[HN Gopher] Apple Makes Major Progress on No-Prick Blood Glucose...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Apple Makes Major Progress on No-Prick Blood Glucose Tracking for
       Its Watch
        
       Author : mfiguiere
       Score  : 191 points
       Date   : 2023-02-22 17:42 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bloomberg.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bloomberg.com)
        
       | ortusdux wrote:
       | Others have demonstrated optical sensors for blood pressure and
       | blood alcohol content. 24/7 monitoring of HR, Resp., glucose, BP,
       | & alcohol will be interesting.
       | 
       | https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/21/12/4076
       | 
       | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99294-w
        
         | v8xi wrote:
         | add sweat ion concentration(s) to the list!
        
           | swamp40 wrote:
           | I'll bet you could heat up the skin to get it to sweat.
        
       | Projectiboga wrote:
       | Frankly I bet there will be be a cure for Type 1 diabetes of some
       | sort before this tech ever materializes.
        
       | onepointsixC wrote:
       | A breakthrough would be well welcome, but I would stress for
       | everyone who reads any potential news about non invasive blood
       | glucose monitoring from a small wearable to be very skeptical. It
       | is an extremely difficult task, one which numerous startups have
       | attempted and failed using Apple's approach of optical absorption
       | spectroscopy. I'd wish anyone working on the project the best of
       | luck, as it would be truly ground breaking if it could work, but
       | I fear that it will take many, many, more years if it's even
       | possible to do so with any real reliability.
        
       | modeless wrote:
       | Any news on the feasibility of continuous blood pressure
       | monitoring? That's the one I'm interested in.
        
         | manv1 wrote:
         | Hmm, there's one that isn't for sale in the US yet:
         | 
         | https://aktiia.com/blood-pressure-monitoring-app
        
       | BrianHenryIE wrote:
       | If anyone has a Dexcom and a jailbroken iPhone, I've written some
       | code for MITMing the Bluetooth messages received, I'd like to
       | test it out.
       | 
       | I did a proof of concept with a Bluetooth scales so this should
       | work. I'll add a README after work:
       | 
       | https://github.com/BrianHenryIE/tweakdexcomg6
        
         | jwoglom wrote:
         | Are you familiar with Loop? I believe they are currently just
         | intercepting the Dexcom notifications rather than connecting
         | directly over BLE by default for the G6/G7. However the xDrip +
         | xDrip4iOS projects have gotten the G5/G6 BLE protocol to a
         | state of being fairly well understood.
        
           | BrianHenryIE wrote:
           | Oh neat. I wrote that bit of code last July and I couldn't
           | find anything then. I'll take a deeper look at this later.
        
         | braingenious wrote:
         | Out of curiosity, why do that? The Dexcom app already has the
         | ability to generate detailed logs that you can just email to
         | yourself. It's actually a very handy feature.
        
       | insane_dreamer wrote:
       | You can see why Dexcom seems to ramping up their marketing now
       | (at least I'm seeing more of their ads where I never saw them
       | before); will be a big blow to them if Apple incorporates it into
       | the watch (unless they're using Dexcom tech inside)
        
         | bedast wrote:
         | They stepped up marketing because the G7 released February 17
         | in the US.
        
         | Alex3917 wrote:
         | > You can see why Dexcom seems to ramping up their marketing
         | now
         | 
         | I'm not convinced this is really going to matter. I'd love to
         | be able to measure how much different foods affect my blood
         | sugar. But because I don't have diabetes and am not at high
         | risk for diabetes (based on my A1C), the Dexcom is absurdly
         | expensive as just a toy to satisfy my curiosity. But if I could
         | buy a $19 thigh strap for my iPhone to do this then I'd jump on
         | that in a heart beat.
        
           | v8xi wrote:
           | For $19 you might be able to get the elastic band, but this
           | is Apple we're talking about...
        
             | epicureanideal wrote:
             | The PR/marketing win of the decade would be to sell this
             | specific feature for cost.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | Do you know whether Apple is planning on making the glucode
           | detection on the watch suitable for patients with diabetes or
           | will it be more of a "non-medical informational" feature.
        
       | lakeshastina wrote:
       | Are there not similar products already in existence? I was
       | looking to buy "FreeStyle Libre" for this very purpose.
        
         | gerash wrote:
         | The device itself is a one time use device that has a this
         | mechanical mechanism to inject a thin needle underneath your
         | skin and lasts for a couple of weeks
        
         | __jf__ wrote:
         | Yep the FreeStyle Libre 2 is great. I bought one a few weeks
         | ago to satisfy my curiosity. I'm a non-diabetic. It was around
         | EUR 70 including shipping and lasted exactly 2 weeks. Sensor
         | insertion was easy, quick and painless. 1-minute resolution
         | with 8 hour memory between swipes. Curiosity satisfied!
        
           | wpietri wrote:
           | Did you learn anything from the 2 weeks of data? E.g., did it
           | inspire dietary changes?
        
