Notes is their way to venture into the social
             | platform realm, which differs from the personal email inbox
             | model, which isn't a social platform. With that in mind,
             | for ingredient #1: people can only see notes from people
             | they follow. People will overwhelmingly only follow people
             | that align with their ideas/political leanings/beliefs.
             | This creates the homophily in interaction networks. For #2,
             | users can easily share biased information to their like-
             | minded peers without pushback/opposing views since their
             | social network is comprised of people with the same
             | viewpoints.
             | 
             | To be clear, algorithms can definitely create echo chambers
             | as well but ideally an algorithm based feed will promote
             | discourse and dialogue about ideas.
             | 
             | An anecdote: I follow quite a few people on TikTok that
             | post about housing policy in NYC. TikTok's algorithm
             | exposes these videos to people with varying viewpoints,
             | which creates a ton of dialogue on proposed solutions and
             | pushback on ideas that could potentially harm certain
             | demographics/historical areas, etc. This pushback is very
             | important but is only possible when there is a chance for
             | those with opposing views to discover it, which means there
             | needs to be an algorithmic recommendation feature.
             | 
             | If TikTok had no FYP and instead people could only watch
             | videos from people they follow, this would create a closed
             | loop system and those opposing views for housing policy
             | would not be nearly as prevalent.
        
               | akira2501 wrote:
               | > because it's not a social platform.
               | 
               | Is that what people actually want? To be algorithmiclly
               | fed content from strangers? Why is this the imputed
               | ideal?
               | 
               | > but ideally an algorithm based feed will promote
               | discourse and dialogue about ideas.
               | 
               | Is there any evidence that this is true or should be an
               | expectation? Is that really why billions of dollars are
               | spent on this space?
        
               | nkjnlknlk wrote:
               | > Is there any evidence that this is true or should be an
               | expectation? Is that really why billions of dollars are
               | spent on this space?
               | 
               | Yes. If people only used social media to connect/follow
               | people they know the industry would be making nothing.
        
               | akira2501 wrote:
               | This only makes sense if you assume large national
               | conglomerates are the norm. If they weren't, then the
               | industry could make _plenty_ of money off a much larger
               | base of small to medium businesses advertising to local
               | citizens.
        
               | austincassidy wrote:
               | > Is that what people actually want? To be algorithmiclly
               | fed content from strangers? Why is this the imputed
               | ideal?
               | 
               | I never made the argument that it's the imputed ideal.
               | Rather, my point is that in the context of a social
               | platform, having an option for an algorithmic feed leads
               | to other people with opposing views to discover the
               | content and have dialogue about it/contest that
               | viewpoint. Otherwise, it's a closed loop system that
               | contains only like-minded viewpoints that can lead to an
               | echo chamber. How do we prevent echo chambers from
               | forming? Well, the most straightforward option is to
               | introduce opposing viewpoints. How do we introduce
               | opposing viewpoints? Well the people with opposing
               | viewpoints need to be able to discover the content - so
               | it needs to be shown to them somehow. The best way to do
               | that (right now at least) is through an algorithmic
               | recommendation engine.
               | 
               | > Is there any evidence that this is true or should be an
               | expectation? Is that really why billions of dollars are
               | spent on this space?
               | 
               | That's why I said "ideally". There's huge differences in
               | algorithms for all the major social platforms. Algorithms
               | can easily be used to make echo chambers worse, but
               | algorithms can also be used to reduce echo chambers on a
               | platform. To your point, that's why billions of dollars
               | are spent on this because it's a complicated problem. One
               | thing is a fact though, dissenting opinions create
               | engagement and keeps people on the platform. If you
               | responded to my comment and said "I agree with you", I
               | wouldn't be commenting here right now and back on
               | Hackernews. Most social platforms take advantage of this
               | feature of our human psyche to get people to stay on the
               | platform to then show them more ads and drive more ad
               | revenue. That's why engagement is such a critical factor
               | in social media algorithms and also has the unintended
               | consequence of promoting controversial content - because
               | it receives the most engagement. Which goes back to the
               | need of having an algorithm that can balance reducing
               | echo chambers by showing the content to others with
               | dissenting opinions without unintentionally promoting
               | only the most controversial content because it has the
               | highest engagement. There's really no easy answer to this
               | and again, that's why they spend billions like you said.
        
       | hiidrew wrote:
       | I have mixed feelings about this and some of the other twitters
       | clones I've been experimenting with: bluesky, mastodon, read.cv's
       | posts, farcaster. They're reminding me of the wave of audio-first
       | social features that came after the Clubhouse hype.
       | 
       | Though I do appreciate the niche focuses of these apps, e.g.
       | posts is primarily designers, farcaster is a lot of crypto
       | people, etc, I still use Twitter for most of my content
       | discovery.
        
       | phtrivier wrote:
       | You can now start a timer until they announce that they're going
       | to algorithmically organize the feed of "Notes" because
       | "chronological order is too hard to follow."
       | 
       | Then, they will let an Algo organize the feed of articles.
       | 
       | Then the ads - no, wait, the "sponsored post - will start popping
       | in, etc, etc...
       | 
       | Maybe they won't. I enjoy substack as it is today, and maybe
       | they'll pull it off. But I can't help seing this as the next step
       | towards enshitification. In the words of a 21s century social
       | media author : "so sad".
        
         | andrewmutz wrote:
         | I don't think there is inherently anything wrong with
         | algorithmic feeds. Algorithms work well when finding you
         | interesting content when there is too much content to show you
         | all of it. Netflix does this every day and people don't
         | complain about it.
         | 
         | I think the real problem is when this is done with an ad-
         | supported business model. In that model, the interests of the
         | algorithm designer are too far removed from the interests of
         | the user. Presumably, since substack has a subscription
         | business model (like netflix) we may end up with algorithmic
         | feeds that users enjoy using.
        
           | rwmj wrote:
           | Maybe there's not anything "inherently wrong", but in all
           | instances I'm aware of they've been worse than simply showing
           | the posts in date order.
        
           | dopamean wrote:
           | I kinda prefer the algo feed tbh. It shows me stuff from
           | yesterday when I didnt check the feed at all. I'm on some IRC
           | servers and a couple discord as well and it often feels like
           | if I don't check constantly I'll miss something and have to
           | scroll for ages to sort it out. I don't mind that as much on
           | those platforms but for things like IG and twitter I do enjoy
           | the algo feed.
        
         | pvarangot wrote:
         | I think before that you need to get all the fake journalists
         | that just get payed by companies to review their products and
         | say it's awesome for the price. Substack doesn't have those
         | yet.
        
         | throwaway5752 wrote:
         | I doubt that will be the case. The cash cow is subscription,
         | not ads or engagement. The fundamental value proposition for
         | the product is getting more people to pay for subscription
         | content. It has a similar feel for the end user, but that
         | appears to be the only overlap.
         | 
         | No need for a $8 verified button, they can just say how many
         | paying subscribers has as a form of social truth. That is game-
         | able, obviously, but imposes a substantial cost on buying
         | credibility.
        
         | WheatMillington wrote:
         | Catastrophising about a future that doesn't exist based on pure
         | speculation. You're already upset about this product on the
         | basis that bad things MIGHT happen in the future. Live in the
         | moment, this type of chronic negativity is unhealthy.
        
           | tomcam wrote:
           | > Maybe they won't. I enjoy substack as it is today, and
           | maybe they'll pull it off.
           | 
           | Mindread much? You have no idea whether GP is upset.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | phtrivier wrote:
           | I not sure I'm upset yet, but I'm definitely concerned, and
           | rather pessimistic on the outcome.
           | 
           | Looks too much like deja vu all over again.
           | 
           | What bother me the most is that they don't seem to address
           | the issue at all in the announcement. I'm not going to
           | pretend I'm the only one who sees how things could get awry
           | here. I wish they had at least given a nod to the very likely
           | worst case scenario, and maybe explained why they think
           | they're in a better position then pretty-much-every-other-
           | social-media.
           | 
           | I just wonder how long it's going to take for:
           | 
           | * this Notes tab to be the first thing that the app opens
           | 
           | * Content from people I have not subscribed to, to be the
           | first thing in the Notes tab
           | 
           | * This content being stuff I do not care about
           | 
           | * In short form
           | 
           | * Optimized to get "engagement" (aka "arguments between
           | trolls")
           | 
           | We'll see...
        
           | naet wrote:
           | You could argue that it isn't just a hypothetical future,
           | it's a trend that already exists and has repeated multiple
           | times over in recent history. Nothing wrong with recognizing
           | that and warning about it ("if you don't learn history you're
           | doomed to repeat it" or something like that).
           | 
           | I think that since Substack already has a monetization in
           | subscriptions it's possible that they won't need the same
           | revenue. But it's also hard to convince execs to leave
           | potential revenue on the table when they see it.
        
           | zulban wrote:
           | It's not "pure speculation" if you've seen it happen many
           | times, and you see the same early patterns now. That's not
           | speculation, that's pattern recognition and intelligence.
        
         | BulgarianIdiot wrote:
         | Happens every time. But there are alternatives. It's just that
         | everyone copies prior art and so we have this algorithmic mess.
        
         | MikusR wrote:
         | Can you explain what you enjoy about substack? It just seems to
         | be Forbes contributors with even less vetting.
        
           | adamrezich wrote:
           | can you explain what you mean by "It just seems to be Forbes
           | contributors with even less vetting"? I am subscribed to
           | several different columns, with a couple of paid
           | subscriptions, all about a very wide variety of topics--it's
           | just a blog/podcast platform.
        
           | ugh0 wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
           | neither_color wrote:
           | Layperson here:
           | 
           | When I click on a forbes article I usually don't notice the
           | author.
           | 
           | On Substack I'm subscribed to specific authors and one former
           | newspaper/ now independent journalist I follow.
        
             | manuelmoreale wrote:
             | Honest question: why is noticing/not noticing the author
             | relevant to you? Isn't the point of reading something to
             | consume the actual content?
             | 
             | I totally get the point of following people you're already
             | familiar with and have a track record of quality. Not
             | arguing against that.
             | 
             | I'm just interested in your comment about not noticing the
             | author.
        
         | russellbeattie wrote:
         | This is exactly right. Because they will have to.
         | 
         | If you follow 100 people who post 3 times a day, that's 300
         | posts. You're awake 16 hours a day, so an average of ~18 posts
         | per hour, or 1 every 3 minutes. Many users follow way more
         | people and/or follow accounts which post much more often.
         | 
         | Having a non-algorithmic feed means that posters will see low
         | levels of engagement and users will quickly be overwhelmed with
         | their reading list, and miss most of the posts. It's a vicious
         | circle which will cause both writers and readers to eventually
         | give up.
         | 
         | If, on the other hand, posts are ranked based on user
         | popularity and engagement and that rank affects its position in
         | subscriber feeds, then it's a virtuous cycle where more people
         | will be directed to interesting posts, and those posters will
         | be incentivised to post more.
         | 
         | This is why Mastodon has seen its usage drop after their
         | initial surge earlier this year. We don't have time to wade
         | through a firehouse of random posts every day.
        
           | phtrivier wrote:
           | > If, on the other hand, posts are ranked based on user
           | popularity and engagement and that rank affects its position
           | in subscriber feeds, then it's a virtuous cycle where more
           | people will be directed to interesting posts, and those
           | posters will be incentivised to post more.
           | 
           | ... or it's a vicious cycle when someone understand which
           | kind of cheaply generated content games the recommandation
           | system the best. If history has told us anything, it's that
           | radical, divisive, tribal, infuriating, titilating,
           | voyeuristic, trivial, scammy, stupid short form tends to
           | works very well.
        
             | russellbeattie wrote:
             | I don't disagree in any way. But in the short term, an
             | algorithmic feed will be the only way to make the service
             | "sticky". But yes, any algorithm can and will be gamed and
             | it's a cat and mouse game from that point on.
        
         | Fauntleroy wrote:
         | In that case, just continue using it until it sucks and move
         | on.
        
           | phtrivier wrote:
           | This assumes there will be an alternative system to move on
           | to.
           | 
           | I'm starting to wonder if there is a law of physics that
           | inevitably turns any content publishing platform into
           | youtwitokbook (tm).
           | 
           | Let's hope we keep a critical mass of "suckers" who still
           | write good, long form content despite it being the least
           | effective strategy.
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | Substack really competes with creators leaving and setting up
       | their own newsletter + payment gateway software. That's like a
       | $20,000 or so project from a web dev firm and for a creator who
       | gets $200,000 a year from their newsletter it pays for itself in
       | a year. The trouble is that substack makes almost all of its
       | money from two handfuls of users who make more than that so if
       | substack loses those creators it is left with all the expenses
       | but none of the revenue.
       | 
       | The question about any feature they add is "what does it do about
       | that situation?"
        
         | blackshaw wrote:
         | $20,000? I could code up a basic newsletter app in half a day's
         | work, with payments handled by Stripe.
         | 
         | If it's really possible to charge $20,000 for this service then
         | please tell me where to find clients.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | If I were doing it on my own account my estimate is close to
           | yours. I have a cloud-native email newsletter system I built
           | already, hooking up a payment gateway is routine, testing can
           | be a bit of a hassle.
           | 
           | You could put a job like that up on a freelancer platform for
           | a lot less money and you might get a good outcome or you
           | might not.
           | 
           | My figure would assume there is a certain amount of arguing
           | and barguing about requirements and that you're dealing with
           | somebody who will really come through, dot all the i's and
           | cross all the t's and it is worth it if you are really making
           | money on a newsletter.
        
         | runako wrote:
         | This is similar to the "Amazon problem," where manufacturers
         | can earn a higher margin by selling direct.
         | 
         | >The question about any feature they add is "what does it do
         | about that situation?"
         | 
         | The answer is the same in the cases of Amazon & Substack:
         | generating sales isn't free, and in all likelihood the platform
         | can do it cheaper than you can. Take the $200k writer who pays
         | $20k to Substack annually. Either Substack can generate 166
         | subscriptions ($10/mo) annually so it's worth the money, or you
         | move. (That's almost correct: if you are a writer, it may be
         | worth it to you to let Substack continue to own this piece so
         | that you don't have to run a business. There's a lot of value
         | in being able to focus on thinking and writing and not SEO and
         | ad placement.)
        
