[HN Gopher] The Ghosts of Kennan
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       The Ghosts of Kennan
        
       Author : Thevet
       Score  : 18 points
       Date   : 2022-12-29 19:24 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.foreignaffairs.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.foreignaffairs.com)
        
       | miguelazo wrote:
       | >What he did understand was diplomacy and statecraft.
       | 
       | There are few, if any, people left in the federal government who
       | understand these things. Least of all in the upper echelons of
       | the State Department. They are mostly just careerist technocrats
       | who have bought into the arrogant neocon illusion best captured
       | by Karl Rove:
       | 
       | "We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality.
       | And while you're studying that reality -- judiciously, as you
       | will -- we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you
       | can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're
       | history's actors . . . and you, all of you, will be left to just
       | study what we do."
       | 
       | These days we get better diplomacy and restraint from the
       | Pentagon leadership, ironically.
        
         | 082349872349872 wrote:
         | (a) interesting that he wished to unfreeze the Cold War. Unlike
         | Kennedy and Khrushchev*, however, Kennan managed to avoid
         | getting cancelled.
         | 
         | (b) viewing action as its own virtue was one of Mussolini's
         | tropes: neo- something other than -con.
         | 
         | * the pair of whom, in a different time line, might have
         | managed it?
         | 
         | > _... a new endeavour, not a new balance of power, but a new
         | world of law, where the strong are just and the weak secure and
         | the peace preserved._ -- JFK
         | 
         | [Edit: looks like the wake of McCarthy caught Kennan. So he may
         | not exactly have been cancelled, but reading between the lines
         | I suspect that's how he wound up an academic (the modern
         | equivalent of sent to a monastery?)]
        
         | thriftwy wrote:
         | Whoa, that's the landscape monologue from Russian DMB movie!
         | 
         | What year was that?
         | 
         | ...while the enemy is plotting their assault, we change the
         | landscape, even manually. When the attack starts, the enemy is
         | lost on unfamiliar terrain and loses ability to fight. That's
         | the reason, that's our strategy...
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | if it was the original DMB, that was 2000; "Rove" was 2004 (I
           | don't know if he's admitted ownership)
           | 
           | As mentioned in a sibling comment, however, elevating "men of
           | action" over "eggheads of reality" has the sort of history
           | that Ezra Pound celebrated in the mid-1900s. IIRC there was a
           | substantially-sized war fought over the principle at the
           | time?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | paganel wrote:
         | I'm now reading an interview book with this most excellent
         | gentleman, Alexandre de Marenches [1] (the book was published
         | in the late 1980s, the gentleman has passed away in the
         | meantime), who used to be head of for French foreign services
         | in the 1970s (among many other things he did in his life). Even
         | back then he was saying pretty much the same thing, i.e. that
         | in the whole free West there were at most 10 people who really
         | understood diplomacy and how geopolitics works, and Kissinger
         | was one of them.
         | 
         | Back to the current intellectual nous (or lack thereof) of the
         | current State Department, is telling when you compare how much
         | Kennan intellectually prepared himself prior to him getting
         | posted to Moscow in the 1930s to the low level of intellectual
         | discourse coming from present-day State Department luminaries.
         | 
         | Kennan actually took a dive in the dark and visited inland
         | Russia just to experience it and its people, and all this
         | during Stalin's times, during the purges. Something tells me a
         | guy like McFaul (former US ambassador to Moscow) would have
         | never done that, has never done that, but that hasn't stopped
         | him from writing a book on Russia which is taken seriously by
         | some powers that be.
         | 
         | As you say, the only hope for the West, from an intellectual
         | coupled with an understanding of geopolitics pov, comes from
         | the Pentagon people.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexandre_de_Marenches
        
       | cafard wrote:
       | His memoirs are well worth reading, as is _Sketches From a Life_.
        
         | ArtWomb wrote:
         | IAS houses the Kennan collection, and no doubt there are hidden
         | treasures, like Oppenheimer's file:
         | 
         | https://albert.ias.edu/handle/20.500.12111/2604
         | 
         | Kennan was pivotal I think in helping to "go" the Manhattan
         | Project:
         | 
         | Oral History Interview of George F. Kennan, February 27, 1990
         | 
         | https://albert.ias.edu/handle/20.500.12111/627
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | > _The Cold War might not have taken the forms it did if we
           | had known what the other people were really doing instead of
           | acting on the basis of our own worst fears. And I 've become
           | convinced that our government is not a government in which
           | things should be done in secret, for better or for worse. If
           | that's a limitation, it's a limitation that comes from the
           | nature of our society._ -- GFK
           | 
           | (Linebarger also has some sorrow concerning over-secrecy in
           | his _Psychological Warfare_ )
           | 
           | ====
           | 
           | also an interesting discussion of the role of money ("the
           | golden rule") in US politics, ca. 1950s
           | 
           | ====
           | 
           | > _I don 't see quite the same number of really great and
           | revered older scholars that seemed to be around when I first
           | came [to IAS]. Of course, we owed a lot of those to Hitler
           | and to Stalin who pushed them out into our society. They were
           | really great European scholars. There are not so many of
           | those, it seems to me, in this country._ -- GFK
        
       | AlbertCory wrote:
       | Quite interesting. I'm not left with any strong impression of
       | what Kennan actually would have _done_ had he attained any power.
       | "Inchoate yearnings" seems to best describe his thoughts.
       | 
       | Creating an unelected council of wise men because the people
       | aren't capable of governing themselves -- if that was his best
       | idea, you can see why he left the government and was continuously
       | unhappy about everything, even being proven right in 1989.
       | 
       | As for diplomacy and negotiating, JFK said, "Let us never
       | negotiate out of fear. But let us never fear to negotiate." I
       | think that sums it up pretty well.
        
         | pphysch wrote:
         | > Creating an unelected council of wise men because the people
         | aren't capable of governing themselves -- if that was his best
         | idea, you can see why he left the government
         | 
         | Bilderberg Group, Atlantic Council, World Economic Forum, and
         | Trilateral Commission all popped up within a decade of him
         | leaving government. While he didn't implement "his" idea, the
         | next generation certainly did.
        
           | AlbertCory wrote:
           | and your point is... ?
           | 
           | We can go back to Plato for an earlier expression of that
           | idea.
           | 
           | Those groups you cited all have _unofficial_ power, and they
           | 're all intensely controversial.
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | Yeah, but only because giving them official power would be
             | horrible optics in America particularly.
             | 
             | Those organizations are _de facto_ where Western policy has
             | been shaped for 50+ years.
        
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