[HN Gopher] Be wary of imitating high-status people who can affo...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Be wary of imitating high-status people who can afford to
       countersignal
        
       Author : jger15
       Score  : 421 points
       Date   : 2022-12-11 12:43 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (robkhenderson.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (robkhenderson.substack.com)
        
       | ngoilapites wrote:
       | On the first place why is this title so evocative?
        
       | motohagiography wrote:
       | Not going to university or dropping out of it is the most
       | expensive countersignal of all, and it also knocks away the
       | ladder for people who might try to follow you into your chosen
       | endeavour.
       | 
       | I've been articulating this dynamic for a long time and tell
       | anyone who thinks I am an example that it's a terrible example to
       | follow - mostly because the countersignals become the signal, as
       | really, if you really want to prove how smart you are, go win a
       | Fields medal, or perhaps you have a cancer cure to help my
       | friend, or maybe you can make something somebody else actually
       | wants for a change - and if you aren't that smart, then maybe you
       | should work less on seeming smart and more on demonstrating you
       | are good at something and use the opportunities that come from
       | the respect of your competence and ability to share it with
       | others, instead of affecting the aura of brilliance at being a
       | failed or frustrated genius. These admonishments are as much to
       | myself as anyone else who resembles them.
       | 
       | Countersignals are vulgar artifacts of the 90s that a bunch of
       | nouveau middle class people are just starting to figure out now,
       | and they only fool rubes and are a way to figure out who to
       | follow and how to climb socially, but never how to do something
       | beautiful or great. I call them fart-connoisseurs because I know
       | what it is like to be one. These days I use this quote a lot,
       | which is, "Don't be so humble, you aren't that great."
       | 
       | When I'm great, I will be humble. Until then, check out how
       | awesome my effort that yielded something objectively crappy is,
       | and even though it's not above criticism, it did the job, which
       | is more than brilliance ever did. Maybe that is knocking the
       | ladder away too, but that ladder went nowhere anyway. :)
       | 
       | Big fan of Rob Hendersons newsletter. Recommend.
        
       | mmaunder wrote:
       | Wealth signaling and its effects are rather depressing. People
       | going into debt to buy a Rolex and a sports car to create the
       | illusion of success is bad enough. Someone falling for an
       | individual mismanaging their own finances to create a lie is
       | quite sad.
       | 
       | I was listening to a pop station yesterday and a song was playing
       | that was like a top 5 of fashion brands, they way the singer kept
       | listing them off. So I think elements of our culture pressure
       | people into doing this kind of painful signaling.
       | 
       | I think signaling or counter signaling should be avoided if you
       | want to preserve your sanity. Find something you're passionate
       | about and find others who feel the same. Hang out. Make best
       | friends. Date. Get married. Be happy.
        
         | TrackerFF wrote:
         | Buying a Rolex today or for the past few years, would have
         | actually been a pretty solid investment - it's hard to purchase
         | a new one, because there's usually waiting lists, and most
         | stores prioritize their VIP clients. Used market blew up around
         | COVID, and people have made some pretty nice returns on
         | flipping Rolex. Hell, I have a couple of co-workers that
         | collect watches, and they mostly just store the real-deal in
         | their safes, and wear high-end replicas in public.
         | 
         | But I get your point. Unfortunately there seems to be lots of
         | kids in the the lower socio-economic classes that spend all
         | their money on expensive sneakers, hoodies, and other luxury
         | brand clothes. Spending $1k on a designer hoodie, when you make
         | $15k / year, isn't the smartest financial decision - to put it
         | mildly.
        
           | mmaunder wrote:
           | Not really. You can't buy one at the stores - massive
           | scarcity. And the grey market have appreciation priced in.
           | Grey prices have dropped significantly in the past few
           | months. The crypto bubble in watches has burst.
        
         | ricardobayes wrote:
         | I saw this greatly affecting Eastern European youth, who have
         | mostly no chance of ever wearing Balenciaga or LV. But they get
         | this image blasted 24/7 on Instagram, so they are stuck forever
         | in a sad feedback loop.
        
           | rvba wrote:
           | In Soviet republics you could be murdered by the state every
           | day, or declared an enemy of the pepople, or sent to gulag
           | for a thing you didnt do - and all of those negative
           | experiences ingrained a type of short-terminism among the
           | society.
           | 
           | The state could take away your apartment and make you lose
           | everyrhing apart the clothes on your back - so why bother
           | fixing the apartment, go and buy some nice clothes... at
           | least you look good NOW and maybe you can keep them.
           | 
           | This negative trainig (easy to lose everything) makes people
           | care more about looks. With so many relatively poor people
           | maybe it is some sort of a "lipstick effect" too - for
           | everyone.
        
           | CyanBird wrote:
           | It happens everywhere, specially around lumpenproletariats
           | around the world, it is a foul situation without an honest
           | fix.
           | 
           | It Latam it leads to horrible levels of asocial behaviors,
           | theft, drug trading to acquire money and use it to purchase
           | luxury items with which signal success
           | 
           | It is heart breaking
        
           | bradlys wrote:
           | Good thing that Turkey has plenty of imitation goods for
           | cheap.
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | One of the best examples of counter-signaling was Kim Kardashian
       | at the Met Gala. She wore a black dress that covered her from
       | head to toe, including her face. It was kind of a statement that
       | "even my silhouette is famous".
        
         | jerrygenser wrote:
         | Just looked this up. This is surprisingly similar to how Kanye
         | (Ye?) appeared on the Lex Friedman podcast recently. Even
         | though they are split, is Kim still taking hints or strategies
         | they learned or developed together? I actually could barely
         | recognize Ye in terms of silhouette, but could understand his
         | voice on the podcast.
        
           | ealexhudson wrote:
           | Since the Met Gala is in May, the causality must be the other
           | direction..?
        
             | jerrygenser wrote:
             | I also went to a Kanye concert where he was putting a
             | diamond studded full face mask on 5+ years ago in Philly
             | where you couldn't recognize him. Should incorporate that
             | into context as well.
        
             | bikingbismuth wrote:
             | Kanye has been fully covering his body/face for years
             | (since at least the Yeezus tour in 2013).
        
         | sys_64738 wrote:
         | For those wondering:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Kardashian
         | 
         | Even after reading that I don't actually know what this woman
         | is well-known for.
        
           | rippercushions wrote:
           | Originally this:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Kardashian,_Superstar
        
           | booleandilemma wrote:
           | She's one of those people who's famous for being famous.
        
           | umanwizard wrote:
           | Her father was a very prominent lawyer (including for OJ
           | Simpson) so she had entry into "socialite" circles through
           | him. Her fame increased when a sex tape involving her and a
           | singer was published, and since then she has been a TV
           | personality.
        
           | devnullbrain wrote:
           | Trying too hard.
        
       | intrasight wrote:
       | Be even more wary of high-status people who cannot afford to
       | countersignal ;)
        
       | 082349872349872 wrote:
       | An extreme example of affording to countersignal were the
       | "smarter" british cavalry regiments, which purposefully set their
       | mess dues _significantly higher_ than the pay, thus keeping out
       | the riffraff.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | roenxi wrote:
         | That isn't counter-signalling, that is gate-keeping.
         | 
         | Counter-signalling: Signalling that you are adopting a sub-
         | optimal strategy.
         | 
         | Gate-keeping: Creating an environment that lower-class people
         | can't survive in. This is more forceful.
        
         | abecedarius wrote:
         | That's signaling, like wearing expensive clothes.
         | Countersignaling means dressing like a bum in high-class
         | circles and getting accepted anyway.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Signalling_(economics)
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | Maybe I'd been overthinking it? I had been considering "I
           | have a high-paying job" as signalling, and "My pay doesn't
           | really cover the essentials, but I do it for our country,
           | don't you know" as counter-.
           | 
           | Edit: and otoh I would consider "Boss is in shorts, t-shirt
           | and sandals" as just plain signalling, because I grew up in a
           | world (my favourite anecdote was working with a Hawai'ian VC
           | who would classify meetings as "socks" or "no socks") where
           | in any given business situation, those who have the gold
           | dress down and those who pitch for it dress up.
        
             | ltbarcly3 wrote:
             | You are under thinking it. Signalling is showing you have
             | something high status (money, nice clothes, etc),
             | countersignalling is refusing to show something to prove
             | you don't need to.
        
             | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
             | Presumably the signal is actually "I'm independently
             | wealthy, so I can afford to take this job that loses me
             | money".
        
             | abecedarius wrote:
             | I think we agree about the phenomena, it's just that the
             | word "signaling" has a false lucidity -- it has an everyday
             | meaning and a related technical meaning that's easy to
             | overlook. The technical meaning is about an equilibrium in
             | a game where "talk is cheap", so that your message would be
             | discounted by observers unless some cost (not necessarily
             | in money) is tied to it.
             | 
             | With countersignaling there's an extra level to the game
             | where your message has the form "I have this quality over
             | and above merely affording the first-level cost" -- now the
             | cost you're paying is the risk of being taken for riff-
             | raff. Those with more of that quality, whatever it is, have
             | to be better at pulling that gambit off, for it to work as
             | a countersignal.
        
               | 082349872349872 wrote:
               | Thanks for the clarification! _Sprezzatura_ might be the
               | quality?
               | 
               | conjugation: "They are riffraff. You are sloppy. I am
               | sprezzatura incarnate."
        
               | abecedarius wrote:
               | I think that's a good example, yeah.
        
           | somrand0 wrote:
           | thanks for the succinct definition.
           | 
           | essentially, more status game plays
        
         | jonnycomputer wrote:
         | Interesting. I'm not sure I'd call that counter-signalling
         | though. But it is similar to a lot of other practices that have
         | the effect of erecting barriers to participation by working
         | classes, but give the appearance of self-less-ness. For
         | example, in many US states, legislators receive little or no
         | pay and must be available for sessions of the legislature for
         | weeks at a time.
        
       | adventured wrote:
       | > Humans haven't been successful because we are innovators.
       | Rather, we are successful because we don't think for ourselves,
       | and save time and energy by copying others.
       | 
       | This is just plain incorrect.
       | 
       | Humanity functions in three groups: creators, mimics and
       | teachers.
       | 
       | The creators are the less cautious types that strike out and
       | build new things, attempt to invent or innovate. Their
       | personalities and behaviors are quite often noticeably different
       | from everyone else.
       | 
       | Mimics copy, copy, copy. They're probably ~95-97% of the
       | population. Their success depends on successfully copying other
       | models that work.
       | 
       | Teachers primarily exist to train mimics, to amplify knowledge
       | out to humanity. They're mimics with bullhorns and a desire to
       | pass on things that have worked and knowledge acquired broadly by
       | the species (lessons learned, etc).
       | 
       | This works, this is successful, initiate copy mode. And off it
       | goes. Humans are exceptionally good at that for sure. We just got
       | a remarkable, prominent, several decade demonstration of it at a
       | global level in so called globalization. Creators are the ones
       | that initiate the next things to be copied, the next things that
       | get taught from a textbook in school, and so on (to be clear,
       | most creators suffer terribly and never achieve much of anything;
       | theirs is a low success rate, high reward path).
        
       | osigurdson wrote:
       | Pure trash. Be yourself, emulate whoever you want (or no one). Do
       | what feels right. If someone looks down on you for riding a bike
       | to work (regardless of your current "status"), #1 they are idiots
       | and their respect and admiration is worth zero and #2 choke them
       | out :). Life is too short for such ridiculous minutia.
        
         | speakfreely wrote:
         | Would love to set a 10 year reminder to check in on how this
         | life strategy has worked out.
        
           | osigurdson wrote:
           | Right. Wow, look at me, I now have a cushy (soul crushing)
           | job at the city just like my slightly wealthier neighbour.
           | All life goals checked off now.
        
             | sangnoir wrote:
             | I knew you were someone who could afford to "ignore" social
             | cues. I used to think the tech-type was not like that until
             | I observed some common threads, at lest in the Bay Area
             | (driving an EV or planning to buy one - likely a Tesla,
             | Patagonia vests, _loves_ to hike, has an Apple watch)
        
               | osigurdson wrote:
               | Gorpcore
        
           | wellbehaved wrote:
           | Yeah. Look where this got Galileo. House arrest for the rest
           | of his life. Bad call Galileo, you should have paid better
           | attention to social cues! /s
        
             | CyanBird wrote:
             | Well... Copernicus did take a cue, he wrote his book and
             | ideas and only published them when he was about to die (or
             | postmortem I don't remember/can't lookup the details rn)
        
               | wellbehaved wrote:
               | The world needs more milquetoasts like Copernicus and
               | less tall poppies like Galileo! /s
        
         | wellbehaved wrote:
         | How dare you express anything that resembles sincere courage
         | here. Elon Musk can afford that, but if others were to follow
         | his lead, imagine how bad that would be for Big Tech
         | management! Who knows, they might even get fired and replaced
         | by one of these Elon Musk "imitators". What a horrible,
         | horrible thought. /s
        
       | User23 wrote:
       | I wonder how kids educated in the Montessori fashion would behave
       | during the box experiment. Is this telling us about children or
       | the educational system?
        
       | helen___keller wrote:
       | Wouldn't the best advice simply be to avoid unproductive
       | signaling and be authentic when possible?
       | 
       | It's one thing to signal by wearing nice clothes to a company
       | outing where you make an impression on the person who can
       | materially affect your future income.
       | 
       | It's another thing to consider every aspect of your life in the
       | lens of "what would the wealthy do?"
       | 
       | I really have no interest in allowing others to make decisions
       | for me, and I don't understand the mindset
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | theonemind wrote:
         | Transparent counter-signalling by claiming not to care about
         | signalling. Careful, I don't think you have the status to pull
         | it off. /s
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | Would this be counter-counter signalling then?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | willmadden wrote:
       | Every moment spent contriving and derisking a plan to virtue
       | signal to born followers is better spent talking to leaders and
       | figuring out which calculated risks to take.
        
       | lamontcg wrote:
       | Wonder how many people who are treating all this seriously and
       | talking in the comments about cars and watches as status symbols
       | on another day would be shrieking about "woke virtue signalling".
        
       | gus_massa wrote:
       | > _If a chimpanzee views a person perform a series of superfluous
       | actions, along with one single necessary action, in order to
       | obtain a piece of food, the chimpanzee will skip the superfluous
       | action, and perform only the necessary one._
       | 
       | > _In contrast, children will copy every single action, including
       | the unnecessary ones._
       | 
       | I watched the video, but I'm unconvinced. They tell the kid the
       | box is " _magic_ ". Children know the box is not magic. Children
       | know how spells work in cartoon and books. So " _magic_ " is a
       | code word for " _please copy all the silly steps as accurate as
       | possible_ ".
       | 
       | The apes have no instruction, so they don't understand the _must_
       | copy all the silly steps.
       | 
       | I'll also blame school. Children are expected and trained to
       | follow orders of adults even if they don't understand them,
       | because it will be better for them in the future. Did you ever
       | played basketball? Why should you put the ball in the basket if
       | it has a hole in the bottom and the ball will fall down?
        
         | _dain_ wrote:
         | >Children know the box is not magic.
         | 
         | are you sure about that?
        
           | sircastor wrote:
           | It's important to clarify this question. Children, especially
           | young children, do not have a clear view of what is real and
           | What is not real. The line is different for everyone, but I'd
           | say at 7 or 8 that starts to come into focus. Even then,
           | there are plenty of grown, intelligent adults who believe
           | things without any substantial evidence.
           | 
           | I will say that kids are way smarter than we often give them
           | credit for. They're natural scientists, and I think we
           | probably educate that kind of learning out of them.
        
         | burlesona wrote:
         | I also wondered about the difference between doing this with
         | young children and adult chimps.
         | 
         | I think it's fairly obvious that if you gave the clear box test
         | to a teenager or adult and said "get the treat out" they'd look
         | at you funny and then many or most would just reach in and grab
         | it. I think even in the black box, they'd probably look at it
         | real hard and maybe try going straight for the treat after
         | investigating the box a bit.
         | 
         | By contrast very young humans operate in "game mode" almost all
         | the time, and are basically "playing along" with whatever game
         | you put them in. It's a lot of fun, and often silly.
         | 
         | So my question is, what about juvenile chimps? Do they also
         | operate in game mode, or would they follow the adult chimp
         | behavior of going straight for the reward?
        
           | jterwill wrote:
           | They have tried this with juvenile non-human primates! For
           | example, Horner & Whiten (2005) tried this with 2-6 year old
           | chimpanzees. Clay & Tennie (2017) tried this with juvenile
           | bonobos. Neither group overimitated. They do play, but
           | overimitation is probably underpinned by the
           | ability/proclivity to infer Gricean intentions, which non-
           | human primates lack.
           | 
           | There is a strong normative element to this, as well as the
           | play element you mentioned -- I expect, as adults, we've all
           | engaged in some form of overimitation as an act of
           | conformity.
        
         | blagie wrote:
         | Yeah.
         | 
         | (1) It was presented as a game. It seemed like a game.
         | 
         | (2) People like ritual. This was clearly ritual.
        
         | Nemi wrote:
         | I agree. The nature of our verbal communication is that they
         | were implying to the children that this is a game and that they
         | must copy each step. In contrast, had they said "your goal is
         | to get the gummy bear. Do only those things necessary to get
         | the treat" it would have gone much differently.
         | 
         | Even by not using ANY words and only having then children watch
         | a person and then leaving them alone with the contraption would
         | have gone differently. Some would likely have "played the game"
         | because that is what we teach children. But at least some would
         | have likely just gone for the treat.
         | 
         | In any case, it is an interesting thing to ponder!
        
       | bg4 wrote:
       | I'd recommend doing whatever the hell you want.
        
       | ramraj07 wrote:
       | Seems decently researched but I don't know why the author felt
       | compelled to add unsubstantiated and totally unnecessary
       | hyperbole about humans only having succeeded because of imitating
       | the whole shebang. It doesn't even make sense!
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | That part the author only skipped over, but I think it's likely
         | true: we are the species that does not just learn how to open
         | boxes by imitation, we are the species that starts a cargo cult
         | hoping for boxes to arrive.
         | 
         | In earlier days, we understood very little of the technology we
         | had, even on the highest expert level. A chimpanzee that does
         | not imitate but only watches to pick up the elements it
         | understands would never be able to become bronze age, no matter
         | the abundance of ore and fuel. The human on the other hand
         | apparently has the ability to trust the unknown and try.
        
         | drooby wrote:
         | It makes sense to me. When an indigenous tribe has some
         | intricate process for transforming a toxic plant into an edible
         | food, and also has no knowledge of the chemistry, the only
         | solution is to copy the entire process unquestioning. We see
         | the same behavior for hunting strategies, building
         | strategies... social control.. religion.
        
           | abc_lisper wrote:
           | Yep. Insecurity of being wrong and found out plays into it
           | too
        
         | eternauta3k wrote:
         | Imitating the whole thing is critical when you don't really
         | understand what is important. For example, Manioc requires a
         | seemingly arbitrary and elaborate series of steps to prepare so
         | it's not (long-term) poisonous.
         | https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/06/04/book-review-the-secret...
        
       | mpweiher wrote:
       | "Don't be so humble - you're not that great" -- Golda Meir
        
       | possiblydrunk wrote:
       | A key point in the article:
       | 
       | >"...Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild
       | success is attributable to variance."
       | 
       | >Hard work increases the likelihood of luck finding you, and hard
       | work also prepares you for when it does.
       | 
       | You can't reliably produce luck, even by imitating people that
       | are "lucky"; all you can do is increase the likelihood that you
       | might capitalize on luck.
        
       | indiogrindio wrote:
       | I agree with the overall argument of the article, but some of it
       | is confusing in the point it's trying to make:
       | 
       | > In these studies, chimps are behaving more rationally than
       | humans. There is no wasted motion to obtain the reward.
       | 
       | > Humans haven't been successful because we are innovators.
       | Rather, we are successful because we don't think for ourselves,
       | and save time and energy by copying others.
       | 
       | > In contrast, children will copy every single action, including
       | the unnecessary ones.
       | 
       | Isn't the chimpanzee the one saving time/energy in this case
       | since it's not engaging in superfluous activities and only doing
       | what it's necessary for its goal? I was expecting the article to
       | state that the point of human superfluous activity is that it
       | allows for a greater range of experimentation (a superfluous
       | activity might lead to an adjacent innovative/novel solution for
       | a new goal that was outside of the original scope).
        
       | lqet wrote:
       | > Humans are high-fidelity imitators.
       | 
       | This is true in a very deep sense, and this human desire (let's
       | even call it compulsion) to imitate others can be used to base an
       | entire anthropology on, as Rene Girard did quite masterfully. For
       | anyone interested, I strongly recommend reading "I See Satan Fall
       | Like Lightning".
        
