[HN Gopher] What You (Want to)* Want
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       What You (Want to)* Want
        
       Author : razin
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2022-11-14 13:04 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (paulgraham.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (paulgraham.com)
        
       | pgsandstrom wrote:
       | When I was two I started wondered how I could reconsile my qualia
       | with determinism. But when I was three I read Critique of Pure
       | Reason by Immanuel Kant and laid the matter to rest.
        
       | jdthedisciple wrote:
       | Are doing and wanting really two different things?
       | 
       | Both start by thinking, and choosing to think about X is
       | certainly in our control1. So at the bottom of it, both are just
       | chemical reactions in your brain, willingly set off by your
       | ghost.
       | 
       | 1that is not to say that _not thinking about Y_ is also in our
       | control.
        
       | hugepuppy wrote:
       | Seems like he's saying that you can't change who you are at the
       | core, which I disagree with.
       | 
       | With each want, however, the meaning becomes more and more
       | frivolous. Who cares what you want to want to want to want to
       | want? That's not recognizable even on a subconscious level.
        
       | pwdisswordfish9 wrote:
       | > We can get arbitrarily close to a true statement by adding more
       | "want to"s in much the same way we can get arbitrarily close to 1
       | by adding more 9s to a string of 9s following a decimal point. In
       | practice three or four "want to"s must surely be enough.
       | 
       | Ultrafinite recursion strikes again!
        
       | prionassembly wrote:
       | PG becoming a Lacanian.
        
       | asdadsdad wrote:
       | PG is more and more like a reputation-building farm these days,
       | churning garbage at an impressive rate lol
        
       | auggierose wrote:
       | I don't think the universe is deterministic. Why would you think
       | such a thing? So, if you start from a wrong assumption, the rest
       | that comes is not that interesting.
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | One possibility:
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_truth_effect
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heuristic
         | 
         | See also: how to train a neural network.
        
           | auggierose wrote:
           | Are these not at least two possibilities? Furthermore, what
           | kind of heuristic is that? I don't see people being able to
           | predict the future with much reliability.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | I'd say they're kind of a blend - heuristics _is what
             | enables_ the Illusory Truth Effect.
             | 
             | > I don't see people being able to predict the future with
             | much reliability.
             | 
             | Agree, but people seem generally unable to realize this
             | (there is a similar problem with Truth, another thing
             | people predict without realizing - see:
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33593349).
             | 
             | Now, what is the causality of this? Presumably it is a
             | natural consequence/side effect/service of consciousness.
             | But: so (presumably) are things like racism, but because
             | that is harmful, society has deemed it inappropriate and
             | this is socially enforced in various ways. Might the same
             | be possible with clairvoyance and soothsaying, or at least
             | in certain special scenarios/venues? The institution of
             | science seems to have accomplished it, and realized
             | substantial benefits as a consequence - might it have
             | utility in domains other than science (politics, human
             | relations, etc)?
        
       | savryn wrote:
       | this reminds me of the end of Lawrence of Arabia
       | 
       | the entire film thus far about destiny, fate, making our own
       | paths... and then to pinch a bit of flesh and understand what we
       | are. magnificent and sorrowful, all at once
        
       | sokoloff wrote:
       | I think the regular expression would be at least as correct and
       | make for a less ambiguous headline if it used + instead of *.
        
       | vagab0nd wrote:
       | You will do what you are programmed to do. "Free will" is an
       | illusion that you don't know what you are going to do before you
       | have computed the outcome. The Matrix said it best:
       | 
       | > Neo: But if you already know, how can I make a choice?
       | 
       | > The Oracle: Because you didn't come here to make the choice,
       | you've already made it. You're here to try to understand why you
       | made it.
        
       | karaterobot wrote:
       | Whenever I think about the universe being deterministic, I get
       | caught up on things like the Monorail episode of The Simpsons.
       | For some reason, that's always the specific example that pops
       | into my mind when I think "does it make sense that the initial
       | position of atoms in the universe would lead ineluctably to the
       | exact state of the world today, without anyone making choices
       | about it?"
       | 
       | The idea that a materialistic universe made of unthinking,
       | unchoosing matter bumping into each other would create the
       | "Monorail" song, with all the specific cultural assumptions built
       | into it, is just so much less likely to me than the alternative
       | that I end up just siding with free will by default.
       | 
       | Neither the free will argument, nor determinism, nor any
       | attempted unification of the two that I'm aware of are fully
       | satisfying. But, the idea that we're just atoms that, for no
       | particular reason, happen to write the words "I call the big one
       | Bitey", and then just happen to create the infrastructure to
       | broadcast that out, and view it, seems like the more absurd of
       | the available options.
        
         | randomsearch wrote:
         | The way I think about this is: physical laws lead to the
         | emergence of information processing machines that form big
         | networks together and develop cultural language of ever
         | increasing sophistication. The monorail song is just the
         | production of this large distributed thinking machine.
        
       | dzink wrote:
       | The brain feels like a quantum alien that took over a biological
       | shell to survive on this planet and is now trying to optimize its
       | casing options. (Deliberately changing the terms for a concept
       | can help us see it in a new light.)
       | 
       | - Some wants damage the casing but feel great to the brain
       | (sugar).
       | 
       | - Some wants take over a portion of the brain's activity and tax
       | it to eternity (addiction), so its best to never ever try them.
       | 
       | - Some wants are very very bad for other brains and casings, so
       | carnivores draw the line making non-carnivorous varieties
       | inferior and thus worth sacrificing (meat consumption).
       | 
       | - Some wants damage the connections and relationships between
       | human brains and thus ability for all of humanity to survive
       | collectively, so religion and laws have stepped in to set the
       | rules of engagement.
       | 
       | - Some wants are psychological and financially a bad idea.
       | 
       | - Few wants are fundamental, and most wants are based on
       | something we've seen others done that we want to try.
       | 
       | - Wanting not to want something is a tax and conflict with our
       | own brain, and just like addiction it can be tackled if the want
       | was caused by exposure to the activity, or exposure to the idea,
       | or the subject/object of want and that exposure is reduced or
       | removed from view.
       | 
       | - If you are the subject of the want (an attractive person, a VC,
       | a Billionaire, a person of influence), all of a sudden your life
       | incurs an overhead and a cost for deterring everyone else's wants
       | towards you.
       | 
       | Psychology/Philosophy may have more insight into whether the
       | origin of bad wants is curiosity, wrongful exposure, greed, or
       | inborn instincts based on biological/genetically ingrained
       | habits.
       | 
       | Economics + Business has the job of satisfying the wants of an
       | increasing number of intelligent agents in the system by
       | encouraging those who want more to make more and increase supply
       | of the the most wanted kinds of objects of want. Government has
       | the job of satisfying the needs of everyone in its jurisdiction,
       | while entrepreneurship has the luxury of picking which wants and
       | needs to serve that are most profitable and desirable to the
       | entrepreneur.
       | 
       | Advertising has the job of involuntarily planting more wants in
       | the brains of everyone.
       | 
       | Fun paths to explore. Thanks PG!
        
       | joisig wrote:
       | > How do you reconcile being a machine made of matter with the
       | feeling that you're free to choose what you do?
       | 
       | First, accept the fact that "you" are _only_ that machine. No
       | higher "soul".
       | 
       | The machine (you!) has free will in that it decides for itself,
       | through physical processes occurring within it, what it wants -
       | albeit with some outside forces, circumstances and other
       | individuals influencing this anywhere from a bit to a lot.
       | 
       | You are this mostly-independent machine operated by physical
       | forces. Therefore, you have free will.
       | 
       | A secondary question is whether the state of the universe and
       | therefore of you the machine at time T also pre-ordains what you
       | will do and what you will want at time T+1. I think a more
       | interesting question is whether that actually matters in any
       | practical or even metaphysical sense, given that we experience
       | time linearly in the direction we do?
        
