[HN Gopher] A machine that bankrupted Mark Twain
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       A machine that bankrupted Mark Twain
        
       Author : signa11
       Score  : 101 points
       Date   : 2023-03-31 11:25 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.todayifoundout.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.todayifoundout.com)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | jrootabega wrote:
       | Sounds like it was great technology that was just badly realized
       | by its human inventor. Twain shouldn't have invested in an
       | inventor; he should have invested in an inventing machine, or
       | perhaps even an investing machine.
        
         | 015UUZn8aEvW wrote:
         | Right, it seems like the machine could have been a success if
         | someone had forced the inventor to ship it when it was good
         | enough, instead of letting him tinker with it for years.
        
           | mewse-hn wrote:
           | Possibly. From the article it sounds like the first customer
           | was unable to maintain the machine because it was so
           | complicated, and had to get the Paige guy on-site to keep it
           | running, that sort of thing isn't viable for mass production.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | That wasn't the problem. It was that it really was a type
           | setting machine. The Mergenthaler Linotype is a type casting
           | machine - it casts metal slugs with one line of text. The
           | brass matrices from which the type is cast are reused within
           | a minute or two. The matrices have a set of binary coded
           | notches on the top which allow them to be sorted
           | automatically. With type setting, you don't get the letters
           | back until you're done printing, and so you need huge
           | supplies of type, which has to be sorted after use. Linotype
           | slugs just get melted down for the next go-round.
           | 
           | Here's how a Linotype works.[1] There are more popular
           | videos, but this training film gets across how the machine
           | really works.
           | 
           | The article mentions the Linotype being slower than the Paige
           | compositor. That was probably true of early Linotype
           | machines. Later machines added more concurrency. From
           | pictures of the early machines, it looks like there's only
           | one assembly and casting station. The typist could get ahead
           | of the caster and have to wait for it to finish. That was
           | quickly fixed once they had some operational experience. In
           | later machines, it's an assembly line - the matrices are
           | assembled into a line, moved to a holding station by the
           | assembly elevator, and then moved to a casting station when
           | the caster is free. With that buffering, the typist doesn't
           | have to wait for the caster.
           | 
           | Roughly the same design was used for over eighty years, with
           | only minor changes. Which is surprising, considering how
           | bulky the machine is and how clunky the design looks.
           | 
           | The only real competition was from Monotype, which also made
           | a line caster, but with a completely different approach.[2]
           | Monotype machines have a keyboard and paper tape punch as the
           | input device. The caster, a separate machine, has a paper
           | tape reader. It's more compact than a Linotype, but the
           | caster, which casts one character at a time, is slower, at
           | about 3 chars/second. So a big shop might need more casters
           | than keyboard units.
           | 
           | Amusingly, the Monotype caster reads the paper tape in
           | reverse. This allows the typist to "backspace" and cancel the
           | previous character or line from the keyboard, since the
           | caster sees the cancel before starting work on the line. On a
           | Linotype, to correct an error, you have to finish out the
           | line (this is where ETAOIN SHRDLU comes from; if you run your
           | fingers down the keyboard vertically, you get that), wait for
           | the caster to finish the slug, then discard the slug.
           | 
           | These machines belong to the small set of very complicated
           | but mass produced machines of the mechanical era. Very few
           | people could do design like that and make it work. A few
           | examples:
           | 
           | - Howard Krum - Teletype machine (1920s)
           | 
           | - William Burroughs - adding machines (1895)
           | 
           | - Joseph Brown - automatic screw machine (1865)
           | 
           | There may be a few more, but it's not a long list.
           | 
           | Excellent mechanical design is a rather rare skill. Most of
           | the mistakes made by bad programmers have been made in
           | mechanical design, but in metal they are more visible. They
           | show up as high cost, low reliability, too many parts,
           | excessive wear, a need for too tight tolerances or expensive
           | materials, and such.
           | 
           | (I restore 1920s-1930s Teletype machines as a hobby, which
           | gives some insight into what works in mechanical design.)
           | 
           | [1] https://archive.org/details/0066_Typesetting_Linotype_02_
           | 25_...
           | 
           | [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8jP91XowAE
        
       | oriettaxx wrote:
       | "I learned two things from the experience: not to invest when you
       | can't afford to, and not to invest when you can."
       | 
       | this is the best :)
        
