[HN Gopher] "Negative/hate tweets will be max deboosted and demo...
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       "Negative/hate tweets will be max deboosted and demonetized"
        
       Author : kweingar
       Score  : 100 points
       Date   : 2022-11-18 18:36 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (twitter.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (twitter.com)
        
       | hedora wrote:
       | So, what percentage of Musk's tweets would be max deboosted?
       | Examples start about halfway down the list.
       | 
       | https://www.insidehook.com/article/tech/elon-musk-worst-twee...
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | heavyset_go wrote:
       | Musk's vision for Twitter has finally been realized: if you want
       | to whistleblow or say not nice things about Tesla, SpaceX, or
       | Musk himself, no one will see it. Nothing bad about him or his
       | companies will trend on Twitter ever again.
        
       | mabbo wrote:
       | It's all about economics of demand for what Twitter is offering:
       | advertising. Elon's changes have massively harmed the value of an
       | ad on Twitter.
       | 
       | Moderation teams are massively cut, meaning advertisers have to
       | worry about their products beside hate speech or worse. At the
       | same time, Elon is explicitly un-banning people who were banned
       | for hate speech, promising that no ads will show beside their
       | future hate speech- it will just show to their many many
       | followers who come to the site to see that exact thing. I'm not
       | certain advertisers will be encouraged by this.
       | 
       | Engineering is massively reduced, meaning the operational
       | excellence of the system is in question- what good is paying for
       | ads if the site is down so often that users don't come back?
       | 
       | And there's all of the potential issues with the SEC and other
       | legal problems that aren't being addressed because Elon fired the
       | teams that handled those things. No sane advertising agency is
       | signing a long-term contract with Twitter. There's just too much
       | uncertainty.
       | 
       | Elon Musk is not cut out to be the CEO of a software company. The
       | problem is that he is the only person that isn't aware of that at
       | this point.
        
         | FollowingTheDao wrote:
         | Exactly. This is the same thing youtube did by taking away the
         | downvote count. This is all about advertising.
        
         | pschuegr wrote:
         | It seems a little unfair that people who hang out in hateful
         | places get a better UX (ie no ads). If anything, they should
         | generate ads for anti-hate groups and therapy providers and
         | plaster the feed with them.
        
       | pwdisswordfish9 wrote:
       | > demonetized
       | 
       | You guys are getting paid?
        
       | Ztynovovk wrote:
       | Elon "free speech" Musk.
       | 
       | >Negative/hate tweets will be max deboosted & demonetized.
       | 
       | Guess this guy finally realized that a free for all model is not
       | feasible.
        
         | googlryas wrote:
         | Is there any reason to naively interpret his view of free
         | speech as "anyone can say anything at any time"?
        
         | elgenioso wrote:
         | It's impossible to detect negative sentiment purely by text.
         | It's an unsolvable problem.
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | Having Elon in sole control of what is or isn't acceptable
           | speech is a feature, not a bug.
        
           | bee_rider wrote:
           | Presumably he's going to realize this in a couple days and
           | start trying to hire back the folks who were in charge of
           | moderation, etc, on the platform.
           | 
           | The possibility that Twitter was configured the way it was
           | when he bought it for a reason apparently didn't occur to
           | him.
        
           | coffeebeqn wrote:
           | I mean that whole idea sounds extremely dystopian. You can
           | only post things that the AI considers "positive".
           | 
           | Putin is a piece of shit who bombed my family! I'm sorry
           | Dave, I can't allow you to post that.
        
           | lrvick wrote:
           | As someone who specialized in this area for years in social
           | media specifically, I have never seen evidence you can get
           | past 80% accuracy with any known sentiment analysis method.
           | 
           | Brute force stats like Naive Bayes is still as good as it
           | gets on platforms like Twitter where speech patterns are too
           | short and irregular for traditional NLP to be very useful.
        
             | elgenioso wrote:
             | Even non-traditional NLP won't work. There is no way to
             | algorithmically enforce "good" speech. I agree that the
             | character limitations don't help and the 280 character
             | limitation is the main reason Twitter is such a mess.
             | 
             | There are no coherent long form texts generated by AI
             | models but 280 characters is very easy because people will
             | give the author the benefit of the doubt and interpolate
             | the missing context.
        
           | garyfirestorm wrote:
           | True! How would it detect sarcasm. For eg. I love what he is
           | doing to Twitter
        
             | lrvick wrote:
             | In my experience people most often convey sarcasm on social
             | media with emoji and the emoji is typically the most
             | informative feature.
             | 
             | I hate my job :) -> probably loves their job.
             | 
             | I love my job :( -> probably hates their job.
             | 
             | Without emoji sarcasm is often hard to detect even for a
             | human.
        
               | throwaway290 wrote:
               | It's exceedingly easy to detect sentiment for any human
               | who cares and follows context, next to impossible to do
               | automatically. "Good job Elon :)" can mean diametrically
               | opposing things depending on author's views and what they
               | wrote up to this moment. Same with "I love my job :)",
               | etc. Employing an AI solution could cause some fun
               | blunders but would likely amplify the amount of burning
               | sarcasm overall.
        
               | rcoveson wrote:
               | This is wrong as often as it's right. I predect that "I
               | hate my job :)" on social media really does mean the
               | speaker hates their job at least 40% of the time. It's
               | sort of a "this is fine"[0] smiley; the smiley _is_ the
               | sarcasm while the statement is literally true.
               | 
               | 0. https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/this-is-fine
        
               | coffeebeqn wrote:
               | Elon is doing a great job at Twitter :)
               | 
               | What do I really mean?
        
           | zamalek wrote:
           | It's more fundamental than that. Some forms of speech can
           | indirectly or directly limit the speech of others. Free
           | speech absolutism in an unachievable panacea; it is a logical
           | fallacy.
        
             | ibejoeb wrote:
             | I'm not following you. What can I say that prevents you
             | from saying something?
             | 
             | That would seem to violate causality.
        
               | throwaway290 wrote:
               | Humans function in a society only, no one exists and
               | speaks in vacuum. What someone says can encourage you to
               | say something or preclude you from speaking, if you are
               | not a sociopath.
        
               | AlexandrB wrote:
               | What is "cancel culture" if not people saying things that
               | prevent others from speaking in the future? Either speech
               | can suppress other speech, or cancel culture doesn't
               | exist.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | That causal violation is the exact problem with free
               | speech aboslutism.
               | 
               | "You are not allowed to criticize the CCP" is speech.
               | 
               | "I order you to kill/hang that vice president" is speech,
               | and the dead don't speak.
        
               | mh- wrote:
               | That last one would already fail the Brandenburg test
               | [0], wouldn't it?
               | 
               |  _(I 'm not a lawyer.)_
               | 
               | [0]
               | https://www.criminaldefenselawyer.com/resources/inciting-
               | to-...
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | > Brandenburg test
               | 
               | The Brandenburg Test doesn't apply to free speech
               | _absolutism._
        
               | erichocean wrote:
               | Elon Musk has already said he supports unrestricted
               | *legal* speech on Twitter, and that individual cultures
               | should decide what that is for themselves, through their
               | local legal system.
               | 
               | He's not a "free speech absolutist."
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | He calls himself a free speech absolutist, and he's
               | already banned parody, racist but legal (in the US)
               | speech and criticism of himself and his technical
               | knowledge - which is _more_ restrictive than Twitter was
               | prior.
               | 
               | As is the plan to "deboost" negative and hateful tweets -
               | I'll remind the court that when Youtube did the same
               | thing, many people here considered _even demonetizing and
               | downranking_ content to be censorship, and antithetical
               | to free speech.
        
