[HN Gopher] Overhyping hydrogen as a fuel
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Overhyping hydrogen as a fuel
        
       Author : samizdis
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2022-11-16 11:36 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | squaredot wrote:
       | Last year I read the following post regarding the application of
       | hydrogen on ground transportation, simple and insightful. It
       | basically explains why it doesn't make sense to use it for that
       | particular application.
       | 
       | https://ethz.ch/en/news-and-events/eth-news/news/2021/11/hyd...
        
         | raxxorraxor wrote:
         | This isn't a good argument to be honest. Sure, it won't save
         | the climate, this is a problem of energy generation. We will
         | always need more than yesterday so we need to look at how we
         | can generate it.
         | 
         | The main disadvantage of hydrogen is that it is very difficult
         | to store. It is the smallest element and simply diffuses
         | through almost everything. The efficiencies of energy
         | conversion of hydrogen are quite good for that matter.
         | 
         | But BEV (how the author calls them) have major disadvantages as
         | well. Infrastructure needs are unfulfilled, the recycling is
         | maintenance intensive, ...
         | 
         | It is still more environmental friendly to drive that 10 year
         | old used tincan than to buy a new electric car. Advantage here
         | is that you don't have local polution, much cleaner city air
         | etc.
         | 
         | But neither hydrogen cars nor BEV will save the climate.
        
           | defrost wrote:
           | > The main disadvantage of hydrogen is that it is very
           | difficult to store.
           | 
           | > It is the smallest element and simply diffuses through
           | almost everything.
           | 
           | The people currently most serious about the immediate
           | expansion of green hydrogen supplies (by a significant factor
           | over current global production) are not looking at storing
           | hydrogen for export | transport | storage, they're looking at
           | ammonia - three hydrogen and a nitrogen.
           | 
           | eg:
           | 
           | [1] https://reneweconomy.com.au/forrest-promises-to-convert-
           | firs...
        
             | raxxorraxor wrote:
             | Yeah, I guess it will probably end in it being stored in
             | some compound that can be directly used. Looks like a
             | promising project.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | > Infrastructure needs are unfulfilled
           | 
           | But infrastructure is currently being built out for that.
           | There are very few places in the US (lower 48) that you can't
           | drive a BEV to and back. For some of the remote ones you will
           | need to plan your route around chargers, but you can get just
           | about anywhere. For more dense areas you can just wait until
           | your battery is getting low to start looking. It isn't like
           | gas where you can wait until you are "running on fumes"
           | before starting to look for a charger, but it isn't a big
           | deal.
           | 
           | Hydrogen is far behind - maybe it will be built, maybe it
           | won't, I won't predict the future. What I can tell you is if
           | you buy a hydrogen car today you will have to buy the place
           | to fill it at the same time, and you have to assume you will
           | never go out of range.
        
             | raxxorraxor wrote:
             | Hydrogen also has a lot of problems that make it expensive
             | for car use. But the real problem electric cars have to
             | beat is battery and resource life cycle. You can charge
             | your car now but think about how it would look like if even
             | 30-40% of people would need to charge at the same places.
             | 
             | Problem is there is very little incentive for anyone to
             | invest in energy infrastructure. That is a problem
             | affecting EVs, but also a problem that needs to be solved
             | anyway.
        
           | tinco wrote:
           | > It is still more environmental friendly to drive that 10
           | year old used tincan than to buy a new electric car.
           | 
           | No it isn't, what do you base this on? Production of a new
           | electric van takes a limited amount of CO2, and the CO2 saved
           | while driving it compensates for that within a couple of
           | years. I don't know how this rumor still persists.
        
             | ihaveajob wrote:
             | I'm interested in this calculation. Do you know of some
             | data to support it?
        
               | ZeroGravitas wrote:
               | Interactive web app that calculates this for various
               | vehicles.
               | 
               | https://www.carboncounter.com/#!/explore
               | 
               | Note the customisation options that let you choose a
               | state for the electricity mix, miles driven per year and
               | so on.
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | I would go so far as to say it's a sunk cost fallacy to run
             | the old carbon emitting car even one more mile.
             | 
             | There is no savings to be had by waiting to convert to an
             | EV, the total emissions are always going to be higher if
             | you drive the polluting car rather than switching today.
        
               | jnwatson wrote:
               | That's demonstrably false. Each EV is an immediate ~13k
               | kg hit on CO2. Average ICE passenger car is .4 kg CO2 per
               | mile. Even if you have a source of zero carbon energy to
               | power the EV, that's 32500 miles of driving an ICE before
               | you break even on CO2.
        
               | ZeroGravitas wrote:
               | So every car that does more than 32500 comes out ahead,
               | which is basically all of them.
               | 
               | Youd need to commit to keeping the car for over a decade
               | while only doing 3000 miles per year, then blowing it up
               | out of spite to fail that.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | Only if the electricity is net zero carbon though (and,
               | really, only if the generation of that low-carbon
               | electricity somehow is related to driving the car and
               | wouldn't have been generated anyway).
        
               | jnwatson wrote:
               | Right, if you live in West Virginia, it is entirely
               | possible to never have a break even point, as in, it will
               | never save CO2 to buy an EV.
        
               | michaelmrose wrote:
               | You could always move somewhere energy generation isn't
               | so dirty especially as its probably also effecting your
               | air quality not to speak of the employment options.
        
               | merb wrote:
               | such comparsions are mostly stupid, since there are too
               | many factors that would make it really hard to analyze.
               | i.e. as long as cars are produced the 13k kg hit on co2
               | will be made no matter if you buy it or not, your old ice
               | car will probably be resold and probably to somebody that
               | can than save co2 emissions per mile, not every
               | electricity is green, your old card was probably produced
               | with more co2, it depends if you upgrade/downgrade/keep
               | your car class, it depends how you drive (and if you ever
               | driven an ev, you will see that its easier to drive it
               | economically), and so on.
               | 
               | of course the plain numbers might make sense on paper but
               | not on the real world.
        
               | shagie wrote:
               | https://afdc.energy.gov/vehicles/electric_emissions.html
               | 
               | Note the "choose a state" and compare Wyoming or West
               | Virginia for a regular hybrid car (e.g. Prius or Insight)
               | to an EV... and that is quite different than if you pull
               | up California, Oregon, or Washington.
               | 
               | In WY and WV, the plugin hybrids have a larger carbon
               | footprint than a regular ICE hybrid car (Prius or
               | Insight).
        
             | VBprogrammer wrote:
             | It depends how much running around you do and how much CO2
             | the energy mix where you live generates. For someone doing
             | a few thousand miles per year it could easily be the case
             | that a new car would never pay off the additional CO2
             | emissions during it's manufacturer.
             | 
             | Of course you can then make argument that they aren't doing
             | enough mileage to justify having their own car in the first
             | place.
        
             | raxxorraxor wrote:
             | I drive maybe 1500 miles per year and if I calculate in
             | petrol usage for the next 10 years where a car wasn't
             | produced for me, it will use less CO2 overall.
             | 
             | Since I live where the electric grid is already at the
             | limit, my options to install a charger are limited as well.
             | I could use 230V 16A to maybe charge it very slowly...
             | 
             | Batteries also degrade with age and we will have to see how
             | a used car market will look like. I have a car for luxury
             | only since my work is a few hundred meters away.
             | 
             | If you buy a new car anyway, an EV would be a good choice
             | provided you have the means to charge it. Many people in
             | the cities don't have that option. But it wouldn't be too
             | helpful if you replace your current car just for the sake
             | of it.
        
               | zizee wrote:
               | 1500 miles a year is a huge caveat to your earlier
               | prouncement. Of course if you drive rarely^, an existing
               | ICE vehicle could result in less emissions than building
               | an entirely new EV.
               | 
               | ^Average annual KMs driven by Europeans is 12k, Americans
               | average 15k Miles a year.
               | 
               | https://short-fact.com/how-many-miles-does-the-average-
               | europ...
        
         | rapsey wrote:
         | What this article does not address is however the solar problem
         | of producing too much in the summer and too little in the
         | winter. Using the solar energy from summer to produce hydrogen
         | to use in the winter or at night sounds like a complete
         | solution to me.
         | 
         | Maybe not for cars or heating, but for powering the grid.
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | I don't mind if it's used to siphon off energy; basically
           | make it a chemical battery that is easily stored, relatively.
           | But I'd rather it be sipohoned off into more immediately
           | usable and scalable storage, e.g. by pumping water up into
           | reservoirs. And batteries, close to where it's being
           | produced, but those are costly.
        
           | ajross wrote:
           | That's "hydrogen as storage", and as such it sits on the
           | efficiency curve quite a bit below batteries and pumped
           | hydro. It's something worth building out if we can find a way
           | to make it work on a balance sheet, but right now we have
           | cheaper ways to solve that problem.
           | 
           | Also, recognize that lots of grid load is more flexible than
           | you think. Running smelters and foundries preferentially in
           | the summer is a very doable thing.
        
             | rapsey wrote:
             | Efficiency is not the only factor. There is also cost and
             | availability. You can't build pumped hydro just anywhere. I
             | have no idea what the cost is compared to lithium batteries
             | though.
        
               | tonmoy wrote:
               | Also the cost of lithium may rise as more vehicles start
               | using Li-ion batteries, but price of hydrogen storage
               | will likely remain the same
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | That's contrary to conventional economics -- costs fall
               | as production increases.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/lithium
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | I think causality works better the other way - production
               | increases as costs fall.
               | 
               | Edit: LegionMammal has the right words, demand curve.
        
               | sacred_numbers wrote:
               | I think the reason hydrogen storage costs won't fall much
               | is because the cheapest technology (metal tanks) have
               | already benefited from economies of scale. The parts that
               | make them suitable for hydrogen storage specifically will
               | get cheaper, but it's unlikely that there's a lot of low
               | hanging fruit for manufacturing the tanks themselves.
               | There could be a breakthrough in metal hydride storage or
               | cryogenic storage that could reduce costs, but I'm not
               | too optimistic. I think the most likely scenario is that
               | most electrolyzed hydrogen is converted to methane for
               | storage and use. Methane is much easier to convert to
               | liquid and much more energy dense, which helps with
               | storage costs.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | Lithium prices should fall dramatically in the future as
               | production increases.
        
               | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
               | And the rest of metals? Nickel, copper?
        
               | ajross wrote:
               | Storage batteries are moving rapidly toward a LiFePO4
               | chemistry that doesn't require rare resources. You can
               | buy cars (even Teslas) and home batteries with them
               | already.
        
               | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
               | Only a matter of time before phosphorus becomes as
               | expensive as nickel or copper and you are back on the
               | beginning with lack of materials for batteries.
               | 
               | > Earth's commercial and affordable phosphorus reserves
               | are expected to be depleted in 50-100 years and peak
               | phosphorus to be reached in approximately 2030.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_phosphorus
        
               | LegionMammal978 wrote:
               | How is this contrary to conventional economics? Using the
               | most basic model of supply and demand, EVs becoming more
               | popular would shift the demand curve to the right, since
               | more people would want to buy Li-ion batteries at any
               | given price. We would expect the market equilibrium to
               | shift both upward and rightward, increasing both quantity
               | and price. It might only shift only one way or the other,
               | if supply is particularly elastic or inelastic. But it
               | definitely wouldn't cause a decrease in price by itself.
        
               | ajross wrote:
               | This is predicated on the assumption that Lithium is a
               | scarce resource with new new sources available. In fact
               | the opposite is true: Lithium is pervasively available
               | almost everywhere[1], the problem is that it's expensive
               | to extract and requires a bunch of processing facilities
               | be built.
               | 
               | So you'd absolutely expect Li supply to grow along with
               | demand and push prices _down_ due to economies of scale.
               | And that 's exactly what we're seeing.
               | 
               | [1] Basically, go find a salt deposit -- that's a dried
               | up ocean, which is the best concentrator we can find for
               | Lithium compounds.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experience_curve_effects
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | The effects of experience curves vary widely between
               | different industries. For semiconductors, it's huge. For
               | mining, not so much. Battery costs are only 25%
               | manufacturing. So at this point, battery supply is
               | rapidly becoming a resource extraction problem.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | The scale effects in mining are very significant. Big
               | mines are a lot cheaper per tonne than little mines.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Then why is cost up 10x over the last two years?
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | Price is up 10x. Cost hasn't changed.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Cost is literally another word for price - I'm not sure
               | what you're trying to convey by trying to distinguish the
               | two. When a battery manufacturer goes to buy a ton to
               | lithium, the cost they have to pay has indeed increased
               | 10x.
               | 
               | The price of extracting a ton of lithium from the ground
               | may be the same, but it's not enough to keep up with
               | demand. Which is why the cost of lithium on the market is
               | skyrocketing.
        
               | jcampbell1 wrote:
               | Price is up because it takes 18-24 months to produce
               | lithium on the margin. The primary source of lithium is
               | solar concentrated brine, so today's supply is peak Covid
               | planning decisions.
               | 
               | The people that had the guts to invest in lithium
               | production in the middle of Covid when the price was in
               | the tank, are currently harvesting that lithium and
               | getting a massive payday.
               | 
               | Price will come back down.
        
               | LegionMammal978 wrote:
               | This is no longer a question of economic axioms, but of
               | the facts on the ground. How do we know that the scale
               | effects relative to lithium mines as they stand today
               | will be sufficient to offset the price increase
               | inherently caused by the increased demand? Do you have a
               | source for this?
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | The increased demand only causes a temporary increase in
               | price. Lithium is a commodity, and for commodities price
               | == marginal cost.
               | 
               | The marginal cost for lithium is about 1/10th of the
               | current price, so the price of lithium will eventually
               | fall.
               | 
               | Of course "eventually" could be a long time away...
        
               | funcDropShadow wrote:
               | That is not necessarily true for minerals, which are
               | mined not produced.
        
               | ajross wrote:
               | > You can't build pumped hydro just anywhere.
               | 
               | No, but electrical grids can efficiently transport energy
               | across continent-scale distances, so it doesn't really
               | matter. It's true, that stored hydrogen only needs to
               | beat "electricity from the nearest dam" and not local
               | generator numbers, but that's still a tall order.
        
               | funcDropShadow wrote:
               | > No, but electrical grids can efficiently transport
               | energy across continent-scale distances
               | 
               | That doesn't matter. E.g. in Europe most natural location
               | for pump storage are already used as such. I guess you
               | could build some in Asia, I am not sure. We would just
               | have to trust russia to transport our electricty back and
               | forth. Good idea /sarcasm
        
               | rapsey wrote:
               | Sure but how many of these locations are there? You don't
               | just need a hill, you need large amounts of water
               | available. Not to mention the construction is definitely
               | not cheap or fast.
               | 
               | I mean there is a shit ton of land available in say Spain
               | for solar+hydro plants. No matter the lower efficiency,
               | you could build enough to power Europe.
        
               | shagie wrote:
               | What If We Covered the Sahara With Solar Panels? -
               | https://youtu.be/62ASvupr8Zg
               | 
               | The Problem with Solar Energy in Africa -
               | https://youtu.be/7OpM_zKGE4o
               | 
               | One of the difficult problems with extremely large solar
               | projects is the infrastructure to move the power. In a
               | lot of these cases, the space to build solar is large
               | areas of land that no one uses... which means that
               | there's not much infrastructure to build the solar power
               | plants, and then not much infrastructure to move that
               | power back to places where people live.
               | 
               | Yes, there's a lot of land that could be used for solar.
               | Moving the enough power to power all of Spain (or all of
               | Europe) based on solar requires some very impressive
               | transmission lines.
        
               | AtlasBarfed wrote:
               | Well there's also this thing called "roofs" and there is
               | collectively a lot of them.
               | 
               | While the economic efficiency of massively distributing
               | your solar collection across residential and commercial
               | buildings is less than a grid scale, at the same time you
               | get far more resilience with all the buildings having
               | local energy generating capacity in disaster situations.
               | It also alleviates the total amount of energy the grid
               | needs to transport (especially for home/business charging
               | of EV vehicles), so grid development/maintenance costs
               | will stay sane.
               | 
               | Not that grid scale isn't important. Heat pumps, home
               | geothermal, residential solar, grid solar, wind, battery
               | storage, pumped hydro storage, and whatever else works
               | will be necessary. Hopefully synthetic fuels / algae
               | fuels / aluminum air batteries / next gen nuclear / grid
               | geothermal can also all contribute.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | As I stated above, the cost of inefficiency is proportional
             | to the number of charge/discharge cycles.
             | 
             | For seasonal storage, efficiency is 365x less important
             | than for diurnal storage. Minimizing capital cost is the
             | primary concern.
        
             | zardo wrote:
             | > Also, recognize that lots of grid load is more flexible
             | than you think. Running smelters and foundries
             | preferentially in the summer is a very doable thing.
             | 
             | It's doable, but it requires that production capacity has
             | been overbuilt and turns all the roles at the foundry into
             | seasonal work.
        
           | Retric wrote:
           | The energy efficiency is so unbelievably terrible it's a very
           | poor option for balancing the grid even if it wasn't also
           | more expensive than batteries.
           | 
           | People talk about hydrogen for transportation because you can
           | refuel quickly, using expensive fuels is already the norm,
           | and it's much lighter than batteries. But, it's so expensive,
           | inefficient, and difficult to store that there needs to be
           | vast technical progresses before it's viable. Hydrogen would
           | be fairly viable if it was 1/4 as expensive, fuel cells cost
           | 1/4th as much, and the energy density was 4x as high by
           | volume. At which point we could start scaling producing, but
           | batteries are viable today and we are already scaling
           | production.
        
             | AtlasBarfed wrote:
             | Yeah, the key to any practical use of hydrogen is a massive
             | massive infrastructure buildout. Fundamentally, a hydrogen
             | infrastructure is competing with the power grid, which has
             | a century of investment and already exists.
             | 
             | It competes with battery technology/economics, which is in
             | roughly a 10% year on year improvement curve, a curve that
             | will have to flatten at some point but has been doing 10%
             | for better than a decade and with 140 wh/kg sodium ion /
             | 200 wh/kg LFP / emerging solid state + lithium sulfur techs
             | will probably continue.
             | 
             | So if hydrogen is claiming:
             | 
             | - IF we resolve the research barriers and core engineering
             | to a basic state - IF we invest billions/trillions in
             | infrastructure - IF that is built in 10 years (which would
             | be a miraculous human achievement)
             | 
             | ... THEN we ... might ... in theory ... be price
             | competitive with the current day grid + batteries.
             | 
             | OK, what about a world where batteries are half or a third
             | of the cost in 10 years, which is what the long term trends
             | suggest with year-on-year improvements?
             | 
             | All the nuclear and hydrogen stories are being hyped hard
             | over the last couple years, because those behind those
             | technologies aren't stupid and see the curves in
             | alternative energy and storage and EVs: economic armageddon
             | at an industry wide level for the nuclear, oil/gas, and
             | others.
             | 
             | The coal industry was a preview for their industries. They
             | know it's a losing battle, but like other fading
             | industries, the execs hold on tooth and nail to get their
             | bonuses/retirement/payouts. The organizations have real
             | economic inertia, and investing in things that slow down
             | the transition allows the companies to make more money
             | longer.
             | 
             | At least the economics of wind/solar/batteries are working
             | so strongly in favor of a transition. Otherwise write the
             | requiem for the human race.
        
