[HN Gopher] Bee and butterfly numbers are falling, even in undis...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Bee and butterfly numbers are falling, even in undisturbed forests
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 317 points
       Date   : 2023-03-08 11:33 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | DeadMouseFive wrote:
       | Because of glyphosate and similar chemicals. Petrochemical
       | society will be the death of us all.
        
       | macinjosh wrote:
       | Environmentalists are like capitalists in that they always want
       | the numbers going up. Growth, growth! Wherein reality, nature
       | ebbs and flows.
        
         | CatWChainsaw wrote:
         | Did that sound a lot better in your head or something?
        
         | eggsmediumrare wrote:
         | It's only been ebbing lately.
        
       | olivermuty wrote:
       | The squashed bug studies along highways worries me almost even
       | more. Where are all the insects going?
       | 
       | I have been driving for exactly 21 years now. My first car I
       | remember the drudge of cold soaking it through the summer to get
       | off the layers of bugs.
       | 
       | I don't see more than the odd bug on my current car through the
       | summer.
       | 
       | It is anecdotal, but it tracks the science and feels very real
       | when it is so observeable personally too.
        
         | aeternum wrote:
         | It's the pesticides. Consider the world from the POV of an
         | insect. Even if you're a bee, your metabolism is similar to
         | other insect pests. There are huge fields of dense crops with
         | plenty of pollen but if you partake, you die.
        
         | shepherdjerred wrote:
         | Couldn't evolution partially explain this? Bugs that avoid
         | roads, cars, etc. would have an advantage. They'd be able to
         | live longer, and be more likely to reproduce. Over time the
         | bugs that get hit by cars would be replaced by the bugs who've
         | adapted to not get hit by cars.
         | 
         | Bugs reproduce pretty quickly, so this trait could have
         | propagated pretty quickly.
        
         | aksss wrote:
         | I would also suspect that as people get older they are less
         | adventurous in their driving habits. Your to/from work commute
         | and grocery trips expose the ol' jalopy to a very different
         | ecosystem than the road-trips you would do as a younger person
         | looking for trouble/adventure/memories.
        
           | yamtaddle wrote:
           | I remember it from my _parents_ driving, mostly. I haven 't
           | cleaned my windshield at a gas station since something like
           | 2006 or 2007, though it used to be needed constantly. I
           | remember air so thick with insects that the space illuminated
           | by the headlights was _alive_ --and that wasn't unusual. I
           | haven't seen that since the 90s.
        
           | olivermuty wrote:
           | For me it is actually the opposite, I drive much more cross
           | country now since I moved to other side of Norway and both me
           | and my wifes family lives a 400km drive away.
        
         | kyleyeats wrote:
         | It's cars. You killed them all!
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Maybe so, but can you please not post unsubstantive comments
           | to HN?
        
             | kyleyeats wrote:
             | Sorry, just exasperated. It's like a plains settler
             | throwing more buffalo skulls on the pile, then thoughtfully
             | pontificating about why the piles have been getting smaller
             | over the years.
        
         | galangalalgol wrote:
         | I've read much of this is improved aerodynamics of cars that
         | prevents the collisions.
        
           | frereubu wrote:
           | You may be partially right, but IIRC one of the studies which
           | found a significant decrease was specifically taking bug
           | samples from number plates rather than windscreens because
           | number plates have been the same shape and in the same
           | orientation for years.
        
           | lamontcg wrote:
           | Looking at the massive front grill of a modern truck or SUV I
           | very much doubt this.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | what does aerodynamics of cars have to do with modern truck
             | or SUV?
        
               | galangalalgol wrote:
               | And actually those grills are deceptively well tuned.
               | https://www.motortrend.com/news/2015-ford-f-150-is-most-
               | aero...
        
               | Dudeman112 wrote:
               | Non aerodynamic vehicles would have bugs squashed in them
               | if aerodynamics was the main reason for lack of bugs
        
           | fiftyfifty wrote:
           | It's still an anecdote, but I've been driving the same truck
           | for 15 years now. It definitely feels like I don't have to
           | clean my windshield nearly as often as I used to in the
           | summers.
        
           | CalRobert wrote:
           | Studies using the number plates, or old cars, have shown this
           | is not the cause.
           | 
           | Not to mention
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windshield_phenomenon
           | 
           | "The research also found that modern cars, with a more
           | aerodynamic body shape, killed more insects than boxier
           | vintage cars"
        
       | ROTMetro wrote:
       | When we moved to the mountains my son really wanted to see a
       | porcupine. I talked to an oldtimer forrester friend and he said
       | that in the 60s/70s they sprayed to kill all the underbrush to
       | make logging easier and that that changed the fauna quite a bit
       | and that was when porcupine's became uncommon. I thought it sad
       | we thought we were hiking through natural forests but they had
       | been heavily changed by an expedited business practice from a few
       | decades in the last century.
       | 
       | We saw everything from otters and beavers to lynx, grizzlies and
       | cougars in our journeys, but never a porcupine.
        
         | cityofdelusion wrote:
         | Interesting. I live in the city and I see porcupines just
         | walking the dog. Usually they're up in oak trees. They seem
         | well adapted to city life since they just need to live in and
         | eat tree tops.
        
       | EGreg wrote:
       | This is far more pressing than the climate crisis, but people
       | don't seem to prioritize it:
       | 
       | One third of all arable farmland has become desertified in the
       | last couple decades as people are in a race to the bottom (just
       | as USA was in the Great Depression leading to the dust bowl)
       | 
       | Biodiversity has plummeted as species go extinct, only to be
       | replaced by farms and monocultures
       | 
       | Insect populations are plummeting
       | 
       | Forests are being decimated
       | 
       | The boomer through millenial generations think they're smarter
       | than previous ones but they are in fact like an irresponsible kid
       | living on an ecological credit card, that their children will
       | have to pay.
       | 
       | Child mortality was solved but humanity was slow to adjust their
       | birth rates to compensate for it.
        