               | erichocean wrote:
               | Elon Musk discussed this on Apr 26, 2022:
               | 
               | > _By "free speech", I simply mean that which matches the
               | law.
               | 
               | I am against censorship that goes far beyond the law.
               | 
               | If people want less free speech, they will ask government
               | to pass laws to that effect.
               | 
               | Therefore, going beyond the law is contrary to the will
               | of the people._
               | 
               | Source:
               | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1519036983137509376
               | 
               | If you want to argue Musk's position on free speech is
               | anything else, "absolute" or otherwise, kindly cite your
               | sources.
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | quote for quote:
               | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1499976967105433600
               | 
               | Even if you want to dismiss this, he still isn't
               | following his own principles, since again, he's clearly
               | banning legal speech.
        
               | endominus wrote:
               | Except this doesn't prove the point asked. I can
               | literally write your second example and in fact, I will;
               | I hereby order whatever shadowy figures monitor all
               | internet communications to kick zamalek off of the
               | internet. There; has that in any way impacted your
               | ability to respond to me? Has my _speech_ at all affected
               | yours? The thing you 're actually against is the
               | execution of an action, killing or hanging or whatever
               | else. The basic right of freedom of speech is not that.
               | This equivocation between speech and action, this
               | insistence that speech itself is fundamentally harmful
               | and must be controlled, censored, and limited, is pretty
               | fundamentally undemocratic in ways that most actual
               | authoritarians who rose to power in the past century
               | would be quite familiar with.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | What if I followed you around and shouted my speech
               | really loudly every time you tried to speak?
        
               | endominus wrote:
               | What if I had a sonic cannon that could blast a house off
               | it's foundations? Is a DDoS attack speech? No. No one
               | argues that in good faith. Stop justifying your
               | conclusions by redefining speech to something else. There
               | are actual, reasonable arguments for the limitations of
               | speech - "speech is actually just any noise and people
               | can play noise really loudly and that can cause hearing
               | damage" is not one of them.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | You are restating my argument as using a sonic cannon.
               | That is not what I said. I said: what happens if I
               | _shout_ my _speech_ so as to obscure yours?
               | 
               | Given the strawman, I guess that you don't have an
               | answer.
        
               | endominus wrote:
               | Your argument is, abstractly, "Isn't censorship also
               | speech?" My response is, no, censorship is not covered
               | under free speech. This is a faulty supposition that many
               | people who are generally opposed to free speech hold.
               | Preventing people from hearing someone speak is self-
               | evidently the most anti-free-speech act it is possible
               | for a private individual to do.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | > "Isn't censorship also speech?"
               | 
               | That isn't my argument at all. My argument is that for
               | you to stop me from shouting over your speech, you would
               | be limiting my speech. I could argue that I am shouting
               | so that everyone can hear me. I could be shouting
               | important things. Limiting my speech is censorship.
               | 
               | Free speech absolutism is a paradox. The only way to
               | resolve that paradox is to limit speech that limits the
               | fundamental (so-called "God-given") rights of others.
        
               | endominus wrote:
               | >I could argue that I am shouting so that everyone can
               | hear me. I could be shouting important things.
               | 
               | You could argue that, yes. What you can argue doesn't
               | matter. I can also, equally, argue that I am free to DDoS
               | someone I don't like, because there is no technical
               | limitation to my doing so, and that anyone attempting to
               | stop that is inhibiting my free speech or free use of
               | whatever hardware I control. Where does anyone argue
               | that? Where has anyone argued this version of free speech
               | that you are presenting the fallacies of? I have never
               | heard even the most die-hard free speech supporter
               | advocate that someone is free to follow you around all
               | day, yelling to drown out your voice. And if this free
               | speech absolutism is a position that no one holds, why
               | are you arguing against it?
               | 
               | >"I order you to kill/hang that vice president" is
               | speech, and the dead don't speak.
               | 
               | This started by you giving the example of an order to
               | kill someone as being free speech that so-called free
               | speech absolutists would logically protect. But the thing
               | that is actually a problem, in that example, is that you
               | are (presumably) using whatever existing power you have
               | to unlawfully kill someone. The fact that someone could
               | literally say those words to cause that effect in no way
               | mandates that free speech advocates defend literal
               | murder.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | > And if this free speech absolutism is a position that
               | no one holds, why are you arguing against it?
               | 
               | Musk is a free speech absolutist, by his own admission.
               | His followers are likely similar.
               | 
               | > I have never heard even the most die-hard free speech
               | supporter advocate that someone is free to follow you
               | around all day, yelling to drown out your voice.
               | 
               | It's a contrived example, but despite that free speech
               | absolutism allows for it.
        
               | endominus wrote:
               | >Musk is a free speech absolutist, by his own admission.
               | 
               | I don't think his concept of free speech absolutism
               | matches yours. Given the other things I've heard
               | (something about moderation teams with diverse voices,
               | and this news about deboosting) it seems more likely that
               | you're arguing against a strawman here.
               | 
               | >It's a contrived example, but despite that free speech
               | absolutism allows for it.
               | 
               | Does the free speech absolutism you're arguing against
               | allow for sonic cannons? Doxxing? Lighting burning
               | crosses on people's yards? If so, again, it's pretty far
               | away from any form of free speech I've ever heard a free
               | speech advocate actually... advocate for. I'm asking this
               | seriously; can you point me to anyone honestly arguing
               | for that as a social ideal?
               | 
               | Edit: In fact, this topic roused some curiousity in me,
               | so I went to look up what the actual philosophical roots
               | of "free speech absolutism" were. The first result[0] is
               | rather creepily relevant, discussing Elon Musk's bid on
               | Twitter and his self-admission as a free speech
               | absolutist. Very relevant to your arguments are the
               | following passages:
               | 
               | > Free speech absolutism has its roots in philosophical
               | theories dating back to the 17th century, but it was
               | first discussed as a defined principle by the 20th
               | century free speech advocate and philosopher Alexander
               | Meiklejohn.
               | 
               | > His writing focused on the United States, and much of
               | his thoughts were put forth in the context of American
               | constitutional law. In fact, the very idea of
               | "absolutism" - that there are certain absolute principles
               | in political, philosophical, ethical, or religious
               | matters - is an American idea. In theory, a free speech
               | absolutist would be extremely hesitant (or refuse) to
               | draw a line between free speech and hate speech in most
               | contexts, and in all contexts where the speech could
               | possibly be considered political speech.
               | 
               | > This commitment to self-rule, in Meiklejohn's view,
               | justified and formed the basis of the constitutional
               | right to unfettered free speech guaranteed by the United
               | States Constitution, and warranted its absolute nature,
               | meaning it should not be weakened or watered down to bend
               | to other social values.
               | 
               | > However, his understanding didn't extend to private
               | speech about issues not of public concern. So, while your
               | right to publish your views about a social issue is
               | safeguarded, even if others may take offense, _Meiklejohn
               | believed that you can't rely on free speech protection to
               | shout casual abuse at someone on the street._ (emphasis
               | added)
               | 
               | So yes, even the original, definitive free speech
               | absolutist disagrees that your example is allowed by the
               | principles of free speech.
               | 
               | [0]: https://www.liberties.eu/en/stories/free-speech-
               | absolutist/4...
        
               | commandlinefan wrote:
               | > "You are not allowed to criticize the CCP" is speech
               | 
               | Yes... speech I'm allowed to (and do) ignore. You're not
               | making the point you think you're making.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | What about Chinese nationals?
        
               | ibejoeb wrote:
               | You are suggesting that in an environment without the
               | right to free speech, there is no right to free speech.
               | 
               | Back to the twitter context: if I bought twitter and
               | simply did nothing at all, anyone would be free to post
               | anything, because in order to stop it, I'd have to act,
               | which I already said I won't do.
        
               | kuramitropolis wrote:
               | >What can I say that prevents you from saying something?
               | 
               | Any syntactially correct but illogical thing, basically.
               | The textbook example is "have you stopped beating your
               | wife? yes or no, asshole".
               | 
               | Most humans aren't very good at being rational.
               | Undermining someone's capacity for correct reasoning and
               | effective communication is a whole dark art - one that is
               | fundamental to our entire social reality. Also known as
               | "trolling", in the offline world - as "bullying", or if
               | you want to be academical about it, "exercising soft
               | power".
               | 
               | Of course, it's only considered reprehensible if an
               | individual does it.
        
