[HN Gopher] Top 27 highest-earning substacks generate over $22M ...
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       Top 27 highest-earning substacks generate over $22M a year
        
       Author : paulpauper
       Score  : 57 points
       Date   : 2023-03-21 19:45 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (pressgazette.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (pressgazette.co.uk)
        
       | ghiculescu wrote:
       | I started Substacking recently. I'm not bothering with a paywall
       | - I'm doing it to get better at writing and because writing helps
       | me think and reflect. If people find what I'm writing interesting
       | or helpful, that's a bonus.
       | 
       | I thought the only people who'd read my posts were people I have
       | on LinkedIn so I've been really pleasantly surprised how many
       | people I've never heard of have been subscribing. I'm not sure
       | what Substack are doing but they seem to do something right to
       | spread your writing beyond your direct network. I appreciate
       | that, and I'm not surprised they've enabled some very large
       | subscriber bases as a result.
       | 
       | ps. If you want to make my day: https://ghiculescu.substack.com
        
         | aiappreciator wrote:
         | You are literally demonstrating how substack "does something
         | right to spread your writing beyond your direct network"
         | 
         | On substacks, writers own their brands. Their own brand is
         | plastered everywhere on their website. Compare that to medium,
         | where the medium brand takes precedence. Since writers own
         | their brands, they are highly incentivised to market it
         | themselves, and keep a distinct personal voice, both easily
         | drawing in paying customers.
        
       | vfclists wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | I think the only one biased is you. It's a factual article, and
         | it describes a wide variety of authors, most of them more
         | mainstream, yet you chose to quote this paragraph and only this
         | paragraph. The worst insult in the paragraph you quoted is
         | "fringe", which is a label most of the quoted writers would
         | probably be proud to wear, being the antonym for "mainstream".
        
         | cidergal wrote:
         | "Leftist" is, by definition, against the mainstream
         | media...publications like The Intercept.
         | 
         | It is quite unfortunate that people use "leftist" as a
         | propaganda tool to mean "anything that criticizes right wing
         | views".
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _peeved at the fact that the so called alt-right writers
         | shunned by his MSM masters have an audience willing to pay_
         | 
         | Where do you see peeving? I see a call to action. This content
         | makes money. That doesn't mean you have to write _that_ , but
         | there's clearly-as you observe-an audience willing to pay for a
         | different perspective.
        
         | motoxpro wrote:
         | An end of the world newsletter seems pretty fringe to me. Or
         | maybe I'm just out of touch with politics.
        
           | harvey9 wrote:
           | Sky News runs a YouTube Livestream with what amounts to a
           | doomsday countdown, a modeled global average temperature
           | shown to about 10dp so they can have the drama of watching
           | the number go up about once per second. This is both fringe
           | in the sense that the stream has a miniscule number of
           | viewers, and mainstream in that it is run by a licensed
           | broadcaster.
        
         | zug_zug wrote:
         | I'm downvoting how you're expressing this rather than what you
         | believe
        
         | tr3ntg wrote:
         | It's unfortunate how harshly this comment is worded - the video
         | linked provides a level-headed and informative speech given at
         | a UK Parliament meeting that is a good summary of vaccination
         | outcomes based on government data. I've struggled to find
         | unbiased summaries such as this, so it's an appreciated link.
        
           | notahacker wrote:
           | I'm not sure I'd apply the adjectives "level headed and
           | informative" to Andrew Bridgen MP, the crank most recently
           | found tweeting that COVID was invented by the US DoD in Fort
           | Detrick and an unnamed facility in Canada"...
        
             | vfclists wrote:
             | Ad hominems, the mark of the dogdy debater without
             | counterarguments and facts who who appeals to the
             | intellectually challenged.
             | 
             | The speech said nothing about the DoD, Fort Detrick or
             | Canada. He quoted statistics from the UK Government about
             | the efficacy or lack of efficacy of the vaccine.
             | 
             | It is also a matter of public record that the US DoD and
             | the NIH funded the EcoHealth Alliance who channelled funds
             | to the Wuhan Institute of Virology for Gain of Function
             | research on the coronavirus.
             | 
             | A lot of the coronavirus GoF research was also done by Dr
             | Ralph Baric at Chapel Hill University and guess who funded
             | that as well?
             | 
             | Irregardless of how the Covid outbreak occurred if you have
             | some points to make about the content of Andrew Bridgen's
             | speech lets hear them. They are about the efficacy or lack
             | thereof of the vaccines and their side effects and are not
             | about the origin of the Sars Cov 2 virus.
             | 
             | For anyone reading this comment, I would advise you to
             | listen to the speech rather than wasting time on snide HN
             | commenters who have no meaningful facts to contribute.
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | > Ad hominems, the mark of the dogdy debater without
               | counterarguments and facts who who appeals to the
               | intellectually challenged.
               | 
               | QED.
               | 
               | HNers are of course, free to make up their own minds
               | whether someone who suggests that Fort Detrick and a
               | facility in Canada created COVID and refers to it as a
               | "viral bioweapon" is a "level headed" commentator on the
               | issue likely to be offering accurate interpretations of
               | government statistics well worth taking the time to
               | listen to.
               | 
               | And indeed on the subject of your original claim about
               | whether politicians feared the implications of hearing a
               | fearless utterer of such irrefutable truths or just
               | didn't want to dignify someone who has rapidly descended
               | into the political equivalent of Alex Jones with an
               | audience.
        
