[HN Gopher] Twitter users jump to Mastodon, but what is it?
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       Twitter users jump to Mastodon, but what is it?
        
       Author : app4soft
       Score  : 288 points
       Date   : 2022-11-06 18:54 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.com)
        
       | audessuscest wrote:
       | For most people it means trusting unknown people with their data
       | and trusting them to not delete your account or turn off the
       | instance eventually, which doesn't make it really better than
       | twitter. Ideally everyone should run its own instance but it
       | won't be the case.
        
         | rem7 wrote:
         | How's that different from trusting Twitter? You can export your
         | data everyday and back it up if you want. Move to another
         | server and restore.
        
       | primeradical wrote:
       | Pretty clear a good portion of the Twitter users moving to
       | Mastodon don't understand that it's a federated application, and
       | expect a centralized Twitter clone.
       | 
       | If your complaint is Elon's flavor of moderation on Twitter,
       | moving to a Mastodon server with an admin with their own fun and
       | unique ideas about moderation isn't the tea.
        
         | wheats wrote:
         | >moving to a Mastodon server with an admin with their own fun
         | and unique ideas about moderation isn't the tea.
         | 
         | Well, that's supposed to be the benefit of Mastodon, isn't it?
         | Every platform has moderation rules and owners/admins, and
         | every platform will have these things change periodically.
         | Mastodon is built around the idea that you can easily migrate
         | your data to a different instance without having to leave the
         | platform if you disagree with how it is being run. You can even
         | be your own owner/admin of an instance if you feel strongly
         | enough about it but still be on the same platform as other
         | users you follow.
        
           | TrueGeek wrote:
           | > Mastodon is built around the idea that you can easily
           | migrate your data to a different instance without having to
           | leave the platform if you disagree with how it is being run
           | 
           | I'm not super clear on how it works. If you do this, what
           | happens to the people who follow you? Since they had to type
           | in your address (including instance) wouldn't you lose all
           | followers in this case?
        
             | _djo_ wrote:
             | The migration tool publishes a message to the instances of
             | each of your followers informing them of your new handle,
             | which in theory then gets updated seamlessly.
             | 
             | It was pretty rough when first introduced but seems to be
             | solid now.
        
             | abraham wrote:
             | Moving accounts brings your followers with you.
             | https://docs.joinmastodon.org/user/moving/
        
           | primeradical wrote:
           | Totally agree, that's the fundamental principle of Mastodon
           | and I like it.
           | 
           | But I think some people are just looking for "the other
           | Twitter." Mastodon is a philosophically different idea to
           | Twitter's centralized moderation.
           | 
           | I think other conversations about the network affect are apt
           | here. Yeah, you can move to a different server all you want
           | but in reality people want to be where other people are and
           | don't actually want to migrate if they can help it. People
           | aggregating in one place is the antithesis of the Mastodon
           | federation.
           | 
           | If Mastodon does really catch on, it'll be a single digit
           | number of high population servers that probably all end up
           | having similar content moderation policy to Twitter to
           | attract the most number of users. There won't be a grand
           | utopia of a flat distribution of uniquely moderated servers.
        
             | rolenthedeep wrote:
             | IME, none of that actually matters at a practical level.
             | 
             | I think the biggest mistake Eugen had made is simply
             | listing the number of users on an instance. Users will
             | almost always pick the instance with the highest user
             | count, which is counter productive in all sorts of ways.
             | 
             | Instead, we should push users to find an instance that
             | matches their interests, and then show them the federated
             | timeline. That's really all you need to take a user from
             | Twitter and get them comfortable on mastodon.
             | 
             | But then again, Eugen dropped the federated timeline from
             | the official apps because mastodon.social got too big to
             | handle it, and now new users are more confused and
             | mastodon.social is a worse experience than ever.
             | 
             | My general recommendation to everyone is to find a smaller
             | instance that sounds interesting, wade through the local
             | timeline to be sure you like the vibes, follow some people,
             | then dive into the federated feed
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > you can easily migrate your data to a different instance
           | without having to leave the platform if you disagree with how
           | it is being run.
           | 
           | As long as "your data" doesn't include your history, as far
           | as I understand? You can leave your home server as long as
           | you're willing to leave everything you ever wrote.
        
           | the_third_wave wrote:
           | Those decisions should not be taken at server level but at
           | the level of the user. The way Mastodon is organised it is up
           | to the server administrator to decide whether you get to
           | interact with users on other servers. If the administrator
           | has a bee up his bonnet on some specific subject he'll block
           | any server which doesn't fit his idea of wrong and right with
           | regard to that subject. This quickly leads to islands of
           | server-groups which do not communicate with each other and as
           | such increases the polarisation of the (small-n) _netscape_.
           | Those on the  "progressive" island won't hear much from the
           | "conservative" island and vice-versa.
           | 
           | I've seen several comparisons between Mastodon and email
           | servers where server administrators also have the power to
           | block communication with other servers but those comparisons
           | do not hold since I have yet to find a mail server
           | administrator who blocks communication with certain other
           | servers on ideological grounds. Mail servers are blocked
           | because they are sources of spam, not because they host users
           | with different opinions. Mail content itself is not moderated
           | other than through spam filters which (for now?) do not
           | censor on ideological grounds, "Tweets" and "Toots" are.
           | 
           | A better solution would be to have users select their own
           | moderators just like they can choose their own content
           | filtering (e.g. _uBlock Origin_ ) rule sets but I do not see
           | how something like that can be implemented given the way
           | Mastodon works.
        
             | rolenthedeep wrote:
             | You're looking at this from the wrong angle.
             | 
             | You _do_ have control here. You _do_ select your moderator,
             | and you _do_ have the power to change that.
             | 
             | You select which server your account lives on. If you
             | disagree with the admin at such a fundamental level, this
             | is probably not the right server for you. You can simply
             | select another server.
             | 
             | You also have the option to run your own server. It's not
             | hard to handle just a few accounts, and there's even places
             | you can pay to host and configure it for you. I know
             | several people running their own servers, and a few of them
             | just have one account.
             | 
             | Let's compare to Tumblr for a second. They've had a wild
             | ride with content moderation over the years, and this has
             | led many people to leave the platform. Those people lost
             | their accounts and their followers forever with no
             | recourse. If your mastodon moderator starts getting scared
             | by nipples, you can simply migrate to a new server and keep
             | all your followers.
             | 
             | The real trick about mastodon is that you can take full
             | control if you really want to. However, most of us don't
             | want to deal with running a server, so you just have to
             | trust someone else to do it. If you find a community that
             | matches your interests, it's actually a very pleasant place
             | to be
        
               | the_third_wave wrote:
               | What happens with you "followers" when you change
               | servers? Do they follow along automagically or do they
               | have to undertake action to re-connect to
               | @you@new.server?
               | 
               | As to running your own server - something I have been
               | looking in to because I support the decentralisation of
               | the 'net - I am under the impression that _Pleroma_ is a
               | lot easier on the hardware than Mastodon. Does you
               | concur?
        
               | rolenthedeep wrote:
               | Anyone following your old account will automatically
               | follow the new account. The only thing that does not
               | transfer is your post history, for mostly technical
               | reasons.
               | 
               | I don't know anything about pleroma, sorry. I do know
               | that mastodon uses a ton of resources when you get a lot
               | of users, but for <5 you can use anything including a
               | raspberry pi
        
               | phpisthebest wrote:
               | This will not happen is the Admin of the server you are
               | one chooses to block the server you want to move to....
               | 
               | Mastodon has long become a political project ever sense
               | their very public dispute with Gab... They ceased to be a
               | neutral project and clearly showed the limitations of the
               | federation space when it comes to putting users in
               | control, as that control is largely symbolic and just
               | like centralized system unless you run your own server,
               | and you do not run afoul of the project dev team so you
               | do not get put on a default deny list then you are not in
               | control of your data
        
           | convery wrote:
           | Ye, seems like a good fit for the terminally-online Twitter
           | users as their main complaint about Elon is him wanting to be
           | fair in terms of moderation and not favouring their side.
           | Even launched their Twitter clone called "Tribal" to have a
           | "fascist free" alternative without wrongthink..
        
         | LightG wrote:
         | I'll take it as a stopgap until we figure out what is the next
         | step.
         | 
         | Musk can shove his $8 up his big, fat... fail whale.
        
       | bawolff wrote:
       | Conspiracy theory: musk is a mastodon plant.
       | 
       | It makes about as much sense as anything else that is happening.
        
       | mjmsmith wrote:
       | Which parts of what he's doing are the necessary prerequisites?
        
       | bArray wrote:
       | BBC title correction according to their own article: " _Some_
       | Twitter users jump to Mastodon - but what is it? ". It's
       | certainly not even remotely close to all.
       | 
       | > The social network says it now has over 655,000 users - with
       | over 230,000 having joined in the last week.
       | 
       | Not all of them will be active. I think I even have an account I
       | have not used in many years. The actual user base is likely
       | smaller, and in a few weeks much less. There will be some
       | attempts to link Mastodon and Twitter, but Twitter is
       | incentivized to prevent decentralization of their platform.
       | 
       | Mastodon is obviously federated, but they also have quite a
       | collective ideology they use to enforce policies. For example,
       | rightfully or wrongfully, they blocked the largest Mastodon node
       | Gab Social [1]. It wasn't even a majority vote, it was just those
       | who maintain servers and develop apps that were able to do this -
       | so a handful of people.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mastodon_(software)#Forks
        
         | keithnz wrote:
         | missing a 0 on the number of users.... also this bot tracks
         | users on mastodon
         | https://bolha.us/@gutocarvalho/109298885964017612
        
         | toofy wrote:
         | there are six million users now, not six hundred thousand.
        
       | poszlem wrote:
        
         | hossbeast wrote:
         | What does it tell you?
        
       | marvin wrote:
       | Twitter will do at least as well under Musk as it did under the
       | previous leadership, in terms of user satisfaction, reach and
       | retention. But it will have moderation policies that are
       | noticeably different from those of the competition. My prediction
       | made while everyone is freaking out.
        
       | abzolv wrote:
       | The Mastodon software is not horizontally scalable. So, each
       | instance is forced to be relatively small. One instance will not
       | be able to handle millions of users.
        
         | losteric wrote:
         | > The Mastodon software is not horizontally scalable.
         | 
         | Intentionally by design, or just a "MVP"/MLP limitation?
        
           | speedgoose wrote:
           | The current architecture is not designed to be horizontally
           | scalable. You need one big primary database node. That works
           | well if you are willing to optimise a lot, see the one
           | example: stackoverflow. But it requires a lot of efforts and
           | cannot scale that much.
           | 
           | One could probably create a new implementation that scale
           | though.
        
         | sseagull wrote:
         | Neither could twitter at the beginning:
         | 
         | https://theoutline.com/post/4147/in-twitters-early-days-only...
        
           | haunter wrote:
           | Yeah but Mastodon is 6 years old at this point. Is it still
           | the beginning?
           | 
           | 6 years old Twitter already had ~200m users in 2012
        
         | abzolv wrote:
         | https://github.com/mastodon/mastodon/discussions/18153
        
         | the_third_wave wrote:
         | If federation works as intended this should not be a problem
         | since it _should_ (...) not matter whether someone uses
         | server_X.org or server_Y.net. As to whether this works in
         | practice I have no real idea. I have self-hosted a number of
         | Peertube instances which also support activitypub and am on-
         | and-off experimenting with a Pixelfed instance ( "Instagram
         | goes activitypub") but since these are all small-scale
         | experiments they neither prove nor dispell the utility of
         | activitypub-as-a-protocol.
        
         | abzolv wrote:
         | Having too many servers (many thousands) could be a big
         | drawback for onboarding. Choice paralysis, and difficulty /
         | time consumption of picking a suitable server to join.
        
           | petepete wrote:
           | It definitely is. You just need to look at some Mastodon
           | conversations from non-tech Twitter.
           | 
           | People are confused about:
           | 
           | * there are so many servers - which do I join?
           | 
           | * how will I be able to tell people are who they say they are
           | without the 'blue tick'?
           | 
           | * if anyone can verify how do I know who is
           | important/celebrity/official?
           | 
           | * what do I do when the instance I want to join isn't open to
           | registrations (and why on earth isn't it open to
           | registrations?)
           | 
           | * how do I discover/follow people on other instances?
        
             | itslennysfault wrote:
             | As a VERY technical user. I STILL have these same problems.
             | 
             | I've tried to join Mastodon at least a dozen times in the
             | past few years, and every time I get stuck at step one
             | (which server should I choose). Every server has a vibe of
             | its own and joining one feels like an endorsement of it,
             | and because the server name is part of your handle that
             | endorsement follows you all over the fediverse.
             | 
             | If I feel this confused. I can't imagine what a non-
             | technical user would feel. It's a fatal flaw and I don't
             | know how they overcome it.
             | 
             | That said, I finally joined today at https://c.im
             | 
             | I chose it because it's short and that means I get a short
             | @c.im handle. We'll see how this plays out (most likely
             | with me not even using it tbh)
        
             | robswc wrote:
             | Exactly. Think of how many products succeed just because
             | they're "easier" than the alternatives.
             | 
             | You could probably be up and tweeting in just a few
             | minutes. You could be posting or commenting on reddit
             | (provided the sub) in just a few minutes.
             | 
             | I remember being interested in Mastodon as a technology a
             | few years back. It has _always_ been confusing for a
             | significant # of people. A decent % posts about it
             | shouldn't be "how do I sign up, how do I follow people, how
             | do I subscribe, which do I join, etc." That's all the
             | Mastodon reddit was a few years back.
             | 
             | https://www.reddit.com/r/Mastodon/top/?sort=top&t=week
             | 
             | Seems like minus all the posts about current events, it's
             | still largely lots of confused users. Which sucks, because
             | the idea seems pretty good in theory. My only qualm
             | (besides what's already been mentioned) is what's to stop
             | instances from colluding like reddit with it's "powermods"
             | ? Which can honestly be worse in a lot of cases.
        
             | raytube wrote:
             | I have no clue which previous server I signed up to. And
             | looking through themed servers I found one with an
             | interest, but it's hardly my only interest and was met with
             | welcome text saying post something interesting.
        
             | esskay wrote:
             | The worst part of those questions is the responses they
             | get. "Pick a server to sign up to, request an invite and
             | wait, but if you want to follow someone in another server
             | you need to go to this tool to work out what server they
             | are on, and then copy and paste that into the search box".
             | 
             | It's a very, very shit setup, and it absolutely will not
             | take off.
        
           | mgerdts wrote:
           | One idea is for public libraries to host instances. Public
           | employees responsible for the administration are already
           | bound by privacy laws that would make them more trustworthy
           | than some rando that starts an instance.
           | 
           | If done on a branch by branch basis, this could be a good way
           | to have an online local network. Maybe this would be an open
           | Nextdoor as well.
           | 
           | Local account access could be limited by library card
           | eligibility, which combined with terms of service could avoid
           | abuse by far away troublemakers and limit the noise from
           | local ones.
           | 
           | While eligibility may depend on having a library card, public
           | anonymity could still exist. Just as libraries keep my
           | borrowing history private, they could also shield my real
           | identity.
           | 
           | This idea is inspired by the Twitter space I talk about at
           | 
           | https://fosstodon.org/@mgerdts/109294570901271083
        
       | easytiger wrote:
       | You don't get the dopamine hit talking to yourself. So it won't
       | work. Critical mass required.
        
       | seydor wrote:
       | Even if mastodon takes off, it will be like any other protocol on
       | the internet: A centralized free service will appear , like Gmail
       | did, which most people will be there . Twitter will probably
       | convert its service to activityPub then. Slightly better than
       | what we have today, but it wont be immune.
       | 
       | Also, does anyone remember the backlashes every time facebook
       | made a major change to their website? Yeah , all those users went
       | to friendster for sure ... Social networks have network lock-in.
       | The more mad your users are, the more they talk about it, on the
       | service, which ironically is good for the service.
        
         | JW_00000 wrote:
         | I didn't believe your point about Gmail, expecting many
         | companies to still host their own mail servers or use other
         | services, so I went looking for some data. Found [1], which
         | says that Gmail has 34% market share and Microsoft Exchange
         | 33%. GoDaddy is third with 15% and all others are < 2.5%.
         | Contrary to my expectations, this does confirm that Google and
         | Microsoft are quite close to a duopoly; I'd expected there to
         | be many more providers still.
         | 
         | Still, if Twitter would use ActivityPub I'd consider that a
         | huge improvement. I can send a mail from my @outlook.com to
         | your @gmail.com account, and I can send a text message from my
         | Verizon phone number to your AT&T one; while apps like Twitter,
         | Whatsapp, Messenger are all closed off. If Twitter would adopt
         | an open protocol, IMO that would be a huge improvement,
         | preventing lock-in, allowing users to choose between different
         | UIs, having instances with slightly different features
         | competing.
         | 
         | (Also, regarding your last point, remember when Digg did a
         | major redesign? Change can happen ;-) )
         | 
         | [1] https://www.datanyze.com/market-share/email-hosting--23
        
         | saurik wrote:
         | While it sucks that Gmail dominates e-mail, it is still
         | important and useful that they don't control all of it and that
         | essentially everyone continues to interoperate with the
         | protocol enough that I can still run my own server even if most
         | people don't. You don't have to have a fully distributed
         | protocol with no large players to gain powerful benefits from
         | decentralization.
        
       | teeray wrote:
       | Twitter users jumping to Mastadon is just the sequel to Facebook
       | users jumping to Diaspora.
        
       | cropcirclbureau wrote:
       | The most challenging thing I faced when I first joined some niche
       | Mastodon server was what to make of the three feeds available to
       | me:
       | 
       | - the mostly quiet local feed (even though it niche suit me well)
       | 
       | - the inaccessible firehose that is the "federated" feed
       | 
       | - and the completely empty personal feed
       | 
       | Where do you go from there? But after a few days, after I started
       | recognizing some of the locals and having talked with them, after
       | following some interesting accounts and some people I knew from
       | Twitter, I got rather comfortable with the slow and small pace of
       | Mastodon. Twitter's now very good at finding you a spot in it's
       | network quick (especially since tech twitter's pretty active) but
       | I remember signing up way back on my old account when I had to
       | spend time curating it before it was any kind of enjoyable. The
       | post-algorithm, organic vision of the Mastodon will also be very
       | familiar to people familiar to the cozyweb (Discord,
       | Telegram...etc).
       | 
       | And I think the cozyweb's exactly what people should keep in mind
       | when joining Mastodon. You'll not get to _at_ your country's
       | leader and your favorite retail chain, you'll discuss the news
       | with people in your network and not with whoever has the most
       | attention grabbing takes but hopefully, you'll have more
       | meaningful interactions and build a more lasting relationships.
       | It feels more like Facebook/Facebook groups of old except your
       | locale isn't whoever you went to highschool to origin, if you're
       | not familiar with cozyweb. It's definitely not Twitter and I
       | personally think there'll always be place for something like it
       | but maybe journalists and the kind of conversations they're
       | supposed to help facilitate shouldn't be had on micro-blogs.
        