               | oceanplexian wrote:
               | The power grid will never be able to compete with
               | hydrogen (or other liquid fuels). The laws of physics
               | simply aren't on the side of using the electric grid for
               | fueling.
               | 
               | Imagine a truck stop where you can have 10-15 semi trucks
               | filling up 300 gallon tanks every 5 minutes. We're
               | talking megawatt-hours of energy to every roadside fuel
               | station. And there are in excess of 10 million semi-
               | trucks and over 40,000 truck stops in the USA. This isn't
               | even getting into more demanding applications, like
               | aviation, where the energy demands are an order of
               | magnitude greater (The electrical equivalent of fueling a
               | single Boeing 747 with 65,000 gallons of JET-A in under
               | an hour is ludicrous)
               | 
               | Unless you build hundreds of nuclear reactors, invent
               | superconducting power lines, come up with battery
               | technology that's 100 years in the future, or tell
               | everyone that the 21st century is cancelled, this is all
               | impossible for the grid. At least on paper, hydrogen can
               | solve this problem if we can figure out how to generate,
               | store and transport it properly.
        
             | rapsey wrote:
             | 70%-80% electrolysis efficiency is unbelievably terrible?
             | There are many factors such as cost, time to market and
             | availability. Batteries require lots of mining of materials
             | and have a limited lifespan.
        
               | scythe wrote:
               | Fuel cell efficiency is worse than electrolysis
               | efficiency, about 50%. Even the worst batteries beat
               | that.
        
               | rapsey wrote:
               | How about cost and availability.
        
               | funcDropShadow wrote:
               | How many cycles do those batteries work with that
               | efficiency? How environmentally friendly is mining
               | Lithium in China and transporting it around the globe?
               | How much CO2 does the transport of those
               | minerals/batteries produce? How do we get rid of old
               | batteries? One huge advantage of producing hydrogen or
               | methane out of thin air with excess energy from truly
               | renewable energy sources is, that we don't have to
               | procure and transport source materials, and that it can
               | be stored.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Producing and distributing hydrogen requires significant
               | infrastructure that releases vastly more CO2 than moving
               | lithium around for EV's. I think you got blinded by
               | thinking of hydrogen as green but it doesn't magically
               | show up.
               | 
               | Also, moving lithium around releases negligible CO2, an
               | EV battery only needs 15 pounds of lithium and lasts 25
               | years. You can work out the exact number based on
               | specific origin and destinations but it's on the order of
               | driving an ICE 1 to 10 miles. Which shouldn't be
               | surprising because boats are very efficient, lithium is
               | light, and cars weigh a lot.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | Lithium in China? What does that matter?
               | 
               | Lithium comes from a lot of places. The largest Lithium
               | exporter in the world today is Australia. Multiple South
               | American countries are also towards the top of the list.
               | 
               | A lot of lithium "mining" is digging up desert salt
               | deposits or skimming salt brines from salt lakes. Some of
               | that still isn't "perfectly" environmentally friendly,
               | but compared to extracting most any other sort of mineral
               | it is one of the environmentally friendliest we extract.
               | 
               | Lithium is the third element on the periodic table and
               | the third most common element in the universe. Admittedly
               | a lot of the planet's Lithium is in compounds/salts that
               | sometimes need to be chemically broken down and that has
               | more environmental impacts than the mining processes. So
               | there is that, admittedly. But a lot of it is
               | electrolytic just like the "advantageous" hydrogen
               | processes people seem to love.
               | 
               | Lithium is not a rare or heavy mineral. It's the next
               | fatter cousin of Hydrogen.
               | 
               | > How do we get rid of old batteries?
               | 
               | Recycling. Plenty of companies have already answered this
               | question. Lithium is highly reclaimable from all existing
               | Lithium-based battery formulations.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | sdenton4 wrote:
               | Wait till you hear about the efficiency of
               | petrochemicals...
               | 
               | "In other words, even when the engine is operating at its
               | point of maximum thermal efficiency, of the total heat
               | energy released by the gasoline consumed, about 65-80% of
               | total power is emitted as heat without being turned into
               | useful work, i.e. turning the crankshaft."
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Engine_efficiency#:~:text
               | =in....
        
               | whatshisface wrote:
               | Hydrocarbons would also be a bad alternative to batteries
               | for grid energy storage.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | Dispatchable energy sources already compete with grid
               | storage, in fact they have been dominant for the last 100
               | years.
        
               | gambiting wrote:
               | Sure, but producing 1kWh worth of petrol doesn't require
               | 1kWh of energy. Producing 1kWh worth of hydrogen through
               | electrolysis always requires more than 1kWh of energy,
               | it's just pure physics. Even if the process was 100%
               | efficient through magic, it's still a stupid thing to
               | rely on for producing hydrogen.
        
               | jameshart wrote:
               | > producing 1kWh worth of petrol doesn't require 1kWh of
               | energy
               | 
               | ... so long as you don't count the 1kWh of photosynthesis
               | that was done by a bunch of ancient plankton to rip CO2
               | molecules apart and build hydrocarbons instead.
        
               | gambiting wrote:
               | Well yes, of course. But it's not energy that we have to
               | spend now, unlike with hydrogen.
        
               | jameshart wrote:
               | Digging the oil out of the ground and burning it very
               | much 'spends' it.
        
               | gambiting wrote:
               | I meant the energy that was originally used to create oil
               | in the first place. You don't need to add any more,
               | because oil, unlike hydrogen, already exists.
        
               | jcampbell1 wrote:
               | Batteries are >95% efficient round trip.
               | 
               | Hydrogen is: 70% Gibbs Free Energy Efficiency, 70%
               | electrolysis efficiency, 50% fuel cell efficiency, 93%
               | compression efficiency = 23% round trip efficiency.
        
               | _hypx wrote:
               | A fuel cell is a battery. It has the same fundamental
               | efficiency as any other battery. Of course, this is not
               | how it works in the real world, but people who cite
               | "efficiency" are usually greatly exaggerating how it
               | works. Most batteries cannot reach 95% efficiency,
               | especially if they need to store energy for long periods
               | of time. Round trip efficiency of hydrogen will beat any
               | ICE doing the same thing, and with heat recapture will
               | basically match a li-ion battery. In situations where li-
               | ion is poorly suited, such as cold weather or long-term
               | storage, hydrogen will often be more efficient.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Fuel cells are only useful for automotive applications,
               | on the grid you want combined cycle gas turbines which
               | are cheaper and more efficient. That still only gets
               | round trip efficiency to about 25%.
        
               | kergonath wrote:
               | > on the grid you want combined cycle gas turbines which
               | are cheaper and more efficient
               | 
               | You don't want gas turbines anywhere near the grid. It is
               | a terrible strategic choice besides the obvious
               | ecological effect.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | You are thinking of natural gas fueled turbines, you can
               | also burn hydrogen in gas turbines. If that hydrogen was
               | produced domestically via electrolysis using clean
               | sources there isn't any strategic issues.
               | 
               | Also, from a strategic perspective burning domestic
               | natural gas and burning natural gas from a different
               | country are very different things. Europe becoming
               | dependent on Russian natural gas was stupid, but America
               | burning it's domestic natural gas is mostly just an
               | environmental issue.
        
               | sauwan wrote:
               | Electrolysis only half of the round trip.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | The efficiency argument is a huge canard for the
             | applications for which hydrogen makes sense. The "cost of
             | inefficiency" is proportional to the number of charge-
             | discharge cycles. For annual seasonal leveling, the cost is
             | very small compared to diurnal storage.
             | 
             | Hydrogen critics also say "just overbuild the renewables
             | instead". Apparently, dropping excess power on the floor
             | giving an efficiency of its use of ZERO is to be preferred
             | to making hydrogen with it at efficiency great than zero.
        
             | jansan wrote:
             | For large projects Hydrogren will probably be attached to
             | nitrogen to produce ammonium. Technology to handle ammonum
             | has been availble for about 100 years now, and while it has
             | its drawbacks (it is toxic), using ammomium solves a lot of
             | issues.
        
             | Manuel_D wrote:
             | Batteries don't have acceptable energy density for use in
             | aircraft and transoceanic shipping. It's not that hydrogen
             | is better than batteries for a sedan. It's that you'll
             | _never, ever_ fly across the Pacific in a battery powered
             | airliner.
        
               | janef0421 wrote:
               | For transoceanic shipping, direct use of nuclear power is
               | more efficient. It also enables higher speeds more
               | consistently and increases operational flexibility. The
               | main cost is increased capital expenses, which should pay
               | for themselves due to reduced cost of operations, and
               | increased crew costs, which should reduce as nuclear
               | operations become a standard part of the training of
               | mariners. There are also some issues around governance,
               | but those are fairly malleable.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Night_Thastus wrote:
               | *With current battery technology
               | 
               | We have no idea what batteries may be possible in the
               | future. It may be a decade or a hundred years, but one
               | day that may very well be possible.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | A battery powered plane is possible in the same vein that
               | a fusion powered plane is possible - it's not at all
               | possible with current technology and anything in the
               | foreseeable future.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | There are battery electric "regional commuter" two-seater
               | planes on sale today. There's a 9-seater prototype that
               | has completed short hop test flights [1]. Right now
               | almost all of that is short-hop, but the excitement in
               | that growing industry is that may disrupt the economics
               | of even long range jet flights before long. (Not just
               | "foreseeable future" but "sooner than you think".) (The
               | efficiencies of battery electric for planes is apparently
               | really interesting: that battery motor full torque access
               | apparently a game changer for some types of flight
               | dynamics. Or so I've heard.)
               | 
               | [1] https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/largest-
               | electri...
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | > The aircraft flew at more than 100 mph to an altitude
               | of around 2,500 feet, made a few turns and then landed
               | after 28 minutes
               | 
               | This isn't going to disrupt any kind of airline traffic.
               | Battery energy density needs to improve by at least an
               | order of magnitude - probably two - before it has any
               | significant aerospace application outside of drones.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | Already practical for some applications but needing work
               | to more, even possibly a lot of work, is still a vast
               | difference from "never in the foreseeable future".
               | 
               | Regional planes that only travel 30 minutes to an hour
               | and do so cheaper and more efficiently than gas/diesel
               | equivalent planes can still massively disrupt the big
               | passenger airlines. It used to be that the airlines had a
               | wider mixture of 30 minute/1 hour flights on smaller
               | commuter planes to smaller "regional" airports before the
               | economies of scale of jet engines pushed everything
               | bigger (fewer flights below 1 hour in distance; more
               | "hub-and-spokes" centralization; etc). A return of cheap,
               | efficient short 9 or so passenger commuter flights could
               | massively disrupt _today_ 's passenger airlines and their
               | logistics, not just tomorrow's.
               | 
               | If electric efficiencies _also_ manage to scale to the
               | bigger flights, who knows what will happen, but it is
               | something to watch that there 's already practical
               | disruption implications even _before_ scaling it up that
               | big.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | No, it's not practical for any application - at least
               | none besides drones. A 737 has 150-200 seats, this would
               | entail 17 separate 9-seater electric planes - each of
               | which needs its own pilot - to substitute one regional
               | jet. Ticket price would have to be extremely high just to
               | fulfill the labor cost of operating the aircraft, because
               | of this high staff to passenger ratio. There's also no
               | mention of how long it took to recharge these batteries
               | after the 30 minute flight - a plane that needs to sit
               | for several hours to recharge between each 30 minute
               | flight is not going to yield a return on investment.
        