         | macinjosh wrote:
         | Why does Gen X get a pass? lol
        
           | irrational wrote:
           | It's not called the forgotten generation for no reason.
        
         | galangalalgol wrote:
         | Falling birth rates have little to do with child mortality and
         | everything to do with child labor becoming less valuable due to
         | legality as well as industrialization. Children became
         | liabilities instead of assets to parents, parents had less
         | kids. And the current problem is actually not enough people are
         | going to be around to maintain the current economy of scale
         | both in terms of production and consumption. The demographic
         | cliff looming in Italy and China for instance will probably
         | alleviate some of these environmental issues we are discussing,
         | but at the cost of political instability.
        
           | irrational wrote:
           | > child labor becoming less valuable due to legality
           | 
           | It's ironic you post this on the day that Governor Sarah
           | Huckabee rolled back child labor laws.
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | I'm curious how you can view this as separate from climate
         | change and not inextricably linked.
        
           | throw_pm23 wrote:
           | If climate change would be causing this then insects and
           | butterfly would move into colder zones like many other
           | animals and plants in fact do. Instead, they are disappearing
           | everywhere. It is due to pesticides and monoculture
           | agriculture.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | No, the two are quite different.
           | 
           | Which is worse in your opinion: smoke, or CO2? (Defining
           | smoke broadly.)
           | 
           | It's a real question: Diesel motors make less CO2, but more
           | smoke (of lots of types).
           | 
           | Would you rather spray some pesticide on crops? Or would it
           | be better to use an energy intensive tractor (lots of CO2) to
           | handle the situation mechanically?
           | 
           | The world currently is obsessed with CO2, and I think that's
           | a huge mistake - the other types of pollution are worse.
        
           | goatlover wrote:
           | Because not everything is related to climate change. You have
           | to show there's an "inextricable" link first.
        
           | EGreg wrote:
           | It may not have anything to do with the greenhouse gas effect
           | and emission of fossil fuels.
           | 
           | The desertification has to do with farmers planting too much
           | and extracting all nutrients from the soil - same as happened
           | in the 1930s which didnt have to do with cars and cows and
           | methane in the atmosphere.
           | 
           | The overfishing - same thing
           | 
           | The collapse of insect populations is highly unlikely due to
           | the slight aberage temperature changes or carbon
           | concentrations in the atmosphere. It may be due to wireless
           | radio signals, or light pollution, or pesticides and GMO
           | plants.
           | 
           | The collapse of kelp forests or bleaching of coral reefs also
           | has less to do with acidification of the oceans, and more
           | with local pollution and ecosystem collapse.
           | 
           | The extinction of some species is due to hunting.
           | 
           | And so on. You could say the anthopocene is behind all these
           | things -- but that is not the same as saying that climate
           | change is CAUSING these things.
           | 
           | If A (human activity) is causing B and C, and nearly all we
           | talk about is C, then it is valid to say that B is more
           | pressing, and that we should focus on A causing B. The
           | response that "C is linked to B" is not enough because C
           | doesn't cause B and talking about C doesn't do anything to
           | stop B.
        
             | pohl wrote:
             | FTA:
             | 
             |  _The team suspects climate change may be warming the
             | region and affecting bee and possibly butterfly survival._
        
               | ars wrote:
               | You are unlikely to find a biology paper that _doesn 't_
               | say that.
               | 
               | If it were true there should be an equivalent change in
               | insect population as you move north/south.
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | Or shifting biodiversity as new species move into a now
               | warmer region, rather than net decline.
        
         | Buttons840 wrote:
         | > The boomer through millennial generations
         | 
         | I'm a millennial, this is the first time I've personally
         | noticed my own generation sharing the blame and it makes me
         | defensive. I suppose it's true enough though.
         | 
         | I do vote on these issues, and I do what little I can for the
         | environment; I don't use pesticides on my 100 square foot farm
         | (more commonly called a "garden"). So long as we're on the
         | topic of blaming entire generations though -- will more than
         | 30% of Gen Z join us in voting any time soon? We could use the
         | votes.
        
           | avgcorrection wrote:
           | The power of naming.
           | 
           | Where I am, we don't have these poppy names for The
           | Generations: people are just younger and older. As a
           | consequence (perhaps), there's less boxing of people into
           | clearly delineated (like Millenial: roughly born 1980-1998 or
           | something) groups for other groups to piss and moan about.
        
           | lamontcg wrote:
           | Millennials are every bit as good as the boomers for having a
           | blizzard of excuses about why they can't possibly be
           | inconvenienced, it just sounds a bit more nuanced. This
           | website is full of it.
           | 
           | And the idea that voting does anything real is kind of cute,
           | that's literally the least you can do and should take all of
           | 5 minutes every couple of months these days.
        
             | AlexandrB wrote:
             | > Millennials are every bit as good as the boomers for
             | having a blizzard of excuses about why they can't possibly
             | be inconvenienced, it just sounds a bit more nuanced. This
             | website is full of it.
             | 
             | The idea that this problem is solvable by individuals
             | changing their behavior when there is a vast ocean of money
             | being deployed to keep everything (roughly) the same is
             | pretty laughable. Changing the behaviour of a large
             | population first requires them to agree on what the problem
             | is in the first place. "Energy" interests have done a good
             | job of clouding the issue and providing enough plausible
             | deniability for continuing the status quo.
             | 
             | Here's a relevant example: a generation of people have been
             | convinced to recycle - but those efforts were largely
             | wasted because the collected material was shipped to China
             | (!) and sometimes dumped in the ocean (!!). So individuals
             | did their part, but "the system" is still going to optimize
             | for cost-efficiency and not for environmental impact.
        
