[HN Gopher] Global Shipping Container Shortage Is Now a Containe...
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       Global Shipping Container Shortage Is Now a Container Surplus
        
       Author : t23
       Score  : 11 points
       Date   : 2022-11-13 16:29 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (jalopnik.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (jalopnik.com)
        
       | mwint wrote:
       | Tonight at 9: Surprising doomsayers, the market worked again!
        
         | sudosysgen wrote:
         | Taking multiple years to correct a critical shortage and then
         | overcorrecting is not a good example of markets being
         | efficient. Any kind of system that responds to usage can do
         | this, the criteria is about speed of correction, lack of
         | oscillation, and avoidance of side effects.
        
         | mindslight wrote:
         | If you ever rent a truck/trailer, please have someone else load
         | it. Wild oscillation is not desirable behavior.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mW_gzdh6to
        
           | mwint wrote:
           | I mean, I have probably loaded and driven heavier loads than
           | you have. This analogy is about as strained as it gets.
        
             | mindslight wrote:
             | Perhaps. It wasn't an analogy, but rather a vibrant
             | reference to the concept of oscillation. Your original
             | comment declares a simplistic version of "working" based
             | around having reached one specific condition, while writing
             | off the dynamic system behavior and other effects that
             | occurred while getting to this point.
             | 
             | Now, do we have reasons to be believe that this oscillation
             | between shortage and surplus will grow or diminish? Will
             | the next half-cycle of the oscillation create negative
             | qualitative effects, even if it is ultimately diminishing?
             | 
             | I'm not saying there are easy answers to those questions,
             | but we're better off being able to ask them.
        
               | mwint wrote:
               | Maybe we can ask a related question: How can we profit
               | from these oscillations? If they're predictable, there
               | should be an arbitrage opportunity.
        
               | MrMan wrote:
               | I just bought a shipping container so I am doing my part
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | heavenlyblue wrote:
               | How about you suggest an actual business plan than an
               | abstract idea?
        
       | BiteCode_dev wrote:
       | To quote taleb
       | (https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1533067876671885312):
       | 
       | "...while I've seen gluts not followed by squeezes, I've never
       | seen a squeeze not followed by a glut."
        
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       (page generated 2022-11-13 23:02 UTC)