[HN Gopher] Australians scour desert for dangerous radioactive c...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Australians scour desert for dangerous radioactive capsule smaller
       than a penny
        
       Author : latchkey
       Score  : 133 points
       Date   : 2023-01-28 18:57 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | apatheticonion wrote:
       | Related but off topic question. Why isn't radiation used for food
       | preservation?
        
       | JoeAltmaier wrote:
       | Curious. I would expect something that seems so threatening, has
       | such a tiny effect on the environment that it can't even be
       | detected. Something not adding up.
        
         | phyzome wrote:
         | This is the nature of highly radioactive materials. Walk past
         | it? No problem. Walk on the crushed capsule, brush your hand
         | against the bottom of your shoe, eat a sandwich? Die horribly.
        
           | JoeAltmaier wrote:
           | Hyperbole.                  "the equivalent of 10 X-rays in
           | an hour"
           | 
           | So no, walk on it and you would never know. Nobody dies, not
           | without carrying it around for days. Then they get burns.
           | 
           | It's important to understand the numbers - and the magnitude
           | of this radiation source is concerning but not dire.
        
             | colanderman wrote:
             | > crushed capsule
             | 
             | is key here -- leading to ingestion, which is much more
             | dangerous than brief proximity: https://en.wikipedia.org/wi
             | ki/Committed_dose#Physical_factor...
        
             | dkjaudyeqooe wrote:
             | "An hour of exposure at about a meter away is the
             | equivalent of having 10 X-rays, and prolonged contact can
             | cause skin burns, acute radiation sickness and cancer, they
             | said."
             | 
             | Ingesting is of course a completely different story and
             | will indeed kill you horribly.
        
         | Ankaios wrote:
         | If you dropped a Cs-137 source of this scale way out in the
         | middle of nowhere, far away from any road or crops, it might
         | not be a big deal. The half life is only 30 years, and it could
         | get buried under soil or in silt. However, losing it near
         | civilization isn't good. (Even sparsely settled areas.) It's a
         | shiny metal object, and if it's in a gas station, hotel, or
         | restaurant parking lot, some kid could easily find it. Plus,
         | gamma sources are relatively easy to detect, which should help
         | the search.
         | 
         | If the military lost a hand grenade on a similar road trip, I'm
         | sure people would want to find it, and this source is at least
         | as dangerous.
        
         | genmon wrote:
         | Because it's enormously dangerous to stand a meter from, and
         | people near it won't even know (eg it could have been picked up
         | in a tyre tread so someone is carrying it around), but
         | radiation and therefore ability detect drops according to the
         | inverse square law so it will be hard to find from much further
         | away. And Australia is big.
        
           | JoeAltmaier wrote:
           | Again, hyperbole.                  "the equivalent of 10
           | X-rays in an hour"
           | 
           | People routinely get exposed to that during their normal job.
           | An x-ray is a fraction of a year's natural exposure from the
           | sun. Airline pilots experience this radiation in a few months
           | at work.
           | 
           | The numbers matter. This instance, the device hardly matters.
           | Not as much as a national news report anyway. We'd be better
           | off reading about pay disparity or access to health care.
        
             | dalmo3 wrote:
             | > People routinely get exposed to that during their normal
             | job.
             | 
             | What jobs you're referring to? Your examples cite years and
             | months but the quoted sentence states "in an hour."
        
             | testplzignore wrote:
             | To back up your point: If "X-ray" is a chest x-ray, then
             | per https://xkcd.com/radiation/ this would be equivalent to
             | one-tenth of a head CT scan, which are routinely done
             | without consideration to any increased risk of cancer.
             | 
             | If the goal is to minimize loss of life, I think there are
             | far better things that time could be spent on than looking
             | for this thing. People are bad at thinking about
             | opportunity cost.
        
             | roywiggins wrote:
             | It's all sort-of fine until someone brings it home and
             | sticks it on a shelf and thereby kills their entire family.
             | Walking around with this in your pocket will kill you
             | eventually.
             | 
             | This sort of thing has happened before with loose
             | radioactive sources.
        
         | throwanem wrote:
         | Cs-137 is dangerous to animals (including humans) in close
         | proximity, precisely because of the gamma radiation it emits.
         | But, like any radiative emission, the power density drops off
         | with the inverse square of distance from the source, which
         | makes it detectable well beyond any range at which it poses a
         | hazard. Think of stadium lights: if you stand five feet in
         | front of one, it will blind you, while from a mile away, it's
         | harmless but you still can see it. With gamma radiation you
         | need a detector (ie a Geiger counter), and with an at the
         | moment presumably unshielded Cs-137 source, a reasonably
         | sensitive detector will indeed pick it up at some distance. So,
         | at worst, if you put enough people in trucks with Geiger
         | counters along the same route the original truck followed,
         | sooner or later you will find the lost source.
         | 
         | That said, this method while effective may take some time, and
         | the major concern here may not be so much the direct radiation
         | emission from the intact source, as the possibility of damage
         | leading to dispersal of its contents. In the Goiania incident
         | of 1987 [1], scrappers removed a Cs-137 source from an
         | improperly decommissioned radiotherapy machine and broke it
         | open, dispersing the loose isotope material it contained in
         | ignorance of the danger it posed. Several people died, others
         | were badly injured, and at least one house and a lot of soil
         | had to be removed for disposal. If this lost Australian source
         | is similar in design to that one, warning people about it while
         | looking for it is an eminently sensible public safety measure.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goiania_accident
        
         | throwaway89201 wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | JoeAltmaier wrote:
           | Not my question at all.
           | 
           | How can it be so deadly/radioactive, yet so hard to detect?
           | 
           | Further, asking questions is indeed the point of these
           | discussions. Re-reading the standards I see no prohibition.
           | 
           | And reading that reference article, the loss it cites was
           | 19Tb (19 trillion bequerels). This lost capsule in Australia
           | contains less than 100. So around what? 10 billion times less
           | dangerous?
           | 
           | Thanks for the reference material, now I'm more sure than
           | ever that this article is some kind of clickbait about a
           | fairly miniscule risk being trumpeted as a national incident.
        
             | cjbgkagh wrote:
             | I think it's more about a failure of process than this
             | particular piece of radioactive material. Being
             | proportionally cavalier about it would invite lazier
             | handling. The next piece of radioactive material could be
             | more dangerous. The mining company will be sent the bill
             | and police get to practice a real life scenario. And
             | everyone knows don't do that again.
        
             | magicalhippo wrote:
             | > How can it be so deadly/radioactive, yet so hard to
             | detect?
             | 
             | First, it's important to keep in mind that there are
             | different forms of radiation: ionizing[1] which is
             | dangerous and non-ionizing which is not typically
             | dangerous[2]. Furthermore, ionizing radiation consists of
             | three types, alpha, beta and gamma which have different
             | properties and thus dangerous in different ways and
             | amounts.
             | 
             | The source in question contained cesium-137, which decays
             | almost entirely (95%) by emitting beta particles. The beta
             | particles are stopped by about 1 meter of air[3], but can
             | do significant damage to living cells if nearby.
             | 
             | Thus, trying to detect it is a bit like trying to see a
             | bright flashlight in a fog. Even though it's bright you
             | won't see it until you're really close.
             | 
             | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ionizing_radiation
             | 
             | [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-ionizing_radiation
             | 
             | [3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beta_particle
        
           | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
           | _> You are only asking questions, I understand. Please don't
           | do that here [1]._
           | 
           | Where in the HN rules is it forbidding to ask questions?
        