               | avgcorrection wrote:
               | No way, man! You just have to do things like recycle
               | plastic... not wait, that was a propaganda campaign by
               | the plastic industry in order to market plastic as being
               | more long-term viable for the environment and
               | "sustainability".
               | 
               | Well, you can reduce your carbon footprint!... wait,
               | British Petroleum invented that slogan, didn't they...
        
               | lamontcg wrote:
               | > The idea that this problem is solvable by individuals
               | changing their behavior
               | 
               | I don't think that individuals can solve climate change
               | without having government and corporations change.
               | 
               | But governments and corporations won't ever change
               | without action by individuals to pressure them to change.
               | 
               | Activism on the part of individuals turning into
               | collective action is the kind of thing that would produce
               | actual change, not actions like plastic recycling.
               | 
               | But again there's a failure of the Millennial generation
               | for you. You've figured out the individual actions which
               | don't work and which you've been led down an alley by
               | moneyed interests into thinking they're effective, but
               | you have no answers to effecting change past pointing
               | blame.
        
       | kornhole wrote:
       | I know its a drop in the bucket, but I hope this can inspire more
       | drops in the bucket. I tend my yard with plenty of plants that
       | make food and habitat for bees and butterflies. This includes
       | native milkweed for the monarchs, carrots, fennel, and parsley
       | for the swallowtails, and many other flowering plants for the
       | bees. Chemical warfare is completely banned from my property. All
       | kinds of insects are here and in balance providing food for the
       | rest of the ecosystem.
        
         | gE6n9m wrote:
         | This is the way. I'm going to do the same even though I only
         | have a balcony. I was thinking of building a fountain for birds
         | too to help them cool down and bath in the dreadful hot days.
         | That's the least I can do.
        
         | avgcorrection wrote:
         | > I know its a drop in the bucket
         | 
         | No. It's a hobby.
         | 
         | If I set up my own email server, I'm not fighting the Gmail
         | Dominance. I'm pursuing a hobby.
        
           | mattwest wrote:
           | Are you saying that intermittent pollinator gardens don't
           | serve to bolster the ecological network? Because that would
           | be wrong. Every bit helps and even small gardens have a large
           | impact.
        
           | ricardobeat wrote:
           | If 10 million people set up their own e-mail servers, yes,
           | you're fighting GMail. It starts somewhere.
        
         | eggsmediumrare wrote:
         | Same. Milkweed and goldenrod are really beautiful plants.
        
       | LatteLazy wrote:
       | It's almost as if we have spent 50 years ignoring and
       | accelerating climate change...
        
         | avgcorrection wrote:
         | Why just fifty years?
        
           | LatteLazy wrote:
           | Before 50 years ago, it was at least debatable whether
           | everyone knew. Now everyone knows. And has for at least a
           | generation.
           | 
           | You fuck things up without realizing, then you get to be
           | surprised they're fucked up. You spend 50 years doing it
           | knowingly, you don't get to act shocked when insects numbers
           | are plummeting and once per century forest fires are
           | happening every year and France gets zero rain for all of
           | Feb...
           | 
           | Welcome to the new normal. The one we all knowingly ordered.
        
         | throw_pm23 wrote:
         | Drop in insect and butterfly numbers has nothing to do with
         | climate change. It is due to pesticides being pumped in
         | unprecedented quantities into nature and monoculture
         | agriculture.
        
           | AlexandrB wrote:
           | It doesn't have "nothing" to do with climate change. Climate
           | change probably contributes to habitat loss as weather
           | becomes less favourable for some species in areas where they
           | could probably survive before.
           | 
           | Pesticide use the is cost you pay for cheap food, meat heavy
           | diets, and other benefits of living in "western" society.
           | Sure we could grow food without pesticides, but it would cost
           | more. It might also require more land - which would probably
           | also impact insect populations.
        
       | dathinab wrote:
       | > undisturbed forests
       | 
       | there are no really undisturbed forests
       | 
       | rain and winds brings contamination into the most remote corners
       | of the world
       | 
       | for example the Aral Sea has not dust but salt storm, to top it
       | of they are highly toxic due to extrem over use of pesticides
       | upstream and toxines from there have been fund as far away as in
       | snow in Sweden (probably further away too, I just don't
       | remember).
       | 
       | another example dust from the Sahara somewhat frequently get
       | carried as far as Germany
       | 
       | and climate warming affects remote regions too
        
         | cwkoss wrote:
         | Sahara dust feeds the Amazon rainforest
         | https://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/nasa-satellite-reveals-...
        
       | mistrial9 wrote:
       | background on political action in the USA and elsewhere
       | 
       | https://thebreakthrough.org/articles/the-death-of-environmen...
        
       | lproven wrote:
       | 6 upvotes and no comments for the single most important story on
       | HN for the year so far.
       | 
       | To quote a poster:
       | 
       | A smiling bee says, "When we go, we're taking you with us!"
       | 
       | The ongoing human-caused insect apocalypse signals that the same
       | is coming for humanity. Most flowering dicotyledonous plants
       | don't make fruits or seeds without pollinating insects.
       | 
       | There goes many human crops. There go the forests that catch and
       | slowly release rainwater to irrigate those crops. There goes much
       | of on-land CO2 absorbtion and capture. Here comes the big
       | dustbowl, there goes the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, goodbye to
       | every coastal town and city in the world.
        