             | __jf__ wrote:
             | I was primarily struck by the awesomeness of this whole
             | autonomous glucose regulation thing. My last meal is
             | usually around 18:30 in the evening and during the night
             | glucose would fluctuate around 4.5 mmol/l between 4.0 and
             | 5.0 in 1 hour periods, like a crappy PID controller that
             | needs a firmware update. Other nights it would be flat
             | instead of fluctuating, but unfortunately two weeks were
             | too short for a controlled experiment, meal repeats and
             | figuring out what caused the difference. Some nights it
             | would show a couple of hypo's where glucose would drop to
             | 3.5, quickly to be countered by an increase. I didn't
             | notice a thing.
             | 
             | Additionally every morning before my alarm went off, I
             | could see my glucose increasing, most likely preparing for
             | wakeup, all by itself. Amazing!
             | 
             | It gave me a new-found respect for these otherwise
             | invisible processes happening in this fleshy vessel on
             | autopilot with closed cockpit doors. I only got to peek
             | through a small window during 2 weeks.
        
               | beardface wrote:
               | Now imagine having that entire responsibility yourself,
               | having to do it all manually. That's what we type 1
               | diabetics do every day!
               | 
               | The nighttime fluctuations could be legit changes in
               | glucose level, but could also be weird sensor issues. The
               | sensor will often give low readings when lying on it in
               | your sleep. These are referred to as 'compression lows'.
               | 
               | The morning glucose spike you noticed is called the 'dawn
               | phenomenon'. I inject a little insulin every morning to
               | counteract it.
        
             | notshift wrote:
             | For me, I found that sleep quality was correlated with my
             | blood sugar levels dipping too low during sleep (which I
             | was able to address by eating fewer low quality carbs
             | during the day).
             | 
             | In general you'll be able to basically see in real time the
             | glycemic impact of all the foods you eat. Which would
             | probably be helpful to a lot of people - you can find all
             | the info online, but having the physical real time stats in
             | front of you makes a difference.
             | 
             | But mostly its what you'd expect. High carb, fast digesting
             | meal -> blood sugar spikes, then drops in accordance with
             | you feeling tired afterwards. Eat keto -> blood sugar is
             | mostly stable.
        
             | lozenge wrote:
             | There's a startup that combines a 2 week FreeStyle sensor
             | with some blood tests, online courses and other things
             | aimed at improving your diet.
             | 
             | https://joinzoe.com/
             | 
             | Now that I know how little the sensor costs, I would say
             | that's definitely the better option...
        
           | benguillet wrote:
           | Where did you get one?
        
             | notshift wrote:
             | I think they might have been able to get one because
             | they're in Europe, while in the US it requires a
             | prescription. But you can just find a doctor who will
             | prescribe one for you. (You will still have to pay out of
             | pocket regardless).
             | 
             | Could be wrong on the above but that's been my
             | understanding/experience.
        
             | __jf__ wrote:
             | I ordered directly on Abbott's FreeStyle website.
        
         | sithlord wrote:
         | no, not anywhere close, they are all inserted, and disposable.
        
         | MBCook wrote:
         | Those are actually invasive in that they require something
         | inserted into the skin. It's extremely small and is supposed to
         | be painless, but it's still invasive.
        
       | ubermonkey wrote:
       | I desperately want to make a Theranos joke here, but I'm not sure
       | we should put up with even a tiny drop of that sort of snark.
        
         | Apocryphon wrote:
         | No need to cause bad blood.
        
       | jpolitzki wrote:
       | Any SWEs working in this space. People at Nephra.ai are looking
       | for people to develop for Potassium monitoring.
        
       | boringg wrote:
       | Using microneedles as per competition currently?
        
         | criddell wrote:
         | I don't think that would be called no-prick.
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | Do microneedles count as a prick? I know it sounds like it
           | should but I honestly don't know if the current competition
           | considers themselves to be a prick.
        
       | v8xi wrote:
       | Considering that, despite knowing for decades that pulse oximetry
       | gives inaccurate results for people with darker skin, Covid
       | showed us that we still can't/don't properly account for skin
       | pigmentation during treatment[1]... I am not hopeful that they
       | will be able to solve the challenge of measuring something MUCH
       | more difficult and in a consumer format. Then again, Apple Maps
       | shows us they might just release it anyways...
       | 
       | [1] - https://hms.harvard.edu/news/skin-tone-pulse-oximetry
        
         | lamontcg wrote:
         | > Then again, Apple Maps shows us they might just release it
         | anyways...
         | 
         | Apple Maps has been working entirely fine for me.
         | 
         | For this glucose monitoring the early product that Apple ships
         | will almost certainly be grossly inferior to the product 10-20
         | years later.
         | 
         | I don't understand why this is a problem.
        
         | simondotau wrote:
         | Things like Apple Maps are a special case, where improvement is
         | driven by public exposure. Yes, Apple's maps were full of
         | errors upon initial release, but improvement was fairly rapid
         | (albeit entirely opaque, unlike a typical open source project).
         | 
         | Today, I find that while Waze does the best driving navigation
         | and Google Maps is unbeatable as a modern yellow pages, Apple
         | Maps is equal to or superior in nearly every other way. It's
         | walking and public transport modes are, in my experience,
         | consistently superior to anything else.
        
