[HN Gopher] EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 161 points
       Date   : 2023-01-25 11:35 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | jononomo wrote:
       | When the Ford F-150 Lightning came out I was interested to learn
       | that the battery was powerful enough to power a standard American
       | house for over two days.
       | 
       | This made me wonder why new houses don't come with a battery
       | built in, thereby making power outages obsolete. A battery that
       | could withstand a 48-hour power outage without the occupants even
       | realizing anything had happened seems like it would give the
       | power grid a lot more flexibility and could be a real lifesaver
       | in the case of natural disasters and other emergency situations.
       | 
       | Adding a battery would probably add $10k to the cost of a house,
       | but for a home that costs $400,000, that is only 2.5% of the
       | price. A smaller battery that just provided 12 hours of power
       | might only cost $3k.
       | 
       | I'd be interested to hear from knowledgeable people what the
       | downsides to this idea are. I suppose the battery might degrade
       | over time, and it is likely it would go for several years at a
       | time without being called upon.
        
         | ccheney wrote:
         | I'm curious to see what comes of V2G tech and other home
         | battery systems. I know that Panasonic[1] & Enphase[2] have
         | their own systems rolling out. Adding these systems to new home
         | builds makes a lot of sense to me in the interest of future-
         | proofing.
         | 
         | Here's an interesting example where a new housing development
         | in Las Vegas built all the houses with battery storage as well
         | as solar generation for the entire neighborhood[3]
         | 
         | [1] https://na.panasonic.com/us/energy-solutions/battery-
         | storage...
         | 
         | [2] https://enphase.com/store/storage/iq-battery-10
         | 
         | [3] https://electrek.co/2022/12/08/tesla-neighborhood-
         | launches-p...
        
       | locallost wrote:
       | It's a well known fact that cars stay parked for over 90% of the
       | time, so this idea has been floating around for a while. The wear
       | and tear issue is only a concern if nothing changes in the way we
       | currently charge for electricity, e.g. a fixed price that gets
       | adjusted from time to time. But I don't think we will -- even
       | today we have more and more providers that charge with prices
       | fluctuating hourly to reflect wholesale market prices. Thus if
       | you can charge dirt cheap and sell it later for a large multiple
       | more, you have a big incentive to do that. With the rise of
       | renewables that basically looks unstoppable this will become a
       | reality a lot quicker than I think a lot of people anticipate.
        
       | manholio wrote:
       | This is never going to happen at scale. Energy is fungible: one
       | cannot compete on "quality" of energy, just on price, a kWh is a
       | kWh and the provider with the cheapest energy will always win in
       | the marketplace. So this means any EV owner looking to make a
       | profit is competing against large scale industrial storage
       | entities that:
       | 
       | - have large mass and purchasing power, optimizing their battery
       | purchasing and operational costs;
       | 
       | - have grid-scale storage oriented solutions tuned for maximum
       | charging cycles and lifetime-storage
       | 
       | - use stationary batteries with no mass penalties, affording them
       | the use of low density exotic chemistries (Na-ion) or non-battery
       | storage systems.
       | 
       | Meanwhile, the EV owner has a mobility-optimized battery that is
       | tuned for maximum density that still results in a cycle count
       | comparable with the lifetime of the car. At market equilibrium,
       | any revenue he extracts while serving the grid will reduce the
       | useful life time of the battery and therefore depreciate his
       | capital, and make his battery a "spare parts consumable" which is
       | a major profit driver for most auto-manufacturers, especially a
       | custom form factor battery for a 5 year old vehicle that is no
       | longer sold.
       | 
       | Never mind that the whole operational cost, changing the meter to
       | a bidirectional one, making sure the vehicle is connected for
       | extended periods of time etc. is probably not going to be worth
       | the pennies you will earn.
       | 
       | Grid storage is EVs is a decade old pipe dream, it will never
       | make sense economically, it has been attempted multiple times and
       | always failed, just let it die.
        
         | DeRock wrote:
         | My electricity cost currently is split around 1/3 generation
         | (~10C//kWh) and 2/3 distribution (~20C//kWh). If the power from
         | this scheme can avoid most of the costly distribution, eg. I
         | use it directly in my house and neighborhood, then it's an
         | economic win. This would be true even if the centralized
         | generation was free.
        
           | manholio wrote:
           | It can't, because the distribution fee is an amortized cost
           | of having distribution infrastructure built. Since that
           | infrastructure still needs to exist regardless of where you
           | get your energy (and in fact needs to be upgraded to handle
           | bidirectional consumer/producers), EV storage won't bypass it
           | regardless of where the EV and the consumer is physically
           | located.
           | 
           | If you consume what you store, then you will charge up at low
           | (production prices + distribution fees) for the times when
           | (production prices + distribution fees) are high. The second
           | term is constant so you are arbitraging on production prices.
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | > Energy is fungible: one cannot compete on "quality" of
         | energy, just on price
         | 
         | It is fungible, but prices can vary according to limitations on
         | supply. If the big company's capacity is maxed out and demand
         | continues to increase, energy already acquired at lower cost
         | and stored in the car can be sold for profit.
        
           | manholio wrote:
           | But if that limitation is repetitive to the point of
           | investing in infrastructure to use EVs, then some other
           | large-scale investor will close that arbitrage opportunity.
           | 
           | Basically, the next-day / week energy markets, where EV
           | owners can compete, will be saturated by grid-scale battery
           | operators. Renewables will leave large gaps for seasonal
           | energy needs - for example two weeks of winter with no sun
           | and no wind - but EVs cannot help there. So some spin on-
           | demand non-renewables will need to cover that (i.e., the
           | current main providers, after becoming too expensive to run
           | due to carbon pricing).
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | It'll always be some marginal utility - the main purpose of
             | the EV will always to be a car. You can use it to store
             | energy purchased at non-peak hours so you can avoid using
             | the grid at those times, something that'll probably raise
             | peak prices, because if you need the energy right then, you
             | _really_ need it.
             | 
             | So, EV owners may use their cars to help reducing their
             | energy costs and supplementing their PVs and fixed
             | batteries (if any), but shouldn't expect a car to pay for
             | itself like that.
        
               | manholio wrote:
               | But you will not use it if the depreciation on your car
               | vastly exceeds what you could earn from the scheme.
        
             | 1234letshaveatw wrote:
             | I see, renewables will only leave gaps that fit your
             | argument. You don't see any scenario where there could be
             | brownouts during the day, say in the summer when AC usage
             | is high?
             | 
             | And no, using cars for grid-scale storage has not been
             | tried multiple times. The technology has never been
             | available/feasible at a large scale before.
        
               | manholio wrote:
               | There is an economic case being made above that explains
               | why, you might want to try and follow that and respond on
               | point instead of mindlessly nitpicking.
               | 
               | There exist large scale trials for this idea, you never
               | heard of them because (aside from the fact you are
               | arguing on a subject you know little about) they failed
               | or are barely limping along.
        
       | throwawaaarrgh wrote:
       | > Before long, there will be more EV battery capacity than the
       | grid can use
       | 
       | yes, but because nobody is deploying V2G at high density housing,
       | and also because the grid doesn't have the capacity
        
       | ZeroGravitas wrote:
       | The original report is more like "we're going to have grid scale
       | storage as a side-benefit of EV rollout", which this headline
       | kind of twists.
       | 
       | More importantly, they'll be grid scale responsive demand.
       | They're basically internet connected batteries so they can charge
       | whenever suits the grid best.
       | 
       | The UK has been explicitly planning for this as a way to enable
       | the further roll out of renewebales for about a decade so it's
       | hardly news. The new bit is someone doing some sums and putting
       | numbers on it with recent estimates.
        
       | Maxion wrote:
       | Unless the $/kwh or lifecycle count of EV batteries change
       | significantly, using them as a grid-scale storage is just not
       | financially feasible.
       | 
       | E.g. a NMC battery has a lifespan of around ~2000 cycles, a model
       | S 90 D has a 90 kWh battery. That's around 180 MWh of total
       | energy that can be moved through the battery before it is dead.
       | 
       | On Reddit, a tesla user reports
       | (https://www.reddit.com/r/teslamotors/comments/v4dqkp/19000_n...)
       | it costing him 19 000 USD to replace a 90kWh battery in his model
       | s.
       | 
       | This means that the replacement cost of the battery for the owner
       | costs ~ 106 USD per MWh hour, which is more than most generation
       | sources (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_sou
       | rce#...). In other words, it's cheaper to build and run a natural
       | gas power plant than to pay EV owners for the grid-scale storage
       | capacity from the NMC batteries in their cars.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | Battery lifespan in 'cycles' is kinda simplifying things too
         | much.
         | 
         | Most batteries, if charged and discharged slowly, in the right
         | temperature range, and while keeping the charge between 40 and
         | 60% capacity, get far higher lifetime than the advertised
         | 'cycles' number.
         | 
         | The damage and degradation happens mostly near 0%, near 100%,
         | when charging/discharging fast, and when excessively cold or
         | hot.
         | 
         | Cell balancing becomes less important when you're not nearly
         | full or empty, and balancing wastes quite a lot of energy -
         | making the battery more efficient when used between 40-60% too.
        
         | AtlasBarfed wrote:
         | - Read up on LFP. their cycle counts are far higher. and newer
         | high density stuff is coming to market that competes with NMC
         | chemistries from just a few years ago, and they are safer and
         | more stable chemically, so less safety systems, so any density
         | difference gets made up at the pack level
         | 
         | - replacement battery costs will probably drop a LOT in the
         | next ten years. that quoted cost is $200/kWh, but Tesla is at
         | $100/kWh (possibly less). That is a hell of a markup, probably
         | reflects battery supply prioritization to new cars (Tesla gets
         | more money if you buy a new Tesla rather than keep an old one
         | running). So lets not treat this as some permanent condition.
         | Sodium Ion batteries should stabilize at somewhere around
         | $50/kWh I would guess, especially if they can get them close to
         | 200 wh/kg, which is on the roadmap. And in 5-10 years there
         | will be some solid state, sodium-sulfur, or lithium-sulfur
         | battery that is even cheaper.
         | 
         | - Gas turbines still externalize their carbon emissions aka
         | they don't pay for them. When will that madness change? Who
         | knows. Another example of false economics. The only way I see
         | gas turbines as a good thing is if it keeps the oil wells from
         | burning off their excess methane for absolutely no benefit.
         | 
         | Maybe you are some astroturfer or not, but it is really
         | frustrating talking about energy policy over the next 5-10
         | years and counterarguments are:
         | 
         | - this guy for this car got charged this price this one time
         | anecdote that you know perfectly well is not representative of
         | future costs and availability
         | 
         | - dude, lets burn more fossil fuels, it's "cheaper", which you
         | know it really isn't
         | 
         | - let's talk about essentially outmoded chemistries and their
         | problems, and ignore both current ones and ones that are
         | scaling up production
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | > 106 USD per MWh hour, which is more than most generation
         | sources
         | 
         | Minute by minute electricity prices vary really widely. It
         | isn't unusual for prices to spike up 10x briefly at peak times.
         | 
         | Most power stations have too high a capital cost to only run 2%
         | of the time... whereas your tesla battery has no capital cost,
         | so using it to power the grid 2% of the time when the prices
         | are sky-high is very attractive.
        
           | pclmulqdq wrote:
           | So people being asked to discharge their Tesla into the grid
           | should be paid a significant premium, right?
           | 
           | Since they are providing power on demand in a way that
           | doesn't have upfront costs, that should mean that car-based
           | power demands a cloud-like premium (10-50x over traditional
           | servers) over traditional power plants.
           | 
           | They are getting a little premium today, but likely won't
           | once this practice becomes normal.
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | It's a market - so whoever is willing to do the task for
             | the smallest premium gets the business...
        
         | locallost wrote:
         | During most of last year prices in Europe were routinely over
         | 300, 400 even occasionally over 1000 per MWh because there was
         | an energy shortage. At the same time the prices can easily go
         | negative if the conditions are favorable for renewables. It's
         | not crazy to think that you would be paid to charge your car
         | when there is an excess and then get paid a lot when there is a
         | shortage. I don't know who would say no to this deal.
        