       | civilized wrote:
       | I don't think this is a very productive direction because it
       | seems like unfalsifiable speculation. Placing the hidden
       | determinism enough "wants" away seems to make it obscure enough
       | that you can think "sure, that's where the magic happens" and
       | it's impossible to be proven wrong.
       | 
       | IMO, the perception of free will comes from our observation of
       | our deliberations and our actions. We observe that we often have
       | choices and uncertainty about what to do, but something always
       | breaks the impasse, because we always continue making choices and
       | going on living. That "something" is what we call free will, and
       | isn't entirely transparent to us.
       | 
       | If you tried to crack open the black box, I think you'd see wants
       | and want-to-wants driving things in there, but I don't think
       | you'd see a clean system of n-th removed want-to-wants
       | determining everything.
        
       | darkerside wrote:
       | Like many others, I've also thought about few will. By best
       | answer at this point is, we have limited free will but we don't
       | always know how to use it. It's like surfing. You can't do
       | everything you want to do, but you can position yourself to make
       | choices that better leverage the waves of your subconscious.
        
       | mikewarot wrote:
       | There are some hidden assumptions, including the idea that
       | consciousness is a continuous phenomenon and/or experience. Our
       | brain is amazingly good at making up retroactive explanations to
       | match our observations.
       | 
       | Also, our thought processes are sufficiently chaotic that no
       | amount of inspection can catch all the starting conditions, so
       | any model has to be statistical in nature.
        
       | squaredot wrote:
       | It happened to me to think about this (but from another
       | perspective). It seems to me that the sentences "I want [A]",
       | where A is an object outside me, and "I want [to want A]" are
       | essentially different. But the sentences "I want [to want A]" and
       | "I want [to want to want A]" are not really different since both
       | have as object my own will. Or said in another way: wanting to
       | want something is already wanting something.
       | 
       | Moreover an essential differentiation that is not addressed is
       | the difference between desire and will (not easy).
        
       | wccrawford wrote:
       | I've had things I wanted to want, but didn't want. They were
       | usually things that would have put me closer to the values of a
       | group I was involved in.
       | 
       | An off-the-top-of-my-head example would be talking with friends
       | about video games, and they start talking about physical art from
       | the game that they bought and enjoy. I don't like having little
       | knick-knacks around the the house, and I don't get enjoyment from
       | them. But I see the joy they get from them, and I want that, too.
       | 
       | So I want to want those things, but I still don't want them.
        
       | jondeval wrote:
       | I actually think PG is exploring something that is at the heart
       | of what it means to be a human being.
       | 
       | Interestingly, the traditional teaching of Original Sin is that
       | we are broken at the level of what we 'want'. The phrase commonly
       | used is 'disordered desire'.
       | 
       | The key idea here is that if you want the wrong things, you are
       | not actually free, even if you perceive yourself as choosing
       | freely. As a corollary, the more you practice the good, the more
       | you desire it, and the freer you become.
        
         | theGnuMe wrote:
         | The concept of original sin is garbage.
        
           | originalmind wrote:
           | Wow, thanks for sharing this deep insight. -- A fellow
           | "original mind"
        
           | Bilal_io wrote:
           | As someone that believes in the Quran, which talks about the
           | Adam&Eve tree incident, I agree.
           | 
           | Then there is the whole definition of God being just, and for
           | someone to die for someone else's sin is far from just.
           | 
           | I personally believe in a God that I can ask directly for
           | forgiveness and he forgives. That being said, he wouldn't
           | forgive me for wronging someone else, I will have to settle
           | it with that person in this life, or we'll meet and settle it
           | in the day of judgement.
        
       | xianshou wrote:
       | You can read however many PG essays you want to, but you can't
       | control what you think of them.
        
       | informatimago wrote:
       | IMO free will is only the guarantee by God that he won't be
       | messing with our program while it's running. Ie. He won't use His
       | debugger to change our state, or make us do things that are not
       | in our programming. Free will is us programs running NOT under
       | God's debugger.
       | 
       | This is not to say that we don't have a say in our ultimate
       | wants, assuming we can't change them. Perhaps we (our soul) still
       | decided on them originally.
        
         | paulryanrogers wrote:
         | Was just thinking that religion was the one thing that caused
         | me decades of unnecessary anxiety over my natural wants and
         | interests. Would not recommend.
        
         | leethargo wrote:
         | I believe this to be similar to Epicurus' excuse [1]: He
         | couldn't publicly say that there are no gods as creators,
         | because that would have been blasphemy. But he wanted to take
         | away the fear that everybody had of punishment by gods. So he
         | argued that our (human) lives aren't important enough for the
         | gods to mess with.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epicurus#Theology
        
         | bheadmaster wrote:
         | > He won't use His debugger to change our state, or make us do
         | things that are not in our programming
         | 
         | I don't quite understand - you're using our "programming" as an
         | argument that we have free will? Wouldn't our "programming"
         | imply that our will is already deterministic?
         | 
         | In other words, is there any difference between our will being
         | driven by our programming, and driven by God's debugger? We're
         | following orders either way...
        
       | theGnuMe wrote:
       | I don't really get what he means here.
       | 
       | >you can't (want to)* want what you want
       | 
       | It seems to me that "want to want what you want" is a tautology,
       | if you want something you already want to want it.
       | 
       | you can't (want to want what you want). you can't want to want to
       | want what you want).
       | 
       | And it is recursive:
       | 
       | you can't (want to want to want it)
        
         | fluoridation wrote:
         | >It seems to me that "want to want what you want" is a
         | tautology, if you want something you already want to want it.
         | 
         | Tell that to an addict.
        
           | theGnuMe wrote:
           | Tell what? I am not sure I am following you... can you be
           | more specific?
        
             | fluoridation wrote:
             | That wanting something implies that you want to want it.
        
               | theGnuMe wrote:
               | Why the focus on the "addict"?
        
               | fluoridation wrote:
               | Often addicts don't want to want they things they're
               | addicted to.
        
         | originalmind wrote:
         | I want to watch porn. And I want to not want to watch porn.
        
         | suslik wrote:
         | I think this is just a wordplay that abuses the imprecision of
         | the word 'want'. For example, a drug addict wants (as in has a
         | very strong internal, biology- and subconsious-driven desire
         | for) heroin, but doesn't want to want it (as in when thinks
         | about it consciously).
        
           | theGnuMe wrote:
           | I don't see that beyond holding two one or more beliefs in
           | juxtaposition which is the definition of uncertainty.
           | 
           | A chemical addiction is not a "want".
        
       | xnorswap wrote:
        
         | itsoktocry wrote:
         | 2022 feels like the year the sheen of genius wears off our tech
         | overlords.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | osipov2k wrote:
        
       | hugs wrote:
       | "You can do what you want, but you can't want to want what you
       | want."
       | 
       | I've read many of PG's essays, but this one feels like GPT-3
       | wrote it. It's borderline gibberish. Like he trained an AI on all
       | his other essays, fed it the essay title, and this was the
       | result. I half-expect a year from now that he'll tell us all his
       | recent essays were written by this AI and it's now the core IP in
       | some recent YC investment.
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | Not only that, but he got it totally wrong. It's not that
         | people _change_ what they want, it is that they _think_ they
         | want something, but then they discover that they were _wrong_.
         | 
         | Also, what you want changes over time, but not because you
         | _decide_ to want something new, or to stop wanting something.
         | It just _happens_. The best example of this is going through
         | puberty, where you develop desires that you didn 't have
         | before. This is not a decision that you make.
         | 
         | Figuring out what you want is a process of _discovery_ , not of
         | decision-making.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | matt_s wrote:
       | In the context of startups maybe he's referring to those that
       | want to want something which I take to mean as a poser. It would
       | be like someone starting a club for a favorite color and someone
       | wants to want that favorite color to be their favorite color but
       | the reality is you can't want to want a favorite color, you
       | either want or don't.
       | 
       | Or it could be any number of things being referred to. People
       | wanting to want to work in tech. People want to want control of a
       | social media company.
        