       | jayflux wrote:
       | A lot of this overreaction reminds me of when Facebook bought
       | WhatsApp. All the alternatives came up for a few weeks/months,
       | but the dust settled and not that many left in the end. Maybe
       | it's different this time? But the cycle feels the same
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Did whatsapp change significantly?
         | 
         | Twitter has a "culture" in a way that whatsapp doesn't really.
         | That's a lot more ephemeral and subject to disruption.
        
         | raytube wrote:
         | It's where the people are. I don't use Facebook in the main,
         | but there is a local neighborhood group that I feel I have to
         | subscribe to.
         | 
         | You don't always get to pick the venue.
        
         | whimsicalism wrote:
         | Signal is gradually gaining adoption in the circles that I am
         | in. Few years ago? Unusable.
         | 
         | Now, many of the people I meet are fine starting a signal chat
         | instead of SMS.
        
           | klabb3 wrote:
           | Yep. I have tons of people on signal today, and when I
           | started it was just 1 or 2. About half came after the
           | whatsapp exodus, and then it's been a steady trickle.
           | 
           | To be clear, it's still not enough to start a group chat with
           | random people because of course that's a problem in 2022.
        
           | ronnier wrote:
           | I mainly use only signal now. I feel very uncomfortable using
           | other messaging platforms that keep the text sitting in a
           | database that is either plain text or encrypted with keys
           | they have. I mean private messaging apps, not things like
           | twitter or HN.
        
       | tommek4077 wrote:
       | They just don't.
        
       | gaoshan wrote:
       | Like most everyone else on here I think there is no way Mastodon
       | could possibly take over for Twitter (or anything else). It will
       | never appeal to anyone outside of certain tech circles or very
       | specific niche areas. What I am curious about is Dorsey's new
       | project, Bluesky. Does that have potential to bring a wholesale
       | change to social media? Will it fix ownership of data issues
       | while also leading to easy to use, popular and appealing
       | platforms? It feels promising (based on the marketing and buzz
       | amongst tech circles) but it is still early days.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | fossuser wrote:
       | Mastodon and federated systems like it will not succeed beyond a
       | tiny niche, will not replace twitter, and don't even solve most
       | of the problems they try to solve.
       | 
       | They don't fix the upstream issues that lead to centralization.
       | Incentives mean most users end up centralized on a handful of
       | servers with a worse experience. It's the worst of both worlds.
       | As designed the UX is bad and cannot be fixed because of these
       | issues.
       | 
       | Twitter has been a terribly mismanaged company for a long time
       | and there's general consensus on this. Jack knew this, but was
       | powerless to actually make the changes necessary to fix it. Elon
       | may not succeed, but I hope he does and what he's doing is a
       | necessary prerequisite. People dismiss his obvious success
       | elsewhere in other insanely hard domains, they can largely be
       | ignored.
       | 
       | I want a world where people have actual ownership over their
       | computing, but federated system designs like Mastodon will not
       | get us that and we have thirty years of failure to prove it. The
       | press pretending otherwise because they hate Elon and see tech
       | companies as a threat are just embarrassing themselves.
       | 
       | To solve this problem for real is a lot harder, but I'm
       | optimistic it's not impossible.
       | https://zalberico.com/essay/2022/09/28/tlon-urbit-computing-...
        
         | throwaway0x7E6 wrote:
         | >but federated system designs like Mastodon will not get us
         | that and we have thirty years of failure to prove it
         | 
         | sure, if you ignore the very only communication method that
         | _everyone_ has - the email.
         | 
         | a myriad others came and went, and none that exist today will
         | be relevant in 50 years, but email will
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | Replied here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33496458
           | 
           | Email is an example of a federated system failure.
        
             | throwaway0x7E6 wrote:
             | a failure that is infinitely more successful than any
             | centralized solution.
             | 
             | and it will outlive gmail
        
         | josh2600 wrote:
         | I've spent a lot of time at the edge of decentralized and
         | useful tech. You're right that most decentralized systems don't
         | accomplish the goals they set out to achieve.
         | 
         | A few key things: decentralized means a network of at least 3
         | nodes where no operator controls more than 1. Anything beyond
         | that is vanity or more censorship resistance depending on your
         | vantage point.
         | 
         | What we actually want is governance with checks and balances. I
         | would argue that the problem with the US has been the
         | centralization of power in the executive and judicial branches,
         | particularly the executive. A functioning parliamentary system
         | with three branches of governance is quite effective when there
         | is a balance of power.
         | 
         | Now to how emulate that in software is another quandary. I
         | think ethereum for all of its faults is doing a decent job at
         | decentralized governance.
         | 
         | I think we're still in the very early days of decentralized
         | finance. A lot of lessons will be learned (and relearned from
         | the past) as we move forward.
        
           | Dracophoenix wrote:
           | > I would argue that the problem with the US has been the
           | centralization of power in the executive and judicial
           | branches, particularly the executive. A functioning
           | parliamentary system with three branches of governance is
           | quite effective when there is a balance of power.
           | 
           | On the contrary, I'd argue that the power has towards the
           | executive and legislative branches. The judicial branch
           | exists to curb the excesses of the other two through the
           | invocation of law that was already written. The other two
           | either write whatever the hell they want and vote on it or
           | invoke their powers by fiat (i.e. executive orders).
        
         | sydney6 wrote:
         | Why are so many people calling Elon Musk by his first name,
         | like he's their buddy or neighbor? This reminds me when Steve
         | Jobs had passed away, many people were walking the streets with
         | candles and cards in memoriam of "Steve". How come?
        
           | adam_arthur wrote:
           | Probably because it's a unique enough name to not introduce
           | ambiguity.
           | 
           | Nobody can just say Steve or Bill without confusing people
        
             | PebblesRox wrote:
             | Plus Musk is kind of a weird word.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | Celebrities induce parasocial relationships. None of those
           | come close to the response to the death of Diana.
        
             | sydney6 wrote:
             | Thank's for your response.. what an immensely interesting
             | [1] topic.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parasocial_interaction
        
           | narag wrote:
           | That's a measure of fame.
           | 
           | When nobody knows you, they use the complete name, Elon Musk.
           | 
           | When you're famous, they drop the given name, you're Musk.
           | 
           | When you're ultrafamous, they only use the given name, now
           | you're Elon.
        
             | mmplxx wrote:
             | And when you're God, they cannot utter your name.
        
         | PetitSasquatch wrote:
         | It seems to me like there is a possible, albeit compromised,
         | middle ground between highly centralised and the (in reality)
         | partially centralised Mastodon model where users flock to
         | popular monoliths: strictly per-user instances.
         | 
         | Given the right tooling etc etc, expediting user's migration to
         | their own instances, of something like a Mastodon node, could
         | be an achieveable route to greater decentralisation without
         | getting muddled down in things like blockchain etc.. And
         | executed correctly the model could be more communicable than
         | what it presently appears to be.
         | 
         | From what I can see though, Mastodon isn't currently the
         | technology stack to achieve, perhaps it could get there.
         | 
         | No solution is going to be perfect, but surely an emphasis on
         | data sovereignty would reduce the volume of arguments over what
         | a given platform should be.
        
         | sangnoir wrote:
         | > I want a world where people have actual ownership over their
         | computing, but federated system designs like Mastodon will not
         | get us that and we have thirty years of failure to prove it.
         | 
         | Counterpoint: email has been working great for the past 30
         | years.
         | 
         | The reason why email works over centralized schemes is because
         | it has tiered _decentralized_ controls - sending server, relays
         | (when they were a thing), receiving servers and the client each
         | have an opportunity to accept, reject or drop a message.
         | 
         | Mastodon has a great chance of succeeding. All it needs is an
         | easy-to-use client,decent discovery and giving users control of
         | what they see. It does not have to be a constellation of mini-
         | Twitters.
        
           | crazygringo wrote:
           | > _email has been working great for the past 30 years_
           | 
           | When spam means you're either flooded with garbage or are
           | forced to just totally block potentially innocent senders
           | (like people running private mail servers)...
           | 
           | ...and probably 95%+ of people I know use Gmail for their
           | personal accounts...
           | 
           | ...I'm not sure e-mail is the best example of federation
           | working great.
        
             | dzikimarian wrote:
             | Still you can pick any server you want, any client you
             | want, move your data freely if you are not happy with
             | provider. And there's no corporation that can say that
             | tomorrow you are going to pay $5/month more or you can kiss
             | your contacts goodbye (sure you can loose your address if
             | you don't have own domain, but you still can access the
             | network).
             | 
             | I will gladly take it over closed protocol, even if it has
             | reaction gifs built in.
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | Replied here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33496458
           | 
           | Email is an example of a federated system failure.
        
             | sangnoir wrote:
             | That's very strange definition of failure: many non-
             | homogenous systems have Pareto distributions. That in
             | itself is not indicative of failure.
             | 
             | 30 years ago, AOL may have been most popular email
             | provider, it was displaced by Hotmail, then Yahoo, now
             | GMail. Having different leaders over time is evidence of
             | the resounding success of email federation, those domains
             | still exist and can still send/receive emails universally.
             | If email had hypothetically been non-federated and
             | proprietary to AOL, it would be dead today (or as close to
             | it as gopher)
        
               | fossuser wrote:
               | You can't run your own node and majority of users are on
               | one system - that's failure to me.
        
               | sangnoir wrote:
               | I do run my own mail server on my own domain - so thank
               | you for affirming that email is not a failure.
        
         | serverholic wrote:
         | Crypto is trying to solve this in a different way. Namely
         | projects like lens protocol.
         | 
         | The idea is that the blockchain is a shared, decentralized
         | database and you store simple messages on the blockchain and
         | larger files on something like ipfs. This forms a social graph
         | that a frontend ui can then import and provide a view into (a
         | lens if you will).
         | 
         | It's nice because users just need one account (a wallet) and
         | they have access to the whole social graph if they want, or
         | they can configure their apps to only show certain things. The
         | downside is that it's all public and once you lose your keys
         | you're locked out of your account. Also, you can't really
         | prevent anyone from posting things but you can choose which
         | types of posts you allow on your feed.
         | 
         | It's a different set of tradeoffs that's interesting to
         | explore.
        
         | djur wrote:
         | I don't know if he's going to succeed or fail (or even what
         | "success" and "failure" are in this case), but I think it'd be
         | better for the world if he failed. Twitter isn't necessary and
         | can be replaced, but it would be good for Musk to be mired in
         | legal problems for a while and hopefully lose a lot of money.
         | Reducing the power and influence of both Musk and Twitter seems
         | like a clear win-win in the long run. I feel bad for all of the
         | people at Twitter being trampled over in the process, though.
        
         | Reventlov wrote:
         | You mean, federated systems like the web or email won't succeed
         | ?
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | Correct - email is a failure as a federated system, people
           | are centralized on a handful of providers and you can't even
           | run your own server these days without getting blacklisted.
           | 
           | The promise of the decentralized web of the 90s is a failure.
           | The majority of users are centralized on handful of
           | megacorporation apps despite the ad business making this
           | pretty awful.
           | 
           | We're trapped in a local maximum because of the underlying
           | system designs. Spam, linux server admin being too hard,
           | terrible devex are some of the forces that lead to this [0].
           | It's a hard problem to get out of without thinking from first
           | principles.
           | 
           | [0]: http://moronlab.blogspot.com/2010/01/urbit-functional-
           | progra...
        
             | Timshel wrote:
             | Well a handful is still way better than only one. If
             | tomorrow someone want to leave Gmail they have quite the
             | list of alternatives and can forward their mail to their
             | new address. Compared to leaving Twitter or Facebook this
             | is so much better.
             | 
             | It's like if Twitter was an ActivityPub instance even if it
             | had 99.9% marked share at least you could leave without
             | leaving everything behind
        
             | shafyy wrote:
             | > _people are centralized on a handful of providers_
             | 
             | Still better than a closed protocol. The fact that Google
             | knows everbody can switch away from Gmail without any real
             | downsides for sure keeps them in check. There are no real
             | network effects for one company to take advantage of,
             | unlike it is the case with closed protocol systems like
             | WhatsApp.
        
             | Gigachad wrote:
             | It's not quite that bad. I ran my own mailinabox server on
             | a vps a few years ago and didn't have much issues with spam
             | lists. Only gave up because I couldn't be bothered updating
             | the thing.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | That's the death of all decentralized systems, it's too
               | much work in the long run.
               | 
               | They work great when they're the _ONLY_ option in town,
               | but eventually people centralize on one aspect of it, as
               | they did with email.
               | 
               | Email used to be so decentralized that it was literally
               | run on your machine (not your terminal, which was dumb,
               | but the machine the terminal connected to) and even a
               | single company department might have 10+ machines that
               | could receive email (email addresses would look like
               | name@machine.department.company.com).
               | 
               | Then it devolved to one per department, and then one per
               | company, and now one per massive IT provider.
        
               | Gigachad wrote:
               | Security became big as well. Mail servers used to get
               | hacked constantly and you'd have your private data leaked
               | and your server turned in to a spam gun.
               | 
               | These days to host anything securely you need a team of
               | the top minds in that domain working full time on it.
               | Just makes no sense to run your own mail server when for
               | less money you could let someone else do it and they will
               | do it much better.
               | 
               | This is just a sign of the industry maturing imo. You
               | could relate it to construction. Used to have people
               | building their own mud and stick huts but now everything
               | requires planning, regulation, codes, licensed workers,
               | etc.
        
           | nathias wrote:
           | email is one to one, and works well with that model, but
           | twitter is many-to-many and loses a lot with federation
        
             | karmajunkie wrote:
             | So all the newsletters I'm on are getting sent out to
             | subscribers one by one? Man, seems really inefficient. If
             | only there were a way to specify many individuals who
             | wanted to receive the same email so they could send it only
             | once...
        
               | pjc50 wrote:
               | > If only there were a way to specify many individuals
               | who wanted to receive the same email so they could send
               | it only once...
               | 
               | Getting an email with a really large number of recipients
               | to be actually delivered is difficult enough that there
               | are entire companies e.g. Mailchimp devoted to making it
               | work. You can't just bung a million addresses into BCC
               | and hope.
        
         | Angostura wrote:
         | > Incentives mean most users end up centralized on a handful of
         | servers with a worse experience.
         | 
         | I don't understand this point. I'm on a tiny server, but read
         | the federated feed most of the time. What's the problem?
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | Most users won't run their own server, they'll be on large
           | centralized ones with all of the same problems that entails.
        
         | unity1001 wrote:
        
         | rvz wrote:
         | This. They're right you know.
         | 
         | > I want a world where people have actual ownership over their
         | computing, but federated system designs like Mastodon will not
         | get us that and we have thirty years of failure to prove it.
         | The press pretending otherwise because they hate Elon and see
         | tech companies as a threat are just embarrassing themselves.
         | 
         | This is the media capitalising at the maximum over the emotions
         | of the tech crowd to move to a platform that is worse than
         | Twitter, especially in UX and is essentially a solution that is
         | creating more problems than it is trying to solve.
         | 
         | It really is not early days anymore with this, and the hype
         | around Mastodon is manufactured by outrage due to 'Elon Musk'
         | being the new villain of the month. If you have to explain what
         | Mastodon is, which server you have to choose and how to find
         | which people you followed on Twitter are on Mastodon due to its
         | poor discoverability, then it tells us that it is another
         | pointless hurdle for users to bear with, resulting in a worse
         | experience.
         | 
         | Mastodon clearly is a solution that is creating more problems
         | for users and the media is clearly parroting over the hype and
         | emotion to pretend that it is an alternative or a threat to
         | Twitter.
        
           | slater wrote:
           | How is my favorite Mastodon-hater doing, you must've had a
           | bad last few days? ;)
           | 
           | (i kid, i kid...)
        
             | rvz wrote:
             | I'm actually laughing at you and the entire Twitter chaos
             | on this 'migration' made up of the same techies overhyping
             | with the media taking advantage of the current outrage
             | pretending that Mastodon is a viable 'alternative' when it
             | remotely isn't.
             | 
             | Given that it already takes much explaining how to use it,
             | 'choosing and instance', struggling to solve it's poor
             | discoverability since a minute amount of Twitter users out
             | of 200M+ have tried to move themselves, it means that you
             | are already losing.
             | 
             | It is not 'early days' anymore. After 6 years of
             | 'exoduses', Mastodon doesn't cut it as an 'alternative' and
             | especially with the exact unchallenged reasons I've stated.
             | It is not about getting manipulated by the current hype by
             | the media, it is always about the retention afterwards that
             | counts. Twitter is here to stay despite the 'current
             | outrage' that the media is riding on.
             | 
             | Sorry to burst your (techie) bubble as hundreds of millions
             | of non-technical people are still using Twitter and won't
             | delete their accounts over something worse.
        
         | nathias wrote:
         | > It's the worst of both worlds.
         | 
         | Yea, I've been saying the same for some time. I really want for
         | decentralized solutions to proliferate, but federation is a
         | terrible model.
        
         | INTPenis wrote:
         | >we have thirty years of failure to prove it
         | 
         | There is a comparison to be made between the IP protocol and
         | ActivityPub.
         | 
         | When we all first went online we hopefully had more than one
         | ISP to pick from, because they could federate data between each
         | other using the IP protocol.
         | 
         | I believe that the same type of evolution is going to happen in
         | social media. Whether it will be with ActivityPub, ATP or
         | whatever else I don't know but it must happen. Because having
         | just one ISP, one social media platform, one online shopping
         | platform is not a healthy system.
        
         | greenie_beans wrote:
         | mastodon's ux is terrible, but urbit's ux is like 100x worse
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | I don't disagree, but the design of urbit is such that
           | there's a path to it being good - that's not true of any
           | other system built on the current stack (imo) because they
           | don't fix the underlying incentive failures that lead to
           | centralization in the first place.
        
