[HN Gopher] Sea levels might rise much faster than thought, Gree...
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Sea levels might rise much faster than thought, Greenland data
suggest
Author : elorant
Score : 25 points
Date : 2022-11-12 18:56 UTC (4 hours ago)
(HTM) web link (www.space.com)
(TXT) w3m dump (www.space.com)
| david_allison wrote:
| Predicted at least as far back as 2007
|
| > Despite these early warnings about likely future nonlinear
| rapid response, IPCC continues, at least implicitly, to assume a
| linear response to BAU [business-as-usual: 3degC] forcings. Yet
| BAU forcings exceed by far any forcings in recent palaeoclimate
| history.
|
| > Part of the explanation for the inconsistency between
| palaeoclimate data and IPCC projections lies in the fact that
| existing ice sheet models are missing realistic (if any)
| representation of the physics of ice streams and icequakes,
| processes that are needed to obtain realistic nonlinear
| behaviour.
|
| Hansen James, Sato Makiko, Kharecha Pushker, Russell Gary, Lea
| David W and Siddall Mark 2007 Climate change and trace gases
| Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.3651925-1954
| http://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2052
|
| [PDF]
| https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2007/2007_Hansen_ha02210k.pd...
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(page generated 2022-11-12 23:02 UTC)