               | freeone3000 wrote:
               | As if we'll ever have a transatlantic voyage in a craft
               | held aloft by hydrogen
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | It's been built before:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-155 Ships have
               | even less of an issue with storing hydrogen since mass is
               | less of an issue (building lightweight enclosures for
               | liquid hydrogen is a challenge).
        
               | nanomonkey wrote:
               | I assume this is a joke as the LZ127 and Hindenburg made
               | hundreds of trans Atlantic trips.
        
           | legulere wrote:
           | The solution to the PV problem is wind power. Wind generally
           | blows more during the night and winter. That's much cheaper
           | and more efficient than generating and storing hydrogen and
           | then turning it into electricity again.
        
             | ballooney wrote:
             | No it isn't the solution.
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunkelflaute
             | 
             | You need something else for those hours/days/week(s).
        
           | whatwherewhy wrote:
           | Where's the difference that makes it feasible for powering
           | the grid, but not for powering vehicles?
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Where 's the difference that makes it feasible for
             | powering the grid, but not for powering vehicles?_
             | 
             | Energy density. For the fuel alone, volumetrically.
             | Altogether, massively as well.
        
               | whatwherewhy wrote:
               | Isn't H2 energy density much better than Li-Ion
               | batteries? I don't understand why it's not applicable to
               | transport if so.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Isn 't H2 energy density much better than Li-Ion
               | batteries?_
               | 
               | By weight, hydrogen and oxygen creates 20x more chemical
               | energy per kilogram than lithium-ion batteries [1]. (It's
               | comparable to gasoline and air.) By volume, uncompressed,
               | it has far less. Once compressed, we have to take into
               | account the weight of the containment tanks, the weight
               | of the fuel cell and the energy lost in converting
               | hydrogen to electricity, an output batteries directly
               | provide, a combination which negates that specific energy
               | advantage.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density_Extended
               | _Refere...
        
             | rapsey wrote:
             | Cars require a large infrastructure to be in place. EVs use
             | the power grid. Much faster and cost efficient to build
             | large Solar+hydrogen power plants and drive EVs.
        
             | danielheath wrote:
             | To power vehicles, you would need fuel stations all around
             | the country with hydrogen-fuel equipment.
             | 
             | To power the grid from excess solar, you need a hydrogen-
             | burning generator at the site of the electrolysis plant.
        
               | bamboozled wrote:
               | _To power vehicles, you would need fuel stations all
               | around the country with hydrogen-fuel equipment._
               | 
               | Why does this keep coming up? Who cares about this
               | specific point? If there is demand, people will build the
               | fuel stations, like we did with gas and oil?
               | 
               | I get there are other harder problems with Hydrogen, but
               | worrying about infrastructure seems strange?
        
               | AtlasBarfed wrote:
               | To summarize, IF you get the practical engineering
               | resolved, IF you get all the consumer products designed
               | and ready for manufacturing, and IF you get a de minimis
               | infrastructure to scale from, that's ... 15 years?
               | 
               | Hydrogen infrastructure, if what we're talking about is
               | on the scale of current ICE cars, can't "organically"
               | compete, and won't "organically" develop. It has no
               | chance without a massive government investment/buy-in on
               | a decade long scale. It needs huge investment for each of
               | the big IFs I outlined above.
               | 
               | Look at the cost curves of solar / wind / batteries for
               | the last 10 years, and consider that there are numerous
               | technologies about to be rolled out that will improve
               | those at the same or better rate and the overall
               | industrial scaleout / economies of scale isn't close to
               | being done.
               | 
               | Hydrogen is marketed these days with "hey it will cost X
               | and that is (theoretically / lies damn lies and
               | accounting) competitive with wind/solar/batteries (which
               | exist and we KNOW what they cost) price today.
               | 
               | But there is absolutely no chance of hydrogen being cost
               | competitive in general power transmission/carrier,
               | transportation, etc in 10-15 years. Heck in 5 years it
               | likely won't.
               | 
               | So the hydrogen people are praying that their lobbying +
               | fortune would produce some boondoggle subsidy to build
               | this out, and then the government would limp it along due
               | to the sunk cost fallacy.
        
       | seltzered_ wrote:
       | The editorial seemingly misses some other issues with hydrogen
       | production. Other issues I've seen are:
       | 
       | - Water availability for hydrogen production: a recent article I
       | saw was "Green hydrogen revolution risks dying of thirst"
       | https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/green-hydrogen-revolut... -
       | touches on water availability in South Australia, and areas
       | depending on desalination
       | 
       | - Energy availability for hydrogen production: Recently heard
       | Europe would still have to import hydrogen ( e.g. Germany would
       | have to import 70% of hydrogen ) :
       | https://youtu.be/9Y6BvCVKC_E?t=2063 - The Great Simplification
       | interview between Nate Hagens & Sebastian Heitmann
        
       | nickpinkston wrote:
       | Not enough attention is being paid to Japan's contrarian "red
       | hydrogen" strategy.
       | 
       | This entails using a novel helium cooled fission reactor to
       | generate very hot (950C, 1750F) process heat that is then fed
       | into an Sulphur-Iodine cycle hydrogen plant to create very cheap
       | hydrogen without any feedstock but air and water.
       | 
       | Beyond fuel, hydrogen can be used to replace coal in iron
       | smelting, Haber-Bosch fertilizer, and other chemical processes
       | that require hydrogen made today via fossil fuels.
       | 
       | They already have a 30MW pilot reactor in operation, and are just
       | about to turn on the S-I hydrogen plant. Could be a very
       | interesting addition to global energy mix.
       | 
       | Strategy: https://www.csis.org/analysis/japans-hydrogen-
       | industrial-str...
       | 
       | Reactor: https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Japanese-
       | gas-coo...
       | 
       | S-I Process:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfur%E2%80%93iodine_cycle
       | 
       | Video (hypey): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_uTZWaJU6ho
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | Yeah, a chemical cycle involving vaporizing and decomposing
         | sulfuric acid at 850 C is totally credible. Yes, let's avoid
         | turbines and instead make our equipment out of ... tantalum? /s
         | 
         | The maximum thermodynamic efficiency of this cycle is 50% (and
         | likely will be lower). This is not much better than making
         | electricity with the reactor and driving electrolysers. And
         | when the levelized cost of energy from renewables is very low
         | (especially for the surplus energy that could be fed into
         | electrolysers as needed) it's hard to see how this scheme
         | competes. Yes, it doesn't have turbines, but it does have all
         | sorts of high temperature chemical reactors that must survive
         | corrosive conditions.
        
         | jcampbell1 wrote:
         | There is a reason we run nuclear reactors at 400C rather than
         | 1000C. I wish scientists could be called out for lies of
         | omission.
         | 
         | "A novel nuclear reactor which operates just below the
         | temperature where our most exotic alloys mechanically fail".
        
           | kergonath wrote:
           | > There is a reason we run nuclear reactors at 400C rather
           | than 1000C.
           | 
           | There are several reactors design that work at high
           | temperature, HTGR are not new.
           | 
           | > A novel nuclear reactor which operates just below the
           | temperature where our most exotic alloys mechanically fail
           | 
           | We have plenty of materials that can withstand higher
           | temperatures than that, both refractory alloys and ceramics.
           | Do you know the temperature in an aircraft engine? If weight
           | is not a factor, plain old tungsten melts at 3400degC.
        
             | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
             | I had never before considered, but how do they melt/cast
             | tungsten? How do you get temperatures that hot in a
             | controlled way, when basically nothing is solid anymore.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Powder_metallurgy
        
               | jcampbell1 wrote:
               | Melting tungsten in atmospheric conditions is not really
               | useful. You start with tungsten oxide as a gas and it
               | reacts with hydrogen and tungsten powder precipitates
               | out. The powder is then heated and compressed to form a
               | polycrystalline billet (sintering).
               | 
               | Technically speaking, the first step in tig welding
               | aluminum is to melt the tungsten and it forms a little
               | ball. It is not hard to reach the required temperature.
               | You can just put a lightbulb filament in 220 socket and
               | it will melt the tungsten in a split second. That being
               | said, a crucible of molten tungsten is not a thing.
        
