[HN Gopher] The failed promises of tech liberation
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       The failed promises of tech liberation
        
       Author : freedsoftware
       Score  : 57 points
       Date   : 2023-01-23 19:39 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (flux.community)
 (TXT) w3m dump (flux.community)
        
       | lapinot wrote:
       | Ahh. Refreshing to see some people talking about class politics
       | on hn.
        
       | Guthur wrote:
       | I'm sure the same promises were made to the Greeks and Romans as
       | their institutions of governance were slowly bought out before
       | their very eyes.
       | 
       | Aristotle wrote about this inevitable path of democracy. It's
       | happened before and we've wilfully ignored those lessons.
        
         | freedsoftware wrote:
         | Got a link with a discussion of his theories? I would find that
         | interesting to see.
        
           | Guthur wrote:
           | He mentioned it briefly in his book/notes on rhetoric. It was
           | from a free audio book.
           | 
           | I've only started my exploration of Aristotle.
        
       | ed-209 wrote:
       | Everyone agrees socials are the scourge of the net, amplifying
       | the most hyperbolic trash available, but they (seem to)
       | increasingly just accept this to have been inevitable (or more
       | erroneously, they blame human nature itself lol). This is
       | actually worse than wrong because it creates apathy and
       | hopelessness that re-enforce the problem. It's not difficult to
       | find out who funded these virtual gulags or to imagine what
       | motivated them to seek re-centralization.
        
       | t43562 wrote:
       | I would have thought that computer scientists would not really
       | fall into debates about "centralisation" or "decentralisation"
       | when we're so busy changing from one strategy to the next in CPU
       | and software designs. At the broadest level first it was
       | mainframes, then client server, now it's all in a kind of giant
       | mainframe again which we just call a cloud service provider and
       | yet it's not exactly monolithic.
       | 
       | Why would politics ever be free of debate about what is best with
       | centralised or decentralised human organisation?
       | 
       | Lets just say that those who think they know best about
       | everything will be for centralisation at the extreme if they
       | think they can succeed in dominating others or decentralisation
       | in the extreme if they think they cannot.
        
       | freedsoftware wrote:
       | This is a long-form podcast with Richard Barbrook, the co-author
       | of "The Californian Ideology," a 1995 critique of what later
       | became the dominant ethos of the tech industry.
       | 
       | Lots of interesting history, including a discussion of how
       | Minitel, the French precursor to the web, created a more
       | sustainable form of techno-capitalism even though it was created
       | by the state-owned phone company.
        
       | jimmySixDOF wrote:
       | Title reminds me of how Zhou Enlai replied to someone "Too early
       | to say" when asked his opinion on the French Revolution
        
         | Sniffnoy wrote:
         | Note that he didn't actually say that -- or rather, he did say
         | that, but not in reference to the French Revolution:
         | https://mediamythalert.com/2011/06/14/too-early-to-say-zhou-...
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Recent and related:
       | 
       |  _The Californian Ideology (1995)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34287603 - Jan 2023 (92
       | comments)
       | 
       | Also:
       | 
       |  _The Californian Ideology_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33991057 - Dec 2022 (1
       | comment)
       | 
       |  _The Californian Ideology (1995)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29444538 - Dec 2021 (1
       | comment)
       | 
       |  _The Californian Ideology (1995)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22088216 - Jan 2020 (1
       | comment)
       | 
       |  _The Californian Ideology (1995)_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15992151 - Dec 2017 (95
       | comments)
        
       | freedsoftware wrote:
       | Here's a link to "The Californian Ideology" if you haven't read
       | it:
       | 
       | http://www.metamute.org/editorial/articles/californian-ideol...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | glitchc wrote:
         | Thanks for sharing this. Paints a clear picture of how deluded
         | the technocrat class is.
        
       | zozbot234 wrote:
       | The global village is basically here, courtesy of social media
       | like TikTok (which did not come from California). What we didn't
       | expect was that the village idiots would also come along.
        
         | donatj wrote:
         | And that the loudest village idiots get the most attention.
        
           | quickthrower2 wrote:
           | And there are training courses on being a village idiot so
           | you can be heard too!
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | Surely you aren't referring to all the "how to become an
             | influencer" courses?
        
