[HN Gopher] Paul Graham AI Essay Writer
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       Paul Graham AI Essay Writer
        
       Author : aubthread
       Score  : 57 points
       Date   : 2023-01-24 21:16 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.paulgrahamai.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.paulgrahamai.com)
        
       | gigel82 wrote:
       | This is really bad, looks like the kind of output you'd get from
       | a self-hosted GPT-2 instance: the article "contents" doesn't
       | include any reference to the given topic, it's just repeated
       | mumbo jumbo: https://www.paulgrahamai.com/recnOmtVDt9C4C8ss
        
         | aubthread wrote:
         | Yeah that's certainly a wonky result. What do you think would
         | cause that? My thoughts would be (i) the lack of content
         | specifically related to 'herding' or 'cats' or (ii) the ratio
         | of completions (~200) to completion-length (~2k words each) of
         | the fine-tune data. I'm new to this so appreciate any feedback.
        
       | aubthread wrote:
       | Thanks everyone for checking this out! Anyone at OpenAI here that
       | can expedite my limit increase request?
        
         | tomdekan wrote:
         | Good job! Some very funny pieces
        
       | osmyn wrote:
       | Great advice on minimizing distractions: You may be thinking 'I
       | can't just delete my browser or delete my PC.' But you can delete
       | your browser, or delete your PC, or move to a country where there
       | are no PCs. If you want to get things done, you have to be
       | willing to make sacrifices.
       | 
       | https://www.paulgrahamai.com/rect2Rp1eu7V1I8JG
        
         | aubthread wrote:
         | Haha! Only real ones understand.
         | 
         | This has echoes of his Disconnecting Distraction piece!
        
       | marzell wrote:
       | Well I asked for discussion about Smurfette as a sex symbol, and
       | instead I got an article about She-Ra, sexualization of cartoons,
       | and interesting discourse about Pixar and being able to do things
       | in animation that you can't do otherwise [0]. Still it was pretty
       | good even though it didn't mention Smurfs.
       | 
       | [0]https://www.paulgrahamai.com/recPKFXrH5aI6KUks
        
       | djha-skin wrote:
       | The output asking him to write an essay on "Lisp" is a real
       | gem[1]! There's some absurd things in there like "Lisp used to be
       | Scheme" but some real gems of insights like "most languages
       | weren't designed by their users, but Lisp kinda was". There is
       | also the obvious AI garbage nonsense like "MIT programmers are
       | people and people are MIT programmers" :P
       | 
       | 1: https://www.paulgrahamai.com/recAjXpYUQCDArMUT
        
         | aubthread wrote:
         | Haha I think you've summarized it well! I've gotten some gems
         | of one-liners, but often the arc of the essay is unintelligible
         | or facts are reversed.
         | 
         | On Sam Altman: "He's not just a fighter pilot. He's a
         | helicopter pilot."
         | 
         | On Stripe: "Online payments is a huge, broken mess. [...] And
         | once you've done it, you have to deal with a Byzantine
         | spaghetti of fraud detection, chargebacks, and so on."
        
       | djyaz1200 wrote:
       | (Example) How to Start a Successful Business January 2023 I've
       | been writing for a while about how to start a startup, and I've
       | noticed a pattern in the mistakes founders make. I thought I'd
       | write a little about what I think is the most common mistake,
       | because it's so easy to avoid.
       | 
       | The most common mistake founders make is to underestimate the
       | founders. They think they're smarter than they are.
       | 
       | This is the mistake I made when I started Viaweb. I thought I was
       | smarter than I was. I thought I could build a web application,
       | but what I actually built was a Lisp application that ran on a
       | web server. That was not what I wanted to build. Only when I
       | realized I couldn't build what I wanted did I switch to building
       | something I could build: the web.
       | 
       | (I was lucky to realize this when I did. I was only a few months
       | from running out of money.)
       | 
       | The reason this mistake is so common is that it's usually
       | harmless. It's usually harmless to overestimate your own
       | abilities. If you think you can do a 10 day project in 7 days,
       | and you're right, you save 3 days. If you think you can do a 10
       | day project in 4 days, and you're right, you save 6 days. The
       | difference between 7 days and 4 days is the same as the
       | difference between 4 days and 1 day. [1]
       | 
       | Only when you're building something new can underestimating your
       | own abilities be harmless. Only then can you be sure you're going
       | to hit a point where you realize you can't do what you thought
       | you could. And then you're in trouble. [2]
       | 
       | The reason founders make this mistake is that they're optimists.
       | It's the nature of founders to overestimate their own abilities.
       | They have to be. If they thought about how hard it would be to
       | start a successful startup, they'd never do it.
       | 
       | But it's not just founders who overestimate their own abilities.
       | It's everyone. This is a mistake that can only be made by people
       | who are both optimists and trying to do something new.
       | 
       | Fortunately, it's also a mistake that's easy to avoid. The reason
       | founders underestimate their own abilities is that they're
       | pessimists. They have to be. Otherwise they wouldn't be founders;
       | they'd be investors. So if you want to avoid this mistake, you
       | have to consciously take on some of the pessimism of a founder.
       | [3]
       | 
       | If you want to start a successful startup, you have to be as
       | pessimistic as a founder, but only about yourself. You have to be
       | as pessimistic as a founder about the chances of success, and as
       | optimistic as a founder about your own ability to make it.
       | 
       | Notes
       | 
       | [1] There is one case where overestimating your abilities can be
       | a good thing: when you're doing something you know you can do.
       | Then you can save time by underestimating.
       | 
       | [2] The reason this mistake is so dangerous when you're building
       | something new is that you're forced to make it at exactly the
       | worst time. You're forced to realize you can't do what you
       | thought you could at exactly the moment when you need to be able
       | to.
       | 
       | [3] There are two ways to be pessimistic. You can be pessimistic
       | about the chances of success, or you can be pessimistic about
       | your own ability to achieve it. I've found the latter to be more
       | effective.
       | 
       | For example, if you believe you can achieve a 10x improvement
       | over existing solutions, but believe there's only a 1% chance you
       | can succeed, you're overestimating your own abilities. You should
       | instead believe you can achieve a 10x improvement, but there's
       | only a 10% chance you can succeed.
       | 
       | In the first case you're overestimating your ability to achieve a
       | 10x improvement. In the second you're underestimating it. But the
       | second way of being pessimistic leads to the right answer.
       | 
       | For example, if you believe there's only a 10% chance you can
       | succeed, you should either not start a startup, or only start one
       | as a hobby. But if you believe there's only a 10% chance you can
       | achieve a 10x improvement, you should definitely start a startup
       | to try.
       | 
       | If you believe there's only a 10% chance you can achieve a 10x
       | improvement, you have a 90% chance of failing. But the payoff if
       | you succeed is not merely a 10x improvement. It's a 10x
       | improvement multiplied by the percentage of the market you
       | capture. So the expected value of the bet is a 100x improvement
       | in the world. Which is a good bet.
       | 
       | (There is a case where overestimating your ability to achieve a
       | 10x improvement is also a good bet: when you're so good at what
       | you do that
       | 
       | Thanks to John Collison, Patrick Collison, Elon Musk, and Geoff
       | Ralston for reading drafts of this.
       | 
       | Upvote this essay (+0)
        
