[HN Gopher] Content moderation and fraud detection - patterns in...
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       Content moderation and fraud detection - patterns in industry
        
       Author : mr-ai
       Score  : 36 points
       Date   : 2023-03-07 10:50 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (eugeneyan.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (eugeneyan.com)
        
       | swyx wrote:
       | > A typical approach is to generate synthetic data based on
       | existing ground truth. DoorDash did this via random text
       | augmentation... During model training, they had a ratio of 100
       | synthetic labels to 1 actual label.
       | 
       | i'm sure this is well understood by practitioners but this isn't
       | intuitive to me. when you synthetically generate data, you are
       | resampling an observed distribution, but you're not materially
       | going to get out something different than what you put in. (just
       | read the linked cloudflare post - ok so we are generating
       | negative examples and there's a lot more negative than positive -
       | but what if we accidentally generate positives?)
       | 
       | whats a math/statistics intuition for why does generating
       | synthetic data from existing data, to a 100 to 1 ratio, work so
       | well?
        
         | ted_dunning wrote:
         | Paraphrasing slightly:
         | 
         | > when you synthetically generate data ... you're not
         | materially going to get > out something different than what you
         | put in
         | 
         | Well, yes and no.
         | 
         | If I give you five points and tell you that they are actually
         | samples from a normal distribution, you could easily generate
         | lots of samples with the same mean and variance.
         | 
         | If you were to then compute the mean and variance of this new
         | and "improved" dataset, you would get results very nearly the
         | same as the mean and variance of the original data. It would be
         | fair to note at this point that the expanded dataset has no
         | information that the original had.
         | 
         | On the other hand, if you generate 10,000 synthetic points in
         | the same way and compute the 99th percentile of these points,
         | you will get a more interesting result than if you simply
         | computed the 99th percentile of the original points.
         | 
         | This makes it seem that the augmented dataset has better
         | information in it than the original sample.
         | 
         | In fact, the augmented dataset is only better because our
         | estimation algorithm is deficient. A better algorithm would
         | look at the mean and variance and find the 99th percentile of
         | the corresponding normal distribution. This improved algorithm
         | would get nearly the same result with the original or the
         | augmented data.
         | 
         | In this simple example, we can see and remedy the defect in our
         | estimation algorithm, but with most machine learning methods it
         | is much, much harder to remedy the algorithms' appetite for
         | data. Augmentation is, however, a nice and simple alternative.
         | 
         | A more complex example that isn't as trivial can be seen with
         | the problem of finding a linear classifier for sets of points
         | in the plane. If we don't have a lot of samples, we will often
         | have the problem that there are an infinite number of solutions
         | that will perfectly separate the sets in the training data. We
         | would like a better answer, however, that is likely to work
         | well on data we haven't seen yet.
         | 
         | We have several choices of learning algorithms. One of the
         | simplest is logistic regression, but that often doesn't
         | converge well if the training set is small. We could add
         | regularization and use fancier algorithms like ridge regression
         | or LASSO or support vector methods to get a better result.
         | 
         | OR
         | 
         | We could just add samples that are "pretty near" each of our
         | training examples. With a sufficiently sloppy definition of
         | pretty near or with enough added samples, even the simplest
         | algorithm will give us nice results. If the samples we add are
         | normally distributed around the data, we get something like
         | ridge regression. If the distance of the new samples from the
         | originals are exponentially distributed, we get LASSO.
         | 
         | If I were stuck on a desert island and had to implement
         | regularization for linear classifiers, data augmentation is a
         | pretty straightforward way to do it. For more complicated
         | models or more complicated data, it rapidly becomes a really
         | good approach.
        
         | nighthawk454 wrote:
         | It's more of a regularization method. It can generate a lot of
         | "additional" data that is mostly known to have the same label,
         | which can prevent the model from overfitting to the 1 instance
         | you actually have.
         | 
         | It's most successful with images - where it's really easy to
         | generate significant modifications that are definitely still
         | semantically the same. (Crop, translate, blur, desaturate, ...)
         | How many true labels would you need to learn to be invariant to
         | all that?
        
       | swyx wrote:
       | huge, huge fan of Eugene's blog. he is almost singlehandedly
       | documenting the industry SOTA of dozens of ML efforts in
       | practice, doing the hard work of collating, comparing and
       | contrasting between published posts from various companies. Work
       | that you'd have to do yourself if you were tasked to do something
       | like this, but now you have an authoritative, well
       | researched/argued source. For free. (I mean i guess you could
       | also pay him for extra consulting)
       | 
       | I think every sub-industry needs a Eugene.
        
       | speedgoose wrote:
       | > For example, "Is this nudity?" is more objective than "Is this
       | adult content?"
       | 
       | I know it's only an example, but it's annoying that nudity is
       | such a problem on internet. It's easy to block all nudity but it
       | prevents a lot of non adult content.
        
         | shakna wrote:
         | This is one that annoys me.
         | 
         | There's Ancient Greek style statuary all over my town, penis,
         | vagina and all. It's out in public and very few people care,
         | because it's art, and in appropriate places like the public
         | gardens. Hiding it away, would be an overreaction.
         | 
         | Yet, somehow, seeing naked art, on a private device is somehow
         | a terrible thing.
        
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