             | gnad_sucks wrote:
             | > Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing,
             | shilling, bots, brigading, foreign agents and the like.
             | 
             | I think he's referring to this. Indeed, there's nothing
             | wrong with asking questions. I imagine that "you're only
             | asking questions" is a reference to an usual technique of
             | conspiracy theorists of pretending they're just asking
             | questions to defend against being called out on baseless
             | accusations. "Are they putting something in the water
             | that's making the frogs gay? I'm just asking questions".
             | 
             | We don't know the intent here, but I agree with him that
             | "something doesn't add up" _could_ be an insinuation of
             | conspiracy theory, and so against the guidelines.
        
               | 13of40 wrote:
               | I read that as "don't accuse other HN users of being
               | shills" not "you can't say this news article seems a
               | little suspect".
        
               | gnad_sucks wrote:
               | I agree the two are different in some respects; at the
               | same time I think the idea that baseless insinuations
               | undermine the conversation works just as well towards
               | news articles as towards HN users.
        
               | LarryMullins wrote:
               | That rule bans exactly what he's doing, accusing people
               | of "just asking questions" in the derogatory sense.
        
               | aww_dang wrote:
               | I'm amazed at the gymnastics possible with such an
               | innocuous phrase. It is almost perverse. Imagine trying
               | to parse this out starting from a position of good faith.
        
               | gnad_sucks wrote:
               | You think I'm not in good faith - that's fine.
               | 
               | But surely you have to concede that "I'm just asking
               | questions" make it really easy to insinuate without
               | directly stating, yes?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | galleywest200 wrote:
         | This also happened in Ukraine. The capsule was lost in a gravel
         | pit and ended up being built into the wall of an apartment and
         | several people died as a result.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kramatorsk_radiological_accide...
        
           | JoeAltmaier wrote:
           | Not really a regionally significant nuclear accident then.
           | About the same as a gas leak?
        
             | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
             | A gas leak will either blow you up or kills you quicker and
             | can be identified and fixed quickly but radiation kills you
             | slowly, making identification of the cause very tricky for
             | authorities.
        
               | dehrmann wrote:
               | Remember this? 8 deaths. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sa
               | n_Bruno_pipeline_explosion
        
               | DonHopkins wrote:
               | Or you end up raising a family of mutants.
        
               | dehrmann wrote:
               | /goes to eat a Rio Red grapefruit.
        
             | aqme28 wrote:
             | "A few people here may die" is a relatively serious nuclear
             | accident. Worse than three-mile island at least.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | I don't disagree. But I wonder if the cost to recovering
               | this pellet would save more lives spent in another way.
        
               | dsfyu404ed wrote:
               | A few grand to dig it out of a wall? A few hundo to slap
               | some lead shielding over it (it is an X-ray source after
               | all)?
               | 
               | In any case the primary expense is going to be one of
               | paying off all the people to get the right approvals.
               | Crunching the numbers on how to safely rectify it and
               | actually going through those actions will be dirt cheap
               | compared to getting someone with the "right credentials"
               | to tell the government, the insurers and whoever else
               | that your obvious solution any highschooler can crunch
               | the numbers on is in fact acceptable
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | I think finding it is the expensive part.
        
               | dsfyu404ed wrote:
               | It pretty much broadcasts its location if you wave the
               | right instrumentation around.
        
               | Symbiote wrote:
               | You "just" need to wave that instrument over 1400km of
               | highway, potentially with a 100m+ width if the capsule
               | has been kicked some distance away by a truck tyre.
        
               | dsfyu404ed wrote:
               | I was talking about the "gets concreted into a wall"
               | case.
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | I'm trying to imagine the scale of this. I guess it
               | depends on how close you have to be to pick up the
               | signal. And how many false signals there might be.
        
               | sebastien_b wrote:
               | Did you work at Ford as an executive during the Pinto
               | era?
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | It seems the pinto narrative was framed in way to make it
               | look worse but compared to other cars of similar type it
               | wasn't all that bad[1]. This exaggerated narrative
               | despite vindicating data is perpetuated in biz ethics.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.hemmings.com/stories/2017/10/17/misunders
               | tood-ca...
        
               | dsfyu404ed wrote:
               | Yup. The lesson to be learned once you dig into it is "if
               | you're doing some industry standard thing that someone
               | could ever potentially portray as seedy definitely don't
               | document it".
        
               | Waterluvian wrote:
               | I insist they are safe at any speed so long as you keep
               | their gas tanks empty!
        
             | throwanem wrote:
             | Not to rehash my other comment, but depending on the nature
             | of the source it might become regionally significant if
             | somebody screws up bad enough.
        
       | barbazoo wrote:
       | It's gonna be in the last place they look.
        
         | euroderf wrote:
         | (*) by definition
        
         | dalmo3 wrote:
         | Nice try, but I've looked inside yesterday's pants' pockets and
         | it's not there.
        
         | kbutler wrote:
         | Probably not, as they will likely have multiple groups looking
         | and some degree of delayed notification.
         | 
         | Especially if they prank one group by not telling them. :-D
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | Also, to avoid accidents, it's strongly advised to avoid the
         | last ski run of the day.
        
       | jfk13 wrote:
       | Australia: the country where not only the wildlife but even the
       | gravel on the road is out to kill you!
        
         | AlbertCory wrote:
         | Best reply on this thread.
         | 
         | Everything in Australia kills you or at least causes horrible
         | pain. Even that cute platypus or that harmless-looking shell on
         | the beach.
         | 
         | And now this.
        
           | anakaine wrote:
           | No moose, bears, wolves, cougars, or other alpha predators in
           | Australia though. About the worst are wild dogs / dingos,
           | though they typically won't be a problem unless they're in a
           | pack.
           | 
           | I'll take Australian dangers over North American every day of
           | the week.
        
             | bogeholm wrote:
             | They do have the saltwater crocodile[0], which looks close
             | to alpha. Maybe unless it encounters an orca.
             | 
             | I bet is has a great name in Australia - any Ozzies around
             | who can comment?
             | 
             | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saltwater_crocodile
        
               | dragonsky wrote:
               | Only if you are stupid enough to go near the water in
               | areas they live.
               | 
               | Unfortunately plenty of drunk campers have a habit of
               | doing this.
        
               | zh3 wrote:
               | "Salties"
        
             | AlbertCory wrote:
             | I've been there three times. How about you?
             | 
             | Those megafauna in North America are pretty hard for a
             | human to encounter accidentally. As opposed to these:
             | 
             | https://www.australiangeographic.com.au/topics/wildlife/201
             | 3...
        