       | mellosouls wrote:
       | As a reader of several Substack writers, I find the individualist
       | approach frustrating, and - I feel - ultimately counter-
       | democratic in a way.
       | 
       | By the latter I mean that with legacy media - despite the
       | political slant (either way) of the publication as a whole, you
       | generally have access to a multitude of voices.
       | 
       | With the Substack model that isn't the case - unless you limit
       | yourself to the free options, or are wealthy enough to subscribe
       | to as many writers as you like.
       | 
       | I suppose there are Substack amalgamations out there, grouping
       | writers on a common outlet, but those who have managed to gather
       | enough of a living striking out on their own are probably not
       | going to worry too much about whether they are also available as
       | part of a more economically accessible and diverse collection of
       | voices using a different subscription model that collates
       | multiple writers for a single cost.
       | 
       | Ultimately that means that access to a truly wide range of
       | authoritative voices is potentially limited to the wealthy.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | I don't see that as a fundamental product limitation of
         | Substack. Having the concept of a "publication" is probably
         | something they will get to at some point. Medium followed the
         | same path, and they now have multi-author publications as well.
         | I'm guessing it's more a matter of engineering and product
         | prioritization than some explicit decision towards maintaining
         | individuality.
        
         | gnicholas wrote:
         | > _With the Substack model that isn 't the case - unless you
         | limit yourself to the free options, or are wealthy enough to
         | subscribe to as many writers as you like._
         | 
         | Don't most authors have at least some free content? The only
         | substack where I've regularly encountered locked content on is
         | Emily Oster (who writes about parenting issues). I read on
         | substack a dozen or two times weekly, and I've never found the
         | paywalls to be an issue. Would it be nice to have subscriptions
         | to five or 10 newsletters? Sure. But it would hardly change my
         | life, since most news is available from many outlets, even if
         | you're looking for a particular perspective.
        
         | aiappreciator wrote:
         | "access to a multitude of voices" You mean a multitude of
         | groupthinked, editor supervised voices?
         | 
         | More people != better opinions unless there is a constant
         | debate. And the modern subscription driven model for large
         | newspapers means appealing to the base, and neutrality is bad
         | for revenue.
         | 
         | Substackers also have to appeal to their base. But individual
         | idiosyncrasies and strong opinions are much better preserved
         | when its just one person, instead of a n editor enforcing a
         | hivemind.
        
         | mrangle wrote:
         | You must have a huge "democratic" beef with books. Those being
         | the dominant largely solitary-voiced format that people pay
         | for. Before now, I've read anything that correlated them to
         | being counter to democracy.
        
           | codyb wrote:
           | There's libraries, at least in the USA, in a lot of places.
        
         | nradov wrote:
         | After 30+ years of web publishing we still have no viable
         | system for content micropayments. There's just no way I will
         | sign up for any more monthly subscriptions; those build up and
         | eat you alive. But I would be happy to pay a small amount to
         | read an individual article if it was a frictionless one-click
         | process. There have been many attempts to crack that problem
         | but so far all have failed.
         | 
         | https://www.nngroup.com/articles/the-case-for-micropayments/
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | And there's an argument (almost certainly correct) from 25
           | years ago that the problem with microtransactions was that
           | there's a mental transaction cost associated with every 5
           | cent payment. https://archive.is/fzL0I
           | 
           | Small $$ subscriptions are a different variant of the same
           | problem.
           | 
           | To be fair, many of us used to have a bunch of magazine
           | subscriptions--some of which were only $1-2 per month but I'm
           | not sure the same mindset still applies.
           | 
           | We do see things like Apple News+ that aggregate non-free
           | content and perhaps that's something of a solution. We'll
           | see. I do pay for the New York Times and The Economist but I
           | mostly won't subscribe to individual sites online.
        