           | miked85 wrote:
           | I'm pretty sure no one (including myself) even understands
           | what urbit is.
        
             | xeeeeeeeeeeenu wrote:
             | It's very simple, this summary explains everything:
             | https://twitter.com/urbit/status/1184984759123922945
             | 
             | Kidding aside, I think it's unlikely that a deliberately
             | obfuscated project will conquer the world.
        
               | bembo wrote:
               | omg that has to be the worst explanation of a piece of
               | software that I've seen in a long while
        
         | colin_jack wrote:
         | > As designed the UX is bad and cannot be fixed because of
         | these issues.
         | 
         | For fun I just tried signing up and the process itself is
         | confusing, sluggish, buggy, and ultimately didn't work. It
         | feels like it'll need to improve very quiclkly if it's going to
         | capture any significant amount of Twitter users.
        
           | PebblesRox wrote:
           | The slowness and bugs might be due to the sudden influx of
           | people from Twitter. I just joined a small server that is now
           | having to scale up a bit to accommodate all the new traffic,
           | and I assume the more popular servers are seeing an even
           | bigger bump.
           | 
           | I was actually expecting the sign up process to be a lot more
           | difficult than it was for me, just based on the impression
           | I'd gotten from various HN comments over the years. I
           | encourage anyone curious to try it out for themselves.
        
             | colin_jack wrote:
             | > The slowness and bugs might be due to the sudden influx
             | of people from Twitter
             | 
             | Yeah definitely, feels like they should have seen this
             | coming though. They have an opportunity that won't come
             | around again, and poor performance and confusing UX seem
             | like pretty serious problems.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | "They" describes a non-profit, low-resourced set of
               | volunteers. Seeing it coming and being able to do
               | something about it aren't the same thing.
        
               | colin_jack wrote:
               | I dunno, on performance they could just have limited
               | number of registrations to what they can handle. Better
               | that than having potential users getting a bad impression
               | because everything is too slow.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Quite a few of the larger public servers have done
               | exactly that.
        
           | toofy wrote:
           | maybe there are different signup processes on different
           | servers or something?
           | 
           | for me it was enter an email address, username, and password?
        
         | bragr wrote:
         | >don't even solve most of the problems they try to solve
         | 
         | I mean it does somewhat solve the problem of Musk running
         | twitter into the ground. For most people, I imagine mastodon is
         | a lateral move, not a step up.
        
         | code_runner wrote:
         | I'm always surprised when there are still people acting like
         | Elon isn't just BEGGING to be hated.
         | 
         | I'm still of the opinion he _is not doing the work_ and his
         | success is mostly throwing money at eager (and smart)
         | engineers. That's a smart thing to do, good call on his part,
         | but it's almost like he doesn't know that's how his companies
         | work.
         | 
         | Maybe he is just great at running tech companies or something
         | but acting like the media/everyday people hate him _for no
         | reason_ is just dishonest.
        
           | darawk wrote:
           | How many rich people and fund managers around the world have
           | been throwing money at engineers they thought were smart for
           | the past several decades?
           | 
           | How many have succeeded on the scale Elon has? "Throwing
           | money at smart engineers" is not a novel idea. Executing it
           | well is extremely hard, especially when cash has been cheap
           | for the past two decades.
        
             | BryantD wrote:
             | Do you know the NFL betting scam? It's awesome. Here's how
             | it works.
             | 
             | You choose 1024 people, and you send all of them a
             | prediction about one upcoming sports game, free of charge.
             | 50% get one prediction, 50% get the other.
             | 
             | Next week, you have 512 people who think you can guess
             | pretty good. You pick another game. 256 people get one
             | prediction, 256 get the other. The following week, 256
             | people think you got two in a row correct. You send 128 of
             | them one prediction, etc. etc. etc.
             | 
             | When you're down to 1 person, maybe they'll pay you for the
             | next prediction.
             | 
             | A track record of success is not sufficient evidence,
             | especially when cash has been cheap for the past two
             | decades and especially when even the first random success
             | (selling Zip2 to an over-eager AltaVista) paid off so well.
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | I'm aware of this scheme. But I don't think you
               | understand why it works. Track records are absolutely
               | evidence of skill, if you understand the distribution
               | from which they're drawn. Elon's track record is very,
               | very far outside the null hypothesis of that
               | distribution.
        
               | mirekrusin wrote:
               | I think you clicked the wrong link, it sounds like you
               | wanted to answer some crypto-currency speculation thread.
        
               | luckylion wrote:
               | So, what are the 1024 companies Musk poured lots of money
               | in to get 2 or 3 massive hits since it's all just a game
               | of numbers and chance?
        
               | slg wrote:
               | It might not be 1024, but he probably has more failures
               | than successes: Solar City, Neuralink, Boring Company,
               | Hyperloop (he decided not to turn this into a company,
               | but he wasted his and his other companies' resources on
               | this so I think it is fair to consider it a Musk
               | failure).
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | Solar City isn't a failure, it's part of Tesla now. Still
               | selling panels, as far as I know.
               | 
               | Boring company is also not yet a failure, and has
               | recently built several tunnels. Neuralink is an early
               | stage research company and is still humming along. It may
               | fail some day, but it certainly hasn't failed yet. As for
               | Hyperloop, he specifically said he wasn't going to build
               | it, and several companies are still working on it,
               | including in China:
               | 
               | https://futurism.com/the-byte/china-maglev-vactrain-
               | hyperloo...
               | 
               | None of these things are "failures". They may become
               | failures one day. It'd be crazy if some of them didn't.
               | But you can't count a research project as a failure just
               | because it doesn't have a product yet.
        
             | code_runner wrote:
             | I responded to another with something similar...
             | 
             | Throwing money at people and saying "I want these charts to
             | be customizable" vs "let's land a rocket booster, it's ok
             | if a few blow up, we can test it live" will get VERY
             | different levels of passion/expertise
        
             | georgeg23 wrote:
             | The mastermind behind SpaceX is not Elon. It's this guy:
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_D._Griffin#Career
             | 
             | He gave Elon the ideas, initial team, govt connections,
             | contracts, etc.. Elon was the company jester.
             | 
             | Rocket landing work was taken from the DC-X
        
               | baby wrote:
               | There's really a recurring thread here, or elsewhere,
               | which is that elon doesn't do shit, and deserve much
               | credit for his success. To me he seems like a hard
               | worker, and deserves credit
        
               | andy_ppp wrote:
               | For someone who claims to work extremely hard he seems to
               | spend a lot of time antagonising people on Twitter.
        
               | pishpash wrote:
               | Why do you assume the hard work to Twitter time ratio
               | isn't the same as other people, but scaled up?
        
               | mjr00 wrote:
               | It's absolutely a _part_ of his job, though.
               | 
               | One of the most valuable parts of Musk is his personal
               | brand. He can raise money and hire talent in large part
               | because he's a household name. Everything he does, from
               | naming his child X AE A-12 to producing a house track, is
               | to proliferate the public perception that he is an
               | eccentric genius, a modern-day polymath like the Da
               | Vincis and Franklins of old.
               | 
               | It may not seem like "real" work, but if Elon Musk and I
               | both started different companies on the same day, who do
               | you think is going to attract funding and top talent more
               | quickly?
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | If so, he's doing an absolutely fabulous job of trashing
               | his reputation inside of a week.
               | 
               | Musk can be great when he does his homework and first
               | principles analysis. It is obvious he hasn't done it
               | here.
               | 
               | Having advertisers take a huge step back because they
               | seek minimal uncertainty and you spend the entire week
               | maximizing uncertainty is bad (& shows incompetence).
               | 
               | Having advertisers drop campaigns literally in the middle
               | of the call to sell next year's baseline because you
               | aren't even close to prepared for the questions is deeply
               | arrogant incompetence [0].
               | 
               | Threatening "thermonuclear name and shame" on your
               | advertisers [1] -- your primary customers -- is
               | unnecessarily showing the entire world that you've lost
               | it.
               | 
               | Same goes for starting the week with the now-infamous
               | claim that "a bunch of activists" are chasing away the
               | revenue (would Musk accept that kind of excuse from any
               | exec reporting to him?)[2], then having it explained WHY
               | they are actually pausing by one of the people in the
               | meeting [3], then blocking the guy you just spoke with
               | the day before...
               | 
               | I cannot begin to see how any of this is remotely good
               | for Musk's brand. He's showing the world in real-time
               | that he's in over his head, has no idea what is the
               | business model and the key elements, and just thrashing
               | about blaming everyone else, when literally he is
               | entirely to blame for the chaos.
               | 
               | Oh, and I've yet to read the other HN Pg1 headline [5]
               | that Musk/Twitter is already asking some of the people it
               | fired yesterday to return!
               | 
               | If you can actually explain how any of this is remotely
               | good for Musk, Twitter, or anyone, I'd be interested to
               | hear it... Because it looks like he's trying really hard
               | to sink Twitter faster than Digg sunk. (There's actually
               | a good argument that his initial intent was to sink
               | Twitter when he first made the comment and offer, to
               | maximize uncertainty and tank their '23 sales, but then
               | he was forced to buy it b/c he was too foolish to even
               | have a proper excape clause in the contract, and here we
               | are)
               | 
               | [0]
               | https://twitter.com/GoAngelo/status/1588696157794242560
               | 
               | [1]
               | https://twitter.com/aravosis/status/1588718759098851328
               | 
               | [2]
               | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588538640401018880
               | 
               | [3] https://twitter.com/LouPas/status/1588599808587345921
               | 
               | [4] https://twitter.com/LouPas/status/1588622182066057216
               | 
               | [5] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33496808
        
               | mjr00 wrote:
               | I agree that his approach is odd, to say the least. But
               | Elon is clearly marketing himself as part of a counter-
               | culture movement that's opposed to the current dominant
               | neoliberal/corporate zeitgeist (but isn't _quite_ alt-
               | right). It 's extremely deliberate. Whether or not it's a
               | good idea remains to be seen. Certainly in the short term
               | it hasn't been.
        
               | georgeg23 wrote:
               | Yes he needs to curry favors with Republicans to get the
               | big DoD contracts for:
               | 
               | https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink#Military_capabilities
        
               | googlryas wrote:
               | Do you think he's crafting his tweets with hours of
               | deliberation? Honest question, how much time do you think
               | he spends trying to antagonize people on Twitter per
               | week?
        
               | bobkazamakis wrote:
               | To me he sounds like a pedophile who can't dive but to
               | each their own I guess.
        
               | mirekrusin wrote:
               | Why there has to be "one mastermind guy"?
               | 
               | It seems safe to say that you need to dovetail at least
               | dozens of people to have successful rocket launching,
               | well, startup?
        
               | georgeg23 wrote:
               | Tom Mueller (recruited by Mike Griffin) also deserves
               | credit. SpaceX hasn't built a reliable rocket engine
               | since Tom left.
               | 
               | But Mike probably was #1 reason for SpaceX success.
        
               | mirekrusin wrote:
               | It's hard to argue that SpaceX wouldn't happen without
               | Elon's mom.
        
               | googlryas wrote:
               | Why was Elon selected to become the richest person in the
               | world and not one of the any thousands of other
               | billionaires out there?
        
               | fsdjkflsjfsoij wrote:
               | The criticisms are getting more and more comical. Michael
               | is a friend of Elon and trusted Elon with many of his
               | ideas and contacts. I'm sure Musk would say as much. Do
               | you think Michael was sharing these ideas and contacts
               | with just anyone? Why do you think he specifically chose
               | to work with Elon?
        
               | trident5000 wrote:
               | "Elon hires people he doesnt do all the work!"
               | 
               | Yes thats why you hire people...to not do all the work.
               | Im pretty sure Elon is aware of this.
        
               | devmor wrote:
               | There's nothing comical about it. They went to two
               | different Russian firms to partner with before it was
               | even called SpaceX and were turned down because Elon kept
               | running his mouth on subjects he didn't understand and
               | they lost all confidence in the project.
        
               | googlryas wrote:
               | What was he running his mouth about? Crazy stuff like
               | landing boosters back at the pad, or on barges in the
               | middle of the Atlantic?
        
               | nsxwolf wrote:
               | That just shows confidence isn't always a predictor of
               | success. They made a bad call, quite obviously.
        
               | georgeg23 wrote:
               | Mike saw Elon was good at recruiting Silicon Valley
               | talent and selling the whole "save humanity by going to
               | Mars" story (but even that was Mike's idea with Orbital).
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | Even if we were to accept that as true as stated, which I
               | don't, that doesn't explain Paypal and Tesla. Even if you
               | think this Michael Griffin guy did everything - why did
               | Elon bet on him? Why didn't anyone else? Tons of people
               | had the money to do it at the same time. None of them
               | did.
        
               | kiba wrote:
               | Nobody did everything. We all build upon the work of
               | giants, Elon Musk and Michael Griffin included.
        
               | trident5000 wrote:
               | Musk talks about his employees and how critical they
               | were/are constantly. This whole notion that "Musk didnt
               | do it all" is such a clown argument because theres no
               | other form of attack from people who simply dont like him
               | and his politics.
        
               | trident5000 wrote:
               | Its almost like Elon hired him knowing hes smart or
               | something...
        
               | georgeg23 wrote:
               | ....and Griffin gave him ~$2B of taxpayer money. (DARPA
               | and COTS contracts before SpaceX flew a single rocket and
               | CRS for Falcon 9). All discussed in the link above.
        
               | trident5000 wrote:
               | Why tax payer money? Where did that part come from.
        
             | voxl wrote:
             | They typically just purchase the company instead. See:
             | Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Apple.
             | 
             | Let's not forget that Elon Musk's real success has been in
             | marketing. He has created a cult of personality, claimed
             | his efforts are for the good of humanity (yet to be seen,
             | especially with the way he treats his labor force, i.e.
             | horribly). It's not a shock that Tesla stock is a _meme
             | stock_. It is because of Elon's marketing.
             | 
             | Let's not even get into his market manipulation.
        
               | georgeg23 wrote:
               | Elon internaly calls it "merchandizing" -- a Space Balls
               | joke.
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | > Let's not forget that Elon Musk's real success has been
               | in marketing.
               | 
               | He has obviously been highly successful at marketing. But
               | his "real success" has been in delivering products like
               | useful electric cars and reusable rockets that didn't
               | previously exist. His marketing skills help with that,
               | but all the marketing in the world isn't going to sell a
               | product that doesn't exist (except in crypto).
        
               | Swenrekcah wrote:
               | I think those aren't incompatible views.
               | 
               | Undeniably Elon's success is his tremendous wealth, the
               | basis of which are two very valuable companies that the
               | cofounded and has as CEO marketed brilliantly, if not
               | always honestly.
               | 
               | He obviously knows a lot about what people to work with.
               | 
               | It is highly unlikely he knows how to build or design
               | almost anything Spacex or Tesla makes. He knows a lot
               | about everything they make of course, and can get more
               | detailed briefings and information on it that anyone, but
               | he didn't make it.
               | 
               | So the wealth and the successful companies are his
               | success sure, but his greatest personal accomplishments
               | are obviously his marketing skills.
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | I don't know how you're measuring "greatest" but I
               | certainly consider his greatest accomplishments to be
               | putting together, betting on, and operating the companies
               | that produced these products. Of course he doesn't know
               | how to build a Tesla batter or a SpaceX rocket himself -
               | probably no one person does.
               | 
               | These were very difficult industries, industries that
               | were extremely contrarian to bet on when he did. Making
               | the financial bet _alone_ would be a great accomplishment
               | for any normal person. Peter Thiel is a famous investor
               | for making far less contrarian and far less successful
               | bets without operating anything except Paypal.
               | 
               | Musk's bets were far more concentrated, and he chose the
               | personnel, operated the companies, made the strategic
               | decisions, and yes, also marketed them brilliantly. But
               | he only got to flex those marketing muscles because he
               | spent a decade assembling, managing, and financing the
               | teams that built the product in the first place.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | hutzlibu wrote:
           | "I'm still of the opinion he is not doing the work and his
           | success is mostly throwing money at eager (and smart)
           | engineers. "
           | 
           | To me it seems, his success comes from being an engineer
           | himself and wanting to get shit done and kick people until
           | shit gets done in a working way. And yes that includes
           | throwing money at smart engineers, but to do this, you have
           | to be smart and have domain knowledge to do so.
           | 
           | The problem started, when he got too much success and lost
           | touch with the ground of reality.
           | 
           | The twitter chat logs are quite interesting.
           | 
           | https://danluu.com/elon-twitter-texts/#3
           | 
           | In general they show that it was indeed a bit more than a
           | high idea, to which it was reduced around many places.
           | 
           | Still, a funny quote from Elon:
           | 
           | "Frankly, I hate doing mgmt stuff. I kinda don't think anyone
           | should be the boss of anyone. But I love helping solve
           | technical/product design problems."
           | 
           | I think he means it. But of course it is BS, when he is in
           | fact the boss of so many people and making them burn out for
           | productivity in various ways.
        
             | encryptluks2 wrote:
             | You sound very conflicted. I can see like at least two
             | places where you directly contradict yourself. You have to
             | learn what people say and what people do are very
             | different. Elon Musk is a bullshitter and narcissist. It's
             | time to stop listening and believing anything he has to
             | say. Otherwise they'll keep dragging you in and you'll keep
             | finding reasons to give them another chance.
        
           | blfr wrote:
           | _his success is mostly throwing money at eager (and smart)
           | engineers_
           | 
           | That's even more damning for his detractors since they could
           | have been doing the same but instead sneer from the
           | sidelines.
        
             | trident5000 wrote:
             | A certain % of the population are clinical narcissists,
             | which is a massive amount nominally online. And narcissists
             | cant stand when other people are successful. I'm convinced
             | thats who these people are.
        
           | fsdjkflsjfsoij wrote:
           | > and his success is mostly throwing money at eager (and
           | smart) engineers
           | 
           | Doing that with this level of success in these domains is
           | extremely rare and even more important. In most cases, the
           | investors are far more important than the workers.
        
             | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
             | Eh. I dislike Elon, BUT being able to efficiently allocate
             | resources and identify an opportunity and/or valuable
             | employee, who is more than just talk is a valuable skill
             | that surprisingly few people have.
        
               | ahallock wrote:
               | Yeah, people have different roles and talents. The face
               | of the company does get most of the praise and fame, but
               | that's true of nearly _every_ organization I can think
               | of.
        
           | noslenwerdna wrote:
           | Ok, but how is it _dishonest_? That seems really out of whack
           | with the rest of your post and kind of ranty.
        