         | stinos wrote:
         | _Most flowering dicotyledonous plants don 't make fruits or
         | seeds without pollinating insects_
         | 
         | Is it really 'most' (I honestly don't know, I've never
         | considered only looking at dicotyledonous plants)?
         | 
         | In any case: I'm very well aware of how dramatic the decline
         | is, but imo there are more than enough 'if all the bees die we
         | die as well' memes out there and perhaps it's a pet peeve of
         | mine but that's a correlation at best and it ignores so many
         | nuances it's not funny anymore (not that it ever was, but you
         | get the point). It's HN so let's not ignore all other
         | pollinators (wasps, flies, butterflies, moths, beetles, bats,
         | spiders, birds, ... in no particular order - and of which I
         | know many people actually go like 'erm, what, bats?'), nor that
         | there's also wind pollation, and also not the fact that there's
         | a bunch of crops whos yield doesn't depend on pollinators at
         | all and another bunch who'd see dercreased yield without
         | pollinators but not quite zero.
        
           | lproven wrote:
           | My point was merely that bees are the charismatic
           | pollinators. The ones people know.
           | 
           | Yes, there are many others. Most of them are in rapid decline
           | too. For instance bats have "white nose syndrome" causing
           | mass die-offs: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White-
           | nose_syndrome
           | 
           | Birds are dying in droves worldwide.
           | 
           | N America: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1805123115
           | https://www.birds.cornell.edu/home/bring-birds-back/
           | 
           | France: https://phys.org/news/2018-03-bird-populations-
           | french-countr...
           | 
           | Compare with amphibians, also collapsing worldwide: https://w
           | ww.dcceew.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/c-di...
           | 
           | Almost all wild mammals are gone bar a few percent:
           | https://xkcd.com/1338/
           | 
           | It is a sweeping generalisation, and so are dicots vs
           | monocots.
           | 
           | But the familiar monocots are grasses, which are wind-
           | pollinated. Many dicots are wind-pollinated, including a lot
           | of temperate zone trees, but the familiar useful ones are,
           | generalising wildly, insect-pollinated.
           | 
           | Non-angiosperms (gymnosperms, ferns etc.) are either wind
           | pollinated, or don't make pollen and reproduce via spores,
           | often via an intermediate sexual generation.
           | 
           | As has often been noted, after WW3, the mosses will be fine.
        
           | eimrine wrote:
           | >> Most flowering dicotyledonous plants don't make fruits or
           | seeds without pollinating insects
           | 
           | > Is it really 'most' (I honestly don't know, I've never
           | considered only looking at dicotyledonous plants)?
           | 
           | Flowering plants is way smaller domain than dicos plants and
           | flowers use insects (or lucky burst of wind) as the only way
           | to make a new organism, I mean a new DNA.
        
           | Fiahil wrote:
           | Yes ! However, Conifers are not part of that group, and
           | therefore "less" affected.
        
         | Maken wrote:
         | To be fair, I do not think many people here (or anywhere) is
         | qualified enough to have an informed opinion in the matter.
         | 
         | In fact, the lack of entomologists (a boring, unexciting field
         | of study for most of us) may be the cause of how seemly late
         | the complete wipe-out of all insect life is being reported.
         | Last time this happened, it was killing the birds and people
         | noticed it much much earlier.
        
         | belorn wrote:
         | There are a few scary solutions if it ever came to the point
         | where insect population would start to seriously harm
         | pollination for forests and human crops. We can always start
         | engineering and breeding insects that are more resistant to
         | global warming.
         | 
         | What we will never know for certain is what the long term
         | effect will be if we start to do this.
        
         | goatlover wrote:
         | It has more votes now that it's been posted several hours, but
         | why would it be more important story than recent AI advances on
         | a hacker news site?
        
         | ourlordcaffeine wrote:
         | Well surely conifer forests will be fine as they are wind
         | pollinated
        
         | dtx1 wrote:
         | > But what about the poor SUV drivers? And all this green stuff
         | is gonna make us poor!
         | 
         | That's basically been the reaction of the boomer generation I
         | heard when talking about the looming eco disaster. When getting
         | decent bicycle infrastructure in cities is impossible because
         | half the population does not only doesn't care but actively
         | opposes any change we can forget about changing any of this.
         | It's going to happen.
         | 
         | The question then becomes: What can we do to deal with that?
         | How can we replace the polinators?
        
           | lproven wrote:
           | I don't think we will, TBH.
           | 
           | I am colossally pessimistic but at the rate we are going, I
           | think we are heading for between 4-70 C of warming this
           | century, 5-10m of sea level rise, the extinction of 95%+ of
           | species, and a small remnant of humanity, maybe a few million
           | people, living at the poles, after the collapse of our
           | technological civilisation.
           | 
           | We're not going to have time to invent magic mini flying
           | robots to do pollination when the bees are all dead.
        
             | dtx1 wrote:
             | Thats unrealistic. Sure, some countries are going to become
             | unlivable for humans, afghanistan, pakistan etc. but large
             | parts of now permafrost will become habitable in exchange.
             | And there are also many plants that dont rely on
             | polinators.
        
               | urfullofsht wrote:
               | [dead]
        
             | galangalalgol wrote:
             | Latitude isn't as good as altitude for avoiding warming.
             | They'll all be perched on the tops of mountain ranges
             | hoping for rain.
        
         | avgcorrection wrote:
         | What you are witnessing is simply resignation.
        
         | rowanG077 wrote:
         | Huh I thought we don't know why they are dieing yet.
        
           | lproven wrote:
           | It's a question of which causes are the more important ones.
           | For example, the rise in Varroa mites is probably a secondary
           | effect caused by insecticides, but which insecticides? Colony
           | collapse disorder is a thing, but nobody is 100% sure what is
           | causing it yet.
           | 
           | So the scientists say "we don't know". Which is true... but
           | it is very clear _who_ is causing it. It 's us. Humans. It
           | doesn't really matter if it's the chemicals that we make in
           | the millions of tonnes specifically to kill insects, or the
           | ones we make in the billions of tonnes to do other things
           | which happen to kill insects, or the ones we accidentally
           | create as byproducts which happen to kill insects, or whether
           | it's because we're destroying the wilderness that they need
           | to survive, or it's something we don't know yet.
           | 
           | E.g. vultures in India are doing very badly. It's humans, but
           | it's by accident.
           | 
           | Some Indian religions practice "air burial". They let
           | vultures eat the bodies.
           | 
           | Dying people often feel unwell. They take painkillers.
           | Paracetamol is cheap. India is poor. People take a lot of
           | paracetamol and then some of them die.
           | 
           | Paracetamol is toxic to vultures.
           | 
           | It's still humans, but it's indirect and accidental, but it's
           | 100% our fault.
        