             | njarboe wrote:
             | Maybe this is true but it would be nice to have a technical
             | solution in place that would facilitate a 5 cent payment so
             | people could experiment with it. The US treasury of FED
             | should do it at this point as it seems no one else will.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | Many startup failures in the dot-com era. Not sure why
               | this should be a US Treasury service given there's a
               | well-developed financial system in the US that
               | facilitates lots of other payment options. (And have you
               | ever looked at the hilariously barely late 90s website of
               | TreasuryDirect?)
               | 
               | I'm also not sure I want the US government deciding which
               | publications are proper participants in an official
               | micropayments scheme.
        
         | ctrlp wrote:
         | Access to authentic diverse viewpoints is a luxury good you
         | must pay for. Everyone who would be accurately informed must
         | fund their own private intelligence service. The legacy media
         | of a "multitude of voices" under one imprint is pretty rare and
         | will still be editorialized within a local Overton window for
         | any given publication. The plebs can only afford one or two
         | subscriptions to their politically-approved list of "news"
         | sources and must be satisfied with being told what to think
         | from a limited menu. If you can't afford it, you're not meant
         | to have it.
         | 
         | You need to budget at least $200 USD per month for substack
         | subscriptions. After that, you will need to budget about 10-20h
         | per month to parsing their output and deciding which of the
         | approved media outlets they would be allowed to write for if
         | they weren't making more money with their own audiences. This
         | will help you think critically about what they're trying to
         | have you believe. For those who would not be welcome at even
         | the most heterodox mainstream publications, you will need to
         | spend a bit of time deciding how it is they can afford to be
         | writing for a living. You will need to track down their incomes
         | until you are satisfied that their shadowy patrons are either
         | dark money influence campaigns and/or CIA-NGO grants. Use this
         | information to triangulate the various positions you are
         | presented with. The truth is somewhere in the nexus of lies.
        
           | aiappreciator wrote:
           | There's no need to play the edgelord here. Your average
           | person does not have $200USD/month lying around for news.
           | Even cable packages aren't that expensive.
           | 
           | But they don't need that much either, just budgeting $15 a
           | month is more than sufficient to have a favorite paid
           | substack, and several other free substacks. Most people don't
           | have the time to analyze that much information.
           | 
           | Its sufficient to know that viewpoints other than MSM-
           | peddled-narratives exist, that gives people a healthy
           | skepticism, without needing to spend days each month just
           | analyzing the news.
        
         | karaterobot wrote:
         | I think this is a worthwhile point. My belief about Substack is
         | that many of its initial appeals to writers were to people who
         | were not happy at traditional publications. People who had
         | brand names, and wanted better money, prestige, or editorial
         | control than they were getting. So, it's definitely designed to
         | provide isolated perspectives: isolated not only in the sense
         | of being a magazine with a single voice, but also in the sense
         | that it will tend to attract people a little further to the
         | margins of the cultural discourse, who attract attention and
         | bump up against editors.
         | 
         | However, I don't believe this is a big problem, since there are
         | many other places to get opinion and analysis other than
         | Substack.
         | 
         | In fact -- and I have no basis for it other than intuition --
         | it doesn't feel like Substack's model could ever make it _that_
         | big. By nature, a magazine with one writer isn 't going to
         | provide enough content to be anybody's only source, and, as you
         | say, there aren't that many people who are going to subscribe
         | to dozens of Substack writers. Having tens of thousands of
         | subscribers really doesn't make too much of a dent in the media
         | landscape over all, it's just that it's very well monetized, so
         | it's great for this handful of writers (and Substack
         | Incorporated of course).
        
       | a-robinson wrote:
       | Misleading title -- it isn't claiming that there are any
       | newsletters generating $22M a year individually. It's just saying
       | that the top 27 (why 27?) newsletters in aggregate make at least
       | that much.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Our software screwed that one up. Sorry - fixed - thanks!
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | My belief has been if you are decently talented at writing and
       | can set aside a few hours to write at least 2 articles/week, you
       | should be writing on Substack. The upside is huge--thousands of
       | dollars or even a six-figure income--with almost no downside
       | besides time spent writing and maybe some promotion, but with any
       | talent the content should go viral (on both the Substack
       | app/network but also Twitter) without too much work. Unlike
       | Medium, Substack seems to care much more about its writers and
       | less inclined to censor. Writers have much more control.
       | 
       | Many journalists are making way more with Substack than with
       | their prior publications/employers, but with full autonomy and
       | control of the platform, so they have both more income and also
       | the platform, which is also worth a lot and can be monetized in
       | other ways, like affiliate links. It shows how much money they
       | were leaving on the table.
        