       | BiteCode_dev wrote:
       | In the same vein:
       | 
       | - Don't hide your mistakes
       | 
       | - Show that you are vulnerable
       | 
       | - Be yourself
       | 
       | Are all things that work best when you are (contextually) high-
       | status.
       | 
       | Yet we are still culturally promoting them as the things we
       | should all strive for in any situation.
       | 
       | However, it's way easier to be open about my professional
       | mistakes now that I'm recognized by my peers and that I don't do
       | too many of them.
       | 
       | It's simple to expose my vulnerabilities now that I've built a
       | social network that will not hurt me with it because they like
       | and respect me.
       | 
       | And it's certainly great to be able to be myself, now that people
       | around me will say I'm eccentric, and not reject me.
       | 
       | It's like the behavior of men in romantic comedy. If you were to
       | be ugly and awkward, doing what they do would get you arrested.
       | You don't get to play "50 shades" or "twilight" if you are the
       | hunchback of Notredame. It's also why energy, humour and culture
       | are such great assets, allowing you to somewhat help with social
       | status.
       | 
       | One day maybe we will stop selling to our children that life is
       | about this one thing that works in all cases, and admit each life
       | advice is highly contextual.
        
       | sanderjd wrote:
       | > _An example from Ogilvy Vice Chairman Rory Sutherland: If
       | you're a top executive, turning up to work on a bicycle is a
       | high-status activity because it was a choice and not a necessity.
       | But if you work at Pizza Hut, turning up on a bike means you
       | can't afford a car._
       | 
       | It must be so tedious to live having internalized this
       | perspective on people. The vast vast majority of people are not
       | "signaling" when they do things, they are just doing things. This
       | constant meta game mostly exists in the minds of this
       | iamverysmart crowd. Most people who ride bikes to work just like
       | to ride bikes and find it to be a convenient way to get to work,
       | they aren't giving a single thought to how it plays in some
       | status game that nobody else they interact with is thinking about
       | either.
       | 
       | I find this whole genre incredibly unrelatable.
        
         | cma wrote:
         | What about riding a $10,000 bike to work?
        
           | jhrmnn wrote:
           | Are there 10k commute bikes? I doubt people take 10k pro road
           | bikes to work
        
             | loeg wrote:
             | I ride a $5k road bike to work :-).
        
             | bradlys wrote:
             | Usually closer to $5k but yes. I had coworkers who did this
             | all the time.
             | 
             | To be fair - these guys love riding. So, ride what you
             | enjoy.
        
             | cyann wrote:
             | These: https://www.stromerbike.com/en/models/stromer-
             | st7-launch-edi...
             | 
             | Starting at USD 13 400.
        
             | bagels wrote:
             | There are people who do.
        
               | lanstin wrote:
               | Tho they worry so much about it getting stolen I think
               | they enjoy biking overall less than they would a bike
               | suitable for just hopping on and biking around to
               | different places.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | If you count electric commuters you can get above $10k
             | easy.
        
         | beardedetim wrote:
         | > The vast vast majority of people are not "signaling" when
         | they do things, they are just doing things.
         | 
         | I agree with you that most actors don't consciously make
         | decisions based on how they will be perceived and instead just
         | do things.
         | 
         | However, I don't think that stops other actors from, without
         | thinking themselves, taking those actions as signals and
         | judging others by those signals.
         | 
         | We as the actors being judged can choose to think through those
         | things or not. Either way we're being judged by those
         | "signals". And either way I'm judging others based on those
         | signals.
        
         | chiefalchemist wrote:
         | > The vast vast majority of people are not "signaling" when
         | they do things, they are just doing things.
         | 
         | I've read Sutherland's "Alchemy" book and that's not how I
         | remember him framing signaling.
         | 
         | Long to short, while - to your point - we are not all
         | intentionally signaling, we are as receivers of inputs are
         | constantly looking for and translating random input into
         | signals.
         | 
         | The point being, whether you like it or not, you're giving off
         | signals. Be mindful, or not. But if you go with the latter then
         | you might at times be doing yourself a disservice because we as
         | humans self-generate signals.
         | 
         | https://www.amazon.com/Alchemy-Surprising-Power-Ideas-Sense/...
         | 
         | p.s. I enjoyed the book. His is a very counter "conventional
         | wisdom" mindset. That appeals to me.
        
           | sanderjd wrote:
           | > _His is a very counter "conventional wisdom" mindset. That
           | appeals to me._
           | 
           | This is basically what I see going on here, and what I mean
           | by "the iamverysmart crowd" (which to be clear: I am a part
           | of). We _overindex_ on this kind of counter conventional
           | wisdom because it 's more interesting. But I think it's more
           | often the case that the boring conventional wisdom is closer
           | to the mark.
        
             | chiefalchemist wrote:
             | You'd have to read the book.
        
         | nostrademons wrote:
         | Most of this is unconscious for the general population, the
         | consequence of mimicry + social cues + emotional rewards. The
         | person who shows up to Pizza Hut on a bicycle isn't thinking
         | about social status consciously. Instead, they get slightly
         | pitying looks from coworkers, which make them feel slightly
         | inferior and ashamed, which makes them not do it again. The top
         | executive who shows up on a bicycle gets no such feedback, and
         | so they keep doing it.
         | 
         | You see "accidental countersignaling" from people who are
         | generally oblivious to social cues, like folks with Aspergers
         | or recent immigrants to a country, because the subtle feedback
         | from other people doesn't register for them. These people tend
         | to exist apart from the social reality and inhabit only
         | economic and physical reality.
         | 
         | Articles (and comments) like this one are _describing_ what 's
         | going on, not _prescribing_ it. Basically nobody goes into a
         | social situation thinking  "How can I raise my social status?"
         | The people who do come off as phonies, because the emotions
         | involved operate very subtly and quickly and if it's not
         | unconscious it's apparent to other people. But you can analyze
         | the situation _after the fact_ and describe what 's going on,
         | as well as try to train your unconscious offline to have better
         | responses to the situation you were in.
        
           | ivalm wrote:
           | > The person who shows up to Pizza Hut on a bicycle isn't
           | thinking about social status consciously. Instead, they get
           | slightly pitying looks from coworkers, which make them feel
           | slightly inferior and ashamed, which makes them not do it
           | again
           | 
           | This is not how social dynamic at Pizza Hut works.
        
             | zach_garwood wrote:
             | Yeah, I feel like some of these commenters have never
             | worked a minumum wage job in their lives.
        
           | sanderjd wrote:
           | > _Instead, they get slightly pitying looks from coworkers,
           | which make them feel slightly inferior and ashamed, which
           | makes them not do it again._
           | 
           | No they don't! Is my point. This is almost entirely a story
           | made up by this bizarro world of smart people who think
           | themselves into circles (and aren't working at pizza hut).
           | Nobody cares how someone gets themselves to their job at
           | pizza hut; the other people working there aren't thinking
           | about this, the person riding the bike there isn't thinking
           | about this. This is just people like us with too much time on
           | our hands to write substacks and debate silly things on
           | internet message boards constructing castles in the sky.
           | 
           | > _Articles (and comments) like this one are describing what
           | 's going on, not prescribing it._
           | 
           | I recognize that it is _attempting_ to describe what 's going
           | on. I am saying that I think it is _failing_ to accurately
           | describe what 's going on.
        
             | dilap wrote:
             | Check out the song "No Scrubs" by TLC for another angle on
             | the same topic. It's a real phenomenon, not just something
             | made up by nerds on substack.
             | 
             | Some people are blissfully checked out enough from social
             | competition dynamics that they don't notice it.
        
               | zach_garwood wrote:
               | Riding your bike to work (what OP is talking about) and
               | not having a car to pick up your date (what TLC were
               | singing about) are two pretty different things. Coworkers
               | don't care how you get to work. Dates care bacause they
               | don't want to have to take the bus home afterwards.
        
               | bnralt wrote:
               | Yeah. Off the top of my head I can think two pieces of
               | popular media - The 40 Year Old Virgin and Cobra Kai -
               | that had a scene where a guy lucks out and meets an
               | attractive woman, asks her out on a date, the woman asks
               | when he'll pick her up, he awkwardly tells her he has a
               | bike and not a car, she makes a "what the hell?!"
               | expression and then says how she guesses she'll be the
               | one picking him up.
               | 
               | We can say that society exaggerates the importance of
               | some of these things, or that they're less of an issue in
               | certain circles. Or that it's easy to psyche yourself out
               | about those issues and miss many of the opportunities
               | around you. All true. But the issues actually exist, and
               | aren't just from the imagination of a small group of
               | people that overthink things.
        
               | nkurz wrote:
               | Equally, it's possible to go even further in the
               | "bicycle" direction to end up ahead of those with cars.
               | Here's a delightful example: Rubberbandits "Horse
               | Outside" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljPFZrRD3J8
               | (NSFW at one point if you are listening closely and can
               | understand the Irish accent, but unlikely to actually
               | offend). The beginning might be boring, but it's short,
               | so stick with it.
        
             | abbadadda wrote:
             | You seem to be in denial that this phenomenon exists. I'd
             | suggest reading _The Moral Animal: Why We Are the Way We
             | Are._ Quite insightful. Status matters more than you're
             | letting on, and the perception of it is subconscious. No
             | one (hopefully) is actively making an effort to look down
             | on someone for riding their bike to their job at Pizza Hut
             | - but many subtle things get registered by humans around us
             | every day whether you or they are aware of it.
        
               | JanSt wrote:
               | Thank god I'm not living in a city with money as a first
               | value. People would look down on you here for taking a
               | car to your job if you can use a bike.
        
               | abbadadda wrote:
               | Missed the point by a mile.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | Which is the exact same phenomenon with the signals
               | reversed.
        
         | photochemsyn wrote:
         | It comes across as an obsession with image-management, rather
         | than with skill-development or something similarly practical
         | and useful. While there's some need for taking care of one's
         | appearance (poor personal hygiene, for example, is unpleasant
         | for the people around you), putting this at the top of the list
         | of things to worry about doesn't seem very healthy.
         | 
         | It's also a characteristic of con artists of the SBF/Holmes
         | etc. variety. Patrick Boyle's latest video, "Why We Trust
         | Fraudsters!" explores this in some depth:
         | 
         | https://youtu.be/Wx51CffrBIg
        
         | gist wrote:
         | > The vast vast majority of people are not "signaling" when
         | they do things, they are just doing things.
         | 
         | Well forgetting the fact that neither of us can prove what we
         | think about this I do believe it's a form of signaling. At
         | least in the sense that someone who does not have status if
         | (from my observation over the years) less likely to do things
         | that could further confirm or lower their status.
         | 
         | For example growing up my mom had a 'cleaning lady'. That
         | cleaning lady would insist that when my mom dropped her off it
         | was not in front of her house but where her neighbors couldn't
         | see that another woman was dropping her off (because that would
         | imply she was cleaning houses). Likewise an employee of my
         | father (factory/warehouse work) would always change out of
         | their clothes and travel home in something much nicer. And not
         | because the clothes were dirty either.
         | 
         | I dress in a t-shirt and dungarees everyday. When I was younger
         | (and also in my own new business) I wore a suit. Sure times
         | were different but for one thing now I don't need to prove
         | anything.
        
         | golemotron wrote:
         | > It must be so tedious to live having internalized this
         | perspective on people. The vast vast majority of people are not
         | "signaling" when they do things, they are just doing things.
         | This constant meta game mostly exists in the minds of this
         | iamverysmart crowd.
         | 
         | I think what you are missing is that they are signaling whether
         | they realize it or not. A signal is just a discernible
         | phenomenon that is given meaning by observers. It doesn't have
         | be intentional.
         | 
         | An example: social counter-signaling often arises naturally and
         | unconsciously. Think about the rich person who would rather not
         | be recognized as such, or the person who is a bit carefree
         | because they are beyond the grind. They don't consciously adopt
         | a 'carefree persona', they just feel more at ease because of
         | their life situation.
        
           | petercooper wrote:
           | Agreed. He is just placing observations of real phenomena
           | into a model. It's a bit like with economics. Prices "signal"
           | all sorts of things that the entity setting the prices may
           | not well be aware of.
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | > The vast vast majority of people are not "signaling" when
         | they do things, they are just doing things. This constant meta
         | game mostly exists in the minds of this iamverysmart crowd
         | 
         | I was telling my dad that we were going to try a new
         | restaurant. "They churn their own butter," I pointed out
         | excitedly. And my dad--who grew up in a village in Bangladesh--
         | is like "why would they churn their own butter? You can buy it
         | in a store."
         | 
         | People convey all sorts of messages through subtle signaling.
         | They have an image they try to cultivate, even if only
         | unconsciously. For example, people on the west coast wear
         | hoodies and T-shirts to signal a sort of casualness. Meanwhile,
         | I don't wear hoodies or T-shirts because I'm worried people
         | might mistake me for a day laborer.
         | 
         | I don't think most people who say they're above it all really
         | are. Maybe they are. Or maybe they're not as self-aware of
         | their own motivations. Or maybe they're in a cultural bubble
         | where they can't recognize certain social currents as
         | signaling.
        
           | themacguffinman wrote:
           | That's an odd take on the butter scenario. The obvious answer
           | to your dad's question is "because although churning your own
           | butter is not necessary, it can make a fresher and more
           | interesting-tasting product than mass produced butter you buy
           | at a store". When I look for restaurants that churn their own
           | butter, I'm not looking to show off my status as someone who
           | can afford unnecessary labor, I am actually "just doing
           | things"; I am just looking for interesting and tasty food
           | with interesting and tasty butter, I'm not trying to
           | cultivate an image of myself as a foodie or rich person or
           | avoiding being mistaken for a day-laborer.
           | 
           | I don't know why you've re-framed it into a status signal.
           | Did you really value churning your own butter as a pure
           | status signal and not for the benefits of artisinal butter?
        
         | petesergeant wrote:
         | > It must be so tedious to live having internalized this
         | perspective on people. The vast vast majority of people are not
         | "signaling"
         | 
         | I can assure you that posting on a public forum that you think
         | signaling is beneath you is signaling.
        
         | paganel wrote:
         | It's not tiring at all, it's just becoming acutely aware of the
         | day-to-day socio-economic realities.
         | 
         | Yes, a good friend of mine can afford to be a (rather poorly
         | paid) journalist because said friend is in fact a millionaire
         | when it comes to his inherited real-estate assets, but someone
         | like me (my parents had to rely on subsistence agriculture
         | until not that long ago) has to always have a decent-paying job
         | available or else.
         | 
         | Again, for people on the other side of the fence is not tiring
         | at all, we're very much aware of it each and every day. It's
         | not a new thing either, reading Balzac means reading about
         | people on each side of the has real money/has no real money
         | fence.
        
           | sanderjd wrote:
           | Your examples are not "signaling".
           | 
           | A rich person being a poorly paid journalist because they
           | want to and can afford to isn't signaling, they're just doing
           | something they want to do and which they can afford to do.
           | Very very few people do such things simply for the sake of
           | appearances.
           | 
           | You (and me, for what it's worth) always having to have a
           | decent-paying job available or else is also not "signaling",
           | it just is what it is, we have to work jobs because we have
           | to work jobs, there isn't a status meta-game to it, it's just
           | how we afford life.
           | 
           | It's the mindset of looking at things like your poorly paid
           | journalist example, and thinking "that person is signaling"
           | rather than "that person wants to be a journalist" that I
           | find tedious and unrelatable.
        
             | paganel wrote:
             | I don't think the author writes about the "in your face"
             | signaling, because nobody does that anymore once a certain
             | high socio-economic status is reached (mostly by birth-
             | related accidents), but about the "implicit", for lack of a
             | better term, signaling. Which most of the people the OP
             | talks about certainly do in abundance. In other words I
             | think the author talks mostly about that "implicit"
             | signaling.
        
         | bloqs wrote:
         | You find it unrelatable (and most commenters on this website
         | will too.)
         | 
         | People can be broadly separated into 2 categories in terms of
         | cognitive wiring for personality psychology. " _People_ people
         | " and "Things* people". (Theres a lot of overlap between
         | interest in aesthetics and interest in ideas here too, but a
         | separate discussion) These map rather neatly onto other things
         | like introversion and agreeableness, but parking that for a
         | moment. Additionally, " _People_ people " can learn about
         | 'Things' and " _Things_ people " can learn about 'People'.
         | 
         | Things people (so lets say, your bog standard software eng.)
         | And people people (communications director) do have one thing
         | in common, which is assuming they understand how the other
         | thinks. What is irritating minutae to one, is the essence of
         | importance to the other. Talking about the superiority of UTF8,
         | Linux or Vim might come across as repulsively "iamverysmart" to
         | " _People_ people ".
         | 
         | Observing social signals as signals, and the various
         | hierachical cues that inform and are informed by them is the
         | essense of being interested in other people. We all adhere to
         | varying degrees of social order. To disparage the rules is
         | perilous and risks ostracisation (in the olden days, this meant
         | you didnt reproduce and died).
         | 
         | This dichotomy is responsible for a lot of the mechanics of
         | organisational hierachies. Not everything is a math problem.
        
           | mikea1 wrote:
           | This people-people vs. things-people dichotomy is an
           | interesting theory. Did you read this somewhere or is this
           | something you deduced?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | tptacek wrote:
       | It was at the "fashionably late" example where I started
       | wondering if this chronicler of human behavior was themselves
       | human, since arriving late to parties has very little to do with
       | status and much more to do with not wanting to be one of the
       | uncomfortable first or second guests. Late arrival is an
       | expectation at ordinary parties, not a privilege.
        
         | segmondy wrote:
         | Depends on culture. In some culture arriving late is a
         | privilege, since everyone will be there to observe your
         | entrance. Seats, food, entrance will be guaranteed for you.
         | Heck, we see it in the US with the clubbing scene.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | Fair enough, I'm just talking about parties in the US, and
           | not dinner parties.
        
       | viburnum wrote:
       | On the other hand, don't worry about reproducing the class
       | system. Maybe join a union or something.
        
       | bjornsing wrote:
       | > One form of countersignaling is excess humility. It increases
       | status for those who are already high status, but humility
       | decreases status for those who are not high-status.
       | 
       | Great to see a scientific reason for one of my long held
       | opinions: "humility policing" is a social tactic, and a very
       | efficient one if you're high status. Don't fall for it. Resist
       | the humility police. Give and claim credit where credit is due.
        
         | matthewdgreen wrote:
         | The problem with these online "status" discussions is that they
         | discuss status as though it's independent of the hard work and
         | talent that typically results in success. I'm not saying that's
         | always present: some people just get lucky. But most of the
         | people you probably want to emulate aren't "just" lucky.
         | They're talented and worked hard to produce exceptional work
         | over and over again, and then maybe also had some luck.
         | 
         | Anyway, the point here is that I've been fortunate to meet a
         | number of really talented people at various stages of their
         | careers, and many of the most talented ones really are humble.
         | They act that way because they don't need to be boastful about
         | their work in the first place, and lack of humility is a really
         | good way to make people resent you instead of helping you,
         | which is counterproductive when you're good at what you do. It
         | also signals that you aren't confident in your work, or that
         | you're overconfident and not careful. Both can be red flags.
         | 
         | Don't know why I'm writing this. I just wish someone had
         | explained these things to me when I was starting out in my
         | career.
        
       | TrackerFF wrote:
       | Maybe a bit OT:
       | 
       | The other day I read an interview with a local guy in his 20s
       | that struck gold with crypto, he'd invest something like $20k,
       | and turned it into $40M. He basically went all in on one alt-coin
       | before the marked exploded late last year, and the coin went up
       | 2000x.
       | 
       | When asked about it, he of course came up with a narrative that
       | this wasn't just dumb luck. He had had worked hard for those
       | $20k, and he had lost his shirt many times prior to this. But in
       | the end, he was patting has own back and saying that it was his
       | savviness which resulted in his newfound wealth. And if others
       | were to follow his steps, they'd need to spend countless hours
       | watching the charts and reading whitepapers.
       | 
       | He had now mostly exited from crypto, retiring from his "old
       | life", and being a full-time investor (VC for startups).
       | 
       | Can you imagine if some newspaper interviewed a recent lottery
       | winner, with the winner detailing how he'd planned it all along?
       | But to the ignorant, it all sounds very impressive.
        
         | 627467 wrote:
         | It takes a certain combination of work/knowledge/luck to profit
         | from anything in life.
         | 
         | Seems reductionist to equate buying low and selling at peak to
         | buying a lottery ticket. But so it does to claim hard work has
         | been the main reason why financial investors profit
        
           | wildrhythms wrote:
           | >It takes a certain combination of work/knowledge/luck to
           | profit from anything in life.
           | 
           | Plenty of people 'profiting' on the wealth of their parents,
           | grandparents, etc. when they themselves have never worked a
           | day in their life and don't have much knowledge of anything.
           | 
           | Inherited wealth is an obvious contradiction to the
           | meritocracy that so many people believe we live within today.
        