       | dpflan wrote:
       | Along this topic of Apple Watch, does anyone have a
       | "killer"/"can't live without now"/"actually makes the watch more
       | useful" app they use (other than watchOS defaults)?
        
         | todd3834 wrote:
         | Mostly defaults for me. Music and fitness tracker.
         | 
         | Closest is when I'm trying to do a workout circuit and I don't
         | have my phone I use Seconds.
         | https://apps.apple.com/us/app/seconds-pro-interval-timer/id3...
         | 
         | However I prefer to use Seconds on the phone so I can see the
         | timer without looking at my wrist.
        
         | tehnub wrote:
         | Repeat Timer Pro. It lets me set 25 second timers every 25
         | minutes, for as many intervals as I want. I use it to encourage
         | myself to rest my eyes and stretch my legs for 25 seconds every
         | 25 minutes. It notifies me with just a little vibration. I
         | think it cost $5, but there are probably free apps that do this
         | too.
        
         | threeseed wrote:
         | * AutoSleep - sleep tracking.
         | 
         | * Stocard - gym / loyalty cards.
        
           | ASalazarMX wrote:
           | I tried to use it as a sleep monitor, but you have to plan
           | your charging carefully because it won't last a full day and
           | night on a single charge. Also, despite it knowing I was
           | sleeping, it would randomly vibrate when I received whatsapps
           | during the night, so I needed to remember to put it to sleep
           | before sleeping myself.
           | 
           | Speaking of messaging, I monitored several whatsapp groups,
           | but I don't need to answer all messages. I did that on my PC;
           | if I received a notification in my PC, but didn't interact
           | with it, my phone would ding a few second later, and if I
           | ignored that too, my watch would ding/vibrate a few seconds
           | later. This is probably Meta's implementation, but getting
           | triple notifications made day-to-day a bit more annoying.
           | 
           | I also tried to use it to track exercise, which I usually do
           | at home. I saw no advantages compared to regular timing and
           | counting, and didn't find the gamification of exercise
           | engaging, because I was already doing it.
           | 
           | I got the watch during the pandemic, primarily for the
           | oxymeter and ECG in case I had COVID (which I had). The
           | oxymeter worked well, but the ECG wasn't enabled in my
           | country until late 2022.
           | 
           | Maybe it's become better now, but I sold mine before it
           | became too old. Except for the automatic health monitoring,
           | it made things a bit more of a hassle instead of making them
           | simpler.
        
             | justusthane wrote:
             | Huh. I wore a Series 3 for years (just finally sold it last
             | week) and never had an issue with charging/sleep tracking.
             | I was in the routine of plopping it on the charger for 90
             | min or whatever as soon as I got home from work.
             | 
             | Also, mine would automatically go into "Sleep Focus"
             | (previously "Do Not Disturb") during sleep time, which
             | muted notifications. Not sure why yours wouldn't do that.
        
             | boringg wrote:
             | New watch has multiple days on battery charge + super fast
             | charging. Autosleep is pretty helpful to be honest.
        
             | dwighttk wrote:
             | Re triple notification...
             | 
             | Do you want to get those notifications in all three places
             | in case you only have one of the devices with you? I'd just
             | turn WhatsApp notifications off everywhere but my computer
             | if I were you (if I were me I'd just turn them ALL off ;)
        
               | ASalazarMX wrote:
               | That was kind of my solution, muting all but a couple of
               | critical groups.
        
               | Aloha wrote:
               | The bigger issue I had was it not playing alarms on my
               | iPhone, and allowing me to cancel them from my watch,
               | which I apparently could do in my sleep.
        
         | officeplant wrote:
         | Can't say I've found anything. Even the default apps leave a
         | lot to be desired (like lacking note dictation to Siri on
         | default watch apps)
         | 
         | I like that the watch provides some benefits like sleep
         | tracking + vibrating alarm for a calmer wakeup, and buzzing on
         | my wrist while using maps on silent to remind me a turn is
         | coming.
         | 
         | I can live without the benefits the watch provides. Sometimes I
         | take it off for days because I find wearing watches
         | hurts/annoys my wrists (I had pocket watches until
         | cellphones/PDA's took over for this reason). Although I am
         | amazed that it's more comfortable than other smart
         | watches/fitness bands I've tried to wear in the past.
        
         | jmull wrote:
         | There are multiple apps I "can't live without" but they are all
         | default apps.
         | 
         | (Not really "can't live without" but that, to me, justify the
         | cost of buying and the routine of wearing.)
         | 
         | I do sometimes want to track or do some things in a certain way
         | that the default apps don't... but I can ever seem to find an
         | existing app to do it either. The apps exist but don't work the
         | way I want any better than the built-in ones.
         | 
         | (Since I'm a developer, I sometimes whip up a prototype watch
         | app myself, though I have to admit that while some have proved
         | useful for a while, none have become a killer app for me, no
         | matter how much I thought I wanted it originally. I do like my
         | couch to 5K app.)
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | I can't help but feel there could be a better hiking app out
           | there but I've tried the usual suspects and end up just
           | coming back to the default exercise app.
        