             | intelVISA wrote:
             | Agile methodology(tm)
        
         | didericis wrote:
         | Some of us did expect that. The initial techno optimism about
         | global connectivity that I think really picked up during the
         | 90s (all of this was before my time, correct me if I'm wrong
         | about timing) always seemed doomed to this particular end given
         | the lack of segmentation. You can't have a village with 8
         | billion people.
         | 
         | I distinctly remember a period when the iPhone came out and the
         | high score leaderboards for certain apps went from like a
         | couple thousand to tens of thousands to like a million. I
         | realized this kind of connectivity is going to select for a
         | tiny percentage of hyper competitive winners. Those people are
         | mixed in with _billions_ of people not used to operating in
         | that kind of a space. More and more people are being forced
         | into a competition they don 't really want to be a part of. The
         | rooms are way too big and way too flat to allow for proper self
         | selection and sorting into like minded peer groups at similar
         | levels. They make 99% of people miserable, including many of
         | those at the top who need to work ungodly hard to maintain
         | positions that used to be more secure due to less global
         | exposure.
         | 
         | What you _can_ do is create a village of about 200 people and
         | their networks with a much more interesting and larger set of
         | like minded people than what your geography limits you to, and
         | self select and bypass gatekeepers to create new and emergent
         | communities beyond anything people might have dreamed or
         | expected. But that requires a kind of community maintenance and
         | segmentation that we haven 't figured out how to do yet.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | Well, take HN. HN was that - not a couple hundred, but maybe
           | a few thousand. And it was a high quality community, and
           | therefore worth being a part of. And therefore it grew.
           | 
           | And as it grew, it became a more attractive target for
           | zealots, propagandists, and trolls. And as it became a larger
           | community, it became - to some degree - a diluted one.
           | 
           | Metcalf's Law says that the value of a network is
           | proportional to the square of the number of users. V = k N^2.
           | 
           | AnimalMuppet's Law, which takes into account the greater
           | attractiveness of larger networks to those whose activities
           | _destroy_ value, says that you must subtract a term
           | proportional to the fourth power of the number of users: V =
           | k N^2 - K N^4. Depending on the values of k and K, there will
           | be some optimal number N of users, beyond which the value
           | stops growing - or, beyond which the value _to each user_
           | stops growing.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | I think what makes technology so hard to be optimistic about
           | is that there are two sides of the coin. There is the side
           | that this is a utility for our species, that tech should
           | exist to serve us better, that things should get more
           | efficient and take less time. That side exists entirely in
           | opposition to the other side of the coin, that is most likely
           | to win out as its the more profitable side. That is the side
           | that tech is merely a product to be marketed like any other,
           | that it should further a profitable status quo versus
           | introduce something new that might not be as profitable, that
           | taking up more users time is more profitable because you can
           | monetize more of it, etc.
           | 
           | All the incentives of our society, are aligned to give us a
           | lot more of the latter sort of products, and not much of the
           | former. Imagine if the wheel were invented today; how many
           | times will a dozen companies have reinvented it in ten years
           | time trying to get around the patent, each with their own
           | patentable twists to the idea? I don't believe this sort of
           | thinking can be sustainable for long.
        
         | kelseyfrog wrote:
         | You just have to internalize social realism.
         | 
         | Intelligent discourse is a losing proposition. In the social
         | market, whatever captures people's interest _is_ definitionally
         | speaking the most important social thing. If intelligent
         | discourse isn't capturing social attention then it's not
         | socially valuable.
         | 
         | This shouldn't be news to anyone familiar with Society of the
         | Spectacle. If you want sorcery over the spectacle, there are
         | much better ways than pining for intelligent discourse.
        
         | Apocryphon wrote:
         | Who's more idiotic? The village idiot, or the idiot who forgot
         | about Eternal September?
        
         | version_five wrote:
         | With the utmost respect, the above post is ironic because it's
         | exactly the sort of shallow, snappy internet post (I make them
         | too) that's the opposite of what good "public square" social
         | media discourse should look like, and it ends up as the top
         | post. It's the incentive structure that's inherent in social
         | media that means it's doomed to fail as a method of intelligent
         | discussion from day 1. Maybe this is what "the medium is the
         | message" means, I never really understood it.
        
           | jstarfish wrote:
           | Time theft of the future will involve couching a simple
           | concept (that could be explained in a single sentence) in
           | paragraphs of ChatGPT vomit, just to make it look more
           | substantive and "intelligent."
           | 
           | SEO has worked this way for years. It helps nobody.
        