         | scarface74 wrote:
         | That's like saying if you are a decent singer you can make
         | money. Once you have so many people producing content, you'll
         | get the same power law like every other form of media.
        
         | dataangel wrote:
         | > but with any talent the content should go viral (on both the
         | Substack app/network but also Twitter)
         | 
         | A lack of ethics also helps. Fringe views are more likely to
         | gather attention. If you optimize for attention (revenue) then
         | you basically end up getting paid to spread lies. Way more
         | clicks for well written conspiracy bait than debunking
         | conspiracies.
        
           | ctrlp wrote:
           | This is a pretty strange way to think about viewpoints.
           | Fringe as opposed to what? The "common" view of things in the
           | modern media environment is highly manufactured. To have a
           | knee-jerk filter that privileges the mainstream consensus in
           | this information environment is a surefire way to guarantee
           | you have "approved" viewpoints that offend no one and rock no
           | boats. After all the revelations of intelligence service
           | infiltration of content moderation boards at the major media
           | companies, one might expect this attitude to be largely
           | discredited by now.
        
           | the_shivers wrote:
           | This is also true of mainstream media publications.
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | I have often thought about how easy it must be to be one of
             | these crazy conservative talking heads. All you have to do
             | is be loud, angry, and say the obvious bigoted talking
             | points they have, and people will flock to you because you
             | are doing it with no shame. Then once you have a bit of a
             | base you are a player in that game for life with a career
             | of conservative podcasting to always fall back on. Maybe
             | you even have a shot for higher office. Of course, this all
             | requires selling your soul, so there is some cost.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | scarface74 wrote:
               | And it came out in the Dominion trial that the Fox
               | talking heads didn't even believe the "election was
               | stolen" narrative.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | It came out in Alex Jones's divorce trail that his entire
               | persona is an act for commercial use. He's always selling
               | weird testosterone supplements and such, he's a total
               | snake oil salesman. Of course you know his fans would say
               | that was fake news even if you showed them that evidence.
               | 
               | ""He's playing a character" and is nothing like his
               | online persona, attorney Randall Wilhite reportedly
               | insisted in a Texas courtroom at a pre-trial hearing
               | ahead of the right wing radio jock's custody battle with
               | ex-wife Kelly Jones."
               | 
               | https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/not-fake-news-
               | infowars-...
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | See all these messages for just how few qualms people
               | have for selling out their country's future.
               | 
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/20/technology/fox-news-
               | domin...
        
           | monero-xmr wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
             | fnimick wrote:
             | The Hunter Biden laptop story turned out to be true? Since
             | when?
             | 
             | Last I heard, nobody has any idea who the laptop belonged
             | to, how it found its way into the computer shop man's
             | hands, why Rudy Giuliani spent time with it, or how it's
             | been modified. There's zero trustworthy evidence that there
             | was ever any evidence of any illicit activity at all.
        
               | sys32768 wrote:
               | From a New York Times article last March [0]:
               | 
               | >People familiar with the investigation said prosecutors
               | had examined emails between Mr. Biden, Mr. Archer and
               | others about Burisma and other foreign business activity.
               | Those emails were obtained by The New York Times from a
               | cache of files that appears to have come from a laptop
               | abandoned by Mr. Biden in a Delaware repair shop. The
               | email and others in the cache were authenticated by
               | people familiar with them and with the investigation.
               | 
               | [0] https://archive.is/IdTMj
               | 
               | Edit: Hunter Biden suing laptop shop owner for violation
               | of privacy: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/
               | 03/17/hunter-bi...
        
           | mrangle wrote:
           | Can you demonstrate that the substack accounts on the list
           | largely profit on false-conspiracy promotion?
           | 
           | I assume that you don't apply your logic to the MSM.
           | Otherwise, your statement's inherent neutrality would make it
           | pointless in a relative sense.
           | 
           | Because the statement can't be neutral lest it be time
           | wasting, it de facto correlates profitable writing, only
           | outside of the MSM, to lies.
           | 
           | This is one of the more implausible political statements I've
           | read. You're essentially accusing consumers of supposed non-
           | fiction writing to be tabloid readers. Only outside of MSM
           | consumption, of course.
           | 
           | What accounts for the stark difference in motivation of
           | people paying for true MSM writing and false substack
           | writing? I must be hallucinating the contradiction, because
           | otherwise it would frame your model as nonsense that some
           | might correlate with false-conspiracy thinking.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Lack of journalistic ethics is a problem. But let's not
           | forget how many mainstream media outlets beyond Substack made
           | huge profits during the COVID-19 pandemic by spreading lies
           | that weren't even considered "fringe". This was
           | misinformation that came straight from government officials,
           | corporate executives, and credentialed scientists.
           | 
           | https://nypost.com/2023/02/27/10-myths-told-by-covid-
           | experts...
           | 
           | Or to look a little further back, how much money did the New
           | York Times make by publishing lies and conspiracy theories
           | about WMDs in Iraq? Do we think they wouldn't do something
           | similar again?
        