             | 627467 wrote:
             | If my response seemed to support the idea of meritocracy as
             | a fact it was unintended. Obviously I missed "inheritance"
             | or family-estate from the triad.
        
         | sbarre wrote:
         | Rich people never want to acknowledge their luck, because it
         | doesn't fit the "self-made" narrative.
         | 
         | edit: to please the pedants, I should have said "many rich
         | people", as to not imply "all". My fault.
        
           | 2devnull wrote:
           | "You know, some people got no choice, and they can never find
           | a voice, to talk with that they can even call their own. So
           | the first thing that they see, that allows them the right to
           | be, why they follow it, you know, it's called bad luck."
           | 
           | Lou Reed
        
           | jl6 wrote:
           | "Which contributes more to wealth: luck or hard work? Which
           | contributes more to the area of a rectangle: height or
           | width?"
        
             | nightski wrote:
             | By framing the problem like this you are making the
             | assumption the variables are independent which is very much
             | not the case. Your work can influence your luck, and even
             | how much effect said luck has.
        
               | redler wrote:
               | Luck indeed finds you hard at work. But also, if you're
               | not sitting at the table, you're on the menu.
        
               | nightski wrote:
               | That hasn't really been my experience, but ymmv. But it's
               | also why we should fight so much against centralization
               | in the economy even if it brings efficiency gains.
               | Ideally you'd want to have as large of a table as
               | possible.
        
           | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
           | The nuanced take is that luck is something that can be "made"
           | through putting oneself in situations conducive to getting
           | lucky through exposure, networking, and repeated attempts /
           | not giving up.
           | 
           | You might be able to get successful people to admit that they
           | were in the right place at the right time, but they'll almost
           | always qualify that with how much effort they put in to be in
           | that situation.
        
             | atmavatar wrote:
             | If you want to catch a MLB game ball, you have to a) attend
             | a game, b) pay attention to every ball hit, c) practice
             | actually catching a ball, and (for some) bring a glove. If
             | you're particularly savvy, you can even purchase tickets
             | for seats in an area to where balls are commonly hit, and
             | if you're determined, you can go to lots of games.
             | 
             | However, you're only getting that ball if it's hit in your
             | direction. You can attend hundreds of games and still never
             | have one hit close enough to catch.
             | 
             | While missing one or more preparation steps (e.g.,
             | attending a game) may rule out the possibility of catching
             | a game ball, for every person who does catch one, there are
             | dozens if not hundreds of people who prepare at least as
             | much and still never do.
        
             | fabianhjr wrote:
             | > repeated attempts / not giving up
             | 
             | Being able to afford that wouldn't be lucky, it would imply
             | some sort of per-existing wealth or at least a solid
             | support network.
        
               | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
               | That's true, and the extent of how necessary that
               | existing wealth and support network is depends on the
               | kind of venture. For starting a business, absolutely. But
               | there are other kinds of success that aren't as
               | entrepreneurial.
               | 
               | I was presenting it primarily through the lens of a
               | mindset that is undaunted by failure and having the
               | motivation to avoid giving up prematurely.
               | 
               | Successful writers and entertainers often share stories
               | about how they were rejected dozens and dozens of times
               | before finally getting noticed. I have friends who wanted
               | to change careers by moving to a different industry and
               | they must have submitted hundreds of job applications
               | before they managed to get their junior level role.
        
               | shukantpal wrote:
               | Or that could be earned
        
               | danaris wrote:
               | ...Which you have in the first place by being lucky in
               | your birth.
        
           | corndoge wrote:
           | Cynical but doesn't match my experience, plenty of rich
           | people acknowledge luck
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | jrm4 wrote:
             | I bet there's a selection thing going on there. Most
             | people, not being rich, aren't around rich people -- and so
             | the rich people they "see" are exactly the type to not
             | acknowledge luck, Trump perhaps being an extreme here.
        
           | manigandham wrote:
           | Many rich people do acknowledge it, because another way to
           | say it is odds or opportunities. And you can absolutely
           | increase the likelihood of getting "lucky" through work.
        
           | PopAlongKid wrote:
           | The "luck" of many wealthy people is that they were born to
           | wealthy parents (Walton family, Gates, etc).
        
             | subradios wrote:
             | Most of the richest people today were born solidly middle
             | or upper middle class.
             | 
             | Nassim Taleb again, after mere comfortability ita a long
             | road of blackjack and 100 hour workweeks.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | steveBK123 wrote:
             | Yes, this is generally underestimated. The closer I've
             | worked with this class the more it becomes apparent in
             | quiet anecdotes that don't always make the official bios or
             | wikis.
             | 
             | Most self-made billionaires came from at least millionaire
             | families. Generally hard working, smart guys with a lot of
             | skill & luck, but they start at a level we can only dream
             | that maybe our children or grandchildren can start from.
             | 
             | I once worked for a billionaire investor who told us how he
             | got started investing when his father offered him the
             | choice at 13 years old: have his birthday party at one of
             | the most famous & expensive hotels in NYC, or take the cash
             | value of that to invest in stocks. The dollar figure seemed
             | to be something like the equivalent of $50k in 2020
             | dollars. Much like orange man who got "a small loan of $1M
             | from his father", I am sure the $50k given to a 13 year old
             | was not the first or the last paternal investment.
             | 
             | Another firm managing ~$10B there was a guy who
             | unbelievably made it to the C-suite in his 20s. It was
             | never clear exactly what the connection was, but he was
             | some sort of family friend of the founder and worked for
             | him as a teen. He was also related to a big bank CEO.
        
               | boeingUH60 wrote:
               | > Another firm managing ~$10B there was a guy who
               | unbelievably made it to the C-suite in his 20s. It was
               | never clear exactly what the connection was, but he was
               | some sort of family friend of the founder and worked for
               | him as a teen. He was also related to a big bank CEO.
               | 
               | Sounds like Matthew Grimes, lol
               | 
               | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-28/from-
               | inte...
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Actually a totally different guy, tells you how common
               | the scenario is...
        
           | tasty_freeze wrote:
           | There are plenty of 1%-ers who work hard and they ascribe
           | their success to their hard work and intelligence. But it
           | ignores that there are many people who work harder, are more
           | intelligent, or both, who don't get to those heights. That is
           | the luck aspect.
           | 
           | If one is on top of the heap, it is convenient to believe in
           | meritocracy, doubly so. On the one hand, it makes the person
           | feel they earned what they have, and second it means the poor
           | are also getting what they deserve and so there is no need to
           | artificially prop them up. "Those people" should have worked
           | harder.
        
             | nightski wrote:
             | It's also because working "hard" isn't enough. You have to
             | put your effort where it matters. That is so often
             | overlooked.
        
               | idlehand wrote:
               | Working hard implies the labor theory of value, which is
               | that all work is interchangeable. While that might have
               | been closer to the truth during the first industrial
               | revolution, the variability in the value of labor has
               | never been higher than today.
               | 
               | It's comforting to think that those that have achieved
               | the best outcomes in life have simply sacrificed time
               | spent on other things, and spent more time on work. There
               | might be some truth in that, but often they have had
               | better opportunities, due to both circumstance and luck,
               | that they also have made better use of than average.
        
           | CM30 wrote:
           | Not just rich people, successful people in general hate to
           | acknowledge the role luck played in their success. It's
           | really obvious on communities devoted to becoming successful
           | at a certain hobby or venture, like blogging, video creation,
           | live streaming, SEO/marketing, game development, startups,
           | etc. Those who made it big will talk about it's all skill and
           | how their amazingly strategies and hard work paid off,
           | whereas those who failed will be talking about its all luck
           | based, how their timing was off and how they didn't have the
           | connections needed to succeed.
           | 
           | It's called self-serving bias, and it's everywhere in
           | society.
        
         | etherael wrote:
         | Granted that based on probability alone he just got lucky but
         | from the details of the story it's not possible to be certain
         | of that. If he can offer a narrative about why and how he knew
         | such a move would have such a result and the narrative fits
         | with reality, then how is he not correct? Yes you can get both
         | lucky and tragically unlucky when it comes to investments, but
         | that doesnt mean there's no such thing as a rational investment
         | with a high payoff. It's not impossible that's what he did,
         | people do it, it does happen.
        
           | hgsgm wrote:
        
           | TrackerFF wrote:
           | IIRC, he went all-in on HEX when it was dirt cheap and
           | picking up volume, because it was a staking coin.
        
             | etherael wrote:
             | Got it, pure luck, no argument.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Yes, in any cohort of investors, by nature some random sample
           | or going to outperform in any given year. In fact,
           | statistically the concept of "hot hands" will rear its head
           | because.. some subset of the outperformers will actually
           | outperform over multiple years.
           | 
           | It may be skill, it may be luck, or it may be both.
           | 
           | But consider that this outperformance & hot-hand phenomenon
           | can be replicated even in purely random games like coin
           | flipping.
           | 
           | So sometimes taking the "winners" and trying to craft
           | narratives of why they succeeded and what you should do to
           | replicate them is a silly game.
        
             | etherael wrote:
             | I get what you mean and I agree to an extent, but to give
             | an absurd example, if you knew of a company that had a
             | patent on cold fusion, and you had watched it actually work
             | yourself and deployed it at scale in a project
             | successfully, investing in such a venture and having an
             | outsized return would have absolutely nothing whatsoever to
             | do with probability.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | For sure! The point is that simply replication the
               | behavior of winners is not any guarantee of winning.
               | 
               | Replicating SOME of the behaviors of SOME winners, upon
               | careful study of what in their process actually allows
               | them to differentiate themselves from others is the key,
               | and is usually a process that requires a lot more work.
               | 
               | The work here was that they had some sort of investment
               | process that required time & effort evaluating projects &
               | their prospects over long time horizons. These sorts of
               | processes require entire investment teams and are not the
               | sort of thing that make it into their Fortune magazine
               | blurb or pithy twitter posts.
               | 
               | The process cannot be summarized in a paragraph blurb,
               | and even if you were to read a 300 page book you may not
               | have the man-hours, technical skills or knowledge to
               | replicate it.
        
         | B8MGHCBekDuRi wrote:
         | > Can you imagine if some newspaper interviewed a recent
         | lottery winner [...] But to the ignorant, it all sounds very
         | impressive
         | 
         | the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect described by Crichton comes to
         | mind here.
         | 
         | It is quite potent when media talk about crypto and usually
         | involves evident logical fallacies that are not dissimilar to
         | Orwellian double-speak.
         | 
         | Like the idea that cash is freedom so crypto supporters also
         | support no cash limits, even though you can't buy crypto with
         | cash and crypto cannot be converted directly to cash and people
         | who won the crypto lottery keep their money in a good old bank
         | when a good old investment manager handles them to buy good old
         | banking products using good old FIAT money taxed by the good
         | old government, because "freedom propaganda" is the best tool
         | to sell a fraud to the ignorant.
         | 
         | But media don't write about it, I don't know why.
        
           | nibbleshifter wrote:
           | > even though you can't buy crypto with cash and crypto
           | cannot be converted directly to cash
           | 
           | I have bought and sold crypto primarily using cash for the
           | last ten years, what are you talking about.
           | 
           | Yes, many people use an exchange. Many do not.
        
             | NikolaNovak wrote:
             | Physical cash? How?
        
               | purpleflame1257 wrote:
               | Presumably a Bitcoin ATM
        
               | none_to_remain wrote:
               | One simple option: Hand someone some cash, they send you
               | some BTC
        
               | nibbleshifter wrote:
               | Precisely this. There's nothing complex about it either.
               | You get a bunch of cash, they get btc, or vice versa.
        
               | rdtwo wrote:
               | Not that simple. You need to validate the transaction on
               | the chain and that takes hours
        
               | nibbleshifter wrote:
               | You only need a single confirmation these days. It takes
               | 10 minutes.
               | 
               | Source: have been doing this for years.
        
               | nibbleshifter wrote:
               | You arrange to meet someone online, meet up, exchange
               | cash for btc/whatever, done.
               | 
               | Never had a bad experience with it. You just sit in a
               | coffee shop with the person for the few minutes it takes
               | for a transaction confirmation.
        
               | denton-scratch wrote:
               | Bitcoin Local offers the opportunity to meet a seller at
               | a physical location. Same with Local Monero. If you're
               | planning to exchange $10M, you'll probably need a couple
               | of bag-carriers, and perhaps some muscle as well.
               | 
               | You can also trade for non-physical "cash", e.g. local
               | bank transfer via escrow. As far as I'm concerned, that's
               | a cash exchange.
        
               | ycombobreaker wrote:
               | Won't the usage of escrow trigger a KYC/AML "event" of
               | some sort? That would tie the two parties' identities in
               | a way that a cash evades.
        
           | jrm4 wrote:
           | Really hard to underestimate how bad and old the doublespeak
           | is.
           | 
           | You ever thought about how a credit card is a debt card?
           | 
           | Whereas, it's the debit card that actually spends your
           | credits?
        
             | ffggffggj wrote:
             | Credit cards create credits (a liability). Debit cards
             | create debits (a nearly immediate transfer from your
             | account). Seems accurate enough to me although I can see
             | how debt and debit could be confused.
        
               | jrm4 wrote:
               | But no:
               | 
               | When your account is credited, that means you gain money.
               | That's the definition of "credit."
               | 
               | So yes, you are creating credits for the credit card
               | company, against you. What you are gaining is _debt
               | /liability_. Which why it's weird for it to be "your"
               | credit card.
               | 
               | If I have a Chuck E. Cheese game token card, that doesn't
               | mean I owe Chuck E. Cheese tokens.
        
             | hexane360 wrote:
             | A 'debit card' is one where funds are debited from your
             | account. A 'credit card' is one where you're buying on
             | credit.
        
         | kfarr wrote:
         | Perfect example of fundamental attribution error
        
         | lullab wrote:
         | Maybe the real takeaway from his story is to bet big in a new
         | market to get rich. And if you lose it all, earn more and do it
         | again. It would have happened in the early days of the internet
         | just the same.
         | 
         | Yes, it's incredibly risky but at least it has a better chance
         | than playing the lottery. Like Nassim Taleb says, bet on things
         | with a limited downside and unlimited upside. And if you don't
         | try, nothing will happen.
        
           | 2devnull wrote:
           | "things with a limited downside and unlimited upside"
           | 
           | Penny stocks and junk bonds, a classic recipe for attaining
           | mega wealth.
        
             | lullab wrote:
             | Theoretically yes. Even putting it all on black in Vegas
             | could work. But it doesn't mean you should do it. Any
             | investment is inherently a gamble, some are riskier than
             | others and some have a too small payoff for the risk.
        
             | eyphka wrote:
             | That is how Warren Buffet got started, or as he called
             | them, used cigarbuts.
        
               | ffggffggj wrote:
               | It also helped that his father was a congressman and
               | stock trader who brought Buffet around his finance
               | friends throughout his youth and helped him start buying
               | stocks as a young teenager.
        
           | doliveira wrote:
           | That's a pretty big advantage rich people have as well:
           | knowing they won't starve to death if they fail.
        
           | hgsgm wrote:
        
           | jrm4 wrote:
           | I mean, lets get Taleb exactly right here: He basically says
           | don't invest "moderately," -- like putting your large amounts
           | of money in stocks, even index funds, is a bad idea.
           | 
           | Invest in both extremes, barbell style. Put MOST of it in
           | something bulletproof (he goes with Treasury Bonds) and then
           | the rest as big bets on long shots.
        
             | johanvts wrote:
             | Really depends on you goals and also current financial
             | security. I would rather receive 50.000$ than a 10% chance
             | at 500.000$. But a richer person would probably choose the
             | latter.
        
               | jrm4 wrote:
               | Sure, but one of the big points of "The Black Swan" is
               | that your (and everybody's) percentages numbers are way
               | less reliable than you think.
        
         | laserlight wrote:
         | Obligatory xkcd:
         | 
         | https://xkcd.com/1827/
        
       | nextlevelwizard wrote:
       | Seen a lot of Substack stuff. Is it the new Medium?
        
       | deanmoriarty wrote:
       | This kind of signaling is the reason why I ended up voluntarily
       | with no friends in my mid 30s, down from a pretty active social
       | life in my 20s knowing hundreds of people and regularly hanging
       | out with many dozens, mostly in the Bay Area but also in Europe,
       | where I'm originally from.
       | 
       | As people get older, I noticed they just can't stop flashing how
       | successful they are, how they can afford this or that, and
       | suddenly everything becomes a financial/status competition.
       | People becoming small contract freelancers and flaunting to you
       | how they are now "CEO and entrepreneur, what about you?". One
       | time, after a lucky IPO having been at the company for less than
       | 2 years, I was told by a friend who was typically present in my
       | weekly social life, and with whom I shared a lot of fun
       | experiences in my 20s: "why do you work so hard rather than
       | choosing a good pre IPO company and stay at the bottom and chill
       | and retire in a couple years?". No shit. That was the last straw.
       | I voted with my feet and I am overall happier in a life of
       | solitude.
        
         | deebosong wrote:
         | I'm kinda like this as well.
         | 
         | I'm not a misanthrope, and still enjoy the company of people.
         | But. I used to status-jockey and be unconsciously and
         | consciously obsessed with all of that, no matter the arena/
         | context/ subculture, etc. But doing a lot of inner work and
         | unearthing what my core drives/ motives/ needs were, a lot of
         | that status-jockeying and wanting to be in the in-group to feel
         | this existential sense of acceptance and security started to
         | come into focus, and a lot of old friendships became revealed
         | as insecurity/ fear based (on both parties). And trying to
         | introduce new paradigms to old friends became sort of the last-
         | ditch effort to try to salvage relationships that were built on
         | shaky foundation.
         | 
         | It also made me look back on when people tried to speak truth
         | into my beliefs when I was still caught-up in wanting to be
         | relevant and seen as high-status & outwardly respectable, and
         | how I couldn't hear what people were saying.
         | 
         | I still wanna give people a chance, though, but accept them for
         | where they communicate they are at and leave em alone if
         | they're deep in that status-chasing game, and have no desire to
         | explore getting out of that mess. There are still people out
         | there who want to enjoy life and find meaning on other terms
         | than getting validation from an anonymous audience/ jury that
         | they believe has the power to approve or reject them.
        
         | bradlys wrote:
         | Confused on your last point. Joining a good pre IPO company is
         | generally a good idea. The difficult part is to find the good
         | company, IMO.
         | 
         | Look at how many were considered good but _still_ haven't gone
         | public.
        
           | meindnoch wrote:
           | His friend, who just won the lottery, told him that he
           | shouldn't work that hard, instead he should just win the
           | lottery, like him.
        
           | deanmoriarty wrote:
           | That's the whole point, you can't deterministically know
           | which company will make you rich in a couple years without a
           | massive amount of luck (like my friend). My friend instead
           | meant it as: "are you stupid? Why don't you just do like me?
           | It's so easy and simple!".
           | 
           | I clearly have a lot of startups and pre IPO companies under
           | my belt, and he knew that.
        
             | bradlys wrote:
             | Got it. Makes sense. I figured maybe that was the case but
             | the wording confused me.
        
         | robocat wrote:
         | Surely you must know people that just do-their-own-thing,
         | rather than the fake aspirationals (often middle-class status
         | seekers)?
         | 
         | I don't think it is that difficult to tell the difference
         | between the loving enthusiast (with say a gaming PC they built
         | that looks like dreck using unpopular parts, with judicious use
         | of expense), and the mere status chaser (with say a stupid
         | expensive gaming PC with cliched blingken lights, plus an
         | enthusiasm for high-status parts and ranking behaviours). If
         | engineers, find the true engineer types, rather than the
         | wannabes?
         | 
         | I could imagine it is difficult in some suburbs that mostly
         | have plastic people, but you said you are more worldly than
         | that. There are poseurs everywhere, but there are definite
         | patterns of behaviour that you can use to filter them out,
         | regardless of their clique.
        
       | killjoywashere wrote:
       | I was at a small dinner party recently and one of the guests
       | arrived in a three wheel golf cart kind of thing. His other car
       | is an orange Lamborghini Huracan. He got a degree in poli sci or
       | some other liberal arts thing, but played in tech sales and
       | eventually sold a gaming company to Google and has now worked
       | with Google for several years. The conversation turned toward
       | advice to our kids (everyone is 45 to 55 and has kids headed to
       | college). At one point I said something to the effect of "The
       | standard advise is that whenever you get to a fork in the road
       | you should probably take the harder path."
       | 
       | Without missing a beat, the other guest quipped "Yeah, take a
       | nap".
        