             | hellfish wrote:
             | The people who oppose free speech always try to redefine it
             | this way.
             | 
             | Freedom of speech is freedom from censorship or moderation.
             | Not freedom from discomfort
        
               | pixl97 wrote:
               | Like the discomfort from being banned from someones
               | private property from saying dumb crap?
        
             | elgenioso wrote:
             | I don't think that's true. The only way to limit speech on
             | an algorithmicially mediated platform is via algorithms and
             | there is no algorithm that can encode non-trivial
             | properties of language regardless of what the AI
             | maximalists might say to the contrary.
        
         | GloriousKoji wrote:
         | Free as in capital, not beer.
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | > Elon "free speech" Musk.
         | 
         | Is your usage of quotations marks intended to adhere to one of
         | these?
         | 
         | If so, which one, and how?
         | 
         | If not, what is the intent of them?
         | 
         | -------------------------------------------------
         | 
         | https://www.grammarbook.com/punctuation/quotes.asp
         | 
         | - Rule 1. Use double quotation marks to set off a direct (word-
         | for-word) quotation.
         | 
         | Correct: "I hope you will be here," he said.
         | 
         | Incorrect: He said that he "hoped I would be there." (The
         | quotation marks are incorrect because hoped I would be there
         | does not state the speaker's exact words.)
         | 
         | - Rule 8a. Quotation marks are often used with technical terms,
         | terms used in an unusual way, or other expressions that vary
         | from standard usage.
         | 
         | Examples:
         | 
         | It's an oil-extraction method known as "fracking."
         | 
         | He did some "experimenting" in his college days.
         | 
         | I had a visit from my "friend" the tax man.
        
           | Ztynovovk wrote:
           | They indicate how much of a clown he is.
        
           | throwaway290 wrote:
           | If you are serious, it's a common way of specifying a
           | nickname.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | I am serious, and it is indeed that _sometimes_...but I
             | wonder if that 's the intent Ztynovovk had when making the
             | comment (or: what it "is" _from within the initial frame of
             | reference_ , as "is-ness" is relative to the observer).
             | 
             | I think it's fun _and informative_ to draw attention to
             | cognitive functionality of humans when they are opining on
             | the cognitive functionality of other humans, particularly
             | in  "smart" communities when the topic of discussion tends
             | to exploit cultural norms and catalyze ~unforced (note:
             | speculation) cognitive errors.
        
       | Imnimo wrote:
       | I'm excited to see what the new policy will be tomorrow.
        
         | deeg wrote:
         | This is a perfect example of how an algorithm will fail. I
         | suppose someone could argue that your comment isn't negative
         | (or negative enough to warrant de-boosting).
        
       | guelo wrote:
       | I think he's heading towards making people pay for reach to try
       | to get more subscription revenue. In my opinion paying for reach
       | is what started Facebook's decline, when people realize that
       | "your" followers are not actually theirs they lose interest.
        
       | gnicholas wrote:
       | So how does this work of people are using the chronological view?
        
       | aquova wrote:
       | There's some interesting discussion in this thread about whether
       | this is the right or wrong move for Twitter. However, after the
       | debacle last night, I think it's a moot point, I simply don't see
       | twitter.com still running within the next few months, possibly
       | within the next few weeks. He's fired 50% of the company, reports
       | seem that conservatively 50% of the remainder just quit
       | yesterday, their subscription service had to be cancelled in the
       | process scaring off their primary revenue source. They don't seem
       | to be in any position to moderate, develop features, or, if some
       | ex-employees can be believed, even keep the service running with
       | who they have left. I honestly think within the next week or two
       | we'll see a significant outage of the platform, and it'll never
       | be brought back up to 100%, if at all. It's a stunning display of
       | incompetence from the once admired richest man on Earth. So he
       | can make all the policy changes he wishes, I don't think anyone
       | will be around to see them happen.
        
         | abzolv wrote:
         | This is the correct take. Without the staff and institutional
         | knowledge of a 16 year old service, no amount of hand waving
         | will keep the service healthy. It's a stunning display of what
         | not to do.
        
       | pessimizer wrote:
       | The worst aspect of twitter is the anti-fans who follow people
       | just to disrupt any conversations that they're having, and the
       | organized trolling groups. You could interpret this is saying
       | that those people are going to be pushed out of threads, but you
       | could interpret it in any way. He's really not saying anything.
       | 
       | The organized groups and the anti-fans would be easy to automate
       | discovery of. Just flag people who reply in a similar manner no
       | matter what they're replying to, and cross them with voting
       | rings. Declaring war on negativity and hate is pretty silly,
       | though.
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | I have lost count of the number of caveats that have been applied
       | daily to his "free speech absolutism". Any bets on how soon he
       | will permanently ban folks like AOC and Elizabeth Warren under
       | some new "policy"?
        
         | commandlinefan wrote:
         | > ban folks like AOC and Elizabeth Warren
         | 
         | If he does, look for the _exact same_ people who defended
         | Twitter bans a year ago to suddenly become  "free speech
         | absolutists" (for a while...)
        
           | vkou wrote:
           | Nah, they'll probably still have the opinion that Nazis and
           | hate speech doesn't belong on Twitter.
           | 
           | They'll also probably still be of the opinion that equating
           | those groups with EW is utterly pants-on-head bonkers.
        
         | memish wrote:
         | Hopefully not. This would bring Twitter back to where it was,
         | just swapping one bias for another.
        
       | kornhole wrote:
       | The main reason some of us go on Twitter is it is where the
       | politicians and other leaders tweet. It is the only place where
       | we can talk back to them. This talking back is probably
       | considered negative. If our voices will be silenced, I will just
       | subscribe to a few of the people still there using RSS feeds. All
       | real discussion will move elsewhere.
        
       | kweingar wrote:
       | Further in the thread he names some banned accounts that will be
       | reinstated.
       | 
       | A couple weeks ago, Elon said that Twitter's content policy (and
       | account reinstatement) would be decided by a moderation council
       | composed of people with diverse views. There have been no reports
       | of this council being formed yet.
       | 
       | Edit: why was this post flagged?
        
         | nixcraft wrote:
         | From: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1593673844996288512
         | 
         | Kathie Griffin, Jorden Peterson & Babylon Bee have been
         | reinstated.
         | 
         | Trump decision has not yet been made.
        
         | cguess wrote:
         | And he misspelled two of those three names. And one of those
         | accounts _he_ banned.
        
           | seattle_spring wrote:
           | The correct spelling would be "Jordan Balthazar Peterson".
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | I'm certainly not a fan of how Musk has handled the Twitter
       | takeover, but this sentiment, "New Twitter policy is freedom of
       | speech, but not freedom of reach", seems highly reasonable to me,
       | no?
       | 
       | That is, what I find so awful about most social media (and places
       | like YouTube) is how they focus on some of the most anger-
       | inducing content for "engagement". That is, I think the problem
       | is much more their algorithms than what people actually post.
       | 
       | That said, I think that, realistically, being at the bottom of
       | the heap won't actually be much different from being banned -
       | which I actually think is a good thing.
        
         | fhood wrote:
         | I'm actually really pleased with how well youtube avoids
         | serving you rage bait once you have made it clear to the
         | algorithm you aren't interested.
        
         | attentive wrote:
         | Freedom to "yell into the void" isn't really a freedom of
         | speech. They might as well post-it on the bathroom walls.
        
           | oska wrote:
           | Your 'yelling into the void' here is every yell being
           | recorded and kept, every person who has a link to a recording
           | being able to hear it, every person who follows a
           | chronological playback of your yells being able to hear them
           | all, etc, i.e. there is no 'void'.
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | I don't see a difference between censorship and
         | demonetization/"deboosting". end up in the same situation via
         | different means. No centralized medium can claim to do that
         | seriously, it's a waste of resources and attention.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | elgenioso wrote:
         | This is not a solvable problem. There is no algorithmic way to
         | detect speech that needs to be boosted and deboosted on social
         | media because there is no way to actually algorithmically
         | detect what is truthful and what is just manipulative
         | propaganda and marketing.
        
