[HN Gopher] US Air Force to divest a total of 310 aircraft in 20...
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       US Air Force to divest a total of 310 aircraft in 2024 including 32
       F-22A Raptor
        
       Author : belter
       Score  : 21 points
       Date   : 2023-04-09 11:58 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.airandspaceforces.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.airandspaceforces.com)
        
       | pknomad wrote:
       | I think divestment of the A10s make sense. Those Fairchild frames
       | are super dated and ill-suited for battles against peer
       | adversary.
        
         | darth_avocado wrote:
         | A10s are probably not the one you need to retire. In an all out
         | war, they're the easiest to maintain and the best ones to fly
         | with damages. They do have a specific role, but in that role,
         | it is one of the hardiest planes to exist.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | A-10s are basically useless in the Pacific theater. They
           | don't have the range, speed, or defensive systems to even
           | make it to the fight. (And the same limitations make attack
           | helicopters even more useless there.) A few squadrons
           | composed of airframes in the best physical condition (fewest
           | stress cracks) will probably be kept around for potential use
           | in low intensity conflicts in other theaters but most will
           | have to go to the boneyard.
        
             | ianburrell wrote:
             | A-10 are too expensive for low intensity conflicts. Planes
             | like Super Tucano would be better if we need to fight that
             | kind of war. It would have been better if US kept Super
             | Tucanos instead of giving them to Afghan air force.
             | 
             | It is also quite possible that drones will do the CAS job
             | by the time it is needed again. Or that missiles will make
             | too dangerous for anything.
        
           | ianburrell wrote:
           | A-10 are expensive to maintain because of their age. The high
           | maintenance budget is the reason AF is retiring them.
           | 
           | Their role has almost completely disappeared and Ukraine has
           | proven it. Su-25, the Russian equivalent, have been shot down
           | at alarming rates because of all the MANPADs, SAMs, and
           | fighters.
        
       | elromulous wrote:
       | This says a lot about what we already knew about the F-35.
       | 
       | While the F-35 was (originally) billed as an air superiority
       | multirole fighter, the design by committee approach resulted in a
       | machine that is not great at anything. The AF knows this, and
       | that's why they're filling in with the f-22 stopgap until a true
       | next gen air superiority fighter arrives.
       | 
       | The F-35 will serve as a case study of how not to run government
       | contracts. Woefully over budget, behind schedule, and doesn't
       | meet the original requirements (iirc congress+-the military even
       | relaxed the requirements at some point).
        
         | neerd wrote:
         | The F-35 suffered from each branch wanting the plane to be
         | something different. The same airframe has to support radically
         | different internals and flight characteristics on the A, B, and
         | C models. The program had a myriad of issues but if each branch
         | had just developed its own the cost would have been overall
         | lower.
        
           | TrapLord_Rhodo wrote:
           | Sometimes, in government procurement especially, you have to
           | realise that the 'program' and 'the outcome' are two distinct
           | entities. F35 was a high profile, congress level program that
           | everyone knew was a priority. If i was some Air Force general
           | that has been thinking about halolenses, Advanced AI,
           | manuverability, radar, cloaking, etc. You could get funding
           | through the project. So many different things came out of the
           | f35 outside of the f35.
        
           | 908B64B197 wrote:
           | It also had to be built with tech the US was willing to
           | export to foreign "partners" (and whatever allegiances they
           | might harbor).
        
         | TrapLord_Rhodo wrote:
         | In the article, they ordered 76 f35's, which is max production.
         | 
         | >resulted in a machine that is not great at anything.
         | 
         | the f35 is the most capable aircraft in almost every KPI.
         | Granted, The program was ungodly expensive, but we are still
         | paying $2B for each b2, so at $300-760m a pop, it's still
         | ungodly expensive, but the DOD's budget is infinite.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | We are not _still_ paying $2B for each B-2. Production of
           | those ended years ago. The replacement B-21 is expected to be
           | somewhat cheaper (although still very expensive) with a unit
           | price in the $700M range.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | chiph wrote:
           | With recent foreign military sales (Switzerland, Norway,
           | Czech Republic, maybe Greece), the R&D costs of the F-35 are
           | now being spread over a much larger fleet. It's still not a
           | cheap plane .. but the price is dropping by building them in
           | volume (like was originally intended for the F-22).
           | Production rate is up to about one being delivered every
           | other day.
           | 
           | Lockheed Martin and it's many contractors have made a large
           | investment in production tooling & automation so the planes
           | are being built in a process more like an automotive assembly
           | line than individually like in years past. Note the large
           | fixture @3:00 holding the wings vertically to make it easier
           | to drill accurate holes.
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPEy3QwsKjQ
        
           | greedo wrote:
           | Not sure where you're getting your figures, but the B2 has
           | been out of production for decades, and the cost for the F-35
           | is below a new build F-16.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | That it is
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _why they 're filling in with the f-22 stopgap until a true
         | next gen air superiority fighter arrives_
         | 
         | The sort of combat where an F-22 would outfight an F-35 is
         | somewhere between extremely rare and obsolete. Add to that the
         | massive costs of running the F-22, and the balance shifts to
         | having more F-35s and armament over a luxury squad of F-22s.
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | Pentagon Wars, but for the F-35.
         | 
         | The thing is, and as we're about to see with the Bradley in
         | Ukraine, it's not as big a deal when your adversary is
         | absolutely terrible at war.
         | 
         | I guess we could just keep counting on that never changing...
        