       | doorman2 wrote:
       | Basically, there is no free will. Think about it like this: where
       | do your thoughts come from? They appear magically in your head.
       | So you can choose between the set of things you think about, but
       | the set of things you think about is out of your control.
        
       | onlycoffee wrote:
       | > How do you reconcile being a machine made of matter with the
       | feeling that you're free to choose what you do?
       | 
       | We have a soul, unlike actual machines or animals.
        
       | csdvrx wrote:
       | Maybe I'm the only one who liked it, but I found the essay nice
       | as it gives a simple model to understand ourselves better.
       | 
       | Here's my take on it: there're many things out there (musical
       | genre like classical music, cooking like Indian, French,
       | Ethiopian) and your utility function has coefficients for most of
       | them.
       | 
       | When you don't know the coefficient, you try, and you come with a
       | quick conclusion (like or don't like) that can be further refined
       | by experience (ex: like Indian food, vegetarian Indian food is
       | ok-ish, vegan Indian food nope)
       | 
       | Sometimes you want to alter the coefficient because it can create
       | conflict with your identity (what if you're vegan? what if your
       | parents are Indian?) or other things.
       | 
       | Sometimes you succeed through different methods, sometimes you
       | just can't.
       | 
       | And there're things you like you shouldn't, because of society
       | (taboos, or banned substances) or the consequences on yourself
       | (addictions, risks for your future health) but it's just the same
       | thing: trying to alter the coefficient in your utility function.
       | 
       | It may be worth it (learning something new) or futile (something
       | you just can't change) which leads us to Seneca prayer (the
       | wisdom to separate the two, knowing the battles you can win to
       | avoid wasting effort). And there's another dimension if it's
       | possible: the amount of effort required, which might be measured
       | in years (and what if you're old and bound to fail?)
       | 
       | Personally, I find it simpler to go epicurian and if I find
       | something new I enjoy (right now, Russian rap lol) just enjoy it
       | without asking myself too many questions.
       | 
       | And if I don't like something or have no want for something I
       | should like (Drill rap, Trap rap), I don't force myself but don't
       | exclude it out of my life either: I leave that to serendipity :)
        
       | xianshou wrote:
       | Schopenhauer: "Man can do what he wills, but he cannot will what
       | he wills."
       | 
       | I've wrestled with this question from time to time and, to the
       | extent I've found a solution, the key is duration:
       | 
       | In the short term, choices are mutable (but determined by
       | character), and character is fixed.
       | 
       | In the long term, character is mutable, and determined by some
       | inner nature plus the integral of experience, influence, and
       | choice.
       | 
       | There's still a recursive element here, because the investments
       | you make in yourself are strongly influenced by a prior version
       | of that self. (In a limited sense, this resembles coherent
       | extrapolated volition.) Still, I've found it more helpful to
       | think about short-term vs. long-term processes - in the sense of
       | stock vs. flow, intercept vs. slope, or short-term vs. long term
       | elasticity - than about recursion. Adding time conveys an
       | intuitive understanding not only of what you can and can't
       | change, but what you should and shouldn't.
       | 
       | To phrase it a simpler way: willpower is a muscle, as are most
       | other traits. Most people can be strong, but not all at once, and
       | when you see someone lifting a heavy weight it means they've been
       | training for a long time.
        
         | mjburgess wrote:
         | So,
         | 
         | Action: Act(Environment|Character)
         | 
         | Reflection: Act(Character|Environment)
         | 
         | An agent has free will iff it engages in action<->reflection
         | cycles.
         | 
         | Also:
         | 
         | An agent A "could have taken" action X vs Y: ActX(Env|CharA) vs
         | ActY(Env|CharB) in the sense that there is a graph "of some
         | sort" linking their CharA to the CharB which could realise
         | ActY.
         | 
         | Eg., Bob can either steal the money or return it. Bob chooses
         | to steal it. Bob is morally responsible for this act because
         | there is a realisable "action<->reflection" path from bob's
         | actual character to the one he should have had. If bob had had
         | this character, he would not have stolen.
        
           | xianshou wrote:
           | This is a very interesting definition of "free will" and not
           | one I would expect most philosophers to agree with, but more
           | measurable and useful than most would propose. In this case
           | "free will" reduces to self-modifying action with randomness
           | injected by the environment, which feels more like a
           | stochastic model than genuine self-determination. That said,
           | the existence of a "reflection" function is still the primary
           | determinant of any moral responsibility.
        
         | 98codes wrote:
         | As someone with a lifetime of fighting with the executive
         | dysfunction end of ADHD, I very much understand what
         | Schopenhauer has saying. I can know what I need to do and have
         | the willpower to do it, but the door to the cupboard where the
         | willpower resides is locked, unlocks randomly, and nobody knows
         | where the key is.
        
       | brudgers wrote:
       | _We must believe in free will, we have no choice._
       | 
       | Isaac Bashevis Singer
        
       | biscuits1 wrote:
       | I want someone to want to explain it to me like I'm five?
        
       | zozbot234 wrote:
       | If you're desires are not too weird, you can certainly find a
       | fixpoint such that what you Want-To <repeated _n_ times > Want is
       | the same as what you Want. I'm not seeing any paradox here.
        
       | motohagiography wrote:
       | Aspirational desires, like wishing you liked a band your cool
       | friend did so that you could have that in common are real, but
       | the object of desire (what is wanted) is not the band, it's the
       | affection of the friend. You could say, "I wish all these things
       | I had made me happier," but they haven't, and therefore do not.
       | 
       | However, is this just not the logical artifact of the phrase
       | "want to," relating to its subject as a negative counterfactual?
       | To desire to want something is like trying to be funny, where if
       | you are, you aren't - hence to want-to-want, or wish you wanted,
       | means you don't actually want it. Maybe the solution is for each
       | thing I want, to say out loud, I do not want it, and hear which
       | statements give you the most peace?
        
       | lliamander wrote:
       | > Randomness destroys the ghost in the machine as effectively as
       | determinism.
       | 
       | I totally agree, and yet my encounter with academic philosophy
       | was that most people with a free-will orientation see that
       | randomness as precisely the origin of free will.
       | 
       | Personally, the only notion of free will that makes sense (and
       | the one to which I personally hold) is the notion of agent-
       | causation[1].
       | 
       | > it seemed to me that there might possibly be some way to get
       | out of trouble by arguing that I wasn't responsible for my
       | actions
       | 
       | The philosophical notion of free will is actually completely
       | irrelevant here. The relevant questions are a) "Is social
       | accountability psychologically effective and altering someone's
       | behavior?" and b) "what sorts of behavior modifications are
       | morally permissble?"
       | 
       | [1] https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/incompatibilism-
       | theories/...
        
       | mhb wrote:
       | Better versions considering the illusion of free will:
       | 
       | https://www.radiolab.org/episodes/revising-fault-line
       | 
       | https://www.samharris.org/blog/the-illusion-of-free-will
       | 
       | It could be there are others..
        
       | Errancer wrote:
       | Eh, this article touches on something important but 1. the
       | material aspect of determinism is the most boring one, if
       | everything is materially determined then so is our feeling of
       | freedom therefore it doesn't really change anything. Strawson has
       | a nice article about this called "Freedom and resentment" which
       | shows that the thesis of determinism doesn't really change
       | anything about our ethics. 2. the programming lingo seems to me
       | to make the issue more obscure rather than clear but the problem
       | he is mentioning is discussed under the name "second-order
       | desires" and is quite important since it leads to much more
       | interesting problem of determinism - the psychological
       | determinism. Usually we believe we have certain freedom in
       | choosing our beliefs through weighing and choosing our
       | interpretations of what is happening. The issue of psychological
       | determinism is threefold. First proposition is that our beliefs
       | change due to some causes, they don't simply pop into our head.
       | Second proposition is that our given beliefs will dictate what
       | interpretations will make sense to us. Therefore every cause will
       | make us believe what our current beliefs allow. Third proposition
       | is that our actions are driven by combination of beliefs and
       | desires. So ultimately we can't chose our actions since we can't
       | choose our beliefs and the hope for "freedom" is lost. What is
       | left is the will which is not free but driven by beliefs and
       | desires that are outside "our" control.
       | 
       | Now I don't know if I believe in this formulation of the problem
       | but among all formulations of determinism throughout history this
       | one is in my opinion the only one worth arguing about. I learned
       | about it by reading two texts by Bernard Williams and I would say
       | that he should be named the author of this formulation even
       | though he never used such name. The first text is his book
       | "Ethics and the limits of philosophy" and the second is the essay
       | "How free does the will need to be?". If someone is interested in
       | this issue then I would recommend following the citation trail of
       | the essay.
        