         | ilamont wrote:
         | "If I have 100,000 subscribers and only 1% sign up for the paid
         | plan at $5/month, I'll be pulling in $60,000 per year. A
         | million subs, and I'll be rich!"
         | 
         | Problem is, almost no one wants to pay, and even if they do,
         | you have to deal with massive churn and a constant demand for
         | high-quality content that is truly unique, high quality, and
         | impossible to find elsewhere.
         | 
         | There are only a few top level people making this work, and all
         | have deep knowledge of profitable niches or business customers
         | who can foot the bill for their employees. Almost everyone else
         | is constantly begging for people to convert to the paid plan,
         | or burning out.
        
           | aiappreciator wrote:
           | Oh, if you have good enough content that's also important to
           | people. People will pay. I've started paying for an AI
           | substack because the news is so important to me, and I
           | couldn't find high quality & deep coverage in mainstream
           | media.
           | 
           | Now, this does mean the 'average' journalist stands no
           | chance. But 'average' news is already overproduced to
           | worthlessness. No one needs the same boring take rewritten
           | slightly. GPT-4 can already do that.
           | 
           | They would have been unemployed anyways, because all the
           | average newspapers (read local newspapers) died out. The only
           | remainders are national newspapers that only hire the best of
           | the best.
           | 
           | At least now they get to experiment with their passionate
           | topic, and potentially discover new markets, instead of being
           | forced to report on mainstream topics.
        
             | ilamont wrote:
             | _Oh, if you have good enough content that 's also important
             | to people. People will pay._
             | 
             | The question is how many will pay (not just _say_ they 'll
             | pay) and for how long.
             | 
             | I used to pay for Molly White's excellent Web3 reality
             | check newsletter. She changed the platform and I didn't
             | follow her. It was interesting while she was reporting all
             | of the BS and fraud, but after the bubble has popped it's
             | less compelling.
             | 
             | For someone getting into a hot field like AI, will the paid
             | subscriber interest still be there in 1 year, 2 years, 5
             | years? If the writer expands to an adjacent area, will that
             | make some of his existing subs bail?
             | 
             | Ben Thompson keeps Stratechery going not only because he's
             | a strong, insightful writer, but he didn't go too narrow
             | (for instance, only Apple strategy) and there's always
             | something to write about for people who follow this stuff.
             | Benedict Evans works in a similar way in terms of not going
             | too narrow.
        
               | aiappreciator wrote:
               | Two factors here:
               | 
               | 1. Journalists don't necessarily want to write about 1
               | topic for their entire lives either. They can pivot, and
               | its no harder than finding a different job for a
               | journalist.
               | 
               | 2. Journalist writers have a responsibility and freedom
               | to choose more durable topics. If you built your brand on
               | a fad (web3), even if to criticize it, you make yourself
               | vulnerable. Whereas if you built on on say cloud
               | computing/ancient history/how to find jobs in tech, you'd
               | be on way safer grounds. I would say AI is the rare topic
               | that is both insanely hyped and permanently durable. The
               | industrial revolution lasted centuries, so will AI.
        
             | iorrus wrote:
             | What Substack is this? I'm interested in a good AI Substack
             | that keeps me up to date. I follow a few free newsletters
             | but something more in-depth would be very helpful.
        
           | flappyeagle wrote:
           | Sounds like every other entrepreneurial endeavor. What % of
           | startups go to zero, what % of restaurants close? Begging for
           | people to convert is also called salesmanship
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | That's more or less the classic "If I can only get 1% market
           | share in China I'll be rich." Which turns out to be really
           | hard.
           | 
           | I did some research as a consultant once for a company trying
           | to sell a product for 32-bit to 64-bit transition. They were
           | obsessed with the total addressable market and assigned some
           | percentage of that market they thought they could capture.
           | Weren't interested in hearing about any more substantive
           | advice and went out of business of course.
        
         | benjaminwootton wrote:
         | I'm not sure. There are a lot of talented writers out there and
         | an ocean of mediocre ones. "Build it and they will come" has
         | never been harder.
        
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