           | mhandley wrote:
           | Of course at some point in the future if a lot of people with
           | EVs say yes to this deal, the price range will narrow
           | significantly, and eventually stabilize to the point where
           | it's only just profitable given battery degradation costs.
           | But it may take a long time to get to that stage.
        
           | Maxion wrote:
           | My point is mainly that there are plenty of options available
           | to stabilize grid prices that are way cheaper than using
           | EV's. Europes energy crisis is temporary, over time the price
           | fluctuations will go down.
        
             | locallost wrote:
             | That's actually not true. Let's say your calculation of
             | ~100 per MWh for batteries is correct, we've seen that the
             | wholesale prices were a multiple of that basically this
             | whole year. Nuclear is above that price. I don't think
             | anybody is seriously planning to use car batteries as the
             | backbone of the grid, but as one of the last resorts yes.
             | It makes sense for everybody.
        
             | dtech wrote:
             | which other options are feasible today outside hydro
             | pumping?
        
               | Maxion wrote:
               | Isn't that the big question? Whoever is confident that
               | they have correct answer to that question should invest
               | any coin they can get their hand on right this second.
               | 
               | Purely from a theoretical perspective, anything that can
               | generate power at lower prices than the current market
               | rate will be financially viable. With this past winters
               | prices in Europe, it means literally anything. Even at
               | times a diesel generator from your local hardware store
               | would be a good idea (~.60 EUR per kWh).
               | 
               | But these prices won't last, in a few years we will be
               | already back down to manageable price fluctuations.
               | 
               | It's pretty easy to see though that if battery based grid
               | storage is going to be a big thing, it is not going to be
               | EV batteries. The chemistry used in them is not optimized
               | for life cycles (at least currently). LFP chemistry
               | batteris that are in some Teslas has bettery cycle
               | duration. Sodium Ion batteries will most likely be the
               | choice for grid-scale deployment if they can be
               | commercialized.
        
         | VadimPR wrote:
         | Does the cost of the natural gas power plant include the green
         | house gas costs it is emitting?
        
           | Maxion wrote:
           | There are many estimates for the generation cost on
           | wikipedia, at least the IPCC one does not try to estimate
           | what the costs of the emissions would be.
           | 
           | And the price of the battery does obviously not include the
           | generation costs of the energy needed to charge it, any
           | charging/discharging losses, nor the infrastructure costs of
           | a V2G setup.
           | 
           | So it's a very simplistic and incomplete comparison that
           | gives a rosier picture of V2G MWh price than reality would.
        
         | adrianN wrote:
         | It's not cheaper to run a natural gas power plant if you want
         | to be carbon neutral. Then you have to run it with hydrogen,
         | which is quite expensive to make. It also gets more expensive
         | if you only want to run the gas plant a couple of hours per
         | month because at all other times renewable power is sufficient.
        
           | fcantournet wrote:
           | It is cheaper to run a nuclear power plant though. Like a
           | lot. Also uses about 50x less material per MWh
        
         | audunw wrote:
         | 1. A battery isn't completely dead when it reaches its cycle
         | life. It's often defined as the point where the capacity
         | degrades to 80% of its initial rated capaity. For an EV with a
         | large battery, most of them will be able to continue to use the
         | battery for a good while after that. A Model S 90D is still a
         | very usable car for many people with even 50% range. 2. You
         | assume that every EV owner will use many cycles. That's
         | generally not the case. I use at most 2-3 gentle cycles
         | (charging to 80%, never discharging below 20%) in a month on
         | our EV. I have plenty of spare cycles in the lifetime of the
         | car. 3. Time degrades batteries as well. For EVs with low
         | mileage, you could be throwing away useful battery cycles by
         | not using it for V2G. 4. Most batteries, by far, will not have
         | to be replaced until the vehicle is over 10 years old. In 10
         | years, it might be far cheaper to replace EV batteries.
         | Batteries will be cheaper and you'll have better economies of
         | scale for replacements. You might get a better battery with
         | longer range than when the car was new too.
         | 
         | I seriously doubt that V2G will cause a lot of people to have
         | to replace their EV battery in the lifetime of the car. People
         | who drive their cars the most will not use V2G because they
         | won't have spare battery capacity. It might trigger one battery
         | change, but then an EV might need a battery change at one point
         | in its lifetime anyway.. and so it doesn't mattery unless V2G
         | triggers the need for a third replacement. (In 10 years
         | batteries might have longer cycle life too).
        
         | dtech wrote:
         | $0.11/KwH is super doable. Keep in mind that discharging is
         | only necessary and profitable during peak demand, when prices
         | are much higher than that. $0.50/KwH is far from uncommon. E.g.
         | today energy peaks at EUR0.28/KwH in my area. It dipped at
         | EUR0.17 so it would've already broke even.
        
       | btbuildem wrote:
       | Decentralized energy storage does seem like one solution to the
       | mismatch between renewable energy inflow, and energy usage. EV
       | batteries certainly have the capacity (har har) to support a
       | household during the low-generation times or to "cut the tops"
       | off peak demand.
       | 
       | This approach though presupposes that everyone lives in suburban
       | dwellings with garages/driveways, which is at odds with the more
       | sustainable, higher density living scenarios (eg, urban centers)
       | where public transit / alternate transportation usage is higher,
       | and there is less space for personal cars. Eg someone on the 5th
       | floor of a walkup is not going to run a cable from their window
       | to their car parked at the other end of the block.
       | 
       | I think solutions like the Powerwall (or other brands'
       | equivalents) might be a better way to go.
        
       | vardump wrote:
       | Soon enough (2030+) someone's going to solve NIB batteries
       | (mainly sodium refining, I guess) and a bit heavier, but dirt
       | cheap sodium ion batteries are going to be _everywhere_.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sodium-ion_battery
        
       | GaryNumanVevo wrote:
       | Another olive branch extended to the auto industry
        
       | dahfizz wrote:
       | This boils down to "There are lots of EV batteries, we can use
       | them as storage!". It seems to ignore practical issues:
       | 
       | People drive during the day, and charge at night. So you could
       | use EVs as a buffer during the night, but they still need to be
       | charged. So EVs are still going to be a net energy consumer
       | during the night, when you need the storage the most (no solar
       | production).
       | 
       | I think the best course of action is to load shift charging of
       | EVs and use it as "storage" in that way. Its an easy load to shed
       | when needed, and an easy load to ramp up when renewables are
       | plenty.
        
         | gwbas1c wrote:
         | > So EVs are still going to be a net energy consumer during the
         | night, when you need the storage the most (no solar production)
         | 
         | Solar isn't the only green energy source, there's also wind,
         | hydro, nuclear...
         | 
         | Historically, electricity consumption is low at night. With the
         | conventional grid, nighttime charging is a net boom because it
         | brings load when the grid has excess capacity.
        
         | dtech wrote:
         | Every ignoring that most cars aren't used every day, most cars
         | are parked during the day and peak solar generation time.
        
           | dahfizz wrote:
           | > most cars aren't used every day
           | 
           | Huge citation needed.
           | 
           | > most cars are parked during the day
           | 
           | Yes, parked somewhere where there is no V2G infrastructure.
           | By the time we pay millions of V2G charging stalls, we would
           | be better off just buying actual grid scale storage.
        
             | ffmpegy wrote:
             | https://www.reinventingparking.org/2013/02/cars-are-
             | parked-9...
        
               | dahfizz wrote:
               | From your source:
               | 
               | > this suggests an average of just under 18 trips per car
               | every week.
               | 
               | So cars on average are used multiple times a day. OP's
               | claim that _most cars aren 't used_ is ludicrous.
        
       | raxxorraxor wrote:
       | I don't understand the discrepancy between EV kWh and house
       | battery kWh.
       | 
       | Some cars have > 100 kWh capacity. Why do I pay > 1000$ per kWh
       | for a house battery? At some point it is cheaper to just buy a
       | car, even if you would never drive it. A Tesla Powerwall has 13
       | or so kWh? Why don't they use the car battery with nearly 10
       | times as much capacity?
       | 
       | It is just unit prices that are far better for cars? Is the
       | charge/discharge speed relevant? Is the technology different? Are
       | the capacities for cars just fake? Preferably I would want 200kWh
       | or more capacity for my home.
        
         | Schroedingersat wrote:
         | Part of it is cars get a bunch of free tax money, but most of
         | it is that cars were at the front of the queue and locked
         | prices in ahead of time (before the self same orders pushed
         | prices up) and they have actual pressure to compete.
         | 
         | There are cheaper products, but reliability and trustworthyness
         | is an issue. A good budget offering may decide to sell out
         | their rep or start charging premium prices.
         | 
         | Budget offerings are about $250/kWh right now, or there are
         | some for about $350 with cold weather protection.
         | 
         | In a few more years markets will mature a little and the price
         | gap will be smaller.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | They had better, with 230 wh/kg LFP and 150 wh/kg lithium-
           | free sodium ion coming to mass production, and those
           | chemistries are far safer than nickel/cobalt chemistries
           | because they don't catch on fire, the "OEM" cost of a large
           | battery pack will certainly drop under 100$/kWh, if it
           | already hasn't.
           | 
           | With sodium ion the cost should drop to 50$/kWh.
           | 
           | I guess what might happen in a decade or so with EVs with
           | "obsolete" batteries in the used market is that you just get
           | a used EV and you have a powerwall and a secondary/tertiary
           | city car.
        
             | Schroedingersat wrote:
             | What a wild and ironic twist if we actually get some
             | increase in transit use because leaving the car at home
             | pays for the ticket.
        
         | AtlasBarfed wrote:
         | Either Chinese companies are reaping huge profits on batteries,
         | or the American companies that repackage them into their
         | bespoke platforms (EGo batteries don't work with greenworks or
         | ryobi AFAIK because they put different plastic shapes around
         | the battery cells so you're locked into their ecosystem for
         | example) are reaping the profits.
         | 
         | Hopefully, 200-230 wh/kg LFP and 150 wh/kg sodium ion batteries
         | should be a revelation in all use cases of batteries in the
         | next year or so.
         | 
         | Tesla gets to operate at the extremes of volume, so they get to
         | demand the best prices I would imagine, but the markup still
         | seems astronomical in other things (like tools, home
         | powerwalls, etc).
         | 
         | IMO there needs to be some governmental nudge. Battery prices
         | (in theory) should be dropping in price such that many ICE-
         | based tools will be fundamentally cheaper as batteries. An
         | electric lawnmower shouldn't be more expensive than a very very
         | dirty two stroke ICE lawnmower with the LFP/Sodium Ion that is
         | coming to market.
         | 
         | But a lot of electric tool makers are using the reduced sound
         | and superior torque abilities of electric tools as a price
         | premium product. Things like lawnmowers and leaf blowers and
         | snow blowers being high performance electric tools is like a
         | "starter EV" for millions of Americans: it teaches them about
         | recharging batteries, how EVs are better than ICEs in many ways
         | (quieter, better torque, less smelly, no gasoline to spoil over
         | winter) and how to deal with the annoyances (recharging).
        
         | theshrike79 wrote:
         | Car manufacturers are buying every battery they can.
         | 
         | If we reach a point where there is an actual secondary market
         | for used EV batteries, the house battery market will start to
         | boom. But 10+ year old batteries are still 85-90% healthy
         | mostly, so it might take a while...
        
         | csours wrote:
         | My guess is supply constraints. Tesla would rather sell cars
         | than Powerwalls; other suppliers can't make a dent in the
         | market because EVs are slurping up all the capacity at every
         | level of the supply chain. This really is only a guess though.
        
         | Isinlor wrote:
         | Tesla is supply limited, so they can put prices high. That's
         | probably about it.
        
         | sharemywin wrote:
         | State level regulations around installation driving up prices?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | danans wrote:
           | Nope, not that. See my sibling response above.
        
         | sgerenser wrote:
         | House batteries are a much smaller market than batteries for
         | EVs (at least right now). They also have other supporting
         | components, safety features, etc. that add to the price. Since
         | they're normally installed as part of a solar install, they
         | also usually qualify for a tax credit (between federal and
         | state this can be over 50%) which further drives up the price
         | because the vendor is able to capture a large chunk of the tax
         | credit as profit.
        