           | achenatx wrote:
           | it isnt about truth or fiction, it is negative/hate tweets. I
           | run a politics forum and the one rule is no insulting other
           | people, groups, or positions.
           | 
           | This makes for a very civil, but bland conversation. People
           | engage with negative/hate tweets.
           | 
           | I personally like talking politics without insults, but most
           | people are incapable of it.
           | 
           | It is easy to detect insults.
        
             | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
             | That's a truly amazing viewpoint, I honestly can't imagine
             | how one could express the solution that clearly.
             | 
             | In case you can't guess, I'm not serious. However if you
             | download a sentiment analysis model and feed it my first
             | paragraph it'll claim it was positive.
             | 
             | Sentiment analysis is a really really really hard problem,
             | especially for short texts.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | >It is easy to detect insults.
             | 
             | I would fully expect the next thing for you to say is "I
             | can program my own Twitter in a week"
             | 
             | Trying to figure out language intent is just the kind of
             | thing an engineer/moderator says is easy and then is in
             | deep water a month later after a phrase that means "you're
             | great" in one language means "you're a donkey's anus" in
             | another.
             | 
             | When you're moderating a small group it can be somewhat
             | easy, everyone tends to speak the same language, and quite
             | often it just falls into a groupthink that excludes
             | situations like this. But when the situation scales you
             | don't just have users that actively want to use the
             | service, you have adversarial users that want to abuse your
             | service and make it hell... and those users can be
             | exceptionally clever.
        
               | Avshalom wrote:
               | >>I would fully expect the next thing for you to say is
               | "I can program my own Twitter in a week"
               | 
               | as a perfect example you just called achenatx a moron by
               | implying that they would insult twitter employees by
               | implying twitter is trivial.
               | 
               | it's an insult by way of a hypothetically ascribed insult
               | and there's no chance in hell that either of them would
               | trigger sentiment detection because they are so context
               | dependent, even worse it's cultural context not textual
               | context
        
             | tclancy wrote:
             | Ok, now scale to a few hundred millions users in lots of
             | languages.
        
               | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
               | Not even just language, but culture subculture too. This
               | is a very difficult problem.
        
             | lmarcos wrote:
             | I don't know about English, but in other languages you need
             | to know the context to distinguish "hate" speech and
             | insults. If I call someone "You, motherf*er!", without
             | context you don't know if I'm insulting that person or just
             | acknowledging my friend who just made a great joke.
        
           | karmelapple wrote:
           | It is a solvable problem: eliminate your algorithm.
           | 
           | Facebook and Twitter both grew very popular without an
           | algorithm. Then they chased the almighty engagement metrics.
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | Quick! Someone write an AI that classifies the likelihood of
           | informal fallacies.
        
             | brookst wrote:
             | 100%
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | root_axis wrote:
         | Yeah, it's very reasonable but it's also the status quo prior
         | to Elon buying twitter. Elon openly attacked twitter for its
         | moderation policies and made a public spectacle about big tech
         | censorship and styled himself as "free speech absolutist" in
         | his own words. Now that Elon's own money is on the line he's
         | completely done a 180 and is using the _exact same_ reasoning
         | to defend his moderation policies as did his detractors when he
         | was on the other side trashing twitter.
         | 
         | Elon is, as usual, totally full of shit, people have a natural
         | disdain for flippant dishonesty.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | > but it's also the status quo prior to Elon buying twitter.
           | 
           | Wasn't the status quo to ban accounts completely, due to
           | individual tweets, rather than hide individual tweets?
           | 
           | This seems much much more permissive.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | People's problem with Twitter was always that they would
         | arbitrarily decide what is or isn't acceptable speech, and
         | Elon's new solution does...exactly the same thing. The only
         | thing that will change now is that liberal politicians and
         | views will start being targeted rather than conservative/alt-
         | right ones. Is anyone here really naive enough to believe that
         | this whole saga has been about "free speech"? It is simply a
         | shift of power from the left to the right, financed by a
         | handful of billionaires, Wall Street banks and Saudi/Qatari
         | Princes.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | > _It is simply a shift of power from the left to the right,
           | financed by a handful of billionaires, Wall Street banks and
           | Saudi /Qatari Princes._
           | 
           | If anyone doesn't believe this how those involved viewed the
           | situation, read Musk's text messages that were exposed in
           | court[1].
           | 
           | [1] https://muskmessages.com/
        
           | bb88 wrote:
           | Trump and Elon have learned how to be controversial, which
           | drives engagement. They literally _are_ the result of the
           | algorithms that have driven engagement.
        
           | danans wrote:
           | > The only thing that will change now is that liberal
           | politicians and views will start being targeted rather than
           | conservative/alt-right ones.
           | 
           | Conservative speech like "lower taxes are better", "extract
           | more petroleum", and "prayer should be allowed in public
           | school" were never targeted.
           | 
           | The "conservative" speech banned were things like "LGBT
           | people should have their human rights denied" and "Let's get
           | together and attack the Capitol to stop the transfer of
           | power".
           | 
           | > It is simply a shift of power from the left to the right,
           | financed by a handful of billionaires, Wall Street banks and
           | Saudi/Qatari Princes.
           | 
           | That raises the question of what are the "dividends" for
           | those parties, regardless of the financial success of
           | Twitter.
        
             | jimbokun wrote:
             | Does anyone outside of Twitter actually know what the
             | criteria was for banning Tweets and Tweeters?
        
               | danans wrote:
               | Look at the history of banned accounts [1] You don't need
               | polynomial regression to figure out that nobody was being
               | banned for traditional, non-hate and non-violence-
               | inducing conservative or liberal speech. It's mostly
               | harassment, threats, impersonation and disinformation.
               | 
               | Nobody has been banned for advocating: lower taxes,
               | higher taxes, cuts to government spending, increased
               | government spending, abortion rights, anti-abortion
               | rights, etc.
               | 
               | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twitter_suspensions
        
               | KerrAvon wrote:
               | There is a joke, I don't know the origin:
               | 
               | Conservative: I'm being silenced for my opinions!
               | 
               | Me: lowering taxes?
               | 
               | C: no, not that opinion
               | 
               | M: smaller government?
               | 
               | C: no, not that one
               | 
               | M: which opinions?
               | 
               | C: oh, you know the ones...
        
             | thefaux wrote:
             | > That raises the question of what are the "dividends" for
             | those parties, regardless of the financial success of
             | Twitter.
             | 
             | My guess is that they see twitter as the central online hub
             | of anti-capitalist ideology, which is also correlated with
             | marginalized identity politics. If the bankers could nip
             | that growing movement in the bud before it fully coalesces
             | into something with real political power, then that would
             | seem to be well worth $44B (which of course they wouldn't
             | actually lose because they'd write off their losses against
             | their taxes).
        
               | recuter wrote:
               | Exactly! Jerry, all these big companies, they write off
               | everything!
        
               | danans wrote:
               | > My guess is that they see twitter as the central online
               | hub of anti-capitalist ideology
               | 
               | Then joke is on them because the far right is also anti-
               | capitalist, but in the form of ethnonationalist socialist
               | authoritarianism (Yes, there are many shorter names for
               | that).
               | 
               | Or perhaps they're actually on board with that approach
               | since according to some, it works quite well in Russia
               | and China.
        
             | Avshalom wrote:
             | also raises the question of who paxys thinks was funding
             | tech companies before this.
        