         | bern4444 wrote:
         | My take is the watch is more successful because I don't need
         | any special apps to take full advantage of it.
         | 
         | I love what apple has built around it - health and fitness
         | monitoring primarily but also siri integration (setting
         | reminders, alarms, timers etc).
         | 
         | Generally on the health and fitness aspects the only
         | accessories I find useful are a connected scale and connected
         | blood pressure monitor (both from withings). The data is shared
         | from the withings app to the health app (and I don't let the
         | withings app read any data from health) so I can see that info
         | along with everything else.
         | 
         | I do wish either the health or fitness apps on iPhone had
         | better analytics, data visualization, and comparison tools or
         | made them easier to find. They do have some good ones but it
         | takes more taps than I'd like and I wish there were more
         | breakdowns.
        
           | dpflan wrote:
           | Agree. You're using products from
           | https://www.withings.com/us/en/ ?
        
             | bern4444 wrote:
             | Yup! I have one of their scales and BP Monitors.
             | 
             | Makes it very easy to track this data over the longterm
             | automatically - especially BP which I can then show my
             | doctor at my annual physical of how I'm doing especially
             | since white coat syndrome can affect readings they take.
             | 
             | I find having this data very motivating and I can use it to
             | calibrate my days and weeks.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | voisin wrote:
         | Podcasts via Overcast. Though syncing sucks. I just find the
         | app much better than Apple Podcasts.
         | 
         | What do you think is preventing more development for the watch?
        
           | madeofpalk wrote:
           | APIs and connectivity suck. Apple Watch strongly prefers
           | getting it's internet over bluetooth from your phone rather
           | than faster wifi, so save energy.
        
           | rhinoceraptor wrote:
           | I believe Marco (Overcast creator) said if you disable
           | bluetooth on your phone (likely in settings, not from control
           | center), the watch will stop trying to sync slowly over
           | bluetooth, and switch to wifi.
        
         | seanmcdirmid wrote:
         | Mobile payments. Just tap my watch to the NFC terminal. That
         | alone is worth it, although other phones could do that. Apple
         | key is also useful, just in case I forget my key fob.
        
           | xxs wrote:
           | pretty much any half-decent watch can do that nowadays. I'd
           | not trust a no name brand w/ bank card details but the
           | feature is not exclusive in any way.
        
         | syzarian wrote:
         | I don't like carrying a phone around and have a cellular plan
         | for my watch. For me that is the killer feature.
        
           | pasc1878 wrote:
           | Yes that.
           | 
           | But also nice to allow the watch to act as a wifi hub so that
           | I can if needed carry an iPad if I need to look at things.
        
             | dcdevito wrote:
             | [dead]
        
         | theshrike79 wrote:
         | Cellular calls that actually work are amazing for the watch,
         | especially on vacation. I can call my SO from the pool to bring
         | more bee... sun tan lotion.
         | 
         | I can also use the watch to pay for stuff anywhere. I can go on
         | a jog and reward myself with ice cream half way (stupid: yes,
         | fun: also yes) without needing to carry my phone or wallet with
         | me.
         | 
         | That combined with a list of curated apps that can notify me on
         | the watch help me not check my phone as often. If my watch
         | vibrates it's something I actually need to take action on, and
         | it's easier to quickly glance at it compared to a phone.
        
         | MrFoof wrote:
         | Deliveries. Getting the bong on my wrist that something (and
         | what it was) was dropped off has always been super useful, and
         | it's the exact kind of thing where being interrupted is useful.
        
         | kstrauser wrote:
         | WorkOutDoors is brilliant for offline mapping. I'd used it as a
         | running tracker until very recently when I went back to the
         | builtin Workout app (just because it's simpler and builtin).
         | The builtin Compass app is decent now for setting waypoints and
         | tracking your hikes so you can find your way back. WorkOutDoors
         | is great at both of those, but also allows you to upload maps
         | from your phone so that you still get good trail coverage even
         | when you're out in the middle of nowhere, so long as you've
         | planned ahead a little.
        
           | browningstreet wrote:
           | WorkOutDoors is also my answer to this question. I can
           | provide more controls to my runs and hikes than the native
           | apps. I do heart rate zone running, and can set low and high
           | heart rate alerts. Loading GPX files for hikes is also really
           | handy.
           | 
           | Ping authentication is really nice.. I can leave my phone
           | anywhere in the house and still validate VPN authentication
           | requests.
           | 
           | Wallet -- wrist tap to pay.
           | 
           | These alone would keep the watch on my wrist.
           | 
           | That Google doesn't let me authenticate Gmail app 2FA by
           | phone seems.. silly (does it? have I missed that?).
        
             | officeplant wrote:
             | >That Google doesn't let me authenticate Gmail app 2FA by
             | phone seems.. silly
             | 
             | Do you mean by watch? From what I'm aware google prompt
             | only works in the google/gmail applications for iOS.
        