           | gen220 wrote:
           | I've seen people trying to compare Amazon to Substack, but it
           | doesn't add up for me.
           | 
           | One Substack "generates" the sale, transferring the
           | relationship to your own site feels cheap.
           | 
           | It's like if Amazon stopped selling New Yorker subscriptions.
           | If I actually gave a crap about the NYer subscription I was
           | paying for, I'd find some other way to pay for it. Amazon
           | [Substack] is a commodity in this vertical.
           | 
           | Of course, the people who didn't care about your subscription
           | because they never read it would disappear. But, they were
           | going to churn eventually. I imagine if you amortize over a
           | year, this marginal loss is less than the diff between
           | Substack's take rate and operating your own blog +
           | newsletter.
           | 
           | ---
           | 
           | Acting rationally from an economic point of view, the only
           | reason you'd want to stick around on Substack is that you
           | think this equation holds true:
           | 
           | (Future subscriber base on Substack * (monthly rate -
           | Substack fee)) > (Future subscriber base as an independent *
           | (monthly rate - cc transaction fees)).
           | 
           | For "young" writers who don't yet have an audience, Substack
           | helps a lot. But if you have a well-developed audience, IDK,
           | I imagine Substack must view them as big flight risks (hence
           | the advance payments).
           | 
           | Some substantial things Substack can do to make this equation
           | more favorable:
           | 
           | - Give you free (or low-fee) marketing on substack properties
           | (note this is a zero sum game over ad inventory, choosing to
           | give _you_ ad space means choosing to not give it to others.
           | this is a hard game to solve, but they can probably do it).
           | 
           | - Reduce their take rate for mature audiences.
           | 
           | IMO, their current model doesn't make a lot of sense if
           | you're somebody with a large audience. Especially now that
           | we're out of ZIRP and they can't afford to sweeten the deal
           | as much anymore.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | It's an interesting case.
           | 
           | So far the superstars of Substack (say Matt Taibbi) were
           | superstars before Substack and promote Substack as opposed to
           | the other way around.
           | 
           | Substack competes with traditional journalism, which delivers
           | more journalism per dollar than the typical Substack but is
           | based around the strength of the brand of _The Guardian_ or
           | _The Economist_ as opposed to that of the individual
           | journalist. From the viewpoint of the journalist the
           | newspaper is an aggregator that is doing their marketing work
           | for them.
           | 
           | Substack also competes with Medium which plausibly claims to
           | be doing promotional work for its authors, but despite
           | claiming to be a place which is a little bit better than the
           | rest of the web it's actually a place that is a little worse
           | than the rest of the web and isn't making significant amounts
           | of money for anyone.
        
         | futhey wrote:
         | Ghost is effectively pivoted into this, so, it's an open-source
         | and cheap/free alternative to Substack, if for some reason
         | Substack doesn't work for you.
        
         | Pxtl wrote:
         | I mean look at Patreon that basically exist as 100% overhead
         | over just a Paypal account. They're doing fine. They
         | demonstrated that convenient cash transactions for digital
         | subscriptions is a viable business model.
         | 
         | I mean, youtube had half the internet complaining "I wish that
         | link was text and not a video" and the other half complaining
         | "I wish it was as easy to monetize writing as it was to
         | monetize video" and Substack saw the obvious solution.
         | 
         | Most creatives don't want to run a business, they want to
         | create.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | That's a good comparison.
           | 
           | I know a warvlogger, however, who is still active on YouTube
           | but moved to Patreon because he felt constrained about what
           | he could post on YouTube who left Patreon because Patreon
           | kicked out all warvloggers, now he has his own members-only
           | website.
           | 
           | Another example is OnlyFans which has the same inequality
           | problem as Substack. In my mind it is a little more mysterous
           | how you'd run your own video streaming platform than how
           | you'd run an email newsletter system, but I know you can rent
           | video streaming from AWS so it isn't so hard. I think it's
           | interesting how live-interaction platforms like Clubhouse
           | outside pornography collapsed really quickly though.
        
       | abzolv wrote:
       | I use a unique email address for each substack author that I
       | subscribe to. That is incompatible with Notes.
        
       | oldstrangers wrote:
       | Curious how they plan to handle handles. Right now they're using
       | full names for link text and having the URL as the unique
       | identifier. Seems difficult to account for in the actual notes
       | when you have multiple instances of the same name or full name
       | (for example I'm @Zachary).
        
       | buzzwords wrote:
       | The fact that I have to be signed in to see people's notes/tweets
       | means that I will not use it any time soon.
        
       | astroalex wrote:
       | All substack.com pages freeze for me on iOS Firefox. Anyone else?
        
       | mrahmadawais wrote:
       | Perfect way to grow Substack. Didn't see this coming.
        
       | lcnmrn wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
       | Obertr wrote:
       | twitter, is that you dude? what happened?
        
       | sidcool wrote:
       | As much as I love Twitter, I welcome the competition. Twitter
       | needs a vitamin shot
        
       | amadeuspagel wrote:
       | I've already noted that when you select text on substack, it
       | shows a popover with a "ReStack Quote" button. I think when any
       | blogging platform -- medium does this as well -- shows a popover
       | when you select text, it's over. Selecting text is such a natural
       | mechanic, there are so many reasons you might want to select
       | text, I often even do it to "play" with the text, or to focus on
       | a specific part.
        
       | nullgeo wrote:
       | The sign in flow is completely broken for me. I am signing up
       | with an email, after I click the verification link it takes me to
       | a page where I need to enter my email yet again. Here it says I
       | already might have an account and sends another verification
       | email which does the same thing again. Also found other issues
       | the site after going to the home page. Multiple modals
       | overlapping with the sign in flow.
        
         | Hamuko wrote:
         | Same. Managed to get in by opening one of the links in Chrome
         | instead of my usual Firefox. Haven't managed to set a password
         | yet though. It's a real fucking mess.
        
       | MasterScrat wrote:
       | I'm looking for a new platform to write technical blog posts, is
       | Substack the right place?
       | 
       | I'm basically looking for the "Medium from when Medium was good"
        
         | drdrey wrote:
         | Notion's editor is great for this, publishing not so much
        
         | samhuk wrote:
         | I use substack for this (samhuk.substack.com), and all I can
         | say is Substack is _better_ than medium, but absolutely it is
         | not good IMHO. It 's support for code snippets is basically
         | non-existent, as one example.
        
       | 13years wrote:
       | So, I gave it a try today. Was hopeful, because on Twitter all my
       | posts go essentially into the void.
       | 
       | However, Substack Notes seems to have no method for discovery.
       | They add some random larger accounts to my feed.
       | 
       | You can't search Notes to find people posting content in order to
       | find others potentially interested in similar content.
       | 
       | So, unless you already have a large following, seems like posting
       | into another void. People are reluctant to follow you as well,
       | since you must subscribe to the persons newsletter, they are the
       | same action.
        
         | jononomo wrote:
         | Perhaps they will have improved the product in a few months.
         | I'm sure they're collecting a lot of feedback.
        
           | 13years wrote:
           | I'm just amazed that no social media has really attempted to
           | put what you view in mostly the control of users.
           | 
           | I put forward this suggestion to Twitter, I doubt they will
           | use it, but it is currently ranked 4th by up votes.
           | 
           | https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm/issues/1363
        
       | processing wrote:
       | _clicks link to Notes_
       | 
       | "Log in to Substack"
       | 
       |  _closes tab_
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | potamic wrote:
         | Very precisely my course of action. As consumers, we will do
         | well to protest and boycott services that ask you to identify
         | yourself unnecessarily. But I had to scroll far to see this
         | comment. The general interest here for a new product and the
         | willingness to look past mandatory login in worrying. I feel
         | companies have successfully normalized this and consumers don't
         | question this much any more.
        
         | pornel wrote:
         | To be fair, the signup process is hassle-free.
        
           | twobitshifter wrote:
           | No signup on twitter anymore
        
         | feliixh wrote:
         | +1
        
       | 0xDEF wrote:
       | Substack is an "absolute free speech" app. They have gotten away
       | with it so far because nobody could see the highly offensive
       | content unless they actively sought after it and subscribed.
       | 
       | However now that Substack is becoming more like a conventional
       | social media platform they will have a harder time being an
       | "absolute free speech" app.
        
         | w______roy wrote:
         | It's a good thing, I think. "Absolute free speech" is most
         | often championed by people who want to build society around
         | pure logic rather than empirical evidence. The slippery slope
         | bogeyman they gesture to is laughably dated in a time when
         | misinformation and misdirection are so much easier.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | tensor wrote:
         | One thing that is often lost with the free speech argument is
         | amplification. For example, no one is stopping most people from
         | going and yelling on a street corner. But that doesn't mean
         | that you need to be allowed to speak in a particular venue or
         | platform. Our society is currently not one in which there is a
         | right to "equal volume" on speech, and I think that's a good
         | thing.
         | 
         | The entire free speech movement was a response to government
         | literally throwing people in jail for even talking about a
         | given topic. It was never about allowing minority opinions to
         | be as loud as majority opinions.
        
         | snotrockets wrote:
         | You make it sound like a bad thing. Being proud of harboring
         | hate speech puts one in a very specific category of people, one
         | I wouldn't be proud to be part of.
        
       | asenna wrote:
       | I've been enjoying Farcaster in recent months. I think they've
       | taken a very thoughtful approach with the "sufficiently
       | decentralized" philosophy [1] and that openness is now helping
       | them grow the ecosystem of apps using the network.
       | 
       | [1] - https://www.varunsrinivasan.com/2022/01/11/sufficient-
       | decent...
        
       | orsenthil wrote:
       | Can I look at a note without logging in first?
        
       | hrpnk wrote:
       | I use Substack by subscribing to every blog with a unique email
       | address, just as one would do for a newsletter.
       | 
       | Forcing me to login to a single account is not going to work
       | beyond a single email address that I can pick.
        
       | upstream wrote:
       | Substack and Beehiv is my favorite.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Url changed from
       | https://twitter.com/cjgbest/status/1645804524068818945, which
       | (sort of) points to this.
        
       | obblekk wrote:
       | This is a case where an algorithmic feed would make this into a
       | truly amazing product.
       | 
       | I don't want email spam from every follower, but do want to see
       | the best snippets on substack.
       | 
       | Super easy to create a for you page, given text content:
       | 
       | Step 1: embed every article I ever read, or note I
       | liked/comment/share and stuff it in a DB.
       | 
       | Step 2: every time a new note is posted (by anyone anywhere),
       | embed it, search the db for my last 100 embedded items, and see
       | if new note has relevance > 50%. If so, add it to my feed
       | inventory. Resort my feed inventory by semantic relevance every
       | hour. Remove items older than 7 days from feed inventory every
       | hour.
       | 
       | Step 3: On page load, move everything in my feed inventory to my
       | feed archive - never rerank again. (Bonus points for tracking
       | note level views rather than assuming all were viewed, but small
       | detail).
       | 
       | Bonus Step 4: Every 4th item in my feed inventory, intersperse
       | something that's solely there based on popularity/top liked note
       | of all notes visible to all of my followings. i.e., show me
       | something possibly irrelevant but viral.
       | 
       | That'll get you pretty far, each step can be endlessly optimized
       | over time.
       | 
       | I want to see the results of this so bad that I'll volunteer to
       | build v1 this weekend if you really don't have time to do it
       | internally. Tiktok for text... could be amazing.
        
         | 2h wrote:
         | > This is a case where an algorithmic feed would make this into
         | a truly amazing product.
         | 
         | how many platforms need to be ruined by an algorithmic feed
         | before people understand that its a terrible idea?
        
           | snordgren wrote:
           | Algorithmic feeds generate more user engagement, that is what
           | they are for. That's why platforms built around following
           | updates from people that you like can't help themselves but
           | implement them.
        
           | getcrunk wrote:
           | The terrible idea is only having an algorithmic feed. If you
           | always offer the user the option to not use it and instead
           | have a feed they can control, then it's a non issue
        
             | Tepix wrote:
             | Is there a way to get rid of suggestions on Instagram?
        
               | 2h wrote:
               | As soon as the site is owned by a public company, it's
               | over. They are legally required to have an algorithm only
               | feed, as this gives the best engagement, regardless of
               | how much the userbase might hate it.
        
       | Eumenes wrote:
       | On this episode of a boring dystopia: a twitter clone
        
       | 1attice wrote:
       | I honestly can't imagine a better marketing campaign for Substack
       | Notes than Elon 'Streisand Effect' Musk's ongoing shenanigans.
       | 
       | I'm left in awe of the wranglers at SpaceX and Tesla who have
       | managed to keep the companies in question profitable despite
       | being surgically sewn to a narcissistic fauntleroy
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | cyclecount wrote:
       | Seems like their infrastructure is not holding up today (a good
       | sign that the launch has got a lot of attention?). I cannot load
       | article pages without 2-3 tries.
        
       | jpmattia wrote:
       | It wasn't like Twitter's business had a large technical barrier-
       | to-entry. And Musk seems to be pissing away his non-technical
       | barrier-to-entry just about as hard as he can.
       | 
       | Good luck to Substack on eating twitter's lunch!
       | 
       | Edit: That said, I've found mastodon (@jpmattia@mastodon.mit.edu)
       | to be a much more pleasant interaction compared to twitter, so
       | I'm curious what the landscape looks like in a couple of years.
        
         | vishnugupta wrote:
         | Twitter's moat was and is network effect and having a critical
         | mass of humans interacting through them. It was never about
         | tech as such.
         | 
         | But Musk seems, knowingly or unknowingly, to be systematically
         | pissing off Twitter's users. The blue tick shenanigans and
         | conflating it with paid membership, pissing off advertisers,
         | the bots problem that was never addressed, promoting himself at
         | the cost of business, his covert/overt approval of extreme
         | right wing tweets, so on and so forth.
         | 
         | There's only so much crap users can tolerate. A bunch of users
         | have left for Mastodon, and a few more are doing so after he
         | banned Substack links. Once a good chunk of core and
         | influential content creators leave Twitter it'll get
         | overwhelmed with bots and advertisers and will set of a
         | negative spiral.
        
         | dan-robertson wrote:
         | In what sense do you think Twitter's business doesn't have a
         | large technical barrier to entry? Perhaps having a low-volume
         | version makes it a lot easier and skipping all the ads stuff
         | reduces the work.
        