           | timr wrote:
           | > People's problem with Twitter was always that they would
           | arbitrarily decide what is or isn't acceptable speech, and
           | Elon's new solution does...exactly the same thing.
           | 
           | That was perhaps _one_ problem with Twitter, and no, this is
           | not the same thing.
           | 
           | Other, _much bigger_ problems were that they 'd arbitrarily
           | block (as in: make invisible) tweets, replace them with
           | "warnings" of dubious provenance, declare "misinformation"
           | (often based on poor/biased understanding of the topics at
           | hand; recall the _repeated_ flagging of the Cochrane
           | Collaboration Twitter account last year [1]), ban accounts
           | entirely after  "three strikes" of this sort, and many other
           | egregious acts of censorship that frequently correlated more
           | strongly with political ideology than with fact or actual
           | threat.
           | 
           | Musk's comment doesn't say _how_ they 're going to decide
           | what is hate speech, and that's pretty critical context here,
           | so we'll see. There's obviously going to be a narrow class of
           | speech that needs regulation, on any social platform. But if
           | it's possible to say pretty much anything outside of this
           | narrow class of content without getting banned, it would be a
           | significant shift toward freedom of expression.
           | 
           | [1] https://twitter.com/cochranecollab/status/150445846882413
           | 363...
           | 
           | (Cochrane is the gold standard for medical evidence review.
           | Flagging them for "misinformation" would be hilariously
           | misinformed, if it weren't so scary.)
        
         | oxfordmale wrote:
         | It is unfortunately not how Twitter works. It is very hard to
         | restrict freedom of reach. If you follow a person with extreme
         | opinions, you will still see their posts. Even if Twitter
         | managed to address that problem, there will be users that
         | created curated list of Tweets of interest to their followers.
         | 
         | ...and not to forget the mainstream media that love to refer to
         | extremist tweets as it is an easy article to write.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | hunglee2 wrote:
       | Fumbling forward, path still unclear. Who and how is negative
       | determined? Is opposing oppression considered to be negative?
       | Sentiment analysis of the protest orientated tweets would
       | probably deem them so
        
       | gnicholas wrote:
       | So they will treat the following two tweets differently?
       | 
       | * down with people who believe X!
       | 
       | * long live people who believe not-X!
       | 
       | The line between negativity and positivity is just a matter of
       | framing.
        
         | kuramitropolis wrote:
         | Spot on. The terms "negativity" and "positivity" are basically
         | tools for abuse.
        
           | gnicholas wrote:
           | You mean abuse by twitter, since it introduces subjectivity
           | in the decision making process?
        
       | memish wrote:
       | There's still a question of how "negative/hate" is defined and
       | whether this will be transparent. I'm skeptical, but the general
       | principle of discouraging and not profiting from negativity is,
       | uh, positive.
        
         | kweingar wrote:
         | Negativity is an extremely broad concept. There is no chance
         | that "negative" tweets will be uniformly deboosted.
         | 
         | Will Elon deboost tweets from Ukrainians condemning Russian war
         | crimes?
         | 
         | Will he deboost his own negative tweets toward US politicians?
         | 
         | Will he deboost US politicians' tweets criticizing the other
         | party?
         | 
         | Will he deboost tweets critical of his management of Twitter?
         | 
         | Discouraging "negativity" necessarily means "discouraging
         | negativity based on some ideological priors"
        
           | ibejoeb wrote:
           | Want to make some money? Users can pay to boost their own
           | tweets. But I think that's just advertising...
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | FollowingTheDao wrote:
         | "negative/hate" will be defined by the advertisers.
        
           | pixl97 wrote:
           | They who pay the bills set the rules.
        
         | sn0w_crash wrote:
         | We have laws that define this.
         | 
         | What changed was that a small group of technocrats took it upon
         | themselves that any questioning of their ideology was "hate
         | speech."
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | We have bad laws that badly define this. The US has done no
           | better than Musk at defining "hate."
        
             | brookst wrote:
             | Disagree. We don't have laws banning hate speech. We have
             | laws that allow "hate" to be an aggravating factors in
             | crimes. And we have juries to determine whether the
             | application of hate crime statutes is appropriate for a
             | particular crime.
             | 
             | US laws are wildly imperfect, but the laws are at least
             | applied by people rather than algorithms.
        
           | coffeebeqn wrote:
           | Ah yes the 69th amendment - no negative speech
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | Pretty much going according to plan. Next step will be tweets
       | from the political left being downranked by the
       | algorithm/shadowbanned because Elon considers them "hate speech".
        
       | cm2187 wrote:
       | What does deboosted mean? Does twitter show you tweets from
       | people you don't follow (and people you follow don't retweet)? Or
       | does that mean you won't see the tweets from the people you
       | follow?
        
         | Whatarethese wrote:
         | Shadowbanned I'm guessing. Cant have Jordan Peterson anti-trans
         | tweets reaching anyone but his followers.
        
       | socialismisok wrote:
       | There goes the free speech absolutist.
       | 
       | (FWIW, I've always believed that moderation is a good thing on
       | Twitter, and that free speech absolutism is just not tenable on
       | the platform.)
       | 
       | It's been fascinating to watch this guy come in and absolutely
       | crush any dissenting voices then immediately start restricting
       | speech on the "free speech zone" platform of his.
        
       | detaro wrote:
       | Now I'm curious how many of his tweets would count as "negative"
        
       | wiredfool wrote:
       | Demonetized? Was anyone getting paid by twitter to tweet?
        
       | newaccount2021 wrote:
        
       | boole1854 wrote:
       | Many commentators seem to think this is a sudden, recent
       | backpedaling from a previous absolutist view on free speech.
       | However, Musk has been promoting the "freedom of speech" vs
       | "freedom of reach" distinction for a while, at least months
       | before his takeover, including describing how such a policy
       | should be implemented at Twitter.
       | 
       | Here's one example quote from June, 2022:
       | 
       | "I think there's this big difference between freedom of speech
       | and freedom of reach in that one can, obviously, let's say in the
       | United States go in the middle of Times Square and pretty much
       | yell anything you want. You'll annoy the people around you, but
       | you're kind of allowed to just sort of yell whatever you want in
       | a crowded public place, more or less, apart from 'this is
       | robbery' -- probably that would get you in trouble.
       | 
       | "So but then whatever you say, however controversial, does not
       | need to then be broadcast to the whole country. So I think
       | generally the approach of Twitter should be to let people say
       | what they want to do within the bounds of the law, but then limit
       | who sees that..."
       | 
       | Source: https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-china-censorship-
       | twitter...
        
         | aaomidi wrote:
         | Sooooo shadow bans.
        
           | baq wrote:
           | What do you think makes HN comments worthy of reading after
           | all those years
        
           | Natsu wrote:
           | The modal shadow ban is that people can't read your stuff at
           | all, even if they go looking for it.
           | 
           | This is closer to the HN model where you can see it if you
           | really want to via showdead.
        
           | mr90210 wrote:
           | You bet!
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | It is per tweet, not per account. How is this a shadowban?
        
           | shapefrog wrote:
           | I thought shadow bans were bad ... its all very confusing.
        
         | AYBABTME wrote:
         | I like the idea of having personal filters on the receiving
         | end, sort of like how I can decide to search Google using "Safe
         | search: Moderate" or no safe search filtering.
         | 
         | And I guess it makes sense to de-promote poisonous speech,
         | since our primal brains have a tendency to naturally amplify
         | and accord outsized importance to hate, outrage and other
         | strong negative emotions, although those are mostly hugely
         | detrimental to civil society.
         | 
         | Social harmony is underrated in the West. We're all willing to
         | sacrifice our social fabric - and thus ultimately our averaged
         | personal happiness - in favor of individualism. A social system
         | like Twitter should have systems and patterns that correct for
         | our flaws here.
        
         | hooverd wrote:
         | Confusingly, that's what all the free speech absolutists spend
         | their time yelling about. The right to not speak in the public
         | square but have a megaphone.
        
           | lliamander wrote:
           | I disagree. What the free speech side is arguing is that by
           | trying to restrict "reach" you are trying to prevent
           | interested consumers of that speech from ever hearing it.
           | 
           | The prime example is when someone's tweets don't show up in
           | the timelines of subscribers. People who specifically what to
           | hear that speech never get a chance to.
        