           | greedo wrote:
           | And despite people getting entertainment value out of the
           | "Pentagon Wars", the Bradley has proven its detractors wrong
           | on almost every count.
           | 
           | It's like watching Dr. Strangelove and thinking that's how
           | the National Security Council operates.
        
             | ianburrell wrote:
             | The important thing with Pentagon Wars is that the
             | detractors couldn't tell the difference between AFV and
             | IFV. It is like comparing a minivan or pickup truck and
             | complaining that the truck has bed (with machine gun) and
             | carries less people when that is the whole point. IFV made
             | AFVs obsolete and the US needed to build the Bradley to
             | compete with Soviet ones.
             | 
             | Or testing the Bradley against anti-tank weapons when it
             | was never designed to survive them cause it is not a tank.
             | And most tanks can't survive them.
             | 
             | The other funny error in Pentagon Wars is complaining about
             | the $12 billion price tag. When the Bradley program cost $6
             | billion and was underbudget.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | https://youtube.com/watch?v=aXQ2lO3ieBA
        
             | Maursault wrote:
             | thx for posting. I just love it when Richard Schiff yells.
             | It's music to my ears.
        
         | greedo wrote:
         | The F-35 was never billed as an air superiority fighter. The
         | basic idea was a stealth version of the F-16. It was always
         | designed in mind with the F-22 performing the Hi in the Hi-Lo
         | mix.
         | 
         | Your comment is woefully uninformed and misleading.
        
           | elromulous wrote:
           | I think the narrative that it needn't be an air superiority
           | fighter came later (I.e. they changed the requirements when
           | they realized it would not be competitive in practice).
           | 
           | iirc it was originally intended to be an air superiority
           | fighter. Consider this line from the wikipedia F-35 entry
           | 
           | "intended to perform both air superiority and strike
           | missions."
        
         | PM_me_your_math wrote:
         | The entire government is a case study on how not to run
         | government contracts.
        
           | cguess wrote:
           | Got a better process?
        
       | curt15 wrote:
       | >200 NGADs
       | 
       | Are they making the same mistake as they did with the F-22 by
       | acquiring a precious "silver-bullet" fleet? How do they account
       | for downtime due to maintenance or any sort of damage?
        
         | worrycue wrote:
         | I think that's the way the US AF has always operated - a high
         | low mix; a handful of expensive ultra capable "mission"
         | aircraft with lots cheaper mass produced ones for "routine"
         | use.
         | 
         | E.G. F-15 vs F-16
         | 
         | The F-22 vs F-35 was suppose to fit that mould too but the F-35
         | turned out to be more expensive than expected - although the
         | cost has dropped in recent years and they are hard at work to
         | reduce it further.
        
         | nradov wrote:
         | Yes, but what is the alternative? In order to be combat
         | effective in the Pacific theater, NGAD will need to have a long
         | unrefueled operating range (roughly F-111 size), super cruise,
         | broadband stealth, large AESA radar, numerous other sensors,
         | advanced EW, and an internal magazine large enough to
         | accommodate weapons with greater range than the AIM-120. Those
         | capabilities are all terribly expensive. But what's the point
         | of building a lesser aircraft? Anything less capable won't even
         | be survivable enough to make it to from US air bases to the
         | first island chain.
         | 
         | The dilletantes on here always claim that manned tactical
         | aircraft are obsolete and should be replaced by swarms of cheap
         | drones. But it's impossible to build a _cheap_ drone with the
         | range, sensors, and payload necessary to be effective in that
         | environment. Look at the unit cost of something like an MQ-4C
         | or MQ-25A. Remote piloting isn 't going to viable in a hostile
         | EW environment, and current AI software is incapable of
         | handling highly dynamic situations. I do expect though that at
         | least some NGAD variants will be designed as _optionally_
         | manned so that they can be employed as drones against heavily
         | defended fixed targets.
        
           | lumost wrote:
           | One could imagine a next generation Valkyrie could handle
           | this role well. Something big and fast enough to chuck
           | missiles at 300 mile ranges - with a radar to match.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | Those were always intended as complementary systems. NGAD
             | will have to act as a control node for advanced UCAVs
             | because satellite links may be unavailable. Current AI
             | technology is far from being sufficient for autonomous
             | operations on most missions. The XQ-58 Valkyrie shows some
             | promise, but like most other current tactical aircraft it
             | lacks the range and speed to be effective in the Pacific
             | theater. A larger next generation model is likely to have a
             | very high unit cost.
        
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       (page generated 2023-04-09 23:01 UTC)