           | worldsayshi wrote:
           | What if each user gets a fixed number of vote points per
           | month? You can vote as many times you like but the more you
           | vote the less each vote weight.
           | 
           | This can be an example of how social media incentive
           | structure can be iterated on.
           | 
           | The main problem is that social media gets very few
           | iterations on the fundamental stuff because you have to build
           | a new audience for each attempt, or risk loosing the one that
           | has already bought into your existing algorithm.
           | 
           | What if a social media platform could be built where "the
           | algorithms" were user created plug-ins that users could
           | subscribe to? Each "subreddit" with their own set of
           | algorithms.
        
           | LarryMullins wrote:
           | > _Maybe this is what "the medium is the message" means, I
           | never really understood it._
           | 
           | I think you get it. The nature of the medium itself changes
           | people, not just the sort of content that is being delivered
           | through that medium. TV puts people into couch potato
           | trances. Karma-oriented commenting systems have people alter
           | their beliefs to align with the popular majority. Anonymous
           | commenting systems have people act bolder and ruder, etc.
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | In my view a terse, mildly irritated comment is an entirely
           | appropriate response to the sort of aimless rambling we see
           | in pieces like the OP. I'm sympathetic to those who think a
           | "public square" should strive for a good balance, but length
           | is just not a meaningful correlate to "intelligent
           | discussion".
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | Tiktok is a specific kind of entertainment, nothing more, and
         | hardly a medium to debate ideas. Maybe twitter is a more
         | engaged kind of crowd but there too, the people making the
         | loudest voice get preferential treatment. But certainly the
         | global village does exist and this podcast is even a good
         | example of it.
        
         | aaron695 wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | gsatic wrote:
         | What type of villagers have contempt for the village idiots?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | MisterBastahrd wrote:
         | TikTok?
         | 
         | Try AOL. Eternal September has the name it does for a reason.
        
       | AstixAndBelix wrote:
       | The amount of people who cannot keep track of their money with a
       | simple Excel sheet is astonishing. Heck, scratch that, people
       | don't even keep track of their money with a calculator or even
       | pen and paper.
       | 
       | And yet, keeping an eye on your money and seeing where it flows
       | is an incredible tool to adjust your spending and maybe save up
       | where it matters and afford to step up your game.
       | 
       | Technology without education is borderline useless, the
       | liberation will always lie in spreading knowledge.
        
         | Shared404 wrote:
         | > Technology without education is borderline useless, the
         | liberation will always lie in spreading knowledge.
         | 
         | Tech without education is worse than useless - it provides
         | access to a non-stop dopamine drip which stops people from
         | seeking education.
        
       | jerryu wrote:
       | Decentralization is over hyped. People think they want
       | decentralized but they really don't.
        
         | slenocchio wrote:
         | Decentralization works when the incentives work.
        
         | GenericDev wrote:
         | You do not speak for me. I want decentralization, self hosting,
         | and the right to repair. The modern technology ecosystem has
         | failed me in every one of these areas.
        
           | dymk wrote:
           | GP may not speak for you, but they do speak for 99.9% of
           | users. How'd the whole Mastodon migration go? Seems to have
           | fizzled.
        
             | dale_glass wrote:
             | Mastodon has a very decent user base, and recently expanded
             | very significantly. For me that is enough.
        
             | aliqot wrote:
             | I don't use twitter or mastodon, so I consider it a
             | significant sign that I keep seeing so many of my peers and
             | people whose content I read showing up on Mastodon. I
             | consider myself impartial. That's just n=1 from my
             | perspective, but it's a datapoint nonetheless considering
             | I'm the least likely to be exposed to this.
        
             | wahnfrieden wrote:
             | Mastodon doesn't speak for decentralization
        
               | nobody9999 wrote:
               | >Mastodon doesn't speak for decentralization
               | 
               | That's kind of the point, IMHO.
               | 
               | Mastodon doesn't _speak_ for decentralization, it _is_
               | decentralized. And that 's not really splitting hairs
               | here, it's an important distinction.
               | 
               | I _could_ set up a Mastodon instance (although
               | Writefreely[1] and Pixelfed[2] are more my speed) that
               | advocated for centralized _everything_. I could even ban
               | folks who argue for decentralization and delete any
               | comments they make in favor of same.
               | 
               | It's a tool that allows folks to speak for themselves,
               | without a central corporate authority dictating what's
               | acceptable and what isn't.
               | 
               | If you don't like a particular Fediverse[0] instance,
               | move to another one or set one up for yourself.
               | 
               | [0] https://fediverse.party/
               | 
               | [1] https://writefreely.org/
               | 
               | [2] https://fediverse.party/en/pixelfed/
        
         | saidinesh5 wrote:
         | We all had answering machines back in the day to hold our voice
         | mail.
         | 
         | There's no reason we have to entrust all our
         | emails/photos/media to big companies that actively spy on us,
         | mine us for more data and in general act against our interests.
         | 
         | If things are convenient enough (i.e.. "just plug in this box
         | into your router and use this address to access your own
         | everything without fiddling with manual backups, network
         | configuration, security, ddos, power outages, spam etc.." ), I
         | genuinely believe that people would prefer that to "trusting
         | big tech with all our data".
         | 
         | I mean i still remember how people made fun of Google for
         | scanning through our emails to show us ads. The price we have
         | paid for convenience is very high imo.
        