             | blitzar wrote:
             | Deplatforming is simply a form of limiting reach, a twitter
             | ban isnt an internet ban
        
               | luckylion wrote:
               | And disallowing someone to live on earth isn't a death
               | sentence. They can always migrate to Mars.
        
         | SoftTalker wrote:
         | Why not just ditch the algorithms.
         | 
         | Go back to what twitter was in the beginning: you see the
         | tweets of people you follow. That's it.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | I don't want purely that, because I end up drowning in
           | uninteresting tweets from everyone I follow. I want to see
           | notable tweets, from the people I follow, because I don't
           | care if they're eating a sandwich.
           | 
           | I also want to see tweets I would find notable/interesting,
           | from people I don't follow, if I knew they existed. An
           | algorithm would help with that suggestion.
           | 
           | What I really want is Spotify's "Discover Weekly", and "This
           | song's radio", but in Twitter.
        
         | phphphphp wrote:
         | That analogy doesn't really fit with the model of Twitter. If
         | we are using the town/time square example, what Elon is
         | describing is the digital version of putting a noise-cancelling
         | box around the people saying "bad" things so that nobody can
         | hear them.
         | 
         | A message spreads on Twitter because individuals on Twitter
         | amplify it (with engagement, retweets etc.) which is itself a
         | form of speech: if you say something bad, and I retweet it, I
         | am engaging in speech. Imagine a piece of land with 500 million
         | people on it: a person 500 million people away from you cannot
         | hear you, but if you say something and people choose to repeat
         | it until it reaches that person... that's Twitter. To prevent
         | that is, in any framing, limiting free speech.
         | 
         | Twitter has some magical engagement-driving algorithms (for
         | example, the homepage) but these are not the primary driver of
         | engagement/reach on Twitter, so they could be removed entirely
         | and this problem would remain.
         | 
         | So you're probably right to say this isn't a sudden 180 on his
         | thoughts, but it still highlights how faulty his framing of
         | free speech is.
        
         | nicbou wrote:
         | Where would you set the line of the right to reach? Would it be
         | fair to say "not on my platform"?
        
       | friend_and_foe wrote:
       | Sounds reasonable. I'm a bit of a free speech absolutist, so I
       | say no to censorship no matter how insulting the content may be,
       | but that doesn't mean anyone is required to amplify anything.
       | 
       | The argument I hear most often from pro censorship people is that
       | it's not as simple as having a voice, your voice is amplified by
       | algorithms on these sites, you're giving someone a megaphone.
       | This decision appears to solve that problem while not censoring
       | anyone. I'd say a shadow ban would go too far, but just not
       | promoting it sounds like a reasonable compromise.
        
       | socialismisok wrote:
       | What is a "negative tweet" or a "hate tweet"? Those two concepts
       | sure seem ambiguous. Hate tweet, I suppose, is marginally easier
       | to understand than a hate tweet, I guess...
       | 
       | But what does this mean for like, the Babylon Bee or The Lincoln
       | Project? I'd say both of them can be negative at times.
       | 
       | What does it mean for libertarians or anti capitalists who are
       | strongly averse to the way things are run today?
       | 
       | (I deliberately tried to highlight that this sort of change could
       | impact people of various political persuasions, trying to not
       | "pick a favorite" by only showing how this could impact my
       | "team".)
        
       | minimaxir wrote:
       | Note that this is the dictionary definition of shadowbanning,
       | which is the primary thing the free speech advocates on Twitter
       | were hoping Elon would _stop_ Twitter from doing.
        
         | Hamuko wrote:
         | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1517716718382166016
        
         | JamesianP wrote:
         | I thought the point of shadowbanning was to trick the poster
         | into thinking their posts were visible while they were hidden
         | from everyone else.
         | 
         | Here it seems like the poster and anyone else can directly
         | search for the poster's account or the "filtered" post and
         | still see it. But I guess the tags won't work. Kind of a middle
         | ground. Perhaps they will explicitly remove/block the tags so
         | the poster knows this is happening, which at least isn't
         | tricking them.
        
           | iudqnolq wrote:
           | > But I guess the tags won't work. Kind of a middle ground.
           | Perhaps they will explicitly remove/block the tags so the
           | poster knows this is happening, which at least isn't tricking
           | them.
           | 
           | To clarify, Musk said nothing whatsoever about tags. Another
           | read of Musk's tweet is that your timeline won't show tweets
           | with a negative sentiment analysis score.
           | 
           | Given recent events, I'm reluctant to assume Musk's vague
           | goals will be implemented in the narrowest and most delicate
           | way possible.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | leereeves wrote:
         | No, as explained in the thread following that tweet: "Note,
         | this applies just to the individual tweet, not the whole
         | account"
         | 
         | Shadowbanning applies to accounts.
         | 
         | Also, nowhere in that thread does it say that the user won't be
         | told the Tweet was demonetized, which _is_ the dictionary
         | definition of shadowbanning.
        
         | oska wrote:
         | I'm a Free Speech advocate. What I hoped Elon would do is stop
         | the permanent banning of people from the platform and the
         | removal of tweets. He appears to be at least somewhat
         | delivering on that hope. Having a tweet 'deboosted' rather than
         | completely removed and the tweeter also permanently removed is
         | a substantial improvement.
        
         | commandlinefan wrote:
         | It also virtually requires human content moderation who, as
         | we've seen time and time again, will classify more and more
         | conservative opinions as "negative/hate" and fewer and fewer
         | liberal opinions. So in other words, Jack Dorsey's Twitter all
         | over again.
        
           | LawTalkingGuy wrote:
           | People have been seeing it as one big moderation problem and
           | it's a bunch of smaller problems, plus the problem of people
           | actively gaming the system and operating at large enough
           | scale for it to always be bigger than humans can handle.
           | 
           | But that's only true when you delete posts and block users.
           | It makes mistakes so costly (and with machines being so
           | easily manipulated) that we need to run too many decisions
           | past people because our decisions here are making huge impact
           | at a personal level for those involved.
           | 
           | But if you're willing to accept " _hidden at default-browse-
           | level_ " wrongly appearing every now and then it becomes
           | totally solvable.
           | 
           | We were trying to scale fact-checkers and playground-nannies
           | but the trick is to get rid of those roles and use users to
           | flag what users like and/or don't like directly. You can do a
           | staggered release to previously critical people, and known-
           | objective people, once a few posts have been flagged.
        
         | datastack wrote:
         | The difference between hiding a particular problematic tweet
         | and all tweets of an account is important though. It seems Elon
         | refers to the former, while shadow banning refers to the
         | latter. Let's hope it is so.
        
         | BryantD wrote:
         | Is there clear evidence that shadowbanning existed on Twitter?
         | Misunderstanding eventual consistency doesn't count. I'm not
         | going to be surprised if there is real evidence, I've just
         | never seen any.
        
         | onetimeusename wrote:
         | That's a good point. But I think also what mattered are how the
         | content policies are enforced. I think Musk misread the
         | situation. I do believe Twitter was biased about bans
         | previously but that is because its user base wanted those bans.
         | Social media apps tend to have a specific target demographic.
         | In that sense, Twitter was not really in the "public town
         | square" business but the memes and speech business of a
         | specific demographic. It's not surprising there is an exodus
         | from Twitter now that Musk has shown no loyalty to that base.
         | Yes, it's petty but I've seen far worse on the internet. If
         | Musk wanted something different he should have spent less money
         | making a new app.
         | 
         | I am not trying to provoke a flame war here either actually if
         | it comes off that way. I think the business of social apps is
         | trendy and you have to know your audience.
        