           | zihotki wrote:
           | Actually they require less safety features (they don't need
           | to be crash-safe) and can use heavier batteries and
           | components. Which should make them cheaper than EV's
           | batteries in theory. But that market is in early stages with
           | all associated downsides of early adoption, I agree with
           | that.
        
             | boringg wrote:
             | There are other features for a home battery. There are
             | shutoffs. Each job is a bit custom on the install +
             | electrician work. Retail markup.
             | 
             | You can use your car battery - though you will degrade that
             | car battery much faster which is probably the battery you
             | want to have better performance.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | That's a failure of government with home solar.
           | 
           | Home solar + storage adds community-level resiliency in
           | disasters and will reduce the grid load needed for home EV
           | charging and industrial level charging used by electric
           | tractor trailers. It should be a major complimentary effort
           | of governmental policy along with grid scale solar/wind, grid
           | scale storage, and whatever load leveling we can effectively
           | decarbonize.
           | 
           | Good luck getting that through our deadlocked government.
           | 
           | Especially since
        
         | discordance wrote:
         | $300/kWh for home storage is readily available.
         | 
         | E.g. https://signaturesolar.com/eg4-ll-lithium-
         | battery-24v-200ah/
        
           | raxxorraxor wrote:
           | True, there are better prices by now. But 5kWh? I thought my
           | smartphone would have that by now...
           | 
           | Perhaps 200kWh is a bit exaggerated. And yes you also need a
           | good quality inverter for your home that synchronizes with
           | the net, but I actually don't believe this to be expensive
           | high tech...
           | 
           | Ideally I wouldn't want to put the energy I generate with
           | solar, wind or differently back into the power net. In my
           | country you basically give that away for free. There are
           | reasons for that, but the most efficient way would be to use
           | the energy yourself as much as possible.
           | 
           | Sure, 5kWH is enough to soften peaks and there could already
           | be huge benefit to this. But a bit more capacity would be
           | really nice to really safe the energy of sunny days. Reminds
           | me if disappointing USPs that let me play Tetris for an
           | additional 7-8 minutes before I feel like civilization has
           | broken down completely until power comes back.
        
             | vbezhenar wrote:
             | Phone battery is something like 4V. Watts depend on
             | voltage. I guess home batteries use other voltage so their
             | watt actually provides more electricity.
        
               | raxxorraxor wrote:
               | No, Watts should be independent of voltage, it is the
               | product of voltage and ampere (don't know the exact
               | English terms here). You perhaps mean ampere hours, I
               | think that is often used for phones.
               | 
               | But it is only ever meaningful if you have the respective
               | fixed voltage and it often make sense for a batteries to
               | quickly calculate how long they should last if you know
               | how much ampere a device draws. It could also become a
               | sensible metric if we always talk about 120V/240V for
               | general household appliances of course.
        
               | beckingz wrote:
               | Voltage isn't fixed across a discharge cycle.
               | 
               | As a chemical battery discharges, the voltage drops, so
               | at the same load in amps you get less watts later.
        
               | thehappypm wrote:
               | I think what they're talking about is the amp-hour
               | measure of battery capacity, which is common in
               | electronics, but converting to actual energy requires
               | knowing the voltage.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | Phones are more like 10-15 _watt_ -hours, not kWh.
        
           | mnw21cam wrote:
           | Deep cycle lead-acid batteries are available around
           | PS100/kWh, and they'll last pretty-much as long as a LiFePo
           | if managed sensibly.
        
             | moffkalast wrote:
             | > they'll last pretty-much as long as a LiFePo if managed
             | sensibly
             | 
             |  _[Citation needed]_
             | 
             | Typically lead acid lifespan is around 10x less than
             | lifepo4, even if kept within spec.
             | 
             | But in practice it's hard to keep them in spec too, shit
             | sulphates immediately when you look at it wrong.
        
               | mnw21cam wrote:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPPUqLZOqCQ
               | 
               | LiFePo is maybe 10x the lifespan of a normal Lead-Acid
               | battery, if you're cycling it several times a day. A car
               | battery for instance will not do very well in this test.
               | But I'm talking about deep cycle Lead-Acid batteries,
               | cycled every day or couple of days down to 70% capacity
               | (so using 30%). This is a fairly typical workload if
               | you're (for instance) using it as a backup for solar
               | panels. Under those circumstances, the LiFePo battery
               | will die from time elapsed probably about the same time
               | as or maybe even earlier than the Lead-Acid battery dies
               | from cycle count.
        
             | thescriptkiddie wrote:
             | > they'll last pretty-much as long as a LiFePo
             | 
             | citation needed
        
             | sgt wrote:
             | Managing lead-acid sensibly in my experience means never
             | letting levels go below 40%. Temperature too I suppose.
             | 
             | I didn't know they could last as long as LiFePo though. Is
             | this really true?
             | 
             | If this is true, why don't we just use more lead-acid
             | batteries then?
        
               | mnw21cam wrote:
               | LiFePo can last longer than Lead-Acid. It depends on the
               | usage.
               | 
               | LiFePo has a very high maximum cycle count. But after ten
               | years, they'll die anyway. The only way that you can
               | actually achieve a cycle count as high as the
               | specification says is if you're cycling the battery two
               | or three times a day, which I can believe if you're doing
               | grid-levelling, but not if you're providing backup for
               | your solar panels.
               | 
               | For lead-acid batteries, be aware of the difference
               | between normal lead-acid, which are optimised for standby
               | operation, and deep-cycle lead-acid, which are optimised
               | for long life under regular cycling. Normal lead-acid
               | batteries will die very quickly if cycled - they're
               | designed to be charged all the time, and drawn on for
               | very short period, like a car battery or a UPS.
               | 
               | Deep-cycle lead-acid batteries age by cycling, in
               | contrast to LiFePo, which age by elapsed time. Their
               | maximum cycle count is much lower than LiFePo, but if
               | you're cycling them every couple of days, like in an off-
               | grid solar project, and you're avoiding draining them
               | below around 40%, then they can last 10 years.
               | 
               | So, if you want to cycle your batteries two or three
               | times a day, then LiFePo is going to last a lot longer
               | than Lead-Acid. But if you're cycling every couple of
               | days and limiting the drain, then they can last about the
               | same amount of time. It depends on the usage.
               | 
               | What helps with Lead-Acid is because it is that much
               | cheaper than LiFePo, you can buy a larger capacity Lead-
               | Acid battery for the same or less money, and then for the
               | same performance requirements that larger battery will be
               | drained less and at a lower rate, and therefore be less
               | stressed and even last longer.
               | 
               | I think we don't use Lead-Acid as much as we do for
               | several reasons:
               | 
               | 1. Lead-Acid batteries have a reputation of flaking on us
               | after a depressingly short amount of time. But that
               | reputation has been earned from normal Lead-Acid
               | batteries, not deep cycle ones.
               | 
               | 2. People get scared by the lead in them, and how lead is
               | toxic and we should be stopping using lead in everything.
               | But really, lead in these batteries is not a danger to
               | us, and Lead-Acid batteries are one of the best recycling
               | success stories in the world. That lead isn't generally
               | getting out into the environment. LiFePo batteries are
               | much harder to recycle.
               | 
               | 3. Electricians recommend installing expensive stuff,
               | because then they get a bigger commission.
               | 
               | 4. Lead-Acid are bigger and heavier for the same capacity
               | than LiFePo. So, a LiFePo installation is going to look
               | prettier in a nice consumer unit and be easier to
               | install. They're heavy enough as it is.
        
           | coding123 wrote:
           | Those 5kwh "server" batteries are overpriced compared to
           | prismatic cells and a bms.
        
             | driverdan wrote:
             | They aren't when you factor in labor and the other
             | components involved (wiring, breakers, terminals, steel
             | box, etc). I've built my own system in my RV but will be
             | going with racked batteries for my house due to how much
             | time and effort they will save.
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | House batteries are never purchased in isolation. They're what
         | amounts to a luxury add-on to a much bigger solar system, so
         | you'd expect to see a "markup". That may change with the recent
         | rollback of net metering in CA, which is making a battery
         | system a requirement to reach break even on cost.
        
           | danans wrote:
           | > That may change with the recent rollback of net metering in
           | CA, which is making a battery system a requirement to reach
           | break even on cost.
           | 
           | NEM3.0 doesn't make a battery a requirement to break even on
           | costs, it just extends the payback time of solar without
           | batteries by 3-5 years. It _reduces_ the still absurdly long
           | payback time of home battery storage somewhat, though. Only
           | when you can sell power back to the grid with batteries at
           | peak wholesale rates will batteries have anything like solar
           | 's payback time.
        
             | ajross wrote:
             | I've seen a lot of different numbers thrown around (and to
             | be clear: I'm in Oregon and not part of the fight). Let it
             | suffice that NEM3.0 makes the relative benefits of a
             | battery for time shifting (and thus the costs of a solar
             | system without a battery, as was typical for early
             | installations) much, much higher.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | fsh wrote:
         | The explanation is quite simple. Electricity from the grid is
         | still very cheap. It therefore makes no economical sense to buy
         | huge batteries for buffering your home solar panels. Since
         | there is no demand, there are no products.
        
         | danans wrote:
         | As someone who recently self-installed home batteries (LiFePo),
         | I learned quite a bit about what drives up prices. It's not
         | regulation. If anything state incentives in California can
         | drive down the prices (if you qualify for them), and federal
         | incentives drop the price by 30%, thanks to the Inflation
         | Reduction Act. In my experience, the big cost with home
         | batteries are the same things that make artisinal custom
         | designed and built homes expensive: the labor cost of the
         | complex system design, installation and integration, and the
         | premium charged because they are still marketed as a luxury
         | product, not as a basic home appliance.
         | 
         | Why the complexity? It should be easy to install batteries on a
         | house, right? In reality, every house has an idiosyncratic set
         | of challenges and decisions that need to be made when
         | integrating battery storage: What loads do you want to back up,
         | and for how long? Where will the backup sub-panel be installed,
         | and how can the backup circuits be routed to it? Where is a
         | safe location for the battery and the automatic transfer switch
         | to be installed? They are all answerable, but there is no
         | general solution and each one is on a case-by-case basis.
         | 
         | And yes, this all does have to meet electrical codes (which
         | exist for a reason), and needs sign-off by local building
         | authorities, but they are not the main cost obstacle any more
         | than they are for any major electrical upgrade to a house.
         | 
         | Take away the "luxury premium" part, and this also explains why
         | home rooftop solar will always be much more expensive on a per-
         | watt basis than utility scale solar (and yes, utility scale
         | solar doesn't include the cost of transmission, as with any
         | grid scale generation source).
         | 
         | Compare that to an EV, where thousands are assembled with
         | predefined requirements, a known set of inputs, all in a
         | purpose built environment (a factory).
         | 
         | And even better, they come with a standard plug interface that
         | we can use to send power back to the house or the grid! But
         | hold on: if you want power when the grid goes down, you're
         | going to need an islanding transfer switch and perhaps decide
         | which loads to back up. I mean, do you really want to run your
         | 40A jacuzzi heater or your 50A air conditioner off you car
         | battery?
         | 
         | In an ideal future, every house would be built with a standard
         | connector (analogous to USB for phones or EV charger standards)
         | that you could just plug a stationary storage system into. The
         | houses would also be built to include an automatic transfer
         | switch that islands the house during a power outage, and a
         | smart load panel that dynamically decides what loads to back up
         | based on battery capacity and user preferences. But right now,
         | no such standards exist, and no house is built from the start
         | that way, so everything is an expensive retrofit.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | dbingham wrote:
       | Counter point, getting the resources for those batteries and
       | building them has no small environmental impact - including
       | carbon impact: https://www.theguardian.com/us-
       | news/2023/jan/24/us-electric-...
       | 
       | > The US's transition to electric vehicles could require three
       | times as much lithium as is currently produced for the entire
       | global market, causing needless water shortages, Indigenous land
       | grabs, and ecosystem destruction inside and outside its borders,
       | new research finds.
       | 
       | > It warns that unless the US's dependence on cars in towns and
       | cities falls drastically, the transition to lithium battery-
       | powered electric vehicles by 2050 will deepen global
       | environmental and social inequalities linked to mining - and may
       | even jeopardize the 1.5C global heating target.
       | 
       | We definitely need to figure out grid scale storage. But I'm not
       | convinced Lithium Ion batteries are the answer. And I strongly
       | disagree with the idea that electric car batteries are the
       | solution.
       | 
       | Arguing for car batteries to be a primary means of grid storage
       | basically presupposes we fail to make the transition away from
       | cars, which means we're committing to a much more difficult and
       | expensive path to the carbon cuts we need to make.
        