           | heylook wrote:
           | Many many senses. First, it's already been built. Now people
           | now how to build it. In fact, many of the people that
           | actually built it have left the company and could presumably
           | help to build it again.
           | 
           | Second, the toolchain has matured in absolutely huge ways.
           | AWS exists. Twitter had to build their own cloud to meet
           | scaling needs. Languages have matured or been purpose-written
           | to enable building/scaling these types of systems. A huge
           | portion of the N+1s and hidden footguns have been cleaned out
           | of the thousands and thousands of open source libraries that
           | you can glue together to get the system up and running.
           | 
           | Third, Silicon Valley engineers as a whole have spent the
           | last decade-plus building all sorts of Twitter-adjacent Web
           | 2.0 projects, so there's an incredibly deep pool of people
           | that have extremely relevant experience, even if they never
           | stepped foot inside the Twitter building.
           | 
           | Fourth, Twitter (and companies very similar) have been
           | publishing literal engineering designs and post-mortems for
           | public consumption on their engineering blogs. Even if you
           | have no idea what HTML is, your path to self-education and
           | building your own Twitter clone has never been shorter or
           | better paved. They've even published huge chunks of their own
           | work as open source projects.
           | 
           | And on and on and on and on. And here's the thing about
           | growing to Twitter-scale: it doesn't happen all at once. You
           | can build the low-volume version and just follow
           | approximately the same technical scaling path that Twitter
           | itself followed, except you'll be able to skip a whole bunch
           | of mistakes.
        
             | dan-robertson wrote:
             | Twitter used to go down a lot. In some sense, struggling
             | under load is a nice problem to have (as you want the
             | users) though.
             | 
             | I find I'm not super convinced that 'aws exists' or
             | whatever solves the problems Twitter had. Though I guess a
             | bunch of the problems with eg distributing a notification
             | to millions of followers or super-deep reply chains or
             | football games or new years or whatever can be punted on
             | until you have significant numbers of users which fits 'low
             | barrier to entry'.
        
               | heylook wrote:
               | Seriously? I think "AWS exists" is self-evident enough to
               | almost be a tautology. It's a hugely successful business
               | whose business is making tools that make it
               | easier/faster/cheaper to build and scale software and
               | internet products. If that doesn't prove how much easier
               | it is now to build the technology of Twitter, I'm
               | genuinely curious if you could present a hypothetical set
               | of facts that would actually be convincing to you.
               | 
               | ETA: I want to be careful to say that it's not "lol easy
               | peasy" to build Twitter, but that the question "How
               | likely would an investor be to pass on your Twitter clone
               | startup because they thought the technology couldn't be
               | built by your team with their investment?" is laughable,
               | possibly even if the founding team is non-technical. With
               | $5m, anyone competent enough to even file a YC
               | application could hire a good enough technical
               | consultancy to get a Twitter clone that scales to
               | millions of users.
        
         | rodgerd wrote:
         | > And Musk seems to be pissing away his non-technical barrier-
         | to-entry just about as hard as he can.
         | 
         | He's completely pissed it away. The skills at finessing the
         | demands of different regulatory regimes were some of the first
         | he got rid of, no doubt deriding it as "wokism". Now he's got
         | fines racking up for publishing Nazi shit in Germany, privacy
         | breaches in the EU, and is globally censoring anything that
         | Hindu extremists don't like.
         | 
         | Turns out that the main problem in social media is the social
         | bit, not whether you can convince a man-child that your code
         | works.
        
           | greyman wrote:
           | But if we look at the "mainstream" usage, like English-
           | language thought leaders, they are still there, still posting
           | regularly. Like for example in the AI field, all relevant
           | people are on twitter.
        
             | UncleOxidant wrote:
             | I see plenty of AI thought leaders posting on LinkedIn.
        
             | GeneralMaximus wrote:
             | What's "mainstream"? Why is English "mainstream" while
             | other languages are not?
             | 
             | Twitter's second largest market is Japan, with Saudi Arabia
             | ranking fourth, Brazil, Turkey, India, Indonesia, and
             | Mexico all in the top 10[1]. While a lot of people prefer
             | to Tweet in English, I can confirm that Twitter has a
             | healthy amount of content in other languages if you want to
             | go find it.
             | 
             | [1] https://www.newsweek.com/countries-most-people-twitter-
             | socia...
        
             | akitzmiller wrote:
             | It's true that they are still there, but I think loyalty is
             | really soft. Musk seems to make some antagonizing change at
             | least once a month that results in defections, the whole
             | Substack thing being the latest. I follow Rex Chapman who
             | seems to be one of those people that just does not want to
             | have to rebuild his following somewhere else. He just
             | recently signed up at Spoutible.
        
             | sleepybrett wrote:
             | In my communities, niche though they are, most people have
             | shifted to masto and have been crossposting to twitter. The
             | replies on masto in general seem more engaged and
             | thoughtful.
             | 
             | Discoverability there is, of course, harder. At least
             | initially, but just like twitter once I see someone making
             | interesting replies, or someone in my follows boosts them,
             | I tend to follow them faster (and drop them faster if their
             | smart reply was a fluke).
        
         | m3kw9 wrote:
         | Network effects are real and good luck reaching to the point
         | where I'd need to switch when most of my follows had switched
         | and abandon the network
        
         | g42gregory wrote:
         | Well, he is definitely upsetting some (many) people. But, at
         | the same time, he is getting the new set of people as users. In
         | the last few years, I would not touch Twitter with a ten-foot
         | pole. Mostly because, I could no longer assess the provenance
         | of the posts and the authenticity of their rankings. Is this
         | post popular/important or is this post was put into my stream
         | by Twitter/other entities in order to influence me? I don't
         | like being manipulated so brazenly.
         | 
         | Now, with the new management, I find myself going to Twitter
         | more and more often. I disagree with many posts and I do not
         | like many posts, but now, I could have some assurance that I am
         | getting an authentic information.
        
           | tracker1 wrote:
           | I've fallen back to mostly just using the Recent (Following)
           | tab, which means I miss a lot, but at least it's mostly
           | relevant. I'll often search on a topic that I see on my
           | youtube channels that I want to dig into.
           | 
           | My biggest complaint, is that even paying for it, you still
           | see (a lot og) ads... I'd be happier paying for it, and
           | getting no ads than the blue checkmark. Also, the UX on the
           | post delay/edit with blue is annoying as hell.
        
           | Fauntleroy wrote:
           | In what way is Elon Musk _not_ brazenly manipulating Twitter?
           | It 's certainly a different flavor of manipulation, but his
           | management certainly isn't a great counterexample.
        
           | strunz wrote:
           | Wait, what? This made no sense.
        
             | nr2x wrote:
             | I was trying to formulate a response, but I can't top "wait
             | what?"
        
           | foogazi wrote:
           | > but now, I could have some assurance that I am getting an
           | authentic information
           | 
           | How ? And how is this different than before ?
        
           | hobs wrote:
           | That would make sense, if you had your pants and shirt on
           | backward.
           | 
           | Musk has introduced several high profile changes to corrupt
           | "the authenticity of their rankings" - what on earth are you
           | talking about regarding "authentic information" given the
           | person running the place is a known and repeated liar, whose
           | lied directly about his management decisions regarding the
           | property you've mostly recently started liking?
           | 
           | Seriously, what?
        
             | Freedom2 wrote:
             | Please refrain from directly attacking other HN users - it
             | does not contribute to discussion. The guidelines can be
             | found here:
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
             | 
             | As for the content of your post, users who have subscribed
             | to Twitter Blue are more likely to be engaged with and
             | invested in the platform, leading to wanting it to succeed.
             | The additional verification markers for businesses also
             | helps.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > users who have subscribed to Twitter Blue are more
               | likely to be engaged with and invested in the platform,
               | leading to wanting it to succeed
               | 
               | Superfans are _less_ credible /trustworthy, not more.
        
               | Freedom2 wrote:
               | Agree to disagree then. If I had the money to subscribe,
               | then I'm monetarily invested in the content and the
               | platform as whole - otherwise I have the market power to
               | withdraw my subscription and make that known to the
               | service.
        
             | dang wrote:
             | Could you please stop posting in the flamewar style to HN?
             | You've unfortunately been doing it repeatedly. It's not
             | what this site is for, and destroys what it is for.
             | 
             | If you wouldn't mind reviewing
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking
             | the intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be
             | grateful.
             | 
             | Personal attacks and swipes are particularly unwelcome, so
             | please make sure to edit those out of your comments if any
             | do make it in.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | > Mostly because, I could no longer assess the provenance of
           | the posts and the authenticity of their rankings.
           | 
           | How are you doing that now?
           | 
           | > Is this post popular/important or is this post was put into
           | my stream by Twitter/other entities in order to influence me?
           | I don't like being manipulated so brazenly.
           | 
           | Bad news: Musk is doing plenty of that.
           | https://www.theverge.com/2023/2/14/23600358/elon-musk-
           | tweets...
        
           | daveguy wrote:
           | I'm curious why you think Twitter is suddenly authentic and
           | non-manipulative? If anything, it seems worse -- less news
           | more hate.
        
             | raytube wrote:
             | It feels like a wasteland. But then the tech accounts all
             | left for mastodon. All I am left with is weird cycle rage
             | cringe. That I try so desperately to not interact with.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | Over on Japanese Twitter, the sudden shift in the kinds of
             | post getting recommended pre- and post- Musk layoffs were
             | undeniable. No longer were political posts the
             | recommendations, but rather cultural posts such as those
             | concerning games, anime, and manga among others.
             | 
             | Most of the Japanese user base welcomed the change, amazed
             | at just how much manipulation Twitter Japan was (or is)
             | doing behind the scenes.
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | Twitter had de facto commissars in every region that
               | coordinated with their contacts at various activist
               | networks to ensure everyone was coordinated. Musk broke
               | that wheel.
               | 
               | Twitter in the USA is noticeably better too. A few people
               | left but no one cares. So many more interesting voices
               | have been raised.
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | I deleted my Twitter account long before Musk took over
               | it because Twitter has always been a outrage capital.
               | 
               | I'm not sure why it is now fashionable to see many
               | techies here scream about it now after tolerating the
               | years of garbage that has proliferated on the site. It is
               | likely has something to do with the layoffs which can
               | cause many to become highly emotional of all their
               | reasoning.
               | 
               | The network effect of 220M+ users do not care and are
               | still sitting on the platform as predicted with the
               | alternatives failing to challenge Twitter and failing to
               | surpass Twitter at all.
        
               | Dalewyn wrote:
               | >It is likely has something to do with the layoffs which
               | can cause many to become highly emotional of all their
               | reasoning.
               | 
               | It's just the pendulum finally swinging the other way (as
               | was foretold) and the people concerned becoming appalled
               | with the realization they now have to drink their own
               | kool-aid.
               | 
               | It's not unlike what happened when journalists, who told
               | people who lost their jobs to go and "learn to code",
               | were told to go and "learn to code" when they in turn
               | lost their jobs.
               | 
               | Basically, these people can dish out but can't take.
               | 
               | Any smart bystander who witnesses these things would do
               | well to take away the need for prudence in one's
               | statements and desires. The pendulum swings with absolute
               | apathy.
        
           | jabradoodle wrote:
           | This is hilarious, Elon Musk himself spreads random nonsense
           | such as the rumours about Nancy Pelosi's husband's lover.
        
         | barbariangrunge wrote:
         | Newsfeed based systems like this lead to lousy consequences.
         | Trolling, toxicity, witch hunts, tribalism, racism.
         | Distraction. Disconnection between people and having to be a
         | slave to some algorithm to get noticed. I'm really sad to see
         | substack do this
        
         | Mizoguchi wrote:
         | 500M humans are not in Twitter looking to have pleasant,
         | cordial, thoughtful interactions and consume high quality
         | content in a highly moderated environment.
         | 
         | Actually that's exactly what we don't want.
         | 
         | So Substack will be successful in its own niche, doesn't need
         | to eat Twitter's lunch for that.
         | 
         | The problem is at the current valuation of $650M and bleeding
         | $25M per year, they will have to come up with a plan to
         | generate revenue pretty soon, most likely in the form of ads
         | and generally that's incompatible with high quality content.
         | 
         | Now if Substack's fan base put their wallets where their mouth
         | is and pay say $30 per month, then maybe Substack wouldn't need
         | ads, but we know that's not going to happen, not even at $5 per
         | month.
        
         | Pxtl wrote:
         | I'm loving Mastodon myself (@pxtl@mastodon.social) but I worry
         | that the UI stumbling blocks caused by the multi-server system
         | and the far-poorer discoverability than what we're used to from
         | Twitter will keep it from growing well -- twitter's algorithmic
         | feed and relevant-to-the-user trending topics and features like
         | that help make twitter feel lively even for a new user even
         | with just a handful of follows. I don't know that Twitter would
         | be as successful today as it is now without those features.
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | > that help make twitter feel lively
           | 
           | But also that help make twitter feel like a constant outrage
           | factory that impacts negatively on a lot of people's mental
           | health. I got off of twitter a year ago (deleted my account
           | after 14 years,even) and I'm really appreciating mastodon's
           | less addictive, less "lively"ness.
        
             | Pxtl wrote:
             | Imho it was the quote tweets that were the big problem,
             | those were mostly for directing lynch mobs.
             | 
             | I just find the "follows of follows" or "include some
             | frequently-favorited users" that twitter does for the
             | algorithmic view is useful for expanding and finding more
             | interesting content.
        
           | wpietri wrote:
           | I think "is X the next Twitter" is the wrong question to ask.
           | 
           | When I started working at Twitter (now years ago) my
           | relatives asked me if they should join. And after thinking
           | about it, my honest answer was "no". The only person who
           | needs to be on Twitter is somebody who wants to feel like
           | they're part of a global conversation. Most people just don't
           | and won't.
           | 
           | Twitter is only successful because it started in an era where
           | that was a novel and appealing idea, and because it developed
           | a critical mass of users. Both traditional participants in
           | that conversation (journalists, politicians, media
           | personalities, etc) and new ones (like dril) came on board.
           | It is now gradually losing that critical mass.
           | 
           | These days there are just too many options tuned to too many
           | sets of needs. Mastodon will get a chunk of those people, as
           | will existing social media properties. But I don't think
           | we'll ever again see a global groupchat at the scale of
           | Twitter. Assuming Musk persists in running it into the
           | ground, I think in a decade's time Twitter will be in that
           | bucket with MySpace or SixDegrees, one of those early-
           | internet things that people remember with varying degrees of
           | fondness but would never go back to using.
        