             | macinjosh wrote:
             | It is a fallacy to say scientists don't know what is
             | causing it but they/we know its humans for sure! Huh?
             | What?! That don't make no damn sense. You got to know
             | something before you know it, you know?
             | 
             | In your vulture example we know why the vultures died so we
             | can tie it to a human behavior. We don't know why the bees
             | die or what the deal is with the mites so we can't tie it
             | to human behavior. You are still making a leap of faith, no
             | matter how logical or likely it seems or in fact is.
        
             | rowanG077 wrote:
             | While I agree that it's probably likely that humans are the
             | cause I disagree with you outright stating humans are. I
             | can still see some non-human probable causes like an
             | undiscovered disease in or multiple species.
        
           | mattwest wrote:
           | This is accurate, yet most people read one headline or listen
           | to a glib podcast and think they know all the answers.
           | 
           | Colony collapse is real but there are numerous theories
           | around why.
           | 
           | https://geneticliteracyproject.org/2023/03/03/beepocalypse-m.
           | ..
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | > 6 upvotes and no comments for the single most important story
         | on HN for the year so far.
         | 
         | I have nothing to say. I feel powerless and robbed of my own
         | future by my parents' generation.
         | 
         | Forget the dustbowl, if we can't pollinate crops, we will all
         | either starve or kill each other long before the rest of the
         | ecosystem collapses.
        
           | apocalypstyx wrote:
           | > I have nothing to say. I feel powerless and robbed of my
           | own future by my parents' generation.
           | 
           | Beware, O Sinner, for Who Promises You a Tomorrow?
           | 
           | --St. Alphonsus of Ligouri
           | 
           | Just as we pretend the heat death of the universe shall never
           | arrive and that time (billions upon billions of years is
           | inconceivable to the human mind) we pretended it an infinity,
           | never truly paying heed that there would be a last generation
           | or that we might be among them.
        
           | hdjjhhvvhga wrote:
           | > by my parents' generation
           | 
           | This is at least unfair. Our parents were people just like
           | us, trying to survive in this world, sometimes against all
           | odds, having very limited information, and sacrifice a lot
           | for their children.
           | 
           | On the other hand, there were some very specific people who,
           | through their greediness, and often in spite of the
           | information they had, proceeded with their plans destroying
           | Earth natural resources and so on. But these people can be
           | found in every generation, not just in the one of our
           | parents.
        
           | birdyrooster wrote:
           | We mechanically pollinate plants all the time, it's not the
           | end of our ability to feed ourselves. I think people are
           | ignorant to and are overestimating how difficult it is to
           | make pollen blow in the air or transfer using mechanical
           | means.
        
             | dumpsterlid wrote:
             | [dead]
        
             | tfourb wrote:
             | Please spend a few minutes researching pollination before
             | just assuming that "technology" can solve a process that is
             | handled by nature after billions of years of specialization
             | by thousands of types of insects on thousands of different
             | types of plants, trillions of times every year. Just hand
             | waving some "mechanical means" is stuff that gets
             | civilizations killed.
        
               | birdyrooster wrote:
               | It's definitely a problem and we need to develop
               | technical solutions as workarounds since there is an
               | inability to get political traction to do the most
               | optimal thing.
        
               | parthianshotgun wrote:
               | But but we're hackers! Surely we could tinker and hack
               | our way to solving this, maybe with AI or crypto, or, now
               | stay with me here, both!
        
               | jwozn wrote:
               | I was going to make a joke about bees on the blockchain,
               | but it looks like it's actually a real idea...
               | 
               | https://urbanbeelab.org/projects/the-future-of-food-
               | saving-t...
        
             | pseudolus wrote:
             | There have been stories documenting how the decline of bee
             | populations has necessitated the introduction of hand-
             | pollination. [0] Hand-pollination seems both tedious and
             | difficult to scale. Mechanical pollination might be viable
             | in some environments but basically it amounts to
             | extensively paying for something that historically has been
             | free.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.globalcitizen.org/en/content/life-without-
             | bees-h...
        
               | Kye wrote:
               | It costs money to rent or maintain bees used in
               | agriculture, but it's probably still cheaper.
        
             | stuven wrote:
             | ... how much are you willing to stake on that assumption?
        
               | birdyrooster wrote:
               | What other options are working? Geopolitics isn't
               | changing anytime soon.
        
           | rcme wrote:
           | You can pollinate crops using bees kept in captivity. Many
           | crops are pollinated this way.
        
             | ambientenv wrote:
             | "You can pollinate crops using bees kept in captivity. Many
             | crops are pollinated this way." ... as much as I may
             | appreciate the sentiment, it seems to me that we - the
             | global we - have become adept at finding band-aid solutions
             | (especially when it involves technology) to symptoms but
             | rarely address and attempt to fix the actual causal
             | factors, i.e. the problem. I would hazard to guess this is
             | for primarily two reasons. First and foremost, it requires
             | grass roots and pervasive change - change in values,
             | behaviours, beliefs - and change is often difficult.
             | Second, there appears to exist a pervasive view that sees
             | us humans as outside of nature rather than an integral and
             | dependent part of the whole.
        
             | tfourb wrote:
             | Most crops are not. Many plants rely on specific insects
             | for pollination. And domesticated honey bees can never hope
             | to match the rest of the insect world in numbers.
        