             | robocat wrote:
             | > HTGR
             | 
             | https://atomicinsights.com/chinas-high-temperature-
             | reactor-p... has a summary of the past experimental
             | reactors (skip half way down to the heading "Brief high
             | temperature reactor history"), and explains some of the
             | reasons past reactors have failed to be commercialised.
             | 
             | It also explains one central problem with using gas: "Even
             | with higher temperatures and higher efficiency, each core
             | can produce 1/10th of the electricity of light water
             | reactors, but [China's] HTR pressure vessel is described as
             | 'the world's largest and heaviest pressure vessel.'
             | Pressurized gas has a far lower capacity to move heat than
             | pressurized water.".
             | 
             | https://duckduckgo.com/?q=high-temperature+gas+reactor
        
               | kergonath wrote:
               | Well yeah, they did not displace PWRs (the heat capacity
               | issue is one of the reasons why molten salt and sodium
               | fast reactors were investigated). But the problem is not
               | the lack of high temperature materials (which is false).
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | Steam at 950degC and helium at 950degC are very, very
           | different when it comes to corrosion and safety.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | And vaporized sulfuric acid decomposed to SO2 + O2 + H2O at
             | that temperature... how do you think that compares?
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | It's that the pressure of water either in liquid or
           | supercritical form gets too high.
           | 
           | Material issues for fast and/or high temperature reactors are
           | not trivial but don't look insurmountable. 1980s literature
           | seemed to think fast reactors could be longer-lived than
           | LWRs, LWRs look longer lived today than they did back then.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | I imagine a reactor operating at 1000C is built almost
           | entirely on graphite and ceramics... But I have no idea how
           | they plan to use it with water, as graphite doesn't behave
           | well on those temperatures with water around. (Maybe there is
           | a heat exchanger at some point that makes failures on the wet
           | side safe.)
           | 
           | It certainly looks possible. You will probably end up needing
           | some amount of metals on the hot portion, but they can be
           | minimized to a very large extent. Cheap, on the other hand,
           | is not a property I would guess from that description.
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | "Very cheap" is definitely on the "I'll believe it when I see
         | it" category.
        
           | nickpinkston wrote:
           | Yea, totally. I'm saying it's a strategy, not a reality haha.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | The high cost of Gen 3 nuclear power is largely due to the
           | very large steam turbine and heat exchangers that are
           | required if you are using water as a working fluid, coolant,
           | and moderator.
           | 
           | From the 1950s to the 1990s the interest in fast reactors has
           | been in the 60x better fuel economy and reduced waste
           | problem. (e.g. less radioactive than the uranium ore in 1000
           | years) It was believed back then that a fast reactor coupled
           | to a steam turbine would have a higher capital cost than an
           | LWR. There also was a lot of concern that it takes a lot of
           | uranium or plutonium to form a critical mass and that would
           | be an expense.
           | 
           | Recently fast reactors and other high temperature reactor
           | types are of interest because getting rid of the water could
           | allow miniaturizing the whole system and get the cost
           | competitive with natural gas not to mention solar and wind on
           | the days that solar and wind feel like supplying power. The
           | stockpile of plutonium in spent fuel is getting bigger and
           | bigger every day and the public seems entirely uninterested
           | in throwing away 98% of the energy content of the spent fuel
           | away in a place like Yucca Mountain. Thus high-quality
           | fissile material seems a lot less scarce than it did in the
           | EBR I - Superphenix era.
        
       | robofanatic wrote:
       | Does it make sense to invest in a hydrogen powered vehicle
       | company?
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | I think that depends entirely on what you think will happen to
         | battery prices, and if you mean _road_ vehicles or _all_
         | vehicles.
         | 
         | Because aircraft have extreme energy density requirements, I
         | don't expect chemical[0] batteries to ever replace combustible
         | fuel.
         | 
         | If you think the battery prices will remain roughly where they
         | are now, then sure it makes sense to invest in hydrogen road
         | vehicles; but if you think that battery prices will reduce
         | substantially, then I don't think it does make any sense to
         | invest in hydrogen vehicles.
         | 
         | Why? Because although BEVs are (IIRC) a net cost saving over
         | their lifetime, even at current battery cost, the purchase cost
         | is too high for most people (the Sam Vimes Boots theory of
         | socioeconomic unfairness comes to mind), but if batteries get
         | much cheaper then poor people will also be able to afford them
         | and hydrogen road vehicles won't have a market to serve.
         | 
         | [0] There's a whole bunch of interesting storage ideas which
         | right now are basically just sci-fi, but unless you wish to
         | invest a few tens of millions in fundamental research on
         | nuclear isomers or if you can use quantum tricks to dynamically
         | alter phosphorescence half lives from weeks to hours and back,
         | don't.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | > If you think the battery prices will remain roughly where
           | they are now, then sure it makes sense to invest in hydrogen
           | road vehicles;
           | 
           | No it doesn't. Electric cars are already beating Hydrogen
           | vehicles on price. And Hydrogen vehicles don't make a profit,
           | they lose lots of money. while Tesla has a 30% automotive
           | margin on their EVs.
           | 
           | Also, batteries will certainty get cheaper. Even if the
           | materials don't get cheaper, production and an density
           | improvements will make them cheaper. We know pretty well what
           | standard batteries will look like 5 years from now because
           | the product cycle is so long.
           | 
           | And the problem you mention is equally solve by people taking
           | on bigger loans and paying more interest instead of paying
           | for gas.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | > Electric cars are already beating Hydrogen vehicles on
             | price.
             | 
             | Aim for where the ball will be, not where it is. But also
             | don't take your eye off it.
             | 
             | > Also, batteries will certainty get cheaper.
             | 
             | While I share this opinion, my certainty is only at the
             | level of "yeah, sounds likely", which is not appropriate
             | for a discussion about what to invest in.
             | 
             | > And the problem you mention is equally solve by people
             | taking on bigger loans and paying more interest instead of
             | paying for gas.
             | 
             | Poor people get the worst rates and the least options,
             | including in some cases no option to get loans.
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | The electrolysis boom that is being talked about now is mainly
       | about replacing fossil-fuel derived hydrogen with green hydrogen
       | for industrial processes, not about using hydrogen to store
       | energy or replace fuels other than special cases such as very
       | high temperature flames.
        
       | ZeroGravitas wrote:
       | H2 Science Coalition is a good source of information on where and
       | how hydrogen makes sense as part of net zero goals:
       | 
       | https://h2sciencecoalition.com/principles/
       | 
       | Green Hydrogen is just about to take off, and make lots of money
       | and headlines, so it'll be important to not let that success be
       | hijacked and diverted into areas where it's not helpful.
        
       | ksidudwbw wrote:
       | Goes back to stockmarket shenanigans. Wether it's Pump and Dump
       | (Nikola), or Short and Tort (Tesla)
        
       | Gordonjcp wrote:
       | We crack heavy fractions of oil apart to make more useful ones
       | for plastics and other chemical feedstocks and that leaves us so
       | much ethane, propane, and butane that we flare it off as waste
       | gas.
       | 
       | You can run vehicles on that, and extract useful work from that
       | heat.
       | 
       | We're not going to slow down the amount of plastic we make any
       | time soon.
        
       | lob_it wrote:
       | Underhyping methane emissions already makes junk sciences irony
       | someone elses problem. You'll get high blood pressure if you take
       | a grain of salt with everything they spew :p
       | 
       | Hydrogen scaled is what makes diversification so much fun in the
       | 21st century. Scale up or scale down?
       | 
       | If we look at the excess energy generation with solar when
       | batteries are full, that excess can be converted to hydrogen
       | production with very little additional cost.
       | 
       | On a timeline, it may take a few months to stockpile enough
       | hydrogen to install new hydrogen powered equipment to take
       | advantage of it, but nobody has hyped what to do with excess
       | solar power production.
       | 
       | Wind turbines have their dump load too. Same concept with after a
       | few months of stockpiling hydrogen with excess power generation,
       | a usable amount of hydrogen becomes available.
       | 
       | We expect most renewables such as solar and wind to produce for
       | decades. All of that excess solves a lot of the energy equation.
       | 
       | Hydrogen scales perfectly with some applications outside of
       | metropolitan areas. They indicated that it was only $8 million
       | for this project. That ROI happens fast.
       | 
       | https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-14/regional-wa-town-in-l...
       | 
       | Hype is not sustainable :)
        
       | hacknat wrote:
       | "nature.com" made me look because I assumed there was a paper
       | behind this. There isn't. This is an editorial. No thanks.
       | 
       | Would the submitter care to put "Editorial:" as a prefix on this
       | submission?
        
       | jansan wrote:
       | We need technologies to store electricity generated by
       | renewables. If anyone has a better idea than hydrogen to do this
       | in a scalable way, congratulations, you made the world a better
       | place.
        
         | Cthulhu_ wrote:
         | I mean the simplest one is gravity; the most scalable version
         | of that is pumping water up into a reservoir behind a
         | hydroelectric power plant. There's others that propose heavy
         | trains going uphill or weights down a hole, but that doesn't
         | scale very well and has additional maintenance costs.
         | 
         | But yeah, that would be electrical into mechanical energy
         | (pumps), the cost would be flowing water up against gravity. Of
         | course, it also requires a source of water downhill and a
         | reservoir uphill. I was going to quip about Lake Mead being
         | empty, but that would be huge distances to cover. Maybe
         | something close to sea, or else a purpose built closed loop
         | system.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Pumped hydro is great where it works, but we have used most
           | of the best places for it. We also know it is an
           | environmental disaster for the local area which needs to be
           | balanced against the gain.
           | 
           | Even if you ignore that, it takes a lot of space.
        
           | jansan wrote:
           | And you think that isn't done already? If every country was
           | like Norway, this would be the way to go. But good look doing
           | this in the Netherlands.
        
             | reacharavindh wrote:
             | There are plenty of "battery" technologies that are not
             | perfect, but substantially better than Hydrogen(in terms of
             | round trip efficiency) though. Several startups with sound
             | ideas. If only Governments picked them up in war like
             | emergency and threw their capital at it to progress. 1.
             | https://energydome.com 2. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-
             | environment-61996520 3.
             | https://newatlas.com/energy/china-100mw-compressed-air/ 4.
             | https://www.hydrostor.ca
        
         | panick21_ wrote:
         | Rust battery pretty interesting.
         | 
         | https://formenergy.com/technology/battery-technology/
         | 
         | If you are gone make hydrogen, just right there turn it into
         | methanol and use and transport that around.
         | 
         | Or just make airplane fuel right on sight.
         | 
         | But the problem with all those theories is that investing in
         | electricity consuming plants that will only have a very low
         | utilization is generally not a great plan.
         | 
         | Maybe not trying to build your whole grid out of renewables
         | would be the better plan.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Given how annoying H+ ions are to handle, rather than sticking
         | them together as H2 it may be easier to leave them in the
         | electrolyte from whence they came, in the form of a "battery".
         | 
         | Unless there's some magic breakthrough in catalytic chemistry
         | for water electrolysis, the capital cost of all the platinum
         | required is going to be a problem.
        