         | rakejake wrote:
         | Unrelated, but your username is genius!
        
         | HenryClerval wrote:
         | I haven't heard "take a nap" before. What does it mean in that
         | context?
        
       | matwood wrote:
       | The one that always bugs me is when rich, successful people tell
       | others to follow their heart or passion. It's easy to follow your
       | heart once you're already rich. The other one is that rich people
       | don't think about money, which is bullshit. It's all they think
       | about, even if they don't show it.
        
         | s3000 wrote:
         | If you interpret it generously, those rich people may
         | acknowledge that it takes luck to succeed. If you follow your
         | heart you at least have enjoyed the ride if luck doesn't
         | strike.
         | 
         | Following your heart can also be a great filter. If you
         | maintain some level of compassion and integrity, you will
         | create a product that customers want.
        
         | teddyh wrote:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MSrd5od9lyk
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7Rid9cI6AI
        
         | swayvil wrote:
         | Rich people are more dependent on their wealth than poor
         | people. It's funny to think about.
         | 
         | A poor person depends on a diverse array of skills,
         | relationships and resources.
         | 
         | A rich person depends on their account balance. They focus on
         | that, basically in exclusion of all else.
         | 
         | It makes the way they see and behave really different.
         | 
         | It explains "wealthy miser" syndrome.
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | A rich person has people who focus on their account balance.
        
       | ALittleLight wrote:
       | The ape experiment seems like it's been misinterpreted badly -
       | including by the linked video. The kids are told they are
       | "playing a game" whereas the apes are trying to pull the treat
       | from the box. The children aren't being outsmarted by the apes,
       | they are doing a different thing. Many toys and children's games
       | involve arbitrary and pointless actions. The kids have been
       | taught to do something, are told to do something, and then do it.
       | 
       | If you told the children their goal was to remove the gummy bear
       | from the box with as few actions as possible they too would skip
       | messing with the mechanism on top. The apes are playing one game
       | (get the treat) and the kids are playing another (manipulate this
       | box the way I show you). Comparing their actions and drawing
       | conclusions is silly. It's like saying someone playing chess is
       | missing a lot of moves that a checkers player made.
        
       | ajb wrote:
       | As always, context is everything.
       | 
       | Not all countersignals are that costly. For example, casual wear
       | is common among devs. This signals that our skill set is valuable
       | enough that we don't need to comply with corporate dress codes.
       | Sometimes someone from a poor background turns up in a suit - for
       | example, we had a QA guy who did, having converted from some
       | previous career via a short course. Sometimes new grads come to
       | interview in one, having been poorly informed by their parents or
       | whatever. Continuing to wear different dress to your colleagues
       | just makes them uncomfortable and doesn't help you, even if your
       | skill set is not yet that valuable.
       | 
       | The more general piece of advice here is that you should take
       | advice from those who have just succeeded at what you want to do,
       | not someone who did so a decade or more ago (parental career
       | advice is usually well out of date. For example, my parents
       | imagined that an academic career was still the easier option)
        
         | throw0101c wrote:
         | > _This signals that our skill set is valuable enough that we
         | don 't need to comply with corporate dress codes. Sometimes
         | someone from a poor background turns up in a suit_
         | 
         | And then there's Vint Cerf.
        
           | tuukkah wrote:
           | His approach may be something best described as counter-
           | countersignalling.
        
         | chris_j wrote:
         | Around ten years ago, I worked for IBM as a software engineer.
         | The dress code at work was pretty casual, so I tended to wear
         | jeans and a t-shirt in the office. One day, I was asked to
         | speak at an event that would be attended by a lot of our
         | customers. I asked my mentor, "Should I dress up? Should I wear
         | my suit for the first time in years?" His response surprised
         | me. He said, "These customers have come here to talk to
         | engineers. Do you want them to think we've sent a salesman to
         | talk to them." He made it perfectly clear that I should dress
         | like an engineer. I confess I did get rid of the t-shirt; I
         | wore a casual shirt with my jeans that day, and the folks that
         | I talked to went away satisfied that they had indeed spoken
         | with an engineer.
        
           | chewz wrote:
           | Dressing casual, wearing glasses and not being too pushy was
           | my secret sauce to selling software tools to chief
           | engneers...
        
         | borroka wrote:
         | Perhaps dressing poorly (very common) and not being in shape
         | (bimodal distribution, there are many in very good shape and
         | many in very bad shape, few in between) started out as a
         | counter-signal, but today it is just sloppiness, or
         | convenience, like it is more convenient to order fast food
         | instead of grilling chicken.
         | 
         | I work in the tech industry, and although I don't usually wear
         | a suit, I often show up in a spezzato, a pair of pants and a
         | jacket of a different fabric/color. Nothing too flashy, but
         | well put together. And I think that's the counter signal
         | nowadays: show up looking good, feeling good, being what we
         | want to be.
        
           | spaceman_2020 wrote:
           | I've personally never understood the business world's
           | obsession with suits.
           | 
           | Like, what does a deal need to be signed in a suit? What does
           | the suit contribute to the deal? If it's to convey
           | "professionalism", surely a cheap $300 piece of attire
           | shouldn't be a stronger signal than whatever due diligence
           | the two parties have done already?
        
             | throwaway821909 wrote:
             | I think in the same way we have expensive cars or whatever
             | to say "I have so much money I can afford to waste $x" we
             | have suits to say "I'm so organised I can spare some effort
             | dressing kind of impractically, just to look a bit better
             | for you, my client"
        
             | ajb wrote:
             | A suit wouldn't be the last signal checked, but the first -
             | back which most things were done in person. It's not the
             | signing of the deal that needs the suit, but the
             | introduction. And once you've been introduced in a suit,
             | changing it later is another signal that you may prefer not
             | to send. As well as that if you've gone to the trouble of
             | having a suit and maintaining it, you may as well wear it
             | all the time rather than waste time figuring out if you
             | need to wear it that day.
        
         | labrador wrote:
         | "You got to be awful rich to dress as bad as you do"
         | 
         | -- John Steinbeck, Travels With Charley: In Search of America
        
       | spencerchubb wrote:
       | This is talked about in left-leanong circles and there is even an
       | idiom for it: "classy if you're rich and trashy if you're poor".
        
       | bluedays wrote:
       | I live in a poor area of the country. If I were to dress
       | according to my income I wouldn't be able to go anywhere. Does
       | this count as a countersignal?
        
       | jonnycomputer wrote:
       | Boss gives a dinner party at their home for their employees. All
       | the guests show up in their best. Boss is in shorts, t-shirt and
       | sandals.
        
         | Obscurity4340 wrote:
         | Top shelf power play. This guy Zooms
        
           | eternalban wrote:
           | You missed the part where the maid serves little burgers on
           | buns as lunch.
        
           | brewdad wrote:
           | The real power play would be if the boss's t-shirt is the 3
           | for $10 variety from Target rather than a $200 bespoke one.
        
         | borroka wrote:
         | In my non-U.S. hometown (people in the U.S. are, on average,
         | much more shy in this context, oddly enough), this would have
         | been considered extremely rude and awkward, and the boss would
         | have been made fun of forever.
         | 
         | And not because he was in shorts, T-shirt and sandals, a
         | respectable attire at the beach or pool, but not when other
         | people are striving to present themselves at their best.
         | Putting people down should never be fashionable.
        
         | denton-scratch wrote:
         | Boss is a jerk.
        
           | 988747 wrote:
           | Or it's just a miscommunication: The boss was throwing the
           | party with the intention of everyone having a chance to relax
           | and have fun, but everyone else saw it as a career
           | opportunity and "dressed for success".
        
       | bulbosaur123 wrote:
       | The poorer you are, the more you are interested in appearing
       | rich. Higher EV in that play allowing increased chances to mingle
       | with rich class.
       | 
       | The richer you are, the more you are interested in appearing
       | humble. Higher EV in signalling "money speaks, wealth whispers"
       | message and appearing "down-to-earth" to win people over.
       | 
       | Very often it pays to do the opposite of what is expected from
       | you.
        
         | kyawzazaw wrote:
         | > The richer you are, the more you are interested in appearing
         | humble. Higher EV in signalling "money speaks, wealth whispers"
         | message and appearing "down-to-earth" to win people over.
         | 
         | Is that really the case though? Because I see a lot of
         | university buildings and foundations named after really wealthy
         | people. That's hardly "whsipers".
        
         | themacguffinman wrote:
         | If the actually rich people are dressing down-to-earth, why
         | would you dress fancily to appear rich? Surely you want to also
         | dress down-to-earth so you appear like the rich people do.
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | because you and the actually rich people are not appearing to
           | the same audience.
        
         | ricardobayes wrote:
         | "Dress for the job you want, not the one you have"
        
         | throwaway98797 wrote:
         | there's this paper scissors rock thing with wealth & money
         | 
         | poor: got to say you work hard when talking to middle class
         | 
         | middle class: got to say you work smart if you're talking to
         | upper class
         | 
         | upper class: got to say your work hard to peers, middle class,
         | and poor, but reasons are different. for peers it's because
         | nihilism isn't cool neither is being overly epicurean
         | 
         | everyone says the right narrative to the right people, no one
         | really knows the truth
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | Oh I never lie about the fact that I don't work hard.
           | Literally never worked a hard day in my whole life. Yet I
           | make bank for some reason that still eludes me.
           | 
           | I am painfully aware of my privilege working in tech which is
           | why I don't hide it, and try my best to spread it around in
           | ways that aren't self-gratifying. I've paid my friends' rent,
           | car repairs, groceries, plane tickets so they could be home
           | for the holidays, venmoed my struggling friends so they could
           | go out with the group, hooked them up with jobs, bought
           | concert and festival tickets. Literally no one in my social
           | circle is allowed to say, "sorry I can't money's tight." My
           | only conditions are that they not thank me, never pay me back
           | in any way whatsoever, and tell no one.
           | 
           | One of the managers in my office does the same thing since he
           | also grew up poor and hungry. When your out to dinner with
           | him you not escape without being stuffed to the brim, and
           | dessert, and leftovers.
        
       | pavlov wrote:
       | _> "Some writers are so well known that, despite having millions
       | of followers, they literally don't promote anything they write on
       | social media. That is some strong countersignaling."_
       | 
       | This was every writer until about 13 years ago. That's not a long
       | time in a field where people can have 70 year long careers.
       | 
       | It's interesting to consider how "doing the thing I've always
       | done" can quickly become seen as countersignalling when society
       | changes around you.
        
         | GauntletWizard wrote:
         | "Tweeting, but not tweeting about your new book" is very
         | different from "Not tweeting about your new book" when Twitter
         | doesn't exist. One is lack of a signal channel, the other is
         | spending time and effort on a signal channel and not
         | transmitting your signal. Countersignaling relies on the SNR
         | being biased against you; it's about noise floor vs signal and
         | having no channel at all is very different.
        
         | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
         | This could still be a conscious choice to counter-signal
         | though. When society is changing, you can go with the flow or
         | you can choose to stick to your guns, and if your position is
         | solid enough, maybe you don't need to be on the front of every
         | trend. Of course, like all the risky signals, you don't know if
         | your position is actually strong enough until it's too late.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | But how is "I can get by very well without that newfangled
         | thing" not countersignaling? Even if it's completely devoid of
         | deliberation it still is. And from the upstart's perspective
         | this is written for, they can certainly try to cosplay grey
         | eminence from the start, but that sure has its price. If they
         | succeed nonetheless, good for them, but telling them to try
         | would be bad advice.
        
         | jonnycomputer wrote:
         | Yeah, and I don't think its counter-signalling either.
         | Successful authors are likely to have people actively promoting
         | their work for them; the one thing others can't do for them is
         | write (unless they're willing to have other people perform the
         | work they are known for).
        
           | tgv wrote:
           | It's seems to be hard for people to imagine there are more
           | channels than Twitter. They are on twitter, everybody they
           | know is on twitter, and by that they judge everything.
        
             | zach_garwood wrote:
             | And people on Twitter vastly overestimate Twitter's
             | importance. That some people think it's a "public town
             | square" is just laughable. It's the trash-laden alley
             | behind an Arby's, at best.
        
       | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
       | _> In contrast, children will copy every single action, including
       | the unnecessary ones._
       | 
       | The example that immediately springs to mind, in the tech
       | industry, is the "Steve Jobs Asshole" archetype.
       | 
       | Steve Jobs was a notorious manager, in that he made heavy-duty
       | demands, did not suffer fools, and was blunt to the point of
       | abusive.
       | 
       | But he was also able to filter for talent, cultivate it, and
       | encourage excellence. He wasn't just an asshole. He was really
       | smart, driven, and impatient with things that got in his way.
       | 
       | I have worked with two people, in my time, who worked directly
       | with him at one time, or another, and they both _hated_ him, but
       | I have also worked with a number of folks like Steve Jobs, and
       | have learned how to navigate them. It isn 't pleasant, but it's
       | generally worth it, to get on their good side.
       | 
       | Unfortunately, a lot of not-so-smart, and not-so-creative people
       | have picked up on the "demanding asshole" part, without the
       | "smart, selective, and creative" part, so they are just assholes.
       | They honestly believe they are channeling Steve, but they don't
       | get the same results (for the record, Steve Jobs had a lot more
       | failures than successes, but his successes were off the charts).
        
         | Mistletoe wrote:
         | Unfortunately I'm afraid the current version of this is the
         | Elon Musk wannabes. What they don't know is that many people
         | that have worked for Musk have come forward from SpaceX and the
         | like that say the only way to progress projects is to avoid his
         | interference and/or learn how to present things to him in a way
         | that he doesn't sabotage it. I've worked for bosses like that
         | before and it is terrible. Not only are you doing your
         | difficult job task but you have a constant mini boss that pops
         | up trying to spoil any forward progress.
        
         | notinfuriated wrote:
         | The Steve Jobs example I immediately think of when talking
         | about imitating _unnecessary_ behaviors are all the people who
         | started dressing like Steve Jobs. Elizabeth Holmes and Mark
         | Zuckerberg come to mind as people who did this in an obvious
         | way.
         | 
         | But the 'asshole boss' or authority figure archetype is an old
         | one, from long before Steve Jobs, and it can be an effective
         | motivational tool, although many of us, myself included, don't
         | have the stomach for it. Obligatory pop culture example:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elrnAl6ygeM
        
           | adventured wrote:
           | > the people who started dressing like Steve Jobs. Elizabeth
           | Holmes and Mark Zuckerberg come to mind as people who did
           | this in an obvious way.
           | 
           | Zuckerberg was never known for copying the look of Steve
           | Jobs. I doubt you can find multiple photos from different
           | dates that demonstrates the claim.
           | 
           | Zuck wore zip hoodies and flip flops; the version of Jobs
           | that Zuckerberg would have been exposed to did not dress that
           | way (Jobs might have worn flip flops to work in the 1970s,
           | given the era). Zuck wore plain, grey-blue, short sleeve
           | shirts; Jobs did not. There isn't much to Zuck's sense of
           | style beyond that it's simplistic and very casual - which is
           | from the era he grew up in and how his young peers around him
           | dressed.
           | 
           | Holmes by contrast did attempt to directly mimic the look of
           | Jobs.
        
             | notinfuriated wrote:
             | I'm not referring to copying the actual style but rather
             | copying the habit of wearing the same thing as a way to
             | avoid spending time making the decision of what to wear.
             | This concept was written about ad nauseam about a decade
             | ago, with Jobs as the inspiration.
             | 
             | I don't assume Jobs was the first one to do it, and it's
             | certainly more conspicuous that Holmes was copying Jobs'
             | _style_ , but I do assume that people like Zuckerberg
             | copied Jobs directly as a result of hearing that this was
             | some little productivity hack for Jobs. I associate this
             | period as the same time the 'personal brand' was becoming
             | more popular, and people started aping Steve Jobs as a way
             | to either deceive people just through perception or as a
             | good faith attempt to be like Steve.
             | 
             | https://medium.com/swlh/why-successful-people-wear-the-
             | same-...
             | 
             | https://www.businessinsider.com/highly-successful-people-
             | lik...
             | 
             | https://www.ctsolutionsglobal.com/post/2019/09/12/what-do-
             | st...
             | 
             | https://www.businessinsider.com/steve-jobs-productivity-
             | hack...
             | 
             | Here's an article that includes a quote of Zuckerberg
             | explaining himself, which makes my speculation less of an
             | assumption:
             | 
             | https://careers.workopolis.com/advice/the-reason-mark-
             | zucker...
             | 
             | > "I really want to clear my life to make it so that I have
             | to make as few decisions as possible about anything except
             | how to best serve this community. There's actually a bunch
             | of psychology theory that even making small decisions,
             | around what you wear or what you eat for breakfast or
             | things like that, they kind of make you tired and consume
             | your energy. My view is I'm in this really lucky position
             | where I get to wake up every day and help serve more than 1
             | billion people, and I feel like I'm not doing my job if I
             | spend any of my energy on things that are silly or
             | frivolous about my life, so that way I can dedicate all of
             | my energy towards just building the best products and
             | services and helping us reach our goal and achieve this
             | mission of helping to connect everyone in the world and
             | giving them the ability to stay connected with the people
             | that they love and care about. So, that's what I care
             | about. Even though it sounds silly that that's my reason
             | for wearing a grey t-shirt every day, it is true."
             | 
             | > _He then pointed out that others throughout history have
             | done the same, like Steve Jobs, who was usually wearing a
             | black mock neck._
        
               | janef0421 wrote:
               | I don't think that behaviour is an attempt to mimic Steve
               | Jobs, or any kind of signalling strategy. It's an
               | effective strategy for minimising cognitive load and
               | energy.
        
           | mike_hearn wrote:
           | Holmes yes, so obviously so that people remarked on it.
           | Zuckerberg? The archetype of Steve Jobs' dress code is the
           | black turtleneck and jeans. Zuck is famous for his consistent
           | grey t-shirt and jeans, or sometimes hoodies.
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | _> his consistent grey t-shirt and jeans_
             | 
             | I'm pretty sure they were talking about that consistency.
             | 
             | The story that I have heard, is that Jobs wore the same
             | thing, every day, so his mind wouldn't be "bogged down,"
             | with minutia, like what to wear.
             | 
             | I think some folks also have superstitions about dress.
        
               | teg4n_ wrote:
               | If I were that rich I would just pay someone to learn
               | what kind of outfits I like and pick out my clothes for
               | me.
        
               | begemotz wrote:
               | this story has been around for a long time, and
               | attributed to a number of people. As a student, I came
               | across it being said of Einstein.
        
               | stonogo wrote:
               | It was also the explanation for the Incredible Hulk
               | always wearing purple pants in the comics.
        
             | notinfuriated wrote:
             | Per my other comment, it's not the copying of the style but
             | rather the copying of the behavior / habit:
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33946519
        
               | mike_hearn wrote:
               | Thanks, that makes sense and that quote you found seems
               | to prove it.
        
         | ozim wrote:
         | There is also example of devs thinking they are another Linus
         | Torvalds. Being assholes because they think they are brilliant
         | coders. Unfortunately most of the times these people were
         | inventing unnecessary complexity not writing some great code.
        
         | spamizbad wrote:
         | Unfortunately, there's an entire school of thinking that
         | basically boils down to "pro-social behavior is ineffective and
         | slows you down". Their take is the "creative, selective" Steve
         | Jobs was part of the myth. His real key to success was being
         | able to push people. We are seeing history repeat itself with
         | Elon Musk: so expect a new generation of entrepreneurs who
         | think being a hardass is the key to running a successful
         | enterprise.
         | 
         | Now, to be clear, shepherding great work out of your team is a
         | hallmark of a good manager. But if you don't even know what
         | "good" is your efforts are in vain and you'd be better offer
         | handing that autonomy over to someone who does. You cannot
         | verbally-abuse your way to greatness.
        
         | ramblerman wrote:
         | > In contrast, children will copy every single action,
         | including the unnecessary ones.
         | 
         | That video was super interesting but I'm not sure the
         | conclusion is correct. In the experiment with the children an
         | authority figure (including full medical suit) was put in front
         | of them and told them "do these instructions".
         | 
         | The chimp wouldn't have that pressure. It's not quite the same
         | experiment.
         | 
         | It would be interesting if you put 5 boxes in front of children
         | and told them they had 1 minute to get as many sweets as they
         | could, if they would still follow all the steps.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | fallingknife wrote:
         | Your "for the record" doesn't work even for that. Failure does
         | not offset success.
        
           | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
           | _> Your  "for the record" doesn't work even for that. Failure
           | does not offset success._
           | 
           | I'm afraid that I don't understand the comment.
           | 
           | Sorry. I'm stupid that way.
        