             | kstrauser wrote:
             | Apple Watch + WOD/Workout + Wallet + Air Prods Pro + Music
             | is go good for runs. I have music, I can say "Hey Siri,
             | remind me to..." when inspiration hits, and I can stop to
             | buy a bottle of water if I want.
        
         | hangonhn wrote:
         | The cellular modem plus Workout app plus Airpods Pro have been
         | amazing for me. I can either talk to my friend while running.
         | He's running in NYC and I'm running in the Bay Area so we do
         | virtual running together. The accountability keeps each other
         | honest. I've been able to consistently run nearly every
         | Saturday for over a year now because of this. I'm a weight
         | weenie when it comes to running and don't want to have to carry
         | my phone with me.
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | The most important thing, for me, is the ability to keep my
         | phone on silent, and to respond to calls.
         | 
         | I've written Watch apps (It's a pain in the ass). I haven't
         | really found a compelling driver for it, though.
         | 
         | That might change, as the hardware improves.
        
         | bjtitus wrote:
         | I could live without, but these are the main non-Apple ones I
         | use everyday:
         | 
         | - SmartGym for tracking reps without my phone.
         | 
         | - Paprika with my grocery list. Much easier to flip over my
         | wrist while pushing a cart than pull a phone out.
         | 
         | - Pocket Casts for selecting podcasts on a dog walk.
         | 
         | Honestly, none are worth buying an Apple Watch for but the
         | notifications & built-in fitness tracking are really the
         | selling points anyway.
        
         | Razengan wrote:
         | I just like wearing a watch that's more than just a watch.
        
         | tullidil wrote:
         | AutoSleep has been invaluable to me. To the best of my
         | knowledge stock watchOS won't track sleep unless you set or
         | schedule the Bedtime mode, which is annoying -I might forget to
         | toggle it each night, or the schedule will kick in when I plan
         | on staying up. AutoSleep automatically detects whenever I go to
         | bed and wake up, along with history/metrics for a flat fee and
         | no subscription.
         | 
         | I don't deeply trust many of the metrics but anecdotally it's
         | very accurate for the amount I'm sleeping, which is mainly what
         | I'm concerned with
        
           | pmarreck wrote:
           | I can second the utility of AutoSleep for sleep sufferers
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | I had a Beddit which was a device made by a company that
           | Apple bought. I find the sleep tracking and general activity
           | tracking at least vaguely interesting. Though if I have a bad
           | night's sleep I know it--sometimes better than the Watch
           | indicates. But the more we can track things and be aware of
           | those things changing, the better I guess. With the Ultra's
           | battery life I have found using the Apple Watch most days and
           | nights a more matter of habit experience.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mydogmuppet wrote:
       | I used the Libre FreeStyle 2 system for 6 weeks. A revelation
       | about diet, especially carbohydrates and blood sugar levels. Not
       | sure it picked up my only Hypo and erratic data capture/loss over
       | the whole period. Unexplained by Abbott. I'm Type 2 self
       | inflicted. I'd like to use but not sure it's value at GBP 1500
       | per annum.
        
       | troydavis wrote:
       | Headline aside, it sounds like the real news is just how
       | difficult this problem is - even for Apple. Back in 2020-2021,
       | the rumor was that a Watch might include Rockley glucose
       | monitoring[1], possibly in 2022-2024. If this article is correct,
       | Apple is nowhere near that:
       | 
       | > Apple's system -- more than 12 years in the making -- is now
       | considered to be at a proof-of-concept stage, said the people,
       | who asked not to be identified because the project is
       | confidential. The company believes the technology is viable but
       | needs to be shrunk down to a more practical size.
       | 
       | > Engineers are working to develop a prototype device about the
       | size of an iPhone that can be strapped to a person's bicep. That
       | would be a significant reduction from an early version of the
       | system that sat atop a table.
       | 
       | ...
       | 
       | > Before shifting to TSMC, Apple had worked with Rockley
       | Photonics Holdings Ltd. to develop the sensors and chip for the
       | technology. In 2021, Rockley publicly disclosed its work with
       | Apple, stoking interest in the supplier. Apple later ended the
       | partnership, and Rockley filed for bankruptcy last month.
       | 
       | [1]: Related conversations:
       | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...
        
         | tpoacher wrote:
         | on the contrary, I wouldn't be too surprised to find that this
         | burst of innovation is happening to coincide with a bunch of
         | patents held and buried by big pharma coming near their
         | expiration period.
         | 
         | up until now there has been zero financial incentive for
         | stakeholders to promote a method of blood glucose measurement
         | which bypasses the need for consumables, and every incentive to
         | prevent such a solution.
        
           | snowwrestler wrote:
           | You can't bury patents, a patent is a public record. That's
           | the whole point of patents: an incentive to disclose your
           | invention.
           | 
           | If we knew how to do this, but valid patents blocked the
           | broader commercialization of it, then we would not be reading
           | stories about breakthroughs in basic implementations. We'd be
           | reading stories about how companies have products ready to go
           | once the countdown timer hits zero.
        