         | coffeebeqn wrote:
         | It's not just cars. How would homes store energy overnight
         | without lithium? The current best available home storage is
         | still lithium based (lithium iron phosphate).
        
           | dahfizz wrote:
           | Why do houses need storage? Why can't the grid operators do
           | their job?
           | 
           | Pumped hydro is a practical grid-scale storage solution that
           | doesn't need lithium.
           | 
           | [1] cost $4B for 24Gwh of storage. That's about the same as
           | the cost of an equivalent amount of batteries. But it has run
           | for 37 years. A battery installment would have had to be
           | replaced at least twice.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bath_County_Pumped_Storage_
           | Sta...
        
       | panick21_ wrote:
       | This would require quite a bit of hardware on both cars and
       | houses to work. And in many ways doing both backup to the house
       | and being able to feed into the grid is pretty damn hard.
       | 
       | So I will be surprised if this happens on large scale. This is an
       | idea that sound great on paper but there are really a lot of
       | practical issue between where we are now and in this ideal
       | future.
        
       | tboyd47 wrote:
       | So not only do the batteries lose 2.3% capacity each year, and
       | lose up to 40% of their range in cold weather, but now the power
       | company wants to drain your car battery at night to power other
       | people's homes. What a comedy of errors!
        
         | baq wrote:
         | Au contrarie, it's a solution to bring grid storage online to
         | offset some wind and PV intermittency.
        
           | tboyd47 wrote:
           | That's just saying what I said in a different way.
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | Let's get ISO15118 working at scale before we declare it
       | essential. I'm not aware of any EV for sale today that uses it
       | for V2G.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_15118
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | You might want to take a look at this - several production
         | vehicles that are available near me have V2L (similar to V2G)
         | support already.
         | 
         | https://zecar.com/resources/which-electric-cars-have-bidirec...
        
       | babypuncher wrote:
       | This sounds like a great way to destroy the longevity of my
       | battery.
       | 
       | If they want to use my car as grid storage, then the power
       | company better pay to replace my battery, plus compensate me for
       | the added inconvenience of having to perform that maintenance far
       | more frequently.
        
       | college_physics wrote:
       | This feels gimmicky and fragile. If distributed / decentralized
       | storage is required (sounds like a good idea overall) it is
       | surely better to have stationary installations, with larger
       | batteries and connectivity optimized for that purpose, not using
       | the EV batteries currently developed for moving these two-ton
       | exosceletons to random places... In fact you want to have the
       | option to significantly reduce EV usage as other, more
       | sustainable overall, mobility modes become available and/or
       | popular.
        
         | goodpoint wrote:
         | > This feels gimmicky and fragile
         | 
         | If anything is very much anti-fragile. Decentralized batteries
         | would only make the grid more resilient both to outages and
         | overloads.
        
           | college_physics wrote:
           | my comparison is between EV batteries and stationary
           | batteries, not a system without batteries (which is in any
           | case unworkable if input is solely based on renewables).
           | 
           | a stationary distributed system seems superior in many ways
           | to the mobile version (more capacity, more predictable in
           | both charging and discharging schedules, potentially less
           | costly battery technologies etc). if such a system happens
           | _anyway_ , I'd see the issue of linking the EV fleet as
           | secondary
        
         | tuatoru wrote:
         | Battery swapping allows you to have both EVs and the benefits
         | of decentralized stationary installations.
         | 
         | The "gas station" model of battery swapping has a number of
         | features: lower sticker price on cars, key for mass-market
         | adoption; expert battery pack charge and diagnosis, maintenance
         | and repair; extension of pack lifetimes by offering cheaper
         | rates to drivers who only want to go short distances and
         | therefore can use old battery packs with only 65% of original
         | capacity; easier power planning and control for distribution
         | grid operators with smoothed electricty consumption and
         | abillity to return energy to the grid in peak demand/low supply
         | hours; easy revenue collection for local governments.
        
           | chipsa wrote:
           | Battery swapping has a number of disadvantages: forcing all
           | the cars to use a specific size and shape battery, which may
           | not be great for packaging efficiency. Battery has to be
           | physically more robust to be able to withstand regular
           | handling. It has to be designed to be quickly detachable,
           | because if the battery takes 20 minutes to take out, it's
           | definitely not faster than just charging the thing.
        
         | coffeebeqn wrote:
         | It is gimmicky but the batteries in EVs are really big and
         | especially in the US everyone has a car. I don't see a large
         | amount of houses getting a 30-70kWh battery unless they install
         | rooftop solar. So what are the realistic options ? Other than
         | large infrastructure spend to get grid batteries which is
         | probably what will happen in the end
        
           | dahfizz wrote:
           | > So what are the realistic options?
           | 
           | Maybe the utility companies could do their job and provide a
           | reliable electricity source, instead of outsourcing it to
           | customers.
        
             | j245 wrote:
             | > Companies could do their job
             | 
             | This is quite a naive view of how the world works.
             | 
             | Their actual "job" is to make the most amount of money
             | possible.
             | 
             | A realistic option has to be one that is both technically
             | superior and something a company is incentivised to do.
        
               | dahfizz wrote:
               | > Their actual "job" is to make the most amount of money
               | possible.
               | 
               | That is generally true, but not of quasi-public utility
               | companies. The government controls the price utilities
               | charge, and could force them to invest in storage.
        
         | lambdasquirrel wrote:
         | I came on here to comment that if you do this, it requires that
         | the EVs be connected to the grid. How is that going to happen
         | during the day when a lot of folks are at work, or out and
         | about, and there aren't that many public chargers?
         | 
         | I don't think this whole EVs-as-grid-storage really makes
         | sense. When the EVs go into the scrap market, the batteries
         | will likely still have 80% of their range left (if not more,
         | based on what folks have been reporting). If it's as low as
         | 80%, it would be a huge detriment in the used market, but that
         | much is still fine and dandy for grid storage. Just wait 10-15
         | years and use them then, if this is supposed to be a strategy.
         | 
         | Or better yet, keep investing in other non-lithium chemistries,
         | like those involving sodium, and then cost per kwh will go down
         | significantly.
        
           | audunw wrote:
           | > I came on here to comment that if you do this, it requires
           | that the EVs be connected to the grid. How is that going to
           | happen during the day when a lot of folks are at work
           | 
           | Having chargers at the office is a thing. You could imagine
           | grid operators subsidizing setting up EV chargers at office
           | parking lots on the condition that they're V2G capable.
           | 
           | I wouldn't mind letting my EV charge at home at night and
           | discharge down to, say 50%, at work.
           | 
           | Also, there's generally a big peak just as people come home
           | from work. I could charge at night, discharge the first
           | couple of hourse right after I come home, and then charge
           | again.
           | 
           | I don't always drive to work either, I hope to take the bus
           | or train more when kids are done with kindergarten (they can
           | walk to school on their own). But this is Europe, I get that
           | this is less realistic in USA.
           | 
           | You have some good points, but I think the next 10-20 years
           | will be so critical for the switch to renewables that we
           | can't afford to wait. If we can get some help from V2G until
           | more permanent solutions are in place, why not?
        
           | dTal wrote:
           | Yeah, the utility of smoothing grid demand overnight seems
           | limited. Nighttime is when demand is _least_ peaky. And if
           | you commit to having the EV charged in the morning, you can
           | 't get net energy out which means it can't be used to
           | compensate for lack of sun either. It doesn't seem to solve
           | any problems that we actually have.
        
           | bluedino wrote:
           | Doesn't the average US household have 2 cars? And probably
           | higher in the households that can afford a new Tesla?
        
           | greenthrow wrote:
           | Peak grid load is not during the day when people are at work.
           | It is right after they get home when their EVs would be
           | plugged in. EVs can be used to soften this demand's load on
           | the grid.
        
           | goodcanadian wrote:
           | Peak electricity demand occurs in the evening when people
           | come home from work and start cooking and watching TV and
           | giving the kids and bath and so on. Bring your car home, plug
           | it in, and it supplies the grid at this peak time. Then it
           | charges up again overnight when demand is otherwise low, and
           | it is ready for you to go to work in the morning. As long as
           | you have some charge left in your battery at the end of the
           | day, it can work out fine.
           | 
           | Also, some of us work from home, or commute by public
           | transit, or whatever, and only use the car on weekends.
        
         | mnw21cam wrote:
         | I made this argument a few years ago when my wife asked me if
         | it was a good idea for us to get solar panels for the house. My
         | reply was that solar farms get economy of scale and would out-
         | compete us, plus our roof views East/West, not South. Now that
         | electricity prices have trebled, I have changed my mind.
         | 
         | The simple fact is that these static larger installations
         | _should_ be better, but they 're not happening at nearly high
         | enough rate, and so there is still benefit to be had by
         | individuals installing smaller less efficient systems.
        
       | Cthulhu_ wrote:
       | Cool, but will the energy company pay for the wear and tear? Do
       | you get paid extra if you promise to not use your car between
       | hours X and Y?
        
         | throwawaaarrgh wrote:
         | an energy company paying _customers_ extra? lolllllll. if
         | anything they 're gonna find a way to charge you for the
         | privilege of giving them power
        
           | dismalpedigree wrote:
           | This is completely accurate. Often done by shifting the
           | reported cost structure to claim transmission is vastly more
           | expensive than generation. You are not doing transmission,
           | they are so you pay them more.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | The way most energy companies work, they do indeed 'pay for
         | readiness' - ie. they'll give you money simply to be available
         | to deliver power, even if you are never asked to deliver power.
         | 
         | That is also usually a market - ie. power stations can bid to
         | provide that service, and the lowest bids are selected.
         | 
         | The only thing missing is that little residential guys usually
         | aren't welcome to bid... Usually there is something like a 5MW
         | minimum to play the game.
        
       | Mrdarknezz wrote:
       | This seems like a massive waste of energy, why not just produce
       | the amount of energy we need?
        
         | pornel wrote:
         | The demand for energy is highly variable. Without storage, the
         | production capacity has to be overbuilt to match the peak
         | demand, and then sit underutilized for the rest of the day.
         | 
         | Even with just fossil fuels, it's preferable to build a smaller
         | power plant that runs 24/7 than invest bigger money in a bigger
         | power plant and then operate it only some of the time.
         | 
         | See "duck curve".
        
           | Mrdarknezz wrote:
           | No you don't have to overbuild? Just build enough load
           | following.
           | 
           | Storage will waste massive amounts of energy through
           | conversion
        
       | Yizahi wrote:
       | Aren't people wary about using their very expensive car batteries
       | for the grid? E.g. imagine you plug in your phone for the night,
       | but instead of a single top up change it is now constantly
       | discharging and charging again. Lifetime of pocket sized
       | batteries is not too great even now, and in such scenario they
       | will go bust 2-3 times faster, in year instead of 3 or so. Also
       | discharge swings would be probably much bigger. Instead of using
       | say 30% of the battery per day in normal use cycle, maybe not
       | even every day, you will now see multiple 0%-100% charge cycles
       | daily.
       | 
       | New battery for small car costs 13-20k$, so if its lifetime will
       | be shortened from I don't know, say 10 years, to 3 years, then
       | electric company need to compensate owners accordingly and I
       | highly doubt they will pay even 10% of that sum over 3 years.
        