       | nimbius wrote:
       | Not to put too fine a point on it, but this is the sort of damage
       | control id expect to see from someone only peripherally aware of
       | or involved in their businesses accountability or strategic
       | operations. This concern from advertisers has existed far too
       | long for an executive action to have any meaning. the marketing
       | conference call on november 3rd was your red flag where
       | advertisers voiced their displeasure with firing large swaths of
       | the content moderation team. The checkmark fiasco that wiped
       | billions off corporate ledgers on a friday of active trading left
       | a pretty sore spot with them as well that you never seemed to
       | completely address. To corporations looking at this release today
       | youre just some guy dragging a plumbing fixture through the lobby
       | of your new office demanding hardcore work and cutting staff and
       | --lets be honest-- at least Chainsaw Al Dunlap made stockholders
       | rich in the process of scorching earth. So far youve just made
       | the entire platform look like the bombing of dresden.
       | 
       | by the 14th most reasonable advertisers had paused their spend if
       | not backed out entirely.
       | 
       | but after the bombshell office lockout and mass exodus _today_?
       | to think a ToS change with a skeleton crew of H1B 's and lifers
       | that arent even allowed at their desks is going to reverse the
       | course of decline is farcical. This is the kind of massive
       | failure that triggers disaster recovery plans. This ship is
       | sinking, and whatever life thats valued on it will either jump
       | ship to a competing platform or Mastodon. You took a 44bn USD
       | risk and managed to absolutely destroy any credibility in your
       | leadership in under a month. At this point its best to hope
       | markets dont start reconsidering your other companies as risky
       | business.
        
         | notadev wrote:
         | Please stop spreading the falsehood that Eli Lilly lost
         | billions because of a fake verified tweet.
         | https://medium.com/@westwise/did-twitter-just-take-8-billion...
        
           | littlestymaar wrote:
           | A discussion about viral tweets and stock price collapse that
           | doesn't address the topic of high frequency trading bots? And
           | written by a PhD in bioinformatics, who gives zero evidence
           | of his claims. Why should we pay attention to his argument?
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | is that all your evidence?
        
             | automatom wrote:
             | Even if it is, he's right. Although this is anecdotal, I
             | have a friend who works in finance that said the drop in
             | stock was coincidental to the stock price dropping.
             | Apparently pharmaceuticals are a defensive sector in a bear
             | market, and the market popping up last week meant the price
             | of Eli Lilly dropped, as I understand it. In his words that
             | tweet causing the stock to drop was "fake news"
        
               | cto_of_antifa wrote:
        
               | mbreese wrote:
               | There is never going to be a way to conclusively ascribe
               | the drop in stock price to any one event. However, the
               | act of pointing out the high cost of insulin to a large
               | audience _not_ causing a drop in stock price would be
               | highly suspect. I personally doubt it was the Tweet
               | itself that caused the drop. No one should /would have
               | believed it was an actual statement by Eli Lilly.
               | 
               | But in a bear market, this bad publicity about the high
               | price of a mandatory medication for a large population is
               | likely going to have an effect.
               | 
               | Or it could have also been a coincidence... there's no
               | way to know.
        
               | theonething wrote:
               | > bad publicity about the high price of a mandatory
               | medication for a large population is likely going to have
               | an effect.
               | 
               | I know this is orthogonal to the stock price drop, but
               | this kind of bad publicity (gouging sick people in need
               | of your product) actually turned out to be a good thing
               | for the public and for overall justice.
        
               | johnmaguire wrote:
               | > I personally doubt it was the Tweet itself that caused
               | the drop. No one should/would have believed it was an
               | actual statement by Eli Lilly.
               | 
               | Your second sentence is probably true, but the first one
               | is questionable.
               | 
               | It's well-known that there are high-frequency stock
               | trading bots which watch Twitter, news headlines, etc.
        
               | ALittleLight wrote:
               | High frequency trader bots watch random accounts? That
               | seems like a bad strategy. Maybe they're watching news
               | headlines - but that seems like a media problem where a
               | storm of articles about nothing drive the very story they
               | are talking about.
        
           | root_axis wrote:
           | Is it false? At best I think we can say it's unclear, but Eli
           | Lilly seem to take it seriously since they pulled all their
           | ad spend from twitter in response.
           | 
           | https://seekingalpha.com/news/3907399-fake-free-insulin-
           | twee...
        
         | pannSun wrote:
         | Advertisers sure have a lot of influence in what gets
         | published. Perhaps it's time to look critically at that.
         | They're certainly the last group of people I'd trust with...
         | anything. Their job is literally to manipulate people, yet
         | somehow they became the arbiters of morality and
         | permissibility.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | > Perhaps it's time to look critically at that.
           | 
           | What is there to look at? If you want other people's money,
           | chances are it'll come with strings attached.
        
         | tejtm wrote:
         | It has to be deliberate. I have never been on twitter, and have
         | not even been able read incidental twits that get pushed my way
         | since they required JS. So it is truly a non issue one way or
         | the other for me. But I can not see any possible goal except to
         | not only destroy the particular company but to further destroy
         | the idea of something like it as viable.
        
         | ALittleLight wrote:
         | I've seen a lot of people comment, especially on Twitter, about
         | "The checkmark fiasco that wiped billions off corporate ledgers
         | on a friday" - but it's completely untrue.
         | 
         | Eli Lilly was the pharmaceutical company that attracted the
         | most attention. Their stock was down 4% the day of a fake
         | tweet. But pharmaceutical companies were down generally that
         | day, some as much or more than Eli Lilly. Lots of companies had
         | fake tweets written about them - some had good days on the
         | stock market, some had bad - almost like stock market prices
         | are a random walk day to day, sometimes up and sometimes down.
         | 
         | From a common sense perspective it's pretty implausible that an
         | obviously fake tweet could shift market perceptions by billions
         | of dollars. I don't think that really happened at all.
         | 
         | I also don't see why advertisers would care about the office
         | lockout or layoffs. Advertisers certainly don't want their ads
         | running next to offensive content, but if Musk can control that
         | - why should advertisers pull out?
        
         | thomascgalvin wrote:
         | > At this point its best to hope markets dont start
         | reconsidering your other companies as risky business.
         | 
         | I think this is inevitable.
         | 
         | One, Elon is trying to prop up Twitter by using SpaceX money to
         | buy ads. He's dipping his hand into other companies to keep his
         | new toy afloat for a while longer. I don't know if the word
         | "contamination" is appropriate here, but it's pretty clear that
         | Elon doesn't see any kind of sharp boundaries between his
         | various enterprises.
         | 
         | And two, I think a lot of _customers_ are going to start
         | rethinking Elon 's offerings. Tesla used to be a status symbol.
         | Driving one meant you were forward thinking, that you were on
         | the bleeding edge, and probably conscientious about the
         | environment. Now, Tesla is "that company Elon owns." There is
         | no way this doesn't hurt Tesla's bottom line, and there's no
         | way investors don't realize this.
         | 
         | All Elon had to do was shut up and bask in the accomplishments
         | of others, but he couldn't manage to take his own ego out of
         | it. Will it ruin him? Probably not. We he still be the richest
         | man in the world in a year or two? Also probably not.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Why does SpaceX need to advertise on twitter? Who there is
           | going to be buying their services?
           | 
           | Come to think of it, why does SpaceX need to advertise at
           | all? Those who need to launch rockets already know who can do
           | it.
        
             | wlesieutre wrote:
             | Starlink, not rocket launches
        
             | snoot wrote:
        
           | lapcat wrote:
           | > Tesla used to be a status symbol. Driving one meant you
           | were forward thinking, that you were on the bleeding edge,
           | and probably conscientious about the environment.
           | 
           | I hate to break it to you, but generally only other Tesla
           | owners feel that way. Otherwise, I doubt the public does. In
           | fact, I personally feel the opposite, that's it's a symbol of
           | a "techbro".
        
             | Kye wrote:
             | Correct. All of my few encounters with a Tesla in the wild
             | were a near accident. That + the attitude I see from Tesla
             | fans online cement a negative view.
        
               | KerrAvon wrote:
               | My partner was sideswiped by a Tesla engineer testing
               | Autopilot. Tesla's insurance did pay for the damages,
               | FWIW.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | fhood wrote:
             | Could we avoid participating in this? The price hikes were
             | pretty brutal, but tesla and their charging infrastructure
             | are still at or near the top of the list when it comes to
             | electric cars that you can actually purchase, at least from
             | the perspective of someone looking to replace their ancient
             | mazda in the next year or so.
             | 
             | Also people don't deserve to be judged by their car unless
             | it is a modern german luxury car in which case they
             | obviously are the kind of person who makes bad life
             | choices.
        