           | MengerSponge wrote:
           | This isn't a 3d-printing type problem where the problem was
           | basically solved twenty years ago but locked behind patent
           | protection. It's really an incredibly hard problem. C8 sold a
           | battery-powered miniaturized Raman spectrometer that strapped
           | to your belly about a decade ago. It was a technological tour
           | de force, but it went under. Battery tech is better, but
           | we're just waiting for some particularly clever team to
           | figure out a different optical stack that is small enough to
           | wear comfortably, delivers enough power to be effective, and
           | is robust enough to wear 24 hours a day.
        
           | joezydeco wrote:
           | It's interesting you mention that because Abbott (maker of
           | the Freestyle sensor) is trying to hire like crazy for a
           | project named Lingo. It's pretty much the same technology
           | that will be offered to _non_ -diabetics to offer health
           | monitoring via blood chemistry.
           | 
           | https://www.fiercebiotech.com/medtech/abbott-ceo-ford-
           | unveil...
        
             | rrrrrrrrrrrryan wrote:
             | This is still an invasive consumable.
        
         | rrrrrrrrrrrryan wrote:
         | > it sounds like the real news is just how difficult this
         | problem is - even for Apple
         | 
         | I've worked in this space for 5 years now, and this is not news
         | to any of us. Today, a tiny, noninvasive device, that is
         | accurate enough to make insulin dosing decisions, is pure
         | science fiction. It's probably not _impossible_ , but we'll
         | literally be able to use stem cells to regrow human pancreases
         | and straight-up cure people of diabetes before this tech
         | becomes a reality. (We're _much_ further along that path.)
         | 
         | What is interesting about this though is the possibility of
         | using this device for non-diabetics who don't need extremely
         | accurate glucose readings. A rough approximation of someone's
         | blood glucose levels is enough to learn how your body reacts to
         | different types of foods and exercise, and would be helpful for
         | amateur athletes who can't afford to purchase real continuous
         | glucose monitors, as well as pre-diabetics for whom CGMs aren't
         | covered by insurance.
        
           | crazygringo wrote:
           | I'm fascinated by the fact that this seems incredibly hard,
           | yet not so impossible that Apple is trying.
           | 
           | Is there an ELI5 of the basic principle of how it would work
           | (or at least the direction being pursued), and what the main
           | obstacle is, and why we think we'll be able to overcome it to
           | _some_ degree?
           | 
           | Besides athletes, I can't help but think it could be a _huge_
           | step forwards for weight loss as well. I 'm aware of the
           | concept (for non-diabetics) of only eating once your blood
           | sugar is below a certain level, and never eating so much that
           | it goes over a certain higher level.
        
             | kamens wrote:
             | Important nuance here is the difference b/w the parent
             | poster's "accurate enough to make insulin dosing decisions"
             | criteria (extremely difficult+risky)
             | 
             | vs
             | 
             | "useful enough signal for general population / those at
             | risk of type 2 diabetes / those with diabetes who don't
             | require insulin treatment / etc" (much larger market for
             | Apple w/ greatly reduced requirements)
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | onepointsixC wrote:
         | I don't think anyone who is in the know would be surprised
         | about that. Noninvasive blood glucose monitoring is a multi
         | billion dollar product, should anyone be able to figure it out
         | at all. It's fiendishly difficult, and quite possibly
         | impossible to do it sufficiently accurately, even more so over
         | long periods of time. C8 MediSensors was trying to do it 10
         | years ago, but ultimately went under. Even with Apple's budget,
         | it's a herculean task.
        
           | akiselev wrote:
           | You're underselling it. Measuring blood at millimoles per
           | liter precision through skin on a watch sized device is
           | Theranos-esque physically impossible product-market fit.
           | Tricoder level of science fiction.
        
             | copperx wrote:
             | I wonder whether there are any shortcuts like ingesting a
             | substance to make the glucose visible by the sensor.
        
               | Cshelton wrote:
               | Bingo.
               | 
               | Noninvasive, with any sort of accuracy that can be used
               | for anything, is most likely impossible.
               | 
               | So back to "invasive"... what can we do... embedding a
               | device under your skin, right around where your watch
               | goes, that can be powered and communicate with the watch.
               | While also making sure the device is not rejected by the
               | body and stays in place.. AND has no other adverse side-
               | effects. I think this is where it'll ultimately end up
               | for the people who want it. sub 10 min procedure to put
               | it in and should last for quite some time (maybe
               | dissolves after 5 years for upgrades?)
        
               | blendo wrote:
               | Add heart rate, blood pressure, and blood oxygen level.
               | Have the Apple Watch call 911 if things go pear-shaped.
               | 
               | Profit.
        
               | Nekhrimah wrote:
               | > Profit.
               | 
               | Well yes, but also substantial life saving interventions
               | become possible.
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | They should profit. That will save millions of lives.
        