             | tracker1 wrote:
             | TBH, I really like Facebook's groups in terms of UX and
             | maintainer level. I don't like FB themselves though, and
             | their warnings are sometimes just at a level of insane.
             | 
             | Keep thinking I'd like to create an easy button for FB
             | groups like self-hosted community setups. Then you can
             | control/host your own interest group... add in live group
             | chats (that FB used to have for groups) and just have a
             | centralized auth and search that are opt-in.
        
             | nemo44x wrote:
             | [flagged]
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | I see. As somebody who left Twitter, I'm glad somebody
               | finally had the courage to tell me that everyone always
               | disliked me. At last, the truth.
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | Ok, probably a poor word choice by me. I guess what I was
               | trying to say is a number of people that left came across
               | as self important and that Twitter would somehow be less
               | good without them and someone else taking their space.
               | 
               | The truth is, very few people are missed. Others have
               | filled the gaps. The algorithm wins.
        
             | ISL wrote:
             | I think Twitter's popularity and endurance suggests that
             | there _is_ interest in that global groupchat.
             | 
             | What's unclear to me is whether or not there is enough
             | money in it to make it worth maintaining/moderating.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | I'm not saying there's no interest in global groupchat.
               | I'm saying that after Twitter dies, there will be
               | insufficient critical mass in any one spot to have a
               | global groupchat.
        
             | Karrot_Kream wrote:
             | Everyone I talked to who worked at or joined Twitter early
             | on talks about how they felt like they were part of a
             | global conversation but it was always really puzzling to
             | me. I read Twitter occasionally in the early days but most
             | of my friends were on IRC or GChat, with a lot being
             | offline, and my networks migrated but never got onto
             | Twitter. Twitter never really felt that relevant to me and
             | over time it felt like it only got more not less insular. I
             | lurked on it the way I lurked on tons of IRC channels. Once
             | IRC began to fade, early Reddit (from the founding) was
             | where I found the community I was looking for.
             | 
             | My feeling as an outsider is that Twitter was useful and
             | valuable ("high engagement") for the folks who enjoyed the
             | culture that built up on the platform, but for everyone
             | else it was always a bit insular and self-important. Since
             | Twitter's founding, more and more online communities and
             | spaces have sprung up, so if Twitter does indeed decline in
             | usage its regulars will diffuse into the many other
             | alternatives that have sprung up.
             | 
             | That's my $0.02 at least as someone who's watched from the
             | sidelines for a couple decades.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | I mean, every platform develops its culture and attracts
               | the people who enjoy that culture. If it's not for you,
               | nothing wrong with that.
               | 
               | But I think "insular" is a funny word to use here, in
               | that it being one giant space meant that self-segregation
               | was a much harder choice to make than on, say, HN or a
               | given subreddit. The thing that always kept me using it
               | was the great variety of voices there. Some of my
               | favorite people to follow were not the ones saying much,
               | but the ones with excellent editorial judgment about who
               | to retweet, exposing me to so many different
               | perspectives.
        
               | Karrot_Kream wrote:
               | Twitter is indeed a place with a lot of interests and
               | topics but after the initial period it built up a pretty
               | unique culture. As you say, it's just an aspect of
               | platforms. But there was something unique about how
               | Twitter folks really felt like their network was the
               | "global conversation" that I never felt elsewhere, even
               | though it felt just as self-selecting as the other
               | networks.
               | 
               | Early Reddit definitely attracted a pretty interesting,
               | insular bunch but there was never any feeling that
               | Redditors were creating a similar global network. I was
               | on IRC channels that had Americans, Europeans, Indians,
               | Singaporeans, and Hong Kongers but we all knew we were
               | weird. There was always something unique about Twitter
               | users that made them think of their space as a global
               | village, and I think the large presence of journalists
               | and MSM friendliness was a big part of that.
               | 
               | Twitter also managed to create a product that its sticky
               | users loved in a way that I'm not sure any other network
               | managed. Redditors loved Reddit but not nearly as much as
               | Twitter users liked Twitter. Whatever it was I hope
               | product folks study it closely.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | Sorry, I'm not getting what you're not getting. IRC
               | channels and subreddits are defined around special
               | interests. There is a thing that unifies people.
               | Sometimes that topic can have a well-distributed
               | membership, but there is always a selection bias that
               | comes from the chosen topic bias.
               | 
               | Twitter is unique in that it had both wide international
               | reach and no topic structure. Reddit is an engine for
               | shutting you off from 99.9% of the Reddit discussion.
               | Twitter, for better and for worse, didn't and couldn't do
               | that.
               | 
               | As you say, the journalists were definitely part of that.
               | To the extent a global conversation existed previously,
               | it was among journalists and the people they covered,
               | like major politicians, NGO heads, and the like. Twitter
               | expanded and disintermediated that. Suddenly you could
               | hear from all those media subjects directly. And even
               | more unusually, you could try to join in, speaking
               | directly to people previously unreachable, maybe even
               | getting replies. One major motivator for people joining
               | Twitter was exactly that, as the Waiting for Bieber art
               | piece demonstrated:
               | https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/waiting-for-bieber
               | 
               | The only platform with anything like that reach was
               | email. And although email has global reach, it isn't a
               | global stage like Twitter was. No other platform has
               | that, and I doubt one ever will.
        
               | maegul wrote:
               | I'm with you on this. I suspect with hindsight the
               | Twitter story will have "self importance" and traditional
               | cultural factors like journalism and political
               | institutional buy-in as major factors behind its apparent
               | significance. Its friendliness mainstream media and news,
               | where it was perfect for news that hashtag trending could
               | be monitored.
               | 
               | Did any other platform ever get so much attention from
               | mainstream media?
        
         | tr1ggerwarn wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
         | Cardinal7167 wrote:
         | The great shake up has started. Google pissing their pants with
         | AIs abrupt arrival, Twitter dying a death by a million cuts,
         | Facebook in mid-air making their VR play, the tech skyline will
         | look very different in 5 years.
        
           | okdood64 wrote:
           | So are you going to take large short positions on Google and
           | Facebook?
        
             | Cardinal7167 wrote:
             | I won't be predictive or prescriptive about the markets.
             | But it's clear that tech giants will soon have to fall or
             | evolve.
        
           | greyman wrote:
           | But is twitter really dying? The fields I watch (AI, software
           | engineering, writers), all thought leaders are still there,
           | still posting regularly.
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | My post will sound like a stupid gotcha but... what's a
             | thought leader, how do you measure them? Is it possible
             | that the twitter crew skews more toward talking than doing?
        
               | rch wrote:
               | > skews more toward talking than doing
               | 
               | Same goes for any sufficiently large population, but the
               | outliers worth following still seem to be there too.
        
             | sleepybrett wrote:
             | In my communities most people are double posting on
             | mastodon and twitter. So much so that I only check twitter
             | every few days for the stragglers.
        
               | AJ007 wrote:
               | I have multiple communities I follow on Twitter and the
               | ones that don't care about the elon stuff, they do now.
        
               | jdminhbg wrote:
               | Mastodon only has about 1.2M active users, so if most of
               | your community is on there, it's an unusual community.
               | 
               | https://mastodon-analytics.com/
        
               | lapcat wrote:
               | Most of the iOS developer community has moved to
               | Mastodon.
               | 
               | They're the reason I joined Twitter originally. The
               | community is what I care about, not the social media
               | platform.
        
             | dymk wrote:
             | That's fine and valuable, but it doesn't sound like much of
             | a moat. Those thought leaders used something else before
             | Twitter - even if it takes a while, it's not a crazy idea
             | that they'd eventually move somewhere else if the grass is
             | greener.
        
               | somsak2 wrote:
               | What is this "something else" that you refer to? In fact,
               | this kind of short-form, global conversation wasn't
               | happening before Twitter, at least not on their scale.
        
               | sblom wrote:
               | I'm sure MySpace thought the same thing about their
               | never-before-seen accomplishments. I suspect very few
               | people knew what "something else" was in that case,
               | either.
        
               | evantbyrne wrote:
               | I'm not really sure what a "thought leader" is, but it
               | sounds like someone that would feel at home on LinkedIn.
        
               | archagon wrote:
               | Is it really a conversation, though? I rarely see
               | "thought leaders" actually engage with their audience in
               | a meaningful way.
        
             | andrei_says_ wrote:
             | Twitter now has daily outages where parts of it just don't
             | function and no one knows when we'll experience a more
             | serious one.
             | 
             | It serves the daily/hourly whims and mood swings of a
             | single person who has proven to be petty, vindictive (to
             | his employees), and devoid of integrity.
             | 
             | That lack of stability in my opinion accumulates.
             | 
             | Sooner or later it will balance out the momentum.
        
               | shaklee3 wrote:
               | You'll need a citation for this. I've been using it for
               | years and haven't noticed any difference or outages.
        
               | tomstockmail wrote:
               | "'Sometimes Things Break': Twitter Outages Are on the
               | Rise" New York Times -
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/28/technology/twitter-
               | outage...
        
               | andrei_says_ wrote:
               | At least three times in the last two weeks I was unable
               | to load images or threads or like tweets or post tweets.
               | That's three separate days where this functionality was
               | unavailable. Using the official Twitter client. I'm in
               | Southern California.
               | 
               | I use Twitter once a day and not every day.
               | 
               | I don't have a monitoring service so this is the best
               | citation I can offer.
               | 
               | In the last month I have experienced more issues than in
               | the last four or five years if similar use.
        
               | propogandist wrote:
               | this was the same narrative pushed when most of the
               | tweeps was axed, but the site has been running fine and
               | has only grown in popularity.
        
               | arvindamirtaa wrote:
               | Grown in popularity is not really a metric. A normal
               | tuesday and the day half the company's staffers got fired
               | aren't going to be the same in popularity. Doesn't mean
               | one is better. Twitter is definitely more popular for all
               | the mess they've made, yes.
               | 
               | The "narrative" was right. There are actual outages now
               | unlike earlier. It's not like twitter engineers were
               | holding up the servers to the light for there to be
               | outages the moment they're gone. Systems run on their own
               | just fine, until something does go wrong. And if there's
               | nobody there to fix it, something usually small blows up.
               | Enough of these and users start to notice degraded
               | performance and outages.
        
               | wyclif wrote:
               | It's actually faster now than it's ever been, especially
               | if you're using it from outside of North America.
        
               | super256 wrote:
               | Search breaks for me all the time, and I need to manually
               | refresh the site at least once a day. Also, I can only
               | scroll on Musk's twitter profile to his tweets from
               | September.
               | 
               | I think it's due to more aggressive VPN blocking, but I'm
               | not sure about it.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | All the Apple ecosystem developers left, all the neo-
               | Nazis were unbanned to add subscriber numbers, I see 1-2
               | ads a day because all the respectable advertisers left
               | due to the Nazis[0], and the For You page now regularly
               | does things like show you tweets from locked accounts,
               | circles you're not in, and people who've blocked you.
               | 
               | Elon seems to have given up; he's just doing jokes now
               | like changing his name to Harry Ballz and replying to
               | fake news from the fake news accounts he unbanned.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-twitter-
               | perpetuati...
        
               | gordian-mind wrote:
               | Wow, if the McDonald's marketing chief says Elon Musk is
               | a nazi, it must be pretty serious...
        
               | raverbashing wrote:
               | I'm surprised to see people that can't see this (or are
               | just Musk apologists)
               | 
               | The "Following" tab is showing only a fraction of your
               | timeline tweets. Go to the "For You" tab and see an
               | endless firehose of unrelated stuff together with some of
               | the tweets of people you were following and were supposed
               | to show up on the "For You" tab but didn't.
               | 
               | Not to mention tweets in private circles being shown in
               | the "For you" tab
               | 
               | "twitter is working fine" is a bad take. It looks like it
               | is working fine if you look at it for 30s, that's it.
        
             | nkozyra wrote:
             | Anecdotally it seems so. Further anecdotal, but I think
             | I've seen one ad that was from a company I recognized that
             | wasn't weird dropshipping stuff in the last few months.
             | 
             | It definitely feels less active and the conversation
             | largely dominated by small accounts that are paying the $8.
        
               | ptero wrote:
               | It feels this way to me, too; and just from a user
               | perspective it feels better, too. Although it may not be
               | financially sustainable.
        
             | robryan wrote:
             | Maybe their audiences are smaller. People that depend on
             | their large reach on Twitter are going to be much slower to
             | move on than those without audiences.
        
           | doublerabbit wrote:
           | Discord attacking Twitch too
        
           | evo_9 wrote:
           | And patient Apple waiting it all out to see whose lunch to
           | eat next.
        
             | slowmovintarget wrote:
             | What do you think those 16-core Neural Processing Units
             | that ship in every Mac are for? They're not waiting to see,
             | they're waiting for everyone to discover their lunch has
             | already been eaten.
             | 
             | How do you get around privacy concerns for using the big AI
             | models? Run your own. How do you get around the compute
             | requirements for training? Push to the leaf nodes. How do
             | you solve for personalizing AIs? Have personal AI models
             | running locally... And wouldn't it be nice if there was
             | some dedicated hardware those AI models could inhabit...
        
               | abathur wrote:
               | With umptillion gigs of shared memory, too. Really the
               | only reason I'm entertaining moving up from an mba to an
               | mbp, but I haven't convinced myself it's worth the
               | splurge yet.
        
           | jimsimmons wrote:
           | You should look up global search volumes and Google share of
           | it. There's no dent
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | > You should look up global search volumes and Google share
             | of it. There's no dent.
             | 
             | "You should look up global search volumes and Yahoo's share
             | of it. There's no dent" was once a valid statement. Same
             | for Altavista, MySpace, etc. You can go from on top to the
             | bottom _very_ fast in this realm.
        