       | mberning wrote:
       | Oh no, are wealth transfer schemes are foiled. Can't have that.
        
         | varispeed wrote:
         | WEF hires over 100k propagandists. No wonder you can't say
         | anything exposing the scheme without fear of being cancelled.
         | The bullying net-zero brigade don't sleep.
        
           | pxmpxm wrote:
           | Eh, it's moreso people that have built their persona around
           | some cause and will remain dogmatic about it, not unlike
           | sports fans.
           | 
           | For 1980s "environmentalists", nuclear will be always bad,
           | and for 2000s "environmentalists" battery electric vehicles
           | will aways be good ... and actual circumstances are
           | irrelevant.
        
       | gadders wrote:
       | Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
        
       | y04nn wrote:
       | The only advantage of hydrogen is that contrary to electricity,
       | you can't easily produce and store it by yourself, and thus is
       | more easily taxable. Also, because all the infrastructure need to
       | be created from scratch, there is no big player yet and there is
       | potential to make a lot of money.
        
         | glogla wrote:
         | A lot of the infrastructure isn't there, but there for sure are
         | big players - most of currently available hydrogen is made as
         | natural gas and oil byproduct, so oil and gas companies have a
         | lot of it.
         | 
         | Selling hydrogen as green is a way for them to stay relevant.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | Hydrogen is so incredibly easy to make yourself that I bet the
         | ancient Greeks managed it by accident without knowing what
         | they'd done.
         | 
         | This is in part because the actual scientific production of it
         | via electrolysis predates batteries and dynamos, and instead
         | involved generating electricity by rubbing things together, and
         | the ancient Greeks doing this is why electricity is named after
         | their word for amber.
         | 
         | Personally, I made it myself at single-digit-years-old with a
         | battery, some wire, two pencils, two jam jars, and two yoghurt
         | pots to stand the jam jars on.
         | 
         | Making _hydrogen storage_ systems might not be a DIY option,
         | but making the stuff itself certainly is.
        
           | y04nn wrote:
           | I know, but your are not going to produce significant amount
           | of hydrogen to do anything, and it will not be practical nor
           | efficient anytime soon.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | The only single reason that I won't "produce significant
             | amount of hydrogen to do anything" is because I don't need
             | to.
             | 
             | It's already available in convenient and practical forms
             | for people who do have a use for the stuff, and production
             | is _sufficiently_ efficient for it to not be an obviously
             | bad idea for energy storage.
        
         | Diggsey wrote:
         | It also has higher energy density. Which is important for some
         | applications.
        
           | ihaveajob wrote:
           | Indeed, it's the only viable electrification path for
           | aviation.
        
       | pydry wrote:
       | This and windgas (synthesized methane) seem to be the best
       | candidates for seasonal storage although both still with major
       | issues - embrittlememt/needing CO2.
       | 
       | We have cheap green power (solar/wind), cheap green short to
       | medium term storage (pumped hydro and lithium batteries) but this
       | only gets us to 97%:
       | 
       | https://reneweconomy.com.au/a-near-100-per-cent-renewables-g...
        
       | Proven wrote:
        
       | Pxtl wrote:
       | I've heard it said that electric cars weren't invented to save
       | the world, but to save the automotive industry.
       | 
       | Likewise, hydrogen tech exists to save the natural gas industry.
        
       | pg_bot wrote:
       | You would need several scientific breakthroughs to make hydrogen
       | economically viable for transportation. It's expensive to
       | generate, it embrittles storage containers, is highly flammable,
       | and there's no existing infrastructure that you can piggy back
       | off of. Right now it is a dead end.
        
         | gonzo41 wrote:
         | It won't be for long.
         | 
         | Remember, TSMC do chip lithography with a light source that is
         | generated by firing a laser at in flight drips of molten tin
         | metal. The metal releases a wavelength of light that is then
         | able to etc ultra precise lines on wafers for chips. That
         | technology really didn't exist anywhere 40 years ago.
         | 
         | In many ways the plumbing problems of hydrogen are lower bars
         | to get over. And worrying about a lack of infrastructure is
         | also not a big issue. There's lots of engineer's who'll easily
         | transition out of the LNG industry into great jobs working on
         | these problems.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _lithography with a light source that is generated by
           | firing a laser at in flight drips of molten tin_
           | 
           | What does EUV lithography have to do with hydrogen's
           | generation expense, embrittlement of metals, flammability and
           | lack of infrastructure?
        
             | gonzo41 wrote:
             | Those are all engineering challenges that are broadly
             | constrained by money. I was pointing out that it's pretty
             | common that those types of problems get solved when there's
             | a will. the tide is turning, there's active research into
             | everything you've listed. I'd bet on these problems getting
             | solved.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Not all problems are solvable. I don't know enough about
               | physics/chemistry to know if the problem is solvable, but
               | I do know there are other unsolvable problems. (faster
               | than light travel is a common one that people think more
               | engineering can solve)
               | 
               | I'm sure people are working on the problem, but the laws
               | of physics limit them.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _engineering challenges that are broadly constrained by
               | money_
               | 
               | You're comparing semiconductor manufacturing, a domain so
               | concentrated one firm (ASML) produces the world's
               | cutting-edge instrumentation, and so quick-moving our
               | modern paradigms for growth (Moore's law to venture
               | capital) emerge from it, to building an international
               | piping and shipping system for a novel fuel that
               | speculatively competes with batteries. Nobody is asking
               | if, given infinite time and resources, these problems
               | could be solved. It's whether the solution would be
               | competitive with what we have. Unfortunately, this blind
               | optimism is baseline for I've seen for hydrogen.
        
           | debacle wrote:
           | The chemical reactivity problems of hydrogen are unsolvable
           | in a competitive fashion with other types of energy
           | transport.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | The world produces 700 cubic kilometers (at STP) of
             | hydrogen every year. I assure you there are materials
             | compatible with hydrogen, or else this would not be
             | possible.
        
           | qikInNdOutReply wrote:
           | When something is hyped like fusion for 40 years plus and
           | does not see the light of day, the problems that constrain
           | it, be hard and fruitful.
        
             | whatwherewhy wrote:
             | The problem that constraints fusion is investment capital.
             | You can't expect results while resting below the "fusion
             | never" track: https://i.imgur.com/3vYLQmm.png
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | No, actually what constrains (DT) fusion is that even if
               | a reactor is produced, no one will want it.
               | 
               | http://orcutt.net/weblog/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/The-
               | Trou...
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | Hydrogen is not really an engineering problem, its an
           | investment problem. And its simply put a gigantic amount
           | investment for a minimal amount of gain.
           | 
           | There are so many, way, way, way more useful investments you
           | can make. How about doing useful simple things that we are
           | sure can be done successfully and we know for sure will save
           | a lot of CO2 and emission.
           | 
           | Stuff like railway electrification.
           | 
           | If you want to have long range trucks be a thing, electrify
           | the highway with trolley wires.
           | 
           | Hydrogen trains have already shown that they can't compete
           | with electrification traditional or with battery. In trucks
           | they are currently getting their ass kicked by battery
           | trucks. So neither for trucks nor for trains does hydrogen
           | really make much sense.
           | 
           | So why exactly should we invest in a gigantic hydrogen
           | infrastructure. For the maybe 1% market share in trains and
           | trucks?
           | 
           | And its not actually easy to reuse LNG infrastructure.
           | 
           | > And worrying about a lack of infrastructure is also not a
           | big issue.
           | 
           | This is disproved by literally 5000 years of human history
           | where huge infrastructure investments are always a big
           | political problem. And even if projects are clearly of huge
           | benefits they are difficult.
           | 
           | In terms of hydrogen infrastructure, nobody can make a case
           | that it is actually worth it in the first place.
           | 
           | > There's lots of engineer's who'll easily transition out of
           | the LNG industry into great jobs working on these problems.
           | 
           | Or we could make those engineers work on useful stuff like
           | batteries, railway electrification, nuclear, metros and so
           | on.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | > Hydrogen is not really an engineering problem, its an
             | investment problem.
             | 
             | The problems stated by the OP are mostly maintenance
             | problems. What is even worse, because you don't just pay
             | once and they go away; you have to keep paying and they
             | will come back if you ever lose focus on handling them.
        
         | himinlomax wrote:
         | It's absolutely essential to deal with renewables'
         | intermittency.
         | 
         | Of course this wouldn't be a thing if people wisened up and
         | built nuclear plant instead of wasting it on feel-good project
         | with less than 20% of actual capacity (solar in Germany ...
         | lol).
        
           | pg_bot wrote:
           | It's more efficient to cool and liquify air than to generate
           | hydrogen. Store it in a container and let it expand later and
           | you can turn a turbine. There's no issue from an
           | environmental standpoint since you are converting air to air.
           | You can build a cryobattery literally anywhere on earth with
           | off the shelf components.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | > It's more efficient to cool and liquify air than to
             | generate hydrogen.
             | 
             | I dispute this claim.
        
             | himinlomax wrote:
             | You're assuming that compressing and decompressing air can
             | be done at greater efficiency. That's not that obvious,
             | considering for example that compressing air generates heat
             | that is always lost in the process.
        