       | HopenHeyHi wrote:
       | > The remaining two were purchased by the Mergenthaler company in
       | 1898, with one being presented to Cornell University and the
       | other was to Columbia University. The Columbia machine is
       | believed to have been scrapped during World War II as part of a
       | wartime scrap metal drive, while the Cornell machine was returned
       | to Mergenthaler and later donated to the Mark Twain Home in
       | Hartford, Connecticut, where it remains on display to this day -
       | the last remnant of a curious and disastrous chapter in the great
       | author's life.
       | 
       | I recommend this as a pilgrimage. They have a tour with a very
       | fine actress playing his housekeeper, properly researched and
       | intelligently done, he would have approved.
       | 
       | The backdrop of this investment is not as simple and pithy as HN
       | makes it. Twain was no fool and no gambler.
        
         | rendall wrote:
         | Twain was no fool but literally was a gambler.
         | 
         |  _" I learned to play poker there, and soon became an adept at
         | the game. It was in the little blind hells in Virginia City,
         | that the game became riveted upon me, and from that time on I
         | seldom played any other game."_
         | 
         | - Mark Twain, Roughing It.
        
           | HopenHeyHi wrote:
           | That just sounds like a gentlman being a master of calculated
           | risk to me.
        
       | lisper wrote:
       | There are lots of videos of Linotypes on YouTube. Really
       | interesting stuff. This one is my favorite:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MGjFKs9bnU
        
       | JKCalhoun wrote:
       | More like the bad investment that Mark Twain poured excess income
       | into.
       | 
       | I know little about Twain's life (other than his having arrived
       | and left on Halley's comet) but the tale is illuminating. Despite
       | his famed wit and rise to success, perhaps inside he was still
       | that poor urchin who had no discipline when it came to his
       | unexpected wealth.
        
         | seiferteric wrote:
         | Even Isaac Newton gotten taken in the South Sea Bubble. The
         | allure of quick wealth, especially when everyone around you
         | seems to be doing it can is very powerful.
        
           | Affric wrote:
           | You say "even" but for all his genius (gravitation, discrete
           | calculus) Newton was a bit of a crank:
           | 
           | 1. Drinking mercury in pursuit of eternal life
           | 
           | 2. Predicting the apocalypse in 2060 (yet to be disproven)
           | 
           | 3. Superstition around the number 7
           | 
           | 4. Attempted alchemy
           | 
           | This is not to say he was more or less superstitious than
           | others. Just that extensive expertise in one or even many
           | domains does not translate into expertise in all domains.
           | 
           | I think you are onto something with the allure of quick
           | wealth. The decision makers at SVB and Credit Suisse were
           | paid to be prudent.
        
         | LiquidSky wrote:
         | You will find that in the real world people don't fall into
         | neat categories of smart and disciplined always making the
         | prudent decisions or foolish and undisciplined doomed to
         | failure.
         | 
         | It's one of our sillier delusions that being good at one thing
         | (say, for a completely random example not relevant at all to
         | the Hacker News crowd, programming a computer) automatically
         | makes you smart about everything.
        
       | leephillips wrote:
       | This would eventually become known as TeX.
        
       | buescher wrote:
       | Here's the account in his own words, including the famous quote:
       | "Paige and I always meet on effusively affectionate terms, and
       | yet he knows perfectly well that if I had him in a steel trap I
       | would shut out all human succor and watch that trap till he
       | died."
       | 
       | https://standardebooks.org/ebooks/mark-twain/the-autobiograp...
        
       | eth0up wrote:
       | One of my favorite photographs:
       | 
       | Twain in Tesla's lab
       | 
       | https://cdn8.openculture.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Mark...
        
         | russellbeattie wrote:
         | Mine too! I made this image based on it and my favorite Twain
         | quote from the Innocents Abroad.
         | 
         | https://www.russellbeattie.com/notes/posts/images/twain.png
        
       | eternityforest wrote:
       | To me it seems like the problems are all very familiar in modern
       | tech.
       | 
       | * Replicating human behavior exactly without really being able
       | to(Tesla's missing radars)
       | 
       | * Tinkering and perfectionism driven rewrites (Framework of the
       | week webdev)
       | 
       | * Not complexity in general, but in-house complexity that you
       | don't have the resources to manage
       | 
       | * Poorly managed originality, doing things other people don't
       | understand without making sure to teach people so it's not just
       | you who can fix it
       | 
       | * Moving parts
       | 
       | * Investing as an individual in specific things that might
       | fail(r/wallstreetbets anyone?)
        