             | rukuu001 wrote:
             | Hello, Australian here.
             | 
             | Yes, for 85% of the country, risk is small.
             | 
             | Crocodiles are the only major danger, and they're isolated
             | to the far north of the country.
             | 
             | But they are truly terrifying, in that they are silent and
             | invisible in the water, intelligent, and capable of
             | watching a human for days to learn their routine and plan
             | an ambush.
        
               | AlbertCory wrote:
               | I was in Cairns & a little north of there for a bit.
               | Certainly never went all the way to Cape York.
               | 
               | Although I did go on a kayaking expedition to Dunk
               | Island, where there were only four 2-person kayaks,
               | unusually high waves, and my boat-mate asked, "Are we
               | going to sink?" Obviously we didn't.
               | 
               | Of course this is all for laughs, but some HN'ers are
               | incapable of that.
        
           | nineteen999 wrote:
           | Fortunately, over 85% of us live in the cities, due to much
           | of the rest of the country where most of the dangerous shit
           | is being mostly uninhabitable anyway. The further south you
           | live the safer you are generally speaking. Where I live (far
           | south) the most dangerous creature you're going to run into
           | in the city is probably a redback spider, which is related to
           | a black widow, and there hasn't been a confirmed death from
           | one of those in over 40 years. Or a brown snake, but I don't
           | think I've even seen one in the wild, although I know an area
           | close by where they are reported to live.
           | 
           | This capsule has been lost in one of the most remote,
           | uninhabitated parts of the country.
           | 
           | The dangers of living in Australia are vastly overblown ...
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | Some relevant-looking thing I found on Google:
       | 
       | - _" 9. SEARCHING FOR RADIOACTIVE OBJECTS"_
       | 
       | - _" The first part of this section describes three different
       | airborne surveys that successfully located lost radioactive
       | sources. The three incidents were quite different in nature and
       | provide useful information should similar accidents occur in the
       | future. Section 9 concludes with a discussion showing how to
       | estimate the count rate which would be observed by AGRS from a
       | radioactive source. These results can be used to plan searches
       | for lost radioactive sources."_
       | 
       | - _" 9.1. RECOVERY OF A LOST 60CO SOURCE"_
       | 
       | - _" 9.2. LOCATING THE LOST ATHENA MISSILE"_
       | 
       | - _" 9.3. COSMOS-954 INCIDENT"_
       | 
       | https://inis.iaea.org/collection/NCLCollectionStore/_Public/... (
       | _" Airborne Gamma Ray Spectrometer Surveying_", 1991)
       | 
       | Their first incident is basically identical to this one:
       | 
       | - _" On 21 June 1968, a 325 mCi 60Co source3 was lost in transit
       | somewhere between Salt Lake City, Utah, and Kansas City,
       | Missouri, a distance of 1800 km._"
        
         | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
         | > 9.2. LOCATING THE LOST ATHENA MISSILE"
         | 
         | Where can I read more about this? How does one lose a missile?
        
           | lantry wrote:
           | A test fire went way off course
           | 
           | https://wsmrmuseum.com/2021/11/10/in-1970-an-athena-
           | missile-...
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | epaulson wrote:
       | The article didn't really explain the original purpose of the
       | now-missing capsule, other than it was part of a sensor used in a
       | mine. Can anyone explain a bit more what the original purpose of
       | the sensor it was part of was? What did the mine need a bit of
       | radiation to measure?
        
         | seized wrote:
         | Not sure if the mine in question does this, but there are X-Ray
         | sensors that can go on the excavator buckets to measure ore
         | content on each scoop. I'm sure there are other methods eg on
         | conveyors as well.
        
         | martyvis wrote:
         | We used radiation sources and detectors at the steelworks for
         | thickness gauge - you set them on either side of the plate and
         | measure the lost and from that calculate the steel thickness
         | very accurately. I presume in a mine it could be used say on a
         | conveyor belt where you measure the lost radiation to help
         | determine the density or weight of the ore.
        
           | CyberDildonics wrote:
           | That's just an xray with a single pixel
        
       | EGreg wrote:
       | Come on, what are the chances people will spend 10 minutes next
       | to the thing? It will just be lying out in the desert somewhere,
       | and maybe some animals might wander by for 2 minutes.
       | 
       | Of course, on the off chance someone does find it and pick it up,
       | and then bring it into a town, etc. it can be bad. But I thought
       | that, in Australia, most of that desert road is basically
       | desolate for decades, except for cars coming by occasionally.
       | Perhaps when they do road work, however...
        
       | BetterGeiger wrote:
       | Radiation detection is my specialty. This source is Cs-137, few
       | hundred mCi. It's easy to detect within a few seconds at
       | distances of a few tens of meters or more with professional
       | detection equipment if there is direct line of sight.
       | 
       | If it was knocked off the road, though, the question will be if
       | it fell into a crack or other such place because then the
       | radiation is somewhat shielded and it would take much more
       | measuring time to identify it.
       | 
       | I suspect if a few passes with vehicle-mounted detectors don't
       | find it then some drones with detectors traveling along the sides
       | of the road would be a good next step. If a critter moved it or
       | ate it then it's probably gone forever. At a distance of 1 meter
       | the dose rate from that source is already not extremely hazardous
       | unless a person were exposed for an extended period of time (like
       | a full day or two). Getting closer, like putting it directly
       | against your torso, would mean serious health effects in a matter
       | of minutes.
        
         | sn9 wrote:
         | This is an interesting algorithm problem.
         | 
         | Given the parameters to maximize detection and minimize
         | time/resources, how would you direct a drone or something to
         | find the capsule?
         | 
         | How would that change with 2 drones? 4? 8? As many drones as
         | there are flyable Geiger counters in the country?
        
         | pxmpxm wrote:
         | User name checks out ...
        
       | simple10 wrote:
       | Adafruit sells a geiger counter kit. It's been on my list of
       | things to tinker with for scanning living and work environments
       | for potential hazards. Just for fun. I'm curious if anyone here
       | has ever found high levels of radiation while playing around with
       | geiger counters?
       | 
       | https://www.adafruit.com/product/483
        
         | donatj wrote:
         | I have had an old Geiger counter in my office for a number of
         | years my dad gave me he got in a crate of junk he purchased.
         | Best I can tell it doesn't work, I've tried bananas and the
         | like. I've always had a mild fear that the thing itself might
         | be radioactive.
        
           | mkl wrote:
           | _People_ are more radioactive than bananas [1], so that 's
           | probably not too surprising. DrAwdeOccarim's sibling comment
           | to yours mentions you can buy rocks to test with.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.sciencefocus.com/science/how-many-bananas-
           | would-...
        