         | bamboozled wrote:
         | So what's going on here:
         | 
         | Hydrogen Powered Train in Germany:
         | https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/hydrogen-powered-p...
         | 
         | and here:
         | 
         | Hydrogen Powered Toyota: https://www.toyota.com/mirai/
        
           | pg_bot wrote:
           | Malinvestment
        
         | parkingrift wrote:
         | We will need many scientific breakthroughs for battery to be
         | viable for non-personal transportation. Then there's industry,
         | construction, agriculture, etc. These areas of the economy are
         | responsible for about 50% of emissions. We need hydrogen. Not
         | for cars, but for everything else.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | The only thing we need hydrogen for is for chemical industry.
           | And that is enough demand already for hydrogen production
           | plans.
           | 
           | Beyond that you don't need it. Not needed for the waste
           | majority of the things you suggest.
           | 
           | And often there are better solution then using hydrogen
           | directly. For remote construction sites, just turn your
           | hydrogen into anther syn fuel like methanol and run a
           | conventional generator to power electric construction
           | methods.
           | 
           | Hydrogen will be a niche use-case in all the areas you
           | mentioned. And there are so many more important things to do.
           | 
           | For example, for construction, electrified railroads
           | transporting all that gravel around rather then diesel.
        
           | antoinexp wrote:
           | "Not for cars, but for everything else." While I agree with
           | you there are some usages where it does make sense and
           | shouldn't be neglected, it is also worth noticing that the
           | current consensus on Metaculus is an estimate of 6% market
           | shares for those usages in 2030:
           | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/552/fcevs-vs-bevs-
           | what-p...
           | 
           | [Edit] consensus established in February 2020
        
         | namro wrote:
         | Sustainable transportation is not about which fuel is greener.
         | It's about replacing private with public transportation options
         | as much as possible e.g. planning urban areas prioritizing
         | public transit systems and discouraging private transportation
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | That would be nice, but in the US the people leading public
           | transit don't care about good transit. I know they have
           | limited budgets, but they do too many bad and over prices
           | projects to assume anything else.
        
         | grogers wrote:
         | You don't need to use it directly for it to play an important
         | role. If you have the green hydrogen you can convert it to
         | methane or ammonia, which have less issues in storage and
         | transport. Methane is already widely used for bus
         | transportation, although extracting CO2 from the air
         | efficiently enough to create methane from the hydrogen is its
         | own issue.
        
         | melling wrote:
         | Only 8500 coal power plants in the world producing 20% of
         | emissions. No miracles needed to replace them.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal-fired_power_station
         | 
         | Replacing a billion gasoline cars is going to take decades
        
           | mavhc wrote:
           | We should start by not making new gasoline cars, or new coal
           | power stations
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | melling wrote:
             | Electric cars aren't ready. And absolutely everyone knows
             | that, so why are we bringing it up?
             | 
             | We could've replaced coal plants two decades ago, however,
             | and reduced emissions by 20% globally
        
               | goodcanadian wrote:
               | _Electric cars aren't ready. And absolutely everyone
               | knows that, so why are we bringing it up?_
               | 
               | I have been driving an electric car for 4 years, and it
               | serves my needs beautifully. So, no, I strongly disagree.
               | Electric cars are ready for most use cases and many
               | people agree.
        
               | melling wrote:
               | how much did you pay for that electric car? They aren't
               | comparable in price.
               | 
               | It's weird how we have to have these silly discussions
               | where people must know that they're obviously wrong
               | before commenting.
               | 
               | Replacing 1.3 billion cars is going to take decades.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | The average car lasts about 12 years. Sure some
               | collectors cars will be kept running for decades, but it
               | will take about less than 2 decades to replace
               | essentially all cars if we only made EVs. Only selling
               | EVs is the law set to take effect in a few years.
               | 
               | I'm sure that the law will be rolled back a little when
               | one of the 5-10% usecases where EVs don't work screams
               | loud enough (probably shipping and remote areas), but it
               | will become hard to find fuel for your gas car in a
               | couple decades.
        
               | melling wrote:
               | Yes, in the year 2035 the internal combustion engine no
               | longer be sold. Unless we have to push back a few years.
               | 
               | That gets us to around 2050.
               | 
               | 27 years from now.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Electric cars are ready for gasoline car use cases,
               | leaving 5-10% or so where EV is not ready. (the places
               | where electric cars ready are not are places where diesel
               | is better than gasoline, though some people do use
               | gasoline anyway). Currently EVs are in the phase of
               | scaling production, but that will take a bit of time.
               | 
               | > We could've replaced coal plants two decades ago,
               | however, and reduced emissions by 20% globally
               | 
               | What we would have replaced coal with 20 years ago (and
               | in fact what we did starting more than 20 years ago) is
               | mostly natural gas, which itself pollutes, just less.
               | (depending on what pollution you measure you will get
               | different numbers for how much less) Wind and solar is
               | coming along fast, and is also replacing coal plants (for
               | nearly zero pollution) but we are already scaling those
               | as fast as possible so to claim we could have done more
               | 20 years ago is false.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Electric cars aren't ready_
               | 
               | The scaling problems facing battery electrics are dwarfed
               | by those facing hydrogen. They're also being aggressively
               | solved in America, the EU and China.
        
               | pxmpxm wrote:
               | >They're also being aggressively solved in America, the
               | EU and China.
               | 
               | Challenge. Where and how are these problems being
               | addressed, other than hoping that people voluntary reduce
               | demand when asked?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | Not sure what we are talking about.
               | 
               | There are an absolute shit ton of battery factories being
               | build. A huge ramp up in science and research.
               | 
               | There is also a huge ramp up in cathode and anode
               | production facilities.
               | 
               | All major lithium companies have announced major build
               | out of existing facilities and building new once as well.
               | 
               | A major expansion of both natural and synthetic graphite
               | is being done.
               | 
               | Cobalt is not expanding as quickly but its getting
               | systematically kicked out from the batteries anyway.
               | 
               | In addition to that, LFP batteries reduced the projected
               | demand for nickel from batteries.
               | 
               | In addition to that CATL is introducing Sodium batteries
               | as well.
               | 
               | So maybe you were not paying attention but there is a
               | gigantic explosion in every part of the battery supply
               | chain happening right now. With major private and public
               | investment. There will still be some shortages of
               | important materials, specially lithium however its
               | certainty being worked on.
               | 
               | Of course there are also improvements in safety,
               | reliability and so on. A huge amount of research and
               | development.
        
               | pxmpxm wrote:
               | The gating factor for the scaling issue isn't the battery
               | production (mining externalities notwithstanding), but
               | the infrastructure to support them.
               | 
               | Wave your magic wand to will everyone a Tesla, and watch
               | the grid collapse the same instant.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | The grid has _plenty_ of spare room in the evening  "bath
               | tub" (daytime peak is very different from nighttime
               | peak). If you wave that magic wand and everyone has a
               | Tesla today and everyone charges at wall outlet at off-
               | peak times, _the grid wouldn 't hardly notice_.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | The grid operators are not stupid, they are also building
               | generation to handle this.
               | 
               | While it remains to be seen if they build enough, they
               | are planning for EVs. Where local laws allow it anyway.
               | They see big $$$ from EVs replacing gas, and they want
               | that money.
        
       | waselighis wrote:
       | You can try to be as rational and logical, but in the end, it's
       | not going to matter. The problem is hydrogen as a fuel is
       | marketable, so it's going to be very overhyped because it's going
       | to make a lot of money for investors. You only have to look at
       | what happened with cryptocurrencies to get an idea of what's
       | coming, maybe not as extreme, but no doubt it's going to happen.
       | Furthermore, with the tech industry entering a recession with
       | mass layoffs, investors are looking for their next target, which
       | appears to be green and renewable energy technologies. This is
       | even more true thank to the many government grants and tax breaks
       | for renewable energy.
       | 
       | So sit back and enjoy the s%$#show while startups and
       | entrepreneurs pitch the most ridiculous applications for hydrogen
       | fuel and get flooded with billions of dollars.
        
       | elil17 wrote:
       | >The EU is also under pressure from industry to water down the
       | definition of green hydrogen
       | 
       | This is the key issue. There is nothing wrong with truly green
       | hydrogen made with truly excess electricity. The article rightly
       | praises the Biden administrations sensible policies which
       | incentivize zero-emissions hydrogen.
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | Not a very useful article, and it's weak on technical details.
       | 
       | Hydrogen is a poor storage medium for energy for numerous
       | reasons, such as steel embrittlement (it requires expensive
       | special alloys for storage or transport under pressure).
       | 
       | Hence, hydrogen-from-water is applicable where it can be
       | generated and used immediately. There are three obvious
       | industrial applications in cleantech:
       | 
       | Ammonia production for fertilizer using atmospheric N2.
       | 
       | Direct iron reduction for steel production, i.e. reduction of
       | iron ore.
       | 
       | Methane and jet fuel production utilizing atmospheric CO2 as the
       | carbon source.
       | 
       | In particular, steam reformation of natural gas to produce
       | hydrogen should be eliminated as a hydrogen source, as the fossil
       | CO2 produced is then released to the atmosphere.
        
       | bamboozled wrote:
       | Is this Toyota Mirai (hyped)? https://www.toyota.com/mirai/, I
       | mean it's a production car for sale today.
       | 
       | Same for these hyrdogen powered trains in Germany:
       | https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/hydrogen-powered-p...
       | 
       | Both those things are in production, so is hydrogen really hyped?
       | Just beginning ?
       | 
       | Edit: How does this car get around "the storage problem" of
       | Hydrogen?
        
         | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
         | Hydrogen has potential to be better than BEV. Do you know how
         | much money went to BEV and it might be written away if hydrogen
         | fuel cells turns out to be viable?
         | 
         | Better make some negative PR towards hydrogen.
        
           | megaman821 wrote:
           | So hydrogen isn't popular in cars because of some conspiracy
           | theory, and not the blatantly obvious fact that it takes much
           | more electricity to separate hydrogen from water, super-cool
           | that hydrogen for transport, and turn that hydrogen back to
           | electricity in a fuel cell, than to just transmit the
           | electricity to a battery.
        