       | hbarka wrote:
       | What you want?
       | 
       | Rolling Stones https://youtu.be/krxU5Y9lCS8, Joe Jackson
       | https://youtu.be/XGqmiT7JJVg or New Radicals
       | https://youtu.be/DL7-CKirWZE ?
        
       | quantonomical wrote:
        
       | v_london wrote:
       | I saw lots of people criticizing PG's essay, but I really liked
       | it. Free will and agency are interesting philosophical topics to
       | wonder, even if they don't hold much practical value.
        
       | jvanderbot wrote:
       | You can do whatever you want, but the wanting is the hard part.
       | 
       | Once you realize what something truly requires, the interest
       | usually dries up.
       | 
       | TFA says this is the wrong model, and tries to get closer to
       | something else. But it's right enough that it's helped me to
       | avoid huge amounts of wasted effort and forced me to consider
       | what I truly want.
        
       | madrox wrote:
       | This reads like an autodidact's rediscovery of psychological
       | egoism: https://iep.utm.edu/psychological-egoism/
        
       | teg4n_ wrote:
       | Looks like PG finally took an Introduction to Philosophy class.
        
       | jagrsw wrote:
       | > the same way we can get arbitrarily close to 1 by adding more
       | 9s to a string of 9s
       | 
       | Technically 0.(9) == 1
        
         | distcs wrote:
         | What you say does not contradict what PG said. That is how
         | limits are defined, technically.
        
       | sph wrote:
       | I probably don't have much to contribute, but I wanted to share
       | some thoughts on the concept of free will Paul seems to brush
       | against.
       | 
       | I found the concept of free will at odds with my opinion that the
       | brain and physics are very deterministic. But one thing the "free
       | will doesn't exist" people tend to forget, is that the brain
       | rewires and changes itself.
       | 
       | You are destined to do what your brain is wired to do, but doing
       | anything rewires your brain. Some say even thought is able to
       | rewire your brain. The number of possible brain states at T+n
       | increases exponentially. So our constant reconfiguration of the
       | brain is our way out of determinism. That is, free will does
       | exist in a completely deterministic universe [1]
       | 
       | I shared because maybe someone can suggest some reading material
       | along these lines from someone much smarter than me. But for now,
       | I enjoy the idea that I have complete freedom in a very ordered
       | universe.
       | 
       | 1: there are some interesting corollaries to this idea. One among
       | them is that the interaction between other entities with similar
       | free will (other people) increases the complexity even further.
       | We are agents of chaos.
        
         | roberttod wrote:
         | Your description of rewiring the brain is an extra feedback
         | loop, makes the system more complex but doesn't break
         | determinism.
         | 
         | Regardless, even if the world isn't deterministic through e.g.
         | quantum mechanics, throwing dice to decide your next turn isn't
         | "free will" and doesn't make the case for free will any
         | stronger.
        
           | shrthnd wrote:
           | Suppose there are n number of hidden, indeterminate variables
           | in your environment... "You," the individual observer, are
           | free to choose the important variables to navigate life. Your
           | "mind" is the thing which assigns value to hidden variables
           | in your environment but "the mind" is not you... the "mind,"
           | from my perspective, is the mirror upon which we
           | witness/experience every day reality/waking life, etc.
           | 
           | If you think rolling dice is important, it is. If you think
           | randomness will effect and experiment, it will. If you don't
           | think randomness is important, it probably is... (a thing is
           | defined by what it is not.)
           | 
           | When you assign an indeterminate (X) value to randomness,
           | this is chaos. If/when you think or realize chaos is an
           | important part of free will... -\\_(tsu)_/-
           | 
           | Are you personally unable to select new variables or assign
           | different "weights"? If so, I contend, you don't exist.
        
         | oezi wrote:
         | As far as we know the universe isn't deterministic.
        
           | sph wrote:
           | Do we know it is non-deterministic, or do we not have any
           | proof it's one way or the other?
        
             | api wrote:
             | AFAIK hidden variable models have been ruled out in many
             | quantum scenarios. It really does appear that the universe
             | is not deterministic.
        
               | jagrsw wrote:
               | It opens itself up to interesting interpretations ;).
               | god(s) aka the simulation developer(s) playing with
               | outcomes of quantum events in order to manipulate your/my
               | behavior, punish the bad, reward the good, make the
               | bushes burn etc.
               | 
               | Since quantum events can have macroscopic outcomes, this
               | should be possible? :)
        
               | sph wrote:
               | It's probably due to artefacts and signal noise coming
               | from the outer-system that contains our universe and/or
               | the machine running our simulation, rather than God.
        
               | SkyPuncher wrote:
               | Combining this with an infinite universe theory, it could
               | also just be random noise intentionally introduced to a
               | specific "instance" of a universe.
        
               | oezi wrote:
               | To the best of our ability we haven't been able to detect
               | any signs of any strings which might point to a puppet
               | master or any mechanism by which anything as potentially
               | informationally massive as randomness could be
               | transferred to 'our' universe.
        
               | mistermann wrote:
               | Not quite: there are millions of people who claim the
               | existence of a God(s), or claim to have had "experiences"
               | with the same. However, to those raised in secular
               | environments, these claims "have" "no" validity, but this
               | is actually just the model of reality built by the mind
               | (what "is", in "reality"), which is heavily influenced by
               | the metaphysical framework one was raised/trained on, or
               | _exists within_.
               | 
               | Philosophy (logic, epistemology, etc) has more
               | appropriate tools and techniques for dealing with such
               | questions, but if one (one's mind) has been trained that
               | only the scientific method can provide knowledge, they
               | are kind of stuck at a local maxima (inside a "simulated
               | reality dome") that they are unable to see out of, or
               | typically even _want to_ see out of.
        
               | oezi wrote:
               | I think people do not deny those religious experiences
               | because there are experiments to trigger them and the
               | experiences can be observed for instance using brain
               | scans.
               | 
               | But what scientists deny is that we see any prove that
               | these experiences have any supernatural cause.
        
               | mistermann wrote:
               | > I think people do not deny those religious experiences
               | because there are experiments to trigger them and the
               | experiences can be observed for instance using brain
               | scans.
               | 
               | Some people, sure....but many people deny the
               | validity/genuineness of them, or the _potential_
               | existence of the supernatural _all the time_ - it 's
               | practically a sport on Reddit, not all that uncommon
               | right here on HN, and something I have experienced many,
               | many times with real scientists in zoom meetings. Let's
               | not forget: scientists are first and foremost _humans_.
               | 
               | > But what scientists deny is that we see any prove that
               | these experiences have any supernatural cause.
               | 
               | Some scientists practice strict/disciplined epistemology,
               | and others do not (I have observed it with my own eyes)
               | and go on to assert/imply that _it is a fact that_ there
               | is no God(s), and that these experiences _are only [in
               | fact]_ delusions, the drugs, social /psychological
               | conditioning (ironically), etc.
               | 
               | And if one is to ask them some pointed questions, the
               | response typically descends rapidly to rhetoric and
               | personal attacks. You can even explicitly point out to
               | people what they are doing, but they are not able to stop
               | - often, they will act as if they did not even see the
               | text pointing out their behavior, even if that phenomenon
               | is pointed out in subsequent messages!
               | 
               | I truly believe that there are certain topics that throw
               | even the most powerful minds into a state of disarray.
               | Extra interesting: it seems like most can acknowledge
               | that they are subject to bias, logical fallacies, etc _if
               | the topic of conversation is directly about these
               | psychological phenomena_....but if the topic is not that,
               | but rather from _a particular subset of special ideas_
               | (culture war topics, _certain instances of_ the unknown),
               | this knowledge and ability vanishes.
               | 
               | I think it would be rather hilarious if this phenomenon
               | is actually a very big deal (with regard to affairs on
               | Earth), but people are unable to address it (or even
               | manifest curiosity) _because of the phenomenon_.
               | Plausibly, ~success could be within reach, but we are
               | unable to reach out and grab onto it.
               | 
               | Meanwhile: things like climate change "are" (so it is
               | claimed/perceived) "a big deal". So much wasted
               | potential.
        