         | DrAwdeOccarim wrote:
         | I have one, it works, but I really want to connect it to a pi
         | for data logging and visualization but I don't have the time to
         | code it up. If you go down this road, please let me know if you
         | wind up finding a good open source project for managing the
         | data! You can purchase rocks off ebay that have some
         | radioactivity, which I use to show my kids how radiation works
         | much to the chagrin of my spouse : )
        
       | fnands wrote:
       | Oh, reminds me a of a time some students lost a Polonium source
       | in the physics lab while I was a Masters student. The HoD had
       | them crawling around the building for days with a Geiger counter,
       | but they never found it.
       | 
       | Luckily it was a small source and Polonium has a relatively short
       | half-life, but the department had to go through a whole song and
       | dance of declaring an incident.
        
         | todd8 wrote:
         | According to Wikipedia, Polonium is 5000 times more radioactive
         | than Radium (just 0.001g of Po emits the same number of
         | particles as 5g of Ra).
         | 
         | It has a half life of just 138 days so in only 4.6 years the
         | missing Polonium will be equivalent in radioactivity to Radium,
         | which is known to cause cancer. This doesn't sound like
         | something that should be treated lightly.
        
           | agoose77 wrote:
           | The important question is how much of a sample was lost.
           | Ultimately, AIUI, the health risk depends upon the exposure
           | in a ~ linear fashion. At least, in radiological protection
           | that's used. The LNT model errs on the side of caution;
           | assume that _any_ exposure is harmful, linearly extrapolating
           | from the high dosages seen in Hiroshima, etc, where we have
           | data of the impact of exposure on the body. In reality, we
           | expect a threshold effect as the body is able to repair some
           | damage.
           | 
           | The dose of radiation has different meanings; absorbed,
           | equivalent, effective. These are just different calculations,
           | starting from how much energy the body received (absorbed),
           | to taking into account the different kinds of radiation whose
           | effects differ (equivalent), to where in the body the dose as
           | received (different organs at different risk, effective).
           | 
           | The half-life of 210Po is 138 days, so it's ~10x less active
           | than 223Ra. That's meaningless with respect to the health
           | risk, though; the activity of the sample is ultimately
           | selected by its intended use. Most samples are sized
           | according to the dose requirements. At least, that's my
           | understanding (physics, not medical). In general we don't
           | want to over-size a source as there are greater regulations.
           | Similarly, we don't want sources to become useless too
           | quickly.
           | 
           | In any case, this is definitely bad -- 5000x less activity is
           | not good if it's greater than the lethal dose. Because
           | radioactive sources are so small, the risk is not likely to
           | be distributed; you get the whole dose, or nothing.*
           | 
           | * Unless it gets dispersed somehow.
           | 
           | Dose: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equivalent_dose#/media/Fi
           | le:SI... LNT:
           | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2663584/
        
             | fnands wrote:
             | Yes, it was a tiny source, and luckily emits alpha
             | particles which are easy stop by even small amounts of
             | material.
             | 
             | > * Unless it gets dispersed somehow.
             | 
             | Exactly, the real worry was that it would get crushed and
             | would be breathed in, in which case it would be a real
             | problem.
             | 
             | But even so, the school had to file a report with the
             | nuclear regulator iirc. Lot of paperwork.
        
           | cshimmin wrote:
           | Sure but all that means is that 1g of radium will have the
           | same activity as 0.2mg of polonium. Of course they will also
           | have different decay spectra etc. We don't know how big the
           | source was that the students lost, but I'm guessing that if
           | they just gave up after a few days, it probably wasn't a very
           | high activity. This means either very low mass, or a higher
           | mass but just older so that it's decayed away.
        
             | fnands wrote:
             | It was tiny, I think something like this:
             | https://www.flinnsci.com/alpha-source-polonium-210/ap8794/
             | 
             | They were letting undergrads handle it, so definitely
             | wasn't a large source.
             | 
             | Also, hey Chase! Funny to see you in the wild (Ferdi here)
        
           | tgsovlerkhgsel wrote:
           | "Small" is likely meant relative to the material. So a
           | "small" Polonium source and a "small" Radium source would
           | typically refer to a Polonium source having orders of
           | magnitude less material, but a similar radiation level.
        
           | el_benhameen wrote:
           | I found a polonium-loaded anti-static brush for photography
           | in a box from my parents' attic. Scared the shit out of me at
           | first. Called the hazardous waste folks and had a fun chat
           | with a perplexed employee. We finally decided that, as it was
           | from the 70's, it had long since decayed into harmlessness
           | and was fine to throw away.
        
             | kibwen wrote:
             | How did you realize it once contained polonium?
        
               | el_benhameen wrote:
               | It had a big label on it that said "DANGER: POLONIUM. DO
               | NOT INGEST"!
        
               | bogeholm wrote:
               | A reasonable basis for the polonium hypothesis
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | If only Alexander Litvinenko had such a warning...
        
             | beeforpork wrote:
             | Applied Science youtube channel uses this and explains it a
             | bit:
             | 
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZBHIp967TD8
        
             | krasin wrote:
             | > polonium-loaded anti-static brush for photography
             | 
             | At first, I was very surprised to hear it's a thing, but
             | apparently it is and one can buy for just $170:
             | 
             | https://amstat.com/products/anti-static-brush-with-
             | ionizing-...
        
         | causality0 wrote:
         | Sounds like either someone thought it would be cool to take it
         | home or accidentally dropped it in a trash can that was taken
         | out before it was missed.
        
       | cloudking wrote:
       | Interview question: can you design a system to safely locate and
       | retrieve the capsule?
        
         | DrZootron wrote:
         | These systems exist. To name a couple:
         | 
         | https://www.arktis-detectors.com/products/
         | 
         | https://www.ansto.gov.au/products/detection-and-imaging-cori...
        
           | cloudking wrote:
           | Neat, a fleet of those drones working in coordination might
           | be able locate it.
        
         | evrydayhustling wrote:
         | I'm kind of surprised that something this radioactive isn't
         | pretty easy to hone in on with a good Geiger counter. Someone
         | with better physics want to enlighten me about ranges and
         | sensitivity?
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | You wouldn't use a Geiger counter, you'd want to use a gamma
           | ray spectrometer. For example, a sodium iodide crystal doped
           | with thallium (acting as a scintillator, connected to a
           | photon detector) or semiconductor detector (large crystal of
           | Si, Ge, or other materials, preferably of high atomic
           | number.)
           | 
           | The Geiger counter is filled with gas and will not
           | effectively interact with gamma ray photons; the solid state
           | detectors interact much more strongly with them, and
           | (particularly the semiconductor detectors) have very good
           | energy resolution, to spot the particular energy of photons
           | from this particular radioisotope.
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | One of these? https://georesults.com.au/product/radiation-
             | solutions-rs-125...
             | 
             | Or maybe even
             | https://georesults.com.au/product/rs-350-backpack-human-
             | port...
             | 
             | I imagine they are both rather expensive.
        
               | car wrote:
               | Radiascan makes an affordable scintillation counter, the
               | RadiaCode 101.
               | 
               | https://radiascan.com/
               | 
               | A good intro to what it can be used for:
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1UZdLVlBXg
        
               | skissane wrote:
               | Link to their actual product page:
               | https://radiascan.com/products/detector-of-ionising-
               | radiatio...
        
