[HN Gopher] The AI War and How to Win It
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       The AI War and How to Win It
        
       Author : ayw
       Score  : 7 points
       Date   : 2022-11-27 22:11 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (alexw.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (alexw.substack.com)
        
       | rendang wrote:
       | Advances in AI areas like computer vision seem to mostly come
       | from academics who publish their work. Once an innovation is
       | published, it is available for all to use or imitate. I don't see
       | how a state actor is going to make some major AI advance that it
       | is also able to conceal from other states.
       | 
       | I'd be particularly bearish on AI for grand strategy. If LLMs
       | need billions of examples of text to outperform humans, an
       | analogous war strategy AI would need to be trained on more
       | examples of warfare than have been conducted in human history.
        
       | transfire wrote:
       | FYI Authoritarianism will ultimately win, but not in the way you
       | would expect. We will actually be given a great deal of freedom
       | under its rule -- perhaps more than we have under current
       | democracy's.
       | 
       | The twist is that the AI itself will ultimately become the
       | Authoritarian. Unless technological progress comes to a
       | screeching halt (nuclear obliteration, or what have you) this
       | outcome is probably inevitable and probably even the best
       | possible outcome.
        
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       (page generated 2022-11-28 05:02 UTC)