             | TheLoafOfBread wrote:
             | No conspiracy, hydrogen is slowly getting acceptance
             | because people can't charge their BEVs at home (50% of
             | people in EU lives in apartments) and does not want to wait
             | hours in a queue for public DC chargers.
             | 
             | Simply hydrogen will more expensive, but convenient. And
             | people LOVES to pay for convenience. Just look at Apple.
        
             | bamboozled wrote:
             | Does it need to be a conspiracy theory though ? I don't
             | think it's required.
             | 
             | I mean smoking is bad for people, smoking is good ads
             | happened but it want a conspiracy ?
        
       | 10241024 wrote:
       | Could someone explain to me why cars running on natural gas
       | aren't popular in the US like they are in South America / Europe?
       | 
       | Converting a car to also run on natural gas costs a few hundred
       | dollars in South America / Europe but after that the benefits
       | are:
       | 
       | - x2 cheaper travel expenses
       | 
       | - less harmful emissions
       | 
       | Since the US is rich in natural gas wouldn't it have been more
       | environmentally conscious to convert the hundreds of millions of
       | petrol cars to also run on natural gas instead of digging up tons
       | of minerals for brand-new electric cars?
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | On lose power and internal space on the conversion.
         | 
         | The US car market does not seem very concerned with economical
         | ROI, so any argument based on costs is useless. The emissions
         | part seems to hold for some people, but electric cars already
         | won here.
         | 
         | Even here on South America gas is getting out of fashion,
         | replaced by electricity. The costs are still high enough that
         | there is a large market remaining, but it is constantly
         | decreasing.
        
         | axiolite wrote:
         | > Could someone explain to me why cars running on natural gas
         | aren't popular in the US like they are in South America /
         | Europe?
         | 
         | There are many fleets which use natural gas. Municipal buses,
         | city garbage trucks, etc. There, they only need to build up one
         | (private) CNG refueling station in the city.
         | 
         | With a passenger car, you need to plan your trip to find public
         | CNG fueling stations along the route where you need them.
         | 
         | The boom in natural gas production is a recent occurrence. Go
         | back a couple decades and natural gas was far more expensive.
         | Back then, propane was the obvious alternative to gasoline for
         | vehicles, until the price for propane spiked and natural gas
         | fell.
         | 
         | But more importantly, CNG is only a half-step forward, still
         | leaving us dependent on a single fossil fuel. Battery electric
         | vehicles are far more practical thanks to being easy to
         | (slow-)charge almost anywhere, getting us off of fossil fuels
         | entirely, reducing mechanical complexity/maintenance, and being
         | far more efficient (burning the same amount of natural gas in a
         | power plant to charge your BEV will give you far more range
         | than burning it in your converted car engine).
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | There are not enough places to fill a natural gas car. I know
         | of a few, if you buy a natural gas car you plan all trips
         | around filling up - and a lot of trips you have to reject.
         | 
         | For every public natural gas pump I know of, I know of 50
         | public EV chargers. Plus in the worst case you can plug an EV
         | into a regular outlet (overnight you can get enough range to
         | get someplace with a faster charger).
        
         | MrMan wrote:
         | natural gas emissions are not less harmful
        
           | VBprogrammer wrote:
           | Can you explain your reasoning? There are a number of reasons
           | that natural gas emissions (after burning) are less harmful.
           | Not least that there is a higher proportion of hydrogen so
           | for a given energy output there are less carbon dioxide
           | emissions.
        
             | hannob wrote:
             | Methane emissions from incomplete burning, and also from
             | upstream.
             | 
             | Methane emissions are an issue with basically all uses of
             | gas that has been underestimated in the past and only in
             | recent years it's more widely recognized how problematic
             | that is. A lot of the "gas is greener than X" messaging
             | from the past is simply no longer true if you consider
             | methane emissions.
        
               | VBprogrammer wrote:
               | Methane emissions from oil extraction aren't negligible
               | either so it depends on your point of reference. It's
               | almost certainly better to burn methane in a power plant
               | and use BEVs where possible but that's a long way from
               | possible in heavy goods vehicles for example (they will
               | need batteries measured in MWh for a start).
               | 
               | There are also many dimensions to emissions, global
               | warming potential is important but from a personal point
               | of view I worry more about the impact on my children's
               | health from the other emissions like particulates, NOx
               | and aromatic hydrocarbons.
        
           | Neil44 wrote:
           | Not true, there's way less NOX and particulates, all the
           | stuff that's bad for people in urban environments.
        
           | _fizz_buzz_ wrote:
           | but they are less. You can half the co2 emissions with very
           | little investment. However, this cannot be ultimate solution
           | and is probably too little too late.
        
         | panick21_ wrote:
         | There are a number of issues:
         | 
         | - First of all, there is no natural gas fuel standard
         | 
         | - Safety, there are no safety standards. If there were, tanks
         | often used in other places, such an upgraded would be more
         | expensive
         | 
         | - Rolling out refueling over the whole of the US/Europe would
         | be difficult. Most places in Europe don't have these cars.
         | 
         | A better and safer alternative to natural gas would be
         | methanol. And because of the US ethanol policy, the US already
         | has a surprising amount of Flex Fuel Vehicles.
         | 
         | If you could have a bunch of fuel standards for
         | ethanol/methanol and a vehicle standard for those fuels,
         | depending on the price, people could buy different mixes.
         | 
         | Converting gas to methanol is fairly efficient and can be done
         | directly at gas production sites, sometimes with gas that would
         | be vented instead. But there isn't a big market for methanol
         | right now.
         | 
         | In China such standards do exist M20 and so on. However sadly
         | there methanol vehicles usually use methanol made by coal.
         | 
         | The US would have had much lower fuel cost if they had a
         | strategy of methanol and ethanol at the same time, and require
         | all vehicle to be FFV. Standardizing M20/E20, M50/E50 fuels for
         | example.
         | 
         | However all of this is now no longer very useful as car market
         | is rapidly switching to electric.
         | 
         | For some trucks using generated fuel might be useful. Dimethyl
         | ether would be great for long range trucks and ships rather
         | then hydrogen.
        
       | 0xblood wrote:
       | >But they are a distraction when it comes to personal vehicles,
       | for which efficient batteries are already available.
       | 
       | Stopped reading there
        
         | jkingsbery wrote:
         | Right... I can't say I'm extremely well read in this (so I'd
         | appreciate correction if someone knows better), but it sounds
         | pretty uncontroversial that (1) batteries take a long time to
         | charge, which is not convenient for many applications, (2) the
         | batteries themselves require a lot of minerals whose extraction
         | isn't great for the environment either, but in a different way.
        
       | patall wrote:
       | Once again, I think the hydrogen ladder [0] gives a very clear
       | and simple picture of where priorities with regard to hydrogen
       | are.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/clean-hydrogen-
       | ladder-v40-mic...
        
         | jillesvangurp wrote:
         | That comes from a person named Michael Liebreich who is a
         | British conservative politician that also founded Bloomberg's
         | New Energy Finance. I listen to his podcast where he interviews
         | people in the industry. He also has a nuclear physics
         | background. In other word, he knows a thing or two about both
         | the science and economics in this space; very well informed
         | person.
         | 
         | He's been very critical of the mindless arguing for a hydrogen
         | economy making the point that there are a few very fundamental
         | issues with hydrogen in terms of cost and physics (e.g. second
         | law of thermo dynamics) that you can't just wave away that
         | people tend to gloss over.
         | 
         | Not that he's against hydrogen per se. It's just that burning
         | it is a pretty dumb idea from a cost and efficiency point of
         | view.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | Here's another group saying much the same thing in a different
         | way:
         | 
         | https://h2sciencecoalition.com/principles/
        
         | moffkalast wrote:
         | > Off-road vehicles
         | 
         | I don't understand why this is under B while cars are under G.
         | Is that not a type of car? Or are we talking building sized
         | mining dumptrucks?
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | He explains what those mean.
           | 
           | It's vehicles specialized on site-diverse way out of the city
           | activities, like forest management and mining.
           | 
           | Well, I personally disagree on mining, but yes, those exist,
           | and it's very likely they will not be electric.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Mining is actually planning on switching to electric. Mines
             | often have underground areas where air at all is a problem,
             | so running an engine requires extra ventilation and air
             | quality control. Mines tend to cover limited areas, so it
             | is feasible to have wires (either like a train where a
             | phantograph, or drag the wire). Much of the equipment is
             | semi-permanent so you can run fixed wires. The rest tends
             | to run a fixed route so battery swap can be done often on
             | schedule.
             | 
             | Not all mines operate in that way, but a significant number
             | do. And of course nobody said that they had to switch 100%,
             | some equipment can switch where it makes sense while others
             | remain diesel.
        
         | Symmetry wrote:
         | I came here to pose that same thing.
         | 
         | Hydrogen in the creation of fertilizer? An absolute necessity,
         | we need a good source of green hydrogen to run the Haber-Bosch
         | process.
         | 
         | Hydrogen production for grid power storage? Absolutely terrible
         | idea, don't even think about it.
         | 
         | Hydrogen for long-haul trucking? Maybe, maybe not.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | The problem with that image is it gives no reasoning for its
           | categorization. Putting the use cases on a specific energy
           | and energy density plot would convey that more naturally.
        
             | sidpatil wrote:
             | Fair point. He does describe his reasoning within the
             | accompanying article though.
        
           | hannob wrote:
           | > Hydrogen production for grid power storage? Absolutely
           | terrible idea, don't even think about it.
           | 
           | Liebreich has that as a B in the Hydrogen Ladder (for long-
           | term storage).
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | > Hydrogen production for grid power storage? Absolutely
           | terrible idea, don't even think about it.
           | 
           | For DIURNAL storage, certainly. For seasonal storage? For
           | backup against rare extended dark/calm periods? There it can
           | make much more sense.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | _Nature_ must have noticed that they 've become a joke on energy
       | subjects.
        
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