           | remus wrote:
           | I guess it's one of those things where the intensity of the
           | radiation is proportional to 1/d^2.
           | 
           | If you're holding it in your hand it emits enough radiation
           | to be very unhealthy, but as soon as you put some distance
           | between you and it then it becomes very hard to detect.
        
             | MengerSponge wrote:
             | That's why it's still lost. Cs-137 has a clear gamma
             | emmision spectrum (which is to say it glows a unique color
             | of high-energy photons), so you can scan and pick it up
             | with a scintillation detector.
             | 
             | Unfortunately, Cs-137 is one of the bits of waste generated
             | as fallout from nuclear testing, and its half-life is 30
             | years, so ambient levels are generally not identically
             | zero.
        
         | thomasmg wrote:
         | I don't know if something like that would help, but in
         | Switzerland there are annual measurement flights (with a
         | helicopter): https://blog.alertswiss.ch/en/categories/focp-
         | news/annual-ne...
         | 
         | Part of this seems to be (sometimes?) to find radioactive
         | sources: "The goal of this part of the exercise was to find two
         | radioactive sources which, for training purposes, had been
         | placed somewhere in an area of about 2,500 km2"
        
           | dividuum wrote:
           | I like how they don't mention the result of that exercise. I
           | guess they didn't find it?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | throwanem wrote:
         | Do you want it to scale horizontally, vertically, or both?
        
           | cloudking wrote:
           | It could be stuck in a tree, so probably both.
        
             | throwanem wrote:
             | Dang it, I wish I didn't have real architecture design work
             | to do today, because this seems like it'd be a lot of fun
             | to research.
             | 
             | Pure horizontal scaling would be trucks with survey
             | counters. Pure vertical would be getting the US to retask
             | one of those radiation-sensing satellites they use to
             | characterize stuff like the Urals trace. (Not that that'd
             | be likely to happen - national security, etc. But have the
             | embassy in DC call NASA anyway, just in case they do have
             | something.) Both would be GA aircraft doing a broad survey
             | while trucks retrace the route. In any case the logistics
             | would be critical, and speed as ever would be costly - good
             | thing we have government-scale resources to work with.
             | 
             | And, yes, the system in this case would be implemented on a
             | human substrate, not a silicon one. This isn't Chernobyl;
             | we don't _need_ robots to do this job, the problem is of
             | limited enough scope to be safely handled by properly
             | trained and equipped humans - finding whom would be an
             | early logistical concern. (The surveyors would be safe
             | enough barring a forced landing or breakdown very near the
             | source, which is unlikely but we still want to get rescue
             | services on standby, or hire a couple of civil helicopters
             | from the oil industry or similar, for fast recovery just in
             | case.) And for a one-off job like this that needs to be
             | done as fast as possible, there isn 't _time_ to design,
             | build, and debug robots that can do it.
        
               | perihelions wrote:
               | - _" Pure vertical would be getting the US to retask one
               | of those radiation-sensing satellites they use to
               | characterize stuff like the Urals trace."_
               | 
               | That's an extraordinary thing to mention in passing; do
               | you have a source for this?
        
               | krisoft wrote:
               | > The surveyors would be safe enough barring a forced
               | landing or breakdown very near the source
               | 
               | Weird assumption. Forced landings anywhere are unsafe.
               | They are also very rare, because aircraft are quite
               | reliable. The chances of the surveyors having a forced
               | landing near the capsule must be minuscule (tiny danger
               | zone compared to the extent of full search area, small
               | probability of an aircraft having a forced landing at
               | all).
               | 
               | If you are counting such minuscule dangers then you are
               | ignoring much bigger (but still relatively small) dangers
               | to the surveyors: they might trip during the survey, they
               | might get into a traffic accident as they search or their
               | aircraft might crash injuring them (irrespective of
               | distance from the source). They might have a wildlife
               | encounter as they are verifying a signal (false or true
               | positive). They might suffer from heat stroke, or get
               | sunburnt.
               | 
               | My intuition says that if you send out teams of people
               | scurrying around the countryside these listed dangers are
               | all more likely than having a forced landing right on top
               | of the source. I also assume that you ignored them
               | because they are all "everyday risks", and you had tunnel
               | vision concentrating on the radiation hazard.
        
               | throwanem wrote:
               | Great catch, and you're right: lots of things can go
               | wrong in a desert whether there's radiation involved or
               | not, so we'd have needed those helicopters either way.
               | This is why we work in teams - don't be shy about
               | anything else you see me missing.
        
               | krisoft wrote:
               | > don't be shy about anything else you see me missing
               | 
               | I would think we need to clarify the theoretical and
               | practical limits of the detectors.
               | 
               | Depending on how the sensors work the search might look
               | very different.
               | 
               | If you can get some expensive lab gear and distinguish
               | the radiation of this source from the background from
               | hundreds of kilometers then you only need to measure at a
               | few strategic locations to triangulate it.
               | 
               | If you need to get a sensor within ten meters from the
               | source before it can be detected then you need to lug the
               | sensor around on the ground. That would be too low for a
               | manned aircraft to fly at.
               | 
               | How fast does the sensor detect? If the sensor can detect
               | up to 100 meters but need 5 second to measure that will
               | make the search much different than if it can measure
               | with 500hz for the same distance.
               | 
               | Do we think we can sense only the source or also the
               | places the source has been at? Does it leave a detectable
               | trace?
               | 
               | What of these is hard limit by physics (nobody, for no
               | amount of money can build a better detector) vs limit of
               | resources (it would be very expensive to do x)? If it is
               | a limit of resources how does detector quality scales
               | with resources spent?
               | 
               | Without having solid answers to these it would be foolish
               | to jump at designing a search method.
        
       | erentz wrote:
       | This is really weird. FTA: "These gauges are designed to be
       | robust and to be used in industrial settings where they may be
       | exposed to weather and vibration," Dr. Robertson said at a news
       | conference on Saturday, "so it is unusual for a gauge to come
       | apart like this one has."
       | 
       | See also this [1] article with a picture of an example gauge.
       | Again making the point that this is really weird: "Radiation
       | Services WA general manager Lauren Steen said it was a "highly
       | unlikely" scenario, due to the safety measures typically in place
       | for the transit of radioactive materials."
       | 
       | New material for a future Plainly Difficult episode once the
       | investigation is complete.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-01-28/radioactive-
       | capsule-s...
        
         | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
         | It was probably tampered with.
        
         | LatteLazy wrote:
         | Thanks. I was confused why the NYT didn't include a picture of
         | it for public safety if for no other reason...
        
         | mach1ne wrote:
         | Is there any chance it was theft?
        
       | latchkey wrote:
       | https://archive.is/5uUGC
        
       | geor9e wrote:
       | In some multiverse timeline, Apple launched an iPhone with a
       | geiger counter built in for this very reason. Instead of
       | crowdsourced Aigtag triangulation, it triangulates these
       | capsules.
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | They should issue a nationwide announcement for people to check
       | their tires for the lodged capsule.
        