             | fallingknife wrote:
             | In business, failure is the default outcome, not a
             | negative. Someone who has failed 9 times and won big once
             | is pretty much in the same place as someone who has tried
             | once and succeeded once. Both are way ahead of someone who
             | is 0-0.
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | Ah. That makes sense. Good point.
        
         | lordnacho wrote:
         | I've seen the same. People see that to get things done, often
         | you need to be unpleasant. So through logical acrobatics being
         | unpleasant means they get things done. It even works for a
         | while because it's true that if you're unpleasant you must be
         | getting things done or you'd be gone.
        
         | yodsanklai wrote:
         | There's no excuse to tolerate bad behavior. It's like an
         | abusive relationship. When such a situation happens, you should
         | start thinking of an exit plan ASAP.
        
           | taeric wrote:
           | There are also shockingly few areas where zero tolerance
           | works. That is, don't silently tolerate bad behavior, but
           | realize that many punishment oriented corrections are
           | themselves bad behavior.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | tenebrisalietum wrote:
           | I will tolerate W amount of X bad behavior for duration Y if
           | I receive Z million dollars at the end of duration Y, for
           | values of Z that equal or exceed 1.
        
       | steveBK123 wrote:
       | "An example from Ogilvy Vice Chairman Rory Sutherland: If you're
       | a top executive, turning up to work on a bicycle is a high-status
       | activity because it was a choice and not a necessity. But if you
       | work at Pizza Hut, turning up on a bike means you can't afford a
       | car."
       | 
       | This tidbit reminds me of a similar anecdote (that my experience
       | aligns with) re: the modern upper class that wearing a $2k Rolex
       | or driving a $70k BMW is frowned upon. But instead they have
       | eccentric "hobbies" requiring $10ks of of equipment, inclusive of
       | "needing" $10k viking stove/range, and $10k subzero
       | fridge/freezer in your kitchen because you are a "foodie" and
       | doing a $500k home Reno because you have good architectural taste
       | and style. They probably still own a $70k Volvo (or now Tesla)
       | anyway :-). In these scenarios I think it's because the $2k watch
       | or $70k car is too easily attained by lower classes that they are
       | no longer considered signals by the upper classes. However
       | blowing $500k renovating a perfectly livable home, or $10k on an
       | appliance you could spend as little as $1k on.. is not.
       | 
       | Another countersignal that the article points in the direction of
       | is level of professional vs casual attire in the workplace. My
       | friends and I are far enough in our careers that personally I've
       | worn sneakers to work for the last 10 years, no business slacks,
       | and sporadically tuck in my collared shirt. The last round of job
       | searching doing zoom interviews, I wore my hoodie for half the
       | calls. If I had done this while job searching out of college,
       | during my internship, or at my first job.. I would not be where I
       | am today.
        
         | tablespoon wrote:
         | > In these scenarios I think it's because the $2k watch or $70k
         | car is too easily attained by lower classes that they are no
         | longer considered signals by the upper classes.
         | 
         | Or it's about signaling that you're "in the know" with the in-
         | group.
         | 
         | I read some list from (I believe) the 1800s that listed the
         | different vocabulary used by aristocratic vs. middle class
         | English people. It wasn't anything fancy (e.g. graveyard =
         | aristocrat, cemetery = middle class). But as soon as that list
         | was published and the middle class strivers knew to imitate
         | those parts of the dialect, I'm sure the aristocrats quickly
         | deprecated those signals.
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | if you're thinking U vs non-U it was mid-XX, and a bit of a U
           | joke[0] that non-U peeps took way too seriously.
           | 
           | I wonder: has anyone made a list of all the different ways we
           | Sneetches have besides our bellies, to distinguish in- and
           | out-groups?
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U_and_non-U_English
           | 
           | [0] when Jilly Cooper shows up in the References of a
           | Wikipedia page it's all a bit of a lark
        
         | cracrecry wrote:
         | >the modern upper class that wearing a $2k Rolex or driving a
         | $70k BMW is frowned upon.
         | 
         | There was a time, not that long time ago in which good clocks
         | were expensive and expending 2ks on a good clock was similar to
         | expending 2k on a laptop today, a functional, reasonable
         | decision.
         | 
         | My uncle earned a much more expensive Rolex than 2k in a Golf
         | tournament and wearing it nobody believed it was genuine, even
         | a watchmaker could not differentiate it from sight, there are
         | very good Chinese knockoffs for cheap anywhere.
         | 
         | Also, after quartz oscillator clocks, a 2k clock does not work
         | better than a 100 one.
         | 
         | People spend their money on whatever they see fit. One of the
         | great things of having money is having freedom in your life but
         | few people knowing that you have it.
         | 
         | In places like Spain or France people do not admire you for
         | having money, on the contrary they envy you, and you better not
         | show off. Also gold diggers and interested parties like banks
         | start to harass you all the time. And criminals what to take it
         | from you by force.
        
           | AlbertCory wrote:
           | I bought a fake "Rolex" in Thailand, for $10.
           | 
           | It actually didn't work very well. I guess there's a
           | hierarchy even among the fake.
        
             | mozman wrote:
             | I bought a $400 fake rolex. Aside from the glass not being
             | sapphire you cannot tell the difference visually
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Is the escapement running at the same rate? A big part of
               | the "rolex" appearance that is very hard to copy is the 8
               | ticks per second that the second hand goes through. I
               | have seen very high quality Rolex copies before that
               | don't do that, and are instantly recognizable as a fake
               | to people who know a little bit about watches.
        
               | dagw wrote:
               | _Is the escapement running at the same rate?_
               | 
               | Absolutely. Modern fake Rolexes can only be told apart
               | from a real one by an expert examining it with a loupe.
               | And 8 tick pr second isn't that hard to replicate.
               | Several ETA and Sellita calibers do it as well.
        
               | moneywoes wrote:
               | From whereabouts?
        
               | ROTMetro wrote:
               | I got some fakes from a big warehouse in Shanghai. They
               | had all levels of prices/quality. Our corporate guide
               | found the shop for us. They had a whole wall of fake
               | watches of different brands. My ex-wife got purses. I
               | much preferred my real watches, but the fakes were for
               | fancy dinners downtown in the big city in case I got
               | mugged.
        
               | mozman wrote:
               | Look for fake watch forums and their trusted vendor list.
               | That's how I found the seller I bought from.
               | 
               | Took 4 weeks to arrive direct from China
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | Back in the 1990s my dad's oldest brother went to the
             | outskirts of NYC and was really impressed with the fake
             | "Rolex" he bought. My mom was indignant about it because
             | she sold men's clothing for a living and could tell you
             | exactly how a fake Tommy Hilfiger shirt was worse in so
             | many ways than a real one.
             | 
             | Two weeks later the watch stopped running.
             | 
             | Around the same time, though, my mom's youngest brother was
             | driving on the cross-Bronx throughway, stopped to help
             | somebody whose car was pulled over on the side of the road,
             | and found the driver had been shot dead.
        
               | GTP wrote:
               | >Around the same time, though, my mom's youngest brother
               | was driving on the cross-Bronx throughway, stopped to
               | help somebody whose car was pulled over on the side of
               | the road, and found the driver had been shot dead.
               | 
               | I don't get what this has too do with the fake rolex.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | The outskirts of NYC were pretty rough back in the day. I
               | don't think the guy got shot because he was involved in a
               | fake Rolex gang though...
        
               | notart666 wrote:
               | Run on sentence makes you wonder.
               | 
               | 7/10 meme
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > My mom was indignant about it because she sold men's
               | clothing for a living and could tell you exactly how a
               | fake Tommy Hilfiger shirt was worse in so many ways than
               | a real one.
               | 
               |  _Gomorrah_ opens with a description of Italian clothing
               | manufacturing. As described there, the difference between
               | a fake shirt and a real shirt is that they were made to
               | the same specifications under one and the same contract,
               | by different factories, and the real one got delivered
               | faster than the fake one did. Only the first guy to
               | deliver gets paid.
               | 
               | It's an interesting book.
               | https://www.amazon.com/dp/1250145031/
        
               | Melting_Harps wrote:
               | > It's an interesting book.
               | https://www.amazon.com/dp/1250145031/
               | 
               | They also made a movie of it [0], I lived in Italy during
               | the financial crisis and it had become commonplace to see
               | large migrating Chinese coming from the North (likely
               | illegal migrants in Milan's clothing factories) come to
               | the central part of Italy looking for work on farms and
               | restaurants. It was hard times as this was taking place
               | as the large migration from N. Africa was happening and
               | they were living in the parks and making the locals
               | irate.
               | 
               | It all came to light when our resident cheese maker, who
               | used to work in the fashion Industry, had to tell them in
               | broken Mandarin that we were fully staffed and couldn't
               | accommodate them, but to try elsewhere further South--a
               | typical way to brush-off a problem as is the running
               | theme with Gomorrah.
               | 
               | I soon realized how dirty the Fashion Industry was as the
               | Zara scandal was ettin into full swing and the workers
               | were taking to writing messages about not being paid for
               | the garments they made [1] as the factories were in
               | sweatshops in Xinjiang or Brazil.
               | 
               | I wouldn't all it interesting so much as it is sobering
               | and eye opening to the perils of offshore manufacturing
               | practices and Italy's fashion Industry was just one of
               | many of these horrors; Foxxcon's electronic manufacturing
               | reliant on African rare earth mine exploitation make all
               | of this pale in comparison.
               | 
               | 0: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0929425/
               | 
               | 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdNvPSD8H1k
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | That's Italy!
        
           | pvaldes wrote:
           | > In places like Spain or France people do not admire you for
           | having money, on the contrary they envy you
           | 
           | Or maybe not. You mileage may vary.
           | 
           | This would depend a lot on how do you earned it.
        
           | taeric wrote:
           | I'm going to make the assertion that personal clocks were
           | basically never with that much. They were as functionally
           | useful as a gold bracelet for the best majority of owners.
        
           | g42gregory wrote:
           | Last time the lowest-end Rolex was $2k was probably 30 years
           | ago. :-)
        
           | trasz2 wrote:
           | Technically a Rolex, however expensive, will always be much
           | worse as a watch than a 20$ Casio. But recently there's
           | another aspect to this: there are now watches that are
           | technically (mechanically) identical to rolexes. Same design,
           | same mechanics, virtually impossible to tell the difference
           | when you tear it apart. Rolex has always been more about
           | marketing (artificial scarcity, waiting list etc) than
           | mechanics, but now it's pretty much exclusively about
           | marketing, since you can get the same engineering orders of
           | magnitude cheaper. It's like DeBeers' diamonds.
        
             | ROTMetro wrote:
             | I have a more obscure watch, but one that those that care
             | recognize. It has signaled me as part of the 'correct'
             | crowd more than once and definitely done it's purpose.
        
               | depressedpanda wrote:
               | What purpose is this? What happens when your watch
               | signals that you belong to the correct crowd?
        
               | MacsHeadroom wrote:
               | People with money and power respect you more and are more
               | likely to drop their guard in some ways. This applies to
               | in-group signaling generally. In this case the in-group
               | is the rich and powerful.
        
             | moneywoes wrote:
             | Where can one get those similar Rolex's? For science
        
               | vba616 wrote:
               | Invicta has made some watches that are pretty similar for
               | a long time. They aren't "high quality" replicas or
               | counterfeits, but if you just like the look of a
               | Submariner they seem to have similar watches for well
               | under $100.
        
               | bri3d wrote:
               | The search term you want is just "Replica." RWI, RWG,
               | RepTime on Reddit, and other private forums will analyze
               | the quality and details of these clones in ridiculous
               | detail. They also have reviews of each reseller and each
               | factory.
               | 
               | I don't even own any fake watches at this point and I've
               | found these forums highly addictive/interesting -
               | honestly, the average skill/knowledge level is quite high
               | compared to most "watch enthusiast" forums.
        
               | maigret wrote:
               | Thanks for the hints. About the replicas: Yes but usually
               | you'll find a few challenges with those. First, pure
               | replicas are illegal, so what you can find legally are
               | called hommages with another logo. That doesn't make them
               | worst by itself, but here are the drawbacks:
               | 
               | First the maintenance. What is the probability those
               | watches will still be serviceable in 50 years? I own a
               | watch that's more than 50 years and wear it regularly
               | because it is still maintained by the company who made
               | it.
               | 
               | Second the value holding. Sure you can sink your money in
               | any gear. The special value of great mechanical watches
               | is that they maintain their used value well on the second
               | hand market for decades. An hommage will have little
               | reputation of its own to maintain.
               | 
               | Of course this is all subject to special cases, but, etc
               | because the watch world is very complex. For example many
               | brands copy each other, some replica brand make great
               | quality, and some great brands barely hold their value
               | (which is a good thing for passionate collectors).
               | 
               | No doubt there is a great skilled and passionate
               | community around reproduction, like in music or art. To
               | build a replica you need way more skill than the average
               | watch enthusiast. They rarely outskill the examples they
               | copy still.
        
               | rosnd wrote:
               | >First the maintenance. What is the probability those
               | watches will still be serviceable in 50 years
               | 
               | Extremely high, given that they tend to run on clones of
               | incredibly popular movements like the ETA2824.
        
               | rwmj wrote:
               | Have a look at this guy's AliExpress watch reviews:
               | https://www.youtube.com/c/JustOneMoreWatch/videos You
               | should be able to get a reasonable Rolex hommage well
               | under $500.
               | 
               | (Not a Rolex immitation, but I'm wearing a JDM Casio
               | Oceanus S100 which is all the watch that anyone would
               | ever need.)
        
             | vba616 wrote:
             | Somewhere I read that a Rolex has a very practical purpose
             | - a real one is a commodity that can fairly easily be
             | turned into cash or a bribe in an emergency, but as a
             | watch, it's not susceptible to being seized by authorities
             | in many circumstances where cash or gold might be.
             | 
             | I don't know if this is true, but it makes a good story.
        
               | hammock wrote:
               | Applies to jewelry in general, however Rolex tends to
               | hold its value better than most jewelry (vs price paid)
        
             | fnbr wrote:
             | What's an example of a watch that's mechanically identical
             | to a Rolex?
        
               | AussieWog93 wrote:
               | It's pretty common now to find "Super Fakes" of designer
               | brands, that are very difficult to tell apart from the
               | real thing. They'll be expensive but not as expensive as
               | the real thing.
        
               | jjtheblunt wrote:
               | Tudor, but it is a different division of Rolex
        
               | coredog64 wrote:
               | A Seiko SKX (or a spiritual successor) with a regulated
               | NH35 will fall into the same "100m water resistance,
               | accurate to within 10 seconds per day" category as a
               | Rolex for about a 10th of the price.
        
               | fbdab103 wrote:
               | >...accurate to within 10 seconds per day
               | 
               | That is hilarious to me. A quick search is showing one
               | can expect a POS Casio to be +/- 15 seconds per month.
        
             | steveBK123 wrote:
             | Correct, a G-shock would get the job done better.
             | 
             | I always viewed watches as the only mainstream sociable
             | acceptable form of male jewelry.
             | 
             | And regardless of which model, generally no more expensive
             | than a woman's engagement or wedding ring, and actually
             | usually cheaper.
             | 
             | Plus it does something other than look pretty - tells time
             | & date!
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | Prestige cars, mega yachts, private jets, and
               | corporations that make rockets and satellites are also
               | male jewellery.
               | 
               | But the article: it's repetitive and slightly rambling
               | and reads like it was written by some variant of GPT.
               | 
               | The point is fair, but it's also well known to class
               | watchers. In the UK nouveau means a gigantic new build
               | mansion full of chrome and glass, a private gym, and
               | plastic and dental surgery. Old means a small country
               | estate, a Georgian pied-a-terre somewhere near the City,
               | tweedy clothing, and perhaps some pedigree dogs. And
               | horses.
               | 
               | Old money tends to underdress - sometimes sloppily - and
               | on casual acquaintance is indistinguishable from the
               | merely middle class.
               | 
               | It's not until you get an invite to the manor house that
               | you discover the ridiculously impractical and expensive
               | Aga stove, the collection of wildly expensive antiques
               | whose prices are never mentioned [1], the relaxed air of
               | charming quizzical bafflement. (Very few of these people
               | are unusually bright or talented. But socially polished -
               | yes.)
               | 
               | The visuals are not the point. Anyone can tweed, but not
               | everyone can tweed like they've been doing it their
               | entire lives and really mean it.
               | 
               | [1] A 17th century silver spoon for PS5000? How
               | _fascinating!_
        
               | notinfuriated wrote:
               | > Prestige cars, mega yachts, private jets, and
               | corporations that make rockets and satellites are also
               | male jewellery.
               | 
               | If we're going down this line, why stop here? You forgot
               | the 'trophy wife' which is definitely more prevalent than
               | the dig at Musk/Bezos.
        
               | Animats wrote:
               | > I always viewed watches as the only mainstream sociable
               | acceptable form of male jewelry.
               | 
               | Now we have iDweebs, those Apple ear things.
        
               | papandada wrote:
               | Watches, pens, pocket knives, flashlights, seem to be a
               | cluster of male jewelry. Fidget spinners too, at one
               | time.
        
           | tetris11 wrote:
           | Is it envy, or disgust? If someone tells me they live in a
           | castle, my initial instinct isn't "wow I wish in a castle
           | too", but "wow what a wasteful needless thing to brag about".
        
             | i0null wrote:
             | Be cautious, the word "envy" is typically thrown around by
             | folks that want to justify "greed". OC, there are
             | reasonable scales between the two but equating success to
             | having nicer material things is really a subjective value
             | judgement.
             | 
             | In all honesty the salient points in the OP about judging
             | instead of thinking, is a commonly attributed aphorism to
             | Carl Jung yet there is no reference to it. The point about
             | tardiness and drawbacks this apparently has on socialising
             | and career progression comes across as utilitarian to the
             | point of sounding sociopathic.
        
         | onetimeusename wrote:
         | Rolex hatred seems like it is about expressing contempt towards
         | the previous establishment. Presidents used to wear them (still
         | do actually) but it's not uncommon to see very rich politicians
         | wearing very cheap watches probably deliberately. Same goes for
         | suit wearing.
         | 
         | I think pg wrote an article on his blog about how suit wearing
         | was for people who thought like conformists and obviously being
         | a conformist was not for hackers. I am paraphrasing because I
         | can't remember now exactly what he said. But I just think it
         | was contempt of previously established people working in
         | finance or law. Now, the largest companies in the US skew
         | towards tech companies.
         | 
         | I don't know why that happens that newly successful people seem
         | to dislike the symbols of the previous elite rather than just
         | mind their own business. Wearing a suit to a tech company will
         | probably get you ostracized even if you just like wearing
         | suits. This is in spite of the claim that the hoodie culture is
         | not concerned what you dress up in, in fact they are. Maybe you
         | could call that counter counter-signalling. It's just like
         | taking a large salary at a tech company instead of having a $1
         | salary and getting enormous options and stock payouts. Somehow
         | taking a large salary is worse despite that being normal for
         | CEOs previously.
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | Interestingly, the $1 salary (with large equity) gives you
           | massive flexibility in how and when you get taxed, and also a
           | lot of additional negotiating power and flexibility with ex-
           | wives (and the Court) on child support and alimony, at least
           | in California.
        
           | kevinventullo wrote:
           | I've never understood where this meme came from of hoodie
           | culture having some kind of disdain for suits. I enjoy a nice
           | suit when the time calls for it! Say, a wedding or a holiday
           | party.
           | 
           | The reason I prefer a hoodie to suit on a daily basis is that
           | putting on a suit is kind of arduous and owning 20 well-
           | fitting suits gets expensive. It has nothing to do with
           | signaling or whatever. Hoodies are far more practical and
           | comfortable! They're a continuation of what I wore in high
           | school and college, though sadly the skateboard logos have
           | been replaced by tech company logos.
           | 
           | Anyway, if you want to wear a suit, that's fine, just don't
           | expect it from me.
        
           | pfisherman wrote:
           | > Wearing a suit to a tech company will probably get you
           | ostracized even if you just like wearing suits.
           | 
           | Not true. If you are a menswear enthusiast who is genuinely
           | into fine tailoring, then people will respect it and even
           | show interest. Generally, having hobbies and interests adds
           | to one's character. Now wearing a suit because you think it
           | will make people take you more seriously will get you some
           | side eye.
        
             | LAC-Tech wrote:
             | Which is a shame. Someone wearing business casual is so
             | much more pleasant to the eye than typical sloppy hacker
             | wear. Especially once you start getting older and flabbier.
        