             | oezi wrote:
             | The things we can observe about the universe tell us that
             | it is non-deterministic.
             | 
             | You have to assume things we haven't been able to observe
             | to construct our universe as deterministic.
             | 
             | And it is pretty simple things such as radioactive decay of
             | a single atom in a vacuum which are pretty easy to grasp.
        
         | jagrsw wrote:
         | > brain and physics are very deterministic
         | 
         | Not to get too much into the 'quantum woo' territory, but my
         | naive understanding is that the physics is only somewhat
         | deterministic, b/c non-deterministic quantum events can have
         | macroscopic effects?
         | 
         | Say you decide for whether you'll eat a dinner, if a particle
         | with half-time of 1 second will split within the next second.
         | 
         | This you wouldn't be able to predict, even if you knew momenta
         | of all particles within your local light-cone (of 1 light-
         | second), no?
         | 
         | (a variation of the Schroedinger's cat)
        
           | AlexandrB wrote:
           | The problem is quantum effects are random. Even if they
           | impact our behavior, RNG is not what most people think of
           | when they say "free will".
           | 
           | In my opinion, any coherent definition of "free will" implies
           | a supernatural force - since it must be non-random yet not
           | bound by deterministic chemical and physical processes. At
           | this point it becomes a matter of faith/religion whether we
           | have free will or not.
        
             | pydry wrote:
             | Are there any coherent definitions of free will?
             | 
             | I dont think I've ever seen a disprovable definition. It's
             | like "god" or "love".
        
               | drdeca wrote:
               | I think I can give some sufficient conditions for a case
               | in which I would consider someone to have "ceased to have
               | free will".
               | 
               | If someone X with some manner of advanced brain altering
               | technology was able to temporarily force someone Z's
               | actions to be whatever X specified into the machine, with
               | afterwards Z remembered the experience as their taking
               | these actions for whatever reasons X specified in the
               | input (where this is achieved by influencing whatever is
               | going on in Z's head at the time, not via altering
               | memories),
               | 
               | then, during that duration, I think it would make sense
               | to say that Z "did not have free will" for that duration.
               | 
               | As for sufficient conditions for someone to _have_ "free
               | will", I suppose I don't have a great description.
               | 
               | However, "what/who we are is the primary explanation for
               | what we do (and so in particular, no external
               | influence/manipulation is a primary explanation)" seems,
               | like it has at least something right towards the goal of
               | a good definition.
        
         | solarist wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compatibilism
         | 
         | (But personally I don't think that your argument holds)
         | 
         | Also http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2020/10/you-dont-have-
         | free-...
        
         | SkyPuncher wrote:
         | > I found the concept of free will at odds with my opinion that
         | the brain and physics are very deterministic.
         | 
         | IMO, this is the prime example of theory vs practice. In my
         | opinion, our universe is deterministic at a theoretical level,
         | but will never be practically deterministic.
         | 
         | * Everything is likely made of a fundamental building block
         | that can be predicted and modeled. In isolation, there is a
         | small enough system that can be represented deterministically.
         | 
         | * The universe is far, far too complex to apply determinism in
         | any meaningful way.
         | 
         | * Any device able to model the determinism of the universe at a
         | fundamental would itself be non-deterministic. That devices
         | would either (1) need to model itself - which would be
         | infinitely recursive since the model of itself would also need
         | to model itself (2) isolated from the universe - which is
         | currently impossible and also implies that our universe is a
         | simulation within another system (3) operate on
         | abstractions/simplifications - which leaves room for error.
         | 
         | * Finally, determinism is only practically useful if it can be
         | used to (1) repeatedly generate the same results for the same
         | inputs (2) or, predict the results based on knowing the inputs.
         | * 1. This will never be possible because we operate within the
         | system being modeled. That system progresses forward and the
         | same inputs can never be utilized more than once (some variable
         | somewhere would be different).            * 2. We are so
         | incredibly far from modeling determinism that it's still
         | impossible to predict results for known inputs. There will
         | always be unknown in a model that leads to error.
        
         | wodenokoto wrote:
         | > I found the concept of free will at odds with my opinion that
         | the brain and physics are very deterministic.
         | 
         | Physics don't have to be deterministic in order to be at odds
         | with free will. Whether neurons fire due to a predefined
         | pattern, or they fire with some probabilities do not change the
         | equation for "how can a biological machine have free will?"
         | Choice is at odds with both predefined rules and drawing from a
         | random variable.
         | 
         | > You are destined to do what your brain is wired to do, but
         | doing anything rewires your brain. Some say even thought is
         | able to rewire your brain. The number of possible brain states
         | at T+n increases exponentially. So our constant reconfiguration
         | of the brain is our way out of determinism. That is, free will
         | does exist in a completely deterministic universe.
         | 
         | I completely fail to see how you ended up at that conclusion
         | from that argument. A recursive function, that mutates itself
         | is still bound by it's rules for mutation and recursiveness.
         | Choice doesn't grow out of an exponentially growing number of
         | possible states.
        
           | sph wrote:
           | I have tried to answer to your last paragraph in 2 or 3
           | different ways but it's such a complex argument I don't think
           | I'm smart enough to express simply and eloquently in a forum
           | comment.
           | 
           | But I very much appreciate the food for thought and input
           | you've given me.
        
           | csdvrx wrote:
           | > I completely fail to see how you ended up at that
           | conclusion from that argument. A recursive function, that
           | mutates itself is still bound by it's rules for mutation and
           | recursiveness. Choice doesn't grow out of an exponentially
           | growing number of possible states.
           | 
           | Not if you add a few random variables. Radioactive elements
           | disintegration seems random. May other things could be as
           | well.
        
         | wnkrshm wrote:
         | Even without quantum effects, determinism doesn't enable us to
         | do much with it, except statistical ensemble predictions. We
         | can never know the initial state of a system to infinite
         | precision, as is needed to predict its trajectory. [0]
         | 
         | [0] Light-ish reading on nonlinear dynamics: James Gleick -
         | Chaos: Making a New Science
        
         | SuoDuanDao wrote:
         | Regarding reading suggestions, you'd probably like Wolfram's
         | cellular Automata theory.
         | 
         | accessible intro: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ez773teNFYA
        
         | bjarneh wrote:
         | > but I wanted to share
         | 
         | Are you sure?
        
         | slothtrop wrote:
         | The weakness of the perfect determinism model is nothing would
         | ever happen if it were true. The leap to bacteria to
         | mitochondrion to humans was not pre-determined, randomness is
         | part of the equation.
         | 
         | I could buy that will isn't free in an absolute sense, but
         | neither is it entirely deterministic. The question is whether
         | the confounding factor for the latter has anything to do with
         | the individual, but you can't divorce it from nature. There's
         | no meaningful difference between "you chose x" and "your brain
         | chose x".
         | 
         | There's also a socio-cultural reason I dislike pure determinism
         | which is that it's used as bludgeon to absolve one of
         | responsibility, justify inaction, bad behavior, or Socialism.
        