         | cogman10 wrote:
         | > you will now see multiple 0%-100% charge cycles daily.
         | 
         | Very much not likely.
         | 
         | You have to realize how big the batteries are on EVs. It isn't
         | uncommon to have 80 or 100kWh batteries on EVs (and that number
         | is likely to go up.). Even small batteries are around 40kWh.
         | 
         | Average home energy consumption is 30kWh per day in the US.
         | Meaning even for a small battery you are looking at a single
         | extra cycle per day at most. However, if you are pairing your
         | car charging with home solar then you are looking at a more
         | ideal charge/discharge (Possibly keeping the car between 40 and
         | 80%)
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | I have a 6 year old EV with very minimal degradation doing all
         | sorts of stuff that is frowned on: charging up to 100% all the
         | time, using fast chargers regularly, and even letting the car
         | sit outside on hot days (it does warn me if it's >100F to get
         | it into the garage).
         | 
         | So no, I'm not really worried as I don't drive a Leaf and my
         | car has industry-standard cooling system for the battery pack.
        
         | torpfactory wrote:
         | You're making very aggressive assumptions about amount of use
         | the EV battery would be subject to, to the point of this being
         | a straw man. You're right that people wouldn't agree to have
         | their expensive EV battery trashed by multiple 0-100% discharge
         | cycles daily. You wouldn't get any takers if that was your
         | offer.
         | 
         | A more reasonable expectation is that people would lease a
         | portion of their capacity. Say 20% for argument sake. You could
         | even place other limits on it "never below 50% and above 90% on
         | weekdays". In this example the power company gets to use
         | between 50% and 90% state of charge in your battery on weekdays
         | and pays you a small fee or other compensation in return.
        
         | jackmott wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | moffkalast wrote:
         | Well the ones with li-ion batteries ought to last at least 2000
         | cycles, or about 6 years with a cycle each day, but there are
         | lots of mid tier models being made with lifepo4s now, and those
         | last like 6000 cycles, so there is far more breathing room.
         | They're also cheaper so you may be able to more easily break
         | even.
        
           | manholio wrote:
           | That just means people will buy daily drivers with small
           | batteries and charge them nightly. 15 years out of a cheap
           | compact car with near zero operating costs sounds like a good
           | deal, still does not make sense to waste a cycle for $1 =
           | 20kWh fed into the grid.
        
         | nickelcitymario wrote:
         | The way I read it, the paper is more interested in what happens
         | to EV batteries when they drop to 80% of the maximum storage
         | capacity. If I understood them, they're saying that at this
         | level, the battery is no longer suitable for transportation
         | purposes. So what do you do with the old battery when you
         | replace it?
         | 
         | They're suggesting using these extremely expensive but no-long
         | brand-new batteries for additional grid storage. Take the
         | battery you don't use anymore, and instead of paying someone to
         | dispose of it, plug it into the grid and get paid for its use.
        
           | brianwawok wrote:
           | Modern fluid cooled batteries (Basically anyone but Nissan I
           | believe?), the battery should last the life of the car. You
           | would only really have a spare if
           | 
           | 1) The battery gets damaged or the car is totaled (in which
           | case, you might not want it)
           | 
           | 2) The car is 20 years old and done with life
        
           | mnw21cam wrote:
           | The reason they use the 80% mark is that Li-ion batteries
           | tend to rapidly degrade after they reach that point, so once
           | they get there it's best to replace them.
        
         | audunw wrote:
         | > Aren't people wary about using their very expensive car
         | batteries for the grid?
         | 
         | As an EV owner, no.
         | 
         | We need to own a car due to having kids, we happen to have
         | gotten one with a pretty large battery so we can easily use it
         | for road trips too. Also because there was only one choice for
         | battery size with the model that suited us (Ioniq 5)
         | 
         | But I live close to work. I fully cycle the battery maybe 2-4
         | times a month. I could easly double that and still not wear out
         | the battery in the lifetime of the car. If not more.
         | 
         | This is in Norway, so I get that others wouldn't buy an EV with
         | a large battery in that situation. But as EVs/batteries become
         | cheaper in general, this will be the norm elsewhere.
         | 
         | And then you can flip the question on its head: if you expect
         | to only use half of the life cycles of the battery within the
         | lifetime of the car itself, isn't it incredibly stupid and
         | waste of valuable batteries to NOT use it for V2G?
         | 
         | I suspect the cost equation will be benifical for car rental
         | companies too, since they can get economies of scale when
         | replacing the batteries.
         | 
         | > so if its lifetime will be shortened from I don't know, say
         | 10 years, to 3 years
         | 
         | Uh, 3 years? Even my previous EV, a 2015 Kia Soul EV, with a
         | pretty bad battery chemistry, only air cooling, and high
         | cycling rate since the battery was small, is still in very good
         | condition after 7 years. Even Leaf batteries without cooling
         | have lasted 10 years.
         | 
         | First gen Nissan Leafs and Kia Souls are borderline unusable
         | once their battery degrades to 75%, but new EVs with large
         | batteries should still have useful range with 75% degradation,
         | so using up the rated battery cycles (generally specified at
         | the point where degradation reaches 80%) doesn't mean the car
         | is dead.
        
           | brianwawok wrote:
           | Do the newer batteries even degrade past 50%? The first 10%
           | happens pretty fast, but then the curve seriously flattens. I
           | am not sure I could get to 75% degradation before the battery
           | just gives up and dies of old age.
        
         | ramraj07 wrote:
         | depends on how much the demand is. If all they have want is
         | (collectively) a small drain (less than 1-2%) once or twice a
         | day then why not? Especially if there are some incentives
         | provided for the same.
        
           | Yizahi wrote:
           | I admit I don't know much about power grids, but I heard that
           | they are structured in a lot of smaller zones, so if there is
           | a local drop in the generation due to accident then probably
           | only close EVs will be discharged, but by a lot, to
           | compensate.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | nagisa wrote:
         | The important part is that it isn't necessary for people to use
         | their cars for the _public_ good for this idea to work.
         | 
         | If there's an economic incentive for EV owners to use V2H to
         | reduce their _own_ load during the time of low generation (and
         | thus high prices), then the setup would already do a great job
         | at balancing the grid.
         | 
         | People aren't dumb and will be able to figure out where the
         | break-even point is and at what price point it makes sense for
         | them to discharge. Today the only problem is the availability
         | of the V2H tech. My belief is that the _only_ important change
         | that needs to happen is a govt. mandate for V2H support in
         | vehicles and home chargers. Supporting this is quite cheap, and
         | today's implementations of V2L/H are just price gouging on the
         | novelty basis.
        
         | dsfyu404ed wrote:
         | >Aren't people wary about using their very expensive car
         | batteries for the grid?
         | 
         | EVs have mostly not yet filtered down to the socioeconomic
         | rungs that have reason to be skeptical of things by default.
         | 
         | Based on what we know about EV battery lifetimes so far and how
         | graceful their failure is I think your concerns are unfounded
         | though.
        
         | sonarone wrote:
         | In California, recently approved NEM3 makes people involved in
         | the energt market - paying or earning rounded rate for that
         | specific hour. Few hours during summer months can earn you $1-2
         | per kW, so single discharge of EV at that time would earn you
         | $100-200, easily outweighing the cost of degradation.
         | 
         | New rule has been strongly criticized about being more costly
         | and disentivizing solar, but the one thing it does right, is
         | insentivizing end users to do a propertine shifting of their
         | usage.
        
         | fwungy wrote:
         | The problem is that the battery is not the only expense on the
         | car. You have to depreciate the vehicle's value too, because
         | there is a good chance a BEV will be disposed of rather than
         | have a battery replacement.
         | 
         | Say the lifespan of a battery is 10 years. If you lose 10% of
         | the charges for grid storage you're looking at replacement at
         | the 9 year mark. Until we know that the vehicle itself will be
         | reusable at that point you need to depreciate the battery usage
         | against the cost of the entire vehicle, and be compensated for
         | it.
        
         | greenthrow wrote:
         | We are not talking about multiple 0-100% cycles daily. The
         | places where pilot programs have been run always left the car
         | with some amount of charge so it can be driven, and you don't
         | normally charge NMC car batteries to 100%.
         | 
         | Vehicle batteries have 8 year 100k mile warranties today, and
         | those manufacturers who have spoken on this topic have said
         | that utilizing your battery as grid storage will not violate
         | the warranty (Ford said this about the Lightning, which can do
         | V2G today.)
         | 
         | Please stop spreading misinformation and go do some research
         | before you spout FUD like this.
        
           | zopa wrote:
           | Posting a question in an internet forum counts as doing
           | research, surely?
           | 
           | It's much more persuasive to allow reasonable-sounding
           | questions to arise and receive polite, well-thought-out
           | answers, as happened here, than to have everyone chanting in
           | unison. The latter looks like a lie even when it's actually
           | the truth.
        
             | greenthrow wrote:
             | Starting paragraphs of misinformation with a vague question
             | is not a get out of jail free card. That comment was full
             | of misinformed nonsense.
        
           | Gordonjcp wrote:
           | How far down do they discharge the battery, then? Like, how
           | much range would you expect to have at the deepest part of
           | the discharge cycle?
        
             | greenthrow wrote:
             | This is something pilot programs are helping to figure out.
             | The ideal case is the driver can set minimum discharge as
             | they can set a maximum charge (that's how it works on the
             | Ford Lightning.) on top of that many EVs have the ability
             | to set a departure time and the vehicle will ensure it is
             | charged to your maximum level at the departure time.
        
           | noptd wrote:
           | Excluding Tesla:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34518608
           | 
           | Perhaps you should do more research before ending a comment
           | on such a condescending remark next time.
        
             | schiffern wrote:
             | V1G to the rescue!
             | 
             | Existing Tesla cars can do V1G (grid-adaptive charging),
             | but not V2G.
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34518188
        
         | pornel wrote:
         | Car batteries are not really comparable to cellphone batteries.
         | Even among "lithium" batteries in cars there are multiple
         | chemistries with different longevity and trade-offs (e.g. LFP
         | can be kept charged at 100%, while NMC would rather not).
         | 
         | 1. Cars have advanced battery management system with heating
         | and cooling, which noticeably improves the battery life (e.g
         | old Teslas have lost 1%-2% capacity per year over a decade,
         | while Leaf about 3% per year, most likely due to lacking liquid
         | cooling).
         | 
         | 2. Cars won't let the battery discharge to 0%. Modern EVs even
         | have an inaccessible reserve, so that when the car shows 0%,
         | it's actually ~5%. Cars with vehicle-to-load/vehicle-to-grid
         | typically stop giving power at 20% state of charge. Slowly
         | cycling around 50% is quite gentle for the battery.
         | 
         | 3. The grid just has to pay more for the storage than the cost
         | of battery wear. The "duck curve" means they'll want to pay you
         | to take electricity off of them at noon, and pay you a premium
         | to get it back in the evening peak time.
        
         | goodcanadian wrote:
         | _Aren 't people wary about using their very expensive car
         | batteries for the grid?_
         | 
         | In short, no. I have a 10 year old Leaf that has been on a V2G
         | trial for the last 3 years. (I also work for the company that
         | built the charger.) The battery is not being deep cycled; it
         | goes between roughly 30% and 90% state of charge. The trial has
         | found no clear evidence that it ages the battery at all. In
         | fact, it appears that this is better for the battery than
         | regularly fully charging it and letting it sit. Calendar age
         | appears to be the biggest cause of battery degradation along
         | with deep discharging and rapid charging (which this isn't
         | doing).
        
         | schiffern wrote:
         | > instead of a single top up change it is now constantly
         | discharging and charging
         | 
         | This is where V1G beats V2G.
         | 
         | V1G (AKA grid-adaptive charging) just chooses when to charge
         | the car, to efficiently spread out the grid load overnight and
         | spatially across the network. No extra charge cycles, in fact
         | it's probably more mild than just charging at full speed.
         | 
         | The key is that you need a UI setting for "Immediately charge
         | to X%" and "Charge to Y% by Z:00." This avoids the problem
         | where you find yourself without enough charge to get to work
         | (or the local hospital).
         | 
         | > you will now see multiple 0%-100% charge cycles daily.
         | 
         | Even for V2G, why wouldn't there be a depth of discharge
         | slider?
         | 
         | > if its lifetime will be shortened... then electric company
         | need to compensate owners
         | 
         | Or better yet, owners set their car to only "bid" for a grid
         | storage job when the cost-per-kWh is greater than the cost of
         | degradation.
         | 
         | This should be the default after enabling V2G.
        