             | code_runner wrote:
             | Acting like Elon hasn't given people legit reasons to
             | dislike him? Anybody is allowed to overlook the flaws he
             | has but you shouldn't ignore them outright.
             | 
             | I'd actually argue he was the darling of the tech world for
             | a while and his awful personality has eroded that over the
             | last handful of years.
        
           | arise wrote:
           | Just to extend this, there are a large number of plausibly
           | legitimate reasons people might hate Musk. Maybe you're stuck
           | in Tesla service hell, or maybe you retired to Boca Chica and
           | now have to deal with rocket noise and road closures. Maybe
           | you're an environmentalist who doesn't like to see a launch
           | facilities next to a wildlife preserve. Maybe you're a Tesla
           | employee who was injured due to company negligence. Maybe
           | you're a Neuralink researcher who is embarrassed over Musk's
           | absurdly fantastical claims about what your technology can
           | do. Maybe you founded a visionary electric car company only
           | to see it sabatoged and taken over by Musk and have him
           | launch your vehicle into space. Maybe you're a stressed out
           | worker at any of Musk's companies who resents his demands for
           | a work/life imbalance. Maybe you're a market trader who lost
           | money due to Musk's fraudulent "funding secured" tweet. Maybe
           | you're uncomfortable with the constant stream of vaporware,
           | dumb ideas, and bogus dates issued by a false messiah preying
           | on the technological optimism of your fellow nerds. Or maybe
           | you're just an American who is tired of seeing bullshit
           | artists wag the dog, behave illegal and unethically, and
           | never be held to account for their actions.
           | 
           | There are many good things one might say about Musk, but
           | don't pretend there aren't any bad things.
        
           | HillRat wrote:
           | Musk's skills are pretty domain-specific and not, I think,
           | transferable. He really excels at:
           | 
           | 1. Choosing hard (and inspiring) problems that decompose down
           | to a series of relatively linear engineering challenges;
           | 
           | 2. Getting large amounts of investment money from the market
           | or government sources to fund development;
           | 
           | 3. Yelling at engineers to solve problems (and remaining
           | close enough to engineering to identify the specific problems
           | to yell about), often through overwork, while keeping the
           | core mission inspiring enough to reduce churn;
           | 
           | 4. Cutting corners in order to productionize faster than more
           | risk-conscious competitors.
           | 
           | In other words, Musk is very good at steering organizations
           | through certain kinds of complicated challenges. But he's
           | also _terrible_ at _complex_ challenges, where the path isn
           | 't linear and yelling at engineers isn't enough to unstick
           | the process, or where cutting corners is going to be
           | disfavored by the market or by regulators.
           | 
           | Twitter is by its nature a horribly complex, poorly-
           | understood, highly-dynamic complex system that will react
           | unpredictably to any interaction. The decisions Musk needs to
           | make aren't engineering-based (except when it comes to
           | slashing staff and yelling at the survivors to work harder),
           | but open-ocean strategy: product design; market fit; and
           | playing nice with the userbase, high-profile accounts, and
           | advertisers. Unfortunately, Musk has never demonstrated an
           | ability to succeed in these areas -- consider SolarCity,
           | which held a commanding lead early on, but had to be acquired
           | by Tesla due to debt and growth problems, and has fallen to a
           | tiny fraction of the market due to poor sales strategy and
           | customer complaints. Add on the fact that he has a very
           | narrow critical path to profitability (he bought a barely-
           | profitable entity and loaded it up with a cool $1bn/year in
           | debt payments that will need to come out of expenses), and
           | there's more than can go wrong at Twitter than right.
           | 
           | Beyond that, Musk's problem with Twitter is simply that he
           | looked at his social media experience and assumed that it was
           | reflective of Twitter's userbase as a whole. But the alt-
           | right instigators, bots, crypto-enthusiasts, and general (to
           | be frank) weirdos that developed a parasocial relationship
           | with his account are a tiny fraction of a fraction of
           | Twitter's population; even if we consider "political" Twitter
           | as a whole, it's tiny, just loud since it's populated by
           | people with media megaphones. Most Twitter users have much
           | more normal hobbies: sports, pop culture, videogames,
           | whatever, and with Musk catering to _his_ followers (who he
           | seems to think are much bigger and more valuable than they
           | are), their experiences are likely to get a lot worse. So
           | unless he 's willing to act more like a normal social media
           | mogul -- aggressively mute the communities that create
           | undesirable experiences for other users, turn down the
           | personality volume on public communications, and suck up to
           | the ad agencies and advertisers who keep the lights on -- I
           | don't expect Twitter to get more successful.
        
           | comboy wrote:
           | > his success is mostly throwing money at eager (and smart)
           | engineers
           | 
           | This meme is on fire but I did not expect it here on HN where
           | people can understand what he is talking about. There are
           | many videos like this [1] and interviews (e.g. with Munro
           | regarding Tesla) where the guy shows deep technical
           | knowledge.
           | 
           | Besides, try making a startup throwing money and smart
           | engineers. Just money will not even get you the really good
           | ones. People who have a choice don't work for morons.
           | 
           | I mean, sure, there's plenty to hate (there was much more to
           | hate about say Columbus, Gandhi or Ford), but if we were
           | dismissing achievements of people who give others good
           | reasons to hate them we wouldn't have calculus.
           | 
           | Let's try to let people stand out without gaslighting them if
           | they are doing some great things. There are many people who
           | smell real bad, are a*holes, have really weird opinions on
           | some topics and were necessary for us to be able to write
           | these comments here.
           | 
           | 1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t705r8ICkRw
        
             | intothemild wrote:
             | Did you just compare Musk to Ghandi and Ford?
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | Salgat wrote:
             | He doesn't have deep knowledge, he a broad high level
             | understanding of the technologies and processes used at his
             | company. In the interview you can see how he's aware of
             | what the major components are supposed to do, but he'd be
             | completely useless if you told him to do the engineering
             | design and analysis behind it. Which is perfectly fine,
             | that's how it's supposed to be as a CEO.
        
           | kiba wrote:
           | He's definitely the 'chief engineer' of his companies in that
           | he made engineering decisions, but to pretend that somehow
           | means he does ALL the engineering work and grunt works is a
           | very silly notion.
           | 
           | But yes, there's indeed the thousand of engineers and
           | technicians doing the work. He even credits them for making
           | his dream possible!
           | 
           | I don't know why people think he's not doing the work. Have
           | they actually read interviews and books? The books I read
           | does not paint him in a very flattering light people-wise.
           | 
           | It's also possible to be simultaneously an egoistic asshole,
           | genius, having actual skills, being a money man and visionary
           | leader, People act as if a person who's a jackass can't have
           | positive traits or vice versa.
        
           | torginus wrote:
           | If that's all he is doing - paying smart people and expecting
           | them to work hard - why isn't literally everyone else doing
           | the same?
        
             | p1necone wrote:
             | It might have something to do with the paying bit.
        
             | code_runner wrote:
             | My theory is that getting smart people to make twitter vs
             | landing reusable rocket boosters... will yield VERY
             | different levels of passion/interest.
             | 
             | Which again is FINE. Personally, I just wanna do cool stuff
             | and have a great work/life balance. I don't want to (and
             | don't have the expertise to) land a rocket booster.
             | 
             | I guess... not everyone's problem domains are interesting
             | enough to lure a team like space-x etc. again, I don't like
             | him, but credit to Elon for at least trying to solve these
             | tough problems. Just admit FSD isn't a year away!
        
             | sillysaurusx wrote:
             | I don't agree with them, but this counter argument doesn't
             | quite work. In a system with x% chance of success, we'd
             | expect most people to fail for small x. But some few will
             | still succeed multiple times.
             | 
             | Throw in that your odds get better the more you're
             | successful, and it's classic survivorship bias.
        
               | code_runner wrote:
               | I think it's not binary one way or the other.
               | 
               | Companies don't have to be profitable to be successful. A
               | charismatic leader + lofty goals (FSD, rockets, flame
               | throwers) and you'll get a ton of money even if you never
               | turn a profit.
               | 
               | Let's not forget the tunnels I'm Vegas btw. They aren't
               | all winners.
        
             | serf wrote:
             | > paying smart people and expecting them to work hard - why
             | isn't literally everyone else doing the same?
             | 
             | is that a real question that expects an answer , or one of
             | those 'SV-Wisdom from-on-high' sentences?
             | 
             | Here's an easy practical answer that will fit 95% of the
             | responses : I don't have the money to hire a lot of experts
             | to execute my ideas, nor do I have the familial or business
             | connections in order to facilitate the loans needed.
        
               | fsdjkflsjfsoij wrote:
               | > I don't have the money to hire a lot of experts to
               | execute my ideas, nor do I have the familial or business
               | connections in order to facilitate the loans needed.
               | 
               | There are lots of people that have those things and are
               | still not a tiny fraction as successful. Most people
               | could be given all of those things and they'd quickly
               | waste them all in a spectacular fashion. Often the people
               | that are the loudest on this issue don't even have their
               | own absolutely trivial finances in order.
        
             | galangalalgol wrote:
             | Because it is hard to trust those you hand your money to
             | and not get in the way by checking in too often. Also, not
             | every passionate engineer _should_ be trusted that much.
             | Being able to spot those that are passionate about what you
             | want done, while simultaneously being both competent and
             | trustworthy is a skill that will make you very wealthy, and
             | almost no one has it consistently. A success or three may
             | show that he is one of those people. Or that he is
             | survivorship bias waiting for a reality check. I don 't
             | know how to tell, or I would be quite wealthy as well.
        
             | bsder wrote:
             | Aerospace had a lot of overqualified, underutilized
             | engineers that were spectacularly easy to tap into with a
             | little bit of extra money and a _very_ interesting project.
             | 
             | That does not hold for Twitter. There is no magic clump of
             | overqualified, underutilized people to tap into without
             | throwing _LOTS_ of money around. On top of that, Twitter
             | mostly isn 't that interesting.
        
               | cavisne wrote:
               | He could probably make it interesting though.
               | 
               | At the moment there _is_ a magic clump of such people,
               | large language model experts from big tech who have left
               | because they got sick of not being able to apply the
               | technology.
               | 
               | They are currently floating around in various startups,
               | but we are entering a tough market for VC funding.
               | Twitter can offer hardware, data and a culture of
               | shipping.
        
             | iamdbtoo wrote:
             | Because success at that scale eventually requires you to
             | exploit some percentage of your employees and most people
             | are not ok with that.
        
         | dorfsmay wrote:
         | I would LOVE if there was a way to federate FB, instagram,
         | twitter, etc...
         | 
         | You post and read on your preferred platform but can see posts
         | from your friends from other platforms, or even their own
         | implementation on their own server!
        
           | neetdeth wrote:
           | You're describing a federation of platforms, and this _can_
           | work, at least technically. XMPP worked wonderfully for a
           | brief moment. Unfortunately, profit incentives are aligned
           | against it.
           | 
           | The Fediverse, at least as I see it advocated here, is not a
           | federation of platforms but a federation of social cliques,
           | where your ability to communicate with someone else is
           | determined by connectivity in the clique graph.
           | 
           | This is a great thing for the kinds of people who would have
           | become deeply invested in a web forum or newsgroup back in
           | the day, but it cannot (and arguably should not attempt to)
           | address the mass market.
        
         | rchaud wrote:
         | This is all-or-nothing thinking that's endemic to Silicon
         | Valley's subsidies-as-a-service business model.
         | 
         | Mastodon does not have to monopolize microblogging the way
         | Twitter has, because it isn't competing with Twitter's cursed
         | ad-based revenue model. Similarly, the tiny niches that do
         | migrate are likely more valuable to have than the hordes of
         | Twitter users who never post anything, and just juice the
         | algorithm by liking and retweeting.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | > People dismiss his obvious success elsewhere in other
         | insanely hard domains
         | 
         | People also dismiss his failures in hard domains, like The
         | Boring Company.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | The Boring Company hasn't succeeded yet, but that's quite
           | different from failure.
        
           | unsupp0rted wrote:
           | If he didn't fail sometimes in hard domains then they
           | wouldn't be hard.
           | 
           | He's intentionally choosing to do things that have a
           | relatively high likelihood of failure.
        
           | cplusplusfellow wrote:
           | He's in the arena. And that's what people respect.
           | 
           | But has he failed at Boring?
        
           | systemvoltage wrote:
           | I am glad _someone_ is trying. I don 't see the likes of
           | Sundar Pichai doing anything revolutionary.
        
         | eftychis wrote:
         | Why do you think/know Jack was powerless to fix things?
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | He had only a tiny amount of company ownership, didn't have
           | total voting power, the board (which barely even used
           | Twitter) made it impossible for him to make the changes he'd
           | want to make and just generally seemed obstructionist/bad.
           | Jack has talked a lot about how making Twitter a company
           | (instead of a protocol) was a mistake, he's talked about Web5
           | which lands on a lot of the same ideas as Urbit, but trying
           | to tack it on top of the existing stack. He supported Elon
           | taking power and being able to actually make the necessary
           | changes and recently tweeted support of the layoffs too.
           | 
           | Pre IPO Twitter was doing interesting things with API access
           | and being more protocol like, but they killed all of that
           | stuffed ads on it and went public. Ben Thompson talks a lot
           | about how they're a terrible ad product and I think he's
           | generally right. Subscriptions are a more interesting model.
           | 
           | If you read the texts between Jack and Elon that came out
           | during the recent legal fights over the sale you can see
           | these things for yourself.
           | 
           | That's somewhat of a rambling answer, but a lot of this stuff
           | is publicly verifiable.
        
           | expensive_news wrote:
           | He's kind of said it himself on multiple occasions.
           | 
           | "Twitter as a company has always been my sole issue and my
           | biggest regret. It has been owned by Wall Street and the ad
           | model. Taking it back from Wall Street is the correct first
           | step."
           | 
           | https://mobile.twitter.com/jack/status/1518772754782187520
        
             | unity1001 wrote:
             | He will likely come back.
        
               | fossuser wrote:
               | Yeah - it wouldn't surprise me if Elon eventually puts
               | Jack back in as CEO.
        
         | PhasmaFelis wrote:
         | > Elon may not succeed, but I hope he does and what he's doing
         | is a necessary prerequisite.
         | 
         | Everything he's done so far reads like he's deliberately trying
         | to destroy the company. The only reason I don't _really_ think
         | that 's his intention is that I don't see how he could hope to
         | benefit from it. But it doesn't make sense.
        
           | fossuser wrote:
           | The Twitter status quo was one of stagnation (took them ten
           | years to ship edit to a handful of people) - they're a good
           | example of how you can basically do everything wrong, but if
           | you have product market fit it's hard to fail.
           | 
           | He's trying to pivot them into a focused company. I think his
           | actions make sense in that context.
        
           | toofy wrote:
           | i have a suspicion that much of what he's doing is just chest
           | thumping for his new fan base, "look at how i do whatever i
           | want. i behave how i want. they can't stop me, i'm The
           | Strongman!"
           | 
           | just red meat for that particular crowd who worship
           | strongmen. tho if he's even a fraction of the irrationality
           | that he's portraying, i completely agree, twitters in
           | trouble.
        
         | vidarh wrote:
         | The obvious counter to the notion that the issues with Mastodon
         | can't be fixed is that nothing would prevent a carbon-copy of
         | Twitter (or Twitter itself, for that matter) to federate. It's
         | _not about Mastodon_ , but about ActivityPub.
         | 
         | And sure, most users will end up centralised on a handful of
         | servers, and that is not a problem as long as they _can_ move
         | when a specific server does not meet their needs. The biggest
         | importance is a safety valve.
         | 
         | I don't know which parts of the UI you think can't be fixed,
         | but I don't agree. Better search is needed, but can be
         | externalised (nothing stops someone from federating with the
         | main instances and signing up to a few relays and offering more
         | comprehensive search). A better experience when looking up
         | external users timelines is largely down to Mastodon's
         | developers having very specific ideas about how to do things.
         | The logic for following or boosting/liking toots when you're on
         | a different instance's timeline is awkward but can be improved
         | with an optional intermediary (falling back to the awkward
         | request for your address for those who insist on opting out of
         | an intermediary providing a mapping).
         | 
         | The upside with Mastodon is that it's not a single thing. It's
         | the server, and the web UI, and you can replace either or both.
         | E.g. you can run Pleroma with the Mastodon web UI, or it's own,
         | and there are additional web UI's. Or you can (and people do,
         | and I'm doing so to) build your own, so we'll see a number of
         | choices of platforms that will look _very_ differently.
         | 
         | Personally I hope Elon fails, because it will make things
         | easier, but I think the long term belongs to ActivityPub over
         | Twitter in any case for the simple reason that the presence of
         | ActivityPub means that the threshold to stand up a _viable_
         | social network has dropped massively. On one hand you have the
         | software you can set up in less than a day (been there, done
         | that), but far more importantly, sign up to a relay and within
         | hours you have an instance that looks lively, even though most
         | toots are via federation. Where there before was a massive
         | chicken and egg scenario, there 's now an increasingly vibrant
         | starting point for people to experiment with their own visions
         | for what social media should be, and each one of them will add
         | to the network effects of ActivityPub.
         | 
         | Mastodon may well fail, but social networks has a history of
         | reaching tipping points that very abruptly changes things
         | dramatically. In both directions. But the federated networks
         | are far less vulnerable to people moving elsewhere.
         | 
         | As for the failures of federation, e-mail and mailing lists is
         | the obvious counter. As is the web. Social media is a
         | newfangled baby in comparison to the successful federated
         | services.
        
         | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
         | One could argue that the centralization process is already in
         | place. Only servers that are deemed 'acceptable' are
         | recommended ( I think the criteria for acceptability no hate
         | speech, no transphobia, no homophobia ). It is interesting to
         | the point that Guardian in its article trying to describe
         | mastodon suggested it is left leaning. I chuckled. I mean, I
         | suppose it is, but the whole point of an individual instance is
         | just that..
         | 
         | I agree with your point. I think people are generally missing
         | forest for the trees.
        
       | drdec wrote:
       | Can anyone recommend a mastodon server for technically-minded
       | folks?
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | There's always the NNTP newsgroups. We use them in the D
       | community as the basis for our discussion groups. We're very
       | happy with them.
       | 
       | A modern interface has been put over them:
       | 
       | https://forum.dlang.org/
       | 
       | but still, it's NNTP and any NNTP newsreader can access them.
        