               | geraneum wrote:
               | Same could be said when iPhone came out. Now look where
               | Android is. The fact that something happened to others
               | means nothing. Could go either way.
               | 
               | edit: typo
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | Well, it means it could go either way. Which with respect
               | to Google and search is quite a novelty, as Google has
               | been on top for 20 years, without a serious competitor
               | for most of that time.
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | Key difference is Google pays a FUCKTON of money to be
               | default search provider. The US Department of Justice is
               | going after this.
               | 
               | Once Google can't pay-to-play in Safari and iOS they are
               | in very deep shit. This is the classic thing with
               | monopolies: eventually the "innovation" is just
               | leveraging market power to deepen the moat by burning
               | cash.
               | 
               | This is what happens when the CFO runs the damn company.
               | Sundar has no vision, at all, and Ruth's vision is the
               | same boring Wall Street play book that put a hundred tech
               | companies in the ground.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > Key difference is Google pays a FUCKTON of money to be
               | default search provider.
               | 
               | Yahoo used to pay for that, and to package the Yahoo
               | Toolbar pretty much everywhere. I remember when it used
               | to try to install itself with _MySQL_. I 'm sure it
               | helps, for a while, until it suddenly doesn't.
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | People have no idea how quickly the house of cards can
               | collapse. It's a very dangerous path to juice profits by
               | paying to be a default. Basically a self-made Ponzi
               | scheme.
        
             | nr2x wrote:
             | Kodak had pretty strong film sales when the first digital
             | cameras hit the market as well.
        
               | ekianjo wrote:
               | bad analogies are bad
        
               | thrashh wrote:
               | Yeah but that doesn't mean anything. Kodak saw a train
               | coming, did a study that told them that they had to do
               | something, but then sat on the tracks.
               | 
               | Fuji, who was also big in the chemical film business,
               | came out just fine.
        
               | mgfist wrote:
               | > Kodak saw a train coming, did a study that told them
               | that they had to do something, but then sat on the
               | tracks.
               | 
               | Replace "Kodak" with "Google" and that's the exact
               | impression I get from friends who work there
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | I just resigned from Google. There's no future with
               | current leadership. I was a at high level (6), with an
               | incredibly broad scope of responsibility, making an
               | absurd amount of money. But life is too short to spend my
               | days propping up a dying monopoly when there's bigger
               | game to chase.
               | 
               | It's also institutionally arrogant, they really think
               | they are the best, Jeff Dean and Urs are Gods, and no
               | other company can do what Google does. OpenAI just
               | destroyed that myth, yet on the inside they haven't woken
               | up to the change.
        
               | gremlinsinc wrote:
               | Hey, myself and an ex-microsoft dev (like 2007-2008, not
               | recent), with some VP experience have teamed up. We're
               | working on memory solutions for AI, as well as creating
               | better agents, workflows, etc... In the early days it'll
               | mostly be a GUI over langchain/autogpt/babyAGI,
               | eventually it might morph to creating our own in-house
               | brain-like database, something beyond vectors (or built
               | on top of them w/ a better ranking/indexing based on
               | frequency/recency). Hit me up, if you'd consider
               | partnering up.
        
               | soulofmischief wrote:
               | Sounds like fun. Do you have a specific end product in
               | mind or are you just in the experimentation stage?
        
               | jimsimmons wrote:
               | Curious what "absurd levels of money" means, even if you
               | could just vaguely gesture at it
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | levels.fyi
        
               | nr2x wrote:
               | I take it you don't work at Google?
        
             | jononomo wrote:
             | I just switched to Bing about three months ago -- I haven't
             | noticed any difference, to be honest.
        
             | dmix wrote:
             | People like to be predictors of doom before the hard
             | evidence comes out.
        
             | cfeduke wrote:
             | > There's no dent
             | 
             | By the time there is a dent, it's too late.
        
               | andy_ppp wrote:
               | Sounds great but you'll have to provide some logic
               | because I don't automatically follow your extremely
               | confident opinion...
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | The fear of investors and, to some extent, Google, is
               | that LLMs will supplant traditional search and by the
               | time enough people are catching on to affect metrics the
               | momentum will be too great to stop. My experience with
               | LLMs has not led me to believe that is all that likely
               | but opinions differ there.
        
               | andy_ppp wrote:
               | We need search to be able to fact check the LLMs, but
               | this might become extremely difficult once all the
               | content is written by them...
        
               | wolpoli wrote:
               | Just like how it is hard to fact-check Wikipedia now that
               | it's used a reference. A thought came to me - perhaps
               | it's Wikipedia that should be worried that it'll be
               | supplanted by LLMs.
        
               | jrmg wrote:
               | [citation needed]
        
               | jamilton wrote:
               | The phenomenon they're referring to is when something
               | spurious is posted on Wikipedia with no or poor
               | citations, then used as the source for a "reputable"
               | article (without citations), then the article is cited by
               | Wikipedia, making the spurious information look more
               | trustworthy.
        
               | callalex wrote:
               | 1) that hardly ever happens, it hasn't caused any
               | widespread issues in the decades Wikipedia has existed.
               | 
               | 2) All sources are cited so they can be easily verified
               | by the reader.
        
               | NavinF wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:List_of_citogenes
               | is_...
        
               | two_handfuls wrote:
               | The user experience with ChatGPT is pretty good. No ads,
               | no spam results. There are downsides too of course: the
               | hallucinations, and the way the ChatGPT site wants me to
               | log back on now and then.
               | 
               | I was very happy with Google but recently on my iPhone
               | the Google website started nagging me to log in every
               | time I do a search. This is a poor experience, add to
               | that the ad results that have gotten harder and harder
               | over time to distinguish from real results.
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | I've found it amusing but haven't gotten that much
               | practical use out of it. I still make multiple Google
               | searches every day.
        
               | lenkite wrote:
               | People here are praying _very hard_ for Twitter to fail.
               | Nearly any social media post nowadays has 50-100 comments
               | predicting Twitter 's failure and ranting about Musk. He
               | is living rent-free in many heads now.
               | 
               | Its utterly ludicrous how so many intelligent and
               | rational people are becoming un-hinged whenever
               | Twitter/Musk is mentioned.
        
               | Nathanba wrote:
               | It reminds me of the Trump thing, it seems people really
               | lose all rationality when they are faced with a man who
               | publically doesn't care and does whatever he wants and is
               | successful at it. I wonder if we will one day have a
               | psychological name for this. It must be related to
               | something in the human brain that touches on social
               | repression and decades of instilled moral codes like
               | "Don't say this, nobody will like you" and then when
               | somebody does it anyway, you feel like it's an invader
               | from a different tribe or a tribe member violating the
               | fabric of what holds together the tribe. When really,
               | he's not doing much different at all and they'd privately
               | do the same exact jokes as a kid like "Twitter is Titter!
               | haha! Like titties get it?" I bet lots of people had such
               | a dumb thought but repressed it and when a supposed adult
               | and major social figure acts like that, it evokes anger
               | that the tribe is in danger.
        
               | coliveira wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | 1attice wrote:
               | Trump _fomented an attempted insurrection_ and you are
               | shaking your head about the rationality of the people who
               | are _concerned_?
               | 
               | It's concerning that you're _not_.
        
               | inpdx wrote:
               | "and is successful at it."
               | 
               | Overpaying, creating a mass exodus, destabilizing the
               | platform, and losing tons of advertisers is "successful?"
        
               | Nathanba wrote:
               | The Twitter thing is still in progress and probably his
               | first project where you could say that he has a problem
        
               | phs318u wrote:
               | I'd argue that one of the reasons Tesla and SpaceX are
               | successful is not just because Elno is a "visionary" (or
               | functional equivalent). It's because he was/is supported
               | by a cadre of "true believers" (eg that we must disrupt
               | the auto industry in order to do something radical about
               | climate change). Those true believers (like all true
               | believers), are willing to put up with lots of strange
               | behaviour in the name of that belief.
               | 
               | Twitter on the other hand was bought with a management
               | layer that could fairly be characterised as the opposite
               | of true believers in whatever Elon is selling. Hence the
               | implosion.
        
               | 4ggr0 wrote:
               | What are your thoughts about The Boring Company?
        
               | sanderjd wrote:
               | Yeah you're right about this, but it isn't irrational.
               | Human societies have been as successful as they have
               | because of social contracts. The phenomenon you're
               | highlighting here is just society's immune system to
               | protect itself against violators of those contracts.
        
               | gessha wrote:
               | Any publicity is good publicity it seems like. People
               | don't get that hating is not the opposite of love, it's
               | indifference. Mute and forget.
        
               | theturtletalks wrote:
               | Hate is just confused admiration
        
               | callalex wrote:
               | I confusedly admire bigots and racists? That doesn't make
               | any sense...
        
               | Kye wrote:
               | Many bigots are revealed as self-hating closet cases and
               | fetishists, so I could see a naive analysis attempt to
               | flip it around and assume it must go both ways.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | andy_ppp wrote:
               | I just sent the second part of this to my friend WRT his
               | ex-wife...
        
               | sanderjd wrote:
               | I actually think the "living rent free in heads" peaked
               | awhile ago. At this point it's just clear in a more
               | pedestrian way that things aren't going well over there.
        
               | bandyaboot wrote:
               | Apparently the people that have Musk living rent free in
               | their heads are living rent free in _your_ head.
        
               | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
               | Mental subletting.
        
               | boo-ga-ga wrote:
               | I think the answer is network effect. As soon as there
               | appears a properly working easy accessible alternative
               | (not Mastodon), people with will start moving to it. At
               | first it won't be visible in twitter's popularity, but
               | when the new service reaches some critical mass of users
               | - the popularity will start falling quickly. Let's see if
               | Notes is this alternative.
        
               | abathur wrote:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Innovator%27s_Dilemma
        
               | jshen wrote:
               | How many of the companies with the largest market cap
               | (top 15) were also in the top 15 20 years ago? Why do you
               | think Google will be an exception to this reality?
        
               | Nathanba wrote:
               | When Chrome launched, it only launched with ~2-3% market
               | share in the first week compared to Firefox. Everyone
               | thought that Chrome wasn't that good and Firefox would be
               | fine. However I knew on day one that Firefox was in
               | serious trouble and I switched browsers immediately. But
               | what I didn't know is that Firefox would do nothing to
               | compete for 10 years.
        
               | taeric wrote:
               | Chrome launched with an absurd amount of money to burn,
               | though.
               | 
               | And... I don't recall this "everyone" that you are
               | citing. Chrome launched when Google had a ton of good
               | will.
        
               | TechBro8615 wrote:
               | > Chrome launched with an absurd amount of money to burn
               | 
               | OpenAI has $100bn+ from Microsoft, and millions of paying
               | subscribers.
        
               | ekianjo wrote:
               | By the time someone makes a bad argument its too late. We
               | are beyond reason.
        
             | spaceman_2020 wrote:
             | 1. ChatGPT is very, very new, and habits change slowly
             | 
             | 2. For non plus users, chatGPT UX is poor with slow
             | responses, captchas and random logouts
             | 
             | 3. All of this will eventually change
             | 
             | There is no more major growth for Google, which is all that
             | matters to Wall Street.
             | 
             | It will go down slowly, but it will go down.
        
               | mrkramer wrote:
               | Google wanted to be an Answer Machine before ChatGPT
               | hence "I'm Feeling Lucky" button but road to there is
               | long and hard. I think the biggest Google's problems are
               | SEO spam often coupled with scams and fraud and last but
               | not least, lack of transparency on how exactly they rank
               | their search results.
        
               | gonzo41 wrote:
               | I don't think we should pretend that google doesn't have
               | the power to crush spam today if it wanted to. They have
               | chosen to let scrappers have top spots in their search
               | results and their reputation is dying as a result.
        
               | drexlspivey wrote:
               | > For non plus users, chatGPT UX is poor with slow
               | responses, captchas and random logouts
               | 
               | There are tons of free custom UIs to chatGPT by now, all
               | vastly superior to OpenAI's. No captchas or login
               | screens, just paste your API token once and it gets
               | stored in local storage.
        
               | sundarurfriend wrote:
               | Thanks for mentioning this. I'd assumed this was the
               | case, but I'd been wary of using them because I wasn't
               | sure which of them would be reliable and non-sketchy.
               | Your comment made me take a second look, this time
               | specifically for FOSS custom UIs, and
               | https://chatwithgpt.netlify.app/ seems pretty decent (and
               | is FOSS).
        
               | drexlspivey wrote:
               | You can also put a hard dollar limit on OpenAI just to be
               | safe.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | markstos wrote:
             | I used Bing today. I'm denting.
        
               | spaceman_2020 wrote:
               | For almost all technical queries, I've found GPT-4 to be
               | vastly superior.
               | 
               | Most of the time, my search queries are just to find
               | websites. Like I'll search for "[movie] rotten tomatoes"
               | or "[book] wiki".
               | 
               | I've found duckduckgo to be a good enough replacement for
               | Google for such queries.
        
               | benatkin wrote:
               | Arthur or Harvey?
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | If I used the preferences of commenters here as a basis
               | to make investments I'd lose all my money pretty quickly.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | I used bing chat (supposedly using gpt4) and it was far
               | more annoying than openai free chatgpt (supposedly using
               | gpt3.5)
               | 
               | Somehow Microsoft found a way to make it worse?
        
               | Karrot_Kream wrote:
               | I have access but don't have a box with Edge running on
               | it nearby to use it. What about it was worse? A few
               | friends tell me that uniting chat with the LLM makes it
               | hallucinate a lot less and makes it easier to check its
               | work, but they only used it a couple times.
        
               | gremlinsinc wrote:
               | I'd pay Microsoft monthly if they'd just give us
               | untethered gpt-4 access, the same from the API, for those
               | of us on the waitlist. I don't care if it wants to marry
               | me, haha - I think being able to maybe full around with
               | the settings could make it play nicer too.
        
               | redmaverick wrote:
               | exactly.. its not very usable. They don't even have to
               | innovate anything. just copy ChatGPT interface and
               | display the results.
        
               | 6031769 wrote:
               | Of course they did. That ought to be their slogan.
               | "Microsoft: finding a way to make it worse since 1975"
        
               | coliveira wrote:
               | Yes, I wonder why is so difficult for people to
               | understand this. Microsoft wants to make your life worse,
               | even when they have good software.
        
