[HN Gopher] The Death of a Technical Skill (2020) [pdf]
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       The Death of a Technical Skill (2020) [pdf]
        
       Author : miohtama
       Score  : 13 points
       Date   : 2023-03-25 11:49 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (john-joseph-horton.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (john-joseph-horton.com)
        
       | daydream wrote:
       | Flash isn't a good analogy to the current situation with AI
       | tools. But it's worthwhile to understand regardless.
       | 
       | I think that AI tooling will cause demand for developers to
       | actually go up instead of down. At least in the medium term say
       | the next 3 to 5 years. There's tons of businesses and nonprofits
       | that could benefit from custom software development, where the
       | cost has so far been prohibitively high. As the cost drops
       | dramatically I expect demand to increase significantly.
       | 
       | What does that cost/demand curve look like? I don't know. But we
       | are going to find out.
        
       | rockzom wrote:
       | realtors aren't allowed on the moon.
       | 
       | and, who knows...maybe a CDL will still be relevant in 50 years.
       | The COBOL of meatspace.
        
       | codemac wrote:
       | COVID taught me to take these changes seriously, the hard way.
       | 
       | I told my wife that lockdowns/masks would be at least a two year
       | phenomenon, given how long the Spanish flu took - and our
       | mitigation would make things take longer, not shorter. This had
       | many obvious implications in my life, where I lived for the next
       | 5 years, what jobs/skills I should be wary of vs. focus on, what
       | stocks I should bet on.. etc.
       | 
       | But I didn't behave accordingly with this obvious conclusion I
       | had made. I struggled to actually take the leap and make changes
       | in my life. I made very few stock bets, for example. Also we
       | didn't take the opportunity to move/change plan/etc around real
       | estate.
       | 
       | With AI, I feel like this is a similar moment. My employer has an
       | internal copilot thingie, and it's amazing when trying to use
       | some internal library/service I've never used before. It even
       | integrates with Emacs.
       | 
       | What is obviously true about AI, and how does it affect your
       | life? Curious what other software engineers are doing to prepare
       | for these types of obvious changes.
        
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       (page generated 2023-03-26 23:00 UTC)