       | esskay wrote:
       | If anyone seriously thinks Mastodon is going to become a
       | replacement for Twitter they're deluded. The whole convoluted
       | nature of it will put off average users. Nobody gives a crap that
       | its decentralised yet they insist on shoving it down everyones
       | throat as they jump through hoops trying to work out how to
       | follow someone.
        
       | locallost wrote:
       | Mastodon is enjoying a bit of the network effect right now. More
       | and more people are posting that they're trying it out without
       | leaving Twitter - and this in turn drives others to try it too.
       | Whether it will be enough for them to stick around I don't know.
       | But they got the ball rolling a little bit.
        
       | robbiemitchell wrote:
       | > The first thing you have to do when you sign up is choose a
       | server
       | 
       | > It doesn't hugely matter which one you are on because you will
       | be able to follow users on all the others anyway
       | 
       | > The server you choose becomes part of your user name
       | 
       | > Unlike Twitter, Mastodon won't suggest followers you may be
       | interested in
       | 
       | OK, so this shouldn't be the first step unless the "server" is a
       | key part of the experience or has other benefits. A company laser
       | focused on signups, like Twitter was at one point, would aim a
       | growth team at this and remove all unnecessary signup steps to
       | reduce friction. Steps like... first enter email, then auto-
       | suggest a username, then suggest some interests (i.e., people) to
       | follow, then (and only then) allow for the editing and selection
       | of your username.
       | 
       | > he had over 6,000 new joiners in 24 hours and had to pause
       | registration
       | 
       | You don't turn off signups when things get too hot. You allow
       | signup and then throttle the experience. Reach back out when
       | things cool down and get people re-engaged. (This is difficult,
       | but better than nothing.)
       | 
       | In any case, if Mastodon is a bit like email (as another comment
       | suggested), what will make it "just work" is an upgraded
       | experience to make it easy to sign up. Yes, you will be "picking
       | your server" by selecting your upgraded experience -- such as
       | AOL, Gmail, Yahoo, etc. -- but then they will also need to
       | monetize it or track your usage for other reasons.
       | 
       | In fact, if it gets any traction, perhaps Google will spin up a
       | Mastodon service as a companion to Gmail.
        
         | ryukafalz wrote:
         | > OK, so this shouldn't be the first step unless the "server"
         | is a key part of the experience or has other benefits.
         | 
         | It is; the local timeline of the server you pick is often the
         | best way to discover new people as a new user. It becomes
         | progressively less important as you build out your network (I
         | hardly look at it these days) but for bootstrapping as a new
         | user it helps.
        
       | cbeach wrote:
        
       | mnd999 wrote:
       | I spun up my own instance today (just for me). It's not super
       | hard but equally it's not straightforward. Admittedly I could
       | just have signed up on an existing instance but this felt like a
       | better way to understand the platform and what it offers.
       | 
       | I've been off social media for some time so I figure I'll give it
       | a few weeks and see how it goes.
        
       | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
       | Today's SMBC is a riot. Quite apropos: https://www.smbc-
       | comics.com/comic/internet-5
        
       | hongtona wrote:
       | Hello
        
       | fazfq wrote:
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | PointA2B wrote:
         | Sources familiar with the matter confirm it.
        
       | cmrdporcupine wrote:
       | Just got this in my email because I signed up in Patreon as a
       | supporter of a Mastodon node:
       | 
       |  _" So our IndieWeb server has seen a 4,333% spike in users, and
       | every day is a new record in daily new users sign ups .... In
       | that same time we have done one major server upgrade, and have
       | had zero down time, and as we screen all new users before
       | joining, so far have had zero cases of spammers or scammers from
       | inside the instance itself. And been vigilant about blocking
       | outside actors selling their wares or trying to push sypware,
       | etc."_
       | 
       | Let that sink in. 4,333% user sign ups on just this one node.
       | 
       | Mastodon as a whole added almost 300,000 users in the last week,
       | and the rate of addition keeps climbing. Right now it's somewhere
       | around 4000 signups an hour. Earlier in the week it was about
       | 1000. Just under 100,000 people signed up in the last 24 hours.
       | There's about 20,000 posts an hour, vs a much smaller amount two
       | weeks ago. (I had to look at the numbers again and edit this post
       | after I posted it, because they had jumped a bunch since I last
       | looked a couple hours ago.)
       | 
       | It's not an overreaction or hysteria. It's a lot of people voting
       | with their feet. In large part because they were _already
       | annoyed_ by Twitter before Musk even took over and were already
       | open to trying something new. It 's within the last month that
       | Kanye West was mouthing off anti-Semitic slurs, before Musk even
       | took over. And one can expect Trump to come back and start
       | stirring the drama pot again. And Twitter's engagement
       | "algorithm" means people get exposed to all this ugliness and the
       | drama around it whether they hunt for it or not. I for one could
       | never stand it and never got hooked in that world. On Mastodon I
       | only see the interesting people I hunt for. It's a breath of
       | fresh air.
       | 
       | It doesn't matter if they all stay. It doesn't have to replace
       | Twitter. It's just something new. Twitter can remain, being what
       | it is -- a cesspool of celebrity, narcissism, self-marketing and
       | pithy, mean quips. It's always been that. Now it will just be
       | worse because many of its more sophisticated users will migrate
       | elsewhere.
       | 
       | In the meantime I welcome fresh blood over to Mastodon.
       | 
       | This is about the 4th? article about Mastodon to make the front
       | page of HN in the last 24 hours? It's amusing that every time one
       | gets posted most of the comments are naysaying, critical, and
       | defensive, and _" it will never amount to anything"_. Meanwhile,
       | the growth continues...
        
         | arcturus17 wrote:
         | > 300,000 users in the last week
         | 
         | Let's speak in a month or two, see how many remain active, and
         | then see whether this is an overreaction, and whether the
         | experience design of Mastodon can really acommodate them?
        
         | drstewart wrote:
         | Yep. Look at how Signal displaced Whatsapp (if anyone remembers
         | this app that no longer exist) when users flooded over to it
         | due to Musk-related controversies!
         | 
         | https://www.theverge.com/2021/1/7/22218989/signal-new-signup...
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | Tell me you didn't read my comment without telling me you
           | didn't read my comment.
           | 
           | Where did I say anything about Mastodon displacing Twitter?
           | 
           | But keep on with your snark. Really adding something to the
           | conversation.
        
         | robryan wrote:
         | Google plus had 90 million users sign up in the first 6 months.
        
         | nikanj wrote:
         | I still remember when everyone abandoned Facebook for Ello. And
         | then everyone abandoned Facebook again for Diaspora.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | nojito wrote:
         | Not sure why this growth is relevant. Think back to people
         | moving off of Github to alternatives.
        
         | thorncorona wrote:
         | You say this but people have tried this with voat.co against
         | Reddit
         | 
         | The only people who end up sticking are the ones banned from
         | Twitter.
        
           | BlueTemplar wrote:
           | Unlikely, considering Mastodon already went through this with
           | Gab (and later Trump's Truth Social ?) joining it a few years
           | ago.
           | 
           | From what I've seen, it's mostly people sick and tired of
           | Twitter's drama that decided to leave by themselves (whether
           | today or in the last 6 years), while the people that were so
           | toxic that Twitter banned them end up in mostly disconnected
           | parts of Mastodon...
        
           | JW_00000 wrote:
           | But on the other hand, this also happened with reddit when
           | Digg launched v4...
           | 
           | (Although I agree with the general criticism that Mastodon is
           | far from easy to use for the average non-techie.)
        
         | tick_tock_tick wrote:
         | > It's not an overreaction or hysteria
         | 
         | But it's literally the definition of that......
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | alsodumb wrote:
         | Reminds me of the spike in Signal users in India when WhatsApp
         | required all users to accept new terms.
         | 
         | Literally everyone I know used Signal for like, five days?
        
         | concordDance wrote:
         | 300k users a week? If that rate keeps up for a few years
         | Twitter could be in real trouble...
        
       | newaccount2021 wrote:
        
       | xianshou wrote:
       | This may be the only time this phrase has ever been warranted,
       | but...crypto solves this?
       | 
       | I mean, you want decentralization but Mastodon is decentralized
       | at the whim of whoever happens to own your server. So, what if
       | you had a bunch of fungible providers all incentivized to etc
       | etc...
        
       | Guthur wrote:
       | This makes no sense and I call BS by a media that is plainly
       | controlled by the state.
       | 
       | Why would anyone who actually used Twitter, an obviously curated
       | social media, want to move to a more free platform because Elon
       | bought Twitter and wanted to ostensibly make it more open.
       | 
       | There is an obvious attempt to destroy Twitter, for whatever
       | reason, with big advertisers pulling out and the government mouth
       | piece, the BBC, is now encouraging users to leave.
        
       | preordained wrote:
       | I love how people act like Twitter was good before...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | TheCleric wrote:
       | It's the year of the linux desktop Mastodon instance.
        
       | stevens37 wrote:
       | No. I went back to twitter. The direction is promising.
        
       | jrnichols wrote:
       | I think a lot of instances are about to experience their own
       | version of the Eternal September.
        
         | nemo44x wrote:
         | I agree. It's going to be the worst thing that happened to some
         | of the communities there. Scam and Spam in particular have
         | fresh greenfield with little to stop them. That is if the
         | entire thing doesn't fall over.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | The smart instances have closed the doors hard (or invite-
           | only) to try to mitigate the destruction.
           | 
           | The waves will pass, but some servers will have suffered
           | fatal damage from it.
        
           | jrnichols wrote:
           | the fediverse has also been a safe haven for some otherwise
           | marginalized communities too, and I am concerned that a flood
           | of other users that are not familiar with the culture could
           | overwhelm things and change the vibe significantly.
           | 
           | Also worried about what happens when advertisers & corporate
           | money finds its way to the fediverse. Where users go,
           | advertisers always follow, sadly.
           | 
           | We'll see how long this new surge lasts. I have 2 accounts on
           | different instances and watched a 3rd that I used a lot
           | vanish along with the instance itself when it became flooded
           | with very illegal content.
        
             | Kye wrote:
             | I'm not sure I would call it a safe haven. The same
             | infighting that plagues marginalized communities on Twitter
             | is there on Mastodon. I've had to block entire instances of
             | people I otherwise agree with because they spent all their
             | time making callouts, many quite questionable.
        
       | jmann99999 wrote:
       | If this BBC story doesn't indicate that there is an overreaction
       | to new Twitter management, I don't know what will.
       | 
       | It reminded me of when I was considering trying to move all of
       | our customers to receive PGP encrypted mail in 2005. An
       | intelligent employee brought up that an average business person
       | would never do that. Luckily we never implemented it.
       | 
       | Mastodon is great but it isn't a replacement for Twitter. Too
       | much friction. Too hard for the average journalist. Not enough
       | reach.
        
         | Eji1700 wrote:
         | Having it brought to my attention, and as someone who never got
         | into twitter, I figured I'd give it a shot and see if it fit my
         | desires better.
         | 
         | So far it mostly just doesn't work, so that's neat.
        
           | sigmar wrote:
           | What specifically do you mean by "mostly just doesn't work"?
        
             | whimsicalism wrote:
             | Pretty much all instances are having massive issues keeping
             | up with the new traffic.
        
               | gpm wrote:
               | I've had pretty much no issues, but the (10k user)
               | instance I've been on has been closed to new user
               | registration except by invite (from any existing user)
               | the whole time this twitter thing has been happening.
               | 
               | Generally I'd assume that any big open instance is going
               | to have scaling pains right now, but not all instances.
        
               | Jnr wrote:
               | I wonder if Mastodon can even scale because of the
               | federation.
               | 
               | When I tried running Matrix server, joining any large
               | federated Matrix servers made the server unusable and it
               | had to be stopped. I am not saying it will be the case
               | with Mastodon but I would not be surprised.
        
             | lambdaba wrote:
             | I couldn't finish sign-up because the servers seem
             | overwhelmed (confirmation email)
             | 
             | But I'm wondering how something like Mastodon could scale
             | to people having millions of followers.
        
               | oynqr wrote:
               | Pleroma does what Mastodon't.
        
               | chx wrote:
               | "neither GS nor Pleroma itself was born out of malice.
               | It's just where the people who've always been stirring up
               | shit go."
        
           | bojan wrote:
           | Same here, and even better, I'm not sure if I'm not able to
           | do what I want because I don't understand how it should be
           | done, or because the site is broken due to the sudden spike
           | in traffic it is experiencing.
        
         | raytube wrote:
         | Why can't it get enough reach?
         | 
         | What if each news outlet ran their own server? Or would this
         | feel like bondage with people wishing for multiple
         | personas/autonomy?
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | News outlets all canned their comments sections - I see
           | absolutely no reason why they'd want to bring back something
           | even _worse_.
        
             | raytube wrote:
             | Did they? Alive and kicking in the UK.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | The vast majority of US comment sections went to Disqus
               | and then Facebook comments and then shuttered altogether.
               | 
               | Some smaller ones remain, but it's mostly gone.
        
               | TheCleric wrote:
               | And the ones that are left tend to be either filled with
               | spam or content I'd describe as "YIKES".
               | 
               | If I own a media company the last thing I'm doing is
               | investing in the IT and moderation infrastructure it
               | takes to run a Mastodon instance.
        
           | ISL wrote:
           | I think GP's comment about reach runs in the other direction:
           | 
           | If someone tweets about an issue, it is trivially discovered
           | globally and readily embedded on news sites with arbitrary
           | volumes of traffic (or shown on TV).
           | 
           | Is the same true for toots?
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | LtWorf wrote:
             | Bah I wish journalists would stop using twitter.
             | 
             | They often do not verify if whatever someone wrote in a
             | tweet was made up, and seem to forget that most people are
             | not on twitter, and if twitter agrees on something, that's
             | a very small part of the population.
        
               | rchaud wrote:
               | If that happens, I mute and move on. As a result I only
               | see the work of proper journos on my TL, not people
               | writing 500 word hot takes on some Netflix show for
               | Buzzfeed.
        
               | LtWorf wrote:
               | Mute? They copy paste into printed newspaper.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | > Why can't it get enough reach?
           | 
           | > What if each news outlet ran their own server?
           | 
           | I think you answered your own question.
        
             | colordrops wrote:
             | Email is run just like this and it has plenty of reach.
        
               | boredtofears wrote:
               | Most companies don't run their own email servers, either.
        
               | qabqabaca wrote:
               | Nobody uses email to discover new email addresses,
               | outreach is direct. Discoverability is a massive part of
               | social media platforms and is hindered by the isolated
               | pod structure that Mastodon supports
        
               | raytube wrote:
               | Discoverability and onboarding and authentication is
               | hard.
               | 
               | I remember the fluffy days of Facebook, where almost in
               | an instant there was a wildfire of 'you might know'
               | suggestions, from harvested addressbooks and cross
               | referencing.
               | 
               | I found, and find discoverability hard on Twitter. My
               | follow list rarely gets bumped and I am pretty clueless
               | as to who and what is in it. I have to make an effort to
               | grow the list.
               | 
               | Tweet reach may be massaged by favs, comments and
               | retweets. Not totally sure how this is different in
               | Mastodon.
               | 
               | Are we talking timeline/search promotion?
               | 
               | I remember email round robins pre Facebook and you did
               | add people if you recognised them.
               | 
               | Directory services just got pulled as they were harvested
               | by spammers. Not that I think this would help. You need
               | some nudging.
               | 
               | If I read an article and the author had an easy
               | lookupable and addable feed, I might note it.
        
               | jasode wrote:
               | _> Email is run just like this and it has plenty of
               | reach._
               | 
               | The "reach" in gp's context is "audience reach". A
               | measure of "audience size" in a broadcast type of medium.
               | It doesn't mean reach in a technical sense like
               | "reachable ip address or DNS resolution".
               | 
               | Email is more point-to-point and 1-to-1 rather than 1-to-
               | many. Yes, the concept of "mailing lists" could arguably
               | be described as "broadcast" but it requires explicit
               | subscriptions and is not the same "reach" as Twitter
               | tweets acting as global "billboards".
               | 
               | E.g. this HN site often has user-submitted Twitter tweets
               | on the front page. In contrast, it's very rare to have a
               | mailing list mirror post to HN. The reach is not the
               | same. (E.g. last week, the thread on front page about
               | "Adobe removing Pantone colors" was _referencing a
               | Twitter post_.)
               | 
               | Another example related to HN... the creator of this
               | site, Paul Graham, created a Twitter account in 2010
               | (https://twitter.com/paulg). It has 1.5 million
               | followers. Clearly, the Twitter platform gives him
               | exposure that his existing email address (and his web
               | blog at http://www.paulgraham.com, and this HN site
               | ycombinator.com) -- does not.
        
           | jimbob45 wrote:
           | There's probably a good test for competing products that one
           | could apply. Between my daughter, me, my mother, and my
           | grandmother, how many of us can or will want to switch to the
           | competing product? If it's too hard for at least two
           | generations, you're probably not going to meet success
           | because you've already lost a large chunk of your potential
           | user base before we even begin discussing if the users want
           | your service in the first place.
        
             | CM30 wrote:
             | You could also probably ask how many of those people used
             | Twitter to begin with? In my own experience, most of my
             | friends and family don't use Twitter at all, especially if
             | they don't have a business or creative hobby to promote
             | online
        
             | BlueTemplar wrote:
             | That's an unfair comparison though. What about someone that
             | never used either of them ? Like someone that just hit 13
             | (or whatever the minimum legal age is). (See also :
             | TikTok.)
        
         | colordrops wrote:
         | Not having enough reach is a chicken and egg problem. Mastodon-
         | like protocols could have the ubiquity and ease of use of the
         | similarly decentralized email protocol with wide enough
         | adoption.
        
         | mysterydip wrote:
         | > Too much friction.
         | 
         | So far that's all I've seen from the twitter users I follow.
         | "which one are you on?" "why is this so complicated?" etc.
        
           | alexfoo wrote:
           | Not unlike how email was until Hotmail, for example, came
           | along.
        