               | nostrademons wrote:
               | These are also culturally dependent, and are in-
               | group/out-group signals. Many people in Silicon Valley
               | explicitly want to keep people _who believe that business
               | casual is more pleasing to the eye_ out of their social
               | circles. It 's a value judgment; to them, hoodies are
               | more pleasing to the eye, _and_ more comfortable, and
               | they don 't want people who believe otherwise in their
               | companies.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Right, that's the point of the parent of this subthread.
               | They (the hoodie-wearers) would probably insist that they
               | don't judge based on dress or appearance, but they do,
               | and maybe more harshly than the suit-wearers. It's just
               | what people do. I grew up wearing suits to work, shaving
               | every day, and wearing a short neat haircut. I don't as
               | much anymore, but I don't wear hoodies with pizza sauce
               | stains either, and I don't respect the people who do as
               | much as the ones who look like they at least glanced in
               | the mirror before they left the house.
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | You'll meet suit-wearing people, business casual people,
               | and pizza-stained-hoodie people. Some will be
               | conventionally attractive, some not. Some old, some
               | young, some male, some female, some of one race, some
               | another. Some will be skilled, diligent, and productive,
               | some will be well-spoken and good communicators, some
               | will be honest, some will be punctual... some will be
               | not.
               | 
               | Some of those things are choices that matter and should
               | impact your respect for someone else. Some are not, do
               | not, and should not.
               | 
               | Personally, as a controls engineer who frequents messy
               | manufacturing facilities, dressing in a suit gets in the
               | way of getting work done. It subtly conveys "I'm too
               | important to get my hands dirty, I'll leave the grunt
               | work to the grunts." That kind of unwillingness to do
               | whatever's required to get the job done is a point
               | against those folks in my circles. I do understand that
               | people who come to work in a suit may have different
               | struggles vying for status and trying to send the right
               | social signals in conference rooms, and I don't envy them
               | those tasks - but please don't think less of me as a
               | human because of what I choose to wear.
        
               | NineStarPoint wrote:
               | It's more about the effort I think than the style. Well
               | fitted suits and business casual looks good, but so does
               | a well fitted shirt and jeans. On the flip side, a poorly
               | fitted suit looks only marginally less sloppy than poorly
               | fitted hacker wear. Comp-sci types who don't put effort
               | into their wardrobes don't really look any better in
               | business casual, at least in my experience from working
               | in places where such clothes were required.
        
               | coffeebeqn wrote:
               | Doesn't business causal mean like slacks and a lame
               | tucked in pastel polo shirt? I think both a suit and
               | hacker wear are more interesting
        
               | gnicholas wrote:
               | Depends on the context. When I was a SV biglaw associate,
               | I wore slacks and button down, generally without coat
               | (only for meetings). On 'casual Friday' I wore polo,
               | typically with jeans. Basically, SV law firms are always
               | 'business casual' unless you're going to court or a
               | deposition. And on casual Fridays, it's even less formal.
               | 
               | I assume tech companies are more casual than big law
               | firms, and that things may have gotten more casual in the
               | decade since I left the law.
        
               | officialchicken wrote:
               | Don't forget about the Patagonia fleece vest! Many VC
               | firms require someone to wear one to every meeting.
        
               | LAC-Tech wrote:
               | I think it's more like slacks and a button up. Polo
               | shirts are super casual.
        
             | onetimeusename wrote:
             | maybe. I'd like to think that is true but was not in my
             | experience but I wish I had experimented more before
             | everything went remote so maybe take what I am saying with
             | a grain of salt on this matter. I definitely took shit for
             | it although some people were fascinated. I think the
             | exception is if you have long hair or are a steampunk
             | enthusiast. I am not really kidding. Even then you might
             | come off as odd.
             | 
             | I sometimes would have to go to nearby tech companies we
             | worked with and the leads who would greet me would mention
             | something like "oh sorry we didn't tell you that you don't
             | have to wear a suit". You have to explain yourself and
             | there is the implication that wearing a suit is somehow
             | inappropriate.
        
         | pclmulqdq wrote:
         | I think there's a bit of an idea now that you should be
         | expressing yourself with your money, not expressing society's
         | ideas. Around cars and watches, this creates a little bit of a
         | "dead zone" for prestigious professionals.
         | 
         | For example, if you aren't showing up in a $200k Maserati, your
         | car had better be under $50k (maybe $70k with inflation). Only
         | posers who aren't really into cars but want to show off their
         | wealth spend $120k on a car.
         | 
         | For watches, the same thing happens: if you're wearing a watch
         | less than $50k, it had better be under $500. Otherwise you
         | probably don't care much about watches.
         | 
         | Clothing seems to be the same at many companies: you had better
         | wear tailored suits and shirts or be less dressy than "business
         | casual."
        
           | vineyardmike wrote:
           | > Clothing seems to be the same at many companies: you had
           | better wear tailored suits and shirts or be less dressy than
           | "business casual."
           | 
           | There's a running joke in my circle about the "dad
           | professional class". People who are older (40-60s) and go to
           | the office in a remote-work-accepting world mostly because
           | they seem to want to leave their family at home. They all
           | dress like shit in ill-fitting clothes, but because they're
           | older than the "office casual" dress code, they tend to dress
           | in overly professional button downs and slacks. The business
           | attire that look out of place in tech next to a 25yo in a tee
           | shirt. They don't seem to know people don't always take them
           | seriously, and think "they're not here to [change the
           | world/be the best/rise in the ranks/etc], they're here to
           | avoid their wife and collect a salary".
           | 
           | TLDR: stop telling people you try to avoid your family, and
           | start tailoring your clothes, it's honestly not expensive.
        
             | cafard wrote:
             | Or maybe by their 40s-60s they have lost all interest in
             | what 25yos, tee-shirted or not, think about their attire.
             | They have seen the fashion wheel spin more than once, and
             | are no longer compelled by it.
             | 
             | (Source: upper 60s, go into the office mostly because a)
             | it's not far, b) my office setup is a bit better, c) I
             | don't want to wake my wife with Zoom calls. I do have some
             | tailored shirts but seldom wear them.)
        
               | vineyardmike wrote:
               | > maybe by their 40s-60s they have lost all interest in
               | what 25yos
               | 
               | Its not about the fashion, its about looking put
               | together. Its signaling that you care. Of course, there's
               | the article which says that people who made it can stop
               | signaling, so maybe that's you.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | You can tailor your slacks and shirts too, and it's
               | pretty cheap. It will make you look a lot better than
               | what most people expect if you're the type to dress
               | business casual. That is, if you care.
               | 
               | Suits are very expensive to tailor by comparison.
        
           | thelittleone wrote:
           | I had a business associate point out once how my mont blanc
           | watch didn't have its own movement.
           | 
           | Singapore is an interesting place in this regard. We had
           | several young guys in our office who wore $10k plus watches
           | while still living with their parents.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Yes this is very well put, you really hit the nail on the
           | head here on the sort of reverse bell curve of signaling..
           | 
           | For the very wealthy.. If you show enough interest in
           | something to make signaling purchases, it's expected to be
           | "up to snuff" .. this can mean very very high expense or high
           | esotericness.
           | 
           | So that might mean a $200k sports car, or it might mean some
           | uncommon though inexpensive limited production vintage
           | vehicle even though it may be of reasonable price, the time &
           | effort you took to acquire & maintain it is a signal of
           | taste.
           | 
           | Otherwise you'd be better off signaling complete disinterest
           | with a very vanilla middle of the road options.
           | 
           | On menswear I think to your example, you could say you'd be
           | better off not wearing a suit than in wearing a $200 Men's
           | Wearhouse suit. To that end, these days, the type of people
           | you tend to see in suits are either security / front desk
           | staff or very senior corporate executives. Those in the
           | middle have enough labor negotiating power to not be required
           | to wear a suit, but probably not the desire/wealth to spend
           | $2k on a properly tailored suit.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Very senior/wealthy people can get away with whatever they
             | want. It's why Zuckerberg can look like a total slob at
             | Facebook (notice he still wore a suit while testifying to
             | Congress though).
             | 
             | If a senior executive wore a $200 suit to work, nobody
             | would say a word.
        
               | seattle_spring wrote:
               | > Zuckerberg can look like a total slob at Facebook
               | 
               | Huh, custom tshirts and well fitting jeans counts as
               | "looking like a total slob" now? Fwiw I'd rather work
               | with / for someone that dresses like that over formal any
               | day of the week.
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | _(notice he still wore a suit while testifying to
               | Congress though)._
               | 
               | Don't like the guy, his company, his policies. And I tend
               | to repect our elected officals more than most.
               | 
               | But the idea of showing up dressed in a t-shirt and
               | jeans, and/or a hoodie, make me smile broadly.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | True, but they are more likely to wear a $400 hoodie than
               | a $200 suit.
               | 
               | Outside SBF, even the executives dressing "casually" are
               | still doing so expensively.
        
               | Reebz wrote:
               | Zuckerberg wears $800 tshirts amongst other carefully
               | selected pieces of his wardrobe. He isn't rummaging
               | through a local Target for a basic tee and jeans. I think
               | this is a good example of countersignal interpretation!
        
               | hammock wrote:
               | If a sr exec wore a $200 suit to work, it would be
               | noticed. Maybe in a warren buffet folksy sort of way. How
               | they tell defense attorneys not to dress too flashy
        
           | elevaet wrote:
           | The "uncanny valley" of wealth display.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > But instead they have eccentric "hobbies" requiring $10ks of
         | of equipment, inclusive of "needing" $10k viking stove/range,
         | and $10k subzero fridge/freezer in your kitchen because you are
         | a "foodie" and doing a $500k home Reno because you have good
         | architectural taste and style.
         | 
         | Or maybe they just like to cook and enjoy having good hardware?
         | 
         | Not everything is for signaling purposes. It's really cynical
         | to start viewing everyone's personal expenditures as some sort
         | of socially manipulative tactic. This is especially true when
         | it comes to people's hobbies, where many of us are just trying
         | to enjoy ourselves and appreciate having good hardware around.
        
         | whatshisface wrote:
         | Let's take a step back from the signalling perspective and
         | recognize that hobbies (expensive or not) are a lot more fun
         | than watches, which provide almost nothing _but_ status. The
         | same goes for remodeling, which is an extended form of
         | decoration and also a hobby for some people.
        
           | GuB-42 wrote:
           | Unless watches are a hobby.
           | 
           | I find mechanical watches to be fascinating. This is obsolete
           | technology, and yet, innovation continues. This is precision
           | engineering, but at least for the high end, mostly done by
           | hand. A lovely anachronism, which is a fitting word for a
           | timepiece. It is like real life steampunk. I fully understand
           | the appeal beyond status signalling. How can geeks _not_ be
           | at least a little interested in watchmaking?
           | 
           | I know some people don't care and for them it is just status
           | signaling. But it the same as for supercars: just because it
           | is status doesn't mean there isn't something behind it.
        
             | whatshisface wrote:
             | Watchmaking and watch buying are different things.
        
         | AussieWog93 wrote:
         | >inclusive of "needing" $10k viking stove/range, and $10k
         | subzero fridge/freezer in your kitchen because you are a
         | "foodie"
         | 
         | Haha, don't forget the classic combo of the $10k Caesarstone
         | countertop plus half a dozen blunt knives.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | LOL yes, thank you. People might argue somehow the appliance
           | makes them cook better but the countertops and cabinetry is a
           | pretty tough sell.
           | 
           | Every time I look at my 30 year old kitchen & bathrooms, and
           | tally up what it would cost to update them, I can't help but
           | think I'd rather just retire a bit earlier.
           | 
           | Yes things need to be replaced as they break, and ultimately
           | some renovation will be needed.. but I know people gutting
           | 10-15 year old kitchens & baths purely for aesthetics every
           | time they move. Full employment for tradesmen.
        
         | tbrownaw wrote:
         | > * The last round of job searching doing zoom interviews, I
         | wore my hoodie for half the calls. If I had done this while job
         | searching out of college, during my internship, or at my first
         | job.. I would not be where I am today.*
         | 
         | That's not just status, it's got change over time mixed in.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | It's partially status in that, I'm advanced enough in my
           | career that I don't really care to work anywhere that would
           | ding me in a zoom interview over my outfit. Earlier in my
           | career I could not have afforded to be so picky.
           | 
           | One of the starkest power dynamics in dress code I've
           | observed is in non-tech firms that have large tech orgs to
           | support the revenue generating roles. While there were
           | official dress codes that tech largely abided, our internal
           | customers who generated revenue often showed up in tee shirts
           | or wore ball caps in the office ...
        
             | mrexroad wrote:
             | I've heard someone say a few months back that a zoom setup
             | is the new business suit/attire. After spending the
             | pandemic working from an unfinished/unheated garage near a
             | loud expressway, I definitely felt there were situations
             | where I was "dinged" for it at a FAANG company.
        
             | WalterBright wrote:
             | > I don't really care to work anywhere that would ding me
             | in a zoom interview over my outfit
             | 
             | I've often found that people who say (and believe) that
             | they don't ding people who dress poorly, do ding people who
             | dress poorly.
        
         | 331c8c71 wrote:
         | >$2k Rolex
         | 
         | I thought the cheapest Rolex is substantially more expensive.
         | Am I wrong?
        
           | pclmulqdq wrote:
           | New Rolex watches are more expensive (around $6k I think),
           | but the Rolex to happy meal ratio is lower than it has ever
           | been.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Fair point. My numbers are probably off on everything now.
           | 
           | Before the 2020s era inflation you could definitely pick up a
           | mens one used for $2k, like a Datejust model for example.
           | 
           | Likewise a $70k car is neither particularly rare or exotic
           | now with how much the average car price has been pushed up by
           | big trucks and EVs.
        
             | perardi wrote:
             | I'm...old now? Old enough to be shocked how much car prices
             | have gone up. And I follow the industry.
             | 
             | Why, back in my day, you could get a "stripper" model of a
             | truck (my dad's term for the most-basic-possible model with
             | crank windows and a stick shift) for like $15,000. Now?
             | 
             | https://www.ford.com/trucks/f150/
             | 
             | Good luck getting off the lot for less than $40,000 for a
             | full-size truck.
             | 
             | ...though to give Ford some credit here:
             | 
             | https://www.ford.com/trucks/maverick/
             | 
             | They do still sell a truly cheap-and-cheerful truck. Will
             | it tow much? No. Is it going to take you to the bottom of
             | the Grand Canyon or whatever off-road macho fantasy? No.
             | Will it get several bags of mulch back from Home Depot?
             | Absolutely--which is what people actually use trucks for.
             | (If that.)
        
             | billjings wrote:
             | "2020s era inflation" started just this year. And it's,
             | what, 11%?
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Well its nearly 2023, and we have had 10%-ish inflation
               | going on about 2 years.
               | 
               | In specific areas such as cars, you had complete
               | dislocations. For example used cars which normally
               | depreciate 15-20%/year, instead inflated about 15%/year
               | for 2 years.
               | 
               | Over the summer I traded in a 4 year old car at the end
               | of its warranty of 85% of what I paid for it new. I
               | probably could have sold private party and haggled harder
               | to get closer to 90%+ Normally 85% is what you can expect
               | to sell your car for right after you drive it off the lot
               | on your second day of ownership.
               | 
               | This was a knock on effect of new car production
               | shortages, and pent up demand from low 2020 sales and
               | people having a lot of cash on hand.
               | 
               | Related to this you had dealers adding market (ADM) on
               | not even luxury/exotic vehicles of $10-15k in some areas.
               | So never mind not being able to negotiate a few $1000
               | off, people were paying sticker+$15k for new vehicles for
               | the privilege of being able to buy one. And this was on
               | top of the sticker prices ticking up over the course of
               | the pandemic and related inflation.
               | 
               | So no, for many things, it was not "just a year of 11%
               | inflation".
        
             | doubled112 wrote:
             | It's pretty easy to add a few options and pay $70K or more
             | for a Ford F-150 these days. At least here in Canada.
             | 
             | People love their pickup trucks.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | It's truly crazy to me how quickly pricing has ramped up
               | especially in EVs. Imagine telling someone 10 years ago
               | that people would line up to buy a $60k Hyundai EV, or
               | $80k on a luxury Hyundai sub-brand EV?
               | 
               | The Tesla Model 3/Y range can easily run up above $70k
               | with options now, and the bigger Tesla Model S/X is a
               | six-figures vehicle!
               | 
               | Likewise, gas powered BMWs seem to have disappeared in
               | the $30-40k range and pretty quickly get into the $50k+
               | range.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | I figure GP's talking about gas trucks. We're talking
               | working class people spending over a year's gross income
               | on a truck, when in the past they'd be buying a "work
               | truck" with a single bench seat, no A/C, and an AM radio.
        
               | ehnto wrote:
               | I don't want to make assumptions, but it's my
               | understanding that they're usually on finance which means
               | they're paying much more than sticker price.
               | 
               | I certainly don't know many middle class people with 70k
               | in savings to throw around, either everyone is doing a
               | lot better than they otherwise expose or there's easy
               | money on the table.
               | 
               | I think we'll see price corrections downward for cars
               | over the next 5 years, as interest rates change. I've
               | asked a handful of importers while I try and source a car
               | from Japan, with the Japanese import market being hyper
               | inflated. They've all suggested that during the pandemic,
               | financed purchases were making up the majority of their
               | sales. I imagine that's set to change as interest rates
               | change and loans get harder to acquire.
        
               | doubled112 wrote:
               | Of course people are financing them. Vehicles are
               | expensive. I believe the average used car price is over
               | $40K now here. Even an average used car was about $20K.
               | 
               | Let's stick to the truck, though. F-150s are everywhere.
               | 
               | If I head to the Ford Canada website, an F-150 XL (the
               | cheap one) is $39K before you get started. A Platinum
               | brings you up to $87K, and the Limited brings you up to
               | $98K.
               | 
               | The website is definitely NOT including taxes, licensing
               | fees, financing fees, interest, etc.
               | 
               | I couldn't imagine paying that for a work truck. The
               | trades are fairly well payed, but to that extent?
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | The average new car transaction price is currently $48K.
               | 
               | https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/kbb-atp-
               | september...
        
               | tomrod wrote:
               | What's the histogram? Surely the mean is highly skewed.
        
               | ehnto wrote:
               | I can't see the logic in it either, by the time they're
               | done paying off a typical loan even for the $87k variant,
               | you would be up into triple figures for it. It could have
               | cost as much as some people's homes.
        
               | rdtwo wrote:
               | Isn't the average price of a F150 is like 55-60k so
               | that's pretty damn close. An F250 can easily run over 100
        
             | shakow wrote:
             | > Likewise a $70k car is neither particularly rare or
             | exotic
             | 
             | Just for the sake of nitpicking, but going back to the BMW
             | example, you could get a well-optioned Z4 in this range,
             | which I would argue is rather exotic and will make heads
             | turn, if not very expensive.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | You CAN get something rare/exotic for $70k these days.
               | 
               | However you can get a lot of pretty surprisingly run of
               | the mill vehicles at that price range as well, especially
               | for at truck or EV. Like a Ford F-150, Tesla Model 3/Y,
               | entry level Mercedes or BMW electric car, even a Ford
               | Mach E, etc.
               | 
               | The slowing inflation, high interest rates and collapse
               | of the economy in the coming 6-18 months will probably
               | wind some of that back.
        
         | coffeebeqn wrote:
         | The food part is big. It's wild how in the US especially there
         | are about three classes of grocery stores and each cater almost
         | exclusively to a certain social class. You don't see many
         | laborers or fast food workers grabbing a meal from the local
         | co-op or Whole Foods and the local Aldi or Walmart rarely sees
         | an executive unless they're infamously stingy
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | You see this A LOT in food spend in US especially in rich
           | urban areas.
           | 
           | I have friends who would kind of scoff at a Rolex but proudly
           | describe the latest $500-for-2 dinner they went to last week.
           | 
           | Similarly I had a friend who only upgraded his iPhone with
           | hand-me-downs from his teenage daughter, so he'd be like 3-4
           | years behind the curve. Meanwhile he owned like 4 homes and
           | dined out similarly to my other friend.
        