           | scott_w wrote:
           | While I don't think the universe is deterministic, the
           | existence of evolution isn't proof of this. It's possible
           | that what we perceive as "randomness" is actually just the
           | result of variables and things happening that we're not able
           | to perceive.
           | 
           | Take rolling a dice: which number comes up is determined by
           | the starting conditions, the force you throw it with, what it
           | lands on and any external forces acting during the throw.
           | It's not random at all, just hard to predict.
        
             | slothtrop wrote:
             | Well you can't conflate the banality of rolling dice with
             | evolution. Based on what I've read, randomness has been a
             | necessity for it's fruition, but of course this isn't my
             | field.
        
       | distcs wrote:
       | Why is PG writing these pseudo-scientific metaphysical posts? His
       | last post on Alien Truth was a disaster. Now this?
       | 
       | I normally enjoy PG's writings! His writings on Lisp had good
       | influence on me. But these recent posts are embarrassing.
       | 
       | How can someone who has had so much influence in tech communities
       | bring themselves to write these pseudo-scientific posts so
       | glibly?
        
         | jlg23 wrote:
         | A cursory reading gives the impression he expresses the ideas
         | behind Sartre's "The Transcendence of the Ego"[1], which I
         | consider one of the most influential texts I read as a
         | teenager.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Transcendence_of_the_Ego
        
         | omarhaneef wrote:
         | He writes whatever he wants to write about.
         | 
         | And he would argue, he can't control what he wants to write
         | about.
         | 
         | What makes you want to make him not want to write what he wants
         | to write about?
         | 
         | Well, unfortunately, you can't control it either!
        
         | trabant00 wrote:
         | The post doesn't resonate with me either but it's not pseudo-
         | scientific, it's philosophical. It might not be exactly
         | Socrates but I was not aware that there was a bar for a blog
         | post, nor do I think even Socrates produced great ideas only.
         | It might be just a small step in creation of the model a man
         | holds for free will, and he might even wake up tomorrow
         | thinking he was completely wrong today. It's still valid to
         | philosophize and put it in a personal blog.
        
         | 3pt14159 wrote:
         | After a while the speed at which a fan turns in a circle in
         | order to move heated air off a CPU stops being interesting and
         | larger questions that aren't as falsifiable start to seem
         | interesting since they have so many implications to the
         | practical questions that do matter.
         | 
         | For example, "does God exist?" has huge influence on how we
         | think of why wars are caused.
         | 
         | The trouble is that much of philosophy is castles built on
         | sand. The first principles are accepted and then built upon
         | with potentially faulty links from layer to layer until it all
         | starts getting weird. Marxism, Objectivism, Spinozism, etc.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | qsort wrote:
           | At least for me -- and I'm certain I'm not alone on this --
           | what makes a question interesting is not the question itself
           | but rather how one approaches it.
           | 
           | To what extent humans and other life forms have agency is a
           | question one can approach with things like neuroscience or
           | with things like vacuous word salad.
           | 
           | > The trouble is that much of philosophy is castles built on
           | sand.
           | 
           | Most serious philosophers would agree with the idea that
           | scientific evidence is a good way to rule out beliefs
           | inconsistent with reality.
           | 
           | Almost zero serious economists are marxists, almost zero
           | serious philosophers embrace Spinoza with no revisions, and
           | please don't read Ayn Rand.
        
             | 3pt14159 wrote:
             | > Most serious philosophers would agree with the idea that
             | scientific evidence is a good way to rule out beliefs
             | inconsistent with reality.
             | 
             | And how did they get to that conclusion? The answer of
             | whether or not the mind or the senses can be relied upon as
             | a path to bedrock truth is something that cannot be found
             | with scientific inquiry because it begs the question.
             | 
             | > Almost zero serious economists are marxists, almost zero
             | serious philosophers embrace Spinoza with no revisions, and
             | please don't read Ayn Rand.
             | 
             | It is precisely that these philosophers were so well
             | followed, and presently rejected, that I enumerated them as
             | examples of castles built on sand. The very same thing
             | could be said of Russell. If there were a public event,
             | more apparent than even the nuclear explosions that went
             | off in Japan, that was strong evidence for the First Cause
             | argument much of Russell turns to mush.
             | 
             | That a philosopher is serious or not is a function of time
             | and opinion. Not veracity.
             | 
             | > what makes a question interesting
             | 
             | What makes your response interesting to me is that Russel
             | had the very same counterargument to Solipsism and in my
             | opinion Russel decided that he couldn't find the rock so he
             | built his philosophy on sand.
             | 
             | This question was important to me so I went searching in
             | philosophy and I found some value there, some manners of
             | perception that proved useful, but it, in my opinion, is a
             | largely broken field.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | > Most serious philosophers would agree with the idea that
             | scientific evidence is a good way to rule out beliefs
             | inconsistent with reality.
             | 
             | Only for the subset of beliefs that are related to physical
             | reality - metaphysical matters are beyond the physical
             | sciences, although psychology is generally considered a
             | science and contributes some value to the discussion.
        
           | abudabi123 wrote:
           | There is a serious claim from a reputable source the impeller
           | design is better than the fan for CPU cooling but the
           | implementation is not widely used perhaps for reason of
           | intellectualization appealing to faith in God at maintaining
           | artificial scarcity.
        
         | klpolg wrote:
         | He's currently on the AI train. Humans are made of matter,
         | neural networks, etc.
         | 
         | Many of his recent essays are pushing a company or a group of
         | companies. The original essays were much better.
        
         | nullcipher wrote:
         | He is free to write whatever he wants. What's the problem?
        
         | qsort wrote:
         | It's a long-standing tradition in the hacker community to delve
         | into stuff one only has a cursory understanding of.
         | 
         | At times it's productive, as it helps uncover intellectual
         | impostures. At times it's just embarrassing.
        
           | eckza wrote:
           | It's gonna be super fun for absolutely nobody but the
           | hecklers when he finds out about Lacan.
        
           | nowherebeen wrote:
           | Or does he have so much free time because of how wealthy he
           | has become through YC that he has lost touch with reality.
           | Now he spends all his free time thinking you can't want to
           | want what you want. Or is it you can't (want to)* want what
           | you want?
        
         | iLoveOncall wrote:
         | A variant of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nobel_disease
         | probably.
        
         | jean_tta wrote:
         | A very smart man, PG himself, once said [0]: > I actually worry
         | a lot that as I get "popular" I'll be able to get away with
         | saying stupider stuff than I would have dared say before.
         | 
         | PG started writing essays about what he knows well
         | (programming, start ups), then about things he knows a bit
         | (painting) and then stuff like this, or his essays on economic
         | policy. In any case, he predicted his own future quite well.
         | 
         | [0] quoted here
         | https://idlewords.com/2005/04/dabblers_and_blowhards.htm from
         | there http://lemonodor.com/archives/001091.html#c8508
        
           | hef19898 wrote:
           | Popularity and power seem to do that to people quite often,
           | don't say? Which is said, especially in PG's case, because I
           | like his older essays a lot. The now ones, well, not so much.
        
             | nowherebeen wrote:
             | His older essays are grounded in experience. These ones he
             | is trying to be Socrates - it's embarrassing.
        
             | starkd wrote:
             | Well, at least he kept this one short!
        
               | hef19898 wrote:
               | True, others would have made a three hour podcast out of
               | it. Potentially involving lobsters or something...
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | There's a similar thing seen with authors - as they get
             | more famous, apparently editors find it harder and harder
             | to get them to rewrite their works, and later books can
             | swell in size for no real advantage.
             | 
             | As you get richer and more famous, it becomes harder and
             | harder to find an editor/friend you will _trust_ to tell
             | you you 're being stupid. You can use the internet at large
             | (that's always full of people to tell you you're stupid)
             | but it can be quite hard to filter.
        
         | seafoam wrote:
         | It is simple.
         | 
         | In this case he is just trying to figure out how to write the
         | macro the expansion of which is motivation.
        