           | theluketaylor wrote:
           | > The key is that you need a UI setting for "Immediately
           | charge to X%" and "Charge to Y% by Z:00." This avoids the
           | problem where you find yourself without enough charge to get
           | to work (or the local hospital).
           | 
           | I would be happy to let the grid operator decide when to
           | charge my EV, especially if I could inform them when I wanted
           | charge by and have an override button to be ready for road
           | trip departures.
           | 
           | I wonder how long it will be before the grid operators are
           | subsidizing parking lot operators and businesses to install
           | tons of smart L2 chargers so commuter vehicles are absorbing
           | all the excess solar power available mid-day that would
           | otherwise go to waste.
        
           | dahfizz wrote:
           | > Or better yet, owners set their car to only "bid" for a
           | grid storage job when the cost-per-kWh is greater than the
           | cost of degradation.
           | 
           | It would have to be substantially greater. I'm not going to
           | deal with reduced battery capacity and the hassle of
           | replacing it early for a couple of cents here and there.
           | 
           | Considering the extra cost of equipment to allow the EV to
           | send power to the grid, I don't think the economics will ever
           | work out.
        
             | schiffern wrote:
             | That's the great thing about choice: you can choose your
             | price! But it sounds like V1G might be a better choice for
             | you instead of V2G.
             | 
             | The economics don't work out _at the monthly average rate_.
             | That 's why storage only kicks in when spot prices are well
             | above average.
        
           | jakewins wrote:
           | Thank you for posting this. This focus on V2G is nuts.
           | 
           | We move huge volumes of our residential portfolio every day
           | just setting EV schedules - enough that our total residential
           | profile peaks at market bottom price hour nearly every day,
           | even in winter with lots of "dumb" heating load.
        
         | RetpolineDrama wrote:
         | Well they're paying you. In the recent tesla powerwall virtual
         | grid experiment people were printing like $60/day
        
         | sokoloff wrote:
         | If V2G is economically unattractive for car owners to
         | participate, they won't. That's fine but everyone involved
         | knows that. Peak power costs the utilities a substantial factor
         | over base load power generation. There's no reason to think
         | that the market will settle on "a retail kWh plus 20%" rather
         | than on "2-4x a retail kWh".
         | 
         | For $0.04/kWh, I'm not the least bit interested. For $0.40/kWh,
         | I'm probably indifferent. For $1/kWh, I'll buy another car (or
         | fixed battery) just to participate in this scheme.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | You are missing something: lifetime depends on how much you
         | cycle the battery. If you take the battery from 80% to 50% 5
         | times feeding the grid you do a lot less damage to the lifetime
         | than just one 100% to 0% cycle, even though the first supplied
         | more power overall to the grid. Smart management of batteries
         | can ensure that this happens.
        
           | smileysteve wrote:
           | For some really complex lithium battery theory, if you have
           | no long trips planned, the battery will have less wear
           | sitting at 80% than it will sitting at 100%.
        
             | brianwawok wrote:
             | Tesla UI in fact warns you if you set the charge level to
             | more than 90% for more than 1 day in a row. 90% is the
             | value they suggest.
             | 
             | I have so far "babied" my battery and max charge at 70%
             | outside of road trips. So far, my degradation is right on
             | track as average, which I assume is people doing the 90%
             | charge trick - so trying to outsmart the battery hasn't
             | worked for me yet.
        
               | dr-detroit wrote:
               | [dead]
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | Luckily, any degradation can all be predicted ahead of time.
         | 
         | A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge
         | cycles. So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs 8
         | cents.
         | 
         | So a smart algorithm can decide it's worth draining the battery
         | back into the grid if the profit to be made is more than 8
         | cents.
         | 
         |  _Buuuut_... Delaying charging till later is free. So another
         | car owner 's car might see on the futures market that delaying
         | charging starting from 6pm till 11pm might save a few cents.
         | 
         | Obviously that means it's most economically efficient for every
         | owner to do grid balancing merely by smartly delaying charges -
         | and in turn price fluctuations will rarely exceed 8 cents.
         | 
         | The component that is missing to make this happen is cars which
         | have code to automate this process, and markets in place that
         | have API's to let the car buy and sell energy, and futures in
         | energy, by the kwh. Users need not understand how it works -
         | they just tick the tickbox which says 'charge and discharge
         | smartly to minimize electricity costs'.
         | 
         | Today, those markets are typically only open to big players,
         | cars don't have a tickbox, and wall chargers typically won't
         | let a car put power into the grid.
        
           | punnerud wrote:
           | This already exist in Norway with the company Tibber, that
           | have more than 400.000 users. They do just that, let you
           | connect your EV so they adjust the charging and guarantee a
           | lower price.
           | 
           | The market they can buy and sell this capacity is called an
           | "aggregator", and they can earn more money on this then
           | selling just power.
        
             | mercutio2 wrote:
             | This is "let a large entity suck up much of the arbitrage
             | value, with a small fraction going to you", and already
             | exists in most countries.
             | 
             | Seems quite different from "your household is an autonomous
             | actor and you get almost all of the arbitrage value of
             | reducing peak consumption", which would be a radically
             | different system (but ignores who's going to pay for
             | distribution, which is getting closer and closer to being
             | the dominant cost of the grid).
        
           | dmurray wrote:
           | > A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge
           | cycles. So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs
           | 8 cents.
           | 
           | If you can really treat the whole cost of the battery as X
           | cents per charge cycle, disregarding the lifetime of the
           | car/battery, this won't work at grid scale. Someone else will
           | build a storage facility that just charges and discharges
           | batteries, and they will outcompete rational EV owners,
           | because they will have economies of scale and battery banks
           | designed for this use. It only makes sense if the EV owner
           | can somehow get charge capacity "for free" - eg the car will
           | be EOL after 1000 charges but the battery lasts 2000 - he
           | should sell the extra 1000. Or alternatively if getting 8c
           | now is better than getting 1 charge in several years time
           | (plausible if interest rates, energy futures prices etc are
           | right).
           | 
           | However, this could be wrong. The same logic says rooftop
           | solar can't exist without special subsidies, and a lot of
           | people disagree with me there.
        
             | scythe wrote:
             | >It only makes sense if the EV owner can somehow get charge
             | capacity "for free" - eg the car will be EOL after 1000
             | charges but the battery lasts 2000 - he should sell the
             | extra 1000.
             | 
             | Plug in the numbers. A charge cycle is probably around 200
             | miles (not even optimistic). That means that 1000 charge
             | cycles is 200000 miles. That's roughly the lifetime of a
             | car. However, I have heard anecdotes that EVs should last
             | longer, due to a simpler transmission, so this may be a
             | little up in the air.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | Power has two big costs: generation and distribution. Once
             | rooftop solar power is below the cost of distribution it
             | doesn't matter how much it costs to generate power; rooftop
             | solar is always going to be cheaper.
             | 
             | That milestone has been hit in some places Australia
             | already.
        
               | mercutio2 wrote:
               | I don't quite buy your argument.
               | 
               | If the system still depends on distribution, someone has
               | to pay for it.
               | 
               | It may be that rooftop solar users will be asked to pay
               | more for that distribution than they think is reasonable.
               | 
               | I'm sure not excited about my grid operator proposing a
               | $50/month minimum for electricity, it makes my panels
               | seem worthless. But there is logic; I was being
               | subsidized by net metering. And in future I may have to
               | pay a cost closer to the true cost of access to the
               | stability of the grid.
        
             | iso1210 wrote:
             | This does work today at grid scale, people use their home
             | batteries (either on wheels or not) to charge/discharge to
             | the grid in the UK all the time.
             | 
             | If someone builds that storage facility to do it
             | commercially then great.
             | 
             | > rooftop solar can't exist without special subsidies
             | 
             | Yet it does
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | There are special subsidies for rooftop solar here in the
               | US (Solar Investment Tax Credit). Are there not subsidies
               | for solar where you live?
               | 
               | https://www.seia.org/initiatives/solar-investment-tax-
               | credit...
               | 
               | > The solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC) is one of the
               | most important federal policy mechanisms to support the
               | growth of solar energy in the United States. Since the
               | ITC was enacted in 2006, the U.S. solar industry has
               | grown by more than 200x - creating hundreds of thousands
               | of jobs and investing billions of dollars in the U.S.
               | economy in the process.
        
               | philipkglass wrote:
               | The same link says:
               | 
               |  _The Section 48 commercial credit can be applied to both
               | customer-sited commercial solar systems and large-scale
               | utility solar farms. The rate is effectively at 30% until
               | Treasury issues guidance on new wage and apprenticeship
               | standards. Two months later, the rate will be at 6%, with
               | an additional 24% (for a total of 30%) available for
               | meeting these new labor standards._
               | 
               | So utility-scale solar farms can get the same 30% credit
               | as rooftop solar. They're both tax-advantaged compared to
               | (e.g.) building a new gas plant, but the rooftop credit
               | isn't any higher, at least not on the federal level.
               | Self-consumption from rooftop solar may avoid other
               | taxes, like sales tax, but in many states there is no
               | sales tax on residential electricity to begin with.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | The interesting question of there being a subsidy for
               | rooftop solar is the difference in subsidy to me between
               | my roof having solar panels or my roof not having solar
               | panels, not between my subsidy for my roof having solar
               | panels or someone else's for their field having solar
               | panels on it.
        
               | iso1210 wrote:
               | Not any more, other than no sales tax on the panels.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | ??
               | 
               | It's part of the "Inflation Reduction Act of 2022" (and
               | at a higher rate than before):
               | https://www.solar.com/learn/inflation-reduction-act/
        
               | fwungy wrote:
               | Subsidies are a terrible way to run energy policy because
               | they can change quickly with politics. Big players stay
               | away from big commitments to subsidy based markets.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Subsidies of "do this this year and we'll pay you $X"
               | work and are relied upon. Subsidies like the CF that was
               | the SREC market are indeed highly suspect and should not
               | be relied upon, as generators of SRECs can attest.
        
               | mercutio2 wrote:
               | I think you may have missed the point here.
               | 
               | Rooftop solar is heavily subsidized almost everywhere
               | it's popular. Rooftop solar isn't a good deal for
               | utilities or their non-rooftop-solar customers.
               | 
               | I say this as someone who lived off the grid on solar for
               | years; encouraging rooftop solar may have kickstarted the
               | learning curve for the solar panel industry, and as such
               | may have been pretty good social policy.
               | 
               | But it definitely owes its existence to subsidies.
               | 
               | These days grid scale solar makes lots of sense, rooftop
               | solar still doesn't (and the subsidies are now harder to
               | defend).
        
             | neallindsay wrote:
             | "X cents per charge cycle" is a bit simpler than the
             | reality. The actual wear cost of charging/discharging a big
             | EV battery is cheaper in the middle and more expensive at
             | the extremes.
             | 
             | I already have to own a car for short trips most days and
             | an occasional long trip. And when I'm not going on a long
             | trip I have a lot of extra battery capacity that I can rent
             | to the grid at extremely low (additional) cost to me.
             | 
             | A dedicated battery storage facility on the other hand has
             | to justify the entire price of the battery.
        
               | schiffern wrote:
               | I took their numbers only as a simplified illustrative
               | example to teach the idea.
               | 
               | A real deployed algorithm would estimate the "degradation
               | cost curve" over the entire DoD, and stop charging when
               | total (fully-considered) costs exceed revenue.
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | Rooftop solar outcompetes solar farms because energy from a
             | solar farm pays taxes and distribution costs before it is
             | delivered to a user. Whereas rooftop solar energy is
             | untaxed when it powers your laptop.
             | 
             | > It only makes sense if the EV owner can somehow get
             | charge capacity "for free"
             | 
             | The EV owner has the power electronics 'for free' - ie.
             | they have almost infinite lifespan, and just a capital
             | cost.
             | 
             | Additionally, the variations of energy prices on the grid
             | are really wide. There might be $100k/MWh for 5 minutes per
             | year. It isn't worth a static operator paying the capital
             | cost for the batteries (which also degrade with time) to
             | setup for 5 minutes use per year. But it does make sense
             | for the EV owner to do so, because his marginal cost is
             | tiny.
        