             | Melting_Harps wrote:
             | > You see this A LOT in food spend in US especially in rich
             | urban areas.
             | 
             | This won't resonate withh you unless you are or were ever a
             | cook, I fear we had so much more left to capture and were
             | forced to leave on the table that was taken away because of
             | COVID, but this transition in the US food culture was paid
             | with lots of hard work and countless sacrifices that most
             | will never get beyond watching an episode of The Bear.
             | 
             | Two big blows came in hard after Bourdain's death (so many
             | concepts and projects were abandoned that never came back)
             | and then followed with COVID destroying the Industry in
             | such a way that I'm doubting will ever get much further
             | than this in my Lifetime any more: food culture in the US
             | still has so much left to catch up with Asia and Europe but
             | we were making massive progress towards that, but I'm
             | staring to accept this will probably be the high-water mark
             | that the next generation of tech workers and cooks alike
             | will need to build off of. And no, ghost kitchens and
             | burning VC money from Softbank on DD is not a solution.
             | 
             | So far, outside of small boutique restaurants and kitchens,
             | all I've seen is a race to the bottom profit seeking with
             | almost no motivation other than to capture what marketshare
             | remains from corps who benefited from PPP and ZIRP at
             | whatever cost it takes and cutting corners until they got
             | bought out by a large Restaurant group. This may seem like
             | hyperbole but ~60% of all restaurants shutdown forever [0]
             | after covid in what was already I high-failure sector with
             | incredibly costly CAPEX/OPEX business models and low profit
             | margins even during the best of times.
             | 
             | My last encounter with a delivery driver from a large
             | vendor (think Shamrock or Sysco type corp) brought it all
             | home: they had essentially succumb to the same exploitative
             | delivery and monitoring systems that an Amazon delivery
             | driver has, which was a stark contrast to getting
             | deliveries from local farmers for produce/protein ha were
             | the highlight of the menu and accompanied with items from
             | small artisans and purveyors for cheeses, deserts breads
             | etc...
             | 
             | We've lost something very vital coming out of COVID, and
             | I'm not sure what can be done to not undo the progress that
             | was made since the culture-shift has swung so hard to this
             | Amazonification of this Industry.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Really really depends on areas.
               | 
               | In the US, there was clearly a consolidation where the
               | big corporate run restaurant groups were able to weather
               | the storm better nationally in the early COVID days.
               | 
               | However, pretty quickly in NYC by say summer 2021 the
               | industry seems to be back and stronger than ever.
               | Everyone was dining indoors again, they kept their
               | expanded outdoor space, maintained their new more
               | extensive to-go services, and did it all with reduced
               | staff never seeming to re-hire their pre-pandemic staff
               | levels.
               | 
               | NYC restaurants are once again annoyingly crowded and
               | hard to get reservations to, with eye popping prices
               | compared to 2019.
               | 
               | So great for restaurant owners but not great for
               | employees.
               | 
               | That said, the wages being offered are crazy compared to
               | 2019 and they are still unable to fill roles. So one
               | would take it that they've found better employment
               | prospects elsewhere, so good for them.
        
         | blagie wrote:
         | Doing something for pure status signalling is considered crass.
         | 
         | Expensive hobbies are not. I think they should be, but they're
         | not.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Exactly. To me, a $500k unnecessary renovation throws more
           | money away than a $70k vs $40k car. At least with the car you
           | are likely getting safety features and extensive sensor
           | suites for driver assist for the money, that have tangible
           | impact on your driving experience.
           | 
           | Or Spending 5-10x on a $10k appliance where a $1-2k one would
           | do. These people tend to get the whole set, so it's a good
           | $30-40k worth of kitchen appliances that could easily be
           | replicated for $5k total otherwise. Does a better
           | fridge/freezer really help you cook better? Do even most
           | experienced cooks get noticeable benefit of a $10k range or
           | oven?
        
             | prpl wrote:
             | One slight different is that spending on your home will
             | generally add value to it. It may not be necessary, and you
             | may not get a dollar-for-dollar out of it, but it's added
             | value nonetheless.
             | 
             | I cook a lot, I personally would like a higher quality
             | stove - I've killed one before because I (an)use the
             | broiler a lot (it wasn't terribly old), but I probably
             | would do an NXR or something. maybe in the $2k. Or a used
             | Wolf/viking from one of the people you mention
             | 
             | I'd rather buy a nice oven than a bunch of shit appliances
             | though. People love their air fryers, over the stove
             | microwave, countertop oven, instant pot, etc...
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | I think most people delude themselves that their big
               | renovations added any incremental value to their home.
               | Usually the cost was financed and thus even higher than
               | the sticker price, all-in. Further, the holding periods
               | are measured in a decade +/- often, so the general market
               | moves contribute more to the sales price than whatever
               | you'd done to the kitchen/bath.
               | 
               | On the margin, having a move-in ready home that's been
               | renovated well enough recently enough, generically
               | enough, ensures reasonable liquidity of being able to
               | sell the home for a reasonable price reasonably quickly.
               | 
               | For many this means replacing some dated appliances,
               | repainting, and strategic spending on a few items that
               | may be out of style or more aged, like bathroom vanity or
               | replacing a linoleum top.
               | 
               | Extravagant, expensive, specific renovations may actually
               | detract because the general markets taste are not your
               | taste and so you've either reduced the number of likely
               | buyers, or half the universe of buyers are going to
               | actually deduct value of your renovation because they may
               | want to undo whatever you've done.
               | 
               | Spending $2k replacing a worn appliance or buying a $200
               | air fryer are two orders of magnitude off from the
               | expenditure levels I am referring to.
        
               | neon_electro wrote:
               | >On the margin, having a move-in ready home that's been
               | renovated well enough recently enough, generically
               | enough, ensures reasonable liquidity of being able to
               | sell the home for a reasonable price reasonably quickly.
               | 
               | This is the motivation I have to invest further in what
               | already feels like a generally "move-in ready" home; my
               | "move-in ready" is not others' "move-in ready", so my
               | goal is to find all the objections and invest in making
               | them less objectionable :)
        
               | blagie wrote:
               | In my area, if I were to spend $50k renovating my home,
               | the value would increase by approximately $0.
               | 
               | If I were to spend $300k renovating my home, the value
               | would increase by approximately $100k.
               | 
               | The only real increase in home value comes from additions
               | which add bedrooms. If I were to spend money converting
               | an attic, a basement, or adding an add-on, I'd probably
               | come out even at the sale.
               | 
               | And renovations are quickly depreciating assets. I'm much
               | better off doing that right before a sale. A new
               | dishwasher will be an old dishwasher before too long.
        
             | ipaddr wrote:
             | 500k or 500m in renovations will increase the value of the
             | property. A car is worth 20% less the day you drive it off
             | of the lot and keeps losing value. Having freezer space can
             | save you thousands of dollars in food.
        
               | ejb999 wrote:
               | of course it will, but spending 500K in remodeling,
               | doesn't mean the house is necessarily going to be worth
               | 500K more - it might, it might not.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Cars are absolutely depreciating assets.
               | 
               | However a $70k car generally has a much better set of
               | class leading accident avoidance & safety features than a
               | $25k car which will generally be minimum legally required
               | for compliance. A new car has a much different safety
               | profile than a 10 or 20 year old car. Watching crash
               | videos on YouTube is very illuminating as to how far
               | we've come even versus a car from 2000.
               | 
               | Modern advanced cars will warn you about rear & front
               | cross traffic, actively keep you from driving off the
               | road if you fall asleep, emergency brake for obstacles,
               | keep you from changing lanes into a car in your blind
               | spot, and many other things that were pretty unheard of
               | 10-20 years ago. My car even flashes lights and beeps at
               | me if I am opening the door and it detects oncoming cars
               | or bikes.
               | 
               | A $500k renovation of a home is usually financed and adds
               | less than the $500k of value to the resale price to the
               | homes (lets say, $400k to be generous), while costing
               | north of $750k by the time all the payments are made. So
               | $100-350k of waste, conservatively.
        
               | kens wrote:
               | The crash videos of old vs new cars are very interesting
               | (and scary). Especially 1959 Bel Air vs 2009 Malibu. In
               | the older car, you smash into the dashboard and then the
               | passenger compartment collapses and crushes you. In the
               | new car, you hit the airbag. Of course you don't expect
               | much from 1959, but even 1992 Nissan vs 2016 Nissan is a
               | huge difference in survivability.
               | 
               | I highly recommend the video:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TikJC0x65X0
        
               | Alex3917 wrote:
               | > However a $70k car generally has a much better set of
               | class leading accident avoidance & safety features than a
               | $25k car which will generally be minimum legally required
               | for compliance.
               | 
               | That's empirically false. Toyota and Subaru both make 25k
               | cars with vastly better active driver assistance features
               | than Tesla, as shown by every independent test that's
               | ever been done.
        
             | xyzelement wrote:
             | I dunno. We recently bought a house where the kitchen had
             | been recently renovated. I don't know if our appliances are
             | super high end but they are definitely on that side, and it
             | makes the kitchen feel great. We probably wouldn't spend as
             | much time in it otherwise. So let's say that kitchen cost
             | 40k (I have no idea)...but lasts us 20 years. That's 2k a
             | year for a very enjoyable part of our house, probably the
             | most used space by far.
             | 
             | On the contrary, if we had spent an additional 40k on our
             | car, how much of a game changer would that have been and
             | how long would it have lasted?
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Again you are talking a $40k renovation, I am talking
               | $500k renovation.
               | 
               | $40k for a kitchen is on the order of magnitude of
               | getting all your appliances reasonably up to date,
               | plumbing/fixtures, electrical and cabinetry/countertop
               | refreshed, without anything being exotic or luxury. The
               | bare bones one could probably refresh everything in the
               | kitchen has to be easily $20k, so the incremental "above
               | bare minimum spend" here is only $20k and therefore very
               | reasonable.
               | 
               | That is a reasonable level of taking something outdated
               | which is hard to market and making it up to date move-in
               | ready and therefore quicker to sell.
               | 
               | To contrast for example in my experience, a Miele
               | dishwasher for $800 washes dishes vastly better than a
               | $400 GE. To the point it is significantly labor reducing.
               | On the other hand, does a $10k subzero freezer/fridge
               | keep my vegetables better than a $2k Samsung?
               | 
               | Most people underestimated how much of their homes value
               | appreciating over the 5-20 years of ownership is purely
               | the land value increases over the long term due to real
               | estate inflation and the relative performance of their
               | local markets. Ie - if all the condos in NYC went up 2x
               | from 2004-2007, mine going up similarly isn't because I
               | put fancy tiles in my toilet.
        
             | hindsightbias wrote:
             | That renovation probably paid for a lot of renovators
             | Raptors.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | exactly, which closes the circle explaining how average
               | car prices have gone up so much.. largely driven by
               | expensive pickups hahaha!
        
           | ejb999 wrote:
           | when I had my last kitchen remodel done (a modest one,but
           | very nice), the builder that did it said with all his clients
           | there is an inverse relationship between how much people
           | spend on their kitchen and appliances, and how much cooking
           | they do - i.e. the people who spend the most, actually do the
           | least cooking, and vice-versa. In my own limited experience,
           | I tend to agree.
           | 
           | I'll take an awesome cook (my spouse in this case) and a
           | modest kitchen, over a modest cook and an awesome kitchen any
           | day.
        
             | nostrademons wrote:
             | I was appliance shopping recently and it seems like the
             | most expensive appliances are often _not_ the best. If you
             | just want to cook, you 're usually better off with a good
             | LG or GE oven than with a Viking, which test notoriously
             | poorly. Same with many consumer products - a Honda or
             | Toyota will be more reliable with more convenience features
             | than a BMW or Rolls Royce; a Chicco or Britax carseat is
             | often safer, more comfortable, and more convenient than a
             | Peg Perego; a Samsung or Apple smartwatch has a lot more
             | features than a Rolex. A good rule of thumb I've had for
             | getting good consumer products is to buy the high end of
             | the mass market; don't skimp on budget items, but also
             | don't buy products that are priced so the average person
             | can't afford them.
             | 
             | Makes sense economically. Mass market manufacturers can
             | amortize their R&D and quality control over many more units
             | than luxury brands. The point of the luxury brand is
             | explicitly countersignaling, showing that you can afford to
             | spend more money on an inferior product.
        
               | rosnd wrote:
               | > - a Honda or Toyota will be more reliable with more
               | convenience features than a BMW or Rolls Royce
               | 
               | What convenience features? Is the Honda or Toyota really
               | meaningfully more reliable during the first couple of
               | years of ownership?
        
               | nostrademons wrote:
               | More cupholders, the ability to seat 3 carseats abreast,
               | fabric rather than leather seats, better gas mileage,
               | fits more easily in tight parking spots (and you care
               | less if it gets dinged because you didn't pay $70K for
               | it). Only thing the BMW really has on them is
               | soundproofing (and probably acceleration & handling, but
               | I don't care much about that).
               | 
               | And I care more about how reliable it is at > 10 years of
               | ownership, not < 3 years (when nearly everything is
               | reliable). My Honda Fit is coming up on 14 years old and
               | runs like new.
        
             | steveBK123 wrote:
             | Yes, many of the more expensive finishes are extremely
             | cosmetic and have negative utility.
             | 
             | Stone backsplashes require frequent maintenance and special
             | chemicals. If you don't stay on top of it, they are
             | basically impossible to keep looking clean.
             | 
             | A lot of newer kitchens have wooden floors, which is
             | insane.
             | 
             | I've seen kitchens with thin coated bright shiny
             | copper/brass handles on everything which immediately
             | tarnish and can never be maintained in new looking shape.
             | 
             | A lot of modern gas ranges are fairly hard to clean with
             | lots of parts you have to remove, while a solid middle
             | class electric glass countertop one is zero effort.
             | 
             | I once rented a place where the guy had wooden edges on the
             | kitchen counters which of course aged poorly, plus a
             | porcelain kitchen sink which immediately broke any glass
             | wear that dropped even a couple inches while cleaning.. and
             | was impossible to keep clean looking.
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | When I worked at Google I always had the distinct feeling that
         | my hard work was paying for some manager's $500k home
         | renovation. I'm way more interested in working hard to help
         | people who really need it, and I'm glad I'm not working at a
         | place like that anymore.
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | Where did you end up that is helping people who really need
           | it?
        
             | TaylorAlexander wrote:
             | I'm doing an open source solar powered farming robot
             | nonprofit thing! [1] It's an amazing feeling finishing a
             | huge PCB design project for work and then immediately
             | pushing the changes to GitHub. I've got a new brushless
             | motor controller in the works that costs under $40 per
             | board fully assembled for high current dual motor control,
             | and anyone can order them (ideally wait till design is
             | slightly more mature). [2]
             | 
             | [1]
             | https://community.twistedfields.com/t/march-2022-update-
             | simu...
             | 
             | [2] https://github.com/Twisted-Fields/rp2040-motor-
             | controller
        
         | DyslexicAtheist wrote:
         | _> re: the modern upper class that wearing a $2k Rolex or
         | driving a $70k BMW is frowned upon._
         | 
         | always has been moon meme.
         | 
         | unless you're neveaux rich or stupid or both it is in your
         | absolute interest not to show what you have. driving a Prius
         | used to be that signal but today it has shifted. My direct boss
         | was a Schenker heir (the freight forwarding company) and the
         | only way he showed off is by living in a rental house (albeit
         | manged by his management company so he essentially paid rent to
         | himself), drove a Nissan, didn't spend unless you took a closer
         | look (art purchases for his 4th wife) didn't brag with fancy
         | dinners in Michelin star places (but certainly bragged to his
         | wife about putting her on the map with her silly paintings as a
         | wannabe artist - lol "Sex rules everything around me C.R.E.A.M
         | get the money").
         | 
         | Only lower ranks criminals and new-rich idiots show what they
         | have. Everyone else has learned the lesson: if you show it (the
         | plebs and the IRS), they'll come for you.
         | 
         | Also all the people who're truly rich do NOT play by the same
         | rules as the rest of you. YOU decide where, and how much tax
         | you pay, if you have the cash to pay lawyers and accountants to
         | insulate you from the Plebs.
         | 
         | The US is the biggest tax[1] haven in the world today forget
         | the Hollywood propaganda about Cayman or Panama - only idiot
         | cartels and Victor Bout use these jurisdictions but not the
         | white collar crime lords ...
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treasure_Islands
        
           | Alex3917 wrote:
           | > driving a Prius used to be that signal but today it has
           | shifted
           | 
           | The new 5th generation that just came out looks amazing, so
           | it wouldn't surprise me if Priuses eventually become trendy
           | again.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | nradov wrote:
         | The Toyota Land Cruiser has been a popular car in certain
         | upper-class circles. At $87k it's fairly expensive, but it
         | doesn't _look_ expensive.
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | However, the Land Cruiser will be passed down for many
           | generations, so the amortized cost of a Land Cruiser is not
           | expensive.
           | 
           | Also, Land Cruiser has apparently been discontinued.
        
             | aix1 wrote:
             | > the Land Cruiser will be passed down for many generations
             | 
             | Wait, what sort of longevity are we taking about? 15 years?
             | 20?
             | 
             | I don't think we humans can reproduce quickly enough for
             | that to span "many generations". :-)
        
               | coredog64 wrote:
               | We came close to that with a Camry my mother-in-law owns.
               | She drove it, my sister-in-law drove it for a while, and
               | then they tried to pawn it off on my oldest. At the end
               | of the day, I didn't want my kid driving a car missing
               | out on 25 years of safety enhancements.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | You made the right decision. Watching YouTube crash test
               | videos of a 2022 vs 2000 vs 1980 car is extremely
               | illuminating.
        
               | ww520 wrote:
               | That sounds like a response from a Large Language Model.
        
               | aix1 wrote:
               | Nah, it's from someone who hasn't owned a car in over ten
               | years.
               | 
               | I can totally see how a car could get passed down from
               | father to son, but a single car and "many generations"
               | doesn't really add up in this part of the world (could be
               | totally different in other parts of the world, of
               | course).
        
               | rasz wrote:
               | Vintage Land Cruiser is even bigger status symbol.
        
               | jakear wrote:
               | Way more. Land Cruisers can last 40+ easily. Do a
               | craigslist search and you'll find them in fully working
               | condition.
               | 
               | I don't think the so-called "safety features" developed
               | in the next 20 years are as valuable as the others
               | predict. We're already very safe in cars, especially
               | massive modern ones like the cruiser. If you're driving
               | fast/reckless enough to get killed in one today more
               | safety features aren't what you need.
        
               | Gordonjcp wrote:
               | Both of my Range Rovers are 25 years old. One's heading
               | for a light refurb and overhaul at nearly 300,000 miles,
               | the other has just had its first "big" service at 100,000
               | miles.
               | 
               | Fuel availability considerations notwithstanding, there's
               | very little that would stop them going another 25 years.
        
             | angled wrote:
             | Not in Australia?
             | 
             | But then you do get articles like
             | https://www.betootaadvocate.com/uncategorized/brisbane-
             | accou...
        
               | hulahoof wrote:
               | For anyone not from aus the Betoota is a (great) satire
               | publication similar to the onion
        
           | rayiner wrote:
           | And even one that's 6 years old with 100k miles is still over
           | $50,000 lol.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Precisely!
           | 
           | Not to mention a fully specced out Tesla Model 3 is $80k and
           | Model Y is now.. $90k, and the tax credits are basically
           | gone! I remember getting a pretty well configured Model 3 for
           | $50k after tax incentives in their first year of production.
           | 
           | For ~$70k you used to be able to get a Model S, which now
           | STARTS at $105k. Easily configurable into the $130-160k range
           | now.. insane.
        
             | asoneth wrote:
             | Agreed that they are expensive cars that have gotten even
             | more expensive over the last decade.
             | 
             | But comparing absolute numbers for a car you bought five
             | years ago may be misleading because the majority of the
             | increase is likely due to inflation.
             | 
             | Back of the envelope math: If you were in CA and got $7.5k
             | federal and $2.5k state credits that means the Model 3 you
             | bought in 2017 was ~$60k or ~$73k in today's dollars. If
             | it's now $80k then that's a real price increase of ~$7k in
             | today's dollars.
             | 
             | That's certainly an increase, but making an expensive car
             | slightly more expensive doesn't seem particularly insane to
             | me.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Inflation is a huge factor here for sure. Most people
               | probably can't get their heads around a well equipped
               | Toyota Corolla approaching $30k or Honda Accord hitting
               | $40k. Mentally to me these are BMW 3-series prices, but
               | that's not been true for some time!
               | 
               | If you are in the market for a 3-row / 7 seater, you can
               | spend $55k on a Toyota Highlander SUV or $40k on a Toyota
               | Siena minivan.
               | 
               | It's genuinely pretty challenging to spend under $30k on
               | a new car now outside fairly basic 2-4 door smaller
               | sedan/hatchback vehicles in their base trim without
               | options.
        
               | logifail wrote:
               | > outside fairly basic [...] vehicles in their base trim
               | without options
               | 
               | Nothing wrong with basic vehicles "in their base trim
               | without options", we have two parked outside the house
               | right now, and the vehicle we owned before them was
               | similar.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Agreed.
               | 
               | I am only trying to illustrate that the line between
               | luxury/excess in autos has shifted substantially in the
               | last few years partially inflation driven and partially
               | cheap credit / long loan terms driven.
               | 
               | The universe of under-$30k cars is now quite limited
               | whereas 5 years ago, one could possibly describe $30k+ as
               | being luxury.
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | Hell, somehow my brain is still stuck in the 90s, where
               | $30k would get you a very nice car indeed. I was a
               | teenager then, so perhaps I'm anchored there because it's
               | when I first started getting interested in things like
               | that, and first started driving. (Gas was also 92 cents
               | per gallon for a bit while I was in high school, oof.)
               | 
               | My family also always only bought used cars (and I
               | continued this practice), so I guess that further skewed
               | my conception of car cost downward. I only just bought my
               | first new car recently, and I still haven't really
               | adjusted to the reality of both what current prices are
               | like, and how much more expensive a new car is.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Franchise dealers typically stock few if any vehicles in
               | their base trim without options. Those vehicles often
               | exist only in token numbers so that the manufacturer can
               | advertise a low starting price, but they're not readily
               | available to most consumers. Of course that varies by
               | brand.
        