       | propter_hoc wrote:
       | Really scary. For those unaware of how badly this kind of
       | situation can end up, read about the horrific Goiania incident in
       | Brazil.
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goi%C3%A2nia_accident
        
         | fblp wrote:
         | That story is crazy. Thanks for sharing!
        
           | csdvrx wrote:
           | The best part is how the person responsible for the problem
           | (the director of Ipasgo) could redirect the blame to the
           | owners who tried to prevent the catastrophy doing everything
           | they could - he stopped them to do the right things with the
           | help of cops:
           | 
           | > Four months before the theft, on May 4, 1987, Saura
           | Taniguti, then director of Ipasgo, the institute of insurance
           | for civil servants, used police force to prevent one of the
           | owners of IGR, Carlos Figueiredo Bezerril, from removing the
           | radioactive material that had been left behind.[7] Figueiredo
           | then warned the president of Ipasgo, Licio Teixeira Borges,
           | that he should take responsibility "for what would happen
           | with the caesium bomb".[7] The Court of Goias posted a
           | security guard to protect the site.[8] Meanwhile, the owners
           | of IGR wrote several letters to the National Nuclear Energy
           | Commission (CNEN), warning them about the danger of keeping a
           | teletherapy unit at an abandoned site, but they could not
           | remove the equipment by themselves once a court order
           | prevented them from doing so.[7][8]
           | 
           | > In light of the deaths caused, the three doctors who had
           | owned and operated IGR were charged with criminal negligence.
           | Because the accidents occurred before the promulgation of the
           | Federal Constitution of 1988 and because the substance was
           | acquired by the clinic and not by the individual owners, the
           | court could not declare the owners of IGR liable. One of
           | IGR's owners and the clinic's physicist were ordered to pay
           | R$100,000 for the derelict condition of the building. The two
           | thieves were not included as defendants in the public civil
           | suit.
        
             | bonzini wrote:
             | The owners also had left it there for two years. They
             | weren't without blame either.
        
         | jhallenworld wrote:
         | Also a close call in Mexico. In this case, they were trying to
         | dispose of the source properly, but the truck was held up and
         | stolen along the way:
         | 
         | https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2013/12/04/248737662...
        
           | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
           | > An estimated 300 curies of radioactive cobalt found their
           | way to the two Mexican foundries, one of which manufactured
           | metal table legs for shipment to the largest distributor of
           | restaurant tables in the U.S., while the other produced steel
           | rods used in the reinforcement of concrete building projects.
           | About 600 tons of the contaminated steel were shipped to the
           | U.S. from December 1983 to January 1984."
           | 
           | How much is 300 curies?
        
             | bonzini wrote:
             | 300 Ci is 11 TBq (terabecquerel), or 11*10^12 decays per
             | second. Co-60 has a half life of 166 million seconds, so it
             | was 11*166*10^18/ln 2 atoms=2.6*10^21 atoms, which is 0.004
             | moles (a mole is 6.02*10^23 atoms).
             | 
             | A mole of cobalt 60 weighs 60 g, so it was a quarter of a
             | gram if I did the calculations right.
             | 
             | The ln 2 factor is because the probability of a decay
             | happening in a second is ln 2 divided by the half life.
        
             | solstice wrote:
             | About 303 g according to the table in
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curie_(unit)
        
               | bonzini wrote:
               | 883 mg/Ci * 300 Ci is less than a gram.
        
         | smcl wrote:
         | There's a good Well There's Your Problem episode about this, if
         | people would rather see a video about it:
         | https://youtu.be/34rdxDgpaaA
        
           | sacrosancty wrote:
           | [dead]
        
         | sensitivefrost wrote:
         | At least Western Australia is incredibly underpopulated and
         | remote.
        
       | leaving wrote:
       | This is mostly a data analysis job.
       | 
       | If the capsule is on or very near the road, a single trip from
       | start to finish with a NaI(Tl) or CsI scintillation counter will
       | find it. Every CBRN team in the world has these, so they have
       | obviously completed the first run at this without finding it. The
       | capsule is not on or near the road.
       | 
       | Australia is famous for road trains on the Great Northen Highway.
       | They travel fast and heavy on the paved road that runs through
       | the outback. If the tires of one of those hit the capsule, they
       | could fling it a fair distance into the desert. There's nothing
       | between the road and the sandy desert to stop it.
       | 
       | If the capsule is a fair distance off the road, the inverse
       | square law is going to reduce gamma detections closer to
       | background. There won't be a clear peak in the data. If the
       | vehicle with the detector moves slowly, there will be a wide peak
       | in the time dimension that may just look like a natural variation
       | in the background. If the vehicle moves fast, it may miss the
       | source completely.
       | 
       | It will be a matter of looking at the data to try to find a
       | pattern that indicates where the capsule may be. This will be
       | made more difficult becuase they don't likely have a pre-capsule-
       | loss run that would allow them to subtract normal variations of
       | the background.
       | 
       | Adding to the problem is the stochastic nature of radiation. It
       | is entirely possible to have a significant peak in the count
       | rates that is not a strong point source; just a random variation
       | in the background. Lower peaks from random confluence of
       | background sources are likely; higher peaks are less likely, but
       | not impossible. It may require a large number of runs to
       | eliminate random events.
       | 
       | Real vehicles on real roads experience a lot of variations in
       | speed, plus random starts and stops because the driver had to
       | pee, or eat, or because there was a dead kangaroo on the road or
       | something. A fair bit of work will need to be done to standardize
       | multiple runs.
       | 
       | This can be partly solved by using multiple detectors on the same
       | vehicle, with the idea being that peaks that are the result of
       | natural variations in the background should only affect one
       | detector at a time--so they can be subtracted out. But, again,
       | CBRN teams have enough resources that they have already done this
       | and they haven't found it.
       | 
       | So it is reasonable to conclude that the capsule is either quite
       | far off the road, or has been picked up by a passing vehicle.
       | 
       | Another possibility is that the idea that it "fell off a truck"
       | is wrong and that some human grabbed it by dissasembling the
       | apparatus. This could be out of curiosity, or ignorance, or a
       | misguided attempt to steal the source or use it for nefarious
       | purposes.
       | 
       | If that is the case, the capsule is going to be nearly impossible
       | to find unless it happens to pass a fixed gamma detector
       | somewhere, such as a port.
       | 
       | The incident is a good argument for building scintillation
       | crystals into all cellphones. This would be cheap and easy. Small
       | scintillators are not very sensitive, and they are not great for
       | spectroscopy, but they are extremely cool, very small, don't
       | interfere with the workings of the phone, and use extremely
       | little power.
       | 
       | A network of scintillators in every phone would be amazing for
       | finding stuff like this.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | You comment is fantastic because it demonstrates we are beyond
         | finding it with a rolling road block and sensors on trucks.
         | This is a recovery operation where you're going to want
         | surveillance for when someone shows up somewhere (medical care
         | provider) with radiation sickness and to start contact tracing.
         | If a human has it in their possession, exposure is ongoing. If
         | it's sitting in a ditch somewhere, maybe it's years before it's
         | found, maybe it's never found (and perhaps buried if and when a
         | torrential rain passes through the area, typically in the
         | upcoming winter months).
        