       | Xeoncross wrote:
       | The Paul we didn't want but the product team said we needed
        
         | aubthread wrote:
         | If Paul were Clippy.
        
       | Arisaka1 wrote:
       | https://www.paulgrahamai.com/recERuX0piB0V6Xfa
       | 
       | I think I broke it? There's tons of repetition and then it fails.
        
         | aubthread wrote:
         | Oof, sorry about that. I guess being a great software engineer
         | isn't so straightforward :)
        
       | KajMagnus wrote:
       | It's hard to unsee these articles, isn't it?
       | 
       | Although I know it's AI generated nonsense (although fun to
       | read), it's as if parts of my brain believe it's for real, and
       | want to update themselves based on it.
       | 
       | Almost a bit scary. I cannot read the texts, without a feeling
       | that I get affected by them. -- The brain lacks a `--dry-run`
       | flag?
       | 
       | In the future: People will read AI generated nonsense, it'll
       | change their worldview, and once they learn that what they read
       | was AI nonsense -- their brain & beliefs have been altered
       | already, no undo.
       | 
       | (It's like that already, with ordinary news (or "news") media,
       | but now with AI, this can be mass produced)
        
         | panza wrote:
         | This is a good point. More and more people will unknowingly
         | encounter AI content and then feel disconcerted when learning
         | of that fact. It seems likely that it will lead to a general
         | distrust of the technology, insofar as the AI content contains
         | falsehoods.
         | 
         | I suspect we'll see new developments in systems and policies
         | relating to provenance.
        
         | Vt71fcAqt7 wrote:
         | Perhaps this will cause people to think for themselves more.
         | There will be no zeitgeist at all as there will be so many
         | diverging AI generated beleifs. Then again, people said the
         | same thing about the internet. But perhaps there still isn't
         | _enough_ diverse thought on the internet, just enough to force
         | people into their own echochambers. Maybe AI (ML, DL, whatever)
         | will force people out of these chambers somehow.
        
           | alach11 wrote:
           | > Perhaps this will cause people to think for themselves more
           | 
           | Seems more likely that people will think whatever the best-
           | funded and operated LLMs tell them to believe.
        
       | insane_dreamer wrote:
       | Paul is writing ... window hangs for me after countdown reaches
       | 0:00 but maybe it's just overloaded. Or maybe Paul is
       | overthinking the writing on this one.
        
       | belter wrote:
       | In the late 19th century Native Americans' refused to have their
       | photo taken, fearful the process would steal a person's soul and
       | own nature. How prescient of them, to know 100 years later, the
       | algorithms would be coming. To chew on our photos, average our
       | voice, scan our faces, integrate and differentiate our words,
       | generalize our gait and demeanor, generalize our ideas into a
       | multilayered deep network that completely steals all our essence
       | and soul. We are destined to be cloned into thousands of insipid
       | Agent Smiths. :-( I say we burn it now....
        
       | unoti wrote:
       | I'd be interested to hear about how the infrastructure works, the
       | queueing, the storage, how it's hosted, how it's throttled...
        
       | desireco42 wrote:
       | It's hilarious, I got some really fun results.
       | 
       | https://www.paulgrahamai.com/recNhTl3FeA0hHt9f
        
         | danbolt wrote:
         | I think once you get to the third paragraph, it's best to start
         | scrolling down quickly, sampling the opening sentence of each
         | successive one. Then, imagine a few HN comments speaking praise
         | to such lucid and profound analysis.
        
           | notahacker wrote:
           | > Then, imagine a few HN comments speaking praise to such
           | lucid and profound analysis.
           | 
           | Feels like praising Paul's thoughts on a topic with a
           | surreptitious link to the AI version should be the HN
           | equivalent of rickrolling in future.
           | 
           | (I'd link an essay on never giving you up, but it's let me
           | down by not generating one)
        
       | jasonjmcghee wrote:
       | Heads up - getting a 502 when I tried to use it.
        
       | aubthread wrote:
       | I turned GPT-3 into PGT-3. Browse or create essays using a model
       | fine-tuned to Paul's 200+ essays. Sorry Paul!
        
       | andrewstuart wrote:
       | This validates what Paul Graham has been saying about AI and
       | quality of writing.
        
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       (page generated 2023-01-24 23:01 UTC)