         | zug_zug wrote:
         | Disaster...?
         | 
         | It's a cool old dude sharing his shower thoughts on the
         | internet. What exactly are the negative consequences of these
         | writeups?
         | 
         | It feels like such an overstatement that it makes me wonder if
         | there's something else at play here...
        
         | nopinsight wrote:
         | Do people still read philosophical writings by the likes of
         | Plato and Socrates?
         | 
         | This piece like quite a few others is a kind of musings which
         | many find interesting and PG doesn't claim it to be scientific.
         | 
         | There are areas of human interests that lie well outside our
         | scientific capabilities. People should be allowed to speculate
         | on them. Reasonable conjectures often precede solid
         | evidence/proofs in math and science.
         | 
         | This reminds me of:
         | 
         | "PhD student, c.2020: Here's a limited argument I made based on
         | years of specialized research. Hope it's OK
         | 
         | Philosopher dude, c.1770: Here are some Thoughts I had in the
         | Bath. They constitute Universal & Self-Evident Laws of Nature.
         | FIGHT ME."
         | 
         | Source:
         | https://twitter.com/ethicsinbricks/status/122555554335763251...
        
           | papascrubs wrote:
           | I was gonna say. This is very much discourse. It's someone's
           | musings. What's so cringy about this? It never claims to be
           | scientific; it never attempts to persuade or even really
           | argue.
           | 
           | 100% your twitter reference.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | My beef with it is that it is a series of opinions stated
             | in the form of facts. If the topic was something like
             | programming, CPU's, etc this approach would not go over so
             | well, but for certain topics it seems like concern for the
             | truth is ~unacceptable.
             | 
             | And why does this matter, at least plausibly? In my
             | opinion, because of this:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_truth_effect
             | 
             | I believe that if humans get the idea in their head that
             | they have no free will, it could be detrimental to rising
             | to serious challenges like climate change, inequality, etc.
        
               | papascrubs wrote:
               | I can understand that. And I appreciate you sharing your
               | opinion and thoughts on it. I'm not familiar with the
               | Illusory truth effect but will get some reading into
               | today (thanks for the link!)
               | 
               | In speaking. I try to approach things as always mutable.
               | If I put a disclaimer in front of everything I state
               | (when I perceive the I talk about to always be some form
               | of a hypothesis based on the data that I currently have),
               | it tends to slow down discourse and get very messy. In my
               | mind, because I've already accepted the potential for bad
               | data-- that's how I approach others works/papers. There
               | are no absolute truths in anyone's words (or very likely
               | period).
               | 
               | I understand your concerns around this (and at least from
               | my current understanding of our social/political issues)
               | and I agree. It is extremely dangerous and detrimental to
               | hold beliefs like that. However, one could argue that a
               | substantial portion of our society already holds those
               | beliefs. They ignore the free will that they have and
               | operate inside of the system that they perceive.
               | 
               | No real arguments/points here. Just chewing on
               | things/"thinking out-loud". I think it's equally
               | important for people to be able to share thoughts in an
               | unformed state (in the right environment).
        
               | mistermann wrote:
               | Rarely do I get any agreement on these ideas, so many
               | thanks for that.
               | 
               | Unsurprisingly, I am interested in some clarification:
               | 
               | > If I put a disclaimer in front of everything I state
               | (when I perceive the I talk about to always be some form
               | of a hypothesis based on the data that I currently have),
               | it tends to slow down discourse and get very messy.
               | 
               | The domain of science typically involves overwhelming (in
               | a text conversation scenario) amounts of complexity as
               | well....but they realized the problem, found a way to
               | manage it, and went on to produce amazing results.
               | Unfortunately, science does not have mastery over all of
               | reality (confident claims and perceptions to the contrary
               | notwithstanding). Perhaps something similar could be done
               | in other domains.
               | 
               | As it is, it seems to me that thinking on top of
               | approximations of reality that are perceived as reality
               | itself is sub-optimal, and dangerous. I think most people
               | could appreciate this in the case of science, but in
               | other domains it is very often considered _absurd_.
               | 
               | > In my mind, because I've already accepted the potential
               | for bad data-- that's how I approach others works/papers.
               | 
               | "In my mind" - watch out! :)
               | 
               | > There are no absolute truths in anyone's words (or very
               | likely period).
               | 
               | Disagree - if one has decent skills in set theory,
               | abstraction/decomposition, and tautological framing of
               | ideas, it is not difficult at all to achieve absolute
               | (but vague/non-comprehensive) truth. That's not the
               | finish line, but you can get WAY further down the track
               | than someone who does not have such abilities.
               | 
               | > I understand your concerns around this (and at least
               | from my current understanding of our social/political
               | issues) and I agree. It is extremely dangerous and
               | detrimental to hold beliefs like that.
               | 
               | And as far as I can tell: this is the methodology of the
               | vast majority (90%+++) of people....and some of these are
               | The _Literal_ Experts, or people who believe they know
               | The Way humanity needs to go to solve climate change.
               | _What could go wrong!!??_
        
               | papascrubs wrote:
               | > Rarely do I get any agreement on these ideas, so many
               | thanks for that. > Unsurprisingly, I am interested in
               | some clarification:
               | 
               | >> If I put a disclaimer in front of everything I state
               | (when I perceive the I talk about to always be some form
               | of a hypothesis based on the data that I currently have),
               | it tends to slow down discourse and get very messy.
               | 
               | > The domain of science typically involves overwhelming
               | (in a text conversation scenario) amounts of complexity
               | as well....but they realized the problem, found a way to
               | manage it, and went on to produce amazing results.
               | Unfortunately, science does not have mastery over all of
               | reality (confident claims and perceptions to the contrary
               | notwithstanding). Perhaps something similar could be done
               | in other domains.
               | 
               | I think using science here was an exceptional example.
               | It's good to note that the scientific process itself has
               | evolved over time. I don't have all the answers, but I'm
               | happy to re-analyze and adjust my processes given new
               | data
               | 
               | > As it is, it seems to me that thinking on top of
               | approximations of reality that are perceived as reality
               | itself is sub-optimal, and dangerous. I think most people
               | could appreciate this in the case of science, but in
               | other domains it is very often considered absurd.
               | 
               | I can agree with that in part. Ideas must come from
               | somewhere though. Sometimes that source is abstract and
               | we don't understand all of the various
               | linkages/connections; sometimes it's a known source and
               | we understand in part all the things they are connected
               | to. I think it's important to enable discourse and
               | "thinking out loud" by labelling/tagging things as such.
               | 
               | >> In my mind, because I've already accepted the
               | potential for bad data-- that's how I approach others
               | works/papers.
               | 
               | >"In my mind" - watch out! :)
               | 
               | I'm comfortable with having my ideas challenged because
               | I'm open to revising them. I should probably change this
               | to 'my methodology is' or something more distinct. Merely
               | attempting to convey here that I (try) to use a conscious
               | approach when approaching others works. And I attempt to
               | challenge myself regarding my own ideas on a regular
               | basis.
               | 
               | > Disagree - if one has decent skills in set theory,
               | abstraction/decomposition, and tautological framing of
               | ideas, it is not difficult at all to achieve absolute
               | (but vague/non-comprehensive) truth. That's not the
               | finish line, but you can get WAY further down the track
               | than someone who does not have such abilities.
               | 
               | I would argue that's not an absolute ;) But instead, I
               | think both of our points, the important thing to identify
               | is that it's not the finish line. It can be modified or
               | adjusted or simply re-analyzed given new data.
               | 
               | Society seems to tend to think of ideas as a binary when
               | there are often various levels of maturity involved.
               | What's important to me in this instance is that the
               | product isn't labelled as final. Change is a constant,
               | even if things don't change directly, our information
               | about them and perception of them do, which requires re-
               | evaluating things often. Science is great at doing this,
               | people (in general) are not. I think that many people
               | would benefit from approaching things in a more
               | scientific and/or philosophical fashion.
               | 
               | > I understand your concerns around this (and at least
               | from my current understanding of our social/political
               | issues) and I agree. It is extremely dangerous and
               | detrimental to hold beliefs like that.
               | 
               | > And as far as I can tell: this is the methodology of
               | the vast majority (90%+++) of people....and some of these
               | are The Literal Experts, or people who believe they know
               | The Way humanity needs to go to solve climate change.
               | What could go wrong!!??
               | 
               | Expert is a dangerous word. An expert to me is someone
               | that can adapt a methodology/approach. Not dogmatic
               | follow something. I'd argue that for someone to be an
               | expert in their field, they need to be able to understand
               | and account for incoming data. I'd agree with you on that
               | point. Many experts spout dogma, sometimes we're just
               | lucky/unlucky that they aren't spouting the dogma we
               | agree with.
               | 
               | I appreciate the discourse!
        