               | est31 wrote:
               | This reminds me of how in Germany, before there has been
               | a value added tax, there'd been a revenue tax. It was
               | lower, but you had to pay it on every $ of revenue, even
               | if your profit margin was very small. So a lot of
               | businesses started to vertically integrate. Once the
               | system switched to one where you get back the tax for the
               | things your business buys, businesses got broken up or
               | grew in only one of the steps of their supply chain.
        
               | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
               | > Rooftop solar outcompetes solar farms because energy
               | from a solar farm pays taxes and distribution costs
               | before it is delivered to a user.
               | 
               | This depends where you live and the size/efficiency of
               | your rooftop setup, right?
        
           | thrashh wrote:
           | It may be calculable, but is it economical? That 8 cents
           | isn't free. If the power company pays, that means customers
           | pay. If customers don't pay, society has to pay. There are
           | other power storage solutions like pumped hydro that don't
           | have to deal with battery chemistry degradation, for example,
           | but they have higher investment costs.
           | 
           | This study is great but a energy storage comparison study
           | that calculates total cost would tell us much more. Wouldn't
           | be surprised if the Department of Energy already has or is
           | [1]
           | 
           | [1] They do a lot of these studies already. i.e. https://iea.
           | blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-...
        
           | staringback wrote:
           | Let's hope you don't need to go anywhere urgently in the
           | middle of the night... oops not enough battery to make it!
        
             | schiffern wrote:
             | This is why you have an "always charge immediately to X%"
             | option in the UI. You set this to whatever range an
             | unexpected trip might require.
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34518188
             | 
             | If your life is so chaotic that this doesn't work for some
             | reason, don't turn on V1G
        
           | svggrfgovgf wrote:
           | People value things differently. You'd have to pay me way
           | more than the 8 cents/kwh it cost me to use my battery. I'd
           | want to be heavily compensated for the inconvenience of
           | replacing the battery or car prematurely.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | If I had a LiFePo4 battery that's good for 750,000 km I'd
             | be willing to accept less than 8c because there's no way
             | the rest of the car is going to last 750,000 km.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | You'd be willing to take around a penny per km of battery
               | lifespan? I accept your decision at face-value, but it
               | hardly seems worth it to me.
               | 
               | That might just inevitably conclude in "OK, I guess
               | others are willing to ask a lower price than I am, so I
               | won't be in a position to participate in a V2G scheme."
        
             | martin-adams wrote:
             | Plus the reduced range between new and replacement.
        
               | weard_beard wrote:
               | Plus my time and inconvenience of not having full range
               | transport at all times. The time of someone who can
               | currently afford an EV is more expensive than the time of
               | someone who cannot.
        
             | japaneseminisub wrote:
             | From GPs post its actually $5 plus 8c per KW.
             | 
             | That seems more reasonable for the owner, but no utility co
             | would pay it.
        
           | tzs wrote:
           | > A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge
           | cycles
           | 
           | After those 2000 cycles is the battery completely dead, or
           | does it still work but at a reduced capacity?
           | 
           | If it does still work at a reduced capacity, does continued
           | use reduce the capacity to 0 after a while, or does is
           | plateau at some fixed reduced capacity and stop further
           | degrading?
        
           | Maxion wrote:
           | This can be done by using a smart AC charger.
           | 
           | In europe (At least) the company Easee makes AC chargeres
           | that are WiFi / 4G enabled. In Sweden (And Norway) you can
           | connect them to a service like Tibber, which allows you to
           | automatically enable/disable charging with the electricity
           | price, assuming you have a spot price electricity contract.
           | 
           | https://tibber.com/en/product/easee
           | 
           | Easee chargers also have a pretty bitching API, so you can
           | also make your own automations using e.g. home assistant or
           | what have you.
        
           | danuker wrote:
           | It worries me that if industrial-purpose batteries cost the
           | same and have similar degradation, grid services will also
           | decide not to charge/discharge if the profit is less than 8
           | cents.
           | 
           | This tells me that Li-Ion batteries are far from the ideal
           | medium for grid storage.
        
             | theluketaylor wrote:
             | Most cars use NCA or NMC chemistry which has 500ish cycles.
             | Grid storage will soon use LFP which is cheaper to begin
             | with and has 5000+ cycles. It has a lower density than
             | other chemistries and very poor cold weather performance,
             | making it less ideal for vehicles (though Tesla is using it
             | in the standard range model 3 now). Those downsides don't
             | matter for grid storage and really change the economics of
             | charge/discharge.
        
               | appletrotter wrote:
               | > has 500ish cycles
               | 
               | That's on the low end, like if you're fully
               | charging/discharging the battery frequently.
        
             | wongarsu wrote:
             | For grid scale storage Li-Ion is a transitional technology
             | at best. It sees interest right now because it's quick to
             | deploy (unlike the much cheaper pumped hydro), and because
             | so much money had been pumped into Li-Ion research and
             | production that other battery technologies have a hard time
             | competing.
             | 
             | If it turns out people don't need all the cycles out their
             | car battery then there's value in capturing that, but new
             | large scale installations will move to other technologies
             | over the next decade or two.
        
             | tuatoru wrote:
             | There are various niches in grid storage.
             | 
             | Li-ion are good for frequency stabilisation: initial
             | response times of the order of ten milliseconds, run times
             | up to several tens of minutes maybe.
             | 
             | For longer durations, flow batteries and other chemistries
             | are probably better. They win because of very good cycle
             | life and calendar life (20_000 cycles, 50 years) but tend
             | to take longer to start up.
             | 
             | Flow batteries include vanadium redox, zinc-bromine, iron-
             | saltwater (being piloted). Other chemistries: sodium-sulfur
             | (NaS, developed by NGK and sold by BASF in Europe/NA),
             | carbon polymer based (PolyJoule), and a great number of
             | experimental types.
             | 
             | There are also thermal batteries and compressed air energy
             | storage, and pumped hydro.
             | 
             | Pumped hydro is by far the biggest form of grid storage
             | today and is not as limited by geography or cost as one
             | might think. It can be used in the "hours to months" range
             | of energy delivery durations.
        
               | mnw21cam wrote:
               | These up and coming battery types look fantastic, but
               | everyone seems to forget that lead-acid batteries are
               | already way better than Li-ion or LiFePo for non-mobile
               | energy storage, in terms of price per kWh stored.
        
             | devmor wrote:
             | Batteries are extremely inefficient. Capacitors are much
             | more resilient in terms of charge cycles (by orders of
             | magnitude).
             | 
             | If one were to build a "facility" to hold short term load,
             | that's likely what they'd use. They just can't be used in
             | cars because they're incredibly volatile and don't hold a
             | charge for a long period of time.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | capacitors are very low energy density and very high cost
               | per joule of storage so they are never used this way
        
               | antipotoad wrote:
               | The idea of super-capacitors in cars is positively
               | horrifying, knowing how explosive just the small ones can
               | be. At grid level though, is there anything that speaks
               | against them?
               | 
               | Edit: to answer my own question, they look pretty good
               | [1]. Significantly lower storage density than batteries
               | (roughly 50Wh/L versus 420Wh/L for Li-ion), but still
               | dense enough for this to be workable at grid level. The
               | linked presentation proposes converting decommissioned
               | power plants into grid-level capacitor storage
               | facilities, since the transmission switchyards are often
               | intact. Furthermore, all the technology is available
               | today, and when built, capacitors require almost zero
               | maintenance.
               | 
               | [1]: https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/piprod/docum
               | ents/Ses...
        
               | londons_explore wrote:
               | Todays grids don't have much need for energy storage on
               | the sub-10 second timeframe. Ie. there is rarely any
               | money to be made by taking power from the grid now and
               | returning it in 10 seconds.
               | 
               | For technical reasons, thats because the 'spinning
               | reserve' - which is momentum of every synchronous motor
               | and generator across the nation - already adequately
               | handles this.
               | 
               | Also, large generation stations are required to have a
               | 'load line' which damps high frequency oscillations. The
               | load line can best be described as 'whenever the grid
               | frequency starts slowing down, generators must put more
               | energy in automatically'. Things like wind and solar
               | typically don't have the ability to do that.
               | 
               | For human reasons, it's because electricity markets tend
               | to be minute by minute at most.
               | 
               | For all those reasons, I don't think you'll make any
               | money with capacitor energy storage banks (not to be
               | confused with capacitors for grid scale power factor
               | correction, which can be profitable).
        
               | danans wrote:
               | > Batteries are extremely inefficient. Capacitors are
               | much more resilient in terms of charge cycles (by orders
               | of magnitude). If one were to build a "facility" to hold
               | short term load,that's likely what they'd use
               | 
               | The problem is that capacitors (assuming you mean super
               | and ultra capacitors) don't have much capacity compared
               | to batteries, so their cost per MWH of storage is high
               | even if their cost per MW is low.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | > Delaying charging till later is free. So another car
           | owner's car might see on the futures market that delaying
           | charging starting from 6pm till 11pm might save a few cents.
           | 
           | Yeah, I think that's far more likely. I can also see the
           | possibility of a grid-mandated signal for "please, stop
           | charging for five minutes, we're at capacity".
        
           | trashtester wrote:
           | > Buuuut... Delaying charging till later is free.
           | 
           | This functionality is already there.
           | 
           | > So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs 8
           | cents.
           | 
           | This is quite much. If you add other infra overhead, feeding
           | power back into the grid is not going to produce much revenue
           | for the individual unless the selling price is maybe 20 cents
           | above the price when charging.
           | 
           | On the other hand, something that MAY make more sense, is if
           | the car battery can be used to provide power to the owner's
           | own house during short price peaks. This might allow some
           | savings even in stable grids, but the killer app would be in
           | grids that have rolling blackouts during high demand periods.
           | 
           | And even for grids where blackouts are infrequent, if your
           | car can serve as large UPS for your house (combined with a
           | large capacitor to keep the power stable), such functionality
           | in the charger may be worth the cost of the hardware for many
           | people. (Bringing the number of units up and hence the cost
           | per unit down over time.)
           | 
           | Still, though, for grid stability it is probably much better
           | to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid itself than to
           | use car batteries.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | For a blackout situation your car won't be of much help:
             | any inverter that is grid tied will refuse to come on as
             | long as there isn't a low impedance _functioning_ grid
             | connection present. Typically they 'll measure the
             | conditions for a minute or two, then make the connection
             | (you'll hear a relay trip) and then bit by bit the inverter
             | starts pushing power by advancing its on phase relative to
             | the grid. If that doesn't stay within very precise
             | parameters it will switch off, wait for a bit and try
             | again.
             | 
             | So you can forget about your car (or even most solar
             | inverters) to work during blackouts unless a couple of
             | things are present:
             | 
             | - a automatic grid disconnection switch (aka a transfer
             | switch)
             | 
             | - special firmware to allow the inverter to operate in 'off
             | grid' mode
             | 
             | Both Xantrex and Victron have inverters that can do this
             | but they are not normally deployed for such installations
             | and they wouldn't know what to do with your car battery
             | (voltage much higher than the ones that they require,
             | typically 48V max).
             | 
             | Growatt has some off-grid units too, but those still won't
             | satisfy the impedance requirements of your cars inverter
             | (the grid is 'too small' so it will fluctuate too much due
             | to high impedance).
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | kkfx wrote:
               | Fronius have hybrid inverter for 400V lithium batteries,
               | witch are essentially the same used in cars, the missing
               | part is the integration p.v. inverter-car's BMS.
               | 
               | Personally having an EV and a Victron inverter with
               | batteries and same vendor car charger I HATE the fact I
               | can't even adapt charging amps depending on p.v.
               | available power in AC charging.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | shagie wrote:
             | > And even for grids where blackouts are infrequent, if
             | your car can serve as large UPS for your house (combined
             | with a large capacitor to keep the power stable), such
             | functionality in the charger may be worth the cost of the
             | hardware for many people. (Bringing the number of units up
             | and hence the cost per unit down over time.)
             | 
             | https://www.tesla.com/sites/default/files/downloads/tesla-
             | ne...
             | 
             | > Warranty Limitations
             | 
             | > This New Vehicle Limited Warranty does not cover any
             | vehicle damage or malfunction directly or indirectly caused
             | by, due to or resulting from normal wear or deterioration,
             | abuse, misuse, negligence, accident, improper maintenance,
             | operation, storage or transport, including, but not limited
             | to, any of the following:
             | 
             | > ...
             | 
             | > Using the vehicle as a stationary power source
        
               | ben-schaaf wrote:
               | > All model year 2013 and newer Nissan Leafs are approved
               | for use with the FE-15 bidirectional charger, and the
               | automaker states that battery warranties will not be
               | affected.
               | 
               | https://www.theverge.com/2022/9/12/23349971/nissan-leaf-
               | bidi...
        