         | nimbius wrote:
         | >there is an overreaction to new Twitter management
         | 
         | Oh i think its a perfectly legitimate and reasonable reaction
         | to new Twitter management. a guy worth about 200bn USD spent
         | his first day at the office dragging a piece of plumbing around
         | cheerleading his impending job cuts and upcoming $8 surcharge
         | for a feature that only really benefits and legitimizes the
         | platform. he then axes most of the company, especially the
         | moderation team, and acts shocked when brand-safety conscious
         | corporations pull their advertising out of an abundance of
         | caution.
         | 
         | hes lucky corporate brands and advertisers havent figured out
         | they could start their own Mastodon instance for almost
         | nothing, plug it until it becomes more popular than Twitter,
         | and maintain all their existing brand safety controls in the
         | process.
         | 
         | If Musk wanted to take a 44bn USD kick to the knackers and
         | spend the end of his year getting deadass roasted on his new
         | social media platform by literally everyone, its a success.
        
           | papito wrote:
           | And he doesn't even take it that well. Criticize Musk and the
           | whining ensues. You see, the richest man on the planet IS the
           | victim.
        
             | toofy wrote:
             | > And he doesn't even take it that well.
             | 
             | no, he really doesn't. he very publicly blocked the ceo of
             | an advertising company when they attempted to--
             | professionally and politely--explain to elon what some of
             | their concerns were.
             | 
             | it's unreal how he's so loudly demonstrating his
             | instability and then complaining that people are saying
             | he's unstable.
        
             | robertlagrant wrote:
             | Not everything people discuss involves a victim.
        
             | concordDance wrote:
             | Money can't buy social acceptance. And once you get beyond
             | the amount needed to live comfortably the latter becomes
             | much more valuable.
        
           | Aleksdev wrote:
           | Your post comes off as extremely negative towards Musk. I'm
           | going to get downvoted for saying this but let's be honest
           | for a minute.
           | 
           | There were multiple videos titled something like "a day in
           | the life of a twitter employee" were they employees at
           | twitter documented how they drank alcohol and "chilled" on
           | the roof after a few meetings. This doesn't seem like work to
           | me.
           | 
           | Second, the moderation team at twitter covered up the Hunter
           | Biden laptop story because they had a bias. I don't think
           | they were doing a great job.
        
           | drstewart wrote:
           | >hes lucky corporate brands and advertisers havent figured
           | out they could start their own Mastodon instance for almost
           | nothing, plug it until it becomes more popular than Twitter
           | 
           | So you think the only reason that Twitter (and all social
           | media companies) exist is because literally every other
           | company on the planet that advertises didn't "just realize"
           | they could "just plug" a Mastodon instance until it's more
           | popular? McDonald's, Pepsi, Audi, Coke, Nike, etc - don't
           | have one single person that realizes this one easy trick for
           | displacing Twitter?
           | 
           | That's the take you're going with?
        
             | UncleEntity wrote:
             | > McDonald's, Pepsi, Audi, Coke, Nike, etc - don't have one
             | single person that realizes this one easy trick for
             | displacing Twitter?
             | 
             | Why would they when there were a handful of users there?
             | 
             | But now there's a whole bunch of people looking for that
             | one easy trick and whoever gives it to them gets all the
             | marbles.
        
           | sieabahlpark wrote:
        
           | vorpalhex wrote:
           | The advertisers pulled before any layoffs. Actually they
           | started pulling the day before he took over.
           | 
           | The teams he cut are mostly silly teams. A climate team? At
           | twitter? AI Ethics? He has to stop burning money.
           | 
           | He is moving twitter from ad funded (which never paid the
           | bills) to subscription funded (which might pay the bills?
           | $8/mo is nothing. It will certainly make bans hurt more. It
           | will significantly help spam.)
        
             | therouwboat wrote:
             | Are they going to ban paying customers? Thats like throwing
             | money away.
        
             | GekkePrutser wrote:
             | A climate team at a company with a huge energy footprint is
             | absolutely a great idea IMO. Twitter operates a lot of
             | servers and I'm sure some optimization can be done there.
        
               | UncleEntity wrote:
               | Laying off half the workforce will probably save more
               | electricity than whatever schemes the climate team ever
               | dreamed up.
               | 
               | Just saying...
        
             | _djo_ wrote:
             | The advertisers began pulling ads after ad agency execs met
             | with him and failed to get satisfactory answers[0] and
             | after he posted that conspiracy theory about Paul Pelosi.
             | It didn't help that he ignored and then blocked the head of
             | MMA Global just after the layoffs started.[1] If he wanted
             | to keep advertisers on board this is an odd way to go about
             | it.
             | 
             | The Ethical AI team wasn't 'silly', it was working on ways
             | to make the algorithms used at Twitter more transparent to
             | users, avoid bias, and potentially allow for multiple
             | algorithm choices.
             | 
             | Subscription funding for Twitter is never going to work as
             | Twitter Blue showed quite clearly. At best it'll result in
             | marginal profit on a substantially smaller and less
             | interesting site, dominated by a few voices and with many
             | of its members leaving to other places. Nor will it block
             | scammers, who'll be able to use stolen cards and other
             | payment methods to pay for access the same way they
             | currently pay for hacked accounts. It'll just be even
             | cheaper for them.
             | 
             | Nor is $8/mo 'nothing' for large groups of people,
             | especially in the developing world, and would result in
             | them being excluded from the platform. Musk made one vague
             | statement about the price being adjusted for different
             | regions but nothing further has emerged on that.
             | 
             | [0]https://www.adweek.com/media/elon-musk-fails-to-answer-
             | brand...
             | 
             | [1]https://twitter.com/LouPas/status/1588599808587345921?s=
             | 20&t...
        
             | addajones wrote:
             | Absolutely! People love to hate it's very infectious. I
             | personally believe for-profit social media companies should
             | have always charged a subscription. People tend to be more
             | respectful and use things they pay for.
        
               | thedrbrian wrote:
               | none of the big social media companies would have gotten
               | big if the users had to pay.
               | 
               | See something awful where you had to pay a tenner to
               | post.
        
               | addajones wrote:
               | You're correct 100%. I just think the entire idea of
               | building a userbase for free isn't so great.
        
             | jacoblambda wrote:
             | An AI ethics team is 100% a core team for a business like
             | twitter. Facebook has already proven that such a team is
             | necessary [1] to prevent atrocities from occurring. Being
             | able to identify biases in the content selections by "the
             | algorithm" (read: a bundle of fancy heuristics) is a core
             | part of their job. Their job is to identify ways bad actors
             | are abusing their content propagation algorithms and ways
             | to mitigate these abuses.
             | 
             | 1. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-
             | facebo...
        
             | noahtallen wrote:
             | How the hell is AI Ethics irrelevant to a company that uses
             | AI to determine what tweets people are shown?
        
             | sigmar wrote:
             | The ad model works for instagram, youtube, and tiktok. Why
             | can't it work for twitter? I don't understand why the
             | mostly text-based site would be so much more expensive than
             | the various other social media sites that don't require
             | subscriptions to achieve high-reach. I'm sure it'll
             | massively cut down on spam, but think Elon might be
             | overestimating how much other ppl care about spam based on
             | his own feed/replies/notifications.
        
               | GekkePrutser wrote:
               | It works financially but not ethically. Tracking users to
               | maximize ad revenue is something advertisers demand and
               | it's frowned on more and more. In the EU it's now illegal
               | to do so without the user's consent. So.think it's smart
               | to look at subscription business models and much more
               | ethical too. At least you can give the user a choice now.
        
               | briantakita wrote:
               | > Why can't it work for twitter?
               | 
               | Don't know. Perhaps the fired management can comment on
               | why it didn't work for Twitter?
               | 
               | > Elon might be overestimating how much other ppl care
               | about spam based on his own feed/replies/notifications.
               | 
               | Difference is one does not need to follow Elon if one
               | thinks his content is spam. Disincentivizing ubiquitous
               | spam created by bots out of the platform will reduce the
               | noise overall so one can curate the list of those who
               | they follow.
        
               | sigmar wrote:
               | I'm not describing Elon's content as spam. I'm saying he
               | receives more spam than most people, particularly because
               | he likes to respond to ppl that @ him and is very into
               | crypto.
        
             | youngtaff wrote:
             | He's burning money because he loaded the company with a
             | billion dollars of debt
             | 
             | Without that debt Twitter was in much better shape
        
               | vorpalhex wrote:
               | Twitter took the debt. Twitter did not have to take the
               | debt. Twitter made that choice before agreeing to Elon.
        
               | _djo_ wrote:
               | Nope. This was taken on as part of Musk's acquisition
               | which is structured as a leveraged buyout and saddled
               | Twitter with nearly $13 billion in additional debt.
               | 
               | Twitter's annual debt service cost before Musk took over
               | was an entirely manageable $60 million a year. Now it's
               | somewhere around $1 billion.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | > $8/mo is nothing.
             | 
             | Most of non-Western Twitter will vanish overnight if this
             | is a requirement to use the platform. But it's still not
             | clear what it will actually mean and how it will affect the
             | site culture.
        
             | chmars wrote:
             | Do you have a source for those 'silly teams'?
        
               | sieabahlpark wrote:
        
             | nemo44x wrote:
             | He more or less yanked out the commissars. The hall
             | monitors and other busy bodies. Good riddance.
        
           | manmal wrote:
           | > hes lucky corporate brands and advertisers havent figured
           | out they could start their own Mastodon instance for almost
           | nothing
           | 
           | I think competitors would all start their own instances (Nike
           | instance vs Adidas instance?), so you'd end up with a myriad
           | of them eventually.
        
             | Timshel wrote:
             | That would be kind of awesome I think :).
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | It would be hilarious watching the infighting spread over
               | various instances themselves that were infighting.
               | 
               | But companies don't want the "liability" (not necessarily
               | legal liability, but appearances) - and they don't want
               | @thenewh1tler@nike.mastadon or whatever doing unsightly
               | things.
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | Companies wouldn't have open registration. They'd run it
               | like any other corporate resource, integrated into their
               | ldap/ad/sso solution and with a corporate policy for what
               | their employees could do on it.
               | 
               | Ya know, like their email servers.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I mean, company blogs still exist, as empty and as dead
               | as they've always been.
        
           | addajones wrote:
           | Why does it matter how much he's worth? Never understood why
           | people are so concerned about him cutting jobs? He bought the
           | company and took it private. It's his right to restructure it
           | and try to make it generate profit as he'd wish. The board of
           | directors of public Twitter approved of this. What do people
           | think, the USA is FOSS?
        
             | matthewdgreen wrote:
             | He has a right to buy the "public square" and do whatever
             | he wants with it. The people who occupied that public
             | square have the right to move to a different one. Isn't
             | that what TFA is all about? Obviously that's inconvenient
             | for a lot of people and probably disastrous for Musk and
             | his investors but I guess we'll see what happens.
        
             | kemayo wrote:
             | > Never understood why people are so concerned about him
             | cutting jobs? He bought the company and took it private.
             | It's his right to restructure it and try to make it
             | generate profit as he'd wish.
             | 
             | Absent a few questions about whether the layoffs have been
             | done in a way that violates employment laws (which I've
             | seen enough debate about that I imagine we'll have to see
             | how lawsuits turn out), I don't think anyone is saying he
             | doesn't have the _right_ to do this. Rather, criticism
             | focuses on whether it was (a) a good idea, and (b) well-
             | executed.
             | 
             | There's a few major strands of criticism of the layoffs
             | that appeal to me:
             | 
             | 1. It was less than a week. You can't possibly have
             | reviewed who you were firing well enough to be confident
             | that you were firing the right people.
             | 
             | 2. The departments that were laid off are concerning.
             | Apparently the trust and safety teams were hardest hit, and
             | making the already-bad moderation _worse_ on Twitter doesn
             | 't sound great.
        
               | tayo42 wrote:
               | To add to that first point there's rumors they're asking
               | people to come back. Maybe confirmed by now?
        
             | ploika wrote:
             | It's not just about the USA. Twitter has to follow the law
             | wherever it operates. The way the company went about
             | announcing redundancies in the Dublin office could well
             | fall foul of Irish employment law (IANAL etc), and people
             | have legitimate cause for annoyance if Musk feels he's rich
             | and powerful enough to get away with doing it anyway.
        
             | TaylorAlexander wrote:
             | People really like twitter. They're concerned about the new
             | guy coming in and making rash decisions with shaky
             | justification. Millions of people have to deal with the
             | implications of his decision. Just because it's his legal
             | right doesn't mean people have to be happy about what he's
             | doing. And it's yet another reminder that we'd rather be on
             | platforms where users have some amount of power, but
             | network effects and billions in investment favor platforms
             | where that's not the case.
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | > Never understood why people are so concerned about him
             | cutting jobs?
             | 
             | There can be many different perspectives on it.
             | 
             | A possible perspective is someone who uses twitter. If Elon
             | cut jobs too hastily that might risk the stability, safety,
             | or moderation of the platform. That is a valid concern for
             | users.
             | 
             | If you are an advertiser for a big brand you are concerned
             | about what content your advertisement appears next to.
             | Brands don't want to see their names plastered next to
             | things which are too controversial, or frowned uppon. This
             | is called "brand safety". They might worry that a deep cut
             | in twitter's headcount will mean that twitter can't
             | quarantee that they can maintain the required level of
             | moderation for this.
             | 
             | There is then the perspective of a regular everyday person
             | who is not a twitter user in any way. They are interested
             | in a safe society. If the changes at twitter lead to an
             | under moderated free-for-all that can give power to all
             | kind of dangerous individuals. Radicalisation is a real
             | thing. Free rethoric against groups of people can lead to
             | more radical rethoric. And more radical speech can lead to
             | violence.
             | 
             | > It's his right to restructure it and try to make it
             | generate profit as he'd wish.
             | 
             | Of course! That is without dispute. One can be concerned
             | about how something is managed even if the owners of said
             | something has every right to manage the think the way they
             | want it.
        
             | forgotusername6 wrote:
             | Because there is something distasteful about a man that
             | rich firing loads of people. There is something almost
             | medieval about it. He's basically a modern day king. I've
             | never understood the complete lack of empathy displayed by
             | so many people on HN. It's worse than Reddit.
             | 
             | "He bought the man, it is his property now. He can do with
             | him as he wishes" - legal ownership can still be wrong.
        
               | fsdjkflsjfsoij wrote:
               | > I've never understood the complete lack of empathy
               | 
               | A lot of Twitter employees have spent years being about
               | as obnoxious as they possibly can be to anyone with even
               | slightly different views. I've seen a Twitter employee
               | practically in tears calling someone a fascist because
               | they insisted on putting semi-colons after statements in
               | JavaScript.
               | 
               | > Because there is something distasteful about a man that
               | rich firing loads of people.
               | 
               | I don't think it's distasteful at all. Twitter isn't a
               | charity and it needs to fix its finances. Even the
               | previous CEOs recognized that there's a ton of Twitter
               | employees that do basically no relevant work.
        
               | joshmanders wrote:
               | > "He bought the man, it is his property now. He can do
               | with him as he wishes" - legal ownership can still be
               | wrong.
               | 
               | Jesus do you even read the words you just typed? Someone
               | bought a company that was hemorrhaging money, he let go
               | of the fluff and you're equating it to slave ownership?!
        
               | kemayo wrote:
               | Is this the moment to snarkily bring up "corporations are
               | people, my friend"? :D
        
               | parineum wrote:
               | "Corporations are people" is the plural of "a corporation
               | is people". It has nothing to do with assigning person
               | hood to a corporate entity. "Corporations are people" is
               | in reference to the 1st amendment free speech rights that
               | the _people_ who make up a corporation still maintain
               | when they are acting as a group.
               | 
               | Consider not eating up the soundbites of politicians
               | without understanding the context.
        
               | Karunamon wrote:
               | It is somewhat telling that those who used to dismiss all
               | complaints about Twitter's moderation practices with a
               | variation of the "private companies can do whatever they
               | want" canard, are not really repeating that one anymore,
               | or worse, seem to have abandoned that principle outright
               | and are now complaining that the owner is, indeed, doing
               | whatever he wants.
               | 
               | Twitter was a $4 million a day money pit at the time of
               | its acquisition. It has had 2 profitable years in its
               | entire life. Corporations are not charities and it
               | absolutely beggars belief that people seem to think
               | radical changes were not both necessary and inevitable.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > Twitter was a $4 million a day money pit at the time of
               | its acquisition.
               | 
               | Do you have a source for that? They lost $221M in 2021[1]
               | which is ~$600k/day (and that was after a $800M lawsuit
               | settlement which would have put them at ~$580M profit for
               | 2021.)
               | 
               | [1] https://news.yahoo.com/twitter-posts-
               | loss-2021-stock-1301280...
        
               | Karunamon wrote:
               | Twitter hasn't even been acquired for a month yet, how
               | are numbers from nearly 2 years ago even relevant?
               | 
               | Straight from the horse's mouth:
               | https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588671155766194176
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | dislikedtom2 wrote:
               | System is broken and hating or getting rid of the winner
               | does not help since there is a line of people ready to
               | take his spot and that spot is only open for people who
               | are not afraid of a fight. Don't hate the player, hate
               | the game as they say.
        
               | mmplxx wrote:
               | > He's basically a modern day king
               | 
               | In what way? I mean, besides him being very powerful.
               | Other than that, his behavior here seems perfectly
               | capitalistic to me.
        
               | expensive_news wrote:
               | Twitter has lost money nearly every year since it's been
               | public, and was losing $4 million a day when Elon took
               | over. If jobs don't generate money they can't exist in
               | the free market, and the real shock is that the previous
               | board of directors didn't initiate layoffs sooner.
        
               | _djo_ wrote:
               | Twitter's net loss in 2021 was $221 million, far from $4
               | million a day, and there's nothing to indicate that had
               | changed before he bought it. The figure he quoted is made
               | up predominantly of the $1 billion in annual interest
               | payments Twitter now has thanks to Musk's leveraged buy
               | out.
               | 
               | There was no imminent need for Twitter do anything. It
               | still had a healthy enough cash pile and leeway and time
               | to layoff 10% of the workforce or so to return to pre-
               | COVID staffing levels.
        
               | jurassic wrote:
               | Exactly. He's running it into the ground financially by
               | saddling a low margin business with high-interest debt
               | and also tanking revenue by spooking advertisers. 5D
               | chess.
        
               | jacoblambda wrote:
               | From when twitter went public(2013), the deficit
               | decreased every year and eventually the company ran a
               | measurable profit in 2018 and 2019. It ran red in 2020
               | but since then has been making a profit most quarters.
               | This seems to indicate that while they weren't running on
               | great margins, they were above board even if just barely.
               | 
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/299119/twitter-net-
               | incom...
               | 
               | And the $4 million/day is from the debt incurred by
               | Elon's purchase.
        