           | Thursday24 wrote:
           | A more stark example is that of Newton. A true philosopher,
           | by hacker news standards he'd be considered a misguided
           | madman, since he spent 2/3rd of his life on "unproductive"
           | topics such as religion and alchemy. However, the
           | "productive" 1/3rd cannot be separated from the rest.
           | 
           | One must remember that the word "scientist" was coined merely
           | in 1834...the word isn't 100 year old even. Newton saw
           | himself as a philosopher, he studied the ancients intently,
           | etc. The same applies to many of his contemporaries as well.
           | 
           | My overall point is, one shouldn't judge a person too harshly
           | for any particular piece, while ignoring their larger
           | contributions and efforts.
        
       | 63 wrote:
       | I wouldn't go so far as to call this gibberish like other
       | commenters, but I don't get the point. I follow the logic but it
       | feels incomplete. Why does the thesis matter?
        
       | stephc_int13 wrote:
       | A common misunderstanding about the human brain is that we think
       | of the higher part to be more or less in control of the rest,
       | like a conductor with an orchestra or a pilot with an airplane.
       | 
       | The reality is much weirder and complex.
        
       | alfor wrote:
       | My take at the moment is that each humans are like cells of a
       | human where the human is a civilisation.
       | 
       | We have autonomy but must generally work for the welfare of the
       | whole organism. If some people are not aligned to the general
       | good we try to dissuade them or punish them because if it become
       | too big the whole system collapse in the same way that our
       | organism would if there is too many cancer cells.
       | 
       | Our consciousness operate on the scale of a human life but there
       | is a similar "consciousness" of the civilisation that operate on
       | a much larger timescale, thousand of years, we call those
       | religions.
       | 
       | While we can seek personal gain, it's much the same as a cell
       | trying to outcompete it's neighborhoods, it's misaligned to the
       | more important goal of global welfare. There is something inside
       | us in our soul that know this and won't make you satisfied of
       | yourself if you are not a net positive for the whole.
       | 
       | Now we have looked everywhere to try to find the God of our
       | stories but didn't (it's a pattern operating on a different
       | timescale). So we are like cells that rebelled against the
       | organism, discarting all the rules that we had because we don't
       | understand them. The result will be a sickness of the organism up
       | to a point where we see we have to go back to our ancients rules
       | or the death of the organism (civilisation collapse)
       | 
       | Those rules are: each must try to align himself with truth and
       | love toward others, must try it's best, it's ok to fail, but
       | recognised it and improve.
       | 
       | Those rules are the preconditions for the survival and slow
       | improvement of our civilisation.
       | 
       | Other religions have other rules and other outcomes.
        
       | kajaktum wrote:
       | I used to think that free will existed but now I am surprised we
       | even think that. Just looking inwards is enough to convince me
       | that I have no idea what I am going to think next, type next, or
       | how I am even going to finish this sentence. It simply arrives
       | and I am the first (and possibly only) one to experience it. I
       | cannot will the will to will.
        
         | slfnflctd wrote:
         | As someone who's struggled with addiction most of my life, the
         | idea that free will doesn't exist is worse than useless to me.
         | 
         | The way we experience our lives indicates that we make choices
         | and they have consequences. I don't know what kind of life you
         | would have if you suddenly decided to stop making choices one
         | day, but you would probably end up institutionalized if it
         | didn't kill you first.
         | 
         | Even if my choices are predetermined somehow, I can do an end
         | run around that by flipping coins or rolling dice when faced
         | with multiple options. I have in fact done so on many
         | occasions. At that point I didn't choose, RNG did. You could
         | argue a particular coin flip was predetermined to land on
         | 'heads', but I cannot see how that argument is useful if it
         | doesn't lead to making better predictions.
        
           | kajaktum wrote:
           | If thinking about free will causes you suffering. I implore
           | you to not read further. I do not intent to cause any
           | suffering.
           | 
           | >The way we experience our lives indicates that we make
           | choices and they have consequences
           | 
           | Even if we don't "make" our choices, why would that not
           | matter? Experience matter (it's the only thing that matter).
           | It still matters that some unconscious rock fell over your
           | head. It matters that you "decides" to be better because that
           | means that you will experience better life.
           | 
           | I am sorry to hear that you struggled with addiction and I
           | can understand that some knowledge is poison. We do not drill
           | the concept of suffering to our young children every waking
           | minute of their life. That does not mean that any of those
           | things are untrue. If your doctor consistently denies that
           | death is a concept you would rightly be asking for a
           | different one. Truth matters.
           | 
           | I have some addiction problems myself and I think free will
           | is one of the most poisonous concept. It says that the lotus
           | of blame is solely on me. _I_ have to decide to change and
           | actually perform it. But we know better than that, we know
           | that _I_ can be influenced. Therefore we know to avoid things
           | that feeds into our addiction. I can't just "not do it".
           | 
           | >I have in fact done so on many occasions. At that point I
           | didn't choose, RNG did.
           | 
           | You did not choose to follow this through. You could have
           | easily said, "I am going to do the opposite of this to assert
           | my free will! Take that!" and you didn't choose to do this
           | either.
        
         | jondeval wrote:
         | > I used to think that free will existed but now I am surprised
         | we even think that.
         | 
         | How about over a longer time period? For example, say you want
         | to pickup a new good habit and get rid of a bad habit. When you
         | start to intentionally make thousands of little choices over
         | time that all add up to a major change in your life, can't you
         | say that you freely chose that path?
         | 
         | Even if each individual impulse along the way maintains a
         | connection to a more materialist/deterministic set of causes,
         | you can still meaningfully talk about your own free will at
         | this higher level of abstraction. What am I missing?
        
           | kajaktum wrote:
           | >want >intentionally >chose
           | 
           | None of these words make sense. I can't want what I want
           | (author's thesis here). This higher level of abstraction that
           | you talk about is an illusion caused by not paying attention.
           | I can ruminate for years about how I am going to do this and
           | that; but at the end of the day, the impetus to actually do
           | it is still mysterious. I can't want to change. I just
           | change. I just do the little things that shifts my life for
           | the better and then one day just simply stop. I can forge
           | some reasons as to why I change but I could have easily
           | muster my way through it. Can I choose how much will power I
           | have?
           | 
           | Now people will say because free will doesn't exist means
           | that choices don't matter. It absolutely does. The fact that
           | you "chose" to do good things matter. Because experiences
           | matter. Because experience pain/suffering however you wish to
           | define it is not a "good" thing.
           | 
           | I can perfectly understand some issues people have with this
           | concept because it causes them trouble with their
           | addiction/depression. But just because we tell lies like we
           | always do in programming to facilitate
           | discussion/teaching/abstraction does not mean that those
           | things are not real. You don't want to make decisions on a
           | national/scale on lies that you tell yourself to get to
           | sleep.
        
             | jondeval wrote:
             | Thank you. I appreciate you wanting and choosing to
             | respond.
        
               | kajaktum wrote:
               | You're welcome (as I smile not out of my free will)
        
       | superb-owl wrote:
       | Schrodinger had an interesting resolution to this paradox, which
       | I wrote about recently:
       | 
       | https://superbowl.substack.com/p/church-of-reality-schroding...
        
       | nnoitra wrote:
        
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