               | rch wrote:
               | Mason bees, for instance, do ~3x the pollination work
               | per-bee, and are relatively easy to accommodate in any
               | garden or yard:
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mason_bee
               | 
               | This doesn't make the overall collapse in biodiversity
               | and insect biomass any less serious.
        
               | rcme wrote:
               | You wouldn't need domesticated bees to match the rest of
               | the insect world's numbers. You'd just need to enough to
               | pollinate crops. And bees can pollinate many, many
               | different types crops. Also, you can always pollinate by
               | hand if need be, which is how vanilla in Madagascar is
               | pollinated. I'm not saying declining insect numbers are
               | good, I'm just saying worrying about a crop-apocalypse is
               | probably unfounded.
        
               | morelisp wrote:
               | If every foodstuff costing as much per flower as vanilla
               | - a spice usable in famously small quantities - isn't a
               | crop-apocalypse, what is?
        
         | tptacek wrote:
         | Human crops are generally pollinated by livestock bees, not
         | feral pollinators.
         | 
         | If we depended principally on natural produce, most of us would
         | have starved to death long ago. Forget about the bees; just
         | think about the Haber-Bosch process.
        
       | anonymouskimmer wrote:
       | I had read about the company Beemunity a while back.
       | https://scitechdaily.com/beemmunity-pollen-sized-technology-...
       | 
       | > An early version of the technology - which detoxified a widely-
       | used group of insecticides called organophosphates - is described
       | in a new study, "Pollen-Inspired Enzymatic Microparticles to
       | Reduce Organophosphate Toxicity in Managed Pollinators,"
       | published on May 20, 2021, in Nature Food. The antidote delivery
       | method has now been adapted to effectively protect bees from all
       | insecticides, and has inspired a new company, Beemmunity, based
       | in New York state.
       | 
       | The company (I think it's the same company) currently makes
       | flower pots to attract and feed native bees, and they make food
       | bricks that help boost bee immunity and robustness. Still a small
       | company, and frequently out of stock.
       | 
       | You can click through the "health action" drop downs on their
       | lickbrick page to see what each of the ingredients do.
       | https://www.beemmunity.co/lickbrick
        
       | xnx wrote:
       | Loss of biodiversity follows directly from and is a much bigger
       | deal than typical "climate change" headline
        
         | aeternum wrote:
         | Why has massive biodiversity losses at multiple previous points
         | in earth's history always resulted in an even larger subsequent
         | explosion of biodiversity?
        
           | jemmyw wrote:
           | It opens the space for less well adapted creatures to evolve
           | into and adapt. For a short time (on an evolutionary
           | timescale) you get a much larger variety of adaptation
           | strategies until the best ones win out.
           | 
           | Unless humanity completely erases life on earth I'm sure
           | it'll bounce back. There's still time ahead, although not as
           | much as there was behind. However, I'd rather we destroyed
           | less and restored more, at least in my lifetime, so we could
           | enjoy its existence.
        
           | jt2190 wrote:
           | There _could_ be a new explosion of biodiversity, but it
           | might exclude humans.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | that's if our species is one of the few that survive the
           | extinction event
        
           | mellavora wrote:
           | An explosion which sometimes, but not always, includes
           | vertebrates.
           | 
           | And which usually happens on a time scale which most of us
           | would consider "long"
        
           | xnx wrote:
           | I lament we've been given this amazing Eden filled with
           | boundless flora and fauna -the complexity and beauty of which
           | we can barely comprehend- and we're trading it in for parking
           | lots and shiny baubles.
        
             | EForEndeavour wrote:
             | "You know what I love most about Mars? They still dream. We
             | gave up. They're an entire culture dedicated to a common
             | goal, working together as one to turn a lifeless rock into
             | a garden. _We had a garden and we paved it._ "
             | 
             | -- Franklin Degraaf, The Expanse S1E3
             | 
             | https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Quotes/TheExpanse
        
           | macinjosh wrote:
           | IMO, because the "tournament" of evolution between competing
           | species comes to place where "winners" are declared, they
           | live. Losers die off. While lamentable, this opens the field
           | for the next round of competitors to fill the voids left by
           | the losers which drives more diversity and the process
           | repeats itself.
        
           | zizee wrote:
           | I don't know the answer to that, but I can say that you and I
           | are likely to be long gone before any explosion in
           | biodiversity will occur. It won't happen for many tens of
           | thousands of years (probably many millions).
           | 
           | People often seem to think the whole climate change is
           | worrying about the earth and all the animal life. The earth
           | will be fine, individual animals will hardly notice (they
           | have much more immediate concerns most of the time, like
           | being eaten).
           | 
           | It's humanity that is going to suffer, with the risk of many
           | of our highly optimised systems becoming unsuited to task
           | (think many cities and food production needing to shift,
           | leading to starvation/conflict).
        
           | yongjik wrote:
           | According to Wikipedia, after the End-Permian Extinction:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_Triassic
           | 
           | > Early Triassic faunas lacked biodiversity and were
           | relatively homogeneous due to the effects of the extinction.
           | The ecological recovery on land took 30 million years.
           | 
           | I guess it eventually works out if you are willing to wait
           | very, very long.
        
           | gmm1990 wrote:
           | tell that to mar's climate
        
           | twiddling wrote:
           | life finds a way, but it does over longer time spans than
           | individual human life spans
        
           | everdrive wrote:
           | Because the cause of the loss has been temporary. Will this
           | one be temporary as well? I hope so.
        
       | snozolli wrote:
       | _Five times between 2007 and 2022, researchers surveyed the
       | insects in three forested areas in the Oconee National Forest in
       | northern Georgia._
       | 
       | That's it? Just one forest in a single US state?
        