               | MengerSponge wrote:
               | Eversense sells something similar to this already:
               | https://www.ascensiadiabetes.com/eversense/
               | 
               | I'd get a tattoo, but I'm not interested in anything that
               | has to be _removed_
        
               | yazaddaruvala wrote:
               | My understanding is this isn't possible because of the
               | size/invasiveness.
               | 
               | We need significantly better power sources that are
               | either have lots of energy capacity, xor some energy
               | capacity and able to charge while inside the body.
               | 
               | Either version they need to be small enough that the
               | procedure is cheap and the body doesn't reject the
               | device. Additionally, anything like this would need to go
               | through regulatory bodies for medical devices, and would
               | not be approved for "healthy people" (i.e. significantly
               | reduced adoption).
               | 
               | Roughly putting us back to non-invasive.
        
             | mortenjorck wrote:
             | The article mentions pre-diabetes screening as a potential
             | application - could that plausibly be accomplished with
             | less precision than is required for a bolus calculation?
        
             | kerpotgh wrote:
             | [dead]
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | I mean, it's the no stick part that's tricky. Small,
             | watchface size glucose monitors that transmit wirelessly
             | exist. They're just...disposable. Wear it for about 14
             | days... stick on another $150 device.
        
               | wpietri wrote:
               | There is also the "invasive" part. If you're talking
               | about CGM devices like Freestyle and Dexcom, they include
               | a probe that pokes through your skin.
        
               | inetsee wrote:
               | I have the Freestyle Libre system. The probe that "pokes
               | through your skin" only happens once every two weeks, and
               | my experience is that inserting a new Freestyle sensor
               | hurts less than the average finger stick blood test.
               | Before I got the Freestyle Libre I was doing finger
               | sticks 4 or more times a day. With the Freestyle Libre I
               | am checking my blood glucose an average of 20 times a
               | day, and if I download the data from the Reader I can see
               | glucose readings every 15 minutes, 24 hours a day.
        
               | Projectiboga wrote:
               | I'm waiting to go back to them, a bit of a juggle to get
               | insurance to pay until the current sensor or maybe
               | transmitter runs out. I got angry at their customer
               | service when I knocked a sensor off, so I tried the
               | Dexacom g6, but their software is insanely bad. On top of
               | that their sensors are only for 10 days which is much
               | more of a scheduling hassle. And after all the pain of
               | their icky software the killing point is they have an
               | unsilenceable "6 hours to sensor expiration" alarm that
               | can and will go off in the middle of the night, unless
               | you actually power down the device or your phone. I hated
               | their device and the phone connected anyways. The
               | Freestyle had much better software with sophisticated
               | graphs showing trends over long time periods to spot
               | typical low and high time periods.
        