             | Gordonjcp wrote:
             | > For ~$70k you used to be able to get a Model S, which now
             | STARTS at $105k. Easily configurable into the $130-160k
             | range now.. insane.
             | 
             | For a shit car with the interior fit and finish of a
             | poverty-spec Skoda, and all the important controls replaced
             | with a bloody great iPad that blinds you at night.
             | 
             | Oh, and it's from an obscenely "techbro" company.
             | 
             | Am I the only one not impressed in any sense by Teslas?
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | I'm impressed in the sense that Tesla has done amazing
               | things with battery technology, and has made EVs "cool".
               | It's sometimes easy to forget, but before Tesla, EVs were
               | ugly and nobody wanted them.
               | 
               | But yeah, whenever I'm in a Tesla, the interior looks
               | cheap, and the giant iPad (in the Model 3 at least) looks
               | bolted-on rather than designed-in. Not to mention the
               | real-time display of what's around the car is laughably
               | bad, with cars and pedestrians flickering in and out, and
               | sometimes not even showing up at all.
               | 
               | I'm glad people drive them, though; more EVs on the
               | street is a good thing.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | No, you're not alone, but they still have a cachet in a
               | certain crowd (the "green" and "forward-thinking" types
               | love them). Hopefully it goes away soon.
        
               | teg4n_ wrote:
               | i dunno my parents fit in that category and told me they
               | will not consider a Tesla as long as it's associated with
               | Musk. EVs of other companies are really quite nice these
               | days so i don't think they are losing anything. Right now
               | that have a new plugin hybrid RAV4.
        
               | yourapostasy wrote:
               | _> Am I the only one not impressed in any sense by
               | Teslas_
               | 
               | I could excuse the drawbacks you cited and the cost if
               | they were the Framework laptop of the automotive world.
               | But at those price points, and a repairability narrative
               | that is not much better than, "out of warranty and one
               | accident away from into landfill", there isn't a
               | snowball's chance in hell I'll buy a Tesla.
        
               | Gordonjcp wrote:
               | > repairability narrative that is not much better than,
               | "out of warranty and one accident away from into
               | landfill"
               | 
               | I have a couple of old Range Rovers. There are very few
               | things you can't fix with a half-inch spanner and a
               | hammer, and those you can fix with a 7/16th spanner and a
               | bit of sticky tape.
               | 
               | They run on propane, so they get cheap tax and can be
               | registered as Low Emission Vehicles, which is pretty
               | hilarious for a 4-litre V8.
               | 
               | Combined they probably still have a smaller ecological
               | footprint than making one Tesla Model S.
               | 
               | They've also got far comfier seats.
        
               | yourapostasy wrote:
               | Which specific models are your units?
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | > _They run on propane_
               | 
               | How does fueling work? Perhaps I just haven't noticed
               | (because I have to reason to), but I have never seen a
               | fueling station advertise propane, outside of tanks for
               | grilling and similar.
        
               | MandieD wrote:
               | LPG (liquified propane gas) stations are slowly on the
               | wane but still common enough for practical use in
               | Germany.
               | 
               | Common enough and cheap enough that I still feel a bit
               | prescient for buying a 2017 Ford Focus wagon with about
               | 30k km on the clock that was factory modified for LPG, in
               | August 2021, for about half what the original owner paid.
        
               | TacticalCoder wrote:
               | > Am I the only one not impressed in any sense by Teslas?
               | 
               | I am very impressed by their batteries and I like the
               | look of the Model S but I'm utterly unimpressed by the
               | build quality of the interior and the cheap materials
               | used.
               | 
               | At that price I'd except to be entering a comfortable car
               | using luxurious materials.
               | 
               | FWIW I tried the Porsche Taycan and the interior is leaps
               | and bound ahead of the Teslas (but the batteries aren't
               | up to par yet and the software ain't either I think).
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Look at really any of the competition at the Model S
               | price level from the Germans and the interior is
               | spectacular. Honestly the battery range on the Germans is
               | also better than you realize.
               | 
               | Tesla exaggerates their range and few actually achieve
               | the quoted EPA range, so you can deduct 10-15% for real
               | world.
               | 
               | The Germans, especially Porsche undersell their range and
               | real world you can get about 10-15% longer out of the
               | BMWs & MBs and something insane like 35% more out of the
               | Taycans.
               | 
               | InsideEVs has a nice real world 70mph highway range
               | comparison, and the ranking would surprise you compared
               | to the advertised ranges.
               | https://insideevs.com/reviews/443791/ev-range-test-
               | results/
               | 
               | So an advertised 350mi Model S and a 225mi Taycan in fact
               | meet somewhere in the middle, closer to 300mi +/- for
               | both.
        
         | helen___keller wrote:
         | > wearing a $2k Rolex or driving a $70k BMW is frowned upon.
         | But instead they have eccentric "hobbies" requiring $10ks of of
         | equipment, inclusive of "needing" $10k viking stove/range, and
         | $10k subzero fridge/freezer in your kitchen because you are a
         | "foodie" [...]
         | 
         | Isn't this conflating status signal with lifestyle?
         | 
         | The wealthy have always enjoyed expensive lifestyles and
         | hobbies. In and of itself, expensive hobby equipment is not a
         | status signal (it can be, of course, if you plaster it all over
         | your personal social media)
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | There are different audiences.
           | 
           | I worked for a company that sold products and services to
           | sales managers. The CEO and his wife (who was also an owner
           | of the company) lived in a house in Rochester that had the
           | biggest kitchen I'd ever seen anyone actually use. We would
           | have holiday parties there and it was clear cooking was a
           | hobby they liked to but that entertaining is also a way to
           | enjoy your status.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Yes I think my point is that they simply signal differently
           | by for example regaling you about how they spent $5000 on
           | custom designed esoteric tiles from a local artisan for their
           | shower.
           | 
           | Personally I don't think things that are 90%
           | purchase/consumption (housing/renovations/appliances) are
           | hobbies in the same way as
           | photography/kitesurfing/gardening/cycling which may be
           | expensive but have some sort of skill/learning/activity
           | attached.
        
             | closeparen wrote:
             | Renovation isn't the hobby here, they're not doing it
             | themselves. But a passion for cooking justifies the high
             | end kitchen. An interest in architecture and design
             | justifies bringing good examples of it home.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Sure, if you have the money and interest, spend it.
               | 
               | But people often conflate "investment" & consumption when
               | its anything related to home renovation. I'd still argue
               | these types of "hobbies" are 90% consumption, and for
               | most of the people I know.. usually financed with loans.
               | 
               | No one I know with a $100k kitchen cooks any better than
               | my poor immigrant grandmother did.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | Think of it like a machine shop. Expensive tools work
               | way, way better than cheap ones.
               | 
               | I also have a restaurant grade toaster. It costs quite a
               | bit more than the usual toasters do. But the usual ones
               | would always break after a year or two. The restaurant
               | toaster makes better toast, and has worked fine for 25
               | years now. It was actually cheaper to get the restaurant
               | grade one over the long haul.
        
               | depressedpanda wrote:
               | > The reason that the rich were so rich, Vimes reasoned,
               | was because they managed to spend less money. Take boots,
               | for example. He earned thirty-eight dollars a month plus
               | allowances. A really good pair of leather boots cost
               | fifty dollars. But an affordable pair of boots, which
               | were sort of OK for a season or two and then leaked like
               | hell when the cardboard gave out, cost about ten dollars.
               | Those were the kind of boots Vimes always bought, and
               | wore until the soles were so thin that he could tell
               | where he was in Ankh-Morpork on a foggy night by the feel
               | of the cobbles. But the thing was that good boots lasted
               | for years and years. A man who could afford fifty dollars
               | had a pair of boots that'd still be keeping his feet dry
               | in ten years' time, while a poor man who could only
               | afford cheap boots would have spent a hundred dollars on
               | boots in the same time and would still have wet feet.
               | This was the Captain Samuel Vimes "Boots" theory of
               | socioeconomic unfairness.
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boots_theory
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | On the other hand, if the wealthy person bought the $10
               | boots and _invested_ the other $40, the investment could
               | throw off enough money to keep him in annual $10 boots
               | forever.
        
             | browningstreet wrote:
             | I worked for a wealthy man.
             | 
             | I remember two stories among many:
             | 
             | He once told me he was upgrading the doorknobs and hinges
             | in this house. The bill just for those items came to $45K.
             | 
             | We were both getting coffee in the office once, and he
             | looked towards me and ask, "My socks cost more than
             | everything you're wearing."
             | 
             | And he _liked_ me.
        
               | swayvil wrote:
               | I have a couple clients like that. 40k on this, 25k on
               | that. Doinky little overpriced home-improvement geegaws.
               | And I'm thinking, "I could pay off my credit cards and
               | take a year off for my own serious projects, for what
               | you're spending to upgrade your stupid crown molding".
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Two nouveau riches run into each other shopping on the
               | Fifth.
               | 
               | - Look at this, got me this tie for $1000
               | 
               | - Hah what a dummy you are, they sell them for 1200 two
               | blocks away!
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | Nono, the price of his socks were more than everything
               | you're wearing. They probably cost the same as your socks
               | :)
        
               | ww520 wrote:
               | > "My socks cost more than everything you're wearing."
               | 
               | That's a strange thing to waste money on for signaling.
               | It just showed the lack of understanding on marginal
               | utility on commodity items.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | > It just showed the lack of understanding on marginal
               | utility on commodity items.
               | 
               | I think you're showing the lack of understanding of
               | marginal utility.
               | 
               | By the time you're spending $45k on doorknobs, $400 on
               | socks might offer equal marginal utility per dollar.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | I think a lot of what this thread shows is that everyone
               | has a different utility function.
               | 
               | That's kind of whats interesting about the modern economy
               | is we can all express our preferences in how we spend.
               | The bottom end has gotten much cheaper and the top end
               | has gotten exponentially more expensive, and in many
               | markets the middle has sort of disappeared.
               | 
               | This contrasts a lot with the 1950s boom era where there
               | was a big thick middle end and not a huge range from
               | bottom to top.
        
               | MandieD wrote:
               | I have a t-shirt I bought at the Gap around 1996 that is
               | still wearable, though a bit worn-looking where the
               | collar meets the shoulder seams. Thick, sturdy cotton. It
               | was probably around $15, which would be about $30 today.
               | 
               | There is no such plain ladies' fit t-shirt consistently
               | offered anymore. Either tissue-thin and less than $20, or
               | involves a silly print and/or ruffles and lace.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | idiocrat wrote:
           | > The wealthy have always enjoyed expensive lifestyles and
           | hobbies.
           | 
           | Sorry to jump in.
           | 
           | There is a 2003 documentary by the name "Born Rich".
           | 
           | This is about the children from the wealthy people and how
           | they are coping with the boredom of being able (afford) to do
           | anything.
           | 
           | Many are naturally isolated and invent obscure hobbies and
           | life-styles not fitting their "wealthy statuses".
           | 
           | Not sure how it is changing in more responsible adulthood,
           | when it is becoming their turn to manage the estate. I guess
           | this is then mostly about turf-wars among relatives.
           | 
           | (edit: formatting)
        
             | BarryMilo wrote:
             | > This is about the children from the wealthy people and
             | how they are coping with the boredom of being able (afford)
             | to do anything.
             | 
             | See also the excellent Korean documentary "Squid Game"!
        
             | yourapostasy wrote:
             | _> ...coping with the boredom of being able (afford) to do
             | anything._
             | 
             | That's mostly a lack of sufficient education and rearing to
             | arm them with enough knowledge and grit to choose and
             | tackle from an infinite number of problems to advance
             | towards a possible solution. Most of those problems don't
             | take generational wealth scale money to make a dent into,
             | but a tremendous amount of hard work for years and even
             | decades without expectations of acclaim commensurate with
             | their generational wealth background.
             | 
             | Which points out the other problem: most of them want (or
             | are pushed since childhood to want) the acclaim accrued by
             | their inherited wealth also attached to their efforts in
             | whatever direction they choose. It's why we get the
             | dilettante phenomenon among them so much.
             | 
             | Tightly coupling wealth to accomplishment across
             | generations is possibly a very leaky abstraction.
        
           | Tarq0n wrote:
           | A sociologist would tell you that there is no such thing as a
           | lifestyle which isn't a performance of one's status.
        
             | Glyptodon wrote:
             | I think there are some people who are fine with exhibiting
             | themselves (and their status) as they are without it being
             | performative.
        
             | nostrademons wrote:
             | There are but it's considered a personality disorder.
             | 
             | There are folks that are genuinely uninterested in social
             | status, and it usually goes along with being uninterested
             | in social relationships. Think of autistic/Asperger's
             | individuals; certain psychopaths & sociopaths; people with
             | schizoid, schizotypal, avoidant, or antisocial personality
             | disorders; et al. No relationships = no status = no need to
             | worry about social status and social signaling.
             | 
             | It's much like how where there's people, there's politics.
             | Where there's social, there's status. Take away the social
             | and you take away both the performance and the status.
        
             | moonchrome wrote:
             | Saying more about their frameworks/models/worldview than
             | reality.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | For example I would contrast the following three scenarios of
           | people in my circle.
           | 
           | * Having professional landscapers plant grass and plants on
           | an outdoor terrace of a penthouse apartment for $100k
           | 
           | * Growing a large vegetable garden from seeds & seedlings,
           | from your vacation home outside the city
           | 
           | * Raising houseplants in your apartment windowsill
           | 
           | All three of these people may describe themselves as having
           | green thumbs or being into gardening as a hobby...
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | I am into collecting slightly obsolete audio gear, I've
             | spent maybe $600 on the hobby in the last six months.
             | 
             | I know some people would think $120 is a lot for a minidisc
             | player since you can get a flash player for so much less.
             | Other people would think it's a trivial amount of money.
             | Like all these things it comes in multiple scales: back in
             | the day there were people who would spend 50x that on audio
             | gear (there are some $20,000 speaker sets that sound great)
             | 
             | I don't expect to impress anybody: the last person I showed
             | my portable minidisc player was a professor in the music
             | department who's won one more than one Grammy award and
             | teaches sound engineering who I ran into at the bus stop
             | and his comment is "God, how can you listen to something
             | compressed like that?" ("... yeah, I've been wondering
             | about some of the coding tools they use.")
             | 
             | We are probably going to have some people over for a party
             | and I don't expect many people to notice the difference
             | with the 5.1 DTS discs I have in my CD changer but I do.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | I love & miss minidiscs :-D
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | Used ones cost slightly less than they cost new,
               | particularly considering inflation.
               | 
               | I started watching Techmoan and similar YouTubers. I have
               | some nostalgia for compact cassettes and saw a video
               | where they used a Dolby S deck and metal tapes and made
               | very good recordings... Hardware like that came in around
               | the time I was in grad school and went into a hole so it
               | was "better than I remembered". There are Dolby S decks
               | on the market for prices that seem within reach but the
               | metal tapes are like $40 a piece now.
               | 
               | Optimal cassettes might sound as good or better than
               | minidisc but rewinding is a hassle. They still make
               | cassette decks and tapes but they are much worse than
               | what was made 30 years ago. With NetMD you can record
               | audio from your computer to a MD the same way you do with
               | a computer which is easy: there's something to say for
               | media that let you record your own music so you aren't
               | stuck with what got released on SACD or can find on vinyl
               | (which isn't too bad.)
               | 
               | It still seems silly when I've got several devices in my
               | backpack usually that can play music including the
               | Tracfone I use for emergencies.
        
               | mrexroad wrote:
               | I've been tempted to dig out my minidisc recording deck
               | and player from storage, and use them for to add a bit of
               | friction for more constrained listening. I'm probably
               | projecting other problems onto music streaming services,
               | but I often shut down with the endless choices and
               | frustratingly flippant auto-generated playlists. Of
               | course I can, and do, curate playlists for specific moods
               | and tasks, but I also seem to lack self-control these
               | days to not jump to another music tangent without getting
               | lost from my original intent.
               | 
               | The nostalgia/quaintness of burning/updating a dozen or
               | so minidiscs seems like an "fun"enough construct to build
               | a deliberate ritual that outweighs the friction--similar
               | to friction of making a pour over coffee helps force a
               | nice 10min break and tends to limit number of cups/day to
               | something reasonable. Either way, just more of a thought
               | exercise at the moment.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | In my case it is YouTube I am trying to get away from.
               | Really listening to music on YouTube is a pretty good
               | experience, it is great for discovery, and it even does a
               | good job of making mixes for me. For many reasons though
               | I don't want to be plugged into it and I try to listen to
               | files on my computer, jellyfin or minidisc when I use my
               | computer.
               | 
               | Upstairs I have a home theater receiver, I also have one
               | downstairs where the HDMI out is burned out but it is
               | good for music. I have an XBOX ONE plugged upstairs and
               | it works for games but it seems to get worse all the time
               | as a media player, it doesn't even play CDs although it
               | plays DVD and Bluray. Upstairs I have the minidisc player
               | for stereo music and one of these
               | 
               | https://www.crutchfield.com/S-92WonNqYEjS/p_158CDPX355/So
               | ny-...
               | 
               | which is connected to the receiver with an optical cable
               | and is full of 5.1 DTS discs which I am a huge fan of.
               | There are some good 1970s quad recordings such as
               | _Fragile_ by Yes but also a lot of good stuff in the the
               | 2000-2010 period such as _Supernature_ by Goldfrapp and
               | some artists like Donald Fagan who always believed in
               | multichannel. Like stereoscopic cinema I think a lot of
               | people don 't see a big difference but I like it a lot.
        
       | api wrote:
       | I'm not sure it's a deliberate form of counter signaling, but...
       | I see a lot of people emulate the antisocial or neurotic traits
       | of the highly successful based on the faulty premise that these
       | are causal for their success.
       | 
       | Will doing heroin make you a rock star?
       | 
       | Might it be that Steve Jobs and Elon Musk succeeded not because
       | of but in spite of some of their antisocial traits? Maybe you
       | should emulate their work ethic and skills instead.
        
         | greggarious wrote:
         | >Will doing heroin make you a rock star?
         | 
         | No but the trauma that makes you do heroin can produce
         | beautiful lyrics. (Or so I'm told.)
        
         | andsoitis wrote:
         | > emulate the antisocial or neurotic traits of the highly
         | successful based on the faulty premise that these are causal
         | for their success
         | 
         | I believe that's "cargo cult"-ing.
        
         | xiphias2 wrote:
         | Elon Musk was reading books all the time when he was young...of
         | course it will lead to even less social skills than what he
         | would have had as he was growing up.
        
           | greggarious wrote:
           | If you don't read books when young it'll be difficult to go
           | to uni, and "reading books" isn't particularly unique among
           | gifted kids.
        
         | daniel-cussen wrote:
        
       | cpsempek wrote:
       | I do like this type of reminder, it's a good and clearly
       | communicated message. It's interesting to me because at some
       | level what the author is communicating is metrics 101 - when
       | comparing performance across products/features/content/etc,
       | normalize the timeline to time since launch. This is a simple
       | principle and one that I apply often to work specific settings,
       | but can easily forget to apply in social settings like the author
       | describes. There's a lot of value to applying a semantic layer to
       | your life, which is obvious but challenging due to influence of
       | emotions and the lack of clear goals.
        
       | jonnycomputer wrote:
       | Some interesting pearls in the article. Not sure I endorse non-
       | nuanced extension of the idea to entire societies as the author
       | does.
        
       | jt2190 wrote:
       | > Successful people can afford to engage in countersignaling--
       | doing things that signal high status because they are associated
       | with low status. It is a form of self-handicapping, signaling
       | that one is so well off that they can afford to engage in
       | activities and behaviors that people typically associated with
       | low status.
       | 
       | This analysis assumes that the successful person who engages in
       | an activity is doing so because they are "signaling", not just
       | because they like to do the activity. When they do something to
       | signal, it's almost certain that the successful person's
       | "success" is driven by their ability to get others to copy their
       | behavior, or put another way, they're selling the activity or
       | things related to it.
       | 
       | Edit: Examples are all over, but think of any product that a
       | celebrity sells. (Heck, people even read HN because pg told them
       | that smart, interesting people do it ;-) )
        
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