         | fiftyfifty wrote:
         | There have been other studies like this done in other parts of
         | the world, they all have come to similar conclusions. Here was
         | one conducted in Germany from 1990-2017:
         | 
         | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...
         | 
         | Here's another one that shows a significant decline in Puerto
         | Rico:
         | 
         | https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.1722477115
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | Not to mention the fact that this "undisturbed" forest is
         | barely an hour away from the third-fastest growing metro area
         | in the country.
        
         | snowwrestler wrote:
         | How many forests have you surveyed over the past 15 years?
         | 
         | The tricky thing about science is that it only gets done by
         | actually doing things...
        
           | snozolli wrote:
           | _How many forests have you surveyed over the past 15 years?_
           | 
           | What's the point of this question? I can't be skeptical
           | unless I've personally conducted the same research?
           | 
           |  _The tricky thing about science is that it only gets done by
           | actually doing things..._
           | 
           | Doubling down on the snark. Why? What do you imagine this
           | adds to the conversation?
           | 
           | I have no problem with the study, but I do have a problem
           | with the headline, barring the citation of similar studies in
           | other areas.
           | 
           | At least the other guy who replied mentioned studies in other
           | areas. Your comment added nothing of value whatsoever.
        
           | pb7 wrote:
           | Doesn't matter because he's not the one making grand
           | assertions. It's ok to criticize research, especially when
           | it's limited.
        
           | goatlover wrote:
           | Yeah, but if that's used to draw a more general conclusion
           | about populations in other forested areas, that's not good
           | science, or journalism (more likely).
        
       | pphysch wrote:
       | "undisturbed forests" don't mean much to pollinators if 100% of
       | surrounding basins and meadows have been turned into toxic
       | farms/ranches
        
       | cryptonector wrote:
       | In Texas you can have three beehives in your backyard. And if you
       | have a few acres you can have pretty much as many as you can
       | sustain. I've beehives. It's super fun to care for my bees!
        
       | alyx wrote:
       | Maybe they are just moving to beyond-the-ice-wall.
        
       | jmclnx wrote:
       | I cannot disagree with this. When I was young not a day went by
       | were I did not see some butterflies in the summer and autumn.
       | Even in the small City where I grew up.
       | 
       | Now that I think of it, I have not even seen a butterfly in many
       | years, this includes hiking it the woods.
       | 
       | What a shame, well with global warming and the powers that be
       | still doubling down on fossil fuels, a big correction is probably
       | on its way, similar to this story posted here earlier about tree
       | roots. We had 50+ years to do something about climate change, as
       | usual profits came first.
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35054175
       | 
       | (edit, fixed the link, paste issue)
        
         | ladyattis wrote:
         | I remember in the 80s that there were bees all over the grounds
         | at my elementary school, they had dandelions, clover, and a few
         | other weed/grass species in the mix but bees went whole hog on
         | them. About a decade ago I went back to that school during
         | summer and noticed not a single bee was around the grounds.
         | It's wild how fast insects are dying off these days. Heck, I
         | remember summers in my hometown where it was a bad idea for me
         | to be out since mosquitos would bite me furiously but now I
         | rarely see them.
        
         | mykowebhn wrote:
         | Not butterfly- or bee-related, but growing up in the suburbs of
         | Toronto in the 70s (hence, an urban environment), I remember
         | seeing several grasshoppers per day in our neighborhood during
         | the summer. These days, I'm lucky to have seen a single
         | grasshopper in the past several years, and I spend a lot of
         | time in nature. Very sad and disconcerting.
        
         | vondur wrote:
         | Weirdly enough, it seems like the last few years here in SoCal
         | I've seen more butterflies than normal. I've seen more bees
         | than normal, but I've planted some native plants that they seem
         | to love.
        
         | aceazzameen wrote:
         | I don't doubt numbers are declining. Yet, where I live in the
         | suburbs outside a city in the US northeast, I see bees,
         | butterflies, and fireflies all the time when it's warm out.
         | There was a time period when I didn't. But I may not have been
         | as observant then.
        
         | userabchn wrote:
         | You single out only fossil fuels, but there are so many other
         | ways in which we are damaging the environment that we also need
         | to worry about - PFAS everywhere, noise and light pollution,
         | pesticides and many other chemicals in rivers, expanses of
         | monocultures, etc. It concerns me that there is so much
         | fixation on one form of harm, which I fear may result in less
         | attention to the many others that we are inflicting.
        
           | webdood90 wrote:
           | I would argue that literally every single issue you mentioned
           | is a consequence of fossil fuels
        
           | CalRobert wrote:
           | Ammonia from dairy operations doesn't help.
        
           | AnotherGoodName wrote:
           | Here's one that I don't think people are even considering.
           | 
           | I've seen insects flying repeatedly into brightly colored non
           | flower objects. They get stuck doing it.
           | 
           | So even something as simple as a small piece of colored
           | fabric can throw bees off and there's no such thing as a
           | forest so untouched that there isn't some human left object
           | in it.
           | 
           | Brightly colored objects are more common than ever too.
        
           | mc32 wrote:
           | There are lots of speculative culprits and maybe it's a
           | combination, but we won't get anywhere unless we find out
           | which ones are responsible for fouling habitability by
           | desirable insects and selectively addressing those
           | pollutants.
           | 
           | If it's, for example, fertilizers... it would not be likely
           | we pull back on farming output with resulting starvation in
           | other countries that depend on affordable agricultural
           | products in a global market (yes, we rich countries can
           | afford a 2x or 3x cost of food, but not people in poor
           | countries from which in a global economy we'd be sucking up
           | their agricultural production and outbidding the locals.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | i'm building a couple of planter boxes in my backyard
         | specifically to plant native wild flowers. it will merely be a
         | drop in the bucket, but it's what i can do where i'm at
         | currently. i'm hoping to see any type of insect attraction. i
         | have a running water fountain that i see bees coming to drink,
         | so i'm really hoping wild flowers will attract them as well as
         | the butterflies.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | mplanchard wrote:
         | Echoing someone else, I live in the heart of Austin and
         | generally rarely see bees/butterflies, but last year we planted
         | a bunch of native wildflowers in the yard and we had a) an
         | absolutely beautiful explosion of color, and b) TONS of bees
         | and butterflies hanging out all day in the flowers. So,
         | regardless of where you are, I think it's worth planting some
         | native plants to give the little guys somewhere to hang out.
        