               | nicenewtemp84 wrote:
               | I find it hard to believe that they WANT to make my life
               | worse.
               | 
               | I think that they are simply ok with making my life worse
               | if it makes their life better at all.
        
               | heckerhut wrote:
               | Agree, prefer to pay for chatgpt then using Microsoft's
               | free crapware.
        
               | somsak2 wrote:
               | I was able to use Google twice today so was able to
               | offset your dent.
        
               | anonporridge wrote:
               | Boomer. The kids use reddit and tiktok.
        
               | benatkin wrote:
               | The original redditors are the boomers of HN. The crowd
               | has changed quite a bit though. Still lots of good stuff
               | on there.
        
               | alfor wrote:
               | I tried Edge and bing, God awful. You just feel their
               | desire to take control of your experience of the web. On
               | the flip site, made me see how much Google own us all.
        
               | AJ007 wrote:
               | I've been using perplexity.ai for anything that's not a
               | site/company/person name look up.
        
               | jascination wrote:
               | What's wrong with Edge? I started using it when Chrome
               | started eating my RAM, it's been mostly unobtrusive and
               | unnoticed, like a good browser should be.
        
               | alfor wrote:
               | I wanted to be the default browser, ok. It wanted to
               | import all my info.. no thanks there was other nastyness
               | I don't remember.
               | 
               | Then it showed me so much junk and crappy news on new
               | page, it was pure propaganda.
               | 
               | That was the end of it. I know it's possible to configure
               | all those things, but the starting experience was soo bad
               | I got away quickly.
        
               | coliveira wrote:
               | It is classic microsoft behavior. They don't create apps,
               | they create traps. The end goal is just to make people
               | slaves of their software. The software they create is
               | just "leverage" so they can trap more and more of you or
               | your business.
        
               | alfor wrote:
               | It seem to me that Google at first was focused on making
               | the best products but ended up in a very similar place.
               | Absolute power corrupt absolutely.
        
               | coliveira wrote:
               | This is indeed a theme for large software companies, but
               | Microsoft has perfected it over the years. The way they
               | turned open source and web technologies to further their
               | goals is just another reminder. Many companies are now
               | entrapped into Azure-related software that can only
               | survive in a Microsoft world.
        
               | Tempest1981 wrote:
               | Right, I just wanted "new tab" to open about:blank --
               | doesn't seem possible. You get their news feed on every
               | new tab.
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | How much better could the memory profile really be if
               | they're using the same rendering engine?
        
               | Tempest1981 wrote:
               | Edge keeps trying to turn on sync-to-Microsoft. I keep
               | saying no. Once, I think it turned it on without asking.
               | 
               | I assume it has more telemetry than Chrome... anyone
               | checked?
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Can't speak for anyone else, for me I've mostly liked it.
               | But I use a separate password manager (bitwarden) and
               | disable most of the embedded addons (shopping, etc). So
               | it's a bit mixed.
        
               | tomp wrote:
               | I installed it on Mac to use Bing Chat.
               | 
               | It immediately took over my whole screen, in a completely
               | weird way that no native Mac app ever did before (in my
               | experience, though I don't use that many Mac apps).
        
               | raytube wrote:
               | I use ddg everyday and I hate it. I resort to Google
               | shortly after. Not personalised so I guess I am missing
               | out on decent returns.
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | Have you tried kagi? I'm finding it better than ddg and
               | often on paar with G.
        
               | andyjohnson0 wrote:
               | +1 for Kagi. It's been my default search engine since Jan
               | '22 and I'm very happy with it. On the rare occasions
               | when I use Bing or Google I'm reminded all over again why
               | I'm happy to pay for search.
        
               | manmal wrote:
               | I'm having the same experience. Anytime I'm not satisfied
               | with kagi's results, I try Google and that's usually
               | worse.
        
               | K5EiS wrote:
               | I tried ddg, but i found myself adding !g a lot, so i
               | just switched back.
        
               | propogandist wrote:
               | try Brave's search service
        
             | pantalaimon wrote:
             | If AI assisted search gets larger it might be to Google
             | what Google was to AltaVista
        
               | mrkramer wrote:
               | Google controls distribution on Web through Google
               | Chrome. How would AI assisted search even reach casual
               | web users? Word of mouth is not enough.
        
               | gremlinsinc wrote:
               | I switched to edge on all my devices (in hopes of getting
               | early access to Bing Chat), and honestly there's a lot
               | more features and it performs better, so they won't get
               | anything from me except whatever they can milk from
               | gmail. I haven't searched using them in over a year, used
               | to use Brave Search, and You.com for awhile.
        
             | QuantumYeti wrote:
             | I actually just switched all our default search engines to
             | Bing yesterday. Google is showing "Sponsors" that link
             | _directly_ to a full screen page with tons of warnings
             | telling you to call some 800 number so you can get scammed.
             | And that 's after nearly downloading a fake Blender install
             | a few weeks ago. I'm done with it.
        
             | redmaverick wrote:
             | you should look at all the blockbuster stores and Netflix's
             | share of it. There's no dent. ~ Someone in 1997.
        
               | jonathankoren wrote:
               | You should look at all CD sales and minidisk's share of
               | it. There's no dent.
        
           | tracker1 wrote:
           | Relatively happy to see it... though I do tend to lean
           | towards the free speech side of the coin, and kind of miss
           | the relative wild west that was IRC in the 90's. I feel like
           | centralized social media is a blessing and a curse. What's
           | old is new again.
        
             | alsetmusic wrote:
             | > I feel like centralized social media is a blessing and a
             | curse.
             | 
             | This is what makes Mastadon interesting. I'm not using it,
             | but a lot of people I pay attention to are.
        
             | davidw wrote:
             | > wild west that was IRC in the 90's.
             | 
             | There was tons of /kick and /ban there too...
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Yeah, but generally that was on a channel by channel
               | basis.
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | But there wasn't the equivalent of Mastodon culture of
               | "hello server admin, nice instance you have here, it's a
               | shame if it were to be defederated simply because you
               | chose not to defederate the people we tell you to".
        
               | corobo wrote:
               | Wasn't that literally how and why EFnet started?
        
             | emodendroket wrote:
             | "Free speech" is a term that's been completely abused and
             | used in bad faith.
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Is your assertion that I'm using it in bad faith?
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | No, but rather that Musk has been using it in bad faith
               | (I'm assuming "I support free speech" was meant to
               | qualify the criticism of Twitter under Musk's
               | leadership).
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Yeah, Musk's definition of supporting free speech wasn't
               | much to speak of... better than the old guard, but really
               | weird in ways too. For me, short of threats or calls for
               | violence I'm pretty open to whatever... As long as you're
               | able to as an individual block/filter. Though the NSFW
               | content on Twitter can be pretty bad and wouldn't mind
               | being able to selectively filter that as a user too.
        
           | chipgap98 wrote:
           | I don't think Facebook really belongs in this conversation.
           | As much as the VR stuff is silly their core business is still
           | doing very well
        
             | jabradoodle wrote:
             | And so is googles, Facebook are spending more than $10B a
             | year on VR. For context that is more than Nvidia's quite
             | large R&D budget, which they have ramped up on consistently
             | over years. Facebook has gone from 0 to 10B real fast.
        
             | wordpad25 wrote:
             | people treat facebook as if it were like their myspace,
             | something dumb they did in their youth that's not longer
             | relevant and is dying
             | 
             | reality is pretty different, fb business is doing great
             | despite all their missteps
        
               | wvenable wrote:
               | I use Facebook more than ever these days but oddly for
               | none of things I used to use it for. It's now got some
               | obscure technical community groups that are too niche and
               | too small for reddit or discord. Facebook Marketplace has
               | replaced craigslist. My friend feed is totally incidental
               | to my use of Facebook.
        
               | bigger_cheese wrote:
               | Personally in my circle I still use Facebook messenger
               | service - my extended family has a group chat and some of
               | my friend groups still use messenger chats (I'd say post
               | pandemic discord is used more then messenger now) my
               | parents use messenger to video chat with their grandkids.
               | It's essentially become skype. The actual facebook.com
               | friend feed etc. is essentially dead for me at least.
        
             | ninth_ant wrote:
             | Google's core businesses are doing just fine too.
             | 
             | Twitter has suffered financially but I've seen little
             | evidence that they've lost substantial numbers of users --
             | Twitter posts are still in news articles and sites like HN
             | as if it's still serving it's original purpose despite the
             | noise.
        
             | ascendantlogic wrote:
             | A lot of "legacy" companies had businesses that were doing
             | very well but missed the boat one or more times as new
             | things arrived. Microsoft is a good example. Windows and
             | Office was absolutely, positively printing money. They
             | whiffed on mobile so hard it was comical. Going back
             | further in time, IBM got mauled in the PC business over
             | time, even though mainframes and PCs were keeping the
             | lights on for decades.
             | 
             | I disagree with the assertion that in 5 years these
             | companies may be heavily disrupted but these darlings that
             | preyed on the fact the incumbents were ossified, large and
             | slow are now themselves ossified, large and slow. The cycle
             | continues on.
             | 
             | In the particular case of Twitter they're being actively
             | driven into the ground by a guy who seems determined to
             | wake up each day and not go to bed until he's made some
             | very poor decisions so who knows, maybe they will crash and
             | burn quickly.
        
               | somsak2 wrote:
               | Indeed. Really makes you respect the repositioning
               | Microsoft has achieved with their cloud and AI
               | businesses.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | czbond wrote:
         | Twitter's barrier wasn't that it was technically hard - it was
         | that it was free and had critical mass. There still isn't much
         | of a reason to move away from it, except for those who want to
         | signal their disdain for Musk's political views
        
           | naravara wrote:
           | > There still isn't much of a reason to move away from it,
           | except for those who want to signal their disdain for Musk's
           | political views
           | 
           | Most of the people I follow have moved off it. They use
           | Twitter largely for announcements when they've put out
           | something new but all their casual, unfiltered thoughts are
           | going in Mastodon. Every time I check in on Twitter now it
           | seems the noxious behavior to signal ratio gets worse.
        
             | Pxtl wrote:
             | In the artistic/creative space, a crapload of the best
             | artists on twitter are trans. Musk is a loud and proud
             | transphobe, and has implemented his politics into Twitter's
             | moderation.
             | 
             | You don't have to be LGBTQ to see how important trans
             | people are to Twitter's health. Many are still there
             | because business is business, but many trans people and
             | their allies have left because the new owner seems to hate
             | them on a deeply personal level, and they have the
             | professional wiggle room to ditch that promotional space.
             | 
             | Edit: W00t deep negatives for affirming that trans people
             | exist and for stating the obvious that Musk hates them.
        
               | least wrote:
               | > W00t deep negatives for affirming that trans people
               | exist and for stating the obvious that Musk hates them.
               | 
               | People aren't downvoting your post for trans affirmation
               | or that Elon doesn't like trans people. They're
               | downvoting it because you are inflating the value of the
               | trans population on Twitter as integral to Twitter
               | itself. I would not be surprised if there is a higher
               | percentage of trans people using Twitter relative to the
               | general population, but I find it unlikely that they make
               | up a significant enough portion of its users to even move
               | the needle if they all migrated away to Tumblr, Mastodon,
               | or another social network.
        
           | sundaeofshock wrote:
           | You are ignoring the whole Verification process. It was the
           | only platform where users could have interactions with
           | prominent people in a variety of fields and know the
           | interaction was legitimate. That mattered! Killing the
           | verification system chased away many blue checks, who
           | happened to generate a huge amount of traffic for the site.
           | 
           | Musks politics on their own didn't create problems. However,
           | Musk's tolerance for hate speech sure as hell did. There
           | aren't many major advertisers were willing to risk having
           | their ad show up next to hard core hate speech.
        
             | ugh0 wrote:
             | [dead]
        
             | wpietri wrote:
             | As somebody who used to do anti-abuse engineering for
             | Twitter, maybe I'm biased here. But I don't think his
             | politics are separable from his tolerance for hate speech.
             | I think they're closely related.
             | 
             | The tricky part here is, as you point to, not wanting to
             | see people abused is turning out to be good business.
             | That's why Twitter came around on hate speech, harassment,
             | and the like. Claiming to be the "free speech wing of the
             | free speech" party sounds great, and it's appealing certain
             | types of people. But at the end of the day, a place has to
             | choose. Either you keep the people who want to shout racial
             | epithets or you keep the people who they're shouting at
             | plus the ones who don't want to be around that. It's the
             | that nazi bar Twitter thread, but at scale:
             | https://www.upworthy.com/bartender-explains-why-he-
             | swiftly-k...
             | 
             | But back to politics. Racial resentment waxes and wanes in
             | American history. Most of us know it went into decline
             | after the civil war, during the Reconstruction. Many don't
             | hear, though, that there was an upswing, known as the Nadir
             | [1] that peaked in the early 1900s with events like the
             | Tulsa Massacre [2]. This period includes the only time an
             | American government was violently overthrown [3]. It waned
             | and we eventually got the Civil Rights Movement, sometimes
             | known as the Second Reconstruction.
             | 
             | We're now in a period that some call the Second Nadir.
             | Racial resentment has increased, and the US's political
             | parties have sharply diverged on levels of racial
             | resentment. One of the biggest political divides is around
             | being "woke", which noted liberal Ron DeSantis defines as
             | "the belief there are systemic injustices in American
             | society and the need to address them." The agreement with
             | that also sharply diverges by party. And Musk has very much
             | chosen a side, repeatedly rejecting "wokeism".
             | 
             | Most people can dodge or ignore questions of systemic
             | issues; it's bigger than their choices. But Musk just spent
             | $44 billion to buy control of a major system for
             | conversation. In Twitter's CEO seat, there are a lot of
             | switches to flip, and few of them have a "neutral"
             | position. E.g., You have to pick between the Nazis or the
             | people they like to harass. Same deal for the people who
             | hate black people, women, Mexicans, trans people, queer
             | people, et cetera, ad nauseam. The "woke" move is pretty
             | clear here: you decide you want your platform to be a
             | reasonably humane and inclusive space. The anti-"woke" move
             | is also clear: you gut the anti-abuse efforts and turn the
             | terrible people loose (perhaps occasionally nuking a few
             | accounts when they cause too much bad press). All in the
             | name of freedom, of course.
             | 
             | The problem for Musk is that's terrible for business. Even
             | if you don't care at all about systemic injustice, most
             | people find distasteful the ugliness that drives ethnic
             | cleansing campaigns, digital and otherwise. The US consumer
             | economy is diverse enough that businesses can no longer
             | focus exclusively on the (shrinking) white audience; they
             | want all the eyeballs. He's supposedly a business genius,
             | so we'll see which breaks first: Twitter's financials or
             | his anti-"woke" politics.
             | 
             | [1] known as the Nadir: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nadir
             | _of_American_race_relatio...
             | 
             | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulsa_race_massacre
             | 
             | [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wilmington_insurrection_o
             | f_189...
        