       | tpmx wrote:
       | The article is talking about the
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paige_Compositor.
       | 
       | It refers to an 1887 patent application with 218 pages. Here's
       | part 1 (specification) at 55 pages:
       | 
       | http://www.archive.org/details/PaigeCompositorUS547860Text60...
       | (granted 1895-10-15, that tracks with the 8 year review period
       | mentioned in the article.)
       | 
       | And here's part 2 - 163 pages full of lovely mechanical drawings:
       | 
       | https://archive.org/details/PaigeCompositorUS547860Sheets600...
        
       | jacquesm wrote:
       | Sam Clemens.
       | 
       | Twain is a pseudonym.
       | 
       | The compositor was well ahead of its time, which is one of those
       | ways in which your start-up can fail.
        
         | tasty_freeze wrote:
         | The very first words of the article are:
         | 
         | "Samuel Langhorne Clemens, aka Mark Twain, .."
         | 
         | Or are you complaining that the HN article should also include
         | that information?
        
       | bink wrote:
       | This reminded me of a story in Carl Bernstein's book about being
       | a newsboy for the Washington Post. He talks about a time when he
       | was in the room where they did type setting and someone tricked
       | him into touching one of the plates. Because he wasn't a union
       | worker the boss threw the whole thing on the ground and told them
       | it had to all be redone.
        
       | stevepike wrote:
       | I think about this quote sometimes: "It ain't what you don't know
       | that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just
       | ain't so. " - Mark Twain
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Not Twain: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2018/11/18/know-
         | trouble/. But all similar lines get attributed to him or Abe
         | Lincoln (who btw never said the thing about fooling all of the
         | people some of the time &c.)
        
         | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
         | What does it mean? Can you spell it out for me?
        
           | AndrewStephens wrote:
           | Paraphrased: You do not get led into trouble by the totally
           | unknown. It is your incorrect beliefs that get you into
           | problems.
        
           | aix1 wrote:
           | > What does it mean? Can you spell it out for me?
           | 
           | It's not the absence of information that tends to create
           | difficulties; rather, it's when you firmly believe in
           | something that is incorrect, which can lead to complications.
           | 
           | A real-world example can be found in the story of the
           | Titanic, a British passenger liner that sank in the North
           | Atlantic Ocean in 1912 after colliding with an iceberg. At
           | the time, the Titanic was considered the largest and most
           | luxurious ship ever built and was famously referred to as
           | "unsinkable." This overconfidence in the ship's safety
           | features led to several poor decisions, such as not providing
           | enough lifeboats for all passengers and crew members on
           | board.
           | 
           | The belief that the Titanic was unsinkable was incorrect, and
           | when the ship struck an iceberg on its maiden voyage, it
           | sank, causing the deaths of over 1,500 people. In this case,
           | it was not the lack of knowledge about shipbuilding or
           | navigation that led to the disaster, but the misplaced
           | confidence in an incorrect assumption--that the Titanic was
           | invulnerable to sinking. This overconfidence contributed to
           | the inadequate safety measures and ultimately the tragic
           | outcome.
           | 
           | (by ChatGPT; I thought I'd be fun to see what it had to
           | offer.)
        
             | mandmandam wrote:
             | [dead]
        
           | colineartheta wrote:
           | If you don't know something, and know you don't know
           | something, you're likely not going to do something bad with
           | that information. For example, if you don't know anything
           | about engines, you're probably not going attempt to fix one.
           | 
           | But often times we think we know something, and are confident
           | that what we know is true, when it really isn't. And that's
           | what gets us in trouble. For example, thinking you know
           | something about engines, but instead you flood the cylinders
           | and require a real mechanic to fix it instead.
        
         | truculent wrote:
         | Spoken like a true gambler
        
       | blacksqr wrote:
       | Twain lost large amounts of money several times, on bad business
       | investments and doomed inventions. He ran through his wife's
       | considerable inheritance as well as his royalties, and had to
       | keep writing books to make up his losses.
       | 
       | His financial misfortunes were literature's eternal gains.
        
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