           | jayd16 wrote:
           | This a pretty bad example considering people chose
           | centralized voicemail when available.
        
             | BitwiseFool wrote:
             | To be honest "choosing" voicemail is something that has
             | never once crossed my mind. It has always been "just there"
             | as a part of every cell phone I have ever owned.
        
         | jayd16 wrote:
         | I don't know... I think there's a middle ground where we can
         | have a decentralized base with large players that add
         | convenience for naive users. Email is a successful
         | decentralized service. The issue is navigating the risks to
         | lock-in and embrace-extend-extinguish tactics from the larger
         | players in the space.
        
         | rektide wrote:
         | Your arguments would be more compelling & discussable, if you
         | had any support or contentions you made.
         | 
         | As such, all I can say is: I disagree. We've had difficulty
         | emerging a resillient reliable & compelling path, but we also
         | have spent so many many orders of magnitude less trying, since
         | inherently most creators want & seek control & arent interested
         | in expanding the viable modes of compute.
        
         | atoav wrote:
         | Who do you mean with _people_? Customers?
         | 
         | If we forget about the web for a second and imagine a mostly
         | analog world, people running small businesses have _a ton_ of
         | things they do without having to rely on centralized services.
         | The reason for that is that there is a ton a small business
         | _can_ do themselves with just a little research. People don 't
         | choose centralized over decentralized because they carefully
         | weigh one against the other, they choose centralized because it
         | is the only way they see themselves skinning that cat.
         | 
         | If you ask me, the sole reason for people not running their own
         | services is because the whole world fucked up education around
         | how to actually do that. Someone invented the typewriter and it
         | got a teaching subject at schools because offices needed people
         | who were able to type. We failed to do the same for how to
         | actually use a computer to solve problems. Sure, there are
         | benefits to hand writing, but given that in 2023 much of the
         | correspondence and work happens digitally, surprisingly little
         | thought goes into how to translate this into an adequate
         | education on a big scale.
        
         | jerryu wrote:
         | Sorry!
         | 
         | What I meant to say was that... everyone wants decentralization
         | but few are willing to take the responsibility if/when
         | something goes wrong because of their own fault.
         | 
         | I wish I had more time right now to contribute to this
         | discussion but regardless of what arguments I present, this
         | debate cannot be solved. It's like a debate on pros/cons of
         | social security. I trust myself to handle my retirement and I
         | wish I could opt out of SS contributions. But no...
        
         | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
         | I think people want decentralization, all else equal.
         | Unfortunately, like most things in life, we don't have a way to
         | just change that but keep all else equal.
        
         | dqpb wrote:
         | Fun fact, our economy is decentralization and it's done more
         | for society than anything else has.
        
         | kradroy wrote:
         | I partially agree. People do want decentralization but don't
         | want the responsibility of maintaining and moderating those
         | systems. And in the end they, the passive consumers, end up
         | with the same situation they were in when the systems they
         | consumed were centralized.
         | 
         | Decentralization is just the tech equivalent of HOAs.
        
           | stjohnswarts wrote:
           | How in the world is decentralization like HOAs?
           | Decentralization would be more like a neighborhood without an
           | HOA, requiring more order and planning is what an HOA does as
           | it centralized command of the neighborhood rather than
           | leaving it up to the individual homeowners.
        
         | travisgriggs wrote:
         | This is sort of a hollow claim though, to me.
         | 
         | It's like saying "Less sugar is over hyped. People think they
         | want less sugar, but they really don't."
         | 
         | Both statements are actually true. My body craves sugar. It's
         | in my biology. It would eat itself to death if I let it. But
         | the larger system that is me does want less sugar. And to live
         | in a world, where gods producers didn't operate under the
         | inevitable "if you add sugar they'll eat more of it."
        
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       (page generated 2023-01-23 23:01 UTC)