               | kemayo wrote:
               | I've seen it claimed that the $4M/day figure is mostly
               | because of the debt servicing cost that Musk's
               | acquisition added to the company's books.
               | 
               | The new debts apparently add over $1 billion / year in
               | interest payments alone.
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/technology/elon-musk-
               | twit...
               | 
               | (Being able to do this as part of a buyout sounds
               | ridiculous, I know. And yet.)
        
               | bluesign wrote:
               | > I've never understood the complete lack of empathy
               | displayed by so many people on HN.
               | 
               | I don't think this is empathy related to be honest ( as
               | your statement is "a man that rich firing loads of
               | people." )
               | 
               | It is either wrong to fire those people, or not. If it is
               | not wrong to fire those people, it shouldn't matter who
               | did it.
        
             | qzx_pierri wrote:
             | > Why does it matter how much he's worth?
             | 
             | Because some people think that wealth somehow equates to
             | evil. It's a very juvenile way to think, and I suspect most
             | people don't even know why they dislike Elon (or any other
             | billionare - Elon is just an example). After people read so
             | many sensationalized articles online, they adopt the
             | author's sanctimonious opinions/views as their own.
             | 
             | It's shocking how people can hold so much contempt for a
             | man they've never met. Even if Elon posts snarky shit
             | online, who doesn't? If everyone's life was put under a
             | microscope, they would likely be under the same media
             | firestorm as Elon, or even worse.
             | 
             | EDIT: Instead of replying to me and engaging in discussion
             | (maybe I could learn something), I get downvoted. Stay
             | classy, HN.
        
               | krisoft wrote:
               | > Stay classy, HN.
               | 
               | I could ask the same about your comment please.
               | 
               | > Because some people think that wealth somehow equates
               | to evil. It's a very juvenile way to think
               | 
               | You set up a strawman and knock it down. There are many
               | legitimate reason why someone might object to Musk or his
               | wealth. Thinking that "wealth somehow equates evil" is
               | indeed juvenile, yet somehow you assume people hold that
               | thought and work from that assumption.
               | 
               | > I suspect most people don't even know why they dislike
               | Elon
               | 
               | Oh great. The sheepish masses. They don't even have a
               | coherent thought!
               | 
               | Except this is your fantasy again. There are many
               | legitimate reasons to dislike him. Why don't you ask
               | people, instead of labeling them empty headed media-
               | driven zombies? This is hardly a way to "engage in
               | discussion".
               | 
               | > It's shocking how people can hold so much contempt for
               | a man they've never met.
               | 
               | He kinda put himself in front of others. That is his
               | brand. It has benefits and drawbacks. I don't know why
               | you think one has to meet someone to judge their
               | character. If he does contemptible things through online
               | discussion why can't someone hold him in contempt?
               | 
               | > If everyone's life was put under a microscope, they
               | would likely be under the same media firestorm as Elon,
               | or even worse.
               | 
               | I doubt it is truly everyone. Many many individuals live
               | a public life without kicking of a firestorm with the
               | same regularity he does.
        
               | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
               | Money equals power. One billionaire equals too much power
               | in single set of hands. Some of us don't like power
               | concentrated in too few hands. it is a simple argument.
        
             | notimetorelax wrote:
             | I recently started reading history and it speaks a lot
             | about land ownership and how peasants would get indebted to
             | barons for working on it. On the surface that made a lot of
             | sense, and yet this was not the type of society we wanted.
             | 
             | Nowadays billionaires remind me of those barons, some even
             | buy out land (see Bill Gates and his buying spree [1]). So
             | people mentioning someone's net worth states their class
             | and this is important for the context. As for Musk being
             | entitled to fire anyone, sure he can do that, although some
             | of it may not be legal, plus we as society may decide that
             | this is not the norm we want to accept. Same as the
             | peasants didn't earlier.
             | 
             | [1] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/apr/05/b
             | ill-g...
        
               | parineum wrote:
               | > Nowadays billionaires remind me of those barons, some
               | even buy out land
               | 
               | I'm pretty sure you missed the important point of that
               | history you've been reading. The bad part is the
               | indentured servitude, not the land ownership.
               | 
               | > On the surface that made a lot of sense
               | 
               | To whom?
               | 
               | > So people mentioning someone's net worth states their
               | class and this is important for the context. As for Musk
               | being entitled to fire anyone, sure he can do that,
               | although some of it may not be legal, plus we as society
               | may decide that this is not the norm we want to accept.
               | Same as the peasants didn't earlier.
               | 
               | There are a plethora of companies that behave in this
               | exact way that millions of people continue to patronize
               | in a much more substantial manner than they do Twitter
               | (Food, vehicles, electronics, etc.).
               | 
               | Musk's behavior is not new, unique or shocking. These
               | people are overplaying their outrage over his behavior
               | because they don't like the man and Twitter is their safe
               | space. It has absolutely nothing to do with his actual
               | business practices.
        
               | __alexs wrote:
               | > The bad part is the indentured servitude, not the land
               | ownership.
               | 
               | I guess you're not familiar with the Inclosure Acts? (To
               | name but one of the grossly amoral uses of land ownership
               | in the past few centuries.)
        
               | parineum wrote:
               | Using land amorally isn't the same thing as owning land
               | unless you think land ownership is amoral.
        
               | __alexs wrote:
               | I'll take that as a yes then.
               | 
               | OP was not claiming all land ownership was bad. Just that
               | rich people have commonly used land ownership to harm
               | others. There is a long and rich history of this.
        
               | parineum wrote:
               | > creating legal property rights to land previously held
               | in common.
               | 
               | That's not a use of land ownership, that's an amoral
               | redistribution (theft) of land.
               | 
               | They took ownership from one party to another. The
               | amorality was the transfer, not the ownership. Unless you
               | think both parties are equally amoral for owning the land
               | in the beginning and the end of the process.
               | 
               | The argument you're making would be like saying it was
               | amoral for plantation owners to own the land they held
               | because they had slaves. The problem is the slaves (and
               | all the evils that came with it), not the plantation.
        
           | esskay wrote:
           | The reality is the average user could not give a crap who
           | owns twitter, or what they do. They arent there for the
           | owner, they're there because its a functioning social
           | network.
        
           | ambrozk wrote:
           | > hes lucky corporate brands and advertisers havent figured
           | out they could start their own Mastodon instance for almost
           | nothing, plug it until it becomes more popular than Twitter,
           | and maintain all their existing brand safety controls in the
           | process.
           | 
           | This is a very funny way of thinking which gets reality
           | backwards. Corporate brands go where user eyeballs are. In
           | the past the eyeballs read newspapers, and advertisers paid
           | newspapers for space. Then the eyeballs went to Google, and
           | advertisers paid Google for space. Then Facebook, and Twitter
           | took over, and advertisers started paying them. Advertisers
           | don't tell user eyeballs what platforms to go to. They follow
           | the users.
        
             | sosull wrote:
             | Is there even a remotely balanced alignment between the
             | number of users on a platform and that platform's
             | advertising market share? I think the answer is no. Google
             | and Meta dominate ads. No-one else really has traction,
             | irrespective of their platform's success.
        
               | rco8786 wrote:
               | That's a super weird take. Google and Meta absolutely
               | dominate on users also.
        
               | sosull wrote:
               | Yes, you're correct. I was wrong. Apologies.
        
             | nimchimpsky wrote:
        
             | frereubu wrote:
             | I don't think it's that simple is it? Companies like Ford
             | don't advertise on sites like Parler not just because there
             | aren't many people there, but because of the content that
             | their adverts would be presented alongside. What seems to
             | concern companies about the new direction of Twitter is
             | that more extremists may be allowed back on Twitter if the
             | content rules are loosened, and the companies' advertising
             | may be presented alongside that. It may also be that if
             | those extremists are allowed back then many people will
             | start to desert Twitter, and it will be even less
             | attractive. But I think both things - number of users _and_
             | the content - are being taken into account.
        
               | Thorentis wrote:
               | I really don't think companies care what their ads appear
               | alongside. They care about a Twitter user posting an
               | outrage tweet with a screenshot of an ad for a Burger
               | appearing next to the N word. As if we aren't mature
               | enough yet to separate ad space and user generated
               | content.
        
               | rodgerd wrote:
               | > I really don't think companies care what their ads
               | appear alongside.
               | 
               | It's always funny to see people on HN confidently assert
               | absolute horseshit based on no experience.
               | 
               | As someone who's worked in ad-supported publishing, they
               | absolutely do. A lot of time and energy goes into trying
               | to ensure ads never appear alongside content that the
               | purchaser doesn't want, and failure usually results in
               | running ads for free, at a minimum.
        
               | pjc50 wrote:
               | The ads pay for the content that appears next to them to
               | appear in the first place. There can be no separation at
               | ad funded companies.
        
               | frereubu wrote:
               | Companies _do_ care what their ads appear alongside,
               | _because_ of the outrage tweets and because, en masse,
               | people  / the media _aren 't_ mature enough to separate
               | ad space and user-generated content.
        
               | phpisthebest wrote:
               | No a very loud, very vocal, minority of users that have
               | an extreme authoritarian world view and will create the
               | appearance of wide scale social outrage where there is
               | none will scare marketers..
               | 
               | Of course if they had any real data on the impact of
               | their ads they probally will realize that none of the ads
               | are effective anyway. I have never once saw a twitter ad
               | for a large national fast food place, or a car company
               | and said "hey I need to go buy from them"
               | 
               | Now marketing for lesser known things, things I may not
               | have even known existed well that is effective. But a
               | Burger king add no....
        
               | slg wrote:
               | >I really don't think companies care what their ads
               | appear alongside. They care about a Twitter user posting
               | an outrage tweet with a screenshot of an ad for a Burger
               | appearing next to the N word.
               | 
               | I don't understand what distinction you are making here?
               | Aren't those the same things?
        
               | phpisthebest wrote:
               | As a Life long F150 owner (having owned 5 of one from
               | each of the last 5 generations including my current
               | one... all V8's as well, Ecoboost V6 is a terrible engine
               | and does not belong in a truck ;) ), and a person that
               | lives in a Red State, and a person that Knows alot of
               | other F150 owners..
               | 
               | I can assure you the people screeching about twitters new
               | ownership are not Fords Customer base. Ford's bread and
               | butter is the F150, a class of vehicle that the
               | twitterverse that is leaving on mass would like to
               | eliminate from production
               | 
               | Ford marketing dept is extremely tone deaf listing to
               | that crowd
        
               | mplewis wrote:
               | You have a very skewed view of who's buying the F150 and
               | who they're selling the Lightning to.
        
               | qeternity wrote:
               | Ford cares what non-Parler users think. That's it. And
               | because there are many, many more non-Parler users than
               | Parler users, they've done extremely basic cost benefit
               | analysis.
               | 
               | There's also an interesting prisoner's dilemma to
               | advertising, which cuts both ways. If your competitors
               | advertise, then you need to as well. And if they don't,
               | then you don't either.
        
             | __alexs wrote:
             | Google ad revenue is considerably more than Meta and
             | Twitter combined.
        
           | squidbeak wrote:
           | Alternatively, a businessman running some of the world's most
           | successful companies took over a failing company and in his
           | first week took a hatchet to a slovenly working culture and
           | overgrown staff, and along with a practical plan to mend the
           | company's finances and break its reliance on advertising,
           | proposed new features (community notes, improved search,
           | payments for creators) on an aggressive timeline that have
           | many user excited about the platform for the first time in
           | years.
        
             | smcl wrote:
             | Was Twitter really failing? It finally became (extremely)
             | profitable in 2018 and 2019 before tanking in 2020 (covid?)
             | but it made a decent recovery in 2021:
             | https://www.statista.com/statistics/274563/annual-net-
             | income...
        
               | jurassic wrote:
               | The company wasn't financially failing until Elon showed
               | up, scared off most of the major advertisers, and stuck
               | the company with $13B in high-interest loans he used to
               | buy it.
        
             | moomin wrote:
             | I wish any of my projects had been so unsuccessful as to
             | sell for $44 billion.
             | 
             | And if you think my opinion isn't worth anything, consider
             | the richest man in the world just spent $200 on it.
        
         | xg15 wrote:
         | > _Too much friction._
         | 
         | Is there some way to reduce the friction, now that Mastodon has
         | so much interest? Something like a "twitter importer" e.g.?
        
           | metadat wrote:
           | All you need to do is pick an instance and register an
           | account on said instance. The friction is pretty low, in the
           | same ballpark as friction encountered creating an account on
           | any website.
           | 
           | It's not difficult, although yesterday it did take about an
           | hour to get the confirmation email. The network is presently
           | under heavy load due to new users.
        
         | Laremere wrote:
         | I really felt that there was an overreaction and we needed time
         | to see what changes actually happened under Musk. Lots of very
         | confident and different guesses about what was going on.
         | 
         | Then Musk started to say he'd name and shame advertisers who
         | have lowered/removed their spend on the platform. I don't know
         | what the bar for advertisers deciding a platform is too risky
         | to advertise on, but that has to cross it. There are a lot of
         | different sites to advertise on, so it only really takes being
         | riskier than the rest to lower/remove the amount you're willing
         | to spend on the platform.
         | 
         | But maybe that take is just as bad as the rest. Perhaps Twitter
         | sometime soon finds a crowd that will pay enough to sustain it,
         | and the crowds that fled from it slowly come back after
         | becoming frustrated with overly technical alternatives.
        
         | onion2k wrote:
         | _Mastodon is great but it isn 't a replacement for Twitter. Too
         | much friction. Too hard for the average journalist. Not enough
         | reach._
         | 
         | You seem to think Twitter is for journalists. It isn't. It's
         | for anyone who wants to use it, including people who have the
         | time and energy to figure it out and no need for "reach". And
         | that's more than enough.
         | 
         | What people fail to understand about Fediverse apps is that
         | _they aren 't trying to be big_. They're trying to stay small
         | but be part of a big, connected universe. Mastodon won't ever
         | be Twitter but it could still be incredibly useful.
         | 
         | Also note though that this doesn't mean Twitter is safe.
         | Twitter's main rival is 'nothing' - eg users realising they
         | don't want to use or read a microblogging service. People
         | quitting Twitter because they don't like it any more is a far
         | greater threat to Twitter than any fediverse service could ever
         | be. Elon can happily ignore Mastodon. He can't ignore breaking
         | Twitter (if he is, which isn't certain at all.)
        
           | parineum wrote:
           | > You seem to think Twitter is for journalists. It isn't.
           | 
           | Someone should tell the journalists.
        
             | rchaud wrote:
             | Ever been to the replies section of a journalist's post?
        
         | andylynch wrote:
         | I don't know about that; for instance a number of lawyers I
         | follow are now on Mastodon and enjoying figuring it out. The
         | biggest problems seem to be that some popular servers are
         | disabling signups for a bit, and secondly finding out who else
         | is there too (but Debirdify helps with that)
        
         | grammers wrote:
         | >It reminded me of when I was considering trying to move all of
         | our customers to receive PGP encrypted mail in 2005. An
         | intelligent employee brought up that an average business person
         | would never do that. Luckily we never implemented it.
         | 
         | Try Tutanota, it's simple enough and you can only encrypt
         | really important emails.
         | 
         | >Mastodon is great but it isn't a replacement for Twitter. Too
         | much friction. Too hard for the average journalist. Not enough
         | reach.
         | 
         | I tend to disagree, been on there a while and it's a decent
         | replacement, much more civil as well.
        
           | rapind wrote:
           | > much more civil as well.
           | 
           | Unfortunately that's about to change.
        
             | rchaud wrote:
             | I don't see how.
             | 
             | Incivility on Twitter began because of several reasons:
             | 
             | a) 140 char limit incentivized hot takes over nuance
             | 
             | b) ad-based metrics (mDAUs) incentivized addiction-based UX
             | choices (infinite scroll), and nothing keeps people glued
             | to a screen like bad news
             | 
             | c) the algorithm started showing content to followers that
             | was contextually unrelated to their follows."Here's a post
             | from a person you don't follow, but is followed by one of
             | your follows).
             | 
             | Mastodon does away with a lot of this. 500 characters
             | allows for plenty of nuance. Federation model means there
             | is no monolith obsessed with accumulating the most users
             | and shoving ads at them.
        
         | collegeburner wrote:
         | i'm pretty sure they know this, but i'm pretty sure they're
         | intentionally trying to "make it a thing"/fake support for it
         | because there's a lot of hate towards musk. i don't like him
         | much but i do like the fact that all these types of blue check
         | journalists are pissed about it.
        
         | LeoPanthera wrote:
         | It is not for you, or a fair news organization, to decide what
         | is an "overreaction".
        
         | coffeeblack wrote:
         | Plus, there is no real reason to.
         | 
         | All this hysteria is based on lies that have been spread over
         | the past days.
        
       | zmmmmm wrote:
       | Seems to me the biggest challenge for Mastodon is that the most
       | high profile Twitter users explicitly want the centralisation it
       | provides. They are going there literally to get on a sandbox and
       | propagate their messages to as many millions of followers as they
       | can. They will not understand the theoretical possibility of
       | federation - they will see anything that introduces any kind of
       | barrier or complexity in the way of them reaching their audience
       | as an antifeature.
       | 
       | I think Mastodon, or whatever else tries to follow it, needs to
       | bury the federation aspect as a technical detail and design from
       | the ground up something that emphasises a unified system. It's
       | not that easy when probably a large fraction of the people
       | building it are introverted engineers who have difficulty even
       | comprehending how someone can want to interact with hundreds let
       | alone thousands or millions of other people. But as long as the
       | fundamental concept of the system is in contention with what the
       | core user base wants, it's hard to think how it will be very
       | successful, at least at replacing a service like Twitter.
       | 
       | EDIT: speling
        
         | rolenthedeep wrote:
         | Mastodon isn't trying to replace Twitter.
        
           | zmmmmm wrote:
           | yes .... good point - which makes it all the more unlikely to
           | succeed in meeting people's expectations.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | coffeeblack wrote:
       | Surprising that mastodon has only half a million users?! Way
       | below what I expected after so many years.
       | 
       | I am looking forward to new Twitter. So many cool changes coming:
       | Vine coming back. Maybe even Periscope coming back. Birdwatch
       | getting more love. And over all more diversity and openness.
       | Pretty sweet.
        