               | shagie wrote:
               | https://cleantechnica.com/2022/09/09/a-nissan-leaf-can-
               | power...
               | 
               | > Ideal for companies with fleet vehicles, the Fermata
               | Energy Demand Charge Management application, along with
               | the FE-15 charger, continuously monitors a building's
               | electrical loads, and may draw on the Nissan LEAF's
               | energy to provide power to the building during more
               | expensive high-demand periods. In states with utility
               | demand response programs, bi-directional-enabled Nissan
               | LEAF vehicles (MY2013 and later) are able to safely send
               | energy stored in the battery to the grid during peak
               | energy demand times, such as in summer months."
               | 
               | > The downsides to V2G tech are that it must degrade your
               | battery (to some extent or another) to be discharging and
               | charging more frequently, and it leaves your battery with
               | less charge at times when you may wish you hadn't
               | discharged at all. Some people will always take that
               | tradeoff, though, and it is great to simply have an
               | option on the table for consumers who really want V2G
               | tech. Stay tuned and watch this space.
               | 
               | > The article on the Fermata Energy/Nissan announcement
               | is not quite correct. It's for commercial use only - not
               | residential. The Nissan-approved FE-15 bidirectional
               | charger is available for commercial and government fleet
               | owners. https://www.fermataenergy.com/fe15-sales
               | 
               | ---
               | 
               | The other part is that this is grid supplemental charging
               | where there is already a steady main current to be
               | matched. If you are using it to power an island (home or
               | similar disconnected from the grid), it is a different
               | situation and would require completely disconnecting from
               | the grid with safety cutouts to make sure that when the
               | grid comes back on that the systems are not out of phase
               | and damage equipment.
               | 
               | Grid storage is a different (and arguably easier) problem
               | than home backup in the case of a blackout.
        
               | foobazgt wrote:
               | V2X (vehicle to grid, home, or load) is pretty new, but
               | there are some vehicles out there with it. Tesla is not
               | one of them. They seem to be more focused on solving
               | storage with powerwall. I don't know where that's good or
               | bad, but I do wish I could use my Tesla to jump another
               | dead EV.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | htag wrote:
             | > Still, though, for grid stability it is probably much
             | better to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid
             | itself than to use car batteries.
             | 
             | Why? Every kwh we can store using car batteries is a kwh of
             | dedicated grid storage we don't need to purchase. It can
             | increase the speed we add new storage on the grid. It is a
             | more efficient use of lithium and other precious metals.
             | This "smart charge" or "flex EV" is the type of incentive
             | utility companies can push, and something that would
             | decrease the amount of capital investments they need to
             | make.
             | 
             | I can imagine a few counter arguments for why dedicated
             | batteries are better, but nothing that convinces me. This
             | claim that dedicated batteries are better than car
             | batteries has little support in your comment and I would
             | like to understand why you believe this claim.
        
             | schiffern wrote:
             | >This functionality is already there.
             | 
             | Simple delayed charging with a timer is common, yes. The
             | grid interactivity part? Much less so.
             | 
             | The few V1G pilot programs out there have been very
             | encouraging.
             | 
             | >better to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid
             | itself than to use car batteries
             | 
             | Fortunately, it's not an either/or. We can better optimize
             | the total system cost by doing both.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | We really just need a standard. The j1772 includes data
               | lines. V2G is would literally be just controlling when
               | the cars battery is connected to the charge circuit.
        
           | EGreg wrote:
           | People measure stuff in terms of $ when they should be
           | looking at the global resources on the planet, the garbage
           | and the externalized costs. Until we move to a resource-based
           | economy that takes these into account, we'll be destroying
           | the planet while on paper the carbon credit accounting looks
           | perfect.
        
           | whazor wrote:
           | Here in EU, day ahead prices that are available to me as
           | consumer are now ranging from EUR0.18/kWh to EUR0.34/kWh in
           | the same day (winter). So that is 16 cents per kWh diff to
           | profit from. I guess there is some energy loss with charging
           | and de-charging.
           | 
           | Since prices a per day, announced the day before, the
           | algorithm is not that complicated.
           | 
           | Also, if I install solar panels, the electricity just goes
           | back into the grid, and I would get money for it. For the car
           | it would be the same, just reverse the electricity into the
           | grid. So it is mostly just the connecting the day-ahead
           | prices, plus the cars and wall chargers returning electricity
           | of-course.
        
           | Yizahi wrote:
           | Now that's an interesting idea. Let's see how it will unfold
           | globally. Maybe it will indeed be painless feature.
        
           | singhrac wrote:
           | The spread between wholesale energy prices between high and
           | low renewable times (with low-compared-to-future renewable
           | penetration) is around $20/MW (it's not $2 and it's not
           | _usually_ $200), or about $0.02 /kwh, so this isn't a viable
           | return. I doubt selling into the grid will ever get you
           | retail prices in return (someone had to maintain load power
           | lines).
           | 
           | I think people worry a lot about market access when it
           | doesn't make sense. The market operators cannot handle the
           | settlement and operations overhead of microscale power
           | generators. They are not offering reliable commitments, and
           | the metering just doesn't exist at the small scale. Your
           | local PG&E equivalent isn't equipped to operate an efficient
           | power market, I don't think.
           | 
           | For context - a "small" scale solar power plant is in the 10s
           | of MWs, which >1000x bigger then a car battery at full
           | output. Utility-scale storage is also in the same ballpark.
        
       | coding123 wrote:
       | Someone else's EV is going to charge mine at night
        
         | thehappypm wrote:
         | Yup. They'll be getting paid a nice markup to charge their
         | batteries cheaply during the day and sell it to you at night.
        
       | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
       | What a joke. Renewables intermittency is not a problem of a user,
       | but problem of the operator of renewable power plant. Government
       | should mandate that any renewable power plant must provide
       | installed power (i.e. 100MW) for at least 24 hours without
       | interruption, independently on weather and if it can't because
       | operator cheapen out on power plant's energy storage, sanction
       | them until bankruptcy.
        
         | KingOfCoders wrote:
         | What a joke. Every candy store should provide insulin free of
         | charge for 1% of customers.
        
           | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
           | We already have that, like when store have obligation to take
           | old electrical appliance for recycling when you buy new one.
        
       | NDizzle wrote:
       | ...grid scale?
       | 
       | Reminds me of CLOUD SCALE.
       | 
       | Avoid.
        
       | joshuanapoli wrote:
       | I'd guess that vehicle-to-grid will get not get past small-scale
       | trials. Not because of wear-out, but because the vehicles are
       | probably not located at the most ideal locations for the grid
       | operator.
        
       | gwbas1c wrote:
       | This really only makes sense for _short-term, emergency_ storage:
       | IE, if a major power plant suddenly goes offline, calling on EVs
       | to push power back into the grid for 10-60 seconds. This is
       | enough time for things like pumped storage and quick start
       | generators to come online. (It also wouldn 't cause noticeable
       | wear.)
       | 
       | Likewise, even disabling charging for a _short-term, emergency_
       | 10-60 second period might be more practical. Feeding back into
       | the grid requires additional complexity  / hardware that could
       | add cost to the consumer.
       | 
       | For day-to-day storage: As soon as someone goes to use their EV
       | in the morning, and they find out that the battery isn't full,
       | they're going to turn it off.
        
         | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
         | Exactly. This is just offloading of expensive energy storage to
         | consumers, so energy company can show bigger profits.
        
           | schiffern wrote:
           | "Quick, don't make the world more efficient! The _wrong
           | people_ might also benefit... "
           | 
           | This strikes me as the opposite of "planting trees whose
           | shade you'll never sit under." If the latter makes
           | civilizations great, where does the former attitude lead?
        
             | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
             | There is no reason to subsidize energy companies. They are
             | operating renewable power plants, which have intermittency
             | issues, they should be solving this problem. I don't see
             | any reason why I should be part of their problem of their
             | own making.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | They solve their problem by paying me money. I'm fine
               | with that. You don't have to get paid if you don't want
               | to.
        
       | causi wrote:
       | Even if you completely do away with concerns of battery wear, I'd
       | only be willing to participate in this as long as my household
       | still had an ICE vehicle to fall back on. When I get home and
       | plug the car in I don't want to have to think about whether I
       | might want or need to leave the house at a particular time with a
       | particular charge; I just want the charge to be as high as
       | possible as soon as possible.
        
         | dtech wrote:
         | That is going to be an expensive habit in the future once time-
         | variable pricing is the standard, which I think is inevitable.
         | Charging your car at 6PM is going to be super expensive
         | compared to 3 AM or 1 PM.
         | 
         | Also note you'll still have fast-chargers, you don't always
         | need to charge immediately at full capacity at home, just as
         | you wouldn't always top up on gas after every drive.
        
           | ffmpegy wrote:
           | Just a note for any UK readers that this is coming in sooner
           | than you think. There are already proposals on the Ofgem[1]
           | site to force mandatory half-hourly meter reads that mean
           | energy companies can offer pricing that more closely matches
           | demand.
           | 
           | https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/energy-policy-and-
           | regulation/policy...
           | 
           | don't want to be part of that? run your house off your EV and
           | charge it back up at night. my house takes about 6KWh a day,
           | so I could run it for almost a week from my car even if I
           | didn't charge it.
        
         | jonplackett wrote:
         | All you need is a 'no selling electricity today please' button.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Or "always leave me 150 miles of range".
        
             | gwbas1c wrote:
             | At that point it's cheaper to buy a car with a smaller
             | battery and use a stationary battery for grid storage.
        
               | goodpoint wrote:
               | No. You are going to charge up for longer trips e.g. on
               | holidays.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | I might want a car with 300 miles charge for vacations,
               | but most of the time be making trips to the grocery
               | store. The grid might only dip into my car's battery for
               | a 15-30 minutes at a time to prevent brown-outs while
               | power plants spin up.
               | 
               | There are plenty of scenarios where the EV makes more
               | sense than a dedicated battery for it.
        
               | guruz wrote:
               | You might be at work (away with car) while the midday sun
               | is filling your home battery.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Sure, if you have solar, by all means get a home battery
               | and enroll it in the same grid backup program. Makes
               | plenty of sense.
               | 
               | In my case, I live on a very shaded property; no solar
               | for me. I also live next to an electrical substation, so
               | extended outages from storms is highly unlikely; I'm
               | first on the fixed list every time. In my case, the home
               | battery doesn't make sense, but the EV might still.
               | 
               | EVs as grid storage is an _option_ that may be compelling
               | in _some_ areas and for _some_ people. I think that 's
               | worth exploring.
        
           | tsimionescu wrote:
           | How do you know when it is safe to activate?
        
           | ffmpegy wrote:
           | I use an app for my home heating that lets me define a
           | schedule every day. If I'm going out I can turn it down or
           | off, and if I have guests over I can boost the hot water.
           | 
           | It already has an EV charger plugin, so I'm in complete
           | control of my selling energy back to the grid if I want to
           | use it.
           | 
           | Some of the comments on this post feel like the "government
           | is coming for your guns" level of foaming-at-the-mouth.
           | 
           | Remember the ultimate aim is to use energy more efficiently
           | and reduce our dependency on fossil fuels, not make it
           | pointless or difficult to live life.
        
       | numbasys wrote:
       | If you're a consumer in the UK, and thinking about an EV,
       | consider Octopus Energy's Go tariff: https://octopus.energy/go/.
       | They also offer a salary sacrifice scheme to buy EVs:
       | https://octopusev.com/, because this grid-supplementing storage
       | is part of their offering, I think.
       | 
       | Concerns such as, "will my car be charged in the morning -- or
       | for that emergency hospital run?" are considered, I believe, and
       | you can set things like a "minimum charge" with smart chargers.
        
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