               | gordian-mind wrote:
               | > You have to pick between the Nazis or the people they
               | like to harass.
               | 
               | Nice rhetoric, but no you still do not get to censor
               | people.
               | 
               | > The US consumer economy is diverse enough that
               | businesses can no longer focus exclusively on the
               | (shrinking) white audience
               | 
               | On your "woke", "humane", "inclusive spaces", I hope that
               | celebrating the "shrinking" of the black population of
               | any country on Earth would put you in the category of the
               | terrible people... Double standards etc.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | That isn't rhetoric. It's an inescapable fact of running
               | a platform. You have to choose. If you choose the
               | maximalist free speech position, you get the Nazis. You
               | lose the speech of the people they harass, because a lot
               | of them will either leave or stay and shut up. So the
               | maximalist no-moderation position also ends up with a lot
               | of speech suppressed. Plus, as a business reality, a
               | platform that is smaller and with much lower ad revenue.
               | 
               | > hope that celebrating the "shrinking"
               | 
               | I'm not celebrating it. Again, it's just a business
               | reality. In the Jim Crow era, businesses could ignore the
               | non-white market, even be hostile to it. See, e.g., the
               | Negro Motorist's Green Book. But most national-scale
               | businesses can no longer do that, because the non-white
               | market is much larger, as is the chunk of the white
               | market that is reluctant to associate with open bigotry.
               | And that part, I'm happy to celebrate.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | > which noted liberal Ron DeSantis defines as "the belief
               | there are systemic injustices in American society and the
               | need to address them."
               | 
               | That's not a quote from Ron DeSantis. From [0]:
               | 
               | > Ryan Newman, DeSantis's general counsel, said the term
               | referred to "the belief there are systemic injustices in
               | American society and the need to address them."
               | 
               | [0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/12/05/de
               | santis-...
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | Technically true. But Newman said it on the stand, under
               | oath, an a case where DeSantis was being sued for firing
               | a "woke" prosecutor. So I think that's as close to an
               | official answer as we're going to get from DeSantis.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | > Technically true.
               | 
               | There's no _technically_ true - there 's what you wrote,
               | which was _untrue_ , and what I wrote, which was true.
               | _Technically_ is entirely unnecessary in that assessment,
               | especially when you go on to admit that DeSantis _hasn 't
               | actually given an answer_.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | I get your point. But politicians are not lone
               | individuals; they are effectively teams. They have all
               | sorts of people thinking and speaking for them. This is
               | about a topic where most of the anti-"woke" crowd will
               | absolutely never given an answer, because to answer
               | accurately about it gives the game away. For example,
               | consider the example of Bethany Mandel, a person who
               | wrote a whole anti-"woke" book, who somehow can't define
               | it when asked: https://www.forbes.com/sites/danidiplacido
               | /2023/03/16/anti-w...
               | 
               | But if we're being extremely precise, something you are
               | apparently very excited about, you'll note that I didn't
               | say that Ron DeSantis said those words. I said that
               | DeSantis "defined" it that way. Given that this was one
               | of his closest legal advisors speaking under oath to a
               | judge, I think it is entirely correct to say that this is
               | their true definition of "woke".
        
             | memish wrote:
             | Don't confuse tolerance for free speech with the dubious
             | concept of hate speech and its selective application.
        
               | hobs wrote:
               | Ah yes, that's why he banned all those journalists who
               | spent time reporting on the lawsuits against him, because
               | he's all for free speech.
               | 
               | Nah, the dude is for his brand of free speech, which is
               | you can hate the people he hates and you can do what he
               | likes and you can stay on his website.
        
               | robby_w_g wrote:
               | Interesting how you provided a direct counter example and
               | your comment got flagged for it. I thought the free
               | speech absolutist crowd wouldn't mind someone disagreeing
               | with them
        
               | crazygringo wrote:
               | Wow. This is a totally legitimate, reasonable comment and
               | you got flagged for it.
               | 
               | I've actually never seen that on HN before -- every
               | flagged comment I've ever looked at turned out to be full
               | of abusive language and attacks.
               | 
               | It makes me sad that multiple HN'ers flagged this. :(
        
           | natch wrote:
           | While relying on unchecked assumptions about what those views
           | are. EDS = Elon Derangement Syndrome.
        
           | dysoco wrote:
           | >There still isn't much of a reason to move away from it,
           | except for those who want to signal their disdain for Musk's
           | political views
           | 
           | There ISN'T? Ever since Musk stepped in it's riddled with
           | bugs and changes for the worse. As an example very recently
           | and as of now Twitter Circles are broken and tweets that
           | should be private only for a select few are visible to anyone
           | in the "For You" tab. This is MASSIVE and probably even a
           | breach of GDPR.
        
             | brigandish wrote:
             | It was always riddled with bugs, I'm not sure why people
             | are blaming that on Musk as that is surely the least
             | applicable of any of the criticisms that get thrown his
             | way. Are people's memories that short that they thought it
             | was a bug free experience up till a few months ago?
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | It had a lot of performance and loading bugs, but it
               | never showed me private tweets.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | Is your contention that now you've been shown a more
               | serious bug than you'd experienced previously that it's
               | an indication that there were not similar or worse bugs
               | in existence before the takeover?
               | 
               | Even if I myself hadn't experienced more serious bugs
               | than those prior to the takeover, it'd still seem a
               | stretch.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | I mean, yeah, bugs that get you in legal trouble are the
               | worst kind.
               | 
               | Their traditional largest issue is their terrible ad
               | targeting but that's not gotten better.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | Private tweets aren't private, they're limited audience.
               | If you're saying something defamatory behind "private"
               | tweets then, I hate to break it to you, it's still
               | defamation. You might get some mitigation from limiting
               | the audience but that's it.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | Hm? I'm talking about private info leaks. GDPR fines are
               | quite severe, you know.
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | > Are people's memories that short that they thought it
               | was a bug free experience up till a few months ago?
               | 
               | Hilarious how people here have tolerated all garbage and
               | bugs from pre-Musk Twitter takeover for years and now
               | they all complain about them now.
               | 
               | It is selective memory based on the current villain of
               | the year to hate. Twitter has always been an outrage
               | capital with a strong network effect. It is just that for
               | the 220M+ daily active users, it is better than the sea
               | of worse alternatives out there.
               | 
               | Many HNers here won't admit it, but the reality is that
               | network effects are real hence the difficulty in creating
               | a viable alternative, No anecdote, short term hype or
               | subjective responses such as _'for me it is'_ refutes
               | that.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | I honestly think people were resigned to the previous
               | poor level of the app/website, and of course you are
               | right, they now can use it and any regressions that have
               | been actually introduced as a stick to beat an
               | ideological opponent with.
               | 
               | Even a cursory search of HN brings up absurd bugs[1]:
               | 
               | > Slightly related but very interesting: the 2010 Twitter
               | bug where simply tweeting "Accept [username]" would
               | automatically force them to follow you.
               | 
               | From what Musk has told us since he took over, and others
               | it sounds like an unholy mess behind the scenes. From
               | [2]:
               | 
               | > In Tuesday's hearing, which ran for more than two
               | hours, Zatko painted a portrait of a company plagued by
               | widespread security issues and unable to control the data
               | it collects. Calm and measured, he stuck closely to his
               | expertise, unpacking technical details of Twitter's
               | systems with real-world examples of how information held
               | by the company could be misused.
               | 
               | > "It's not far-fetched to say that an employee inside
               | the company could take over the accounts of all of the
               | senators in this room," he warned.
               | 
               | From [3], a Twitter engineer on the work ethic:
               | 
               | > "If you're not feeling it, you can take a few days
               | off," he was recorded saying. "People have taken months
               | off."
               | 
               | > "I basically went to work like four hours a week last
               | quarter," he added. "And it's just how it works in our
               | company."
               | 
               | Which tells me a lot. And should we forget about this
               | doozy from Dorsey's days in charge?[4]
               | 
               | > Oh, and while he was in charge, there was no backup of
               | Twitter's database.
               | 
               | I could go on _for a long time_ but it 's clear that
               | people are being selective with their memories.
               | 
               | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16942844
               | 
               | [2] https://www.npr.org/2022/09/13/1122671582/twitter-
               | whistleblo...
               | 
               | [3] https://nypost.com/2022/05/17/twitter-engineer-says-
               | commie-s...
               | 
               | [4] https://fortune.com/2015/09/30/jack-dorsey-twitter-
               | ceo-fired...
        
           | waboremo wrote:
           | Musk is the least of my concerns, I can ignore his account if
           | I cared that much. I can't really ignore that a lot of higher
           | quality accounts have been interacting less because Twitter
           | has become a technical mess, fucking up their timelines and
           | notifications. This sort of loss is quiet, and slow. You only
           | really notice it when it's too late, when your feed is
           | nothing but mindless ads and random accounts you never
           | followed shilling the latest thing on amazon.
           | 
           | The only reason most larger accounts are still "active" is
           | because nobody wants to have to rebuild elsewhere without
           | strong commitment from platform owners - and outside of
           | Tumblr, nobody has really done that. Except maybe now with
           | Substack, we'll see.
        
             | alfor wrote:
             | Haven't see any meaninfull problems. A bit less spam and
             | crap.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | Pretty easy to attract spambots, just mention "metamask
               | instagram account hijack unban sugar daddy glock".
               | There's a lot of other-language spam too, some of it from
               | state actors trying to hide news in the search results.
        
               | jeromegv wrote:
               | Really? Amount of ads is so high, it's pretty much every
               | 4 tweets. It's unrecognizable from a year ago
        
               | alfor wrote:
               | I have noticed annoying add a few time, I deactivated
               | adblock on Twitter to see what they are doing. Install
               | addblock, you are welcome.
        
             | graeme wrote:
             | Indeed. Twitter recently killed off the apps and RSS feeds
             | used by twitter power users. Those users who were likely to
             | post widely viewed content on twitter or those who would
             | embed tweets in news articles.
             | 
             | Very few people produce on any platform. Musk has the value
             | relationship exactly backwards. The creators do get value
             | from twitter, but they generate the bulk of the business
             | value Twitter has and they can easily move to other
             | platforms.
        
             | ModernMech wrote:
             | > Musk is the least of my concerns, I can ignore his
             | account if I cared that much.
             | 
             | You really can't tho. Even if you block him, he'll still
             | routinely show up in your timeline when people tweet a jpg
             | of his tweets. Even if you somehow ignore all that, he'll
             | still do random shit like change the Twitter logo to a dog
             | to make sure you don't forget it's his playground, and
             | you're just an NPC in his main character existence.
        
               | Shekelphile wrote:
               | You can't actually block Musk's account these days. If
               | you do, his tweets will still be automatically put in
               | your feed.
        
               | crysin wrote:
               | That wasn't just any dog, that was doge the now mascot
               | and namesake of the cryptocurrency dogecoin of which Musk
               | has been known to pump with memes.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | He's being sued for pumping it too, which makes 4/3 a
               | weird time to run a late April Fool's joke about it.
        
               | ModernMech wrote:
               | I should have known there was some shallow meaning behind
               | it.
        
               | brigandish wrote:
               | What's the deep meaning behind any company's logo? Start
               | with Google, then Facebook and move on.
        
             | somsak2 wrote:
             | > higher quality accounts have been interacting less
             | 
             | any source / concrete examples of this? I've asked for this
             | before but all I ever hear are general, sweeping claims
             | without any actual data.
        
               | waboremo wrote:
               | What kind of "actual data" are you looking for, and are
               | you unable to acquire it yourself?
        
           | a4isms wrote:
           | _There still isn 't much of a reason to move away from it,
           | except for those who want to signal their disdain for Musk's
           | political views_
           | 
           | This says so much more about you than about anyone leaving
           | Twitter.
           | 
           | I'm a person of colour. Do I have not have a reason to leave
           | a web site that platforms people who espouse the belief that
           | my children are a disease that needs to be eradicated with
           | fire?[1] Of course I do, and you know that. I do not have a
           | "disdain for Musk's political views," to put it like that is
           | to suggest that white supremacy is a view no different than
           | believing in universal healthcare.
           | 
           | Your rhetoric is a shallow and obvious attempt to invalidate
           | and dismiss other people's concerns.
           | 
           | And while you have a right to your beliefs, no matter how
           | much they lack empathy, no matter how much they are divorced
           | from a belief that other people are not NPCs and are truly
           | entitled to their own world views...
           | 
           | This type of talk is not in the best traditions of Hacker
           | News, a site that yes, has a far more Libertarian slant than
           | I personally hold, but also yes, attempts to hold its
           | discussions and debates to a higher standard than you display
           | in this comment.
           | 
           | ------
           | 
           | [1] Other people of colour take a different view on whether
           | to use Twitter, and that's the entire point of not dismissing
           | other people's views. They have their own strategies for
           | making the world a better place, and I don't have to dismiss
           | their choices as posturing, I can respectfully make different
           | choices for myself.
        