         | keithnz wrote:
         | think they missed a zero, more like 6 million...
         | https://bolha.us/@gutocarvalho/109298885964017612
        
       | rglover wrote:
       | What's most exciting and optimistic to me about all this
       | hullabaloo is that people are organically starting to make a move
       | back to a more-decentralized web (decentralized in the original,
       | 90s internet sense). What's cool is it's happening 100%
       | organically and independent of technology. I love the idea of
       | different "corners" of the internet becoming more of a thing
       | again. We need more diversity of thought, not less, and this move
       | (however small) makes it more likely, not less.
        
       | john2x wrote:
       | Off-topic, but is there a similar federated alternative to
       | Reddit? e.g. each subreddit can be its own server.
        
         | cropcirclbureau wrote:
         | There's Lemmy[0] which is a reddit clone though it's multiple
         | "subreddits" per server is how it's implemented. It's rather
         | small currently and the existing crowd's mainly software
         | developers and hardcore leftists.
         | 
         | [0]: https://join-lemmy.org/
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | cropcirclbureau wrote:
         | Ah,I forgot the Littr[0] which fits your bill even better.
         | Discussed on HN[1] a few months ago.
         | 
         | [0]: https://littr.me/ [1]:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31785966
        
       | rhollos wrote:
       | If you're considering Mastodon, you might want to instead use
       | Pleroma (https://pleroma.social/) which provides access to
       | Mastodon instances but is less demanding of computing resources,
       | and easier to create your own instance (if you choose to go that
       | route) as it has fewer dependencies.
        
       | jimmytidey wrote:
       | I think there's a fair amount of 'status quo' bias here.
       | 
       | Mastodon isn't going to be a massively federated system that
       | recreates every nuance of the Twitter UX.
       | 
       | It could still be a worthwhile alternative to Twitter. It would
       | be nice if there were thousands of Mastodon servers, but perhaps
       | a handful is ok. Mastodon has a slightly confusing user
       | experience, but so was early Twitter - maybe that's ok too.
       | 
       | Whatever the downsides to Mastodon are they should be weighed
       | against the benefits of moving away from Twitter, which are
       | enormous. Irrespective of whether the Town Square metaphor fits
       | exactly, Twitter hosts a massive amount of influential political
       | discussion. Demonstrating that many users will stop using a venue
       | for political speech if a billionaire gains unfettered control of
       | it is an incredibly important precedent to set.
       | 
       | Mastodon doesn't have to be perfect, it just has to be a bit
       | better than Twitter. I think it probably clears that bar easily.
        
       | raytube wrote:
       | Is this a good explainer? There is a barrier to most tech. I
       | remember joining a server and not going much further a few years
       | back.
       | 
       | Seen lots of people saying this is me I think on Mastodon.
        
       | Eumenes wrote:
       | From my experience, the only people use Mastodon are super
       | integrated into the web/open source communities. There's also a
       | strange mix of anime, furry, and weird gamer people.
        
       | baxtr wrote:
       | I have no clue what Twitter will be turned into by Musk. I also
       | don't have a very strong opinion about the entire situation or
       | about the changes he's implementing right now.
       | 
       | But here is what concerns me: the speed of execution. Ofc speed
       | matters a lot in startups. But Twitter is a not a startup
       | anymore.
       | 
       | Compare that to when Steve Jobs returned to Apple. He took some
       | weeks (months?) to understand what was going on inside Apple
       | thoroughly. Only after he understood the situation (he did
       | product review sessions) and had developed a strategy, only then
       | he executed it quickly. And even then, he knew that results would
       | come eventually but not immediately.
       | 
       | Now, ofc you could argue that the situation is different since
       | Musk is a long-term twitter user himself and knows the platform,
       | at least outside in. Yet, Jobs was an Apple user, too.
       | 
       | I don't know. We will see how this turns out. Musk has some other
       | companies that are running quite well.
       | 
       | Still, this might be the one which won't because he rushed it.
        
         | mytailorisrich wrote:
         | The deal for Musk to buy Twitter was agreed in April.
         | 
         | He has indeed taken control only this week but he had months to
         | get a plan together, with, as far as I know, a level of access
         | to Twitter's internals during that time.
        
           | abzolv wrote:
           | Kara Swisher said some advertisers had told her, after a
           | meeting with Musk last week in NY, that either he came to the
           | meeting totally unprepared or he actually had no plan. He
           | could not articulate a sensible plan to them.
        
           | abzolv wrote:
           | The months you're referring to was spent trying to get out of
           | the deal. It was not spent preparing for it to close.
        
           | baxtr wrote:
           | Maybe he had access to internals. But do you really believe
           | it's comparable to the SJ situation? He was the CEO and could
           | talk to all the people in person. He spent most of his time
           | understanding. It's seems very different now.
        
           | _djo_ wrote:
           | He had no access to internals during that time, and the
           | calibre of the 'planning' revealed during discovery in the
           | trial was neither deep nor substantial.
           | 
           | There are now reports that some of those laid off are being
           | asked to come back, in a belated recognition that it was a
           | chaotic and flawed process.
        
       | running101 wrote:
       | It's a fad, they'll be back
        
       | nemo44x wrote:
       | The "Vertically Integrated Messaging Apparatus" is in overdrive
       | this weekend, now providing manuals on how to sign up for a
       | different social network that none of them heard of last week
       | because of Current Thing.
       | 
       | We're going to hear exaggerated stories about how no one uses
       | Twitter anymore and everyone who is anyone is on Mastodon. The
       | articles will be tweeted, of course.
        
         | AshamedCaptain wrote:
         | Wake me up when people start publishing RSS feeds again and
         | I'll accept the claims of federated platform.
        
           | gpm wrote:
           | Mastodon publishes RSS feeds, take a username and server and
           | make a url that looks like this:
           | https://octodon.social/users/fasterthanlime.rss
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | You can import https://twitter.com/elonmusk directly into
             | an RSS reader if you want, still.
        
           | etchalon wrote:
           | A lot of places never stopped publishing RSS feeds. It's just
           | not a lot of people read them anymore.
        
       | radium3d wrote:
        
         | Vaslo wrote:
         | Only in the tech world will this be popular. The system is not
         | friendly for people want a simple experience.
        
       | chatterhead wrote:
       | If you didn't close your Github account when Microsoft bought it
       | for $7B then you likely aren't going to close your Twitter cause
       | Elon.
        
         | cm2187 wrote:
         | or left to Canada when Trump was elected
        
       | cmrdporcupine wrote:
       | So, getting a little meta and just a little frustrated: I am
       | amazed at the continued downward trend of the quality of the
       | commentary on this site in regards to news relating to hacker
       | culture, when topics like this come up.
       | 
       | A pointy haired narcissist with a track record of taking credit
       | for other people's work takes over a tech company and fires half
       | of its employees based on a metric of the number of lines of code
       | they wrote. _Cartman style Ha-Ha "they probably deserve it what
       | do those people do all day anyways"_
       | 
       | Microsoft-owned Copilot violating the spirit and possilby the
       | legal letter of the GPL? _" Don't care, it writes my boiler plate
       | code for me. I hope all lawsuits against it lose"_
       | 
       | A federated open source ad-less social network starts to get some
       | popularity? _" It will never amount to anything. Pointless over-
       | reaction."_
       | 
       | Has hacker culture truly changed this much since I came up into
       | in the 90s? Or has the demographic just shifted here that much? I
       | was around running a UUCP node, Citadel BBSes, logging into MUDs
       | and MOOs and IRC back in the late 80s and early 90s, when the
       | Internet went through several of its early growth explosions,
       | lived through the fall of '94 when AOL users first flooded the
       | web, saw the fallout from that, etc. and then saw this culture
       | and the open source and free software movement grow throughout
       | the 90s and into the milennium.
       | 
       | People who comment like this are unrecognizable to me as part of
       | that same movement.
       | 
       | When you comment on an article about the growth of a federated
       | open source network built by hackers... with disparaging snark --
       | what exactly are you contributing to hacker culture?
        
         | baby wrote:
         | HN is not just about the cypherphunk culture, actually it's far
         | from that IMO. It's much more about the startup and product
         | culture. It was started by a VC after all.
         | 
         | Personally, I'm happy to read realistic and pragmatic comments
         | here. Mastodon is not going to kill twitter. The headline is
         | frustratingly clickbaity. What's nice is that it will get a
         | nice bump of users thanks to this article, and the project will
         | be stress tested.
        
           | encryptluks2 wrote:
           | Mastodon may very well kill Twitter. What make you think that
           | a company with descent financial backing can't scale a
           | Mastodon instance to Twitter-size levels?
        
             | macjc wrote:
             | In my view, its basic idea is wrong. Mastodon reduces the
             | connection between communities and will have worse "free
             | speech" problems when it reaches the twitter scale. If
             | money could solve everything, google+ would still be a
             | thing today.
        
               | encryptluks2 wrote:
               | You make it sound like a company running a large Mastodon
               | instance scaled across hundreds of thousands of nodes
               | couldn't make changes to solve whatever "free speech"
               | problems. Just because it is open source doesn't mean
               | that they couldn't make changes and contribute to the
               | code upstream to solve many of these issues.
        
               | rolenthedeep wrote:
               | I think you've got it a little backwards there.
               | 
               | Smaller communities are easier to moderate. Reduced
               | interaction with other communities means that any one
               | person can only have a limited effect before a remote
               | moderator intervenes.
               | 
               | What happens when a toxic community starts causing
               | problems in the wider network? Quite simply, they get cut
               | off from the network. Every individual user can block an
               | entire instance. Each server can also block another
               | instance. There is also precedent for ALL servers to
               | block one particularly bad instance.
               | 
               | You probably can't prevent toxic communities from
               | forming. Since it's an open protocol, you also can't
               | prevent certain political parties from setting up their
               | "free speech" instance and doing what they do. But you
               | can cut them off from everyone else just trying to have a
               | good time.
               | 
               | The community structure should tend to gather like-minded
               | people together. That would mean some instances becoming
               | intensely toxic. Which is what we have seen happen. On
               | the other hand the isolated structure makes it easy to
               | just ban that entire community with one button.
        
             | rolenthedeep wrote:
             | Mastodon has some structural problems, and instances do not
             | scale well. Mastodon.social is run by Eugen (who created
             | mastodon), and he's had to disable core features of the
             | service (local and federated timelines) just to cope with
             | the sheer number of users.
             | 
             | AFAIK, it would take significant work to rewrite the
             | software such that it scales the way Twitter does.
        
         | 01100011 wrote:
         | Hackernews isn't for hackers.
         | 
         | If anything, it's geared towards software engineers, most of
         | which aren't anything like "hackers" and can swing fairly
         | convervative on many topics.
         | 
         | This place isn't old school slashdot. If anything it's more for
         | people that just want to get rich in tech at all costs.
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | I'm not new here, and.. well ... It's always been a mix of
           | both, but that mix seems to have shifted in % and tone in the
           | last couple years especially. Maybe reflecting broader
           | culture wars issues.
           | 
           | But there used to be a much broader consensus in the industry
           | among nerds about responses to this kind of thing.
           | 
           | Empathy to fellow software engineers in our tech industry is
           | one thing I would expect re: the twitter layoffs. I worry
           | about apathy about license violations for the license that
           | literally made Linux (and therefore huge swathes of the
           | modern tech infrastructure) possible. Again, not recognizable
           | to me is the dismissive sneer about new possibilities in
           | social networks and tech.
           | 
           | And yeah, perhaps Mastodon is annoying/frustrating to these
           | people precisely because it isn't a monetized money making
           | scheme.
           | 
           | FWIW I am one of those "software engineers" you mention and
           | did my decade in a FAANG. But I only got that title because
           | of the time I spent as a hacker-nerd in my teens.
           | 
           | I'm trying not to paint too much of a straw-man here, but it
           | feels like a trend to me, a worrisome one.
        
         | renonn wrote:
        
         | encryptluks2 wrote:
         | You have to understand a lot of people own Tesla's and Tesla
         | stock and they feel attacked personally seeing anything succeed
         | that might affect their stock or opinions of Musk. By seeing
         | other people be successful that might take away from Musk's
         | success, they feel like it will affect their potential to get
         | richer.
        
         | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
         | I do have a pet theory that between GPT-3, various parsers,
         | bots, 4chan influx we saw tendencies that eventually took
         | slashdot and other forums down. I personally try to keep HN
         | spirit alive, but I will admit it has gotten harder lately.
         | 
         | It would be sad news for me, because I see HN as last bastion
         | of real conversation online.
        
         | _the_inflator wrote:
         | > Has hacker culture truly changed this much since I came up
         | into in the 90s?
         | 
         | The revolution eats its own children. The games industry used
         | to be the target of hacker attacks, and cracking games,
         | pirating them, was more fun than doing damage, according to the
         | self-image of the 80th, 90th, 00th. Who would have guessed that
         | such a spirit could also turn against its own community, in a
         | community where manipulation and deception took place even in
         | the past, as long as it served one's own goals? There has never
         | been good and evil. Only feasible and delightful. I regret it,
         | however there is only so much we can do.
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | fwiw when I say "hacker" I mean the other sense of the term.
           | Not cracker/phreak.
           | 
           | But someone who 'hacks' on software. Unix hacker is an old
           | but long lasting stereotype.
        
         | creddit wrote:
         | > A pointy haired narcissist with a track record of taking
         | credit for other people's work
         | 
         | Thankfully you're here to dramatically increase the quality of
         | commentary.
        
         | fossuser wrote:
         | Presumably your comment is directed at me, but I think we
         | probably have overlapping wants and disagree on how to get
         | those results.
         | 
         | I think you're wrong about Musk, but that aside - I want us to
         | escape the ad-driven model we're trapped in. I want users to
         | have actual control over their computing. I want hackers back.
         | 
         | I just do not think these federated attempts will get us there,
         | I think that's been proven over the last thirty years, and I
         | don't want us to waste time on half-measures destined to fail.
         | 
         | It's not a disagreement about the goals - it's a disagreement
         | about the focus and the tactics to get the goal we want. I want
         | more than some system that serves a handful of highly technical
         | niche users (arguably poorly) in a mostly centralized fashion.
         | I want a path to actually achieving the goals the cypherpunks
         | of the 90s web originally set out to achieve.
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | I mean, I'm active on Mastodon this week and I'm boosting it
           | because it's having its moment. But I don't disagree with
           | many of the criticisms of it. But it doesn't really matter,
           | because this is something having a growth moment right now
           | and it's overall a positive thing and it's something that can
           | actually be built on.
           | 
           | Mastodon itself is fairly meh software. ActivityPub itself is
           | reasonable as a potential starting point, though it won't
           | satisfy the purists.
           | 
           | In the meantime, we are potentially seeing the beginning of
           | an exponential growth curve on Mastodon. It could fizzle out.
           | But it's a net positive thing, from the POV of this old
           | wizened/grouchy Internet veteran.
        
           | UncleEntity wrote:
           | > I just do not think these federated attempts will get us
           | there, I think that's been proven over the last thirty years,
           | and I don't want us to waste time on half-measures destined
           | to fail.
           | 
           | Email seems pretty successful by any measure...
           | 
           | All this really needs is an overlay (app or something) so
           | people don't have to care about the underlying technology.
           | With all the newfound interest there's probably someone
           | working on such a thing and other people looking for
           | somewhere to throw a bunch of money to cash in on the new
           | trend.
           | 
           | Just look a the pandemic and WFH, video conferencing went
           | from some niche thing to something my 70 year old parents
           | were doing on a regular basis to keep in touch with the
           | family. The first month or so it was a bigger mess than the
           | current twitter exodus and an almost direct comparison.
           | 
           | IDK, having the beeb give a pretty balanced overview doesn't
           | seem like such a bad thing. Unfortunately nobody cares about
           | that and just want to go on about how Elon is the worst human
           | ever.
        
           | red_trumpet wrote:
           | > it's a disagreement about the focus
           | 
           | So what would you like to focus on instead?
        
         | simongray wrote:
         | A lot of people on Hacker News are unfortunately very focused
         | on money so they don't see the value of things that aren't.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | You and I must be reading different HN's, because I see an
         | awful lot of people anti-layoffs, anti-Copilot, and pro-
         | Mastodon.
         | 
         | So I wonder if you're actually complaining about diversity of
         | thought? Because HN _isn 't_ the "hacker culture" you're
         | talking about from the late 80s and 90's. It's got a whole
         | bunch of those people, but also a whole bunch of everything
         | else.
         | 
         | When people comment, why should they be trying to contribute to
         | "hacker culture" at all? Why shouldn't they simply be offering
         | their diverse perspectives?
         | 
         | And criticizing Mastodon is a valid perspective to have. If
         | people are looking to jump ship from Twitter _now_ , it's
         | important to be realistic about whether Mastodon is or isn't
         | "ready for business" both from technical and consumer
         | perspectives. It's counterproductive to only hype up projects
         | and never criticize them.
        
         | VictorPath wrote:
         | > what exactly are you contributing to hacker culture?
         | 
         | This is a board run by an incubator investment firm, so I don't
         | really view it as an outpost of hacker culture.
         | 
         | I have been reading here over the past week here about private
         | Amway rail cars, underperforming CEOs being replaced, notes
         | about Stripe/Twitter layoffs. Most of this is peripheral, or
         | even unrelated, to hacker culture, but I don't really read here
         | for Hacker culture.
         | 
         | I've seen a lot of hacker culture in the past few months, and a
         | lot of innovation, not necessarily here, although there's been
         | references to it here. For what I'm interested in a lot of it
         | has been based around Github recently, but it varies over time.
         | 
         | I don't see the angels, incubators, VCs, startup founders,
         | FAANG business development and product managers, and
         | occassional programmers talking here to have much influence on
         | hacker culture one way or the other. I'm sure a lot of people
         | hacking on stuff have read this board, or even commented. Not
         | all - I know a lot of very good programmers who never even
         | heard of this board.
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | Why would hackers be in hn? I thought it is more big-tech
         | workers here and their bosses
        
         | pndy wrote:
         | > Has hacker culture truly changed this much since I came up
         | into in the 90s? Or has the demographic just shifted here that
         | much?
         | 
         | Demographic shift which did affect the hacker culture. It's not
         | that hard to spot the image of an average hacker of today. But
         | I'm not gonna go into details - it would be like setting fire
         | to a dumpster.
        
         | coffeeblack wrote:
         | > _based on a metric of the number of lines of code they wrote_
         | 
         | You complain about comment quality and then fall for that level
         | of fake news? Congratulations, you found the problem.
        
         | make3 wrote:
         | classic "they disagree with me so the commentary is biased"
         | take
        
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