           | bb88 wrote:
           | Elon deserves a lot of credit for Tesla. But now I'm starting
           | to hear the term "Muskmobile" bandied about when people refer
           | to his car. It's not like Tesla is the only game in town
           | anymore either.
           | 
           | In a weird tangent, I've been thinking about the TV Show "Ted
           | Lasso", and why it's so popular lately. Ted Lasso is the
           | exact opposite of Elon Musk, even to a fault. People don't
           | care if Elon succeeds anymore, but they do want Ted Lasso to.
        
             | xwolfi wrote:
             | Electric Jesus deserves credit for not firing the right
             | people and shit a muskmobile that works eventually !
        
             | jen20 wrote:
             | "Magamobile" is the name I've been hearing. Unfortunate
             | timing for Tesla really given that their early mover
             | advantage has been basically eroded at this point.
        
           | INGSOCIALITE wrote:
           | What accomplishments of others? They took a simple database
           | driven tweet index, that just showed tweets as they were
           | posted, and turned it into a politically polarized echo
           | chamber. They created dozens of internal social "teams" to
           | ensure their algorithm blocked what they didn't like and
           | showed only what they liked, and destroyed any actual
           | discourse that was on the site at all. Elon likes the CONCEPT
           | of Twitter, sees how simple it is once you strip away the
           | shackles of the algorithm, and has money to burn. He's still
           | unfathomly rich after the acquisition. Let him do what he
           | wants. Let him shut it down for good. Who cares? It's his to
           | do so with.
        
           | dragontamer wrote:
           | > I don't know if the word "contamination" is appropriate
           | here, but it's pretty clear that Elon doesn't see any kind of
           | sharp boundaries between his various enterprises.
           | 
           | Even without "contamination", TSLA stock price collapsed by
           | over $100+ because Elon Musk predictably sold $Billions of
           | stock to pay for the TWTR buyout. Its not like $33 Billion
           | came out of nowhere. Elon had to sell TSLA to get that money.
           | 
           | If TWTR keeps losing money, Elon will be forced to sell more
           | and more TSLA stock to keep it afloat.
           | 
           | And this is all the legal / ethical way of doing things. No
           | "contamination" in just selling stock to support another.
           | Even then, we can see the huge drop in TSLA stock prices
           | (compared to the rest of the market, which rebounded in the
           | past few weeks on good inflation data).
        
             | mbreese wrote:
             | Random thought -- is it a conflict of interest to sell so
             | many shares, knowing that it will have a major impact on
             | share price? If you know your personal actions (needing to
             | sell a lot of TSLA shares to buy Twitter) will have an
             | impact on your professional responsibilities (keeping the
             | TSLA share price high), when does that become a conflict?
             | Is there a way to mitigate that conflict?
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | That's the board's problem. Normally, you're not supposed
               | to have the largest shareholder, CEO, and Board Chair be
               | the same person.
               | 
               | SEC forced Elon off the board chair at least. But yeah,
               | its a well known fact that Tesla's setup is full of
               | conflicts of interest. It doesn't seem like the
               | shareholders (or the board) feels like fixing it though.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
       | So free speech absolutist is starting to adapt rules which are
       | roughly similar to Twitter's current rules. And those rules are
       | existing for a reason, rules don't popup from a thin air. What a
       | surprise...
       | 
       | Now he will figure out that the bloat of microservices and
       | employees was there also for a reason.
        
         | fsckboy wrote:
         | a person who holds free speech absolutism as a value, trying to
         | navigate a compromise with advertisers is a far sight better
         | than a person who does not believe in free speech.
         | 
         | It is not true that what twitter was doing was already the
         | inevitable perfect compromise, or that advertisers were
         | demanding that the sitting POTUS be banned even though SCOTUS
         | had ruled people had a right to interact with him on twitter.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Either you believe free speech is absolute or you don't. If
           | you're willing to compromise on those principles with
           | advertisers, you don't.
        
         | commandlinefan wrote:
         | > those rules are existing for a reason
         | 
         | If they had applied the rules consistently, they'd be
         | reasonable enough, but they never did or even particularly
         | tried. I don't have any hope that Elon will, either, though.
        
           | root_axis wrote:
           | "apply the rules consistently" is like "unbiased journalism",
           | it is an impossible standard that literally nobody adheres
           | to. Further, anyone claiming intentional bias in moderation
           | behavior is just making it up because there are thousands of
           | moderation decisions made every day, the details of which
           | they are not privy to.
        
           | pixl97 wrote:
           | For profit businesses will _never_ apply rules consistently,
           | there is too much profit in inconsistency. Hell, anything ran
           | by humans, in by belief, is incapable of applying any set of
           | complex rules consistently. Individuals can 't even apply
           | moderation rules consistently as our emotions and how we're
           | feeling on a particular day can dictate what we ignore and
           | the punishments we choose.
        
       | ProAm wrote:
       | What is not discussed is who decides what is negative and what is
       | hate? (or what is parody). No one is going to disagree that hate
       | speech has no place, but who is the watcher and who is the
       | decider? Probably a bot.
        
       | phailhaus wrote:
       | Oh great, more unaccountable black-box "algorithms" that
       | invisibly classify your tweets. Machines can't detect satire,
       | they don't understand nuance or context, they don't understand
       | tone. This will affect platform speech in strange ways as people
       | naturally attempt to evade the algorithm.
       | 
       | Twitter needs a dislike button. Every social media platform needs
       | a mechanism for explicit negative feedback. Yes, people will use
       | it to downvote ideas they don't like. Yes, it will come with its
       | own challenges. That's how real life works. It doesn't make that
       | speech disappear, it just deprioritizes it.
       | 
       | Given that he already wants to do this, it's better to let humans
       | have input than to pretend as if algorithms know what's best for
       | us.
        
         | 35amxn35 wrote:
         | No, there should be no like nor dislike button. Just number of
         | replies.
         | 
         | 4chan does this and it works surprisingly well.
        
         | FollowingTheDao wrote:
         | > Twitter needs a dislike button.
         | 
         | This IS twitters dislike button.
        
           | phailhaus wrote:
           | No it isn't. It's an algorithm using rough sentiment analysis
           | and god knows what else to judge your tweet, unaccountably
           | and invisibly. "I hate mondays" I tweet. Whoops! Tripped the
           | "negative tweet detector" and my tweet is deprioritized!
           | 
           | No problem you say, let's just tweak the detector to let that
           | through. So you're going to write exceptions? What happens
           | when "mondays" becomes some sort of code word for racial
           | epithets? How do you detect that? This has happened before,
           | look up what happened to r/clownworld.
           | 
           | This is straight up an unsolvable problem. You need human
           | labeling, which is what a dislike button accomplishes.
        
             | FollowingTheDao wrote:
             | How do you know it will be an algorithm? He did not even
             | say how it would be implemented yet. It may be a dislike
             | button.
             | 
             | FWIW, I do not like the dislike or like buttons.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Twitter has a dislike button .. for replies.
        
       | FollowingTheDao wrote:
       | You know this is all about the advertisers. He does not want to
       | make Twitter better for people, he wants to make it better for
       | corporate advertisers.
       | 
       | This is the YouTube "Dislike" button for Twitter.
        
       | 6510 wrote:
       | This is like when you set up a forum for the first time and have
       | all of these weird moderation ideas.
        
       | boringg wrote:
       | Hasn't he figured out that whatever the rules end up people will
       | game them for their own benefit? Dynamic system next to
       | impossible to police.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | AceJohnny2 wrote:
       | I'm looking forward to seeing new forms of sarcasm evolve.
        
       | rojobuffalo wrote:
       | what's the difference between a valid criticism and negativity?
       | it would be hard enough to identify "hate", but "negative"...that
       | leaves a lot of room for interpretation.
        
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