         | plantain wrote:
         | >If the capsule is on or very near the road, a single trip from
         | start to finish with a NaI(Tl) or CsI scintillation counter
         | will find it. Every CBRN team in the world has these, so they
         | have obviously completed the first run at this without finding
         | it. The capsule is not on or near the road.
         | 
         | It was reported in the national news within 12 hours of being
         | found lost, so I don't think they had done that yet, especially
         | given the distance.
        
         | car wrote:
         | _A network of scintillators in every phone would be amazing for
         | finding stuff like this._
         | 
         | That was my first thought too. Do you think it's physically
         | possible to make a MEMS scintiallation device?
        
           | qwezxcrty wrote:
           | Although some weird Japanese phone makers did have
           | smartphones with radiation detector built-in (SHARP 107sh and
           | 205sh), I don't think it would be a popular feature.
           | 
           | There isn't so many cases in daily life that one can
           | encounter a radioactive source. Even if you are actively
           | looking for one (don't do it), you will have a hard time if
           | you don't work with radioactive sources occupationally.
           | 
           | Also, it's not physically possible to create a small and yet
           | sensitive radiation detector.
        
           | MengerSponge wrote:
           | No. MEMS means electromechanical, and scintillation needs
           | solid state: a crystal and a photon detector of some kind.
           | The crystal can't be miniaturized because there's a minimum
           | thickness you need to capture the photon and Compton
           | electrons*.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | There are radiation detection apps for cell phones that use
           | the camera. Not very sensitive, but no new hardware is
           | required.
        
       | karaterobot wrote:
       | > They believe that vibrations from the truck caused the sensor
       | to shake apart and also dislodged a mounting bolt, leaving a hole
       | in the bottom of the box. The capsule is believed to have fallen
       | out of the sensor, through the bolt-hole, onto the surface of the
       | truck, and bounced off into the road.
       | 
       | I have a bag of locking washers I would be more than happy to
       | donate if it makes this kind of thing less likely to happen in
       | the future. In the mean time, good luck.
        
         | mindcrime wrote:
         | For something like this, I'd think you would want some red
         | Loctite as well!
         | 
         | https://www.loctiteproducts.com/en/products/specialty-produc...
        
         | toss1 wrote:
         | These Nord-Lock washers [0] are excellent for that purpose. Do
         | NOT use common split-washers, throw them away -- they can
         | actually speed the unlocking & loss of a nut.
         | 
         | (No relation, just a satisfied customer after finding they work
         | well after being strongly recommended by a racecar engineer I
         | know)
         | 
         | [0] https://www.nord-lock.com/nord-lock/
        
       | yummybear wrote:
       | I really thought someone (US?) had technology (satellites) that
       | could pinpoint radiation sources, even of this magnitude
        
         | geor9e wrote:
         | I had the same thought briefly, but then thought more about it.
         | These are high energy particles. You might remember the article
         | about cosmic rays that sometimes cause a single bit flip in a
         | videogame, and that there is no easy way to shield against it.
         | That makes satellite imaging difficult, because how do you
         | focus some sort of lens, if the particles go right thru
         | everything? You might detect that a cosmic ray or ionizing
         | particle hit the satellite, but not where it came from. The
         | sun? Australia? Space? Plus, think about particle accelerator
         | images and cloud chambers. They are individual streaks. They
         | aren't gradients the way normal light would create an image.
         | So, the farther away you are, the less likely these particles
         | will hit you. If you attached a geiger counter to a hot air
         | balloon, starting from this radioactive capsule, you'd hear
         | rapid clicks, then infrequent clicks, then no clicks, then the
         | clicks would increase due to cosmic rays. If directional geiger
         | counters existed, I feel like people would have been using
         | those instead of what they currently use. So, I doubt satellite
         | nuclear radiation imaging exists.
         | 
         | I looked up Fukushima satellite maps, and they all say they are
         | fluid simulations based on ground sensor data.
        
           | roywiggins wrote:
           | There are gamma-ray detectors that can determine direction:
           | 
           | > The LAT detects gamma rays by using Einstein's famous E =
           | mc2 equation in a technique known as pair production. When a
           | gamma ray, which is pure energy, slams into a layer of
           | tungsten in the detector, it can create a pair of subatomic
           | particles (an electron and its antimatter counterpart, a
           | positron). The direction of the incoming gamma ray is
           | determined by projecting the direction of these particles
           | back to their source using several layers of high-precision
           | silicon tracking detectors.
           | 
           | https://fermi.gsfc.nasa.gov/
           | 
           | https://www.nasa.gov/pdf/221503main_GLAST-041508.pdf
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | That technique doesn't work on Earth; the atmosphere's too
         | thick to pass gamma rays (in either direction). An atmospheric
         | column has the mass of a ~10 meter column of water.
         | 
         | It's pretty effective on other planetoids, though:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_Prospector?useskin=vecto...
        
       | mytailorisrich wrote:
       | With sd cards, USB sticks, etc. I have concluded that anything
       | very valuable should be made big enough so that its presence or
       | absence is unmissable.
       | 
       | Maybe this capsule was kept in a bigger container, maybe not. In
       | any case, if they are so dangerous, IMHO every capsule should be
       | kept in its own large container individually tracked. Hell,
       | nowadays you could cheaply fit a container with its own GPS
       | tracker and eliminate risks of loss altogether.
        
       | campuscodi wrote:
       | A dingo will eat it, transform into Fenrir, and that's how
       | Ragnarok starts
        
         | gtvwill wrote:
         | Nah they've shot and trapped most dingos over that side. They
         | don't recognise them as native animals so they allow
         | eradication. its sad af :( they rare as over west.
        
         | number6 wrote:
         | And soon the world will cease to be.
         | 
         | The northern wind brings snow and ice Humans starve and freeze
         | The Fimbul winter has arrived And soon the world will cease to
         | be Brother will be brother's bane No one shall be spared All
         | will die, none remain That is mankind's share
         | 
         | The southern sphere is set ablaze Muspel's fire is set free The
         | sun is on its final chase And soon the world will cease to be
         | 
         | Across the western sky he runs A wolf so grim and mean Devours
         | the eternal sun And soon the world will cease to be
        
       | dheera wrote:
       | For something that radioactive wouldn't it be easy to find by
       | just driving the highway with a Geiger counter? It should be
       | about 100 times easier to find than a lost FedEx package.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Here's what gauge sources like this look like.[1] Here are some
       | packed for shipping. bolted to a crate, as described in the NY
       | Times article.[2] The locks are $8 Master Lock combination
       | padlocks, probably just to keep people from opening the things by
       | accident. The lock looks optional on the model in [2].
       | 
       | The lock is on the shutter end, anyway. The cover plate that
       | gives access to the source for replacement is secured by four
       | security-type Torx screws. No sign of anything like aircraft
       | safety wires to prevent the screws loosening. That cover plate
       | looks like the weak point here.
       | 
       | The wooden crate shown is "Type A" packaging, which is rated for
       | "conditions normally encountered during transportation".[3]
       | Doesn't even have to be fully watertight, just spray-resistant.
       | Not super tough, just strong enough to stack 5 high. That's all
       | that the IAEA requires.
       | 
       | So you can see how a few hundred miles on a flatbed truck on a
       | bumpy road could cause this accident. Especially on a decade old
       | source. These gauge sources need a new radiation source every
       | 10-15 years, so shipping them back for source replacement is
       | routine.
       | 
       | IAEA overview of such gauges.[4]
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.advgauging.com/product/berthold-7440-d-cr-500-mc...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.qsa-global.com/industrial-cs-137-gamma-sources
       | 
       | [3]
       | https://inis.iaea.org/collection/NCLCollectionStore/_Public/...
       | 
       | [4]
       | https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2014/04/f14/rmem2_0....
        