               | davidthewatson wrote:
               | Apple has an amazing opportunity given the history of
               | these devices.
               | 
               | Another T1D here with 2 decades direct experience with
               | Medtronic, Tandem, Dexcom, and Abbott. I'm an outlier,
               | but that doesn't make this story less empirical. I've got
               | many years of data to prove it and while I can't match
               | real autonomy's millions-of-points-per-second firehose, I
               | do have years of hundreds of point-per-day.
               | 
               | It's n-of-1 for sure, but one way of looking at that is
               | just that there's a lot of latency on the data gathering,
               | particularly in emerging stories in healthcare where the
               | entire system is weaponized against the truth reaching
               | wide audiences, but I digress. Back to the objective
               | facts vs. the subjective reality.
               | 
               | I'd just like to confirm the findings here in that it's a
               | wicked problem, just like T1D:
               | 
               | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7529400/
               | 
               | The fact that CGM or non-invasive requirements follow
               | suit should be of little surprise to anyone.
               | 
               | It's challenging enough that I wore 2 CGM's concurrently
               | over the past year: Dexcom G6 and Freestyle Libre 2. They
               | both have poor data veracity, particularly at the times
               | that I need them most - when fasting; that would be
               | sleep, and exercise. Both critical periods for any
               | diabetic. I should know because the former put my T1D
               | brother-in-law in an early grave.
               | 
               | I realize that some people have great success with these
               | devices and that's something we should celebrate.
               | However, we should not celebrate the fact that there are
               | legitimate lawsuits against these companies. I've been
               | outspoken about the risks given my family history,
               | exercise, and experience working in medical devices that
               | have a history of injuring patients:
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Therac-25#Problem_descripti
               | on
               | 
               | https://www.11alive.com/article/news/investigations/the-
               | reve...
               | 
               | The amount of time that I spent on the phone with Dexcom
               | support was excessive and frequently at all hours of the
               | night since the problem would present with alarms that
               | cannot be disabled and are able to disable do-not-disturb
               | mode on the smart phone and sound like an alarm system
               | from the Austin Powers series.
               | 
               | That leaves the patient with two choices: tolerance
               | (which is unrealistic at 3 AM) and powering the phone
               | completely off, which silences it while having the side
               | effect that alarms can't save the patient from
               | potentially life-threatening hypoglycemia given that
               | alarms emanating from the Tandem t:slim X2 alone are not
               | sufficiently intense to wake me.
               | 
               | Dexcom has responded to this crisis by following the
               | letter of the law: since I first reported the problem,
               | they have replaced 2-3 dozen sensors under warranty while
               | following the typical corporate communication playbook of
               | not admitting design flaws or any legal culpability while
               | not admitting the rather serious problem of the fact
               | that, when the G6 is used in concert with a hybrid closed
               | loop system such as the Tandem t:slim X2, inaccurate
               | sensor readings on the low side have the potential to
               | underdose the patient, and inaccurate sensor readings on
               | the high side have the potential to overdose the patient.
               | This is because near-autonomous, near-realtime basal rate
               | adjustment is responding to sensor measurement that can
               | often be at odds with reality and not closely monitored
               | at times like sleep and exercise.
               | 
               | This isn't just theory!
               | 
               | I've seen both of these scenarios play out while
               | exercising and sleeping - two events that cannot be
               | precluded, are frighteningly difficult to handle given
               | failures in the aforementioned design of the alarm
               | system, and no one at either Tandem or Dexcom seems to
               | admit, document, or address which is distressing given
               | that these are FDA-regulated devices in markets that
               | aren't Therac 25 but have the potential to end badly in
               | large populations.
               | 
               | I've tried to alleviate the problem by wearing two
               | different CGM sensors concurrently. I wore an Abbott
               | Freestyle Libre 2 from spring through fall 2022 in
               | addition to my Dexcom G6 where I have little choice given
               | the joint venture design chosen by Tandem. That has done
               | little to alleviate the problem since both sensors tend
               | to move in parallel showing the same inaccurate readings
               | in fasted states around sleep and exercise.
               | 
               | Worse, the only evidence I've seen that anyone in the
               | mobile software design side of equation understands the
               | problem is xDrip and the various people working in
               | OpenAPS:
               | 
               | https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=rt1_gOgAAAAJ&hl
               | =en...
               | 
               | https://jamorham.github.io/
               | 
               | I don't believe they are getting the attention, credit,
               | or remuneration they deserve.
               | 
               | I hope that the situation does not turn out like American
               | insulin pricing, where the first person to perish not
               | being able to afford insulin was documented several years
               | ago:
               | 
               | https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/alex-smith-died-
               | couldnt-af...
               | 
               | If we think social media needs regulated, I'm pretty sure
               | what we call healthcare in the United States qualifies
               | for better regulation than that given FDA's lack of
               | oversight.
        
               | efficientsticks wrote:
               | Type 1 diabetic here, they're not close to as invasive as
               | insulin pumps and a lot of people use those. Honestly the
               | real problem with CGMs is they aren't accurate enough,
               | and they bias high - I suspect so they can pretend they
               | eliminate hypos more than they do. (Having said that,
               | CGMs are well worth it even with those drawbacks. They're
               | only invasive on the initial application.)
               | 
               | But I do applaud the team for working on the technology
               | nonetheless.
        
               | fwungy wrote:
               | Any info on how much they're biased?
        
               | TuringNYC wrote:
               | I wouldnt mind a disposable/consumable layer at the
               | bottom of my apple watch that provides CGM capabilities.
               | Apple watches are already way smaller than traditional
               | fashionable watches, and i'm more than happy to wear
               | something bulkier/sportier that has integrated CGM
               | capabilities.
        
               | lern_too_spel wrote:
               | How would you feel about wearing a watch that is stuck in
               | place in order to interface with that consumable bottom
               | layer?
        
           | pavlov wrote:
           | There's a startup named Movano Health trying to build a
           | glucose monitor sensor chip that uses RF energy:
           | 
           | https://www.wareable.com/wearable-tech/movano-ceo-on-its-
           | rf-...
           | 
           | Movano plans to ship an Oura-style smart ring this year, but
           | it won't have the glucose monitor. (One might suspect the
           | "moonshot" glucose RF chip story is meant to keep investors
           | excited through the zero-revenue stage until hopefully the
           | more ordinary smart ring takes off.)
        
         | caycep wrote:
         | Granted, at least they make progress and have actually health
         | products. I had a colleague who left UCSF to work for
         | Verily....we were all quite impressed at the time. But now, I
         | realize I haven't heard heads or tails from him for 4-5 years
         | now...
        
       | bilsbie wrote:
       | I'm more interested in seeing my insulin levels than blood sugar.
       | But I guess that's not happening anytime soon.
        
         | v8xi wrote:
         | Insulin being a protein (which all look ~similar
         | spectroscopically), it is not possible to measure in a no-prick
         | format as you need physical access to it for
         | separation/measurement (e.g. via antibody-like molecule or
         | activity assay)
        
       | lvl102 wrote:
       | I'd not take anything from Bloomberg seriously.
        
         | Me1000 wrote:
         | Mark Gurman is an incredible reporter who has covered Apple for
         | years and has many inside scoops and sources. I couldn't say
         | one thing or another about the publication, but anything Mark
         | writes I take seriously.
        
       | krmbzds wrote:
       | https://archive.is/NmPhf
        
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