             | btilly wrote:
             | You are arguing that people should share your disdain for
             | Musk's political views. You are not arguing against the
             | claim that this is the only really strong reason why people
             | would want to leave.
             | 
             | Second, libertarian ideals around free speech say that
             | fairly engaging people whose views you disagree with is a
             | better way to change minds than deplatforming them. That is
             | because deplatforming them just encourages them to migrate
             | to cesspools like Truth Social, which then become echo
             | chambers for extremist views. Therefore there are reasons
             | to allow offensive people to remain on a platform other
             | than agreement with their offensive views.
             | 
             | Speaking personally, I am firmly of the belief that the
             | obvious political censorship applied to social networks,
             | including by the previous management of Twitter, is one of
             | the CAUSES of the extremism that lead to the Jan 6
             | insurrection. You might dislike that there are people who
             | think your children are a disease. But surely you'd dislike
             | it rather more if we slid into an authoritarian
             | dictatorship where people like that are the ones in charge.
             | Therefore it is worth looking past your good reasons for
             | taking offense, and asking seriously what is most likely to
             | keep violent extremist networks forming that are in a
             | position to do just that.
             | 
             | Note that multiple countries in Latin America copied the US
             | Constitution's idea of separation of powers. A common
             | pattern is that they wound up as authoritarian regimes
             | after a powerful executive solved gridlock through
             | declaring a state of emergency. It could happen here. In
             | fact, it nearly did.
             | 
             | And finally, I find the comment that you're responding to
             | far more in the best traditions of Hacker News than your
             | reply. Hacker News has a tradition of polite and reasoned
             | discussion of controversial positions between people of
             | diverse points of view. I would rather keep that tradition
             | alive, rather than implying that people who disagree with
             | you are horrible people who might not mind your children
             | being eradicated with fire.
        
               | freejazz wrote:
               | Ah yes, legitimizing people rioting in the US capitol
               | because Twitter censors, when they aren't busy drinking
               | bleach!
        
               | btilly wrote:
               | I will never understand people like you interpreting
               | "this is a cause of that" as "legitimizing" that.
               | 
               | It doesn't. I strongly oppose the riot, which is why I
               | want people to take seriously the things that helped
               | cause that.
               | 
               | Similarly I'm not legitimizing gang violence when I say
               | that the War on Drugs helps cause gang violence, I'm
               | explaining why I oppose the War on Drugs.
        
               | freejazz wrote:
               | It's legitimizing the notion that it's even a response to
               | the thing you claim it is. I totally dispute that.
               | 
               | Let's look at the things the jan 6 rioters took
               | grievances with: Mike Pence not overturning the election,
               | nancy pelosi's existence, the federal court system which
               | completely rebuked Trump's stolen election narrative, ALL
               | of the media, the LIBERAL media, media in GENERAL,
               | twitter, twitter moderation, george soros, jews, hunter
               | biden, the crack he smoked, his penis, people who were
               | verified on twitter, hollywood, jews, the thought that
               | racism _still_ exists...
               | 
               | if someone tells me the said they did something, and it's
               | because of a ghost, and I accept their reasoning, then I
               | am legitimizing the connection they allege. I dispute
               | this connection. that's what I'm accusing you of
               | legitimizing, their 'rationality'. they might call it
               | rationality, but I don't have to. and maybe that's not
               | what you meant, but I fairly took you to mean it, because
               | you are apparently taking them at their word.
        
               | btilly wrote:
               | Meh. You still seem like you're so fixed on making your
               | point that you're entirely missing mine.
               | 
               | My point is that the way that they were censored made it
               | easier for them to find a likeminded echo chamber that
               | helped them become radicalized extremists. And now rather
               | than dealing with obnoxious idiots with a few bad ideas,
               | we've got an armed rabble. Which is far worse.
               | 
               | Whether or not this dynamic happened is completely
               | independent of the specific extremist rhetoric that they
               | absorbed. But having been on the receiving end of a
               | liberal conspiracy to censor information which might be
               | supportive of Trump, it was easier for them to take
               | everything that Trump said to its illogical extremes. And
               | it was easy to discount all information coming from any
               | source which denied the existence of the conspiracy that
               | they experienced.
               | 
               | The result is that they were convinced that powerful
               | liberal forces had subverted democracy and were trying to
               | shut down the truth that Trump presented. This made
               | Trump's lies about a stolen election very believable to
               | them. And they got fired up enough about such conspiracy
               | theories that it came to seem reasonable to them to
               | ensure that the TRUE will of the American people prevail,
               | even if that required undoing electoral fraud by tying
               | down representatives with zipties and making them
               | recognize Trump as President. And executing those at the
               | heart of enabling this fraud to destroy democracy.
               | 
               | If we don't like this outcome then it is on us to decide
               | how to handle such extremists. My position is that it is
               | best to undo the conditions that encourage the creation
               | of extremism. An alternative position is to fight fire
               | with fire, to become as extreme in opposing the
               | extremists as they are in fighting for what they believe.
               | 
               | However I fear that the alternative position, as
               | emotionally satisfying as it might be, is a recipe to
               | turn political polarization into political unrest and
               | potentially into a civil war down the road. Enough other
               | countries have gone down that road to project what it
               | would be likely to happen then. And it isn't pretty.
               | 
               | Everything that I've said is part of an argument about
               | how to best respond to the potential for extremism. None
               | of it legitimizes extremism or extremist positions.
        
               | freejazz wrote:
               | "But having been on the receiving end of a liberal
               | conspiracy to censor information which might be
               | supportive of Trump, it was easier for them to take
               | everything that Trump said to its illogical extremes."
               | 
               | Yeah... this is what I'm talking about when I say
               | legitimizing. And hiding it in everything else you wrote
               | doesn't make me not see your point. Clearly the opposite
               | is going on.
        
               | czbond wrote:
               | @freejazz - I understand your point, but there is a
               | similar counter example which I believe is powerful.
               | 
               | The gay community made large strides as a movement to
               | allow a civil discourse and transparent conversations
               | with others who opposed their lifestyles by deciding to
               | be open rather than secret. When people meet face to
               | face, and realize we're all really similar - people tend
               | to soften their views to be "human".
        
               | freejazz wrote:
               | Who is stopping them? Twitter? Twitter isn't the public
               | square - it's just a website. It's full of advertising
               | money that twitter controls and takes. It might be LIKE a
               | public square, but it's not the public square.
        
             | czbond wrote:
             | @a4isms We probably just have very different streams, based
             | on who we follow and what they retweet, etc. I follow a
             | very small amount of strictly business / technology /
             | economy as technical topics and cull if they strayed from
             | that (as it was my intended use). I don't see the more
             | broad universe of content many see on Twitter due to that
             | curation.
        
             | lenkite wrote:
             | I am a person of colour too. And I don't get what is wrong
             | with what the person you replied to said.
             | 
             | I mean, if you wish to signal your disdain for Musk's
             | political views, you can leave Twitter. How is that an
             | "attempt to invalidate and dismiss people's concerns" ?
             | 
             | And radical "woke" folks have been tweeting about killing
             | and murdering white people on twitter for ages without much
             | blowback. I always found it strange that was tolerated in
             | the woke twitter days.
             | 
             | If Twitter fails - which it may definitely do - it will be
             | because Musk screwed up and fired a lot of good engineering
             | folk and got rid of power user features - which has made a
             | lot of creators angry. But "racism" is un-likely to be the
             | primary driving cause. It has _always_ existed on Twitter.
        
             | drstewart wrote:
             | [flagged]
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | bolanyo wrote:
           | I honestly don't care about his political views in my choice
           | of social media (and I'm not aware of any views he holds that
           | I would find extremely objectionable in any case).
           | 
           | I care about being able to choose between "For You" and
           | "Following". I don't want an algorithmically curated feed
           | which includes things I have consciously chosen not to look
           | at. And I don't want people who follow me not to be able to
           | see things I link to because of a pissing contest between
           | tech companies.
        
         | Abishek_Muthian wrote:
         | Just by not showing random posts which the algorithm decides I
         | should see on my timeline itself makes Mastodon leagues better
         | than Twitter.
         | 
         | I've been interacting with only couple of people whom I follow
         | and vice versa for past several months I've been on Mastodon
         | and I feel great about it. I'm convinced that federated
         | instances are the solution to the social media problems just by
         | strong focus on the theme and inherent limit to scaling without
         | any pressure from VCs.
         | 
         | P.S. Please consider donating to your Mastodon instance.
        
           | rewtraw wrote:
           | without a UX that abstracts away the siloed nature of
           | federated instances, it really is a massive hindrance to
           | network effects and will prevent Mastodon from ever growing
           | beyond a small niche
        
             | Abishek_Muthian wrote:
             | >without a UX that abstracts away the siloed nature of
             | federated instances
             | 
             | Can you be more specific? Only thing I found missing was
             | "Quote Posts" and almost everyone seems to agree that it
             | was the right decision to make.
             | 
             | > will prevent Mastodon from ever growing beyond a small
             | niche
             | 
             | And its not a good thing? "There's an instance for
             | everything" is fast becoming an reality, Let those
             | instances be small as its managed by volunteers;
             | 
             | There's no need for everything to grow into a democracy
             | destroying scale, Especially Social Media platforms.
        
       | runjake wrote:
       | As far as I can tell, there's no Substack app (at least for iOS)
       | that allows posting?
       | 
       | If so, I don't really see this taking a notable chunk out of
       | Twitter until this happens.
       | 
       | I see a Substack Reader app, but it's more or less read-only.
        
         | japhyr wrote:
         | I think you have to update the app today to get access to
         | Notes.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | rchaud wrote:
       | Wow, didn't exactly stick their necks out on the design did they?
       | Almost zero visual differentiation from the noisy flamewars of
       | Twitter this is supposed to be the antidote to.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | warning26 wrote:
         | DESIGN SPEC:
         | 
         | * Make it look exactly like Twitter in every way
         | 
         | END OF DOCUMENT
        
           | hbn wrote:
           | * s/#499BE9/#ED7135
        
       | DanHulton wrote:
       | ...and his actions. He's not just a nebulous political creature,
       | thinking thoughts but not acting upon them. He's actually _doing_
       | things that people might rightly not agree with.
       | 
       | Not to mention, a good chunk of those actual actions have
       | resulted in Twitter being a legitimately worse place for a great
       | number of people to spend time on/engage with, and thus they...
       | leave.
        
         | rosywoozlechan wrote:
         | Whenever someone criticizes Elon Musk I just remember he sent a
         | car he drove, a car built by a company he leads, into
         | heliocentric orbit using his own rockets via his own space
         | launching tech company. I don't know how you can talk about the
         | guy without that context. People talk about him like he's just
         | another jerk on Twitter. His car is in space. He's also the
         | wealthiest person on the planet. And his car is in space.
        
           | qzx_pierri wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | shafyy wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halo_effect
        
           | deanCommie wrote:
           | Whenever someone criticizes Elon Musk, it's not about his
           | abilities to launch a car into space.
           | 
           | In fact most of us would much prefer that he focused on his
           | space launching abilities and electric-car making abilities
           | (with the usual caveat that it's not clear how much of both
           | are based on his contributions vs others, but I'm willing to
           | give some benefit of doubt).
           | 
           | He doesn't know anything about tunneling (boring company),
           | mass transit (hyper loop), software (twitter), or social
           | platforms (twitter). And those are the areas he gets
           | criticized for.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | iamdbtoo wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Please let's not have the nth (or n-thousandth) celebrity
         | flamewar about this celebrity. It's not what this site is for,
         | and destroys what it is for.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
         | 
         | We detached this subthread from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35530201.
        
       | perceptronas wrote:
       | I wonder, if Substack Notes fail - will Substack survive? It
       | feels like they are pivoting into not-that profitable domain
        
       | kritiko wrote:
       | Looking at Notes, I get why Elon is so mad about it. They totally
       | ripped off the Twitter UI.
       | 
       | I follow Ed Zitron's Substack, and he is also a prolific Tweeter.
       | He seems to be using Notes the same way he uses Twitter, for
       | shitposting. I'm not sure that's really in line with the tone of
       | Substack.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | > they totally ripped off the Twitter UI
         | 
         | I wasn't aware of any IP protection of Twitter's UI, which in
         | one form or another has been done 100's of times.
        
           | kritiko wrote:
           | I didn't claim there was IP infringement. IG & lots of other
           | companies stole the stories format from Snap. Makes it easier
           | for users who recognize the ui, but it's still got to be
           | galling.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Why? It's just a UI for something where there aren't many
             | alternative ways to present it. Timeline, follower,
             | following. That's it. The rest is styling and that is even
             | less relevant.
        
             | jjulius wrote:
             | >IG & lots of other companies stole the stores from Snap.
             | 
             | I've been saying it since Twitter launched, but Twitter
             | was/is just some folks stealing Facebook's status update.
        
               | pests wrote:
               | I remember both MySpace and Facebook status updates
               | actually being a copy of Twitter style updates. I don't
               | think Facebook even had status updates as we know it
               | today when Twitter released.
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | And it s not like twitter has some kind of optimal design. The
         | heart button in the middle is bad for my fingers! the left
         | sidebar is useless and search sucks. Both of these services
         | should try to make good work instead of copying each other
         | 
         | I actually thought that a newsfeed would be a good fit for
         | substack, but looking at this i dont think i m going to use it.
         | It should be simpler, a timeline of things i ve subscribed,
         | with some threaded, sane comments. The medium shapes the
         | message, and twitter's medium is just not a good fit for
         | substack's message
        
         | m3kw9 wrote:
         | Why would you use this twitter clone when the original has way
         | more interesting content?
        
         | dvzk wrote:
         | GitLab initially copied GitHub's UI, virtually identically, and
         | the CEO advertised GitLab in every thread that involved GH for
         | over a year. It didn't seem that many people on HN cared,
         | because GitLab was "open source" and ethics didn't apply.
        
       | jononomo wrote:
       | I think it would be fantastic if Substack Notes were to become
       | dominant and replace Twitter.
        
         | Johnie wrote:
         | What's the rationale?
        
           | jononomo wrote:
           | I got banned from Twitter for tweeting that I would commit
           | suicide if I were still programming in Java after the age of
           | 50. I appealed, and I got rejected by a bot (I know because
           | my appeal was rejected instantaneously). So I think Twitter
           | is stupid. Also, Elon is stupid.
        
       | oefrha wrote:
       | Honestly, you can basically do all of Substack + this Notes thing
       | in Tumblr, maybe minus the email newsletter. Damn, that's
       | something I haven't heard about in a long time; apparently they
       | support paid content now.
        
         | tedmiston wrote:
         | My thoughts exactly.
         | 
         | But... paying for a Tumblr sounds weird. People are already
         | used to paying for Substacks, so there's that.
        
       | rldjbpin wrote:
       | i am not an avid user of either platforms, but substack just
       | seems like another take at medium to me, more than twitter.
       | 
       | am i missing something in my understanding?
        
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