         | jl6 wrote:
         | Wow, I thought maybe these devices were available only through
         | some kind of secure government channel, but nope, "Add to cart"
         | right there.
         | 
         | I guess at least they have this footnote: "Note: Users must be
         | licensed to possess them before they can be purchased."
        
           | userbinator wrote:
           | You can always request to purchase one, but I doubt they'll
           | just ship it without checking who you are first.
        
       | mlazos wrote:
       | COMB THE DESERT!
       | 
       | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hD5eqBDPMDg
        
       | doubleunplussed wrote:
       | Manifold market on whether the capsule will be found:
       | 
       | https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-the-radioacti...
        
       | bayesianbot wrote:
       | https://archive.is/9oNiT
        
       | karmakaze wrote:
       | Here's a story about a lost capsule[0] that ended up being made
       | into building material for the wall of an apartment if you think
       | something small isn't worth being concerned about.
       | 
       | [0]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kramatorsk_radiological_accide...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | The equipment to detect high levels of radiation is very cheap.
         | 
         | Likewise the equipment to detect lead... And hundreds of other
         | deadly pollutants.
         | 
         | Part of owning a house should involve getting it tested,
         | perhaps once per 10 years, for all these contaminants. They
         | might have been put in during construction - or it might be
         | arsenic in the wood of your bed... Or a mixing mistake while
         | making the plastic for your toothbrush handle... Or that
         | mercury lightbulb someone smashed 50 years ago is still soaking
         | through the foundations...
         | 
         | A simple test of the dust your vacuum cleaner picks up would
         | detect most of the most hazardous stuff.
         | 
         | However contamination got into your house, there should be a
         | government scheme to test for it, and possibly to remediate it
         | too (environmental contamination can be seriously expensive to
         | fix, and the last thing you want to happen is someone to hide
         | it from an inspector and sell the house on to someone else)
        
           | dsauss wrote:
           | Are there testing services you've used before or would
           | recommend to perform the testing? There does not seem to be a
           | major brand or service provider offering this. Thank you!
        
             | im3w1l wrote:
             | Yeah it sounds amazing in theory, but none of us have the
             | time to figure that out. It's just way too complicated. It
             | needs to be dumbed down so that you contact one single
             | company, they send a guy over with a bunch of kits and
             | translates it into an easily understandable how-fucked-are-
             | you score, with upsells for improving your score.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
             | Not a direct answer, but there are lead testing kits on
             | Amazon. You mail a tap water sample to a lab. The "kit" is
             | not much more than a vial and prepaid shipping label on a
             | small box.
        
           | sacrosancty wrote:
           | As long as people understand what's a safe level of
           | contamination. There was a problem in New Zealand a few years
           | ago when somebody misread a document describing the level of
           | meth residue that should remain after cleaning up a meth lab
           | and as a result, a whole little meth testing industry popped
           | up and people were selling their houses cheap because of very
           | light contamination being detected. Even an elderly lady in a
           | state house was kicked out because her grandson had smoked
           | meth while visiting. Turned out, that threshold was much
           | lower than the actual safe level for the initial
           | contamination and all these people were screwed over.
        
           | throwaway6734 wrote:
           | Most Americans would still choose not to do this because any
           | knowledge of a positive lead test means that you need to
           | report it when you sell your house which might effect resale
           | value.
           | 
           | The large majority (>90%) of houses built before 1940 have
           | lead paint in them somewhere and lead paint wasn't banned
           | until 1970 in the US so many older houses still have lead
           | paint somewhere
        
             | Gigachad wrote:
             | Presumably if you care about testing for lead, you'd also
             | care enough to have it dealt with while you are living
             | there.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | riffic wrote:
         | this seems to happen quite frequently according to a linked
         | article about orphan sources.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_orphan_source_incident...
        
           | derbOac wrote:
           | Stuff like that is frightening to me because they're known
           | incidents. I wonder if there's a way to estimate the number
           | of unknown ones.
        
       | micromacrofoot wrote:
       | I don't really buy the "fell off a truck" story, will be very
       | surprised if they find this before it gives someone cancer... and
       | if whoever took it knows what they're doing, it will never be
       | found.
        
         | pantry-man wrote:
         | What motive would someone have to do this? Seems like a
         | baseless conspiracy theory
        
           | xwdv wrote:
           | It'd be very useful. Imagine having a weapon capable of
           | killing someone off covertly. You could keep the capsule in a
           | lead box, and whenever you want to get rid of an enemy, put
           | the capsule somewhere close to where they sleep, and leave it
           | there long enough to induce radiation sickness or cancer in
           | the target. Then you could retrieve the capsule and continue
           | this process with another enemy.
        
       | eigenhombre wrote:
       | I worked in cosmic rays for a time and there is some overlap
       | between the challenge of finding the capsule, and common
       | astroparticle physics problems.
       | 
       | > The capsule, which contains a small amount of cesium-137, is
       | dangerously radioactive, according to the authorities. An hour of
       | exposure at about a meter away is the equivalent of having 10
       | X-rays, and prolonged contact can cause skin burns, acute
       | radiation sickness and cancer, they said.
       | 
       | I'd think this should be enough information to calculate the size
       | (which the authorities should know, but we probably don't), and
       | from the size the total beta and gamma flux should be calculable.
       | Once the fluxes are understood, I imagine that could tell you how
       | fast/slow you could/should drive on the highway to have a good
       | chance of detection (I imagine the penetrating gamma signal would
       | give better odds), for any given detector, assuming some maximum
       | distance of the capsule from the highway.
       | 
       | Interesting problem, I hope they pick it up before someone gets
       | hurt.
        
         | kibwen wrote:
         | We know the dimensions of the capsule, there's a video where
         | someone 3D-printed a replica and it's about the dimensions of a
         | medicine capsule, though slightly squatter. Think lego-head
         | sized.
        
         | 4gotunameagain wrote:
         | but if it fell on a ditch on the side of the highway, the
         | attenuation by the asphalt would be quite significant, even if
         | the original max distance assumption was quite exaggerated.
         | Interesting problem indeed !
        
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