         | jimbob45 wrote:
         | Saw six butterflies last night while walking in a highly
         | developed area. I'll probably see six more tonight. Are
         | anecdotes really how we want to measure this?
        
           | Natsu wrote:
           | Lucky. I haven't been seeing anything for a long time and due
           | to old habits from studying entomology, I habitually identify
           | any butterfly I see. I can tell a Monarch from a Viceroy at a
           | distance just because the latter flies differently.
           | 
           | I haven't seen either one since early covid, when they were
           | suddenly more common for whatever reason.
        
           | BitwiseFool wrote:
           | >"Are anecdotes really how we want to measure this?"
           | 
           | Anecdotes aren't always bad, or even inappropriate. We're on
           | an internet forum having a casual discussion so my
           | expectations for intellectual rigor are quite low.
        
           | snowwrestler wrote:
           | No, anecdotes are unreliable.
           | 
           | It would be better to do a systematic study, and publish the
           | results in a scientific journal like _Current Biology_. Then
           | maybe to help get the word out, publish a summary on a
           | website like _Science_.
        
             | kilgnad wrote:
             | Anecdotes have a degree of unreliability and a degree of
             | reliability. Outright dismissing an anecdote as completely
             | baseless and invalid is highly, highly unwise and a sign
             | that the person is not logical.
             | 
             | First off, anecdotes have extreme speed. You can get some
             | sort of answer much faster and at a hugely lower cost then
             | a "study".
             | 
             | Second, studies are not to be trusted either. There's huge
             | incentive to doctor these things and with the replication
             | crisis this "doctoring" has been shown to be common place.
             | 
             | Third, even an "honest" study can be wildly off depending
             | on the data gathered and most of the time these studies
             | only find correlative associations rather then causative
             | (most people don't even know how to conduct a causative
             | experiment).
             | 
             | A good example of this is smoking Cannabis and Tobacco.
             | Depending on the time both were deemed healthy to consume
             | by research via multitudes of biased research and and a
             | lack of unbiased studies.
             | 
             | But with a little anecdotal common sense it's easy to see
             | that breathing burnt plants into your lungs is likely just
             | bad overall.
        
             | jxramos wrote:
             | I wonder if some DIY computer vision video set on such a
             | planter box of native flowers could be some indication if
             | sufficiently crowdsourced.
        
           | ethanbond wrote:
           | Yes we should be sharing anecdotes.
           | 
           | The charts going down to the right and the maps showing
           | territory shrinking are both important. That's why they're
           | posted here frequently.
           | 
           | It's also important to remember what those charts and maps
           | _mean_ , which is future generations having magic and beauty
           | and wonder _stolen_ from them. The destruction of the
           | environment is heartbreaking on its own, but the destruction
           | of _the human experience_ is a whole additional layer of
           | tragedy.
        
             | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
             | We have also added to the human experience. We are able to
             | fly above the clouds at hundreds of miles an hour, an
             | experienced that throughout human history was in the realm
             | of legends and stories about gods. I can also talk and
             | video conference with relatives living thousands of miles
             | away.
        
               | 411111111111111 wrote:
               | What an experience that is! Crammed between people and
               | hardly being able to move for hours while significantly
               | contributing to CO2 and noise pollution just so you can
               | sit indoors in a remote place for work or at a beach for
               | fun which you could've just done localy for pretty much
               | the same experience
        
               | irrational wrote:
               | You think most people have nice warm beaches locally?
        
               | pb7 wrote:
               | >Crammed between people and hardly being able to move for
               | hours
               | 
               | Do you know why it's so cramped? To maximize the number
               | of people on the flight and therefore reduce the per-
               | passenger carbon emissions and cost.
               | 
               | I can tell you've never traveled if you think every place
               | is like every other. The creek in your podunk town is not
               | the same as the beaches in French Polynesia.
        
               | ethanbond wrote:
               | Cool, go ahead and share those anecdotes too.
               | 
               | I have a strong suspicion if our descendants learn that
               | we traded butterflies for 9 hour plane flights for
               | business meetings that are completely feasible over the
               | Internet, they'll think very poorly of us.
        
               | pb7 wrote:
               | I can confidently say the majority of fliers are not
               | traveling for work. This is a strawman.
        
               | ethanbond wrote:
               | Where did I say it was?
               | 
               | My position is that every day people make tradeoffs
               | without even considering what those tradeoffs are,
               | because the benefits are so immediate and local while the
               | costs are externalized both in time and space.
               | 
               | It's important to connect everyday decisions (and their
               | _real_ benefits) to their externalized costs (which are
               | also real, and probably ~impossible to recover once
               | incurred).
               | 
               | Once our cohabitants are gone, they're likely gone
               | _forever._ We have no reason to believe we 'll ever be
               | able to recover a meaningful portion of them. Ecosystems
               | are astoundingly complex and the more we learn about
               | them, the more we learn how subtle they are.
        
           | CalRobert wrote:
           | But that's an anecdote....
        
       | twiddling wrote:
       | But hey we have got a lot of brown marmorated stink bugs now!
        
         | craig_s_bell wrote:
         | Don't forget their (slightly less dopey) cousins, the boxelder
         | bugs.
        
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